Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress

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Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress
~~October 8~~December 3, 2021 , 2021
In 2017, the corporate tax rate was cut from 35% to 21%, major changes were made in the In 2017, the corporate tax rate was cut from 35% to 21%, major changes were made in the
international tax system, and changes were made in other corporate provisions, including international tax system, and changes were made in other corporate provisions, including
Jane G. Gravelle
allowing expensing (an immediate deduction) for equipment investment. Recently, proposals allowing expensing (an immediate deduction) for equipment investment. Recently, proposals
Senior Specialist in Senior Specialist in
have been made to increase revenue from corporate taxes, including an increased tax rate, and have been made to increase revenue from corporate taxes, including an increased tax rate, and
Economic Policy Economic Policy
revise the international tax provisions to raise revenue. These revenues may be needed to fund revise the international tax provisions to raise revenue. These revenues may be needed to fund

additional spending or reduce the deficit. additional spending or reduce the deficit.

Some level of corporate tax is needed to prevent corporations from becoming a tax shelter for Some level of corporate tax is needed to prevent corporations from becoming a tax shelter for
high-income taxpayers. The lower corporate taxes adopted in 2017 made the corporate form of organization more attractive high-income taxpayers. The lower corporate taxes adopted in 2017 made the corporate form of organization more attractive
to individuals. At the same time, higher corporate taxes have traditionally led to concerns about economic distortions arising to individuals. At the same time, higher corporate taxes have traditionally led to concerns about economic distortions arising
from the corporate tax and newer concerns arising from the increasingly global nature of the economy. In addition, leading up from the corporate tax and newer concerns arising from the increasingly global nature of the economy. In addition, leading up
to the 2017 tax cut, some claimed that lowering the corporate tax rate would raise revenue because of the behavioral to the 2017 tax cut, some claimed that lowering the corporate tax rate would raise revenue because of the behavioral
responses, an effect that is linked to an open economy. Although the corporate tax has generally been viewed as contributing responses, an effect that is linked to an open economy. Although the corporate tax has generally been viewed as contributing
to a more progressive tax system because the burden falls on capital income and thus on higher-income individuals, claims to a more progressive tax system because the burden falls on capital income and thus on higher-income individuals, claims
were also made that the burden falls not on owners of capital, but on labor income—an effect also linked to an open were also made that the burden falls not on owners of capital, but on labor income—an effect also linked to an open
economy. economy.
The analysis in this report suggests that many of the concerns expressed about the corporate tax are not supported by The analysis in this report suggests that many of the concerns expressed about the corporate tax are not supported by
empirical evidence. Claims that behavioral responses could cause revenues to rise if rates were cut do not hold up on either a empirical evidence. Claims that behavioral responses could cause revenues to rise if rates were cut do not hold up on either a
theoretical or an empirical basis. Studies that purport to show a revenue-maximizing corporate tax rate of 30% (a rate lower theoretical or an empirical basis. Studies that purport to show a revenue-maximizing corporate tax rate of 30% (a rate lower
than the prior statutory tax rate) contain econometric errors that lead to biased and inconsistent results; when those problems than the prior statutory tax rate) contain econometric errors that lead to biased and inconsistent results; when those problems
are corrected the results disappear. Cross-country studies to provide direct evidence showing that the burden of the corporate are corrected the results disappear. Cross-country studies to provide direct evidence showing that the burden of the corporate
tax actually falls on labor yield unreasonable results and prove to suffer from econometric flaws that also lead to a tax actually falls on labor yield unreasonable results and prove to suffer from econometric flaws that also lead to a
disappearance of the results when corrected, in those cases where data were obtained and the results replicated. Many studies disappearance of the results when corrected, in those cases where data were obtained and the results replicated. Many studies
that have been cited are not relevant to the United States because they reflect wage bargaining approaches and unions have that have been cited are not relevant to the United States because they reflect wage bargaining approaches and unions have
virtually disappeared from the private sector in the United States. Overall, the evidence suggests that the tax is largely borne virtually disappeared from the private sector in the United States. Overall, the evidence suggests that the tax is largely borne
by capital. Similarly, claims that high U.S. tax rates created problems for the United States in a global economy suffer from a by capital. Similarly, claims that high U.S. tax rates created problems for the United States in a global economy suffer from a
misrepresentation of the U.S. tax rate compared with other countries, because the comparisons focus on statutory rate. Tax misrepresentation of the U.S. tax rate compared with other countries, because the comparisons focus on statutory rate. Tax
rates are less important when capital is imperfectly mobile, as it appears to be, and because these concerns did not address the rates are less important when capital is imperfectly mobile, as it appears to be, and because these concerns did not address the
fundamental issues of efficiency in international taxation. fundamental issues of efficiency in international taxation.
Although these new arguments appear to rely on questionable methods, the traditional concerns about the corporate tax Although these new arguments appear to rely on questionable methods, the traditional concerns about the corporate tax
appear valid. Although an argument may be made that the tax is still needed as a backstop to individual tax collections, it appear valid. Although an argument may be made that the tax is still needed as a backstop to individual tax collections, it
does result in some economic distortions. These economic distortions, however, have declined substantially over time as does result in some economic distortions. These economic distortions, however, have declined substantially over time as
corporate rates and shares of output have fallen, even before the 2017 tax cut. Lower corporate taxes also create a way of corporate rates and shares of output have fallen, even before the 2017 tax cut. Lower corporate taxes also create a way of
sheltering individual income given the low tax rates on dividends and capital gains. sheltering individual income given the low tax rates on dividends and capital gains.
In addition to higher tax rates, a number of revisions could be made to increase corporate tax revenue, including In addition to higher tax rates, a number of revisions could be made to increase corporate tax revenue, including
 eliminating preferences in the corporate tax that mismeasure income or lead to economic inefficiencies,  eliminating preferences in the corporate tax that mismeasure income or lead to economic inefficiencies,
 revising the tax treatment of foreign source income, and  revising the tax treatment of foreign source income, and
 changing shareholder level taxes.  changing shareholder level taxes.
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Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for ~~Congress~~
Congres s
Introduction
As Congress considers tax revisions, an important and chal enging component is the tax treatment As Congress considers tax revisions, an important and chal enging component is the tax treatment
of the corporation. Following an extensive debate, corporate tax rates were reduced and other of the corporation. Following an extensive debate, corporate tax rates were reduced and other
major changes were made to the corporate tax system in 2017 (P.L. 115-97), especial y to the major changes were made to the corporate tax system in 2017 (P.L. 115-97), especial y to the
international tax treatment. Proposals have now been made to increase the corporate tax rate, international tax treatment. Proposals have now been made to increase the corporate tax rate,
revise international tax rules, and make other changes to raise revenue. revise international tax rules, and make other changes to raise revenue.
The traditional arguments surrounding the corporate tax, which largely focus on distortions The traditional arguments surrounding the corporate tax, which largely focus on distortions
introduced by the tax, were discussed in a January 2017 Treasury study.1 This study also introduced by the tax, were discussed in a January 2017 Treasury study.1 This study also
discussed choice of organizational form and international issues. The debate leading up to the discussed choice of organizational form and international issues. The debate leading up to the
2017 revision included arguments that cutting the corporate tax rate would stimulate economic 2017 revision included arguments that cutting the corporate tax rate would stimulate economic
growth, and even raise revenue, or on claims that the tax is a burden not on capital but on labor. growth, and even raise revenue, or on claims that the tax is a burden not on capital but on labor.
Leading up to the revision, Steven Mnuchin, then-Secretary of the Treasury, advanced the Leading up to the revision, Steven Mnuchin, then-Secretary of the Treasury, advanced the
argument that the corporate tax is paid by workers, citing a study by Azémar and Hubbard as argument that the corporate tax is paid by workers, citing a study by Azémar and Hubbard as
evidence.2 A news report indicated three additional articles referenced by the Treasury press evidence.2 A news report indicated three additional articles referenced by the Treasury press
office in support of the burden fal ing on wages (although the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis office in support of the burden fal ing on wages (although the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis
currently assigns most of the burden to capital income): studies by Randolph, Hassett and Mathur, currently assigns most of the burden to capital income): studies by Randolph, Hassett and Mathur,
and Lui and Altshuler.3 and Lui and Altshuler.3
Opinion pieces at that time referenced a variety of other studies that found large effects of Opinion pieces at that time referenced a variety of other studies that found large effects of
corporate taxes on economic growth or the burden of the tax fal s on wages,4 whereas others corporate taxes on economic growth or the burden of the tax fal s on wages,4 whereas others
expressed disagreement.5 expressed disagreement.5
These issues remain important ones to consider with a new debate on the corporate tax rate and These issues remain important ones to consider with a new debate on the corporate tax rate and
on revisions in international tax rules. on revisions in international tax rules.
The current debate raises issues similar to one that began more than 10 years ago and might be The current debate raises issues similar to one that began more than 10 years ago and might be
viewed as the beginning of the 2017 reduction in the corporate rate,6 as wel as the more recent viewed as the beginning of the 2017 reduction in the corporate rate,6 as wel as the more recent
proposals for partial y reversing the 2017 rate cut and revising the international system. Before proposals for partial y reversing the 2017 rate cut and revising the international system. Before

1 U.S. Department of the T reasury’s Office of T ax Analysis, 1 U.S. Department of the T reasury’s Office of T ax Analysis, The Case for Responsible Business Tax Reform , January , January
2017, https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Report-Responsible-Business-T ax-Reform-2017.pdf. 2017, https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Report-Responsible-Business-T ax-Reform-2017.pdf.
2 Richard Rubin, “Who Ultimately Pays for Corporate T axes? T he Answer May Color the Republican Overhaul,” 2 Richard Rubin, “Who Ultimately Pays for Corporate T axes? T he Answer May Color the Republican Overhaul,” Wall
Street Journal, August 8, 2017. T he paper referenced is Céline Azémar and Glenn Hubbard, “ Country Characteristics , August 8, 2017. T he paper referenced is Céline Azémar and Glenn Hubbard, “ Country Characteristics
and the Incidence of Capital Income T axes on Wages: An Empirical Assessment,and the Incidence of Capital Income T axes on Wages: An Empirical Assessment, ” ” Canadian Journal of Econom ics, ,
vol. 48, iss. 5 (December 2015), pp. 1762-1802. vol. 48, iss. 5 (December 2015), pp. 1762-1802.
3 Robert Farley, “Who Benefits from Corporate T ax Cut, T he Wire, September 7, 2017 at 3 Robert Farley, “Who Benefits from Corporate T ax Cut, T he Wire, September 7, 2017 at
http://www.factcheck.org/2017/09/benefits-corporate-tax-cut/. T he papers cited are William C. Randolph, http://www.factcheck.org/2017/09/benefits-corporate-tax-cut/. T he papers cited are William C. Randolph, International
Burdens of the Corporate Tax, Congressional Budget Office, Working Paper no. 2006-09, August 2006; Kevin A. , Congressional Budget Office, Working Paper no. 2006-09, August 2006; Kevin A.
Hassett and Aparna Mathur, “ A Spatial Model of Corporate T ax Incidence,” Hassett and Aparna Mathur, “ A Spatial Model of Corporate T ax Incidence,” Applied Economics, vol. 47, no. 3 (2015), , vol. 47, no. 3 (2015),
pp. 1350-1365; and Li Liu and Rosanne Altshuler, pp. 1350-1365; and Li Liu and Rosanne Altshuler, Measuring the Burden of a Corporate Tax Under Im perfect
Com petition, Oxford Working Paper no. 11/05. A version was subsequently published in the , Oxford Working Paper no. 11/05. A version was subsequently published in the National Tax Journal, vol. , vol.
66, no. 1 (September 2013), pp. 215 -237. 66, no. 1 (September 2013), pp. 215 -237.
4 Gordon Gray, “Corporate T ax Reform and How It affects Economic Growth, American Action Forum,” April 18, 4 Gordon Gray, “Corporate T ax Reform and How It affects Economic Growth, American Action Forum,” April 18,
2017, https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/corporate-tax-reform-affects-economic-growth-2/. Kevin A. 2017, https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/corporate-tax-reform-affects-economic-growth-2/. Kevin A.
Hassett, “T he Cure for Wage Stagnation,” Hassett, “T he Cure for Wage Stagnation,” Wall Street Journal, August 14, 2016, at http://www.aei.org/publication/the-, August 14, 2016, at http://www.aei.org/publication/the-
cure-for-wage-stagnation/. cure-for-wage-stagnation/.
5 Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, “Corporate 5 Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, “Corporate ~~Rat e~~Rate Cuts Are a Poor Way to Help the Economy and Most Cuts Are a Poor Way to Help the Economy and Most
Workers-and Could Hurt T hem,” June 9, 2017; Kimberly Clausing, “ In Search of Corporate T ax Incidence,” Workers-and Could Hurt T hem,” June 9, 2017; Kimberly Clausing, “ In Search of Corporate T ax Incidence,” Tax Law
Review, vol. 65 (2012), pp. 433-471, http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/Clausing2012.pdf. , vol. 65 (2012), pp. 433-471, http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/Clausing2012.pdf.
6 T his report was initially prepared to discuss some of the issues raised at that time and has been updated to follow the 6 T his report was initially prepared to discuss some of the issues raised at that time and has been updated to follow the
developments in research, especially concerning whether the tax burden falls on capital or labor. developments in research, especially concerning whether the tax burden falls on capital or labor.
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turning to the basic issues surrounding the corporate tax, it is useful to trace this history of the turning to the basic issues surrounding the corporate tax, it is useful to trace this history of the
discussion of issues and proposals for corporate reform. discussion of issues and proposals for corporate reform.
In November 2005, President George W. Bush’s Advisory Panel on Tax Reform reported on a In November 2005, President George W. Bush’s Advisory Panel on Tax Reform reported on a
variety of proposals for major reform of the tax system, including those for corporate and variety of proposals for major reform of the tax system, including those for corporate and
business income taxes.7 Hearings were held on these proposals in 2006, but no further action business income taxes.7 Hearings were held on these proposals in 2006, but no further action
occurred. occurred.
On July 16, 2007, On July 16, 2007, The Wall Street Journal published an opinion article by Treasury Secretary published an opinion article by Treasury Secretary
Henry M. Paulson addressing concerns that the U.S. corporate tax rate is high relative to other Henry M. Paulson addressing concerns that the U.S. corporate tax rate is high relative to other
countries and announcing a conference to be held July 26 that would examine the U.S. business countries and announcing a conference to be held July 26 that would examine the U.S. business
tax system and its effects on the economy.8 The Department of the Treasury also released a tax system and its effects on the economy.8 The Department of the Treasury also released a
background paper that addressed several issues associated with the corporate tax and identified background paper that addressed several issues associated with the corporate tax and identified
some base broadening provisions.9 An opinion piece by R. Glenn Hubbard, President Bush’s first some base broadening provisions.9 An opinion piece by R. Glenn Hubbard, President Bush’s first
chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, referred to the conference as wel as to a study by chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, referred to the conference as wel as to a study by
Hassett and Mathur finding that the tax fel on labor and a study by Devereux considering the Hassett and Mathur finding that the tax fel on labor and a study by Devereux considering the
revenue-maximizing tax rate.10 Hubbard concluded by suggesting that cutting the corporate tax revenue-maximizing tax rate.10 Hubbard concluded by suggesting that cutting the corporate tax
rate would reduce a tax that is largely, or even fully, borne by labor and that behavioral responses rate would reduce a tax that is largely, or even fully, borne by labor and that behavioral responses
would offset much of the static revenue cost. would offset much of the static revenue cost.
During the conference, discussions included whether business representatives would trade tax During the conference, discussions included whether business representatives would trade tax
preferences for lower rates, whether reform should take the form of lower rates or write-offs of preferences for lower rates, whether reform should take the form of lower rates or write-offs of
investments, and methods of avoiding the corporate tax by income shifting in a global economy. investments, and methods of avoiding the corporate tax by income shifting in a global economy.
Some participants complained that the corporate tax is outdated, too complex, distorts decisions, Some participants complained that the corporate tax is outdated, too complex, distorts decisions,
and undermines the ability of firms to complete in a global economy. Echoing some issues raised and undermines the ability of firms to complete in a global economy. Echoing some issues raised
in Hubbard’s article, Kevin Hassett indicated that the corporate tax was not an effective way to in Hubbard’s article, Kevin Hassett indicated that the corporate tax was not an effective way to
raise revenues and suggested that lowering the rate would raise revenues.11 raise revenues and suggested that lowering the rate would raise revenues.11
At the time of the Treasury conference, Chairman Charles B. Rangel of the House Ways and At the time of the Treasury conference, Chairman Charles B. Rangel of the House Ways and
Means Committee released a statement inviting the Bush Administration to discuss such issues as Means Committee released a statement inviting the Bush Administration to discuss such issues as
tax reform, especial y the alternative minimum tax (AMT), addressing tax havens, and increasing tax reform, especial y the alternative minimum tax (AMT), addressing tax havens, and increasing
equity and fairness in the tax structure.12 Chairman Rangel introduced a bil , H.R. 3970, on equity and fairness in the tax structure.12 Chairman Rangel introduced a bil , H.R. 3970, on
October 25, 2007, with a revenue-neutral subsection that included some of the base broadeners October 25, 2007, with a revenue-neutral subsection that included some of the base broadeners
included in the 2007 Treasury paper noted above. The rate reduction, from 35% to 30.5%, was included in the 2007 Treasury paper noted above. The rate reduction, from 35% to 30.5%, was

7 T ax Policy Center, 7 T ax Policy Center, Simple, Fair, and Pro-Growth: Proposals to Fix America’s Tax System , November 2005, at , November 2005, at
http://www.taxreformpanel.gov/. http://www.taxreformpanel.gov/.
8 Henry M. Paulson Jr., “Our Broken Corporate T ax Code,” 8 Henry M. Paulson Jr., “Our Broken Corporate T ax Code,” The Wall Street Journal, July 19, 2007. , July 19, 2007.
9 U.S. Department of the T reasury, “Treasury T ax Conference on Business T axation and Global Competitiveness: 9 U.S. Department of the T reasury, “Treasury T ax Conference on Business T axation and Global Competitiveness:
Background Paper,” July 30, 2007, at https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Documents/07230%20r.pdf. Background Paper,” July 30, 2007, at https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Documents/07230%20r.pdf.
10 R. Glenn Hubbard, “T he Corporate Tax Myth,” 10 R. Glenn Hubbard, “T he Corporate Tax Myth,” The Wall Street Journal, July 26, 2007. T he paper was the first , July 26, 2007. T he paper was the first
version of the Hassett and Mathur study: Kevin A. Hassett and Aparna Mathur, version of the Hassett and Mathur study: Kevin A. Hassett and Aparna Mathur, Taxes and Wages, American Enterprise , American Enterprise
Institute, working paper, March 6, 2006, presented at a conference of the American Enterprise Institute on May 2, Institute, working paper, March 6, 2006, presented at a conference of the American Enterprise Institute on May 2,
2006. T he reference to Michael Devereux apparently refers to a paper also presented at the American Enterprise 2006. T he reference to Michael Devereux apparently refers to a paper also presented at the American Enterprise
~~Institute~~Institut e Symposium. Symposium.
11 T his summary and other references to the issues discussed at the conference are based on two detailed media 11 T his summary and other references to the issues discussed at the conference are based on two detailed media
accounts of the conference: Heidi Glenn, “ Business Leaders would Give Up T ax Breaks for Lower Rates,” accounts of the conference: Heidi Glenn, “ Business Leaders would Give Up T ax Breaks for Lower Rates,” Tax Notes,
July 30, 2007, pp. 324-327, and Joanne M. Weiner, “ U.S. Corporate T ax Reform: All T alk, No Action,” July 30, 2007, pp. 324-327, and Joanne M. Weiner, “ U.S. Corporate T ax Reform: All T alk, No Action,” Tax Notes, ,
August 27, 2007, pp. 716-728. August 27, 2007, pp. 716-728.
12 Statement released by the Honorable Charles B. Rangel, chairman, Ways and Means Committee, July 26, 2007. 12 Statement released by the Honorable Charles B. Rangel, chairman, Ways and Means Committee, July 26, 2007.
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not as large as the 27% discussed in the 2007 Treasury study. Base broadeners in H.R. 3970 were not as large as the 27% discussed in the 2007 Treasury study. Base broadeners in H.R. 3970 were
criticized by some business groups.13 criticized by some business groups.13
The corporate tax debate and the issues of burden and effects on growth continued to be in the The corporate tax debate and the issues of burden and effects on growth continued to be in the
news. In May 2008, N. Gregory Mankiw published an article suggesting that most of the burden news. In May 2008, N. Gregory Mankiw published an article suggesting that most of the burden
of the tax fal s on labor, citing research suggesting the corporate tax is borne by labor and that of the tax fal s on labor, citing research suggesting the corporate tax is borne by labor and that
revenue losses may be fully or largely offset by behavioral responses.14 revenue losses may be fully or largely offset by behavioral responses.14
In the 111th Congress, S. 3018, introduced by Senators Ron Wyden and Judd Gregg, also provided In the 111th Congress, S. 3018, introduced by Senators Ron Wyden and Judd Gregg, also provided
for a lower corporate tax rate in exchange for a somewhat broader corporate tax base. A similar for a lower corporate tax rate in exchange for a somewhat broader corporate tax base. A similar
bil , S. 727, was introduced by Senators Wyden and Coats in the 112th Congress. The Fiscal bil , S. 727, was introduced by Senators Wyden and Coats in the 112th Congress. The Fiscal
Commission proposed a corporate reform similar to the Wyden-Gregg bil . In addition to the Commission proposed a corporate reform similar to the Wyden-Gregg bil . In addition to the
Wyden-Gregg and Wyden-Coats proposals and the Fiscal Commission proposals, there were Wyden-Gregg and Wyden-Coats proposals and the Fiscal Commission proposals, there were
general proposals by Republican leaders in the House (Majority Leader Eric Cantor, Ways and general proposals by Republican leaders in the House (Majority Leader Eric Cantor, Ways and
Means Chairman Dave Camp, and Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan) for corporate tax Means Chairman Dave Camp, and Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan) for corporate tax
reform with rate reductions. reform with rate reductions.
In 2014, Chairman Camp introduced H.R. 1, a comprehensive proposal that reformed both In 2014, Chairman Camp introduced H.R. 1, a comprehensive proposal that reformed both
individual and corporate income taxes and was revenue neutral during the 10-year budget individual and corporate income taxes and was revenue neutral during the 10-year budget
horizon, as wel as distributional y neutral. It cut the corporate tax rate to 25%. President Barack horizon, as wel as distributional y neutral. It cut the corporate tax rate to 25%. President Barack
Obama also supported revenue-neutral corporate tax reform, although some groups proposed Obama also supported revenue-neutral corporate tax reform, although some groups proposed
raising additional revenue from corporations.15 During 2016, Senator Hatch, chairman of the raising additional revenue from corporations.15 During 2016, Senator Hatch, chairman of the
Senate Finance Committee, indicated an interest in corporate tax integration (where only one Senate Finance Committee, indicated an interest in corporate tax integration (where only one
level of tax would be imposed on corporate income).16 Subsequently, Speaker Paul Ryan and level of tax would be imposed on corporate income).16 Subsequently, Speaker Paul Ryan and
Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady proposed a major revision in the tax Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady proposed a major revision in the tax
treatment of business income in their “Better Way” blueprint. It partial y transformed the current treatment of business income in their “Better Way” blueprint. It partial y transformed the current
income tax into, effectively, a domestic consumption tax. The border adjustments that make this income tax into, effectively, a domestic consumption tax. The border adjustments that make this
proposal a domestic consumption tax appeared no longer on the table and a new plan was under proposal a domestic consumption tax appeared no longer on the table and a new plan was under
discussion in cooperation with the House, Senate, and Administration.17 discussion in cooperation with the House, Senate, and Administration.17

13 See Jeffrey H. Birnbaum, “Democrat Overhaul of T axes: Rangel Would Annul AMT , Shift Burden,” 13 See Jeffrey H. Birnbaum, “Democrat Overhaul of T axes: Rangel Would Annul AMT , Shift Burden,” Washington
Post, October 26, 2007, p. D1. , October 26, 2007, p. D1.
14 N. Gregory Mankiw, “T he Problem with the Corporate Tax,” 14 N. Gregory Mankiw, “T he Problem with the Corporate Tax,” New York Times, June 2, 2008. For empirical evidence , June 2, 2008. For empirical evidence
on incidence he cites an empirical study by Wiji Aralampalam, Michael P. Devereux, and Giorgia Maffini, on incidence he cites an empirical study by Wiji Aralampalam, Michael P. Devereux, and Giorgia Maffini, The Direct
Incidence of Corporate Incom e Tax on Wages, Oxford University Center for Business T axation, May, 2008. For , Oxford University Center for Business T axation, May, 2008. For
empirical evidence on the feedback effects on revenue, he cites Alexempirical evidence on the feedback effects on revenue, he cites Alex Brill and Kevin Hassett, Brill and Kevin Hassett, Revenue Maxim izing
Corporate Incom e Taxes, American Enterprise Institute, Working Paper no. 137, July 31, 2007. , American Enterprise Institute, Working Paper no. 137, July 31, 2007.
15 See “Leader Cantor Unveils Pro-Growth Economic Plan at Stanford University,” press release, March 21, 2011, 15 See “Leader Cantor Unveils Pro-Growth Economic Plan at Stanford University,” press release, March 21, 2011,
http://majorityleader.house.gov/newsroom/2011/03/embargoed-leader-cantor-unveils-pro-growth-economic-plan-at-http://majorityleader.house.gov/newsroom/2011/03/embargoed-leader-cantor-unveils-pro-growth-economic-plan-at-
stanford-university.htm and “ Obama Backs Corporate T ax Cut If Won’t Raise Deficit,” stanford-university.htm and “ Obama Backs Corporate T ax Cut If Won’t Raise Deficit,” Bloom berg, January 25, 2011, , January 25, 2011,
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-26/obama-backs-cut-in-u-s-corporate-tax-rate-only-if-it-won-t-affect-http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-26/obama-backs-cut-in-u-s-corporate-tax-rate-only-if-it-won-t-affect-
deficit.html. For proposals in the deficit reduction plans, see CRS Report R41970, deficit.html. For proposals in the deficit reduction plans, see CRS Report R41970, Addressing the Long-Run Budget
Deficit: A Com parison of Approaches, by Jane G. Gravelle and CRS Report R41641, , by Jane G. Gravelle and CRS Report R41641, Reducing the Budget Deficit: Tax
Policy Options, by Molly F. Sherlock. , by Molly F. Sherlock.
16 See CRS Report R44638, 16 See CRS Report R44638, Corporate Tax Integration and Tax Reform , by Jane G. Gravelle. , by Jane G. Gravelle.
17 Although the border adjustments that led it to be a domestic consumption tax appear ed no longer on the table, the 17 Although the border adjustments that led it to be a domestic consumption tax appear ed no longer on the table, the
proposal was similar in its effects on investment to a consumption tax in that it had expensing and disallowed interest proposal was similar in its effects on investment to a consumption tax in that it had expensing and disallowed interest
deductions, which means it did not tax the return to marginal investments. For a more detailed discussion , see CRS deductions, which means it did not tax the return to marginal investments. For a more detailed discussion , see CRS
Report R44823, Report R44823, The “Better Way” House Tax Plan: An Econom ic Analysis, by Jane G. Gravelle. For a discussion of , by Jane G. Gravelle. For a discussion of
the plan under development , see Jonathan Curry, Luca Gattoni-Celli, and Asha Glover, “ ’Big Six’ T out T ax Reform the plan under development , see Jonathan Curry, Luca Gattoni-Celli, and Asha Glover, “ ’Big Six’ T out T ax Reform
Unity, Drop Border T ax,” Unity, Drop Border T ax,” Tax Analysts, July 28, 2017, http://www.taxanalysts.org/content/big-6-tout-tax-reform-unity-, July 28, 2017, http://www.taxanalysts.org/content/big-6-tout-tax-reform-unity-
drop-border-tax. drop-border-tax.
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The 2017 tax revision, which included temporary individual tax revisions and permanent The 2017 tax revision, which included temporary individual tax revisions and permanent
corporate and business tax changes that reduced revenue, lowered the corporate tax rate from corporate and business tax changes that reduced revenue, lowered the corporate tax rate from
35% to 21%. It made major changes to international tax rules by moving from a regime where 35% to 21%. It made major changes to international tax rules by moving from a regime where
income of foreign subsidiaries was taxed only when profits were repatriated as dividends were income of foreign subsidiaries was taxed only when profits were repatriated as dividends were
paid to the U.S. parent to one where dividends were exempt but foreign profits taxed after an paid to the U.S. parent to one where dividends were exempt but foreign profits taxed after an
exemption for a deemed return on tangible assets and after a deduction to lower the rate. This exemption for a deemed return on tangible assets and after a deduction to lower the rate. This
provision was designed to tax global intangible low-taxed income (GILTI) at a lower rate and is provision was designed to tax global intangible low-taxed income (GILTI) at a lower rate and is
referred to as a global minimum tax. (In prior and current law, credits were al owed against U.S. referred to as a global minimum tax. (In prior and current law, credits were al owed against U.S.
tax for foreign taxes paid, although these credits are al owed on an overal basis that al ows tax for foreign taxes paid, although these credits are al owed on an overal basis that al ows
foreign taxes in high-tax countries in excess of the U.S. rate to shield income in lowforeign taxes in high-tax countries in excess of the U.S. rate to shield income in low -tax countries -tax countries
from U.S. tax). GILTI al owed a deduction for a deemed return on tangible assets of 10%. The from U.S. tax). GILTI al owed a deduction for a deemed return on tangible assets of 10%. The
GILTI regime was accompanied with a deduction for foreign derived intangible income (FDII) GILTI regime was accompanied with a deduction for foreign derived intangible income (FDII)
that al owed a deduction for U.S. firms based on their share of foreign sales, with a similar that al owed a deduction for U.S. firms based on their share of foreign sales, with a similar
deduction for a deemed return on tangible assets. It was designed to equalize the treatment of deduction for a deemed return on tangible assets. It was designed to equalize the treatment of
return on intangible investments whether held in the United States or abroad. International return on intangible investments whether held in the United States or abroad. International
provisions also included the base-erosion and anti-abuse tax (BEAT), which imposed an provisions also included the base-erosion and anti-abuse tax (BEAT), which imposed an
alternative tax at a lower rate on a base that included certain payments by U.S. multinationals to alternative tax at a lower rate on a base that included certain payments by U.S. multinationals to
foreign related parties (such as interest and royalties) and that denied certain credits. Numerous foreign related parties (such as interest and royalties) and that denied certain credits. Numerous
other revisions were made in the corporate tax base, most notably al owing the expensing (an other revisions were made in the corporate tax base, most notably al owing the expensing (an
immediate deduction) of the cost of equipment, although this treatment is scheduled to be phased immediate deduction) of the cost of equipment, although this treatment is scheduled to be phased
out over four years beginning in 2023.18 The revision also provided for a five-year period to out over four years beginning in 2023.18 The revision also provided for a five-year period to
deduct the cost of research expenses after 2021, which are currently deducted immediately. deduct the cost of research expenses after 2021, which are currently deducted immediately.
This report provides an overview of corporate tax issues and discusses potential reforms in the This report provides an overview of corporate tax issues and discusses potential reforms in the
context of these issues, with particular attention to some of the research concerning large context of these issues, with particular attention to some of the research concerning large
behavioral responses and their implications for revenue and distribution. The first section reviews behavioral responses and their implications for revenue and distribution. The first section reviews
the size and history of the corporate income tax, and it discusses an important issue that has been the size and history of the corporate income tax, and it discusses an important issue that has been
given little attention by those who proposed deep cuts in the corporate tax: its role in preventing given little attention by those who proposed deep cuts in the corporate tax: its role in preventing
the use of the corporate form as a tax shelter by wealthy business owners. The second section the use of the corporate form as a tax shelter by wealthy business owners. The second section
discusses the potential effect of behavioral responses on corporate tax revenues. The third section discusses the potential effect of behavioral responses on corporate tax revenues. The third section
examines the role of the corporate tax in contributing to a progressive tax system and discusses examines the role of the corporate tax in contributing to a progressive tax system and discusses
claims that the burden fal s on workers. The fourth section reviews arguments relating to claims that the burden fal s on workers. The fourth section reviews arguments relating to
efficiency and revenue yield and traditional criticisms of the corporate tax as one that causes efficiency and revenue yield and traditional criticisms of the corporate tax as one that causes
important behavioral distortions. One aspect of this discussion is the question of how the tax important behavioral distortions. One aspect of this discussion is the question of how the tax
might be viewed differently in a more global economy. The final section examines options for might be viewed differently in a more global economy. The final section examines options for
reform. reform.
The Corporate Tax as a Revenue Source
The corporate tax is the third-largest source of federal revenue, but its importance as a revenue The corporate tax is the third-largest source of federal revenue, but its importance as a revenue
source has diminished considerably over time. source has diminished considerably over time.

18 For a summary of the 2017 changes, see CRS Report R45092, 18 For a summary of the 2017 changes, see CRS Report R45092, The 2017 Tax Revision (P.L. 115-97): Comparison to
2017 Tax Law, coordinated by Molly F. Sherlock and Donald J. Marples. For a detailed explanation of the international , coordinated by Molly F. Sherlock and Donald J. Marples. For a detailed explanation of the international
changes, see CRS Report R45186, changes, see CRS Report R45186, Issues in International Corporate Taxation: The 2017 Revision (P.L. 115 -97), by , by
Jane G. Gravelle and Donald J. Marples. Jane G. Gravelle and Donald J. Marples.
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Magnitude and Historical Pattern
Despite concerns expressed about the size of the corporate tax rate, current corporate taxes are Despite concerns expressed about the size of the corporate tax rate, current corporate taxes are
low by historical standards, whether measured as a share of output or based on the effective tax low by historical standards, whether measured as a share of output or based on the effective tax
rate on income.19 In 1953, the corporate tax accounted for 5.6% of GDP and 30% of federal tax rate on income.19 In 1953, the corporate tax accounted for 5.6% of GDP and 30% of federal tax
revenues. In recent years, prior to the 2017 revision, the tax has fluctuated at around 2% of GDP revenues. In recent years, prior to the 2017 revision, the tax has fluctuated at around 2% of GDP
and 10% of revenues, reaching a low of 1.2% of GDP in 2003, and standing at 2.7% in 2006 and 10% of revenues, reaching a low of 1.2% of GDP in 2003, and standing at 2.7% in 2006
before fal ing as a share due to the recession and certain measures to stimulate the economy. By before fal ing as a share due to the recession and certain measures to stimulate the economy. By
2014, the tax was 1.9% of GDP fal ing to 1.5% in 2017; after the 2017 revisions, the tax was 2014, the tax was 1.9% of GDP fal ing to 1.5% in 2017; after the 2017 revisions, the tax was
1.0% of GDP. Projections indicate that the tax, after fal ing to 0.7% of GDP in FY2021 due to the 1.0% of GDP. Projections indicate that the tax, after fal ing to 0.7% of GDP in FY2021 due to the
recession, wil rise and remain at around 1.3% of GDP. Today, it is the third-largest federal recession, wil rise and remain at around 1.3% of GDP. Today, it is the third-largest federal
revenue source, lagging behind the individual income tax, which is 7.7% of GDP in 2020, rising revenue source, lagging behind the individual income tax, which is 7.7% of GDP in 2020, rising
to 9.4% in FY2031, and the payroll tax, which was about 6% of GDP. It is more significant, to 9.4% in FY2031, and the payroll tax, which was about 6% of GDP. It is more significant,
however, than excise taxes, which are 0.4% of GDP, and estate and gift taxes at less than 0.1%. In however, than excise taxes, which are 0.4% of GDP, and estate and gift taxes at less than 0.1%. In
FY2020, the corporate tax is estimated at 6.2% of revenues, rising to 6.85% by FY2031. FY2020, the corporate tax is estimated at 6.2% of revenues, rising to 6.85% by FY2031.
Much of the historical decline arises from legislated reductions in the corporate effective tax rate Much of the historical decline arises from legislated reductions in the corporate effective tax rate
on the return to new investment, which has fal en from 63% of corporate profits in 1953 to about on the return to new investment, which has fal en from 63% of corporate profits in 1953 to about
3% today. These changes include a reduction in the top statutory rate from 52% to 21%, more 3% today. These changes include a reduction in the top statutory rate from 52% to 21%, more
liberal depreciation rules, and the growth of tax favored intangibles investments.20 The total tax liberal depreciation rules, and the growth of tax favored intangibles investments.20 The total tax
burden on corporate source income has declined even more due to lower rates on dividends and burden on corporate source income has declined even more due to lower rates on dividends and
capital gains at the shareholder level and the increased fraction of stocks held in tax exempt form. capital gains at the shareholder level and the increased fraction of stocks held in tax exempt form.
Although a large fraction of the decline in corporate tax revenues is associated with these changes Although a large fraction of the decline in corporate tax revenues is associated with these changes
in rates and depreciation, other causes may be more liberal rules that al ow firms to obtain in rates and depreciation, other causes may be more liberal rules that al ow firms to obtain
benefits of corporate status (such as limited liability) while stil being taxed as unincorporated benefits of corporate status (such as limited liability) while stil being taxed as unincorporated
businesses and tax evasion, particularly through international tax shelters. The 2007 Treasury businesses and tax evasion, particularly through international tax shelters. The 2007 Treasury
study documented the significant rise in the share of total business net income received by study documented the significant rise in the share of total business net income received by
unincorporated businesses from 1980 to 2004, from 21% of total net income to 50%. Whereas the unincorporated businesses from 1980 to 2004, from 21% of total net income to 50%. Whereas the
share of proprietorships (which have no limited liability) had declined slightly, from 17% to 14%, share of proprietorships (which have no limited liability) had declined slightly, from 17% to 14%,
the share of Subchapter S firms (firms that are incorporated but are al owed to elect taxation as an the share of Subchapter S firms (firms that are incorporated but are al owed to elect taxation as an
unincorporated business) rose from 1% to 15%. These changes followed a dramatic increase in unincorporated business) rose from 1% to 15%. These changes followed a dramatic increase in
the number of shareholders al owed for the election (the limit of 10 was raised to 35 in 1982, to the number of shareholders al owed for the election (the limit of 10 was raised to 35 in 1982, to
75 in 1996, and to 100 in 2004). Partnerships (including limited liability corporations and limited 75 in 1996, and to 100 in 2004). Partnerships (including limited liability corporations and limited
liability partnerships) increased from 3% to 21%, with most of the increase occurring after 1990. liability partnerships) increased from 3% to 21%, with most of the increase occurring after 1990.
This growth reflects in part the growth of limited liability corporations established under state law This growth reflects in part the growth of limited liability corporations established under state law
(the first state adopted such a provision in 1982), which qualify as an unincorporated businesses (the first state adopted such a provision in 1982), which qualify as an unincorporated businesses

19 T he data discussed in this paragraph are taken from Jane G. Gravelle, “T he Corporate Tax: Where Has it Been and 19 T he data discussed in this paragraph are taken from Jane G. Gravelle, “T he Corporate Tax: Where Has it Been and
Where is it Going?,” Where is it Going?,” National Tax Journal, vol. 57 (December 2004), pp. 903-923; U.S. Congressional Budget Office , vol. 57 (December 2004), pp. 903-923; U.S. Congressional Budget Office
(CBO), Historical Data, http://cbo.gov/publication/42911; CBO, (CBO), Historical Data, http://cbo.gov/publication/42911; CBO, The Budget and Econom ic Outlook, Fiscal Years
2012-2022, http://cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/01-31-2012_Outlook.pdf; and CBO, , http://cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/01-31-2012_Outlook.pdf; and CBO, The Budget and
Econom ic Outlook, Fiscal Years 2017-2027, https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/115th-congress-2017-
2018/reports/52370-outlookonecolum n.pdf and supplementary data at https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/budget and supplementary data at https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/budget --
economic-data#2. More recent data and projections are at https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/budget -economic-economic-data#2. More recent data and projections are at https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/budget -economic-
data#2. data#2.
20 See CRS Report RS21706, 20 See CRS Report RS21706, Historical Effective Marginal Tax Rates on Capital Income, by Jane G. Gravelle and CRS , by Jane G. Gravelle and CRS
Report R45186, Report R45186, Issues in International Corporate Taxation: The 2017 Revision (P.L. 115 -97), by Jane G. Gravelle and , by Jane G. Gravelle and
Donald J. Marples for current effective tax rates. T he 63% rate may be slightly overstated because that rate does not Donald J. Marples for current effective tax rates. T he 63% rate may be slightly overstated because that rate does not
capture the effect of intangible investments. Intangible capture the effect of intangible investments. Intangible ~~investmen ts~~investments were taxed at zero (but not at negative rates since were taxed at zero (but not at negative rates since
there was no research tax credit). If the share of intangibles were the same as currently (23%) , the tax rate in 1953 there was no research tax credit). If the share of intangibles were the same as currently (23%) , the tax rate in 1953
would be 57%; however, intangibles were likely less important at that time. T hese would be 57%; however, intangibles were likely less important at that time. T hese ~~t ax~~tax rates are for rates are for ~~equity~~equit y investments. investments.
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for corporate tax purposes. Whereas Subchapter S firms are constrained by the shareholder limit, for corporate tax purposes. Whereas Subchapter S firms are constrained by the shareholder limit,
partnerships are not.21 partnerships are not.21
The latest data (for 2015) indicate that unincorporated businesses accounted for 50% of the total The latest data (for 2015) indicate that unincorporated businesses accounted for 50% of the total
of flow through and corporate business net income, with S Corporations accounting for 15%, of flow through and corporate business net income, with S Corporations accounting for 15%,
partnerships for 25%, and proprietorships for 11%.22 partnerships for 25%, and proprietorships for 11%.22
The Role of the Corporate Tax in Backstopping the Individual Tax
Measuring corporate tax revenue fal s short of describing the full role of the corporate tax in Measuring corporate tax revenue fal s short of describing the full role of the corporate tax in
contributing to federal revenues because the corporate tax protects the collection of individual contributing to federal revenues because the corporate tax protects the collection of individual
income taxes. As long as taxes on individual income are imposed, a significant corporate income income taxes. As long as taxes on individual income are imposed, a significant corporate income
tax is likely to be necessary to forestal the use of the corporation as a tax shelter. Without a tax is likely to be necessary to forestal the use of the corporation as a tax shelter. Without a
corporate tax, high-income individuals could channel funds into corporations, and, with a large corporate tax, high-income individuals could channel funds into corporations, and, with a large
part of earnings retained, obtain lower tax rates than if they operated in partnership or part of earnings retained, obtain lower tax rates than if they operated in partnership or
proprietorship form or in a way that al owed them to be taxed as such. As suggested by the proprietorship form or in a way that al owed them to be taxed as such. As suggested by the
growth in unincorporated business forms above, wealthy business owners may be quick to take growth in unincorporated business forms above, wealthy business owners may be quick to take
advantage of tax rate differentials, which currently tend to favor unincorporated businesses. In advantage of tax rate differentials, which currently tend to favor unincorporated businesses. In
1986, individual tax rates were lowered dramatical y (the top rate fel from 70% to 28%, although 1986, individual tax rates were lowered dramatical y (the top rate fel from 70% to 28%, although
it was eventual y increased to 39.6%), but the combined corporate tax rate (on the firm and on it was eventual y increased to 39.6%), but the combined corporate tax rate (on the firm and on
distributions) has been high relative to the individual tax rate. The 2007 Treasury study indicated distributions) has been high relative to the individual tax rate. The 2007 Treasury study indicated
that 61% of the income of unincorporated businesses was associated with taxpayers in the top that 61% of the income of unincorporated businesses was associated with taxpayers in the top
income tax bracket. income tax bracket.
Although the top tax rate on corporations prior to the 2017 revisions (35%) was close to the top Although the top tax rate on corporations prior to the 2017 revisions (35%) was close to the top
individual rate (39.6%), the corporate tax was graduated. Consequently, for high-income individual rate (39.6%), the corporate tax was graduated. Consequently, for high-income
taxpayers, there was an advantage to shifting part of one’s income into a corporation because taxpayers, there was an advantage to shifting part of one’s income into a corporation because
corporate tax rates are graduated (15% on the first $50,000 and 25% on the next $25,000) and are corporate tax rates are graduated (15% on the first $50,000 and 25% on the next $25,000) and are
lower than the top marginal tax. This opportunity, however, was restricted by (1) limiting to one lower than the top marginal tax. This opportunity, however, was restricted by (1) limiting to one
the number of corporations income can be shifted to; (2) the amount on which rates are the number of corporations income can be shifted to; (2) the amount on which rates are
graduated; and (3) disal owing graduated rates for personal service corporations. In recognition of graduated; and (3) disal owing graduated rates for personal service corporations. In recognition of
the potential use of the corporation as a shelter, tax law has in the past contained a tax on the potential use of the corporation as a shelter, tax law has in the past contained a tax on
accumulated earnings. As long as dividends were taxed as ordinary income and the accumulated accumulated earnings. As long as dividends were taxed as ordinary income and the accumulated
earnings tax was strict enough, it was difficult to use the corporate form to shelter a great deal of earnings tax was strict enough, it was difficult to use the corporate form to shelter a great deal of
income. income.
This tax shelter constraint on lowering the corporate rate may have become more binding because This tax shelter constraint on lowering the corporate rate may have become more binding because
of the lower rates on dividends enacted as part of the Administration’s corporate relief package in of the lower rates on dividends enacted as part of the Administration’s corporate relief package in
the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 (P.L. 108-27), although rates were the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 (P.L. 108-27), although rates were
increased in 2010 and 2013.23 The 2017 revision also changed the relative benefits of operating in increased in 2010 and 2013.23 The 2017 revision also changed the relative benefits of operating in
corporate versus noncorporate form by lowering the corporate rate to 21% and the individual rate corporate versus noncorporate form by lowering the corporate rate to 21% and the individual rate
to 37%, which would tend to make the corporate organizational form more attractive to high- to 37%, which would tend to make the corporate organizational form more attractive to high-

21 See also CRS Report R42113, 21 See also CRS Report R42113, Reasons for the Decline in Corporate Tax Revenues, by Mark P. Keightley, which , by Mark P. Keightley, which
traces the decline in average effective tax rates, the reduction in the share oftraces the decline in average effective tax rates, the reduction in the share of business income represented by the business income represented by the
corporate sector, and the falling rate of profit. corporate sector, and the falling rate of profit.
22 Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income, Integrated Business Data 22 Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income, Integrated Business Data, Table 1,~~, T able 1,~~ at https://www.irs.gov/uac/soi-tax- at https://www.irs.gov/uac/soi-tax-
stats-integrated-business-data. stats-integrated-business-data.
23 T he law lowered the top rate to 15%, although subsequent legislation taxed very high -income individuals’ dividends 23 T he law lowered the top rate to 15%, although subsequent legislation taxed very high -income individuals’ dividends
and capital gains at 20%. In addition, a 3.8% additional tax was enacted in 2010, applying to dividends and capital and capital gains at 20%. In addition, a 3.8% additional tax was enacted in 2010, applying to dividends and capital
gains. gains.
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income individuals. It also, however, eliminated the graduated rates that al owed a restricted income individuals. It also, however, eliminated the graduated rates that al owed a restricted
opportunity for use of the corporate form as a shelter and also, al owed a deduction for 20% of opportunity for use of the corporate form as a shelter and also, al owed a deduction for 20% of
pass-through income for unincorporated businesses, although the deductions was phased out for pass-through income for unincorporated businesses, although the deductions was phased out for
certain taxpayers.24 The individual provisions are scheduled to expire after 2025, but the certain taxpayers.24 The individual provisions are scheduled to expire after 2025, but the
corporate rate cut is permanent. Businesses at high income levels are subject to an additional corporate rate cut is permanent. Businesses at high income levels are subject to an additional
3.8% tax on their income either due to the Medicare A hospital insurance tax or the net 3.8% tax on their income either due to the Medicare A hospital insurance tax or the net
investment income tax applied to passive investment income, passive business income, dividends, investment income tax applied to passive investment income, passive business income, dividends,
and capital gains. Active income from a Subchapter S firm that is not wages is not subject to the and capital gains. Active income from a Subchapter S firm that is not wages is not subject to the
tax. tax.
Table 1 calculates the effective tax rate for operating through a corporation for high-income calculates the effective tax rate for operating through a corporation for high-income
taxpayers versus an unincorporated business for several cases: (1) pre-2017 law (a 39.6% top taxpayers versus an unincorporated business for several cases: (1) pre-2017 law (a 39.6% top
individual tax rate with and without the 3.8% and a 35% corporate rate), (2) current law (a 37% individual tax rate with and without the 3.8% and a 35% corporate rate), (2) current law (a 37%
top rate with and without the pass-through deduction or the 3.8% additional tax and a 21% top rate with and without the pass-through deduction or the 3.8% additional tax and a 21%
corporate tax rate), and (3) law after the lapse of the individual tax rates (a 39.6% tax rate with corporate tax rate), and (3) law after the lapse of the individual tax rates (a 39.6% tax rate with
and without the 3.8% tax and a 21% corporate tax rate). In al cases, corporate dividends are and without the 3.8% tax and a 21% corporate tax rate). In al cases, corporate dividends are
subject to a top rate of 23.8% (a tax rate of 20% plus the 3.8% investment tax).subject to a top rate of 23.8% (a tax rate of 20% plus the 3.8% investment tax).25 Table 1 also also
presents proposals discussed by the Biden Administration to raise the corporate tax rate to 28%, presents proposals discussed by the Biden Administration to raise the corporate tax rate to 28%,
the top individual rate to 39.6%, and to tax capital gains at ordinary income. the top individual rate to 39.6%, and to tax capital gains at ordinary income.
Under prior law, the effective corporate tax rate ranged from 35% to 50.5% depending on the Under prior law, the effective corporate tax rate ranged from 35% to 50.5% depending on the
share of dividends, whereas the top effective individual rate was typical y 43.4%. Unless a share of dividends, whereas the top effective individual rate was typical y 43.4%. Unless a
corporation distributed very little of its income, corporate tax rates were usual y higher than corporation distributed very little of its income, corporate tax rates were usual y higher than
individual rates, favoring the unincorporated form even more for individuals in lower tax rates. individual rates, favoring the unincorporated form even more for individuals in lower tax rates.
After the 2017 revision, the corporate form could sometimes become beneficial even without the After the 2017 revision, the corporate form could sometimes become beneficial even without the
graduated rates. For taxpayers not eligible for the pass-through deduction and especial y those graduated rates. For taxpayers not eligible for the pass-through deduction and especial y those
subject to the net investment income tax, the corporate form becomes preferable, whereas for subject to the net investment income tax, the corporate form becomes preferable, whereas for
firms eligible for the pass-through deduction the noncorporate form would often become firms eligible for the pass-through deduction the noncorporate form would often become
preferable. However, if the lower tax rate and pass-through deduction expire, as scheduled in preferable. However, if the lower tax rate and pass-through deduction expire, as scheduled in
2025, corporate organization becomes more attractive. (Individuals with lower individual rates 2025, corporate organization becomes more attractive. (Individuals with lower individual rates
could stil find noncorporate organization preferable.) Although the 2017 changes weakened the could stil find noncorporate organization preferable.) Although the 2017 changes weakened the
preference for noncorporate form and therefore could be argued to weaken the use of the preference for noncorporate form and therefore could be argued to weaken the use of the
corporation as a backstop for the individual tax, it also eliminated the graduated corporate rates. corporation as a backstop for the individual tax, it also eliminated the graduated corporate rates.
Al of these changes, along with the uncertainty about the future, create a complex picture of Al of these changes, along with the uncertainty about the future, create a complex picture of
organizational preference. organizational preference.
The proposals advanced by the Biden Administration to raise the corporate rate to 28% and The proposals advanced by the Biden Administration to raise the corporate rate to 28% and
restore the 39.6% top individual rate, as wel as taxing dividends and capital gains at ordinary restore the 39.6% top individual rate, as wel as taxing dividends and capital gains at ordinary
rates, would make the corporate form unattractive as a tax shelter as long as the pass-through rates, would make the corporate form unattractive as a tax shelter as long as the pass-through
deduction expires and the corporation distributes dividends. deduction expires and the corporation distributes dividends.

24 T he deduction is phased out at high income levels for personal service businesses and, for other businesses subject to 24 T he deduction is phased out at high income levels for personal service businesses and, for other businesses subject to
the phase out limited to a share of wages or a combination of wages and depreciable assets. See CRS Report R46650, the phase out limited to a share of wages or a combination of wages and depreciable assets. See CRS Report R46650,
Section 199A Deduction: Econom ic Effects and Policy Options, by Gary Guenther for further information. , by Gary Guenther for further information.
25 T he 3.8% additional tax on high-income individuals applies to all earnings of proprietors and general partners, 25 T he 3.8% additional tax on high-income individuals applies to all earnings of proprietors and general partners,
because they are classified as labor income for purposes of the payroll tax, as well as the labor share of incomebecause they are classified as labor income for purposes of the payroll tax, as well as the labor share of income in any in any
other unincorporated business. Active participants in Subchapter S firms with a small amount of labor income could other unincorporated business. Active participants in Subchapter S firms with a small amount of labor income could
have lower taxes in the Subchapter S form approaching the ordinary income tax rate. have lower taxes in the Subchapter S form approaching the ordinary income tax rate.
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Table 1. Effective Tax Rates for Alternative Forms of Organization Under
Alternative Rate Structures, Individual at 39.6% (43.4%) Rate
100% of
50% of
No Income

Income
Income
Distributed
Distributed
Distributed
Corporate Business
Dividends Taxed at 20% Rate Dividends Taxed at 20% Rate
Corporate Tax Rate of 35% Corporate Tax Rate of 35%
50.5 50.5
42.7 42.7
35.0 35.0
Corporate Tax Rate of 21% Corporate Tax Rate of 21%
39.8 39.8
30.4 30.4
21.0 21.0
Corporate Tax Rate of 28% Corporate Tax Rate of 28%
45.1 45.1
36.6 36.6
28.0 28.0
Dividends Taxed at Ordinary Rates Dividends Taxed at Ordinary Rates
Corporate Tax Rate of 35% Corporate Tax Rate of 35%
63.2 63.2
49.1 49.1
35.0 35.0
Corporate Tax Rate of 21% Corporate Tax Rate of 21%
55.3 55.3
38.1 38.1
21.0 21.0
Corporate Rate of 28% Corporate Rate of 28%
59.2 59.2
43.6 43.6
28.0 28.0

Unincorporated Business

39.6% No Net Investment Income Tax 39.6% No Net Investment Income Tax
39.6 39.6
39.6 39.6
39.6 39.6
39.6% With Net Investment Income Tax 39.6% With Net Investment Income Tax
43.4 43.4
43.4 43.4
43.4 43.4
39,6% No Net Investment Income Tax with Pass-Through 39,6% No Net Investment Income Tax with Pass-Through
Deduction Deduction
31.7 31.7
31.7 31.7
31.7 31.7
39.6% With Net Investment Income Tax with Pass-Through 39.6% With Net Investment Income Tax with Pass-Through
35.5 35.5
35,5 35,5
35,5 35,5
Deduction Deduction
37% No Net Investment Income Tax 37% No Net Investment Income Tax
37.0 37.0
37.0 37.0
37.0 37.0
37% With Net Investment Income Tax 37% With Net Investment Income Tax
40.8 40.8
40.8 40.8
40.8 40.8
37% No Net Investment Income Tax with Pass-Through 37% No Net Investment Income Tax with Pass-Through
Deduction Deduction
29.6 29.6
29.6 29.6
29.6 29.6
37% With Net Investment Income Tax With Pass-Through 37% With Net Investment Income Tax With Pass-Through
Deduction Deduction
33.4 33.4
33.4 33.4
33.4 33.4
Source: Congressional Research Service (CRS) analysis. Congressional Research Service (CRS) analysis.
Behavioral Responses and Revenue-Maximizing
Tax Rate
Although it has long been recognized that there are behavioral responses to the corporate tax Although it has long been recognized that there are behavioral responses to the corporate tax
(even aside from the tax sheltering issues indicated above), and that these responses have (even aside from the tax sheltering issues indicated above), and that these responses have
important implications for the efficiency of the economy and the burden of the tax, the issue of a important implications for the efficiency of the economy and the burden of the tax, the issue of a
revenue-maximizing tax rate, popularly associated with the “Laffer” curve, has rarely entered into revenue-maximizing tax rate, popularly associated with the “Laffer” curve, has rarely entered into
the discussion. A Laffer curve graphs revenue against the tax rate, and is based on the notion that the discussion. A Laffer curve graphs revenue against the tax rate, and is based on the notion that
revenue is zero at a zero tax rate and zero at a 100% tax rate (at least with respect to some revenue is zero at a zero tax rate and zero at a 100% tax rate (at least with respect to some
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taxes).26 In a Laffer curve, the revenue first rises with the tax rate and then fal s, and at the point it taxes).26 In a Laffer curve, the revenue first rises with the tax rate and then fal s, and at the point it
reverses direction is the revenue-maximizing tax rate. reverses direction is the revenue-maximizing tax rate.
The notion that a corporate tax cut could pay for itself continued to enter the debate in 2017,27 as The notion that a corporate tax cut could pay for itself continued to enter the debate in 2017,27 as
it did 15 years ago during that corporate debate, where it was proposed or al uded to in several it did 15 years ago during that corporate debate, where it was proposed or al uded to in several
articles in the popular press during the debate. One is the article by Glenn Hubbard, cited above. articles in the popular press during the debate. One is the article by Glenn Hubbard, cited above.
In In National Review, Kevin Hassett discussed the Laffer curve and presented a chart that he , Kevin Hassett discussed the Laffer curve and presented a chart that he
indicated is an il ustration that appears to show a negative relationship between corporate indicated is an il ustration that appears to show a negative relationship between corporate
revenues as a share of GDP and the tax rate.28 Only 13 countries are shown on this graph, revenues as a share of GDP and the tax rate.28 Only 13 countries are shown on this graph,
however, and the negative relationship is clearly strongly affected by an outlier, Ireland, which is however, and the negative relationship is clearly strongly affected by an outlier, Ireland, which is
a wel -known tax haven; most economists would not find this il ustration persuasive proof.29 The a wel -known tax haven; most economists would not find this il ustration persuasive proof.29 The
Hubbard and Hassett articles do, however, cite some more sophisticated research. Hassett referred Hubbard and Hassett articles do, however, cite some more sophisticated research. Hassett referred
to a paper by Kimberly Clausing,30 and Hubbard referred to a paper by Michael Devereux.31 In to a paper by Kimberly Clausing,30 and Hubbard referred to a paper by Michael Devereux.31 In
addition, Alex Bril and Kevin Hassett also prepared a statistical analysis examining the change in addition, Alex Bril and Kevin Hassett also prepared a statistical analysis examining the change in
the relationship over time.32 A cross-country study was also prepared by Jack Mintz.33 Clausing, the relationship over time.32 A cross-country study was also prepared by Jack Mintz.33 Clausing,
who is referred to in the Hassett article, is quoted as claiming that the United States is likely to the who is referred to in the Hassett article, is quoted as claiming that the United States is likely to the
right of the revenue-maximizing point on the Laffer curve, but this statement, presumably from right of the revenue-maximizing point on the Laffer curve, but this statement, presumably from
an earlier draft, is not found in her published article. That article finds a revenue-maximizing tax an earlier draft, is not found in her published article. That article finds a revenue-maximizing tax
rate of 33%, in her simple specification, but as she added variables and accounted for other rate of 33%, in her simple specification, but as she added variables and accounted for other
features the revenue-maximizing tax rate seemed to rise, as indicated ifeatures the revenue-maximizing tax rate seemed to rise, as indicated in Table 2. Large countries Large countries
and countries that are less open, such as the United States, have a revenue-maximizing tax rate of and countries that are less open, such as the United States, have a revenue-maximizing tax rate of
57%—much larger than the combined federal and state rate for U.S. firms of 39%. 57%—much larger than the combined federal and state rate for U.S. firms of 39%.

26 Excise taxes can be set at more than 100% and still yield revenue. T axes on real capital income in excess of 100% 26 Excise taxes can be set at more than 100% and still yield revenue. T axes on real capital income in excess of 100%
can also yield revenues because inflation is an implicit tax on the holding of cash. can also yield revenues because inflation is an implicit tax on the holding of cash.
27 Peter Baker, Arthur Laffer’s theory on T ax cuts Comes to Life Once More, 27 Peter Baker, Arthur Laffer’s theory on T ax cuts Comes to Life Once More, New York Times, April 25, 2017, , April 25, 2017,
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/25/us/politics/white-house-economic-policy-arthur-laffer.html. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/25/us/politics/white-house-economic-policy-arthur-laffer.html.
28 Kevin A. Hassett, “Art Laffer, Righter T han Ever,” 28 Kevin A. Hassett, “Art Laffer, Righter T han Ever,” National Review, February 13, 2006, , February 13, 2006,
https://www.aei.org/articles/art -laffer-righter-than-ever/. https://www.aei.org/articles/art -laffer-righter-than-ever/.
29 Another discussion of this issue appeared in an editorial in 29 Another discussion of this issue appeared in an editorial in The Wall Street Journal, which also presented a chart , which also presented a chart
with a number of OECD countries on it. (“ We’re Number One, Alas,” with a number of OECD countries on it. (“ We’re Number One, Alas,” The Wall Street Journal, July 13, 2007, p. A12.) , July 13, 2007, p. A12.)
In this chart, the editors simply drew a curve, which passed through a couple of points. T here was no statistical fitting In this chart, the editors simply drew a curve, which passed through a couple of points. T here was no statistical fitting
to the data and no informative value to such an analysis; moreover the two points through which the freehand curve to the data and no informative value to such an analysis; moreover the two points through which the freehand curve
was drawn were questionable: one was the United Arab Emirates with no tax, which is neither a typical was drawn were questionable: one was the United Arab Emirates with no tax, which is neither a typical ~~country~~countr y nor in nor in
the OECD, and the other was Norway, whose corporate tax revenue tends to be high because of oil. T he bulk of the the OECD, and the other was Norway, whose corporate tax revenue tends to be high because of oil. T he bulk of the
data showed no obvious trend. For insight into how this graph was viewed by economists, see Brad DeLong, an data showed no obvious trend. For insight into how this graph was viewed by economists, see Brad DeLong, an
economist at Stanford and author of a website, economist at Stanford and author of a website, Brad DeLong’s Daily Journal, who titled his entry “ Most Dishonest , who titled his entry “ Most Dishonest
Wall Street Journal Editorial Ever.” T here was some perception, which was incorrect, that this graph was prepared by Wall Street Journal Editorial Ever.” T here was some perception, which was incorrect, that this graph was prepared by
Kevin Hassett because he was mentioned as a source, but that was not the case; he provided someKevin Hassett because he was mentioned as a source, but that was not the case; he provided some of the data (personal of the data (personal
communication with Kevin Hassett). Based on data provided by one of the correspondents in that debate, a simple communication with Kevin Hassett). Based on data provided by one of the correspondents in that debate, a simple
regression of corporate share on tax and tax squared showed no significant regression of corporate share on tax and tax squared showed no significant ~~coefficients~~coe fficients for tax variables, indicating no for tax variables, indicating no
relationship: http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2007/07/most-dishonest -.html. relationship: http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2007/07/most-dishonest -.html.
30 Kimberly A. Clausing, “Corporate T ax Revenues in OECD Countries,” 30 Kimberly A. Clausing, “Corporate T ax Revenues in OECD Countries,” International Tax and Public Finance, vol. , vol.
14 (April 2007), pp. 115-133. 14 (April 2007), pp. 115-133.
31 Michael P. Devereux, 31 Michael P. Devereux, Developments in the Taxation of Corporate Profit in the OECD Since 1965: Rates, Bases and
Revenues, May 2006 presented at a conference of the Alliance for Competitive T axation and the American , May 2006 presented at a conference of the Alliance for Competitive T axation and the American ~~En terprise~~Enterprise
Institute, June 2, 2006. Institute, June 2, 2006.
32 Alex Brill and Kevin Hassett, 32 Alex Brill and Kevin Hassett, Revenue Maximizing Corporate Income Taxes, American Enterprise Institute, Working , American Enterprise Institute, Working
Paper no. 137, July 31, 2007. Paper no. 137, July 31, 2007.
33 Jack M. Mintz, 33 Jack M. Mintz, 2007 Tax Competitiveness Report: A Call for comprehensive Tax Reform , C.D. Howe Institute, No. , C.D. Howe Institute, No.
254, September 2007. 254, September 2007.
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Table 2. Revenue-Maximizing Tax Rates and Share of Variance
Explained in the Clausing Study
Specification
Tax Rate
R-Squared
(1) Basic (1) Basic
33% 33%
0.13 0.13
(2) Additional Variables (2) Additional Variables
39 39
0.43 0.43
(3) Additional Variables (3) Additional Variables
42 42
0.46 0.46
(4) Additional Variables (4) Additional Variables
41 41
0.23 0.23
(5) Additional Variables (5) Additional Variables
37 37
0.21 0.21
(6) Openness (6) Openness
43 43
0.27 0.27
(7) Size (7) Size
45 45
0.23 0.23
(8) Openness and size (8) Openness and size
57 57
0.28 0.28
Source: Kimberly Clausing (2007). Kimberly Clausing (2007).
Note: The R-Squared is a statistical term that measures the share of the variance in the dependent variable The R-Squared is a statistical term that measures the share of the variance in the dependent variable
explained by the independent variables. explained by the independent variables.
Michael Devereux’s paper indicates that, while he finds a revenue-maximizing rate of 33% under Michael Devereux’s paper indicates that, while he finds a revenue-maximizing rate of 33% under
the same specification as Clausing, he finds only weak evidence of a relationship between tax the same specification as Clausing, he finds only weak evidence of a relationship between tax
rates and corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP. Many of his specifications do not yield rates and corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP. Many of his specifications do not yield
statistical y significant effects. Bril and Hassett find a rate of around 30%, which has been fal ing statistical y significant effects. Bril and Hassett find a rate of around 30%, which has been fal ing
over time. Mintz finds a rate of 28%, but his data span only a few years (2001-2005).34 over time. Mintz finds a rate of 28%, but his data span only a few years (2001-2005).34
The remainder of this section first discusses theoretical expectations of this relationship and then The remainder of this section first discusses theoretical expectations of this relationship and then
examines these empirical studies. Both the theoretical and empirical assessments suggest that the examines these empirical studies. Both the theoretical and empirical assessments suggest that the
results of these analyses are questionable. results of these analyses are questionable.
Theoretical Issues
The issue of a Laffer curve has not been a part of the historic debate on corporate taxes because The issue of a Laffer curve has not been a part of the historic debate on corporate taxes because
the notion of a revenue-maximizing tax rate other than at very high tax rates is inconsistent with the notion of a revenue-maximizing tax rate other than at very high tax rates is inconsistent with
most of the models of the corporate tax. Traditional y, the main behavioral response associated most of the models of the corporate tax. Traditional y, the main behavioral response associated
with the corporate tax was the substitution of noncorporate capital for corporate capital within an with the corporate tax was the substitution of noncorporate capital for corporate capital within an
economy where the amount of capital was fixed. Imposing a corporate tax (in excess of the economy where the amount of capital was fixed. Imposing a corporate tax (in excess of the
noncorporate tax) caused capital to earn a lower return in the corporate sector and to flow out of noncorporate tax) caused capital to earn a lower return in the corporate sector and to flow out of
that sector and into the noncorporate sector, thereby lowering the return in the noncorporate that sector and into the noncorporate sector, thereby lowering the return in the noncorporate
sector and raising the return, before taxes, in the corporate sector. The higher pretax return on sector and raising the return, before taxes, in the corporate sector. The higher pretax return on
capital also caused prices to go up in the corporate sector and fal in the noncorporate sector, capital also caused prices to go up in the corporate sector and fal in the noncorporate sector,
causing a shift toward noncorporate sector total production. The corporate profits tax base, causing a shift toward noncorporate sector total production. The corporate profits tax base,
therefore, had two opposing forces: the amount of capital was fal ing but the profit rate was therefore, had two opposing forces: the amount of capital was fal ing but the profit rate was
rising. The taxable base could, therefore, either increase as tax rates increased, or it could rising. The taxable base could, therefore, either increase as tax rates increased, or it could
decrease. The direction depended on the substitutability of capital and labor in the corporate decrease. The direction depended on the substitutability of capital and labor in the corporate
sector. The central tendency of most models (with unitary elasticities) suggested, however, that sector. The central tendency of most models (with unitary elasticities) suggested, however, that
the tax base was relatively invariant to tax rates, and revenues would always rise with the tax rate. the tax base was relatively invariant to tax rates, and revenues would always rise with the tax rate.

34 Hence, most of the variation is across countries, which, as discussed below, is a potentially serious problem. 34 Hence, most of the variation is across countries, which, as discussed below, is a potentially serious problem.
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Consequently, under any reasonable set of assumptions there would either be no revenue- Consequently, under any reasonable set of assumptions there would either be no revenue-
maximizing tax rate or an extremely high one.35 maximizing tax rate or an extremely high one.35
If behavioral responses caused the total capital in the U.S. economy to contract, the outcome If behavioral responses caused the total capital in the U.S. economy to contract, the outcome
could be different. One such model, the open economy model, appears to be a motivation for the could be different. One such model, the open economy model, appears to be a motivation for the
belief in a relatively low revenue-maximizing tax rate. Bril and Hassett discuss elasticity belief in a relatively low revenue-maximizing tax rate. Bril and Hassett discuss elasticity
estimates of foreign capital flows to after tax returns in the range of 1.5 to 3 (they also cite a estimates of foreign capital flows to after tax returns in the range of 1.5 to 3 (they also cite a
recent study with an elasticity of 3.3) in their paper that finds a revenue-maximizing tax rate of recent study with an elasticity of 3.3) in their paper that finds a revenue-maximizing tax rate of
around 30%. They conclude that “[t]hese high elasticities are consistent with the view that around 30%. They conclude that “[t]hese high elasticities are consistent with the view that
reductions in corporate rates could lure a significant enough amount of economic activity to a reductions in corporate rates could lure a significant enough amount of economic activity to a
locality to create a Laffer curve in the corporate tax space.”36 locality to create a Laffer curve in the corporate tax space.”36
As shown in t As shown in the Appendix A, however, this tax rate even with infinite elasticities cannot be however, this tax rate even with infinite elasticities cannot be
achieved. In the most extreme case, where (1) the country is too smal to affect worldwide prices achieved. In the most extreme case, where (1) the country is too smal to affect worldwide prices
and rates of return; (2) capital is perfectly mobile; and (3) products in international trade are and rates of return; (2) capital is perfectly mobile; and (3) products in international trade are
perfectly substitutable; the revenue-maximizing tax rate would be the ratio of the labor share of perfectly substitutable; the revenue-maximizing tax rate would be the ratio of the labor share of
income to the factor substitution elasticity. Assuming fairly common values for a model without income to the factor substitution elasticity. Assuming fairly common values for a model without
depreciation of 75% for labor’s share of income and a factor substitution elasticity of 1, the tax depreciation of 75% for labor’s share of income and a factor substitution elasticity of 1, the tax
rate would be 75%—far above the rates of around 30% reported by Bril and Hassett. This rate rate would be 75%—far above the rates of around 30% reported by Bril and Hassett. This rate
could rise as these conditions are relaxed. If the United States is assumed to have 30% of world could rise as these conditions are relaxed. If the United States is assumed to have 30% of world
resources, the rate rises to 81%; if imperfect substitutability between investments across countries resources, the rate rises to 81%; if imperfect substitutability between investments across countries
and between foreign and domestic products is al owed, it would rise further. It would also rise if and between foreign and domestic products is al owed, it would rise further. It would also rise if
the tax system included elements of a residence-based system that increases the tax rate on the tax system included elements of a residence-based system that increases the tax rate on
foreign investment by imposing a tax on foreign branch income and on dividends paid by foreign foreign investment by imposing a tax on foreign branch income and on dividends paid by foreign
subsidiaries to the U.S. parent, reducing the tax advantage of outbound investment. subsidiaries to the U.S. parent, reducing the tax advantage of outbound investment.
Although it is possible to have a revenue-maximizing tax rate that does not asymptotical y Although it is possible to have a revenue-maximizing tax rate that does not asymptotical y
approach 100%, it is probably not possible to find a rate that maximizes revenues as a percentage approach 100%, it is probably not possible to find a rate that maximizes revenues as a percentage
of GDP because GDP fal s as wel as tax revenues. In this case, the same circumstances apply as of GDP because GDP fal s as wel as tax revenues. In this case, the same circumstances apply as
in the real ocation of capital in the closed economy: with unitary elasticities, the corporate share in the real ocation of capital in the closed economy: with unitary elasticities, the corporate share
of income is constant relative to GDP, and with other elasticities, it can rise or fal . of income is constant relative to GDP, and with other elasticities, it can rise or fal .
A related circumstance where capital can contract would be in a model where savings responds so A related circumstance where capital can contract would be in a model where savings responds so
powerfully that the savings supply is infinitely elastic, that is, when a tax is imposed, the capital powerfully that the savings supply is infinitely elastic, that is, when a tax is imposed, the capital
stock must contract so much, and the pretax rate of return rises so much that the after-tax return stock must contract so much, and the pretax rate of return rises so much that the after-tax return
comes back to its original value. This extreme savings response model yields the same revenue-comes back to its original value. This extreme savings response model yields the same revenue-
maximizing tax rate as the extreme open economy, 75%, and probably no revenue-maximizing maximizing tax rate as the extreme open economy, 75%, and probably no revenue-maximizing
tax rate for revenues as a percentage of GDP. Moreover, the slowness with which the capital stock tax rate for revenues as a percentage of GDP. Moreover, the slowness with which the capital stock
adjusts (most models al ow 150 years for full adjustments) means that the revenue would be adjusts (most models al ow 150 years for full adjustments) means that the revenue would be
affected by tax rates in the past. affected by tax rates in the past.
The result of this discussion makes it clear that revenue-maximizing tax rates cannot arise from The result of this discussion makes it clear that revenue-maximizing tax rates cannot arise from
physical real ocations or contractions of capital. Nor are they likely to arise from a substitution physical real ocations or contractions of capital. Nor are they likely to arise from a substitution
between debt and equity, since the debt share has changed very little despite significant changes between debt and equity, since the debt share has changed very little despite significant changes
in the relative tax burden, and estimates of elasticities that do exist are smal .37 in the relative tax burden, and estimates of elasticities that do exist are smal .37

35 An invariant tax base would occur when both production and utility were of the Cobb 35 An invariant tax base would occur when both production and utility were of the Cobb ~~Do uglas~~Douglas form, which is unitary form, which is unitary
factor substitution elasticities and unitary product substitution elasticities. At 100% tax rate a corner solution would be factor substitution elasticities and unitary product substitution elasticities. At 100% tax rate a corner solution would be
presumably be reached where the corporate sector presumably be reached where the corporate sector ~~would~~wo uld entirely disappear, but only at that extreme entirely disappear, but only at that extreme ~~rat e~~rate would such an would such an
effect occur. effect occur.
36 Brill and Hassett, 36 Brill and Hassett, Revenue Maximizing Corporate Income Taxes, p. 6. , p. 6.
37 See Ruud de Mooij, 37 See Ruud de Mooij, The Tax Elasticity of Corporate Debt: A Synthesis of Size and Variations, International , International
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A remaining source of a different outcome is profit shifting. This effect could involve firms A remaining source of a different outcome is profit shifting. This effect could involve firms
maintaining the same activity and shifting the form of operation to unincorporated businesses. maintaining the same activity and shifting the form of operation to unincorporated businesses.
Profit shifting could be a possibility (although the point of revenue maximization would be much Profit shifting could be a possibility (although the point of revenue maximization would be much
too low because much of the tax has not disappeared, but rather has shifted). But, at least in the too low because much of the tax has not disappeared, but rather has shifted). But, at least in the
United States, this shift is probably less the result of high corporate tax rates and more the result United States, this shift is probably less the result of high corporate tax rates and more the result
of increasingly loose restrictions on operating with limited liability outside the corporate form, of increasingly loose restrictions on operating with limited liability outside the corporate form,
actions that have not been taken by other countries.38 The other profit shifting issue is the shifting actions that have not been taken by other countries.38 The other profit shifting issue is the shifting
of profits (rather than activity) to foreign countries. Such effects are possible, but it would seem of profits (rather than activity) to foreign countries. Such effects are possible, but it would seem
unlikely that tax avoidance could be of this magnitude, given the amount of profits shifted and the unlikely that tax avoidance could be of this magnitude, given the amount of profits shifted and the
behavioral response. Although a smal low-income country, as is characteristic of most tax behavioral response. Although a smal low-income country, as is characteristic of most tax
havens, might have little enough domestic capital that it could afford the loss from lowering the havens, might have little enough domestic capital that it could afford the loss from lowering the
rate to attract more capital, such an outcome is much less likely for the United States. Recent rate to attract more capital, such an outcome is much less likely for the United States. Recent
estimates of elasticities also suggest that cutting the corporate tax rate would lower revenue much estimates of elasticities also suggest that cutting the corporate tax rate would lower revenue much
more than enough to offset the tax on profits shifted back into the United States.39 more than enough to offset the tax on profits shifted back into the United States.39
In addition, profit shifting can be prevented or limited by revisions in international tax rules. In addition, profit shifting can be prevented or limited by revisions in international tax rules.
Concerns about this issue led to the imposition of tax on GILTI in 2017, which imposes a Concerns about this issue led to the imposition of tax on GILTI in 2017, which imposes a
minimum tax on foreign source intangible income. Early evidence indicated, however, that the minimum tax on foreign source intangible income. Early evidence indicated, however, that the
share of related company profits reported in tax havens did not change despite the lower tax rate share of related company profits reported in tax havens did not change despite the lower tax rate
or the global minimum tax.40 One explanation is that a smal er tax rate may not result in much or the global minimum tax.40 One explanation is that a smal er tax rate may not result in much
change in the location of profits from intangible assets, which can be shifted easily as much as the change in the location of profits from intangible assets, which can be shifted easily as much as the
law al ows to zero-tax rate countries. That is, even if the U.S. rate is lowered from 35% to 21%, law al ows to zero-tax rate countries. That is, even if the U.S. rate is lowered from 35% to 21%,
both rates are stil higher than a zero rate and there is little incentive to shift profits back to the both rates are stil higher than a zero rate and there is little incentive to shift profits back to the
United States. GILTI lowered the rate to 10.5% although the cross crediting of foreign taxes United States. GILTI lowered the rate to 10.5% although the cross crediting of foreign taxes
means zero rates can persist in some locations. One solution is to tax income from tax havens at means zero rates can persist in some locations. One solution is to tax income from tax havens at
the full U.S. rate by raising GILTI rates and imposing a per country limit on the foreign tax credit the full U.S. rate by raising GILTI rates and imposing a per country limit on the foreign tax credit
so income in tax havens cannot be shielded from U.S. tax by credits from foreign taxes in high-so income in tax havens cannot be shielded from U.S. tax by credits from foreign taxes in high-
tax countries. tax countries.

Monetary Fund, Working Paper no. WP -11-95, April, 2011, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1195.pdf. Monetary Fund, Working Paper no. WP -11-95, April, 2011, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1195.pdf.
38 T he T reasury study provides data on the growth over time in unincorporated business forms and suggests that the 38 T he T reasury study provides data on the growth over time in unincorporated business forms and suggests that the
large share of this income in the United States relative to other countries is due to the ability to avoid the corporate tax large share of this income in the United States relative to other countries is due to the ability to avoid the corporate tax
and still retain limited liability in the United States. T he growth in and still retain limited liability in the United States. T he growth in ~~Subchapter~~Subchapt er S income (partnerships that can elect to S income (partnerships that can elect to
be taxed as corporations) corresponds to increasing limits on the number of permissible shareholders, and the growth in be taxed as corporations) corresponds to increasing limits on the number of permissible shareholders, and the growth in
partnership income to the growth in the number of states allowing limited liability partnership income to the growth in the number of states allowing limited liability ~~companies~~companie s that do not fall under the that do not fall under the
corporate tax. Proprietorship income shares have changed very little. In any case, this growth occurred during a period corporate tax. Proprietorship income shares have changed very little. In any case, this growth occurred during a period
when the corporate tax was constant or falling. when the corporate tax was constant or falling.
39 Jane G. Gravelle, “Policy Options to Address Profit 39 Jane G. Gravelle, “Policy Options to Address Profit ~~Shifting~~Shift ing: Carrots or Sticks?” : Carrots or Sticks?” Tax Notes, July 4, 2016, pp. 121-, July 4, 2016, pp. 121-
134. Even the largest elasticities suggested that a dollar of revenue loss would be offset by only nine cents due to 134. Even the largest elasticities suggested that a dollar of revenue loss would be offset by only nine cents due to
induced profit shifting; the smallest suggested only one cent. induced profit shifting; the smallest suggested only one cent.
40 See Joint Committee on T axation, 40 See Joint Committee on T axation, U.S. International Tax Policy: Overview and Analysis, JCX-16R-21, April 19, , JCX-16R-21, April 19,
2021, https://www.jct.gov/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=aa66e305 -74cc-40bc-acad-55bb3e6d5971, which compared 2021, https://www.jct.gov/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=aa66e305 -74cc-40bc-acad-55bb3e6d5971, which compared
2017 and 2018 tax data; and T estimony of Kimberly A. Clausing, Deputy Assistant Secretary, T ax Analysis, Before the 2017 and 2018 tax data; and T estimony of Kimberly A. Clausing, Deputy Assistant Secretary, T ax Analysis, Before the
Senate Committee on Finance, U.S. Department of the Treasury, March 21, 2021, Senate Committee on Finance, U.S. Department of the Treasury, March 21, 2021,
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0079, which compared data from 2000 through 2019 from the https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0079, which compared data from 2000 through 2019 from the
Commerce Department. Commerce Department.
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Revenue Feedback from a General Equilibrium Model to Illustrate
Likelihood of a Laffer Curve Near Pre-2017 Rates
A Laffer curve with a revenue-maximizing tax rate implies that there is a point where the tax base A Laffer curve with a revenue-maximizing tax rate implies that there is a point where the tax base
contracts so much that no revenue is gained from a tax increase, and, conversely that cutting tax contracts so much that no revenue is gained from a tax increase, and, conversely that cutting tax
rates could raise revenue. Revenue offsets that arise from behavioral responses are often referred rates could raise revenue. Revenue offsets that arise from behavioral responses are often referred
to as a revenue feedback. For a tax cut, revenue feedback would be the revenue gain from an to as a revenue feedback. For a tax cut, revenue feedback would be the revenue gain from an
expanded base as a percentage of the original revenue loss (for a tax increase, it would be the loss expanded base as a percentage of the original revenue loss (for a tax increase, it would be the loss
from a contraction in the base as a percentage of the original gain). The revenue-maximizing tax from a contraction in the base as a percentage of the original gain). The revenue-maximizing tax
rate is the point where induced changes in the tax rate provide 100% revenue feedback. rate is the point where induced changes in the tax rate provide 100% revenue feedback.
An approach that is empirical y based but which is not the result of a direct estimate involves An approach that is empirical y based but which is not the result of a direct estimate involves
using a general equilibrium model, which is based on empirical estimates of underlying using a general equilibrium model, which is based on empirical estimates of underlying
relationships (such as capital mobility). A CRS report used such a model and concluded that relationships (such as capital mobility). A CRS report used such a model and concluded that
cutting the corporate tax from 35% to 25% in isolation would result in a revenue offset of 5% due cutting the corporate tax from 35% to 25% in isolation would result in a revenue offset of 5% due
to taxes on increased output in the United States.41 This effect was not due to the increase in to taxes on increased output in the United States.41 This effect was not due to the increase in
corporate taxes on the additional output, which was negligible, but to an increase in both labor corporate taxes on the additional output, which was negligible, but to an increase in both labor
and capital income taxes on increased output. Thus the revenue-maximizing tax rate cannot be and capital income taxes on increased output. Thus the revenue-maximizing tax rate cannot be
near the current 35% tax rate. near the current 35% tax rate.
As noted earlier, some have argued that the revenue feedback for the corporate tax arises not from As noted earlier, some have argued that the revenue feedback for the corporate tax arises not from
real changes in investment but from artificial profit shifting, where multinationals use a variety of real changes in investment but from artificial profit shifting, where multinationals use a variety of
techniques to declare income in low tax countries. Analysis and evidence, however, does not techniques to declare income in low tax countries. Analysis and evidence, however, does not
support this effect. support this effect.
Final y, al of these feedback effects would eventual y be swamped for a stand-alone tax cut by Final y, al of these feedback effects would eventual y be swamped for a stand-alone tax cut by
the increase in the debt, which would crowd out capital and reduce output, leading to an the increase in the debt, which would crowd out capital and reduce output, leading to an
additional loss of revenues of 23% by the 10th year. This loss of revenues on reduced output is in additional loss of revenues of 23% by the 10th year. This loss of revenues on reduced output is in
addition to the direct effect on the budget deficit due to an increase in interest costs of 25% of the addition to the direct effect on the budget deficit due to an increase in interest costs of 25% of the
revenue loss over the first 10 years. revenue loss over the first 10 years.
Reduced Form Empirical Analysis
As noted above, several recent studies have examined the relationship between corporate tax rates As noted above, several recent studies have examined the relationship between corporate tax rates
and corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP. The data used for two of these studies were and corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP. The data used for two of these studies were
obtained to replicate and extend the analyses. Both studies and the analysis estimate the effect of obtained to replicate and extend the analyses. Both studies and the analysis estimate the effect of
the top corporate tax rate (and its square) on corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP. Panel the top corporate tax rate (and its square) on corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP. Panel
data for 29 OECD countries is used for the analysis. data for 29 OECD countries is used for the analysis.
Brill and Hassett Study
In their study, Bril and Hassett use panel data for the OECD countries from 1981 to 2003.42 They In their study, Bril and Hassett use panel data for the OECD countries from 1981 to 2003.42 They
use regression analysis (OLS) to estimate the effects. Bril and Hassett find that the corporate tax use regression analysis (OLS) to estimate the effects. Bril and Hassett find that the corporate tax
rate has at first a positive effect on corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP and then a rate has at first a positive effect on corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP and then a
decreasing effect—the effect looks like an inverted U, the shape of the classic Laffer curve. Al of decreasing effect—the effect looks like an inverted U, the shape of the classic Laffer curve. Al of
their coefficient estimates are statistical y significant. However, they do not account for problems their coefficient estimates are statistical y significant. However, they do not account for problems

41 CRS Report R41743, 41 CRS Report R41743, International Corporate Tax Rate Comparisons and Policy Implications, by Jane G. Gravelle , by Jane G. Gravelle
42 See Alex Brill and Kevin A. Hassett, 42 See Alex Brill and Kevin A. Hassett, Revenue-Maximizing Corporate Income Taxes: The Laffer Curve in OECD
Countries. T he authors obtained data from the same sources as Brill and Hassett. . T he authors obtained data from the same sources as Brill and Hassett.
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often encountered with the use of panel data, and their coefficient estimates would appear to be often encountered with the use of panel data, and their coefficient estimates would appear to be
biased and inconsistent.43 biased and inconsistent.43
The estimation results from the re-analysis of the Bril and Hassett study are reported i The estimation results from the re-analysis of the Bril and Hassett study are reported in Table 3.
The regression includes a tax rate and a tax rate squared to al ow for a curve. Panel A of the table The regression includes a tax rate and a tax rate squared to al ow for a curve. Panel A of the table
displays the results for central government corporate tax data (in the case of the U.S., this is displays the results for central government corporate tax data (in the case of the U.S., this is
federal government tax data). The coefficient estimates for the full time period (1980 to 2003) federal government tax data). The coefficient estimates for the full time period (1980 to 2003)
and the four subperiods defined by Bril and Hassett are reported. In al cases, the coefficient and the four subperiods defined by Bril and Hassett are reported. In al cases, the coefficient
estimates are fairly smal and none are statistical y significant at conventional confidence levels. estimates are fairly smal and none are statistical y significant at conventional confidence levels.
Panel B of the table displays the results for total government (that is, governments at al levels) Panel B of the table displays the results for total government (that is, governments at al levels)
corporate tax data. Again, the coefficient estimates are fairly smal and none are statistical y corporate tax data. Again, the coefficient estimates are fairly smal and none are statistical y
significant. Once appropriate estimation methods are used to correct problems arising with panel significant. Once appropriate estimation methods are used to correct problems arising with panel
data, there appears to be no statistical y significant relation between corporate tax rates and data, there appears to be no statistical y significant relation between corporate tax rates and
corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP. corporate tax revenues as a percentage of GDP.
Table 3. Coefficient Estimates: Dependent Variable is Corporate Revenues
as a Percentage of GDP (Brill and Hassett Model)

1980-1986
1987-1992
1993-1997
1998-2003
1980-2003
A. Central government corporate tax revenues; federal corporate tax rate A. Central government corporate tax revenues; federal corporate tax rate
Tax rate Tax rate
-0.037 -0.037
-0.110 -0.110
0.048 0.048
0.049 0.049
-0.040 -0.040
(0.090) (0.090)
(0.081) (0.081)
(0.087) (0.087)
(0.117) (0.117)
(0.040) (0.040)
0.087 0.087
0.122 0.122
-0.082 -0.082
-0.060 -0.060
0.052 0.052
Tax rate squared Tax rate squared
(0.109) (0.109)
(0.100) (0.100)
(0.129) (0.129)
(0.178) (0.178)
(0.053) (0.053)
F (joint) F (joint)
5.15 5.15
1.21 1.21
0.33 0.33
0.21 0.21
0.51 0.51
Prob>F Prob>F
0.008 0.008
0.303 0.303
0.719 0.719
0.809 0.809
0.603 0.603
B. Total government corporate tax revenues; total corporate tax rate B. Total government corporate tax revenues; total corporate tax rate
0.204 0.204
-0.042 -0.042
0.069 0.069
0.037 0.037
-0.016 -0.016
Tax rate Tax rate
(0.195) (0.195)
(0.077) (0.077)
(0.076) (0.076)
(0.094) (0.094)
(0.038) (0.038)
-0.193 -0.193
0.044 0.044
-0.106 -0.106
-0.008 -0.008
0.028 0.028
Tax rate squared Tax rate squared
(0.214) (0.214)
(0.091) (0.091)
(0.109) (0.109)
(0.123) (0.123)
(0.047) (0.047)
F (joint) F (joint)
2.25 2.25
0.21 0.21
0.51 0.51
0.74 0.74
0.44 0.44
Prob>F Prob>F
0.112 0.112
0.811 0.811
0.602 0.602
0.481 0.481
0.612 0.612
Source: CRS analysis. CRS analysis.
Notes: Standard errors in parenthesis. Fixed effects linear model with AR(1) disturbance. Other variables Standard errors in parenthesis. Fixed effects linear model with AR(1) disturbance. Other variables
include time dummy variables. include time dummy variables.
Clausing Study
Clausing uses panel data for the OECD countries from 1979 to 2002 to study the effect of Clausing uses panel data for the OECD countries from 1979 to 2002 to study the effect of
corporate tax rates on corporate tax revenue as a percentage of GDP.44 She includes more corporate tax rates on corporate tax revenue as a percentage of GDP.44 She includes more
explanatory variables than did Bril and Hassett, but her overal research findings and conclusions explanatory variables than did Bril and Hassett, but her overal research findings and conclusions

43 T he terms 43 T he terms biased and and inconsistent are technical statistical terms. Se are technical statistical terms. See Appendix B for a description and the for a description and the
consequences of these problems, and the statistical definitions for biased and inconsistent. consequences of these problems, and the statistical definitions for biased and inconsistent.
44 See Kimberly A. Clausing, “Corporate T ax Revenues in OECD Countries.” T he authors thank Kimberly Clausing for 44 See Kimberly A. Clausing, “Corporate T ax Revenues in OECD Countries.” T he authors thank Kimberly Clausing for
providing her data. providing her data.
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are essential y the same as theirs—there is a Laffer curve relationship between corporate tax rates are essential y the same as theirs—there is a Laffer curve relationship between corporate tax rates
and corporate tax revenue as a percentage of GDP. However, her estimation methods would lead and corporate tax revenue as a percentage of GDP. However, her estimation methods would lead
to biased and inconsistent coefficient estimates.45 to biased and inconsistent coefficient estimates.45
The estimation results for five different specifications are reported i The estimation results for five different specifications are reported in Table 4. The five The five
specifications differ by what explanatory variables are included in the analysis. In al five specifications differ by what explanatory variables are included in the analysis. In al five
specifications, the coefficient estimates of the corporate tax rate (and its square) are smal er than specifications, the coefficient estimates of the corporate tax rate (and its square) are smal er than
those estimated by Clausing and have the opposite signs. Most of the coefficient estimates are not those estimated by Clausing and have the opposite signs. Most of the coefficient estimates are not
statistical y significant at conventional confidence levels, but two are statistical y significant at statistical y significant at conventional confidence levels, but two are statistical y significant at
the 10% level only. (In these cases where the coefficients are significant on the tax squared term the 10% level only. (In these cases where the coefficients are significant on the tax squared term
they stil do not produce the Laffer curve shape but rather suggest rising revenue with a rising tax they stil do not produce the Laffer curve shape but rather suggest rising revenue with a rising tax
rate). Overal , these results suggest that the corporate tax rate has little effect on corporate tax rate). Overal , these results suggest that the corporate tax rate has little effect on corporate tax
revenues as a percentage of GDP. Consequently, there is little evidence to support the existence of revenues as a percentage of GDP. Consequently, there is little evidence to support the existence of
a corporate tax Laffer curve. a corporate tax Laffer curve.
Table 4. Coefficient Estimates: Dependent Variable is Corporate Revenues
as a Percentage of GDP (Clausing Model)
Specification

(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
-0.055 -0.055
-0.073 -0.073
-0.075 -0.075
-0.048 -0.048
-0.067 -0.067
Tax rate Tax rate
(0.035) (0.035)
(0.111) (0.111)
(0.046) (0.046)
(0.036) (0.036)
(0.047) (0.047)
Tax rate squared Tax rate squared
0.078* 0.078*
0.118 0.118
0.102* 0.102*
0.069 0.069
0.093 0.093
(0.047) (0.047)
(0.147) (0.147)
(0.061) (0.061)
(0.048) (0.048)
(0.061) (0.061)
Profit rate Profit rate

X X

Corporate share Corporate share

X X

Unemployment rate Unemployment rate

X X

X X
Per capita GDP growth rate Per capita GDP growth rate

X X

X X
Per capita GDP Per capita GDP

X X

X X
Openness Openness

X X
X X
F (joint) F (joint)
1.39 1.39
0.75 0.75
1.45 1.45
1.04 1.04
1.21 1.21
Prob>F Prob>F
0.251 0.251
0.473 0.473
0.236 0.236
0.354 0.354
0.298 0.298
Source: CRS analysis. CRS analysis.
Notes: Standard errors in parenthesis. Fixed effects linear model with AR(1) disturbance. Other variables Standard errors in parenthesis. Fixed effects linear model with AR(1) disturbance. Other variables
include the indicated variables and time dummy variables. *significant at 10% level. include the indicated variables and time dummy variables. *significant at 10% level.
Even if an empirical study found a statistical y significant relationship that indicated a revenue- Even if an empirical study found a statistical y significant relationship that indicated a revenue-
maximizing tax rate, such results could not be considered reliable if they do not control for base maximizing tax rate, such results could not be considered reliable if they do not control for base
changes. If the rate is lowered but the base is broadened, the data could show rising tax revenues changes. If the rate is lowered but the base is broadened, the data could show rising tax revenues
that would be due to the base changes. In a recent paper, Slemrod and Kawano provide estimates that would be due to the base changes. In a recent paper, Slemrod and Kawano provide estimates
controlling for the direction of changes in the base (although not the magnitude, a much more controlling for the direction of changes in the base (although not the magnitude, a much more

45 Clausing included two variables in her analysis indicating the type of corporate tax system that do not vary over time 45 Clausing included two variables in her analysis indicating the type of corporate tax system that do not vary over time
for a country. T he coefficients of these variables are not identified when using the fixed effect estimation method, for a country. T he coefficients of these variables are not identified when using the fixed effect estimation method,
which is probably why she estimated the coefficients using OLS. While she obtained coefficient estimates for these two which is probably why she estimated the coefficients using OLS. While she obtained coefficient estimates for these two
variables, the estimates are biased and inconsistent. variables, the estimates are biased and inconsistent.
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daunting task) and find these controls raise the estimated revenue-maximizing tax rate.46 Thus, daunting task) and find these controls raise the estimated revenue-maximizing tax rate.46 Thus,
until studies can adequately control for the magnitude of changes in the base, they cannot be the until studies can adequately control for the magnitude of changes in the base, they cannot be the
basis for estimating a revenue-maximizing tax rate. basis for estimating a revenue-maximizing tax rate.
Cross-Country Investment Estimates: The Djankov Study
Cross-country empirical studies, as noted above, have recently been employed to address the Cross-country empirical studies, as noted above, have recently been employed to address the
Laffer curve issue and, as wil be discussed subsequently, the incidence of the corporate tax on Laffer curve issue and, as wil be discussed subsequently, the incidence of the corporate tax on
wages. In addition to these direct estimates, there are numerous empirical studies that examine wages. In addition to these direct estimates, there are numerous empirical studies that examine
underlying relationships, such as the effect of the user cost of capital (which incorporates the tax underlying relationships, such as the effect of the user cost of capital (which incorporates the tax
rate along with other variables) on investment. Most of these studies have found modest effects rate along with other variables) on investment. Most of these studies have found modest effects
on domestic investment and have employed times series estimates within the United States.47 on domestic investment and have employed times series estimates within the United States.47
One recent study on investment, Djankov et al.,48 is similar to the other studies in that it employs One recent study on investment, Djankov et al.,48 is similar to the other studies in that it employs
a cross-country data base and an independent variable reflecting the tax rate to directly estimate a cross-country data base and an independent variable reflecting the tax rate to directly estimate
the effect of the corporate tax rate on investment, entrepreneurship and other variables. The study the effect of the corporate tax rate on investment, entrepreneurship and other variables. The study
found no effect on investment for statutory tax rates, but very large effects for constructed first found no effect on investment for statutory tax rates, but very large effects for constructed first
year and five year cash flow tax rates. This study, unlike the others discussed in this paper, is a year and five year cash flow tax rates. This study, unlike the others discussed in this paper, is a
single cross section, so there is no way to introduce fixed country effects. single cross section, so there is no way to introduce fixed country effects.
Theoretical Issues
Several difficulties arise in the Djankov analysis. First, the cash flow tax rate variable they Several difficulties arise in the Djankov analysis. First, the cash flow tax rate variable they
construct is a hypothetical one (for a hypothetical firm), which is not representative of the capital construct is a hypothetical one (for a hypothetical firm), which is not representative of the capital
stock or the firm size in a country (or in al countries). The denominator is income measured stock or the firm size in a country (or in al countries). The denominator is income measured
before labor income taxes paid by the firm (such as social security taxes in the United States) and before labor income taxes paid by the firm (such as social security taxes in the United States) and
economic depreciation. The first is very problematic because the capital income tax rate increases economic depreciation. The first is very problematic because the capital income tax rate increases
as the labor income tax rate fal s, which is a relationship that seems to have no obvious economic as the labor income tax rate fal s, which is a relationship that seems to have no obvious economic
justification. It also measures taxes on a cash flow basis for the first year (or the first five yearsjustification. It also measures taxes on a cash flow basis for the first year (or the first five years in in
an alternative scenario), rather than over the life of the investment. an alternative scenario), rather than over the life of the investment.
An examination of scatter-plots of their data suggest that the results are highly affected by An examination of scatter-plots of their data suggest that the results are highly affected by
outliers, particularly Bolivia (which has a very high tax rate and a very low investment rate) and outliers, particularly Bolivia (which has a very high tax rate and a very low investment rate) and
Mongolia, a low tax country where investment has been flowing in recently due to mining. Mongolia, a low tax country where investment has been flowing in recently due to mining.
The tax rate for Bolivia is about twice the typical tax rate and is inconsistent with the corporate The tax rate for Bolivia is about twice the typical tax rate and is inconsistent with the corporate
rate in Bolivia. According to the authors, the tax rate reflects an alternative transactions tax. rate in Bolivia. According to the authors, the tax rate reflects an alternative transactions tax.
However, a transactions tax is not a tax on corporate income but fal s on al income in the However, a transactions tax is not a tax on corporate income but fal s on al income in the
economy. Assuming that about a quarter of income is capital incomes, the tax should be reduced economy. Assuming that about a quarter of income is capital incomes, the tax should be reduced
by 75%. by 75%.

46 Laura Kawano & Joel Slemrod, “How Do Corporate T ax Bases Change When Corporate T ax Rates Change? With 46 Laura Kawano & Joel Slemrod, “How Do Corporate T ax Bases Change When Corporate T ax Rates Change? With
Implications for the T ax Rate Elasticity of Corporate Tax Revenues,”Implications for the T ax Rate Elasticity of Corporate Tax Revenues,” International Tax and Public Finance, vol. 23, , vol. 23,
no. 3 (June 2016), pp. 401-433. no. 3 (June 2016), pp. 401-433.
47 For reviews, see Robert Chirinko, “Investment T ax Credits,” in 47 For reviews, see Robert Chirinko, “Investment T ax Credits,” in The Encyclopedia of Taxation and Tax Policy, ed. by , ed. by
Joseph J. Cordes, Robert D. Ebel and Jane G. Gravelle, Washington, DC, the Urban InstituteJoseph J. Cordes, Robert D. Ebel and Jane G. Gravelle, Washington, DC, the Urban Institute , 2005, pp. 226-229 and , 2005, pp. 226-229 and
Kevin A. Hassett and R. Glenn Hubbard, “T ax Policy and Business Investment ,” Kevin A. Hassett and R. Glenn Hubbard, “T ax Policy and Business Investment ,” Handbook of Public Economics (New s (New
York: Elsiever, 2002), pp. 1293-1343. York: Elsiever, 2002), pp. 1293-1343.
48 Simeon Djankov, T im Ganser, Caralee McLiesh, Rita Ramalho, and Andrei Shleifer, “T he Effect of Corporate T axes 48 Simeon Djankov, T im Ganser, Caralee McLiesh, Rita Ramalho, and Andrei Shleifer, “T he Effect of Corporate T axes
on Investment and Entrepreneurship,” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 13756, January on Investment and Entrepreneurship,” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 13756, January
2008. T his paper was subsequently published in the 2008. T his paper was subsequently published in the Am erican Econom ic Journal: Macroeconomics, vol. 2, pp. 31-64. , vol. 2, pp. 31-64.
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As with the Laffer-curve estimates, the results of this study, at least for the United States, are not As with the Laffer-curve estimates, the results of this study, at least for the United States, are not
plausible. According to their estimates, a 10 percentage point drop in corporate tax increased plausible. According to their estimates, a 10 percentage point drop in corporate tax increased
investment by 2.2 percentage points. According to an open economy model developed by investment by 2.2 percentage points. According to an open economy model developed by
Gravel e and Smetters,49 however, U.S. capital would increase a maximum of 0.7 percentage Gravel e and Smetters,49 however, U.S. capital would increase a maximum of 0.7 percentage
points with the elimination of corporate tax; with more reasonable elasticities, it would increase points with the elimination of corporate tax; with more reasonable elasticities, it would increase
by 0.3 percentage points. (This study was directed at the question of tax incidence and wil be by 0.3 percentage points. (This study was directed at the question of tax incidence and wil be
discussed in more detail in the section below which addresses distributional issues and the burden discussed in more detail in the section below which addresses distributional issues and the burden
on labor). Moreover, these effects may understate the investment effects because they do not take on labor). Moreover, these effects may understate the investment effects because they do not take
into account debt. Thus, their results suggest an investment increase that is at least 11 times too into account debt. Thus, their results suggest an investment increase that is at least 11 times too
large and that could be 25 or more times too large. large and that could be 25 or more times too large.
Empirical Analysis
Although the issue of fixed effects would cause this study to remain problematic in any case, this Although the issue of fixed effects would cause this study to remain problematic in any case, this
section explores the effects of the tax rate changes and of specifications that include multiple section explores the effects of the tax rate changes and of specifications that include multiple
control variables. control variables.
The Djankov et al. sample consists of 2004 tax and economic data for 85 countries. They examine The Djankov et al. sample consists of 2004 tax and economic data for 85 countries. They examine
the effect of the corporate tax rate on (1) aggregate investment, (2) foreign direct investment, and the effect of the corporate tax rate on (1) aggregate investment, (2) foreign direct investment, and
(3) two measures of entrepreneurial activity. The main results of their study and the authors’ (3) two measures of entrepreneurial activity. The main results of their study and the authors’
reanalysis are reported ireanalysis are reported in Table 5. The first row of the table displays the coefficient estimate of The first row of the table displays the coefficient estimate of
the effective corporate tax rate variable taken from the Djankov et al. study. Their basic the effective corporate tax rate variable taken from the Djankov et al. study. Their basic
specification includes only the tax rate as an independent variable. The second row of the table specification includes only the tax rate as an independent variable. The second row of the table
reports the range of estimates when a single additional independent variable is added—the reports the range of estimates when a single additional independent variable is added—the
authors add 10 variables, one at a time. In al but one instance, the estimates are statistical y authors add 10 variables, one at a time. In al but one instance, the estimates are statistical y
significant at the 1% or 5% confidence level, and at the 10% level in the remaining case. significant at the 1% or 5% confidence level, and at the 10% level in the remaining case.
Their data was reanalyzed after correcting an error in their tax rate for Bolivia, and cumulatively Their data was reanalyzed after correcting an error in their tax rate for Bolivia, and cumulatively
adding selected independent variables that Djankov et al. included in their analysis; the new adding selected independent variables that Djankov et al. included in their analysis; the new
analysis also included a region-of-the-world variable for each country. The first row of the bottom analysis also included a region-of-the-world variable for each country. The first row of the bottom
panel ipanel in Table 5 presents the coefficient estimates for the basic model with only a single presents the coefficient estimates for the basic model with only a single
independent variable: the effective corporate tax rate. For each dependent variable, the coefficient independent variable: the effective corporate tax rate. For each dependent variable, the coefficient
estimate of the tax rate variable is smal er than Djankov et al.’s estimate, which il ustrates the estimate of the tax rate variable is smal er than Djankov et al.’s estimate, which il ustrates the
importance of Bolivia to their results. Furthermore, the estimated effect of the tax rate on importance of Bolivia to their results. Furthermore, the estimated effect of the tax rate on
aggregate investment is not statistical y significant. The final row aggregate investment is not statistical y significant. The final row of Table 5 reports the reports the
coefficient estimate of the tax rate when the full set of independent variables is included in the coefficient estimate of the tax rate when the full set of independent variables is included in the
analysis. The estimated effect of the tax rate on aggregate investment is much smal er than analysis. The estimated effect of the tax rate on aggregate investment is much smal er than
Djankov et al.’s estimate and not statistical y significant. The estimated effect of the corporate tax Djankov et al.’s estimate and not statistical y significant. The estimated effect of the corporate tax
rate on foreign direct investment and entrepreneurial activity is somewhat smal er than the effects rate on foreign direct investment and entrepreneurial activity is somewhat smal er than the effects
estimated by Djankov et al., but the estimates are statistical y significant. estimated by Djankov et al., but the estimates are statistical y significant.

49 Jane G. Gravelle and Kent A. Smetters, “Does the Open Economy Assumption Really Mean T hat Labor Bears the 49 Jane G. Gravelle and Kent A. Smetters, “Does the Open Economy Assumption Really Mean T hat Labor Bears the
Burden of a Capital Income T ax?” Burden of a Capital Income T ax?” Advances in Economic Policy and Analysis, vol. 6, no. 1, 2006. , vol. 6, no. 1, 2006.
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Table 5. Coefficient Estimates: Key Independent Variable is Constructed Effective Tax
Rate (Djankov, Ganser, McLiesh, Ramalho, and Shleifer Model)

Dependent Variable
Foreign
Business
Average

Investment
Direct
Density per
Business
Investment
100 People
Entry Rate
-0.218a -0.218a
-0.226a -0.226a
-0.194a -0.194a
-0.138b -0.138b
Original Basic Estimate Original Basic Estimate
(0.074) (0.074)
(0.045) (0.045)
(0.063) (0.063)
(0.057) (0.057)
-0.165 to -0.165 to
-0.189 to -0.189 to
-0.090 to -0.090 to
-0.110 to -0.110 to
Range of Estimate Range of Estimate
-0.236 -0.236
-0.233 -0.233
-0.196 -0.196
-0.141 -0.141
Coefficient Estimates of Tax Rate Variable with Corrected Data
-0.108 -0.108
-0.194a -0.194a
-0.150b -0.150b
-0.116b -0.116b
Basic Estimate Basic Estimate
(0.073) (0.073)
(0.044) (0.044)
(0.060) (0.060)
(0.055) (0.055)
PLUS PLUS
-0.046 -0.046
-0.191a -0.191a
-0.115b -0.115b
-0.126b -0.126b
Region Indicators Region Indicators
(0.071) (0.071)
(0.045) (0.045)
(0.058) (0.058)
(0.056) (0.056)
PLUS PLUS
-0.031 -0.031
-0.190a -0.190a
-0.148a -0.148a
-0.146a -0.146a
Per Capital GDP Per Capital GDP
(0.070) (0.070)
(0.045) (0.045)
(0.050) (0.050)
(0.055) (0.055)
PLUS PLUS
Number of Tax Payments Number of Tax Payments
-0.025 -0.025
-0.179a -0.179a
-0.154a -0.154a
-0.097c -0.097c
Employment Rigidity Index Employment Rigidity Index
(0.076) (0.076)
(0.048) (0.048)
(0.055) (0.055)
(0.057) (0.057)
Procedures to Start a Business Procedures to Start a Business
Source: CRS analysis. CRS analysis.
Notes: Standard errors in parenthesis. Standard errors in parenthesis.
a. Significant at 1% level. a. Significant at 1% level.
b. Significant at 5% level. b. Significant at 5% level.
c. Significant at 10% level. c. Significant at 10% level.
Distributional Effects
A second issue that was a focus of the Hubbard article was the distributional effects of the A second issue that was a focus of the Hubbard article was the distributional effects of the
corporate income tax. (Note that these distributional effects are driven by some of the same corporate income tax. (Note that these distributional effects are driven by some of the same
effects that drive the issue of a revenue maximizing tax rate or economic growth: the inflow of effects that drive the issue of a revenue maximizing tax rate or economic growth: the inflow of
capital from abroad.) The distributional issue also had been referenced by then-Treasury capital from abroad.) The distributional issue also had been referenced by then-Treasury
Secretary Mnuchin, who cited a study by Azémar and Hubbard as evidence that most of the Secretary Mnuchin, who cited a study by Azémar and Hubbard as evidence that most of the
corporate tax is paid by workers.50 If the corporate tax fal s on owners of the corporation, or on corporate tax is paid by workers.50 If the corporate tax fal s on owners of the corporation, or on
capital in general, it contributes to a progressive tax system, since higher income individuals have capital in general, it contributes to a progressive tax system, since higher income individuals have
more income from capital than from labor. Based on tax data, for taxpayers with incomes up to more income from capital than from labor. Based on tax data, for taxpayers with incomes up to
$100,000, over 90% of income is labor income, whereas those with incomes over $1 mil ion, less $100,000, over 90% of income is labor income, whereas those with incomes over $1 mil ion, less

50 Richard Rubin, “Who Ultimately Pays for Corporate T axes? T he Answer May Color the Republican Overhaul,” 50 Richard Rubin, “Who Ultimately Pays for Corporate T axes? T he Answer May Color the Republican Overhaul,” Wall
Street Journal, August 8, 2017. T he paper referenced is Céline Azémar and Glenn Hubbard, “ Country Characteristics , August 8, 2017. T he paper referenced is Céline Azémar and Glenn Hubbard, “ Country Characteristics
and the Incidence of Capital Income T axes on Wages: An Empirical Assessment,” and the Incidence of Capital Income T axes on Wages: An Empirical Assessment,” Canadian Journal of Economics, ,
vol. 48, iss. 5 (December 2015), pp. 1762 -1802. vol. 48, iss. 5 (December 2015), pp. 1762 -1802.
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than a third is labor income.51 The traditional analysis of the corporate income tax indicates that than a third is labor income.51 The traditional analysis of the corporate income tax indicates that
the burden general y spread to al capital, but does not fal on labor income. Most government and the burden general y spread to al capital, but does not fal on labor income. Most government and
private agencies that routinely do distributional analysis al ocate the corporate tax largely to private agencies that routinely do distributional analysis al ocate the corporate tax largely to
capital income.52 capital income.52
Hubbard referred to three studies in his article: a working paper by economist Arnold Harberger,53 Hubbard referred to three studies in his article: a working paper by economist Arnold Harberger,53
a working paper by Wil iam Randolph of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO),54 and a recent a working paper by Wil iam Randolph of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO),54 and a recent
empirical cross-country study using data similar to the studies discussed above, by Hassett and empirical cross-country study using data similar to the studies discussed above, by Hassett and
Mathur.55 At about the same time or shortly thereafter three other empirical studies that use cross-Mathur.55 At about the same time or shortly thereafter three other empirical studies that use cross-
country data were released in 2006-2008, by Felix,56 by Desai, Foley and Hines,57 and by country data were released in 2006-2008, by Felix,56 by Desai, Foley and Hines,57 and by
Arulampalam, Devereux, and Maffini.58 Mankiw referred to the Randolph and Arulampalam, Arulampalam, Devereux, and Maffini.58 Mankiw referred to the Randolph and Arulampalam,
Devereux, and Maffini studies, although as wil be shown subsequently the Arulampalam et al. Devereux, and Maffini studies, although as wil be shown subsequently the Arulampalam et al.
study is examining an entirely different phenomenon which is unlikely to be very relevant to the study is examining an entirely different phenomenon which is unlikely to be very relevant to the
United States corporate tax, as is the case with the Azémar and Hubbard article referred to by United States corporate tax, as is the case with the Azémar and Hubbard article referred to by
then-Treasury Secretary Mnuchin. then-Treasury Secretary Mnuchin.

51 CRS Report RL33285, 51 CRS Report RL33285, Tax Reform and Distributional Issues, by Jane G. Gravelle (out of print, but available from , by Jane G. Gravelle (out of print, but available from
the author upon request). the author upon request).
52 In the past, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the Department of the Treasury, and the Urban-Brookings T ax 52 In the past, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the Department of the Treasury, and the Urban-Brookings T ax
Policy Center attributed 100% of the tax to capital income. In the past few years, all three organizations have moved to Policy Center attributed 100% of the tax to capital income. In the past few years, all three organizations have moved to
assigning a small share to labor income. CBO assigns 25%, the Department of the T reasury 18%, and the Urban-assigning a small share to labor income. CBO assigns 25%, the Department of the T reasury 18%, and the Urban-
Brookings T ax Policy Center 20%. T he Department of T reasury and the T ax Policy center assign a large share of the Brookings T ax Policy Center 20%. T he Department of T reasury and the T ax Policy center assign a large share of the
tax to stockholders based on the idea that a large share of income is supra-normal returns. T his share is based in part on tax to stockholders based on the idea that a large share of income is supra-normal returns. T his share is based in part on
an estimate of the share of the corporate tax that is above a riskan estimate of the share of the corporate tax that is above a risk -free return. While some part of this return may be rent, -free return. While some part of this return may be rent,
it probably also largely reflects risk premiums. T here is, however, little justification for assigning the part of a return it probably also largely reflects risk premiums. T here is, however, little justification for assigning the part of a return
due to anticipated risk as an “excess return” since such returns compensate for risk-taking. With risk and imperfect loss due to anticipated risk as an “excess return” since such returns compensate for risk-taking. With risk and imperfect loss
offset, the tax on the risk premium falls in part in the same way as the normal return, in part on taxpayers to the extent offset, the tax on the risk premium falls in part in the same way as the normal return, in part on taxpayers to the extent
the tax reduces the variance of return but increases variance in revenues,the tax reduces the variance of return but increases variance in revenues, and to some and to some ~~ext ent~~extent disappears because the disappears because the
government is less risk-adverse than individuals. T he CBO allocates the tax based on results from general equilibrium government is less risk-adverse than individuals. T he CBO allocates the tax based on results from general equilibrium
models, modified for certain issues such as debt finance and rents. For further explanation, models, modified for certain issues such as debt finance and rents. For further explanation, ~~see~~se e CBO, CBO, The Distribution
of Household Incom e and Federal Taxes, 2008 and 2009 , http://cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/43373-, http://cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/43373-
06-11-HouseholdIncomeandFedT axes.pdf; Julie-Anne Cronin, Emily Y. Lin, Laura Power, and Michael Cooper 06-11-HouseholdIncomeandFedT axes.pdf; Julie-Anne Cronin, Emily Y. Lin, Laura Power, and Michael Cooper ,
Distributing the Corporate Incom e Tax: Revised U.S. Treasury Methodology , Office of T ax Analysis T echnical Paper , Office of T ax Analysis T echnical Paper
5, May 2012. T his paper was subsequently published in the 5, May 2012. T his paper was subsequently published in the National Tax Journal, March 2013, vol. 66, no. 1, pp. 239 -, March 2013, vol. 66, no. 1, pp. 239 -
262, https://www.ntanet.org/NT J/66/1/ntj-v66n01p239-62-distributing-corporate-income-tax.pdf; Jim Nunns, 262, https://www.ntanet.org/NT J/66/1/ntj-v66n01p239-62-distributing-corporate-income-tax.pdf; Jim Nunns, How the
TPC Distributes the Corporate Incom e Tax, Urban-Brookings T ax Policy Center, http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/, Urban-Brookings T ax Policy Center, http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/
UploadedPDF/412651-T ax-Model-Corporate-Tax-Incidence.pdf. UploadedPDF/412651-T ax-Model-Corporate-Tax-Incidence.pdf.
53 It is not clear which of Harberger’s papers is being referred to, but it is presumably the more recent one: Arnold C. 53 It is not clear which of Harberger’s papers is being referred to, but it is presumably the more recent one: Arnold C.
Harberger, Harberger, Corporate Tax Incidence: What is Known, Unknown, and Unknowable , University of California, 2006. T his , University of California, 2006. T his
paper was presented at a conference at Rice University in 2006, and subsequently published as in Fundamental T ax paper was presented at a conference at Rice University in 2006, and subsequently published as in Fundamental T ax
Reform: Issues, Choices, and Implications, ed. John W. Diamond and George R. Zodrow, Cambridge, MA, MIT Reform: Issues, Choices, and Implications, ed. John W. Diamond and George R. Zodrow, Cambridge, MA, MIT ~~Press~~Pr ess, ,
2008. 2008.
54 T he paper in question is not an official CBO paper but rather a working paper by William Randolph. William C. 54 T he paper in question is not an official CBO paper but rather a working paper by William Randolph. William C.
Randolph, Randolph, International Burdens of the Corporate Tax, CBO, Working Paper no. 2006-09, August 2006. , CBO, Working Paper no. 2006-09, August 2006.
55 Kevin A. Hassett and Aparna 55 Kevin A. Hassett and Aparna ~~Mathur~~Mat hur, , Taxes and Wages, American Enterprise Institute, Working Paper, April 2008. , American Enterprise Institute, Working Paper, April 2008.
56 Rachel Alison Felix, 56 Rachel Alison Felix, Passing the Burden: Corporate Tax Incidence in Open Economies, November 2006. T his paper , November 2006. T his paper
was a dissertation essay, University of Michigan. was a dissertation essay, University of Michigan.
57 Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley, and James R. Hines Jr., 57 Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley, and James R. Hines Jr., Labor and Capital shares of the corporate Tax Burden:
International Evidence. Prepared for the International Tax forum and Urban -Brookings T ax Policy Center conference . Prepared for the International Tax forum and Urban -Brookings T ax Policy Center conference
on Who Pays the Corporate T ax in an Open on Who Pays the Corporate T ax in an Open ~~Economy~~Eco nomy, December 18, 2007., December 18, 2007.
58 Wiji Aralampalam, Michael P. Devereux, and Giorgia Maffini, 58 Wiji Aralampalam, Michael P. Devereux, and Giorgia Maffini, The Direct Incidence of Corporate Income Tax on
Wages, Oxford University Center for Business T axation, May, 2008., Oxford University Center for Business T axation, May, 2008. A revised version was subsequently released in A revised version was subsequently released in
March, 2011. T he paper was published in the March, 2011. T he paper was published in the European Economic Review, vol. 56 (2012), pp. 1038-1054. , vol. 56 (2012), pp. 1038-1054.
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These studies reflect differing fundamental approaches to studying corporate tax incidence. One These studies reflect differing fundamental approaches to studying corporate tax incidence. One
approach uses a general equilibrium model that estimates incidence based on empirical estimates approach uses a general equilibrium model that estimates incidence based on empirical estimates
of various behavioral responses and other aspects (such as size). The burden that fal s on labor of various behavioral responses and other aspects (such as size). The burden that fal s on labor
versus capital depends on international capital flows and how wel they can be used in different versus capital depends on international capital flows and how wel they can be used in different
countries (which in turn depend on the technology of production and the preferences of countries (which in turn depend on the technology of production and the preferences of
consumers). The second approach is to directly estimate wages as a function of tax rates and other consumers). The second approach is to directly estimate wages as a function of tax rates and other
variables from a set of data (this approach is cal ed a reduced form estimate). These direct variables from a set of data (this approach is cal ed a reduced form estimate). These direct
estimates, in turn, fal into two types: (1) some studies are considering the effects of international estimates, in turn, fal into two types: (1) some studies are considering the effects of international
capital flows and (2) others are examining the share of the tax on excess profits (or rents) that is capital flows and (2) others are examining the share of the tax on excess profits (or rents) that is
born by labor by reducing the share of rents that is captured by labor in wage bargaining. Of the born by labor by reducing the share of rents that is captured by labor in wage bargaining. Of the
studies mentioned in the previous paragraph, two (Harberger and Randolph) are of the general studies mentioned in the previous paragraph, two (Harberger and Randolph) are of the general
equilibrium type; three (Hassett and Mathur, Felix, and Desai, Foley, and Hines) are reduced form equilibrium type; three (Hassett and Mathur, Felix, and Desai, Foley, and Hines) are reduced form
empirical estimates that reflect capital flows; and two (Arulampalam, Devereux, and Maffini and empirical estimates that reflect capital flows; and two (Arulampalam, Devereux, and Maffini and
Azémar and Hubbard) are estimating rent sharing through wage bargaining. Azémar and Hubbard) are estimating rent sharing through wage bargaining.
A news report indicated three articles referenced by the Treasury press office in support of the A news report indicated three articles referenced by the Treasury press office in support of the
burden fal ing on wages (although the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis currently assigns most of burden fal ing on wages (although the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis currently assigns most of
the burden to capital income): two studies already mentioned, Randolph, and Hassett and Mathur, the burden to capital income): two studies already mentioned, Randolph, and Hassett and Mathur,
and a study by Lui and Altshuler.59 The last study does not clarify what behavioral response it is and a study by Lui and Altshuler.59 The last study does not clarify what behavioral response it is
measuring, but because it is based on considering wage effects by industry it would be capturing measuring, but because it is based on considering wage effects by industry it would be capturing
wage bargaining effects. wage bargaining effects.
The Harberger and Randolph Studies
The first two studies explicitly focus on the effects of an open economy. It is a standard finding The first two studies explicitly focus on the effects of an open economy. It is a standard finding
that for a smal open single-good economy with perfect capital mobility and perfect product that for a smal open single-good economy with perfect capital mobility and perfect product
substitution, the burden of any source based capital income tax fal s on labor (whereas for substitution, the burden of any source based capital income tax fal s on labor (whereas for
residence based taxes, that is taxes that apply to domestic owners of capital regardless of where residence based taxes, that is taxes that apply to domestic owners of capital regardless of where
they are domiciled, the burden would fal on capital). The corporate tax had some aspects of a they are domiciled, the burden would fal on capital). The corporate tax had some aspects of a
source based tax and some of a residence based tax. source based tax and some of a residence based tax.
Both the Harberger and the Randolph studies are based on this simple model of perfect Both the Harberger and the Randolph studies are based on this simple model of perfect
substitution, altered to account for the United States as a large county (which lowers the substitution, altered to account for the United States as a large county (which lowers the
elasticities) and to account for multiple sectors. Randolph’s study does not so much predict the elasticities) and to account for multiple sectors. Randolph’s study does not so much predict the
burden of the tax as explore incidence in certain types of models; he acknowledges that less burden of the tax as explore incidence in certain types of models; he acknowledges that less
capital mobility causes the burden to shift from labor to capital. Harberger’s model has four capital mobility causes the burden to shift from labor to capital. Harberger’s model has four
sectors, corporate and noncorporate tradable sectors and corporate and noncorporate nontradable sectors, corporate and noncorporate tradable sectors and corporate and noncorporate nontradable
sectors. He assumes that the corporate tradable sector is more capital intensive than the average sectors. He assumes that the corporate tradable sector is more capital intensive than the average
industry, which leads to a burden of greater than 100% of the tax fal ing on capital. Despite the industry, which leads to a burden of greater than 100% of the tax fal ing on capital. Despite the
vision of the manufacturing sector as highly capital intensive, it actual y is not: housing services, vision of the manufacturing sector as highly capital intensive, it actual y is not: housing services,
which are 100% capital, account for over a third of the capital stock in the country, and many which are 100% capital, account for over a third of the capital stock in the country, and many
other industries, such as utilities and agriculture are also more capital intensive than other industries, such as utilities and agriculture are also more capital intensive than
manufacturing. Using the same assumptions about mobility, but with a less capital intensive manufacturing. Using the same assumptions about mobility, but with a less capital intensive
manufacturing sector, Randolph finds 70% of the corporate tax burden fal s on labor. manufacturing sector, Randolph finds 70% of the corporate tax burden fal s on labor.

59 Robert Farley, “Who Benefits from Corporate T ax Cut, T he Wire,” September 7, 2017, at 59 Robert Farley, “Who Benefits from Corporate T ax Cut, T he Wire,” September 7, 2017, at
http://www.factcheck.org/2017/09/benefits-corporate-tax-cut/. T he last study is Li Liu and Rosanne Altshuler, http://www.factcheck.org/2017/09/benefits-corporate-tax-cut/. T he last study is Li Liu and Rosanne Altshuler,
Measuring the Burden of a Corporate Tax Under Im perfect Com petition , Oxford Working Paper no. 11/05, , Oxford Working Paper no. 11/05,
subsequently published in the subsequently published in the National Tax Journal, vol. 66, no. 1 (March 2013), pp. 215 -238. , vol. 66, no. 1 (March 2013), pp. 215 -238.
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To permit other than perfect substitutability, a much more complex computable general To permit other than perfect substitutability, a much more complex computable general
equilibrium model would be required, which neither Harberger nor Randolph has provided. Such equilibrium model would be required, which neither Harberger nor Randolph has provided. Such
a model has been developed by Gravel e and Smetters60 who find, with reasonable elasticities, a model has been developed by Gravel e and Smetters60 who find, with reasonable elasticities,
that capital stil bears most of the burden, about 80%. A recent CBO working paper by Jennifer that capital stil bears most of the burden, about 80%. A recent CBO working paper by Jennifer
Gravel e provides an extensive review of the existing general equilibrium models and the factors Gravel e provides an extensive review of the existing general equilibrium models and the factors
that drive the results.61 She finds that five factors tend to move the burden toward fal ing on that drive the results.61 She finds that five factors tend to move the burden toward fal ing on
capital: a smal er wil ingness of consumers to substitute between foreign and domestic products, a capital: a smal er wil ingness of consumers to substitute between foreign and domestic products, a
higher substitutability of labor and capital in the production process, a smal er wil ingness of higher substitutability of labor and capital in the production process, a smal er wil ingness of
investors to substitute investments in different countries, a less capital intensive corporate investors to substitute investments in different countries, a less capital intensive corporate
tradable sector, and a larger country. Her review of the evidence on these factors suggests that, tradable sector, and a larger country. Her review of the evidence on these factors suggests that,
based on these models, the majority of the tax (about 60%) is born by capital, with results based on these models, the majority of the tax (about 60%) is born by capital, with results
differing from the Gravel e and Smetters findings due to a lower substitution elasticity between differing from the Gravel e and Smetters findings due to a lower substitution elasticity between
capital and labor in production.62 She subsequently considers, however, other factors that could capital and labor in production.62 She subsequently considers, however, other factors that could
increase the burden on capital (and even benefit labor), including the use of debt (discussed increase the burden on capital (and even benefit labor), including the use of debt (discussed
below). below).
Although the general equilibrium models can be very complex, they stil abstract from some Although the general equilibrium models can be very complex, they stil abstract from some
important features of the corporate tax. There are several other factors that would further push the important features of the corporate tax. There are several other factors that would further push the
corporate tax burden toward capital. First, if some share of profits is rent, it would be expected to corporate tax burden toward capital. First, if some share of profits is rent, it would be expected to
fal on capital in the United States, because only a smal share of the private sector (less than 7%) fal on capital in the United States, because only a smal share of the private sector (less than 7%)
is unionized.63 Second, the current corporate tax actual y subsidizes debt finance at the firm level, is unionized.63 Second, the current corporate tax actual y subsidizes debt finance at the firm level,
and if debt is much more substitutable than equity, total capital would be less likely to be and if debt is much more substitutable than equity, total capital would be less likely to be
exported: indeed, raising the corporate tax rate could cause capital to flow in. A study by Grubert exported: indeed, raising the corporate tax rate could cause capital to flow in. A study by Grubert
and Mutti found that in a general equilibrium model that included debt, such a capital inflow and Mutti found that in a general equilibrium model that included debt, such a capital inflow
occurred when capital income taxes were raised, an outcome that would lead to labor benefitting occurred when capital income taxes were raised, an outcome that would lead to labor benefitting
from the corporate tax.64 The burden would also be likely to fal from the corporate tax.64 The burden would also be likely to fal on capital if elements of a on capital if elements of a
residence tax were reimposed in the United States (there are some minor current elements residence tax were reimposed in the United States (there are some minor current elements
because branch income abroad is subject to tax). The current international tax regime under because branch income abroad is subject to tax). The current international tax regime under
GILTI al ows a deduction for 10% of tangible income, largely exempting the income from GILTI al ows a deduction for 10% of tangible income, largely exempting the income from
tangible investments of foreign subsidiaries from tax. Eliminating that exemption and raising the tangible investments of foreign subsidiaries from tax. Eliminating that exemption and raising the
GILTI rate to the full U.S. rate would lead to a worldwide, or residence-based tax (such a change GILTI rate to the full U.S. rate would lead to a worldwide, or residence-based tax (such a change
could be accompanied by an elimination of the deduction for FDII, whose exemption for tangible could be accompanied by an elimination of the deduction for FDII, whose exemption for tangible
investment discourages the investment tangible capital in the United States because an increase investment discourages the investment tangible capital in the United States because an increase
decreases the deduction). decreases the deduction).
Final y, note that as long as countries tend to choose tax rates similar to each other, which appears Final y, note that as long as countries tend to choose tax rates similar to each other, which appears
to be the case, the world becomes like the original closed economy, a model stressed by to be the case, the world becomes like the original closed economy, a model stressed by

60 Jane G. Gravelle and Kent A. Smetters, “Does the Open Economy Assumption Really Mean T hat Labor Bears the 60 Jane G. Gravelle and Kent A. Smetters, “Does the Open Economy Assumption Really Mean T hat Labor Bears the
Burden of a Capital Income T ax?” Burden of a Capital Income T ax?” Advances in ~~Econom ic~~Economic Policy and Analysis, vol. 6, no. 1, 2006. , vol. 6, no. 1, 2006.
61 Jennifer Gravelle, 61 Jennifer Gravelle, Corporate Tax Incidence: Review of General Equilibrium Estimates and Analysis, CBO, Working , CBO, Working
Paper no. 2010-03, May 2010, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/115xx/doc11519/05-2010-Working_Paper-Paper no. 2010-03, May 2010, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/115xx/doc11519/05-2010-Working_Paper-
Corp_T ax_Incidence-Review_of_Gen_Eq_Estimates.pdf. A version of this paper was published in the Corp_T ax_Incidence-Review_of_Gen_Eq_Estimates.pdf. A version of this paper was published in the National Tax
Journal, vol. 16, no. 1 (March 2013), pp. 185 -215. , vol. 16, no. 1 (March 2013), pp. 185 -215.
62 Note that a lower ability to substitute capital for labor in production, while increasing the burden on labor, reduces 62 Note that a lower ability to substitute capital for labor in production, while increasing the burden on labor, reduces
the capital inflow, leads to a smaller increase in output, and a higher the capital inflow, leads to a smaller increase in output, and a higher ~~rev enue~~revenue maximizing tax rate. maximizing tax rate.
63 See Megan Dunn and James Walker, Union Membership in the United States, Bureau of Labor Statistics, September 63 See Megan Dunn and James Walker, Union Membership in the United States, Bureau of Labor Statistics, September
2016, https://www.bls.gov/spotlight/2016/union-membership-in-the-united-states/pdf/union-membership-in-the-united-2016, https://www.bls.gov/spotlight/2016/union-membership-in-the-united-states/pdf/union-membership-in-the-united-
states.pdf. states.pdf.
64 Harry Grubert and John Mutti, “International Aspects of Corporate T ax Integration: T he Role of Debt and Equity 64 Harry Grubert and John Mutti, “International Aspects of Corporate T ax Integration: T he Role of Debt and Equity
Flows,” Flows,” National Tax Journal, vol. 47, March, 1994, pp. 111-133. , vol. 47, March, 1994, pp. 111-133.
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Harberger, with the burden fal ing on capital. According to the 2007 Treasury study, the U.S. Harberger, with the burden fal ing on capital. According to the 2007 Treasury study, the U.S.
combined state and federal corporate statutory rate was 39%, the G-7 average was 36%, and the combined state and federal corporate statutory rate was 39%, the G-7 average was 36%, and the
OECD average was 31%. In 2013, the rates had declined slightly, with rates of 29% in the OECD OECD average was 31%. In 2013, the rates had declined slightly, with rates of 29% in the OECD
and 30% for the largest 15 countries (both excluding the United States). Effective tax rates, which and 30% for the largest 15 countries (both excluding the United States). Effective tax rates, which
should govern the movement of capital, are even closer together, and in some cases are lower for should govern the movement of capital, are even closer together, and in some cases are lower for
the United States than for other countries. More recent updates of tax rates indicated that U.S. the United States than for other countries. More recent updates of tax rates indicated that U.S.
rates were similar to the rest of the world.65 Jennifer rates were similar to the rest of the world.65 Jennifer ~~Gravel e~~Gravelle used OECD tax rates to estimate the used OECD tax rates to estimate the
share of the U.S. tax fal ing on labor using a global approach and finds that over 90% fal s on share of the U.S. tax fal ing on labor using a global approach and finds that over 90% fal s on
capital.66 capital.66
An argument is often made that the burden of any capital income tax tends to fal on labor An argument is often made that the burden of any capital income tax tends to fal on labor
because it reduces savings, an effect that would also occur in a closed economy. While one because it reduces savings, an effect that would also occur in a closed economy. While one
version of the model predicts that the entire burden of a capital income tax eventual y fal s on version of the model predicts that the entire burden of a capital income tax eventual y fal s on
labor, this version requires some extreme assumptions about human behavior such as perfect labor, this version requires some extreme assumptions about human behavior such as perfect
information, an infinite planning horizon, perfect liquidity, and asexual reproduction. Models information, an infinite planning horizon, perfect liquidity, and asexual reproduction. Models
al owing for finite lives (such as the life-cycle models) find results that vary, but if the revenue al owing for finite lives (such as the life-cycle models) find results that vary, but if the revenue
loss is made up by higher taxes on labor, there is little or no effect. Some economists believe that loss is made up by higher taxes on labor, there is little or no effect. Some economists believe that
these models are inappropriate, as they assume too much information and skil on the part of these models are inappropriate, as they assume too much information and skil on the part of
individuals; they suggest that individuals use rules of thumb, such as fixed savings rates or individuals; they suggest that individuals use rules of thumb, such as fixed savings rates or
targets, instead. These rules of thumb suggest that a cut in capital income taxes either has no targets, instead. These rules of thumb suggest that a cut in capital income taxes either has no
effect on saving or reduces savings. These economists also point out that most empirical evidence effect on saving or reduces savings. These economists also point out that most empirical evidence
does not point to an increase in savings; historical y, savings rates do not appear to respond to does not point to an increase in savings; historical y, savings rates do not appear to respond to
reduced tax rates.67 reduced tax rates.67
The Hassett and Mathur Study
Whereas the general equilibrium models do not provide much support for the corporate tax Whereas the general equilibrium models do not provide much support for the corporate tax
burden fal ing on labor, Hubbard also referred to an empirical study by Hassett and Mathur that burden fal ing on labor, Hubbard also referred to an empirical study by Hassett and Mathur that
uses the corporate tax rate to explain differences in manufacturing wages.68 They find a uses the corporate tax rate to explain differences in manufacturing wages.68 They find a
statistical y significant result that indicates a 1% increase in the corporate tax causes statistical y significant result that indicates a 1% increase in the corporate tax causes

65 See CRS Report R41743, 65 See CRS Report R41743, International Corporate Tax Rate Comparisons and Policy Implications, by Jane G. , by Jane G.
Gravelle. Gravelle.
66 Jennifer Gravelle, 66 Jennifer Gravelle, Corporate Tax Incidence: Review of General Equilibrium Estimates and Analysis, CBO, Working , CBO, Working
Paper no. 2010-03, May 2010, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/115xx/doc11519/05-2010-Working_Paper-Paper no. 2010-03, May 2010, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/115xx/doc11519/05-2010-Working_Paper-
Corp_T ax_Incidence-Review_of_Gen_Eq_Estimates.pdf. Corp_T ax_Incidence-Review_of_Gen_Eq_Estimates.pdf.
67 T hese issues surrounding savings are discussed in greater detail in CRS Report R42111, 67 T hese issues surrounding savings are discussed in greater detail in CRS Report R42111, Tax Rates and Economic
Growth, by Jane G. Gravelle and Donald J. Marples; CRS Report RL32517, , by Jane G. Gravelle and Donald J. Marples; CRS Report RL32517, Distributional Effects of Taxes on
Corporate Profits, Investm ent Incom e, and Estates, by Jane G. Gravelle and Sean Lowry (available upon request from , by Jane G. Gravelle and Sean Lowry (available upon request from
the author); CRS Report RL33545, the author); CRS Report RL33545, The Advisory Panel’s Tax Reform Proposals, by Jane G. Gravelle; and CRS Report , by Jane G. Gravelle; and CRS Report
RL33482, RL33482, Saving Incentives: What May Work, What May Not, by T homas L. Hungerford, which is available upon , by T homas L. Hungerford, which is available upon
request. T he recognition that replacement of capital income taxes by wage taxes inrequest. T he recognition that replacement of capital income taxes by wage taxes in a life cycle model could have little a life cycle model could have little
effect on savings or contract them can be found in numerous simulation studies, for example, Alan Auerbach and effect on savings or contract them can be found in numerous simulation studies, for example, Alan Auerbach and
Laurence Kotlikoff, Laurence Kotlikoff, Dynam ic Fiscal Policy (Cambridge, MA: Cambridge University Press, 1987 ). (Cambridge, MA: Cambridge University Press, 1987 ).
68 T his study is one of a number of empirical studies that try to estimate incidence from a direct examination of wages 68 T his study is one of a number of empirical studies that try to estimate incidence from a direct examination of wages
(as opposed to embedding capital flow and other elasticities into a (as opposed to embedding capital flow and other elasticities into a ~~model~~m odel). For other reviews of these studies see ). For other reviews of these studies see
William M. GentryWilliam M. Gentry, A Review of the Evidence on the Incidence of the Corporate Incom e Tax , U.S. Department of , U.S. Department of
T reasury, Office of T ax Analysis, Working Paper no. 101, December 2007, http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/T reasury, Office of T ax Analysis, Working Paper no. 101, December 2007, http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/
tax-policy/tax-analysis/Documents/ota101.pdf; Jennifer C. Gravelletax-policy/tax-analysis/Documents/ota101.pdf; Jennifer C. Gravelle, Corporate Tax Incidence: A Review of Em pirical
Estim ates and Analysis, CBO, Working Paper no. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/, CBO, Working Paper no. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/
06-14-2011-CorporateTaxIncidence.pdf; and Kimberly A. Clausing, In Search of Corporate T ax Incidence, September 06-14-2011-CorporateTaxIncidence.pdf; and Kimberly A. Clausing, In Search of Corporate T ax Incidence, September
2011, Presented at a Conference of the American T ax Policy Institute, http://americantaxpolicyinstitute.org/15papers/2011, Presented at a Conference of the American T ax Policy Institute, http://americantaxpolicyinstitute.org/15papers/
Clausing%20AT Clausing%20AT PIP I.pdf. .pdf.
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manufacturing wages to fal by 0.8% to 1%. These results are impossible, however, to reconcile manufacturing wages to fal by 0.8% to 1%. These results are impossible, however, to reconcile
with the magnitudes in the economy. Through competition, wage changes in manufacturing with the magnitudes in the economy. Through competition, wage changes in manufacturing
should be reflected in wages throughout the economy, implying that a 1% rise in corporate should be reflected in wages throughout the economy, implying that a 1% rise in corporate
revenues would cause a 0.8% to 1% fal in wage income. However, corporate taxes are only about revenues would cause a 0.8% to 1% fal in wage income. However, corporate taxes are only about
2.5% of GDP at best, whereas labor income is about two thirds. These results imply that a dollar 2.5% of GDP at best, whereas labor income is about two thirds. These results imply that a dollar
increase in the corporate tax would decrease wages by $22 to $26, an effect that no model could increase in the corporate tax would decrease wages by $22 to $26, an effect that no model could
ever come close to predicting.69 ever come close to predicting.69
The lack of theoretical reasonableness of the results may be explained by statistical issues. The The lack of theoretical reasonableness of the results may be explained by statistical issues. The
Hassett and Mathur study used data from 72 developed and developing countries for the 1981 to Hassett and Mathur study used data from 72 developed and developing countries for the 1981 to
2003 period.70 For their analysis, their dependent variable is the logarithm of the five-year 2003 period.70 For their analysis, their dependent variable is the logarithm of the five-year
average of the average manufacturing wage. They justify their use of the five-year average wage average of the average manufacturing wage. They justify their use of the five-year average wage
by (1) noting that due to capital adjustment costs, the economic effects of corporate tax rate by (1) noting that due to capital adjustment costs, the economic effects of corporate tax rate
changes show up over longer time periods, and (2) arguing that this may control for possible changes show up over longer time periods, and (2) arguing that this may control for possible
measurement error induced by the business cycle.71 The wage rates for al countries were measurement error induced by the business cycle.71 The wage rates for al countries were
converted to U.S. dollars using annual exchange rates. Hassett and Mathur include the price level converted to U.S. dollars using annual exchange rates. Hassett and Mathur include the price level
of consumption as an explanatory variable to capture cost of living differences across countries. of consumption as an explanatory variable to capture cost of living differences across countries.
The main explanatory variable of interest is the logarithm of the top corporate tax rate. Hassett The main explanatory variable of interest is the logarithm of the top corporate tax rate. Hassett
and Mathur also use the average effective and marginal effective corporate tax rates (in and Mathur also use the average effective and marginal effective corporate tax rates (in
logarithms) as explanatory variables in some specifications. logarithms) as explanatory variables in some specifications.
The Hassett and Mathur basic estimation exercise was replicated: the results are reported in the The Hassett and Mathur basic estimation exercise was replicated: the results are reported in the
first row first row of Table 6.72 The coefficient estimate reported in the first column (-0.759) suggests that 72 The coefficient estimate reported in the first column (-0.759) suggests that
a 10% increase in the top corporate tax rate wil lead to a 7.6% decrease in the average a 10% increase in the top corporate tax rate wil lead to a 7.6% decrease in the average
manufacturing wage rate. This estimate is statistical y significant at the 5% level.73 The results are manufacturing wage rate. This estimate is statistical y significant at the 5% level.73 The results are
not as strong (the estimates are closer to zero) when using alternative measures of the corporate not as strong (the estimates are closer to zero) when using alternative measures of the corporate
tax rate (see the next two columns tax rate (see the next two columns of Table 6).
The exchange rate between two currencies reflects the relative supply and demand for those two The exchange rate between two currencies reflects the relative supply and demand for those two
currencies, and is affected by financial markets and government policies. Exchange rates may not currencies, and is affected by financial markets and government policies. Exchange rates may not
be good indicators of the relative buying power of wage rates in two countries. Purchasing Power be good indicators of the relative buying power of wage rates in two countries. Purchasing Power
Parities (PPPs), however, are specifical y designed to equalize the internal purchasing power of Parities (PPPs), however, are specifical y designed to equalize the internal purchasing power of

69 T o convert an elasticity into an incidence measure, the coefficient should be multiplied by the ratio of labor income 69 T o convert an elasticity into an incidence measure, the coefficient should be multiplied by the ratio of labor income
to the corporate tax. T wo other studies using cross-country data have examined the incidence of the tax on labor to the corporate tax. T wo other studies using cross-country data have examined the incidence of the tax on labor
income. Passing the Burden: Corporate T ax Incidence in Open Economies, by Rachel Alison Felix,income. Passing the Burden: Corporate T ax Incidence in Open Economies, by Rachel Alison Felix, November 2006, November 2006,
finds smaller effects than Hassett and Mathur, but ones that are still too large to be predicted by a theoretical model. finds smaller effects than Hassett and Mathur, but ones that are still too large to be predicted by a theoretical model.
T his study has problems similar to those that are discussed subsequently and, in addition, do not control for country T his study has problems similar to those that are discussed subsequently and, in addition, do not control for country
fixed effects. fixed effects.
70 Hassett and Mathur, 70 Hassett and Mathur, Taxes and Wages. T he authors are grateful to Kevin Hassett and Aparna Mathur for providing . T he authors are grateful to Kevin Hassett and Aparna Mathur for providing
their data. Several of the countries only have data for shorter periods.their data. Several of the countries only have data for shorter periods.
71 T heir independent or explanatory variables take their value from the beginning of the five-year period over which 71 T heir independent or explanatory variables take their value from the beginning of the five-year period over which
wages are averaged. It should also be noted that Hassett and Mathur calculate the five-year average with nominal wages are averaged. It should also be noted that Hassett and Mathur calculate the five-year average with nominal
wages (that is, they are not corrected for inflation). wages (that is, they are not corrected for inflation).
72 See 72 See Appendix B for a description of the estimation method. Visual inspection of the Hassett and Mathur data for a description of the estimation method. Visual inspection of the Hassett and Mathur data
uncovered some errors with their five-year averages of wage rates—some averages were based on six years of data and uncovered some errors with their five-year averages of wage rates—some averages were based on six years of data and
others were based on less than five years of data. T he authors corrected the errors so that each five-year period for each others were based on less than five years of data. T he authors corrected the errors so that each five-year period for each
country contains five years of data. Some of the averages are based on less than five years of data because of missing country contains five years of data. Some of the averages are based on less than five years of data because of missing
values in the wage series; most of the missing values are in the 2001 to 2005 period. values in the wage series; most of the missing values are in the 2001 to 2005 period.
73 T he specific test of statistical significance of the coefficient estimates is the t -test. T his is a test of whether or not the 73 T he specific test of statistical significance of the coefficient estimates is the t -test. T his is a test of whether or not the
~~estimat e~~estimate is equal to zero (the null hypothesis is the estimate is equal to zero). T he significance level indicates the risk of is equal to zero (the null hypothesis is the estimate is equal to zero). T he significance level indicates the risk of
rejecting the null hypothesis when it is, in fact, true. A significance level of 5% indicates that the null hypothesis will rejecting the null hypothesis when it is, in fact, true. A significance level of 5% indicates that the null hypothesis will
be inadvertently rejected only 5% of the be inadvertently rejected only 5% of the ~~time~~t ime. Significance levels commonly used in empirical social science work are . Significance levels commonly used in empirical social science work are
the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels. the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels.
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the currencies. Workers in Australia, for example, are concerned with what their wages wil the currencies. Workers in Australia, for example, are concerned with what their wages wil
purchase in Australia, and not how many dollars their wages wil buy. Using PPPs is a more purchase in Australia, and not how many dollars their wages wil buy. Using PPPs is a more
appropriate way to convert national currencies to a common currency (U.S. dollars). appropriate way to convert national currencies to a common currency (U.S. dollars).
The second row The second row of Table 6 reports the coefficient estimates when the wage rates are converted to reports the coefficient estimates when the wage rates are converted to
U.S. dollars using the consumption PPPs. Consumption PPPs are more appropriate for converting U.S. dollars using the consumption PPPs. Consumption PPPs are more appropriate for converting
wages than using general PPPs (over GDP) because they omit national expenditures for wages than using general PPPs (over GDP) because they omit national expenditures for
government and investment goods. Again, nominal wages are the dependent variable. The government and investment goods. Again, nominal wages are the dependent variable. The
coefficient estimates are closer to zero than the estimates reported in the first row, but the coefficient estimates are closer to zero than the estimates reported in the first row, but the
coefficient estimate reported in the first column (-0.728) is statistical y significant at the 5% level. coefficient estimate reported in the first column (-0.728) is statistical y significant at the 5% level.
The estimates for the alternative measures of the corporate tax rate are not statistical y significant The estimates for the alternative measures of the corporate tax rate are not statistical y significant
at the conventional confidence levels. at the conventional confidence levels.
Table 6. Coefficient Estimates: Dependent Variable is the Logarithm of the
Five-Year Average of Wage Rates
How Wage Variable Converted to
Corporate Tax Rate Variable
U.S. Dollars
Top Tax Rate
Effective Average
Effective Marginal
Exchange Rate Exchange Rate
-0.759a -0.759a
-0.630b -0.630b
-0.384b -0.384b
(0.297) (0.297)
(0.334) (0.334)
(0.226) (0.226)
-0.728a -0.728a
-0.528 -0.528
-0.334 -0.334
Purchasing Power Parity Exchange Rate (PPP) Purchasing Power Parity Exchange Rate (PPP)
(0.303) (0.303)
(0.340) (0.340)
(0.230) (0.230)
PPP—Constant Dol ars PPP—Constant Dol ars
-0.488b -0.488b
-0.294 -0.294
-0.218 -0.218
(0.298) (0.298)
(0.318) (0.318)
(0.215) (0.215)
Observations with Five-Year Averages Based on Five Years of Data
0.089 0.089
-0.229 -0.229
-0.184 -0.184
Exchange Rate Exchange Rate
(0.353) (0.353)
(0.363) (0.363)
(0.240) (0.240)
-0.037 -0.037
-0.187 -0.187
-0.156 -0.156
Purchasing Power Parity Exchange Rate (PPP) Purchasing Power Parity Exchange Rate (PPP)
(0.354) (0.354)
(0.373) (0.373)
(0.246) (0.246)
-0.064 -0.064
-0.230 -0.230
-0.180 -0.180
PPP—Constant Dol ars PPP—Constant Dol ars
(0.350) (0.350)
(0.351) (0.351)
(0.231) (0.231)
Source: CRS analysis. CRS analysis.
Notes: Standard errors in parenthesis. Fixed effects linear model. Other variables include time dummies, log Standard errors in parenthesis. Fixed effects linear model. Other variables include time dummies, log
personal tax rate, log real value-added, log consumer price variable (except for real PPP). personal tax rate, log real value-added, log consumer price variable (except for real PPP).
a. Significant at 5% level. a. Significant at 5% level.
b. Significant at 10% level. b. Significant at 10% level.
The most appropriate measure of wages is the inflation-adjusted consumption PPP-adjusted wage The most appropriate measure of wages is the inflation-adjusted consumption PPP-adjusted wage
rate. Wages in each country were converted to U.S. dollars using the consumption PPP and then rate. Wages in each country were converted to U.S. dollars using the consumption PPP and then
converted to constant (inflation-adjusted) dollars using the CPI-U before calculating the five-year converted to constant (inflation-adjusted) dollars using the CPI-U before calculating the five-year
average. The final row average. The final row of Table 6 displays the coefficient estimates for the model using this displays the coefficient estimates for the model using this
measure as the dependent variable. The estimates are closer to zero than in the other two cases. measure as the dependent variable. The estimates are closer to zero than in the other two cases.
The coefficient estimate in the first column (-0.488) is statistical y significant at the 10% level but The coefficient estimate in the first column (-0.488) is statistical y significant at the 10% level but
not at the 5% level. The other two estimates in columns two and three are not statistical y not at the 5% level. The other two estimates in columns two and three are not statistical y
significant at the conventional confidence levels. Although there is stil some evidence of significant at the conventional confidence levels. Although there is stil some evidence of
corporate tax rates having a negative influence on wage rates in manufacturing, the effect is corporate tax rates having a negative influence on wage rates in manufacturing, the effect is
smal er and less robust than reported in the Hassett and Mathur study. smal er and less robust than reported in the Hassett and Mathur study.
Hassett and Mathur averaged wages over five-year periods. They justify using five-year averages Hassett and Mathur averaged wages over five-year periods. They justify using five-year averages
by arguing that it helps to control for possible measurement error induced by the business cycle. by arguing that it helps to control for possible measurement error induced by the business cycle.
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But, because of missing values in the wage data, 66 observations have the average wage based on But, because of missing values in the wage data, 66 observations have the average wage based on
less than five years of data (60 observations use only two consecutive years of data for the less than five years of data (60 observations use only two consecutive years of data for the
calculation of the average, which would likely not affect any measurement error). The bottom calculation of the average, which would likely not affect any measurement error). The bottom
panel ofpanel of Table 6 reports the estimation results when these 66 observations are excluded from the reports the estimation results when these 66 observations are excluded from the
analysis (leaving 153 observations). In al cases, the coefficient estimates for analysis (leaving 153 observations). In al cases, the coefficient estimates for al all measures of the measures of the
corporate tax rate are not statistical y significant. corporate tax rate are not statistical y significant.
Averaging the wage data over five years and using the beginning of period value for the Averaging the wage data over five years and using the beginning of period value for the
explanatory variables, however, eliminates much of the variation in wages and tax rates, thus explanatory variables, however, eliminates much of the variation in wages and tax rates, thus
throwing away much of the information needed to estimate the economic effects. The statistical throwing away much of the information needed to estimate the economic effects. The statistical
analysis is repeated using annual data and including various lagged values of the corporate tax analysis is repeated using annual data and including various lagged values of the corporate tax
rate as explanatory variables.74 The results are reported irate as explanatory variables.74 The results are reported in Table 7. The first column of the table The first column of the table
displays the coefficient estimates for the current value of the corporate tax rate (labeled t in the displays the coefficient estimates for the current value of the corporate tax rate (labeled t in the
first column) and the values for the previous five years (t-1 to t-5), which al ows for longer term first column) and the values for the previous five years (t-1 to t-5), which al ows for longer term
effects of tax rates on wages. In each case, the coefficient estimates are negative but very close to effects of tax rates on wages. In each case, the coefficient estimates are negative but very close to
zero; none are statistical y significant at the conventional confidence levels. Furthermore, al the zero; none are statistical y significant at the conventional confidence levels. Furthermore, al the
tax rate variables in column (1) are not jointly statistical y significant. The next six columns tax rate variables in column (1) are not jointly statistical y significant. The next six columns
report the results when the corporate tax rate values (current and lagged) are entered individual y. report the results when the corporate tax rate values (current and lagged) are entered individual y.
In every case, the coefficient estimates are close to zero and are not statistical y significant at In every case, the coefficient estimates are close to zero and are not statistical y significant at
conventional confidence levels. In using annual data, there is no evidence that changes in the top conventional confidence levels. In using annual data, there is no evidence that changes in the top
corporate tax rate affects wage rates in manufacturing.75 corporate tax rate affects wage rates in manufacturing.75
Table 7. Coefficient Estimates: Dependent Variable is Annual Logarithm
of Real PPP-Adjusted Wage Rates
Tax Rate
Lag
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
t t
-0.031 -0.031

0.010 0.010
(0.208) (0.208)
(0.140) (0.140)
-0.217 -0.217
-0.219 -0.219
t-1 t-1
(0.188) (0.188)

(0.143) (0.143)

-0.076 -0.076
-0.074 -0.074
t-2 t-2
(0.166) (0.166)

(0.144) (0.144)

-0.040 -0.040
0.021 0.021
t-3 t-3
(0.159) (0.159)

(0.145) (0.145)

-0.113 -0.113
-0.070 -0.070
t-4 t-4
(0.156) (0.156)

(0.146) (0.146)

t-5 t-5
-0.154 -0.154
-0.165 -0.165

(0.155) (0.155)
(0.147) (0.147)
F (joint) F (joint)
0.49 0.49

Prob>F Prob>F
0.819 0.819

Source: CRS analysis. CRS analysis.

74 Including the lagged values of the corporate tax rate allows the tax rates for the previous five years to individually 74 Including the lagged values of the corporate tax rate allows the tax rates for the previous five years to individually
have an impact on wages. All tax rates are entered into the model in logarithms.have an impact on wages. All tax rates are entered into the model in logarithms.
75 T he authors obtain the same estimation results when the exchange rate is used to convert wage rates to U.S. dollars— 75 T he authors obtain the same estimation results when the exchange rate is used to convert wage rates to U.S. dollars—
the method used by Hassett and Mathur. the method used by Hassett and Mathur.
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Notes: Standard errors in parenthesis. Fixed effects linear model with AR(1) disturbance. Other variables Standard errors in parenthesis. Fixed effects linear model with AR(1) disturbance. Other variables
include time dummies, log personal tax rate, log real value-added. ***Significant at 1% level; **significant at 5% include time dummies, log personal tax rate, log real value-added. ***Significant at 1% level; **significant at 5%
level; *significant at 10% level. level; *significant at 10% level.
Hassett and Mathur subsequently produced a revision of their initial paper.76 One of several Hassett and Mathur subsequently produced a revision of their initial paper.76 One of several
generic problems with cross-country wage studies is that a proper specification should take into generic problems with cross-country wage studies is that a proper specification should take into
account not only the country tax rate but the rates of other countries. (Other generic problems account not only the country tax rate but the rates of other countries. (Other generic problems
include the direction of causation, for example, that countries with lower or slowly growing include the direction of causation, for example, that countries with lower or slowly growing
wages may choose to rely on corporate taxes as a revenue source, so that the wage changes may wages may choose to rely on corporate taxes as a revenue source, so that the wage changes may
drive the corporate rate.)77 Hassett and Mathur address the first issue, in a limited fashion, by drive the corporate rate.)77 Hassett and Mathur address the first issue, in a limited fashion, by
adding tax characteristics of neighboring or economical y similar countries. This addition, in adding tax characteristics of neighboring or economical y similar countries. This addition, in
some cases, reduced the coefficient on taxes and made it statistical y significant at a lower level. some cases, reduced the coefficient on taxes and made it statistical y significant at a lower level.
The study also included some local price indices, but this change did not fully address the issue of The study also included some local price indices, but this change did not fully address the issue of
comparing wages using purchasing power and did not address other issues raised about the comparing wages using purchasing power and did not address other issues raised about the
original Hassett and Mathur study. Their results continued to produce implausible estimates. In original Hassett and Mathur study. Their results continued to produce implausible estimates. In
the case where average tax rates of countries with similar income levels was added, the the case where average tax rates of countries with similar income levels was added, the
percentage change in wages for a 1% change in corporate taxes is 0.5%. This level implies a percentage change in wages for a 1% change in corporate taxes is 0.5%. This level implies a
decrease of $13 in wages for each dollar fal in corporate taxes.78 decrease of $13 in wages for each dollar fal in corporate taxes.78
Other Empirical Wage Studies
Several other studies have examined the incidence of the tax on labor income. They are discussed Several other studies have examined the incidence of the tax on labor income. They are discussed
in three different categories: studies that rely on cross-country data as in the case of Hassett and in three different categories: studies that rely on cross-country data as in the case of Hassett and
Mathur, studies that rely on cross-state data, and studies that examine not the general incidence of Mathur, studies that rely on cross-state data, and studies that examine not the general incidence of
the tax, but the share affecting wages through bargaining over excess profits. The Arulampalam, the tax, but the share affecting wages through bargaining over excess profits. The Arulampalam,
et al. study cited by Mankiw was the first of these latter types of studies. et al. study cited by Mankiw was the first of these latter types of studies.
Other Cross-Country Studies of General Burden
Four studies in addition to the Hassett and Mathur study have relied on cross-country data. Four studies in addition to the Hassett and Mathur study have relied on cross-country data.
Felix,79 in a study that controls for education, finds much smal er effects than Hassett and Mathur, Felix,79 in a study that controls for education, finds much smal er effects than Hassett and Mathur,
but ones that are stil too large to be predicted by a theoretical model (about $4 for each dollar of but ones that are stil too large to be predicted by a theoretical model (about $4 for each dollar of
corporate tax revenue). This study has problems similar to those for Hassett and Mathur and, in corporate tax revenue). This study has problems similar to those for Hassett and Mathur and, in
addition, does not control for country fixed effects, therefore not controlling for unobserved addition, does not control for country fixed effects, therefore not controlling for unobserved
country-specific factors. The sample is unusual as wel , with 19 countries covered for varying country-specific factors. The sample is unusual as wel , with 19 countries covered for varying
years. Out of the total of 65 observations (countries and years), about a quarter of the sample is years. Out of the total of 65 observations (countries and years), about a quarter of the sample is
drawn from Italy and Mexico and seven of the 19 countries had only one or two years of data. drawn from Italy and Mexico and seven of the 19 countries had only one or two years of data.

76 Kevin A. Hassett and Aparna Mathur, “Spatial T ax Competition and Domestic Wages,” December, 2010, 76 Kevin A. Hassett and Aparna Mathur, “Spatial T ax Competition and Domestic Wages,” December, 2010,
http://www.aei.org/docLib/SpatialT axCompetitionandDomesticWages.pdf. A version of this paper was published as “ A http://www.aei.org/docLib/SpatialT axCompetitionandDomesticWages.pdf. A version of this paper was published as “ A
~~Spatial~~Spat ial Model of Corporate T ax Incidence,” Model of Corporate T ax Incidence,” Applied ~~Economics~~Econom ics, vol. 47, no. 3 (2015), pp. 1350-1365. , vol. 47, no. 3 (2015), pp. 1350-1365.
77 T hese generic problems are discussed by Jennifer C. Gravelle, 77 T hese generic problems are discussed by Jennifer C. Gravelle, Corporate Tax Incidence: A Review of Empirical
Estim ates and Analysis, CBO, Working Paper no. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/, CBO, Working Paper no. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/
06-14-2011-CorporateTaxIncidence.pdf. 06-14-2011-CorporateTaxIncidence.pdf.
78 T hus authors indicate that the fall in wages is $4, a lower but still implausible number. However, they calculate this 78 T hus authors indicate that the fall in wages is $4, a lower but still implausible number. However, they calculate this
incidence with the ratio of wages to taxes in the manufacturing sector, which is much smaller. Effects of the corporate incidence with the ratio of wages to taxes in the manufacturing sector, which is much smaller. Effects of the corporate
tax on wages are, however, economy wide effects that should lower wages in the other sectors, including noncorporate tax on wages are, however, economy wide effects that should lower wages in the other sectors, including noncorporate
sectors. sectors.
79 Rachael Alison Felix, Passing the Burden: Corporate T ax Incidence in Open Economies, November 2006. T his paper 79 Rachael Alison Felix, Passing the Burden: Corporate T ax Incidence in Open Economies, November 2006. T his paper
was a dissertation essay at the University of Michigan. was a dissertation essay at the University of Michigan.
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Another study, by Desai, Foley and Hines80 uses observations on foreign owned affiliates of U.S. Another study, by Desai, Foley and Hines80 uses observations on foreign owned affiliates of U.S.
firms across countries and in different time periods. This study uses data on multinational firms across countries and in different time periods. This study uses data on multinational
subsidiaries of U.S. firms to estimate the al ocation of the tax burden between labor and capital subsidiaries of U.S. firms to estimate the al ocation of the tax burden between labor and capital
using a seeming unrelated regression for capital income (which they measure by the interest rate) using a seeming unrelated regression for capital income (which they measure by the interest rate)
and labor income. In their model, labor and capital burdens are restricted to the total of taxes, and and labor income. In their model, labor and capital burdens are restricted to the total of taxes, and
they impose a cross-equation restriction on the estimated burdens. They find the share of the they impose a cross-equation restriction on the estimated burdens. They find the share of the
burden on labor income to fal between about 45% and 75% of the total, a number that is not burden on labor income to fal between about 45% and 75% of the total, a number that is not
inconsistent with theoretical expectations. inconsistent with theoretical expectations.
This approach, however, has the fundamental theoretical problem that wages at an individual firm This approach, however, has the fundamental theoretical problem that wages at an individual firm
should not reflect tax burdens at an individual firm. In deriving a model that assumes it does, they should not reflect tax burdens at an individual firm. In deriving a model that assumes it does, they
assume that the price level of their goods is fixed and base their results only on their sample of assume that the price level of their goods is fixed and base their results only on their sample of
firms (which is comprised solely of multinational corporate sector firms). This approach creates firms (which is comprised solely of multinational corporate sector firms). This approach creates
both econometric problems in their analysis and also means that their results cannot be construed both econometric problems in their analysis and also means that their results cannot be construed
as reflecting actual burdens in any of their economies, as discussed in more detail i as reflecting actual burdens in any of their economies, as discussed in more detail in Appendix C.
They also represented equity returns through the interest rate, under the assumptions that They also represented equity returns through the interest rate, under the assumptions that
investors equate (net of risk) debt and equity returns. If these assets are general y substitutable, investors equate (net of risk) debt and equity returns. If these assets are general y substitutable,
the increase in corporate tax should cause portfolios to shift toward debt and drive the interest rate the increase in corporate tax should cause portfolios to shift toward debt and drive the interest rate
up (while driving the equity return down). Moreover, the tax burdens on debt and equity differ at up (while driving the equity return down). Moreover, the tax burdens on debt and equity differ at
the individual level and those differences depend, among other things, on any special tax rates for the individual level and those differences depend, among other things, on any special tax rates for
dividends and capital gains, the deferral advantage of capital gains, and the inflation rate. dividends and capital gains, the deferral advantage of capital gains, and the inflation rate.
Aside from these theoretical problems, an important issue with their study is that it appears that Aside from these theoretical problems, an important issue with their study is that it appears that
their results are forced by the cross equation restriction. Wil iam Randolph, a discussant at a 2008 their results are forced by the cross equation restriction. Wil iam Randolph, a discussant at a 2008
conference, found that if the restriction is eliminated there are no statistical y significant results conference, found that if the restriction is eliminated there are no statistical y significant results
from their study.81 In an example he presented, the estimates of the wage effect was 48% of the from their study.81 In an example he presented, the estimates of the wage effect was 48% of the
burden, with a standard error of 18% in the original study; in a regression without the restriction burden, with a standard error of 18% in the original study; in a regression without the restriction
the share was 19% with a standard error of 100%.82 Randolph considered a number of other the share was 19% with a standard error of 100%.82 Randolph considered a number of other
specifications, including excluding the largest countries, but found no statistical y significant specifications, including excluding the largest countries, but found no statistical y significant
results. He also suggested that only manufacturing subsidiaries be considered since other results. He also suggested that only manufacturing subsidiaries be considered since other
subsidiaries may be involved in tax sheltering operations. In the case where he considered only subsidiaries may be involved in tax sheltering operations. In the case where he considered only
manufacturing subsidiaries, the sign reversed (indicating labor benefitted from the tax) but it was manufacturing subsidiaries, the sign reversed (indicating labor benefitted from the tax) but it was
not statistical y significant. not statistical y significant.
Across-country study by Clausing used a data set covering the OECD countries.83 Her study Across-country study by Clausing used a data set covering the OECD countries.83 Her study
examined a number of different specifications, econometric approaches, and alternative data examined a number of different specifications, econometric approaches, and alternative data
measurements. Two aspects that differed from the Hassett and Mathur study were comparing measurements. Two aspects that differed from the Hassett and Mathur study were comparing
wages using purchasing power parity and excluding value-added variables, which Clausing wages using purchasing power parity and excluding value-added variables, which Clausing
suggests is capturing the effect of corporate taxes (whose burden on labor operates by reducing suggests is capturing the effect of corporate taxes (whose burden on labor operates by reducing
labor productivity). She expects this latter change would make results for the corporate tax labor productivity). She expects this latter change would make results for the corporate tax
variable larger. Overal , however, while trying many specifications and approaches, she variable larger. Overal , however, while trying many specifications and approaches, she
characterizes the results as indicating no robust evidence that corporate tax burdens have large characterizes the results as indicating no robust evidence that corporate tax burdens have large

80 Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley, and James R. Hines Jr., “Labor and Capital Shares of the Corporate T ax Burden: 80 Mihir A. Desai, C. Fritz Foley, and James R. Hines Jr., “Labor and Capital Shares of the Corporate T ax Burden:
International Evidence,” prepared for the International T ax Policy Forum and Urban-Brookings T ax Policy Center International Evidence,” prepared for the International T ax Policy Forum and Urban-Brookings T ax Policy Center
conference on Who Pays the Corporate T ax in an Open Economy?, December 18, 2007.conference on Who Pays the Corporate T ax in an Open Economy?, December 18, 2007.
81 His remarks were made at a seminar at the American Enterprise Institute, March 17, 2008. 81 His remarks were made at a seminar at the American Enterprise Institute, March 17, 2008.
82 T he coefficient must be close to twice the standard error to be statistically significant; thus the result from the 82 T he coefficient must be close to twice the standard error to be statistically significant; thus the result from the
unrestricted regression showed no relationship between taxes and wages.unrestricted regression showed no relationship between taxes and wages.
83 Kimberly A. Clausing, “In Search of Corporate T ax Incidence,” November 2011. 83 Kimberly A. Clausing, “In Search of Corporate T ax Incidence,” November 2011.
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depressing effects of wages. She notes, however, that this outcome does not necessarily mean depressing effects of wages. She notes, however, that this outcome does not necessarily mean
there is no incidence on labor, but that these effects cannot be detected with aggregate cross-there is no incidence on labor, but that these effects cannot be detected with aggregate cross-
country data, a point also made by Jennifer Gravel e in her review of empirical studies.84 country data, a point also made by Jennifer Gravel e in her review of empirical studies.84
The most recent study, by Ebrayet and Geys, estimates a model that al ows for countries to The most recent study, by Ebrayet and Geys, estimates a model that al ows for countries to
compensate for high labor costs by reducing the corporate tax. Their estimates, using 24 OECD compensate for high labor costs by reducing the corporate tax. Their estimates, using 24 OECD
countries, indicate that a 1% increase in the corporate tax rate reduces the average wage by from countries, indicate that a 1% increase in the corporate tax rate reduces the average wage by from
$0.51 to $0.89, implying a $6 to $11 increase in wages for a dollar increase in the corporate tax, $0.51 to $0.89, implying a $6 to $11 increase in wages for a dollar increase in the corporate tax,
an implausible result.85 an implausible result.85
Cross-State Regressions
Three studies estimate tax incidence based on cross-state comparisons, as if each state were a Three studies estimate tax incidence based on cross-state comparisons, as if each state were a
separate country. Felix examines wages by residents of states depending, among other factors, on separate country. Felix examines wages by residents of states depending, among other factors, on
the state corporate tax rates.86 She finds a smal er effect than the Hassett and Mathur or her own the state corporate tax rates.86 She finds a smal er effect than the Hassett and Mathur or her own
cross-country study, although the results remain implausible, suggesting that a $1 dollar increase cross-country study, although the results remain implausible, suggesting that a $1 dollar increase
in taxes reduces wages by between $1.40 and $3.60.87 Other problems with her data set is that it is in taxes reduces wages by between $1.40 and $3.60.87 Other problems with her data set is that it is
not a panel, so there is no individual specific control, and the data set also does not al ow the not a panel, so there is no individual specific control, and the data set also does not al ow the
identification of place of work, but rather place of residence. identification of place of work, but rather place of residence.
Felix and Hines use a similar cross-state data set.88 Although the stated objective of this study is Felix and Hines use a similar cross-state data set.88 Although the stated objective of this study is
to examine rent sharing by considering union and nonunion differentials, the paper also contains to examine rent sharing by considering union and nonunion differentials, the paper also contains
direct estimates of the effects on tax rates on wages. The relationships, however, are positive, not direct estimates of the effects on tax rates on wages. The relationships, however, are positive, not
negative. Although the authors conclude that higher corporate tax rates reduce union wage negative. Although the authors conclude that higher corporate tax rates reduce union wage
differentials (a point associated with bargaining over surplus discussed in the next section), this differentials (a point associated with bargaining over surplus discussed in the next section), this
differential arises in their empirical estimates because union wages rise less with corporate taxes differential arises in their empirical estimates because union wages rise less with corporate taxes
than do nonunion wages. Thus these results directly contradict the results in the previous Felix than do nonunion wages. Thus these results directly contradict the results in the previous Felix
study. study.
Carroll also examines individual workers across the states using a different data set. He estimates Carroll also examines individual workers across the states using a different data set. He estimates
the effects of the statutory rate (combined federal and state) and also an average state tax rate.89 the effects of the statutory rate (combined federal and state) and also an average state tax rate.89
The first is only marginal y statistical y significant (and he does not highlight that result), but the The first is only marginal y statistical y significant (and he does not highlight that result), but the
second is highly significant. However, the average tax rate is measured not as taxes divided by second is highly significant. However, the average tax rate is measured not as taxes divided by
profits but as taxes divided by personal income. Since personal income is strongly correlated with profits but as taxes divided by personal income. Since personal income is strongly correlated with
wages, this measure of tax would likely produce a powerful negative relationship without any wages, this measure of tax would likely produce a powerful negative relationship without any
direct relationship with taxes. As with other studies, the incidence estimated in this study is very direct relationship with taxes. As with other studies, the incidence estimated in this study is very
large relative to the expected shares (he calculates $2.50 for every dollar of tax). large relative to the expected shares (he calculates $2.50 for every dollar of tax).

84 Jennifer C, Gravelle, 84 Jennifer C, Gravelle, Corporate Tax Incidence: A Review of Empirical Estimates and Analysis, CBO, Working Paper , CBO, Working Paper
no. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/06-14-2011-CorporateTaxIncidence.pdf. no. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/06-14-2011-CorporateTaxIncidence.pdf.
85 Nelly Exbrayat and Benny Geys, “Economic Integration, Corporate T ax Incidence and Fiscal Compensation,” T he 85 Nelly Exbrayat and Benny Geys, “Economic Integration, Corporate T ax Incidence and Fiscal Compensation,” T he
World Economy, 2016, pp. 1792-1811. For a semi-elastic World Economy, 2016, pp. 1792-1811. For a semi-elastic ~~estimat e~~estimate, the coefficient should be multiplied by labor , the coefficient should be multiplied by labor
income and divided by the tax and the average wage. income and divided by the tax and the average wage.
86 R. Alison Felix, “Do State Corporate Income T axes Reduce Wages 86 R. Alison Felix, “Do State Corporate Income T axes Reduce Wages?” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of , Federal Reserve Bank of
Kansas City, vol. 94, no. 9, 2009. Kansas City, vol. 94, no. 9, 2009.
87 Jennifer C, Gravelle, 87 Jennifer C, Gravelle, Corporate Tax Incidence: A Review of Empirical Estimates and Analysis, CBO, Working Paper , CBO, Working Paper
2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/06-14-2011-CorporateTaxIncidence.pdf. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/06-14-2011-CorporateTaxIncidence.pdf.
88 R. Alison Felix, and James R. Hines, 88 R. Alison Felix, and James R. Hines, Corporate Taxes and Union Wages in the United States, National Bureau of , National Bureau of
Economic Research, Working Paper no. 15263, August, 2009. Economic Research, Working Paper no. 15263, August, 2009.
89 Robert Carroll, 89 Robert Carroll, Corporate Taxes and Wages: Evidence from the 50 States, T ax Foundation, Working Paper no. 8, , T ax Foundation, Working Paper no. 8,
August 2009, http://www.taxfoundation.org/files/wp8.pdf. August 2009, http://www.taxfoundation.org/files/wp8.pdf.
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Another problem with cross-state studies is that states often al ocate profits based on formulas Another problem with cross-state studies is that states often al ocate profits based on formulas
and these formulas change the dynamics of capital flows. For example, if a firm’s taxes are based and these formulas change the dynamics of capital flows. For example, if a firm’s taxes are based
on the share of sales, changing the location of production would not be relevant to the state tax on the share of sales, changing the location of production would not be relevant to the state tax
burden. One recent study, by Suarez Serrato and Zidar, explicitly addressed the apportionment burden. One recent study, by Suarez Serrato and Zidar, explicitly addressed the apportionment
issue by controlling for the share of the tax that was based on a sales factor (other factors are issue by controlling for the share of the tax that was based on a sales factor (other factors are
capital and labor) and thus should not affect location.90 The study found 30% to 35% of the tax capital and labor) and thus should not affect location.90 The study found 30% to 35% of the tax
borne by labor. The study also used a spatial approach to address geographic location. A study by borne by labor. The study also used a spatial approach to address geographic location. A study by
McKenzie and Ferede of the Canadian provinces did not control for the effect of formula McKenzie and Ferede of the Canadian provinces did not control for the effect of formula
apportionment (Canadian provincial taxes are levied 50% by sales and 50% by wages). The apportionment (Canadian provincial taxes are levied 50% by sales and 50% by wages). The
results of this study, were, however, implausible, finding a range of $0.96 to $1.59, depending on results of this study, were, however, implausible, finding a range of $0.96 to $1.59, depending on
the province.91 the province.91
One issue with cross-state studies is whether, even were there no concerns with particular studies, One issue with cross-state studies is whether, even were there no concerns with particular studies,
the results could provide guidance to the effects of the federal tax. Capital is likely significantly the results could provide guidance to the effects of the federal tax. Capital is likely significantly
more mobile across states and products across states are probably closer substitutes, both factors more mobile across states and products across states are probably closer substitutes, both factors
that make the incidence more likely to fal on labor. Labor, however, is also mobile but its relative that make the incidence more likely to fal on labor. Labor, however, is also mobile but its relative
increase in mobility is probably less than that of capital. The states are also more like smal increase in mobility is probably less than that of capital. The states are also more like smal
economies on average. As in the case of cross-country studies, the tax rates of other states should economies on average. As in the case of cross-country studies, the tax rates of other states should
be included in the regression. In addition, state corporate tax rates are much lower than the federal be included in the regression. In addition, state corporate tax rates are much lower than the federal
tax rate and it would be even more difficult to use this smal explanatory variable to explain tax rate and it would be even more difficult to use this smal explanatory variable to explain
wages. wages.
Rent Sharing Studies
Several studies have appeared recently that discuss the potential burden of the corporate tax on Several studies have appeared recently that discuss the potential burden of the corporate tax on
wages via an entirely different mechanism, which has been misinterpreted in some ways. As wages via an entirely different mechanism, which has been misinterpreted in some ways. As
noted earlier, Greg Mankiw92 cited a study by Arulampalam, Devereux, and Maffini (hereinafter, noted earlier, Greg Mankiw92 cited a study by Arulampalam, Devereux, and Maffini (hereinafter,
ADM) finding a labor share of the corporate tax burden of 96% as evidence that the corporate tax ADM) finding a labor share of the corporate tax burden of 96% as evidence that the corporate tax
fel largely on labor. (The most recent version of their study reports 49%).93 More recently, former fel largely on labor. (The most recent version of their study reports 49%).93 More recently, former
Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin cited a study of this type by Azémar and Hubbard (AH) as Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin cited a study of this type by Azémar and Hubbard (AH) as
evidence that the burden fal s largely on labor (they found 60%).94 ADM, AH and other studies of evidence that the burden fal s largely on labor (they found 60%).94 ADM, AH and other studies of
this nature do not estimate the general equilibrium effects of corporate taxes on economy wide this nature do not estimate the general equilibrium effects of corporate taxes on economy wide
wages through capital flows but rather the share of the tax on excess profits that fal s on workers wages through capital flows but rather the share of the tax on excess profits that fal s on workers
due to bargaining and rent sharing, as do the other studies reviewed in this section. Because of the due to bargaining and rent sharing, as do the other studies reviewed in this section. Because of the
method of estimation, the Liu and Altshuler paper referenced by the Treasury Press Office would method of estimation, the Liu and Altshuler paper referenced by the Treasury Press Office would
also be classed with rent-sharing studies. These rent-sharing studies have relatively little also be classed with rent-sharing studies. These rent-sharing studies have relatively little
relevance to the general issue of the corporate income tax for the United States (in part, because relevance to the general issue of the corporate income tax for the United States (in part, because
the shares of workers who belong to unions that bargain on wages is so smal ). However, their the shares of workers who belong to unions that bargain on wages is so smal ). However, their
results have been invoked as evidence on the general tax burden and these types of studies began results have been invoked as evidence on the general tax burden and these types of studies began

90 Juan Carlos Suarez Serrato and Owen Zidar, “Who Benefits from State Corporate T ax Cuts? A Local labor Markets 90 Juan Carlos Suarez Serrato and Owen Zidar, “Who Benefits from State Corporate T ax Cuts? A Local labor Markets
Approach with Heterogeneous Firms,” Approach with Heterogeneous Firms,” American Economic Review, vol. 109, no. 9 (September 2016), pp. 2582-2624. , vol. 109, no. 9 (September 2016), pp. 2582-2624.
91 The Incidence of the Corporate Income Tax on Wages: Evidence from Canadian Provinces Kenneth J. McKenzie 91 The Incidence of the Corporate Income Tax on Wages: Evidence from Canadian Provinces Kenneth J. McKenzie
and Ergete Ferede, April 2017, at and Ergete Ferede, April 2017, at
http://econ.ucalgary.ca/manageprofile/sites/econ.ucalgary.ca.manageprofile/files/unitis/publications/1 -http://econ.ucalgary.ca/manageprofile/sites/econ.ucalgary.ca.manageprofile/files/unitis/publications/1 -
7833135/UCWP_04_2017.pdf. 7833135/UCWP_04_2017.pdf.
92 N. Gregory Mankiw, “T he Problem with the Corporate Tax,” 92 N. Gregory Mankiw, “T he Problem with the Corporate Tax,” New York Times, June 2, 2008. , June 2, 2008.
93 T he lower share is due to valuation at the mean rather than the median. Most studies evaluate at the mean since the 93 T he lower share is due to valuation at the mean rather than the median. Most studies evaluate at the mean since the
estimates reflect the mean values. estimates reflect the mean values.
94 Céline Azémar and Glenn Hubbard. “Country Characteristics and the Incidence of Capital Income T axes on Wages: 94 Céline Azémar and Glenn Hubbard. “Country Characteristics and the Incidence of Capital Income T axes on Wages:
An Empirical Assessment, An Empirical Assessment, Canadian Journal of Econom ics, vol. 48, iss. 5 (December 2015), pp. 1762-1802. , vol. 48, iss. 5 (December 2015), pp. 1762-1802.
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proliferating, and they were cited as evidence that the burden fal s on capital. The ADM study has proliferating, and they were cited as evidence that the burden fal s on capital. The ADM study has
apparently inspired several other studies of this nature, which are discussed here. These studies apparently inspired several other studies of this nature, which are discussed here. These studies
use individual firm or sector observations, which, as noted earlier, are not appropriate for the use individual firm or sector observations, which, as noted earlier, are not appropriate for the
general incidence of the corporate tax, but are appropriate for the study of rent-sharing. general incidence of the corporate tax, but are appropriate for the study of rent-sharing.
Before proceeding to examine both the ADM study and other studies specifical y, it is important Before proceeding to examine both the ADM study and other studies specifical y, it is important
to make some general points about these types of studies as measures of the share of the corporate to make some general points about these types of studies as measures of the share of the corporate
tax borne by labor. tax borne by labor.
First, even if a reliable measure of labor’s share could be found, the share cannot be interpreted as First, even if a reliable measure of labor’s share could be found, the share cannot be interpreted as
the share of total tax fal ing on wages because the analysis relates only to excess profits, which the share of total tax fal ing on wages because the analysis relates only to excess profits, which
are in turn only a part, perhaps a smal part, of total profits. The share of rents also suggests an are in turn only a part, perhaps a smal part, of total profits. The share of rents also suggests an
upper boundary to the share of the tax which fal s on labor that should be detected through these upper boundary to the share of the tax which fal s on labor that should be detected through these
studies. A widely cited study by Gentry and Hubbard estimated that 60% of corporate profits studies. A widely cited study by Gentry and Hubbard estimated that 60% of corporate profits
represented earnings in excess of a risk-free return.95 Since some (perhaps most) of the excess represented earnings in excess of a risk-free return.95 Since some (perhaps most) of the excess
return is a risk premiums and is part of the opportunity cost of capital (not excess profit), the return is a risk premiums and is part of the opportunity cost of capital (not excess profit), the
excess profit share should be lower. Some evidence suggests that it is in the neighborhood of 10% excess profit share should be lower. Some evidence suggests that it is in the neighborhood of 10%
to 20%.96 Every empirical study discussed in this section exceeds that level, with the smal est to 20%.96 Every empirical study discussed in this section exceeds that level, with the smal est
about 35% and the largest many multiples of 100%. Moreover, the burden relates only to those about 35% and the largest many multiples of 100%. Moreover, the burden relates only to those
firms that both have some excess profits and engage in bargaining. Whereas bargaining may be firms that both have some excess profits and engage in bargaining. Whereas bargaining may be
common in some European countries, in the United States, where unions would be expected to do common in some European countries, in the United States, where unions would be expected to do
the bargaining, less than 7% of private wage and salary workers are covered by unions.97 the bargaining, less than 7% of private wage and salary workers are covered by unions.97
Second, there is an existing literature that has attempted to estimate the share of labor in excess Second, there is an existing literature that has attempted to estimate the share of labor in excess
profits (without focusing on tax issues). Most studies have found that, even in those profits (without focusing on tax issues). Most studies have found that, even in those
circumstances where bargaining is to be expected, labor tends to capture a relatively smal share, circumstances where bargaining is to be expected, labor tends to capture a relatively smal share,
typical ytypical y less than10% and rarely more than 20% or 30%.98 This smal share suggests the amount less than10% and rarely more than 20% or 30%.98 This smal share suggests the amount

95 Gentry, William M. and R. Glenn Hubbard, “Distributional Implications of Introducing a Broad-Based Consumption 95 Gentry, William M. and R. Glenn Hubbard, “Distributional Implications of Introducing a Broad-Based Consumption
T ax,” T ax Policy and the Economy, vol. 11 (1997), pp. 1-47. T ax,” T ax Policy and the Economy, vol. 11 (1997), pp. 1-47.
96 Jennifer Gravelle, Corporate T ax Incidence with Excess Profits, presented at the Proceedings of the National T ax 96 Jennifer Gravelle, Corporate T ax Incidence with Excess Profits, presented at the Proceedings of the National T ax
Association Conference, 2015, at https://www.ntanet.org/wp-content/uploads/proceedings/2015/160-gravelle-Association Conference, 2015, at https://www.ntanet.org/wp-content/uploads/proceedings/2015/160-gravelle-
corporate-tax-incidence-effect.pdf. A much earlier estimate of the excess profits on manufacturing seems consistent corporate-tax-incidence-effect.pdf. A much earlier estimate of the excess profits on manufacturing seems consistent
with a small magnitude, as the authors found a q value (stockwith a small magnitude, as the authors found a q value (stock market value relative to replacement value of capital) of market value relative to replacement value of capital) of
1.28, which implies a rent share of 22% (0.28/1.28). The authors suggest that this value is too high because the capital 1.28, which implies a rent share of 22% (0.28/1.28). The authors suggest that this value is too high because the capital
stock does not include intangible capital. See Lawrence F. Katz and Lawrence H. Summers, “stock does not include intangible capital. See Lawrence F. Katz and Lawrence H. Summers, “ Industry Rents: Evidence Industry Rents: Evidence
and Implications,” Brookings Papers: Microeconomics, 1989, pp. 209 -290, at https://www.brookings.edu/wp-and Implications,” Brookings Papers: Microeconomics, 1989, pp. 209 -290, at https://www.brookings.edu/wp-
content/uploads/1989/01/1989_bpeamicro_katz.pdf.content/uploads/1989/01/1989_bpeamicro_katz.pdf. T wo recent studies find similar magnitudes. Simcha Barkai estimates a share of 24%, which would be smaller if estimates were adjusted to include missing intangible assets. See “Declining Labor and Capital Shares,” Journal of Finance, vol. 75, iss. 5 (October 2020), pp. 2421-2462, https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jofi.12909. Lamadon et al. find a share of 11%. See T hibaut Lamadon, Magne Mogstad, and Bradley Setzler, “Imperfect Competition, Compensating Differentials, and Rent Sharing in the U.S. Labor Market,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 25954, June 2019, https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w25954/w25954.pdf . T heir studies also measures benefits from workers but these do not reflect a share of profits but rather inframarginal benefits (wages higher than those required for the willingness to work) from an upward sloping supply curve reflecting preferences for amenities.
97 See Megan Dunn and James Walker, Union Membership in the United States, Bureau of Labor Statistics, September 97 See Megan Dunn and James Walker, Union Membership in the United States, Bureau of Labor Statistics, September
2016, https://www.bls.gov/spotlight/2016/union-membership-in-the-united-states/pdf/union-membership-in-the-united-2016, https://www.bls.gov/spotlight/2016/union-membership-in-the-united-states/pdf/union-membership-in-the-united-
states.pdf. states.pdf.
98 Most studies found labor’s share of to be less than 10%. See Andrew K. Hildreth and Andrew T . Oswald, “Rent -98 Most studies found labor’s share of to be less than 10%. See Andrew K. Hildreth and Andrew T . Oswald, “Rent -
Sharing and Wages: Evidence from Country and Establishment Panels,” Sharing and Wages: Evidence from Country and Establishment Panels,” Journal of Labor ~~Economics~~Econom ics, vol. 15 (April , vol. 15 (April
1997), pp. 318-337. Based on the means of the sample, their study of the UK indicated that labor’s share of excess 1997), pp. 318-337. Based on the means of the sample, their study of the UK indicated that labor’s share of excess
profit was about 5%. Four other articles, and a book, were cited as having similar results: Kevin Denny and Steve profit was about 5%. Four other articles, and a book, were cited as having similar results: Kevin Denny and Steve
Machin, “T he Role of Profitability and Industrial Wages in Firm-Level Wage DeterminationMachin, “T he Role of Profitability and Industrial Wages in Firm-Level Wage Determination,” Fiscal Studies, May , May
1991, pp. 34-45; Louis Christofides and Andrew J. Oswald, “ Real Wage Determination and Rent -sharing in Collective 1991, pp. 34-45; Louis Christofides and Andrew J. Oswald, “ Real Wage Determination and Rent -sharing in Collective
~~Bargaining Agreements,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 107 (August 1992), pp. 985-1002; David G.~~
~~Blanchflower, Andrew J. Oswald and Peter Sanfey, ‘Wages Profits and Rent -Sharing,”~~ ~~The Quarterly Journal of~~
~~Econom ics, vol. 111 (February 1996), pp. 227-251; and Alan A. Carruth and Andrew J. Oswald,~~ ~~Pay Determ ination~~
~~and Industrial Prosperity~~ ~~(Oxford University Press: New York, 1989). T hese studies generally used U.K. data,~~
~~although one used U.S. data and one used Canadian data. T hese studies were generally not economy wide but confined~~
~~to sectors such as manufacturing. T wo studies found, in one case, larger effects and in the other, mixed effects. John A.~~
~~Abowd and T homas Lemieux, “T he Effects of Product market Competition on Collective Bargaining Agreements: T he~~
~~Case of Foreign Competition in Canada,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 198 (November 1993), pp. 983-~~
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of labor income due to rent sharing is smal , and that is consistent with estimates that the union of labor income due to rent sharing is smal , and that is consistent with estimates that the union
wage premium is about 15% (with a range of 0 to 30%).99 Thus the share of the total wage bil wage premium is about 15% (with a range of 0 to 30%).99 Thus the share of the total wage bil
that reflects rents of union workers is 1% (the share of union workers, 7%, times the wage that reflects rents of union workers is 1% (the share of union workers, 7%, times the wage
premium of 15%). premium of 15%).
Thirdly, and perhaps the most important point to make, in the standard bargaining model (such as Thirdly, and perhaps the most important point to make, in the standard bargaining model (such as
that employed by ADM), a corporate tax rate that applies to excess profits would not be expected that employed by ADM), a corporate tax rate that applies to excess profits would not be expected
to affect wages through the bargaining process. If taxes are treated in a standard way as a rate to affect wages through the bargaining process. If taxes are treated in a standard way as a rate
applied to a firm’s revenue minus cost, the tax term does not appear (seapplied to a firm’s revenue minus cost, the tax term does not appear (see Appendix D). The . The
workers and firm would split pretax profits, with each paying tax (corporate or individual) on workers and firm would split pretax profits, with each paying tax (corporate or individual) on
their share. The economic intuition behind this is that while a higher tax rate reduces the surplus their share. The economic intuition behind this is that while a higher tax rate reduces the surplus
or size of the pie to be divided, it also makes the “price” of giving a dollar to labor lower because or size of the pie to be divided, it also makes the “price” of giving a dollar to labor lower because
wages are deductible. Economists might think of these as offsetting income and substitution wages are deductible. Economists might think of these as offsetting income and substitution
effects and in this model they offset exactly.100 effects and in this model they offset exactly.100
The only tax effect left is the one that arises (potential y) from the general equilibrium effects on The only tax effect left is the one that arises (potential y) from the general equilibrium effects on
the economy that occur due to the imposition of the tax on normal profits, an effect that applies to the economy that occur due to the imposition of the tax on normal profits, an effect that applies to
firms without excess profits and unions as wel and could only be uncovered through some firms without excess profits and unions as wel and could only be uncovered through some
analysis appropriate to economy-wide effects. Under reasonable assumptions the proportional analysis appropriate to economy-wide effects. Under reasonable assumptions the proportional
effect on rents is similar to the proportional effect of wages. Because the taxes on the excess effect on rents is similar to the proportional effect of wages. Because the taxes on the excess
profits themselves do not directly drive payments to labor, considering the possibility of rents profits themselves do not directly drive payments to labor, considering the possibility of rents
simply means that an even smal er share of the total corporate tax burden fal s on labor than simply means that an even smal er share of the total corporate tax burden fal s on labor than
suggested by the general equilibrium models. (For example, if the model estimates 20% of the suggested by the general equilibrium models. (For example, if the model estimates 20% of the
burden wil fal on labor and 25% of profits is excess, then only 75% times 20%, or 15%, of the burden wil fal on labor and 25% of profits is excess, then only 75% times 20%, or 15%, of the
burden fal s on labor.) Given these theoretical insights, one might question why empirical studies burden fal s on labor.) Given these theoretical insights, one might question why empirical studies
of rent-sharing are being pursued at al as a question of tax incidence, and why such significant of rent-sharing are being pursued at al as a question of tax incidence, and why such significant
effects have been found. effects have been found.
The ADM study used firm level data (for about 55,000 firms) from several European countries The ADM study used firm level data (for about 55,000 firms) from several European countries
(primarily France, Italy, Spain and Germany) over a relatively short time frame of 1996-2003.101 (primarily France, Italy, Spain and Germany) over a relatively short time frame of 1996-2003.101
~~It controlled for firm-specific effects. About a quarter of the observations are for only four years~~
~~and about 45% only five years so that the panel, like that of Felix, shows changes over the short~~
~~run. The same authors had an earlier version of their study with a smal er sample. Although the~~
~~authors control for firm level fixed effects, they do not control for country-specific effects. The~~

Bargaining Agreements,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 107 (August 1992), pp. 985-1002; David G. Blanchflower, Andrew J. Oswald and Peter Sanfey, ‘Wages Profits and Rent -Sharing,” The Quarterly Journal of Econom ics, vol. 111 (February 1996), pp. 227-251; and Alan A. Carruth and Andrew J. Oswald, Pay Determ ination and Industrial Prosperity (Oxford University Press: New York, 1989). T hese studies generally used U.K. data, although one used U.S. data and one used Canadian data. T h ese studies were generally not economy wide but confined to sectors such as manufacturing. T wo studies found, in one case, larger effects and in the other, mixed effects. John A. Abowd and T homas Lemieux, “T he Effects of Product market Competition on Collective Bargaining Agreements: T he Case of Foreign Competition in Canada,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 198 (November 1993), pp. 983-1014 found a larger effect of 18% when they used instrumental variables to address endogeneity. John Van Reenen, 1014 found a larger effect of 18% when they used instrumental variables to address endogeneity. John Van Reenen,
“T he Creation and Capture of Rents: Wages and Innovation in a Panel of U.K. Companies,” “T he Creation and Capture of Rents: Wages and Innovation in a Panel of U.K. Companies,” Quarterly Journal of
Econom ics, vol.111 (February 1996), pp. 195-226, also using instruments, finds a share of about 5% when using quasi-, vol.111 (February 1996), pp. 195-226, also using instruments, finds a share of about 5% when using quasi-
rents (sales minus the rents (sales minus the ~~alternative~~alternat ive wage) but 35% when using profits. (Note: All of the shares presented in this note are wage) but 35% when using profits. (Note: All of the shares presented in this note are
derived by CRS and are calculated using the sample means.) T hese studies, of course, vary in quality and are subject to derived by CRS and are calculated using the sample means.) T hese studies, of course, vary in quality and are subject to
various critiques. various critiques.
99 T his literature is summarized in R. Alison Felix and James R. Hines, 99 T his literature is summarized in R. Alison Felix and James R. Hines, Corporate Taxes and Union Wages in the
United States, National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 15263, August 2009. , National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper no. 15263, August 2009.
100 Nadine Riedel, “T axing Multi-Nationals Under Union Wage Bargaining,” 100 Nadine Riedel, “T axing Multi-Nationals Under Union Wage Bargaining,” International Tax and Public Finance, ,
vol. 18 (August 2011), pp. 399-421 makes this point when she argues that increasing the domestic tax on a vol. 18 (August 2011), pp. 399-421 makes this point when she argues that increasing the domestic tax on a
multinational with a surplus would actually, through this mechanism, cause domestic wages to rise and foreign wages multinational with a surplus would actually, through this mechanism, cause domestic wages to rise and foreign wages
to fall since the latter do not benefit from the higher value of deductibility.to fall since the latter do not benefit from the higher value of deductibility.
101 Wiji Arulampalam, Michael P. Devereux, and Giorgia Maffini, 101 Wiji Arulampalam, Michael P. Devereux, and Giorgia Maffini, The Direct Incidence of Corporate Income Tax on
Wages, Oxford University Centre for Business T axation, March, 2011, published in the , Oxford University Centre for Business T axation, March, 2011, published in the European Economic Review, ,
vol. 56 (2012), pp. 1038-1054. vol. 56 (2012), pp. 1038-1054.
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It controlled for firm-specific effects. About a quarter of the observations are for only four years and about 45% only five years so that the panel, like that of Felix, shows changes over the short run. The same authors had an earlier version of their study with a smal er sample. Although the authors control for firm level fixed effects, they do not control for country-specific effects. The authors have subsequently revised their study reporting, for the preferred specification, that labor authors have subsequently revised their study reporting, for the preferred specification, that labor
bears 64% of the tax in the short run and 49% in the long run.102 bears 64% of the tax in the short run and 49% in the long run.102
The ADM study properly derives a model where the tax on revenues minus wages disappears and The ADM study properly derives a model where the tax on revenues minus wages disappears and
claims not to consider the tax on normal profits. Instead the authors hypothesize an extra tax term claims not to consider the tax on normal profits. Instead the authors hypothesize an extra tax term
that is not associated with profit that wil affect wages directly. It is difficult to imagine exactly that is not associated with profit that wil affect wages directly. It is difficult to imagine exactly
what type of tax provision would fal into this category. In any case, the share of the corporate tax what type of tax provision would fal into this category. In any case, the share of the corporate tax
arising from this type of provision seems likely to be vanishingly smal .103 arising from this type of provision seems likely to be vanishingly smal .103
Whatever the authors theorize about, it is not what they include in their regression. The variable is Whatever the authors theorize about, it is not what they include in their regression. The variable is
total taxes paid per worker (although it is instrumented with tax rates and other variables). The total taxes paid per worker (although it is instrumented with tax rates and other variables). The
study also excludes other important variables which cannot be observed such as the competitive study also excludes other important variables which cannot be observed such as the competitive
wage (they use a minimum wage which is obviously far too low). The empirical implementation wage (they use a minimum wage which is obviously far too low). The empirical implementation
examines the change in wages as a function of the change in output and taxes (al taxes, not just examines the change in wages as a function of the change in output and taxes (al taxes, not just
lump sum taxes) which are closely linked as major elements of a contemporaneous identity and lump sum taxes) which are closely linked as major elements of a contemporaneous identity and
may explain their findings. Thus, it is possible that the statistical y significant relationships may explain their findings. Thus, it is possible that the statistical y significant relationships
obtained derive from some other linkage and do not represent a share of the tax burden.104 There obtained derive from some other linkage and do not represent a share of the tax burden.104 There
are also some important reservations about the econometric methods. Panel data with short time are also some important reservations about the econometric methods. Panel data with short time
periods (where persistence effects can be serious) and the need to control for firm specific effects periods (where persistence effects can be serious) and the need to control for firm specific effects
face some significant econometric problems. The authors use a number of different specifications, face some significant econometric problems. The authors use a number of different specifications,
with widely varying results, which suggest that the results are not robust.105 There are several with widely varying results, which suggest that the results are not robust.105 There are several
other aspects of the econometrics that are not transparent.106 other aspects of the econometrics that are not transparent.106
Overal , it is not clear what relationship or phenomenon the study is measuring. Interest ideal y is Overal , it is not clear what relationship or phenomenon the study is measuring. Interest ideal y is
in how an exogenous tax change affects wages. Yet for some of the countries that constitute a in how an exogenous tax change affects wages. Yet for some of the countries that constitute a
large share of the data, there were no changes in tax rates. In others, tax rate changes were large share of the data, there were no changes in tax rates. In others, tax rate changes were
virtual y al declines, with most of those declines occurring during the growth period of the late virtual y al declines, with most of those declines occurring during the growth period of the late
1990s, when productivity and output was rising. It is possible that the results are capturing that 1990s, when productivity and output was rising. It is possible that the results are capturing that
phenomenon. phenomenon.
~~Another study using European data directed at capturing the bargaining share was recently~~
~~released by aus dem Moore, Kasten, and Schmidt.107 This study compared the changes in wages~~

102 Prior versions of this study reported larger results (in a 2008 version, that labor bears 96% of an increase in tax in 102 Prior versions of this study reported larger results (in a 2008 version, that labor bears 96% of an increase in tax in
the short run, and 92% in the long run, and in a 2007 version that labor bore 54% in the short run and 176% in the long the short run, and 92% in the long run, and in a 2007 version that labor bore 54% in the short run and 176% in the long
run, at least for the specification that the authors reported.)run, at least for the specification that the authors reported.) , which appear to reflect initially an increase in the sample , which appear to reflect initially an increase in the sample
and subsequently measuring incidence based on the mean and subsequently measuring incidence based on the mean ~~rather~~rat her than the median. than the median. T hese results seemed quite T hese results seemed quite
implausible. implausible.
103 A number of proposed types of provisions, such as interest 103 A number of proposed types of provisions, such as interest ~~deduct ions~~deductions, losses, and pension contribution would , losses, and pension contribution would
nevertheless be costs that are related to profits. nevertheless be costs that are related to profits.
104 T his point is made by Jennifer C, Gravelle 104 T his point is made by Jennifer C, Gravelle, Corporate Tax Incidence: A Review of Empirical Estimates and
Analysis, CBO, Working Paper no. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/06-14-2011-, CBO, Working Paper no. 2011-01, June 2011, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/122xx/doc12239/06-14-2011-
CorporateT axIncidence.pdf. Note also that t he regression is also run in logs that does not allow for negative tax liability CorporateT axIncidence.pdf. Note also that t he regression is also run in logs that does not allow for negative tax liability
even though the model is in levels. even though the model is in levels.
105 T he tests used by the authors to determine their preferred specification are not without problems. See David 105 T he tests used by the authors to determine their preferred specification are not without problems. See David
Roodman, “How to Do xtabond2: An Introduction to “Difference” and “System” GMM in Stata,”Roodman, “How to Do xtabond2: An Introduction to “Difference” and “System” GMM in Stata,” Center for Global Center for Global
Development, Working Paper no. 103, December 2006. Development, Working Paper no. 103, December 2006.
106 For example, no reason is presented for using a dynamic specification or the specific number of lagged variables, 106 For example, no reason is presented for using a dynamic specification or the specific number of lagged variables,
and the number of instruments was not reported. and the number of instruments was not reported.
~~107 Nils aus dem Moore, T anja Kasten, and Christoph M. Schmidt, “Do Wages Rise When Corporate T ax Rates Fall?~~
~~Evidence from the German Business T ax Reform 2000,” January 11, 2011. An updated version of this working paper~~
~~for 2014 found an even larger effect in the long run, see Ruhr Economic papers, no. 532, at~~
~~https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/107692/1/819623113.pdf .~~
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Congressional Research Service 32 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress Another study using European data directed at capturing the bargaining share was recently released by aus dem Moore, Kasten, and Schmidt.107 This study compared the changes in wages of German manufacturing compared with French manufacturing, spanning a time when the of German manufacturing compared with French manufacturing, spanning a time when the
German taxes were reformed (including rate cuts) and the French tax was not. This analysis finds German taxes were reformed (including rate cuts) and the French tax was not. This analysis finds
a very large effect: an increase in German wages of 6.4% due to the rate cuts. This finding seems a very large effect: an increase in German wages of 6.4% due to the rate cuts. This finding seems
large. According to the reported means of the data, the ratio of wages to taxes is 11.9; that is large. According to the reported means of the data, the ratio of wages to taxes is 11.9; that is
wages are about 12 times the amount of taxes. If wages rose by 6.4%, that amount is 76% of the wages are about 12 times the amount of taxes. If wages rose by 6.4%, that amount is 76% of the
total corporate tax. It appears that the reduction in German taxes was around 20%, which implies, corporate tax. It appears that the reduction in German taxes was around 20%, which implies,
in dollarin dollar terms, that wages rose $4 for each dollar reduction in tax, when it should have been a terms, that wages rose $4 for each dollar reduction in tax, when it should have been a
share of only a smal part of the tax. It seems likely that the empirical estimates are capturing share of only a smal part of the tax. It seems likely that the empirical estimates are capturing
some other type of influence, and the authors indicate their study is preliminary and uncertain. some other type of influence, and the authors indicate their study is preliminary and uncertain.
The authors never discuss the theoretical finding that this type of tax rate change is the kind of The authors never discuss the theoretical finding that this type of tax rate change is the kind of
change that would not be expected to show up as a part of rent sharing. change that would not be expected to show up as a part of rent sharing.
Another study, by Dwenger, Rattenhuber, and Steiner, also uses firm data to examine the German Another study, by Dwenger, Rattenhuber, and Steiner, also uses firm data to examine the German
tax cut.108 As with the aus dem Moore et al. study, they do not address theoretical concerns and tax cut.108 As with the aus dem Moore et al. study, they do not address theoretical concerns and
simply assume that labor wil bear some of the burden of the tax via bargaining. Their estimates simply assume that labor wil bear some of the burden of the tax via bargaining. Their estimates
of this initial wage effect indicate labor bears 156% of the tax. They also assume that the higher of this initial wage effect indicate labor bears 156% of the tax. They also assume that the higher
or lower wages wil lead to employment shifts (so that when wages rise, employment fal s and or lower wages wil lead to employment shifts (so that when wages rise, employment fal s and
thus the wage bil does not fal as much), which results in a total wage bil effect of 47% of the thus the wage bil does not fal as much), which results in a total wage bil effect of 47% of the
tax. This line of reasoning regarding employment is also inconsistent with theory, as the wage tax. This line of reasoning regarding employment is also inconsistent with theory, as the wage
does not change from the direct bargaining effect. Rather it arises from the increase in the cost of does not change from the direct bargaining effect. Rather it arises from the increase in the cost of
capital via increased taxes, which, while decreasing the demand for capital (assuming there is a capital via increased taxes, which, while decreasing the demand for capital (assuming there is a
nontaxed noncorporate or foreign sector), has effects on employment in the corporate sector that nontaxed noncorporate or foreign sector), has effects on employment in the corporate sector that
are uncertain. In a general equilibrium model, employment is assumed to be fixed in the are uncertain. In a general equilibrium model, employment is assumed to be fixed in the
economy. In any case, these general equilibrium effects cannot be uncovered with firm specific economy. In any case, these general equilibrium effects cannot be uncovered with firm specific
data within a country because the effect should not relate to the specific taxes of the firm. As with data within a country because the effect should not relate to the specific taxes of the firm. As with
the aus dem Moore et al. study, it is not clear what the authors are measuring when they regress the aus dem Moore et al. study, it is not clear what the authors are measuring when they regress
wage rates on tax rates, although it could reflect differential wage growth across industries. wage rates on tax rates, although it could reflect differential wage growth across industries.
A study of subnational taxes in Germany by Bauer, Kasten, and Siemers found a significant effect A study of subnational taxes in Germany by Bauer, Kasten, and Siemers found a significant effect
of the corporate tax on wages.109 In some ways, this study was similar to the cross-state studies of the corporate tax on wages.109 In some ways, this study was similar to the cross-state studies
done in the United States in that the explanatory variable was the tax rate. But it also addressed done in the United States in that the explanatory variable was the tax rate. But it also addressed
rent sharing by examining the differences between low-skil ed workers with less bargaining rent sharing by examining the differences between low-skil ed workers with less bargaining
power. As is the case with some other studies, the results are implausible. They found that a 1% power. As is the case with some other studies, the results are implausible. They found that a 1%
increase in tax rate decreased wages by between 0.28% and 0.46%. Although the incidence was increase in tax rate decreased wages by between 0.28% and 0.46%. Although the incidence was
not as large as the Hassett and Mathur results, using the same ratio of wages to taxes as the aus not as large as the Hassett and Mathur results, using the same ratio of wages to taxes as the aus
dem Moore, Kasten, and Schmidt study indicated a dollar of corporate tax reduced wages dem Moore, Kasten, and Schmidt study indicated a dollar of corporate tax reduced wages
between $3.36 and $5.52 or by 336% to 550%. between $3.36 and $5.52 or by 336% to 550%.
~~Fuest, Peichl, and Sioegloch report an incidence of 47% in a wage bargaining model, using data~~
~~from German municipalities and a series of tax changes in the local business tax. This 47%~~
~~includes an external y estimated excess burden (efficiency cost); without it the incidence would~~
~~be 36%.110~~

107 Nils aus dem Moore, T anja Kasten, and Christoph M. Schmidt, “Do Wages Rise When Corporate T ax Rates Fall? Evidence from the German Business T ax Reform 2000,” January 11, 2011. An updated version of this working paper for 2014 found an even larger effect in the long run, see Ruh r Economic papers, no. 532, at https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/107692/1/819623113.pdf . 108 Nadja Dwenger, Pia Rattenhuber, and Victor Steiner, “Sharing the Burden: Empirical Evidence on Corporate T ax 108 Nadja Dwenger, Pia Rattenhuber, and Victor Steiner, “Sharing the Burden: Empirical Evidence on Corporate T ax
Incidence,” Incidence,” Max Planck Institute for Tax Law and Finance, 2011-14, October, 2011, http://www.tax.mpg.de/files/pdf1/, 2011-14, October, 2011, http://www.tax.mpg.de/files/pdf1/
Dwenger-Rattenhuber-Steiner_Incidence_MPI.pdf. Dwenger-Rattenhuber-Steiner_Incidence_MPI.pdf.
109 T homas K. Bauer, T anja Kasten, and Lars-H. R. Siemers, 109 T homas K. Bauer, T anja Kasten, and Lars-H. R. Siemers, Business Taxation and Wages: Evidence from Individual
Panel Data, Institute for the Study of Labor, Discussion Paper 6717, July 2012, at http://ftp.iza.org/dp6717.pdf. , Institute for the Study of Labor, Discussion Paper 6717, July 2012, at http://ftp.iza.org/dp6717.pdf.
~~110 Clemens Fuest, Andreas Peichl, and Sebastian Siegloch, “Do Higher Corporate T axes Reduce Wages?” Micro~~
~~Evidence from Germany, December 2016, at http://gabriel-zucman.eu/files/teaching/FuestEtal16.pdf, forthcoming,~~
Am erican Econom ic Review.
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~~link to page 65 link to page 65~~ ~~Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress~~
Congressional Research Service 33 link to page 67 link to page 67 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress Fuest, Peichl, and Sioegloch report an incidence of 47% in a wage bargaining model, using data from German municipalities and a series of tax changes in the local business tax. This 47% includes an external y estimated excess burden (efficiency cost); without it the incidence would be 36%.110
A study by aus dem Moore, comparing outcomes in France and the UK in a A study by aus dem Moore, comparing outcomes in France and the UK in a ~~w age~~wage bargaining bargaining
model follows the approach of ADM, and finds the share fal ing on wages 39% in France and model follows the approach of ADM, and finds the share fal ing on wages 39% in France and
40% in the UK in the short run. In the long run, the results indicate a share of 66% in France and 40% in the UK in the short run. In the long run, the results indicate a share of 66% in France and
73% in the UK.111 73% in the UK.111
Azémar and Hubbard estimated the incidence in a wage bargaining model using data on 13 Azémar and Hubbard estimated the incidence in a wage bargaining model using data on 13
OECD countries.112 Using the values for 2004, their estimates indicate 60% of the burden fal s on OECD countries.112 Using the values for 2004, their estimates indicate 60% of the burden fal s on
labor. Further estimates that include measures of union density indicate that this effect is highly labor. Further estimates that include measures of union density indicate that this effect is highly
driven by union density and would probably be negligible for the United States.113 driven by union density and would probably be negligible for the United States.113
Two studies have been based on data in the United States. As noted earlier, Felix and Hines Two studies have been based on data in the United States. As noted earlier, Felix and Hines
actual y found wages to rise with increases in state tax rates, but the union differential fel . They actual y found wages to rise with increases in state tax rates, but the union differential fel . They
indicate that their findings show that workers in a unionized firm bear 54% of the tax burden. indicate that their findings show that workers in a unionized firm bear 54% of the tax burden.
Several important points should be understood about their analysis. First, as they make clear, they Several important points should be understood about their analysis. First, as they make clear, they
are not trying to estimate the effect of direct taxes on rents, as this effect disappears from their are not trying to estimate the effect of direct taxes on rents, as this effect disappears from their
model. They are rather examining the indirect effect that would arise due to the increase in the model. They are rather examining the indirect effect that would arise due to the increase in the
cost of capital and the subsequent general equilibrium effects that would arise. Although they cost of capital and the subsequent general equilibrium effects that would arise. Although they
have correctly measured a statewide tax rate as their tax variable (rather than a firm specific rate), have correctly measured a statewide tax rate as their tax variable (rather than a firm specific rate),
the model they use to drive their theoretical expectations has a mistake (as shown ithe model they use to drive their theoretical expectations has a mistake (as shown in Appendix
D) and the expectation from a properly derived model is likely a close to zero effect, and if not and the expectation from a properly derived model is likely a close to zero effect, and if not
zero probably positive. Their estimate appears outside the range of reasonable theoretical zero probably positive. Their estimate appears outside the range of reasonable theoretical
prediction and probably in the wrong direction. In addition in calculating incidence they have prediction and probably in the wrong direction. In addition in calculating incidence they have
applied the elasticity to the entire wage bil , not the share that is rent. If the rent share is about applied the elasticity to the entire wage bil , not the share that is rent. If the rent share is about
15%, 8% of the tax, not 54%, fal s on rents. As shown in the appendix, for a nationwide incidence 15%, 8% of the tax, not 54%, fal s on rents. As shown in the appendix, for a nationwide incidence
taking into account union membership and theoretical expectations, the share of the tax that fal s taking into account union membership and theoretical expectations, the share of the tax that fal s
on rents is no more than 3% (keeping wages constant) and rents would more likely benefit. on rents is no more than 3% (keeping wages constant) and rents would more likely benefit.
The most recent study of the United States is one by Liu and Altshuler. Their theoretical approach The most recent study of the United States is one by Liu and Altshuler. Their theoretical approach
is difficult to interpret. As discussed in this review, there are general equilibrium effects that can is difficult to interpret. As discussed in this review, there are general equilibrium effects that can
shift the tax to wages, but within a closed economy with a fixed capital stock the central tendency shift the tax to wages, but within a closed economy with a fixed capital stock the central tendency
is for the burden to be spread to al capital, but not to wages.114 Only in an open economy, where is for the burden to be spread to al capital, but not to wages.114 Only in an open economy, where
~~capital can flow across countries (and which would require country observations) could wage~~
~~shares be estimated through this mechanism and the wage would be an economy-wide (country-~~
~~wide) wage.~~

110 Clemens Fuest, Andreas Peichl, and Sebastian Siegloch, “Do Higher Corporate T axes Reduce Wages?” Micro Evidence from Germany, December 2016, at http://gabriel-zucman.eu/files/teaching/FuestEtal16.pdf, forthcoming, Am erican Econom ic Review. 111 Nils aus dem Moore, Shifting the Burden of Corporate T axes: Heterogeneity in Direct Wage Incidence, Ruhr 111 Nils aus dem Moore, Shifting the Burden of Corporate T axes: Heterogeneity in Direct Wage Incidence, Ruhr
Economic Papers, no. 531, 2014, at https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/107694/1/819591319.pdfEconomic Papers, no. 531, 2014, at https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/107694/1/819591319.pdf . .
112 Céline Azémar and R. Glenn Hubbard, “112 Céline Azémar and R. Glenn Hubbard, “ Country Characteristics and the Incidence of Capital Income T axation on Country Characteristics and the Incidence of Capital Income T axation on
Wages: An Empirical Assessment,” Wages: An Empirical Assessment,” Canadian Journal of Economics, vol. 48, iss. 5 (December 2015), pp. 1601-2004. , vol. 48, iss. 5 (December 2015), pp. 1601-2004.
T he T he ~~authors~~aut hors investigate an estimate that would capture both wage investigate an estimate that would capture both wage ~~bargain ing~~bargaining and capital movement but found the and capital movement but found the
estimate unreliable because of endogeneity issues, although the upper limit is large, a $2.65 decline in wages for each estimate unreliable because of endogeneity issues, although the upper limit is large, a $2.65 decline in wages for each
dollar of corporate revenue. dollar of corporate revenue.
113 T his discussion indicates that the coefficient would fall from 0.1 to 0.02 for countries with average labor union 113 T his discussion indicates that the coefficient would fall from 0.1 to 0.02 for countries with average labor union
density such as France or Germany, implying an incidence of around 10%, and presumably would be less for the density such as France or Germany, implying an incidence of around 10%, and presumably would be less for the
United States which had half the average union density over the period of study and has been United States which had half the average union density over the period of study and has been ~~decli ning since.~~
declining since. 114 Li Liu and Rosanne Altshuler, 114 Li Liu and Rosanne Altshuler, Measuring the Burden of a Corporate Tax Under Imperfect Competition , Oxford , Oxford
Working Paper no. 11/05, published in the National T ax Journal, vol. 66, no. 1 (March 2013), pp 215 -238. T his Working Paper no. 11/05, published in the National T ax Journal, vol. 66, no. 1 (March 2013), pp 215 -238. T his
outcome occurs with unitary production and utility functions; when these functions are changed labor can bear a small outcome occurs with unitary production and utility functions; when these functions are changed labor can bear a small
~~amount of the burden, or labor can benefit from the tax with capital bearing slightly more than 100% of the burden.~~
~~Labor can bear some nonnegligible share of the tax when factor substitution is much smaller in the corporate as~~
~~compared to the noncorporate sector, but the reverse is likely to be the case since a large part of the noncorporate sector~~
~~is housing services. See Jane G. Gravelle and Laurence J. Kotlikoff, “T he Incidence and Efficiency Costs of Corporate~~
~~T axation When Corporate and Noncorporate Firms Produce the Same Goods, Journal of Political Econom y, vol. 97,~~
~~no. 4 (August 1979), pp. 749-780. T his article has tables of incidence measures with different elasticities.~~
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Congressional Research Service 34 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress capital can flow across countries (and which would require country observations) could wage shares be estimated through this mechanism and the wage would be an economy-wide (country- wide) wage.
General y, using a single country’s data is aimed at measuring a burden that would fal on labor General y, using a single country’s data is aimed at measuring a burden that would fal on labor
through the rent-sharing mechanism, except that the standard bargaining framework shows that through the rent-sharing mechanism, except that the standard bargaining framework shows that
while rents might be shared by labor, the tax on rents should not be. Liu and Altshuler never while rents might be shared by labor, the tax on rents should not be. Liu and Altshuler never
discuss a bargaining equilibrium and therefore never confront the offsetting price and income discuss a bargaining equilibrium and therefore never confront the offsetting price and income
effects that tend to eliminate rent-sharing arising from taxes. In fact, at one point in their model, effects that tend to eliminate rent-sharing arising from taxes. In fact, at one point in their model,
the wage rate becomes the numeraire (is fixed) that implies there are no industry wage the wage rate becomes the numeraire (is fixed) that implies there are no industry wage
differentials. differentials.
Their empirical approach is to examine how relative wage rates in each industry changed over Their empirical approach is to examine how relative wage rates in each industry changed over
time based on the mix of assets and the change in marginal tax rates over that period. They time based on the mix of assets and the change in marginal tax rates over that period. They
conclude that labor bears 60% to 80% of the tax. Why do they obtain such large effects, when conclude that labor bears 60% to 80% of the tax. Why do they obtain such large effects, when
theory says they should be zero or negligible? The most likely reason is because the marginal tax theory says they should be zero or negligible? The most likely reason is because the marginal tax
rate fel primarily for equipment, and those industries whose investments were more concentrated rate fel primarily for equipment, and those industries whose investments were more concentrated
in equipment (manufacturing, transportation, construction, but especial y manufacturing) in equipment (manufacturing, transportation, construction, but especial y manufacturing)
probably saw slower wage growth over the period due to the decline in unions and international probably saw slower wage growth over the period due to the decline in unions and international
competition. competition.
What Should Be Concluded About Incidence?
Although there has a resurgence of interest in direct empirical estimates of incidence, this review Although there has a resurgence of interest in direct empirical estimates of incidence, this review
suggests that these reduced form empirical studies are seriously flawed, produce unreasonable suggests that these reduced form empirical studies are seriously flawed, produce unreasonable
estimates, are not robust (changes in specification change the results), or are inconsistent with estimates, are not robust (changes in specification change the results), or are inconsistent with
theory, as is the case in the rent-sharing studies. Certainly, a serious problem with even the best of theory, as is the case in the rent-sharing studies. Certainly, a serious problem with even the best of
these studies is that the corporate tax tends to be dwarfed by the size of labor income so that it is these studies is that the corporate tax tends to be dwarfed by the size of labor income so that it is
difficult to detect this relationship or control for other factors that affect wages. The advantage of difficult to detect this relationship or control for other factors that affect wages. The advantage of
studying incidence through a general equilibrium model is that such a model can control for the studying incidence through a general equilibrium model is that such a model can control for the
factors affecting the incidence (including the limits to the effects), and, even though they are factors affecting the incidence (including the limits to the effects), and, even though they are
models, they are informed by empirical evidence. models, they are informed by empirical evidence.
Based on these models, it appears that most of the burden of the corporate tax fal s on capital. The Based on these models, it appears that most of the burden of the corporate tax fal s on capital. The
effect on capital flows without considering debt or rents suggest that labor bears 20% to 40% of effect on capital flows without considering debt or rents suggest that labor bears 20% to 40% of
the burden. If rents were 20% of total profits (and taxes) the labor share would fal to 16% to the burden. If rents were 20% of total profits (and taxes) the labor share would fal to 16% to
32%. Consideration of debt could easily cause more that 100% of the burden to fal on capital. 32%. Consideration of debt could easily cause more that 100% of the burden to fal on capital.
Thus the tax is a progressive one that fal s on capital incomes and thus largely on higher incomes. Thus the tax is a progressive one that fal s on capital incomes and thus largely on higher incomes.
Economic Efficiency Issues
The traditional criticism of the corporate tax is that the tax causes distortions, and that these The traditional criticism of the corporate tax is that the tax causes distortions, and that these
distortions are exacerbated by corporate tax preferences that prevent, for a given level of tax distortions are exacerbated by corporate tax preferences that prevent, for a given level of tax
revenue, a lower tax rate. The issues discussed in this section include al ocation of capital within revenue, a lower tax rate. The issues discussed in this section include al ocation of capital within
the domestic economy, savings effects, and international capital flows. the domestic economy, savings effects, and international capital flows.
amount of the burden, or labor can benefit from the tax with capital bearing slightly more than 100% of the burden. Labor can bear some nonnegligible share of the tax when factor substitution is much smaller in the corporate as compared to the noncorporate sector, but the reverse is likely to be the case since a large part of the noncorporate sector is housing services. See Jane G. Gravelle and Laurence J. Kotlikoff, “T he Incidence and Efficiency Costs of Corporate T axation When Corporate and Noncorporate Firms Produce the Same Goods, Journal of Political Econom y, vol. 97, no. 4 (August 1979), pp. 749-780. T his article has tables of incidence measures with different elasticities. Congressional Research Service 35 link to page 40 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress Allocation of Capital Within the Domestic Economy
Traditional y, the efficiency concern about the corporate tax is related to the misal ocation of Traditional y, the efficiency concern about the corporate tax is related to the misal ocation of
resources between corporate and noncorporate production (including owner-occupied housing). resources between corporate and noncorporate production (including owner-occupied housing).
Over time, efficiency issues have also encompassed differential taxation of the returns to assets of Over time, efficiency issues have also encompassed differential taxation of the returns to assets of
different physical types, and financial distortions, which affect the debt-equity ratio, payout different physical types, and financial distortions, which affect the debt-equity ratio, payout
choice, and decision to realize capital gains. choice, and decision to realize capital gains.
~~Congressional Research Service~~

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~~link to page 40~~ ~~Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress~~

Some efficiency costs, including those that alter the mix of a firm’s assets, arise not so much from Some efficiency costs, including those that alter the mix of a firm’s assets, arise not so much from
the existence of a corporate tax but from its desithe existence of a corporate tax but from its design. Table 8 captures the effects of the two most captures the effects of the two most
significant general y available provisions that affect tax burdens on different assets: depreciation significant general y available provisions that affect tax burdens on different assets: depreciation
and capital cost recovery rules and the credit for expenditures on research and development. The and capital cost recovery rules and the credit for expenditures on research and development. The
tax rates in this table account only for the corporate tax (that is, they do not include the benefits of tax rates in this table account only for the corporate tax (that is, they do not include the benefits of
deducting interest or the tax at the individual level on interest, dividends, and capital gains). They deducting interest or the tax at the individual level on interest, dividends, and capital gains). They
are also forward looking and marginal: they estimate the share of the return on a prospective are also forward looking and marginal: they estimate the share of the return on a prospective
investment that is paid in tax. If income were correctly measured and taxed that share would be investment that is paid in tax. If income were correctly measured and taxed that share would be
the statutory rate; most assets face lower tax rates. They are presented for prior law, at a statutory the statutory rate; most assets face lower tax rates. They are presented for prior law, at a statutory
35% tax rate, with and without the production activities deduction, a provision that al owed a 9% 35% tax rate, with and without the production activities deduction, a provision that al owed a 9%
reduction in taxable income. Under the 2017 revisions (a statutory tax rate of 21%), current law reduction in taxable income. Under the 2017 revisions (a statutory tax rate of 21%), current law
includes expensing (deducting the cost of equipment and intangible assets immediately) and includes expensing (deducting the cost of equipment and intangible assets immediately) and
permanent law returns to accelerated depreciation methods for equipment that typically al ow permanent law returns to accelerated depreciation methods for equipment that typically al ow
costs of equipment to be spread over either five or seven years and reflects five-year amortization costs of equipment to be spread over either five or seven years and reflects five-year amortization
for R&D intangibles. Depreciation methods for buildings were not changed: they are deducted for R&D intangibles. Depreciation methods for buildings were not changed: they are deducted
ratably over 39 years for most nonresidential structures, 27.5 years for residential buildings, and ratably over 39 years for most nonresidential structures, 27.5 years for residential buildings, and
20 years for farm buildings. Public utility structures are treated as equipment and expensed 20 years for farm buildings. Public utility structures are treated as equipment and expensed
although they have longer lives under regular depreciation methods. Mining structures are although they have longer lives under regular depreciation methods. Mining structures are
recovered through a combination of expensing, amortization, and depletion. recovered through a combination of expensing, amortization, and depletion.
Table 8. Differential Tax Rates Across Asset Types
Prior Law, No
Prior Law, With
Current Law,
Current Law, No
Asset
Production
Production
with Temporary
Temporary
Deduction
Deduction
Provisions
Provisions
Autos Autos
32 32
29 29
0 0
20 20
Office/Computing Office/Computing
29 29
26 26
0 0
18 18
Equipment Equipment
Trucks/Buses/Trailers Trucks/Buses/Trailers
22 22
20 20
0 0
13 13
Aircraft Aircraft
22 22
15 15
0 0
10 10
Construction Machinery Construction Machinery
21 21
19 19
0 0
12 12
Mining/Oilfield Equipment Mining/Oilfield Equipment
0 0
15 15
0 0
15 15
Service Industry Service Industry
27 27
25 25
0 0
16 16
Equipment Equipment
Tractors Tractors
24 24
22 22
0 0
14 14
Instruments Instruments
26 26
23 23
0 0
15 15
Other Equipment Other Equipment
26 26
23 23
0 0
15 15
General Industrial General Industrial
23 23
21 21
0 0
13 13
Equipment Equipment
Metalworking Machinery Metalworking Machinery
23 23
21 21
0 0
13 13
~~Electric Transmission~~
23
21
0
13
~~Equipment~~
~~Communications~~
18
17
0
10
~~Equipment~~
~~Other Electrical~~
29
26
0
17
~~Equipment~~
~~Furniture and Fixtures~~
25
22
0
14
~~Congressional Research Service~~

36

~~Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress~~

~~Prior Law, No~~
~~Prior Law, With~~
~~Current Law,~~
~~Current Law, No~~
~~Asset~~
~~Production~~
~~Production~~
~~with Temporary~~
~~Temporary~~
~~Deduction~~
~~Deduction~~
~~Provisions~~
~~Provisions~~Congressional Research Service 36 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress Prior Law, No Prior Law, With Current Law, Current Law, No Asset Production Production with Temporary Temporary Deduction Deduction Provisions Provisions Electric Transmission 23 21 0 13 Equipment Communications 18 17 0 10 Equipment Other Electrical 29 26 0 17 Equipment Furniture and Fixtures 25 22 0 14
Special Industrial Special Industrial
20 20
18 18
0 0
12 12
Equipment Equipment
Agricultural Equipment Agricultural Equipment
21 21
19 19
0 0
13 13
Fabricated Metal Fabricated Metal
28 28
25 25
0 0
17 17
Engines and Turbines Engines and Turbines
30 30
27 27
0 0
18 18
Ships and Boats Ships and Boats
22 22
20 20
0 0
12 12
Railroad Equipment Railroad Equipment
17 17
15 15
0 0
9 9
Mining Structures Mining Structures
11 11
10 10
6 6
6 6
Other Structures Other Structures
33 33
30 30
20 20
20 20
Industrial Structures Industrial Structures
36 36
33 33
22 22
22 22
Public Utility Structures Public Utility Structures
25 25
24 24
14 14
14 14
Commercial Structures Commercial Structures
34 34
31 31
21 21
21 21
Farm Structures Farm Structures
26 26
23 23
15 15
15 15
Residential Structures Residential Structures
31 31
NA NA
16 16
16 16
Intangibles, R&D Intangibles, R&D
-63.3 -63.3
-63.3 -63.3
-63.3 -63.3
-30.2 -30.2
Intangibles, Advertising Intangibles, Advertising
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
Intangibles, Other Intangibles, Other
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
Source: Congressional Research Service; for methodology, see CRS Report R44242, Congressional Research Service; for methodology, see CRS Report R44242, The Effect of Base-
Broadening Measures on Labor Supply and Investment: Considerations for Tax Reform, by Jane G. Gravel e and Donald , by Jane G. Gravel e and Donald
J. Marples. The production activity deduction is estimated with a statutory tax rate that is 9% lower. Investment J. Marples. The production activity deduction is estimated with a statutory tax rate that is 9% lower. Investment
in R&D intangibles is negative because of the researchin R&D intangibles is negative because of the research credit which was made permanent beginning in 2016. It is credit which was made permanent beginning in 2016. It is
estimated at 11.3%. For the magnitude of the effective credit and methodology see CRS Report R44522, estimated at 11.3%. For the magnitude of the effective credit and methodology see CRS Report R44522, A
Patent/Innovation Box as a Tax Incentive for Domestic Research and Development, by Jane G. Gravel e. These tax , by Jane G. Gravel e. These tax
rates are for the corporate level tax on equity and assume a 7% real discount rate and a 2% inflation rate. rates are for the corporate level tax on equity and assume a 7% real discount rate and a 2% inflation rate.
The variations within a column il ustrate the distortions firms face in choosing the mix of capital The variations within a column il ustrate the distortions firms face in choosing the mix of capital
within a firm. Overal the variations not only distort the mix of capital within a firm, but also the within a firm. Overal the variations not only distort the mix of capital within a firm, but also the
al ocation of capital across different industries. Other things equal, firms that have a larger share al ocation of capital across different industries. Other things equal, firms that have a larger share
of their capital stock in equipment or in intangibles than average wil be favored. of their capital stock in equipment or in intangibles than average wil be favored.
In the aggregate, the tax rate on equipment is 0% under current law and estimated at about 14% In the aggregate, the tax rate on equipment is 0% under current law and estimated at about 14%
under permanent law after expensing expires, the latter seven percentage points below the under permanent law after expensing expires, the latter seven percentage points below the
statutory tax rate. statutory tax rate.
The lowest rates are on intangible investments, such as research, advertising and investment in The lowest rates are on intangible investments, such as research, advertising and investment in
human capital. These costs are expensed (leading to a zero tax rate on those expenditures) and, in human capital. These costs are expensed (leading to a zero tax rate on those expenditures) and, in
the case of research and development, eligible for a credit as wel (leading to a negative rate). the case of research and development, eligible for a credit as wel (leading to a negative rate).
Congressional Research Service 37 link to page 42 link to page 40 link to page 42 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress Spending on advertising is expensed and subject to a zero rate even though some advertising has Spending on advertising is expensed and subject to a zero rate even though some advertising has
future benefits. The subsidy for research investment declines in permanent law as research future benefits. The subsidy for research investment declines in permanent law as research
expenditures are deducted over five years, rather than expensed. Both current and permanent law expenditures are deducted over five years, rather than expensed. Both current and permanent law
impose the highest tax rates on structures. impose the highest tax rates on structures.
~~Congressional Research Service~~

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Table 9 reports the types of distortions that are an artifact of the corporate tax as a separate tax. reports the types of distortions that are an artifact of the corporate tax as a separate tax.
These estimates, unlike those iThese estimates, unlike those in Table 8, take into account take into account al all levels of taxes.115 They indicate levels of taxes.115 They indicate
that the overal tax burden on both corporate and noncorporate investment is negative under that the overal tax burden on both corporate and noncorporate investment is negative under
current law and with the corporate rate lower but both smal , indicating little difference. Tax rates current law and with the corporate rate lower but both smal , indicating little difference. Tax rates
are positive under permanent law and higher for the noncorporate sector due to the higher rate are positive under permanent law and higher for the noncorporate sector due to the higher rate
and loss of the pass-through deduction as wel as the loss of expensing for equipment. Within the and loss of the pass-through deduction as wel as the loss of expensing for equipment. Within the
corporate sector, in addition to asset differences, there is a large differential with respect to debt corporate sector, in addition to asset differences, there is a large differential with respect to debt
versus equity finance; a large differential also exists for the noncorporate sector. The aggregate versus equity finance; a large differential also exists for the noncorporate sector. The aggregate
tax burden on debt is negative, whereas equity is taxed at a positive rate. Rates are higher for the tax burden on debt is negative, whereas equity is taxed at a positive rate. Rates are higher for the
noncorporate sector, due both to the higher statutory rate and the tendency of the noncorporate noncorporate sector, due both to the higher statutory rate and the tendency of the noncorporate
sector to hold more highly taxed assets. Shareholder taxes do not add much to the corporate tax sector to hold more highly taxed assets. Shareholder taxes do not add much to the corporate tax
burden due largely to the significant share of tax exempt investors, and, to a lesser extent, the burden due largely to the significant share of tax exempt investors, and, to a lesser extent, the
lower tax rates applied to capital gains and dividends and the failure to realize about half of lower tax rates applied to capital gains and dividends and the failure to realize about half of
capital gains. If economic income were measured correctly, interest would be subject to the capital gains. If economic income were measured correctly, interest would be subject to the
individual income tax rate. Debt is subsidized at the firm level, however, because nominal interest individual income tax rate. Debt is subsidized at the firm level, however, because nominal interest
is deducted (including the inflation premium) while profits before this deduction are effectively is deducted (including the inflation premium) while profits before this deduction are effectively
taxed at a rate below the statutory rate on real income. The offsetting effect of taxing interest to taxed at a rate below the statutory rate on real income. The offsetting effect of taxing interest to
creditors is smal because most interest is not subject to tax. The overal corporate tax rate at the creditors is smal because most interest is not subject to tax. The overal corporate tax rate at the
firm level, which would be relevant to the international al ocation of capital is -5.4% under firm level, which would be relevant to the international al ocation of capital is -5.4% under
current law and 3.0% under permanent law. current law and 3.0% under permanent law.
Table 9. Effective Tax Rates by Sector and Type of Finance
Current Law, with
Current Law, no Temporary
Sector
Prior Law
Temporary
Provisions
Provisions
Al Business Al Business
12.5 12.5
-2.0 -2.0
13.1 13.1
Corporate Business Corporate Business
9.6 9.6
-2.8 -2.8
5.2 5.2
—Debt —Debt
-44.0 -44.0
-42.2 -42.2
-21.1 -21.1
—Equity —Equity
22.4 22.4
6.2 6.2
13.8 13.8
Noncorporate business Noncorporate business
16.4 16.4
0.9 0.9
16.7 16.7
—Debt —Debt
-28.1 -28.1
-42.5 -42.5
-28.3 -28.3
~~—Equity~~
~~25.3~~
~~10.6~~
~~25.3~~
~~Owner Occupied Housing~~
~~-9.0~~
~~3.9~~
~~-9.0~~

115 One of the complications of estimating these tax rates is whether the estimates should consider the significant (over 115 One of the complications of estimating these tax rates is whether the estimates should consider the significant (over
50%) fraction of individual passive income that is held in tax exempt form through pensions, IRAs, l ife insurance 50%) fraction of individual passive income that is held in tax exempt form through pensions, IRAs, l ife insurance
annuities and nonprofits. In some ways, these sources can be viewed largely as not affecting marginal investment (for annuities and nonprofits. In some ways, these sources can be viewed largely as not affecting marginal investment (for
example, overall savings) because they are capped or not controlled directly by the investors and in other ways they example, overall savings) because they are capped or not controlled directly by the investors and in other ways they
affect choices (such as debt or equity of pension funds). T he estimates affect choices (such as debt or equity of pension funds). T he estimates ~~in T able 9~~ in Table 9 use the share of stock held by U.S. use the share of stock held by U.S.
individuals in taxable form, 25%. Setting the share at 50% would raise the tax rate on corporate equity from 6.2% to individuals in taxable form, 25%. Setting the share at 50% would raise the tax rate on corporate equity from 6.2% to
9% under current law and from 13.8% to 15.3% under permanent law, and the overall effect on the corporate sector, 9% under current law and from 13.8% to 15.3% under permanent law, and the overall effect on the corporate sector,
total business, and economy wide taxes would be even smaller. T he Congressional Budget Office (CBO) uses a higher total business, and economy wide taxes would be even smaller. T he Congressional Budget Office (CBO) uses a higher
share of taxable stockholders and has some other assumptions that differ from the share of taxable stockholders and has some other assumptions that differ from the ~~ones~~on es underlying these estimates. underlying these estimates.
CBO, CBO, Taxing Capital Incom e: Effective Marginal Tax Rates Under 2014 Law ~~a nd~~and Selected Policy Options, December , December
2014, at https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/113th-congress-2013-2014/reports/49817-2014, at https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/113th-congress-2013-2014/reports/49817-
T axing_Capital_Income_0.pdf. T hese measures are discussed in detail in CRS Report R44638, T axing_Capital_Income_0.pdf. T hese measures are discussed in detail in CRS Report R44638, Corporate Tax
Integration and Tax Reform , by Jane G. Gravelle. , by Jane G. Gravelle.
Congressional Research Service Congressional Research Service

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Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress

Current Law, with
Current Law, no Temporary
Sector
Prior Law
Temporary
Provisions
Provisions —Equity 25.3 10.6 25.3 Owner Occupied Housing -9.0 3.9 -9.0
Economy Wide Economy Wide
3.6 3.6
1.6 1.6
3.0 3.0
Source: SeeSee CRS Report R44242, CRS Report R44242, The Effect of Base-Broadening Measures on Labor Supply and Investment:
Considerations for Tax Reform, by Jane G. Gravel e and Donald J. Marples, by Jane G. Gravel e and Donald J. Marples for detailed assumptionsfor detailed assumptions. Assumptions Assumptions
include a 7% return to equity, a 7.5% nominal interest rate and a 2% inflation rate. The rates exclude inventories, include a 7% return to equity, a 7.5% nominal interest rate and a 2% inflation rate. The rates exclude inventories,
which are general y not sensitive to tax rates; overal rates would rise to 2.7% and 3.9% if inventories are which are general y not sensitive to tax rates; overal rates would rise to 2.7% and 3.9% if inventories are
included, since they are taxed at relatively high tax rates. The noncorporate tax rate is 30% under current law included, since they are taxed at relatively high tax rates. The noncorporate tax rate is 30% under current law
and 33% under permanent law,and 33% under permanent law, based on information from the Congressional Budget Office. The reduction in based on information from the Congressional Budget Office. The reduction in
benefits for real property taxes and mortgage interest due to the temporary provisions of the 2017 tax revision benefits for real property taxes and mortgage interest due to the temporary provisions of the 2017 tax revision
were based on the percentage reduction in itemized deductions from 2017 to 2018 which reduced the share were based on the percentage reduction in itemized deductions from 2017 to 2018 which reduced the share
itemized from 94% to 46% for real property taxes and 61% for mortgage interest. itemized from 94% to 46% for real property taxes and 61% for mortgage interest.
Evidence on the size of this distortion is limited, Evidence on the size of this distortion is limited, but since there appears to be limited substitution but since there appears to be limited substitution
between debt and equity, it is probably less than 5% of corporate tax revenue.116 Some simple between debt and equity, it is probably less than 5% of corporate tax revenue.116 Some simple
measures, however, could significantly reduce this distortion (such as indexing interest payments measures, however, could significantly reduce this distortion (such as indexing interest payments
for inflation). Lower corporate tax rates also reduce the subsidy for debt, but also reduce tax rates for inflation). Lower corporate tax rates also reduce the subsidy for debt, but also reduce tax rates
on equity. on equity.
The distortion that has probably received the most attention in the past by those studying the The distortion that has probably received the most attention in the past by those studying the
corporate tax is the misal ocation of capital between the corporate and noncorporate sectors. One corporate tax is the misal ocation of capital between the corporate and noncorporate sectors. One
source of the distortion arising from the corporate tax system was the taxation of corporate source of the distortion arising from the corporate tax system was the taxation of corporate
business plant and equipment at around 30%, whereas unincorporated business is taxed at only business plant and equipment at around 30%, whereas unincorporated business is taxed at only
20%. These estimates predate the inclusion of intangible assets that are uncommon in the 20%. These estimates predate the inclusion of intangible assets that are uncommon in the
noncorporate sector. They were also estimated at a time when a larger share of shareholders was noncorporate sector. They were also estimated at a time when a larger share of shareholders was
taxable and thus would be smal er even under the law prior to the 2017 tax changes. The higher taxable and thus would be smal er even under the law prior to the 2017 tax changes. The higher
corporate tax also contributes to a larger wedge between corporate production and owner-corporate tax also contributes to a larger wedge between corporate production and owner-
occupied housing, which is general y taxed at a negligible rate. The magnitude of the estimated occupied housing, which is general y taxed at a negligible rate. The magnitude of the estimated
distortion produced by having a separate corporate tax varies depending on the model used and distortion produced by having a separate corporate tax varies depending on the model used and
ranges from less than 10% of corporate tax revenue to about a third.117 Because the deadweight ranges from less than 10% of corporate tax revenue to about a third.117 Because the deadweight
loss varies with the square of the tax rate, the recent decline in the differential due to lower tax loss varies with the square of the tax rate, the recent decline in the differential due to lower tax
rates on dividends and capital gains suggests the distortion relative to revenue would be smal er—rates on dividends and capital gains suggests the distortion relative to revenue would be smal er—
probably no more than 4% to 7% of revenue, or perhaps even less taking into account intangibles probably no more than 4% to 7% of revenue, or perhaps even less taking into account intangibles
and the increase in tax exempt shareholders.118 Because the difference has narrowed further, the and the increase in tax exempt shareholders.118 Because the difference has narrowed further, the
welfare loss is likely to be negligible. welfare loss is likely to be negligible.

116 See Jane G. Gravelle, 116 See Jane G. Gravelle, The Economic Effects of Taxing Capital Income (Cambridge: MIT Press, 1994), pp. 82-83, (Cambridge: MIT Press, 1994), pp. 82-83,
suggesting a distortion of about 0.17% of total consumption. With consumption (including government spending) about suggesting a distortion of about 0.17% of total consumption. With consumption (including government spending) about
83% of output, and the corporate tax 2.7%, this amounts to about 5% of corporate revenue83% of output, and the corporate tax 2.7%, this amounts to about 5% of corporate revenue . T his amount has fallen . T his amount has fallen
slightly due to lower rates on capital gains and dividends. For estimates of the substitutability of debt and equity see slightly due to lower rates on capital gains and dividends. For estimates of the substitutability of debt and equity see
Ruud de Mooij, T he T ax Elasticity of Corporate Debt: A Synthesis of Size and Variations,” International Monetary Ruud de Mooij, T he T ax Elasticity of Corporate Debt: A Synthesis of Size and Variations,” International Monetary
Fund Working Paper WP/11/95, April 2011, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1195.pdf. Fund Working Paper WP/11/95, April 2011, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1195.pdf.
117 See the review in Gravelle, 117 See the review in Gravelle, The Economic Effects of Taxing Capital Income, pp. 77-82. , pp. 77-82.
118 T he distortion is proportional to the square of the wedge between pretax returns, which is 118 T he distortion is proportional to the square of the wedge between pretax returns, which is
t
(1  (1  t )  )  t (1  (1  t ))
c
c
, where , where t c is the corporate tax rate and is the corporate tax rate and t the unincorporated. the unincorporated. ~~T he~~The corporate tax fell corporate tax fell
c
from about 44% in the mid-1980s to 32% today, while the noncorporate tax fell from 22% to 20% and the rate on from about 44% in the mid-1980s to 32% today, while the noncorporate tax fell from 22% to 20% and the rate on
~~owner occupied housing remained about the same (roughly zero). Holding the after -tax return constant, the wedge~~
~~between corporate and noncorporate capital fell by over a half, and the square of the wedge by 80%. A calculation for~~
~~owner-occupied housing suggests that the wedge fell by 40% and the deadweight loss by two -thirds. For the largest~~
~~deadweight loss estimates, virtually all of the distortion was due to the corporate noncorporate differential, so that the~~
Congressional Research Service Congressional Research Service

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link to page 42 link to page 42 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress

A distortion not captured i A distortion not captured in Table 9 is the one that affects corporate payouts. Given that is the one that affects corporate payouts. Given that
appreciation in stock values is not taxed until realized, there is a benefit to retaining earnings. appreciation in stock values is not taxed until realized, there is a benefit to retaining earnings.
There is a dispute about what determines payout ratios and what the consequences of the tax are, There is a dispute about what determines payout ratios and what the consequences of the tax are,
but, in general, the welfare cost is smal . Some distortion also exists due to the lock-in effect for but, in general, the welfare cost is smal . Some distortion also exists due to the lock-in effect for
capital gains realizations.119 capital gains realizations.119
Considering al of these distortions together, they are probably no more than 5% of corporate tax Considering al of these distortions together, they are probably no more than 5% of corporate tax
revenues, a magnitude that could be considered as a significant component of the burden of the revenues, a magnitude that could be considered as a significant component of the burden of the
tax. However, given the revenue needs of the government, there would also be distortions, tax. However, given the revenue needs of the government, there would also be distortions,
perhaps smal er, associated with alternative taxes. Ways to reduce these distortions may, however, perhaps smal er, associated with alternative taxes. Ways to reduce these distortions may, however,
be worth considering. be worth considering.
Savings Effects
Much of the 2007 Treasury study’s discussion emphasized effects on savings although this is not Much of the 2007 Treasury study’s discussion emphasized effects on savings although this is not
normal y the focus of efficiency concerns about the corporate income tax. This distortion is not normal y the focus of efficiency concerns about the corporate income tax. This distortion is not
unique to corporate income taxes, but occurs with al capital income taxes. There are many unique to corporate income taxes, but occurs with al capital income taxes. There are many
difficulties with analyzing this issue. The first is that, as noted above in the discussion about the difficulties with analyzing this issue. The first is that, as noted above in the discussion about the
potential effect of savings on the wage rate, the economic distortion depends on the behavioral potential effect of savings on the wage rate, the economic distortion depends on the behavioral
response of savings to tax changes, and what tax replaces them. Some economists have a strong response of savings to tax changes, and what tax replaces them. Some economists have a strong
view that taxes on the rate of return are always distorting, but these views are based on dynamic view that taxes on the rate of return are always distorting, but these views are based on dynamic
infinite-horizon models that may not be very realistic. With life-cycle models, the distortions infinite-horizon models that may not be very realistic. With life-cycle models, the distortions
depend on what revenue substitute is provided; substituting taxes on wages for taxes on capital, depend on what revenue substitute is provided; substituting taxes on wages for taxes on capital,
the most likely substitute in the U.S. tax system, could potential y increase distortions, depending the most likely substitute in the U.S. tax system, could potential y increase distortions, depending
on the responses in the models.120 In models of bounded rationality, where savings are based on on the responses in the models.120 In models of bounded rationality, where savings are based on
rules of thumb such as fixed shares of income or fixed targets, there is no response, or only an rules of thumb such as fixed shares of income or fixed targets, there is no response, or only an
income effect, which would not produce a distorting effect. income effect, which would not produce a distorting effect.
International Capital Flows
Tax rules can affect the efficiency of al ocation of capital around the world, and, if the U.S. rate is Tax rules can affect the efficiency of al ocation of capital around the world, and, if the U.S. rate is
different from other countries, it can cause misal ocations of capital121. According to a recent different from other countries, it can cause misal ocations of capital121. According to a recent
study, prior to the 2017 revision, the U.S. corporate tax rate was 39% compared with an average study, prior to the 2017 revision, the U.S. corporate tax rate was 39% compared with an average
of 30% for the largest 15 countries excluding the United States and an average of 28.4% for of 30% for the largest 15 countries excluding the United States and an average of 28.4% for
OECD countries excluding the United States (both weighted by output).122 For firms eligible for OECD countries excluding the United States (both weighted by output).122 For firms eligible for
~~the U.S. production activities deductions, characteristic of most multinationals, the rate was~~
~~36.3%. The effective tax rate (taxes divided by profits) was about the same and the marginal~~
~~effective tax rates much lower and about five percentage points higher than the OECD average.~~

owner occupied housing remained about the same (roughly zero). Holding the after -tax return constant, the wedge between corporate and noncorporate capital fell by over a half, and the square of the wedge by 80%. A calculation for owner-occupied housing suggests that the wedge fell by 40% and the deadweight loss by two -thirds. For the largest deadweight loss estimates, virt ually all of the distortion was due to the corporate noncorporate differential, so that the current deadweight loss would be only 20% as large, while for the others, both assets played an important role. current deadweight loss would be only 20% as large, while for the others, both assets played an important role.
119 Estimates of 0.04% to 0.11% of consumption translate into 1% to 4% of corporate revenues, see Gravelle, 119 Estimates of 0.04% to 0.11% of consumption translate into 1% to 4% of corporate revenues, see Gravelle, The
Econom ic Effects of Taxing Capital Incom e, p. 89. With the reduction in tax , p. 89. With the reduction in tax ~~rat es~~rates of almost 50%, and the welfare cost of almost 50%, and the welfare cost
proportional to the square of the tax wedge, the welfare cost would be about 30% of its former value or less than 1%. proportional to the square of the tax wedge, the welfare cost would be about 30% of its former value or less than 1%.
T here is also a welfare cost from the realizations response of about 1%, but recent evidence has T here is also a welfare cost from the realizations response of about 1%, but recent evidence has ~~sh own~~shown this response to this response to
be small, about the same size as the pay-out distortion. be small, about the same size as the pay-out distortion.
120 See Jane G. Gravelle, “Income Consumption and Wage T axation in a Life Cycle Model: Separating Efficiency from 120 See Jane G. Gravelle, “Income Consumption and Wage T axation in a Life Cycle Model: Separating Efficiency from
Redistribution,” Redistribution,” American Economic Review, vol. 81, no. 4 (September 1991), pp. 985-995. , vol. 81, no. 4 (September 1991), pp. 985-995.
121 See CRS Report R45186, 121 See CRS Report R45186, Issues in International Corporate Taxation: The 2017 Revision (P.L. 115 -97), by Jane G. , by Jane G.
Gravelle and Donald J. Marples for a more detailed discussion of Gravelle and Donald J. Marples for a more detailed discussion of ~~int ernational~~international tax issues. tax issues.
122 CRS Report R41743, 122 CRS Report R41743, International Corporate Tax Rate Comparisons and Policy Implications, by Jane G. Gravelle. , by Jane G. Gravelle.
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the U.S. production activities deductions, characteristic of most multinationals, the rate was 36.3%. The effective tax rate (taxes divided by profits) was about the same and the marginal effective tax rates much lower and about five percentage points higher than the OECD average. The 2017 revision lowered corporate and effective marginal tax rates so that the current statutory The 2017 revision lowered corporate and effective marginal tax rates so that the current statutory
tax rate of 27% (federal plus state and local) is similar to the OECD average of 26%; the world tax rate of 27% (federal plus state and local) is similar to the OECD average of 26%; the world
average is 26% as wel .123 An estimate comparing the marginal effective tax rate for equipment average is 26% as wel .123 An estimate comparing the marginal effective tax rate for equipment
and structures indicates that the U.S. tax rate for equipment is among the lowest of the countriesand structures indicates that the U.S. tax rate for equipment is among the lowest of the countries
compared under current law and around midpoint for permanent law, whereas the tax rate for compared under current law and around midpoint for permanent law, whereas the tax rate for
structures higher than most.124 A composite investment is lower than most under current law and structures higher than most.124 A composite investment is lower than most under current law and
higher than most under permanent law125 higher than most under permanent law125
These data do not indicate the United States is a notably high-tax country with respect to These data do not indicate the United States is a notably high-tax country with respect to
investment, even under permanent law. The main source of international distortion, therefore, is investment, even under permanent law. The main source of international distortion, therefore, is
probably the increased investment that occurs in low-tax and tax-haven countries because the probably the increased investment that occurs in low-tax and tax-haven countries because the
United States and other developed countries do not tax that income at full rates. This inefficiency United States and other developed countries do not tax that income at full rates. This inefficiency
is not due to the corporate effective tax rate, but rather is due to the provision of a tax benefit for is not due to the corporate effective tax rate, but rather is due to the provision of a tax benefit for
investment abroad.126 Under current law, the minimum tax on foreign source income (GILTI) investment abroad.126 Under current law, the minimum tax on foreign source income (GILTI)
al ows a deduction for 10% of tangible assets abroad; reducing or disal owing this exemption, al ows a deduction for 10% of tangible assets abroad; reducing or disal owing this exemption,
raising GILTI tax rates to the United States, and al owing a foreign tax credit on a per country raising GILTI tax rates to the United States, and al owing a foreign tax credit on a per country
basis would eliminate the tax favoritism toward investing abroad in lower-tax countries. basis would eliminate the tax favoritism toward investing abroad in lower-tax countries.
Even when tax rates diverge, the efficiency costs appear to be relatively insignificant because the Even when tax rates diverge, the efficiency costs appear to be relatively insignificant because the
evidence suggests, as noted in previous sections, limited mobility of capital as a result of varying evidence suggests, as noted in previous sections, limited mobility of capital as a result of varying
tax rates and natural constraints of the economy.127 tax rates and natural constraints of the economy.127
Potential Revisions in the Corporate Tax
A variety of potential revisions could be made to the corporate tax. Most of the current proposals A variety of potential revisions could be made to the corporate tax. Most of the current proposals
would focus on revising international provisions and raising the rate, but provisions to address would focus on revising international provisions and raising the rate, but provisions to address
other preferences could be considered. The revisions discussed here include (1) broadening the other preferences could be considered. The revisions discussed here include (1) broadening the
corporate tax base and using the revenues to reduce the rate or to provide investment incentives, corporate tax base and using the revenues to reduce the rate or to provide investment incentives,
(2) correcting interest deductions and income for inflation, and (3) increasing the individual level (2) correcting interest deductions and income for inflation, and (3) increasing the individual level
tax to permit a lower tax at the firm level or taxing large unincorporated firms as corporations. tax to permit a lower tax at the firm level or taxing large unincorporated firms as corporations.
(To provide some reference, latest projections show corporate tax revenues at $300 bil ion in (To provide some reference, latest projections show corporate tax revenues at $300 bil ion in
FY2016 and projected at $429 bil ion in FY2027. In 2007, prior to the recession, they were $370 FY2016 and projected at $429 bil ion in FY2027. In 2007, prior to the recession, they were $370
~~bil ion, but they were lower during and after the recession due to cyclical factors and legislative~~
~~changes.)128~~

123 Elke Asen, 123 Elke Asen, Corporate Tax Rates around the World, 2020, T ax Foundation, Fiscal Fact No. 735, December 2020, , T ax Foundation, Fiscal Fact No. 735, December 2020,
https://files.taxfoundation.org/20201208152358/2020-Corporate-Tax-Rates-around-the-World.pdf. https://files.taxfoundation.org/20201208152358/2020-Corporate-Tax-Rates-around-the-World.pdf.
124 Matthew Higgins, 124 Matthew Higgins, Tax Reform and U.S. Effective Profit Taxes: From Low to Lower, Liberty Street Economics, , Liberty Street Economics,
October 22, 2018, https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2018/10/tax-reform-and-us-effective-profit-taxes-October 22, 2018, https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2018/10/tax-reform-and-us-effective-profit-taxes-
from-low-to-lower.html. from-low-to-lower.html.
125 See Kyle Pomerleau, who provides a composite equipment and structures measure weighted by capital stock. New 125 See Kyle Pomerleau, who provides a composite equipment and structures measure weighted by capital stock. New
York Fed Blog Post Understates Effective Corporate T ax Rates, T ax Foundation, October 26, 29018, York Fed Blog Post Understates Effective Corporate T ax Rates, T ax Foundation, October 26, 29018,
https://taxfoundation.org/new-york-fed-blog-post -understates-effective-corporate-tax-rates/. https://taxfoundation.org/new-york-fed-blog-post -understates-effective-corporate-tax-rates/.
126 T he issues of efficiency in international taxation are discussed in much more detail in CRS Report RL34115, 126 T he issues of efficiency in international taxation are discussed in much more detail in CRS Report RL34115,
Reform of U.S. International Taxation: Alternatives, by Jane G. Gravelle. , by Jane G. Gravelle.
127 Jane G. Gravelle and Kent A. Smetters, “Does the Open Economy Assumption Really Mean T hat Labor Bears the 127 Jane G. Gravelle and Kent A. Smetters, “Does the Open Economy Assumption Really Mean T hat Labor Bears the
Burden of a Capital Income T ax?” Burden of a Capital Income T ax?” Advances in Economic Policy and Analysis, vol. 6, no. 1, 2006 find efficiency gains , vol. 6, no. 1, 2006 find efficiency gains
of 3% to 5% of revenue assuming of 3% to 5% of revenue assuming ~~the~~t he rest of the world had no tax and the United States had a 35% effective tax rate. rest of the world had no tax and the United States had a 35% effective tax rate.
Because tax rates are similar to those in the rest of the world, the efficiency effect is negligible and approaching zeroBecause tax rates are similar to those in the rest of the world, the efficiency effect is negligible and approaching zero.
~~128 CBO, projections and historical data at https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/budget -economic-data#2. Note that in~~
~~considering estimates, it is projections at the time the estimates were made that determine the magnitude~~. .
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bil ion, but they were lower during and after the recession due to cyclical factors and legislative changes.)128 This section examines current tax preferences, options, and proposals to raise corporate taxes. It This section examines current tax preferences, options, and proposals to raise corporate taxes. It
also discusses past proposals that remain relevant in the context of the current rules. also discusses past proposals that remain relevant in the context of the current rules.
Corporate Tax Expenditures
The Joint Tax Committee estimates the revenue loss for certain tax expendituresThe Joint Tax Committee estimates the revenue loss for certain tax expenditures. Table 10 reports reports
the 10-largest corporate preferences by revenue costs and their size as a percentage of corporate the 10-largest corporate preferences by revenue costs and their size as a percentage of corporate
tax revenues, which were $211.8 bil ion in FY2020.129 Tax expenditures are departures from a tax revenues, which were $211.8 bil ion in FY2020.129 Tax expenditures are departures from a
normal income tax system and are a natural starting place for considering base broadening normal income tax system and are a natural starting place for considering base broadening
options. options.
Table 10. Ten-Largest Corporate Tax Expenditures, 2020
Revenue
Loss as a
Percentage
of
Revenue Loss
Corporate
Provision
($billions)
Revenues

Reduced Rate on Active Income of Control ed Foreign Corporations Reduced Rate on Active Income of Control ed Foreign Corporations
45.4 45.4
21.4 21.4
Depreciation of Equipment in Excess of Alternative System Depreciation of Equipment in Excess of Alternative System
43.2 43.2
20.4 20.4
Credit for Increasing Research Credit for Increasing Research
13.0 13.0
6.1 6.1
Deduction for Foreign Derived Intangible Income (FDII) Deduction for Foreign Derived Intangible Income (FDII)
12.6 12.6
5.9 5.9
Low-Income Housing Credit Low-Income Housing Credit
9.9 9.9
4.7 4.7
Energy Credit (Section 48) Energy Credit (Section 48)
6.1 6.1
2.9 2.9
Exclusion of Interest on State and Local Bonds Exclusion of Interest on State and Local Bonds
5.5 5.5
2.6 2.6
Credit for Electricity Produced from Renewable Resources (Section 45) Credit for Electricity Produced from Renewable Resources (Section 45)
4.4 4.4
2.1 2.1
Deferral of Gain on Non-Dealer Instal ment Sales Deferral of Gain on Non-Dealer Instal ment Sales
4.0 4.0
1.9 1.9
Work Opportunity Tax Credit Work Opportunity Tax Credit
2.9 2.9
1.4 1.4
Source: CRS Committee Print CP10004, CRS Committee Print CP10004, Tax Expenditures: Compendium of Background Material on Individual
Provisions — A Committee Print Prepared for the Senate Committee on the Budget, 2020, by Jane G. Gravel e et al., by Jane G. Gravel e et al.
The first three provisions have already been discussed. The first is the cost of al owing the The first three provisions have already been discussed. The first is the cost of al owing the
deduction for 10% of tangible assets and al owing a deduction for 10.5% of the residual under the deduction for 10% of tangible assets and al owing a deduction for 10.5% of the residual under the
global minimum tax provision (GILTI). The second is the expensing of equipment relative to an global minimum tax provision (GILTI). The second is the expensing of equipment relative to an
alternative depreciation system (i.e., a system that al ows costs to be recovered more slowly than alternative depreciation system (i.e., a system that al ows costs to be recovered more slowly than
the regular permanent depreciation rules). The third is the credit for research. The fourth the regular permanent depreciation rules). The third is the credit for research. The fourth
provision is the deduction that was al owed under the 2017 changes to equalize the treatment of provision is the deduction that was al owed under the 2017 changes to equalize the treatment of
the location of intangibles in the United States with the location abroad due to the deductions for the location of intangibles in the United States with the location abroad due to the deductions for
GILTI. It al ows a deduction after an exclusion for 10% of intangible assets. The low income GILTI. It al ows a deduction after an exclusion for 10% of intangible assets. The low income
housing credit al ows significant credits for constructing housing that provide lower rents for low-housing credit al ows significant credits for constructing housing that provide lower rents for low-
128 CBO, projections and historical data at https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/budget -economic-data#2. Note that in considering estimates, it is projections at the time the estimates were made that determine the magnitude. 129 See CBO historical data, https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget -economic-data#2. Congressional Research Service 42 link to page 47 link to page 47 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress income families. The two energy credits are targeted at alternative and renewable energy income families. The two energy credits are targeted at alternative and renewable energy
production. The state and local bond provision al ows the exclusion of interest for state and local production. The state and local bond provision al ows the exclusion of interest for state and local
bonds, a provision that may largely benefit state and local governments. The deferral of gain on bonds, a provision that may largely benefit state and local governments. The deferral of gain on

~~129 See CBO historical data, https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget -economic-data#2.~~
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nondealer sales al ows taxpayers to defer capital gains taxes. The work opportunity credit is nondealer sales al ows taxpayers to defer capital gains taxes. The work opportunity credit is
aimed at hiring individuals who may have difficulties in finding employment. aimed at hiring individuals who may have difficulties in finding employment.
CBO Budget Options
The Congressional Budget Office produces a set of budget options every two yearThe Congressional Budget Office produces a set of budget options every two years. Table 11
provides the most recent options over a 10-year period, and as a percentage of revenues during provides the most recent options over a 10-year period, and as a percentage of revenues during
that period, $3,262 bil ion.130 The options include an increase in the corporate tax rate. They also that period, $3,262 bil ion.130 The options include an increase in the corporate tax rate. They also
include a provision disal owing the last-in, first-out (LIFO) method of inventory accounting. This include a provision disal owing the last-in, first-out (LIFO) method of inventory accounting. This
al ows the cost of goods sold to reflect the prices of the most recently acquired goods, which al ows the cost of goods sold to reflect the prices of the most recently acquired goods, which
reduces taxes when prices are rising. It also includes some proposals to require half of advertising reduces taxes when prices are rising. It also includes some proposals to require half of advertising
costs to be deducted over a period of time. CBO’s budget options also list the repeal of the low-costs to be deducted over a period of time. CBO’s budget options also list the repeal of the low-
income housing credit. income housing credit.
Table 11. Revenue Gain from CBO Budget Options, FY2021-FY2030
Percentage of
Revenue Cost
Corporate
Provision
$Billions
Revenues

Increase Corporate Rate by One Percentage Point Increase Corporate Rate by One Percentage Point
99.3 99.3
3.0 3.0
Repeal LIFO and Other Inventory Cost Methods Repeal LIFO and Other Inventory Cost Methods
60.2 60.2
1.8 1.8
Amortize Half of Advertising Costs over Five Years Amortize Half of Advertising Costs over Five Years
65.8 65.8
2.0 2.0
Amortize Half of Advertising Costs over Ten Years Amortize Half of Advertising Costs over Ten Years
133.4 133.4
4.1 4.1
Repeal Low Income Housing Credit Repeal Low Income Housing Credit
44.4 44.4
1.4 1.4
Source: CBO, Options for Reducing the Deficit: 2021-2030, December 9, 2020, CBO, Options for Reducing the Deficit: 2021-2030, December 9, 2020,
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/56783. https://www.cbo.gov/publication/56783.
Biden Administration’s Proposals
The Biden Administration has outlined a series of corporate tax changes, aThe Biden Administration has outlined a series of corporate tax changes, and Table 12 provides provides
revenue estimates of the major provisions.131 The first provision would increase the corporate rate revenue estimates of the major provisions.131 The first provision would increase the corporate rate
from 21% to 28%. from 21% to 28%.
Table 12. Estimated Revenue Gain from the Biden Administration’s Corporate Tax
Proposals, FY2022-FY2031
Gain as a Percentage
Revenue Gain
of Corporate
Provision
$Billions
Revenues

~~Increasing Corporate Tax Rate to 28%~~
~~857.8~~
~~24.6~~
~~Revising GILTI and Anti-Inversion Rules~~
~~533.5~~
~~15.3~~
~~Reform Taxation of Foreign Fossil Fuel Income~~
~~86.2~~
~~2.5~~

130 CBO at https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget -economic-data#2. 130 CBO at https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget -economic-data#2.
131 Department of the Treasury, “General Explanations of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue Proposals,” 131 Department of the Treasury, “General Explanations of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue Proposals,”
May 2021, https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/tax-policy/revenue-proposals. May 2021, https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/tax-policy/revenue-proposals.
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Gain as a Percentage
Revenue Gain
of Corporate
Provision
$Billions
Revenues
Increasing Corporate Tax Rate to 28% 857.8 24.6 Revising GILTI and Anti-Inversion Rules 533.5 15.3 Reform Taxation of Foreign Fossil Fuel Income 86.2 2.5 Replace Base Erosion and Anti-Abuse Tax with Shield Replace Base Erosion and Anti-Abuse Tax with Shield
390.5 390.5
11.2 11.2
Eliminating FDII Deduction Eliminating FDII Deduction
123.9 123.9
3.5 3.5
Limit Foreign Tax Credits from Sales of Hybrid Entities Limit Foreign Tax Credits from Sales of Hybrid Entities
0.4 0.4
* *
Al ocate Worldwide Interest in Proportion to Earnings Al ocate Worldwide Interest in Proportion to Earnings
18.6 18.6
0.5 0.5
Shares Shares
Minimum Tax on Book Income Minimum Tax on Book Income
148.3 148.3
4.2 4.2
Eliminate Tax Preferences for Fossil Fuels Eliminate Tax Preferences for Fossil Fuels
35.1 35.1
1.0 1.0
Disal ow Deductions for Outshoring Disal ow Deductions for Outshoring
0.1 0.1
* *
Source: Revenue estimates are from Department of the Treasury, General Explanations of the Administration’s Revenue estimates are from Department of the Treasury, General Explanations of the Administration’s
Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue Proposals, May 2021, https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/tax-policy/revenue-Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue Proposals, May 2021, https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/tax-policy/revenue-
proposals. Estimates of corporate tax revenues are from CBO,proposals. Estimates of corporate tax revenues are from CBO, https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget-economic-https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget-economic-
data#3, as of February 2021. data#3, as of February 2021.
Note: An “*” indicates a share of less than 0.05%. An “*” indicates a share of less than 0.05%.
A number of provisions relate to the treatment of multinationals. The second provision would A number of provisions relate to the treatment of multinationals. The second provision would
raise the GILTI tax rate to 21%, eliminate the deduction for tangible assets, and impose a per raise the GILTI tax rate to 21%, eliminate the deduction for tangible assets, and impose a per
country limit. This change likely accounts for most of the revenue gains (as indicated in the country limit. This change likely accounts for most of the revenue gains (as indicated in the
subsequent revenue table for congressional proposals), but the proposal also contains subsequent revenue table for congressional proposals), but the proposal also contains
strengthened rules against inverted corporations (i.e., U.S. corporations that move their strengthened rules against inverted corporations (i.e., U.S. corporations that move their
headquarters abroad). This proposal would treat any company in an inversion transaction where headquarters abroad). This proposal would treat any company in an inversion transaction where
50% or more of the stock is owned by shareholders of the previous U.S. company or where the 50% or more of the stock is owned by shareholders of the previous U.S. company or where the
firm is managed and controlled in the United States as a U.S. company.132 The proposal would firm is managed and controlled in the United States as a U.S. company.132 The proposal would
also reform the tax treatment of foreign oil income by including foreign oil extraction income in also reform the tax treatment of foreign oil income by including foreign oil extraction income in
GILTI (which is currently excluded and not subject to tax). It also changes the treatment of so-GILTI (which is currently excluded and not subject to tax). It also changes the treatment of so-
cal ed dual capacity taxpayers, general oil and gas extraction companies to limit foreign tax cal ed dual capacity taxpayers, general oil and gas extraction companies to limit foreign tax
credits payments to the government for the right to extract, with a minor revenue effect. The credits payments to the government for the right to extract, with a minor revenue effect. The
proposal repeals the FDII deduction (the revenue gain is to be used to provide domestic research proposal repeals the FDII deduction (the revenue gain is to be used to provide domestic research
incentives). It replaces the current base erosion and anti-abuse tax (BEAT) with the stopping incentives). It replaces the current base erosion and anti-abuse tax (BEAT) with the stopping
harmful inversions and ending low-tax developments (SHIELD), which disal ows deductions for harmful inversions and ending low-tax developments (SHIELD), which disal ows deductions for
payments to related firms in tax havens. It limits foreign tax credits for income from the sale of payments to related firms in tax havens. It limits foreign tax credits for income from the sale of
hybrid entities.133 hybrid entities.133
The proposal also imposes a 15% alternative minimum tax on the book income of corporations The proposal also imposes a 15% alternative minimum tax on the book income of corporations
with more than $2 bil ion in income; the corporation pays the larger of this alternative tax or the with more than $2 bil ion in income; the corporation pays the larger of this alternative tax or the
regular tax. regular tax.
~~The proposal also eliminates the preferences for fossil fuels. The largest revenue gains are from~~
~~eliminating the expensing of intangible dril ing costs, eliminating percentage depletion for oil and~~

132 See CRS Report R43568, 132 See CRS Report R43568, Corporate Expatriation, Inversions, and Mergers: Tax Issues, by Donald J. Marples and , by Donald J. Marples and
Jane G. Gravelle for a discussion of inversions. Jane G. Gravelle for a discussion of inversions.
133 T his provision would expand the rules that prevent sales of related foreign corporation stock to U.S. firms from 133 T his provision would expand the rules that prevent sales of related foreign corporation stock to U.S. firms from
generating foreign tax credits to hybrid entities that are treated as a corporation in the foreign jurisdiction but as a generating foreign tax credits to hybrid entities that are treated as a corporation in the foreign jurisdiction but as a
partnership or disregarded entity (an entity not sees as a separate corporation) for U.S. tax purposes. partnership or disregarded entity (an entity not sees as a separate corporation) for U.S. tax purposes.
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The proposal also eliminates the preferences for fossil fuels. The largest revenue gains are from eliminating the expensing of intangible dril ing costs, eliminating percentage depletion for oil and gas, and repealing the enhanced oil recovery credit (including tertiary injections).134 These gas, and repealing the enhanced oil recovery credit (including tertiary injections).134 These
provisions are accompanied by a number of provisions providing incentives for clean energy. provisions are accompanied by a number of provisions providing incentives for clean energy.
The proposal disal ows expenses for moving operations abroad (offshoring). However, the The proposal disal ows expenses for moving operations abroad (offshoring). However, the
proposal would al ow a credit for moving operations to the United States (inshoring). proposal would al ow a credit for moving operations to the United States (inshoring).
Congressional Proposals
Several bil s introduced in the 117th Congress would focus primarily on international tax issues. Several bil s introduced in the 117th Congress would focus primarily on international tax issues.
S. 20 (Klobuchar), S. 714 (Whitehouse), H.R. 1785 (Dogget ), and S. 991 (Sanders) would S. 20 (Klobuchar), S. 714 (Whitehouse), H.R. 1785 (Dogget ), and S. 991 (Sanders) would
increase GILTI by taxing income at ordinary rates, eliminating the deduction for tangible assets, increase GILTI by taxing income at ordinary rates, eliminating the deduction for tangible assets,
and providing for a per-country limit on the corporate tax. Except for S. 991, which also returns and providing for a per-country limit on the corporate tax. Except for S. 991, which also returns
the corporate rate to 35%, these proposals are the same as the Administration’s proposal. S. 714, the corporate rate to 35%, these proposals are the same as the Administration’s proposal. S. 714,
H.R. 1785, and S. 991 also have several other provisions in common. For example, they al ocate H.R. 1785, and S. 991 also have several other provisions in common. For example, they al ocate
interest deductions among countries based on their share of income, which is aimed at preventing interest deductions among countries based on their share of income, which is aimed at preventing
firms from al ocating interest deductions to the United States and out of low -taxed countries. The firms from al ocating interest deductions to the United States and out of low -taxed countries. The
bil s would also repeal the deduction for FDII (as does the Administration’s proposal). They also bil s would also repeal the deduction for FDII (as does the Administration’s proposal). They also
along with the Administration’s proposal and two more narrowly focused bil s, S. 1501 (Durbin) along with the Administration’s proposal and two more narrowly focused bil s, S. 1501 (Durbin)
and H.R. 2976 (Doggett), have anti-inversion rules that would treat these new firms as U.S. firms and H.R. 2976 (Doggett), have anti-inversion rules that would treat these new firms as U.S. firms
if the U.S. shareholders have more than 50% ownership or if they are managed in the United if the U.S. shareholders have more than 50% ownership or if they are managed in the United
States. States.
The three bil s also have revisions to BEAT—although different from each other and different The three bil s also have revisions to BEAT—although different from each other and different
from the Administration’s proposal. The current BEAT tax rate is 10% and certain limited credits from the Administration’s proposal. The current BEAT tax rate is 10% and certain limited credits
are al owed (e.g., the research credit and 80% of the low-income housing credit and the two are al owed (e.g., the research credit and 80% of the low-income housing credit and the two
major energy credits referenced above). The BEAT rate is scheduled to go to 12.5% and the major energy credits referenced above). The BEAT rate is scheduled to go to 12.5% and the
credits disal owed. S. 991 would move immediately to these provisions. It would also reduce the credits disal owed. S. 991 would move immediately to these provisions. It would also reduce the
BEAT exemption from $500 mil ion to $25 mil ion and eliminate an exemption based on the BEAT exemption from $500 mil ion to $25 mil ion and eliminate an exemption based on the
share of base erosion payments in total payments. It eliminates payments that are already share of base erosion payments in total payments. It eliminates payments that are already
included in income in other international provisions. S. 725 (Whitehouse) and H.R. 1786 included in income in other international provisions. S. 725 (Whitehouse) and H.R. 1786
(Doggett) also have BEAT provisions, but they do not accelerate the rate change and elimination (Doggett) also have BEAT provisions, but they do not accelerate the rate change and elimination
of credits or remove certain payments and they reduce the exemption to $100 mil ion. Al three of credits or remove certain payments and they reduce the exemption to $100 mil ion. Al three
bil s include payments that firms elect to capitalize (deduct over several years). bil s include payments that firms elect to capitalize (deduct over several years).
S. 991, S. 725, and H.R. 1786 would change the treatment of so-cal ed dual capacity taxpayers, S. 991, S. 725, and H.R. 1786 would change the treatment of so-cal ed dual capacity taxpayers,
which would effectively treat taxes paid in countries where governments own the natural which would effectively treat taxes paid in countries where governments own the natural
resources as deductible royalties rather than creditable taxes. resources as deductible royalties rather than creditable taxes.
S. 991 would also tighten the rules affecting treaty shopping (going through a country that has a S. 991 would also tighten the rules affecting treaty shopping (going through a country that has a
treaty with the United States) to enable treaty benefits for earnings in a nontreaty country.135 treaty with the United States) to enable treaty benefits for earnings in a nontreaty country.135
~~S. 725 and H.R. 1786 would address other areas of international corporate taxation. The proposals~~
~~would treat swap payments to foreign corporations as sourced to the payor rather than the payee,~~

134 Other provisions include repealing the credit for marginal wells, eliminating the exemption of oil and gas from the 134 Other provisions include repealing the credit for marginal wells, eliminating the exemption of oil and gas from the
passive loss limits, eliminating the shorter term amortization of geological and geophysical costs, eliminating the passive loss limits, eliminating the shorter term amortization of geological and geophysical costs, eliminating the
expensing of mining exploration and development costs, eliminating percentage depletion for hard mineral fossil fuels, expensing of mining exploration and development costs, eliminating percentage depletion for hard mineral fossil fuels,
eliminating the capital gains treatment for royalties on coal, eliminating the eliminating the capital gains treatment for royalties on coal, eliminating the ~~exemption~~ex emption for fossil fuels from the rule for fossil fuels from the rule
treating publicly traded partnerships as corporations, and eliminating the shorter term amortization of pollution control treating publicly traded partnerships as corporations, and eliminating the shorter term amortization of pollution control
facilities. Most of the fossil fuel changes are discussed in CRS Committee Print CP10004, T ax Expenditures: facilities. Most of the fossil fuel changes are discussed in CRS Committee Print CP10004, T ax Expenditures:
Compendium of Background Material on Individual Provisions — A Committee Print Prepared for the Senate Compendium of Background Material on Individual Provisions — A Committee Print Prepared for the Senate
Committee on the Budget, 2020, by Jane G. Gravelle et al. Committee on the Budget, 2020, by Jane G. Gravelle et al.
135 See CRS Report R40468, 135 See CRS Report R40468, Tax Treaty Legislation in the 111th Congress: Explanation and Economic Analysis, by , by
Donald J. Marples for a discussion of treaty shopping. Donald J. Marples for a discussion of treaty shopping.
Congressional Research Service Congressional Research Service

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link to page 50 link to page 51 link to page 50 link to page 51 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress

S. 725 and H.R. 1786 would address other areas of international corporate taxation. The proposals would treat swap payments to foreign corporations as sourced to the payor rather than the payee, which would subject swap payments sent abroad to U.S. tax. (Swaps are contracts that al ow one which would subject swap payments sent abroad to U.S. tax. (Swaps are contracts that al ow one
party to take a financial position based on expected future prices, such as currency prices.) The party to take a financial position based on expected future prices, such as currency prices.) The
proposals would require firms that file SEC 10-K reports to disclose actual U.S. federal, state and proposals would require firms that file SEC 10-K reports to disclose actual U.S. federal, state and
local, and foreign taxes paid as wel as country-by-country information on revenues, taxes, assets, local, and foreign taxes paid as wel as country-by-country information on revenues, taxes, assets,
employees, earnings, and profits. The proposals would charge interest on instal ment payments employees, earnings, and profits. The proposals would charge interest on instal ment payments
for the transition tax on accumulated deferred foreign earnings (this provision is also included in for the transition tax on accumulated deferred foreign earnings (this provision is also included in
S. 991). The proposals would include foreign oil-related income in Subpart F. The proposals S. 991). The proposals would include foreign oil-related income in Subpart F. The proposals
would tax the gain on the transfer of an intangible asset to a foreign partnership. General y, would tax the gain on the transfer of an intangible asset to a foreign partnership. General y,
exchanges of assets in return for a share of the partnership would not be taxed. Other sections of exchanges of assets in return for a share of the partnership would not be taxed. Other sections of
S. 725 and H.R. 1786 are associated with international tax administration and enforcement. S. 725 and H.R. 1786 are associated with international tax administration and enforcement.
Table 13 provides estimates of the international provisions in S. 991. They are estimated provides estimates of the international provisions in S. 991. They are estimated
assuming a 21% tax rate, although S. 991 elsewhere increases the corporate tax rate to 35%; if assuming a 21% tax rate, although S. 991 elsewhere increases the corporate tax rate to 35%; if
estimated at that rate, they would yield larger revenue gains. The increase in the tax rate to 35% estimated at that rate, they would yield larger revenue gains. The increase in the tax rate to 35%
would presumably raise around $1.6 tril ion over 10 years, based on the revenue estimate for a would presumably raise around $1.6 tril ion over 10 years, based on the revenue estimate for a
single percentage point in the CBO options. single percentage point in the CBO options.
Table 13. Revenue Gain from International Provisions in S. 991 (Sanders),
FY2022-FY2031
Gain as a
Percentage
Revenue Gain
of Corporate
Provision
$Billions
Revenues

Revisions to GILTI (Taxing at Ful Rates with Per Country Foreign Revisions to GILTI (Taxing at Ful Rates with Per Country Foreign
676.0 676.0
19.4 19.4
Tax Credit Limit) Tax Credit Limit)
Al ocating Worldwide Interest in Proportion to Earnings Shares Al ocating Worldwide Interest in Proportion to Earnings Shares
38.1 38.1
1.1 1.1
Anti-Inversion Rules and Treaty Shopping Anti-Inversion Rules and Treaty Shopping
22.2 22.2
0.6 0.6
Changes to BEAT Changes to BEAT
26.7 26.7
0.8 0.8
Dual Capacity Taxpayers Dual Capacity Taxpayers
4.3 4.3
0.1 0.1
Eliminate FDII Deduction Eliminate FDII Deduction
216.8 216.8
6.2 6.2
Source: Joint Committee on Taxation, Letter to Senator Sanders March 21, 2021, Joint Committee on Taxation, Letter to Senator Sanders March 21, 2021,
https://www.sanders.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Corporate-Tax-Dodging-Prevention-Act-Score-of-offshore-https://www.sanders.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Corporate-Tax-Dodging-Prevention-Act-Score-of-offshore-
portion.pdf. Estimates of corporate tax revenues are from CBO, https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget-economic-portion.pdf. Estimates of corporate tax revenues are from CBO, https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget-economic-
data#3, as of February 2021. data#3, as of February 2021.
Note: These estimates are based on a 21% tax rate, although Senator Sanders’ bil elsewhere increases the These estimates are based on a 21% tax rate, although Senator Sanders’ bil elsewhere increases the
corporate tax rate to 35%. corporate tax rate to 35%.
The House Ways and Means’ Build Back Better Act
Following reconciliation, the House Build Back Better Act (BBBA; H.R. 5376 ) includes a Following reconciliation, the House Build Back Better Act (BBBA; H.R. 5376 ) includes a
number of corporate tax revisions, many of them similar to the Biden Administration’s proposals number of corporate tax revisions, many of them similar to the Biden Administration’s proposals
and the various congressional proposals discussed aboveand the various congressional proposals discussed above. There were two versions of the BBBA, one with the Ways and Means Committee legislative recommendations and one passed by the House. Table 14 lists the corporate-related lists the corporate-related
provisions and their revenue gainsprovisions and their revenue gains in the legislative recommendations. The proposal would raise the corporate tax to 26.5%. Most of . The proposal would raise the corporate tax to 26.5%. Most of
~~the other~~ the other Congressional Research Service 46 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress revisions relate to international tax rules, as is the case with the Administration revisions relate to international tax rules, as is the case with the Administration
proposals and proposals and other congressional proposals. other congressional proposals.

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~~Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress~~

Table 14. Revenue Gain from Corporate-Related Provisions in the House Build Back
Better Act, FY2022-FY2031
Gain as a
Revenue
Percentage of
Gain
Corporate
Provision
($billions)
Revenues
Increase Corporate Rate to 26.5%, Graduate Rates, Increase Increase Corporate Rate to 26.5%, Graduate Rates, Increase
540.1 540.1
14.0 14.0
Intercorporate Dividend Deduction Intercorporate Dividend Deduction
Al ocate Worldwide Interest in Proportion to Earnings Share Al ocate Worldwide Interest in Proportion to Earnings Share
34.8 34.8
0.9 0.9
Accelerate Post 2025 GILTI and FDII Deductions for Tax rates of Accelerate Post 2025 GILTI and FDII Deductions for Tax rates of
96.4 96.4
2.4 2.4
16.5625% and 20.7% 16.5625% and 20.7%
Eliminate One-Month Deferral in Tax Year for CFCs Eliminate One-Month Deferral in Tax Year for CFCs
21.8 21.8
0.6 0.6
Disal ow Foreign Tax Credits Above Standard Rates for Taxpayers Disal ow Foreign Tax Credits Above Standard Rates for Taxpayers
5.7 5.7
0.1 0.1
Receiving Economic Benefits Receiving Economic Benefits
Apply Foreign Tax Credit Limit on a Per-Country Basis, Eliminate Apply Foreign Tax Credit Limit on a Per-Country Basis, Eliminate
63.3 63.3
1.6 1.6
Branch Basket, Eliminate Al ocation of Interest and Head Office Branch Basket, Eliminate Al ocation of Interest and Head Office
Expenses to Foreign Source Income, Carryforward for Five Years Expenses to Foreign Source Income, Carryforward for Five Years
GILTI: Per-Country Treatment of Income and Loss, Reduce Tangible GILTI: Per-Country Treatment of Income and Loss, Reduce Tangible
106.7 106.7
12.4 12.4
Asset Deduction from 10% to 5%, Include Foreign Oil and Gas Asset Deduction from 10% to 5%, Include Foreign Oil and Gas
Extraction Income (Including Shale and Tar Sands) Extraction Income (Including Shale and Tar Sands)
Increase the Share of Foreign Taxes Credited for GILTI from 80% to Increase the Share of Foreign Taxes Credited for GILTI from 80% to
-39.7 -39.7
-1.0 -1.0
95% 95%
Al ow Dividend Deduction for 10% Only From CFC; Largely Eliminate Al ow Dividend Deduction for 10% Only From CFC; Largely Eliminate
0.5 0.5
— —
Downward Attribution to Determine CFC Status Downward Attribution to Determine CFC Status
Adjustments to Subpart F Foreign Base Company Sales and Service Adjustments to Subpart F Foreign Base Company Sales and Service
20.6 20.6
0.5 0.5
Income; Adjustments to Assign Income to Shareholders Who Income; Adjustments to Assign Income to Shareholders Who
Received Dividends Received Dividends
Increase Tax Rates for BEAT to 12.5% in 2024 and 2025 and 15% after Increase Tax Rates for BEAT to 12.5% in 2024 and 2025 and 15% after
24.9 24.9
0.6 0.6
2025; Al ow Tax Credits 2025; Al ow Tax Credits
Limit Credit for Orphan Drug Research to First Use Limit Credit for Orphan Drug Research to First Use
2.7 2.7
0.1 0.1
Modify Treatment of Divisive Reorganizations Modify Treatment of Divisive Reorganizations
20.7 20.7
0.5 0.5
Modify Earnings and Profits of CFCs Modify Earnings and Profits of CFCs
4.9 4.9
0.1 0.1
Modify Common Control Rules to Include Research and Investment Modify Common Control Rules to Include Research and Investment
16.8 16.8
0.4 0.4
Sources: Joint Committee on Taxation, “Estimated Budgetary Effects Of An Amendment In The Nature Of A Joint Committee on Taxation, “Estimated Budgetary Effects Of An Amendment In The Nature Of A
Substitute To The Revenue Provisions Of Subtitles F, G, H, I,Substitute To The Revenue Provisions Of Subtitles F, G, H, I, And J Of The Budget Reconciliation Legislative And J Of The Budget Reconciliation Legislative
Recommendations Relating To Infrastructure Financing And Community Development, Green Energy, Social Recommendations Relating To Infrastructure Financing And Community Development, Green Energy, Social
Safety Net, Responsibly Funding Our Priorities, And Drug Pricing, Scheduled For Markup By The Committee On Safety Net, Responsibly Funding Our Priorities, And Drug Pricing, Scheduled For Markup By The Committee On
Ways And Means On September 14, 2021,” JCX-42-21, September 13, 2021, Ways And Means On September 14, 2021,” JCX-42-21, September 13, 2021,
https://www.jct.gov/publications/2021/jcx-42-21/. Estimates of corporate tax revenues are from CBO, https://www.jct.gov/publications/2021/jcx-42-21/. Estimates of corporate tax revenues are from CBO,
https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget-economic-data#3, as of July 2021. https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget-economic-data#3, as of July 2021.
Under the proposal, the U.S. share of worldwide interest deductions could not exceed 110% of Under the proposal, the U.S. share of worldwide interest deductions could not exceed 110% of
the U.S. share of worldwide earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization the U.S. share of worldwide earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization
(EBITA). The proposal limits disal owed interest from either this provision or the existing 163(j) (EBITA). The proposal limits disal owed interest from either this provision or the existing 163(j)
limit to a five-year carryback (not indefinitely). limit to a five-year carryback (not indefinitely).
Congressional Research Service 47 link to page 52 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress BBBA accelerates the deduction for GILTI to the 37.5% now scheduled for after 2025, making BBBA accelerates the deduction for GILTI to the 37.5% now scheduled for after 2025, making
the tax rate 16.5625%. It also accelerates the lower deduction for FDII, leading to a tax rate of the tax rate 16.5625%. It also accelerates the lower deduction for FDII, leading to a tax rate of
20.7% and al ows a carryforward of unused GILTI and FDII deductions. It reduces the deduction 20.7% and al ows a carryforward of unused GILTI and FDII deductions. It reduces the deduction
~~Congressional Research Service~~

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~~Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress~~

for tangible assets from 10% to 5% and increases the share of foreign taxes credited from 80% to for tangible assets from 10% to 5% and increases the share of foreign taxes credited from 80% to
95%. Foreign oil and gas extraction income would be included in GILTI. Under BBBA, GILTI 95%. Foreign oil and gas extraction income would be included in GILTI. Under BBBA, GILTI
income and loss applies on a per country basis (so that losses in one country could not offset income and loss applies on a per country basis (so that losses in one country could not offset
gains in another country). It al ows losses a one-year carryforward. gains in another country). It al ows losses a one-year carryforward.
The BBBA proposal applies the foreign tax credit limit on a per-country basis for al baskets: The BBBA proposal applies the foreign tax credit limit on a per-country basis for al baskets:
GILTI, passive, and active (it eliminates the branch basket). It no longer al ocates interest and GILTI, passive, and active (it eliminates the branch basket). It no longer al ocates interest and
head office costs to foreign source income (increasing the limit). Unused foreign tax credits could head office costs to foreign source income (increasing the limit). Unused foreign tax credits could
be carried forward for 5 years rather than 10 years and the one-year carryback would be be carried forward for 5 years rather than 10 years and the one-year carryback would be
eliminated. eliminated.
The proposal increases the BEAT tax rate from 10% (12.5% after 2025) to 12.5% in 2024 and The proposal increases the BEAT tax rate from 10% (12.5% after 2025) to 12.5% in 2024 and
2025, and 15% after 2025 and al ows tax credits. It adds to the base payments to foreign related 2025, and 15% after 2025 and al ows tax credits. It adds to the base payments to foreign related
parties for inventory that is required to be capitalized (such as inventory to produce tangible parties for inventory that is required to be capitalized (such as inventory to produce tangible
property) and payments for inventory in excess of cost. property) and payments for inventory in excess of cost.
The proposal would also make some smal er (in terms of revenue) changes: limiting dividend The proposal would also make some smal er (in terms of revenue) changes: limiting dividend
deductions to dividends from controlled foreign corporations (CFCs); limiting the scope of deductions to dividends from controlled foreign corporations (CFCs); limiting the scope of
downward attribution rules adopted in 2017 that al ow control for purposes of determining CFC downward attribution rules adopted in 2017 that al ow control for purposes of determining CFC
status to be traced up through the foreign parent to U.S. subsidiaries that are 50% owned rather status to be traced up through the foreign parent to U.S. subsidiaries that are 50% owned rather
than 10%; moving some income from Subpart F to GILTI; and assigning Subpart F income to than 10%; moving some income from Subpart F to GILTI; and assigning Subpart F income to
shareholders who benefited from the dividend deduction. shareholders who benefited from the dividend deduction.
Other changes not specific to international issues include a revision in the orphan drug credit and Other changes not specific to international issues include a revision in the orphan drug credit and
provisions relating to corporate reorganizations and the rules defining firms under common provisions relating to corporate reorganizations and the rules defining firms under common
control. control.
The final House-passed bil eliminates the corporate rate increase and instead imposes a 15% minimum tax based on financial income of large corporations, as wel as a 1% tax on stock buybacks. It also modifies some of the international provisions. Table 15 lists the revenue effects of this proposal.136 Table 15. Revenue Gain from Corporate-Related Provisions in the House-Passed Build Back Better Act, FY2022-FY2031 Gain as a Revenue Percentage of Gain Corporate Provision ($billions) Revenues Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax of 15% on Large Corporations 318.9 8.3 1% Excise Tax on Stock Buybacks 124.2 3.2 Al ocate Worldwide Interest in Proportion to Earnings Share 34.8 0.9 Decrease GILTI and FDII Deductions for Tax Rates of 15.015% and 144.3 3.7 15.792% 136 See CRS Report R46960, Tax Provisions in the Build Back Better Act: Rules Committee Print 117-18, coordinated by Molly F. Sherlock; and CRS Report R46923, Tax Provisions in the “Build Back Better Act:” The House Ways and Means Committee’s Legislative Recommendations, coordinated by Molly F. Sherlock, for a more detailed summary of the provisions of the two versions with links to CRS products. Congressional Research Service 48 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress Gain as a Revenue Percentage of Gain Corporate Provision ($billions) Revenues Eliminate One-Month Deferral in Tax Year for CFCs 6.7 0.2 Disal ow Foreign Tax Credits Above Standard Rates for Taxpayers 6.7 0.2 Receiving Economic Benefits Apply Foreign Tax Credit Limit on a Per-Country Basis, Eliminate 12.0 0.3 Branch Basket, Eliminate Al ocation of Interest and Head Office Expenses to Foreign Source Income, Temporary Carryforward for Five Years for GILTI GILTI: Per-Country Treatment of Income and Loss, Reduce Tangible 57.0 12.4 Asset Deduction from 10% to 5%, Include Foreign Oil and Gas Extraction Income (Including Shale and Tar Sands) Increase the Share of Foreign Taxes Credited for GILTI from 80% to -39.7 -1.5 95% Al ow Dividend Deduction for 10% Only From CFC; Largely Eliminate 0.5 — Downward Attribution to Determine CFC Status Adjustments to Subpart F Foreign Base Company Sales and Service 12.0 0.3 Income; Adjustments to Assign Income to Shareholders Who Received Dividends Increase Tax Rates for BEAT to 12.5% in 2023, 15% in 2024, and 18% 67.1 0.6 in 2025 and after; Al ow Tax Credits Limit Credit for Orphan Drug Research to First Use 2.7 0.1 Modify Treatment of Divisive Reorganizations 17.8 0.5 Modify Earnings and Profits of CFCs 4.9 0.1 Modify Common Control Rules to Include Research and Investment 16.8 0.4 Delay Amortization of Research Expenditures Until 2026 -4.0 0.1 Sources: Joint Committee on Taxation, “Estimated Budget Effects Of The Revenue Provisions Of Title XIII – Committee On Ways And Means, Of H.R. 5376, The “Build Back Better Act,” As Passed By The House Of Representatives,” JCX-46-21, November 19, https://www.jct.gov/publications/2021/jcx-46-21/. Estimates of corporate tax revenues are from CBO, https://www.cbo.gov/data/budget-economic-data#3, as of July 2021. The revisions from the previous version eliminated the corporate tax rate increase and introduced an alternative minimum tax of 15% on corporations based on financial income.137 It would apply to corporations with $1 bil ion or more in earnings in the previous three years. The additional tax would equal the amount of the minimum tax in excess of the regular income tax plus the additional tax from BEAT. Income would be increased by federal and foreign income taxes to place income on a pretax basis. Losses would be al owed in the same manner as with the regular tax, with loss carryovers limited to 80% of taxable income. Domestic credits under the general business tax (such as the R&D credit) would be al owed to offset up to 75% of the combined regular and minimum tax. Foreign tax credits would be al owed based on the al owance for foreign taxes paid in a corporation’s financial statement. A credit for additional minimum tax could be carried over to future years to offset regular tax when that tax is higher. 137 For background, see CRS Report R46887, Minimum Taxes on Business Income: Background and Policy Options, by Molly F. Sherlock and Jane G. Gravelle. Congressional Research Service 49 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress This version also imposes a 1% tax on stock repurchases reduced by any new issues to the public or stock issued to employees. The tax would not apply if repurchases are less than $1 mil ion or are contributed to an employee pension or similar plan. Most of the international revisions are unchanged although adjustments are made in the GILTI and FDII deductions to directly increase tax rates (because the corporate rate does not increase). The BEAT rate is increased, rising to 18% in 2025 and later, with other earlier modifications of BEAT remaining. Other provisions are largely the same as wel , although the House-passed bil delays the five-year amortization of research and experimental expenses (original y enacted with a delay in 2017) to 2026. Draft Proposal by Senators Wyden, Brown, and Warner Senator Wyden, chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, along with Senators Brown and Warner, have proposed draft legislation that would eliminate the deemed deduction for tangible investment from GILTI.138~~Draft Proposal by Senators Wyden, Brown, and Warner~~
~~Senator Wyden, chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, along with Senators Brown and~~
~~Warner, have proposed draft legislation that would eliminate the deemed deduction for tangible~~
~~investment from GILTI.136~~ It would exempt income in countries with tax rates higher than the It would exempt income in countries with tax rates higher than the
U.S. rate and impose a per country limit on foreign tax credits for the remaining countriesU.S. rate and impose a per country limit on foreign tax credits for the remaining countries as wel as wel
as a per country limit on losses. The amount of any deduction, either GILTI or FDII, is yet to be as a per country limit on losses. The amount of any deduction, either GILTI or FDII, is yet to be
determined, as is the share of foreign tax credits al owed (80% or more). The proposal would determined, as is the share of foreign tax credits al owed (80% or more). The proposal would
apply the same exclusion for countries with high tax rates and the same limit on the foreign tax apply the same exclusion for countries with high tax rates and the same limit on the foreign tax
credit to Subpart F income, and apply the high tax exclusion to branch income. (Currently, credit to Subpart F income, and apply the high tax exclusion to branch income. (Currently,
Subpart F income is excluded if taxes are 90% or more of the U.S. rate, with a similar rule Subpart F income is excluded if taxes are 90% or more of the U.S. rate, with a similar rule
applied through regulation to GILTI, but not to branch income. Both are eligible for credits for applied through regulation to GILTI, but not to branch income. Both are eligible for credits for
100% of foreign taxes paid.) 100% of foreign taxes paid.)
The draft would also disal ow any cost of research and stewardship (overhead costs) to be The draft would also disal ow any cost of research and stewardship (overhead costs) to be
al ocated to foreign source income if performed in the United States, increasing the foreign tax al ocated to foreign source income if performed in the United States, increasing the foreign tax
credit limit and creditable foreign taxes. credit limit and creditable foreign taxes.
The income eligible for the deduction for FDII would be revised from a provision based on an The income eligible for the deduction for FDII would be revised from a provision based on an
estimate of intangible income to a percentage (as yet unspecified) of research costs and certain estimate of intangible income to a percentage (as yet unspecified) of research costs and certain
worker training costs conducted in the United States. The deduction percentages for GILTI and worker training costs conducted in the United States. The deduction percentages for GILTI and
FDII would be equated. Eligible training costs would be defined as apprenticeship and trainingFDII would be equated. Eligible training costs would be defined as apprenticeship and training

~~136 See U.S. Congress, Senate Committee on Finance,~~ ~~International Tax Reform Framework Discussion Draft: Section-~~
~~by-section description, at https://www.finance.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/section%20by%20section%20-~~
~~%20WBW%20Framework%20discussion%20draft%208.20.21%20FINAL.pdf .~~
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~~link to page 54~~ ~~Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress~~

programs that lead to a postsecondary credential and are provided to non-highly compensated programs that lead to a postsecondary credential and are provided to non-highly compensated
employees. employees.
For BEAT, a higher-tier tax would be applied to base erosion payments, so that the alternative tax For BEAT, a higher-tier tax would be applied to base erosion payments, so that the alternative tax
would be 10% of taxable income without base erosion payments plus a higher tax rate (to be would be 10% of taxable income without base erosion payments plus a higher tax rate (to be
determined) that would apply to the added base erosion payments. Both rates would increase by determined) that would apply to the added base erosion payments. Both rates would increase by
2.5 percentage points after 2025. Al domestic credits would be al owed (e.g., research, energy, 2.5 percentage points after 2025. Al domestic credits would be al owed (e.g., research, energy,
and others). Additional changes are being considered to address the objectives of the and others). Additional changes are being considered to address the objectives of the
Administration’s SHIELD proposal. Administration’s SHIELD proposal.
Other Options Proposed in Prior Congresses
A number of reform proposals were made prior to the 2017 revision; some of them designed to A number of reform proposals were made prior to the 2017 revision; some of them designed to
raise revenue to finance a reduction in the corporate rate. Some of the proposals have been raise revenue to finance a reduction in the corporate rate. Some of the proposals have been
138 See U.S. Congress, Senate Committee on Finance, International Tax Reform Framework Discussion Draft: Section-by-section description, at https://www.finance.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/section%20by%20section%20-%20WBW%20Framework%20discussion%20draft%208.20.21%20FINAL.pdf . Congressional Research Service 50 link to page 55 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress reflected in proposals already discussed or have been eclipsed by the 2017 tax changes. This reflected in proposals already discussed or have been eclipsed by the 2017 tax changes. This
section discusses provisions from prior tax reform proposals that have not already been section discusses provisions from prior tax reform proposals that have not already been
mentioned. mentioned.
The 2007 Treasury study, referenced above, includes a list of preferences that contains many of The 2007 Treasury study, referenced above, includes a list of preferences that contains many of
the major corporate tax expenditures noted above. It also singles out some more minor tax the major corporate tax expenditures noted above. It also singles out some more minor tax
expenditures, including the exemption of credit unions ($2 bil ion in FY2020), percentage expenditures, including the exemption of credit unions ($2 bil ion in FY2020), percentage
depletion ($0.7 bil ion in FY2020), and the special lower rate for Blue Cross/Blue Shield ($0.3 depletion ($0.7 bil ion in FY2020), and the special lower rate for Blue Cross/Blue Shield ($0.3
bil ion). bil ion).~~137~~139
In 2007, H.R. 3970 (110th Congress) was introduced by then-Chairman of the Ways and Means In 2007, H.R. 3970 (110th Congress) was introduced by then-Chairman of the Ways and Means
Committee Rangel. It would have extended the period over which the cost of acquired intangibles Committee Rangel. It would have extended the period over which the cost of acquired intangibles
is recovered from 15 years to 20 years. It was estimated to gain $21 bil ion over the period is recovered from 15 years to 20 years. It was estimated to gain $21 bil ion over the period
FY2008-FY2017. FY2008-FY2017.~~138~~140
Over several Congresses, Senator Wyden, along with cosponsors, had introduced broad tax Over several Congresses, Senator Wyden, along with cosponsors, had introduced broad tax
reform proposals. In the 111th Congress, S. 3018 (cosponsored with Senator Gregg) was scored by reform proposals. In the 111th Congress, S. 3018 (cosponsored with Senator Gregg) was scored by
the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT). As with other pre-2017 proposals, most of S. 3018 the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT). As with other pre-2017 proposals, most of S. 3018
provisions were also made not relevant by the 2017 legislation, but several provisions remain provisions were also made not relevant by the 2017 legislation, but several provisions remain
relevant, as shown irelevant, as shown in Table 1516. The largest revenue gain of those provisions was from a proposal The largest revenue gain of those provisions was from a proposal
to index interest for inflation (that is, disal ow the deduction for the portion of the nominal to index interest for inflation (that is, disal ow the deduction for the portion of the nominal
interest rate that reflects inflation). It also disal owed advance refunding of tax exempt bonds interest rate that reflects inflation). It also disal owed advance refunding of tax exempt bonds
(issuing bonds to replace expiring bond issues in advance of their expiration), eliminated (issuing bonds to replace expiring bond issues in advance of their expiration), eliminated
percentage depletion for hard minerals as wel as fossil fuels, although that expansion has a percentage depletion for hard minerals as wel as fossil fuels, although that expansion has a
negligible revenue effect, eliminated LIFO inventory accounting but only for oil producers, negligible revenue effect, eliminated LIFO inventory accounting but only for oil producers,
applied the current inversion rules retroactively, and repealed the special tax rate for nuclear applied the current inversion rules retroactively, and repealed the special tax rate for nuclear
decommissioning. These provisions were relatively smal . decommissioning. These provisions were relatively smal .

~~137 Joint Committee on T axation, Estimates of Federal Tax Expenditures for Fiscal Years 2020 , JCX-23-20, November~~
~~5, 2020, https://www.jct.gov/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=ec4fb616 -771b-4708-8d16-f774d5158469.~~
~~138 Estimates, originally made by the Joint Committee on T axation, are reported in an out -of-print CRS report available~~
~~on request, The Tax Reduction and Reform Act, by Jane G. Gravelle, RL34249, June 20, 2008.~~
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~~Table 15~~ Table 16. Relevant Corporate and Business Tax Provisions in the Wyden-Gregg Bill,
S. 3018, Introduced in 2010
Average Cost:
FY2011-FY2020,
Provision
$ billions
Index interest for inflation Index interest for inflation
16.3 16.3
Prohibition on advance refunding Prohibition on advance refunding
1.2 1.2
Eliminate percentage depletion, capitalize intangible dril ing costs and mine development Eliminate percentage depletion, capitalize intangible dril ing costs and mine development
1.6 1.6
costs costs
Repeal LIFO for large oil and gas producers, eliminate lower of cost or market Repeal LIFO for large oil and gas producers, eliminate lower of cost or market
0.8 0.8
inventory inventory
Apply inversion rules retroactively to 2002 Apply inversion rules retroactively to 2002
0.2 0.2
Eliminate special tax rate on nuclear decommissioning Eliminate special tax rate on nuclear decommissioning
0.1 0.1
Source: Joint Committee on Taxation, Estimate of the Revenue Effects of S. 3018, The Bipartisan Tax Fairness Joint Committee on Taxation, Estimate of the Revenue Effects of S. 3018, The Bipartisan Tax Fairness
and Simplification Act of 2010, November 2, 2010, at http://wyden.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Score.pdf. and Simplification Act of 2010, November 2, 2010, at http://wyden.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Score.pdf.
139 Joint Committee on T axation, Estimates of Federal Tax Expenditures for Fiscal Years 2020 , JCX-23-20, November 5, 2020, https://www.jct.gov/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=ec4fb616 -771b-4708-8d16-f774d5158469. 140 Estimates, originally made by the Joint Committee on T axation, are reported in an out -of-print CRS report available on request, The Tax Reduction and Reform Act, by Jane G. Gravelle, RL34249, June 20, 2008. Congressional Research Service 51 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress In 2013, the Senate Finance Committee released discussion drafts on cost recovery and In 2013, the Senate Finance Committee released discussion drafts on cost recovery and
accounting that relate to corporate taxation as wel as a draft on international corporate tax accounting that relate to corporate taxation as wel as a draft on international corporate tax
issues.issues.~~139~~141 These proposals were not scored. The proposals included a revision of the cost recovery These proposals were not scored. The proposals included a revision of the cost recovery
provisions, introducing a new depreciation system that would slow depreciation and approximate provisions, introducing a new depreciation system that would slow depreciation and approximate
the present value of economic depreciation. Assets would have been added to general pools rather the present value of economic depreciation. Assets would have been added to general pools rather
than each vintage of investments being depreciated separately. Real property would have than each vintage of investments being depreciated separately. Real property would have
depreciated over 43 years. depreciated over 43 years.~~140~~142
The Obama Administration’s annual budgets also included corporate tax reform provisions, The Obama Administration’s annual budgets also included corporate tax reform provisions,
concentrated in a few areas: international provisions, insurance provisions, inventory accounting, concentrated in a few areas: international provisions, insurance provisions, inventory accounting,
and fossil fuels. Most of these provisions are no longer relevant or are included in some of the and fossil fuels. Most of these provisions are no longer relevant or are included in some of the
current proposals or budget options. A number of notable provisions have been included in those current proposals or budget options. A number of notable provisions have been included in those
budgets. Some international provisions related to a rule under current and prior law that requires budgets. Some international provisions related to a rule under current and prior law that requires
current taxation at full rates for certain easily shifted income cal ed Subpart F income, named current taxation at full rates for certain easily shifted income cal ed Subpart F income, named
after the code section specifying these rules. One provision that eventual y disappeared from the after the code section specifying these rules. One provision that eventual y disappeared from the
proposals was to eliminate “check the box” provisions which al ow avoidance of Subpart F proposals was to eliminate “check the box” provisions which al ow avoidance of Subpart F
treatment, so that under current law this income fal s in the lower taxed GILTI category.treatment, so that under current law this income fal s in the lower taxed GILTI category.~~141~~143
Another was to expand the Subpart F category to include digital income. A foreign provision was Another was to expand the Subpart F category to include digital income. A foreign provision was
to disal ow a deduction for reinsurance premiums to affiliated but foreign-owned firms. These to disal ow a deduction for reinsurance premiums to affiliated but foreign-owned firms. These
budgets also contained two other business provisions of note. One was to limit the gain that can budgets also contained two other business provisions of note. One was to limit the gain that can
escape tax through like-kind exchanges (i.e., exchanges of property that avoid capital gains taxes, escape tax through like-kind exchanges (i.e., exchanges of property that avoid capital gains taxes,
limited since the 2017 tax revision to real property) to a dollar amount. The other was to increase limited since the 2017 tax revision to real property) to a dollar amount. The other was to increase
the depreciation period that costs can be recovered for noncommercial aircraft to commercial the depreciation period that costs can be recovered for noncommercial aircraft to commercial
aircraft (from five years to seven years), a provision not currently relevant but that would become so when and if expensing expires. In 2014, revenue estimates were released for the Tax Reform Act of 2014 (H.R. 1) introduced by Dave Camp, then-chairman of the Ways and Means Committee.144 This proposal repealed or revised 115 corporate-related provisions including most corporate-related tax expenditures (which are discussed above); estimates are found in a 2014 JCT document.145 As with other prior law provisions, most of the provisions in this proposal are no longer relevant under the 2017 law or are reflected in the reform proposals already presented, although the proposal did include full 141
~~139~~ Senate Finance Committee, Senate Finance Committee, Baucus Works to Overhaul Outdated Tax Code, November 21, 2013, at , November 21, 2013, at
http://www.finance.senate.gov/newsroom/chairman/release/?id=536eefeb-2ae2-453f-af9b-946c305d5c93. http://www.finance.senate.gov/newsroom/chairman/release/?id=536eefeb-2ae2-453f-af9b-946c305d5c93.
~~140~~142 Senate Finance Committee, Senate Finance Committee, Baucus Unveils Proposals for International Tax Reform , November 19. 2013, at , November 19. 2013, at
http://www.finance.senate.gov/newsroom/chairman/release/?id=f946a9f3-d296-42ad-bae4-bcf451b34b14. http://www.finance.senate.gov/newsroom/chairman/release/?id=f946a9f3-d296-42ad-bae4-bcf451b34b14.
~~141~~143 Check-the-box is a regulatory provision, but there is also a temporary provision that codifies and expands check-the- is a regulatory provision, but there is also a temporary provision that codifies and expands check-the-
box. See CRS In Focus IF11392, box. See CRS In Focus IF11392, H.R. 1865 and the Look-Through Treatm ent of Paym ents Between Related Controlled
Foreign Corporations, by Jane G. Gravelle for additional explanation. , by Jane G. Gravelle for additional explanation.
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~~aircraft (from five years to seven years), a provision not currently relevant but that would become~~
~~so when and if expensing expires.~~
~~In 2014, revenue estimates were released for the Tax Reform Act of 2014 (H.R. 1) introduced by~~
~~Dave Camp, then-chairman of the Ways and Means Committee.142 This proposal repealed or~~
~~revised 115 corporate-related provisions including most corporate-related tax expenditures (which~~
~~are discussed above); estimates are found in a 2014 JCT document.143 As with other prior law~~
~~provisions, most of the provisions in this proposal are no longer relevant under the 2017 law or~~
~~are reflected in the reform proposals already presented, although the proposal did include full~~144 See Joint Committee on T axation, “ Estimated Revenue Effects of the T ax Reform Act of 2014,” JCX-20-14, February 26, 2014, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4562 and “ T echnical Explanation of the T ax Reform Act of 2014,” Business Provisions, JCX-14-14, February 26, 2014, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4556 , Participation Exemption System for the T axation of Foreign. 145 See Joint Committee on T axation, “ Estimated Revenue Effects of the T ax Reform Act of 2014,” JCX-20-14 , February 26, 2014, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4562 and “ T echnical Explanation of the T ax Reform Act of 2014,” Business Provisions, JCX-14-14, February 26, 2014, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4556 , Participation Exemption System for the T axation of Foreign. Congressional Research Service 52 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress
amortization of advertising costs rather than the half in the CBO study and also proposed not only amortization of advertising costs rather than the half in the CBO study and also proposed not only
retaining depreciation for equipment but slowing it. retaining depreciation for equipment but slowing it.
Evaluating Tax Revisions
A full discussion of the economic merits of these provisions is beyond the scope of this paper, but A full discussion of the economic merits of these provisions is beyond the scope of this paper, but
the standard tax expenditure items are discussed in the Senate Budget Committee Print, the standard tax expenditure items are discussed in the Senate Budget Committee Print, Tax
Expenditure Compendium;;~~144~~146 most would be regarded as provisions that lead to economic most would be regarded as provisions that lead to economic
distortions.distortions.~~145~~147 One possible exception is the Research and Experimentation (R&E) credit, because One possible exception is the Research and Experimentation (R&E) credit, because
social returns to research and development appear higher than private returns, but many social returns to research and development appear higher than private returns, but many
economists believe that the credit is probably poorly targeted and possibly abused. This argument economists believe that the credit is probably poorly targeted and possibly abused. This argument
also applies to expensing of research costs. Arguments could also be made that the tax exempt also applies to expensing of research costs. Arguments could also be made that the tax exempt
bond benefit is shifted to state and local governments (which can charge lower interest rates) and bond benefit is shifted to state and local governments (which can charge lower interest rates) and
that these assets and revenue losses would be shifted to individuals. Further arguments could be that these assets and revenue losses would be shifted to individuals. Further arguments could be
made that the benefits of the charitable contribution deduction and the low -income housing credit made that the benefits of the charitable contribution deduction and the low -income housing credit
ultimately accrue to charities and lower-income tenants, at least in part. Many other provisions ultimately accrue to charities and lower-income tenants, at least in part. Many other provisions
have some support, and may, therefore, be difficult to repeal. Aside from increasing the corporate have some support, and may, therefore, be difficult to repeal. Aside from increasing the corporate
tax rate, the two most important provisions in terms of revenue are reduced taxation of foreign tax rate, the two most important provisions in terms of revenue are reduced taxation of foreign
source income and expensing of the cost of acquiring equipment.source income and expensing of the cost of acquiring equipment.~~146~~148 Replacing expensing and the Replacing expensing and the
normal accelerated depreciation system with slower depreciation would raise the cost of capital. normal accelerated depreciation system with slower depreciation would raise the cost of capital.
However, expensing, as wel as the regular depreciation system, favors equipment over structures. However, expensing, as wel as the regular depreciation system, favors equipment over structures.
This issue could be addressed by increasing the tax on equipment by extending depreciable lives This issue could be addressed by increasing the tax on equipment by extending depreciable lives

~~142 See Joint Committee on T axation, “ Estimated Revenue Effects of the T ax Reform Act of 2014,” JCX-20-14,~~
~~February 26, 2014, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4562 and “ T echnical Explanation of the~~
~~T ax Reform Act of 2014,” Business Provisions, JCX-14-14, February 26, 2014,~~
~~https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4556 , Participation Exemption System for the T axation of~~
~~Foreign.~~
~~143 See Joint Committee on T axation, “ Estimated Revenue Effects of the T ax Reform Act of 2014,” JCX-20-14 ,~~
~~February 26, 2014, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4562 and “ T echnical Explanation of the~~
~~T ax Reform Act of 2014,” Business Provisions, JCX-14-14, February 26, 2014,~~
~~https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4556 , Participation Exemption System for the T axation of~~
~~Foreign.~~
~~144~~and shortening depreciation periods for structures. Accelerated depreciation, including expensing, also exacerbates negative tax rates on debt financed assets because it maintains the full deduction for nominal interest while reducing (in the case of expensing, to zero) the effective tax rate on the earnings. This effect makes a case for limiting interest deductions and supports a proposal to disal ow the inflation portion.149 146 See CRS Committee Print CP10004, See CRS Committee Print CP10004, Tax Expenditures: Compendium of Background Material on Individual
Provisions — A Com m ittee Print Prepared for the Senate Com m ittee on the Budget, 2020 , by Jane G. Gravelle et al. , by Jane G. Gravelle et al.
~~145~~ 147 A number of individual provisions are discussed in CRS Report R41743, A number of individual provisions are discussed in CRS Report R41743, International Corporate Tax Rate
Com parisons and Policy Im plications, by Jane G. Gravelle, including accelerated depreciation, the production activities , by Jane G. Gravelle, including accelerated depreciation, the production activities
deduction, and the title passage rule inventory accounting. For a detailed discussion of corporate revenue raising deduction, and the title passage rule inventory accounting. For a detailed discussion of corporate revenue raising
provisions, see Jane G. Gravelle, “ Raising Revenue From Reforming the Corporate T ax Base,” in John W. Diamond provisions, see Jane G. Gravelle, “ Raising Revenue From Reforming the Corporate T ax Base,” in John W. Diamond
and George R. Zodrow., eds., and George R. Zodrow., eds., Pathways to Fiscal Reform in the United States, Cambridge, MA: T he MIT Press, 2014. , Cambridge, MA: T he MIT Press, 2014.
~~146~~148 See CRS Report R45186, See CRS Report R45186, Issues in International Corporate Taxation: The 2017 Revision (P.L. 115 -97), by Jane G. , by Jane G.
Gravelle and Donald J. Marples for a further discussion of the efficiency issues associated with the favorable treatment Gravelle and Donald J. Marples for a further discussion of the efficiency issues associated with the favorable treatment
of foreign source income. of foreign source income.
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~~and shortening depreciation periods for structures. Accelerated depreciation, including expensing,~~
~~also exacerbates negative tax rates on debt financed assets because it maintains the full deduction~~
~~for nominal interest while reducing (in the case of expensing, to zero) the effective tax rate on the~~
~~earnings. This effect makes a case for limiting interest deductions and supports a proposal to~~
~~disal ow the inflation portion.147~~149 T he 2017 revision tightened a current rule restricting interest deductions, often referred to as the Section 163(j) limit, which had limited interest deductions to 50% of income before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBIT DA). T his provision also had a safe harbor that exempted firms with debt -to-equity ratios of less than 1.5, which meant most firms even with large interest payments would not be affected. T he 2017 change eliminated the safe harbor and lowered the limit to 30%. In 2022, in addition, the measure of income would become larger: income before taxes and interest (EBIT ), which will make the provision more likely to apply to firms with large depreciation deductions, which are associated with equipment. T hus, there is already a provision limiting interest, which will shortly become more binding, but it is not associated with the share of nominal interest that reflects inflatio n. Congressional Research Service 53 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress
Increasing Individual Level Taxes; Shifting Between Corporate and
Individual Form
As an alternative or in addition to raising corporate revenues, the individual tax on dividends and As an alternative or in addition to raising corporate revenues, the individual tax on dividends and
capital gains could be increased. Because individual taxes tend to be collected regardless of capital gains could be increased. Because individual taxes tend to be collected regardless of
where income is earned, these taxes are neutral with respect to international al ocation. One where income is earned, these taxes are neutral with respect to international al ocation. One
approach is to reverse the 2003 tax changes that lowered rates on dividends that were previously approach is to reverse the 2003 tax changes that lowered rates on dividends that were previously
taxed as ordinary income to the lower capital gains tax rates. Dividends and capital gains are taxed as ordinary income to the lower capital gains tax rates. Dividends and capital gains are
currently subject to a top rate of 20%; the top rate for ordinary income is 37%, scheduled to rise currently subject to a top rate of 20%; the top rate for ordinary income is 37%, scheduled to rise
to 39.6% after 2025. to 39.6% after 2025.
Additional revenue could be raised by taxing capital gains at ordinary rates. The tax expenditure Additional revenue could be raised by taxing capital gains at ordinary rates. The tax expenditure
estimate for lower rates for capital gains and dividends is $1,148.5 bil ion, although this estimate estimate for lower rates for capital gains and dividends is $1,148.5 bil ion, although this estimate
includes tax on assets other than corporate stock and does not account for behavioral responses. includes tax on assets other than corporate stock and does not account for behavioral responses.
Based on the JCT revenue estimating methodology, the amount of additional revenue would be Based on the JCT revenue estimating methodology, the amount of additional revenue would be
significantly constrained by the behavioral effect on realizations, although there is disagreement significantly constrained by the behavioral effect on realizations, although there is disagreement
on this effect, including a recent study that found a much smal er effect.on this effect, including a recent study that found a much smal er effect.~~148~~150 This behavioral This behavioral
response would be considerably reduced if taxing capital gains at death, which has been included response would be considerably reduced if taxing capital gains at death, which has been included
in a number of proposals, and would also raise additional revenue.in a number of proposals, and would also raise additional revenue.~~149~~151 The Biden budget proposals The Biden budget proposals
would tax gains and dividends of taxpayers with $1 mil ion or more of income for married would tax gains and dividends of taxpayers with $1 mil ion or more of income for married
couples and $500,000 of income for singles at the top ordinary rate (currently at 37% but raised couples and $500,000 of income for singles at the top ordinary rate (currently at 37% but raised
elsewhere in the proposal to the prior rate of 39.6%). It would also tax capital gains in excess of elsewhere in the proposal to the prior rate of 39.6%). It would also tax capital gains in excess of
$2 mil ion for married couples and $1 mil ion for singles when transferred at death or by gift. $2 mil ion for married couples and $1 mil ion for singles when transferred at death or by gift.
(Transfers to spouses or charities would be excluded.) This provision is projected to raise $332 (Transfers to spouses or charities would be excluded.) This provision is projected to raise $332
bil ion over 10 years. The BBBA would increase the top capital gains rate from 20% to 25%, bil ion over 10 years. The BBBA would increase the top capital gains rate from 20% to 25%,
estimated to raise $124 bil ion over 10 years. estimated to raise $124 bil ion over 10 years.
A more extensive proposal, taxing capital gains on an accrual basis would yield dramatical y A more extensive proposal, taxing capital gains on an accrual basis would yield dramatical y
more revenue.more revenue.~~150~~152 This type of change would also eliminate distortions arising from payout This type of change would also eliminate distortions arising from payout
policies and realization responses. Additional revenue could be achieved by taxing nonprofits on policies and realization responses. Additional revenue could be achieved by taxing nonprofits on
earnings from corporate shares as income to pension and retirement funds and as unrelated business income to nonprofits, which is important because over half the stock of U.S. firms is owned by these tax exempt shareholders. Another provision that might be used to raise revenues if the tax on the corporate sector is raised substantial y is to tax the increasing number of large pass-throughs as corporations, for example, by taxing any entity that benefits from limited liability as a corporation. (Publicly traded partnerships, with some exceptions, are already taxed as corporations.) How much, if any, revenue that change would raise depends on any changes in taxation of dividends and capital gains and the individual and corporate income rates. Conclusion On the whole, many of the concerns expressed about the corporate tax leading up to the 2017 rate cut appear not to stand up under empirical examination. The claims that behavioral responses could cause revenues to rise if rates were cut do not hold up on either a theoretical basis or an 150~~earnings from corporate shares as income to pension and retirement funds and as unrelated~~

~~147 T he 2017 revision tightened a current rule restricting interest deductions, often referred to as the Section 163(j)~~
~~limit, which had limited interest deductions to 50% of income before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization~~
~~(EBIT DA). T his provision also had a safe harbor that exempted firms with debt -to-equity ratios of less than 1.5, which~~
~~meant most firms even with large interest payments would not be affected. T he 2017 change eliminated the safe harbor~~
~~and lowered the limit to 30%. In 2022, in addition, the measure of income would become larger: income before taxes~~
~~and interest (EBIT ), which will make the provision more likely to apply to firms with lar ge depreciation deductions,~~
~~which are associated with equipment. T hus, there is already a provision limiting interest, which will shortly become~~
~~more binding, but it is not associated with the share of nominal interest that reflects inflation.~~
~~148~~ See CRS Report R41364, See CRS Report R41364, Capital Gains Tax Options: Behavioral Responses and Revenues, by Jane G. Gravelle for , by Jane G. Gravelle for
a review of the economic evidence. a review of the economic evidence.
~~149~~151 See CRS In Focus IF11812, See CRS In Focus IF11812, Tax Treatment of Capital Gains at Death, by Jane G. Gravelle. , by Jane G. Gravelle.
~~150~~152 See CRS Report R41364, See CRS Report R41364, Capital Gains Tax Options: Behavioral Responses and Revenues, by Jane G. Gravelle; , by Jane G. Gravelle;
and Jane G. Gravelle, “and Jane G. Gravelle, “ Sharing the Wealth: How to T ax the Rich,” Sharing the Wealth: How to T ax the Rich,” National Tax Journal, vol. 73, no. 4, December , vol. 73, no. 4, December
2020, pp. 951-968, for a discussion about revenue and design. 2020, pp. 951-968, for a discussion about revenue and design.
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~~Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress~~

~~business income to nonprofits, which is important because over half the stock of U.S. firms is~~
~~owned by these tax exempt shareholders. Another provision that might be used to raise revenues~~
~~if the tax on the corporate sector is raised substantial y is to tax the increasing number of large~~
~~pass-throughs as corporations, for example, by taxing any entity that benefits from limited~~
~~liability as a corporation. (Publicly traded partnerships, with some exceptions, are already taxed~~
~~as corporations.) How much, if any, revenue that change would raise depends on any changes in~~
~~taxation of dividends and capital gains and the individual and corporate income rates.~~
~~Conclusion~~
~~On the whole, many of the concerns expressed about the corporate tax leading up to the 2017 rate~~
~~cut appear not to stand up under empirical examination. The claims that behavioral responses~~
~~could cause revenues to rise if rates were cut do not hold up on either a theoretical basis or an~~
empirical basis. Studies that purport to show a revenue-maximizing tax rate of 30% contain empirical basis. Studies that purport to show a revenue-maximizing tax rate of 30% contain
econometric errors that produce biased and inconsistent results; when those problems are econometric errors that produce biased and inconsistent results; when those problems are
corrected the results disappear. Evidence from empirical y driven models indicate that the corrected the results disappear. Evidence from empirical y driven models indicate that the
corporate tax largely fal s on labor. Reduced form empirical studies that are cited as providing corporate tax largely fal s on labor. Reduced form empirical studies that are cited as providing
direct evidence showing that the burden of the corporate tax actual y fal s on labor general y yield direct evidence showing that the burden of the corporate tax actual y fal s on labor general y yield
unreasonable results and prove to suffer from econometric flaws that also lead to a disappearance unreasonable results and prove to suffer from econometric flaws that also lead to a disappearance
of the results when corrected. Similarly, claims that high U.S. tax rates wil create problems for of the results when corrected. Similarly, claims that high U.S. tax rates wil create problems for
the United States in a global economy suffer from a misrepresentation of the U.S. tax rate the United States in a global economy suffer from a misrepresentation of the U.S. tax rate
compared with other countries and are less important when capital is imperfectly mobile, as it compared with other countries and are less important when capital is imperfectly mobile, as it
appears to be. appears to be.
Although these arguments appear to rely on questionable data, the traditional concerns about the Although these arguments appear to rely on questionable data, the traditional concerns about the
corporate tax appear valid. Many economists believe that the tax is stil needed as a backstop to corporate tax appear valid. Many economists believe that the tax is stil needed as a backstop to
individual tax collections, even though it results in some economic distortions. These economic individual tax collections, even though it results in some economic distortions. These economic
distortions, however, have declined substantial y over time as corporate rates and shares of output distortions, however, have declined substantial y over time as corporate rates and shares of output
have fal en. A number of changes could reduce these distortions. have fal en. A number of changes could reduce these distortions.
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Appendix A. Revenue-Maximizing Tax Rates in an
Open Economy
For an exploration of corporate tax revenue, consider a very simplified example where there is a For an exploration of corporate tax revenue, consider a very simplified example where there is a
U.S. corporate sector and the rest of the world with no tax. The lowest revenue-maximizing rate U.S. corporate sector and the rest of the world with no tax. The lowest revenue-maximizing rate
would apply in a case where there is a smal country which is a price-taker (that is, worldwide would apply in a case where there is a smal country which is a price-taker (that is, worldwide
price and rate of return after tax are fixed because there is perfect capital mobility and perfect price and rate of return after tax are fixed because there is perfect capital mobility and perfect
product substitutability). To determine the revenue-maximizing tax rate, begin with the equation product substitutability). To determine the revenue-maximizing tax rate, begin with the equation
for corporate tax revenues: for corporate tax revenues:
(A1) (A1)
tRK
REV 

1 1 t
where where K , the corporate capital stock, and , the corporate capital stock, and R , the after-tax rate of return, are potential y functions , the after-tax rate of return, are potential y functions
of the tax rate, of the tax rate, t . Revenue is maximized when the total differential of equation (A1) with respect . Revenue is maximized when the total differential of equation (A1) with respect
to taxes is equal to zero, which is to taxes is equal to zero, which is
(A2) (A2)
 
dK
dR
(1  (1  t) ) tR
  tK
RK
0 0
 

dt
dt   
 
Assuming the rest of the world can be treated as an aggregate and has a zero capital income tax Assuming the rest of the world can be treated as an aggregate and has a zero capital income tax
rate, Gravel e and rate, Gravel e and ~~Smetters151~~Smetters153 show that, in a case of a smal country with perfect substitutability, show that, in a case of a smal country with perfect substitutability,
R does not change and does not change and
(A3) (A3)
dK
  dt
   

K
 (1  (1 t))
where  is the labor share of income and  is the factor substitution elasticity. where  is the labor share of income and  is the factor substitution elasticity.
Substituting equation (A3) into equation (A2) wil obtain the revenue-maximizing rate of   . Substituting equation (A3) into equation (A2) wil obtain the revenue-maximizing rate of   .
To use some common values, if  is 0.75 and  is 1, the revenue-maximizing rate is 75%. To use some common values, if  is 0.75 and  is 1, the revenue-maximizing rate is 75%.
Because the United States is a large country, the rates would be even higher, because the tax can Because the United States is a large country, the rates would be even higher, because the tax can
affect the world wide interest rate. The Gravel e and Smetters paper provide effects for affect the world wide interest rate. The Gravel e and Smetters paper provide effects for R and and K
for a given country share, which can also be substituted into equation (A2). As a result, the for a given country share, which can also be substituted into equation (A2). As a result, the
revenue-maximizing tax rate is  (  (1  )) where  is the output share. For example, if revenue-maximizing tax rate is  (  (1  )) where  is the output share. For example, if
the United States has approximately 30% of the total output, the tax rate would be 81%. The rates the United States has approximately 30% of the total output, the tax rate would be 81%. The rates
would rise further if capital were not perfectly mobile or products not perfectly substitutable, would rise further if capital were not perfectly mobile or products not perfectly substitutable,
since these factors would al ow since these factors would al ow R to fal further. At the extreme, it would return to a closed to fal further. At the extreme, it would return to a closed
economy solution. Gravel e and Smetters present evidence to suggest that the outcome is more economy solution. Gravel e and Smetters present evidence to suggest that the outcome is more
similar to a closed economy than a smal open economy solution. similar to a closed economy than a smal open economy solution.

~~151~~153 Jane G. Gravelle and Kent A. Smetters, “Does the Open Economy Jane G. Gravelle and Kent A. Smetters, “Does the Open Economy Assumption Really Mean T hat Labor Assumption Really Mean T hat Labor ~~Bear s~~Bears the the
Burden of a Capital Income T ax?” Burden of a Capital Income T ax?” Advances in Economic Policy and Analysis, vol. 6, no. 1, 2006. , vol. 6, no. 1, 2006.
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This same outcome, a 75% rate, would also apply for the most extreme case of growth models, This same outcome, a 75% rate, would also apply for the most extreme case of growth models,
the Ramsey model, where the supply of savings is perfectly elastic. the Ramsey model, where the supply of savings is perfectly elastic.
Note that in both of these extreme cases, the after tax return is fixed and the total burden fal s on Note that in both of these extreme cases, the after tax return is fixed and the total burden fal s on
wage income, so that labor income would fal . One could also calculate a corporate tax rate that wage income, so that labor income would fal . One could also calculate a corporate tax rate that
maximizes revenue while taking into account the effect on wages and keeping the wage rate maximizes revenue while taking into account the effect on wages and keeping the wage rate
constant. Again, relying on the model in Gravel e and Smetters and maximizing, constant. Again, relying on the model in Gravel e and Smetters and maximizing,
(A4) (A4)
tRK
REV 
  t WL
(1  (1  t
l
) )
Where Where t is the tax rate wages, obtain a revenue-maximizing corporate tax rate of is the tax rate wages, obtain a revenue-maximizing corporate tax rate of
l
t  ((1  ((1 t )) (  )) (  t ) . With an approximate 20% tax rate on labor income, the revenue-) . With an approximate 20% tax rate on labor income, the revenue-
l
l
maximizing corporate tax rate is 70%. Note however, that this is not the rate that would be found maximizing corporate tax rate is 70%. Note however, that this is not the rate that would be found
in the cross-section analysis. in the cross-section analysis.
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Appendix B. Data and Estimation Methods
The data used in the Hassett and Mathur study and the Clausing study were obtained.The data used in the Hassett and Mathur study and the Clausing study were obtained.~~152~~154 The data The data
used to replicate the Bril and Hassett study were obtained from the original sources cited in the used to replicate the Bril and Hassett study were obtained from the original sources cited in the
study. study.~~153~~155 The results reported for al studies were replicated. The results reported for al studies were replicated.
The data are for several countries for a period of several years, and are known as panel data. The The data are for several countries for a period of several years, and are known as panel data. The
model of the relationship between the corporate tax rate (the independent variable) and the model of the relationship between the corporate tax rate (the independent variable) and the
various dependent variables takes a linear form: various dependent variables takes a linear form:
(B1) (B1)

where where Y is the dependent variable, is the dependent variable, X is the independent variable (the corporate tax rate in our is the independent variable (the corporate tax rate in our
it
it
case),  and  are the regression parameters to be estimated, and  is a random error term. case),  and  are the regression parameters to be estimated, and  is a random error term.~~154~~156
it
The subscripts, The subscripts, i and and t, indicate that information for a particular observation comes from country , indicate that information for a particular observation comes from country i
for year for year t (for example, information for Australia for 1992). The random error term, (for example, information for Australia for 1992). The random error term,  , is a  , is a
it
random variable and captures omitted and unobservable factors or variables that affect the random variable and captures omitted and unobservable factors or variables that affect the
dependent variable. The error term wil be discussed in further detail below. dependent variable. The error term wil be discussed in further detail below.
If the following conditions are met: If the following conditions are met:
 the expected value (mean) of the random error term,  , is zero;  the expected value (mean) of the random error term,  , is zero;
it
 the variance of the random error term is constant for al observations;  the variance of the random error term is constant for al observations;
 the random error term for one observation is uncorrelated with the error term for  the random error term for one observation is uncorrelated with the error term for
another observation; and another observation; and
 the random error terms are uncorrelated with the explanatory variables...  the random error terms are uncorrelated with the explanatory variables...
then the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators wil yield the best linear unbiased estimators of then the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators wil yield the best linear unbiased estimators of
the parameters (  and  ). The  parameter shows the true relationship between the dependent the parameters (  and  ). The  parameter shows the true relationship between the dependent
variable and the independent variable, and is the parameter of interest to us. Denote the estimate variable and the independent variable, and is the parameter of interest to us. Denote the estimate
of  as . Since is an estimate, it is a random variable drawn from a probability or sampling of  as . Since is an estimate, it is a random variable drawn from a probability or sampling
distribution with an expected value (mean) and variance. This estimator wil have the following distribution with an expected value (mean) and variance. This estimator wil have the following
desirable properties: desirable properties:
 unbiased: the expected value of is  ;  unbiased: the expected value of is  ;
 efficient: the variance of is smal er than the variance of al other unbiased  efficient: the variance of is smal er than the variance of al other unbiased
estimators; and estimators; and
 consistent: the probability distribution of collapses on  consistent: the probability distribution of collapses on  as the number of  as the number of
observations gets arbitrarily large. observations gets arbitrarily large.

~~152~~154 T hanks to the authors for providing their data. T he studies are Kevin A. Hassett and Aparna Mathur, T hanks to the authors for providing their data. T he studies are Kevin A. Hassett and Aparna Mathur, Taxes and
Wages, American Enterprise Institute, working paper, 2006; and Kimberly A. Clausing, “ Corporate T ax Revenues in , American Enterprise Institute, working paper, 2006; and Kimberly A. Clausing, “ Corporate T ax Revenues in
OECD Countries,” OECD Countries,” International Tax and Public Finance, Vol. 14 (2007), pp. 115-133. , Vol. 14 (2007), pp. 115-133.
~~153~~155 Alex Brill and Kevin A. Hassett, Alex Brill and Kevin A. Hassett, Revenue-Maximizing Corporate Income Taxes: The Laffer Curve in OECD
Countries, American Enterprise Institute, Working Paper no.137, July 31, 2007. , American Enterprise Institute, Working Paper no.137, July 31, 2007.
~~154~~156 For ease of exposition only one independent variable is written in the equation. Generally, several independent For ease of exposition only one independent variable is written in the equation. Generally, several independent
variables are included in the linear model. T his simplification does not change the following discussion of the model variables are included in the linear model. T his simplification does not change the following discussion of the model
and estimation techniques. and estimation techniques.
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Estimation problems often arise with panel data because one or more of the conditions listed Estimation problems often arise with panel data because one or more of the conditions listed
above are not met. The result is the OLS estimator wil be biased and inconsistent. Problems arise above are not met. The result is the OLS estimator wil be biased and inconsistent. Problems arise
with panel data, as is demonstrated when equation (B1) is rewritten as: with panel data, as is demonstrated when equation (B1) is rewritten as:
(B2) (B2)
Y       X
 
      .       .
it
it
i
t
it
The term  is an effect (unobserved heterogeneity) specific to a particular country capturing The term  is an effect (unobserved heterogeneity) specific to a particular country capturing
i
differences among countries in (1) the measurement of economic data, (2) economic institutions, differences among countries in (1) the measurement of economic data, (2) economic institutions,
(3) laws and regulations applying to business, and (4) attitudes toward business, among other (3) laws and regulations applying to business, and (4) attitudes toward business, among other
things. The term  is a time specific effect capturing such things as the international business things. The term  is a time specific effect capturing such things as the international business
t
cycle. Since the corporate tax rate is a reflection of the attitudes toward business in a country, cycle. Since the corporate tax rate is a reflection of the attitudes toward business in a country, X and  wil X
it
~~and  wil~~ be correlated. Ignoring the country-specific unobserved heterogeneity means that be correlated. Ignoring the country-specific unobserved heterogeneity means that ~~the~~
it i
the OLS estimate of  is biased and inconsistent because the error term in equation (B1) is OLS estimate of  is biased and inconsistent because the error term in equation (B1) is
correlated with the explanatory variable—one of the conditions listed above is violated. Another correlated with the explanatory variable—one of the conditions listed above is violated. Another
problem often encountered with data that has a time dimension is the error terms are correlated problem often encountered with data that has a time dimension is the error terms are correlated
from one year to the next year (cal ed autocorrelation). Statistical tests indicate that these from one year to the next year (cal ed autocorrelation). Statistical tests indicate that these
problems exist with the data obtained. Consequently, the parameters of the model are estimated problems exist with the data obtained. Consequently, the parameters of the model are estimated
using the fixed effect estimation procedure al owing for an AR(1) error structure. using the fixed effect estimation procedure al owing for an AR(1) error structure.~~155~~157
Identification
Neither Bril and Hassett nor Clausing offer any justification in their studies for using OLS rather Neither Bril and Hassett nor Clausing offer any justification in their studies for using OLS rather
than the fixed effects method to estimate the parameters of their model. A wel -known drawback than the fixed effects method to estimate the parameters of their model. A wel -known drawback
of the fixed effects method is variables that vary across countries, but not across time within a of the fixed effects method is variables that vary across countries, but not across time within a
country, cannot be included in the estimation (that is, the parameters associated with these country, cannot be included in the estimation (that is, the parameters associated with these
variables are not identified). Devereux (2006) claims “changes in the statutory [corporate tax] rate variables are not identified). Devereux (2006) claims “changes in the statutory [corporate tax] rate
within a country are comparatively rare. In practice, as found by Clausing (2006), there is not within a country are comparatively rare. In practice, as found by Clausing (2006), there is not
enough variation within country to identify an effect of the statutory rate, conditional on country enough variation within country to identify an effect of the statutory rate, conditional on country
fixed effects.” fixed effects.”~~156~~158
To check the correctness of this statement and the justification for using OLS, the variation of the To check the correctness of this statement and the justification for using OLS, the variation of the
corporate tax rate across countries and over time was directly examinedcorporate tax rate across countries and over time was directly examined. Table B-1 displays the displays the
results for the data from the three studies reanalyzed. The first row displays the relevant results for the data from the three studies reanalyzed. The first row displays the relevant
explanatory corporate tax rate variable used in the study. The second row reports of mean of the explanatory corporate tax rate variable used in the study. The second row reports of mean of the
variable. The third row reports the standard deviation (a measure of variation of a variable) of the variable. The third row reports the standard deviation (a measure of variation of a variable) of the
corporate tax rate variable. The last two rows decompose the standard deviation into the between corporate tax rate variable. The last two rows decompose the standard deviation into the between
country component and the within country component. If there is no variation in the variable over country component and the within country component. If there is no variation in the variable over
time within countries, then the within component of the standard deviation wil be zero. time within countries, then the within component of the standard deviation wil be zero.
Consequently, the effect of that variable on the dependent variable is not identified conditional on Consequently, the effect of that variable on the dependent variable is not identified conditional on
fixed effects (that is, it cannot be estimated using the fixed effects procedure). As can be seen fixed effects (that is, it cannot be estimated using the fixed effects procedure). As can be seen
from the table, there is almost as much variation within countries (the within component) as there from the table, there is almost as much variation within countries (the within component) as there
is between countries (the between component). is between countries (the between component).

~~155~~157 See Christopher F. Baum, See Christopher F. Baum, An Introduction to Modern Econometrics Using Stata (College Station, T X: Stata Press, (College Station, T X: Stata Press,
2006) for a description of this technique. T he overall results and conclusions are not changed when using the random 2006) for a description of this technique. T he overall results and conclusions are not changed when using the random
effects estimation procedure allowing for an AR(1) error structure. effects estimation procedure allowing for an AR(1) error structure.
~~156~~158 Michael P. Devereux, Michael P. Devereux, Developments in the Taxation of Corporate Profit in the OECD Since 1965 : Rates, Bases and
Revenues, University of Warwick, Working Paper, May 2006, p. 20. , University of Warwick, Working Paper, May 2006, p. 20.
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Table B-1. Standard Deviation of Corporate Tax Rate Variables
in the Three Data Sets
Brill and Hassett
Hassett and

Data
Clausing Data
Mathur Data
Logarithm of Logarithm of
Variable Variable
Corporate tax rate Corporate tax rate
Corporate tax rate Corporate tax rate
corporate tax rate corporate tax rate
Mean Mean
0.362 0.362
0.354 0.354
-1.106 -1.106
Overal Standard Deviation Overal Standard Deviation
0.092 0.092
0.101 0.101
0.396 0.396

Between Component Between Component
0.065 0.065
0.078 0.078
0.307 0.307

Within Component Within Component
0.064 0.064
0.063 0.063
0.248 0.248
Source: Authors’ analysis of data. Authors’ analysis of data.
In addition, al OECD countries changed their corporate tax rate at least once between 1979 and In addition, al OECD countries changed their corporate tax rate at least once between 1979 and
2002. Four countries (Ireland, Norway, Spain, and Switzerland) changed their corporate tax rate 2002. Four countries (Ireland, Norway, Spain, and Switzerland) changed their corporate tax rate
only once during this period. In contrast, Luxembourg changed their corporate rate 12 times over only once during this period. In contrast, Luxembourg changed their corporate rate 12 times over
this period. On average, OECD countries changed their corporate tax rates once every five years. this period. On average, OECD countries changed their corporate tax rates once every five years.
Therefore, there is no evidence to support the argument that the effect of the corporate tax rate on Therefore, there is no evidence to support the argument that the effect of the corporate tax rate on
corporate tax revenues is not identified conditional on fixed effects. corporate tax revenues is not identified conditional on fixed effects.
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Appendix C. Modeling Problems of the Desai,
Foley, and Hines Study
This appendix explains in further detail the modeling problems associated with the Desai, Foley, This appendix explains in further detail the modeling problems associated with the Desai, Foley,
and Hines study (hereinafter, DFH), which include the failure to recognize price variability. This and Hines study (hereinafter, DFH), which include the failure to recognize price variability. This
means that their cross-equation restriction is not justified (and that restriction is what gives rise to means that their cross-equation restriction is not justified (and that restriction is what gives rise to
their results). The DFH study also fails to correctly interpret their results given that other sectors their results). The DFH study also fails to correctly interpret their results given that other sectors
exist in the economy. exist in the economy.
The DFH model effectively begins with an equation that forms a basic part of any general The DFH model effectively begins with an equation that forms a basic part of any general
equilibrium model, namely that a percentage change in price is a weighted average of the equilibrium model, namely that a percentage change in price is a weighted average of the
percentage in costs for smal changes. In the case of an imposition of a tax, that is percentage in costs for smal changes. In the case of an imposition of a tax, that is
(C1) (C1)

where p is price, r is rate of return, w is the wage rate,  is the tax rate and  is the share of where p is price, r is rate of return, w is the wage rate,  is the tax rate and  is the share of
capital income. The hat notation refers to a percentage change except in the case of the tax capital income. The hat notation refers to a percentage change except in the case of the tax
variable, where the hat means the change in tax rate divided by one minus the tax rate. Beginning variable, where the hat means the change in tax rate divided by one minus the tax rate. Beginning
with a no tax world, that variable is simply with a no tax world, that variable is simply d . This relationship can be derived from a profit  . This relationship can be derived from a profit
maximization problem. DFH derive such an equation to motivate their seemingly unrelated maximization problem. DFH derive such an equation to motivate their seemingly unrelated
regression model. They then assume that p, the price of the good, does not change, which regression model. They then assume that p, the price of the good, does not change, which
produces an equation of the form: produces an equation of the form:
(C2) (C2)

Since  is an exogenous variable this equation indicates that the change in the tax would be Since  is an exogenous variable this equation indicates that the change in the tax would be
shared by interest rates and wages, and this is the basis for the two seemingly unrelated shared by interest rates and wages, and this is the basis for the two seemingly unrelated
regressions where the dependent variables are r and w, and the coefficients are constrained so that regressions where the dependent variables are r and w, and the coefficients are constrained so that
the burden wil add up to one. the burden wil add up to one.
The argument for keeping the price fixed is that such a good would have its price fixed due to The argument for keeping the price fixed is that such a good would have its price fixed due to
trade (e.g., al commodities have to sel at the same price). There are two difficulties with this trade (e.g., al commodities have to sel at the same price). There are two difficulties with this
assumption. First, if consumers in different countries have different preferences for goods based, assumption. First, if consumers in different countries have different preferences for goods based,
in part, on country of origin (i.e., they do not consider French wine and German wine to be in part, on country of origin (i.e., they do not consider French wine and German wine to be
perfect substitutes) these prices wil not be fixed. Indeed, this phenomenon is widely recognized, perfect substitutes) these prices wil not be fixed. Indeed, this phenomenon is widely recognized,
and the price responses are referred to as Armington elasticities—and they have been estimated and the price responses are referred to as Armington elasticities—and they have been estimated
empirical y. Second, their observations are the weighted average of firms in each country but the empirical y. Second, their observations are the weighted average of firms in each country but the
firms themselves produce heterogeneous products, and al of these product prices cannot stay firms themselves produce heterogeneous products, and al of these product prices cannot stay
fixed because they have different capital intensities and because the products wil vary from one fixed because they have different capital intensities and because the products wil vary from one
country to another. Indeed, the trading of heterogeneous products means that fixed prices cannot country to another. Indeed, the trading of heterogeneous products means that fixed prices cannot
be assumed because, in such a model, countries could not produce, consume and trade numerous be assumed because, in such a model, countries could not produce, consume and trade numerous
products with differential taxation because such a world economy would be characterized by products with differential taxation because such a world economy would be characterized by
corner solutions (i.e., no internal equilibrium). corner solutions (i.e., no internal equilibrium).
This problem means that there is another variable—price—that is affecting the results and This problem means that there is another variable—price—that is affecting the results and
presumably is correlated with the error term (that is, the price would tend to be higher when the presumably is correlated with the error term (that is, the price would tend to be higher when the
tax rate is higher, making the regression suspect and that the coefficient restriction is not tax rate is higher, making the regression suspect and that the coefficient restriction is not
appropriate. appropriate.
Even if these problems did not exist, there is an additional problem with the interpretation of their Even if these problems did not exist, there is an additional problem with the interpretation of their
findings, namely that they did not adjust for other sectors in the economy, including nontraded findings, namely that they did not adjust for other sectors in the economy, including nontraded
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sectors and sectors not subject to the corporate tax. Incidence results must be adjusted for the fact sectors and sectors not subject to the corporate tax. Incidence results must be adjusted for the fact
that the tax is only a partial one. that the tax is only a partial one.
To il ustrate in the simplest fashion, suppose the remaining sector of the economy is a To il ustrate in the simplest fashion, suppose the remaining sector of the economy is a
noncorporate nontraded sector of the economy whose price is denoted by a capital P: noncorporate nontraded sector of the economy whose price is denoted by a capital P:
(C3) (C3)

This commodity has no taxes and if the effects on r and w are estimated, those can be used to This commodity has no taxes and if the effects on r and w are estimated, those can be used to
determine the change in P. determine the change in P.
What ultimately to be determined is the fraction of the tax, rKc What ultimately to be determined is the fraction of the tax, rKc d (where Kc is the capital in the  (where Kc is the capital in the
corporate traded sector) that fal s on labor, that is what share of Ldw, where L is total labor in the corporate traded sector) that fal s on labor, that is what share of Ldw, where L is total labor in the
economy, is of rKc economy, is of rKc d .  .
To derive the real change in wages, the change in nominal wage is divided by the change in total To derive the real change in wages, the change in nominal wage is divided by the change in total
price level in the economy, or, if the corporate sector is responsible for (1- ) of output in the price level in the economy, or, if the corporate sector is responsible for (1- ) of output in the
economy the percentage change in real wage (which is denoted with a capital W) can be economy the percentage change in real wage (which is denoted with a capital W) can be
expressed as follows: expressed as follows:
(C4) (C4)

If s is the share of the burden fal ing on labor income, from equation (1), If s is the share of the burden fal ing on labor income, from equation (1),
and and
. .
And, by substitution of these values into (3) and in turn into (4), and al owing the initial price And, by substitution of these values into (3) and in turn into (4), and al owing the initial price
level to be normalized at 1, obtain the equation for incidence in the economy, noting that level to be normalized at 1, obtain the equation for incidence in the economy, noting that
 / (1 ) equals rKc/wLc:  / (1 ) equals rKc/wLc:
(C5) (C5) Ldw   (  (L / / L
 1   1 
 1  1
1    1   
 
c)()(s 
s( ( 
)  (  )  (  s)( )( 
) )
/ /
) )rK d
c

The first term, total labor divided by labor in the tax sector reflects the increased burden from the The first term, total labor divided by labor in the tax sector reflects the increased burden from the
spread of the nominal fal in wages to the other sector, and the negative terms inside the next spread of the nominal fal in wages to the other sector, and the negative terms inside the next
parenthesis reflects the rise in real wages due to the parenthesis reflects the rise in real wages due to the ~~fal~~ fall in the price of the untaxed sector. in the price of the untaxed sector.
Whether the burden rises or fal s depends on a variety of factors. As the capital intensity of the Whether the burden rises or fal s depends on a variety of factors. As the capital intensity of the
untaxed sector rises the burden fal s; at the extreme when  becomes 1, the first term collapses untaxed sector rises the burden fal s; at the extreme when  becomes 1, the first term collapses
to 1 and the second term is less than s, so the total burden on labor is less in the economy than it to 1 and the second term is less than s, so the total burden on labor is less in the economy than it
is in the estimation. This possibility is more important than it might initial y appear, because one is in the estimation. This possibility is more important than it might initial y appear, because one
of the most important uses of capital not subject to the corporate income tax is in housing in the of the most important uses of capital not subject to the corporate income tax is in housing in the
United States. United States.
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Appendix D. Bargaining Models and Rent-Sharing
of Corporate Taxes
With a number of studies appealing to a bargaining model and rent sharing, it is important to With a number of studies appealing to a bargaining model and rent sharing, it is important to
understand the theory implied. understand the theory implied.
Bargaining models start from a standard Nash equilibrium which maximizes the product of the Bargaining models start from a standard Nash equilibrium which maximizes the product of the
welfare of the two recipients. Using the ADM notation: welfare of the two recipients. Using the ADM notation:
(D1) B = {[u(w)-u(w*)] N}(1- µ) {Π-Π*}µ (D1) B = {[u(w)-u(w*)] N}(1- µ) {Π-Π*}µ
where w is the wage earned, u(w) is the utility of the wage earned, w* is the competitive wage, where w is the wage earned, u(w) is the utility of the wage earned, w* is the competitive wage,
u(w*) is the utility of the competitive wage, N is the number of employees, Π is the profit in the u(w*) is the utility of the competitive wage, N is the number of employees, Π is the profit in the
current undertaking and Π* is the alternative profit that could be earned in the competitive current undertaking and Π* is the alternative profit that could be earned in the competitive
industry. The exponents (1- µ) and µ reflect the bargaining strength of the parties. The first term industry. The exponents (1- µ) and µ reflect the bargaining strength of the parties. The first term
in curly brackets is the value of an excess wage to the workers, and the second is the value of in curly brackets is the value of an excess wage to the workers, and the second is the value of
excess profits to the owners. excess profits to the owners.
Begin with a no tax world. To maximize B differentiate with respect to the wage (which appears Begin with a no tax world. To maximize B differentiate with respect to the wage (which appears
in the value of excess profits because they are reduced by wN), the number of employees and the in the value of excess profits because they are reduced by wN), the number of employees and the
capital stock (which is embedded in profits). The result is a bargaining solution of the form: capital stock (which is embedded in profits). The result is a bargaining solution of the form:
(D2) wN= w*N+[(1- µ)/µ] (Π-Π*) (D2) wN= w*N+[(1- µ)/µ] (Π-Π*)
This solution is derived in ADM although they express al of their variables in per worker terms. This solution is derived in ADM although they express al of their variables in per worker terms.
Assuming away intermediate goods and other costs (which wil make no difference) Π can be Assuming away intermediate goods and other costs (which wil make no difference) Π can be
defined as PQ-wL (where P is price and Q is quantity). Π* can be defined as rK where r is the defined as PQ-wL (where P is price and Q is quantity). Π* can be defined as rK where r is the
return required to attract capital and the amount earned in the competitive sector. return required to attract capital and the amount earned in the competitive sector.
(D3) wN= w*N + [(1- µ)/µ] (PQ-wN-rK) (D3) wN= w*N + [(1- µ)/µ] (PQ-wN-rK)
This form of the bargaining formula is used by ADM because they are estimating wages. This form of the bargaining formula is used by ADM because they are estimating wages.
It is more instructive in understanding the model, however, to examine not the wage but the It is more instructive in understanding the model, however, to examine not the wage but the
excess wage. With some manipulation, and now dividing the variables by N to get per capita excess wage. With some manipulation, and now dividing the variables by N to get per capita
amounts (with lower cases indicating per capita), obtain amounts (with lower cases indicating per capita), obtain
(D4) w-w* = (1- µ) (Pq-w*-rk) (D4) w-w* = (1- µ) (Pq-w*-rk)
The last term on the right hand side is excess profit (revenue minus the competitive wage minus The last term on the right hand side is excess profit (revenue minus the competitive wage minus
the competitive return. The left hand side is the wage in excess of the competitive wage. The the competitive return. The left hand side is the wage in excess of the competitive wage. The
workers share is (1- µ) and it is an estimate of this coefficient that the empirical rent sharing workers share is (1- µ) and it is an estimate of this coefficient that the empirical rent sharing
literature is intended to identify. literature is intended to identify.
Suppose now this bargaining model is being estimated assuming a tax of τ. Now profit, (Π-Π*) is Suppose now this bargaining model is being estimated assuming a tax of τ. Now profit, (Π-Π*) is
now equal to (PQ – wN)(1- τ) –rK. The first order conditions for wages and labor now contain a now equal to (PQ – wN)(1- τ) –rK. The first order conditions for wages and labor now contain a
tax term to reflect the fact that wages are deductible from the tax. Therefore equation D2 now tax term to reflect the fact that wages are deductible from the tax. Therefore equation D2 now
becomes: becomes:
(D5) wN= w*N+[(1- µ)/µ] [(Π-Π*)/(1- τ)] (D5) wN= w*N+[(1- µ)/µ] [(Π-Π*)/(1- τ)]
Since the tax term is in the denominator, it suggests that the wage would go up through this effect, Since the tax term is in the denominator, it suggests that the wage would go up through this effect,
which basical y indicates that adding to wages saves taxes, and hence the price of paying the which basical y indicates that adding to wages saves taxes, and hence the price of paying the
surplus in wages is smal er. surplus in wages is smal er.
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At the same time the excess profit is reduced because taxes are applied to revenues, with wages, At the same time the excess profit is reduced because taxes are applied to revenues, with wages,
but not capital deducted, making the profit term (PQ-wN)(1- τ) –rK. but not capital deducted, making the profit term (PQ-wN)(1- τ) –rK.
When this term is substituted to provide a version of (4) the tax term in the numerator cancels When this term is substituted to provide a version of (4) the tax term in the numerator cancels
with the tax term in the denominator with the only effect of taxes on rK. with the tax term in the denominator with the only effect of taxes on rK.
(D6) w-w* = (1- µ) (Pq-w*-rk/(1- τ)) (D6) w-w* = (1- µ) (Pq-w*-rk/(1- τ))
A term similar to this one is contained in the Felix and Hines study. A term similar to this one is contained in the Felix and Hines study.
The important point that comes from this last equation is that in discussing rent-sharing the The important point that comes from this last equation is that in discussing rent-sharing the
burden of the tax that fal s directly on excess profits is not considered because that tax effect burden of the tax that fal s directly on excess profits is not considered because that tax effect
disappears from the formula. Although the pie is smal er by τ(Pq-w), the price of the wage share disappears from the formula. Although the pie is smal er by τ(Pq-w), the price of the wage share
is also lower so the owners bear the entire direct burden of the tax on the firm’s excess profits. is also lower so the owners bear the entire direct burden of the tax on the firm’s excess profits.
The only way that taxes enter is to increase the normal cost of capital. The only way that taxes enter is to increase the normal cost of capital.
ADM ignore this term in their model because this term and its effects on wages are part of the ADM ignore this term in their model because this term and its effects on wages are part of the
indirect burden (which would be determined by general equilibrium economy-wide results). That indirect burden (which would be determined by general equilibrium economy-wide results). That
is, they are interested in the direct effect of taxes outside the general equilibrium effects. They is, they are interested in the direct effect of taxes outside the general equilibrium effects. They
posit a term (which is neither observable nor clearly defined) which is not related to profit, of the posit a term (which is neither observable nor clearly defined) which is not related to profit, of the
form; form;
(D7) w-w* = (1- µ) (Pq-w*-ϕ/(1- τ) - rk/(1- τ)) (D7) w-w* = (1- µ) (Pq-w*-ϕ/(1- τ) - rk/(1- τ))
where ϕ represents a tax payment that is not part of profits or of the cost of capital. It is not clear where ϕ represents a tax payment that is not part of profits or of the cost of capital. It is not clear
what qualifies as part of ϕ or how important it is. Most of the examples they mention such as what qualifies as part of ϕ or how important it is. Most of the examples they mention such as
deductions for interest and contributions to pension funds seem to qualify as either part of deductions for interest and contributions to pension funds seem to qualify as either part of
deductible costs of funds or wage compensation. And when actual y estimating the relationship in deductible costs of funds or wage compensation. And when actual y estimating the relationship in
D(7) they have no way to measure this value so the regression they run is actual y roughly on D(7) they have no way to measure this value so the regression they run is actual y roughly on
total taxes per worker (conceptual y τ(VA –w) + ϕ) where VA is value added. The tax term is total taxes per worker (conceptual y τ(VA –w) + ϕ) where VA is value added. The tax term is
estimated using instrumental variables such as tax rates since w is a left hand side variable and estimated using instrumental variables such as tax rates since w is a left hand side variable and
VA. Because of this issue, it is difficult to interpret the importance of their result even if they are VA. Because of this issue, it is difficult to interpret the importance of their result even if they are
capturing a rent-sharing effect rather than some other relationship. capturing a rent-sharing effect rather than some other relationship.
In any case, this theory indicates that taxes affect rent sharing not through the tax on rent itself, but from changes in the ordinary cost of capital which temporarily reduce rents and would ultimately be determined through general equilibrium effects that short term estimates cannot capture. Felix and Hines are estimating the union wage premium, and their version of (D6) is not per Felix and Hines are estimating the union wage premium, and their version of (D6) is not per
worker and the premium is divided by the nonunion (competitive) wage. To use their notation, worker and the premium is divided by the nonunion (competitive) wage. To use their notation,
they use L to denote labor. The left hand side variable is the total excess labor return, (w -w*)L they use L to denote labor. The left hand side variable is the total excess labor return, (w -w*)L
which is equal to R. Also they denote the competitive wage as w. They also use α as the which is equal to R. Also they denote the competitive wage as w. They also use α as the
bargaining share. bargaining share.
(D8) R = α (Q-wL-rK/(1- τ)) (D8) R = α (Q-wL-rK/(1- τ))
One peculiar point, to return to, is that they do not have a product price P. One peculiar point, to return to, is that they do not have a product price P.
They then divide the equation by wL to obtain a ratio: They then divide the equation by wL to obtain a ratio:
(D8) R/(wL)= α (Q/wL-1-rK/(wL(1- τ))) (D8) R/(wL)= α (Q/wL-1-rK/(wL(1- τ)))
They want to deal with the effect of tax rates on the demand for capital and labor and obtain an They want to deal with the effect of tax rates on the demand for capital and labor and obtain an
expression for (D8). They also use an optimization model for the firm’s factory choices to expression for (D8). They also use an optimization model for the firm’s factory choices to
simplify the expression and this term contains both w and the tax rate. simplify the expression and this term contains both w and the tax rate.
Congressional Research Service 64 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congress The Felix Hines derivation is in error because they have omitted the product price; as quantity The Felix Hines derivation is in error because they have omitted the product price; as quantity
changes so do prices. The proper form of (D8) is changes so do prices. The proper form of (D8) is
(D9) R/(wL) = α (PQ/wL-1-rK/(wL(1- τ))) (D9) R/(wL) = α (PQ/wL-1-rK/(wL(1- τ)))
First, to maximize profit: First, to maximize profit:
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(D10) Profit = PQ-wL –rK = P(Q(K,L)Q(K,L) –wL –rK/(1- τ). (D10) Profit = PQ-wL –rK = P(Q(K,L)Q(K,L) –wL –rK/(1- τ).
Q is a function of K and L and P is a function of Q which is in turn a function of K and L. Q in Q is a function of K and L and P is a function of Q which is in turn a function of K and L. Q in
turn is a Cobb Douglas function: turn is a Cobb Douglas function:
(D11) Q = aKγL(1-γ) (D11) Q = aKγL(1-γ)
The two first order conditions for K and L are: The two first order conditions for K and L are:
(D12) P(1-1/e)γQ/K = r/(1- τ) (D12) P(1-1/e)γQ/K = r/(1- τ)
(D13) P(1-1/e)(1-γ)Q/L = w (D13) P(1-1/e)(1-γ)Q/L = w
where e is the absolute value of the elasticity of demand. where e is the absolute value of the elasticity of demand.
One can see from equation (D13) that PQ/wL = (e/(1-e))(1/(1- γ)) and that the last term by One can see from equation (D13) that PQ/wL = (e/(1-e))(1/(1- γ)) and that the last term by
dividing D12 by D13 is γ/(1- γ). Combining al of the terms together: dividing D12 by D13 is γ/(1- γ). Combining al of the terms together:
(D14) R/(wL) = α [{1/(e-1)}{1/(1-γ)}] (D14) R/(wL) = α [{1/(e-1)}{1/(1-γ)}]
What equation (D14) indicates is that there is no effect of the tax or any other factor price on the What equation (D14) indicates is that there is no effect of the tax or any other factor price on the
wage premium. It is also quite sensible. If e is infinite which would be the case with a competitive wage premium. It is also quite sensible. If e is infinite which would be the case with a competitive
price taking firm, the premium is zero; as e fal s toward one with a less elastic demand (although price taking firm, the premium is zero; as e fal s toward one with a less elastic demand (although
one that is of necessity greater than 1) the premium becomes larger. In any case, for a Cobb one that is of necessity greater than 1) the premium becomes larger. In any case, for a Cobb
Douglas function there is no reason to estimate a wage premium as a function of tax rates. Douglas function there is no reason to estimate a wage premium as a function of tax rates.
It also means that rent per employee would fal proportional y It also means that rent per employee would fal proportional y ~~with~~w ith wages. wages.
Without presenting the complicated mathematics, the ratio wil rise with higher taxes with a Without presenting the complicated mathematics, the ratio wil rise with higher taxes with a
factor substitution elasticity of less than one and decline with a factor substitution elasticity factor substitution elasticity of less than one and decline with a factor substitution elasticity
higher than one. In the latter case the effect of the tax on rents via general equilibrium effects is higher than one. In the latter case the effect of the tax on rents via general equilibrium effects is
ambiguous. That is (D14) becomes: ambiguous. That is (D14) becomes:
(D14) R/(wL) = α [{1/(e-1)}{1+ (b/(1-b)s (r/(w(1- τ))(1-s)}] (D14) R/(wL) = α [{1/(e-1)}{1+ (b/(1-b)s (r/(w(1- τ))(1-s)}]
where s is the factor substitution elasticity. It is easier to see what happens if expressed as an where s is the factor substitution elasticity. It is easier to see what happens if expressed as an
elasticity: elasticity:
(D15) d(R/wL)/(R/wL) = (1-s) γ(dr/r –dw/w+d τ /(1- τ)) (D15) d(R/wL)/(R/wL) = (1-s) γ(dr/r –dw/w+d τ /(1- τ))
The last set of terms is expected to be positive, and measures how much the ratio of returns to The last set of terms is expected to be positive, and measures how much the ratio of returns to
wages changes. Calculations indicate this is a smal semi-elasticity (assuming an overal federal wages changes. Calculations indicate this is a smal semi-elasticity (assuming an overal federal
and state tax rate of 30%). If the entire burden is borne by capital the semi-elasticity, as s ranges and state tax rate of 30%). If the entire burden is borne by capital the semi-elasticity, as s ranges
from 0.5 to 1.5 is 0.09 to -0.09, (as compared with the elasticity of 0.36 found in the study). If the from 0.5 to 1.5 is 0.09 to -0.09, (as compared with the elasticity of 0.36 found in the study). If the
burden were borne entirely by wages, the elasticity would range from 0.21 to -0.21. These burden were borne entirely by wages, the elasticity would range from 0.21 to -0.21. These
calculations assume that γ is 0.25 in the sector under consideration and in the economy as a calculations assume that γ is 0.25 in the sector under consideration and in the economy as a
whole, and the corporate capital stock is half of the total capital stock. If the incidence fal s on whole, and the corporate capital stock is half of the total capital stock. If the incidence fal s on
returns, Kdr = -rK1dt/(1- τ)) where K is the total capital stock and K1 is the corporate. If the returns, Kdr = -rK1dt/(1- τ)) where K is the total capital stock and K1 is the corporate. If the
incidence fal s on wages, Ldw = -rK1dt/(1- τ)). Since evidence suggests that, if the factor incidence fal s on wages, Ldw = -rK1dt/(1- τ)). Since evidence suggests that, if the factor
substitution elasticity is not one, it is probably below 1, the expectation is that ratio of rents to substitution elasticity is not one, it is probably below 1, the expectation is that ratio of rents to
wages wages Congressional Research Service 65 Corporate Tax Reform: Issues for Congres s
It is difficult to interpret these results without knowing the effect on wages which, in their It is difficult to interpret these results without knowing the effect on wages which, in their
estimates was actual y positive (although not always statistical y significant). However, their estimates was actual y positive (although not always statistical y significant). However, their
interpretation that 54% of the tax fal s on rents is not consistent because they are calculating a interpretation that 54% of the tax fal s on rents is not consistent because they are calculating a
reduction in the entire corporate wage bil , not the smal portion that is the rent. Assume, for reduction in the entire corporate wage bil , not the smal portion that is the rent. Assume, for
example, that the wage does not change and take their 0.36 semi-elasticity. Their formula example, that the wage does not change and take their 0.36 semi-elasticity. Their formula
indicates that dR/R = -.36d τ. To translate that into incidence on rents, multiply 0.36 times the indicates that dR/R = -.36d τ. To translate that into incidence on rents, multiply 0.36 times the
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ratio of rents to corporate tax col ects. Rents are the rent premium (15%) times the union share ratio of rents to corporate tax col ects. Rents are the rent premium (15%) times the union share
(7%) times the wage share (about 70%), which is 0.7% of output. Corporate taxes are around 2% (7%) times the wage share (about 70%), which is 0.7% of output. Corporate taxes are around 2%
of output, so the ratio is .0.37. Thus, at their elasticity the share would 13%. If the highest of output, so the ratio is .0.37. Thus, at their elasticity the share would 13%. If the highest
elasticity assuming the tax is borne by capital is used the share is about 3% and if the highest elasticity assuming the tax is borne by capital is used the share is about 3% and if the highest
amount assuming the tax is fully borne by capital is used, the share is about 5%. amount assuming the tax is fully borne by capital is used, the share is about 5%.

Author Information

Jane G. Gravelle Jane G. Gravelle

Senior Specialist in Economic Policy Senior Specialist in Economic Policy

Acknowledgments
This report was originally coauthored with Thomas L. Hungerford. This report was originally coauthored with Thomas L. Hungerford.

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