Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
July 13, 2022May 2, 2023
Historically, Egypt has been an important country for U.S. national security interests based on its
Historically, Egypt has been an important country for U.S. national security interests based on its
geography, demography, and diplomatic posture. Egypt controls the Suez Canal, which opened in geography, demography, and diplomatic posture. Egypt controls the Suez Canal, which opened in
Jeremy M. Sharp
1869 and is one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints, linking the Mediterranean and
1869 and is one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints, linking the Mediterranean and
Specialist in Middle
Specialist in Middle
Red Seas. As of
Red Seas. As of
early 20222023, an estimated , an estimated
1012% of global trade, including 7% of the world’s oil, % of global trade, including 7% of the world’s oil,
flows
Eastern Affairs
Eastern Affairs
flows through the Suez Canal. through the Suez Canal.
Egypt’s population of more than
Egypt’s population of more than
103104 million people makes it by far the most populous Arabic- million people makes it by far the most populous Arabic-
speaking country. Although today it may play a smaller political or military role in the Arab
speaking country. Although today it may play a smaller political or military role in the Arab
world than it has in the past, Egypt may retain some “soft power” by virtue of its history, media, and culture. Cairo hosts both world than it has in the past, Egypt may retain some “soft power” by virtue of its history, media, and culture. Cairo hosts both
the 22-member Arab League and Al Azhar University, which claims to be the oldest continuously operating university in the the 22-member Arab League and Al Azhar University, which claims to be the oldest continuously operating university in the
world and has symbolic importance as a leading source of Islamic scholarship. world and has symbolic importance as a leading source of Islamic scholarship.
Additionally, Egypt’s 1979 peace treaty with Israel remains one of the most significant diplomatic achievements for the
Additionally, Egypt’s 1979 peace treaty with Israel remains one of the most significant diplomatic achievements for the
promotion of Arab-Israeli peace. While people-to-people relations remain limited, the Israeli and Egyptian governments have promotion of Arab-Israeli peace. While people-to-people relations remain limited, the Israeli and Egyptian governments have
increased their cooperation against Islamist militants and instability in the Sinai Peninsula and Gaza Strip. increased their cooperation against Islamist militants and instability in the Sinai Peninsula and Gaza Strip.
Since taking office, President Joseph Biden has balanced various considerations in his approach to U.S.-Egyptian relations,
Since taking office, President Joseph Biden has balanced various considerations in his approach to U.S.-Egyptian relations,
praising Egyptian diplomacy while signaling U.S. displeasure praising Egyptian diplomacy while signaling U.S. displeasure
forwith Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al Sisi’s continued Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al Sisi’s continued
domestic crackdown. In the domestic crackdown. In the
nearly twotwo-and-a-half years since the United States started facilitating the historic Abraham Accords years since the United States started facilitating the historic Abraham Accords
between Israel and various Arab states, Egypt, which has maintained its peace treaty with Israel since 1979, has earned praise between Israel and various Arab states, Egypt, which has maintained its peace treaty with Israel since 1979, has earned praise
from U.S. officials by increasing its diplomatic outreach to Israel. from U.S. officials by increasing its diplomatic outreach to Israel.
Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine and the ensuing war have negatively affected Egypt’s food security, economy,
Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine and the ensuing war have negatively affected Egypt’s food security, economy,
and national budget. As a result, and national budget. As a result,
in late 2022, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) extended a $3 billion, 46-month Extended Fund Facility to Egypt predicated on a number of key reforms, such as the privatization of state-owned companies, including military-run corporations. Egypt also is looking for additional financial support from the Gulf Arab States, such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and QatarGulf Arab States, such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar
have pledged over $22 billion in various forms of support to Egypt in some cases in return for stakes in Egyptian public entities and assets. However, these states have made it clear that additional aid to Egypt will no longer be granted unconditionally. .
Since 1946, the United States has provided Egypt with over $
Since 1946, the United States has provided Egypt with over $
8587 billion in bilateral foreign aid (calculated in historical billion in bilateral foreign aid (calculated in historical
dollars—not adjusted for inflation), with military and economic assistance increasing significantly after 1979. Annual dollars—not adjusted for inflation), with military and economic assistance increasing significantly after 1979. Annual
appropriations legislation includes several conditions governing the release of these funds. Successive U.S. Administrations appropriations legislation includes several conditions governing the release of these funds. Successive U.S. Administrations
have justified aid to Egypt as an investment in regional stability, built primarily on long-running cooperation with the have justified aid to Egypt as an investment in regional stability, built primarily on long-running cooperation with the
Egyptian military and on sustaining the 1979 Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty. All U.S. military aid to Egypt finances the Egyptian military and on sustaining the 1979 Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty. All U.S. military aid to Egypt finances the
procurement of weapons systems and services from U.S. defense contractors. procurement of weapons systems and services from U.S. defense contractors.
For
For
FY2023FY2024, the Biden Administration has requested $1.4 billion in bilateral assistance for Egypt, the same amount Congress , the Biden Administration has requested $1.4 billion in bilateral assistance for Egypt, the same amount Congress
appropriated the previous year. Nearly all of the U.S. funds for Egypt come from the Foreign Military Financing (FMF) appropriated the previous year. Nearly all of the U.S. funds for Egypt come from the Foreign Military Financing (FMF)
account.account.
H.R. 8282, the House FY2023 Department of State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs (SFOPs), bill would provide $1.3 billion in FMF and not less than $125 million in Economic Support Funds (ESF) for Egypt. The bill would withhold $300 million in FMF from obligation unless the Secretary of State certifies that Egypt is meeting specific democracy-related conditions. Of the $300 million withheld, the bill would allow the Administration to waive the withholding requirement on up to $170 million in FMF. Unlike in previous years, the House-introduced SFOPs bill would not permit the Administration to exempt FMF from withholding for “counterterrorism, border security, and nonproliferation programs.” That exemption had dated back to P.L. 113-76, the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2014 (passed January 2014) and had been inserted in annual SFOPs legislation since then to allow for greater flexibility in providing FMF to Egypt. Over the past two years, the Biden Administration and Congress have reprogrammed a total of $335 million in FMF originally designated for Egypt based on relevant provisions in appropriations law that withhold the obligation of a portion of FMF until the State Department certifies progress on democracy and human rights.
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3228 Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
Contents
Overview ......................................................................................................................................... 1
Historical Background ..................................................................................................................... 2
Possible Issues for Congress .......................................................................................................................... 3
Egypt’s Economic Crisis 3
The 2022 Russian-Ukraine War: Implications for Egypt .......................................................... 3
Food Security ................................................. 3 Egyptian Cooperation with Israel .................................................................................... 4
Debt, Inflation, and Gulf Aid.......... 6
Egypt, Israel, and the Palestinians .............................................................................................. 6
Egyptian Natural Gas Exports to Europe 6 Sinai Peninsula ...................................................................................... 7
Possible Egyptian Purchase of Russian Advanced Fighter Aircraft .............................. 7 Egyptian and Israeli Natural Gas Exports to Europe .......................................................... 7
Egyptian Cooperation with Israel9
Democracy, Human Rights, and Religious Freedom ................................................................ 9
Gender Equality .............................. 9
Egypt, Israel, and the Palestinians .................................................................................... 10
Sinai Peninsula . 10 Coptic Christians .................................................................................................................. 11
Democracy, Human Rights, and Religious Freedom 11
Domestic Developments .......................................................................................................... 12
Gender Equality ...... 12
Domestic Politics .................................................................................................................. 15
Coptic Christians .. 12
Egypt’s Foreign Policy ................................................................................................................. 15
Domestic Developments. 14
Russia and the War in Ukraine ................................................................................................ 14 Libya and Turkey ................ 16
Domestic Politics .................................................................................................... 15 The Nile River, Ethiopia, and Sudan ............................................... 16
Egypt’s Foreign Policy........................................ 16
Conflict in Sudan .................................................................................................................. 18
Water and Climate Change 17
U.S.-Egyptian Relations ................................................................................................................ 19
The Nile River18
Key Components ......................................................................................................................... 20
U.S.-Egyptian Relations 18 Conditioning U.S. Foreign Assistance to Egypt ...................................................................... 20 U.S. Foreign Assistance to Egypt: Other Recent Developments .......................................... 21
Key Components .... 23
Figures Figure 1. Map of Egypt ................................................................................................................... 21
U.S. Concerns about Domestic Egyptian Developments ........................................................ 23
Recent Action on U.S. Foreign Aid to Egypt 2 Figure 2. Food Prices in Egypt ........................................................................................................ 4 Figure 3. The Sinai Peninsula .......................................................................................................... 8 Figure 4. Egyptian LNG Exports to Europe .................................................................................. 25
Figures.. 9
Figure 1. Map of Egypt 5. President Abdel Fattah al Sisi ........................................................................................ 13 Figure 6. The Nile River ..................................................................................... 1
Figure 2. Egypt’s Wheat Imports: 2017........................... 17 Figure 7. U.S.-Egyptian Bilateral Trade 2010-2021 ...................................................................... 20 Figure 8. Egypt: Conditions on U.S. Military Assistance ............................................................. 21........... 5
Figure A-1. The Military Aid “Pipeline” ....................................................................................... 3228
Tables
Table 1. Democracy, Human Rights, and Development Indicators ............................................... 1410
Table 2.Bilateral Aid to Egypt ....................................................................................................... 27
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Table A-1. U.S. Foreign Assistance to Egypt: 1946-2020 ............................................................. 3632
Appendixes
Appendix. Background on U.S. Foreign Assistance to Egypt ....................................................... 28
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Contacts
Author Information ........................................................................................................................ 3834
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Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
Overview
As of summer 2022, Egypt, like many World Bank-classified lower middle income countries,1 is feeling financial strain as a result of a confluence of crises. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, rising interest rates in the United States and Europe, and continued global supply chain strains resulting from the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have all contributed to budgetary and inflationary pressures, forcing the Egyptian government to reevaluate longstanding policies while turning to foreign creditors for additional support.
Figure 1. Map of Egypt
Source: CRS Graphics, CIA World Factbook
As Egypt experiences these external shocks, it is attempting to modernize its economy and reassert itself diplomatically on the regional stage. Led by President Abdel Fattah al Sisi (hereinafter referred to as President Sisi), a former military officer who took power in a 2013 takeover that many observers termed a coup,2 Egypt has embarked on a number of rebuilding projects, exemplified by the construction of the $58 billion New Administrative Capital (NAC – See Figure 1). In November 2022, Egypt will host the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP27) in Sharm el Sheikh. Military modernization also is ongoing, as Egypt has become the world’s third-largest importer of weapons, acquiring fighter planes and warships from Russian and European suppliers.
1 For World Bank country classifications by income, see Nada Hamadeh Catherine Van Rompaey and Eric Metreau, “New World Bank Country Classifications by Income Level: 2021-2022,” July 1, 2021. 2 Amid mass protests in 2013, the military deposed an elected president, suspended the constitution, and installed an interim president. The U.S. State Department did not issue a determination as to whether or not a coup occurred.
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Egyptian Population Growth
Egypt’s population surpassed 103 mil ion in 2022 and is predicted to rise as high as 160 mil ion by 2050 (United Nations–World Population Prospects–2019). Population size, particularly in the Cairo metropolis, has contributed to overcrowded classrooms, unemployment, and crippling traffic.3 A 2022 study commissioned by the Egyptian Senate warned that “runaway growth of population poses a serious threat to the country’s future, economic development, and national security.”4
Egypt’s renewed confidence, however, may mask systemic underlying challenges that could limit the extent of its regional influence. Economically, while Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has grown, even throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, poverty is pervasive—with the national rate at 29.7% (as of December 2020). Egypt’s national debt constitutes 94% of GDP, and servicing it takes up over a third of the national budget, limiting the state’s ability to invest in its citizenry’s well-being.
President Sisi has used broad legal authority granted to the executive by parliament to suppress opposition and perceived criticism. As discussed below, international human rights monitoring organizations rank Egypt toward the bottom globally on metrics such as democratic governance, free speech, and corruption.
Since taking office, President Joseph Biden has attempted to take a balanced approach to U.S.-Egyptian relations, praising Egyptian diplomacy while signaling U.S. displeasure for President Sisi’s continued domestic crackdown. In November 2021, the United States and Egypt conducted their first “Strategic Dialogue” since 2015. The year 2022 marks the centennial of the establishment of U.S.-Egyptian diplomatic relations, and both sides have been using the anniversary to reinvigorate bilateral ties.5In 2023, Egypt’s economy and government finances continue to face serious strain as a result of internal deficit spending and external shocks, such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and rising global interest rates. This combination of unfavorable international conditions coupled with debt-fueled domestic spending, has made Egypt dependent on lenders. Unfavorable conditions in international credit markets are forcing the Egyptian government, led since the Egyptian military’s 2013 seizure of power by President Abdel Fattah al Sisi (referred to herein as President Sisi), to turn to international financial institutions, such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the wealthy, oil-rich states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) for support.
From 2016 to early 2022, the IMF extended $20 billion in credit to Egypt, and GCC states have lent Egypt tens of billions of dollars since 2013. However, Egypt’s international creditors may be more stringent in their lending terms going forward. An initial sign came in fall 2022, when the IMF extended a $3 billion, 46-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) to Egypt requiring a number of key reforms, such as the privatization of state-owned companies, including military-run corporations. Likewise, some GCC states have already indicated that potential future aid will not be unconditional, as they reportedly seek to acquire tangible Egyptian state assets with some value.1
IMF-mandated reforms and/or the sale of state assets could prove problematic for President Sisi. Despite overseeing an authoritarian regime that has regularly quashed domestic dissent, he may still be sensitive to public criticism, especially when it is directed toward Egypt’s sovereignty and national pride – a long-running theme in the nation’s post-colonial discourse. The next presidential election is scheduled for 2024. To date, no credible rival has emerged to challenge President Sisi.2
The Biden Administration’s approach to Egypt has been to balance longstanding U.S.-Egyptian defense ties and U.S. appreciation for Egypt’s continued cooperative relationship with Israel against the Sisi government’s problematic human rights record. For example, President Biden has publicly praised President Sisi for his government’s strong defense relationship with the United States and its role in serving as a key mediator between Israel and Hamas.3 On the other hand, over the past two years, the Biden Administration and Congress have reprogrammed a total of $335 million in Foreign Military Financing (FMF) originally designated for Egypt based on relevant provisions in appropriations law that withhold the obligation of a portion of FMF until the State Department certifies progress on democracy and human rights (see below). The Biden Administration also has tried to expand U.S.-Egyptian cooperation beyond the military sphere by focusing on environmental issues and water conservation, particularly in the run-up to and during the Egyptian-hosted November 2022 United Nations Climate Change Conference or Conference (commonly referred to as COP27).4
U.S. policymakers also are keenly aware of how great power competition in the Middle East affects U.S.-Egyptian relations. During Sisi's presidency, Egypt has diversified its military-to-
1 Vivian Nereim and Vivian Yee, “No More Blank Checks: Saudi Arabia Clamps Down on Regional Aid,” New York Times, April 2, 2023.
2 Economist Intelligence Unit, “Things to watch in Egypt in 2023,” ViewsWire, December 2, 2022. 3 The White House, Remarks by President Biden and President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi of Egypt Before Bilateral Meeting, November 11, 2022.
4 The White House, Fact Sheet: President Biden Announces New Initiatives at COP27 to Strengthen U.S. Leadership in Tackling Climate Change, November 11, 2022.
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military and trade relationships away from the United States to include closer relations with Russia, China, and European nations such as France, Italy, and Germany. Between 2018 and 2022, Egypt was the sixth-largest arms importer globally with Russia, Italy, and France being Egypt's principal suppliers.5
Figure 1. Map of Egypt
Source: CRS Graphics, CIA World Factbook.
Historical Background
Since 1952, when a cabal of Egyptian Army officers, known as the Free Officers Movement, Since 1952, when a cabal of Egyptian Army officers, known as the Free Officers Movement,
ousted the British-backed king, Egypt’s military has produced four presidents: Gamal Abdel ousted the British-backed king, Egypt’s military has produced four presidents: Gamal Abdel
Nasser (1954-1970), Anwar Sadat (1970-1981), Hosni Mubarak (1981-2011), and Abdel Fattah al Nasser (1954-1970), Anwar Sadat (1970-1981), Hosni Mubarak (1981-2011), and Abdel Fattah al
Sisi (2013-present). These four men have ruled Egypt with strong backing from the country’s Sisi (2013-present). These four men have ruled Egypt with strong backing from the country’s
security establishment almost continually. The one exception has been the brief period of rule by security establishment almost continually. The one exception has been the brief period of rule by
Muhammad Morsi, who was affiliated with the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood (Muhammad Morsi, who was affiliated with the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood (
see below). That ). That
organization has opposed single party military-backed rule and advocated for a state governed by organization has opposed single party military-backed rule and advocated for a state governed by
a vaguely articulated combination of civil and a vaguely articulated combination of civil and
sharia (Islamic) law. In general, the Muslim (Islamic) law. In general, the Muslim
Brotherhood has been the most significant and abiding opposition during the decades of military-Brotherhood has been the most significant and abiding opposition during the decades of military-
backed rule. backed rule.
The one departure from Egypt’s decades of military rule, the brief period in which Morsi ruled,
The one departure from Egypt’s decades of military rule, the brief period in which Morsi ruled,
took place between 2011 and 2013. Popular demonstrations dubbed the “Arab Spring,” which had took place between 2011 and 2013. Popular demonstrations dubbed the “Arab Spring,” which had
started in neighboring Tunisia, compelled the military to force the resignation of former President started in neighboring Tunisia, compelled the military to force the resignation of former President
5 “Trends in International Arms Transfers, 2022,” Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), March 2023.
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Hosni Mubarak in February 2011. During this period, Egypt experienced tremendous political Hosni Mubarak in February 2011. During this period, Egypt experienced tremendous political
tumult, culminating in Morsi’s one-year presidency. When Morsi took office on June 30, 2012, tumult, culminating in Morsi’s one-year presidency. When Morsi took office on June 30, 2012,
after winning Egypt’s first truly competitive presidential election, his ascension to the presidency after winning Egypt’s first truly competitive presidential election, his ascension to the presidency
was expected to mark the end of a rocky 16-month transition period.6 Proposed timelines for was expected to mark the end of a rocky 16-month transition period.6 Proposed timelines for
3 For more information, see “Egypt’s President Sisi Wants to Reshape its Cities,” The Economist, March 5, 2022. 4 Gamal Essam El Din, “Egypt's Strategy to Curb Runaway Population Growth,’ Al Ahram, April 15, 2022. 5 “Shoukry, Blinken Commemorate Centennial of Egypt-US Diplomatic Ties,” Al Ahram, April 13, 2022. 6 David Kirkpatrick, “Named Egypt’s Winner, Islamist Makes History,” New York Times, June 24, 2012.
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elections, the constitutional drafting process, and the military’s relinquishing of power to a elections, the constitutional drafting process, and the military’s relinquishing of power to a
civilian government had been repeatedly changed, contested, and sometimes even overruled by civilian government had been repeatedly changed, contested, and sometimes even overruled by
the courts. Instead of consolidating democratic or civilian rule, Morsi’s rule exposed the deep the courts. Instead of consolidating democratic or civilian rule, Morsi’s rule exposed the deep
divisions in Egyptian politics, pitting a broad cross-section of Egypt’s public and private sectors, divisions in Egyptian politics, pitting a broad cross-section of Egypt’s public and private sectors,
the Coptic Church, and the military against the Brotherhood and its Islamist supporters. the Coptic Church, and the military against the Brotherhood and its Islamist supporters.
The atmosphere of mutual distrust, political gridlock, and public dissatisfaction that permeated
The atmosphere of mutual distrust, political gridlock, and public dissatisfaction that permeated
Morsi’s presidency provided Egypt’s military, led by then-Defense Minister Sisi, with an Morsi’s presidency provided Egypt’s military, led by then-Defense Minister Sisi, with an
opportunity to reassert political control. On July 3, 2013, following several days of mass public opportunity to reassert political control. On July 3, 2013, following several days of mass public
demonstrations against Morsi’s rule, the military unilaterally dissolved Morsi’s government, demonstrations against Morsi’s rule, the military unilaterally dissolved Morsi’s government,
suspended the constitution that had been passed during his rule, and installed an interim president. suspended the constitution that had been passed during his rule, and installed an interim president.
The Muslim Brotherhood and its supporters declared the military’s actions a coup d’etat and The Muslim Brotherhood and its supporters declared the military’s actions a coup d’etat and
protested in the streets. Weeks later, Egypt’s military and national police launched a violent protested in the streets. Weeks later, Egypt’s military and national police launched a violent
crackdown against the Muslim Brotherhood, resulting in police and army soldiers firing live crackdown against the Muslim Brotherhood, resulting in police and army soldiers firing live
ammunition against demonstrators encamped in several public squares and the killing of at least ammunition against demonstrators encamped in several public squares and the killing of at least
1,150 demonstrators. The Egyptian military justified these actions by decrying the encampments 1,150 demonstrators. The Egyptian military justified these actions by decrying the encampments
as a threat to national security.7 as a threat to national security.7
Since 2013, the power of President Abdel Fattah al Sisi has gone mostly unchallenged. President
Since 2013, the power of President Abdel Fattah al Sisi has gone mostly unchallenged. President
Sisi assumed office formally in June 2014 after winning a May 2014 election with 96% of the Sisi assumed office formally in June 2014 after winning a May 2014 election with 96% of the
vote. In 2018, he was reelected for a second term, receiving 97% of all valid votes cast. Both vote. In 2018, he was reelected for a second term, receiving 97% of all valid votes cast. Both
elections were widely perceived as favoring Sisi.elections were widely perceived as favoring Sisi.
8
Possible 8
Issues for Congress
Egypt’s Economic Crisis While the international effects of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine have been a major catalyst for the downturn in Egypt’s economy, the war is not the only source of fiscal difficulty for Egypt. Prior to the war, Egypt had accrued significant foreign debt; deficit spending has supported subsidy programs, mega infrastructure projects, military spending, and social welfare programs to bolster public support for the Sisi government and to counter the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. According to one Egyptian economist:
6 David Kirkpatrick, “Named Egypt’s Winner, Islamist Makes History,” New York Times, June 24, 2012. Issues for Congress
The 2022 Russian-Ukraine War: Implications for Egypt
Egypt’s position vis-a-vis Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine is one of neutrality; while Egypt voted in favor of the March 2022 United Nations General Assembly resolution demanding that Russia end its invasion of Ukraine, in its bilateral diplomacy, Egypt has not sanctioned Russia, and President Sisi continues to engage with Russian President Vladimir Putin. In June 2022, President Sisi personally attended the plenary session of the Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum. To the extent that Egypt has taken any definitive position on the conflict, beyond the initial U.N. resolution, it has done so through the medium of the Arab League. An Arab League statement released on February 28, 2022 called for dialogue to preserve security and end the fighting and did not condemn Russia’s invasion.9 The Arab League subsequently offered
7 “Egyptian Cabinet Vows to Disperse Pro-Morsi Protest Camps,” 7 “Egyptian Cabinet Vows to Disperse Pro-Morsi Protest Camps,”
The Guardian (UK), July 31, 2013. (UK), July 31, 2013.
8 In 2014, Democracy International conducted an observation mission and concluded: “Unfortunately, although Egypt’s 8 In 2014, Democracy International conducted an observation mission and concluded: “Unfortunately, although Egypt’s
constitution guarantees freedom of speech and association, continued suppression of political dissent and restrictions on constitution guarantees freedom of speech and association, continued suppression of political dissent and restrictions on
fundamental freedoms have prevented free political participation and severely compromised the broader electoral fundamental freedoms have prevented free political participation and severely compromised the broader electoral
environment. This environment made a genuinely democratic presidential election impossible.” See, Democracy environment. This environment made a genuinely democratic presidential election impossible.” See, Democracy
International, Egypt Presidential Election Observation Report, July 2014. In 2018, a consortium of international human International, Egypt Presidential Election Observation Report, July 2014. In 2018, a consortium of international human
rights groups said Egyptian authorities had “trampled over even the minimum requirements for free and fair elections,” rights groups said Egyptian authorities had “trampled over even the minimum requirements for free and fair elections,”
and labeled the exercise “farcical.” See, Human Rights Watch, “Egypt: Planned Presidential Vote Neither Free nor and labeled the exercise “farcical.” See, Human Rights Watch, “Egypt: Planned Presidential Vote Neither Free nor
Fair,” February 13, 2018. Fair,” February 13, 2018.
9 Mohammed Abu Zaid, “Arab League Following Ukraine Developments with 'Great Concern,'” Arab News, February 28, 2022.
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The fundamental problem is Egypt has been living beyond its means. It produces and sells to the rest of the world significantly less than it imports, which it finances through debt.... A lot of the state consumption comes outside the budget in the form of military investment. If you look at a lot of these megaprojects it’s the military financing it.... They are adding to the import bill and creating a net outflow of dollars.9
Prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Egypt had been considered a leading destination for emerging market capital due to its high yields on foreign currency-denominated and local bonds.10 Changing risk calculation among foreign investors has been evident amid the war’s fallout, inflation concerns, and slower global economic growth. The Egyptian government estimates that at least $20 billion in foreign capital fled the Egyptian bond market in early 2022, as investors moved money out of emerging markets and into U.S. Treasury bonds.11
By late 2022/early 2023, Egypt faced shortages of hard currency and a serious budget financing gap. The government’s external debt had reached $155 billion with one financial firm estimating that Egypt would need to repay nearly $100 billion in foreign and domestic debts over the next four years.12 Servicing Egypt’s debt consumes 45%-50% of the state’s budget (some of the highest ratios in the world) and, in early 2023, Moody’s downgraded Egypt’s sovereign credit rating to B3 from B2. In January, the IMF reported that Egypt is facing a budget financing gap of $17 billion over the next four years.13As of March 2023, Egypt is the second-largest IMF debtor (with $13.4 billion outstanding IMF credit) after Argentina.14 The 2022 IMF extended fund facility arrangement requires more stringent economic reforms than the previous three rounds of lending, including requirements for Egypt to permanently float its currency, privatize state-owned companies (including military-owned ventures), and slow investment in major public development projects.15
Despite IMF lending, Egyptians are experiencing financial hardships across
Figure 2. Food Prices in Egypt
income levels. Over the past year, the Egyptian currency (pound) has depreciated 50%, and annual headline inflation reached 32.7% in March 2023,
Source: Bloomberg, February 16, 2023.
9 Andrew England, “Egypt and the IMF: Will Sisi take the economy out of the military’s hands? Financial Times, October 31, 2022.
10 Mirette Magdy, “Egypt Keeps the World’s Highest Real Interest Rate,” Bloomberg, April 28, 2021. 11 “ANALYSIS-Egypt faces sharp rise in costs to finance proposed $30 bln deficit,” Reuters, May 16, 2022. 12 Chao Deng, “Egypt Plans Spending Cuts as It Faces Economic Crisis,” Wall Street Journal, January 12, 2023. 13 Nada El Sawy, “IMF will help Egypt close $17bn financing gap over next four years,” The National, January 10, 2023.
14 International Monetary Fund, Total IMF Credit Outstanding Movement from March 1, 2023, to March 7, 2023. 15 International Monetary Fund, IMF Executive Board Approves 46-month US$3 billion Extended Arrangement for Egypt, December 16, 2022.
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just short of an all-time record.16 To comply with IMF-mandated reforms, the Egyptian government also has raised some fuel prices by nearly 10%. Although the government has retained certain social-welfare programs for the 30% of the population in poverty, Egypt’s poor and middle class have been particularly hard hit by cost of living increases (see Figure 2).17 According to the World Bank, 60% of Egyptians can be classified as poor or vulnerable.18
President Sisi has acknowledged difficult economic circumstances, but also at times has sought to blame his country’s financial woes on foreign factors.19 Without reliable public opinion polling inside Egypt, it is difficult to ascertain public sentiment toward the government or President Sisi himself. According to one analysis, “It is increasingly common to hear criticism of the president in markets, taxis and cafés. A few well-connected Egyptians are quietly urging him not to run in next year’s presidential election.”20
Egypt also is relying on some Gulf Arab states to continue their support for Egypt’s economy. As of early 2023, Egypt’s foreign exchange reserves stood at $34.35 billion, of which $28 billion consists of deposits made by Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).21 These Gulf Arab states have assured the Egyptian Central Bank that their deposits would not mature before September 2026, and would not be used to buy equities or debt.22
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to mediate between Ukraine and Russia and sent a delegation to Moscow and Poland for consultations in April 2022.
From Egypt’s perspective, its diplomatic ambiguity may reflect a reluctance to alienate the United States, Western Europe, and Russia - Egypt’s primary sources for arms, trade, tourism, and credit.10 In some ways, Egypt’s diplomatic stance mirrors its stance throughout the Cold War, when it was a leading advocate of the Non-Aligned Movement.11 Nevertheless, despite Egypt’s diplomatic position, Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine and the ensuing war have negatively affected Egypt’s food security, economy, and national budget (see below).
Egyptian-Russian Relations under Sisi
Since President Sisi came to power in 2014, he has strengthened Egypt’s relationship with Russia. President Sisi turned to Russia during the Obama Administration, when the U.S.-Egyptian relationship became more strained (see the Appendix).12 Egypt and Russia have strengthened their ties in a number of ways, including through arms deals and joint military exercises. To bolster Russia’s support for political forces in eastern Libya, Egypt and Russia reportedly have a basing agreement allowing reciprocal access to airfields and airspace.13 Additionally, Egypt and Russia reportedly have expanded their cooperation on nuclear energy. In 2015, Egypt reached a deal with Russian state energy firm Rosatom to construct a 4,800-megawatt nuclear power plant in the Egyptian Mediterranean coastal town of Daba’a, 80 miles northwest of Cairo. Various reasons could explain why Egyptian-Russian relations have improved under President Sisi, none of which are mutually exclusive. For one, President Sisi appears to have determined that Egypt’s national security interests are best served by having global powers compete for Egypt’s favor. As a lower-middle-income country with relatively high poverty and a military that relies on the appearance of strength for deterrence, Egypt seeks cost efficiencies for its military acquisitions. Part of Egypt’s rebalancing of its foreign policy may be seen as a quest to secure the most advanced military hardware on the most generous financing terms available. With U.S. FMF grants relatively unchanged since 1987 (Congress has appropriated $1.3 bil ion a year since then), the purchasing power of U.S. military aid has decreased substantially given the rising costs of major defense systems. Moreover, U.S. defense technology, particularly in fighter aircraft, has evolved to the point where Egypt either cannot afford the latest generation of U.S. fighters (such as the F-35), lacks the technical know-how to maintain them, or may be prohibited from purchasing certain items if they negate Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge (QME).14 Egypt has turned to Russia and France to source naval and air force acquisitions (including fourth-generation fighters, such as the Su-35 from Russia and the Rafale from France) while using U.S. assistance to maintain its existing stocks of U.S. materiel. According to Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), from 2000 to 2009, Egypt’s major arms supplier was the United States, accounting for 75% of Egypt’s total arms imports; however, from 2010 to 2019, U.S. arms imports accounted for 23% of Egypt’s total arms imports.15
Food Security
Declines in food commodity exports as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine are reducing supplies of some goods in international markets and leading to increases in prices for commodities and derived products. This trend poses challenge to importers of Ukrainian and 10 Vivian Yee, “Egypt, America’s Middle Eastern Ally, Maintains Warm Relations with Putin,” New York Times, June 17, 2022.
11 Ignatious Annor, “African States May Be Pushing to Revive Non-Aligned Movement, Analysts Say,” Voice of
America, April 13, 2022.
12 “Analysis: Egyptian Air Force Modernization,” Jane’s International Defence Review, November 10, 2016. 13 Adam R. Grissom, Samuel Charap, Joe Cheravitch, Russell Hanson, Dara Massicot, Christopher A. Mouton, and Jordan R. Reimer, Russia’s Growing Presence in Africa, RAND Corporation, 2022.
14 See CRS Report R46580, Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge and Possible U.S. Arms Sales to the United Arab
Emirates, coordinated by Jeremy M. Sharp and Jim Zanotti.
15 Alexandra Kuimova, “Understanding Egyptian Military Expenditure,” SIPRI Background Paper, October 2020.
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Russian commodities and foodstuffs as well as to those who purchase such goods sourced from other suppliers on the international market. In Egypt, the world’s largest importer of wheat (more than 70% of which comes from Russia and Ukraine – see Figure 2), the government banned wheat and flour exports; meanwhile, Egypt’s General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC) has approved 16 countries-of-origin for its wheat imports and is negotiating with India, Argentina, Australia, Kazakhstan, and France for new purchase agreements on the spot market. GASC also is accepting wheat with a higher moisture content in order to adapt to tightened market conditions.16 Though alternative suppliers are available, shipping costs are much higher than for wheat sourced from the Black Sea region.17 As of May 2022, Russia’s continued blockade of Ukrainian ports had left 300,000 metric tonnes (mts) of wheat purchased by GASC before the invasion undelivered (Egypt imported 4.7 million mts of wheat in 2021).18
Figure 2. Egypt’s Wheat Imports: 2017-2021
Source: Trade Data Monitor LLC and U.S. Agriculture Department, Foreign Agricultural Service
For decades, Egypt has subsidized whole wheat flour bread (aish baladi in Egyptian Arabic), at a cost of an estimated several billion dollars annually.19 The price of subsidized bread essentially has remained unchanged since the late 1970s (about one U.S. cent). When Egypt tried to lift the subsidy in 1977, riots ensued and hundreds of people were killed in clashes with police. Cuts to the bread subsidy could generate social unrest and pose a challenge to President Sisi. The government already has instituted price controls on the cost of unsubsidized bread.
On June 1, GASC announced one of its first international tenders since the start of the Ukraine invasion. Egypt plans to purchase 465,000 mts of wheat from Russia, Romania, and Bulgaria at a cost of $480 per tonne, a 41% hike from Egypt’s last tender before the invasion.20 Several weeks later, GASC made its largest wheat purchase on the spot market since 2012, buying 815,000 mts
16 “Egypt Raises Accepted Moisture Level for Imported Wheat,” Reuters, May 26, 2022. 17 One report notes how GASC contracted with a Japanese trading company based in the state of Washington for 60,000 metric of tons of wheat, which had to be shipped from Vancouver to ports in Egypt. Jesse Newman and Patrick Thomas, “Countries Race to Avert Grain Crisis --- With Ukraine War Disrupting Wheat Trade, Soaring Prices put Poor Nations at Risk,” Wall Street Journal, May 3, 2022. 18 “About 300,000 T of Wheat Bought by Egypt Stranded in Ukraine –Trade,” Reuters, May 17, 2022. 19 “Egypt’s Modest Fuel Price Rise Suggests heavy Subsidy,” EIU, Views Wire, April 26, 2022. 20 “Egypt's GASC Buys 465,000 tonnes of Wheat in Tender,” Reuters, June 1, 2022.
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of Russian, French, Romanian, and Bulgarian wheat.21 In June 2022, the World Bank gave $500 million in support to help the Egyptian government purchase additional stocks of wheat from abroad and increase its domestic grain storage capacity.22 In June 2022, ambassadors representing G7 nations pledged to stand by their “commitment to support Egypt through this crisis caused by Russia’s war.”23
Debt, Inflation, and Gulf Aid
While Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine has been a major catalyst for the downturn in Egypt’s economy, it is not the only factor driving widespread fiscal concern. Prior to the war, Egypt had accrued significant foreign debt; deficit spending has supported subsidy programs, mega infrastructure projects, and social welfare programs to counter the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. According to Egypt’s Central Bank, from 2014 to 2021, medium-and long-term external debt more than tripled to $121.5 billion.24 Nevertheless, prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Egypt had been considered a leading destination for emerging market capital due to its high yields on foreign currency-denominated and local bonds.25
However, Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine apparently changed the risk calculation for many investors. The Egyptian government estimates that $20 billion in foreign capital fled the Egyptian bond market in early 2022, as investors moved money out of emerging markets and into U.S. Treasury bonds. According to Egypt’s finance minister, “The lesson we have learned (is that) you cannot depend on this type of investment. It is coming just to get high yields, and once there is a shock it leaves the country.”26
In order to reassure investors and keep exports competitive, the Central Bank devalued the Egyptian pound by 15% in March 2022. The devaluation, coupled with rising global food and fuel prices, has led to increased local inflation (13.5% in May 2022). To counter inflation, the Central Bank has raised interest rates several times.
As global monetary conditions tighten and interest rates rise in advanced markets like the United States, Egypt’s borrowing costs are set to increase. The national deficit for the coming fiscal year alone is anticipated to be $30 billion.27 Moody’s may downgrade Egypt’s credit rating, noting in late May 2022 that its outlook changed from stable to negative due to “the rising downside risks to the sovereign’s external shock absorption capacity in light of a significant narrowing in the foreign exchange reserve buffer to meet upcoming external debt service payments.”28 From January to May 2022, Egypt paid $24 billion to service its foreign debt ($10 billion) and cover the withdrawal of funds by foreign investors ($14 billion).29
21 “Egypt Buys 815,000 Tons of Wheat in Tender from France, Romania, Russia and Bulgaria,” Al Ahram, June 30, 2022.
22 “World Bank to give Egypt $500 Mln to Boost food Security,” Reuters, June 29, 2022. 23 U.S. Embassy Cairo, G7 Ambassadors on Food Security: G7 Stand to Support Egypt in Grain Crisis Caused by Russia, June 14, 2022.
24 “Egypt Faces Sharp Rise in Costs to Finance Proposed $30 bln Deficit,” Reuters, May 16, 2022. 25 Mirette Magdy, “Egypt Keeps the World’s Highest Real Interest Rate,” Bloomberg, April 28, 2021. 26 “Egypt Can No Longer Depend on Hot Money for Budget: Finance Minister,” Reuters, June 27, 2022. 27 Ibid. 28 Sylvia Westall, “Egypt Risks First Downgrade Since 2013 as Moody’s Turns Negative,” Bloomberg, May 27, 2022. 29 “Egypt Repays $24 Billion to Cover Foreign Debt, Departing Investors,” Reuters, June 9, 2022.
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In order to secure short-term capital for domestic investment and stabilize its foreign exchange reserves ($33.4 billion as of June 2022), Egypt has turned to the Gulf Arab states and international financial institutions, such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Government talks with the IMF are ongoing, though Egypt has borrowed over $20 billion from the IMF since 2016 and has already exceeded its credit quota.
To increase the prospects for an IMF program, Gulf Arab states (Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar) have pledged well over $22 billion in various forms of assistance (currency deposits in the Central Bank, joint investments).30 However, unlike previous instances of Gulf previous instances of Gulf
largesse toward Egypt that mainly involved cash infusions, largesse toward Egypt that mainly involved cash infusions,
in 2022 Gulf Arab states Gulf Arab states
also are seeking are seeking
to purchase Egyptian state-owned assets or private companies.to purchase Egyptian state-owned assets or private companies.
31
Egyptian Natural Gas Exports to Europe
With the EU poised to phase out purchases of Russian gas (150 billion cubic meters or bcm annually), Europeans are looking to various global suppliers to make up for lost supply. Egypt is the third-largest natural gas producer in Africa, following Algeria and Nigeria. Some economists believe that, if Egyptian capacity can be increased, Egypt has the potential to account for 5%-10% of Europe’s natural gas import needs.32 In June 2022, the EU signed a trilateral gas supply agreement with Egypt and Israel. Egypt currently imports Israeli natural gas (at 85bcmover a 15-year period) and will re-liquefy Israeli gas at its two liquefied natural gas terminals at Damietta port for re-export to Europe (in 2021 Israel exported 4.25bcm to Egypt).33 However, lack of transport and processing capacity is a major challenge for Israel and Egypt in becoming significant suppliers to Europe. There are only two pipelines capable of transporting Israeli gas to Egypt, and Egypt’s LNG facilities are working at maximum capacity to meet both domestic and foreign demand.34 In 2021, Egypt exported 8.8bcm of natural gas. Israel is reportedly considering constructing a new onshore pipeline to Egypt.35
Possible Egyptian Purchase of Russian Advanced Fighter Aircraft
Since 2018, there have been periodic reports of Egyptian plans to purchase Russian Sukhoi Su-35 Multi-Role Fighter Aircraft, a move that could potentially trigger U.S. sanctions under the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA, P.L. 115-44).36 The Su-35 is Russia’s most advanced fighter aircraft. In May 2020, TASS Russian News Agency reported that Russian defense contractors had started production of the aircraft under a contract signed in
30 In November 2021, Saudi Arabia deposited $3 billion in the Central Bank of Egypt. It has since extended that deposit and added $2.3 billion more. In June 2022, the Saudi-based Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC) extended another $3 billion in credit to Egypt. In June 2022, Saudi Arabia and Egypt signed joint investment deals worth $7.7 billion. Qatar has pledged $5 billion in various investments. Various UAE wealth funds and conglomerates (ADQ, Al Futtaim Group, Abu Dhabi Ports) also have pledged to invest several billion dollars in Egypt.
31 “Egypt Gets Gulf Help Again as Eyes Turn to Currency Flexibility,” Reuters, April 4, 2022. 32 “Can Europe Fully Replace Russian Gas?” Economist Intelligence Unit, May 24, 2022. 33 John Ainger and Alberto Nardelli, “EU, Egypt Near Gas Supply Deal in Shift Away From Russia,” Bloomberg, June 3, 2022.
34 Marc Espanol, “Egypt's Gas Imports from Israel Hit all-time High,” Al Monitor, June 7, 2022. 35 Ron Bousso and Ari Rabinovitch “Israel Considering New Pipeline to Boost Gas Exports to Egypt,” Reuters, October 21, 2021.
36 Countering Russian Influence in Europe and Eurasia Act of 2017, title II, Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA; P.L. 115-44). For additional background, see CRS Report R45415, U.S. Sanctions
on Russia, coordinated by Cory Welt.
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2018.37 As of June 2022, U.S. officials have not publicly confirmed that Egypt and Russia are moving ahead with the deal.
Section 231 of CAATSA requires that the President impose a number of sanctions on a person or entity who knowingly engages in a significant transaction with anyone who is part of, or operates for or on behalf of, the defense or intelligence sectors of the Government of the Russian Federation. The Secretary of State has determined that the manufacturer of the Su-35, Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aviation Production Organization (KNAAPO) is a part of, or operates on behalf of, Russia’s defense and intelligence sectors for the purpose of meeting the definitional requirements of CAATSA Section 231.38 In December 2021, Indonesia abandoned plans to purchase 11 Su-35 fighters; in 2022 Indonesia purchased a combination of French Rafale fighters and U.S. F-15s.
While Egypt’s procurement or possible procurement of Russian (and French) fighter aircraft has drawn media attention, U.S.-origin aircraft compose the largest component of Egypt’s fixed-wing inventory, including around 200 F-16 variant combat aircraft. Egypt’s diversification strategy is particularly challenging for its air force, which must balance different training and maintenance procedures for European, Russian, and U.S. platforms. For years, Egypt has sought to upgrade its U.S.-supplied combat fighter aircraft to more advanced platforms; Egypt may even have requested that the Trump Administration provide it with the F-35.39
To date, it is unclear how the Russian invasion of Ukraine might be influencing Egypt’s possible decision to proceed with the Su-35 acquisition. During the invasion, Russia has flown numerous sorties using its advanced jets, allowing for some evaluation of its performance. Ukrainian forces, equipped with older generations of Russian combat jetfighters, have claimed to have shot down several Su-35s in air-to-air combat.
Biden Administration officials may perceive that the war in Ukraine could pose an opportunity for U.S. policymakers to persuade Egypt to abandon their pursuit of Russian combat aircraft. In mid-March 2022, outgoing U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) Commander General Frank McKenzie stated at a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing that the United States may potentially sell the F-15 fighter aircraft to Egypt.40 During a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing on the FY2023 Department of State budget request, Secretary of State Antony Blinken remarked in an exchange with Senator Murphy on Egypt military aid conditionality that:
This is a critical time too in the relationship with a number of countries, particularly countries that may be reconsidering their own relationships and potential dependencies on Russia. They’re seeing how Russian military equipment is performing or not performing in Ukraine. They’re seeing growing challenges to Russia being able to sustain and ultimately export its … military equipment. They’re making different decisions about the future. That presents a strategic opportunity for us when we want to make sure that we also have flexibility to take advantage of. But I completely share your focus on and concern about human rights, including in Egypt. It is, it will remain a central part of our policy even as we work to strengthen what is a -- a vital partnership for us.41
37 Derek Bisaccio, “Su-35 Production for Egypt Begins,” Defense and Security Monitor, May 18, 2020. 38 See U.S. State Department, Section 231 of CAATSA, at https://www.state.gov/t/isn/caatsa/. 39 Ali Dizboni, Karim El-Baz, “Understanding the Egyptian Military’s Perspective on the Su-35 Deal,” Fikra Forum, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, July 15, 2021.
40 Senate Armed Services Committee, “The Posture of United States Central Command and United States Africa Command,” hearing, March 15, 2022. 41 Senate Foreign Relations Committee, “Review of the FY 2023 State Department Budget Request,” hearing, April 26,
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One recent report suggests that as of early 2022, Egypt may have still been planning on moving ahead with the Su-35 acquisition. According to a June 2022 report in Africa Intelligence:
US military intelligence has been keeping a wary eye on a small detachment of Egyptian pilots that travelled to Russia at the start of the year to be trained on handling the Su-35 air-defence fighter, the Sukhoi range's flagship.... In March [2022], Russian media published photos and videos of aircraft being assembled on Sukhoi's production lines in Russia in Komsomolsk-on-Amur sporting the Egyptian Air Force's characteristic camouflage markings. These sources believe 21 aircraft were produced.4223 According to Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed al-Jadaan, “We used to give direct grants and deposits without strings attached and we are changing that....We need to see reforms. We are taxing our people. We are expecting also others to do the same, to do their efforts. We want to help but we want you also to do your part.”24
At the same time, due to IMF-mandated reforms, Egypt has announced plans to privatize 32 state-owned companies over the next year (of which only two are military-owned). According to the Associated Press, as of April 2023, no state-owned company has been sold and business leaders and analysts are skeptical and expect the government and military to remain anti-competitive.25 To date, there have been some Gulf acquisitions and investments in Egypt, though reports suggest that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab states are holding off on additional transactions due to concern over the Egyptian pound’s future value and a lack of transparency over the finances of certain Egyptian state-owned enterprises; in particular, Saudi officials have emphasized that the kingdom’s aid to Egypt would no longer be unconditional.26
16 “Egypt's headline inflation rate increased to 32.7% in March,” Reuters, April 10, 2023. 17 Samy Magdy, “In Egypt, government and poor struggle with troubled economy,” Associated Press, March 1, 2023. 18 Heba Saleh, “Egypt’s economic woe spreads across all classes,” Financial Times, February 16, 2023. 19 “Egypt going through difficult circumstances, but we are in control of situation: Sisi,” Al Masry al Yawm, January 20, 2023.
20 “A crisis of confidence in Egypt,” The Economist, January 24, 2023. 21 “Cash-strapped Egypt sells state assets to Gulf nations,” Agence France Presse, February 14, 2023. 22 “Egypt commits to IMF to slow projects, increase fuel prices,” Reuters, January 10, 2023. 23 “Egypt Gets Gulf Help Again as Eyes Turn to Currency Flexibility,” Reuters, April 4, 2022. 24 Jon Gambrell, “Egypt’s president praises UAE, seeking to heal Gulf aid rift,” Associated Press, February 13, 2023. 25 “Companies skeptical about Egypt's push to ease industry ties,” Associated Press, April 12, 2023. 26 Mirette Magdy and Sylvia Westall, “Gulf States Play Hardball Over Sending Billions to Rescue Egypt,” Bloomberg, February 24, 2023.
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Egypt and China
As the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC or China) economic and political involvement in the Middle East deepens, it is possible that Egypt may seek PRC assistance in securing investment and debt relief in the years ahead. According to one report, the PRC is Egypt’s fourth-largest creditor, with outstanding debts amounting to almost $8 bil ion, representing approximately 5 percent of Egypt’s total external debt of $155.7 bil ion.27 In March 2023, one PRC company, Xinxing Ductile Iron Pipes, announced a $2 bil ion plan to operate iron and steel plants in the Suez Canal Economic Zone.28 Within that wider zone lies a dedicated area at the Red Sea port of Ain Sokhna for Chinese and Egyptian “Economic and Trade Cooperation.” However, while some Chinese companies may find Egypt desirable as a destination for manufacturing and export to Africa and Europe, the PRC government itself may be wary of lending Egypt additional funds. According to one report, the PRC may limit its loans to Egypt due to concerns over Egypt’s economic woes.29
Egyptian Cooperation with Israel
Following 30 years of intermittent war and enduring confrontation, Egypt’s 1979 peace treaty Following 30 years of intermittent war and enduring confrontation, Egypt’s 1979 peace treaty
with Israel remains one of the single most significant diplomatic achievements for the promotion with Israel remains one of the single most significant diplomatic achievements for the promotion
of Arab-Israeli peace. Congress has long been concerned with the preservation of the peace treaty of Arab-Israeli peace. Congress has long been concerned with the preservation of the peace treaty
and has appropriated foreign assistance and exercised oversight to encourage both parties to and has appropriated foreign assistance and exercised oversight to encourage both parties to
maintain it. Since 2012, congressional appropriators have included a requirement in foreign maintain it. Since 2012, congressional appropriators have included a requirement in foreign
operations appropriations legislation that before foreign aid funds can be provided to Egypt, the operations appropriations legislation that before foreign aid funds can be provided to Egypt, the
Secretary of State must certify that Egypt is meeting its obligations under the 1979 Egypt-Israel Secretary of State must certify that Egypt is meeting its obligations under the 1979 Egypt-Israel
Peace Treaty.Peace Treaty.
4330
While people-to-people relations remain limited, Egypt and Israel have continued to find specific
While people-to-people relations remain limited, Egypt and Israel have continued to find specific
areas in which they can cooperate, such as containing the Palestinian group Hamas (a U.S.-areas in which they can cooperate, such as containing the Palestinian group Hamas (a U.S.-
designated terrorist organization) in the Gaza Strip, countering terrorism, and developing natural designated terrorist organization) in the Gaza Strip, countering terrorism, and developing natural
gas in the Eastern Mediterranean (gas in the Eastern Mediterranean (
see sections below). ).
Since 2020, when Israel reached various
Since 2020, when Israel reached various
agreements to normalize or improve relations agreements to normalize or improve relations
Figure 3. Egypt Hosts Israel and the UAE
with the United Arab Emirates (UAE),
March 2022
with the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco (known as the Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco (known as the
“Abraham Accords”), there has been a “Abraham Accords”), there has been a
noticeable increase in Israeli-Egyptian noticeable increase in Israeli-Egyptian
bilateral contacts and multilateral summits. In March 2022, Israel and Egypt announced the establishment of direct commercial flights between Tel Aviv and Sharm el Sheikh. Days later, Egypt hosted a trilateral summit between Israel, the UAE, and itself (see
Figure 3). A week later, Israel hosted the Negev Summit, in which the foreign ministers
of Egypt, the UAE, Bahrain, and Morocco
Source: Egyptian Presidential Spokesman
attended. Reportedly, mutual concern over Iran drove Negev Summit attendees to agree to share real-time intelligence about Iranian drones.44
2022; transcript via Bloomberg Government.
42 “US Warnings Ineffective on Egypt's Su-35 Plans as Pilots Train in Russia,” Africa Intelligence, June 8, 2022. 43 See Section 7041(a)(1) of P.L. 117-103, the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2022bilateral contacts and multilateral summits. The primary diplomatic vehicle for implementing the Abraham Accords on a multilateral scale is the Negev Forum, which includes the United States, Israel, other Abraham Accords signatories, and Egypt.
Egypt, Israel, and the Palestinians
Egypt’s triangular relationship with Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip is complex. On the one hand, Israel and Egypt cooperate against Hamas in the Gaza Strip, as they have since Sisi’s rise to power in 2013. In general, the Egyptian government is opposed to Islamist groups wielding political power across the Middle East.31 On the Egyptian-Gaza border, Egypt has tried to thwart arms tunnel smuggling into Gaza32 and has accused Palestinian militants in Gaza of aiding
27 Khalil al Anani, “Egypt’s Strategic Partnership with China: Opportunities and Implications,” Arab Center, Washington DC, January 27, 2023.
28 “China's Xinxing to invest $2 bln in Suez Canal Economic Zone- Egyptian cabinet,” Reuters, March 23, 2023. 29 Grady McGregor, “China emerges as lead funder for Egypt's new administrative city,” Al Monitor, December 20, 2022.
30 See Section 7041(a)(1)(B) of P.L. 117-328, the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023. In addition to sustaining the . In addition to sustaining the
treaty, the certification also requires Egypt to sustain its “strategic relationship with the United States.” treaty, the certification also requires Egypt to sustain its “strategic relationship with the United States.”
44 Arie Egozi, “Iran Fears Push Israel, Arab Nations to Once-‘Unthinkable’ Security Partnerships,” Breaking Defense, March 30, 2022. 31 “How Israel and Egypt are Coordinating on Gaza,” Al Monitor, July 12, 2018. 32 The Egyptian military has taken a number of steps to stop smuggling tunnel construction beneath the Egyptian-Gaza
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Egypt, Israel, and the Palestinians
Egypt’s triangular relationship with Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip is complex. On the one hand, Israel and Egypt cooperate against Hamas in the Gaza Strip, as they have since Sisi’s rise to power in 2013. In general, the Egyptian government is opposed to Islamist groups wielding political power across the Middle East.45 On the Egyptian-Gaza border, Egypt has tried to thwart arms tunnel smuggling into Gaza46 and has accused Palestinian militants in Gaza of aiding terrorist groups in the Sinai. On the other hand, in an acknowledgement of Hamas’terrorist groups in the Sinai. On the other hand, in an acknowledgement of Hamas’
s entrenched entrenched
rule in Gaza since 2007, Egypt couples its policy of containment with ongoing dialogue. rule in Gaza since 2007, Egypt couples its policy of containment with ongoing dialogue.
Maintaining a relationship with Hamas has provided the Egyptian security and intelligence Maintaining a relationship with Hamas has provided the Egyptian security and intelligence
services an opportunity to mediate between Hamas and Israel and between Hamas and its rival services an opportunity to mediate between Hamas and Israel and between Hamas and its rival
Palestinian faction Fatah (led by Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas).Palestinian faction Fatah (led by Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas).
Egypt, at times, has attempted to broker a long-term Israel-Hamas truce.47 In a September 2021 speech, Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid set forth Israeli conditions for a possible truce with Hamas, and said, “It’s worth emphasizing the critical importance of Egypt in this whole process. It won't happen without the support and involvement of our Egyptian partners and without their ability to talk to everyone involved.”48
Egypt controls the Rafah border crossing into Gaza, making Rafah the only non-Israeli-controlled
Egypt controls the Rafah border crossing into Gaza, making Rafah the only non-Israeli-controlled
passenger entryway into the Strip, which Egypt periodically closes for security reasons. Control passenger entryway into the Strip, which Egypt periodically closes for security reasons. Control
over the Rafah border crossing provides Egypt with some leverage over Hamas, though Egyptian over the Rafah border crossing provides Egypt with some leverage over Hamas, though Egyptian
authorities appear to use it carefully to avoid sparking a humanitarian crisis on their border.authorities appear to use it carefully to avoid sparking a humanitarian crisis on their border.
4933 Egypt also controls the Salah al Din Gate, a previously used crossing north of Rafah that opened Egypt also controls the Salah al Din Gate, a previously used crossing north of Rafah that opened
for commercial use in 2018. According to one report, both Hamas and Egypt tax imported goods for commercial use in 2018. According to one report, both Hamas and Egypt tax imported goods
moving into Gaza through the gate, earning Hamas tens of millions of dollars per year in moving into Gaza through the gate, earning Hamas tens of millions of dollars per year in
revenue.revenue.
50
The May 2021 Israel-Hamas Conflict and Egyptian Mediation
In May 2021, a conflict took place between Israel and Hamas in which Palestinian militants fired rockets at Israeli populated areas, while Israeli forces targeted Hamas and other militants in the densely populated urban areas of Gaza. After 11 days of fighting that resulted in over 250 Palestinians killed and 12 deaths inside Israel, Egypt helped mediate a cease-fire. President Sisi also provided Gaza with humanitarian aid and pledged $500 million for reconstruction (Qatar also pledged $500 million). On May 20, President Biden extended “my sincere gratitude to
45 “How Israel and Egypt are Coordinating on Gaza,” Al Monitor, July 12, 2018. 46 The Egyptian military has taken a number of steps to stop smuggling tunnel construction beneath the Egyptian-Gaza 34
Egypt and the new Israeli Coalition Government
The inclusion of ultra-nationalists within Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s new Israeli coalition government, coupled with clashes in Jerusalem and escalating violence in the West Bank, raises questions as to how these developments may strain the Israeli-Egyptian bilateral relationship. In early January 2023, when Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir visited Jerusalem’s Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif and drew condemnation from various Arab governments, press reports indicated that the Egyptian leadership in particular had been “embarrassed” by the visit and that such actions complicate Egypt’s ability to mediate between Israel and Hamas. Egypt has worked in concert with other Arab countries and through the Cairo-based Arab League to condemn Israeli government actions Egypt perceives as provoking tension. On February 26 in Aqaba, Jordan, U.S. senior officials met with counterparts from Jordan, Egypt, Israel, and the Palestinian Authority to, among other things, reaffirm “the necessity of committing to de-escalation on the ground
and to prevent further violence.” Egypt hosted another meeting in Sharm el Sheikh on March 19, 2023, in which “The Government of Israel and the Palestinian National Authority reaffirmed their joint readiness and commitment to immediately work to end unilateral measures for a period of 3-6 months.”35 Some Senators issued a press statement fol owing the meeting in Egypt in which they “commended” the efforts by Jordan and Egypt to set the conditions for this process and for hosting these meetings.36
Sinai Peninsula
Several terrorist groups based in the Sinai Peninsula (the Sinai) have been waging an insurgency against the Egyptian government since 2011. The Islamic State’s Sinai Province affiliate (IS-SP) is the most lethal terrorist organization in the peninsula.37 Since its inception in 2014, IS-SP has border. To date, it has destroyed numerous tunnels and created a “buffer zone” along the Gaza border by demolishing border. To date, it has destroyed numerous tunnels and created a “buffer zone” along the Gaza border by demolishing
parts of Rafah city and flooding trenches in the area with seawater from the Mediterranean. The military also has parts of Rafah city and flooding trenches in the area with seawater from the Mediterranean. The military also has
erected concrete walls and barbed wire fencing along the buffer zone to protect against attacks from the Islamic State-erected concrete walls and barbed wire fencing along the buffer zone to protect against attacks from the Islamic State-
Sinai Province. According to Human Rights Watch, which has criticized the military’s actions, since 2013, a little less Sinai Province. According to Human Rights Watch, which has criticized the military’s actions, since 2013, a little less
than one-quarter of all northern Sinai residents have been displaced or otherwise left the region as a result of the home than one-quarter of all northern Sinai residents have been displaced or otherwise left the region as a result of the home
demolitions and intensifying military hostilities. See, Human Rights Watch, “Egypt: Massive Sinai Demolitions Likely demolitions and intensifying military hostilities. See, Human Rights Watch, “Egypt: Massive Sinai Demolitions Likely
War Crimes,” March 17, 2021. War Crimes,” March 17, 2021.
47 “Egypt Trying to Broker Broad Israel-Hamas Truce, Hamas Says,” Associated Press, August 2, 2018. 48 Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs, FM Lapid addresses World Summit on Counter Terrorism, September 12, 2021. 4933 “For Hamas, Reconciliation with Egypt Worth More than Qatari Cash,” “For Hamas, Reconciliation with Egypt Worth More than Qatari Cash,”
Al Monitor, January 31, 2019. , January 31, 2019.
5034 “New Gaza Crossing Raises Questions about Blockade Policies,” “New Gaza Crossing Raises Questions about Blockade Policies,”
PolicyWatch #3205, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, October 23, 2019.
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President Al Sisi and the senior Egyptian officials who played a critical role in this diplomacy.”51 According to one account, “All of this is helpful for Palestinians—but it is more helpful still for Mr. Sisi’s reputation.”52
Since the 2021 conflict, President Sisi has called on the international donor community to pledge further reconstruction aid to Gaza. In the meantime, Egyptian military construction companies have been involved in removing rubble, repairing Gaza’s coastal road, and rebuilding housing. However, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has reportedly slowed the pace of Egypt’s rebuilding efforts.53 Building material costs have risen significantly since late February 2022, and Egypt has restricted the export of certain goods, such as cement.
As of June 2022, Egypt (Egyptian General Intelligence) has continued to serve as a mediator between Israel and Hamas as both sides negotiate over the infusion of additional reconstruction aid for Gaza and the return of Israeli civilians held in Gaza.54 As in the aftermath of the three previous major Israel-Hamas conflicts (in 2008-2009, 2012, and 2014), Egypt, Israel, and other international actors face challenges in balancing Gaza’s humanitarian and economic needs with concerns that Hamas could divert money and supplies brought into Gaza for military purposes.
Sinai Peninsula
Several terrorist groups based in the Sinai Peninsula (the Sinai) have been waging an insurgency against the Egyptian government since 2011. The Islamic State’s Sinai Province affiliate (IS-SP) is the most lethal terrorist organization in the peninsula.55 Since its inception in 2014, IS-SP has attacked the Egyptian military continually, targeted Coptic Christian individuals and places of worship,56 and occasionally fired rockets into Israel.
, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, October 23, 2019.
35 U.S. Department of State, Joint Communique from the March 19 meeting in Sharm El Sheikh, March 19, 2023. 36 Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Press Release, available at https://www.foreign.senate.gov/press/dem/release/sfrc-chairman-menendez-colleagues-statement-on-recent-palestinian-authority-israel-meetings.
37 This group was formerly known as Ansar Bayt al Maqdis (Supporters of the Holy House or Partisans of Jerusalem).
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attacked the Egyptian military repeatedly, targeted Coptic Christian individuals and places of worship,38 and occasionally fired rockets into Israel.
Over the past several years, Egyptian counterterrorism efforts in the Sinai appear to have reduced the frequency of terrorist attacks.39 To counter IS-SP in northern Sinai, the Egyptian armed forces and police have declared a state of To counter IS-SP in northern Sinai, the Egyptian armed forces and police have declared a state of
emergency, imposed curfews and travel restrictions, and erected police checkpoints along main emergency, imposed curfews and travel restrictions, and erected police checkpoints along main
roads. Moreover, the Egyptian Army has enlisted local Sinai tribes in what is known as the Sinai roads. Moreover, the Egyptian Army has enlisted local Sinai tribes in what is known as the Sinai
Tribes Union to help buttress its own forces. Israel also has supported Egyptian efforts with Tribes Union to help buttress its own forces. Israel also has supported Egyptian efforts with
information sharing and coordinated air strikes.information sharing and coordinated air strikes.
5740 The Egyptian government also has used non- The Egyptian government also has used non-
military means, such as increased economic development in the Sinai, in an effort to win support military means, such as increased economic development in the Sinai, in an effort to win support
amongst the local population. In 2021, the government inaugurated in northern Sinai the world’s amongst the local population. In 2021, the government inaugurated in northern Sinai the world’s
largest agricultural wastewater treatment plant.
51 The White House, Remarks by President Biden on the Middle East, May 20, 2021. 52 “Sisi Sees an Opportunity,” The Economist, Middle East & Africa, July 3, 2021, edition. 53 Sanaa Alswerky, “Economic Fallout from the Russia-Ukraine War Hits Gaza Hard,” Jerusalem Post, March 21, 2022.
54 Hamas is holding two Israelis captive, Hisham al Sayed and Avera Mengistu. Israel is demanding their return and the return of the remains of two soldiers killed in Gaza during the 2014 war. Hamas is demanding that Israel release an unknown number of high profile Hamas members from Israeli prison.
55 This group was formerly known as Ansar Bayt al Maqdis (Supporters of the Holy House or Partisans of Jerusalem). largest agricultural wastewater treatment plant.
The 1979 Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty limits the number of soldiers that Egypt can deploy
Figure 3. The Sinai Peninsula
in the Sinai, subject to the parties’ negotiation of changes to address particular circumstances (known as the Agreed Activities Mechanism). Egypt and Israel agree upon any short-term increase of Egypt’s military presence in the Sinai and to the construction of military and/or dual-use infrastructure. Since Israel returned control over the Sinai to Egypt in 1982, the area has been partially demilitarized, and the Sinai has served as an effective buffer zone between the two countries. The Multinational Force and Observers, or MFO, which are partially funded by the United States, are deployed in the Sinai to monitor the terms of the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty (see Figure 3).
In the Joint Explanatory Statement (Division K) accompanying P.L. 117-103, the FY2022 Consolidated Appropriations Act, lawmakers mandated that the State Department report Egypt’s compliance with end-user monitoring
agreements for the use of U.S. military
Source: Multinational Force and Observers.
equipment in the Sinai.
It emerged after the Egyptian revolution of 2011 and affiliated with the Islamic State in 2014. Estimates of its It emerged after the Egyptian revolution of 2011 and affiliated with the Islamic State in 2014. Estimates of its
numerical composition range from 500 to 1,000. In Arabic, it is known as numerical composition range from 500 to 1,000. In Arabic, it is known as
Wilayat Sinai (Sinai Province). Also referred (Sinai Province). Also referred
to as ISIS-Sinai, ISIS-Egypt, and the Islamic State in the Sinai. to as ISIS-Sinai, ISIS-Egypt, and the Islamic State in the Sinai.
5638 In November 2018, IS-SP claimed responsibility for an attack against Coptic Christian pilgrims traveling to the In November 2018, IS-SP claimed responsibility for an attack against Coptic Christian pilgrims traveling to the
monastery of Saint Samuel the Confessor 85 miles south of Cairo in the western desert. monastery of Saint Samuel the Confessor 85 miles south of Cairo in the western desert.
5739 “Officer killed, 4 soldiers injured on Monday in potential 1st South Sinai militant attack since 2019,” Mada Masr, March 1, 2023.
40 James Trigg, “Islamic State Attack on Egyptian Forces Demonstrates Continued Insurgent Capabilities Despite James Trigg, “Islamic State Attack on Egyptian Forces Demonstrates Continued Insurgent Capabilities Despite
Intensive Counterinsurgency,” Intensive Counterinsurgency,”
Jane'’s Terrorism & Insurgency Monitor, May 13, 2022. , May 13, 2022.
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Egyptian and Israeli Natural Gas Exports to Europe
With the EU poised to phase out purchases of Russian gas, Europeans are looking to various global suppliers to make up for lost supply. Egypt is the third-largest natural gas producer in Africa, following Algeria and Nigeria.
Some economists believe that, if Egyptian capacity can be increased, Egypt has the
Figure 4. Egyptian LNG Exports to
potential to account for 5%-10% of Europe’s
Europe
natural gas import needs.41 In June 2022, the EU signed a trilateral gas supply agreement with Egypt and Israel. Egypt currently imports Israeli natural gas (at 85bcm over a 15-year period) and will re-liquefy Israeli gas at its two liquefied natural gas terminals at Damietta port for re-export to Europe.42 However, lack of transport and processing capacity is a major challenge for Israel and Egypt in becoming significant suppliers to Europe (see Figure 4). There are two pipelines capable of transporting Israeli gas to Egypt, and Egypt’s LNG facilities are
working at maximum capacity to meet both
Source: Al Monitor, February 2023
domestic and foreign demand.43 According to Egypt’s Energy Minister Tarek el Molla, Egypt needs to produce more gas domestically and receive additional flows from Israel in order to maximize its LNG exports to Europe.44
In early 2023, Chevron and the Italian energy group Eni announced that they had made a significant discovery of off-shore natural gas off the coast of northern Sinai.45
Democracy, Human Rights, and Religious Freedom U.S. officials and some Members of Congress have frequently criticized Egypt’s record on human rights and democratization. The Egyptian government rejects foreign criticism of its human rights practices as illegitimate interference in Egypt’s domestic affairs.46 It also claims that it is taking tangible steps to improve its human rights record and broaden political participation by launching a national human rights strategy,47 forming a Presidential Pardon Commission to release political prisoners, and launching a National Dialogue to allow some open discussion of political issues by a range of various actors (except for the Muslim Brotherhood which the Egyptian government designated as a terrorist group in 2013 after the military deposed an elected
41 Economist Intelligence Unit, “Can Europe Fully Replace Russian Gas?,” May 24, 2022. 42 John Ainger and Alberto Nardelli, “EU, Egypt Near Gas Supply Deal in Shift Away From Russia,” Bloomberg, June 3, 2022.
43 Marc Espanol, “Egypt’s Gas Imports from Israel Hit all-time High,” Al Monitor, June 7, 2022. 44 Salma El Wardany and Paul Wallace, “Egypt Sees 2025 as Earliest It Can Boost LNG Exports to Europe,” Bloomberg, February 15, 2023.
45 “Eni, Chevron announce new gas discovery in Egyptian East Med field,” Reuters, January 15, 2023. 46 “Egypt calls on US not to interfere in its affairs,” The Middle East Monitor, March 15, 2019. 47 Government of Egypt, State Information Service, Egypt and Human Rights, February 3, 2022.
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link to page 14 Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
Muslim Brotherhood-led government).48 Egyptian counterterrorism efforts in the Sinai appear to have reduced the frequency of terrorist attacks. According to one analysis, as of late 2021, fatalities from terrorist attacks in 2021 were 9% of the total number of deaths in 2017.58 In June 2022, former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs David Schenker wrote that “The Egyptian military finally appears to be making progress in rolling back the group. Not only have there been fewer attacks, but Cairo’s funneling of economic development funds to the peninsula has also generated some goodwill among the long-restive population.”59
Though the pace of IS-SP attacks have dropped, other experts believe that IS-SP remains a significant security threat, especially when pitted against poorly trained Egyptian conscript soldiers serving in the Sinai. According to one report from IHS Markit, “Although militant capabilities have not returned to the levels of sophistication seen from 2014-16, the group has shown it still retains high level capabilities.”60 In May 2022, IS-SP launched two separate attacks against Egyptian forces killing 16 people. Sinai militants used vehicle-borne improvised explosive devices (VBIEDs) and pickup trucks armed with machine guns to attack Egyptian soldiers. Afterward, the head of CENTCOM, General Michael E. Kurilla, offered to dispatch the head of U.S. counter-terrorism forces in the Middle East, U.S. Rear Admiral Mitchell Bradley, to Egypt for “guidance and additional assistance.”61
The 1979 Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty limits the number of soldiers that Egypt can deploy
Figure 4. The Sinai Peninsula
in the Sinai, subject to the parties’ negotiation of changes to address particular circumstances (known as the Agreed Activities Mechanism). Egypt and Israel agree upon any short-term increase of Egypt’s military presence in the Sinai and to the construction of military and/or dual-use infrastructure. Since Israel returned control over the Sinai to Egypt in 1982, the area has been partially demilitarized, and the Sinai has served as an effective buffer zone between the two countries. The Multinational Force and Observers, or MFO, which are partially funded by the United States, are deployed in the Sinai to monitor the terms of the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty (see Figure 4).
Democracy, Human Rights, and
Religious Freedom
Egypt’s record on human rights and
democratization has sparked regular criticism
Source: Multinational Force and Observers
58 Ido Levy, “Egypt’s Counterinsurgency Success in Sinai,” PolicyWatch#3555, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, December 9, 2021.
59 David Schenker, “Egypt’s Remilitarized Sinai Is a Future Powder Keg,” ForeigPolicy.com, June 3, 2022. 60 Jack Kennedy, “Terrorism in Egypt: Examining the Data and What to Expect in 2021,” IHS Markit, December 18, 2020.
61 “Egypt, U. S. Eye Counter-Terrorism Ties in Wake of Deadly Sinai Attack,” Reuters, May 9, 2022.
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from U.S. officials and some Members of Congress. The Egyptian government rejects foreign criticism of its human rights practices as illegitimate interference in Egypt’s domestic affairs.62 Certain practices of President Sisi’s government, the parliament, and the security apparatus have Certain practices of President Sisi’s government, the parliament, and the security apparatus have
been the subjects of U.Sbeen the subjects of U.S
. criticism, including Egypt’s detention and treatment of U.S. citizens criticism. According to the U.S. State Department’s report on human . According to the U.S. State Department’s report on human
rights conditions in Egypt in rights conditions in Egypt in
20212022: :
Significant human rights issues included credible reports of: unlawful or arbitrary killings,
Significant human rights issues included credible reports of: unlawful or arbitrary killings,
including extrajudicial killingsincluding extrajudicial killings
by the government or its agents, and by terrorist groups; by the government or its agents, and by terrorist groups;
forcedenforced disappearance by state security; torture and cases of cruel, inhuman, or degrading disappearance by state security; torture and cases of cruel, inhuman, or degrading
treatment or punishment by the government; harsh and life-threatening prison conditions; treatment or punishment by the government; harsh and life-threatening prison conditions;
arbitraryarbitrary
detention; political prisoners or detainees; politically motivated reprisals against individuals located arrest and detention; political prisoners or detainees; transnational repression against individuals in another country; arbitrary or unlawful interference with privacy; in another country; arbitrary or unlawful interference with privacy;
serious abuses in a conflict, including reportedly enforced disappearances, abductions, serious abuses in a conflict, including reportedly enforced disappearances, abductions,
physicalphysical
abuses, and extrajudicial killings; serious restrictions on free expression and abuses, and unlawful or widespread civilian deaths or harm; serious restrictions on free expression and media, including arrests or prosecutions of journalists, censorship, media, including arrests or prosecutions of journalists, censorship,
site blocking, and the abuse of criminal libel laws; serious restrictions on internet freedom; substantial interference with the freedom of and the enforcement of or threat to enforce criminal libel laws to limit expression; serious restrictions on internet freedom; substantial interference with the freedom of peaceful assembly and freedom of association, including peaceful assembly and freedom of association, including
overly restrictive laws on the organization, funding, or operation of nongovernmental and overly restrictive laws on the organization, funding, or operation of nongovernmental and
civil society organizations; restrictions on freedom of movement, including travel bans imposed on human rights defenders, journalists, and activistscivil society organizations; restrictions on freedom of movement; serious and unreasonable; serious and unreasonable
restrictions on political participation;restrictions on political participation;
serious government restrictions on domestic and international human rights organizations; and serious government restrictions on domestic and international human rights organizations; gender-based violence and a lack of investigation and accountability for such crimes; crimes involving violence or threats ofcrimes involving violence or threats of
violence targeting lesbian, gay, violence targeting lesbian, gay, bisexual, bisexual,
transgender, queer, or intersex persons; and significant restrictions on workers’ freedom of association.49
Select international human rights, democracy, and development monitoring organizations provide the following global rankings for Egypt (see Table 1).
Table 1. Democracy, Human Rights, and Development Indicators
Issue
Index
Ranking
Democracy
Freedom House, Freedom in the World 2023
“Not Free”
Press Freedom
Reporters Without Borders, World Press
168/180 Countries
Freedom Index 2022
Corruption
Transparency International, Corruption
130/180 Countries
Perceptions Index 2022
Human
United Nations Human Development
97/191 Countries
Development
Programme, Human Development Index 2021
Sources: Freedom House, Reporters Without Borders, Transparency International, and United Nations Human Development Programme.
Gender Equality
Despite a constitutional provision affirming gender equality, Egyptian women do not enjoy the same legal rights and opportunities as men and experience widespread discrimination.50 The World Economic Forum ranks Egypt 129th of 156 countries on the Global Gender Gap index; the
48 “Egypt’s National Political Dialogue agrees on social issues to discuss, voices appreciation for pardons,” Al Ahram, July 30, 2022.
49 U.S. Department of State, 2022 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices: Egypt, March 20, 2023. 50 Op. cit., U.S. Department of State, 2022 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices: Egypt, March 20, 2023.
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10transgender, queer, or intersex persons and use of the law to arrest and prosecute arbitrarily such persons.63
Egyptian authorities employ a host of legal authorities to suppress peaceful political opposition and civil society, including the following:
Emergency Law. In October 2021 President Sisi suspended Egypt’s state of
emergency; Egypt had been in a near continuous state of emergency since 2017.64 The 2014 constitution, as amended, limited the president’s ability to declare an indefinite state of emergency, though the pro-government parliament had continuously approved three-month extensions of the president’s emergency declarations (most recently in July 2021). Emergency powers, which were in effect for decades under the rule of the late Hosni Mubarak, enable the state to refer civilians to State Security Emergency Courts rather than civilian courts for various infractions. Despite President Sisi’s suspension of Egypt’s emergency state, under the 1958 Emergency Law (Number 162 of 1958), state security emergency courts must continue to examine current cases and those referred to them before the state of emergency had been lifted, though no new cases may be referred to emergency courts.65
Anti-terrorism law. Egypt’s 2015 anti-terrorism law has been widely criticized
by human rights groups for creating a broad definition of terrorism that can be used by authorities to crack down against peaceful political opposition. According to one critique, “By writing into law a broad definition for terrorism and creating new prosecutorial and judicial mechanisms, the Counter-terrorism
62 “Egypt Calls on US not to Interfere in its Affairs,” The Middle East Monitor, March 15, 2019. 63 U.S. State Department, 2021 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices: Egypt, April 12, 2022. 64 For an overview of the Egypt’s emergency law, see “Egypt’s Emergency Law Explained,” Al Jazeera, April 11, 2017.
65 The Legal Agenda, “Ending Egypt’s Perpetual State of Emergency: What Next?” December 13, 2021.
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Law expands the scope of acts that can be tried as terrorism; subjects even nonviolent, constitutionally protected actions of everyday citizens, journalists, and rights defenders to possible prosecution under terrorism legislation; and contributes to a culture in which national security concerns automatically trump human rights and legal obligations.”66
NGO Law. For years, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) operating in
Egypt have charged that the government has used the legal system to restrict civil organizations from conducting lawful activities without government interference. Egypt’s Law #149 of 2019 on activities of nongovernmental organizations prohibits domestic and foreign NGOs from pursuing activities that violate “national security,” “public order,” “public morals,” and “national unity” without defining any of these terms.67
Authorities also restrict access to the internet, censor online content, and monitor private online communications.68 In 2018, parliament passed amendments to the Media and Press Law that, among other changes, grant the regulatory body known as the Supreme Media Council “the authority to suspend a social media account that has 5,000 followers or more if it posts false news, promotes violence, or spreads hateful views.”69 The Egyptian government also has attempted to require that technology companies share their user data with authorities.70 In October 2019, the Egyptian cabinet issued a resolution mandating, among other things, that ride-sharing companies such as Uber submit to the Ministry of Transportation six months’ worth of customers’ data from all rides.71
Select international human rights, democracy, and development monitoring organizations provide the following global rankings for Egypt (see Table 1).
Table 1. Democracy, Human Rights, and Development Indicators
Issue
Index
Ranking
Democracy
Freedom House, Freedom in the World 2022
“Not Free”
Press Freedom
Reporters Without Borders, World Press
168/180 Countries
Freedom Index 2022
Corruption
Transparency International, Corruption
117/180 Countries
Perceptions Index 2021
Human
United Nations Human Development
116/189 Countries
Development
Programme, Human Development Index 2020
Sources: Freedom House, Reporters Without Borders, Transparency International, and United Nations Human Development Programme.
66 The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy, “TIMEP Brief: Counter-Terrorism Law,” August 15, 2018. 67 George Sadek, “Egypt: New Law Enacted Regulating Activities of Nongovernmental Organizations,” Global Legal
Monitor, The Law Library, Library of Congress, September 11, 2019.
68 See “The Eye on the Nile,” Check Point Research, October 3, 2019. 69 “Egypt: Parliament Passes Amendments to Media and Press Law,” Global Legal Monitor, The Law Library, Library of Congress, August 6, 2018.
70 Declan Walsh, “Dilemma for Uber and Rival: Egypt’s Demand for Data on Riders,” New York Times, June 10, 2017. 71 “Egypt: Ministerial Resolution Issued to Regulate Activities of Ride-Sharing Companies,” Global Legal Monitor, The Law Library, Library of Congress, October 22, 2019.
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Gender Equality
Despite a constitutional provision affirming gender equality, Egyptian women do not enjoy the same legal rights and opportunities as men and experience widespread discrimination.72 The World Economic Forum ranks Egypt 129th of 156 countries on the Global Gender Gap index; the country performs in the bottom 10 countries on the measure of women’s economic participation and opportunity. Men participate in the labor force at more than three times the rate of women in Egypt (75.2% compared with 20% for women), and less than 10% of firms have women in top management positions.73
Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
country performs in the bottom 10 countries on the measure of women’s economic participation and opportunity. The World Economic Forum notes that for 2022, “Egypt is another country impacted by an asymmetrical reduction of women’s labour-force participation.”51
According to the World Bank’s Women, Business, and the Law index, an annual study that
According to the World Bank’s Women, Business, and the Law index, an annual study that
evaluates the laws and regulations that affect women’s economic opportunity in 190 economies, evaluates the laws and regulations that affect women’s economic opportunity in 190 economies,
Egypt’s score of 50.6 is lower than the regional Middle East and North Africa (MENA) average Egypt’s score of 50.6 is lower than the regional Middle East and North Africa (MENA) average
of 53.1. However, the 2022 report notes that Egypt for the first time issued a regulation (Decree of 53.1. However, the 2022 report notes that Egypt for the first time issued a regulation (Decree
No. 827/2021) to establish a help center for women victims of domestic violence.No. 827/2021) to establish a help center for women victims of domestic violence.
7452
Violence against women and rampant sexual harassment persist in Egypt. According to a 2017
Violence against women and rampant sexual harassment persist in Egypt. According to a 2017
survey, nearly two-thirds of men in Egypt have sexually harassed women or girls in public.survey, nearly two-thirds of men in Egypt have sexually harassed women or girls in public.
7553 Child marriage and female genital mutilation or cutting (FGM/C) are both practiced to some Child marriage and female genital mutilation or cutting (FGM/C) are both practiced to some
extent, despite laws against them. According to Amnesty International, “Authorities extent, despite laws against them. According to Amnesty International, “Authorities
continued to prosecute prosecuted women social media influencers for women social media influencers for
how they acted, dressed and earned moneytheir conduct on on
social mediasocial media
apps.”76.”54
Coptic Christians
Most Egyptians are Sunni Muslims
Most Egyptians are Sunni Muslims
, but a relatively small percentage (perhaps 5% or less) (perhaps 90%55). A relatively small percentage are are
Coptic Christians, and this minority has faced discrimination and persecution, from the Coptic Christians, and this minority has faced discrimination and persecution, from the
government as well as from other citizens and terrorist groups.government as well as from other citizens and terrorist groups.
Congress has at times urged the Congress has at times urged the
government of Egypt to protect this community, which is the largest population of Christians government of Egypt to protect this community, which is the largest population of Christians
remaining in any single country in the Middle East and North Africa region. For example, in the remaining in any single country in the Middle East and North Africa region. For example, in the
117th Congress, H.Res. 117, among other provisions, would 117th Congress, H.Res. 117, among other provisions, would
urgehave urged the Government of Egypt to the Government of Egypt to
enact “serious and legitimate reforms in the public sector, athletics, and society to ensure Coptic enact “serious and legitimate reforms in the public sector, athletics, and society to ensure Coptic
Christians are given the same rights and opportunities as all other Egyptian citizens.”Christians are given the same rights and opportunities as all other Egyptian citizens.”
In House Report Language (H.Rept. 117-84 accompanying H.R. 4373, the State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs Appropriations Bill, 2022), appropriators directed the State Department to report on the steps the Egyptian Government is taking to ensure proper treatment and justice for Christian communities in Egypt. The Joint Explanatory Statement (Division K) accompanying P.L. 117-103, the FY2022 Consolidated Appropriations Act, mandated Federal departments to “comply with the directives, reporting requirements, and instructions contained in the H.Rept. 117-84 (House report).”
For years, the Coptic Christian community in Egypt has called for equal treatment under the
For years, the Coptic Christian community in Egypt has called for equal treatment under the
law.77law, and members of the community have won several court cases, beginning in 2019.56 Since taking office, President Sisi has publicly called for greater Muslim-Christian Since taking office, President Sisi has publicly called for greater Muslim-Christian
coexistence and national unity. In January 2019, he inaugurated Egypt’s Coptic Cathedral of coexistence and national unity. In January 2019, he inaugurated Egypt’s Coptic Cathedral of
72 Op. cit., U.S. State Department, 2021 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices: Egypt, April 12, 2022. 73Nativity in the New
51 World Economic Forum, World Economic Forum,
Global Gender Gap Report 2021, March 2021. 742022, July 2022. 52 World Bank, World Bank,
Women, Business, and the Law 2022, data as of October 1, 2021. , data as of October 1, 2021.
7553 Miriam Berger, “The Car Ad Tried to Extol its HD Camera. Instead, it Promoted Sexual Harassment in Egypt, Miriam Berger, “The Car Ad Tried to Extol its HD Camera. Instead, it Promoted Sexual Harassment in Egypt,
Critics Say,” Critics Say,”
Washington Post, December 30, 2021. , December 30, 2021.
7654 Amnesty International, Amnesty International,
Amnesty International Report 2021/20222022/2023 State of the World’s Human Rights, Egypt, , Egypt,
2022. 77 In late 2019, an Egyptian Coptic woman won a landmark inheritance case before the Cairo Court of Appeal. The court granted the plaintiff, a Coptic Christian woman, a share of her late father’s inheritance equal to that of her two male brothers by applying Christian Orthodox Personal Status Bylaws rather than Islamic law (which grants sons twice the share of daughters). The plaintiff had argued that, per the Egyptian Constitution of 2014, she should not be subject to Islamic law in matters related to family law.2023. 55 The World Factbook, last updated April 18, 2023. 56 See George Sadek, “Egypt: Court Grants Christian Woman Share of See George Sadek, “Egypt: Court Grants Christian Woman Share of
Father’s Estate Equal to Share of Her Two Brothers,” Father’s Estate Equal to Share of Her Two Brothers,”
Global Legal Monitor, The Law Library, Library of Congress, , The Law Library, Library of Congress,
January 9, 2020. January 9, 2020. See also, “Egypt court gives Coptic woman inheritance equivalent to the man,” Egypt Independent, April 11, 2023.
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Nativity in the New Administrative Capital east of Cairo saying, “This is an important moment in Administrative Capital east of Cairo saying, “This is an important moment in
our history.... We are one and we will remain one.”our history.... We are one and we will remain one.”
7857
Despite these public calls for improved interfaith relations in Egypt, the minority Coptic Christian
Despite these public calls for improved interfaith relations in Egypt, the minority Coptic Christian
community continues to face professional and social discrimination, along with occasional community continues to face professional and social discrimination, along with occasional
sectarian attacks. According to the 2022 U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom sectarian attacks. According to the 2022 U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom
report, “Acts of violence against individual Coptic victims, especially in rural areas, occurred in report, “Acts of violence against individual Coptic victims, especially in rural areas, occurred in
social environments with persistent imbalances in the treatment of perpetrators from the Muslim social environments with persistent imbalances in the treatment of perpetrators from the Muslim
majority and their Coptic victims.”majority and their Coptic victims.”
7958
Terrorist attacks against Christian places of worship also continue to threaten the Coptic
Terrorist attacks against Christian places of worship also continue to threaten the Coptic
community. Suicide bomber attacks against Coptic cathedrals in 2011, 2016, and 2017 community. Suicide bomber attacks against Coptic cathedrals in 2011, 2016, and 2017
collectively killed over 95 people and injured hundreds of others. In April 2021, IS-SP posted a collectively killed over 95 people and injured hundreds of others. In April 2021, IS-SP posted a
video depicting the group’s murder of a 62-year-old Copt from Bir al Abd in North Sinai. video depicting the group’s murder of a 62-year-old Copt from Bir al Abd in North Sinai.
Additionally, Coptic Christians Coptic Christians
also have long voiced concern about state regulation of church construction. have long voiced concern about state regulation of church construction.
They have demanded that the government reform long-standing laws (some dating back to the They have demanded that the government reform long-standing laws (some dating back to the
nineteenth century) on building codes for Christian places of worship. Article 235 of Egypt’s nineteenth century) on building codes for Christian places of worship. Article 235 of Egypt’s
2014 constitution mandates that parliament reform these building code regulations. In 2016, 2014 constitution mandates that parliament reform these building code regulations. In 2016,
parliament approved a church construction law (Law 80 of 2016) that expedited the government parliament approved a church construction law (Law 80 of 2016) that expedited the government
approval process for the construction and restoration of Coptic churches, among other structures. approval process for the construction and restoration of Coptic churches, among other structures.
Although Coptic Pope Tawadros II welcomed the law,Although Coptic Pope Tawadros II welcomed the law,
8059 some sources report that the approval some sources report that the approval
process for new Coptic houses of worship is proceedingprocess for new Coptic houses of worship is proceeding
too slowly. slowly.
8160
Domestic Developments
Domestic Politics
President Abdel Fattah al Sisi’s tenure appears to have been predicated on the idea that a President Abdel Fattah al Sisi’s tenure appears to have been predicated on the idea that a
sufficient segment of the public, exhausted after several years of unrest and distrustful of Islamist sufficient segment of the public, exhausted after several years of unrest and distrustful of Islamist
rule, remains willing to forgo democratic liberties in exchange for the rule of a strongman hailing rule, remains willing to forgo democratic liberties in exchange for the rule of a strongman hailing
from the military. The extent to which Egyptians’ political quiescence reflects endorsement of from the military. The extent to which Egyptians’ political quiescence reflects endorsement of
military rule or strategic silence in the face of suppression is impossible to quantify, given the military rule or strategic silence in the face of suppression is impossible to quantify, given the
closed political environment enforced by the current government. The authorities have limited closed political environment enforced by the current government. The authorities have limited
dissent by maintaining a constant crackdown, which initially was aimed at the Muslim dissent by maintaining a constant crackdown, which initially was aimed at the Muslim
Brotherhood, but has evolved to cover a broader range of political speech, encompassing anyone Brotherhood, but has evolved to cover a broader range of political speech, encompassing anyone
criticizing the government. criticizing the government.
While successive Egyptian presidents since 1952 were effective at centralizing power, both
While successive Egyptian presidents since 1952 were effective at centralizing power, both
within the ruling system and outside it, certain institutions (judiciary, military) and individuals within the ruling system and outside it, certain institutions (judiciary, military) and individuals
enjoyed a considerable degree of independence from the executive. However, under President enjoyed a considerable degree of independence from the executive. However, under President
Sisi, there has been arguably an unprecedented attempt to consolidate control over all branches of Sisi, there has been arguably an unprecedented attempt to consolidate control over all branches of
government while stymying opposition to his rule. In April 2019, voters approved amendments to government while stymying opposition to his rule. In April 2019, voters approved amendments to
7857 “Egypt’s Sisi Opens Mega-Mosque and Middle East’s Largest Cathedral in New Capital,” Reuters, January 6, 2019. “Egypt’s Sisi Opens Mega-Mosque and Middle East’s Largest Cathedral in New Capital,” Reuters, January 6, 2019.
7958 Annual Report of the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, April 2022. Annual Report of the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, April 2022.
8059 “HH Pope Tawadros II: Church Construction Law Corrected an Error and Bandaged Wounds,” Coptic Orthodox “HH Pope Tawadros II: Church Construction Law Corrected an Error and Bandaged Wounds,” Coptic Orthodox
Cultural Center, September 1, 2016. Cultural Center, September 1, 2016.
8160 Mohamed Ezz, “Protests, Arrests in Minya Village Point to Longstanding Discriminatory Policies over Church Mohamed Ezz, “Protests, Arrests in Minya Village Point to Longstanding Discriminatory Policies over Church
Permits,” Permits,”
Mada Masr, February 10, 2022. , February 10, 2022.
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the constitution that extend President Sisi’s current term until 2024 and permit him to run for a
the constitution that extend President Sisi’s current term until 2024 and permit him to run for a
third term, potentially keeping him in office until 2030. The amendments also granted the third term, potentially keeping him in office until 2030. The amendments also granted the
president the authority to appoint all chief justices of Egyptian judicial bodies and the public president the authority to appoint all chief justices of Egyptian judicial bodies and the public
prosecutor. During summer 2019, President Sisi made those judicial appointments, leading one prosecutor. During summer 2019, President Sisi made those judicial appointments, leading one
anonymous Egyptian judge to question this authority, saying that “The role of the judge is to be at anonymous Egyptian judge to question this authority, saying that “The role of the judge is to be at
arm’s length from the executive, but this is inconsistent now with the fact the president of the arm’s length from the executive, but this is inconsistent now with the fact the president of the
republic is involved with a judge’s transfer, promotion and accountability.”republic is involved with a judge’s transfer, promotion and accountability.”
8261 President Sisi also President Sisi also
placed his older brother and oldest son in key security and intelligence positions, although his son placed his older brother and oldest son in key security and intelligence positions, although his son
is no longer in that role.is no longer in that role.
8362
Egypt’s bicameral parliament consists of a
Egypt’s bicameral parliament consists of a
596-member House of Representatives (568 596-member House of Representatives (568
Figure 5. President Abdel Fattah al Sisi
elected and 28 appointed by the president)
elected and 28 appointed by the president)
and a 300-member Senate (200 of whom are and a 300-member Senate (200 of whom are
elected, and 100 appointed by the president). elected, and 100 appointed by the president).
According to Egypt’s Political Rights Law, at According to Egypt’s Political Rights Law, at
least 25% of the elected seats in the House of least 25% of the elected seats in the House of
Representatives are set aside for female Representatives are set aside for female
candidates; 10% of all Senate seats are candidates; 10% of all Senate seats are
designated for women.designated for women.
8463 Women’s right to Women’s right to
vote was recognized in 1956, and women vote was recognized in 1956, and women
currently constitute 27.7% of representatives currently constitute 27.7% of representatives
in the lower parliament and 13% of seats in
in the lower parliament and 13% of seats in
Source: Egyptian State Information Service. Egyptian State Information Service.
the upper house.
the upper house.
8564
Parliamentary elections took place in late 2020 amidst a turnout estimated at less than 30%.
Parliamentary elections took place in late 2020 amidst a turnout estimated at less than 30%.
Mostaqbal Watan (translated as either Future of the Homeland or Nation’s Future) (translated as either Future of the Homeland or Nation’s Future)
8665 emerged as emerged as
the leading pro-Sisi party, with 316 seats in the House. When parliament began its work in early the leading pro-Sisi party, with 316 seats in the House. When parliament began its work in early
2021, it featured the most women legislators in Egypt’s history. Egyptian lawmakers 2021, it featured the most women legislators in Egypt’s history. Egyptian lawmakers
overwhelmingly support the president’s legislative agenda, as overwhelmingly support the president’s legislative agenda, as
Mostaqbal Watan has become the has become the
successor to the now-defunct National Democratic Party (NDP), the former pro-government party successor to the now-defunct National Democratic Party (NDP), the former pro-government party
of the late Hosni Mubarak. According to one observer, “Sisi’s circle is presenting a democratic, of the late Hosni Mubarak. According to one observer, “Sisi’s circle is presenting a democratic,
pluralistic picture of this outcome, but in truth the legislature will be dominated by one major pluralistic picture of this outcome, but in truth the legislature will be dominated by one major
party surrounded by small parties that serve as window dressing, thereby mimicking an party surrounded by small parties that serve as window dressing, thereby mimicking an
opposition just enough to occasionally channel the public’s frustration at socioeconomic opposition just enough to occasionally channel the public’s frustration at socioeconomic
conditions. This is straight from the Mubarak playbook.”conditions. This is straight from the Mubarak playbook.”
8766 The next parliamentary elections are The next parliamentary elections are
expected to take place in 2025. expected to take place in 2025.
8261 “Fears Over Egypt’s Judiciary Abound after Sisi Appointments,” “Fears Over Egypt’s Judiciary Abound after Sisi Appointments,”
Agence France Presse, August 21, 2019. , August 21, 2019.
8362 Reportedly, President Sisi has since removed his son Mahmoud from the deputy head of the GIS. According to one Reportedly, President Sisi has since removed his son Mahmoud from the deputy head of the GIS. According to one
controversial report in the Egyptian publication controversial report in the Egyptian publication
Mada Masr, Mahmoud Sisi lost his position in the GIS after the , Mahmoud Sisi lost his position in the GIS after the
president’s inner circle concluded that his reputation was harmful to the Sisi regime. See “President’s Eldest Son, president’s inner circle concluded that his reputation was harmful to the Sisi regime. See “President’s Eldest Son,
Mahmoud al-Sisi, Sidelined from Powerful Intelligence Position to Diplomatic Mission in Russia,” Mahmoud al-Sisi, Sidelined from Powerful Intelligence Position to Diplomatic Mission in Russia,”
Mada Masr, ,
November 20, 2019. After November 20, 2019. After
Mada Masr published this account, security services temporarily detained an editor and two published this account, security services temporarily detained an editor and two
journalists and confiscated their personal electronics. See “Egypt News Outlet Raided after Report on Sisi’s Son,” journalists and confiscated their personal electronics. See “Egypt News Outlet Raided after Report on Sisi’s Son,”
Financial Times, November 24, 2019. , November 24, 2019.
8463 See, Gender Quotas Database, International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (International IDEA), See, Gender Quotas Database, International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (International IDEA),
Stockholm, Sweden. Stockholm, Sweden.
8564 Inter-Parliamentary Union, Monthly Ranking of Women in National Parliaments, accessed September 9, 2021. Inter-Parliamentary Union, Monthly Ranking of Women in National Parliaments, accessed September 9, 2021.
8665 The party’s website is available in English at https://mostaqbal-watan.org/en/. The party’s website is available in English at https://mostaqbal-watan.org/en/.
8766 Haisam Hassanein, “Egypt’s New Parliament: Reopening Political Life, But Only So Far,” Haisam Hassanein, “Egypt’s New Parliament: Reopening Political Life, But Only So Far,”
Policy Analysis, The , The
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Egypt’s Foreign Policy Though the bedrock of longstanding U.S.-Egyptian military cooperation has remained firm during Sisi’s presidency, over the last decade of his rule, Egypt has diversified its military-to-military and trade relationships away from the United States to include closer relations with Russia, China, and European nations. As previously mentioned, Egypt also has relied heavily on financial support from the Gulf Arab states. As a country dependent on external sources of capital, food, tourism, and military equipment, Egypt’s foreign policy under Sisi has been opportunistic and transactional. According to some analysts, countries such as Egypt perceive a shift in the balance of power away from the West and toward a more multipolar world.67 Ideologically, Egypt has continued to oppose the Muslim Brotherhood, though over the past year, as Egypt has struggled economically, it has repaired its relations with Turkey and Qatar, two of the Muslim Brotherhood’s primary foreign backers.
Participation in United Nations peacekeeping missions reflects Egypt’s external role and sizeable military and brings in financial support and experience for its forces. Egypt is a longtime contributor of military personnel to U.N. peacekeeping missions. As of February 2023, Egypt is the 6th-largest contributor of uniformed military personnel to U.N. missions worldwide.68
Russia and the War in Ukraine Officially, Egypt has stressed the need for a political solution to end the military conflict in Ukraine “in a way that meets the interests of all parties.”69 Beyond its official position, Egypt has maintained its relationship with Russia, despite Russian atrocities in Ukraine and growing Iranian-Russian military ties. Egypt relies heavily on Russian grain imports, tourist visits, nuclear cooperation, and arms sales (see text box below).
In February 2023, Egypt submitted a request to formally withdraw from the Grains Trade Convention, which it signed in 1995 as a way of promoting grain trade and market transparency. Egyptian commentators claimed that Egypt withdrew from the international treaty due to its ineffectiveness to control global grain prices and Egypt’s ability to secure grain supplies from partners such as Russia and India.70Another report indicated that Egypt owed the International Grains Council, which administers the treaty, membership fees.71 In March 2023, Egypt hosted Mikhail Bogdanov, Russia's deputy foreign minister and President Vladimir Putin's special envoy to the Middle East, and Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov. The officials held talks on advancing civilian nuclear cooperation and Egyptian grain procurement.72
In 2015, Egypt purchased several dozen MiG-29 multirole fighters from Russia. Three years later, reports surfaced of Egyptian plans to purchase Russian Sukhoi Su-35 Multi-Role Fighter Aircraft, a move that could have potentially triggered U.S. sanctions under the Countering Russian
Washington Institute for Near East Policy, January 26, 2021.
67 “How to survive a superpower split,” The Economist, April 11, 2023. See also, “Editorial: From Cairo to New Delhi,” Al Ahram, January 17, 2023.
68 United Nations, Contributions to UN Peacekeeping Operations by Country and Post, February 2023. 69 “Lavrov praises Egypt’s 'balanced stance' after FM Shoukry delivers Blinken message on Ukraine crisis,” Al Ahram, January 31, 2023.
70 “Growing Egypt-Russia relations,” Al Ahram, March 15, 2023. 71 “Egypt withdraws from UN grain treaty prompting sadness and concern,” Reuters, March 9, 2023. 72 “Egypt's Sisi discusses nuclear plant, grains trade with Russian officials,” Reuters, March 19, 2023.
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Influence in Europe and Eurasia Act of 2017 (CRIEEA; P.L. 115-44/H.R. 3364, Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act [CAATSA], Title II—hereinafter referred to as CAATSA). However, subsequent reports suggest, in part due to U.S. pressure, Egypt canceled the Su-35 contract; Russia would now appear to be providing those planes to Iran as part of a wider military cooperation arrangement, in which Iran has supplied unmanned aerial vehicles to Russia for use in Ukraine.73
Egyptian-Russian Relations under Sisi
Since President Sisi came to power in 2014, he has strengthened Egypt’s relationship with Russia. President Sisi turned to Russia during the Obama Administration, when the U.S.-Egyptian relationship became more strained (see the Appendix).74 Egypt and Russia have strengthened their ties in a number of ways, including through arms deals and joint military exercises. To bolster Russia’s support for political forces in eastern Libya, Egypt and Russia reportedly have a basing agreement allowing reciprocal access to airfields and airspace.75 Additionally, Egypt and Russia reportedly have expanded their cooperation on nuclear energy. In 2015, Egypt reached a deal with Russian state energy firm Rosatom to construct a 4,800-megawatt nuclear power plant in the Egyptian Mediterranean coastal town of Daba’a, 80 miles northwest of Cairo. Various reasons could explain why Egyptian-Russian relations have improved under President Sisi, none of which are mutually exclusive. For one, President Sisi appears to have determined that Egypt’s national security interests are best served by having global powers compete for Egypt’s favor. As a lower-middle-income country with relatively high poverty and a military that relies on the appearance of strength for deterrence, Egypt seeks cost efficiencies for its military acquisitions. Part of Egypt’s rebalancing of its foreign policy may be seen as a quest to secure the most advanced military hardware on the most generous financing terms available. With U.S. FMF grants relatively unchanged since 1987 (Congress has appropriated $1.3 bil ion a year since then), the purchasing power of U.S. military aid has decreased substantially given the rising costs of major defense systems. Moreover, U.S.
defense technology, particularly in fighter aircraft, has evolved to the point where Egypt either cannot afford the latest generation of U.S. fighters (such as the F-35), lacks the technical know-how to maintain them, or may be prohibited from purchasing certain items if they negate Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge (QME).76 Egypt has turned to Russia and France to source naval and air force acquisitions (including fourth-generation fighters, such as the Rafale from France) while using U.S. assistance to maintain its existing stocks of U.S. materiel. According to Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), from 2000 to 2009, Egypt’s major arms supplier was the United States, accounting for 75% of Egypt’s total arms imports; however, from 2010 to 2019, U.S. arms imports accounted for 23% of Egypt’s total arms imports.77
Libya and Turkey Since the 2011 uprising that toppled long-time authoritarian leader Muammar al Qadhafi, Egyptian policy in Libya has focused on securing its western border, protecting its citizens working in Libya, and supporting eastern Libya-based political and military forces. During Libya’s period of internal conflict (2014-2020), Egypt intervened militarily to strike armed Islamist groups in eastern Libya and provided diplomatic and material support to Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar and the Libyan National Army (LNA) movement. The LNA still controls eastern Libya and much of southern Libya despite its unsuccessful attempt to seize the capital between 2019 and 2020. Although Egypt’s support to Haftar and the LNA has been limited, Haftar’s priorities align with President Sisi’s to a certain extent, as both men hail from the military and broadly oppose Islamist political forces. Egypt has also sought to limit Turkish influence in
73 Grant Rumley, “What the Russia-Iran Arms Deals Mean for the Middle East,” ForeignPolicy.com, April 19, 2023. 74 “Analysis: Egyptian Air Force Modernization,” Jane’s International Defence Review, November 10, 2016. 75 Adam R. Grissom, Samuel Charap, Joe Cheravitch, Russell Hanson, Dara Massicot, Christopher A. Mouton, and Jordan R. Reimer, Russia’s Growing Presence in Africa, RAND Corporation, 2022.
76 See CRS Report R46580, Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge and Possible U.S. Arms Sales to the United Arab Emirates, coordinated by Jeremy M. Sharp and Jim Zanotti.
77 Alexandra Kuimova, “Understanding Egyptian Military Expenditure,” SIPRI Background Paper, October 2020.
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Libya, which it apparently considers destabilizing. Turkey’s military intervention in Libya helped blunt Haftar’s campaign to seize power. In general, Turkey’s support for Islamist movements in several countries, including the Egyptian-outlawed Muslim Brotherhood, has long been a strain in their bilateral relationship.
Recent improvements in Egyptian-Turkish relations may signal some possible cooperation on resolving the Libya political impasse. Egypt may now have economic incentives to cooperate on international efforts to unify Libya. According to Ben Fishman, a Libya expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy:
For its part, Egypt may now have greater motivation to help stabilize Libya given its increasingly dire economic crisis back home, which has included extreme currency devaluation, rising inflation, and shortages of basic goods. The question is whether Cairo still prefers to maintain the east Libyan political status quo or reap the economic benefits of a stable Libyan government—most notably in the form of hundreds of thousands of jobs for Egyptian workers, as was the case before the 2011 revolution. Libya has also reportedly offered to stabilize the Egyptian pound by providing deposits in its central bank.78
However, according to one report, Egypt seeks tangible Turkish action to improve bilateral relations, such as the closing of Muslim Brotherhood media outlets based in Istanbul and the withdrawal of Turkish-backed Syrian militias from Libya.79
The Nile River, Ethiopia, and Sudan Egypt relies on the Nile River80 (see Figure 6)
Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
Egypt’s Foreign Policy
Under President Sisi, Egypt’s foreign policy has been more active after a period of dormancy during the latter years of the late President Hosni Mubarak and the tumultuous two-and-a-half-year transition that followed Mubarak’s resignation.88 While President Sisi has continued Egypt’s longtime policy of playing an intermediary role between Israel and the Palestinians, Egypt under President Sisi has attempted to play a bigger role in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Red Sea. Since 2014, as Egypt has developed off-shore natural gas in the eastern Mediterranean, and President Sisi has modernized the Egyptian Navy and improved economic ties with Israel, Italy, Greece, and the Republic of Cyprus while also looking to deter regional rivals, such as Turkey. In January 2020, Egypt inaugurated a new base (Berenice) on the Red Sea which, according to one account, will allow Egypt to “project military power into the southern Red Sea.”89
As part of President Sisi’s strategy to revitalize Egyptian power in its immediate vicinity, it has maintained longstanding U.S.-Egyptian security ties while strengthening defense relationships with other actors.90 During Sisi’s presidency, Egypt has diversified its military-to-military and trade relationships away from the United States to include closer relations with Russia, China, and European nations such as France, Italy,91 and Germany.92 Between 2017 and 2021, Egypt was the third-largest arms importer globally (after Saudi Arabia and India) with Russia, France, and Italy being Egypt’s principal suppliers.93
Egypt also has been more active in the Middle East, specifically in Lebanon and Iraq, two countries where Iran exerts influence over some of the Shia Arab population. In Lebanon, which remains in the throes of a crippling economic and energy crisis, Egypt is planning to ship natural gas through Jordan and Syria to the Deir Ammar power plant in Lebanon.94 Some U.S. lawmakers are concerned that such an arrangement would be, without a waiver, a violation of the Caesar
Washington Institute for Near East Policy, January 26, 2021.
88 From about 2000 to 2013, Egypt had turned inward, unable to either lend its support or unilaterally advance major U.S. initiatives in the region, such as the war in Iraq or the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. Moreover, the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, profoundly and negatively impacted how some U.S. policymakers viewed Egypt. Whereas the bilateral relationship had previously focused on promoting regional peace and stability, the 9/11 attacks reoriented U.S. policy during the George W. Bush Administration, as Americans considered the possibility that popular disillusionment from authoritarianism might contribute to terrorism. Egypt has been a key element of this reorientation, as several Egyptian terrorists helped form the original core of Al Qaeda. For example, see Nabil Fahmy, “Egypt in the World,” The Cairo Review of Global Affairs, Summer 2012.
89 Jeremy Binnie, “Egypt Inaugurates Major Red Sea Base Complex,” Jane’s Defence Weekly, January 16, 2020. 90 The United States continues to fund the procurement of major defense systems. Since the start of the Biden Administration, the Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA) has notified Congress of potential defense sales to Egypt worth an estimated $6 billion. For a list of major arms sales notifications to Egypt, see https://www.dsca.mil/tags/Egypt.
91 Italy has supplied the Egyptian Navy with two FREMM Frigates from the Italian defense contractor Fincantieri for an estimated $1.4 billion. Egypt has also armed its Italian frigates with Aster-15 medium-range surface-to-air missiles. See, “Italy Advances Arms Deals with Egypt Despite Opposition,” Al Monitor, March 27, 2021. A year earlier, Egypt purchased 24 AW149 and eight AW189 helicopters from Italian defense contractor Leonardo for $957 million. See Gareth Jennings, “Italy Reveals Leonardo Helo Sales to Egypt,” Jane’s Defence Weekly, May 21, 2020. 92 ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS) is supplying the Egyptian Navy with four Type 209/1400mod submarines (for $1.7 billion). The same German company also is providing the navy with MEKO A‑200 frigates. Egypt is procuring VL MICA NG surface-to-air missiles from MBDA to protect these new frigates.
93 “Trends in International Arms Transfers, 2021,” Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), March 2022.
94 “Lebanon to get Egyptian Gas via Syria in Plan to Ease Crisis,” Reuters, September 8, 2021.
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Syria Civilian Protection Act of 2019 (P.L. 116-92, Title LXXIV). The Administration claims that Egypt’s gas transfer to Lebanon via Syria is an “in-kind” transfer and will not involve any “cash transfer” to Assad government.95 Lebanon is hoping that the combination of imported Egyptian gas and Jordanian electricity will enable it to increase its electrical supply from a few hours a day to up to 10 hours.96 In 2021, President Sisi became the first Egyptian president to visit Baghdad in 30 years. Egypt, Iraq, and Jordan have agreed to expand various types of energy and military cooperation, as well as trilateral trade and investment.97
Water and Climate Change
Egypt’s high temperatures, lack of rainfall, low-lying delta regions, and reliance on the Nile River make it water scarce and susceptible to the effects of global warming, such as extreme heat waves, coastal flooding, and loss of agricultural productivity.98
Rising Sea Levels and the Nile Delta
Low-lying deltas like Egypt’s Nile Delta and other parts of Egypt’s coast are susceptible to sea-level rise. Higher sea levels can result in more frequent flooding from high tides and extreme rainfall, greater impacts from coastal storms, damage to coastal fresh groundwater, changes to coastal habitats for fish and other species, and land lost to coastal erosion and inundation.99 The Nile Delta is Egypt’s most important agricultural region and home to significant population and economic centers, such as Alexandria and Port Said. Scientists have warned that the Nile Delta’s flood risk may increase in the years ahead due to a combination of factors.100 These include rising sea levels, which generally are anticipated to increase in the coming decades with warming temperatures, and local conditions contributing to land subsidence and loss, such as upstream dams capturing sediments needed for maintaining the delta and land subsidence from groundwater, oil, and gas extraction.101 According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), “The low-lying northern coast and Nile Delta region are a high priority for adaptation to climate change.”102
The Egyptian government’s record on taking steps to address climate change is mixed. On the one hand, decarbonization is difficult when a significant portion of the economy is dedicated to oil and natural gas extraction and production. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, hydrocarbon production is “by far the largest single industrial activity in the country, representing around 24 percent of total GDP in FY 2019-2020.”103
95 Rachel Oswald, “Senators Signal Skepticism toward Biden's Syria Policy,” CQ News, June 8, 2022. 96 “Lebanon, Egypt to Sign 'Final' Gas Deal on June 21 – Spokesperson,” Reuters, June 17, 2022. 97 “Is Egypt Back as a Power Player in the MENA Region?” Fanack.com, August 30, 2021. 98 See CRS In Focus IF11878, Climate and Security in the Middle East and North Africa, by Jeremy M. Sharp, Nicole T. Carter, and Kezee Procita.
99 For more information on how sea levels may effect coasts, see CRS Report R44632, Sea-Level Rise and U.S. Coasts:
Science and Policy Considerations, by Peter Folger and Nicole T. Carter. Higher sea levels can impair drainage of runoff from rainfall events.
100 Mohamed Shaltout, Kareem Tonbol, and Anders Omstedt, “Sea-Level Change and Projected Future Flooding Along the Egyptian Mediterranean Coast,” Oceanologia, vol. 57, no. 4 (2015); IPCC, IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and
Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, in press, September 24, 2019, p. 4-61.
101 Esayas Gebremichael et al., “Assessing Land Deformation and Sea Encroachment in the Nile Delta: A Radar Interferometric and Inundation Modeling Approach,” JGR Solid Earth, vol. 123, no. 4 (April 2, 2018).
102 IPCC, IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, in press, September 24, 2019, p. 4-61.
103 U.S. Commerce Department, International Trade Administration, Country Commercial Guide, Egypt, September 5, 2021.
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On the other hand, as Egypt prepares to host the 2022 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP27), it has accelerated national climate adaptation efforts. At COP26, President Sisi pledged to double Egypt’s use of renewable energy from 20% to 42% and reduce subsidies for fossil fuels.104 In May 2022, the government published the National Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change and Disaster Risk Reduction, a broad-based plan to sustain economic growth while transitioning to a low-emissions economy. With support from the International Finance Corporation, Egypt has built one of the world’s largest solar parks at Benban in Aswan. An Israeli company provides solar panel-cleaning robots to service the power plant.105 Egypt also has built two wind farms (Ras Ghareb and West Bakr) in partnership with several foreign companies.
The Nile River
Egypt relies on the Nile River106 (see Figure 6) for hydroelectricity, agriculture, and most of its for hydroelectricity, agriculture, and most of its
domestic water needs, and thus treats restrictions to the flow of the Nile from upstream countries domestic water needs, and thus treats restrictions to the flow of the Nile from upstream countries
as an existential issue. According to the United Nations, “Egypt’s dependency ratio is one of the as an existential issue. According to the United Nations, “Egypt’s dependency ratio is one of the
world’s highest with 96.9 percent of the total renewable water resources flowing into the country world’s highest with 96.9 percent of the total renewable water resources flowing into the country
from neighboring countries. The total renewable water resources per capita stands at 700 from neighboring countries. The total renewable water resources per capita stands at 700
m3/year/capita in 2014, but considering population growth is expected to drop below the 500 m3 m3/year/capita in 2014, but considering population growth is expected to drop below the 500 m3
threshold of absolute water scarcity by 2030.”threshold of absolute water scarcity by 2030.”
10781 Experts Experts
expectpredict climate change climate change
towill increase the increase the
frequency of hot and dry years for farmers along the Nile.frequency of hot and dry years for farmers along the Nile.
10882
104 U.S. State Department, Secretary Antony J. Blinken and Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry Opening Remarks for the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue, November 8, 2021.
105 George Mikhail, “Israel Eyes Solar Opportunities in Egypt,” Al Monitor, November 30, 2021. 10678 Ben Fishman, “Changing Egyptian-Turkish Dynamics May Create Opportunities for Libya,” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, February 21, 2023.
79 Shahira Amin, “Egypt-Turkey normalization: Cairo’s perspective,” Atlantic Council, April 11, 2023. 80 The Nile is the longest river in the world (4,184), stretching from Kenya’s Lake Victoria to the Mediterranean Sea. The Nile is the longest river in the world (4,184), stretching from Kenya’s Lake Victoria to the Mediterranean Sea.
The Blue Nile and White Nile merge in Sudan before flowing into Egypt. The Blue Nile and White Nile merge in Sudan before flowing into Egypt.
10781 Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), FAO. 2016. AQUASTAT Country Profile— Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), FAO. 2016. AQUASTAT Country Profile—
Egypt. Egypt.
10882 Declan Walsh and Somini Sengupta, “For Thousands of Years, Egypt Controlled the Nile. A New Dam Threatens Declan Walsh and Somini Sengupta, “For Thousands of Years, Egypt Controlled the Nile. A New Dam Threatens
That,” That,”
New York Times, February 9, 2020. , February 9, 2020.
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2016
Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
The government has been at odds with Nile
The government has been at odds with Nile
Basin countries to Egypt’s south that seek to Basin countries to Egypt’s south that seek to
Figure 6. The Nile River
revisit colonial-era treaties governing the
revisit colonial-era treaties governing the
allocation of Nile waters. Tensions are allocation of Nile waters. Tensions are
particularly strong with Ethiopia (population particularly strong with Ethiopia (population
110 million), which operates the $4.2 billion 110 million), which operates the $4.2 billion
Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD),
a major hydroelectric project on the Blue a major hydroelectric project on the Blue
Nile, which starts in Ethiopia. Egypt argues Nile, which starts in Ethiopia. Egypt argues
that the dam, once filled, will limit the flow of that the dam, once filled, will limit the flow of
the Nile below Egypt’s share,the Nile below Egypt’s share,
10983 as agreed as agreed
upon in a 1959 Egyptian deal with Sudan (of upon in a 1959 Egyptian deal with Sudan (of
which Ethiopia was not part).which Ethiopia was not part).
11084 Ethiopia Ethiopia
claims that the dam, which would double its claims that the dam, which would double its
electricity generating capacity, is critical to its electricity generating capacity, is critical to its
efforts to eradicate poverty. efforts to eradicate poverty.
After years of failed talks, Egypt, Ethiopia,
After years of failed talks, Egypt, Ethiopia,
and Sudan continue to disagree over how long and Sudan continue to disagree over how long
Ethiopia should take to fill the dam, as well as Ethiopia should take to fill the dam, as well as
how much water should be released from the how much water should be released from the
GERD on an annual basis, particularly during GERD on an annual basis, particularly during
prolonged droughts.prolonged droughts.
11185
Source: CRS Graphics.
Conflict in Sudan
In the wake of fighting that broke out in Sudan in April 2023 between the Sudanese military, led by Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah al Burhan (who was trained in Egypt and Jordan), and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), a state-sponsored militia led by Lt. Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (who has ties to Libya’s Khalifa Haftar), Egypt publicly called for a cease-fire while reportedly privately supporting Burhan’s forces. According to one account, Egyptian policy in Sudan is to support a military-led government similar to its own, maintain a united Egyptian-Sudanese front on the Nile River dispute against Ethiopia, and deter the RSF from further developing close relations with outside powers, such as Russia.86 In 2021, Egypt and Sudan signed a military cooperation agreement covering training and border security.87
83
Source: CRS Graphics.
U.S.-Egyptian Relations
Key Components
At a broad level, the United States views the stability of Egypt, the most populous country in the Middle East, as pivotal to regional stability, and therefore maintains a decades-long security partnership to strengthen Egypt’s armed forces and its ability to combat terrorism.112 In April 2021, Egypt joined the U.S. Naval Forces Central Command’s Combined Maritime Forces,113 a 34-nation naval partnership to combat terrorism, prevent piracy, and encourage regional cooperation. In September 2021, 600 U.S. service personnel from CENTCOM participated in Operation Bright Star, a biennial multinational military training exercise cohosted by the United
109 “Egypt Denounces Ethiopia for Moving Ahead with Nile Dam Amid Water: Shortage Fears,” Reuters, October 3, “Egypt Denounces Ethiopia for Moving Ahead with Nile Dam Amid Water: Shortage Fears,” Reuters, October 3,
2019. 2019.
11084 International agreements on apportioning the flow of the Nile River date back to the British colonial period when International agreements on apportioning the flow of the Nile River date back to the British colonial period when
some Nile riparian countries were not parties themselves to the agreements. The last major agreement, the 1959 Nile some Nile riparian countries were not parties themselves to the agreements. The last major agreement, the 1959 Nile
Waters Agreement between Egypt and Sudan, divided the entire average annual flow of the Nile between Egypt and Waters Agreement between Egypt and Sudan, divided the entire average annual flow of the Nile between Egypt and
Sudan. Ethiopia was not part of this agreement. The 1959 agreement revised Egypt’s share of the Nile waters upward Sudan. Ethiopia was not part of this agreement. The 1959 agreement revised Egypt’s share of the Nile waters upward
from a previous arrangement reached between Egypt and the British colonial authorities in Sudan, which also excluded from a previous arrangement reached between Egypt and the British colonial authorities in Sudan, which also excluded
Ethiopia. Ethiopia.
11185 Eric Reguly, “Why Egypt Sees a Massive Dam in Ethiopia as a Matter of Life and Death,” Eric Reguly, “Why Egypt Sees a Massive Dam in Ethiopia as a Matter of Life and Death,”
The Globe and Mail (UK), June 7, 2022. (UK), June 7, 2022.
112 U.S. State Department, Joint Statement on the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue, November 9, 2021. 113 See https://www.cusnc.navy.mil/Combined-Maritime-Forces/.
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86 David Pilling, Andrew England, and Andres Schipani, “Risk of regional powers picking sides raises stakes in battle for Sudan,” Financial Times, April 19, 2023.
87 “Egypt and Sudan hold joint military drills as Nile dispute with Ethiopia drags on,” Al Monitor, April 4, 2023.
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When the April 2023 conflict began, the RSF seized a military base north of Khartoum, capturing several Egyptian MiG-29 aircraft and seizing over 170 Egyptian soldiers who the Egyptian government said had been deployed to Sudan for training exercises.88 Several days later, the Egyptian soldiers were repatriated.
As fighting continued, Sudanese citizens and foreign nationals were evacuated or fled to Egypt for safety by the thousands, many encountering difficult conditions and long waits at the border. Prior to the outbreak of the conflict, Egypt already was home to an estimated four to five million Sudanese, most of whom are economic migrants seeking to improve their livelihoods.89 Sudanese women, children, and men over the age of 50 may enter Egypt without a visa; men under the age of 50 must obtain a visa at border checkpoints.90 Egypt also took steps to evacuate its own citizens.
U.S.-Egyptian Relations
Key Components At a broad level, the United States government views the stability of Egypt, the most populous country in the Middle East, as pivotal to regional stability, and therefore maintains a security partnership to strengthen Egypt’s armed forces and its ability to combat terrorism.91 According to a joint statement issued after President Biden’s meeting with President Sisi in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia in July 2022:
The decades-long U.S.-Egypt defense partnership remains a key pillar of regional stability. Both Presidents affirmed the importance of this partnership, which serves the interests of both countries. President Biden reiterated that the United States aims to continue to support Egypt in providing for its own defense, including through the continued provision of security assistance in consultation with the U.S. Congress. Both Presidents affirmed their commitment to cooperate on counter-terrorism and welcomed the notable achievements of the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS. President Al Sisi expressed Egypt’s appreciation for military equipment and security assistance from the United States.92
In September 2021, 600 U.S. service personnel from CENTCOM participated in Operation Bright Star, a biennial multinational military training exercise cohosted by the United States and Egypt that, since the early 1980s, has helped foster the interoperability of U.S. and States and Egypt that, since the early 1980s, has helped foster the interoperability of U.S. and
Egyptian forces.114 Egyptian forces.93
The U.S.-Egypt Military Cooperation Committee (MCC) is the primary vehicle for official engagement between the U.S. Department of Defense and Egypt’s Ministry of Defense. In 2022, both sides held their 33rd MCC defense dialogue to discuss border and maritime security, counterterrorism, and interoperability between U.S. and Egyptian forces.94
88 Vivian Yee, “Egypt an ally of Sudan’s military, scrambles to respond to the unrest,” New York Times, April 16, 2023. 89 “Sudan crisis: Egypt's dilemma over the fighting,” British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC), April 23, 2023. 90 “Sudanese brave harrowing desert journeys to safety in Egypt,” Agence France Presse, April 25, 2023. 91 U.S. Department of State, Joint Statement on the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue, November 9, 2021. 92 The White House, Joint Statement Following Meeting Between President Biden and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi in Jeddah, July 16, 2022.
93 U.S. Department of Defense, United States Central Command, Readout from Gen. McKenzie’s Visit to Egypt, September 11, 2021.
94 U.S. Department of Defense, 33rd U.S.-Egypt Military Cooperation Committee (MCC), September 15, 2022.
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Another key U.S. component of U.S.-Egyptian military cooperation has been expedited naval
Another key U.S. component of U.S.-Egyptian military cooperation has been expedited naval
access through the Suez Canal. The Egyptian government has long provided U.S. warships with access through the Suez Canal. The Egyptian government has long provided U.S. warships with
the courtesy of front-of-the-line access to the Canal for expedited passage.the courtesy of front-of-the-line access to the Canal for expedited passage.
11595 After the March After the March
2021 temporary blockage of the canal by a stranded container ship, U.S. officials have reiterated 2021 temporary blockage of the canal by a stranded container ship, U.S. officials have reiterated
the importance of open access to the canal for commercial trade and military operations.the importance of open access to the canal for commercial trade and military operations.
116
Successive Administrations also have expressed admiration for Egypt’s role in Middle East peacemaking (see the “Egypt, Israel, and the Palestinians” section above). According to U.S. Ambassador to Egypt Jonathan Cohen, “The U.S.-Egypt strategic partnership is vital to both nations and spans decades. We have cooperated with one another every day, across the administrations of eight U.S. presidents on a wide agenda which began with Egypt’s pioneering role in promoting Middle East peace.”117 Since 1982, the United States has continued to participate in the Sinai Peninsula peacekeeping and monitoring mission, known as the Multinational Force and Observers (MFO).118
114 U.S. Defense Department, United States Central Command, Readout from Gen. McKenzie’s Visit to Egypt, September 11, 2021.
11596 In April 2021, Egypt joined the U.S. Naval Forces Central Command’s Combined Maritime Forces,97 a 34-nation naval partnership to combat terrorism, prevent piracy, and encourage regional cooperation.
Successive Administrations also have expressed admiration for Egypt’s role in Middle East peacemaking. After their meeting in July 2022, President Biden “expressed support for Egypt’s vital leadership and historic role in promoting peace and an end to the [Israeli-Palestinian] conflict, thereby expanding the circle of peace between Israel and its Arab neighbors and globally, as well as preserving sustainable calm between Israelis and Palestinians.”98 Since 1982, the United States has continued to participate in the Sinai Peninsula peacekeeping and monitoring mission, known as the Multinational Force and Observers (MFO).99
Though military-to-military relations remain the backbone of the bilateral relationship, the United States and Egypt seek opportunities to expand trade and investment deemed mutually beneficial. Despite having the largest population in the Middle East, Egypt ranks as the region’s fifth-largest economy by GDP (behind Turkey, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Israel). By total 2022 volume of trade, Egypt ranks as the 54th-largest U.S. trading partner, at $9.4 billion (see Error! Reference source not found.).100 Egypt is the largest export market for U.S. goods in Africa.
Since 2004, Egypt has participated in the Qualified Industrial Zone (QIZ) program, a trade arrangement that provides duty-free access to the U.S. market for goods produced with certain levels of Israeli and Jordanian; Israeli and Egyptian; or Palestinian content.101 Under the U.S.-Egypt QIZ program, the United States waives duties on Egyptian imports if the value of the imports include 10.5% Israeli content. In 2021, QIZ exports to the United States were $1.2 billion; textile and apparel exports represented 94% of all of Egypt’s QIZ exports.102
Overall, the United States has a trade surplus with Egypt and exports wheat and corn, mineral fuel and oil, machinery, aircraft, and iron and steel products. U.S. imports from Egypt include apparel,
95 While the Suez Canal Transit Authority provides the U.S. Navy with expedited passage, the United States, like other While the Suez Canal Transit Authority provides the U.S. Navy with expedited passage, the United States, like other
foreign nations transiting the canal, pays the authority fees for transit, tug boat assistance, late fees, and port dues. foreign nations transiting the canal, pays the authority fees for transit, tug boat assistance, late fees, and port dues.
11696 See testimony of See testimony of
Amanda Dory, Acting Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Department of Defense, Acting Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Department of Defense,
Amanda Dory in House House
Armed Services Committee Armed Services Committee
Hearing entitled “National Security Challenges and U.S. Military Activities in the Greater National Security Challenges and U.S. Military Activities in the Greater
Middle East and Middle East and
Africa,”Africa, hearing, April 20, 2021. See also John Bowden, “Pentagon: Suez Canal Stoppage May Impact Transit April 20, 2021. See also John Bowden, “Pentagon: Suez Canal Stoppage May Impact Transit
of Military Vessels,” of Military Vessels,”
The Hill, March 28, 2021. , March 28, 2021.
117 Hany Assai, “INTERVIEW: US Ambassador to Cairo says strategic partnership vital to both nations, spans decades,” Al Ahram, July 4, 2021.
11897 See https://www.cusnc.navy.mil/Combined-Maritime-Forces/. 98 Op.cit., The White House, July 16, 2022. 99 See CRS Insight IN11403, See CRS Insight IN11403,
Possible Withdrawal of U.S. Peacekeepers from the Sinai Peninsula, by Jeremy M. , by Jeremy M.
Sharp. P.L. 116-283, the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021, Sharp. P.L. 116-283, the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021,
includes Section 1292, which requires the Secretary of Defense to notify Congress of any planned withdrawal of U.S. includes Section 1292, which requires the Secretary of Defense to notify Congress of any planned withdrawal of U.S.
troops that troops that
would bring total U.S. military participation in the MFO below 430 soldiers.
100 U.S. Census Bureau (accessed via Trade Data Monitor), 2022 values. 101 Congress passed the Qualifying Industrial Zone (QIZ) program in 1996, as an amendment to the U.S.-Israel Free Trade Agreement (USIFTA) implementing legislation. P.L. 104-234 amended the U.S.-Israel Free Trade Agreement Implementation Act, P.L. 99-47, June 11, 1985, U.S.C. 2112 note.
102 U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration, Egypt Country Commercial Guide, Updated August 8, 2022.
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natural gas and oil, fertilizers, textiles, and agricultural products.103would bring total U.S. military participation in the MFO below 430 soldiers.
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Figure 7. U.S.-Egyptian Bilateral Trade 2010-2021
not seasonally adjusted
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Though military-to-military relations remain the backbone of the bilateral relationship, the United States and Egypt seek opportunities to expand trade and investment deemed mutually beneficial. Despite having the largest population in the Middle East, Egypt ranks as the region’s fifth-largest economy by GDP (behind Turkey, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Israel). By total 2021 volume of trade, Egypt ranks as the 49th-largest U.S. trading partner, at $9.1 billion (see Figure 7).119 Egypt is the largest export market for U.S. goods in Africa.
The United States has a trade surplus with Egypt and exports wheat and corn, mineral fuel and oil, machinery, aircraft, and iron and steel products. U.S. imports from Egypt include apparel, natural gas and oil, fertilizers, textiles, and agricultural products.120 According to the U.S. According to the U.S.
Department of Commerce’s Egypt Country Commercial Guide, U.S. foreign direct investment Department of Commerce’s Egypt Country Commercial Guide, U.S. foreign direct investment
(FDI) in Egypt was $(FDI) in Egypt was $
1.372 billion in billion in
20192021 (latest data available), making the United States the (latest data available), making the United States the
third-largest foreign investor in Egypt, behind the United Kingdom and Belgium. Most FDI from third-largest foreign investor in Egypt, behind the United Kingdom and Belgium. Most FDI from
the United States is concentrated in the oil and natural gas sectors.the United States is concentrated in the oil and natural gas sectors.
121
U.S. Concerns about Domestic Egyptian Developments
Various U.S. concerns about Egypt’s internal security, political repression, and social stagnation complicate longstanding bilateral military and economic cooperative endeavors. After nearly a decade of terrorist attacks and insurgent warfare, the Sinai Peninsula continues to be an area of 119 See, U.S. Commerce Department, United States Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, Annual Revision, Release Number: CB 22-92, BEA 22-23, Exhibit 13. U.S. Trade in Goods by Country and Area: 2021, June 7, 2022. Trade statistics generated by Trade Data Monitor, LLC using trade information from Egypt’s Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS). 120 U.S. State Department104
Figure 7. U.S.-Egyptian Bilateral Trade 2010-2021
(not seasonally adjusted)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
Conditioning U.S. Foreign Assistance to Egypt Since FY2012, Congress has passed appropriations legislation that withholds the obligation of FMF to Egypt until the Secretary of State certifies that Egypt is taking various steps toward supporting democracy and human rights. When Congress appropriates FMF to Egypt, it typically makes funds available for two years only, meaning that funds may expire if not obligated. Lawmakers included a national security waiver that allowed successive Administrations to waive congressionally mandated certification requirements under certain conditions through FY2020. In FY2021, Congress began withholding a portion of FMF without permitting it to be subject to a national security waiver (see Figure 8, below).
103 U.S. Department of State, U.S. Relations with Egypt, Bilateral Relations Fact Sheet, Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs, , U.S. Relations with Egypt, Bilateral Relations Fact Sheet, Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs,
September 20, 2019. September 20, 2019.
121 U.S. Commerce Department, International Trade Administration, Egypt Country Commercial Guide, Updated September 5, 2021104 Op. cit., Egypt Country Commercial Guide. .
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Figure 8. Egypt: Conditions on U.S. Military Assistance
(current U.S. dollars in millions, appropriations)
Source: Prepared by CRS based on Foreign Military Financing (FMF) allocations and terms from annual appropriations acts, FY2011-FY2023.
Since 2013, the Obama, Trump, and now Biden Administrations have all taken various actions (suspended weapons deliveries, ended cash flow financing, reprogrammed aid and withheld assistance) to limit U.S.-Egyptian military cooperation. The Trump Administration unilaterally reprogramed $65.7 million in FY2017 FMF due to Egypt’s relationship with the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and Egypt’s restrictive law on non-governmental organizations (NGOs).105 The Biden Administration has twice reprogrammed FMF for Egypt (see text box below).
These actions have reignited a longstanding debate in the broader foreign policy community over the efficacy of using foreign aid as leverage to promote greater respect for human rights in the Middle East and elsewhere.106 In Egypt’s case, this debate usually breaks down between the human rights community, members of which seek to either end U.S. military aid to Egypt or reprogram it as economic and democracy assistance,107 and those individuals or organizations who do not support modifying or conditioning longstanding military-to-military ties seen as contributing to Egypt’s peaceful relationship with Israel108 and its efforts to counter terrorism in the Sinai.109 Successive Administrations have often found themselves in the midst of the debate, attempting to balance the security relationship with congressional prerogatives to consider what
105 Congressional Notification Transmittal Sheet, Mary K. Water, Assistant Secretary of Legislative Affairs, January 23, 2018.
106 In 2021, the journal Democracy in Exile, published by the human rights organization known as Dawn (Democracy for the Arab World Now), published a series of articles on foreign aid conditionality in the Middle East. See https://dawnmena.org/dawns-advocacy/aid-conditionality/.
107 Testimony of Michele Dunne, House Foreign Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Middle East, North Africa, and International Terrorism, Egypt Politics-Economics-Human Rights, hearing, September 9, 2020.
108 Jacob Magid, “Israeli Officials Cautioned Biden against Heavy Criticism of Egypt, Saudi Arabia,” Times of Israel, September 2, 2021.
109 Rachel Oswald, “Military Aid to Egypt Shapes Up as Human Rights Test for Biden,” Congressional Quarterly, August 16, 2021.
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many international monitoring organizations describe as the country’s woeful human rights record.
Biden Administration Reprogramming of U.S. Military Aid to Egypt
FY2020 FMF: Section 7041(a)(3) of the FY2020 Consolidated Appropriations Act (P.L. 116-94) provided $1.3 bil ion in Foreign Military Financing (FMF) “to remain available until September 30, 2021.” The act also withheld $300 mil ion in FMF unless the Secretary of State could make a certification on democracy-related conditions in Egypt. On September 14, 2021, the Administration notified Congress of its intent to obligate the remaining $300 mil ion in FY2020 FMF using the authority in Section 7041(a)(3)(A) of P.L. 116-94, which exempts FY2020 FMF funds from certification if used for “counterterrorism, border security, and nonproliferation programs” for Egypt.110 In its communications to Congress, the Administration stated that it could not certify that Egypt is taking sustained and effective steps related to the human rights-related conditions. However, because human rights concerns remained, the State Department said that it would not move forward with the obligation of $130 million in FMF, the maximum amount it could withhold,111 unless Egypt affirmatively addressed U.S. concerns.112 Egypt did not sufficiently address those concerns according to the Biden Administration. As a result, the State Department informed Congress that it would reprogram the $130 mil ion for climate resilience in the Pacific Islands.113 This was the first instance of any Administration refusing to waive democracy and human rights-based conditions on U.S. FMF aid to Egypt since Congress inserted the criteria in FY2012. FY2021 FMF: Section 7041(a)(3) of the FY2021 Consolidated Appropriations Act (P.L.116-260) provided $1.3 bil ion in FMF “to remain available until September 30, 2022.” The act also withheld $225 mil ion in FMF unless the Secretary of State could make a certification on democracy-related conditions in Egypt. The Act provided a national security waiver and, like the previous year, exempted funds for counterterrorism, border security, and nonproliferation programs from the certification requirement. However, as previously mentioned, the Act withheld an additional $75 mil ion in FMF (not subject to a national security waiver) until the Secretary of State could certify that the Government of Egypt was “making clear and consistent progress in releasing political prisoners and providing detainees with due process of law.” On September 15, 2022, the Administration notified Congress that once again, it would not certify that Egypt is taking sustained and effective steps related to the human rights-related conditions. Instead, it used the exemption for FMF in support of counterterrorism, border security, and nonproliferation programs to obligate $95 mil ion in FY2021 FMF. The Administration did certify that Egypt had made progress in releasing political prisoners in order to release the $75 mil ion in previously withheld FY2021 FMF.114 However, then-Senate Appropriations Chairman Patrick Leahy reportedly placed a hold on the $75 mil ion obligation just several weeks before the end of the fiscal year and the expiration of the funds; the Senator and the State Department were unable to resolve their differences over the intended obligation before the end of the fiscal year and due to the impasse, the funds expired, thereby resulting in a net reprogramming of $205 million in FMF.115 FY2022 FMF for Egypt expires September 30, 2023. P.L.117-103, the FY2022 Consolidated Appropriations Act, withheld $235 mil ion in FMF from obligation based on the democracy and human rights certification requirement, subject to a national security waiver. It also withheld $85 mil ion (not subject to a waiver) based on Egypt’s lack of progress in releasing political prisoners.
In looking back at these past ten years, proponents of cutting aid argue that the lack of any credible, discernable change in Egypt’s behavior is because the United States has not used all of
110 This provision in appropriations for Egypt dates back to P.L. 113-76, the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2014 (passed January 2014). At the time, President Obama had initiated a review of U.S. military assistance to Egypt. P.L. 113-76 divided annual aid to Egypt into two tranches ($976 million and $576.8 million) and conditioned their obligation without providing a national security waiver. Thus, this provision may have been inserted to allow for greater flexibility in providing certain types of military aid to Egypt.
111 Section 7015(c) in annual appropriations acts authorizes the president to transfer up to 10% of funds made available for FMF within an appropriations measure.
112 U.S. Department of State, Press Briefing, September 15, 2021. 113 U.S. Department of State, Congressional notification, September 29, 2022. 114 U.S. Department of State, Press Briefing, November 8, 2022. 115 Ellen Knickmeyer and Matthew Lee, “Senator’s human rights objections block some US aid to Egypt,” Associated Press, October 18, 2022.
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its policy levers to pressure the Sisi government enough.116 Opponents of halting assistance often charge that conditioning aid will only further harden Egypt’s resolve to resist U.S. pressure and push Egypt to develop deeper ties with countries less concerned about its human rights record. Others have argued that U.S.-Egyptian relations have atrophied since the arguably high point in the 1980s and that current U.S. leverage is overestimated by participants in this debate.117 According to David Schenker, a former Assistant Secretary of State for Near East Affairs during the Trump Administration, the value of U.S. military aid to Egypt has declined over time and aid cuts or even sanctions would not effectively change Egypt’s behavior.118 Schenker argues that the U.S.-Egyptian bilateral relationship may need to be recalculated and reducing some aid to Egypt would allow the United States to send a signal to Cairo of its displeasure with its policies without causing a permanent diplomatic rupture.119 This course of action appears to be what the Biden Administration may be pursuing vis-a-vis Egypt.
U.S. Foreign Assistance to Egypt: Other Recent Developments In addition to U.S. steps to reprogram U.S. military aid to Egypt, the Administration and Congress have taken other action with regard to U.S. foreign assistance to Egypt, including:
Climate Aid. During COP27, the United States and Germany pledged more than
$250 million in climate finance aid to assist Egypt in transitioning some of its domestic energy use from natural gas to renewable sources.120 U.S. funding is intended to bring ten gigawatts of new wind and solar energy projects online while decommissioning five gigawatt of natural gas generation.121 To date, it is unclear how the Administration intends to follow through on its pledge.
Coastal Patrol Craft. In March 2023, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command
(NAVCENT) transferred three former U.S. patrol coastal ships to the Egyptian Navy.122
FY2024 Request. In March 2023, the Biden Administration released its
Congressional Budget Justification for State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs (SFOPS). Similar to previous years, the request seeks $1.43 billion in total U.S. aid to Egypt.
116 Charles Dunne, “It’s Time for Biden to Get Tough on Sisi,” ForeignPolicy.com, July 20, 2021. 117 Senator Murphy, Congressional Record, Senate Procedural Matters, p. S5129, July 28, 2021. 118 David Schenker, “Getting Tough with Egypt Won’t Work,” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, March 25, 2021.
119 Op. cit, Schenker, “Getting Tough with Egypt Won’t Work.” 120 U.S. Department of State, “COP27: Delivering on our Implementation Commitments and Goals,” December 6, 2022.
121 U.S. Department of State, “The U.S.-Egypt Relationship,” January 28, 2023. 122 U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command Public Affairs, U.S., Egypt Enhance Maritime Partnership with Patrol Craft Transfer, March 21, 2023.
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Table 2.Bilateral Aid to Egypt
(millions of current dollars)
FY2019
FY2020
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
Account
actual
actual
actual
estimate
estimate
request
ESF
112.50
125.00
130.05
160.00
125.00
125.00
GH
-
-
-
5.00
6.00
6.00
FMF
1,300.00
1,170.00*
1,095.00*
1,300.00
1,300.00
1,300.00
IMET
1.80
0.00
1.80
-
1.80
2.0
INCLE
2.00
2.00
0.35
0.00
-
-
NADR
3.00
3.50
3.00
3.25
3.50
3.5
Total
1,419.30
1,300.50
1,230.65
1,468.25
1,436.30
1,437.00Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
significant concern to U.S. policymakers. According to the latest U.S. State Department Report on Terrorism, “All terrorist attacks in Egypt during the year took place in the Sinai Peninsula....ISIS-Sinai Province conducted regular small arms and IED attacks against security forces, civilians, and critical infrastructure.”122
Beyond the spate of violence emanating from the Sinai is concern over Egypt’s dynamism as a 21st-century nation state that meets the growing demands of its educated and interconnected youth. According to Tamara Cofman Wittes, President Biden’s nominee for the United States Agency for International Development’s (USAID) Assistant Administrator for Middle East:
Even in the face of a relationship that has today as many differences as areas of agreement, many parts of the United States government continue to view the nation of Egypt as ‘too big to fail.’ There is good reason for this view. Egyptians represent a full one-fifth of the entire Arab world. An economic or political disruption in Egypt would, as it did in 2011, have profound effects across the region.123
As previously mentioned, Egyptian state finances are straining under the weight of its public debt, which, as of July 2022, was equal to 94% of GDP. According to the Economist Intelligence Unit, the single largest expenditure in Egypt’s state budget is interest payments on domestic and foreign debt, accounting for a third of total spending ($37 billion).124 Once government salaries, subsidy payments, and interest are taken into account, analysts note that the state has insufficient resources remaining for spending on health and education.125 President Sisi himself has acknowledged that the social contract between state and citizen may need adjusting. According to Sisi, “There is an entrenched culture unique to our country that one can buy things and receive services for less than they cost, and have children and expect someone else to feed them... This has held the country back in recent years.”126
The IMF has repeatedly lent Egypt funds with the stipulation that it cuts spending on food and fuel subsidies, changes that successive Egyptian governments have been slow to make because of fear of igniting popular unrest. The IMF also has emphasized that in order for Egypt to unlock its growth potential, Egypt’s private sector needs to grow and the state needs to reduce its role in certain sectors while “fostering labor market participation of women and youth, and encouraging exports.”127 The state is attempting to sell unproductive state-owned enterprises to foreign entities or take certain state-owned companies public, including military-run businesses.128
Successive U.S. Administrations also have expressed concerns over the Sisi government’s continued crackdown against political dissent and nonviolent opposition. Biden Administration officials have reiterated this concern while attempting to maintain the uneasy balance of U.S. longstanding concern for human rights in Egypt with close ties to the military. At the November 2021 U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue between high level U.S. and Egyptian officials, U.S.
122 U.S. State Department, Bureau of Counterterrorism, Country Reports on Terrorism 2020: Egypt. 123 Testimony of Tamara Wittes, House Foreign Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Middle East, North Africa, and International Terrorism, hearing entitled “Egypt Politics-Economics-Human Rights,” September 9, 2020. 124 “Egypt 's 2022/23 Budget Based on Optimistic Assumptions,” ViewsWire, Economist Intelligence Unit, May 17, 2022.
125 “Egypt Faces Sharp Rise in Costs to Finance Proposed $30 bln Deficit,” Reuters, May 16, 2022. 126 Tarek El Tablawy and Abdel Latif Wahba, “A Surging Population Brings Risks for Next Global Climate Talks Host,” Bloomberg, February 5, 2022.
127 The International Monetary Fund, IMF Executive Board Completes the Second Review under the Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) for the Arab Republic of Egypt and Concludes 2021 Article IV Consultation, June 23, 2021.
128 “Egypt Outlines Broad Plan to Sell State Assets,” Reuters, May 15, 2022.
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Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke about how U.S. officials intended to incorporate human rights concerns into its bilateral dialogue with Egypt, saying:
Third, our delegations and teams will discuss human rights. We very much welcome Egypt’s launch of a national human rights strategy. We’re committed to working together to advance key goals like reforming pretrial detention regulations, protecting the right to a free press and freedom of expression. There are also other issues of concern, more areas where positive steps can be taken, not because the United States or anyone else is asking, but because, as the foreign minister, the president said, it’s what’s in the interests of the Egyptian people. The work that Egypt is doing, the steps that are undertaken, are because it is good and right for the Egyptian people. As we discussed this morning, making tangible and lasting improvements on human rights is also essential to strengthening our bilateral relationship, and the United States will continue to support those efforts however we can.129
Recent Action on U.S. Foreign Aid to Egypt
Egypt’s record on human rights and democratization has sparked regular criticism from U.S. officials and some Members of Congress. Since FY2012, Congress has passed appropriations legislation that withholds the obligation of FMF to Egypt until the Secretary of State certifies that Egypt is taking various steps toward supporting democracy and human rights. Lawmakers have included a national security waiver to allow the Administration to waive these congressionally mandated certification requirements under certain conditions; however, starting in FY2021, Congress began withholding a portion of FMF without permitting it to be subject to a national security waiver (see Figure 8).130 When Congress appropriates FMF to Egypt, it typically makes funds available for two years only.
129 op. cit., U.S. State Department, Secretary Antony J. Blinken and Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry Opening Remarks for the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue, November 8, 2021.
130 In FY2014, Congress did not provide a waiver for certification requirements but allowed for the obligation of tranches of aid for defined purposes and at defined rates if the executive branch could not make certain democracy and human rights-related certifications. For FY2015, Congress again linked aid tranches and rates to certain democracy and human rights-related certifications, but provided a waiver. From FY2012 through FY2022, Congress conditioned all U.S. assistance to Egypt by requiring the executive branch to certify that Egypt was meeting its commitments under the 1979 Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty and sustaining its strategic relationship with the United States.
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Figure 8. Egypt: Conditions on U.S. Military Assistance
current U.S. dollars in millions, appropriations
Egypt FMF Withholding
1,400
1,200
195
195
300
300
300
225
235
1,000
FMF subject to withholdingwithout waiver
800
FMF subject to withholding with
600
waiver
FMF not subject to withholding
400
200
0
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022
Sources: Prepared by CRS based on Foreign Military Financing (FMF) allocations and terms from annual SFOPS appropriations acts, FY2011-FY2022.
Congress appropriated $1.3 billion in FMF for Egypt in FY2021 (see Table 2), $1 billion of which was obligated by the Biden Administration in January 2022. As of mid-June 2022, and with only three-and-a-half months before the end of the fiscal year, the remaining $300 million in FY2021 FMF had yet to be obligated.
In January 2022, the Biden Administration reprogrammed $130 million in FY2020 FMF that it had withheld from obligation pending certain improvements it sought in Egypt’s human rights record. Some lawmakers, such as Senator Chris Murphy, approved of the decision;131 a coalition of human rights organizations also welcomed the Biden Administration’s decision, but objected to the continued provision of military aid and arms sales.132 Just days before the Administration’s decision on aid reprogramming, it notified Congress of two possible Foreign Military Sales to Egypt worth an estimated combined $2.5 billion. Soon after the Administration’s decision, then CENTCOM Commander General Frank McKenzie remarked while on a trip to Egypt that “Compared to the amount of other money that's in play, it's a very small amount. But I think it's intended to be a signal....We still have a very robust weapons program with Egypt and we're still very heavily engaged with them.”133
H.R. 8282 (117th Congress), the House FY2023 SFOPs bill, would provide $1.3 billion in FMF and not less than $125 million in ESF for Egypt. The bill would withhold $300 million in FMF from obligation unless the Secretary of State certifies that Egypt is meeting specific democracy-related conditions. Of the $300 million withheld, the bill would allow the Administration to waive the withholding requirement on up to $170 million in FMF. Unlike in previous years, the House-introduced SFOPs bill would not permit the Administration to exempt FMF from withholding for
131 Senator Chris Murphy, Press Release, Murphy Applauds the Biden Administration's Decision to Reprogram Aid to Egypt Due to Human Rights Concerns, January 28, 2022.
132 Freedom House, Biden Administration’s Decision to Reprogram Military Aid to Egypt Is Necessary but Insufficient, Joint Statement, February 1, 2022.
133 “American General in Egypt for Talks after U.S. Cuts Military Aid,” Reuters, February 9, 2022.
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“counterterrorism, border security, and nonproliferation programs.” The provision permitting such exemptions from withholding Egypt had dated back to P.L. 113-76, the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2014 (passed January 2014) and had been inserted in annual SFOPs legislation since then to allow for greater flexibility in providing FMF to Egypt.
Table 2.Bilateral Aid to Egypt
In millions of current dollars
FY2018
FY2019
FY2020
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
Account
actual
actual
actual
actual
estimate
request
ESF
106.87
112.50
125.00
130.05
125.00
125.00
GH
-
-
-
-
-
6.00
FMF
1,300.00
1,300.00
1,170.00*
1,300.00
1,300.00
1,300.00
IMET
1.80
1.80
0.00
1.80
1.80
1.80
INCLE
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.35
0.00
-
NADR
3.00
3.00
3.50
3.00
3.50
3.50
Total
1,413.67
1,419.30
1,300.50
1,435.20
1,430.30
1,436.30
Sources: Department of State, Foreign Operations and Related Programs Congressional Budget Justifications (FY2019-FY2023) and CRS calculations. Notes: Economic Support Fund (ESF), Global Health (GH), Foreign Military Financing (FMF), International Military Education and Training (IMET), International Narcotics Control and Law Enforcement (INCLE), and Nonproliferation, Anti-Terrorism, Demining and Related Programs (NADR). *The Biden Administration reprogrammed $130 mil ion in FY2020 FMF appropriated for Egypt due to human rights concerns.
Recent Arms Sales and Resolutions of Disapproval S.J.Res. 35
Members of Congress have at times scrutinized the sale and transfer of U.S. weapons to Egypt. The Arms Export Control Act (AECA) as amended requires that, for sales over a certain valuation, the administration must provide formal notification to Congress 30 calendar days before taking steps to conclude the sale, during which time Congress may adopt a joint resolution of disapproval, which, if signed by the President, will prevent the sale from going forward.134
In the 117th Congress, Senator Rand Paul has condemned various Egyptian human rights abuses and has sponsored multiple resolutions disapproving of various proposed arms sales to Egypt.135 Senator Paul asserted that “The United States cannot proudly affirm human rights to be at the center of our foreign policy, while it arms a regime at war with its own people.”136 On March 10, 2022, the Senate rejected a motion to discharge from the Senate Foreign Relations Committee by a vote of 19-80 with one not voting.137 Voting on other Senator Paul-sponsored resolutions of disapproval awaits Senate floor action.
134 For more information on this process and historical examples thereof, see CRS Report RL31675, Arms Sales:
Congressional Review Process, by Paul K. Kerr.
135 These include: S.J.Res. 35, S.J.Res. 36, S.J.Res. 48, S.J.Res. 50, S.J.Res. 51, and S.J.Res. 52. 136 “Senators Turn Back Rand Paul's Bid to Halt Arms Sale to Egypt,” Congressional Quarterly, March 11, 2022. 137 See Roll Call Vote Number 73, 117th Congress at https://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_votes/vote1172/vote_117_2_00073.htm.
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Sources: Department of State, Foreign Operations and Related Programs Congressional Budget Justifications (FY2019-FY2023) and CRS calculations. Notes: Economic Support Fund (ESF), Global Health (GH), Foreign Military Financing (FMF), International Military Education and Training (IMET), International Narcotics Control and Law Enforcement (INCLE), and Nonproliferation, Anti-Terrorism, Demining and Related Programs (NADR). *The Biden Administration reprogrammed $130 mil ion in FY2020 FMF appropriated for Egypt and $205 mil ion in FY2021 FMF due to human rights concerns.
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Appendix. Background on U.S. Foreign Assistance
to Egypt
Overview
Between 1946 and Between 1946 and
20192020, the United States provided Egypt with $, the United States provided Egypt with $
8183.4 billion in bilateral foreign .4 billion in bilateral foreign
aid (calculated in historical dollars—not adjusted for inflation).aid (calculated in historical dollars—not adjusted for inflation).
138123 The 1979 Peace Treaty The 1979 Peace Treaty
between Israel and Egypt ushered in the current era of U.S. financial support for peace between between Israel and Egypt ushered in the current era of U.S. financial support for peace between
Israel and its Arab neighbors. In two separate memoranda accompanying the treaty, the United Israel and its Arab neighbors. In two separate memoranda accompanying the treaty, the United
States outlined commitments to Israel and Egypt, respectively. In its letter to Israel, the Carter States outlined commitments to Israel and Egypt, respectively. In its letter to Israel, the Carter
Administration pledged that it would “endeavor to take into account and will endeavor to be Administration pledged that it would “endeavor to take into account and will endeavor to be
responsive to military and economic assistance requirements of Israel.” In his letter to Egypt, then responsive to military and economic assistance requirements of Israel.” In his letter to Egypt, then
U.S. Secretary of Defense Harold Brown wrote the following: U.S. Secretary of Defense Harold Brown wrote the following:
In the context of the peace treaty between Egypt and Israel, the United States is prepared
In the context of the peace treaty between Egypt and Israel, the United States is prepared
to enter into an expanded security relationship with Egypt with regard to the sales of to enter into an expanded security relationship with Egypt with regard to the sales of
military equipment and services and the financing of, at least a portion of those sales, military equipment and services and the financing of, at least a portion of those sales,
subject to such Congressional review and approvals as may be required.subject to such Congressional review and approvals as may be required.
139124
All U.S. foreign aid to Egypt (or any country) is
All U.S. foreign aid to Egypt (or any country) is
appropriated and authorized by Congress. The . The
1979 Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty is a bilateral peace agreement between Egypt and Israel, and the 1979 Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty is a bilateral peace agreement between Egypt and Israel, and the
United States is not a legal party to the treaty. The treaty itself does not include any U.S. aid United States is not a legal party to the treaty. The treaty itself does not include any U.S. aid
obligations, and any assistance commitments to Israel and Egypt that could be potentially obligations, and any assistance commitments to Israel and Egypt that could be potentially
construed in conjunction with the treaty were through ancillary documents or other construed in conjunction with the treaty were through ancillary documents or other
communications and were—by their terms—subject to congressional approval (see above). communications and were—by their terms—subject to congressional approval (see above).
However, as the peace broker between Israel and Egypt, the United States has traditionally However, as the peace broker between Israel and Egypt, the United States has traditionally
provided foreign aid to both countries to support a regional balance of power and sustain security provided foreign aid to both countries to support a regional balance of power and sustain security
cooperation with both countries. cooperation with both countries.
In some cases, an Administration may sign a bilateral “Memorandum of Understanding” (MOU)
In some cases, an Administration may sign a bilateral “Memorandum of Understanding” (MOU)
with a foreign country pledging a specific amount of foreign aid to be provided over a selected with a foreign country pledging a specific amount of foreign aid to be provided over a selected
time period subject to the approval of Congress. In the Middle East, the United States has signed time period subject to the approval of Congress. In the Middle East, the United States has signed
foreign assistance MOUs with Israel and Jordan, but not with Egypt.foreign assistance MOUs with Israel and Jordan, but not with Egypt.
140125
Congress typically specifies a precise allocation of most foreign assistance for Egypt in the
Congress typically specifies a precise allocation of most foreign assistance for Egypt in the
foreign operations appropriations bill. Egypt receives the bulk of foreign aid funds from three foreign operations appropriations bill. Egypt receives the bulk of foreign aid funds from three
primary accounts: Foreign Military Financing (FMF), Economic Support Funds (ESF), and primary accounts: Foreign Military Financing (FMF), Economic Support Funds (ESF), and
138123 U.S. Overseas Loans and Grants, Obligations and Loan Authorizations, July 1, 1945-September 30, U.S. Overseas Loans and Grants, Obligations and Loan Authorizations, July 1, 1945-September 30,
2019. 1392020. 124 See Letter From the Secretary of Defense (Brown) to the Egyptian Minister of Defense and War Production (Ali), See Letter From the Secretary of Defense (Brown) to the Egyptian Minister of Defense and War Production (Ali),
March 23, 1979, “United States Sales of Military Equipment and Services to Egypt.” Ultimately, the United States March 23, 1979, “United States Sales of Military Equipment and Services to Egypt.” Ultimately, the United States
provided a total of $7.3 billion to both parties in 1979. The Special International Security Assistance Act of 1979 (P.L. provided a total of $7.3 billion to both parties in 1979. The Special International Security Assistance Act of 1979 (P.L.
96-35) provided both military and economic grants to Israel and Egypt at a ratio of 3 to 2, respectively, though this 96-35) provided both military and economic grants to Israel and Egypt at a ratio of 3 to 2, respectively, though this
ratio was not enshrined in the treaty as Egypt would later claim. ratio was not enshrined in the treaty as Egypt would later claim.
140125 In July 2007, the George W. Bush Administration announced, as a part of a larger arms package to the region, that it In July 2007, the George W. Bush Administration announced, as a part of a larger arms package to the region, that it
would begin discussions with Egypt on a proposed $13 billion military aid agreement over a 10-year period. Since would begin discussions with Egypt on a proposed $13 billion military aid agreement over a 10-year period. Since
Egypt was already receiving approximately $1.3 billion a year in military assistance, the announcement represented no Egypt was already receiving approximately $1.3 billion a year in military assistance, the announcement represented no
major change in U.S. aid policy toward Egypt. No such bilateral MOU on U.S. military aid to Egypt has been reached major change in U.S. aid policy toward Egypt. No such bilateral MOU on U.S. military aid to Egypt has been reached
by the Bush, Obama, Trump, or Biden Administrations with the Egyptian government. by the Bush, Obama, Trump, or Biden Administrations with the Egyptian government.
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International Military Education and Training (IMET).
International Military Education and Training (IMET).
141126 The United States offers IMET training The United States offers IMET training
to Egyptian officers in order to facilitate U.S.-Egyptian military cooperation over the long term. to Egyptian officers in order to facilitate U.S.-Egyptian military cooperation over the long term.
Military Aid and Arms Sales
Overview
Since the 1979 Israeli-Egyptian Peace Treaty, the United States has provided Egypt with large
Since the 1979 Israeli-Egyptian Peace Treaty, the United States has provided Egypt with large
amounts of military assistance. U.S. policymakers have routinely justified this aid to Egypt as an amounts of military assistance. U.S. policymakers have routinely justified this aid to Egypt as an
investment in regional stability, built primarily on long-running military cooperation and investment in regional stability, built primarily on long-running military cooperation and
sustaining the treaty—principles that are supposed to be mutually reinforcing. Egypt has used sustaining the treaty—principles that are supposed to be mutually reinforcing. Egypt has used
U.S. military aid through the FMF to (among other things) purchase major U.S. defense systems, U.S. military aid through the FMF to (among other things) purchase major U.S. defense systems,
such as the F-16 fighter aircraft, the M1A1 Abrams battle tank, and the AH-64 Apache attack such as the F-16 fighter aircraft, the M1A1 Abrams battle tank, and the AH-64 Apache attack
helicopter. helicopter.
141 Egypt also receives, though not consistently, relatively small sums from the Nonproliferation, Antiterrorism, Demining, and Related Programs (NADR) account and the International Narcotics Control and Law Enforcement (INCLE) account. NADR funds support counterterrorism training through the Antiterrorism Assistance Program. INCLE funds support police training and respect for human rights in law enforcement. The Administration typically requests these funds, but they are not usually specifically earmarked for Egypt (or for most other countries) in legislation. After the passage of a foreign operations appropriations bill, federal agencies such as the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) allocate funds to Egypt from these aid accounts. They then submit a country allocation report (653a Report) to Congress for review.
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Frequently Asked Question:
Frequently Asked Question:
Is U.S. Military Aid Provided to Egypt
as a Cash Transfer?
No. All U.S. military aid to Egypt finances the procurement of weapons systems and services
No. All U.S. military aid to Egypt finances the procurement of weapons systems and services
from U.S. defense
contractors..
142127 The United States provides military assistance to U.S. partners and allies to help them acquire U.S. The United States provides military assistance to U.S. partners and allies to help them acquire U.S.
military equipment and training. Egypt is one of the military equipment and training. Egypt is one of the
mainlargest recipients of FMF, a program with a corresponding recipients of FMF, a program with a corresponding
appropriations account administered by the Department of State but implemented by the Department of Defense. appropriations account administered by the Department of State but implemented by the Department of Defense.
FMF is a grant program that enables governments to receive equipment and associated training from the U.S. FMF is a grant program that enables governments to receive equipment and associated training from the U.S.
government or to access equipment directly through U.S. commercial channels. government or to access equipment directly through U.S. commercial channels.
Most countries receiving FMF generally purchase goods and services through government-to-government Most countries receiving FMF generally purchase goods and services through government-to-government
contracts, also known as Foreign Military Sales (FMS). According to the Government Accountability Office (GAO), contracts, also known as Foreign Military Sales (FMS). According to the Government Accountability Office (GAO),
“under this procurement channel, the U.S. government buys the desired item on behalf of the foreign country “under this procurement channel, the U.S. government buys the desired item on behalf of the foreign country
[Egypt], generally employing the same criteria as if the item were being procured for the U.S. military.”[Egypt], generally employing the same criteria as if the item were being procured for the U.S. military.”
143128 The vast The vast
majority of what Egypt purchases from the United States is conducted through the FMS program funded by FMF.
majority of what Egypt purchases from the United States is conducted through the FMS program funded by FMF.
However, U.S. officials have been encouraging Egypt to use national funds for U.S. military equipment purchases.However, U.S. officials have been encouraging Egypt to use national funds for U.S. military equipment purchases.
144129 Under Section 36(b) of the Arms Export Control Act (AECA), Congress must be formally notified 30 calendar Under Section 36(b) of the Arms Export Control Act (AECA), Congress must be formally notified 30 calendar
days before the Administration can take the final steps of a government-to-government foreign military sale of days before the Administration can take the final steps of a government-to-government foreign military sale of
major U.S.-origin defense equipment valued at $14 mil ion or more, defense articles or services valued at $50 major U.S.-origin defense equipment valued at $14 mil ion or more, defense articles or services valued at $50
mil ion or more, or design and construction services valued at $200 mil ion or more. In practice, pre-notifications to congressional committees of jurisdiction occur, and proposed arms sales generally do not proceed to the public official notification stage until issues of potential concern to key committees have been resolved.
Special Military Assistance Benefits for Egypt
In addition to substantial amounts of annual U.S. military assistance, Egypt has benefited from certain aid provisions that have been available to only a few other countries, listed below.
Early Disbursal and Interest-Bearing Account: Between FY2001 and FY2011,
Congress granted Egypt early disbursement of FMF funds (within 30 days of the enactment of appropriations legislation) to an interest-bearing account at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.145 Interest accrued from the rapid
142
126 Egypt also receives, though not consistently, relatively small sums from the Nonproliferation, Anti-Terrorism, Demining, and Related Programs (NADR) account and the International Narcotics Control and Law Enforcement (INCLE) account. NADR funds support counterterrorism training through the Antiterrorism Assistance Program. INCLE funds support police training and respect for human rights in law enforcement. The Administration typically requests these funds, but they are not usually specifically earmarked for Egypt (or for most other countries) in legislation. After the passage of a foreign operations appropriations bill, federal agencies such as the State Department and USAID allocate funds to Egypt from these aid accounts. They then submit a country allocation report (653a Report) to Congress for review.
127 For the relevant legal authorities, see §604 of the Foreign Assistance Act as amended (22 U.S.C. 2354) and §503 of For the relevant legal authorities, see §604 of the Foreign Assistance Act as amended (22 U.S.C. 2354) and §503 of
the Foreign Assistance Act as amended (22 U.S.C. 2311). the Foreign Assistance Act as amended (22 U.S.C. 2311).
143 United States128 U.S. General Accounting Office (now the U.S. Government Accountability Office), Military Sales to Israel General Accounting Office (now the U.S. Government Accountability Office), Military Sales to Israel
and Egypt: DOD Needs Stronger Controls over U.S.-Financed Procurements, July 1993. and Egypt: DOD Needs Stronger Controls over U.S.-Financed Procurements, July 1993.
144129 During a 2021 hearing on security assistance, Dana Stroul, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle During a 2021 hearing on security assistance, Dana Stroul, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle
East, remarked, “In terms of the FMF, it remains an important tool for us to work with Egypt in making sure that they East, remarked, “In terms of the FMF, it remains an important tool for us to work with Egypt in making sure that they
have U.S.-origin defense articles oriented towards what we assess to be shared security threats, whether it’s have U.S.-origin defense articles oriented towards what we assess to be shared security threats, whether it’s
counterterrorism, maritime security, border security. And I would note here that Egypt is interested in continuing this counterterrorism, maritime security, border security. And I would note here that Egypt is interested in continuing this
relationship with us. They recently agreed to upgrade their Apache helicopter fleet by using blended financing, not just relationship with us. They recently agreed to upgrade their Apache helicopter fleet by using blended financing, not just
U.S. security assistance but also Egyptian national funds.” See Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Senate Foreign U.S. security assistance but also Egyptian national funds.” See Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Senate Foreign
Relations Subcommittee on Near East, South Asia, Central Asia and CounterterrorismRelations Subcommittee on Near East, South Asia, Central Asia and Counterterrorism
Hearing on , Middle East Security Middle East Security
AssistanceAssistance
, hearing, August 10, 2021.
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mil ion or more, or design and construction services valued at $200 mil ion or more. In practice, pre-notifications to congressional committees of jurisdiction occur, and proposed arms sales generally do not proceed to the public official notification stage until issues of potential concern to key committees have been resolved.
Special Military Assistance Benefits for Egypt
In addition to substantial amounts of annual U.S. military assistance, Egypt has benefited from the following aid provisions that have been available to only a few other countries:
Early Disbursal and Interest-Bearing Account: Between FY2001 and FY2011,
Congress granted Egypt early disbursement of FMF funds (within 30 days of the enactment of appropriations legislation) to an interest-bearing account at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.130 Interest accrued from the rapid , August 10, 2021.
145 By law, Egypt and Israel are permitted to earn interest on congressionally appropriated Foreign Military Financing (FMF). During the late 1990s, the Clinton Administration (especially the U.S. Defense Department) and the Egyptian government sought to increase U.S. military aid to Egypt. One proposal had been to grant Egypt a benefit already enjoyed by Israel—the use of an interest-bearing account in which unspent FMF funds can accumulate interest to be used for future purchases. During Senate consideration of legislation to provide Egypt access to an interest-bearing account, Sen. Mitch McConnell remarked that “In the State Department briefing justifying the request, U.S. officials urged our support because of Mubarak’s need to address the requirements of ‘his key constituents, the military.’ Frankly, I think Mr. Mubarak needs to worry less about satisfying the military and spend more time and effort shoring up democratic institutions and civic society.” See Congressional Record-Senate, S5508, June 21, 2000. In October 2000, Congress passed P.L. 106-280, the Security Assistance Act of 2000, which authorized FY2001 FMF funds for Egypt to be disbursed to an interest-bearing account in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The law required that
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disbursement of aid has allowed Egypt to receive additional funding for the disbursement of aid has allowed Egypt to receive additional funding for the
purchase of U.S.-origin equipment. In FY2012, Congress began to condition the purchase of U.S.-origin equipment. In FY2012, Congress began to condition the
obligation of FMF, requiring the Administration to certify certain conditions had obligation of FMF, requiring the Administration to certify certain conditions had
been met before releasing FMF funds, thereby eliminating their automatic early been met before releasing FMF funds, thereby eliminating their automatic early
disbursal. However, Congress has permitted Egypt to continue to earn interest on disbursal. However, Congress has permitted Egypt to continue to earn interest on
FMF funds already deposited in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. FMF funds already deposited in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
The Excess Defense Articles (EDA) program provides one means by which the provides one means by which the
United States can advance foreign policy objectives—assisting friendly and
United States can advance foreign policy objectives—assisting friendly and
allied nations through provision of equipment in excess of the requirements of its allied nations through provision of equipment in excess of the requirements of its
own defense forces. The Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA) manages own defense forces. The Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA) manages
the EDA program, which enables the United States to reduce its inventory of the EDA program, which enables the United States to reduce its inventory of
outdated equipment by providing friendly countries with necessary supplies at outdated equipment by providing friendly countries with necessary supplies at
either reduced rates or no charge. As a designated “major non-NATO ally,” Egypt either reduced rates or no charge. As a designated “major non-NATO ally,” Egypt
is eligible to receive EDA under Section 516 of the Foreign Assistance Act and is eligible to receive EDA under Section 516 of the Foreign Assistance Act and
Section 23(a) of the Arms Export Control Act. Section 23(a) of the Arms Export Control Act.
Egypt: Aid Conditionality and Human Rights
Historically, Congress had placed certain conditions on economic aid to Egypt. After Egypt’s
Historically, Congress had placed certain conditions on economic aid to Egypt. After Egypt’s
2011 uprising and initial change of government, lawmakers have conditioned, and in some cases 2011 uprising and initial change of government, lawmakers have conditioned, and in some cases
withheld, U.S. military aid to Egypt on executive branch certifications to the Committees on withheld, U.S. military aid to Egypt on executive branch certifications to the Committees on
Appropriations that
130 By law, Egypt and Israel are permitted to earn interest on congressionally appropriated Foreign Military Financing (FMF). During the late 1990s, the Clinton Administration (especially the U.S. Defense Department) and the Egyptian government the Egyptian government
is taking steps toward democratic governance and supporting human rights.
sought to increase U.S. military aid to Egypt. One proposal had been to grant Egypt a benefit already enjoyed by Israel—the use of an interest-bearing account in which unspent FMF funds can accumulate interest to be used for future purchases. During Senate consideration of legislation to provide Egypt access to an interest-bearing account, Sen. Mitch McConnell remarked that “In the State Department briefing justifying the request, U.S. officials urged our support because of Mubarak’s need to address the requirements of ‘his key constituents, the military.’ Frankly, I think Mr. Mubarak needs to worry less about satisfying the military and spend more time and effort shoring up democratic institutions and civic society.” See Congressional Record-Senate, S5508, June 21, 2000. In October 2000, Congress passed P.L. 106-280, the Security Assistance Act of 2000, which authorized FY2001 FMF funds for Egypt to be disbursed to an interest-bearing account in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The law required that none of the interest accrued by such account should be obligated unless first notified to relevant congressional none of the interest accrued by such account should be obligated unless first notified to relevant congressional
appropriations and oversight committees. In November 2000, Congress passed P.L. 106-429, the FY2001 Foreign appropriations and oversight committees. In November 2000, Congress passed P.L. 106-429, the FY2001 Foreign
Operations Appropriations Act, which included an interest-bearing account for Egypt in appropriations legislation. Operations Appropriations Act, which included an interest-bearing account for Egypt in appropriations legislation.
Since then, this provision has remained in annual appropriations legislation, most recently in P.L. 114-113, the Since then, this provision has remained in annual appropriations legislation, most recently in P.L. 114-113, the
Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2016. Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2016.
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Appropriations that the Egyptian government is taking steps toward democratic governance and supporting human rights.
Figure A-1. The Military Aid “Pipeline”
Source: Information from Defense Security Cooperation Agency. Graphic created by CRS. Information from Defense Security Cooperation Agency. Graphic created by CRS.
In response to political changes in Egypt from 2011 through 2016, the Obama Administration and
In response to political changes in Egypt from 2011 through 2016, the Obama Administration and
Congress altered U.S. foreign aid to Egypt, and strains increased in U.S.-Egyptian relations. In Congress altered U.S. foreign aid to Egypt, and strains increased in U.S.-Egyptian relations. In
FY2012, Congress enacted new restrictions on aid to Egypt that have carried forward to today. FY2012, Congress enacted new restrictions on aid to Egypt that have carried forward to today.
The FY2012 Consolidated Appropriations Act (Section 7041 of Division I, P.L. 112-74) specified The FY2012 Consolidated Appropriations Act (Section 7041 of Division I, P.L. 112-74) specified
that no funds could be made available to Egypt until the Secretary of State certified that Egypt that no funds could be made available to Egypt until the Secretary of State certified that Egypt
was meeting its obligations under the 1979 Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty (due to concerns that a was meeting its obligations under the 1979 Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty (due to concerns that a
future democratically elected Egyptian government might abrogate the treaty). future democratically elected Egyptian government might abrogate the treaty).
It further specified that no military funds could be provided until the Administration certified that
It further specified that no military funds could be provided until the Administration certified that
the government of Egypt was supporting a transition to civilian rule, including by holding free the government of Egypt was supporting a transition to civilian rule, including by holding free
and fair elections and by implementing policies to protect freedom of expression, association, and and fair elections and by implementing policies to protect freedom of expression, association, and
religion, and due process of law. It permitted the Secretary of State to waive these requirements religion, and due process of law. It permitted the Secretary of State to waive these requirements
by reporting to Congress with a “detailed justification” that doing so was “in the national security by reporting to Congress with a “detailed justification” that doing so was “in the national security
interest of the United States.” interest of the United States.”
On July 3, 2013, the Egyptian military suspended the constitution and ousted former President
On July 3, 2013, the Egyptian military suspended the constitution and ousted former President
Mohamed Morsi. Subsequently, the Obama Administration took several steps to express U.S. Mohamed Morsi. Subsequently, the Obama Administration took several steps to express U.S.
displeasure with Morsi’s ouster. In 2013, President Obama announced a comprehensive review of displeasure with Morsi’s ouster. In 2013, President Obama announced a comprehensive review of
U.S. foreign assistance policy toward Egypt, canceled a joint U.S.-Egypt military exercise U.S. foreign assistance policy toward Egypt, canceled a joint U.S.-Egypt military exercise
(Operation Bright (Operation Bright
Star146Star131), suspended the deliveries of certain military items to Egypt (such as ), suspended the deliveries of certain military items to Egypt (such as
F-
146 131 Since 1980, shortly after the signing of the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty, the United States and Egypt have Since 1980, shortly after the signing of the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty, the United States and Egypt have
conducted large-scale joint military exercises known as “Bright Star.” In 1980, both countries conducted annual single conducted large-scale joint military exercises known as “Bright Star.” In 1980, both countries conducted annual single
service bilateral ground maneuver events. However, starting in the mid-1980s, Bright Star became a biennialservice bilateral ground maneuver events. However, starting in the mid-1980s, Bright Star became a biennial
multinational military training exercise. For the first 25 years of its existence, Bright Star was one of the largest coalition military exercises conducted by CENTCOM. It included the ground, naval, and air forces of both the United States and Egypt, along with troops from France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Spain, Greece,
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F-16s, along with Apache helicopters, Harpoon missiles, and M1A1 tanks) pending progress toward 16s, along with Apache helicopters, Harpoon missiles, and M1A1 tanks) pending progress toward
democracy, and cancelled planned cash transfers of economic aid.democracy, and cancelled planned cash transfers of economic aid.
147132 Ultimately, the Obama Ultimately, the Obama
Administration accepted the Egyptian military’s overthrow of a democratically elected president Administration accepted the Egyptian military’s overthrow of a democratically elected president
as a fait accompli and attempted to redefine certain components of the U.S.-Egyptian as a fait accompli and attempted to redefine certain components of the U.S.-Egyptian
relationship.relationship.
148133
In FY2014, Congress further conditioned the obligation
In FY2014, Congress further conditioned the obligation
of aid for Egypt by applying certification aid for Egypt by applying certification
requirements to distinct tranches of aid; for example, the Secretary of State was required to certify requirements to distinct tranches of aid; for example, the Secretary of State was required to certify
to the Committees on Appropriations prior to obligation of one tranche that Egypt had held a to the Committees on Appropriations prior to obligation of one tranche that Egypt had held a
constitutional referendum and was taking steps to support a democratic transition. Prior to constitutional referendum and was taking steps to support a democratic transition. Prior to
obligation of a second tranche, Congress required certification that Egypt had held parliamentary obligation of a second tranche, Congress required certification that Egypt had held parliamentary
and presidential elections, and had a new elected government that was taking steps to govern and presidential elections, and had a new elected government that was taking steps to govern
democratically.democratically.
149
By the spring of134
By spring 2015, as terrorist attacks against Egypt continued amid the global rise of the 2015, as terrorist attacks against Egypt continued amid the global rise of the
Islamic State, some lawmakers called on the Administration to end its weapons export Islamic State, some lawmakers called on the Administration to end its weapons export
suspension.suspension.
150135 The Obama Administration responded with a change in U.S. policy. On March 31, The Obama Administration responded with a change in U.S. policy. On March 31,
2015, the White House announced it would allow the deliveries of select weapons systems to 2015, the White House announced it would allow the deliveries of select weapons systems to
Egypt that had been on hold since October 2013, and pledged to continue seeking $1.3 billion in annual military aid from Congress.
Egypt that had been
multinational military training exercise. For the first 25 years of its existence, Bright Star was one of the largest coalition military exercises conducted by CENTCOM. It included the ground, naval, and air forces of both the United States and Egypt, along with troops from France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Spain, Greece, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the UAE, Turkey, Pakistan, and Kuwait. During the 1999/2000 event, 11 nations contributed Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the UAE, Turkey, Pakistan, and Kuwait. During the 1999/2000 event, 11 nations contributed
over 70,000 troops to the exercise. At times, regional conflict or tensions in the U.S.-Egyptian relationship have led to over 70,000 troops to the exercise. At times, regional conflict or tensions in the U.S.-Egyptian relationship have led to
the cancellation of Bright Star. Due to the wars in Iraq, Bright Star was cancelled in 1991 and 2003. Due to political the cancellation of Bright Star. Due to the wars in Iraq, Bright Star was cancelled in 1991 and 2003. Due to political
unrest in Egypt, the Egyptian armed forces cancelled Bright Star in 2011. In 2013, President Obama suspended U.S. unrest in Egypt, the Egyptian armed forces cancelled Bright Star in 2011. In 2013, President Obama suspended U.S.
participation in Bright Star due to U.S. concerns over the military’s ousting of Egypt’s civilian-led government. Thus, participation in Bright Star due to U.S. concerns over the military’s ousting of Egypt’s civilian-led government. Thus,
Bright Star did not take place from 2010 to 2016. It resumed in September 2017, when an estimated 200 U.S. soldiers Bright Star did not take place from 2010 to 2016. It resumed in September 2017, when an estimated 200 U.S. soldiers
participated in the exercise at Mohamed Naguib Military Base in Egypt, where U.S. and Egyptian forces conducted participated in the exercise at Mohamed Naguib Military Base in Egypt, where U.S. and Egyptian forces conducted
battle simulations involving U.S.-origin major defense equipment, such as Egyptian F-16s and M1A1 Egyptian tanks. battle simulations involving U.S.-origin major defense equipment, such as Egyptian F-16s and M1A1 Egyptian tanks.
In August 2018, approximately 800 U.S. troops participated in Operation Bright Star 18. That event featured Egyptian In August 2018, approximately 800 U.S. troops participated in Operation Bright Star 18. That event featured Egyptian
special operations forces conducting counterterrorism and irregular warfare training operations, working in close special operations forces conducting counterterrorism and irregular warfare training operations, working in close
collaboration with US special operators. In 2020, the United States and Egypt cancelled Bright Star due to the COVID-collaboration with US special operators. In 2020, the United States and Egypt cancelled Bright Star due to the COVID-
19 pandemic19 pandemic
. In September 2021, 600 U.S. service personnel from CENTCOM participated in Operation Bright Star.
132 U.S. Department of State.
147 U.S. State Department, “U.S. Assistance to Egypt,” Press Statement, October 9, 2013. , “U.S. Assistance to Egypt,” Press Statement, October 9, 2013.
148133 President Obama said, “Going forward, the United States will maintain a constructive relationship with the Interim President Obama said, “Going forward, the United States will maintain a constructive relationship with the Interim
Government that promotes core interests like the Camp David Accords and counterterrorism. We'll continue support in Government that promotes core interests like the Camp David Accords and counterterrorism. We'll continue support in
areas like education that directly benefit the Egyptian people. But we have not proceeded with the delivery of certain areas like education that directly benefit the Egyptian people. But we have not proceeded with the delivery of certain
military systems, and our support will depend upon Egypt’s progress in pursuing a more democratic path.” U.S. military systems, and our support will depend upon Egypt’s progress in pursuing a more democratic path.” U.S.
President (Obama), “Remarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City,” Daily Compilation of President (Obama), “Remarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City,” Daily Compilation of
Presidential Documents, 2013 DCPD-201300655, September 24, 2013, pp. 6-7. Presidential Documents, 2013 DCPD-201300655, September 24, 2013, pp. 6-7.
149134 Congress did not provide a waiver for these conditions, but took steps to allow for the continuation of some aid Congress did not provide a waiver for these conditions, but took steps to allow for the continuation of some aid
under some circumstances. Congress provided that if the certifications could not be made, then FMF obligations were under some circumstances. Congress provided that if the certifications could not be made, then FMF obligations were
to “be made available at the minimum rate necessary to continue existing contracts ... except that defense articles and to “be made available at the minimum rate necessary to continue existing contracts ... except that defense articles and
services from such contracts” were not to be delivered until the certification requirements were met. Congress applied services from such contracts” were not to be delivered until the certification requirements were met. Congress applied
parallel requirements on any use of prior-year FMF and International Military Education and Training (IMET) funds parallel requirements on any use of prior-year FMF and International Military Education and Training (IMET) funds
that remained available. Congress exempted funds that were to be used for counterterrorism, border security, and that remained available. Congress exempted funds that were to be used for counterterrorism, border security, and
nonproliferation programs in Egypt, and for development activities in the Sinai. Congress applied a similar tranche and nonproliferation programs in Egypt, and for development activities in the Sinai. Congress applied a similar tranche and
minimum rate necessary framework in FY2015, requiring certification of different criteria, and providing a waiver. minimum rate necessary framework in FY2015, requiring certification of different criteria, and providing a waiver.
150135 In February 2015, House State and Foreign Operations Appropriations Subcommittee Chairwoman Kay Granger In February 2015, House State and Foreign Operations Appropriations Subcommittee Chairwoman Kay Granger
wrote to President Obama stating that “they [the Egyptians] need these planes and other weapons immediately to wrote to President Obama stating that “they [the Egyptians] need these planes and other weapons immediately to
continue the fight against ISIL and other terrorists threatening Egypt’s security, but your Administration has refused to continue the fight against ISIL and other terrorists threatening Egypt’s security, but your Administration has refused to
use the authority Congress provided you in law to provide Egypt these weapons.” use the authority Congress provided you in law to provide Egypt these weapons.”
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However, theon hold since October 2013, and pledged to continue seeking $1.3 billion in annual military aid from Congress.
The White House simultaneously announced that future military assistance to Egypt White House simultaneously announced that future military assistance to Egypt
would be largely reformulated by ending cash flow financing.would be largely reformulated by ending cash flow financing.
151136 Section 23 of the Arms Export Section 23 of the Arms Export
Control Act (AECA, 22 U.S.C. §2763) authorizes the President to finance the “procurement of Control Act (AECA, 22 U.S.C. §2763) authorizes the President to finance the “procurement of
defense articles, defense services, and design and construction services by friendly foreign defense articles, defense services, and design and construction services by friendly foreign
countries and international organizations, on such terms and conditions as he may determine countries and international organizations, on such terms and conditions as he may determine
consistent with the requirements of this section.” Successive Administrations have used this consistent with the requirements of this section.” Successive Administrations have used this
authority to permit Israel (and, until 2018, Egypt) to set aside almost all FMF funds for current authority to permit Israel (and, until 2018, Egypt) to set aside almost all FMF funds for current
year payments only, rather than set aside the amount needed to meet the full cost of multiyear year payments only, rather than set aside the amount needed to meet the full cost of multiyear
purchases. purchases.
From 2017 through 2020, some bilateral tensions diminished as President Trump sought to
From 2017 through 2020, some bilateral tensions diminished as President Trump sought to
improve ties with President Sisi. President Trump continued to request that Congress appropriate improve ties with President Sisi. President Trump continued to request that Congress appropriate
$1.3 billion in military aid to Egypt, but did not restore the Egyptian military’s ability to benefit $1.3 billion in military aid to Egypt, but did not restore the Egyptian military’s ability to benefit
from Cash Flow Financing. Moreover, as previously mentioned, President Trump reduced the from Cash Flow Financing. Moreover, as previously mentioned, President Trump reduced the
FY2017 FMF obligation to Egypt by $65.7 million as a result of Egypt’s relationship with North FY2017 FMF obligation to Egypt by $65.7 million as a result of Egypt’s relationship with North
Korea and prosecution of U.S. and Egyptian nongovernmental organization (NGO) workers. Korea and prosecution of U.S. and Egyptian nongovernmental organization (NGO) workers.
Economic Aid
Overview
From the early 1980s until the late 1990s, U.S. economic aid to Egypt helped modernize the
From the early 1980s until the late 1990s, U.S. economic aid to Egypt helped modernize the
nation’s energy, telecommunications, and nation’s energy, telecommunications, and
waste waterwastewater infrastructure. Beginning in the mid to late infrastructure. Beginning in the mid to late
1990s, as Egypt moved from being an impoverished country to a lower-middle-income 1990s, as Egypt moved from being an impoverished country to a lower-middle-income
economy,economy,
152137 the United States and Egypt began to rethink the assistance relationship, emphasizing the United States and Egypt began to rethink the assistance relationship, emphasizing
“trade not aid.”“trade not aid.”
153138 Congress began to scale back economic aid both to Egypt and Israel due to a Congress began to scale back economic aid both to Egypt and Israel due to a
10-year agreement reached between the United States and Israel in the late 1990s known as the 10-year agreement reached between the United States and Israel in the late 1990s known as the
“Glide Path Agreement,” which gradually reduced U.S. economic aid to Egypt to $400 million by “Glide Path Agreement,” which gradually reduced U.S. economic aid to Egypt to $400 million by
2008.2008.
154139 Congress also placed conditions on economic assistance in order to encourage Egypt to Congress also placed conditions on economic assistance in order to encourage Egypt to
modernize its economy and political system.modernize its economy and political system.
155140 U.S. economic aid to Egypt stood at $200 million U.S. economic aid to Egypt stood at $200 million
per year by the end of the George W. Bush Administration, whose relations with then-President
151136 For more information, see CRS Report R44060, For more information, see CRS Report R44060,
Ending Cash Flow Financing to Egypt: Issues for Congress, by , by
Jeremy M. Sharp (out of print but available to congressional requesters from the author). Jeremy M. Sharp (out of print but available to congressional requesters from the author).
152137 See World Bank historic data at https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank- See World Bank historic data at https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-
country-and-lending-groups country-and-lending-groups
153138 Ahmed Galal, Robert Z. Lawrence (editors), Ahmed Galal, Robert Z. Lawrence (editors),
Building Bridges: An Egypt-U.S. Free Trade Agreement, Brookings , Brookings
Institution Press, 1998. Institution Press, 1998.
154139 In January 1998, Israeli officials, sensing that their economic growth had obviated the need for that type of U.S. aid In January 1998, Israeli officials, sensing that their economic growth had obviated the need for that type of U.S. aid
at a time when Congress sought to reduce foreign assistance expenditures, negotiated with the United States to reduce at a time when Congress sought to reduce foreign assistance expenditures, negotiated with the United States to reduce
economic aid and increase military aid over a 10-year period. A 3:2 ratio that long prevailed in the overall levels of economic aid and increase military aid over a 10-year period. A 3:2 ratio that long prevailed in the overall levels of
U.S. aid to Israel and Egypt was applied to the reduction in economic aid ($60 million reduction for Israel and $40 U.S. aid to Israel and Egypt was applied to the reduction in economic aid ($60 million reduction for Israel and $40
million reduction for Egypt), but Egypt did not receive an increase in military assistance. Thus, Congress reduced ESF million reduction for Egypt), but Egypt did not receive an increase in military assistance. Thus, Congress reduced ESF
aid to Egypt from $815 million in FY1998 to $411 million in FY2008. aid to Egypt from $815 million in FY1998 to $411 million in FY2008.
155140 From the late 1990s through FY2005, Congress specified that economic aid (ESF cash transfer) would be provided From the late 1990s through FY2005, Congress specified that economic aid (ESF cash transfer) would be provided
“with the understanding that Egypt will undertake significant economic reforms” beyond those previously undertaken. “with the understanding that Egypt will undertake significant economic reforms” beyond those previously undertaken.
Beginning in the FY2006 appropriations act (P.L. 109-102), Congress changed the phrasing of this condition to include Beginning in the FY2006 appropriations act (P.L. 109-102), Congress changed the phrasing of this condition to include
“significant economic “significant economic
and political reforms” (emphasis added). Beginning in FY2008 and thereafter through FY2010, reforms” (emphasis added). Beginning in FY2008 and thereafter through FY2010,
Congress changed the condition phrasing to “significant economic and Congress changed the condition phrasing to “significant economic and
democratic reforms.” For FY2010, Congress reforms.” For FY2010, Congress
also allocated “up to” $20 million for democracy, human rights and governance programs, and “not less than” $35 also allocated “up to” $20 million for democracy, human rights and governance programs, and “not less than” $35
million for education programs. See Division F, Title III, million for education programs. See Division F, Title III,
Economic Support Fund, P.L. 111-117. , P.L. 111-117.
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per year by the end of the George W. Bush Administration, whose relations with then-President Hosni Mubarak suffered141Hosni Mubarak suffered156 over the latter’s reaction to the Administration’s democracy agenda in over the latter’s reaction to the Administration’s democracy agenda in
the Arab world.the Arab world.
157142
During the Obama Administration, the President and Congress found common support for the use
During the Obama Administration, the President and Congress found common support for the use
of enterprise funds, which are U.S. government-funded entities whose purpose is to promote the of enterprise funds, which are U.S. government-funded entities whose purpose is to promote the
development and strengthening of a private sector in a foreign country by directly investing in its development and strengthening of a private sector in a foreign country by directly investing in its
local firms. In May 2011, President Obama laid out his Administration’s initial response to local firms. In May 2011, President Obama laid out his Administration’s initial response to
Middle East uprisings by remarking that U.S. officials were “working with Congress to create Middle East uprisings by remarking that U.S. officials were “working with Congress to create
enterprise funds to invest in Tunisia and Egypt. And these will be modeled on funds that enterprise funds to invest in Tunisia and Egypt. And these will be modeled on funds that
supported the transitions in Eastern Europe after the fall of the Berlin Wall.”supported the transitions in Eastern Europe after the fall of the Berlin Wall.”
158143 In December In December
2011, Congress drew on a late Cold War precedent to authorize the establishment of enterprise 2011, Congress drew on a late Cold War precedent to authorize the establishment of enterprise
funds in Egypt in the FY2012 Consolidated Appropriations Act (Section 7041 of Division I, P.L. funds in Egypt in the FY2012 Consolidated Appropriations Act (Section 7041 of Division I, P.L.
112-74)112-74)
.
The Egyptian-American Enterprise Fund (EAEF) was established by grant agreement with
The Egyptian-American Enterprise Fund (EAEF) was established by grant agreement with
USAIDthe U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) on March 23, 2013. Since its inception, the EAEF has received $300 million in ESF on March 23, 2013. Since its inception, the EAEF has received $300 million in ESF
funds. After funds. After
eightten years in operation, it generally has been considered a modest success in years in operation, it generally has been considered a modest success in
boosting Egypt’s private sector, particularly in the financial and technology sectors. According to boosting Egypt’s private sector, particularly in the financial and technology sectors. According to
the EAEF’s most recent impact report, the funds has invested the EAEF’s most recent impact report, the funds has invested
$250$267 million of the original $300 million of the original $300
million authorized by the U.S. Congress; at the end of million authorized by the U.S. Congress; at the end of
20212022, the market value of the EAEF’s , the market value of the EAEF’s
portfolio was estimated to be $portfolio was estimated to be $
600500 million. million.
159144
During the Obama Administration, the Egyptian military pushed back against U.S. support for a
During the Obama Administration, the Egyptian military pushed back against U.S. support for a
competitive, transparent electoral process.competitive, transparent electoral process.
160145 After reasserting power in 2013, the military moved After reasserting power in 2013, the military moved
to arrest American employees (as well as Egyptian and other foreign nationals) of U.S.-based and to arrest American employees (as well as Egyptian and other foreign nationals) of U.S.-based and
foreign democracy promotion organizations.foreign democracy promotion organizations.
161146
In the final years of the Obama Administration, wariness of U.S. democracy promotion assistance
In the final years of the Obama Administration, wariness of U.S. democracy promotion assistance
led the Egyptian government to obstruct many U.S.-funded economic assistance programs.led the Egyptian government to obstruct many U.S.-funded economic assistance programs.
162147 According to the GAO, the Department of State and According to the GAO, the Department of State and
the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) reported hundreds of millions of dollars ($460 million as of 2015) in unobligated prior year ESF funding.163 These growing unobligated balances created pressure onUSAID reported hundreds of millions of
156141 See Helene Cooper, “With Egypt, Diplomatic Words Often Fail,” See Helene Cooper, “With Egypt, Diplomatic Words Often Fail,”
New York Times, January 29, 2011. , January 29, 2011.
157142 The George W. Bush Administration requested that Congress cut ESF aid by half in FY2009 to $200 million. The George W. Bush Administration requested that Congress cut ESF aid by half in FY2009 to $200 million.
Congress appropriated the President’s request. Congress appropriated the President’s request.
158143 NARA, Office of the Federal Register, Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States: Barack H. Obama, NARA, Office of the Federal Register, Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States: Barack H. Obama,
2011, Book 1 (Washington, DC: GPO, 2014), Remarks at the Department of State, May 19, 2011, pp. 552-560. 2011, Book 1 (Washington, DC: GPO, 2014), Remarks at the Department of State, May 19, 2011, pp. 552-560.
159144 Egyptian-American Enterprise Fund, Egyptian-American Enterprise Fund,
Impact Report 2021, May 2022. 160The Egyptian-American Enterprise Fund: A New Private Sector-Led Model for U.S. Foreign Assistance, April 2023.
145 Prior to 2011, U.S. funding for democracy promotion activities and good governance had been a source of acrimony Prior to 2011, U.S. funding for democracy promotion activities and good governance had been a source of acrimony
between the United States and Egypt. Using the appropriations process, Congress has mandated that “democracy and between the United States and Egypt. Using the appropriations process, Congress has mandated that “democracy and
governance activities shall not be subject to the prior approval by the government of any foreign country.” Originally governance activities shall not be subject to the prior approval by the government of any foreign country.” Originally
referred to as the Brownback amendment, this legislative language began in reference to Egypt (Division D, Title II, referred to as the Brownback amendment, this legislative language began in reference to Egypt (Division D, Title II,
Economic Support Fund, P.L. 108-447), and was expanded in FY2008 to include “any foreign country.” (Division J, , P.L. 108-447), and was expanded in FY2008 to include “any foreign country.” (Division J,
Sec. 634(o), P.L. 110-161). Sec. 634(o), P.L. 110-161).
161146 From FY2014 to FY2019, Congress mandated in annual appropriations legislation that the Secretary of State shall From FY2014 to FY2019, Congress mandated in annual appropriations legislation that the Secretary of State shall
withhold an amount of ESF to Egypt determined to be equivalent to that expended by the United States Government for withhold an amount of ESF to Egypt determined to be equivalent to that expended by the United States Government for
bail, and by nongovernmental organizations for legal and court fees, associated with democracy-related trials in Egypt bail, and by nongovernmental organizations for legal and court fees, associated with democracy-related trials in Egypt
until the Secretary certifies that Egypt has dismissed the convictions issued by the Cairo Criminal Court on June 4, until the Secretary certifies that Egypt has dismissed the convictions issued by the Cairo Criminal Court on June 4,
2013. 2013.
162 House Foreign Affairs Committee, hearing entitled, “Egypt: Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. Policy,” Prepared Statement by Amy Hawthorne, Project on Middle East Democracy, June 15, 2016.
163 Government Accountability Office, EGYPT: U.S. Government Should Examine Options for Using Unobligated147 Prepared Statement by Amy Hawthorne, Project on Middle East Democracy House Foreign Affairs Committee, Egypt: Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. Policy,” hearing, June 15, 2016.
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dollars ($460 million as of 2015) in unobligated prior year ESF funding.148 These growing unobligated balances created pressure on the Obama Administration to re-obligatethe Obama Administration to reobligate ESF funds for other purposes. In 2016, the Obama ESF funds for other purposes. In 2016, the Obama
Administration notified Congress that it was reprogramming for other purposes $108 million of Administration notified Congress that it was reprogramming for other purposes $108 million of
ESF that had been appropriated for Egypt in FY2015 but remained unobligated. The ESF that had been appropriated for Egypt in FY2015 but remained unobligated. The
Administration Administration
statedthatstated that its actions were due to “continued government of Egypt process delays its actions were due to “continued government of Egypt process delays
that have impeded the effective implementation of several programs.”that have impeded the effective implementation of several programs.”
164149 In 2017, the Trump In 2017, the Trump
Administration also reprogrammed FY2016 ESF for Egypt. Administration also reprogrammed FY2016 ESF for Egypt.
During the Biden Administration, U.S. economic assistance has averaged
During the Biden Administration, U.S. economic assistance has averaged
over $125 million a year in $125 million a year in
ESF. From 2017 to present, USAID has expanded its role in assisting the Egyptian government ESF. From 2017 to present, USAID has expanded its role in assisting the Egyptian government
develop the Sinai Peninsula. In north Sinai, the United States has funded the Al Arish desalination develop the Sinai Peninsula. In north Sinai, the United States has funded the Al Arish desalination
facility that provides 126,000 residents with potable water.facility that provides 126,000 residents with potable water.
165150 USAID also has delivered USAID also has delivered
commuter buses to isolated communities in central Sinai to improve access to workplaces, commuter buses to isolated communities in central Sinai to improve access to workplaces,
commerce, education, and government services.commerce, education, and government services.
166151
Table A-1. U.S. Foreign Assistance to Egypt: 1946-2020
(calculated in historical dollars, not adjusted for inflation)
(calculated in historical dollars, not adjusted for inflation)
Year
Military
Economic
Annual Total
1946
1946
n/a
n/a
$9,600,000
$9,600,000
$9,600,000
$9,600,000
1948
1948
n/a
n/a
$1,400,000
$1,400,000
$1,400,000
$1,400,000
1951
1951
n/a
n/a
$100,000
$100,000
$100,000
$100,000
1952
1952
n/a
n/a
$1,200,000
$1,200,000
$1,200,000
$1,200,000
1953
1953
n/a
n/a
$12,900,000
$12,900,000
$12,900,000
$12,900,000
1954
1954
n/a
n/a
$4,000,000
$4,000,000
$4,000,000
$4,000,000
1955
1955
n/a
n/a
$66,300,000
$66,300,000
$66,300,000
$66,300,000
1956
1956
n/a
n/a
$33,300,000
$33,300,000
$33,300,000
$33,300,000
1957
1957
n/a
n/a
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
1958
1958
n/a
n/a
$601,000
$601,000
$601,000
$601,000
1959
1959
n/a
n/a
$44,800,000
$44,800,000
$44,800,000
$44,800,000
1960
1960
n/a
n/a
$65,900,000
$65,900,000
$65,900,000
$65,900,000
1961
1961
n/a
n/a
$73,500,000
$73,500,000
$73,500,000
$73,500,000
1962
1962
n/a
n/a
$200,500,000
$200,500,000
$200,500,000
$200,500,000
1963
1963
n/a
n/a
$146,700,000
$146,700,000
$146,700,000
$146,700,000
1964
1964
n/a
n/a
$95,500,000
$95,500,000
$95,500,000
$95,500,000
1965
1965
n/a
n/a
$97,600,000
$97,600,000
$97,600,000
$97,600,000
1966
1966
n/a
n/a
$27,600,000
$27,600,000
$27,600,000
$27,600,000
1967
n/a
$12,600,000
$12,600,000
148 Government Accountability Office, EGYPT: U.S. Government Should Examine Options for Using Unobligated Funds and Evaluating Security Assistance Programs, Published: February 11, 2015. Publicly Released: March 12, Funds and Evaluating Security Assistance Programs, Published: February 11, 2015. Publicly Released: March 12,
2015. 2015.
164149 “US Shifts Egypt Aid to Other Countries,” “US Shifts Egypt Aid to Other Countries,”
Al Monitor, October 16, 2016. , October 16, 2016.
165 U.S. State Department150 U.S. Department of State, U.S. Embassy Egypt, , U.S. Embassy Egypt,
“U.S. Ambassador Visits North Sinai,U.S. Ambassador Visits North Sinai,
” June 24, 2021. June 24, 2021.
166 U.S. State Department151 U.S. Department of State, U.S. Embassy Egypt, , U.S. Embassy Egypt,
“United States Delivers 20 Brand New Buses to North Sinai United States Delivers 20 Brand New Buses to North Sinai
Governorate,Governorate,
” August 16, 2021. August 16, 2021.
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Year
Military
Economic
Annual Total
1967
n/a
$12,600,000
$12,600,000
1972
1972
n/a
n/a
$1,500,000
$1,500,000
$1,500,000
$1,500,000
1973
1973
n/a
n/a
$800,000
$800,000
$800,000
$800,000
1974
1974
n/a
n/a
$21,300,000
$21,300,000
$21,300,000
$21,300,000
1975
1975
n/a
n/a
$370,100,000
$370,100,000
$370,100,000
$370,100,000
1976
1976
n/a
n/a
$464,300,000
$464,300,000
$464,300,000
$464,300,000
1976tq
n/a
$552,501,000
$552,501,000
1977
1977
n/a
n/a
$907,752,000
$907,752,000
$907,752,000
$907,752,000
1978
1978
$183,000
$183,000
$943,029,000
$943,029,000
$943,212,000
$943,212,000
1979
1979
$1,500,379,000
$1,500,379,000
$1,088,095,000
$1,088,095,000
$2,588,474,000
$2,588,474,000
1980
1980
$848,000
$848,000
$1,166,423,000
$1,166,423,000
$1,167,271,000
$1,167,271,000
1981
1981
$550,720,000
$550,720,000
$1,130,449,000
$1,130,449,000
$1,681,169,000
$1,681,169,000
1982
1982
$902,315,000
$902,315,000
$1,064,936,000
$1,064,936,000
$1,967,251,000
$1,967,251,000
1983
1983
$1,326,778,000
$1,326,778,000
$1,005,064,000
$1,005,064,000
$2,331,842,000
$2,331,842,000
1984
1984
$1,366,458,000
$1,366,458,000
$1,104,137,000
$1,104,137,000
$2,470,595,000
$2,470,595,000
1985
1985
$1,176,398,000
$1,176,398,000
$1,292,008,000
$1,292,008,000
$2,468,406,000
$2,468,406,000
1986
1986
$1,245,741,000
$1,245,741,000
$1,293,293,000
$1,293,293,000
$2,539,034,000
$2,539,034,000
1987
1987
$1,301,696,000
$1,301,696,000
$1,015,179,000
$1,015,179,000
$2,316,875,000
$2,316,875,000
1988
1988
$1,301,477,000
$1,301,477,000
$873,446,000
$873,446,000
$2,174,923,000
$2,174,923,000
1989
1989
$1,301,484,000
$1,301,484,000
$968,187,000
$968,187,000
$2,269,671,000
$2,269,671,000
1990
1990
$1,295,919,000
$1,295,919,000
$1,093,358,000
$1,093,358,000
$2,389,277,000
$2,389,277,000
1991
1991
$1,301,798,000
$1,301,798,000
$998,011,000
$998,011,000
$2,299,809,000
$2,299,809,000
1992
1992
$1,301,518,000
$1,301,518,000
$933,320,000
$933,320,000
$2,234,838,000
$2,234,838,000
1993
1993
$1,302,299,892
$1,302,299,892
$753,532,569
$753,532,569
$2,055,832,461
$2,055,832,461
1994
1994
$1,329,014,520
$1,329,014,520
$615,278,400
$615,278,400
$1,944,292,920
$1,944,292,920
1995
1995
$1,342,039,999
$1,342,039,999
$975,881,584
$975,881,584
$2,317,921,583
$2,317,921,583
1996
1996
$1,373,872,023
$1,373,872,023
$824,526,772
$824,526,772
$2,198,398,795
$2,198,398,795
1997
1997
$1,304,889,154
$1,304,889,154
$811,229,175
$811,229,175
$2,116,118,329
$2,116,118,329
1998
1998
$1,303,343,750
$1,303,343,750
$833,244,554
$833,244,554
$2,136,588,304
$2,136,588,304
1999
1999
$1,351,905,310
$1,351,905,310
$862,062,972
$862,062,972
$2,213,968,282
$2,213,968,282
2000
2000
$1,333,685,882
$1,333,685,882
$742,458,662
$742,458,662
$2,076,144,544
$2,076,144,544
2001
2001
$1,299,709,358
$1,299,709,358
$393,734,896
$393,734,896
$1,693,444,254
$1,693,444,254
2002
2002
$1,301,367,000
$1,301,367,000
$1,046,193,772
$1,046,193,772
$2,347,560,772
$2,347,560,772
2003
2003
$1,304,073,715
$1,304,073,715
$646,856,655
$646,856,655
$1,950,930,370
$1,950,930,370
2004
2004
$1,318,119,661
$1,318,119,661
$720,241,709
$720,241,709
$2,038,361,370
$2,038,361,370
2005
2005
$1,294,700,384
$1,294,700,384
$495,849,544
$495,849,544
$1,790,549,928
$1,790,549,928
2006
2006
$1,301,512,728
$1,301,512,728
$351,242,871
$351,242,871
$1,652,755,599
$1,652,755,599
2007
$1,305,235,109
$737,348,773
$2,042,583,882
Congressional Research Service Congressional Research Service
3733
Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
Year
Military
Economic
Annual Total
2007
$1,305,235,109
$737,348,773
$2,042,583,882
2008 2008
$1,294,902,533
$1,294,902,533
$314,498,954
$314,498,954
$1,609,401,487
$1,609,401,487
2009
2009
$1,301,332,000
$1,301,332,000
$688,533,322
$688,533,322
$1,989,865,322
$1,989,865,322
2010
2010
$1,301,900,000
$1,301,900,000
$300,943,891
$300,943,891
$1,602,843,891
$1,602,843,891
2011
2011
$1,298,779,449
$1,298,779,449
$,242,205,488
$,242,205,488
$1,540,984,937
$1,540,984,937
2012
2012
$1,302,233,562
$1,302,233,562
$90,260,730
$90,260,730
$1,392,494,292
$1,392,494,292
2013
2013
$1,239,659,511
$1,239,659,511
$330,610,024
$330,610,024
$1,570,269,534
$1,570,269,534
2014
2014
$
$
274,031572,000,000
$178,748,169
$178,748,169
$
$
179,022,200750,748,169
2015
2015
$1,345,091,943
$1,345,091,943
$222,864,445
$222,864,445
$1,567,956,387
$1,567,956,387
2016
2016
$1,126,658,738
$1,126,658,738
$133,150,380
$133,150,380
$1,259,809,118
$1,259,809,118
2017
2017
$201,103,590
$201,103,590
$173,
$173,
179,863200,000
$374,
$374,
283,453303,590
2018
2018
$1,002,517,764
$1,002,517,764
$
$
233,703,233234,200,000
$1,236,
$1,236,
220,998717,764
2019
2019
$1,
$1,
05,992,890306,000,000
$161,
$161,
968,390
$1,419,961,281000,000
$1,467,000,000
2020
$1,302,000,000
$169,100,000
$1,471,100,000
Totals
$50,233,659,575
$32,989,081,823
$83,464,946,884
2020
$1,301,497,657
$126,511,470
$1,428,009,127
Totals
$49,661,424,152
$33,189,150,268
$82,850,574,420
Sources: U.S. Overseas Loans and Grants, Obligations and Loan Authorizations, July 1, 1945-September 30, U.S. Overseas Loans and Grants, Obligations and Loan Authorizations, July 1, 1945-September 30,
2019; and ForeignAssistance.gov, last updated July 26, 2021 (the year FY2020 is partially reported). 2019; and ForeignAssistance.gov, last updated July 26, 2021 (the year FY2020 is partially reported).
Notes: This chart does not account for the repurposing of assistance funds which had been previously obligated This chart does not account for the repurposing of assistance funds which had been previously obligated
for Egypt. Total numbers may be slightly higherfor Egypt. Total numbers may be slightly higher
or lower than official sources due to a time delay in government agency than official sources due to a time delay in government agency
reporting of obligated funds. reporting of obligated funds.
It is unclear why FY2014 military assistance funds are significantly lower than previous years.
Author Information
Jeremy M. Sharp Jeremy M. Sharp
Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs
Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs
Congressional Research Service
Congressional Research Service
3834
Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations
Disclaimer
This document was prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). CRS serves as nonpartisan
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· VERSION 117121 · UPDATED
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