Israel’s Attack on Iran and Ongoing Conflict
Changes from June 13, 2025 to June 16, 2025
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On June 13, 2025, Israel began a major military operation against Iran, including air strikes and reported covert action. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowedvowed to continue attacks for "as many days as it takes," targeting what he termed existential"existential" threats posed by Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missiles. Iran's foreign minister described Israel's attack as a "declaration of war" in a letter to the United Nations, and called on the UN Security Council to immediately address the issue. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei pledged that Israel would receive a "bitter, painful fate."
Initial Israeli attacks reportedly were successful in degrading. Iran has retaliated by launching hundreds of ballistic missiles against Israel amid continued Israeli airstrikes across Iran and international calls for de-escalation.
Israeli attacks reportedly have degraded Iranian air defenses and some missile bases, targeting nuclear sites across the country, and killingkilled a number of high-level Iranian military and government officials and nuclear scientists (see Figure 1 and Figure 2). A government-aligned Iranian news outlet reported the strikes had killed dozens and wounded hundreds of civilians, and struck some nuclear sites, government buildings, energy facilities, and other targets across the country (see Figure 1). Strikes and other attacks have reportedly killed over 200 in Iran as of June 15 and 24 in Israel as of June 16. The U.S. military is reportedly helping Israel intercept Iranian missiles in the ongoing conflict, as it did during Iran's April and October 2024 drone and missile attacks. President Trump reportedly has directed additional U.S. air and naval assets toward the region. Israel has procured most of its fighter aircraft and large munitions from U.S. suppliers, financed to date by more than $3 billion of U.S. aid annually.
Iran launched 150 missiles at Israel in response to the June 13 attack, with some reportedly injuring civilians in Tel Aviv. U.S. forces reportedly helped intercept some missiles, as they did during Iran's April and October 2024 drone and missile attacks.
Trump Administration and Congressional Response
President Donald Trump said he was aware of the Israeli plans beforehand, and supports Israel, and alluded to "more to come." " on June 13. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated at the outset of the Israeli attack that the United States was "not involved" in the strikes. Prior to the strikes, President Trump expressed a preference for a negotiated rather than military solution. President Trump posted on Truth Social that Israel's attacks came at the end of the 60-day deadline he set for U.S.-Iran negotiations to reach a deal when they began in mid-April, and told a reporter the attack might compel Iran to reach an agreement with the United States. Iranian state television appears to have reported that Iran has suspended U.S.-Iran negotiations indefinitely in the wake of the attack; a sixth round of talks was previously scheduled for June 15. Secretary Rubio warned Iran not to target U.S. interests or personnel, some of whom may have started departing the region before the Israeli attacks.
Iran canceled a sixth round of talks, previously scheduled for June 15.
President Trump said on June 15 that that the United States is "not at this moment involved" but could be. He has continued to state his hope for a deal on the nuclear issue but noted Israel and Iran may "have to fight it out," and stated openness to potential Israel-Iran mediation by Russia. With Israeli analysts reportedly assessing that Israel has hit only a portion of Iran's nuclear program, some reports indicate that Israel may have asked U.S. officials for participation in an operation against Iran's deep underground enrichment facility at Fordow.
Historical Background
During Prime Minister Netanyahu's tenure after 2009, Israel has threatened multiple times to act militarily to destroy or set back Iran's nuclear program. Israel, which for decades has presumably maintained a nuclear arsenal but has not officially acknowledged it, has taken preemptive action against nuclear programs in the region—destroying an Iraqi facility in 1981 and a Syrian one in 2007. In the 2010s, Israel apparently executed a number of covert actions against Iranian facilities and personnel to disrupt and delay the program. Alongside U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports, the Obama Administration led international efforts to reach a 2015 agreement (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA), which placed new physical constraints, as well as inspection and monitoring provisions, on Iran's nuclear program. In 2018, President Trump (with strong support from Netanyahu) ended U.S. participation in the JCPOA, citing what he described as the accord's defects, and increased sanctions on Iran. Approximately a year later, Iran began nuclear activities that exceeded limits set forth in the JCPOA.
Hamas-led attacks on Israel in 2023 were followed by broader regional conflict between Israel and Iran's "axis of resistance." Direct clashes between Israel and Iran in April and October 2024 and Israel's large-scale degradation of Hezbollah (a key Iranian ally) in Lebanon prompted serious discussion in Israel about whether and when to act against Iran's nuclear program. Having seemingly mostly neutralized Hezbollah's missile threat and ostensibly weakened Iran's air defenses and ballistic missile production capacity, Israeli leaders reportedly explored plans, including with U.S. counterparts, to strike Iran's nuclear program amid increasing discussionincreasingly public discussion in Iran of the once-taboo subject of weaponization in Iran. Some of President Trump's public comments discouraged attacks while U.S. officials engaged in diplomacy with Iran after April 2025.
Iran: Impact and Possible Responses
Leadership. Israel appears to have targeted the upper echelons of the Iranian military establishment. According to Israeli claims and other reports, major Iranian figures killed or injured in the Israeli attack may include its military chief of staff; the commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC)IRGC, IRGC Air Force, and IRGC-Quds Force, and IRGC-Intelligence Organization; an advisor to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei with responsibility for nuclear negotiations; and at least 10 senior nuclear scientists.
Iran's regime. Israel's assault could inspire Iranians to rally around a government that has faced popular protests in recent years, or could contribute to political instability. Late on June 13, Netanyahu told the Iranian people that Israel was "clearing the path for you to achieve your objective, which is freedom."
Nuclear program. The impact on Iran's nuclear program may depend on what remains of Iran's enriched uranium stockpiles, accumulated technical knowledge, or other elements of its nuclear program—parts of which are underground and may be less vulnerable to aerial attacks. The International Atomic Energy Agency's Director General reported late on June 1316 that strikes had "destroyed" an above ground the above-ground part" of a uranium enrichment facility at Natanz, and relayed Iranian reports of attacks on sites at Fordow, where Iran has a deep underground enrichment facility, and Isfahan and damaged the Isfahan nuclear site; he also reported that no "damage has been seen" at Fordow, amid some reported attacks near the facility. Iran could pull out of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (which Iranian officials had recently threatened to do) and/or accelerate efforts to develop a nuclear weapon to deter or threaten Israel and other adversaries. In March 2025, U.S. officials restated their assessment that Iran does not have a nuclear weapons program, but that added "Iran's enriched uranium stockpile is at its highest levels and is unprecedented for a state without nuclear weapons."
Military responses. It is unclear what additional capabilities Iran might seek to use against Israel. Reportedly, U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East Steve Witkoff warned some Senators earlier in June that Iranian ballistic missile retaliation could overwhelm Israeli air defenses. In June 10 House Armed Services Committee testimony, U.S. Central Command Commander General Michael Kurilla said that a U.S. Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system was defending Israel from ballistic missile threats. Iran could alsoor its partners could attack U.S. regional installations, having on June 11 reiterated longstandinglong-standing threats to do so in the event of conflict;. Iran's foreign minister said that the June 13 attack "could not have been carried out without the coordination and authorization of the United States." Secretary Rubio warned Iran not to target U.S. interests or personnel, some of whom may have started departing the region before the Israeli attacks. Such attacks, or Iranian moves to close the Strait of Hormuz or otherwise disrupt global energy markets, could trigger direct U.S. responses. It is unclear whether Iran's apparent loss of senior military leaders and the damage to weapons and infrastructure could affect its ability to coordinate military attacks.
Regional and International Reactions
Within the region, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Oman (which had mediated U.S.-Iran talks), Qatar, and Iraq have condemned Israel's attack. The Gulf Cooperation CouncilThe Wall Street Journal reported on June 16 that Iran has signaled interest in ending hostilities and returning to negotiations as long as the United States does not join attacks on Iran.
Regional and International Reactions
The Gulf Cooperation Council (comprising several Arab states) said that Israel's actions violate international law, and called for concerted international efforts to stop Israel's "aggression" and avoid escalation. Russia and the People's Republic of China also strongly criticized theIsrael's attack.
Considerations for Congress
In engaging executive branch officials, shaping legislative responses to recent developments, and conducting oversight of the Administration's approach to those developments, Congress could consider the following questions:
- What immediate effect could the conflict have on U.S. citizens and personnel? What, if anything, should the U.S. government do to assist U.S. citizens in the region
in the region and beyond? How may the conflict affect regional and global security and commerce? - What military responses might Iran consider taking against U.S. personnel and installations? Against Israel or other U.S. partners? What authorities and resources, if any, should Congress make available immediately or in the event the United States is drawn into direct conflict with Iran? What, if any, limitations should it consider?
How likely are Israel's actions to permanently destroy or set back Iran's nuclear program? How likely are Iranian leaders toHow has fighting so far affected Iran's nuclear program, military capabilities, and government stability? How have Iranian strikes affected Israel and what has been the U.S. role in combatting them? What military responses might Iran consider taking against U.S. personnel and installations? Against U.S. partners? Under what circumstances might the U.S. military become more involved in the conflict? How likely are Iranian leaders to attempt to move closer to acquiring nuclear weapons in response? What are the prospects for U.S.-Iran nuclear talks?In the context of major conflict involving Israel and Iran that has gripped the region since October 2023, how might this fightingHow might fighting between Israel and Iran affect the regional balance of power, great power competition, and U.S. capacity to pursue its strategic priorities in the Indo-Pacific, Europe, and elsewhere?
To support, reject, or modify the Administration's approach to developments, Congress may consider action concerning military assistance, arms sales, sanctions, defense appropriations, authorization of use of military force, diplomacy and negotiated agreements, and oversight of the Administration's past and ongoing policies and programs.