Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms:
Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
J. F. Hornbeck
Specialist in International Trade and Finance
January 27, 2012
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Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
Summary
Although trade liberalization can enhance the economic welfare of all trade partners, it also
causes difficult adjustment problems for some import-competing firms and workers. Congress has
responded to these problems with trade adjustment assistance (TAA) programs for workers, firms,
and farmers. This report discusses the TAA for Firms (TAAF) program. and related policy issues.
Congress first authorized
TAA in the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 (P.L. 87-794), including a new
firm and industry
assistance program, now administered by the Economic Development
Administration (EDA) of
the U.S. Department of Commerce. It provides technical assistance to
help trade-affected firms
make strategic adjustments to improve their competitiveness in a
dynamic global economy.
The 111th Congress reauthorized a more extensive TAA program for firms that expanded
eligibility to services firms, increased authorized funding levels, from $16 million to $50 million,
provided greater flexibility for a
firm to demonstrate eligibility for assistance, established new
oversight and evaluation criteria,
created a new position of Director of Adjustment Assistance for
Firms, and required submission
to Congress of a detailed annual report on the TAAF program. As
authorization of the TAA programs was about to expire on January 1, 2011, Congress extended
the TAA programs through February 12, 2012, butCongress allowed those expanded
provisions to expire
on February 13, 2011. The 112th Congress revisited TAA reauthorization as part of the debate on
passage of implementing legislation for the proposed free trade agreements (FTAs) with
Colombia, Panama, and South Korea. The Trade on February 13, 2011, but the 112th Congress, in passing the Trade
Adjustment Assistance Extension Act of 2011
(P.L. 112-4), extended the firms program through December 31, 2013, at annual authorized
spending levels of $16 million. Many, but not all
December 31, 2013,with many, of the enhanced programs were reinstituted
program provisions reinstated retroactively,
including extending benefits to services firms. It is funded annually at $16 million.
EDA has released threefour annual reports under the new statutory requirements that point to administrative
and operational improvements. Anecdotal evidence points to “success” stories, but more
sophisticated analysis is needed to estimate adequately the effectiveness of this program. It is
difficult to isolate the effects of the firm TAA program in determining why a particular firm might
succeed in its turnaround effort. Other studies have suggested that many firms might have been
able to do so on their own.
The FY2011 TAAF annual report illuminates two other interesting points. First, over a two-year
assessment period, firms that fully implemented their adjustment proposals experienced on
average a 1.6% decrease in sales, a less than 1% rise in productivity, and a 1.9% decrease in
employment. The decline in employment may be common for recovering firms. It is also possible
that a longer evaluation period may be necessary to capture the full effects of the TAAF program,
which often lag behind restructuring, particularly with an economy still recovering from
recession. Second, of the 108 firms that left the TAAF program in 2011, 41% completed the
program and were operational. The remaining 59% did not complete the program for various
reasons, including exceeding the five-year threshold (37%); going out of business (4%); or losing
interest, being sold, or having inadequate funds (18%). Given that TAAF focuses on firms facing
bankruptcy, in part because of foreign competition, these results may not be surprising
administrative and operational improvements. The FY 2012 TAAF annual report further notes
that two years after completion of the program, on average, firm sales increased by 26.8%,
employment rose by 13.2%, and productivity increased by 11.9%, better outcomes than the
benchmark manufacturing industry as a whole. This outcome is reported as being particularly
encouraging given TAAF firms have had such a high “survival rate,” and yet face the additional
burden of all having to adjust to import competition compared to the benchmark. Still these
numbers varied significantly from the year before, and despite the high success rate for firms that
“completed” the TAAF program, it is important to note that they represent only about half of all
firms that had their adjustment proposals approved for assistance. The rest left the program for
numerous reasons without completing the adjustment plan and were no longer monitored.
To address the evaluation issue more completely, the Government Accountability Office (GAO)
conducted a comprehensive evaluation of TAAF program in 2012. It found that EDA’s
administration and evaluation efforts had improved markedly because of changes provided in the
2009 legislation. GAO also confirmed EDA’s assessment that trade-impacted firms benefitted
from specialized attention provided by TAAF assistance, but to a lesser extent. GAO found a
“small and statistically significant relationship between program participation and sales,” which
was particularly relevant to smaller firms, albeit also highly correlated with firms operating in
high-growth industries. Employment effects were not found to be statistically significant.
For a broader policy discussion on TAA, see CRS Report R41922, Trade Adjustment Assistance
(TAA) and Its Role in U.S. Trade Policy, by J. F. Hornbeck and Laine Elise Rover. See also CRS
Report R42012, Trade
Adjustment Assistance (TAA) for Workers, by Benjamin Collins; and CRS
Report R40206, Trade
Adjustment Assistance for Farmers, by Remy Jurenas.
Congressional Research Service
Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
Contents
Background and Recent Developments ...................................................................................................................... 1
The Economics of Trade Adjustment 1
The Economics of Trade Adjustment............................................................................................... 2
The Firm Trade Adjustment Assistance Program ............................................................................ 3
Eligibility and Certification .............................................. 1
The Firm Trade Adjustment Assistance Program ............................................................................ 3
Eligibility and Certification4
Program Evaluation ................................................................................................................. 3
Program Evaluation ........ 6
EDA Annual Reports on TAAF ................................................................................................. 6
GAO 2012 Report...................................................................................................................... 57
Tables
Table 1. Firm TAA Authorizations and Appropriations, FY2001-20112013 ........................................... 3
Table 2. Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms, Select Program Indicators for FY20032011FY20032012 .............................................................................................................................................. 5
Contacts
Author Contact Information............................................................................................................. 8
Congressional Research Service
Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
T
rade liberalization can enhance the economic welfare of all trade partners, but in adjusting
to greater competition, many import-competing firms and workers face difficult problems.
Since 1962, Congress has responded to these adjustment costs by authorizing trade
adjustment assistance (TAA) programs for workers, firms, and farmers. This report discusses the
firms, and continues to monitor
their performance and amend the governing legislation.1 This report discusses the Trade
Adjustment Assistance for Firms (TAAF) program, which provides technical assistance to trade-affectedtradeaffected firms to help them develop
strategies to remain competitive in a dynamic international economy.1
economy.2 The 113th Congress may consider reauthorizing legislation for all TAA programs given
they are set to expire on December 31, 2013.
Background and Recent Developments
Debate early in the 111th Congress over TAA reauthorization led to a bipartisan agreement on
February 5, 2009, to expand and extend the then-existing programs for workers, firms, and
farmers, and to add a fourth program for communities (later repealed). The agreement became
part the
Trade and Globalization Adjustment Assistance Act (TGAAA), Title II of the American Recovery
and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 (P.L. 111-5—the Stimulus
Bill). Congress). This legislation changed the firms program
in a number of important ways. It expanded eligibility
to include services firms, increased annual
authorized funding levels from $16 million to $50
million, provided greater flexibility for a firm
to demonstrate eligibility for assistance (the
“extended look-back period”), established new
oversight and evaluation criteria, created a new
position of Director of Adjustment Assistance for
Firms, and required submission to Congress of
a detailed annual report.
As authorization of the TAA programs was about to expire on January 1, 2011, Congress passed
the Omnibus Trade Act of 2010 (P.L. 111-344). This act extended the TAA programs through
February 12, 2012, but allowed those expanded provisions in the ARRATGAAA covering eligibility for
services firms and other matters to expire on February 13, 2011. The 112th Congress revisited
TAA reauthorization as part of the debate on passage of implementing legislation for the proposed
free trade agreements (FTAs) with Colombia, Panama, and South Korea.
The Trade Adjustment
Assistance Extension Act of 2011 (H.R. 2832) passed on October 12, 2011,
and President Obama
signed it into law on October 21, 2011 (P.L. 112-4). It extended the firms
program through
December 31, 2013, at annualized spending levels of $16 million. Many, but not
all,Most of the enhanced programs contained in the ARRA were reauthorized retroactively, including
extending benefits to services workers and firms, allowing the extended look-back period, and
requiring final decisions on petitions for certification to be made within 40 days of acceptance.
The Economics of Trade Adjustment
Economists tend to agree that in defining the rules of exchange among countries, freer trade is
preferable to protectionism. Insights from trade theory point to the mutual gains for countries
trading on their differences, producing those goods at which they are relatively more efficient,
while trading for those at which they are relatively less so. Additional gains are realized from
intra-industry trade based on efficiencies from segmented and specialized production.2 Firm-level
1program
provisions contained in the ARRA were reauthorized retroactively.
As required by Congress, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) conducted a
comprehensive review of the TAAF program, which was released in September 2012. It notes
important progress in the administrative capabilities of EDA and documents the positive impact
of the TAAF program on trade-affected businesses, but also points out continuing challenges in
centralized data management, evaluation reporting, and assessing more completely the
effectiveness of TAAF.
1
The most recent hearings on the Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms program were held by the House Committee
on Oversight and Government Reform, Subcommittee on Government Organization, Efficiency, and Financial
Management on November 14, 2012.
2
For a broader discussion on the policy debate over TAA, see CRS Report R41922, Trade Adjustment Assistance
(TAA) and Its Role in U.S. Trade Policy, by J. F. Hornbeck and Laine Elise Rover. See also: CRS Report R42012, Trade
Adjustment Assistance (TAA) Adjustment
Assistance for Workers, by Benjamin Collins; and CRS Report R40206, Trade Adjustment
Assistance for Farmers, by Remy Jurenas.
2
For an accessible summary of these effects, see Paul Krugman, “The Increasing Returns Revolution in Trade and
(continued...)
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Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
Remy Jurenas, and CRS Report R42661, Trade Adjustment Assistance Community College and Career Training
Grants, by Benjamin Collins.
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The Economics of Trade Adjustment
Economists tend to agree that in defining the rules of exchange among countries, freer trade is
preferable to protectionism. Insights from trade theory point to the mutual gains for countries
trading on their differences, producing those goods at which they are relatively more efficient,
while trading for those at which they are relatively less so. Additional gains are realized from
intra-industry trade based on efficiencies from segmented and specialized production.3 Firm-level
evidence supports theory. Trade appears to “enable efficient producers within an industry, and
efficient industries within an economy, to expand,” leading to a reallocation of resources that
increases a country’s productivity, output, and income.34 Consumers (both firms and households)
also gain from a wider variety of goods atand lower prices.
It is also true, and commonly cited, that increased competition from trade liberalization creates
both “winners and losers,” presenting adjustment problems for all countries. The more efficient
firms and plants may grow as they expand into overseas markets; the less efficient may contract,
merge, or perhaps even fail when faced with greater foreign competition. While the adjustment
process may be healthy from a macroeconomic perspective, much like market-driven adjustments
that occur for reasons other than trade (e.g., technological change), it can be a harsh transition for
some firms and their workers.45
Critics of free trade agreements often highlight the adjustment costs of reducing trade barriers. To
avoid business closures and layoffs, trade-impacted firms may seek to weaken, if not defeat, trade
liberalizing legislation. This makes economic sense from the perspective of affected industries,
firms, and workers, but economists argue that in the long run it can be more costly for the country
as a whole. The costs of protection arise because competition is suppressed, reducing pressure on
firms to innovate, operate more efficiently, and become lower cost producers. The brunt of these
costs falls to consumers, both individuals and businesses, who must pay higher prices, but the
national economy is also denied higher standards of living because of forgone productivity gains.
One way to balance the large and broad-based gains from freer trade with the smaller and more
highly concentrated costs is to address the needs of firms negatively affected. Congress has done
so in authorizing the trade adjustment assistance (TAA) programs, including the one for firms.56
Supporters justify TAA policy on grounds that (1) it helps those who are hurt by trade
liberalization (the “losers”); (2) the economic costs are lower than protectionism and can be borne
by society as a whole (“the winners”); and (3) given rigidities in the adjustment process, it may
help redeploy economic resources more quickly, thereby reducing productivity losses and related
public sector costs (e.g., unemployment compensation). Others dispute these claims and have
raised concerns over the effectiveness and costs of the program, arguing that it should be limited
or discontinued.6
(...continued)
3
For an accessible and authoritative summary of these effects, see Paul Krugman, “The Increasing Returns Revolution
in Trade and Geography,” American Economic Review, vol. 99, no. 3 (June 2009), pp. 561-571.
34
On how trade affects total factor productivity based on U.S. manufacturing firm and plant level data, see Andrew B.
Bernard and J. Bradford Jensen, “Exporting and Productivity in the USA,” Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 20,
no. 3 (2004), pp. 343-344, 350, 352, and 356.
45
Both the benefits and costs of trade derive from resources moving from less to more productive plants (intra-industry)
and firms (inter-industry). Employment dislocation is the most noticeable cost, giving rise to congressional interest in
TAA programs. Ibid., pp. 345 and 356.
56
Howard F. Rosen, Strengthening Trade Adjustment Assistance, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Policy
Brief PB08-2, Washington, D.C., January 2008, pp. 1-2.
6
Details to both sides of the argument may be found in CRS Report R41922, Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) and
Its Role in U.S. Trade Policy, by J. F. Hornbeck and Laine Elise Rover.
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The Firm Trade Adjustment Assistance Program7
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Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
raised concerns over the effectiveness and costs of the program, arguing that it should be limited
or discontinued.7
The Firm Trade Adjustment Assistance Program8
Congress first authorized TAA in Title III of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 (P.L. 87-794),
including a new firm and industry assistance program, which is administered by the Economic
Development Administration (EDA) of the U.S. Department of Commerce.89 It provides technical
assistance to help trade-impacted firms make strategic adjustments that may allow them to
remain competitive in a global economy. Originally, firm TAA also included loans and loan
guarantees, but Congress eliminated all direct financial assistance in 1986 because of federal
budgetary cutbacks and concern over the program’s high default rates and limited effectiveness.
Congress has amended the program many times over the half century that it has existedof its existence.
TAA authorizations and appropriations for fiscal years 2001-20122013 appear in Table 1. The TAA for
firms program has been reauthorized through December 31, 2013, and is currently operating
under a full-year continuing resolution at an annual appropriated level of $15.8 continuing resolution through March 2013 at an annual appropriation level of $15.8
million.
Table 1. Firm TAA Authorizations and Appropriations, FY2001-20112013
($ millions)
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Authorizations
10.0
10.0
16.0
16.0
16.0
16.0
16.0
16.0
50.0
50.0
0.0
16.0
16.0
Appropriations
10.5
10.5
10.0
11.9
11.0
12.8
12.8
14.1
15.8
15.8
15.8
15.8
15.8
Data Source: U.S. Department of Commerce., Economic Development Administration.
In practice, technical assistance is provided through one of the 11 Trade Adjustment Assistance
Centers (TAACs), which apply for grants from EDAEDA grants to operate their programs. All appropriated
funds funds
are used to support the TAAC process; no funds go directly to firms. TAACs may operate
through through
universities, private firms, or non-profit associations. They provide or contract for
technical technical
assistance to assist firms from the initial certification process through adjustment
proposal proposal
implementation. TAACs are staffed by professionals with broad business expertise who
can help
firms develop “recovery strategies” and also identify financial resources. They are, in
effect,
consultants specializing in business turnaround strategies specific to the needs of each
firm,
which typically faces adjustments in many areas to compete with lower-priced imports.9
Eligibility and Certification
There are three phases to successful completion of a trade adjustment assistance project. First, to
receive TAA, a firm must demonstrate that it is eligible to apply for assistance. The firm submits
7
Based on 10
7
Details to both sides of the argument may be found in CRS Report R41922, Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) and
Its Role in U.S. Trade Policy, by J. F. Hornbeck.
8
Based on 2012 13 C.F.R. § 315, which provides details for applying for TAAF assistance, and U.S. Department of
Commerce, Economic Development Administration, Annual Report to Congress on the Trade Adjustment Assistance
for Firms Program for Fiscal Year 2011, Washington, D.C., December 15, 2011.
89
The TAA for firms program was originally administered jointly by the Tariff Commission (predecessor to the USITC)
and the U.S. Department of Commerce.
910
P.L. 93-618, Section 253, as amended, and U.S. Department of Commerce., Economic Development Administration.,
http://www.taacenters.org.
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Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
Eligibility and Certification
There are three phases to successful completion of a trade adjustment assistance project. First, to
receive TAA, a firm must demonstrate that it is eligible to apply for assistance. The firm submits
a petition for certificationa petition for eligibility documenting that it is a “trade-impacted firm” by having met three
conditions:1011
(1) “a significant number or proportion of workers”1112 in the firm have become or are threatened to
become totally or partially separated;
(2) sales, or production, or both of an article decreased absolutely, or sales, or production, or both
of any
article or service that accounted for not less than 25% of total sales or production of the firm
during the 12, 24, or 36 months preceding the most recent 12, 24, or 36 months for which
months, or the average for the most recent
24 or 36 months (the look-back period) for which data are available have decreased
absolutely; and;
(3) increased imports (of of articles or services like or directly competitive with articles produced or
services provided by the firmarticles) have “contributed importantly”12 to the decline in sales and/or
production.
Second, once certified as eligible, a firm has two years to develop and submit its adjustment
proposal. Approval of the adjustment proposal depends on EDA’s finding that it (1) is reasonably
calculated “to materially contribute” to the economic adjustment of the firm; (2) gives adequate
consideration to the interests of the firm’s workers; and (3) demonstrates that the firm will use its
own resources for adjustment.
Third, the firm has five years to implement an approved adjustment proposal. Successful firms
typically implement the adjustment proposal within two years.13
EDA can provide technical assistance to a firm for preparation of the petition for eligibility
certification, and to a certified eligible firm for developing and implementing an approved
adjustment proposal. There is no cost to the firm for assistance provided in developing the
petition and EDA is statutorily required to make a final determination on petitions within 40 days
of accepting it. In recent years, this time has averaged six weeks, but fell the three weeks in
2011.1413 to
the decline in sales and/or production or layoffs.
EDA can provide technical assistance to a firm for preparation of the petition for certification.
There is no cost to the firm for assistance provided in developing the petition and EDA is
statutorily required to make a final determination on petitions within 40 days of accepting it. In
recent years, this time has averaged four weeks, and was 29 days in FY 2012.14
Second, once certified as eligible, a firm has two years to develop and submit its business
recovery plan or adjustment proposal (AP). Approval of the adjustment proposal depends on
EDA’s finding that it (1) is reasonably calculated “to materially contribute” to the economic
adjustment of the firm; (2) gives adequate consideration to the interests of the firm’s workers; and
(3) demonstrates that the firm will use its own resources for adjustment.
The TAACs also provide detailed assistance for the adjustment proposal, which seeks to identify
business planning and practices that can be enhanced to improve firm competitiveness. EDA has
another 60 days to accept or reject the adjustment proposal. In practice, because technical
assistance is provided in the preparation of the petition and adjustment proposal, there is a high
formal acceptance rate, likely because these submissions are completed correctly and poor
candidates can be weeded out early in the process. The firm must pay at least 25% of the cost to
10
prepare the adjustment proposal.15
11
13 C.F.R. § 315.7 and U.S. Department of Commerce, Economic Development Administration, Annual Report to
Congress on the Trade
Adjustment Assistance for Firms Program for Fiscal Year 20112012, Washington, D.C., December
15, 2011, p. 4-5.
112012, pp. 10-11.
12
5% of a firm’s work force or 50 workers, whichever is less, with EDA discretion to set other parameters in special
cases.
12 13 C.F.R. § 315.2
13
A cause which is important, but not necessarily more important than any other cause. A firm must provide a list of
four important customers, of which the TAAC must interview two, to help evaluate whether the firm has been “tradeimpacted.” U.S. Department of Commerce. Economic Development Administration, “Program Announcement for the
Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms Program,” 73 Federal Register 6925, February 6, 2008.
1313 C.F.R. § 315.2.
14
U.S. Department of Commerce, Economic Development Administration, Annual Report to Congress on the Trade
Adjustment Assistance for Firms Program for Fiscal Year 20112012, Washington, D.C., December 15, 20112012, p. 4.
1414.
15
Ibid., p. 712 and 13 CFR 315.6 (c) (2).
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Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
prepare the adjustment proposal and at least 25% of any awarded adjustment assistance. For
Third, the firm has five years to complete project implementation based on an approved
adjustment proposal. Firms are given five years to implement the proposal.16 EDA may provide
financial assistance for project implementation, but firms must pay at least a 25% match of the
total implementation cost. For project assistance exceeding $30,000, a firm must cover at least
50% of the total cost, with the federal share capped at $75,000..15
Adjustment proposals may involve strategic restructuring of various aspects of business
operations. First, because firms must be experiencing falling sales or declining production to be
eligible, TAACs often focus on marketing or sales strategies to identify new markets, new
products, promotional initiatives, and export opportunities. The core idea is to increase revenue.
Second, production inefficiencies are often targeted to reduce firm costs and improve price
competitiveness. Third, TAACs can develop debt restructuring strategies and act as intermediaries
in finding new sources of business financing. In 20112012, 34% of adjustment assistance focused on
improving marketing-sales, 2731% on production-manufacturing, 35, 32% on enhancing support or
management management
systems, and 43% on financial systems.1617
Table 2 summarizes select firm trade adjustment data for fiscal years 2003-20112012. The TAAF program
program targets small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which is borne out in the firm data.
With the
exception of 2010, firms averaged fewer than 100 employees, although sales have grown to an
grown since then, to an average of $19 million. In 20112012, the federal government provided 66.3% 52.0%
of adjustment costs, for
an average $118,033 per firm, significantly higher than in the past. In 2011, 9553,308 per firm. In 2012, 90% of certified
firms were in manufacturing, 3% in agriculture, and 2% in services.
manufacturing, 8% in wholesale trade, 3% in warehousing and transportation, and 2% in
professional and technical services. Services firms as a whole grew from 2% of total certified
firms in 2011 to 6% in 2012.18
Table 2. Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms, Select Program Indicators for
FY2003-20112012
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Number of Firms Assisteda
162
177
132
137
126
139143
172
265264
183
102
Avg Firm Sales (millions)
$7.2
$11.6
$8.4
$10.6
$11.2
$13.1
$10.3
$19.1
$19.6
$19.2
68
88
64
91
68
82
79
138
91
81
Gov’t Share (millions)
$8.1
$8.5
$5.9
$6.7
$7.1
$7.98.2
$10.34
$16.4
$21.65
$16.1
$5.4
Firm Share (millions)
$7.4
$8.1
$5.4
$6.0
$5.9
$7.57
$9.89
$15.7
$10.6
$56
$11.0
Total Cost (millions)
$15.5
$16.6
$11.3
$12.7
$13.0
$15.49
$20.23
$32.1
$32.62
$21.7
$10.4
$50,000
$48,023
$44,697
$48,905
$56,449
$56,835
$59,884
$61,953
$118,03357,361
$60,428
$62,307
$60,322
$53,308
Avg Firm Employees
Avg TAA Per
Firmb
Data Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Economic Development Administration. Annual Report To
Congress on the Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms Program., Fiscal Year 2011.2012, December 15, 2011. pp. 19-202012, p. 27.
a.
Number of adjustment proposals approved.
b.
Government share of TAA Firm program divided by the number of accepted adjustment proposals.
Program Evaluation
Historically, program evaluation has been limited, with EDA lacking a formal evaluation process.
Early efforts to analyze the TAAF program included comprehensive studies by the Urban Institute
15
Ibid., pp. 4-5 and 13 CFR 315.6 (c)(2) and Federal Register. Program Announcement for the Trade Adjustment
Assistance for Firms Program. February 6, 2008. Vol. 73. No. 25. p. 6925
16
U.S. Department of Commerce. Economic Development Administration, Annual Report to Congress on the Trade
Adjustment Assistance for Firms Program for Fiscal Year 2011, Washington, D.C., December 15, 2011, p. 30.
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in 1998 and the Government Accountability Office (GAO) in 2000.17 Both found deficiencies
with the TAAF program, such as a cumbersome certification process, long approval times, and
little oversight and evaluation of projects. Congress addressed some of these issues by requiring
EDA to submit an annual report on the TAAF program by December 15 of each year, putting
stricter time frames on processing petitions for assistance, and providing additional funding for
TAAF staff.
EDA has released three annual reports under the new requirements that point to administrative
and 16
Ibid.
Economic Development Administration, Annual Report to Congress on the Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms
Program for Fiscal Year 2012, pp. 36 and 41.
18
Ibid., p. 19.
17
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In FY 2012 the number of adjustment proposals approved and total value of assistance provided
dropped significantly from recent years. The TAACs attribute this change to improving economic
conditions following the 2008 financial crisis. Fewer firms applied and were found eligible to
participate in the program, and so the number of adjustment proposals dropped.19
Program Evaluation
Historically, TAAF program evaluation has been limited, with EDA lacking a formal evaluation
process. Early efforts to analyze the program included comprehensive outside studies by the
Urban Institute in 1998 and GAO in 2000, which addressed two critical issues: program
administration and effectiveness.20 Both found deficiencies with the TAAF program, such as a
cumbersome certification process, long approval times, and little oversight and evaluation of
projects. As a small program with few resources, the TAAF had not received the managerial input
required to adequately evaluate its efforts. Congress addressed this issue in the TGAAA, which
required the creation of a new Director of Adjustment Assistance for Firms, along with additional
support staff. The 2009 act also required an annual report to Congress defining specific measures
of achievement to be collected and analyzed and established specific time frames for EDA to
certify petitions for assistance and adjustment proposals.
EDA Annual Reports on TAAF
EDA has released four annual reports under the new requirements that point to administrative and
operational improvements. In addition, TAACs are now allocated funds in part based on
performance measures (number of firm certifications and adjustment proposals generated) and
quality measures.18 Anecdotal evidence from the TAACs point to “success” stories, but more
sophisticated analysis is needed to estimate adequately the effectiveness of this program
approach. It is difficult to isolate the effects of the firm TAA program in determining why a
particular firm might succeed in its turnaround effort. Previous studies mentioned above suggest
that many firms might have been able to do so on their own.
The FY2011 TAAF annual report illuminates two other interesting points. First, over a two-year
assessment period, firms that fully implemented their adjustment proposals experienced on
average a 1.6% decrease in sales, a less than 1% rise in productivity, and a 1.9% decrease in
employment.19 The decline in employment may be a common result for recovering firms. It is
also possible that a longer evaluation period may be necessary to capture the full effects of the
TAAF program, which often lag, particularly in a period of slow economic recovery from
recession. Second, of the 108 firms that left the TAAF program in 2011, 41% completed the
program and were operational. The remaining 59% did not complete the program for various
reasons, including exceeding the five-year threshold (37%); going out of business (4%); or losing
interest, being sold, or having inadequate funds (18%). Given that TAAF focuses on firms facing
bankruptcy, in part because of foreign competition, these results may not be surprising.
17
U.S. Department of Commerce. Economic Development Administration. Effective Aid to Trade-Impacted
Manufacturers: An Evaluation of the Trade Adjustment Assistance Program. Prepared by the Urban Institute,
Washington, D.C., November 1998 and. GAO. Trade Adjustment Assistance: Impact of Federal Assistance to Firms Is
Unclear. Report GAO-01-12. Washington, DC. December 2000.
18
U.S. Department of Commerce. Economic Development Administration, “Program Announcement for the Trade
Adjustment Assistance for Firms Program,” 73 Federal Register 6926, February 6, 2008, and correspondence with
EDA.
19
Productivity is defined as sales per worker, a simple measure that can be used across industries, but which may have
limitations for evaluative purposes.
Congressional Research Service
6 The FY 2012 TAAF annual report notes that two years after completion of the
program, on average, firm sales increased by 26.8%, employment rose by 13.2%, and
productivity increased by 11.9%.21 Compared to aggregate manufacturing data provided by the
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), EDA concludes that assisted firms had better results than the
benchmark. In addition, EDA notes that all firms completing the adjustment program were still in
operation suggesting an impressive “survival rate,” particularly given that all these firms have the
additional burden of having to adjust to import competition compared to the benchmark.22
For comparative purposes, the FY2011 TAAF annual report had different outcomes. Over a
previous two-year assessment period, firms that fully implemented their adjustment proposals
experienced on average a 1.6% decrease in sales, a less than 1% rise in productivity, and a 1.9%
decrease in employment.23 A similar comparison to BLS aggregated data for the manufacturing
19
Economic Development Administration, Annual Report to Congress on the Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms
Program for Fiscal Year 2012, p. 37.
20
U.S. Department of Commerce, Economic Development Administration, Effective Aid to Trade-Impacted
Manufacturers: An Evaluation of the Trade Adjustment Assistance Program. Prepared by the Urban Institute,
Washington, D.C., November 1998 and. GAO, Trade Adjustment Assistance: Impact of Federal Assistance to Firms Is
Unclear. Report GAO-01-12, Washington, DC. December 2000.
21
Productivity is defined as sales per worker, a simple measure that can be used across industries, but which may have
limitations for evaluative purposes.
22
Economic Development Administration, Annual Report to Congress on the Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms
Program for Fiscal Year 2012, p. 37.
23
U.S. Department of Commerce, Economic Development Administration, Annual Report to Congress on the Trade
(continued...)
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Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
sector was less supportive. Economic conditions, as noted above, have changed significantly and
may have affected TAAF results in ways not fully clear or distinguished in this analysis. For
example, the decline in employment noted in the 2011 report may be a common result for
recovering firms, but gains in 2012 may reflect effects of a recovering economy. It is also
possible that a longer evaluation period may be necessary to capture the full employment effects
of the TAAF program, which often lag, particularly in periods of slow economic growth.
On another cautious note, despite the high success rate for firms that completed the TAAF
program, they represent only about half of all firms that had their adjustment proposals approved
for assistance. In 2011, of the 108 firms that left the TAAF program, 44 (41%) completed the
program and were operational. The remaining 64 (59%) did not complete the program for various
reasons, including exceeding the five-year threshold (37%); going out of business (4%); or losing
interest, being sold, or having inadequate funds (18%). In 2012, 145 firms left the TAAF
program, with 84 (58%) completing the program and 61 (42%) failing to complete the program
for the same reasons. Given that TAAF focuses on many firms facing multiple challenges, the fact
that half of the firms that have adjustment proposals approved do not complete the program may
not be surprising. The fact that some 50%-60% of those approved for assistance complete the
program seem to do quite well is a positive indicator for the TAAF program.
In addition, anecdotal evidence from the TAACs summarized in EDA annual reports point to
“success” stories by participating firms from all parts of the country and in various industries that
used TAAF assistance. Nonetheless, it is difficult to isolate the effects of the firm TAA program in
determining why a particular firm might succeed in its turnaround effort, whereas others may not.
One study mentioned above suggested that some firms might have been able to adjust on their
own.
GAO 2012 Report
To address the evaluation issue more completely, the TGAAA required GAO to conduct an
extensive evaluation of TAAF program, which was released in September 2012.24 GAO found
that EDA’s administration of the TAAF program had improved markedly because of changes
provided in the 2009 legislation. EDA has been able to reduce processing times, provide new
performance reporting measures, and increase firm participation. Essential elements that allowed
for these improvements included new resources for (1) management and staffing, (2) annual
reporting, (3) the new eligibility of services firms, and (4) expansion of “look-back” period that
allowed for flexibility in meeting acceptance criteria.25
Despite noted improvements, GAO raised two administrative concerns, the need for (1) better
(centralized) data analysis that would demonstrate concrete program outcomes rather than simply
measure program output (e.g. number of firms assisted, petitions accepted, processing time; and
(2) reevaluating TAAC funding allocation to ensure the overall program allocates resources
(...continued)
Adjustment Assistance for Firms Program for Fiscal Year 2011, Washington, D.C., December 15, 2011, p. 25.
24
Government Accountability Office (GAO), Trade Adjustment Assistance: Commerce Program Has Helped
Manufacturing and Services Firms, but Measures, Data, and Funding Formula Could Improve, Report GAO-12-930.
Washington, DC. September 2012.
25
Ibid., pp. 12-13.
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Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms: Economic, Program, and Policy Issues
adequately to meet differing levels of need in the 11 TAACs. EDA has begun to address both
these issues.
GAO also confirmed EDA’s assessment that both manufacturing and services firms faced import
penetration that directly affected their sales, and that these firms, by and large, benefitted from
specialized attention provided by TAAF assistance. In addition to GAO’s own survey results
finding satisfaction among most firms that used the TAAF program, GAO undertook its own
quantitative evaluation. Whereas EDA annual reports compared trade-impacted firms to
performance by the nationwide manufacturing industry, which GAO noted was a poor measure
given trade-impacted firms begin with a relatively significant disadvantage, GAO ran a regression
analysis to compare TAAF firm sales performance before and after assistance was provided. It
found a “small and statistically significant relationship between program participation and
sales.”26 GAO estimated that TAAF assistance, on average, resulted in a 5%-6% increase in sales,
which was particularly relevant to smaller firms, and a 4% increase in productivity, albeit also
highly correlated with firms operating in high-growth industries. Employment effects were not
found to be statistically significant.
The GAO report provides some of the strongest evidence to date of the benefits provided by the
2009 legislative changes, as well as EDA’s much-improved administration and evaluation of the
TAAF program compared to years past. EDA has committed to making further refinements in
both endeavors. GAO is also transparent and clear that it did not undertake any analysis that
compared firms in the TAAF program with similar ones that did not participate in the program (a
control group.) This is understandable given the time and resources needed to undertake such a
study, but this type of test would add an important reference point for evaluating the impact of the
TAAF program.
Author Contact Information
J. F. Hornbeck
Specialist in International Trade and Finance
jhornbeck@crs.loc.gov, 7-7782
26
Ibid., pp. 22-24.
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