Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Pledges
October 26, 2021November 1, 2022
by Selected Countries: Nationally Determined
Kezee Procita
Contributions and Net-Zero Legislation
SeniorHead Research Research
Librarian and Library Services Section
Human-related
Human-related
emissionsemission of greenhouse gases (GHG) of greenhouse gases (GHG)
havehas increased increased
global yglobally over time. over time.
These These
increasing emissions contribute to a changing climateincreasing emissions contribute to a changing climate
, which is a concern for
governments, organizations, and other stakeholders. Many governments are taking steps . Many governments are taking steps
to reduce GHG emissions in an effort to lessen the potential impacts of climate change. to reduce GHG emissions in an effort to lessen the potential impacts of climate change.
Two ways in which national National
governments are governments are
makingguiding efforts to reduce GHG emissions efforts to reduce GHG emissions
arein two general ways: (1) by setting emission reduction targets in by setting emission reduction targets in
updated updated
National yNationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) Determined Contributions (NDCs)
and by to the Paris Agreement (PA), and (2) by enacting domestic legislation aimed at achieving enacting domestic legislation aimed at achieving
net-zero emissions, referred to as net-zero legislation. Net-zero emissions or net-zero refers to situations where net-zero emissions, referred to as net-zero legislation. Net-zero emissions or net-zero refers to situations where
human-caused GHG emissions are balanced by removal of GHG from the atmosphere, including by natural human-caused GHG emissions are balanced by removal of GHG from the atmosphere, including by natural
storage in forests and other ecosystems storage in forests and other ecosystems
as wel as byand technological removal and storage. technological removal and storage.
NDCs are the primary communication of how Parties to the
NDCs are the primary communication of how Parties to the
Paris Agreement (PA)PA are seeking to achieve the are seeking to achieve the
agreement’s goals. NDCs reflect countries’ own national climate agreement’s goals. NDCs reflect countries’ own national climate
objectives and plans, including emission reduction goals, plans, including emission reduction goals,
climate change adaptation plans, and other elements. adaptation plans, and other elements.
Al All NDCs must address GHG emissions reductionsNDCs must address GHG emissions reductions
, and most NDCs and list list
quantifiable GHG emission reduction targetsquantifiable GHG emission reduction targets
, with flexibility for some countries as to when. Many countries requesting financial assistance include two sets of . Many countries requesting financial assistance include two sets of
targets: targets unconditional on international supporttargets: unconditional targets using a country’s own resources, and additional, more ambitious targets that are conditional and additional, more ambitious targets that are conditional
on international support. Parties must submit subsequent NDCs every five yearson international support. Parties must submit subsequent NDCs every five years
; these submissions reflect a progressive set of targets that contribute to a collectively increased ambition over time, with the next due in 2025; these submissions are to reflect a progression to collectively increased ambition over time. Many countries submitted updated NDCs in 2020 and 2021 in advance of the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26), held in November 2021 in Glasgow, UK. Increased ambition is . Increased ambition is
reflected in some of the NDCs submittedreflected in some of the NDCs submitted
in 2020, which, in many instances, , which, in many instances,
includeidentify countries’ actions by the year countries’ actions by the year
2030. Many countries have submitted updated NDCs in 2020 and 2021 in advance of the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26), which was original y scheduled to be held in November 2020 but was postponed until November 2021 due to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.
CRS selected to track herein the NDCs of 44 countries; the 2030. Nonetheless, in the COP26 Glasgow Climate Compact, Parties asserted based on then-current NDCs that “the aggregate greenhouse gas emission level, taking into account implementation of all submitted nationally determined contributions, is estimated to be 13.7 per cent above the 2010 level in 2030.” The Parties also “recogniz[ed] that limiting global warming to 1.5 °C requires rapid, deep and sustained reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions, including reducing global carbon dioxide emissions by 45 per cent by 2030 relative to the 2010 level and to net zero around mid-century as well as deep reductions in other greenhouse gases.” The Glasgow Climate Compact consequently requested Parties “to revisit and strengthen the 2030 targets in their nationally determined contributions as necessary to align with the Paris Agreement temperature goal by the end of 2022, taking into account different national circumstances.”
The Congressional Research Service selected to track herein the NDCs of 51 countries, including the United States; the countries were identified using various criteria (e.g., countries were identified using various criteria (e.g.,
G20 members, top 20 GHG emitters, countries with enacted or introduced net-zero legislation). G20 members, top 20 GHG emitters, countries with enacted or introduced net-zero legislation).
Of the 44
countries, 31As of September 30 2022, of the 51 countries, 44 have submitted updated or second NDCs, have submitted updated or second NDCs,
21 of which include39 of these clearly stated more ambitious GHG emission more ambitious GHG emission
reduction targets than reduction targets than
the first NDCs.
The their country’s first NDC. More generally, the PA asks countries to commit to increasingly ambitious GHG mitigation efforts and encourages countries to PA asks countries to commit to increasingly ambitious GHG mitigation efforts and encourages countries to
submit long-term low GHG emission development strategies. These strategies do not necessarily translate into submit long-term low GHG emission development strategies. These strategies do not necessarily translate into
clear pathways or concrete domestic efforts to reach net-zero emissions. Some countries have proposed or enacted clear pathways or concrete domestic efforts to reach net-zero emissions. Some countries have proposed or enacted
legislation legislation aiming to achieve net-zero emissions aiming to achieve net-zero emissions
domestical ydomestically, in addition to pledges in their NDCs. Other , in addition to pledges in their NDCs. Other
countries, like the United States, have references to net-zero emissions in policy documents without having countries, like the United States, have references to net-zero emissions in policy documents without having
enacted legislation. enacted legislation.
Research by the Law Library of Congress indicates
Research by the Law Library of Congress indicates
that 22 countries or regions have enacted legislation and three have proposed legislation; the research did not track U.S. legislation. Most (15 of 22)the EU, 11 of its member states, and 20 additional countries have enacted net-zero legislation and 3 countries have proposed net-zero legislation. Most countries or regions with countries or regions with
enacted legislation have set a date of net-zero emissionsenacted legislation have set a date of net-zero emissions
, carbon neutrality, or climate neutrality by 2050. The most ambitious deadline is set by Iceland, by 2050. The most ambitious deadline is set by Iceland,
which has enacted legislation requiring which has enacted legislation requiring
net-zero emissionscarbon neutrality by 2040. Germany and Sweden both have set by 2040. Germany and Sweden both have set
a deadlinedeadlines of of
net-zero emissions by 2045. Several billsnet-zero emissions by 2045. Four countries (Ukraine, Slovenia, Malta, and Finland) do not specify dates, according to the Law Library of Congress report. The European Union and 11 of its member states (Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Iceland, Luxembourg, Malta, Slovenia, Spain, and Sweden) have enacted net-zero legislation. Seven of the G20 members (Canada, the EU, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and the UK) have enacted net-zero legislation.
Several bil s proposing net-zero emissions goals for the United States have been introduced in recent Congresses. proposing net-zero emissions goals for the United States have been introduced in recent Congresses.
Discussion of legislative proposals for U.S. net-zero emissions is beyond the scope of this analysis. Discussion of legislative proposals for U.S. net-zero emissions is beyond the scope of this analysis.
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2933 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Contents
Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 4
Background and Context ........................................................................................................... 4
4 Nationally Determined Contributions ............................................................................................. 6
Observations of Selected NDCs ................................................................................................ 9 8
NDC Submission Status ...................................................................................................... 9 8
Comparison of First NDCs to Updated or Second NDCs ................................................... 9
Emission Reduction Targets and 2030 Projected Emissions............................................. 15 12
G20 Countries ................................................................................................................... 15 13
Net-Zero Legislation ..................................................................................................................... 17 15
Observations of Net-Zero Legislation ..................................................................................... 19 15
Figures
Figure 1. Selected Countries’ NDC Status and Percentage of Global GHG Emissions ............... 10
Updates and Percent of Annual Global GHG
Emissions in 2019 ...................................................................................................................... 14
Figure 2. G20 Countries: Historical GHG Emissions and 2030 Emissions Projections .............
14
Tables
Table 1. National y.. 16 Figure 3. Countries with Net-Zero Legislation ............................................................................. 18
Tables Table 1. Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) Submission Status for Selected
Countries ...................................................................................................................................... 9
Table 2. Increased Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Reduction Targets in Updated or Second
NDCs from Selected Countries ................................................................................................... 11
Table 3. Net-Zero Emissions Legislation for Selected Countries and Regions ............................. 19 16
Table A-1. GHG Emissions Data and NDC Information for Selected Countries .......................... 24 20
Appendixes
Appendix. Table of GHG Emissions and NDC Data for Selected Countries ................................ 1923
Contacts
Author Information ........................................................................................................................ 33 29
Congressional Research Service
Congressional Research Service
Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Introduction
Human-related Human-related
emissionsemission of greenhouse gases (GHG) of greenhouse gases (GHG)
havehas increased increased
global yglobally over time. These over time. These
increasing emissions contribute to a changing climate, which is a concern to governments, increasing emissions contribute to a changing climate, which is a concern to governments,
organizations, and others. Many governments are taking steps to reduce GHG emissions in an organizations, and others. Many governments are taking steps to reduce GHG emissions in an
effort to lessen the potential impacts of climate change. Such efforts are occurring on multiple effort to lessen the potential impacts of climate change. Such efforts are occurring on multiple
levels, including levels, including
global y, national y, and sub-national y, as wel globally, nationally, and sub-nationally, as well as by civil society and as by civil society and
individuals. On the global and national scale, many countries are working toward the goals laid individuals. On the global and national scale, many countries are working toward the goals laid
out in Article 2 of the Paris Agreement (PA), which commits collectively toout in Article 2 of the Paris Agreement (PA), which commits collectively to
, “Holding “Holding
the increase the increase
in the global average temperature to in the global average temperature to
wel well below 2⁰C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing below 2⁰C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing
efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5⁰C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5⁰C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this
would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change.”1would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change.”1
This report presents information about
This report presents information about
National yNationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), which Determined Contributions (NDCs), which
communicate the primary targets and actions to 2030 by which Parties to the PA are seeking to communicate the primary targets and actions to 2030 by which Parties to the PA are seeking to
achieve the agreement’s goals. NDCs report countries’ own national climate plans and include achieve the agreement’s goals. NDCs report countries’ own national climate plans and include
emission reduction goals, emission reduction goals,
climate change adaptation plans, and financing needs, among other elements. Each adaptation plans, and financing needs, among other elements. Each
country’s NDC country’s NDC
shouldis to reflect its capacity to contribute to the collective reduction of global reflect its capacity to contribute to the collective reduction of global
emissions, a principle described in the PA as “common but differentiated responsibilities and emissions, a principle described in the PA as “common but differentiated responsibilities and
respective capabilities, in the light of different national circumstances.”2 respective capabilities, in the light of different national circumstances.”2
This report
This report
also lists selected countries’ enacted or proposed net-zero emissions legislation. lists selected countries’ enacted or proposed net-zero emissions legislation.
Net-zero
emissions refers to a situation where human-caused GHG emissions are refers to a situation where human-caused GHG emissions are
fully balanced by removal of balanced by removal of
GHG from the atmosphere, including by natural storage in forests and other ecosystems as GHG from the atmosphere, including by natural storage in forests and other ecosystems as
wel well as as
by technological removal and storage.3by technological removal and storage.3
Background and Context NDCs and legislation focused on achieving net-zero NDCs and legislation focused on achieving net-zero
emissions are the main tools countries use to emissions are the main tools countries use to
meet the guide their contributions to meeting the temperature goals of the PA and the broader goals of the PA and the broader
goalsobjective of the of the
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The UNFCCC was United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The UNFCCC was
adopted in 1992 with the objective of achieving adopted in 1992 with the objective of achieving
[S]tabilization of
[S]tabilization of
greenhouse greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level thatgas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that
would would
prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a level should prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a level should
be achieved within a time-frame sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate be achieved within a time-frame sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate
change, to ensurechange, to ensure
that food production isthat food production is
not threatenednot threatened
and to enable economic and to enable economic
development to proceed in a sustainable manner.4development to proceed in a sustainable manner.4
The PA is a subsidiary agreement under the UNFCCC and Article 4 of the PA expands on the
objectives of the UNFCCC:
In order to achieve the long-term temperature goal set out in Article 2, Parties aim to reach global peaking of greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible, recognizing that peaking will take longer for developing country Parties, and to undertake rapid reductions thereafter
1 United Nations 1 United Nations
T reatyTreaty Collection, Chapter XXVII Environment, 7.d. Paris Agreement, Paris, December 12, 2015, at Collection, Chapter XXVII Environment, 7.d. Paris Agreement, Paris, December 12, 2015, at
https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf. (https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf. (
HereafterHereinafter, Paris Agreement.) For more information, , Paris Agreement.) For more information,
see CRSsee CRS
Report R44609, Report R44609,
Clim ateClimate Change: Frequently Asked Questions About the 2015 P aris Agreem ent, Paris Agreement, by Jane A. by Jane A.
Leggett and RichardLeggett and Richard
K. Lattanzio. K. Lattanzio.
2 Paris Agreement, Article 2. 2 Paris Agreement, Article 2.
3 For more information, see CRS3 For more information, see CRS
In FocusIn Focus
IF11821, IF11821,
Net-Zero Emissions Pledges: Background and Recent
Developm entsDevelopments, by Michael I. Westphal. , by Michael I. Westphal.
4 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),
4 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),
agreed agreed on May 9, 1992, entered into force on May 9, 1992, entered into force
March 21, 1994, 1771 U.N.TMarch 21, 1994, 1771 U.N.T
.S. 107, United Nations, .S. 107, United Nations,
Treaty Series,Series,
vol. 1771, p. 107; and U.S.vol. 1771, p. 107; and U.S.
depositary notifications depositary notifications
C.N.148.1993, at https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/CN/1993/CN.148.1993-Eng.pdf. C.N.148.1993, at https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/CN/1993/CN.148.1993-Eng.pdf.
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1619 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
The PA is a subsidiary agreement under the UNFCCC and Article 4 of the PA expands on the objectives of the UNFCCC:
In order to achieve the long-term temperature goal set out in Article 2, Parties aim to reach global peaking of greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible, recognizing that peaking will take longer for developing country Parties, and to undertake rapid reductions thereafter in accordance with best available science, so as to achieve a balance between in accordance with best available science, so as to achieve a balance between
anthropogenicanthropogenic
emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this century, on the basis of equity, and in the context o f emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this century, on the basis of equity, and in the context of sustainable sustainable
development and efforts to eradicate poverty.5 development and efforts to eradicate poverty.5
There are otherOther ways in which countries ways in which countries
individual yindividually and collectively work toward these goals and collectively work toward these goals
, including include developing long-term low emissions development scenarios (LT-LEDS)6 and developing long-term low emissions development scenarios (LT-LEDS)6 and
implementing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goalsimplementing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals
(SDG), in particular SDG 13, Climate Action.7 .7 These latter efforts are These latter efforts are
outside of the scope of this report. outside of the scope of this report.
Congress has expressed interest in collective global
Congress has expressed interest in collective global
GHG emissions reduction effortsefforts to reduce net GHG emissions for for
numerous reasons. The potential impacts from a warming climate pose numerous reasons. The potential impacts from a warming climate pose
risks global y and to already-detected risks globally, to varying degrees across countries and regions.varying degrees across countries and regions.
8 The United States is vulnerable to many potential The United States is vulnerable to many potential
impacts of climate change, including more variable water supplies, more extreme weather events, impacts of climate change, including more variable water supplies, more extreme weather events,
shifting crop yields and declining livestock productivity, rising energy costs, higher levels of air shifting crop yields and declining livestock productivity, rising energy costs, higher levels of air
pollution,pollution,
and and coastal effects of sea level rise. The ability to stabilize climate change and avoid potential global and sea level rise. The ability to stabilize climate change and avoid potential global and
domestic effects depends on the participation of significant GHG emitters.domestic effects depends on the participation of significant GHG emitters.
8 9
As a Party to the PA, the United States submitted an NDC in 2016 and again when it rejoined the
As a Party to the PA, the United States submitted an NDC in 2016 and again when it rejoined the
agreement in 2021.agreement in 2021.
910 Members of Congress have expressed interest in countries’ relative emissions Members of Congress have expressed interest in countries’ relative emissions
reductions efforts, including how they compare with U.S. efforts. They have expressed concerns reductions efforts, including how they compare with U.S. efforts. They have expressed concerns
about the relationships between about the relationships between
effortefforts to mitigate GHG emissions, their fairness, and effects on to mitigate GHG emissions, their fairness, and effects on
economic competitiveness. Members and their staff meet with representatives from other nations economic competitiveness. Members and their staff meet with representatives from other nations
to discuss potential needs and actions to address climate change; for example, theyto discuss potential needs and actions to address climate change; for example, they
may meet at the meet at the
annual UNFCCC Conference of Parties (COP) meetings and other bilateral and multilateral annual UNFCCC Conference of Parties (COP) meetings and other bilateral and multilateral
meetings. The United States helps build governance capacities and funds, including meetings. The United States helps build governance capacities and funds, including
via multilateral via multilateral funding mechanisms and overseas climate mitigation and adaptation programs that funding mechanisms and overseas climate mitigation and adaptation programs that
may be identified in NDCs. may be identified in NDCs.
Whereas
Whereas
most NDCs aim at the 2030 time frame, this report NDCs aim at the 2030 time frame, this report
also lists a mid-century perspective of lists a mid-century perspective of
countries’ enacted and proposed domestic laws that aim to reduce GHG emissions to net-zero countries’ enacted and proposed domestic laws that aim to reduce GHG emissions to net-zero
(Table 3). This report presents a series of tables and visualizations to facilitate comparison of . This report presents a series of tables and visualizations to facilitate comparison of
countries’ emission reduction targets, where available. Countries were selected for inclusion
because they meet one or more of the following criteria:
among the top 20 emitters of GHGs global y; a member of the Group of Seven (G7) or Group of 20 (G20) largest countries
plus the European Union;
hosted a COP meeting since adoption of the PA (i.e., Spain, Poland, Germany,
Morocco, France);
5 Paris Agreement, Article 4. 5 Paris Agreement, Article 4.
6 UNFCCC,6 UNFCCC,
Communication of long-term strategies, at https://unfccc.int/process/the-paris-agreement/long-term-Communication of long-term strategies, at https://unfccc.int/process/the-paris-agreement/long-term-
strategies. strategies.
7 United Nations (7 United Nations (
UN), T heU.N.), The 17 Sustainable 17 Sustainable
Development Goals, at https://sdgs.un.org/goals. Development Goals, at https://sdgs.un.org/goals.
8 8
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), “AR6 Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis - Summary for Policy Makers,” August 9, 2021. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/.
9 In 2019In 2018, the top 10 greenhouse gas (GHG), the top 10 greenhouse gas (GHG)
emitters are (from highest to lowest): China, the U.S., India, emitters are (from highest to lowest): China, the U.S., India,
the EUIndonesia, ,
Russia,Russia,
Indonesia, Brazil, Japan, Iran, Brazil, Japan, Iran,
Canada, and Saudi Arabiaand South Korea. World Resources. World Resources
Institute, Climate Watch Data, “Institute, Climate Watch Data, “
Historical Historical
GHGGHG
Emissions,” Emissions,”
20212022, available at, available at
https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions. https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions.
9 See CRS 10 See CRS In FocusIn Focus
IF11746, IF11746,
United States Rejoins the Paris Agreement on Climate Change: Options for Congress, by , by
Jane A. LeggettJane A. Leggett
. .
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Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
among the top 50 emitters of GHGs global y and received over $10 mil ion
link to page 9 link to page 9 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
countries’ emission reduction targets, where available. Countries were selected for inclusion because they meet one or more of the following criteria:
among the top 20 emitters of GHGs globally; a member of the Group of Seven (G7) or Group of 20 (G20) largest countries
plus the European Union;
among the top 50 emitters of GHGs globally and received over $10 million in in
economic assistance from the U.S. Agency for International Development
economic assistance from the U.S. Agency for International Development
(USAID) in (USAID) in
2018;102019 or 2020;11
among the top 50 emitters of GHGs
among the top 50 emitters of GHGs
global y globally and have received funding from the and have received funding from the
Green Climate Fund;
Green Climate Fund;
1112
have been of interest to Members of Congress engaging in international
congressional delegations; or or
introduced or enacted net-zero legislation.
introduced or enacted net-zero legislation.
This report is not comprehensive of data for
This report is not comprehensive of data for
al countries global y or al all countries globally or all Parties to the Paris Parties to the Paris
Agreement. The data in this report are current as of Agreement. The data in this report are current as of
October 20, 2021September 30, 2022, unless otherwise noted. , unless otherwise noted.
Nationally Determined Contributions
NDCs present countries’ own efforts, dependent on their circumstances, to reduce emissions and NDCs present countries’ own efforts, dependent on their circumstances, to reduce emissions and
adapt to the effects of climate change. Per Article 4 of the PA, “Each Party adapt to the effects of climate change. Per Article 4 of the PA, “Each Party
shal shall prepare, prepare,
communicate and maintain successive communicate and maintain successive
national ynationally determined contributions that it determined contributions that it
NDCs Timeline13
intends to intends to
achieve. Parties achieve. Parties
shal shall pursue domestic mitigation measures, with the aim of pursue domestic mitigation measures, with the aim of
achieving the
objectives of such contributions.”12
Each Party that signed the PA was required to submit an Intended NDC at that time, and that
NDCs Timeline13
document became its First NDC upon
2015 – COP21: Signatories
2015 – COP21: Signatories to the PA wereto the PA were
required to
ratification of the PA; otherwise, Parties must
required to submit an Intended NDC (INDC); INDC becomes First submit an Intended NDC (INDC); INDC becomes First
communicate their NDCs upon joining theachieving the objectives of such
NDC upon ratification of PA.
NDC upon ratification of PA.
agreement.14 Parties are required to submitcontributions.”14
2020 (2021) – COP26: Parties to the PA are required
2020 (2021) – COP26: Parties to the PA are required
Each Party that signed the PA was required to
to submit a new or updated NDC that includes the to submit a new or updated NDC that includes the
subsequent NDCs every five years.
time frame time frame to 2025 and 2030. COP26, which was
submit an Intended NDC at that time, and that
scheduled to be held in 2020, was postponed until 2021
document became its First NDC upon
due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
ratification of the PA; otherwise, Parties must
2025 – Next round of NDCs expected.
communicate their NDCs upon joining the agreement.15 Parties are required to submit subsequent NDCs every five years, with the next due
11 These countries were identified using the foreignassistance.gov database to search for all USAID economic (not military) obligations in 2019 and 2020 and totaling each countries’ obligations to identify those that to 2025 and 2030.
Subsequent NDCs are intended to reflect a
2025 – Next round of NDCs expected.
progressive set of targets to contribute toward a collectively increased ambition over time. Article 4 of the PA states that, “Each Party’s successive national y determined contribution wil represent a progression beyond the Party’s then current national y determined contribution and reflect its highest possible ambition, reflecting its common but differentiated responsibilities and
respective capabilities, in the light of different national circumstances.”15
10 T hese countries were identified using the federalassistance.gov database to search for all USAID economic (not military) obligations in 2018 and totaling each countries’ obligations to identify those that received more than $10 received more than $10
million million
in either year and Climate Watch Data to identify the top 50 emitters of GHGand Climate Watch Data to identify the top 50 emitters of GHG
in 2018 in 2019. Countries meeting both criteria were . Countries meeting both criteria were
included in T able 1. T hisincluded in Table 1. This list is not comprehensive of all aid recipients. It does not include aid list is not comprehensive of all aid recipients. It does not include aid
awarded awarded regionally or to regionally or to
multiple countries. multiple countries.
11 T hese
12 These countries were identified using countries were identified using
the Green Climate Fundthe Green Climate Fund
(GCF) Data-Interactive Map on program and project -level data by country available at https://unfccc.int/climatefinance/gcf/gcf_data (GCF) Projects & Programs Countries website available at https://www.greenclimate.fund/countries and Climate Watch Data to identify the and Climate Watch Data to identify the
top 50 emitters. top 50 emitters.
Countries meeting both criteria were included in T able 1. T his list should GCF recipient countries that were also among the top 50 emitters of GHG in 2019 are included in Table 1. This list should not be considered not be considered
comprehensive of all GCFcomprehensive of all GCF
recipients. recipients.
12 Paris Agreement, Article 4. 13 For more information, see UNFCCC,13 For more information, see UNFCCC,
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), at https://unfccc.int/process-Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), at https://unfccc.int/process-
and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs. and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs.
14
14
UN T reatyParis Agreement, Article 4. 15 UN Treaty Collection, “7.d Paris Agreement,” Status as at 26-8-2021, at https://treaties.un.org/pages/ Collection, “7.d Paris Agreement,” Status as at 26-8-2021, at https://treaties.un.org/pages/
ViewDetails.aspx?src=T REAT Y&mtdsg_no=XXVII-7-d&chapter=27&clang=_en.
15 Paris Agreement, Article 4.
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Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Increased ambition is reflected in some of the NDCs submitted in 2020,16 which, in many instances, include countries’ actions by the year 2030. Parties
in 2025. Subsequent NDCs are to reflect a progression of contributions to collectively increase ambition over time. Article 4 of the PA states that, “Each Party’s successive nationally determined contribution will represent a progression beyond the Party’s then current nationally determined contribution and reflect its highest possible ambition, reflecting its common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities, in the light of different national circumstances.”16
Parties decided that those who submitted first NDCs that did who submitted first NDCs that did
not include 2030 goals were required to submit new (second) NDCs by 2020. Others were asked not include 2030 goals were required to submit new (second) NDCs by 2020. Others were asked
to submit updated NDCs by 2020 that reflect increasing ambitions. to submit updated NDCs by 2020 that reflect increasing ambitions.
As of October 20, 2021, of 192 Parties to the PA, all had submitted first (including 113 updated) NDCs and 13 had submitted
second NDCs.17The majority of countries met this deadline in advance of the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26), held in November 2021 in Glasgow, UK. As of September 30, 2022, of 192 Parties to the PA, 165 have submitted new, updated, or second NDCs.17
Increased ambition is reflected in some of the new NDCs or updates submitted in 2020 or 2021, which, in many instances, identify countries’ actions by the year 2030. Nonetheless, in the COP26 Glasgow Climate Compact, Parties noted analysis of then-current NDCs, finding that “the aggregate greenhouse gas emission level, taking into account implementation of all submitted nationally determined contributions, is estimated to be 13.7 per cent above the 2010 level in 2030.” The Parties also “recogniz[ed] that limiting global warming to 1.5 °C requires rapid, deep and sustained reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions, including reducing global carbon dioxide emissions by 45 per cent by 2030 relative to the 2010 level and to net zero around mid-century as well as deep reductions in other greenhouse gases.” The Glasgow Climate Compact consequently requested Parties “to revisit and strengthen the 2030 targets in their nationally determined contributions as necessary to align with the Paris Agreement temperature goal by the end of 2022, taking into account different national circumstances.”18
The UNFCCC divides Parties into three broad groups with differing emissions reduction
The UNFCCC divides Parties into three broad groups with differing emissions reduction
capacities and expectations. capacities and expectations.
Annex I Parties (listed in Annex I of the UNFCCC) are (listed in Annex I of the UNFCCC) are
general y
generally those countries that were considered developed in 1992; those countries that were considered developed in 1992;
non-Annex I Parties are are
al all the others. the others.
The The
UNUnited Nations considers 49 Parties to be considers 49 Parties to be
least developed countries; the UNFCCC recognizes these ; the UNFCCC recognizes these
countries to have limited capacity to respond and adapt to climate change, and therefore provides countries to have limited capacity to respond and adapt to climate change, and therefore provides
different treatment in some provisions.different treatment in some provisions.
1819 The UNFCCC also refers to developed country Parties The UNFCCC also refers to developed country Parties
and developing country Parties, but these categories are not defined. and developing country Parties, but these categories are not defined.
The PA largely erased the bifurcation of responsibilities between Annex I and non-Annex I
The PA largely erased the bifurcation of responsibilities between Annex I and non-Annex I
Parties, such that Parties, such that
al all share the same mandatory requirements. It retains the UNFCCC principle of share the same mandatory requirements. It retains the UNFCCC principle of
common but differentiated responsibilities, and sometimes acknowledges that the pace of common but differentiated responsibilities, and sometimes acknowledges that the pace of
implementation may vary by development status. Article 4 of the PA states the following: implementation may vary by development status. Article 4 of the PA states the following:
Developed country Parties should continue taking the lead by undertaking economy
Developed country Parties should continue taking the lead by undertaking economy
-wide -wide
absolute emission reduction targets. Developing country Parties should continue enhancing absolute emission reduction targets. Developing country Parties should continue enhancing
theirtheir
mitigation efforts, and are encouraged to move over time towards economy mitigation efforts, and are encouraged to move over time towards economy-wide -wide
emission reduction or limitation targets in the light of different national circumstances. emission reduction or limitation targets in the light of different national circumstances.
ViewDetails.aspx?src=TREATY&mtdsg_no=XXVII-7-d&chapter=27&clang=_en.
16 Paris Agreement, Article 4. 17 Climate Watch Data, NDC Enhancement Tracker, at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/2020-ndc-tracker. 18 UNFCCC, Report of the Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Paris Agreement on its third session, held in Glasgow from 31 October to 13 November 2021, March 8, 2022, at https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cma2021_10_add1_adv.pdf.
19 UNFCCC, Parties & Observers, at https://unfccc.int/parties-observers.
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The least developed countries
The least developed countries and small island developingand small island developing
States States may preparemay prepare
and and
communicate strategies, plans and actions for low greenhouse gas emissions development communicate strategies, plans and actions for low greenhouse gas emissions development
reflecting their special circumstances.reflecting their special circumstances.
19
Al 20
All NDCs must address GHG emission reductions. Most NDCs list quantifiable GHG emission NDCs must address GHG emission reductions. Most NDCs list quantifiable GHG emission
reduction targets. These targets appear in a variety of formats and include measurable reductions reduction targets. These targets appear in a variety of formats and include measurable reductions
for specific sectors or GHGs and a specified year to reach peak emissions prior to reducing for specific sectors or GHGs and a specified year to reach peak emissions prior to reducing
emissions. emissions.
Al All Parties are required to include in their NDCs, “information necessary for clarity, Parties are required to include in their NDCs, “information necessary for clarity,
transparency, and understanding,”transparency, and understanding,”
2021 including a reference point (base year including a reference point (base year
or scenario), ), implementation implementation
timeframe and sectors and gases included, among other details. Many countries requesting timeframe and sectors and gases included, among other details. Many countries requesting
financial assistance include two sets of targets: targets unconditional on international support and financial assistance include two sets of targets: targets unconditional on international support and
additional, more ambitious, targets that are conditional on international support.additional, more ambitious, targets that are conditional on international support.
21 22 Countries’ Countries’
NDCs may include additional goals, for example, efforts to improve adaptation measures, NDCs may include additional goals, for example, efforts to improve adaptation measures,
increase forest coverage, or improve access to water.
16 T he round of NDCs initially due in 2020 were delayed as a result of the global COVID-19 pandemic, which also resulted in a postponement of the 2020 COP meeting (COP26) from November 2020 to November 2021.
17 UNFCCC, Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), at https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs.
18 UNFCCC, Parties & Observers, at https://unfccc.int/parties-observers. 19 Paris Agreement, Article 4. 20 Paris Agreement, Article 4. 21 UNFCCC, Nationally Determined Contributions Under the Paris Agreement, Synthesis Report by the Secretariat, September 17, 2021, at https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cma2021_08_adv_1.pdf.; Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, Q&A: Understanding Paris Agreement NDCs, at https://www.c2es.org/content/q-and-a-understanding-paris-agreement -ndcs/.
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The September 2021increase forest coverage, or improve access to water.
The October 2022 Nationally Determined Contributions Under the Paris Agreement Synthesis
Report by the Secretariat reviewed reviewed
164166 NDCs, including NDCs, including
86142 new or updated NDCs new or updated NDCs
communicated by communicated by
113193 Parties that were available in the Parties that were available in the
interim NDC registry as of NDC registry as of
July 30, 2021.22 September 23, 2022.23 The Synthesis Report estimates the Parties included in this review account for The Synthesis Report estimates the Parties included in this review account for
approximately approximately
9395% of total global emissions in 2019.% of total global emissions in 2019.
2324 Selected observations in the Selected observations in the
Synthesis Synthesis
Report include the following: Report include the following:
“Most Parties
“Most Parties
(90 percent) provided quantified mitigation targets, expressed as provided quantified mitigation targets, expressed as
clear
clear numerical targets, while numerical targets, while
somethe rest (10 per cent) included strategies, included strategies,
policies, plans and actions plans and actions
as components of their NDCs for which there is no quantifiable informationfor which there is no quantifiable information
as components of their NDCS”; ”;
“Most Parties
“Most Parties
(80 percent) communicated economy-wide targets, covering communicated economy-wide targets, covering
al or almost al
all or
almost all sectors defined in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, with an increasing number of sectors defined in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, with an increasing number of
Parties moving to absolute emission reduction targets in their new or updated Parties moving to absolute emission reduction targets in their new or updated
NDCs”;
“[A]lmost al NDCs cover CO2 emissions; most cover CH4, and N2O emissions,
many cover HFC emissions and some cover PFC, SF6, and NF3 emissions”;
“Most of the Parties NDCs”;
“In terms of GHGs, all NDCs cover CO2 [carbon dioxide] emissions; most cover
CH4 [methane] (91 percent), and N2O [nitrous oxide] (per cent) emissions, many (53 per cent) cover HFC [hydrofluorocarbons] emissions and some cover PFC [perfluorocarbons], SF6 [sulfur hexafluoride] (36 percent) and NF3 [nitrogen trifluoride] (26 percent) emissions”;
“Most of the Parties (74 percent) that submitted new or updated NDCs have
that submitted new or updated NDCs have strengthened their strengthened their
commitment to reducing or limiting GHG emissions by 2025 and/or 2030”; and commitment to reducing or limiting GHG emissions by 2025 and/or 2030”; and
“
“
Most PartiesAlmost all Parties (93 percent) provided quantified information on their provided quantified information on their
mitigation targets and mitigation targets and
reference points. Of the Parties that submitted new or updated NDCs, most reference points. Of the Parties that submitted new or updated NDCs, most
(84 percent) updated the basis for defining their targets,
20 Paris Agreement, Article 4. 21 Paris Agreement, Article 4. 22 UNFCCC, Nationally Determined Contributions Under the Paris Agreement, Synthesis Report by the Secretariat, October 26, 2022, at https://unfccc.int/documents/619180 (Hereinafter, Synthesis Report, 2022); Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, Q&A: Understanding Paris Agreement NDCs, at https://www.c2es.org/content/q-and-a-understanding-paris-agreement-ndcs/.
23 Synthesis Report, 2022. 24 Synthesis Report, 2022.
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including reference points and/or ‘business as usual’ scenarios. Such updates lead to higher-quality NDCs and, for some Parties, to significant changes in the estimated emission levels for 2025 and 2030.”25
Observations of Selected NDCs
NDC Submission Status
Table 1 contains the NDC submission status for the 51 countries selected for inclusion in this report. Of the top 20 GHG emitters,26 16 submitted updated NDCs in 2020, 2021, or 2022 (as of September 30, 2022). Russia and Turkey submitted first NDCs in 2020 and 2021, respectively. The United States submitted its new first NDC after rejoining the PA in 2021. Iran has not submitted an NDC.
Table 1. Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) Submission Status for Selected
Countries
(as of September 30, 2022)
Most Recent NDC
Countries
No. of Countries
First NDC
Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Philippines, Russia, Turkey
6
First NDC, updated
Angola, Australia, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Brazil, Cameroon,
43
Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, European Union, France, Germany, Ghana, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Kenya, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, Myanmar, Nigeria, Pakistan, Peru, Poland, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sudan, Tanzania, Thailand, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, United Kingdom,a United States,b Venezuela, Vietnam
Second NDC
Argentina
1
No NDC
Iran
1
Source: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) Registry, at https://unfccc.int/NDCREG. a. The United Kingdom submitted its own First NDC on December 12, 2020, reflecting an increased ambition
over the European Union’s First NDC from 2016.
b. The United States submitted its First NDC on April 22, 2021, after rejoining the PA, reflecting an increased
ambition over its First NDC from 2016.
Comparison of First NDCs to Updated or Second NDCs
In most instances, countries’ updated or second NDCs reflect greater emissions reduction intentions—often referred to as “enhanced ambition”—when compared with their first NDCs. Additionally, many updated NDCs include specific emission reduction targets for 2030.27 Table 2 comparesupdated the basis for defining their targets, including reference points and/or ‘business as usual’ scenarios.”24
Observations of Selected NDCs
NDC Submission Status
Table 1 contains the NDC submission status for al selected countries. Of the top 20 GHG emitters,25 12 submitted updated NDCs in 2019, 2020, or 2021, and 6 have submitted first NDCs. Turkey and Iran have not submitted NDCs. Russia and the UK submitted first NDCs in 2020 and
the United States submitted its new first NDC after rejoining the PA in 2021.
22 An Initial NDC Synthesis Report was published on February 26, 2021, a final version was published on September 17, 2021, and the UNFCCC anticipates publishing an updated version on October 25, 2021, see https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs/nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs/ndc-synthesis-report#eq-1.
23 UNFCCC, Nationally Determined Contributions Under the Paris Agreement, Synthesis Report by the Secretariat, September 17, 2021, at https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cma2021_08_adv_1.pdf.
24 UNFCCC, Nationally Determined Contributions Under the Paris Agreement, Synthesis Report by the Secretariat, Executive Summary, September 17, 2021, pp. 4 -5, at https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cma2021_08_adv_1.pdf. 25 Based on 2018 Climate Watch Data.
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Table 1. Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) Submission Status for Selected
Countries
as of October 20, 2021
Most Recent NDC
Countries
No. of Countries
First NDC
China, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, India,
11
Kazakhstan, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Uzbekistan, Venezuela
First NDC, updated
Angola, Australia, Bangladesh, Brazil, Burma, Cameroon,
29
Canada, Chile, Colombia, Ethiopia, EU, France, Germany, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Morocco, Nigeria, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Tanzania, Ukraine, United Kingdom,a United States,b Vietnam
Second NDC
Argentina, South Sudan
2
No NDC available
Iran, Turkey
2
Source: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), National y Determined Contributions (NDCs) Registry, at https://www4.unfccc.int/sites/NDCStaging/Pages/Al .aspx. a. The United Kingdom submitted its own First NDC on December 12, 2020, reflecting an increased ambition
over the European Union’s First NDC from 2016.
b. The United States submitted its First NDC on April 22, 2021, after rejoining the PA, reflecting an increased
ambition over its First NDC from 2016.
Comparison of First NDCs to Updated or Second NDCs
In many instances, countries’ updated or second NDCs reflect greater emissions reduction ambition than their first NDCs. 26 Of the countries included in this report, some countries did not provide sufficient information to compare the two NDCs’ ambitions. Unlike in first NDCs, al but
three of the submitted NDCs reviewed use a common time horizon of 2030.
Figure 1 shows a map of the selected countries and their NDC status, including whether their
updated or second NDCs reflect an increased greater emissions reduction intentions.
Table 2 contains countries that have submitted updated or second NDCs with increased ambitions and provides a comparison of GHG mitigation targets between each country’s first and updated or
second NDC.
26 GHG mitigation targets between each country’s first and updated or second NDC, where available.
25 Synthesis Report, 2022. 26 Based on 2019 Climate Watch Data. 27 Article 4 of the Paris Agreement uses Article 4 of the Paris Agreement uses
the term “ambition” to describe countries’ emission reduction plans. the term “ambition” to describe countries’ emission reduction plans.
T heThe use of use of
“ambition” throughout this report reflects this language and does“ambition” throughout this report reflects this language and does
not imply judgment by CRS. not imply judgment by CRS.
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Figure 1. Selected Countries NDC Status and Percentage of Global GHG Emissions
as of October 20, 2021
Sources: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), National y Determined Contributions (NDCs), at https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/national y-determined-contributions-ndcs/national y-determined-contributions-ndcs; and World Resources Institute,
link to page 14 link to page 14 link to page 11 link to page 14 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Figure 1 shows a map of the selected countries and whether their updated or second NDCs include enhanced ambition. Figure 1 distinguishes between G20 and non-G20 countries and includes the percentage of global GHG emissions estimates for each G20 member country in 2019. Collectively, G20 member countries accounted for approximately 75% of global GHG emissions in 2019.28
Countries without updated NDCs are excluded from Table 2 and Figure 1.
28 Climate Watch Data, Global Historical Emissions, Climate Watch Data, “Historical GHG Emissions,” at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions.at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions.
Notes: G20 member countries are shown with a solid color; countries that are not G20 members are shown with stripes.
CRS-
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Table 2. Increased Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Reduction Targets in Updated or Second
NDCs from Selected Countries
GHG emissions estimates are in
GHG emissions estimates are in
mil ionmillion metric tons (Mt) of carbon dioxide-equivalents (CO2e) and metric tons (Mt) of carbon dioxide-equivalents (CO2e) and
include net of removals by land uses and forestry. BAU is “business-as-usual” scenario.
include net of removals by land uses and forestry. BAU is “business-as-usual” scenario.
(as of September 30, 2022)
First NDC First NDC (INDC) Mitigation
Second or Updated NDC Updateda NDC Mitigation
Country
Commitments
Commitments
Angola
Angola
35% reduction from
35% reduction from
BAU scenario BAU (BAU = (BAU =
193 in
15
14% reduction from% reduction from
revised BAU scenario
156 in 2025 BAU (BAU = 108 in
2030) by 2030 (unconditional); ) by 2030 (unconditional);
(BAU = 108 in 2025) by 2025 (unconditional); 2025) by 2025 (unconditional);
50% reduction from
50% reduction from
BAU scenario BAU (BAU = (BAU =
193 in
25
24% reduction from% reduction from
revised BAU scenario
156 in 2025) by 2030 (unconditional +
(BAU = 108 in BAU (BAU = 108 in
2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
2025) by 2025 (unconditional + 2025) by 2025 (unconditional +
conditional)
conditional) conditional)
Argentina
Argentina
Shal Shall not exceed 483 in 2030 not exceed 483 in 2030
Shal Shall not exceed 359 in 2030 not exceed 359 in 2030
Australia
26%-28% below 2005 levels by 2030
43% below 2005 levels by 2030
Bangladesh Bangladesh
5% reduction from BAU by 2030 in the
5% reduction from BAU by 2030 in the
6.73% reduction from
6.73% reduction from
BAU by 2030 BAU (BAU = 409 in
power, transport, and industry sectors
power, transport, and industry sectors
2030) by 2030 (unconditional); (unconditional);
(unconditional);
(unconditional);
21.85% reduction from BAU
21.85% reduction from BAU
by 2030(BAU = 409 in
20% reduction from
20% reduction from
BAU by 2030 in the BAU by 2030 in the
2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional) (unconditional + conditional)
power, transport, and industry sectors
power, transport, and industry sectors
(unconditional + conditional) (unconditional + conditional)
Brazil
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 37%
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 37%
below 2005 levels in 2025;
below 2005 levels in 2025;
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 43%
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50%
below 2005 levels in 2030
below 2005 levels in 2030
Cameroon
32% reduction from baseline Cameroon
32% reduction from baseline (104) in 2035 (104) in 2035
12% reduction
12% reduction
by 2030 from 2010 levels from 2010 levels
by 2030
(conditional)
(conditional)
(unconditional)
(unconditional)
35% reduction 35% reduction
by 2030 from 2010 levels from 2010 levels
by 2030 (unconditional + conditional) (unconditional + conditional)
Canada
Canada
30% reduction from
30% reduction from
2005 levels by 2030 2005 levels by 2030
40%-45% reduction from 2005 levels
40%-45% reduction from 2005 levels
by 2030 by 2030
Chile
Chile
30% reduction of CO2 emissions/GDP
30% reduction of CO2 emissions/GDP
from from
Peak emissions
Peak emissions
by 2025; by 2025;
2007 levels
2007 levels
by 2030; by 2030;
Maximum annual emissions
Maximum annual emissions
up to 95 by 2030; up to 95 by 2030;
35%-45% reduction of CO2 emissions/GDP
35%-45% reduction of CO2 emissions/GDP
Accumulated emissions
Accumulated emissions
between 2020 and between 2020 and
from 2007 levels
from 2007 levels
by 2030, conditional and by 2030, conditional and
2030
2030
shal shall not exceed 1,100 not exceed 1,100
considering economic
considering economic
growth
China
Peak CO2 emissions around 2030;
Peak CO2 emissions before 2030;
Reduce CO2 emissions per unit GDP from
Achieve carbon neutrality before 2060;
2005 levels by 60%-65%;
Lower CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by
Increase share of nonfossil fuels in primary
over 65% from the 2005 level;
energy consumption to around 20%;
Increase share of non-fossil fuels in primary
Increase forest stock by 4.5 billion cubic
energy consumption to around 25%;
meters from 2005 level
Increase the forest stock volume by 6 bil ion cubic meters from the 2005 level; Bring total installed capacity of wind and solar power to over 1.2 bil ion kilowatts by 2030growth
Colombia
Colombia
20% reduction from
20% reduction from
BAU by 2030 BAU by 2030
Emit a maximum of 169.44 in 2030 (equivalent
Emit a maximum of 169.44 in 2030 (equivalent
(unconditional);
(unconditional);
to a 51% reduction compared with emissions
to a 51% reduction compared with emissions
30% reduction from
30% reduction from
BAU by 2030 BAU by 2030
projection in 2030 reference
projection in 2030 reference
scenario)
(unconditional + conditional)
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First NDC (INDC) Mitigation
Second or Updateda NDC Mitigation
Country
Commitments
Commitments
Democratic
17% reduction from BAU (BAU = 430) by
2% reduction from BAU by 2030
Republic of the 2030
(unconditional);
Congo
21% reduction from BAU by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Egypt
INDC did not include quantified GHG
Reduction of electricity emissions by 33%; oil
reduction targets.
and gas emissions by 65%; and transport emissions by 7% by 2030 relative to BAU
scenario)
(unconditional + conditional)
Ethiopia Ethiopia
64% reduction from
64% reduction from
BAU by 2030 BAU by 2030
14% reduction from
14% reduction from
BAU BAU (BAU = 403.5 in 2030) by 2030 by 2030
(unconditional); (unconditional);
68.8% reduction from68.8% reduction from
BAU BAU (BAU = 403.5 in 2030) by 2030 by 2030
(unconditional + conditional) (unconditional + conditional)
EUaEUb
At least a 40% reduction from
At least a 40% reduction from
1990 levels by 1990 levels by
At least a 55% reduction from
At least a 55% reduction from
1990 levels by
2030
2030
India
33% to 35% reduction in emissions intensity of 45% reduction in emissions intensity by 2030 GDP by 2030
compared to 2005 levels
Indonesia
26% reduction from BAU (BAU = 2881 in
31.89% reduction from BAU (BAU = 2869 in
2030) by 2030 (unconditional);
2030) by 2030 (unconditional);
41% reduction from BAU (BAU = 2881 in
43.20% reduction from BAU (BAU = 2869 in
2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
1990 levels by
2030
2030
Japan Japan
26% reduction from
26% reduction from
FY2013 levels by FY2030;FY2013 levels by FY2030;
46% reduction from46% reduction from
FY2013 levels by FY2030; FY2013 levels by FY2030;
(25.4% reduction compared(25.4% reduction compared
with FY2005) with FY2005)
Net zero by 2050
Net zero by 2050
Morocco
42% reduction below BAU by 2030
18.3% reduction compared with reference
(conditional)
scenario by 2030 (unconditional); 45.5% reduction compared with reference scenarioKenya
30% reduction from BAU (BAU = 143) by
32% reduction from BAU (BAU = 143) by
2030
2030
Malaysia
35% reduction of GHG emissions intensity of
45% reduction of economy-wide carbon
GDP by 2030 (unconditional);
intensity (per unit of GDP) from 2005 level by
45% reduction of GHG emissions intensity of
2030
GDP by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Mexico
25% reduction of GHG and short lived climate 22% of GHG emissions and 51% reduction of pol utants from BAU by 2030 including a 22%
black carbon emissions from BAU (BAU = 991
reduction of GHG and a 51% reduction of
in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional);
black carbon (unconditional);
36% reduction of GHG from BAU (BAU =
Up to a 40% reduction of GHG and short
991 in 2030) by 2030 including a 70%
lived climate pol utants from BAU by 2030
reduction of black carbon by 2030
including a 70% reduction of black carbon by
(unconditional + conditional)
2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Morocco
17% reduction below BAU (BAU = 171 in
18.3% reduction compared to BAU (BAU =
2030) by 2030 (unconditional);
142 in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional);
32% reduction below BAU (BAU = 171 in
45.5% reduction compared to BAU (BAU =
2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
142 in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Myanmar
Myanmar
INDC did not include quantified GHG
INDC did not include quantified GHG
244.52 reduction by 2030 (unconditional);
244.52 reduction by 2030 (unconditional);
reduction targets.
reduction targets.
414.75 reduction by 2030 (unconditional +
414.75 reduction by 2030 (unconditional +
conditional) conditional)
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link to page 20 link to page 19 link to page 20Nigeria
20% reduction from BAU by 2030
20% reduction from BAU by 2030
(unconditional);
(unconditional);
45% reduction from BAU by 2030
47% reduction from BAU by 2030
(unconditional + conditional)
(unconditional + conditional)
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First NDC (INDC) Mitigation
Second or Updated NDC Updateda NDC Mitigation
Country
Commitments
Commitments
Nigeria
20% reduction from BAU by 2030
20Pakistan
INDC did not include quantified GHG
15% reduction from% reduction from
BAU by 2030
(unconditional);
BAU (BAU = 1603 in
reduction targets.
2030) by 2030 (unconditional); (unconditional);
4550% reduction from% reduction from
BAU by 2030
47% reduction from BAU by 2030
(unconditional + conditional)
BAU (BAU = 1603 in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional) (unconditional + conditional)
Peru
Peru
20% reduction from
20% reduction from
BAU by 2030 BAU by 2030
Not to exceed 208.8 in 2030 (unconditional);
Not to exceed 208.8 in 2030 (unconditional);
(unconditional);
(unconditional);
Not to exceed 179 in 2030 (unconditional +
Not to exceed 179 in 2030 (unconditional +
30% reduction from
30% reduction from
BAU by 2030 BAU by 2030
conditional)
conditional)
(unconditional + conditional)
(unconditional + conditional)
Saudi Arabia
INDC did not include quantified GHG
Reduce and avoid GHG emissions by 278
reduction targets.
annually by 2030
South Africa South Africa
398-614 in 2025-2030
398-614 in 2025-2030
398-510 by 2025, and 350-420 by 2030
398-510 by 2025, and 350-420 by 2030
South Korea
South Korea
37% reduction from
37% reduction from
BAU (BAU = 850.6BAU (BAU = 850.6
) by
24.4 in
40% reduction from% reduction from
2017 2018 emission emission
levels levels
2030
2030
) by 2030
(727.6
(709.1) by 2030 ) by 2030
Tanzania
Tanzania
10%-20% reduction from BAU
10%-20% reduction from BAU
by 2030 (BAU =138-
30%-35% reduction from BAU by 2030
30%-35% reduction from BAU by 2030
,
153 in 2030) by 2030
whereby about 138-153 MtCO2e gross emissions is expected to be reduced
Ukraine
Ukraine
Not to exceed 60% of 1990 levels
Not to exceed 60% of 1990 levels
by 2030(883) by
65% reduction from
65% reduction from
1990 levels 1990 levels
by (883) by
2030
2030; 2030;
“Carbon neutrality” by 2060 “Carbon neutrality” by 2060
United
United
At least a 40% reduction from
At least a 40% reduction from
1990 levels by 1990 levels by
At least 68% reduction compared to reference
At least 68% reduction compared to reference
Kingdom
Kingdom
2030 (per EU First NDC)
2030 (per EU First NDC)
years by 2030
years by 2030
United States
United States
26%-28% below 2005 levels
26%-28% below 2005 levels
by 2025 by 2025
50%-52% reduction below 2005 levels by 2030
50%-52% reduction below 2005 levels by 2030
Uzbekistan
10% reduction of specific emissions of GHG
35% reduction of specific GHG emissions per
per unit GDP from 2010 levels by 2030
unit GDP from 2010 levels by 2030
Venezuela
At least 20% reduction relative to baseline
20% reduction compared to BAU by 2030
scenario by 2030 (conditional)
Vietnam
8% reduction from BAU (BAU = 787 in 2030)Vietnam
8% reduction from BAU by 2030
9% reduction from BAU
9% reduction from BAU
by 2030
(BAU = 928 in 2030)
by 2030 (unconditional); (unconditional);
by 2030 (unconditional); (unconditional);
25% reduction from
25% reduction from
BAU by 2030 BAU (BAU = 787 in
27% reduction from
27% reduction from
BAU by 2030
BAU (BAU = 928 in
2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional) (unconditional + conditional)
2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional) (unconditional + conditional)
SourceSources: CompiledCompiled
by the Congressionalby the Congressional
Research ServiceResearch Service
(CRS) using data from(CRS) using data from
UNFCCC, NDCs, at UNFCCC, NDCs, at
https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/
national ynationally-determined-contributions-ndcs/-determined-contributions-ndcs/
national ynationally--
determined-contributions-ndcs; and World Resourcesdetermined-contributions-ndcs; and World Resources
Institute, ClimateInstitute, Climate
Watch Data, “NDC Enhancement Watch Data, “NDC Enhancement
Tracker,”Tracker,”
2020 2022, at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/2020-ndc-tracker. , at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/2020-ndc-tracker.
Notes: This table only includes emissionThis table only includes emission
reduction targets listed in NDCs and does not include other elements reduction targets listed in NDCs and does not include other elements
of NDCs, such as supporting information that may have been updated. Please see individual NDC documents for of NDCs, such as supporting information that may have been updated. Please see individual NDC documents for
a complete descriptiona complete description
of gases, sectors,of gases, sectors,
and other data and elementsand other data and elements
associated with each countries’associated with each countries’
targets. a. European Union (EU) member states included among selected countries reviewed for this report are
France, Germany, Italy, Poland, and Spain. targets. a. In some instances, countries have submitted multiple updates to their NDCs. This table compares the initial
NDC to the most recent NDC.
b. European Union (EU) member states included among the countries CRS selected for review for this report
are France, Germany, Italy, Poland, and Spain.
Congressional Research Service
13
Figure 1. Selected Countries’ NDC Updates and Percent of Annual Global GHG Emissions in 2019
as of September 30, 2022
Sources: CRS using data from UNFCCC NDCs, at https://unfccc.int/NDCREG; and World Resources Institute, Climate Watch Data, “Historical GHG Emissions,” at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions. Note: G20 member countries are shown with a solid color; countries that are not G20 members are shown with stripes.
CRS-14
link to page 24 link to page 23 link to page 24 link to page 16 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Emission Reduction Targets and 2030 Projected Emissions
As described above, this report summarizes NDCs from selected
As described above, this report summarizes NDCs from selected
countriescountries. Table A-1 in the in the
Appendix provides GHG emissions and NDC data—including quantified targets and projected provides GHG emissions and NDC data—including quantified targets and projected
emissions for 2030—for emissions for 2030—for
theseall selected countries, where available. The majority of the selected countries’ countries, where available. The majority of the selected countries’
NDCs contain quantifiable emission reduction targets, but not NDCs contain quantifiable emission reduction targets, but not
al all of these provide of these provide
al of the data the data
needed to calculate projected 2030 emissions. Angolaneeded to calculate projected 2030 emissions. Angola
and Cameroon, for example, provide targets for years other than 2030 (2025 and 2035, respectively). Myanmar lists a reduction of total
emissions but does not provide a reference year.
Countries that provide quantifiable , for example, provides a target for 2025 but not for 2030. Bolivia and Egypt provide emission reduction targets for specific sectors only. Myanmar and Algeria provide a percentage of emission reduction but no reference scenario. India and Malaysia provide targets to reduce emissions intensity and carbon intensity, respectively. In addition, China’s updated NDC states that the country pledges to peak emissions before 2030 (versus peak emissions around 2030 from its first NDC), among other sector- and gas-specific pledges that do not allow for calculating a projected 2030 emissions target.
Countries that provide quantifiable 2030 targets do so in a number of different ways. Some 2030 targets do so in a number of different ways. Some
countries (e.g., Democratic Republic of Congo and Japan) provide a single target; others (e.g., countries (e.g., Democratic Republic of Congo and Japan) provide a single target; others (e.g.,
Indonesia, Nigeria, and Mexico) list targets conditional upon receiving foreign financial Indonesia, Nigeria, and Mexico) list targets conditional upon receiving foreign financial
assistance in addition to not conditional targets; the EU and its member states present a “not to assistance in addition to not conditional targets; the EU and its member states present a “not to
exceed” target; and the United States and Canada, for example, present a range of emissions exceed” target; and the United States and Canada, for example, present a range of emissions
reductions for 2030. Additional data presented ireductions for 2030. Additional data presented i
n Table A-1 include include
20182019 emissions, emissions emissions, emissions
Congressional Research Service
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link to page 10 link to page 14 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
per capita, emissions per gross domestic product (GDP), and emissions reductions targets per capita, emissions per gross domestic product (GDP), and emissions reductions targets
included in each country’s NDC, if available. included in each country’s NDC, if available.
G20 Countries
G20 countries are responsible for the majority of
G20 countries are responsible for the majority of
annual GHG emissions GHG emissions
global y, 27globally,29 and many and many
stakeholders are invested in the stakeholders are invested in the
further emission reduction commitments of G20 members.emission reduction commitments of G20 members.
2830 As of September 30, 2022, 18 As
of October 20, 2021, 15 members of the G20 have submitted new or updated NDCs members of the G20 have submitted new or updated NDCs
and, of these new submissions, 11 indicatedall of which include plans for greater emissions reductions beyond their initial NDC plans for greater emissions reductions beyond their initial NDC
(including the EU, Italy, Germany, and France).(including the EU, Italy, Germany, and France).
Figure 12 shows the percentage of global GHG emissions each G20 member was responsible for shows the percentage of global GHG emissions each G20 member was responsible for
in in
20181990, 2005, and 2019 and each member’s and each member’s
2030 NDC target, where available. China, India, Russia, and Saudi Arabia’s 2030 projections are not quantifiable with the information available in each country’s NDC.
29NDC target. Figure 2 il ustrates historical GHG emissions and,
where available, projected 2030 emissions for G20 member countries.
27 G20 countries are Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, G20 countries are Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada,
China, France, Germany, Japan, India, Indonesia, Italy, China, France, Germany, Japan, India, Indonesia, Italy,
Mexico, Russia,Mexico, Russia,
Saudi Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Arabia, South Africa, South Korea,
T urkeyTurkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, and the , the United Kingdom, the United States, and the
European Union. Spain is invited asEuropean Union. Spain is invited as
a permanent guest. Seea permanent guest. See
G20, About the G20, https://www.g20.org/abouthttps://www.g20.org/about
-the-g20-the-g20
.html.
28/#participants.
30 For additional analyses on G20 countries’ NDCs For additional analyses on G20 countries’ NDCs
and other climate-related activities as welland other climate-related activities as well
as analyses on potential as analyses on potential
progress toward meeting the Paris Agreement’s goals, see progress toward meeting the Paris Agreement’s goals, see
UNFCCC, Nationally Determined Contributions Under the
Paris Agreem ent, Synthesis Report by the Secretariat, Executive Summary, September 17, 2021, at https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cma2021_08_adv_1.pdfSynthesis Report, 2022; World Resources Institute, ; World Resources Institute,
Closing the Gap: The Im pactImpact of G20 Climate Commitments on Limiting Global Temperature Rise to 1.5oC of G20
Clim ate Com m itm ents on Lim iting Global Tem perature Rise to 1.5 oC, September 16, 2021, at https://www.wri.org/, September 16, 2021, at https://www.wri.org/
research/closing-the-gap-g20-climate-commitments-limiting-global-temperature-rise; and Climate Action research/closing-the-gap-g20-climate-commitments-limiting-global-temperature-rise; and Climate Action
T rackerTracker, at , at
https://climateactiontracker.org/. https://climateactiontracker.org/.
Congressional Research Service
Congressional Research Service
1315
Figure 2. G20 Countries: Historical GHG Emissions and 2030 Emissions Projections
as of
as of
October 20, 2021September 30, 2022
Sources: CRS using data from UNFCCC, NDCs,UNFCCC, NDCs,
at https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/national y-determined-contributions-ndcs/national y-determined-contributions-ndcs; and World Resources at https://unfccc.int/NDCREG; and World Resources Institute, Climate Watch Data, “HistoricalInstitute, Climate Watch Data, “Historical
GHG Emissions,”GHG Emissions,”
at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions. at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions.
CRS-14
link to page 16 link to page 16 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries China’s NDC does not provide a quantifiable 2030 target. Estimates for the EU-27 Member States (France, Germany, Italy, and Spain) are not available as of September 30, 2022. The EU’s Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR), which creates binding minimum targets for emissions reductions by Member States, has not yet been aligned with the 55% target level. See, Technical Background Document Accompanying the report, Trends and Projections in Europe 2021, at https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/trends-and-projections-in-europe-2021/technical-background-document/view.
CRS-16
link to page 19 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Net-Zero Legislation
In addition to working toward meeting 2030 emission reduction targets identified in their NDCs, In addition to working toward meeting 2030 emission reduction targets identified in their NDCs,
some countries are seeking to achieve net-zero emissions within the next several decades, in some countries are seeking to achieve net-zero emissions within the next several decades, in
conformance with the Article 4 provision to “achieve a balance between anthropogenic emissions conformance with the Article 4 provision to “achieve a balance between anthropogenic emissions
by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this century.” by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this century.”
Net-
zero emissions refers to a situation where any continued human-caused GHG emissions are refers to a situation where any continued human-caused GHG emissions are
balanced by any removal of GHG from the atmosphere, including carbon storage in forests and balanced by any removal of GHG from the atmosphere, including carbon storage in forests and
other ecosystems as other ecosystems as
wel well as technological removal and storage.as technological removal and storage.
2931 Multiple terms can refer to net- Multiple terms can refer to net-
zero emissions, including zero emissions, including
climate neutrality or or
carbon neutrality, depending on whether the scope , depending on whether the scope
is al is all GHG or just CO2. GHG or just CO2.
Carbon neutrality refers refers
specifical yspecifically to net-zero carbon emissions to net-zero carbon emissions
whereas other terms whereas other terms
general y include al generally include all greenhouse gases. Although they have distinct greenhouse gases. Although they have distinct
meanings, some stakeholders or observers at times use the terms interchangeably or with meanings, some stakeholders or observers at times use the terms interchangeably or with
ambiguity.ambiguity.
3032
The PA asks countries to commit to increasingly ambitious GHG mitigation efforts and
The PA asks countries to commit to increasingly ambitious GHG mitigation efforts and
encourages countries to submit long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies encourages countries to submit long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies
(LT-LEDS). Article 4 of the PA states, “(LT-LEDS). Article 4 of the PA states, “
Al All Parties should strive to formulate and communicate Parties should strive to formulate and communicate
long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies, mindful of Article 2 taking into long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies, mindful of Article 2 taking into
account their common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities, in the light of account their common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities, in the light of
differencedifferent national circumstances.” national circumstances.”
3133
Many countries have submitted LT-LEDS,
Many countries have submitted LT-LEDS,
3234 but these strategies do not necessarily translate into but these strategies do not necessarily translate into
clear pathways or concrete domestic efforts to reach net-zero emissions. Some countries, clear pathways or concrete domestic efforts to reach net-zero emissions. Some countries,
however, have introduced or enacted legislation aimed at reducing domestic emissions to net however, have introduced or enacted legislation aimed at reducing domestic emissions to net
zero. Other countries may refer to net-zero in policy documents without having enacted zero. Other countries may refer to net-zero in policy documents without having enacted
legislation. legislation. Table 3 provides a list of countries with enacted or proposed domestic net-zero or provides a list of countries with enacted or proposed domestic net-zero or
climate neutrality legislationclimate neutrality legislation
.33, as of October 2022.35 The table does not include countries that have The table does not include countries that have
announced net-zero net-zero
policies or intentions but not taken action to embody them in law. The table is not a policies or intentions but not taken action to embody them in law. The table is not a
comprehensive list of potential legislation.
Observations of Net-Zero Legislation
Table 3 is derived from the 2021 report published by the Global Legal Research Directorate at the Law Library of Congress, Net Zero Emissions Legislation Around the World.34 The Law Library identified 25 countries or regions with enacted or proposed net-zero legislation. Of these,
22 have enacted net-zero legislation and three have proposed legislation. The Law Library of Congress report does not include analysis of proposed net-zero emission legislation in the United States. Several bil s proposing net-zero emissions goals for the United States have been 29comprehensive list of enacted legislation.
31 For more information, see CRS For more information, see CRS
In FocusIn Focus
IF11821, IF11821,
Net-Zero Emissions Pledges: Background and Recent
Developm entsDevelopments, by Michael I. Westphal. , by Michael I. Westphal.
3032 For more information, see CRS For more information, see CRS
In FocusIn Focus
IF11821, IF11821,
Net-Zero Emissions Pledges: Background and Recent
Developm entsDevelopments, by Michael I. Westphal. , by Michael I. Westphal.
31
33 Paris Agreement, Article 4. Paris Agreement, Article 4.
3234 As of October As of October
20, 2021, 3318, 2022, 53 countries had submitted long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies countries had submitted long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies
to the UNFCCC,to the UNFCCC,
see https://unfccc.int/process/the-paris-agreement/long-term-strategies.see https://unfccc.int/process/the-paris-agreement/long-term-strategies.
33 T able 2 only includes As of October 18, 2022, 53 Parties had made submissions.
35 Table 2 only includes legislation that explicitly proposes netlegislation that explicitly proposes net
-zero emissions. Other climate-related legislation is not -zero emissions. Other climate-related legislation is not
included. included.
34 Law Library of Congress, Global Legal
Congressional Research Service
17
Figure 3. Countries with Net-Zero Legislation
as of October 2022
Source: CRS using data from Law Library of Congress, Global Legal Research Directorate, Research Directorate,
Net Zero Emissions Legislation Around the World, 2021, p. 7: 2022 Update, at https://, at https://
lccnwww.loc.gov/item/2022666110/. Notes: Multiple terms can refer to net-zero emissions, including climate neutrality or carbon neutrality, depending on whether the scope is all GHG or just CO2. The color-based distinctions in this figure reflect the language in each country’s net-zero legislation. Gabon’s 2021 law allows the country to trade carbon credits and retain its status as a “carbon positive” country through 2050. EU member states are shaded on the map only if they have domestic net-zero legislation in addition to the EU-wide law included.
CRS-18
link to page 19 link to page 19 .loc.gov/2021687417.
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Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Observations of Net-Zero Legislation Table 3 is derived from the 2022 report published by the Global Legal Research Directorate at the Law Library of Congress, Net Zero Emissions Legislation Around the World: 2022 Update.36 The Law Library identified 57 jurisdictions with enacted or proposed net-zero legislation. Of these 57, the EU, 11 of its member states, and 20 additional countries have enacted net-zero legislation. Three countries have proposed net-zero legislation. The remaining jurisdictions are sub-national. Laws have been enacted and proposed at the state and regional level in a number of countries and these are outside of the scope of this report. The Law Library of Congress report does not include analysis of proposed net-zero emission legislation in the United States. Several bills proposing net-zero emissions goals for the United States have been
introduced in recent Congresses. introduced in recent Congresses.
AnalysisBecause analysis of U.S. net-zero legislative proposals is beyond the of U.S. net-zero legislative proposals is beyond the
scope of this CRS reportscope of this CRS report
.
The EU and 11 of its, Table 3 does not include the United States.
The EU’s European Climate Law, which establishes the framework for achieving climate neutrality by 2050, applies to all 27 of its member states. Eleven EU member states (Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, member states (Denmark, Finland, France, Germany,
Greece, Hungary, Hungary,
Iceland,
Ireland, Luxembourg, Malta, Luxembourg, Malta,
Slovenia, Spain, and Sweden) have enacted net-zero legislationSpain, and Sweden) have enacted net-zero legislation
. Seven of the G20 members ( in addition to the EU law. Two member states—Germany and Sweden—have set 2045 target dates, versus the EU’s 2050 target date. Nine of the G20 members (Australia, Canada, the EU, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Canada, the EU, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea,
Spain, and the UK) have and the UK) have
enacted net-zero legislation. enacted net-zero legislation.
Most
Most
(15 of 22) countries or regionsjurisdictions with enacted legislation have set a date of net-zero emissions with enacted legislation have set a date of net-zero emissions
, carbon neutrality, or climate neutrality by 2050. The most ambitious deadline is set by Iceland, which has enacted legislation requiring by 2050. The most ambitious deadline is set by Iceland, which has enacted legislation requiring
net-zero emissions by 2040. Germany and Sweden both have set a deadline of net-zero emissions by 2045carbon neutrality by 2040. Four countries (. Four countries (
UkraineEcuador, Slovenia, Malta, and Finland) do not specify dates, according , Slovenia, Malta, and Finland) do not specify dates, according
to the Law Library of Congress report.to the Law Library of Congress report.
3537
Table 3. Net-Zero Emissions Legislation for Selected Countries and Regions
(as of October 2022)as of September 27, 2021
Enacted Legislation
Country
(goal and date, if available)
Proposed Legislation
Argentina
Senate Bil 682/21 Amending Law 27.520 (on Minimum Standards for Global Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation), on Carbon Neutrality by 2050, art. 1
Australia
Climate Change Act 2022 (Cth) s 10(1)(b)
(came into effect Sept. 13, 2022), (net zero by 2050)
if available)
Proposed Legislation
Canada Canada
Canadian Net-Zero Emissions
Canadian Net-Zero Emissions
Accountability Accountability
Act, S.C. 2021, c.22, Royal Assent, June 29,
Act, S.C. 2021, c.22, Royal Assent, June 29,
2031 2031(net zero by 2050) (net zero by 2050)
Chile
Chile
Climate Change Framework Law, §IV.2.a, submitted to National Congress, Jan. 10, 2020 (net zero by 2050)
,Denmark
Climate Act (No. 965 of June 26, 2020) art. 1
(climate neutrality by 2050)
European Union
Regulation (EU) 2021/1119
(EU)
(European Climate
Ley 21445 Ley Marco de Cambio Climático,
Diario Oficial June 13, 2022, art. 1, (net zero by 2050)
36 Law Library of Congress, Global Legal Research Directorate, Net Zero Emissions Legislation Around the World: 2022 Update, at https://www.loc.gov/item/2022666110/.
37 Law Library of Congress, Global Legal Research Directorate, Net Zero Emissions Legislation Around the World: 2022 Update, at https://www.loc.gov/item/2022666110/.
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Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Enacted Legislation
Country
(goal and date, if available)
Proposed Legislation
Colombia
Ley 2169, por Medio de la Cual se Impulsa el
Desarrol o Bajo en Carbono del País Mediante el Establecimiento de Metas y Medidas Mínimas en Materia de Carbono Neutralidad y Resiliencia Climática y se Dictan otras Disposiciones, art. 5.2, Diario Oficial Dec. 22, 2021, (carbon neutrality by 2050)
Denmark
Climate Act (No. 965 of June 26, 2020) art.
1(climate neutrality by 2050)
Ecuador
Acuerdo Ministerial 018-2021 on Ecuador
Carbon Neutral Program, Ministerio del Ambiente y Agua, Registro Oficial Aug. 18, 2021, (establishes Zero Carbon Ecuador program that provides incentives to achieve carbon neutrality)
European Union
Regulation (EU) 2021/1119 (European Climate
(EU)
Law), art. 2, 2021 O.J. (L Law), art. 2, 2021 O.J. (L
243) 1 243) 1
(climate neutrality by 2050) (climate neutrality by 2050)
Fiji
Fiji
Climate
Climate
Change Bil 2021 clauses 6(5) and 38(1) Change Act 2021(Act No. 43 of 2021) s
6(5), (net zero by 2050) (net zero by 2050)
Finland
Finland
Klimatlag
Klimatlag (FFS 609/2015), §6 (FFS 609/2015), §6
France
France
Code de l’énergie,
Code de l’énergie,
art. L100-4, as amended by art. L100-4, as amended by
Loi n° 2019-1147 du 8 novembre 2019 relative à
Loi n° 2019-1147 du 8 novembre 2019 relative à
l'énergiel'énergie
et au climat,et au climat,
art. 1, Nov. 8, 2019 art. 1, Nov. 8, 2019
(net zero by 2050) (net zero by 2050)
Gabon
Ordonnance N° 019/2021 du 13 septembre 021
relative aux changements climatiques, Sept. 13, 2021, (Gabon’s status as carbon positive country wil be maintained through 2050)
Germany Germany
Bundes-Klimaschutzgesetz [KSG], Dec. 12, 2019,
Bundes-Klimaschutzgesetz [KSG], Dec. 12, 2019,
Bundesgesetzblatt [BGBl.] I at 2513, as amended, Bundesgesetzblatt [BGBl.] I at 2513, as amended,
art. 3, para. 2art. 3, para. 2
(climate neutrality by 2045)
Gibraltar
Climate Change Act 2019, No. 29/2019, ss 8, 25, (100% lower net emissions by 2045 from 1990 or 1995 baselines)
Greece
National Climate Law, Law 4936/2022, E.K.E.D.
2022, A:105, (climate neutrality by 2050)
(climate neutrality by 2045)
Hungary Hungary
Law on Climate
Law on Climate
Policy: On the DeclarationPolicy: On the Declaration
of a of a
Climate
Climate
Emergency, on ClimateEmergency, on Climate
Protection, Protection,
(T/7021), adopted on May 14, 2020, art. 3, §4(T/7021), adopted on May 14, 2020, art. 3, §4
(climate neutrality by 2050)
Iceland
Climate Act (Lög um loftslagsmál, (climate neutrality by 2050)
35 Law Library of Congress, Global Legal Research Directorate, Net Zero Emissions Legislation Around the World, 2021.
Congressional Research Service
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Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Enacted Legislation
Country
(goal and date, if available)
Proposed Legislation
Iceland
Climate Act (Lög um loftslagsmál, 2012 nr. 70
29. Júní, (Legal y2012 nr. 70
29. Júní, (Legally binding emissions binding emissions
reductions for 2030; reductions for 2030;
specifies specifies that the government can issue further that the government can issue further
legal ylegally binding targets. Current policy is carbon binding targets. Current policy is carbon
neutrality by 2040.) neutrality by 2040.)
Ireland
Ireland
Climate
Climate
Action and Low Carbon Development Action and Low Carbon Development
Act 2015, No. 46/2015, s 3(1), as amended by
Act 2015, No. 46/2015, s 3(1), as amended by
the Climatethe Climate
Action and Low Carbon Action and Low Carbon
DevelopmentDevelopment
(Amendment) Act 2021, No. (Amendment) Act 2021, No.
32/2021 32/2021
(climate neutrality by 2050)
(climate neutrality by 2050)
Isle of Man
Climate Change Act 2021, AT 20/2021, s 9(1),
(net zero emissions by 2050)
Israel
Climate Law Bil 5782-2022
Congressional Research Service
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Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Enacted Legislation
Country
(goal and date, if available)
Proposed Legislation
(Government Bil No. 1551, p. 1042, S48B-M76S (net zero by 2050)
Japan Japan
Amendment (Act No. 54 of 2021) of Act on
Amendment (Act No. 54 of 2021) of Act on
Promotion of Global Warming
Promotion of Global Warming
Countermeasures,Countermeasures,
Act No. 117 of 1998, art. 2-2Act No. 117 of 1998, art. 2-2
(net zero by 2050) (net zero by 2050)
Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein
Emissionshandelsgesetz
Emissionshandelsgesetz
[EHG], Sept. 19, 2012, [EHG], Sept. 19, 2012,
Landesgesetzblatt-Nummer [LGBl.-Nr.]
Landesgesetzblatt-Nummer [LGBl.-Nr.]
2012012.346, as amended, art. 4, para. 4,.346, as amended, art. 4, para. 4,
(climate neutrality by 2050) (climate neutrality by 2050)
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
Loi du 15 décembre
Loi du 15 décembre
2020 relative au climat et 2020 relative au climat et
modifiant la loi modifiée
modifiant la loi modifiée
du 31 maidu 31 mai
1999 portant 1999 portant
institution d’un fonds pour la protection de institution d’un fonds pour la protection de
l’environnement,l’environnement,
art. 4, Dec.art. 4, Dec.
15, 2020 15, 2020
(net zero by 2050) (net zero by 2050)
Maldives
Maldives
Climate
Climate
Emergency Act, Law No. 9/2021 Emergency Act, Law No. 9/2021
(net
(net zero by 2030) zero by 2030)
Malta
Malta
Climate
Climate
Action Act, cap. 543 Action Act, cap. 543
New Zealand
New Zealand
Climate
Climate
Change Response Act 2002 s 5Q, Change Response Act 2002 s 5Q,
inserted by Climate
inserted by Climate
Change Response (Zero Change Response (Zero
Carbon) AmendmentCarbon) Amendment
Act 2019 s 8Act 2019 s 8
(net zero by 2050; except biogenic methane) (net zero by 2050; except biogenic methane)
Norway
Norway
Lov om klimamål
Lov om klimamål
(klimaloven) (LOV-2017-06-(klimaloven) (LOV-2017-06-
16-60) §4
16-60) §4
(reduce emissions(reduce emissions
by 90%-95% compared with by 90%-95% compared with
1990 by 2050)1990 by 2050)
Slovenia
Slovenia
Resolution on Slovenia’s
Resolution on Slovenia’s
Long-Term Climate Long-Term Climate
Strategy Until 2050, No. 801-08/21-5/, adopted
Strategy Until 2050, No. 801-08/21-5/, adopted
by National Assemblyby National Assembly
on July 13, 2021 on July 13, 2021
South Korea
South Korea
Framework
Framework
Act on Carbon Neutral and Green Act on Carbon Neutral and Green
Growth to Respond to Climate Crisis,
Growth to Respond to Climate Crisis,
Act No. Act No.
18469, Sept. 24, 2021, art. 7(1) 18469, Sept. 24, 2021, art. 7(1)
(carbon neutrality by 2050) (carbon neutrality by 2050)
Spain
Spain
Ley 7/2021, de 20 de mayo, de cambio climático
Ley 7/2021, de 20 de mayo, de cambio climático
y transición energética, art. 3-2, Boletin
y transición energética, art. 3-2, Boletin
Oficial Oficial
del Estado, May 21, 2021del Estado, May 21, 2021
(climate neutrality by 2050) (climate neutrality by 2050)
Sweden
Sweden
Klimatlag
Klimatlag
(SFS 2017:720), §3 (SFS 2017:720), §3
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Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Enacted Legislation
Country
(goal and date, if available)
Proposed Legislation
(Does not set (Does not set
specific timelinesspecific timelines
for emissions for emissions
reductions, but government must reviewreductions, but government must review
and set and set
targets everytargets every
four years. Official policy as of four years. Official policy as of
March 2021 is net-zero emissionsMarch 2021 is net-zero emissions
by 2045; 85% by 2045; 85%
reduction reduction
compared with 1990.)
Switzerland
Bundesgesetz über die Ziele im Klimaschutz, die
Innovation und die Stärkung der Energiesicherheit [KlG], Sept. 30, 2022, Bundesblatt [BBl.] 2022, 2403, art. 3, para. 2, (climate neutrality by 2050)
Taiwan
On April 21, 2022, the Executive Yuan passed the draft revision of the Greenhouse Gas Reduction and
Congressional Research Service
21
Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Enacted Legislation
Country
(goal and date, if available)
Proposed Legislation
Management Act. The draft revision was reviewed bycompared with 1990.)
Taiwan
In 2021, the premier tasked the Environmental Protection Administration with amending the Greenhouse Gas Reduction and Management Act to incorporate the goal of net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 and rename the act the Climate Change Response Act. (Taiwan Working Toward Net-Zero Emissions by 2050, Overseas Community Aff. Council, Taiwan [OCAC] [Sept. 2, 2021]) Individual members of the Legislative the Legislative
Yuan proposed their own bil s for amending the act to include the 2050 net-zero emissions goal. (See e.g., Yuan Zong No. 1711, Member Proposal No. 25885 [Feb. 26, 2021]; Yuan Zong No. 1711, Member Proposal No. 26787 [May 27, 2021].Yuan committees in May 2022. The revision wil rename the act to “Climate Change Response Act” and incorporate the goal of net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. (Change from Greenhouse Gas Reduction and Management Act to Climate Change Response Act Approved, Environmental Protection Administration (July 19, 2022) )
Ukraine
Ukraine
Law of Ukraine on the Principles of Monitoring,
Law of Ukraine on the Principles of Monitoring,
Reporting, and Verification of Greenhouse
Reporting, and Verification of Greenhouse
Gas Gas
Emissions,Emissions,
No. 377-IX, adopted Dec.No. 377-IX, adopted Dec.
12, 2019, 12, 2019,
in force since Jan. 1, 2021, (ВВР), 2020, No. 22, in force since Jan. 1, 2021, (ВВР), 2020, No. 22,
p. 150, pmbl.p. 150, pmbl.
(harmonizes Ukrainian legislation(harmonizes Ukrainian legislation
with standards with standards
of EU law [an obligation for Ukraine under the of EU law [an obligation for Ukraine under the
EU-Ukraine AssociationEU-Ukraine Association
Agreement]Agreement]
and implements and implements the provisionsthe provisions
of Directives of Directives No. No.
2003/87/ЕС and No. 2003/87/ЕС and No.
2004004/101/ЕС) /101/ЕС)
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
of
United Kingdom:
Great Britain and
Climate
Climate Change Act 2008, c.Change Act 2008, c.
27, s 1(1), as
inserted by the Climate Change Act 2008 27, s
Northern Ireland
1(1),https://perma.cc/2HJ4-KNRJ, as amended by theClimate Change Act 2008(2050 (2050
Target Amendment)Target Amendment)
Order Order 2019, SI 2019/10562019, SI 2019/1056
, (net (net
zero by 2050) Northern Ireland: Climate Change Act (Northern Ireland) 2022, c. 31, (Northern Ireland to have 100% lower emissions by 2050 from 1990 or 1995 baselines) Scotland: Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009, asp 12, https://perma.cc/748L-CXP8, as amended by Climate Change (Emissions Reduction Targets) (Scotland) Act 2019, asp 15, (Scotland to achieve net zero by 2045) zero by 2050)
Source: Law Library of Congress,Law Library of Congress,
Global Legal Research Directorate,Global Legal Research Directorate,
Net Zero Emissions Legislation Around the
World, 2021, p. 7: 2022 Update, at https://, at https://
lccnwww.loc.gov/.loc.gov/
2021687417. item/2022666110/. Notes: This table includes This table includes
al all countries listed in the Law Library of Congresscountries listed in the Law Library of Congress
report and is not limitedreport and is not limited
to the set to the set
of selectedof selected
countries as described earliercountries as described earlier
in this report. EU memberin this report. EU member
countries are listedcountries are listed
only in their own row if only in their own row if
they have domestic net-zero legislation in addition to the EU-wide law included. Links to legislationthey have domestic net-zero legislation in addition to the EU-wide law included. Links to legislation
(including (including
links to English translations) available in the referencedlinks to English translations) available in the referenced
Law Library of Congress report. Law Library of Congress report.
Congressional Research Service
Congressional Research Service
1822
link to page
link to page
2024 Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Appendix. Table of GHG Emissions and NDC Data
for Selected Countries
Table A-1 provides GHG emissions data and NDC information for the selected countries provides GHG emissions data and NDC information for the selected countries
discussed in this report. The emissions data, including net GHG emissions, emissions per capita, discussed in this report. The emissions data, including net GHG emissions, emissions per capita,
and emissions per GDP are the most recent year available (and emissions per GDP are the most recent year available (
20182019) from Climate Watch Data.) from Climate Watch Data.
3638 NDC targets are as reported in Parties’ NDCs. The Congressional Research Service calculated NDC targets are as reported in Parties’ NDCs. The Congressional Research Service calculated
2030 emissions targets using data available via Climate Watch Data and stated NDC targets (e.g., 2030 emissions targets using data available via Climate Watch Data and stated NDC targets (e.g.,
a percentage reduction from a base year), unless otherwise noted. This table is not comprehensive a percentage reduction from a base year), unless otherwise noted. This table is not comprehensive
of al of all Parties’ NDC targets, emissions, and projections. Parties’ NDC targets, emissions, and projections.
36
38 Climate Watch Data integrates emissions inventories from the UNFCCC and other sources, then it provides access Climate Watch Data integrates emissions inventories from the UNFCCC and other sources, then it provides access
to to
the most complete annual emissions data across all countries. Article 12 of the UNFCCCthe most complete annual emissions data across all countries. Article 12 of the UNFCCC
requires requires that all Parties to that all Parties to
Annex I countries submitAnnex I countries submit
annual emissions inventories (the annual emissions inventories (the
m ostmost recent of which is for emissions in recent of which is for emissions in
20182019). Non). Non
-Annex -Annex
I countries submit emissions inventories less frequently. CRSI countries submit emissions inventories less frequently. CRS
relies on countries’ own emissions inventory data, as relies on countries’ own emissions inventory data, as
available via Climate Watch Data, wherever possible.available via Climate Watch Data, wherever possible.
In instances where countries In instances where countries
h avehave not provided 2018 emissions not provided 2018 emissions
data, CRSdata, CRS
relies relies on data from CAITon data from CAIT
, as available via Climate Watch Data. (, as available via Climate Watch Data. (
see See Climate Watch, “About,” at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/https://www.climatewatchdata.org/
about/faq/ghg).about/faq/ghg).
Congressional Research Service
Congressional Research Service
1923
link to page
link to page
2732 link to page link to page
2732 link to page link to page
2832 link to page link to page
2832 link to page link to page
2832 link to page link to page
2832
Table A-1. GHG Emissions Data and NDC Information for Selected Countries
Emissions data, including
Emissions data, including
20182019 emissions, NDC targets and references, and 2030 projections are carbon dioxide-equivalent (CO2e) and are shown as emissions, NDC targets and references, and 2030 projections are carbon dioxide-equivalent (CO2e) and are shown as
mil ionmillion
metric tons (Mt) CO2e, unless otherwise noted, and emissions per capita and per
metric tons (Mt) CO2e, unless otherwise noted, and emissions per capita and per
mil ionmillion $ GDP are shown as metric tons (t). $ GDP are shown as metric tons (t).
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
2018Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
Projected 2030GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
GHG Emissions
Country Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-20182019
2005-2018
2018
in 20182019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Per NDC Targetsb
Angolac
125
+59
+9
4.04t
1,229t 14% reduction from BAU
not available
(First NDC,
scenario (2015 inventory
updated
projections) by 2025
5/31/2021)
(unconditional) 24% reduction from BAU scenario (2015 inventory projections) by 2025 (unconditional + conditional)
Argentinac
396
+107
-15
8.89t
764t Shal not exceed 359 in
No more than 359
(Second NDC,
2030
(from NDC)
12/30/2020)
Australia
537
-80
-80
21.51t
375t 26%-28% reduction from
444-457
(First NDC,
2005 levels by 2030, to be
updated
implemented as an
12/31/2020)
emissions budget covering the period 2021-2030
Bangladeshc
221
+106
+70
1.37t
806t 27.56 (7%) reduction from
320-382
(First NDC,
BAU levels (409.4) by 2030
updated
(unconditional);
8/26/2021)
89.47 (22%) reduction from BAU (409.4) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Brazilc
1,420
-220
-580
6.78t
753t 37% reduction from 2005
1,140
(First NDC,
levels by 2025; and 43%
updated
reduction from 2005 levels
12/9/2020)
by 2030
CRS-20
link to page 27 link to page 27 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
2018 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
Projected 2030
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
GHG Emissions
Country (date)
Emissions
1990-2018
2005-2018
2018
in 2018
NDC Targetsa
Per NDC Targetsb
Cameroonc
123
+51.4
-3
4.89t
3187t 12% reduction by 2030 from
113 (unconditional);
(First NDC,
2010 levels (unconditional)
83 (unconditional +
updated
35% reduction by 2030 from
conditional)
10/11/2021)
2010 levels (unconditional + conditional)
Canada
716
+173
-0.55
19.33t
417t 40%-45% reduction from
394-430
(First NDC,
2005 levels Targetsb
Algeriac (First
282
+161
+97
6.56
1,643 7% reduction from BAU ( BAU
not available
NDC, 2016)
not available) by 2030 (unconditional); Up to 22 % reduction from BAU (BAU not available) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Angolac
128
+62
+13
4.03t
1,851t 15% reduction from BAU (BAU
not available
(First NDC,
= 108 in 2025) by 2025
updated 2021)
(unconditional); 25% reduction from BAU (BAU = 108 in 2025) by 2025 (unconditional + conditional)
Argentinac
399
+106
-19
8.88t
881t Shall not exceed 359 in 2030
No more than 359
(Second NDC,
(from NDC)
updated 2021)
Australia
519
-97
-93
20.46t
373t 43% below 2005 levels by 2030
349
(First NDC, updated 2022)
Bangladeshc
238
+121
+82
1.46t
677t 6.73% reduction from BAU
320-381
(First NDC,
(BAU = 409 in 2030) by 2030
updated 2021)
(unconditional); 21.85% reduction from BAU (BAU = 409 in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
CRS-24
link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-2019
2005-2019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Targetsb
Boliviac (First
139
+26
+36
12.05t
3392t Sector-specific targets for
not available
NDC, updated
energy and forests.
2022)
Brazilc
1,450
-190
-560
6.88t
775t Reduce greenhouse gas
1,001
(First NDC,
emissions by 37% below 2005
updated 2022)
levels in 2025; Reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50% below 2005 levels in 2030
Cameroonc
125
+51
-2
4.82t
3,146t 12% reduction by 2030 from
113
(First NDC,
2010 levels (unconditional)
(unconditional);
updated 2021)
35% reduction by 2030 from
83 (unconditional
2010 levels (unconditional +
+ conditional)
conditional)
Canada
740
+195
-7
19.68t
425t 40%-45% reduction from 2005
411-448
(First NDC,
levels by 2030
updated 2021)
Chilec
55
+27
+16
2.92t
199t Peak emissions by 2025;
No more than 95
(First NDC,
Maximum by 2030
updated 7/12/2021)
Chilec
52
+21
+11
2.76t
174t Peak emissions by 2025;
No more than 95
(First NDC,
Maximum annual emissions
updated
up to 95 by 2030;
4/9/2020)
Accumulated emissions between annual emissions up
(from NDC)
updated 2020)
to 95 by 2030; Accumulated emissions between 2020 and 2030 shall 2020 and 2030 shal not exceednot exceed
1,100 1,100
Chin
Chin
ac
11,710
+8,840
+4,850
8.4t
842t12,060
+9,170
+5,130
8.6t
844t Peak CO2 emissions Peak CO2 emissions
around before
not available
not available
(First
(First
NDC,
2030;
updated 2021)
Achieve carbon neutrality before 2060; Lower CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by over 65% from the 2005 level;
CRS-25
link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-2019
2005-2019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Targetsb
Increase share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption to around 25%; Increase the forest stock volume by 6 bil ion cubic meters from the 2005 level; Bring total installed capacity of wind and solar power to over 1.2 bil ion kilowatts by 2030
Colombiac
271
+54
+45
5.37t
837t 2% reduction from BAU by
169.44
(First NDC,
2030 (unconditional);
(from NDC)
updated 2020)
Democratic
680
+249
+239
7.83t
13,125kt 21% reduction from BAU by
1,303
Republic of the
2030 (unconditional +
(unconditional);
Congoc
conditional)
1,050
(First NDC,
(unconditional +
updated 2021)
conditional)
Egyptc
352
+218
+108
3.51t
1,161t Reduction of electricity
not available
(First NDC,
emissions by 33%; oil and gas
updated 2022)
emissions by 65%; and transport emissions by 7% by 2030 relative to BAU
Ethiopiac
183
+88
+61
1.64t
1,912t 14% reduction from BAU (BAU
347
(First NDC,
= 403.5 in 2030) by 2030
(unconditional);
updated 2021)
(unconditional);
126 (conditional +
68.8% reduction from BAU
unconditional)
(BAU = 403.5 in 2030) by 2030 NDC,
2030;
9/3/2016)
Reduce CO2 emissions/GDP from 2005 levels by 60%-65%; Increase share of nonfossil fuels in primary energy consumption to around 20%; Increase forest stock by 4.5 bil ion cubic meters from 2005 level
Colombiac
268
+51
+40
5.4t
803t Emit a maximum of 169.44
169.44 (from NDC)
(First NDC,
in 2030 (equivalent to 51%
updated
reduction compared with
12/30/2020)
CRS-21
link to page 27 link to page 27 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
2018 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
Projected 2030
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
GHG Emissions
Country (date)
Emissions
1990-2018
2005-2018
2018
in 2018
NDC Targetsa
Per NDC Targetsb
emissions projection in 2030 reference scenario)
Democratic
682
+247
+240
8.11t
14,560kt 17% reduction compared
357
Republic of the
with status quo emissions
Congoc
scenario (430) by 2030
(First NDC, 12/13/2017)
Egyptc
329
+200
+96
3.35t
1320t not available
not available
(First NDC, 6/29/2017)
Ethiopiac
205
+111
+71
1.9t
2430t 14% reduction compared
347 (unconditional);
(First NDC,
with the BAU scenario (404)
126 (conditional +
updated
by 2030 (unconditional);
unconditional)
7/23/2021)
68.8% reduction compared with the BAU scenario (404) by 2030 (unconditional + (unconditional +
conditional)conditional)
European
European
Union-
3,
3,
510370
-1,
-1,
100
-640
7.86t
220t270
-860
7.53t
215t At least At least
a 55% reduction a 55% reduction
from
No more
No more
than than
Union-27d
27d
from 1990 levels1990 levels
by 2030 by 2030
2,
2,
210088
CRS-26
link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-2019
2005-2019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Targetsb
(First NDC, updated 2020)
Franceb
413
-113
-99
6.14t
151t
(First NDC, updated 12/18/2020)
France
427
-103
-88
6.37t
153t EU target (at least EU target (at least
a 55% a 55%
No more than 238not available
(EU First
(EU First
NDC, NDC,
reduction
reduction
from from 1990 levels 1990 levels
(al ocated share of
updated
by 2030)
projected EU
12/18/2020)
emissions)
Germany
831
-389
-148
10.03t
210t EU target (at least a 55%
No more than 550
(EU First NDC,
reduction from 1990 levels
(al ocated share of
updated
by 2030)
projected EU
12/18/2020)
emissions)
CRS-22
link to page 27 link to page 27 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
2018 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
Projected 2030
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
GHG Emissions
Country (date)
Emissions
1990-2018
2005-2018
2018
in 2018
NDC Targetsa
Per NDC Targetsb
Indiac
3,350
+2,340
+1,370
2.47t
1233t 33%-35% reduction of
not available
(First NDC,
emissions intensity of GDP
10/2/2016)
from 2005 levels by 2030; 40% cumulative electric power instal ed capacity from nonfossil fuel-based energy resources by 2030; Create additional carbon sink of 2.5-3 bil ion t CO2e through additional forest and tree cover by 2030
Indonesiac
1,700
+440
+460
6.37t
1630t 29% reduction from BAU
2,037
(First NDC,
(2,870) by 2030
(unconditional);
updated
(unconditional);
1,692 (conditional +
7/22/2021)
41% reduction from BAU
unconditional)
(2,870) by 2030 by
updated 2020)
2030)
Germanyb
793
-477
-199
9.55t
204t EU target (at least a 55%
not available
(EU First NDC,
reduction from 1990 levels by
updated 2020)
2030)
Ghanac (First
13
-9
-53
.42t
187t Implement 34 mitigation
not available
NDC, updated
measures to achieve absolute
2021)
emission reductions of 64 by 2030. Nine unconditional measures are expected to lead to a 24.6 reduction. An additional 25 conditional measures can be implemented to further achieve an additional 39.4 reduction.
Indiac
3,360
+2,360
+1,410
2.46t
1,188t 45% reduction in emissions
not available
(First NDC,
intensity by 2030 compared to
updated 2022)
2005 levels
Indonesiac
1,960
+730
+710
7.24t
1,751t 31.89% reduction from BAU
1954
(First NDC,
(BAU = 2869 in 2030) by 2030
(unconditional);
updated 2022)
(unconditional);
1,630 (conditional
43.20% reduction from BAU
+ unconditional)
(BAU = 2869 in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Iranc
894
+590
+269
10.78t
3,068t No NDC communicated to
not available
UNFCCC
CRS-27
link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-2019
2005-2019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Targetsb
Iraqc (First
321
+201
+176
8.17t
1,375t not available
not available
NDC, 2021)
Italyb
377
-321
-177
6.31t
187t EU target (at least a 55%
not available
(EU First NDC,
reduction from 1990 levels by
updated
2030)
12/18/2020)
Japan
1,160
-40
-130
9.16t
226t 46% reduction from FY2013
724
(First NDC,
levels by FY2030; Net zero by
updated 2021)
2050
Kazakhstan
364
-9
+80
19.69t
2,006t 15% reduction from 1990 levels
290-328
(First NDC,
by 2030 (unconditional);
2016)
25% reduction from 1990 levels by 2030 (unconditional + conditional) (unconditional + conditional)
Iranc
828
+588
+259
10.13t
1820t No NDC communicated to
UNFCCC
Italy
391
-121
-160
6.48t
187t EU target (at least a 55%
No more than 231
(EU First NDC,
reduction from 1990 levels
(al ocated share of
updated
by 2030)
projected EU
12/18/2020)
emissions)
Japan
1,180
-30
-110
9.33t
238t 46% reduction from FY2013
724
(First NDC,
levels by FY2030
interim updated 10/12/2020)
Kazakhstan
402
+16
+130
21.99t
2241t 15% reduction from 1990
290-328
(First NDC,
levels by 2030
12/6/2016)
(unconditional);
CRS-23
link to page 27 link to page 27 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
2018 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
Projected 2030
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
GHG Emissions
Country (date)
Emissions
1990-2018
2005-2018
2018
in 2018
NDC Targetsa
Per NDC Targetsb
25% reduction from 1990 levels by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Mexicoc
695
+278
+174
5.51t
569t 22% reduction in GHG
773 (unconditional);
(First NDC,
emissions from BAU (991)
634 (conditional +
updated
and 51% reduction in black
unconditional)
12/30/2020)
carbon emissions by 2030 (unconditional); 36% reduction in GHG emissions from BAU (991) and 70% reduction in black carbon emissions by 2030 Kenyac (First
73
+43
+19
1.4t
731t 32% reduction from BAU (BAU
97
NDC, updated
= 143) by 2030
2020)
Malaysiac (First
396
+199
+68
12.4t
1,084t 45% reduction of economy-wide
not available
NDC, updated
carbon intensity (against GDP)
2021)
from 2005 level by 2030
Mexicoc
671
+245
+138
5.26t
528t 22% of GHG emissions and 51%
773
(First NDC,
reduction of black carbon
(unconditional);
updated 2020)
emissions from BAU (BAU =
634 (conditional +
991 in 2030) by 2030
unconditional)
(unconditional); 36% reduction of GHG from BAU (BAU = 991 in 2030) by 2030 including a 70% reduction of black carbon by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
CRS-28
link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-2019
2005-2019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Targetsb
Moroccoc
91
+59
+34
2.5t
760t 18.3% reduction compared to
78-116 (from
(First NDC,
BAU (BAU = 142 in 2030) by
NDC)
updated 2021)
2030 (unconditional); 45.5% reduction compared to BAU (BAU = 142 in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)(unconditional + conditional)
Moroccoc
92
+58
+31
2.56t
782t 18.3% reduction compared
77.5-116 (from
(First NDC,
with reference scenario
NDC)
updated
(142.3) by 2030
6/22/2021)
(unconditional); 45.5% reduction compared with reference scenario (142.3) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Myanmarc
232
+24
+15
4.31
3041t 244.5 reduction by 2030
not available
(First NDC,
(unconditional);
updated
414.8 reduction by 2030
8/3/2021)
(unconditional + conditional)
Nigeriac
358
+108
+76
1.83t
900t 20% reduction from BAU
362 (unconditional);
(First NDC,
(453) by 2030
240 (conditional +
updated,
(unconditional);
unconditional)
7/30/2021)
47% reduction from BAU (453Mt) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
CRS-24
link to page 27 link to page 27 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
2018 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
Projected 2030
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
GHG Emissions
Country (date)
Emissions
1990-2018
2005-2018
2018
in 2018
NDC Targetsa
Per NDC Targetsb
Pakistanc
438
+272
+160
2.07t
1393t 20% reduction from BAU
1282
(First NDC,
(1603) by 2030 (conditional)
11/10/2016)
Peruc
186
+82
+53
5.82t
838t Not to exceed 208.8 in 2030
No more than
(First NDC,
(unconditional);
208.8
updated
Not to exceed 179 in 2030
(unconditional); no
12/18/2020)
(conditional)
more than 179
(conditional)
Philippinesc (First
235
+137
+81
2.2t
677t 2.71% reduction from BAU
not available
NDC, 4/15/2021)
(3.3 Gt cumulative emissions) for the period 2020-2030 (unconditional) 75% reduction from BAU (3.3 Gt cumulative emissions) for the period 2020-2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Poland
376
-66
+23
9.91t
641t EU target (at least a 55%
No more than 199
(EU First NDC,
reduction from 1990 levels by
(al ocated share of
updated
2030)
projected EU
12/18/2020)
emissions)
Russia
1,630
-1480
+170
11.28t
976t 70% reduction relative to
933
(First NDC,
1990 levels by 2030
11/25/2020)
Saudi Arabiac
638
+447
+272
18.94t
811t “Seek to achieve mitigation
not available
(First NDC,
co-benefits ambitions of up to
11/3/2016)
130 Mt of CO2eq avoided by 2030 annual y through contributions to economic diversification and adaptation.”
CRS-25
link to page 27 link to page 27 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
2018 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
Projected 2030
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
GHG Emissions
Country (date)
Emissions
1990-2018
2005-2018
2018
in 2018
NDC Targetsa
Per NDC Targetsb
South Africac
521
+201
+71
9.01t
1410t Target range of 398-510 by
350-420 (per NDC)
(First NDC,
2025, implementation period
updated
of 2021-2025;
9/27/2021)
Target range of 350-420 by 2030, implementation period 2026-2030
South Koreac
673
+429
+184
13.04t
390t 24.4% reduction from 2017
536
(First NDC,
emission levels (709.1)
updated 12/30/2020)
South Sudanc
68
+32
-3
6.24t
not available not available
not available
(First NDC, 2/23/2021)
Spain
296
+43
-109
6.33t
208t EU target (at least a 55%
No more than 114
(EU First NDC,
reduction from 1990 levels by
(al ocated share of
updated
2030)
projected EU
12/18/2020)
emissions)
Tanzaniac
176
+73
+47
3.12t
3030t 30%-35% reduction from
not available
(First NDC,
BAU by 2030 (138-153
updated
reduction from BAU)
7/30/2021)
Turkey
426
+263
+164
5.18t
548t Turkey is not a Party to the
PA and therefore has not submitted an NDC
Ukraine
342
-541
-70
7.66t
2610t 65% reduction compared
309
(First NDC,
with 1990 by 2030
updated 7/31/2021)
United Kingdom
456
-342
-233
6.86t
159t At least 68% reduction from
No more than 255
1990 levels by 2030
CRS-26
link to page 27 link to page 27 link to page 28 link to page 28 link to page 28
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
2018 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
Projected 2030
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
GHG Emissions
Country (date)
Emissions
1990-2018
2005-2018
2018
in 2018
NDC Targetsa
Per NDC Targetsb
(First NDC, 12/12/2020)
United States
5,900
+320
-680
18.07t
287t 50%-52% reduction from
3,158-3,290
(First NDC after
2005 emissions levels by 2030
rejoining the Paris Agreement, 4/22/2021)
Uzbekistanc
232
+34
+15
7.04t
4610t “To decrease specific
not available
(First NDC,
emissions of GHG per unit of
11/9/2018)
GDP by 10% by 2030 from level of 2010.”
Venezuelac
277
-48
-59
9.6t
not available 20% reduction from BAU
272
(First NDC,
(340) by 2030 (conditional)
2/27/2018)
Vietnamc
364
+363
+157
3.81t
1490t 9% reduction from BAU
677-844
(First NDC,
(927.9) by 2030
updated
(unconditional);
9/11/2020)
27% reduction from BAU (927.9) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Source: World Resources Institute, Climate Watch Data “Country Profiles,” at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/countries; and UNFCCC NDC Registry, at https://www4.unfccc.int/sites/NDCStaging/Pages/Al .aspx. Notes: GHG emissions data from 2018, 2005, and 1990 and GHG emissions per capita and per GDP data are from countries’ reported submissions to the UNFCCC as available from Climate Watch Data, except where noted (see table note c). CO2e is the tons of CO2 that would have the equivalent effect of the GHG on forcing global average temperature (positive or negative) as one ton of the GHG in question. Emissions data include those emissions from land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF). Also, t = metric tons; and Gt (gigatons) = 1 bil ion metric tons. BAU = “business-as-usual.” Maia Alberts, CRS Intern Summer 2021, contributed to this table. a. NDC targets extracted from most recently submitted NDCs available in the UNFCCC NDC Registry. b. Year 2030 emissions targets calculated using NDC 2030 target reductions and base year emissions as reported by each country t o the UNFCCC, where available.
Estimates for the EU-27 and listed member states (France, Germany, Italy, and Spain) under their Effort-Sharing Decision are from Table A1.1 in European Environment Agency, Trends and Projections in Europe 2020: Tracking Progress Towards Europe’s Climate and Energy Targets, EEA Report No. 13/2020, November 26, 2020, at https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/trends-and-projections-in-europe-2020/.
CRS-27
c. Because certain countries submitted GHG emissions data to the UNFCCC for intermittent years only, some emissions data are from CAIT (formerly known as the
Climate Analysis Indicators Tool), as available from Climate Watch Data. CAIT compiles emissions data from nongovernmental sources to supplement countries’ intermittent emissions reporting (see https://cait.wri.org/faq.html).
d. EU-27 emissions data for al years exclude emissions from the UK.
CRS-28
Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Author Information
Kezee Procita
Senior Research Librarian
Disclaimer
This document was prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). CRS serves as nonpartisan shared staff to congressional committees and Members of Congress. It operates solely at the behest of and under the direction of Congress. Information in a CRS Report should n ot
Myanmarc
243
+35
+26
4.5
3,537t 244.5 reduction by 2030
not available
(First NDC,
(unconditional);
updated 2021)
414.8 reduction by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Nigeriac
354
+86
+56
1.76t
791t 20% reduction from BAU (453)
362
(First NDC,
by 2030 (unconditional);
(unconditional);
updated 2021)
47% reduction from BAU
240 (conditional +
(453Mt) by 2030 (unconditional
unconditional)
+ conditional)
Pakistanc
439
+272
+154
2.03t
1,370t 15% reduction from BAU (BAU
1363
(First NDC,
= 1603 in 2030) by 2030
(unconditional);
updated 2021)
(unconditional);
802 (unconditional
50% reduction from BAU (BAU
+ conditional)
= 1603 in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Peruc
191
+87
+58
5.86t
835t Not to exceed 208.8 in 2030
No more than
(First NDC,
(unconditional);
208.8
updated 2020)
Not to exceed 179 in 2030
(unconditional)
(conditional)
; no more than 179 (conditional) (from NDC)
CRS-29
link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-2019
2005-2019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Targetsb
Philippinesc
237
+139
+87
2.2t
628t 2.71% reduction from BAU (3.3
not available
(First NDC,
Gt cumulative emissions) for
updated 2021)
the period 2020-2030 (unconditional) 75% reduction from BAU (3.3 Gt cumulative emissions) for the period 2020-2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Polandb
376
-70
+21
9.91t
641t EU target (at least a 55%
not available
(EU First NDC,
reduction from 1990 levels by
updated 2020)
2030)
Russia
1,580
-1510
+150
10.97t
936t 70% reduction relative to 1990
927
(First NDC,
levels by 2030
2020)
Saudi Arabiac
723
+482
+294
21.1t
900t Reduce and avoid GHG
not available
(First NDC,
emissions by 278 annually by
updated 2021)
2030
South Africac
562
+224
+80
9.6t
1,449t 398-510 by 2025,
350-420
(First NDC,
implementation period of 2021-
(from NDC)
updated 2021)
2025; 350-420 by 2030, implementation period 2026-2030
South Koreac
653
+414
+164
12.61t
395t 40% reduction from 2018
437
(First NDC,
emission levels (727.6) by 2030
updated 2021)
Spainb
277
+23
-127
5.88t
199t EU target (at least a 55%
not available
(EU First NDC,
reduction from 1990 levels by
updated 2020)
2030)
CRS-30
link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32 link to page 32
Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-2019
2005-2019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Targetsb
Sudanc (First
127
+56
+16
2.97
3,929 Sector-specific targets for
not available
NDC, updated
energy, forests, and waste.
2021)
Tanzaniac
155
+57
+32
2.67t
2,533t 30%-35% reduction from BAU
not available
(First NDC,
by 2030, whereby about 138-
updated 2021)
153 gross emissions is expected to be reduced
Thailandc (First
437
+264
+155
6.28t
804t 20% reduction from BAU (BAU
416-444
NDC, updated
= 555) by 2030 (unconditional);
2020)
Up to 25% reduction from BAU (BAU = 555) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Turkey (First
422
+258
+159
5.06t
555t Up to 21% reduction from BAU
929 (from NDC)
NDC, 2021)
(BAU = 1,175 in 2030) by 2030
Ukraine
332
-552
-76
7.48t
2,159t 65% reduction from 1990 levels
309
(First NDC,
(883) by 2030;
updated 2021)
“Carbon neutrality” by 2060
United Kingdom
459
-354
-239
6.87t
159t At least 68% reduction from
No more than 260
(First NDC,
1990 levels by 2030
updated 2022)
United States
5,770
+230
-860
17.57t
270t 50%-52% reduction from 2005
2,984-3,315
(First NDC
emissions levels by 2030
after rejoining the Paris Agreement, 2021)
Uzbekistanc
185
+21
+24
5.52t
3,095t 35% reduction of specific GHG
not available
(First NDC,
emissions per unit GDP from
updated 2021)
2010 levels by 2030
CRS-31
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Change in
Change in
GHG
GHG
Projected 2030
2019 Net
Net GHG
Net GHG
Emissions/
Emissions/
GHG Emissions
Country
GHG
Emissions
Emissions
Capita in
Million GDP
Per NDC
(date)
Emissions
1990-2019
2005-2019
2019
in 2019
NDC Targetsa
Targetsb
Venezuelac
300
-97
-143
10.51t
not available 20% reduction compared to
not available
(First NDC,
BAU by 2030
updated 2021)
Vietnamc
438
+436
+230
4.54t
1,326t 9% reduction from BAU (BAU
677-844
(First NDC,
= 928 in 2030) by 2030
updated 2020)
(unconditional); 27% reduction from BAU (BAU = 928 in 2030) by 2030 (unconditional + conditional)
Sources: World Resources Institute, Climate Watch Data “Country Profiles,” at https://www.climatewatchdata.org/countries; and UNFCCC NDC Registry, at https://www4.unfccc.int/sites/NDCStaging/Pages/All.aspx. Notes: GHG emissions data from 2019, 2005, and 1990 and GHG emissions per capita and per GDP data are from countries’ reported submissions to the UNFCCC as available from Climate Watch Data, except where noted (see table note c). CO2e is the tons of CO2 that would have the equivalent effect of the GHG on forcing global average temperature (positive or negative) as one ton of the GHG in question. Emissions data include those emissions from land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF). Also, t = metric tons; and Gt (gigatons) = 1 bil ion metric tons. BAU = “business-as-usual.” a. NDC targets extracted from most recently submitted NDCs available in the UNFCCC NDC Registry. b. Year 2030 emissions targets calculated using NDC 2030 target reductions and base year emissions as reported by each country to the UNFCCC, where available.
Estimates for the EU-27 Member States (France, Germany, Italy, Poland, and Spain) are not available as of September 30, 2022. The EU’s Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR), which creates binding minimum targets for emissions reductions by Member States, has not yet been aligned with the 55% target level. See, Technical Background Document Accompanying the report, Trends and Projections in Europe 2021, at https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/trends-and-projections-in-europe-2021/technical-background-document/view.
c. Because certain countries submitted GHG emissions data to the UNFCCC for intermittent years only, some emissions data are from CAIT (formerly known as the
Climate Analysis Indicators Tool), as available from Climate Watch Data. CAIT compiles emissions data from nongovernmental sources to supplement countries’ intermittent emissions reporting (see https://cait.wri.org/faq.html).
d. EU-27 emissions data for all years exclude emissions from the UK.
CRS-32
Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Efforts by Selected Countries
Author Information
Kezee Procita
Head Research and Library Services Section
Disclaimer
This document was prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). CRS serves as nonpartisan shared staff to congressional committees and Members of Congress. It operates solely at the behest of and under the direction of Congress. Information in a CRS Report should not be relied upon for purposes other be relied upon for purposes other
than public understanding of information that has been provided by CRS to Members of Congress in than public understanding of information that has been provided by CRS to Members of Congress in
connection with CRS’s institutional role. CRS Reports, as a work of the United States Government, are not connection with CRS’s institutional role. CRS Reports, as a work of the United States Government, are not
subject to copyright protection in the United States. Any CRS Report may be reproduced and distributed in subject to copyright protection in the United States. Any CRS Report may be reproduced and distributed in
its entirety without permission from CRS. However, as a CRS Report may include copyrighted images or its entirety without permission from CRS. However, as a CRS Report may include copyrighted images or
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Congressional Research Service
Congressional Research Service
R46945
R46945
· VERSION 1 · NEW
295 · UPDATED
33