Social Security: Raising or Eliminating the Taxable Earnings Base

Order Code 97-116 EPW Updated January 30, 2003 CRS Report for Congress Received through the CRS Web Social Security: Raising or Eliminating the Taxable Earnings Base Geoffrey Kollmann Specialist in Social Legislation Domestic Social Policy Division Summary Social Security taxes are levied on earnings up to a maximum level set each year. In 2003, this maximum — or what is referred to as the taxable earnings base — is $87,000. There is no similar base for the Medicare Hospital Insurance (HI) portion of the tax; all earnings are taxable for HI purposes. Elimination of the HI base was proposed by President Clinton and enacted in 1993, effectively beginning in 1994. Recently others have proposed that the base for Social Security be raised or eliminated as well. They complain that taxing earnings only up to a certain level creates a regressive tax. They point out that the 94% of all workers whose earnings fall below this level have a greater proportion of earnings taxed than the 6% whose earnings exceed it. They contend that the revenues generated by raising the level — estimated at almost $100 billion in 2003 if all earnings were taxed — could be used to reduce Social Security taxes for lower wage earners or help reduce the long-range actuarial shortfall in Social Security. Those who support retaining the base in its current form point out that Social Security’s benefit formula favors low-wage earners by replacing a greater proportion of their earnings than it does for higher wage earners. They argue that the progressive benefits mitigate the regressive tax. They maintain that eliminating the base completely would cause enormous benefits to be paid to millionaires (since benefits are based on one’s earnings record), weaken pensions and other forms of private savings, and ultimately erode public support for the program. Background Social Security was enacted in 1935, and the Social Security tax was first levied in 1937. From 1937 through 1949 the tax rate was 1% (on employee and employer, each) on earnings up to $3,000 a year. From then on, the rate and taxable maximum were increased numerous times to help meet the financing needs of the program and to keep the taxable maximum up to date with changing earnings levels. Medicare was enacted in 1965, and the hospital insurance (HI) portion of the program also was financed with payroll taxes. The HI tax was first levied in 1966 at a rate of 0.35% (on employee and employer, each) and the maximum taxable amount was set at same level as Social Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress CRS-2 Security’s.1 The HI rate was subsequently raised periodically (reaching its current level of 1.45% in 1986) to meet the financing needs of the program, but its base continued to be the same as Social Security’s through 1990. In 1991, as a result of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990 (P.L. 101-518), the HI base was raised to $125,000 (in lieu of the $53,400 level set that year for Social Security), and in 1994, as a result of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 (P.L. 103-66), it was eliminated. The base has been raised 36 times for Social Security and 24 times for HI. Since 1982, the Social Security base has risen at the same rate as wages in the economy. By law the Commissioner of Social Security is required to raise the base whenever an automatic benefit increase — cost of living adjustment (COLA) — is granted to Social Security recipients, assuming wages have risen. An increase in the base from $$84,900 in 2002 to $87,000 in 2003 was derived from an increase in average wages from 1999 to 2000. Origin of the Base People often ask why is there is a maximum amount of earnings subject to the tax — why aren’t all earnings taxed? Year 2003 Social Security and Medicare Tax Rates and Maximum Taxable Earnings Social Security tax rate* Hospital Insurance tax rate* 6.20% 1.45% In 1935, the designers of Social Security — President Maximum taxable earnings: Franklin Roosevelt’s Committee Social Security $87,000 Hospital Insurance no maximum on Economic Security — did not recommend a maximum level of Percent of covered earnings taxable earnings in its plan, and above the base (not taxed): the draft bill that President Social Security ** 16.5% Roosevelt sent to the Hill did not Hospital Insurance (all earnings are taxed) include one. The bill emphasized *Employee and employer each; double for self-employed, who was to be covered by the but certain adjustments and income tax deductions apply. system, not how much wages should be taxed. Being in the **Represents estimate for 2000; from 2001 Social Security Annual Statistical Supplement. midst of the Depression, the Administration’s attention was on the large number of aged people living in poverty. Its goal in proposing a Social Security program was to complement public assistance measures (Old-Age Assistance) in its plan. The plan offered immediate cash aid to the aged poor and created an earnings-replacement system intended to lessen the need for welfare benefits in the long run. It was recognized that the new system would not be sufficient to provide full income in retirement, but would provide a “core” benefit as a floor of protection against poverty. Not concerned about high-income retirees, the Administration’s proposal exempted non-manual workers earning $250 or more a month from coverage, i.e., $3,000 on an annual basis). Manual workers were to be covered regardless of their earnings, but few had earnings above this level. 1 The same maximum taxable amount was set for the self-employed when they were covered in 1951 and for the Disability Insurance (DI) portion of the tax when it was first levied in 1957. CRS-3 It was the Social Security bill reported by the House Ways and Means Committee that clearly established a maximum taxable amount, which it set at $3,000 per year.2 In addition, the committee dropped the exemption for non-manual workers with high earnings. The committee’s report and floor statements made at the time give no clear record as to the reasoning for the taxable limit, but concerns about tax equity and attaining as much program coverage of the workforce as possible were suggested as factors for rejecting the high-earner exemption. Not covering them meant that they would not pay the tax where lower wage earners would, and coverage would be erratic for workers whose earnings fluctuated above and below the $250 monthly threshold. Although tax policy concerns were raised in later years, with a higher base preferred by those seeking a progressive tax system, there was little if any serious attention given to eliminating the base entirely. In the late 1940s and early 1950s and to a lesser extent later on, the major arguments were over the base’s size and how it affected the development of Social Security. A larger base meant that more earnings would be credited to a person’s Social Security record and lead to higher benefits (since benefits are based on a worker’s earnings). Proponents argued that the base needed to be raised to reflect wage or price growth so that the benefits of moderate and well-to-do recipients would not erode over time (thereby preserving their support for the system). Critics argued that this would increase benefits for people who could save on their own while making saving by private means more difficult. In 1972, as a means of financing cost-ofliving adjustments for Social Security recipients, procedures were enacted that increased the base automatically to reflect the growth in average wages. In 1977, the base was raised beyond what resulted from the automatic provisions (by $7,500 over three years) as a means of raising revenue to help shore up the program’s ailing financial condition. In 1990, as part of a 5-year plan (the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990) to reduce federal budget deficits, a higher base was enacted for HI ($125,000, effective in 1991). The HI base rose automatically to $135,000 over the next two years. In 1993, as part of his plan to reduce budget deficits, President Clinton proposed that the HI base be eliminated altogether. His proposal was enacted as part of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 and took effect in 1994 (raising an estimated $29 billion in revenues over the FY1994-98 period). Arguments For and Against Raising or Eliminating the Base Several proposals to raise or eliminate the base have been made in recent years. In the 105th Congress Senator Moynihan proposed raising the base to $97,500 by 2003 ($15,600 more than it was projected to be under current law) as part of a package of changes to restore Social Security’s long-range solvency (S. 1792). He again included an increase in the base in a solvency package he introduced in the 106th Congress (S. 21). Similar base hikes were contained in other solvency bills introduced by Senators Gregg and Breaux, et.al. (S.1383 and S.2774) and by Representative Nadler (H.R. 1043). In the 107th Congress, H.R. 2771 introduced by Representatives Kolbe and Stenholm would hold the base at 86% of total payroll. Some general arguments for and against these ideas follow. 2 The maximum for a worker was to be $3,000 per year per employer, so that, under the original legislation enacted in 1935, someone could have paid tax on more than $3,000 in earnings per year (and received benefits from all such wages) if they worked for more than one employer. CRS-4 Arguments For. The major complaint about the Social Security base is that it creates a regressive tax structure. Critics point out that workers earning less than the base have a greater proportion of earnings taxed than workers whose earnings exceed it. In 2003, someone with annual earnings of $30,000 pays $1,860 in Social Security taxes, or 6.2% of his or her earnings (ignoring the HI portion and the employer share of the tax). However, because the tax is levied on only the first $87,000 in earnings, someone earning $200,000 a year pays $5,394, or only 2.7% of his or her earnings. Critics point out that only 6% of workers have earnings above the base, and, since 1991, the amount of their earnings that escapes taxation has risen from 12% to 17%, and is projected to continue to rise. They therefore contend that the current tax structure favors a small group of the most well-off workers in society. They also point out that the overall employee tax rate rose from 6.13% in 1980 to 7.65% in 1990 (counting the Medicare portion) — or by 25% — and complain that this increase is one of the main reasons for a disproportionate rise in the aggregate federal tax burden on lower and middle-income people over that decade. They further maintain that for most workers, Social Security and Medicare taxes (counting the employer share, which they view as a foregone wage) are now greater than their income taxes. Thus, critics argue that raising or eliminating the base not only would be more fair, but also that the tax rate could be reduced without causing a loss of revenue to the system, or, alternatively, that Social Security’s projected long-range financing problems could be substantially alleviated. It is estimated that almost $100 billion in new Social Security taxes would be generated annually by taxing all earnings, and if such revenues were not used to lower the tax rate, they would reduce the government’s outstanding debt and Social Security’s long-range deficit. This deficit currently is projected to be about 14% of the program’s income. Proponents of increasing the base argue that, while eventually it would cause higher benefits to be paid to some workers (because the additional “taxed” earnings would be added to the workers’ Social Security earnings records), overall there would be a net revenue gain to the system. The actuaries of the Social Security Administration have estimated that if the base were eliminated, $3 in revenue would result for every $1 in additional benefits (on average over their 75-year valuation period). This could eliminate about 2/3rds of the long-range Social Security deficit.3 Arguments Against. Those who support keeping the base as it is argue that its critics often view the issue as only a tax policy matter — that they see only a regressive tax. They contend that this perceived regressivity is offset by the progressive nature of Social Security, i.e., its benefit formula favors low-wage earners by replacing a greater proportion of their earnings than it does for high-wage earners. They further maintain that its critics fail to take into account the effect of the earned income tax credit (EITC). They point out that mitigating the Social Security tax bite was part of the motivation for creating the EITC, which provides an income tax credit on earnings up to $34,692 in 2003 for married workers with two or more children (up to $12,250 for married workers without children). They also point out that low-income families receive a greater share of government transfer payments that are not subject to Social Security taxes. They argue 3 In the 2002 trustees’ report, the average deficit was reported to be 1.87% of taxable payroll. The SSA actuaries estimate that eliminating the base would generate revenue equal to 2% of payroll on average, while benefit costs would rise by 0.7%. CRS-5 that the combination of these factors mitigates the flat-rate nature of the tax at lower earnings levels, and that for most other workers the tax is proportional (because it is flatrate). It is only at the upper end of the income spectrum that it takes on a regressive appearance. Supporters also point out that those who would raise the base in order to lower the rate often ignore the long-run costs of such a change. Although such a proposal would achieve revenue neutrality in the short run, it would increase the system’s long-range expenditures (because more earnings would be credited to the work records of those affected and used to calculate their benefits), which already is a matter of some concern because of the large number of post-World War II baby boomers who will begin to enter their retirement years in about five years. This, they argue, is different from the elimination of the HI base, which carried no added benefit costs. From another perspective, some — who might otherwise espouse progressive taxation — support raising the base but not eliminating it. They believe eliminating it would weaken the principle that Social Security gives people something for their taxes. Having a cap makes Social Security seem less like general purpose taxation. They argue that the system needs support from people of all earnings levels, and that the larger benefits that high earners would receive would represent a poor return for the higher taxes they would pay. This, they contend, would add fuel to complaints that the system is not a good deal. Moreover, regardless of the money’s worth issue, some question the wisdom of paying large benefits to well-to-do people. They argue that the purpose of the program is to provide a floor of protection for retirement, not large benefits for those who can save on their own. They contend that eliminating the base would cause Social Security to supplant part of the role of private pensions, while raising public cynicism about a publicly financed system that pays enormous benefits to people who already are well off. Table 1. Social Security and Medicare Tax Rates and Taxable Earnings Bases Tax rates Sociala Year Security 1937 1.000 1950 1.500 1951 1.500 1952 1.500 1953 1.500 1954 2.000 1955 2.000 1956 2.000 1957 2.250 1958 2.250 1959 2.500 1960 3.000 1961 3.000 1962 3.125 1963 3.625 HIa — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Self-employed ( Social Security & HI combined) — — 2.25 2.25 2.25 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.375 3.375 3.75 4.5 4.5 4.7 5.4 Maximum taxable earnings for Social Security & HI $3,000 3,000 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600 4,200 4,200 4,200 4,200 4,800 4,800 4,800 4,800 4,800 % of workers with earnings below Social Security base 96.9 71.1 75.5 72.1 68.8 68.4 74.4 71.6 70.1 69.4 73.3 72.0 70.8 68.8 67.5 % of covered earnings below Social Security base 92.0 79.7 81.1 80.5 78.5 77.7 80.3 78.8 77.5 76.4 79.3 78.1 77.4 75.8 74.6 CRS-6 Tax rates Sociala Year Security 1964 3.625 1965 3.625 1966 3.850 1967 3.900 1968 3.800 1969 4.200 1970 4.200 1971 4.600 1972 4.600 1973 4.850 1974 4.950 1975 4.950 1976 4.950 1977 4.950 1978 5.050 1979 5.080 1980 5.080 1981 5.350 1982 5.400 1983 5.400 1984 5.700 1985 5.700 1986 5.700 1987 5.700 1988 6.060 1989 6.060 1990 6.200 1991 6.200 1992 6.200 1993 6.200 1994 6.200 1995 6.200 1996 6.200 1997 6.200 1998 6.200 1999 6.200 2000 6.200 2001 6.200 2002 6.200 2003 6.200 HIa — — 0.35 .5 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 1.0 .9 .9 .9 .9 1.0 1.05 1.05 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.35 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 Self-employed ( Social Security & HI combined) 5.4 5.4 6.15 6.4 6.4 6.9 6.9 7.5 7.5 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.1 9.3 9.35 9.35 14.0 14.1 14.3 14.3 15.02 15.02 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 Maximum taxable earnings for Social Security & HI 4,800 4,800 6,600 6,600 7,800 7,800 7,800 7,800 9,000 10,800 13,200 14,100 15,300 16,500 17,700 22,900 25,900 29,700 32,400 35,700 37,800 39,600 42,000 43,800 45,000 48,000 51,300 53,400 (HI-125,000) 55,500 (HI-130,200) 57,600 (HI-135,000) 60,600 (HI-no limit) 61,200 (HI-no limit) 62,700 (HI-no limit) 65,400 (HI-no limit) 68,400 (HI-no limit) 72,600 (HI-no limit) 76,200 (HI-no limit) 80,400 (HI-no limit) 84,900 (HI-no limit) 87,000 (HI-no limit) % of workers with earnings below Social Security base 65.5 63.9 75.8 73.6 78.6 75.5 74.0 71.7 75.0 79.7 84.9 84.9 85.1 85.2 84.6 90.0 91.2 92.4 92.9 93.7 93.6 93.5 93.8 93.9 93.5 93.8 94.3 94.4 94.3 94.4 94.6 94.2 93.9 est. 93.8 est. 93.8 est. Not yet known Not yet known Not yet known Not yet known Not yet known % of covered earnings below Social Security base 72.8 71.3 80.0 78.1 81.7 80.1 78.2 76.3 78.3 81.8 85.3 84.4 84.3 85.0 83.8 87.3 88.9 89.2 90.0 90.0 89.3 88.9 88.6 87.6 85.8 86.8 87.2 87.8 86.8 87.2 87.1 85.8 85.3 est. 84.7 est. 84.2 est. 83.7 est. 83.5 est. Not yet known Not yet known Not yet known Source: Social Security Bulletin, Annual Statistical Supplement, 2001. Same for employer except 1984 — employee received 0.3% credit (not reflected above). Various credits also applied to self-employed (not reflected above) for 1984-1989 period. a