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December 13, 2021
Semiconductor Shortage Constrains Vehicle Production
A shortage of semiconductors has slowed auto production 
receive and transmit information. The supply shortages that 
and forced temporary closures of numerous assembly plants 
have affected vehicle manufacturers, however, have largely 
around the world. According to data from consulting firm 
involved a different sort of semiconductor, logic devices 
AutoForecast Solutions, North America lost production of 
called microprocessors. These chips serve as the “brains” of 
2.3 million vehicles in 2021 due to plant shutdowns. The 
a system calculating and processing information. 
effects of the semiconductor shortage on automotive supply 
chains have drawn attention in Congress, at a time when 
In motor vehicles, microprocessors are used for such tasks 
Members are considering a variety of proposals to support 
as gathering information about speed and brake cylinder 
domestic semiconductor production. 
pressure to manage antilock brake systems. 
Microprocessors are usually embedded within larger 
Semiconductor Use in Vehicles 
assemblies known as electronic control units, which are 
Recent trends in vehicle design, including vehicle 
central to the functionality of power trains (four-wheel 
connectivity, electrification, and a growing array of 
drive, engine, transmission, fuel pump), chassis and safety 
autonomous features, have increased the number and cost 
(antilock braking, airbag, suspension, backup cameras), 
of semiconductor components used in the average 
body and convenience (ventilation, lighting, automatic 
passenger car, sport utility vehicle, or pickup truck. As 
seats), infotainment (audio and video systems, 
shown in the top of
 Figure 1, recent estimates by Goldman 
connectivity), and ADAS applications such as lane 
Sachs, an investment bank, show today’s vehicles employ 
departure warnings. 
about 40% more semiconductor devices than those made 
prior to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2019. The increasing 
Most microprocessors used for automotive applications are 
shift toward electric vehicles (EVs) and advanced driver 
manufactured using older chip designs. For several decades, 
assistance systems (ADAS) is also increasing the cost of 
semiconductor performance has steadily improved as 
semiconductor components used in vehicles. The bottom of 
engineers have shrunk the size of core electronic features, 
Figure 1 illustrates the additional electronics costs 
characterized in the industry by the term “process node” 
associated with an EV having ADAS features like the Tesla 
(measured in metric length, nanometers or nm). Mature 
Model 3, which incorporates 3.6 times as much 
technology, also referred to as legacy chips, is generally 
semiconductor value as the average internal combustion 
characterized as having process nodes above 10nm, with 
vehicle in 2017, according to estimates by Kearney 
bigger numbers indicating older technology (10-180nm+), 
consulting group. 
while leading-edge technology is often regarded as being 
below 10nm. These legacy chip designs are reliable, 
Figure 1. Use of Semiconductors in Light Vehicles 
effective, and inexpensive. However, automotive chips 
must meet higher quality standards, and they provide lower 
margins for chip manufacturers than the leading-edge chips 
that are critical for many advanced and emerging 
applications. Hence, chip manufacturers are often hesitant 
to invest in mature technology, such as by building new 
facilities to fabricate chips for automotive uses, which 
accounted for 10% of semiconductor sales in 2019, 
according to the Semiconductor Industry Association. 
Supply-Chain Vulnerabilities 
As chip performance has improved with miniaturization, 
the cost and complexity of the manufacturing process have 
  substantially increased. This trend has driven many chip 
Source: CRS, adapted from Goldman Sachs Investment Research 
manufacturers that had previously both designed and 
(top) and Kearney analysis (bottom). 
produced their own chips (also known as integrated device 
Note: Light vehicles include cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and 
manufacturers, or IDMs) to outsource the production of 
pickup trucks. 
their designs to contract manufacturers (often referred to as 
foundries). Over time, the foundry market has become 
dominated by a few large companies located primarily in 
Most semiconductors used in personal vehicles are of the 
Taiwan and South Korea. 
type known as discrete/analog/optoelectronic (DAO) 
devices, which are typically used in sensors and which can 
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Semiconductor Shortage Constrains Vehicle Production 
An estimated 70% of all the microprocessors needed for 
shortages have led many automakers to form partnerships 
vehicle electronic control units come from a single 
directly with chip suppliers. In October 2021, General 
chipmaker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing 
Motors reached an agreement with semiconductor device 
Company (TSMC). Nevertheless, the automotive industry 
supplier Wolfspeed to secure a supply of chips needed for 
accounts for only 3% of TSMC’s total revenue, as 
EVs. In November 2021, Ford Motor Company and 
estimated by IHS Markit, an analytics firm. Even though 
GlobalFoundries announced a “strategic collaboration” to 
vehicle manufacturers have many suppliers of electronic 
advance domestic manufacturing of chips for Ford. 
control units, those supplier networks rely mainly on one 
producer of microprocessors. This exposes the entire 
Additionally, many automotive companies are changing 
network to disruption if that manufacturer encounters 
their buying strategies. Formerly, they typically ordered 
production issues. Further, suppliers of automotive 
electronic components using just-in-time buying strategies 
components and systems face cross-industry competition as 
to avoid holding stock. New long-term contracts are being 
foundries weigh how to allocate manufacturing capacity 
requested from chip suppliers to allow them to increase 
among various types of chips, including some with greater 
investment in research and expansion with greater 
demand and some which offer greater profit potential. 
confidence. For example, semiconductor supplier 
Microchip began prioritizing shipments for customers who 
These supply chain vulnerabilities became apparent during 
committed to 12 months of non-cancellable orders versus 
the global coronavirus pandemic. Initially, anticipated 
the historical 90-day cancel period for such orders. 
declining consumer demand led suppliers of automotive 
systems to reduce orders with chip makers. Accordingly, 
Legislation 
chip manufacturers allocated capacity and inventory to 
At the start of 2021, the Creating Helpful Incentives for the 
industries experiencing rising demand due to the increasing 
Production of Semiconductors (CHIPS) for America Act 
use of telework and online learning. As vehicle demand 
was included in the National Defense Authorization Act 
recovered in the latter half of 2020, automotive suppliers 
(P.L. 116-283). The CHIPS Act authorizes incentives for 
were confronted with long lead times in acquiring 
the construction, expansion, and modernization of domestic 
semiconductors as chip makers tried to keep up with 
semiconductor facilities and equipment. In June 2021, the 
demand across many industries. The situation was 
Senate passed the U.S. Innovation and Competition Act (S. 
exacerbated in early 2021 by severe winter weather in 
1260), which would appropriate $39 billion over the period 
Texas affecting two major semiconductor component 
FY2022-FY2026 for a fund to expand semiconductor 
suppliers, NXP and Samsung, and a fire at another 
capacity authorized in the CHIPS Act. Of the $19 billion 
important supplier, Renesas, in Japan. 
that would be available in FY2022, the bill would allocate 
$2 billion specifically for the production of “mature 
Expanding Legacy Chip Capacity 
technology nodes.” The bill would direct the Secretary of 
In response to recent shortage-induced impacts and 
Commerce to classify which process nodes qualify as 
increasing demand across industries, IDMs and foundries 
“mature.” 
have committed $382 billion to expanding capacity and 
diversifying regionally. However, IHS Markit estimates that 
Considerations for Congress 
only 6% of the new expenditure will be relevant for the 
As Congress considers additional legislation to promote 
legacy chips needed in the automotive industry. Many such 
domestic semiconductor production, considerations related 
chips are produced in facilities employing older equipment 
to automotive supply chains include the following: 
able to process only 200mm (8-inch) silicon wafers rather 
than the larger 300mm (12-inch) wafers processed in newer 
  Is future automotive demand for semiconductors 
plants. Equipment to make 200mm chips is no longer 
sufficiently clear for the federal government to be able 
readily available. 
to allocate investment appropriately to particular 
technology nodes? 
Another big risk facing chip manufacturers is choosing the 
   How will the definition of “mature technology node,” 
wrong technology and process to invest in, especially as 
as determined by the Secretary of Commerce pursuant 
mature technology comes with the risk of earlier 
to the CHIPS Act, impact industries reliant on mature 
obsolescence. Typically, building a semiconductor 
semiconductors, including the automotive sector? 
fabrication plant takes two years or longer. Mindful of their 
industry’s traditional boom
  After the definition of “mature technology nodes” is 
-and-bust cycles and concerned 
established, will federal support for such technologies 
that what appears to be a long-term increase in demand 
be limited to the allotted $2 billion, or may a portion of 
could be suppliers of automotive components and systems 
the additional $37 billion authorized in the CHIPS Act 
placing multiple orders to build inventory, foundries are 
be used for this purpose? 
hesitant to invest in capacity expansion to manufacture 
chips for automotive applications without commitment 
  Is there a risk that automotive technology will migrate to 
from their customers. 
advanced semiconductor nodes, which could make new 
facilities to produce legacy chips obsolete? 
New Relationships and Buying Strategies 
Traditionally, auto manufacturers have had little visibility 
Manpreet Singh, Analyst in Industrial Organization and 
into the operational risks in their supply chains beyond the 
Business   
“first tier” suppliers of assembled electronics where 
semiconductor manufacturers usually reside. Recent 
IF12000
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Semiconductor Shortage Constrains Vehicle Production 
 
 
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