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April 3, 2018
Universal Basic Income Proposals for the United States
Overview  
all existing social transfers, such as the Supplemental 
Conceptually, a universal basic income (UBI) program 
Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and housing 
provides a modest cash income at regular intervals (e.g., 
assistance, other targeted federal spending (e.g., agricultural 
each month or year) to all individuals meeting minimal 
subsidies), and the tax expenditures such as the Earned 
eligibility criteria. A UBI can serve as a social insurance 
Income Tax Credit (EITC). These proposals suggest that a 
program, a method for distributing income generated by a 
UBI could be financed in large part by forgone costs of 
government-owned asset (e.g., the Alaska Permanent Fund 
such programs. Some have suggested, however, that new 
Dividend), or both. Other terms for a UBI are a “basic 
taxes may be needed to cover full UBI program costs. 
income guarantee” or “unconditional basic income.” 
Others view a UBI as a mechanism for distributing income 
Whereas some countries—like Finland and Canada—have 
generated from a state-owned resource. For example, the 
experimented with UBIs, for the United States, UBI 
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend provides an annual 
discussions are largely notional: the United States does not 
payment to eligible Alaskan residents generated from an 
have a country-wide UBI, and UBI proposals have not been 
investment fund seeded by Alaskan oil sales; the annual 
introduced in the 115th Congress. Specific UBI policy 
dividend was $1,100 in 2017. Some Native American tribes 
proposals for the United States, however, have been offered 
similarly distribute a share of profits generated from tribe-
by members of the social policy community, business 
owned casinos to tribe members.  
world, and the technology industry (e.g., the company Y 
Combinator has announced plans to conduct a basic income 
Potential Benefits 
experiment in California).  
UBI programs have been proposed to address a wide range 
of social issues. Some frame a UBI as an efficiency-
Defining Features 
improving replacement for the current body of social 
Key defining characteristics of UBI proposals are the 
insurance and welfare programs in the United States. Such a 
following: 
UBI, it is argued, could potentially reduce administrative 
costs and application burden for recipients, give more 
  
Universality of Benefit. The UBI benefit is provided to 
freedom to households over how they allocate funds, and 
all persons subject to minimal criteria such as 
encourage households to establish stronger community ties 
citizenship, adulthood, and non-incarceration. 
 
or otherwise establish nongovernmental support systems.  
  
Unconditional Benefit Receipt and Usage. Beyond 
Some UBI proposals respond to growing unease about labor 
meeting minimal eligibility criteria, UBI proposals do 
market conditions, particularly the availability of jobs that 
not generally condition benefit receipt on particular 
are sufficiently rewarding in terms of wages and quality. In 
attributes, behaviors, or outcomes; means-tests and work 
this context, a UBI is viewed as one lever to raise living 
requirements are not common features of UBI 
standards among workers in low-wage jobs or jobs with 
proposals. Likewise, few proposals place restrictions on 
low wage growth, and to provide security for workers 
UBI recipients’ use of the cash benefit.
 
whose jobs are susceptible to automation. According to 
these proponents, the UBI benefit may also serve to 
  
“Basic” Benefit or Profit-Sharing Dividend. Where a 
improve job prospects by offering the financial cushion 
UBI is proposed as a social insurance program, the 
needed to seek out work in new labor markets (e.g., by 
proposed benefit amount is generally selected to be 
financing a move across county or state lines, or to take a 
large enough to cover basic living expenses. Two recent 
career break to invest in new skills training). In addition to 
proposals, for example, place the disposable UBI benefit 
facilitating better quality job matches, increased labor 
between $10,000 and $12,000 per year 
(Table 1), which 
mobility may further improve labor market conditions by 
is near the official poverty threshold for a single person 
encouraging employers to improve wages and working 
under age 65 years with no children ($12,752 in 2017). 
conditions to attract and retain workers.  
Where a UBI is used to distribute income generated by a 
government-owned asset, the dividend amount varies 
The benefit could also provide a steady income to those 
from year-to-year based on the performance of the 
engaged in productive nonmarket activities such as 
financing instrument (e.g., the Alaska Permanent Fund 
caregiving, education, and training. They posit that it may 
Dividend).
 
also promote greater savings, allowing individuals to invest 
or take constructive risks (e.g., starting a new business, 
Financing 
testing an idea) or engage in more leisure activities (e.g., 
Proposed UBI financial mechanisms depend on the 
vacation).  
underlying objectives for the program. Some UBI 
proponents view the benefit as a replacement for some or 
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Universal Basic Income Proposals for the United States 
Table 1. Two UBI Proposals Published in 2016
Charles Murray 
Andy Stern 
In Our Hands: A Plan to Replace the 
Raising the Floor: How a Universal Basic Income Can 
Welfare State 
Renew our Economy and Rebuild the American Dream 
Proposal 
Benefit 
 
$13,000 per year, of which $3,000 must be used 
 
$12,000 per year ($1,000 received monthly).   
Amount 
to purchase catastrophic health insurance. The 
 
benefit is reduced as personal income increases 
beyond $30,000 per year. The minimum benefit 
is $6,500 per year for individuals with annual 
personal income of $60,000 or more. 
Recipients 
 
All non-incarcerated U.S. citizens who are 21 
 
Persons aged 18 to 64 years, and those 65 and older receiving 
years or older with a U.S. bank account. 
less than $1,000 in monthly Social Security payments.  
Estimated 
 
$2.8 tril ion in 2020 (in 2017 dol ars). 
 
$1.8-$2.8 tril ion per year (in 2017 dol ars). 
Cost and 
 
Financed largely by forgone costs of all existing 
 
Financed largely by forgone costs of certain transfer programs 
Financing 
federal transfer payments, including Medicare, 
and tax expenditures, reforms to Social Security and health 
Medicaid, Social Security, certain tax 
care financing, and fiscal policy changes.  
expenditures, federal transfers to select groups 
(e.g., grants, subsidies, or services), and health 
care reform.  
Source: Charles Murray, 
In Our Hands: A Plan to Replace the Welfare State (Washington, DC: American Enterprise Institute, 2016); and Andy 
Stern, 
Raising the Floor: How a Universal Basic Income Can Renew our Economy and Rebuild the American Dream (New York: Public Affairs, 2016). 
Potential Concerns 
pressure on wages), and potential future political pressures 
Program costs and the related potential for new taxes are 
to increase the benefit amount (beyond inflation), raise 
among the central concerns expressed about proposed UBI 
taxes, or reinstate discontinued transfer programs. 
schemes. Two proposals published in 2016 (see
 Table 1) 
estimate program costs in the range of $1.8 to $2.8 trillion 
Recent Discussions 
per year, depending on the benefit amount and other 
Table 1 summarizes two UBI proposals published in 2016 
program details. Proponents, however, point out that at least 
by Charles Murray, an American Enterprise Institute 
some of those costs could be recouped by the 
Emeritus Scholar, and by Andy Stern, former president of 
discontinuation of existing federal transfer programs. 
the Service Employees International Union. Similarities 
exist in the spirit and details of their proposals. For 
Other critiques focus on the potential for a UBI to create 
example, both see a UBI as a means to help people live 
work disincentives. The labor supply effects of a proposed 
fulfilling lives, propose similar benefit amounts, and cover 
UBI generally would depend on the benefit amount and 
UBI program costs largely by eliminating some (Stern) or 
other program factors, and its overarching effects on the 
all (Murray) existing transfers. But there are important 
labor market (e.g., how it affects labor dynamism, private 
differences as well. Murray’s proposal appears to be driven 
investment in training and education). However, the limited 
by his concerns that public assistance has eroded U.S. 
body of related research on universal dividends (e.g., 
values around family, work, and community; Stern’s focus 
Alaska) and the negative income tax experiments conducted 
is on mounting labor market challenges, particularly for 
in the 1960s and 1970s do not find large declines in labor 
low- and middle-wage workers. Whereas both see a need 
force participation.  
for changes to health care policies, Murray’s plan would 
UBI critics also raise questions about the replacement of 
eliminate federal support for health care financing, require 
targeted government support with the UBI benefit. They 
UBI recipients to purchase catastrophic health insurance, 
express concern about the fate of households that suffer 
and rely on market forces to change cost and availability of 
large financial losses, for example, due to serious illness or 
medical services. Stern is less specific about health care 
catastrophic weather events, and whether the general public 
policy changes, but states that he would retain Medicare. 
has sufficient financial skills to protect against job loss, 
Stern is open to creating new taxes to support a UBI 
poor investment outcomes, and other risks. Some 
program, such as a value added tax and a financial 
proponents acknowledge the need for complementary 
transaction tax; Murray does not include new tax revenue in 
policies—for example, to improve financial skills and to 
his financing plan.  
deter those who would scheme to separate vulnerable 
Emma Sifre provided research support for this In Focus. 
recipients from their payments.  
Others have raised concerns about the possibility of rising 
Sarah A. Donovan, Analyst in Labor Policy   
prices (i.e., due to increased consumption and upward 
IF10865
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Universal Basic Income Proposals for the United States 
 
 
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