The IMF's Proposed New Arrangements to Borrow (NAB): An Overview

In the wake of the Mexican financial crisis, the major industrial countries agreed, at the Halifax economic summit of June 15-16, 1995, to establish an "emergency financing mechanism." This goal would be achieved by the proposed establishment of the "New Arrangements to Borrow" (NAB), adopted by the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) Executive Board on January 27, 1997. The proposed NAB are medium-term lines of credit that will provide funds to the IMF to enable it to "forestall or cope with an impairment of the international monetary system, or to deal with an exceptional situation that poses a threat to the stability of the system." Commitments totaling SDR 34 billion, currently about $45.1 billion, have been received from 25 countries. The total U.S. commitment to the NAB is SDR 6,712 million. SDR 2,462 million of the proposed U.S. share in the NAB -- the increment above an existing U.S. participation of SDR 4,250 in an earlier credit arrangement, the "General Arrangements to Borrow" (GAB) -- will require authorization and appropriation by the U.S. congress. This amount is scored in the FY 1999 budget as $3.4 billion. Under current budgetary and accounting practices, however, U.S. participation in the NAB is considered to be an exchange of assets and, therefore, to have no impact on the U.S. federal fiscal position. The NAB are easier to activate than the predecessor GAB. This results from dropping the GAB requirement that, when making a call for funds on behalf of nonparticipants, the IMF face an "inadequacy" of resources. It is this shift that effectively establishes the NAB as the facility of first recourse. The NAB are currently under consideration by the 105th Congress. Under prevailing budgetary and accounting practices, the NAB are subject to the requirement of both an authorization and appropriation. The occasion of a request for IMF funding also presents an opportunity for vigorous congressional oversight of the IMF's programs and operations.

97-468 E
CRS Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web
The IMF’s Proposed New Arrangements to
Borrow (NAB): An Overview
Updated August 24, 1998
(name redacted)
Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Economics Division
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress

ABSTRACT
In the wake of the 1994-1995 Mexican financial crisis, the major industrial countries
proposed the “New Arrangements to Borrow” (NAB). The NAB are an arrangement of
medium-term credit lines that would provide additional funds to the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) in the event of an international financial crisis. The U.S. share of $3.4 billion
is under consideration by the 105th Congress. This report will be updated as necessary. For
legislative issues related to the NAB, see CRS Issue Brief 97038, The International
Monetary Fund’s Proposed Quota Increase and “New Arrangements to Borrow: (NAB)
, by
(name redacted). Updated regularly.

The IMF’s Proposed New Arrangements to Borrow (NAB):
An Overview
Summary
In the wake of the Mexican financial crisis, the major industrial countries
agreed, at the Halifax economic summit of June 15-16, 1995, to establish an
“emergency financing mechanism.” This goal would be achieved by the proposed
establishment of the “New Arrangements to Borrow” (NAB), adopted by the
International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board on January 27, 1997. The
proposed NAB are medium-term lines of credit that will provide funds to the IMF to
enable it to “forestall or cope with an impairment of the international monetary
system, or to deal with an exceptional situation that poses a threat to the stability of
the system.”
Commitments totaling SDR 34 billion, currently about $45.1 billion, have been
received from 25 countries. The total U.S. commitment to the NAB is SDR 6,712
million. SDR 2,462 million of the proposed U.S. share in the NAB — the increment
above an existing U.S. participation of SDR 4,250 in an earlier credit arrangement,
the “General Arrangements to Borrow” (GAB) — will require authorization and
appropriation by the U.S. congress. This amount is scored in the FY 1999 budget as
$3.4 billion. Under current budgetary and accounting practices, however, U.S.
participation in the NAB is considered to be an exchange of assets and, therefore, to
have no impact on the U.S. federal fiscal position.
The NAB are easier to activate than the predecessor GAB. This results from
dropping the GAB requirement that, when making a call for funds on behalf of
nonparticipants, the IMF face an “inadequacy” of resources. It is this shift that
effectively establishes the NAB as the facility of first recourse.
The NAB are currently under consideration by the 105 Congress. Unde
th
r
prevailing budgetary and accounting practices, the NAB are subject to the
requirement of both an authorization and appropriation. The occasion of a request
for IMF funding also presents an opportunity for vigorous congressional oversight
of the IMF’s programs and operations.



Contents
The New Arrangements to Borrow (NAB):
The Facility of First Recourse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
The NAB: Participants and Contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Entry Into Force . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Activation of the NAB . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
New Members . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Governance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Not All There Is: Concurrent Funding Proposals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Major Policy Issues: Moral Hazard, Contagion, and Burden-Sharing . . . . . . . . . 9
The Need for the IMF Funding: the Supply Side . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Alternate View I: The “Illiquidity Ratio” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Alternate View II: The GAB and an Inadequacy of Resources . . . . . . . . . 12
The Need for the IMF Funding: the Demand Side . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
The Role of Congress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Appendix I: The “Illiquidity Ratio” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Appendix II: A Comparison of CRS’ Illiquidity Ratio and the IMF’s Liquidity
Ratio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
List of Tables
Table 1. Comparison of the Proposed “New Arrangements to Borrow” (NAB) and
the “General Arrangements to Borrow” (GAB), Selected Characteristics . 3
Table 2. New Arrangements to Borrow (NAB) Participants and Credit Arrangements
(Million) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Table 3. Illiquidity Ratio Prior to Activation of the “General Arrangements to
Borrow” (GAB) and After Adjustment for the Amount of the Purchase . . 13
Table 1a. Ratio of Reserve Tranche Positions to Paid-In Capital (Illiquidity Ratio),
CY 1950-May 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Table 2a. CRS Illiquidity Ratio and IMF Liquidity Ratios,
IMF FY 1990 - July 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

List of Figures
Figure 1. Ratio of IMF Reserve Tranche Positions to Paid-in Capital (Illiquidity Ratio),
End-of-Calendar Year 1950-May 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Figure 2. CRS Illiquidity Ratio, IMF FY 1990-July 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Figure 3. IMF Liquidity Ratio, IMF FY 1990-July 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

The IMF’s Proposed New Arrangements to
Borrow (NAB): An Overview
The Mexican peso devaluation of December 20-22, 1994 stunned the
international financial world. Ultimately, it led to a commitment by the United States
to provide an unprecedented $20 billion financial support package to Mexico. It also
raised a variety of concerns regarding the functioning of the international monetary
system itself. Chief among these concerns is the ability of current international
financial institutions, most notably the International Monetary Fund (IMF), to cope
with financial crises generated by the sudden movement of short-term capital or
portfolio investment, sometimes referred to as “speculative” flows or “hot money.”
In March 1995, the IMF began a review of the adequacy of the “General
Arrangements to Borrow” (GAB) to deal with the potentially
1
disruptive impact of
short-term capital flows. The GAB are an arrangement of emergency medium-term
credit lines established in 1962 and expanded in 1983. They provide supplementary
resources to the IMF in order to enable it to forestall or cope with an impairment of
or threats to the international financial system. In light of this review, the leaders of
the G-7 countries, at the Halifax economic summit on June 15-16, 1995, proposed
to create a similar “emergency financing mechanism” supported by a suggested
doubling of the GAB. This proposed new financing mechanism, now called the
“New Arrangements to Borrow” (NAB), was adopted by the IMF’s Executive Board
on January 27, 1997. Like the GAB, the proposed NAB are an arrangement of
medium-term credit lines that the IMF may borrow against in the event of an
international financial crisis.
Commitments to the NAB totaling SDR 34 billion2 have been received from 25
countries. SDR 2,462 million of the U.S. share of the NAB — the increment above
the existing SDR 4,250 million U.S. participation in the GAB — will require
authorization and appropriation by the U.S. Congress. The SDR 2,462 million
incremental contribution is scored in the FY 1999 budget as $3.4 billion.
The NAB are currently under consideration by the 105 Congress. Under
th
prevailing budgetary and accounting practices, the NAB are subject to the
requirement of both an authorization and appropriation. The occasion of a request
1 Additional information on the GAB is provided in CRS Report 97-467 E, The IMF’s
“General Arrangements to Borrow” (GAB): A Background Paper
, by (name redacted).
5 p.

2 The “Special Drawing Right” or SDR is an international reserve asset created by the IMF.
All IMF accounts are denominated in SDRs, whose value, in terms of the U.S. dollar,
fluctuate on a daily basis. For example, the SDR was equal to $1.32523 on August 24,
1998.

CRS-2
for IMF funding also presents an opportunity for vigorous congressional oversight
of the IMF’s programs and operations.3
This report analyzes the proposed “New Arrangements to Borrow.” This report
will be updated as necessary.
The New Arrangements to Borrow (NAB):
The Facility of First Recourse

The NAB are parallel and complementary to its predecessor, the GAB, which
remain in force. They are also supplemental to the GAB. Existing financial
commitments to the GAB are counted as part of the total SDR 34 billion in financial
commitments that comprise the NAB. Thus, in this sense, the GAB are subsumed
within the NAB. Significantly, the NAB will be the facility of first and principal
recourse. The similarities between the NAB and the GAB are striking, as can be seen
from Table 1 on the next page.
3For legislative issues related to the NAB, see CRS Issue Brief 97038, The International
Monetary Fund’s Proposed Quota Increase and “New Arrangements to Borrow” (NAB)
,
by (name redacted). Updated regularly.

CRS-3
Table 1. Comparison of the Proposed “New Arrangements to
Borrow” (NAB) and the “General Arrangements to Borrow” (GAB),
Selected Characteristics
Characteristic
NAB
GAB
Number of Participants
25
111
Total Value of Commitments
SDR 34 billion
SDR 17 billion
Permits New Adherents
Yes
Yes
Interest Rate
SDR Rate
SDR Rate
Maximum Repayment Period
5 years
5 years
Duration
5 years
5 years
Expiration Date
5 years after entry into force
37979
Criterion for Use by Participants
“Impairment” of System
“Impairment” of System
Number of Votes Needed to
In practice, unanimous; fall-
80% majority of
Activate
back procedure: 2/3 of voting
participants
participants + 3/5 majority
weighted according to the
amount of their credit lines
Able to be Used for Nonparticipants
Yes
Yes
Criteria for Use for Nonparticipants:
“Threat” to System
Yes
Yes
IMF Program Required
Yes
Yes
“Inadequacy” of IMF Resources
No
Yes
Source: CRS.
1 Saudi Arabia, which is not a participant in the GAB, has an associated SDR 1.5 billion credit
arrangement with the IMF.
The most important difference between the NAB and the GAB are the former’s
lack a requirement that the IMF demonstrate that its resources are “inadequate” when
a potential draw would involve a non-participant — a significant barrier presented
by the GAB. It is the omission of this requirement that turns the NAB into the
facility of first resort. The “inadequacy” requirement might well have been among
the reasons why the GAB were not activated during the 1994 Mexican crisis.4
Perhaps more to the point, under U.S. law it would appear that the GAB requirement
to demonstrate an inadequacy of resources could not be altered without congressional
4 It is also probable that there would have been political resistance to activating the GAB
for Mexico had it been proposed. Some major countries were, at least initially, opposed the
IMF’s 1995 loan to Mexico, which, up until then, was the largest loan the IMF had ever
made. See CRS Report 95-428 E, Mexico’s 1995 Economic Program and the IMF, by
(name redacted), p. 4.

CRS-4
approval.
5 Under the current proposal, the GAB and the funds appropriated for U.S.
participation in the GAB remain intact, while access requirements are eased.
The NAB remain in effect for five years from their entry into force. Renewal
of the GAB does not require congressional approval; they have been extended until
December 25, 2003.
Both the NAB and the GAB permit new adherents. This might suggest a “fall-
back” position in the event that Congress does not approve U.S. participation in the
NAB.
The NAB: Participants and Contributions
The NAB have broader participation than the GAB, reflecting changes in the
global economy and an extension of burden-sharing beyond the major industrial
nations. As shown in Table 2 on the next page, there are twenty-five potential
participants in the NAB. The bulk of the commitments to the NAB derive from GAB
participants. Altogether the original participants of the GAB plus Saudi Arabia,
which has an SDR 1.5 billion arrangement associated with the GAB, account for
SDR 28,627 million or 84.2 percent of the NAB. This represents an increase of SDR
10,127 million 54.7 percent over their participation under the earlier credit
arrangements.
5 22 U.S. Code 286e-2(d) would appear to foreclose amending the GAB to drop this
requirement without congressional approval. It states:
Unless the Congress by law so authorizes, neither the President, the Secretary
of the Treasury, nor any other person acting on behalf of the United States, may
instruct the United States Executive Director to the Fund to consent to any
amendment to the Decision of February 24, 1983, of the Executive Directors of
the Fund, if the adoption of such amendment would significantly alter the
amount, terms, or conditions of participation by the United States in the General
Arrangements to Borrow.
The referenced IMF decision of February 24, 1983 is the current version of the GAB, as
amended in 1983.

CRS-5
Table 2. New Arrangements to Borrow (NAB) Participants and Credit
Arrangements (Million)
Country/
Contribution
Share
Approximate
Share of
Share
Increase
Central
to NAB,
of
US Dollar
GAB3, Value
of
from GAB,3
Bank
Value (SDR1)
NAB
Equivalent2
(SDR1)
GAB3
(SDR )
1
(%)
($)
(%)
United States
6,712
19.7
$8,894.9
4,250.0
25.00
2,462.0
Deutsche
Bundesbank
3,557
10.5
$4,713.8
2,380.0
14.00
1,177.0
Japan
3,557
10.5
$4,713.8
2,125.0
12.50
1,432.0
France
2,577
7.6
$3,415.1
1,700.0
10.00
877.0
United
Kingdom
2,577
7.6
$3,415.1
1,700.0
10.00
877.0
Saudi Arabia4
1,780
5.2
$2,358.9


280.0
Italy
1,772
5.2
$2,348.3
1,105.0
6.50
667.0
Swiss
National
1,557
4.6
$2,063.4
1,020.0
6.50
537.0
Bank
Canada
1,396
4.1
$1,850.0
892.5
5.25
503.5
Netherlands
1,316
3.9
$1,744.0
850.0
5.00
466.0
Belgium
967
2.8
$1,281.5
595.0
3.50
372.0
Sveriges
Riksbank
(Sweden)
859
2.5
$1,138.4
383.5
2.25
476.5
Australia
810
2.4
$1,073.4



Spain
672
2.0
$890.6



Austria
412
1.2
$546.0



Norway
383
1.1
$507.6



Denmark
371
1.1
$491.7



Kuwait
345
1.0
$457.2



Finland
340
1.0
$450.6



Hong Kong
Monetary



Authority
340
1.0
$450.6
Korea
340
1.0
$450.6



Luxembourg
340
1.0
$450.6



Malaysia
340
1.0
$450.6



Singapore
340
1.0
$450.6



Thailand
340
1.0
$450.6



TOTAL
34,000
100%
$45,057.8
SDR 17,000.0
100%
SDR 10,127.0
Source: CRS.
SDR=Special Drawing Right.
1
Calculated at the rate of $1.32523 per SDR, as of August 24, 1998.
2
GAB=General Arrangements to Borrow.
3
4 Saudi Arabia is not a participant in the GAB, but has an associated SDR 1.5 billion credit arrangement with
the IMF.

CRS-6
The United States has a proposed SDR 6,712 million share of the NAB, which
represents an SDR 2,462 million or 57.9 percent increase over its SDR 4,250 million
participation in the GAB. The NAB, therefore, increases the total U.S. exposure to
financial risk. The percentage share of U.S. participation in the NAB, however, is
19.7 percent, compared to its 25.0 percent participation in the GAB. Thus, the U.S.
share of the exposure is reduced. In other words, burden-sharing is enhanced under
the NAB.
In addition to the original eleven countries that participated in the GAB and
Saudi Arabia, there are thirteen new countries participating in the NAB. Six of the
new participants are in Europe: Spain, Austria, Norway, Denmark, Finland, and
Luxembourg. Jointly, they are providing SDR 2,518 million. Six countries in Asia
and the Pacific are providing a further SDR 2,510 million. Australia is providing
nearly one-third of this, while Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand
are each providing the minimum commitment of SDR 340 million. Hong Kong,
whose participation is managed by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), is
not an IMF member. For the purposes of the GAB, the HKMA is regarded as an
official institution of the IMF member whose territories include Hong Kong, formerly
Britain and now China. Finally, Kuwait is extending SDR 345 million.
Notably missing from the list of NAB participants are any major Latin American
countries.
Entry Into Force
The NAB enter into force when adopted by participants with credit
arrangements totaling SDR 28.9 billion, including the five participants with the
largest credit arrangements. The latter include the United States, Germany, Japan,
France, and the United Kingdom. Each of these five countries, notably the United
States, can, therefore, prevent the NAB from entering into force. As of this time, all
participants other than the United States and Germany have officially ratified their
participation.
The NAB, like the GAB, will remain in force for five years. At that time the
NAB may be renewed.
Activation of the NAB
The requirements for activating the NAB parallel those of the GAB on which
it is modeled. Like the GAB, the NAB may be drawn on by both participants and
non-participants. The NAB are intended to be used to “forestall or cope with an
impairment of the international monetary system, or to deal with an exceptional
situation
that poses a threat to the stability of that system.” [Italics added.] Th
6
e
6 IMF. Press Release No. 97/5, issued on January 27, 1997.

CRS-7
requirement of an “exceptional situation” that poses a “threat” is applied to a call for
the benefit on nonparticipants.
Procedures for activating the NAB for non-participants are somewhat more
flexible than those under the GAB. The GAB requires an additional condition that
7
the IMF’s Managing Director must find, after consultation, that the IMF faces an
inadequacy of resources. Both the GAB and the proposed NAB require non-
participants to have IMF stabilization programs in place in order to draw on these
credit lines.
Like any credit arrangement, the lenders will receive interest when the credit
line is activated. Interest will be paid to the NAB creditors at the SDR interest rate,
which fluctuates, reflecting the short-term market rates of the SDR’s constituent
currencies — the U.S. dollar, the German mark, the Japanese yen, the French franc,
and the U.K. pound sterling.
New Members
A country or institution may become a participant in the NAB in one of two
ways:
!
when the NAB are up for renewal five years after entry into force, if the
IMF and participants representing 80 percent of the credit lines agree, or
!
at any other time through an amendment to the NAB, if the IMF and
participants representing 85 percent of the credit lines agree.
Governance
The NAB are fully under the control of its participants. Participants will meet
once a year at the time of the IMF’s Annual Meeting, which occurs in September or
October of each year. Chairmanship of the NAB grouping will rotate annually
according to the English alphabetical order of the participants. Staff support will be
provided by the IMF. Topics for discussion will include, in addition to matters
pertaining to the NAB, macroeconomic and financial market developments.8
Not All There Is: Concurrent Funding Proposals
The NAB are one of a series funding proposals that are intended to underpin the
IMF’s future operations. These proposals include:
7 IMF. Survey, February 10, 1997, p. 33.
8 IMF. Press Release No. 97/5, issued on January 27, 1997.

CRS-8
! participation in a proposed quota or capital increase, the U.S. share of which
would amount to SDR 10,622.5 million (scored in the FY 1999 budget as
$14.5 billion),
! a U.S. contribution of $7 million that is part of an outstanding commitment of
$75 million to the Interest Subsidy Account of the Enhanced Structural
Adjustment Facility (ESAF), and
! a proposed allocation of SDRs equal to SDR 21 billion.9
Quotas, or members’ capital subscriptions, are the IMF’s fundamental financial
resource, its permanent source of financing.10 Quotas are what enable the IMF to
undertake its loan operations. Quotas also determine members’ voting rights,
borrowing rights, and share of any SDR allocation, if there is one. The quota
increase, the largest portion of the proposed funding package.
The NAB are a supplemental, emergency mechanism. They would provide
temporary financing for the IMF only when necessary. Thus, they are a non-quota
based source of financing for the IMF. The NAB are not, therefore, intended to
substitute for a quota or capital increase.
The Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF) was established in
December 1987 and extended and enlarged in February 1994. ESAF provides
assistance to low-income countries undertaking medium-term structural adjustment
programs. The Interest Subsidy Account was established to finance the low rate of
interest that the ESAF loans carry.
9The current proposal, adopted in September 1997, calls for a new allocation of SDR 21.4
billion, thereby doubling the number of SDRs outstanding. The proposal to allocate SDRs,
because it would require an amendment to the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, would also
require congressional authorization. Because no U.S. funds would be involved, however,
no appropriation would be required. Although the proposed SDR allocation is part of the
broader IMF funding picture, it has not yet been brought forward for congressional
consideration. For more details, however, see CRS Report 97-738 E, The IMF’s Proposed
Special Drawing Rights’ (SDR) Allocation: A Background Paper
, by (name redacted).
17 p.
1 0 For more details on the financial structure of the IMF, see CRS Report 97-228 E, The
International Monetary Fund: A Short Overview
, by (name redacted), 6 p., and CRS Report
98-412 E, International Monetary Fund (IMF): Costs and Benefits of U.S. Participation, by
(name redacted), 21 p.
For specific information on the proposed quota increase see, CRS Report 98-56 E, The
International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Proposed Quota Increase: Issues for Congress, by
(name redacted), 15 p.

CRS-9
Major Policy Issues: Moral Hazard, Contagion, and
Burden-Sharing
An expanded treatment of policy issues regarding U.S. participation in the IMF
appears in CRS Report 98-56 E, The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Proposed
Quota Increase: Issues for Congress
, and is equally applicable to the NAB. What
follows here is a limited treatment of only three selected issues.
Perhaps the most serious economic argument against funding the IMF rests on
the issue of “moral hazard,” that is, that financing by the IMF, particularly emergency
financing provided during financial crises (“bailouts”), encourages the very behavior
that it seeks to prevent. According to this view, countries know that they will be
spared the worst consequences of bad economic management. In the event, as the
1994-1995 Mexican crisis demonstrated and the Asian crisis is already
demonstrating, countries are not spared the consequences of imprudent economic
policies. The real economies of financially troubled countries and the people who
live in them suffer the painful consequences of a forced economic adjustment. The
policy question is whether the unavoidable economic pain is to be somewhat
mitigated by external financial support tied, in turn, to a conditional economic
adjustment program.
A different type of “moral hazard” also arises with regard to investors. Does the
existence of an emergency financial mechanism encourage private investors to take
on risks that they might otherwise shun in an attempt to reap greater financial
returns? In this context, some are troubled that, as a by-product of a “bailout,”
professional investors, who took on higher risks and were most probably rewarded
with higher returns, are made whole.
Investors whose activities require mark-to-market accounting treatment have
sustained immediate financial losses on their holdings in Asia. This would include
portfolio investment and trading activities, including foreign exchange. Financial
activities where accounting rules do not require marking-to-market and, thus,
immediate loss recognition — specifically, commercial bank lending, where loans
are carried at par or face value — will, nevertheless, face economic losses as loans
to Asia, Russia, and, perhaps, other troubled markets are increasingly rescheduled or
written off. Moreover, some commercial banks will have already sustained losses
in connection with trading activities.
According to Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan, testifying
before the Senate Subcommittee on Foreign Operations on March 3, Asian equity
losses (excluding Japanese companies), exceeded $700 billion from June 1997 to the
end of January 1998. More than $30 billion of this loss was sustained by U.S.
investors. Substantial further losses have been recorded in bonds and real estate.
The moral hazard issue is particularly troubling with regard to the expanded
financial package provided to Russia in July 1998. Because of its nuclear capability
and strategic importance, Russia appears to have been placed in the category of “too
big to fail.” Investors clamored for an IMF package while simultaneously investing
in short-term government notes (GKOs) — in effect asking for a guarantee of their

CRS-10
capital. Further assistance was not provided in August, however, with a ruble
devaluation resulting. The reported reason for a failure to provide additional
assistance was an insufficiency of IMF resources .11
A crisis might well also have an impact that extends beyond the difficulties of
a particular country — the “contagion” issue. This was a major concern of
policymakers as the late 1994 Mexican crisis unfolded, proving then to be justified.
This issue continues to be a major concern during the current financial crises in Asia
and Russia.
Consideration of the NAB proposal (and the proposed quota increase) is now
occurring against the backdrop of a international financial crisis that began with a
currency crisis in Thailand, resulting in the devaluation of the Thai baht on July 2,
1997. The crisis spread first to the currencies of other Southeast Asian nations, then
to Taiwan and Hong Kong. In October 1997, it reached all major financial markets,
including those of the United States. In November, Korea, the world’s eleventh
largest economy, began to experience severe pressure, eventually leading it to the
door of the IMF. In May 1998, continuing volatility in emerging markets led to a
12
financial crisis in Russia. More recently, the Japanese yen and
13
the South African
rand have been under great pressure. The U.S. government intervened in support of
the yen on June 17. Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan’s testimony of March 3,
thus, continues to be relevant:
[t]here is . . . a small but not negligible probability that the upset in East Asia
could have unexpectedly large negative effects on Japan, Latin America, and
eastern and central Europe that, in turn, could have repercussions elsewhere,
including the United States. Thus, while the probability of such an outcome may
be small, its consequences, in my judgment, should not be left solely to chance.
The trade-off, thus, is between systemic risk and the making whole of some investors
as an unintended and undesirable consequence of providing emergency assistance to
the troubled countries of Asia.
An incentive toward U.S. participation in the IMF, in general, and the NAB, in
particular, is the potential spreading of risks and costs associated with future financial
crises. As made clear by Treasury Secretary Robert E. Rubin, “[t]he United States
cannot be the lender of last resort to the world.” This policy not only remains i
14
n
place, but appears to be a guiding principle for U.S. policy in dealing with the crisis
of 1997-1998.
11Davis, Bob. IMF Lacked Cash to Stem Ruble’s Latest Plunge, Casting Doubts on More
Bailouts, Agency Tactics. Wall Street Journal, August 18, 1998, A12.
1 2 For more details on the Asian crisis, see CRS Report 98-434 E. The Asian Financial
Crisis, the IMF, and Japan: Economic Issues
, by (name redacted), 30 p.
For
13
details of the Russian crisis, see CRS Report 98-578 E, The Russian Financial Crisis:
An Analysis of Trends, Causes, and Implications, by (name redacted), 6 p.
14The New York Times, June 17, 1995, p. 34.






























































CRS-11
Some who oppose funding for the IMF reject the concept of such an
international financial institution. Other critics who oppose the quota increase and
the NAB may base their opposition on specific concerns about IMF policies. For
these critics, the institution’s performance during the Asian and Russian crises might
well be considered a test of its competency to act effectively in future crises.
The Need for the IMF Funding: the Supply Side
The IMF’s “liquidity ratio” has been used as a way of examining the adequacy
of the IMF’s financial resources. In the current debate over funding the IMF,
however, the “liquidity ratio” itself has received some attention. This is largely
attributable to the fact that the ratio is seen as having a built-in adjustment (reserve
or cushion) for future contingencies that results in an understatement in the IMF’s
available financial resources.15
Alternate View I: The “Illiquidity Ratio”
Figure 1 presents an
Figure 1. Ratio of IMF Reserve Tranche
alternative to the IMF’s
Positions to Paid-in Capital (Illiquidity Ratio),
“liquidity ratio.” The
End-of-Calendar Year 1950-May 1998
alternative ratio, which has
been dubbed the “illiquidity
ratio” in order to distinguish
it from the IMF’s ratio,
presents the ratio of reserve
tranche positions to paid-in
capital. In figure 1, very
simply, the higher the ratio
moves above the 100%
level, the more financially
constrained the IMF is
becoming (For a more
complete description of the
illiquidity ratio, see
Appendix I at the end of
this report. The illiquidity ratios themselves are presented in Appendix I Table 1.
For a comparison of the illiquidity ratio to the IMF’s liquidity ratio, see Appendix
II
.)
As of May 31, 1998, the latest published data, total reserve tranche positions for
all IMF members were equal to 142.5% of paid-in capital — the highest ratio since
1986 (158.4%).
1 5See General Accounting Office. International Monetary Fund: Observations on Its
Financial Condition
. Statement of Harold J. Johnson, Jr. before the Joint Economic
Committee, July 23, 1998.

CRS-12
By the time of a press conference held on July 13, 1998 by IMF Treasurer David
Williams, total reserve tranche positions had risen again to SDR 52.6 million. This
results in an “illiquidity ratio” of 144.9%. This level was the ninth highest
“illiquidity ratio” in the 48 full years since 1950. Three of the years that had higher
ratios occurred during the peak of the petrodollar crisis of the 1970s. The remaining
five occasions occurred during the 1980s’ debt crisis, during which the IMF’s
financial condition was more illiquid than at any time during the 48 years that were
considered here — the worst year being 1984, when the illiquidity ratio reached its
highest level ever, 186.3%. By historic standards, the IMF’s quota-based resources
are, without question, under substantial pressure. This conclusion is reached without
taking into account the Russian loan that was approved on July 20.
Alternate View II: The GAB and an Inadequacy of Resources
Yet another way to look at the IMF’s need for funding is to examine the now ten
occasions on which the “General Arrangements to Borrow” (GAB) have been
activated. The GAB are only activated when the IMF needs additional resources to
deal with an “impairment” of or a “threat” to the international monetary system. For
that reason, the GAB have been rarely activated and only when the 11 major
industrial countries that participate in the GAB (see table 2 on page 5) determine that
extreme circumstances require the additional resources. The most recent activation
was on July 20, 1998, when the IMF made a call on the GAB in order to provide
financial assistance to Russia.
Table 3 on the next page shows the illiquidity ratio at month-end just prior to
each GAB activation or a “call,” the size of the loan (“purchase”) that triggered the
call, and its hypothetical effect on the IMF’s illiquidity ratio (here termed the
“adjusted illiquidity ratio”), assuming that the full amount of the loan had been
funded without activating the GAB. The hypothetical or “adjusted” illiquidity ratio
obtained after allowing for the full amount of the Russia loan announced in July 1998
was the third highest of the ten calls, lower only than the 1977 activations for Britain
and Italy. These latter two instances occurred during the international oil crisis of the
1970s. Thus, this comparison would also tend to support the conclusion that the IMF
is, at present, seriously constrained financially.

CRS-13
Table 3. Illiquidity Ratio Prior to Activation of the “General
Arrangements to Borrow” (GAB) and After Adjustment for the
Amount of the Purchase
Month of
Beneficiary
Illiquidity
Amount of
Adjusted
Activation
Ratio Month-
Purchase
Illiquidity
end Prior to
(Million $
Ratio
Activation
or SDRs)
Dec. 1964
United Kingdom
98.6%
$1,000
123.8%
May 1965
United Kingdom
105.8%
$1,400
140.8%
Nov. 1967
United Kingdom
112.4%
$1,400
139.1%
June 1968
France
108.6%
$745
122.7%
June 1969
United Kingdom
110.5%
$500
119.9%
Sept. 1969
France
119.4%
$9851
138.0%
Jan. 1977
United Kingdom
242.8%
SDR 3,3601
288.9%
May 1977
France
253.8%
SDR 4501
260.0%
Nov. 1978
United States
72.6%
SDR 2,275
80.6%
July 13, 1998
Russia
144.9%
SDR 8,460
168.1%
Source: CRS, from IMF data.
Proposed, but not fully drawn.
1
The Need for the IMF Funding: the Demand Side
The resource needs of financially troubled countries always exceed what the
IMF is able or willing to provide. The IMF’s role is to rebuild confidence, to be a
“catalyst” to private funding. The current, perilously low level of IMF resources,
therefore, raises concern given the continuation of volatility in a number of financial
markets.
According to IMF Treasurer Williams, the IMF had “net usable resources” (IMF
definition) of SDR 23.5 billion on July 13. Commitments to Russia under the
Compensatory and Contingency Financing Facility and a tentative agreement with
Ukraine on an Extended Fund Facility (EFF) of SDR 1.6 billion ($2.2 billion,
equivalent to 165% of quota) reduce holdings in the General Resources Account
(GRA) to 19.7 billion (about $26.1 billion, as of August 24, 1998.) This does not
include funds obtained through activating the GAB to finance the augmentation of
Russia’s extended arrangement.
Among the countries that have been under financial pressure recently are
Malaysia, South Africa, Venezuela, and Brazil. Under current access limits, IMF

CRS-14
members can borrow 100% of their quotas annually and 300% cumulatively. (Most
of the recent loans have exceeded current access limits.) As of May 31, Malaysia had
a reserve position (creditor) position in the IMF and, thus, potentially, could borrow
an amount equal to its quota or SDR 832.7 million in the first year. South Africa had
a negligible reserve position, but also outstanding credit of SDR 230.4 million
(16.9% of quota). While its previous borrowing would affect the cumulative total,
it could also borrow 100% of quota in the first year or SDR 1,365.4 million. Brazil,
with only SDR 15.5 billion in outstanding loans (0.7% of quota) could also borrow
its full quota of SDR 2,170.8 million. Venezuela is in a somewhat less fortunate
position. It owes the IMF SDR 1,156.5 million (59.3% of quota). Although this
would be subtracted from its cumulative limit, it too could borrow 100% of its SDR
1,591.3 million quota in the first year. Taken together these four countries alone
could potentially request SDR 5,960.2 million ($7.9 billion) and still remain within
current access limits.
The Role of Congress
The dollar equivalent of the SDR 2,462 million funding required for U.S.
participation in the NAB is scored in the FY 1999 budget as $3.4 billion.16 Under
budgetary and accounting practices established in consultation with Congress in
1980, this will require budgetary authorization and appropriation in the full amount.17
As with the GAB, funds provided to the IMF under the NAB are provided upon
call. A budget expenditure occurs only as cash is actually transferred to the IMF. If
a transfer is made, the United States receives an equal, offsetting receipt — an
interest-bearing international monetary asset. In budgetary terms, however, offsetting
transactions are treated as an exchange of assets. As a consequence, they do not
result in net budget outlays, and they do not affect the net budgetary position of the
U.S. government irrespective of whether it is in deficit or in surplus.
Federal budget policies are generally enforced under two sets of procedures.
First, a concurrent resolution on the budget sets forth spending levels that are
enforced by points of order when legislation is under consideration. Second, the
Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, as amended (“Gramm-
Rudman”) establishes discretionary spending limits and a pay-as-you-go (PAYGO)
requirement that restrain action on annual appropriations measures and on mandatory
spending and revenue measures, respectively. Any violations of the discretionary
spending limits or the PAYGO requirement are enforced at the end of a congressional
session by a sequester, that is, by across-the-board spending cuts.
The IMF is currently exempted from both sets of federal budget enforcement
procedures. Section 314 of the Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act
1 6 U.S. Executive Office of the President. Office of Management and Budget. Budget of
the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1999. Appendix
, p. 970.

17 Additional information may be found in CRS Report 96-279 E, U.S. Budgetary Treatment
of the International Monetary Fund
, and in CRS Report 98-412 E, International Monetary
Fund (IMF): Costs and Benefits of U.S. Participation
, both by (name redacted).

CRS-15
of 1974 requires that the chairmen of the House and Senate Budget Committees
adjust various limits and allocations under a budget resolution for certain factors,
including, in Sec. 314 (b)(3), increases due to enactment of IMF funding. The IMF
18
is, thus, exempted from budget resolution controls.
The IMF is also exempted from statutory spending limits by a requirement that
the limits be increased by the amount of the IMF funding. Section 251 (b)(2)(D) of
the 1985 Balanced Budget, as amended, requires that the statutory discretionary
spending limits be increased by the amount of IMF appropriation act.19
Although funding for the IMF has no impact on the federal fiscal position and
is exempted from the budgetary enforcement procedures, it is, nevertheless, subject
to the appropriations process. IMF funding is considered with the foreign operations
appropriation. Historically, this has provided Congress with an opportunity to
exercise vigorous oversight of the IMF, its programs, and operations.
This
18
section was added by Sec. 10114 (111 Stat. 688-690) of the Budget Enforcement Act
(BEA) of 1997. The BEA of 1997 is Title X of P. L. 105-33, the Balanced Budget Act of
1997.
This
19
section was amended most recently by Sec. 10203 (111 Stat. 698-702) of the Budget
Enforcement Act (BEA) of 1997.

CRS-16
Appendix I: The “Illiquidity Ratio”
Upon becoming a member of the IMF or at the time of a quota increase, IMF
members must pay in 25% of their quota or quota increase in hard currency or SDRs.
This represents the IMF’s paid-in capital. It also constitutes an international reserve
asset of the member country and is, therefore, known as the “reserve tranche.” The
remaining 75% of a member’s quota subscription or quota increase does not have to
be paid-in, but is callable. The United States, for example, provides the callable
share of its quota in the form of a non-interest bearing, non-negotiable letter of credit
that may be accessed on demand by the IMF.
Movements in the reserve tranche positions of member countries reflect
financial activity within the IMF. As the IMF draws upon callable capital for use in
its loan operations, the reserve tranche of the member country whose currency is
drawn or “called” will increase by an equivalent amount. Its reserve tranche then will
rise above the level of paid-in capital (equal to 25% of quota). The IMF only draws
on the callable capital of member countries that are in strong balance-of-payments
positions. By comparison, countries that are not in a strong external financial
position may withdraw their reserve tranche (paid-in capital) automatically and
unconditionally upon presentation of a balance-of-payments need, and many
countries do. Indeed, some poorer countries withdraw their reserve tranche
immediately after becoming IMF members. Their right to do this arises from the fact
the reserve tranche is legally considered to be a part of a country’s international
reserve assets.
For example, as of May 31, 1998, the industrial countries had provided
resources to the IMF that more than compensated for withdrawals by the developing
countries. The industrial countries had reserve tranche positions of SDR 45,925.6
million ($61.3 billion), compared to their paid-in capital requirement of SDR
22,106.3 million ($29.5 billion). Looked at another way, the IMF had tapped SDR
23,819.3 million ($31.8 billion) in callable resources provided by the industrial
countries. By comparison, the developing countries that are IMF members had
quotas amounting to SDR 56,895.8 million (about $76.0 billion, as of May 31).
Paid-in capital or the reserve tranche for the developing countries would be equal to
SDR 14,223.95 million ($19.0 billion) In fact, however, the developing country
members of the IMF, as a group, had a combined reserved tranche position of SDR
5,851.9 million ($7.8 billion), that is, as a group, they had drawn down SDR 8,372.1
million ($11.2 billion) or 58.9% of their paid-in capital.
In text figure 1 on page 10 of this report, when the reserve tranche positions for
all IMF member countries, taken together, are equal to their paid-in capital (25% of
all IMF quotas, the 100% mark in text figure 1), the IMF is, on a net basis, in a
financially neutral position. When reserve tranche positions fall below an amount
equal to paid-in capital, some member countries have withdrawn all or part of their
reserve tranche. Total reserve tranche positions have fallen below the 100% mark,
but the IMF has not had to draw on its callable capital in order to allow them to do
that. In addition, the IMF is also able to fund any loan operations from paid-in
capital. Although the IMF is becoming relatively less liquid, it is not particularly
financially constrained because it has sufficient paid-in capital to cover its needs. On

CRS-17
the other hand, when reserve tranche positions begin to exceed paid-in capital, the
IMF is tapping callable capital to fund its operations. It is once again becoming
relatively less liquid, but the manner in which it funding its operations has changed
— from paid-in capital solely to paid-in plus callable capital. The “illiquidity ratio”
rises above 100%. Thus, the higher the ratio rises above 100%, the more seriously
constrained are the IMF’s finances.
A major feature of the ratio shown in text figure 1 is that it does not involve any
type of adjustment or allowance for the amount of financial resources that the IMF
must have available for future contingencies. Rather this ratio makes no judgement
on this highly contentious issue. Data used by CRS for this ratio are “hard,”
bookkeeping, or accounting numbers. Considering only quota-based resources, the
IMF is simply more financially constrained the higher the ratio moves above the
100% level. For this reason, and to distinguish it from the IMF’s ratio, it is dubbed
the “illiquidity ratio.”
A second feature of the ratio is that its components are fundamental to the IMF’s
operations, are published monthly, and have been publicly available for a long time.
Using published data available to CRS, the data series could be run back to 1950, not
too many years after the IMF first began its loan operations. To achieve this 48-year
time series, calendar-year data were used. Alternatively, end of IMF fiscal-year data
could have been used. Data for building a similarly long time-series using
end-of-IMF-fiscal-year data were not, however, available within CRS. By
comparison, the IMF’s “liquidity ratio,” is only available annually, published in the
IMF’s Annual Reports every year since 1990.
A disadvantage of the “illiquidity” ratio is that a two-month lag still remains,
reflecting the normal lag in publication of the data for reserve position in the IMF’s
International Financial Statistics (IFS). In less volatile times, this would not be of
particular importance; in the midst of a major international financial crisis, however,
it is a drawback. CRS has taken advantage of data provided by IMF Treasurer David
Williams in his press conference of July 13, 1998 to update the ratio to this latter
date.
Finally, the ratio does not take into account the impact of borrowed resources.
During some periods they have provided a significant amount of resources to the
IMF. All previous borrowings, however, were repaid by 1996. At present the IMF
has access to SDR 17.0 billion (currently about $22.5 billion) under the GAB, of
which SDR 6.3 billion (about $8.3 billion) were recently activated for the assistance
package for Russia. For some time now, reserve tranche positions and outstanding
fund credit have been moving in rough tandem. The activation of the GAB takes
some pressure off the IMF’s general resources and alters the direct relationship
between reserve tranche positions and outstanding fund credit. As a result, the
“illiquidity ratio”is likely to stabilize.
Ratios are presented in appendix table 1 on the next page.

CRS-18
Table 1a. Ratio of Reserve Tranche Positions to Paid-In Capital
(Illiquidity Ratio), CY 1950-May 1998
(Percent)
Year
Ratio
Year
Ratio
Year
Ratio
Year
Ratio
1950
83.2
1963
107.7
1976
182.0
1989
114.2
1951
85.2
1964
113.4
1977
185.6
1990
104.2
1952
88.2
1965
102.6
1978
99.5
1991
113.6
1953
94.2
1966
121.0
1979
78.9
1992
95.9
1954
91.7
1967
109.7
1980
113.0
1993
90.6
1955
85.9
1968
123.8
1981
143.1
1994
87.7
1956
103.8
1969
128.4
1982
170.8
1995
101.2
1957
105.6
1970
106.9
1983
175.3
1996
104.6
1958
116.6
1971
88.3
1984
186.3
1997
129.6
1959
88.8
1972
87.9
1985
173.6
7/13/98
144.9
1960
97.5
1973
85.6
1986
158.4


1961
113.4
1974
122.9
1987
141.0


1962
103.6
1975
175.5
1988
126.7


Source: Calculated from IMF. International Financial Statistics. Various yearbook
and monthly editions.
Years in which quota increases adopted are shaded. Dates of entry into effect, as
follows: April 6, 1959; February 23, 1966; October 30, 1970; April 1, 1978;
November 29, 1980; November 30, 1983; and November 11, 1992.

















































































































CRS-19
Appendix II: A Comparison of CRS’ Illiquidity Ratio
and the IMF’s Liquidity Ratio
Graphic presentations of CRS’ illiquidity ratio and the IMF’s liquidity ratio are
shown immediately below. It is important to remember in looking at the two graphs
that they will move in opposition directions when showing the same thing
. Thus, in
figure 2, CRS’ illiquidity ratio, a rising ratio indicates that the IMF is becoming
increasingly illiquid; in figure 3, the IMF’s liquidity ratio, a falling ratio indicates
that the IMF is becoming increasingly illiquid. For comparability, the data for both
graphs are presented on an IMF fiscal-year basis, that is, ending April 30 of each
year, except for December 31, 1997 and July 13, 1998. The two sets of ratios are
also presented in appendix table 2 at the end of this section. Because the two ratios
are constructed differently, the resulting ratios also differ numerically.
This
outcome is implicit in their construction and entirely expected.
Figure 2. CRS Illiquidity Ratio,
Figure 3. IMF Liquidity Ratio,
IMF FY 1990-July 1998
IMF FY 1990-July 1998
Comparison of the two graphs allows a few conclusions to be drawn:
! both ratios show that the IMF was in a fairly liquid financial position from
April 1993, just following approval of a quota increase in late 1992, through
April 1997,
! both ratios show that between April 1997 and December 1997 the IMF
became increasingly illiquid and that this deterioration has continued in 1998,
! both ratios show that the IMF is now more illiquid than at any time during the
nearly 8 ½ years period, and
! the CRS ratio shows somewhat less variability than the IMF’s liquidity ratio,
but, over the entire period, the outcome does not differ greatly. From 1990 to
July 1998, with a base year of 1990 as 100, an index for CRS’s “illiquidity
ratio”rose by 53.2%, while an index for the IMF’s “liquidity ratio” fell by
57.7%.
From an analytical perspective, the somewhat greater variability in the IMF ratio
is not surprising; it is implicit in the construction of the ratio itself. The numerator

CRS-20
of the IMF’s liquidity ratio consists of “uncommitted and adjusted usable resources.”
The IMF adjusts the numerator to reflect its need to maintain working balances of
currencies and to reflect the possibility that the currencies of some members in
relatively weaker external positions might have to be removed from the operational
budget. (The latter consists of the currencies of about 30 countries that the IMF uses
in its operations. The IMF maintains confidentially regarding which currencies are
included in its operational budget. The removal of a weak currency from the
operational budget might provide an adverse signal to private financial markets.)
Since February 1998, the adjustment factor applied to the numerator has been set at
10% of the quotas of members whose currencies are used in the operational budget.
Neither of these two adjustment factors are a matter of public record, nor can they
readily be estimated or calculated. The resulting number for “uncommitted and
adjusted usable resources,” nevertheless, represents the IMF’s judgement on the
amount of resources it has available for future loan operations.
The denominator of the IMF’s “liquidity ratio” consists of the IMF’s liquid
liabilities, which consists of reserve tranche positions of IMF members and, before
1996 and after July 1998 (when the GAB were activated), also of loan claim against
the IMF, that is, the IMF’s borrowings from member countries to supplement it
resources.
Although the IMF has published it “liquidity ratio” only since 1990, it has
reported the parameters of movements in earlier years. According to the IMF, the
“liquidity ratio” ranged between 71.0% and 108.5% at the end of each of its fiscal
years 1983 to 1989. According to IMF Treasurer Williams, the lowest liquidit
20
y
ratio that the IMF has experienced was 30%.21
Table 2a. CRS Illiquidity Ratio and IMF Liquidity Ratios,
IMF FY 1990 - July 1998
CRS
IMF
CRS
IMF
IMF
Illiquidity
Liquidity IMF
Liquidity
Liquidity
Fiscal Year
Ratio
Ratio
Fiscal Year
Ratio
Ratio
1990
94.5
105.6
1995
87.5
126.6
1991
95.9
94.0
1996
102.8
89.8
1992
95.9
81.6
1997
99.4
120.5
1993
83.7
154.9
Dec. 1997
129.6
47.8
1994
81.0
167.9
July 1998
144.9
44.7
Source: CRS, from IMF data.
20Annual Report, 1990, p. 51
21Press conference, July 13, 1998.

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