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U.S. agricultural exports have long been a bright spot in the U.S. balance of trade, with exports exceeding imports in every year since 1960. The most recent forecast for FY2014 is that U.S. agricultural exports will reach a record high of $149.5 billion. U.S. agricultural imports are forecast to reach $110.5 billion in FY2014, resulting in a $39 billion agricultural trade surplus, which would rank second only to the FY2011 surplus of $42.9 billion. Exports are a major outlet for many farm commodities, in some cases absorbing over one-half of U.S. output.
Among the key variables affecting U.S. agricultural exports are the value of the U.S. dollar vis-a-vis currencies of trading partners and the pace of economic growth, particularly in developing and emerging countries. According to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasters, factors contributing to a promising outlook for U.S. agricultural exports in FY2014 include moderately higher world economic growth in FY2014; a stable and relatively low-valued U.S. dollar; larger U.S. supplies of key grain crops; and diminished competition from some foreign competitors.
The United States operates a number of programs aimed at developing overseas markets for U.S. agricultural products and facilitating exports. The 2008 farm bill authorized these trade programs through FY2012, but they were subsequently extended through FY2013 by the "fiscal cliff" legislation (P.L. 112-240). In early 2014, Congress approved the Agricultural Act of 2014, which the President signed into law on February 7, 2014, as P.L. 113-79, extending most programs through FY2018. The trade title (Title III) of the farm bill authorized, amended, and repealed three main types of agricultural export programs:
Among the key variables affecting the value of U.S. agricultural exports are commodity prices, the value of the U.S. dollar vis-a-vis currencies of trading partners, and the pace of economic growth—particularly in developing and emerging countries. According to USDA, factors contributing to a continued downturn in U.S. farm exports in FY2016 include low commodity prices, a strong U.S. dollar, relatively weak importer demand, and strong foreign competition.
The United States operates a number of programs aimed at developing overseas markets for U.S. agricultural products and facilitating exports. The Agricultural Act of 2014, P.L. 113-79, extended most programs from FY2014 through FY2018. The trade title (Title III) of the 2014 farm bill authorized, amended, and repealed three main types of agricultural export programs:
1. Export market development programs. The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) of USDA administers five market development programs that aim to assist U.S. industry efforts to build, maintain, and expand overseas markets for U.S. agricultural products. The five are the Market Access Program (MAP), the Foreign Market Development Program (FMDP), the Emerging Markets Program (EMP), the Quality Samples Program (QSP), and the Technical Assistance for Specialty Crops Program (TASC).The 2014 farm bill broke new ground in directingalso directed the Secretary of Agriculture to reorganize theUSDA's export and import activities of the USDA, while creatingand create a new Under Secretary of Agriculture position with the aim of coordinating the government's response toto oversee trade-related sanitary and phytosanitary issues affecting agricultural productsagriculture, as well as nontariff trade barriers.
Issues for Congress include determining the role and effectiveness of the public vs. private sector for investing in the development of new markets; monitoring the effect of policy changes in the farm bill on the Brazil WTO case against U.S. cotton subsidies and possible implications for trade relations; and overseeing the Secretary's plans to reorganize USDA's trade-related functions.
In view of the more challenging market environment for U.S. farm exports, Congress could weigh possible opportunities to expand foreign markets and remove impediments to farm exports. For example, the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP), if implemented, would lower many tariffs that Japan and other TPP nations impose on U.S. farm and food exports. Also, numerous U.S. agricultural interests assert that U.S. farm exports to Cuba could increase if Congress were to repeal statutory restrictions on this trade. In addition, U.S. farm groups and lawmakers have identified foreign subsidies as distorting trade and displacing U.S. farm exports. Another possible issue for Congress involves overseeing plans to reorganize USDA's trade functions.Agricultural exports are important both to farmers and to non-tariff trade barriers.
U.S. Agricultural Exports
Agricultural exports are important to both farmers and the U.S. economy. With the productivity of U.S. agriculture growing faster than domestic demand, farmers and agriculturally oriented firms rely heavily on export markets to sustain prices and revenue. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture's (USDA's) Economic Research Service (ERS), agricultural exports have exceeded agricultural imports in every year since 1960 (Appendix A). This trend has become increasingly pronounced in recent years (Figure 1). In FY2013, U.S. agricultural exports reached $140.9Table A-1). The value of agricultural exports has exceeded imports by a wide margin in recent years, but this trend reversed course in FY2015, with the positive balance expected to narrow further in FY2016 (Figure 1). In FY2014, U.S. agricultural exports reached a peak of $152.3 billion, topping the previous record high of $137.4141.1 billion in FY2011. With agricultural imports rising slowly to $103.9 billion, the FY2013 agricultural trade surplus expanded to $37.1 billion from $32.4 billion in FY2012, but was $6 billion below the peak in FY2011.
USDA's forecast for agricultural trade for FY2014 is for an expansion in exports to an all-time high of $149.5 billion.1 U.S. agricultural imports are forecast to rise by $6.7 billion to $110.5 billion in FY2014, resulting in the second-highest trade surplus on record at $39 billion.FY2013. Agricultural imports have risen steadily over this period, climbing from $103.9 billion in FY2013 to $114 billion in FY2015, narrowing the agricultural trade surplus from $43.1 billion in FY2014 to $25.7 billion in FY2015.
Looking to FY2016, USDA projects that the trends that resulted in a narrower farm trade surplus in FY2015 will persist. The agency expects U.S. exports to recede to $125 billion while imports climb to $118.5 billion, resulting in a substantially smaller farm trade surplus of $6.5 billion in FY2016 and marking what would be the smallest surplus since FY2006.1
Figure 1. Value of U.S. Agricultural Trade, FY2000-
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Source: USDA Economic Research Service (ERS) Notes: U.S. foreign agricultural trade data can be obtained at http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/foreign-agricultural-trade-of-the-united-states-(fatus).aspx.
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For perspective, USDA estimates that during the most recent three years, from 2011 to 2013 (2013-2015), the value of U.S. agricultural exports accounted for between 10% and 11% of total U.S. exports, while U.S. agricultural imports made up 5% of total imports.2 Within the agricultural sector, the importance of exports looms even larger, accounting for around 20% of total agricultural production20% of the value of overall agricultural production in 2013, the most recent year for which USDA data are available.3
Foreign markets represent the largest outlet for a number of U.S. farm commodities, while providing a substantial market for many other agricultural products. During the 2013/20142014/2015 marketing year, export markets absorbed 8169% of U.S. cotton production, 5641% of wheat output, and 4947% of the soybean harvest. In the livestock sector, USDA projectsestimates the export share of pork, broiler meat, and beef production in 2014 will amount to 22%, 19%, and 10%, respectively.4 Among specialty crops, preliminary USDA estimates are that 68% of U.S. almond production and 65% of the pecan crop from the 2012/2013 season were directed to export markets2015 amounted to 20%, 16%, and 10%, respectively.4 Foreign markets also represent the largest outlet for certain specialty crops, including tree nuts. USDA indicates that during the 2014/2015 season, export markets absorbed 71% of the marketable production of U.S. walnuts, 68% of almond production, 75% of the pecan crop, and 59% of pistachios.5
The top country destinations for U.S. agricultural exports in FY2013 are given in Table 1. In FY2012, China surpassed North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) partner Canada as the leading market for U.S. agricultural exports, and China retained the top spot in FY2013FY2015.
Rank |
Country |
US$ billions |
% of Total |
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1 |
China |
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2 |
Canada |
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3 |
Mexico |
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4 |
Japan |
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5 |
European Union |
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6 |
South Korea |
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||||||
7 |
Hong Kong |
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|
||||||
8 |
Taiwan |
|
|
||||||
9 |
Indonesia |
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|
||||||
10 |
Philippines |
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|
||||||
11 |
Turkey |
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||||||
12 |
Vietnam |
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|
||||||
13 |
Egypt |
|
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||||||
14 |
Brazil |
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||||||
15 |
Venezuela |
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Source: Rank compiled by CRS using data from the USDA Economic Research Service, "Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade," May 29, 2014, February 25, 2016, http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/aes-outlook-for-us-agricultural-trade/aes-82.aspx#.U8Px0SiZjTo91.aspx.
Notes: For FY2015, the total value of U.S. agricultural exports was $139.7 billion.
The leading agricultural commodity exports by value in FY2013FY2015 are shown in Table 2. Strong demand for soybeans, especially from China, helped make soybeans the largest U.S. agricultural export commodity in FY2013.
Concerning the composition of agricultural exports, soybeans and several other bulk commoditiesbulk commodities such as soybeans and corn continue to rank at or near the top of the list of farm exports by value, but the mix of exports continues to shift away from bulk commodities in favor offavor high value products (HVPs) over bulk commodities. The HVP category includes such products as live animals, fruits and vegetables, nuts, fats, hides, feeds, sugar products, meat, milk, grain products, and processed fruits and vegetables. The HVP share of total U.S. agricultural exports rose from 63.5% in 2012 to 67.2% in 2013. USDA forecasts its share will increase to 69% in 2014, and projects it will continue to rise from there.
Rank |
Commodity |
US$ billions |
% of Total |
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1 |
Soybeans |
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2 |
Wheat, Unmilled |
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3 |
Feeds and Fodder |
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4 |
Fresh Fruits and Vegetables |
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5 |
Tree Nuts: Whole, Processed |
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6 |
Poultry Products |
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7 |
Dairy Products |
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8 |
Cotton |
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9 |
Corn |
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10 |
Soybean Meal |
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11 |
Beef and Veal |
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12 |
Pork |
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13 |
Hides, Skins, and Furs |
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14 |
Rice |
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15 |
Seeds |
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Source: USDA Economic Research Service, http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/aes-outlook-for-us-agricultural-trade/aes-82.aspx#.U8Px0SiZjToRank compiled by CRS based on data from the USDA Economic Research Service Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade, February 25, 2016, http://ers.usda.gov/media/2022721/outlook-for-us-ag-trade-aes91.pdf.
Agricultural exports make a significant contribution to the overall U.S. economy. USDA's Economic Research Service estimates that, in 2012, estimates that each dollar of agricultural exports stimulatedstimulates an additional $1.27 in business activity. Moreover, that same year, agricultural exports generated an estimated 929,000 full-time civilian jobs, including 622,000 jobs outside the farm sector.6
Nearly every state exports agricultural commodities, while each $1 billion in agricultural exports supports 7,550 jobs.7
Nearly every state produces agricultural commodities that are exported. Actual exports of agricultural commodity production by state are not available as such, but USDA provides estimates of commodity exports by state based on data for U.S. farm cash receipts. Table 3 provides a listing of the 10 states with the highest estimated shares of U.S. agricultural exports by value in calendar year (CY) 20122014. These 10 states accounted for 56% of total U.S. agricultural exports that year.
Rank |
State |
US$ billions |
% of Total |
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1 |
California |
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2 |
Iowa |
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3 |
Illinois |
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4 |
Minnesota |
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5 |
Nebraska |
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6 |
Texas |
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7 |
Kansas |
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8 |
Indiana |
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9 |
North Dakota |
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10 |
Ohio |
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56 | .4 |
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Source: USDA, ERS. Economic Research Service, "State Export Data," http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/state-export-data.aspx#25532.
Notes: For CY2012CY2014, the total value of U.S. agricultural exports was $141.3150.0 billion.
U.S. and global trade are greatly affected by the growth and stability of world markets.78 Changes in world population, economic growth, and income; tastes and preferences in foreign markets; and exchange rates are most likely to alter global food demand. U.S. domestic farm policies that affect price and supply, andas well as trade agreements with other countries, also influence the level of U.S. agricultural exports. According to USDA, world economic growth—particularly sustained relatively high growth in developing countries—provides a foundation for increases in global food demand, trade, and agricultural exports.
Developing countries are expected to drive most of the growth in demand for U.S. agricultural exports in the years ahead, reflecting the outlook for faster population growth in these countries, and rising incomes associated with an expanding middle class. These economic trends, coupled with younger population demographics and increased urbanization, are closely associated with greater diversification of diets and increased demand for meat, dairy products, and processed foods that tend to shift import demand in favor of feedstuffs and high-value food products.8
Global economic growth is projected to accelerate to 2.8% in 2014 from 2% in 2013rise to 3.1% in 2016 from 2.8% in 2015, according to USDA.910 Table 4 contains a breakdown of growth prospects by major regions and key countries. Economic growth is expected to be led by expanding economies in Asia and Africa, although some slowdown is foreseen in Africa this year compared with last year, with moderately slower growth projected for Asia. Economic growth in Latin America and the Caribbean also is expected to increase at a lower rate this year. By contrast, growth rates in North America, Europe, and Oceania are expected to push higher in 2014 Economic growth is expected to be led by moderately stronger growth in the United States, a further uptick in economic activity in the European Union and Africa, and relatively stable growth prospects in Asia and Oceania overall amid slower growth in China. A further downturn in Brazil's economic prospects may weigh on growth prospects in South America.
Region/Country |
Share of World GDP |
|
|
Real Exchange Ratea |
Real Exchange Rate |
World (U.S. trade |
100% |
2. |
|
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
2.5% |
|
0. |
Canada |
2. |
|
|
3.5 |
|
United States |
|
|
2. |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Mexico |
1. |
|
|
-5.1 |
0.7 |
Latin America |
|
2.3% |
|
1.8 |
5.7 |
Argentina |
0. |
|
|
10.4 |
25.8 |
Brazil |
|
|
|
5.8 |
4.5 |
Europe |
|
|
|
|
-2.0 |
Asia and Oceania |
28. |
4. |
4. |
7.6 |
2.0 |
China |
|
|
|
-3.6 |
-3.1 |
Japan |
8. |
|
1. |
23.7 |
6.7 |
South Korea |
|
|
3. |
-2.6 |
-1.8 |
Indonesia |
|
|
5. |
6. |
5.5 |
Vietnam |
0.2% |
|
|
-4.0 |
- |
India |
2.6% |
|
|
0.1 |
-1.7 |
Australia |
1. |
2.4% |
2. |
6.3 |
9.4 |
New Zealand |
0.2% |
2. |
|
-0.3 |
0.0 |
Middle East |
|
|
3. |
1.0 |
0.6 |
Turkey |
1. |
|
|
0.1 |
7.7 |
Africa |
2. |
|
|
|
-0.9 |
Source: Calculations and compilation by USDA's Economic Research Service using data from Global Insight, the International Monetary Fund, and Oxford Economics.
a. b.
The eurozone consists of the 19 countries that have adopted the euro as their common currency. A leading factor in the decline in the value of U.S. agricultural exports in FY2015 was lower prevailing market prices for numerous farm commodities. For instance, the average farm prices of 2014-crop soybeans and corn (marketed from September 1, 2014, to August 31, 2015) were lower than average prices for the 2013 crops by 22% and 17%, respectively. Farm prices for major animal products—including beef cattle, hogs, broilers, and milk—were also lower in 2015 compared to 2014, thereby contributing to the lower dollar value of export sales in FY2015.11
Local currency per U.S. dollar. A negative rate indicates a depreciation of the dollar. Real exchange rates have a 20052010 base year.
base year.
Another important factor influencing U.S. agricultural trade is the value of the U.S. dollar relative to foreign currencies. The dollar is projected to be flat in 2014 following moderate appreciation over the last couple of years. But the slow appreciation of the dollar recently, following 10 years of depreciation from 2002 to 2011, means that the U.S. currency remains relatively weak. Dollar weakness contributes to the competitiveness of U.S. farm commodities in international markets, while also tending to dampen U.S. import demand.10 During periods when the dollar is strengthening, such as in 2009, its higher value tends to act as a constraint on exports by making U.S. farm products more expensive abroad.
(U.S. agricultural exports rose as the dollar depreciated) |
Source: USDA Economic Research Service (ERS), and Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS).
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U.S. trade policy and geopolitical events also factor into the level of agricultural exports. Trade liberalization efforts aim to expand international commerce by lowering various barriers to trade and broadening access to foreign markets. These efforts include multilateral agreements under the auspices of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and its successor, the World Trade Organization (WTO), as well as regional trade agreements, such as the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) such as NAFTA, and bilateral free trade agreements, including the recent Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (KORUS FTA).
Geopolitical events, such as economic sanctions, can influence the scope of trade in agricultural products as well. The effects of sanctions are often temporary, as commodities are fungible and trade flows tend to realign. One such event was the embargo that President Jimmy Carter imposed on U.S. grain sales to the USSRSoviet Union in January 1980 in response to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in December 1979. At the time, the USSRSoviet Union was the largest importer of U.S. grain and feed. The quantity of U.S. grain and feed exports to the Soviet Union plunged by 66% in 1980, but total exports of U.S. grain and feed that year climbed by 10% as other importers absorbed the displaced grain.
More recently, on August 7, 2014, Russia banned the import of certain foods —including certain beef, pork, poultry, fish, seafood, fruits, nuts, vegetables, sausages, and prepared foods—from a number of Western countries, including the United States, in retaliation for economic sanctions imposed on Russia for its actions in Ukraine. Banned food imports from the affected countries amounted to 22% of the value of Russia's food imports in 2013. The U.S. share of the affected product imports amounted to about 9% of the total, but comprised only about 0.5% of annual U.S. agricultural exports. While it is too early to assess the consequences of this import ban, the indications are that Russia will attempt to replace the banned products from alternative suppliers, while the banned suppliers are expected to seek out other markets.11
Recognizing the importance of agricultural exports to the financial wellbeing of the U.S. farm sector, farm bills typically have included programs that promote commercial agricultural exports. The 2014 farm bill continues this pattern.
U.S. Agricultural Trade and the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) In February 2016, the Obama Administration signed the TPP, a proposed regional free trade agreement (FTA) with 11 other Pacific nations: Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam. Importantly, the TPP will not have the force of law until it is ratified by the countries involved, which would require enacting implementing legislation in the United States.14 If implemented, TPP would be the largest regional FTA to which the United States is a party. In 2015, TPP countries absorbed 43% of U.S. agricultural exports and supplied 51% of U.S. agricultural imports. Among the five TPP countries with which the United States currently lacks an FTA—Brunei, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, and Vietnam—Japan, Malaysia, and Vietnam have a combined population of roughly 250 million. Moreover, each of these three countries imposes significantly higher average combined tariffs on agricultural products than does the United States, suggesting the potential for U.S. agricultural products to make greater inroads into these markets as a result of more favorable market access that would be provided under TPP. Prominent among the market access provisions in the agreement are liberalized terms of trade in agricultural products, including a reduction in tariff rates, which for many products would be lowered to zero. For example, the agreement provides that Japan—the largest foreign market for U.S. beef—would lower its tariff on fresh, chilled, and frozen beef from 38.5% currently to 27.5% once the agreement enters into force. Japan's tariff would then be progressively lowered to 9% by year 16. In one of numerous other examples, Japan would eliminate seasonal tariffs on oranges of 16% and 32% over six and eight years, respectively. Other farm products would benefit from expanded tariff rate quotas (TRQs), which allow TPP participants to export increased quantities of certain products either duty-free or at sharply reduced rates of duty. Japan has agreed to a country-specific quota that would allow an additional 114,000 metric tons of U.S. wheat to be imported on a duty-free basis. This concession—equivalent to about 0.5% of total U.S. wheat exports in the 2014/2015 marketing year—would be expanded to 150,000 tons over seven years. The United States would also provide market access concessions across numerous categories of agricultural imports that are currently subject to either import tariffs or TRQs. U.S. tariffs on beef and beef products, which range as high as 26.4%, would be eliminated in no more than 15 years, while new TRQs would be established for sugar and sugar-containing products from several countries, including Australia and Canada. New TRQs would also be established for a range of dairy products.15 The TPP agreement has met with substantial support from U.S. agriculture, agribusiness, and food industry interests, but TPP has its detractors within these industries as well. Among the numerous assessments of how the TPP agreement could affect U.S. agricultural food industry interests are the following: Recognizing the importance of agricultural exports to the financial well-being of the U.S. farm sector, farm bills have typically included programs that promote commercial agricultural exports. The 2014 farm bill continues this pattern. USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) works to improve the competitive position of U.S. agriculture in the global marketplace.12In the wake of the ban, U.S. agricultural exports to Russia have fallen from a total of 712,697 metric tons in 2013 to 565,652 metric tons in 2015. Shipments of poultry meat and products have been severely affected, declining from 276,636 metric tons in 2013 prior to the ban to zero in 2015.13
the next five yearsfive years through FY2018.
The law reauthorizes and amends USDA's foreign agricultural export programs. Budget authority for these programs is mandatory, and not subject to annual appropriations. Funds required for these export programs are provided directly by the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) through its borrowing authority.1319
Agricultural export programs generally fit within three broad groupings:
The 2014 farm bill made several changes to Title III, but left intact most programs that facilitate overseas market development and sales. Key changes include alterations to the Export Credit Guarantee Program to align it with World Trade OrganizationWTO rulings concerning its use in facilitating exports of U.S. cotton, and the elimination of the Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP), which effectively curtailed the use of direct export subsidies. The bill also directs the Secretary of Agriculture to establish the position of Under Secretary of Agriculture for Trade and International Affairs as part of a reorganization of the agency's trade functions.
FAS supports U.S. industry efforts to build, maintain, and expand overseas markets for U.S. food and agricultural products. FAS administers five market development programs:
.In general, these programs provide matching funds to U.S. organizations to conduct a wide range of activities, including market research, consumer promotion, trade servicing, capacity building, and market access support. FAS also facilitates U.S. participation in a range of international trade shows. The 2014 farm bill extended legislative authorization of CCC funds for these market development programs for FY2014 through FY2018. Export programs are funded through the borrowing authority of the CCC.
Authorized Annual Funding Levels
Mandatory annual funding for market development programs as authorized in the 2014 farm bill includes $200 million for the Market Access ProgramMAP, $34.5 million for the Foreign Market Development ProgramFMDP, $10 million for the Emerging Markets ProgramEMP, and $9 million for the Technical Assistance for Specialty Crops Program. The Quality Samples ProgramTASC. QSP is authorized under the CCC Charter Act, not the farm bill, and is funded through CCC's borrowing authority.
The Market Access Program (MAP), 20
MAP—which aids in the creation, expansion, and maintenance of foreign markets for U.S. agricultural products, —was originally authorized by the Agricultural Trade Act of 1978 (P.L. 95-501, as amended) and is administered by FAS.1521 MAP provides funding to nonprofit U.S. agricultural trade associations, nonprofit U.S. agricultural cooperatives, nonprofit state-regional trade groups, and small U.S. businesses for overseas marketing and promotional activities, such as trade shows, market research, consumer promotions for retail products, technical capacity building, and seminars to educate overseas customers. MAP funds assist primarily value-added products, such as cotton, fruits, dairy products, meat, nuts, wood products, wine, and seafood, among other products. MAP funds can be used to support both generic promotions and brand-name promotions. Generic promotions are undertaken by nonprofit trade associations, state regional groups, and state agencies to increase demand for a specific commodity (e.g., peas, lentils, cotton) with no emphasis on a particular brand.
MAP funds may be spent by the participating organizations themselves (direct funding) and/or can beor redistributed to entities that have applied to participating organizations for MAP assistance (indirect funding). Since FY1998, USDA policy has been to prohibit the allocation of MAP funds to large U.S. companies. Agricultural cooperatives and small U.S. companies1622 can receive assistance under the brand program, which seeks to establish consumer loyalty for their brand-name products.1723 To conduct branded product promotion activities, individual companies must provide a funding match of at least 50% of the total marketing cost. For generic promotion activities, trade associations and others must meet a minimum 10% match requirement.
Although MAP is a mandatory program and hence does not require an annual appropriation, agriculture appropriations acts have on occasion capped the amounts that could be spent on the program or imposed other restraints on programming. For example, the FY1996 Agriculture Appropriations Act prohibited MAP spending to promote exports of mink pelts or garments. Since 1993, no MAP funds may be used to promote tobacco exports.
MAP has been targeted for cuts by some Members of Congress who maintain that it is a form of corporate welfare, or to help offset increased expenditures on other programs, but such efforts have been unsuccessful. MAP funding steadily increased from $90 million in FY2000 to $200 million in FY2006, where it has remained. The 2014 farm bill reauthorizesreauthorized CCC funding for MAP at then-current mandatory funding levels of $200 million annually through FY2018.
The Foreign Market Development Program (FMDP)24
FMDP was established in 1955, and, like MAP, has the primary objective to assistof assisting industry organizations in the expansion of export opportunities. The 2014 farm bill reauthorizes CCC funding for FMDP for FY2014-FY2018 at an annual level of $34.5 million. The 1996 farm bill provided new statutory authority for the program. Funding for FMDP has been maintained at $34.5 million since the 2002 farm bill.
FMDP funds industry groups, with a match requirement, to undertake activities such as consumer promotions, technical assistance, trade servicing, and market research by the government and industry groups. Unlike MAP, which mainly promotes consumer goods and brand-name products, FMDP mainly promotes generic or bulk commodities.
The Emerging Markets Program (EMP)25
EMP assists U.S. entities in developing, maintaining, orand expanding the exports of U.S. agricultural commodities and products by providing partial funding for technical assistance activities that promote U.S. agricultural exports to emerging markets. Emerging markets are defined as any country or regional grouping that (1) is taking steps toward a market-oriented economy through the food, agriculture, or rural business sectors of the economy of the country; that(2) has the potential to provide a viable and significant market for U.S. agricultural commodities or products; that also(3) has a population greater than 1 million; and that(4) has a per -capita income level below the level for upper -middle-income countries as determined by the World Bank.
The program is intended primarily to support export market development efforts of the private sector, but its resources may also be used to assist public agricultural organizations. Technical assistance may include activities such as feasibility studies, market research, sector assessments, orientation visits, specialized training, business workshops, and similar undertakings.
The 2014 farm law extendsbill extended EMP through FY2018, authorizing up to $10 million of CCC funding annually through FY2018—unchanged from the 2008 farm lawbill—to carry out technical assistance activities to promote U.S. agricultural exports and to address technical barriers to trade in emerging markets.
The Quality Samples Program (QSP)26
QSP assists U.S. agricultural trade organizations in providing small samples of their agricultural products to potential importers in emerging markets overseas. The QSP focuses on industrial and manufacturing users of products, not end-use consumers, and allows manufacturers overseas to do test runs to assess how U.S. food and fiber products can best meet their production needs. Priority is given to projects targeting developing nations or regions with a per -capita income of less than $10,725 and a population greater than 1 million. Priority is also given to projects designed to expand exports where a U.S. commodity's market share is 10% or less. Operating under the authority of the CCC Charter Act of 1948, FAS used $1.2706 million of CCC funds in 2012 and $1.05 million in 2013FY2013, $1.29 million in 2014, and $1.57 million in FY2015 to carry out the program. The USDA estimated net expenditures of $2.55 million in FY2016, while the President's budget for FY2017 estimates net expenditures of $2.56 millionPresident's budget for FY2015 anticipates program activity of $2.5 million in FY2015.
The Technical Assistance for Specialty Crops (TASC) Program27
TASC aims to assist U.S. exporters by funding projects that address sanitary, phytosanitary, and technical barriers that prohibit or limit U.S. specialty crop exports. The 2008 farm bill definesdefined specialty crops as all cultivated plants, and the products thereof, produced in the United States, except wheat, feed grains, oilseeds, cotton, rice, peanuts, sugar, and tobacco. The 2014 farm bill broadensbroadened TASC's scope, adding "technicalreplacing "related barriers" in place of "relatedwith "technical barriers," which allows TASC to fund projects that address technical barriers to trade that are not related to a sanitary or phytosanitary barrier.
The types of activities covered include seminars and workshops, study tours, field surveys, pest and disease research, and preclearance programs. The 2014 farm bill authorizes TASC funding of $9 million annually from FY2014 through FY2018, unchanged from the FY2011-FY2013 authorization levels. Also under this section of the bill, Congress directed the Secretary of Agriculture to conduct an economic study of the existing market in the United States for Atlantic spiny dogfish within 90 days of the bill's enactment. According to USDA, the report was communicated to the appropriate committees of the House and Senate on May 22, 2014.2228
For FY2014 through FY2018, the 2014 farm bill reauthorized USDA-operated export credit guarantee programs, which were first established in the Agricultural Trade Act of 1978 (P.L. 95-501) to facilitate sales of U.S. agricultural exports. Under these programs, private U.S. financial institutions extend financing at prevailing market interest rates to countries that want to purchase U.S. agricultural exports and are guaranteed by the CCC with a CCC guarantee that the loans will be repaid. In making available a guarantee for suchguaranteeing these loans, the CCC assumes the risk of default on payments by the foreign purchasers on loans for U.S. farm exports. There are twoTwo export credit guarantee programs were reauthorized: the short-term credit guarantee program (GSM-102) and the Facility Guarantee Program (FGP).
The GSM-102 program guarantees repayment of short-term financing extended by approved foreign banks, mainly in developing countries, for purchases of U.S. food and agricultural products by foreign buyers. The GSM-102 program aims to encourage commercial exports of U.S. agricultural products on competitive credit terms for buyers in countries where credit is necessary to maintain or increase U.S. sales, but where financing may not be available without CCC guarantees. Eligible countries are those that USDA determines can service the debt backed by the guarantees. Use of The use of CCC guarantees for foreign aid, foreign policy, or debt rescheduling purposes is prohibited. The CCC selects agricultural commodities and products according to market potential and eligibility based on applicable legislative and regulatory requirements. All products must be entirely produced in the United States. Eligible products include a broad range of agricultural commodities and high-value products.24HVPs.30
The leading recipients of export credit guarantees over the years have been Mexico, South Korea, Iraq, Algeria, and the former Soviet Union. In FY2013FY2015, the major beneficiary countries (in terms of loan amounts guaranteed) were Turkey ($780.2 million), Mexico ($475 million), and South Korea ($306.4Mexico ($250.4 million), South Korea ($224.3 million), and Turkey ($189.6 million). On a regional basis,2531 the largest allocation of guarantees in FY2013FY2015 went to South America ($508.9 million), Central America ($309434 million), the Caribbean ($217.2 million), Central America ($200.1 million), Southeast Asia ($154.8 million), and Africa and the Middle East ($253115.5 million). GSM guarantees facilitate sales of a broad range of commodities, with wheat, soybeans, and soybean meal at the top of the list by value in FY2013.26FY2015.32 Table 5 provides a list of the leading GSM-102 funded commodity exports in FY2013FY2015.
Commodity |
US$ millions |
Wheat |
781.5 |
Soybean Meal |
537.7 |
Soybeans |
520.1 |
Cotton |
292.2 |
Rice |
185.6 |
Distillers Dried Grains |
81.5 |
Breeding Cattle |
75.4 |
Grain Sorghum |
74.7 |
Poultry Meat |
48.5 |
Tallow |
|
All Commodities |
3,020 |
Source: USDA, Foreign Agricultural Service.
Notes: FY2015 FY2013 GSM-102 allocation by geographic destination and by product is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/sites/default/files/2013-12/gsm2013-final2015-10/fy_2015_-_final_0.pdf.
Under P.L. 113-79the 2014 farm bill, funding for the GSM-102 Programprogram is reauthorized. The value of U.S. agricultural exports that can benefit from export credit guarantees remains at $5.5 billion annually. Net federal outlays under the GSM-102 program have been negative in most years going back to the mid-1990s (i.e., generating revenue for the government) as program fees and interest from rescheduled debts and the like have generally exceeded the cost of defaults, approaching revenue of $200 million in a number of years. Years in which net outlays under GSM-102 have represented a cost to the government are estimated to have been fewer in number and generally far smaller in amount—typically under $1015 million per fiscal year, with FY2010 the stand-out exception at an estimated $96109 million.2733 Federal costs associated with administering the program are separate, amounting to approximately $7 million a year.28
The enacted 2014 farm bill shortened the maximum length of credit guarantees from three years previously to not more than 24 months. 34
To address differences that have arisen over how the United States might comply with the WTO cotton case won by Brazil,35 the final law grants flexibility to the Secretary of Agriculture to make changes to the credit guarantee program, following consultation with the House and Senate Agriculture Committees, to meet terms agreed upon by both countries.29
The 2014 farm bill also amended this program in three ways to address, at least in part, Brazil's criticism of how it is administered:
Although the enacted 2014 farm bill shortened the maximum length of credit guarantees from three years previously to not more than 24 months, FAS has established a maximum repayment term under GSM-102 of 18 months, with actual terms subject to variation by country.36 The 18-month limit for repayment reflects the October 2014 memorandum of understanding between the United States and Brazil that was one of a number of U.S. actions taken to address Brazil's successful WTO complaint that U.S. cotton support programs were depressing international cotton prices and thereby harming Brazil's cotton industry.37Previously, under the 2008 farm bill, P.L. 110-246), Congress repealed the GSM-103 program, which guaranteed longer-term financing of between 3three and 10 years. This action was also taken in response to the WTO Brazil cotton decision.
Under the general provisions of the GSM-102 program, the CCC provides funding to guarantee financing under the Facility Guarantee Program (FGP)FGP. The FGP guarantees financing of goods and services exported from the United States to improve or establish agriculture-related facilities in emerging markets. Eligible projects must improve the handling, marketing, storage, or distribution of imported U.S. agricultural commodities and products. Under GSM-102, the farm bill authorized not less than $1 billion through FY2018 to promote U.S. agricultural exports to emerging markets, including the FGP. In FY2013 and FY2014, FAS programmed $100 million for the FGP, and the President's budget for FY2015 also estimates a program level of $100 million.31
The 2014 farm bill repealed the Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP)DEIP effective immediately. Terminating the program was consistent with a WTO commitment to eliminate the use of export subsidies. The DEIP was established under the 1985 farm bill (P.L. 99-198) to assist in the export of U.S. dairy products. DEIP was included in the commodity title (Title I), not the trade title (Title III), where most export programs are located. The purpose of DEIP was to develop international export markets in regions where U.S. dairy products were not competitive due to the presence of subsidized products from other countries. The original purpose of the program was to counter the adverse effects of foreign dairy product subsidies, primarily those of the European Union (EU). Eligible commodities under DEIP included milk powder, butterfat, and various cheeses.
The program level for DEIP has varied over years depending on the dairy price situation. No DEIP bonuses were awarded from FY2005 through FY2008. In response to lower milk producer returns in 2008 and 2009, USDA reactivated the program in July 2009 to provide support in FY2009-FY2010. No DEIP subsidies have been provided since FY2010.32
Agricultural export subsidies are on the agenda of currently stalled WTO multilateral trade negotiations, known as the Doha Round. In these negotiations, the United States, along with other trading partners who subsidize exports, have agreed to phase out all agricultural export subsidies, contingent upon reaching a multilateral Doha Round agreement.33 The elimination of agricultural export subsidies has been a long-standing objective of U.S. agricultural trade policy.
As mentioned earlier, USDA's agricultural export programs are funded through the authority of the CCC at levels established in statute. Annual appropriations acts, however, sometimes amend the spending limits on these mandatory programs. Table 6 shows USDA foreign export program activity levels for FY2008FY2012 through FY2014,FY2016 and also includes the Administration's FY2015 request for these programs. dollar amounts the Administration has budgeted for these programs for FY2017. The account for GSM-102 reflects program level activity or expected program, for FY2016-FY2018, authorization levels.
Table 6. USDA International Export Program Budget, FY2008-FY2018F
(US$ millions)
Program |
FY2008 |
FY2009 |
FY2010 |
|
FY2012 |
FY2013 |
FY2014 |
FY2015-2018F |
0 |
100 | 2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 | |
|
200 |
200 |
200 | 200 |
200 |
189 |
186 |
200 |
|
34 |
34 |
34 |
34 |
34 |
33 |
32 | 34 |
|
10 |
10 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
9 | 9 |
10 |
|
4 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
8 | 9 |
|
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 | 2 |
3 |
|
3,115 |
5,357 4,132 |
3, |
4,123 |
5,500 |
5,500 |
5,500 |
5,500 |
Sources: USDA, Annual Budget Summaries, various issues. These data are budget authority levels, except GSM-102 program, which includes the value of exports financed through the program.
Note: FY2014 numbers are estimates; FY2015-2018 numbers reflect the amounts authorized in 2014 farm bill. DEIP was terminated with the 2014 farm bill, so no program activity is authorized for FY2015-FY2018.
a. Dairy Export Incentive Program. DEIP was terminated with the enactment of the 2014 farm bill on February 7, 2014.
c. Foreign Market Development Program.
e. Technical Assistance for Specialty Crops.
Note: For all programs except GSM-102, FY2016 numbers are estimates. FY2017 figures are budgeted amounts, while FY2018 numbers reflect the amounts authorized in 2014 farm bill. For GSM-102, see footnote h below.f. Quality Samples Program. The QSP
Thus the amount indicated for FY2015-FY2018 represents the Administration's budgeted total for FY2015.
g. General Sales Manager (GSM) Export Credit Guarantee Program. The values given represent the values of exports financed through the program, not budget authority.
A new element in the 2014 farm bill requiresrequired the Secretary of Agriculture, in consultation with the House and Senate Agriculture Committees and House and Senate Appropriations Committees, to propose a plan to reorganize the international trade functions of USDA. The Secretary islaw directed the Secretary to report to the congressional committees on the plan within 180 days of the farm bill's enactment ondate of February 7, 2014, and to implement the reorganization plan not later than one year after the report is submitted. The billlaw also directsdirected the Secretary to include in the plan the establishment of the position of Under Secretary of Agriculture for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs within USDA. This position, which requires Senate confirmation, is responsible for serving as a multi-agency coordinator of sanitary and phytosanitary issues that arise in the course of trade in agricultural products, and for addressing agricultural non-tariff trade barriers. The timeline for establishing this position is within one year of the Secretary's report to Congress.
Currently, USDA's Under Secretary for Farm and Foreign Agricultural Affairs oversees the operation of the Foreign Agricultural ServiceFAS in addition to the Farm Service Agency and the Risk Management Agency. The creation of the position of Under Secretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs would appear to segregate the domestic from the export-oriented programs. As of early August 2014 the report on the Secretary's plan to reorganize the trade functions within USDA had not been transmitted to Congress. USDA staff have indicated the report is expected to be submitted this year.34
Historically, many Members of Congress have been highly supportive of the Market Access Program (MAP) and cite the benefits the program brings to U.S. agricultural industries through export market development abroad. Although the program has its detractors, strong support for export market development programs has been reflected in Congress's rejection in FY2010 and FY2011 of the Administration's proposals to reduce MAP funding by 20% in each of those years. The Administration has not requested reductions in MAP funding since FY2011.
Also, the continuity that P.L. 113-79 provides in terms of extending most agricultural export programs speaks to ongoing congressional support for this type of activity. The elimination of the Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP) as part of the new law appeared to be mainly a function of fundamental changes the law makes in the structure of federal support programs for milk producers, as well as a U.S. commitment to eliminate direct export subsidies, and a recognition that no activity had been recorded under DEIP since FY2010.
At the same time, a concern raised by some Members of Congress with respect to MAP and FMDP is whether the federal government should play an active role at all in helping agricultural producer organizations and agribusiness entities market their products overseas. Some argue that MAP and FMDP are forms of corporate welfare in that they fund activities that private firms otherwise could and would fund for themselves.35 Other critics argue that the principal beneficiaries are foreign consumers and that funds could be better spent, for example, instructing U.S. firms on how to export. Program supporters emphasize that foreign competitors, especially EU member countries, also spend money on market promotion, and that U.S. marketing programs help keep U.S. products competitive in foreign markets.
The concerns of critics notwithstanding, Congress continues to demonstrate support for programs that promote farm exports. In considering the House Agriculture Committee-reported farm bill (H.R. 1947), the House in 2013 rejected by substantial margins two amendments that sought to retire two farm export promotion programs. An amendment to repeal MAP (H.Amdt. 191) offered by Representative Steve Chabot failed by a vote of 98-322, while the House also turned down by 103-322 another amendment (H.Amdt. 193) offered by Representative Mo Brooks that sought to terminate the Emerging Markets Program. A core argument advanced in both cases by those seeking to terminate these programs was that taxpayer money ought not be spent on promotional activities that should and could be borne by private interests.
During the House Agriculture Committee's markup of the same bill in 2013, no amendments that sought to eliminate or scale back farm export programs were considered. Similarly, in marking up its farm bill, S. 954, in 2013, the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry did not consider any amendments to curtail agricultural export programs. Likewise, during the floor debate on S. 954 last year the Senate did not consider any amendments that sought to curb or to end agricultural export programs.36
In the early 1990s, some Members raised specific concerns about the effectiveness of MAP operations, specifically questioning the program's cost-effectiveness and impact, and citing its lack of support for small businesses and displacement of private sector marketing funds. In response, Congress directed USDA to make significant changes to MAP. In 1996, Congress through the appropriations process prohibited FAS from providing direct assistance for brand-name promotions to companies that are not recognized as small businesses under the Small Business Act. In 1997, Congress prohibited large companies from receiving indirect assistance from MAP as well. Giving priority to small businesses did result in a substantial increase in the small business share of MAP assistance for brand-name promotion by 1997.
FAS also established a five-year limit (graduation requirement) on the use of MAP funds for companies that use funds to promote a "specific branded product" in a "single market," unless FAS determined that further assistance was still necessary to meet program objectives (generic marketing was not subject to the graduation requirement). FAS later revised the regulations in 1998 to limit each company to no more than five years (consecutive or nonconsecutive) of MAP funding for brand-name promotions per country. Finally, a requirement was added that each participant certify that MAP funds supplement, not supplant, its own foreign market development expenditures.
A 1999 study by the then-Government Accounting Office (GAO) reviewed a number of studies looking at MAP's effectiveness and concluded that while changes had been made to the program, the economic benefits of export programs (including MAP) were unclear. It stated that "few studies show an unambiguously positive effect of government promotional activity on exports."37 In 2009 testimony before the Senate Finance Committee, GAO said that U.S. export promotion activities were in need of strengthened performance management systems.38
A 2010 report by IHS Global Insight sponsored by USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service concluded that USDA's market development expenditures have had a positive and significant impact on U.S. agricultural trade.39 Global Insight concluded that increased spending on market development under MAP and FMD over the period 2002-2009—from roughly $125 million a year in FY2001 to $234.5 million annually during the FY2002-FY2009 period—is estimated to have raised the U.S. share of foreign agricultural imports by 1.3 percentage points, a rise to 19.9% from 18.6% under a no-increase scenario. In value terms, Global Insight concluded that by FY2009 this additional market development activity was responsible for a 6% boost in U.S. agricultural exports, to $96.1 billion that year compared with $90.5 billion under a modeling scenario in which MAP and FMDP spending were held to the lower FY2001 levels.
Brazil has had a long-running dispute with the United States over U.S. cotton programs. In 2005 and again in 2008, the World Trade Organization (WTO) found that certain U.S. agricultural programs are inconsistent with WTO commitments, including payments to cotton producers under the marketing loan and counter-cyclical programs, and export credit guarantees under the GSM-102 Program.40
In December 2009, Brazil announced that it was authorized by the WTO arbitrators to impose trade countermeasures against the United States of $829.3 million in 2010 (based on 2008 data). The WTO arbitration awards provided the level of countermeasures that Brazil could impose against U.S. trade annually in two parts: (1) a fixed amount of $147.3 million for the cotton payments; and (2) an amount for the GSM-102 program that varies based upon program usage. In March 2010, Brazil released a list of 102 goods of U.S. origin valued at $591 million that would be subject to import tariffs and released a preliminary list of U.S. patents and intellectual property rights it could restrict, barring a joint settlement.
After several meetings between U.S. and Brazilian officials, the government of Brazil agreed to suspend countermeasures on U.S. trade, and the United States agreed to work with Brazil to establish a fund of approximately $147.3 million per year on a pro rata basis to provide technical assistance and capacity building for Brazilian farmers until the passage of the next farm bill or a mutually agreed solution to the cotton dispute, whichever occurred first. In September 2013, in accordance with the federal budget sequestration process, USDA reduced the monthly payment to Brazil by an amount equal to 5% of the annual total (i.e., $7.365 million), providing a reduced monthly payment of $4.9 million. In October 2013 USDA ceased making the payments entirely.
The United States also agreed to make near-term modifications to the operation of the GSM-102 Export Credit Guarantee Program, and to engage with the government of Brazil in technical discussions regarding further operation of the program. The U.S. hope was that continuing negotiations would lead to an agreement that would avoid Brazil imposing retaliatory measures under WTO rules.
With enactment of P.L. 113-79 on February 7, 2014, the United States revised a number of controversial cotton income support programs, repealing direct payments, counter-cyclical payments, and Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE). In their place, Congress created a new crop insurance program for upland cotton, known as Stacked Income Protection Plan (STAX), on which the government pays a greater percentage of the policy premium than the national average for all other crops.41 Producers may purchase STAX in addition to individual crop policies, or can buy the coverage as a stand-alone product. The shift to crop insurance as the primary support mechanism for cotton producers reflects a key finding of the original WTO panel hearing in the cotton dispute that crop insurance payments did not cause serious prejudice to Brazil's interests because Brazil was not able to show a necessary causal link between the crop insurance program and significant price suppression.
Another dimension of the U.S. effort to resolve the dispute, and so avoid the imposition of trade countermeasures by Brazil, is reflected in the trade title of the 2014 farm bill, which adopts several changes to the GSM-102 credit guarantee program. As described above, the new law shortens the length of loan guarantees to no more than 24 months from 36 months previously. Other modifications of GSM-102 include removing a requirement that the Secretary of Agriculture maximize the amount of credit guarantees available, and repealing a restriction that prevented the Secretary from adjusting program fees higher in order to avoid the provision of an implicit subsidy to the U.S. cotton industry.
At present, it is unclear whether these reforms will be sufficient to satisfy Brazil, though reports in the trade press indicate that Brazil is not satisfied with the farm bill reforms, and that the United States has signaled its willingness to pay Brazil additional compensation to definitively end the cotton trade dispute.42 These reports indicate that the two countries differ on the amount of compensation required to resolve the matter.
Congress might continue to monitor developments in the Brazil-United States WTO cotton case and to actively engage in consultations with the Secretary on its implications for the GSM-102 program, in addition to weighing in on any modifications the Secretary believes need to be made to the program to bring it into compliance with obligations under WTO rules.
Another activity that might evoke congressional oversight concerns the reorganization of the trade functions at the USDA as required by the enacted 2014 farm bill. As noted above, following consultations with the House and Senate Agriculture Committees, a report outlining the Secretary's reorganization plan was to have been submitted to those committees by early August of this year, but is still pending to date.
As part of this reorganization, the 2014 farm bill also calls for the Secretary to establish within USDA the position of Under Secretary of Agriculture for Trade and Foreign Affairs. As noted previously, the creation of this new position implies the organizational separation of key domestic farm programs, like crop insurance, from the main export-oriented programs discussed in this report. Considering that both of these functions currently fall within the purview of the Under Secretary for Farm and Foreign Agricultural Services, and in view of the importance of these program activities to the agricultural sector, Congress might have a keen interest in considering the Secretary's plan and in overseeing the subsequent reorganization effort.
Appendix A. Value of U.S. Agricultural Trade, FY1960-FY2014F
(US$ millions)
Year |
Exports |
Imports |
Trade Balance |
|||||||
1960 |
4.52 |
4.10 As of the end of April 2016, the report that Congress directed the Secretary to prepare for Congress had not been transmitted. With the process of proposing a reorganization plan and establishing the new Under Secretary position incomplete, Congress directed the USDA Office of Chief Economist in December 2015 to contract with an independent organization to assist in completing this task and to consult with the congressional committees of jurisdiction. To fund this effort, Congress provided $1 million as part of the FY2016 Agricultural Appropriations Act, P.L. 114-113 (for more, see "Reorganizing Trade and Farm Services Function within USDA" below). Issues for Congress U.S. Agricultural Exports in a Downturn The value of U.S. agricultural exports climbed by nearly 60% between FY2009 and FY2014, reaching a record $152 billion. Thereafter, U.S. farm exports receded to $139 billion in FY2015, and USDA projects that exports will decline further to $125 billion in FY2016, which would mark the lowest ebb for farm exports since FY2010 (Table A-1). Export earnings have declined in tandem with generally ample world harvests, resulting in lower market prices and a stronger U.S. dollar vis-a-vis trading partner currencies, which has reduced U.S. competitiveness in relation to other exporters, including Brazil and Argentina. In FY2015, the downturn in export sales was led by lower unit prices for several major commodities—such as wheat, corn, broiler meat, and pork—the effect of which was compounded by a reduction in the quantities of these commodities exported. Given that about 20% of U.S. agricultural production is shipped abroad, export sales are manifestly an important contributor to agricultural prices, farm income, and the financial well-being of a broad array of interests within the U.S. agribusiness sector, including crop and livestock processors and farm input suppliers, among others. Considering the sharp fall in net cash farm income in recent years—to a forecast $91 billion in 2016 from a peak of $135 billion in 2012 and 2013—Congress might consider the possible advantages and potential downsides of addressing opportunities and market circumstances that could contribute to an increase in U.S. agricultural exports, which could include the following three. Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP)TPP, a regional FTA that the U.S. government has concluded with 11 other Pacific-facing countries, would, in part, provide improved access to these markets for agricultural products—through a reduction in tariff rates and expanded tariff-rate quotas—for a broad range of U.S. agricultural products (see "U.S. Agricultural Trade and the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement" textbox). Two TPP countries with which the United States does not have an existing FTA are considered to be particularly attractive growth prospects for U.S. agricultural exports: Japan, a food importer with a large population, high per-capita income, and highly protected agricultural sector; and Vietnam, in view of its sizable population and rapidly growing economy. USDA has argued that FTAs (such as NAFTA and numerous bilateral FTAs) have contributed substantially to a steep increase in U.S. agricultural exports in recent decades.42 As noted earlier, the TPP agreement has drawn broad support within U.S. agriculture and within the agribusiness and food sectors generally. But TPP also has its detractors, who contend that the terms are unbalanced and the potential benefits to U.S. agriculture and food industry interests are oversold while the downside risks are minimized. Among food and farm critics of the TPP are the United Food and Commercial Workers International Union and the National Farmers Union, both of which have broad objections to TPP, as well as elements of the U.S. rice industry and tobacco producers, which object to specific provisions in the agreement that concern treatment of their commodities.43 Congress would need to enact implementing legislation for TPP to have the force of law for the United States. Cuban Market for U.S. Farm ProductsNumerous farm and agribusiness groups have pointed to Cuba as a market that could become a significantly larger importer of U.S. farm products.44 This reflects Cuba's heavy dependence on agricultural imports to feed its population of 11 million, the considerable transportation cost and delivery time advantages that U.S. exporters have over competitors (such as Brazil and Vietnam) due to the close proximity of major U.S. ports to Cuba, and the broad range of U.S. agricultural products available for export. Title IX of the Trade Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act of 2000 (TSRA, P.L. 106-387) opened a window in the long-standing U.S. embargo on trade with Cuba by permitting exports of agricultural products. Thereafter, U.S. farm exports to Cuba climbed from zero in 2000 to $685 million in 2008 but since then have receded, amounting to $149 million in 2015. In a report issued in 2015, USDA compared the potential for U.S. agricultural exports to Cuba to the Dominican Republic, noting that the Dominican Republic market bears similarities to Cuba in terms of population and per-capita income. But whereas the Dominican Republic imported an annual average of $1.1 billion of U.S. farm products between 2012 and 2014, Cuba's average annual imports were far lower at $365 million over the same period. TSRA specifically prohibits the use of private financing to underwrite exports of agricultural products (except through third-country financial institutions) and prohibits any access to U.S. government export promotion programs for Cuba. Numerous farm groups contend that the restrictions on financing, which in practice tend to limit sales to Cuba to cash transactions, comprise a major impediment to expanding U.S. farm exports by making terms for U.S. products less competitive than those offered by alternative suppliers.45 In a March 2016 report, the U.S. International Trade Commission concluded that U.S. agricultural exports to Cuba could post significant gains if U.S. restrictions on trade were removed. In particular, it noted that U.S. agricultural suppliers view the inability to offer credit and travel to Cuba to facilitate transactions as key obstacles to increasing farm exports. In 2015, and in early 2016, the Obama Administration issued a policy of general approval for the export to Cuba of certain additional categories of goods and followed this up in January 2016 by permitting U.S. private export financing of these goods. But agricultural products continued to be excluded from private U.S. financing due to the prohibition imposed under TSRA.46 Critics of the Obama Administration's policy initiative to engage Cuba diplomatically and move toward more normal bilateral relations point out that Cuba remains a one-party communist regime with a poor record on human rights, and they contend that reforms that demonstrate a commitment to democracy and human rights should precede a relaxation in the U.S. sanctions regime. Trade Distorting Foreign Farm SubsidiesIn recent years, U.S. agricultural interests and policymakers have become increasingly concerned that U.S. agricultural exports are being displaced by developing country competitors. The concern is that certain export competitors have benefited from increasingly generous government support—including domestic price support programs, production subsidies, and export subsidies—which has led to the accumulation of domestic surpluses irrespective of market conditions. Disposing of these surpluses can weigh on international market prices and distort trade patterns. Foreign surpluses resulting from high government support levels may displace both imports of U.S. farm products to countries that employ trade-distorting subsidies and U.S. exports to third country markets. Generous price supports and production subsidies—and in some cases export subsidies—have insulated producers from price signals in international markets and have led to exports that are often below domestic prices and production costs. In 2015, the House Agriculture Committee held several hearings on this topic.47 The committee heard testimony from academics, economic consultants, and commodity groups, including representatives of the cotton, sugar, wheat, and dairy industries. The testimony centered on the variety of methods by which advanced developing countries (such as Brazil, China, India, Thailand, and Turkey) provide support that exceeds their WTO obligations and, consequently, distorts trade to the detriment of U.S. agricultural interests. Establishing disciplines on agricultural support programs has traditionally been the province of the WTO and its predecessor, GATT. Lodging a complaint with the WTO against another member government for violating WTO rules under dispute settlement provides an established framework for seeking redress. Beyond pursuing individual complaints via dispute settlement on a case-by-case basis, multilateral negotiations within a trade "round" can rewrite the rules of trade for WTO members. The Doha Round of multilateral trade negotiations that was launched in 2001 was intended to address agricultural trade issues broadly, including domestic support levels, market access, and export competition. But the negotiations reached an impasse in 2009 and have made little progress since then. Reorganizing Trade and Farm Services Functions Within USDAAnother activity that might evoke continued congressional oversight involves the reorganization of the trade functions at USDA as required by the enacted 2014 farm bill. As noted above, following consultations with the House and Senate Agriculture Committees, a report outlining the Secretary of Agriculture's reorganization plan was to have been submitted to those committees by early August 2014, but by the end of April 2016 the reorganization plan had not been completed. At a hearing of the House Appropriations Committee on March 17, 2016, Deputy Under Secretary for Farm and Foreign Agricultural Services Alexis Taylor stated that USDA hoped to provide the required report to Congress by the end of the current year.48 The FY2016 Agricultural Appropriations Act (P.L. 114-113) set a revised deadline of mid-June 2016 for transmitting the report on a proposed reorganization plan to Congress. As part of this reorganization proposal, the 2014 farm bill also calls for the Secretary to establish within USDA the position of Under Secretary of Agriculture for Trade and Foreign Affairs. As noted previously, the creation of this new position implies the organizational separation of key domestic farm programs, such as crop insurance, from the main export-oriented programs discussed in this report. Considering that both of these functions currently fall within the purview of the Under Secretary for Farm and Foreign Agricultural Services—and in view of the importance of these program activities to the agricultural sector—Congress might have a keen interest in considering the Secretary's plan and in overseeing the subsequent reorganization effort. Public Sector Role and Effectiveness in Export PromotionHistorically, many Members of Congress have been highly supportive of MAP and cite the benefits the program brings to U.S. agricultural industries through export market development abroad. Although the program has its detractors, strong support for export market development programs has been reflected in Congress's rejection in FY2010 and FY2011 of the Administration's proposals to reduce MAP funding by 20% in each of those years. The Administration has not requested reductions in MAP funding since FY2011. Also, the continuity that the 2014 farm bill provides in terms of extending most agricultural export programs speaks to ongoing congressional support for this type of activity. The elimination of DEIP as part of the new law appeared to be mainly a function of fundamental changes the law makes in the structure of federal support programs for milk producers, a U.S. commitment to eliminate direct export subsidies, and a recognition that no activity had been recorded under DEIP since FY2010. At the same time, a concern raised by some Members of Congress with respect to MAP and FMDP is whether the federal government should play an active role at all in helping agricultural producer organizations and agribusiness entities market their products overseas. Some argue that MAP and FMDP are forms of corporate welfare in that they fund activities that private firms could and would otherwise fund for themselves.49 Other critics argue that the principal beneficiaries are foreign consumers and that funds could be better spent, for example, instructing U.S. firms on how to export. Program supporters emphasize that foreign competitors, especially EU member countries, also spend money on market promotion and that U.S. marketing programs help keep U.S. products competitive in foreign markets. Congressional Efforts to Eliminate Export Promotion Programs Come Up ShortThe concerns of critics notwithstanding, Congress has continued to demonstrate support for programs that promote farm exports. In considering the House Agriculture Committee-reported farm bill (H.R. 1947), the House in 2013 rejected by substantial margins two amendments that sought to retire two farm export promotion programs. An amendment to repeal MAP (H.Amdt. 191), offered by Representative Steve Chabot, failed by a vote of 98-322, while the House also turned down by 103-322 another amendment (H.Amdt. 193) offered by Representative Mo Brooks that sought to terminate EMP. A core argument advanced in both cases was that taxpayer money ought not be spent on promotional activities that should and could be borne by private interests. During the House Agriculture Committee's markup of the same bill in 2013, no amendments that sought to eliminate or scale back farm export programs were considered. Similarly, in marking up its farm bill, S. 954, in 2013, the Senate Agriculture Committee did not consider any amendments to curtail agricultural export programs. Likewise, during the floor debate on S. 954 in 2013, the Senate did not consider any amendments that sought to curb or end agricultural export programs.50 Market Access Program Reforms of the 1990sIn the early 1990s, some Members raised specific concerns about the effectiveness of MAP operations, specifically questioning the program's cost-effectiveness and impact and citing its lack of support for small businesses and displacement of private sector marketing funds. In response, Congress directed USDA to make significant changes to MAP. In 1996, Congress through the appropriations process prohibited FAS from providing direct assistance for brand-name promotions to companies that are not recognized as small businesses under the Small Business Act. In 1997, Congress prohibited large companies from receiving indirect assistance from MAP as well. Giving priority to small businesses did result in a substantial increase in the small business share of MAP assistance for brand-name promotion by 1997. FAS also established a five-year limit (a "graduation requirement") on the use of MAP funds for companies that use funds to promote a "specific branded product" in a "single market," unless FAS determined that further assistance was still necessary to meet program objectives (generic marketing was not subject to the graduation requirement). FAS later revised the regulations in 1998 to limit each company to no more than five years (consecutive or nonconsecutive) of MAP funding for brand-name promotions per country. Finally, Congress added a requirement that each participant certify that MAP funds supplement—rather than supplant—its own foreign market development expenditures. A 1999 study by the then General Accounting Office (GAO) reviewed a number of studies looking at MAP's effectiveness and concluded that while changes had been made to the program, the economic benefits of export programs (including MAP) were unclear. It stated that "few studies show an unambiguously positive effect of government promotional activity on exports."51 In 2009 testimony before the Senate Finance Committee, GAO said that U.S. export promotion activities were in need of strengthened performance management systems.52 A 2010 report by IHS Global Insight sponsored by FAS concluded that USDA's market development expenditures have had a positive and significant impact on U.S. agricultural trade. Global Insight concluded that increased spending on market development under MAP and FMD over the period 2002-2009—from roughly $125 million per year in FY2001 to $234.5 million annually during the FY2002-FY2009 period—is estimated to have raised the U.S. share of foreign agricultural imports by 1.3 percentage points, a rise to 19.9% from 18.6% under a no-increase scenario. Global Insight concluded that, in value terms, by FY2009 this additional market development activity was responsible for a 6% boost in U.S. agricultural exports to $96.1 billion that year, compared with $90.5 billion under a modeling scenario in which MAP and FMDP spending were held to the lower FY2001 levels. Appendix. Value of U.S. Agricultural Trade Table A-1. Value of U.S. Agricultural Trade, FY1960-FY2016(US$ billions)
|
Year
|
Exports
|
Imports
|
Trade Balance
|
1960
|
4.52 4.01 |
0.51 |
|
1961 |
4.95 |
3.65 |
1.30 |
|||||||
1962 |
5.14 |
3.76 |
1.38 |
|||||||
1963 |
5.08 |
3.91 |
1.17 |
|||||||
1964 |
6.07 |
4.10 |
1.97 |
|||||||
1965 |
6.10 |
3.99 |
2.11 |
|||||||
1966 |
6.75 |
4.45 |
2.29 |
|||||||
1967 |
6.82 |
4.45 |
2.37 |
|||||||
1968 |
6.33 |
4.93 |
1,40 |
|||||||
1969 |
5.75 |
4.83 |
0.92 |
|||||||
1970 |
6.96 |
5.69 |
1.27 |
|||||||
1971 |
7.96 |
6.13 |
1.83 |
|||||||
1972 |
8.24 |
5.94 |
2.31 |
|||||||
1973 |
14.98 |
7.74 |
7.25 |
|||||||
1974 |
21.56 |
10.03 |
11.53 |
|||||||
1975 |
21.82 |
9.44 |
12.38 |
|||||||
1976 |
22.74 |
10.49 |
12.25 |
|||||||
1977 |
23.97 |
13.36 |
10.61 |
|||||||
1978 |
27.29 |
13.89 |
13.40 |
|||||||
1979 |
31.98 |
16.19 |
15.79 |
|||||||
1980 |
40.47 |
17.29 |
23.18 |
|||||||
1981 |
43.78 |
17.34 |
26.44 |
|||||||
1982 |
39.10 |
15.46 |
23.64 |
|||||||
1983 |
34.77 |
16.28 |
18.49 |
|||||||
1984 |
38.03 |
18.91 |
19.12 |
|||||||
1985 |
31.20 |
19.74 |
11.46 |
|||||||
1986 |
26.31 |
20.88 |
5.43 |
|||||||
1987 |
27.88 |
20.65 |
7.23 |
|||||||
1988 |
35.32 |
21.01 |
14.30 |
|||||||
1989 |
39.67 |
21.57 |
18.10 |
|||||||
1990 |
40.35 |
22.71 |
17.64 |
|||||||
1991 |
37.86 |
22.74 |
15.13 |
|||||||
1992 |
42.55 |
24.50 |
18.06 |
|||||||
1993 |
43.06 |
24.60 |
18.46 |
|||||||
1994 |
43.89 |
26.56 |
17.33 |
|||||||
1995 |
54.61 |
29.79 |
24.82 |
|||||||
1996 |
59.79 |
32.44 |
27.34 |
|||||||
1997 |
57.31 |
35.65 |
21.65 |
|||||||
1998 |
53.66 |
36.83 |
16.83 |
|||||||
1999 |
49.12 |
37.29 |
11.83 |
|||||||
2000 |
50.76 |
38.86 |
11.90 |
|||||||
2001 |
52.72 |
39.03 |
13.69 |
|||||||
2002 |
53.32 |
40.96 |
12.36 |
|||||||
2003 |
56.01 |
45.69 |
10.32 |
|||||||
2004 |
62.41 |
52.67 |
9.74 |
|||||||
2005 |
62.52 |
57.71 |
4.81 |
|||||||
2006 |
68.59 |
64.03 |
4.57 |
|||||||
2007 |
82.22 |
70.06 |
12.15 |
|||||||
2008 |
114.91 |
79.32 |
35.59 |
|||||||
2009 |
96.30 |
73.40 |
22.89 |
|||||||
2010 |
108.53 |
78.96 |
29.57 |
|||||||
2011 |
137.39 |
94.51 |
42.88 |
|||||||
2012 |
135. |
103. |
32. |
|||||||
2013 |
140.9 |
103. |
37.
|
2014
|
152.31
|
109.22
|
43.09
|
2015
|
139.74
|
114.03 25.72 |
2014F |
149.5 |
|
39.0 |
Source:: U.S. foreign agricultural trade data can be obtained at http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/foreign-agricultural-trade-of-the-united-states-(fatus)/fiscal-year.aspx. Data for FY2014FY2016 are from USDA's Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade, May 29, 2014.
F = Forecast.
Notes: Amounts are expressed in nominal dollars. F = Forecast.
Author Contact Information
1. |
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2. |
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3. |
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4. |
USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, |
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5. |
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6. |
USDA Agricultural Projections to 2025, February 2016, http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/projections/USDA_Agricultural_Projections_to_2025.pdf.
USDA FY2017 Budget Summary and Annual Performance Plan, http://www.obpa.usda.gov/budsum/fy17budsum.pdf |
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For more information about U.S. agricultural trade, see |
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USDA, "Agricultural Projections to 2023," |
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|
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USDA, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, April 12, 2016, http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/index.htm.
|
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For more on Russia's import ban, see U.S. Trade Representative, The 2016 National Trade Estimate Report, https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/2016-NTE-Report-FINAL.pdf.
For additional background on the TPP agreement, see CRS Report R44278, The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP): In Brief, by [author name scrubbed], [author name scrubbed], and [author name scrubbed]. After two years from its signing in February 2016, TPP may enter into force if ratified by six countries accounting for 85% of the membership's GDP, which, in practice, would require U.S. and Japanese participation. |
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Testimony of Roger Johnson, President, National Farmers Union, to the U.S. International Trade Commission, January 13, 2016, http://nfu.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/01-12-15-Testimony-on-TPP-for-USITC.pdf. |
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The CCC is a |
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Additional information on MAP is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/mos/programs/map.asp. |
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MAP had two predecessor programs. In 1996, MAP replaced the Market Promotion Program, which was established in 1990 to replace the Targeted Export Assistance Program authorized in 1985. |
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As defined by the Small Business Administration. |
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A listing of MAP funding allocations by participating organization for FY2013 and FY2014 is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/programs/market-access-program-map/map-funding-allocations-fy-2013. |
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Additional information on FMDP is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/mos/programs/fmdprogram.asp. |
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Additional information on |
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Additional information on the QSP is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/mos/programs/QSP.asp. |
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Additional information on |
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The acronym GSM refers to the General Sales Manager, an official of FAS who administers the credit, and other, export programs. Additional information on GSM-102 is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/programs/export-credit-guarantee-program-gsm-102. |
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A list of eligible commodities and products under the GSM-102 program can be found at http://www.fas.usda.gov/programs/export-credit-gurantee-program-gsm-102/eligible-commodities. |
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Major individual country recipients of export credit guarantees |
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GSM-102 allocations by leading countries, regions, and commodities is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/sites/default/files/2013-12/gsm2013-final.pdf. |
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See Office of Management and Budget |
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U.S. Department of Agriculture |
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For more information, see CRS Report R43336, USDA, "About the FAS, Export Credit Guarantee Program (GSM-102)," http://www.fas.usda.gov/programs/export-credit-gurantee-program-gsm-102/about-export-credit-guarantee-program-gsm-102. |
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Additional information on the FGP is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/excredits/facility-new.asp. |
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40.
E-mail correspondence with Amy Slusher, Deputy Director, Credit Programs Division, FAS, USDA, April 20, 2016. |
See USDA |
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For a detailed examination of changes to U.S. dairy support policy in the 2014 farm bill, see CRS Report R43465, Dairy Provisions in the 2014 Farm Bill (P.L. 113-79), by [author name scrubbed]. |
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34. |
Email communication received from Ashley Martin, USDA Office of Congressional Relations, August 5, 2014. |
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43.
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For more detail see CRS Report R44337, American Agriculture and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Agreement, by [author name scrubbed]. 44.
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|
ERS, "U.S.-Cuba Agricultural Trade: Past, Present and Possible Future," August 3, 2015, http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/aes-outlook-for-us-agricultural-trade/aes-87.aspx. 45.
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|
For more detail on U.S. farm trade with Cuba and financing restrictions, see CRS Report R44119, U.S. Agricultural Trade with Cuba: Current Limitations and Future Prospects, by [author name scrubbed]. 46.
|
|
For more see CRS Report R43926, Cuba: Issues for the 114th Congress, by [author name scrubbed]. 47.
|
|
House Committee on Agriculture hearings, October 21, 2015, and June 3, 2015, http://agriculture.house.gov/calendar/?EventTypeID=214&Timeframe=All. 48.
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|
House Committee on Appropriations, budget hearing, March 17, 2016, http://appropriations.house.gov/calendararchive/eventsingle.aspx?EventID=394459. |
See for example, http://www.fpif.org/articles/corporate_welfare_and_foreign_policy; and http://councilfor.cagw.org/site/News2?page=NewsArticle&id=11742. |
During the 112th Congress, the Senate during floor consideration of its farm bill (S. 3240) rejected attempts to scale back and |
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L. Yager, "International Trade: Observations on U.S. and Foreign Countries' Export Promotion Activities," GAO testimony to Subcommittee on International Trade, Customs, and Global Competitiveness, Senate Committee on Finance, December 2009. |
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39. |
IHS Global Insight, A Cost-Benefit Analysis of USDA's International Market Development Programs, submitted to FAS, March 10, 2010, viewed at http://www.wheatworld.org/wp-content/uploads/trade-global-insight-map-report-march2010-20100423.pdf. |
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40. |
For more information, see CRS Report R43336, Status of the WTO Brazil-U.S. Cotton Case, by [author name scrubbed]. |
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41. |
For a discussion of STAX and other crop insurance programs, see CRS Report R43494, Crop Insurance Provisions in the 2014 Farm Bill (P.L. 113-79), by [author name scrubbed]. |
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42. | See for example, Inside U.S. Trade, June 20, 2014, at http://insidetrade.com/Inside-US-Trade/Inside-U.S.-Trade-06/20/2014/us-willing-to-pay-brazil-to-settle-cotton-case-but-haggles-over-amount/menu-id-710.html. |