Ethiopia: An Overview

. August 19, 2014 Ethiopia: An Overview Ethiopia is Africa’s second most populous country and its oldest independent state. The United States considers the Ethiopian government to be an important development and regional security partner, but also a source of concern regarding human rights and democracy. Good relations with the United States are rooted in cooperation on efforts to counter terrorism and respond to instability in the volatile Horn of Africa region, and on shared efforts to alleviate Ethiopia’s endemic poverty. The country has been plagued by frequent drought and chronic food insecurity and is one of the largest recipients of U.S. foreign aid, primarily in the form of health, food, and humanitarian assistance. Ethiopia plays a key leadership role in the region and on the continent. It hosts the African Union (AU) and contributes significant numbers of troops to U.N. peacekeeping operations. Ethiopian peacekeepers play a critical role along the volatile Sudan-South Sudan border and in the U.N. Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS). Ethiopia, which currently leads the East Africa regional body known as the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), hosts various peace negotiations, including the ongoing dialogue between the governments of Sudan and South Sudan and talks between Sudan and its armed opposition. Ethiopia is the lead mediator between the opposing sides of South Sudan’s civil war. Ethiopian forces also play a major role in efforts to counter the Al Qaedalinked terrorist group Al Shabaab in Somalia. Background Ethiopia is one of only two African countries to have avoided colonial rule, and the diplomatic relationship between the United States and Ethiopia dates back more than one hundred years. In the past century, Ethiopia’s politics have been largely dominated by three leaders. Emperor Haile Selassie ruled from 1930 to 1974, when he was deposed by a socialist military junta known as the Derg. The Derg was accused of massive human rights abuses (dubbed the “Red Terror”), and of ignoring a famine that caused hundreds of thousands of deaths. An army officer, Mengistu Haile Mariam, became head of state at the helm of the Derg in 1977. In 1989, several ethnically-based opposition groups merged to form the Ethiopian Peoples’ Revolutionary Front (EPRDF), and in 1991 they overthrew the Derg and Mengistu, who fled to Zimbabwe, where he remains in exile. The EPRDF allowed Eritreans to vote on secession, a key demand of the Eritrean faction of the antiDerg struggle, leading to Eritrean independence in 1993. EPRDF leader Meles Zenawi served as President of Ethiopia and then as Prime Minister from 1991 until his death in 2012. He was considered a powerful figure in Ethiopian and regional politics. Meles was widely credited c11173008 with spearheading the economic reforms that have made Ethiopia one of Africa’s fastest growing economies, despite its relative lack of natural resources. However, as leader of both the EPRDF, an alliance of four ethno-regional parties, and one of its components, the Tigrayan Peoples’ Liberation Front (TPLF), he also was accused by critics of stifling dissent and securing the continued dominance of his minority Tigrayan ethnic group in the government. Current Political Issues Hailemariam Desalegn (deh-sah-LEEN) became Prime Minister in 2012, after Meles’ death. As a Protestant, he is Ethiopia’s first non-Ethiopian-Orthodox head of state, and is from one of the country’s smaller ethnic groups, the Wolayta. Hailemariam was also elected chairman of the EPRDF coalition. In October 2013, the EPRDF-dominated parliament elected Mulatu Teshome Wirtu as President, a largely ceremonial post. Despite regular elections, Ethiopia’s tradition of authoritarian rule continues to impede participatory democracy. The EPRDF has dominated successive elections since 1995. Elections in 2005—in which the opposition had been expected to make significant gains— were marred by violence, as the government responded to post-election protests by detaining thousands of opposition members, journalists, and civic activists. An estimated 200 people were reportedly killed by security forces during the protests, and top opposition leaders were put on trial. The disputed elections led to a broader tightening of democratic space as the EPRDF reconsolidated control. Opposition parties boycotted local and by-elections held in 2008. The most recent elections, held in 2010, were generally peaceful but the electoral environment did not meet international standards of fairness, according to U.S. and European election monitoring groups and governments. Critics contend that the EPRDF has stifled dissent through laws and electoral regulations that give the coalition a significant advantage. Two laws enacted in | 7-5700 Ethiopia: An Overview . 2009 have heightened international concern about the government’s intentions with respect to democracy. The “Charities and Societies Proclamation” created stringent reporting requirements and government oversight for civil society organizations, including by limiting foreign funding and prohibiting anonymous donations. Another law, the “Anti-Terrorism Proclamation,” has been criticized for its expansive definition of terrorism, harsh penalties, flexible rules for evidence, and the broad legal authority it grants to police and security forces. Opposition leaders, activists, and journalists have been imprisoned on national security charges, amid concerns of torture and ill-treatment in Ethiopian detention facilities. There has been a growing current of anti-government protests by Ethiopian Muslims, who make up about a third of the population, in response to perceived government interference in Muslim religious affairs in recent years. The government has responded by detaining protestors and charging some under the anti-terrorism law. Security Concerns Instability in neighboring Somalia has contributed to Ethiopia’s security concerns, and Ethiopia has repeatedly intervened there militarily. Ethiopian troops deployed to Somalia in 2006 to oust a network of Islamist court militias that had seized control of Mogadishu. This led to a prolonged military engagement against one of the militias, Al Shabaab, and other insurgents. Ethiopian forces officially pulled out in early 2009 after the U.N.-mandated African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) was established, but periodic Ethiopian military incursions continued, and Ethiopia has reportedly provided support to Somali armed factions. Ethiopia joined AMISOM in January 2014. Aside from Somalia, the Ethiopian government’s main strategic concern is its antagonistic relationship with Eritrea, which seceded from Ethiopia in 1993. The two countries fought a border war in the late 1990s, and parts of the border remain in dispute. Both governments have accused one another of backing rebels in their respective countries. Ethiopia also faces several simmering domestic insurgencies, including in the Ogaden area near the Somali border, which has a significant population of ethnic Somalis. The security forces have been accused of committing serious human rights abuses in the context of their counterinsurgency efforts in the region. The Economy Ethiopia’s economy has grown on average over 10% per year in the past decade, almost double the regional average. Yet its per capita income remains among the world’s lowest and its population suffers from severe cyclical droughts. The government faces an array of structural challenges, including a growing “youth bulge” and high unemployment. Ethiopia’s development indicators—which include high rates of birth and infant mortality, low literacy levels, and a short life expectancy— are poor, although improving. c11173008 The economy is predominately driven by agriculture, which composes almost half of GDP and 85% of total employment. Coffee is the largest export. The government has sought to transform the economy by engaging in several controversial projects to lease large swaths of agricultural land to foreign investors and create new infrastructure for electricity production. The government argues that the land leases bring in critical foreign investment and large-scale agricultural production that will spur economic growth and improve living standards. However, such leases have also resulted in the displacement of Ethiopian farmers and their families. Officially, the relocations are under a separate, nominally voluntary program known as “villagization,” through which the state seeks to better serve the health, education, and infrastructure needs of rural populations by grouping them close together. Human rights groups contend that the displacements are forced and are driven by the commercial value of the land. Concerns have also been raised about forced relocations and potential negative environmental impacts related to hydroelectric projects, notably the Gibe III and the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance dams. The latter, expected to be completed in 2017, would be Africa’s largest power project and, the Ethiopian government argues, will enable Ethiopia to sell excess electricity to its neighbors, strengthening regional development. The dam has been a source of contention with Egypt, which argues that the dam could divert a critical water supply on which Egypt relies. U.S. Policy and Foreign Assistance Given regional volatility, Ethiopia’s size, and its susceptibility to food insecurity, the United States has identified Ethiopia’s stability and prosperity as key priorities for U.S. engagement. According to the State Department, the three pillars of the bilateral relationship are economic growth and development; democracy, governance and human rights; and regional peace and security. However, little U.S. aid is provided for democracy promotion, and U.S. concerns about Ethiopian restrictions on political and human rights complicate diplomatic engagement and security cooperation. Congress, while appropriating funding for Ethiopia’s sizable aid package, which is one of the largest in Africa, has conditioned some security assistance based on such concerns. Bilateral aid, most of it directed to development, global health, and food aid programs, totaled almost $620 million in FY2013. Food aid alone in FY2014 has totaled almost $173 million to date. The State Department’s request for $482 million for FY2015 does not include food aid, which is allocated during the year according to need. The Obama Administration’s Feed the Future initiative supports Ethiopia’s food security strategy to reduce hunger, improve nutrition, and promote broad-based economic growth. Ethiopia is also a participant in U.S. regional programs to counter terrorism and promote African peacekeeping deployments. Lauren Ploch Blanchard,, 7-7640 | 7-5700 IF00048