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Portions of all 50 states and the District of Columbia are vulnerable to earthquake hazards, although risks vary greatly across the country and within individual states. Alaska is the most earthquake-prone state, experiencing a magnitude 7 earthquake almost every year and a magnitude 8 earthquake every 13 years, on average, since 1900. On November 30, 2018, a magnitude 7.0 earthquake struck north of Anchorage at 8:29 AM local time, causing extensive damage.
Under the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP), four federal agencies have responsibility for long-term earthquake risk reduction: The National Earthquake Hazards Reduction
November 17, 2021
Program (NEHRP): Issues in Brief
Linda R. Rowan
The National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) aims to understand earthquake
Analyst in Natural
hazards and reduce earthquake risks in the United States. Portions of all 50 states, as well as U.S.
Resources Policy
territories and the District of Columbia, are vulnerable to earthquake hazards and their associated
risks, to varying degrees. Each region’s risk is shaped by the frequency and scale of the hazard as well as by the population, infrastructure, and economic activity vulnerable to the hazard. Alaska
is the most earthquake-prone state; it has experienced a magnitude 7.0 earthquake almost every year and a magnitude 8.0 earthquake every 13 years, on average, since 1900. Alaskan earthquakes can trigger damaging tsunamis, which can be particularly threatening for Alaska, Washington, Oregon, California, and Hawaii. California has the greatest earthquake risk, because the state has frequent earthquakes that affect a dense built environment and a large population. The 1994 magnitude 6.7 Northridge earthquake in Los Angeles, Ventura, Orange, and San Bernardino counties is the third-costliest disaster in the United States.
Congress created NEHRP as a coordinated program through the Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act of 1977 (P.L. 95-124) and most recently reauthorized the program in 2018 (P.L. 115-307). Four federal agencies have responsibilities related to earthquake hazards and risk reduction—the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the National Science Foundation (NSF), the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), and the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). Congress assigned NIST as the lead agency for NEHRP in 1990. These agencies perform the four major NEHRP activities:
1. Develop effective measures for earthquake hazards reduction
2. Promote the adoption of earthquake hazards reduction measures
3. Improve understanding of earthquakes and their effects
4. Continue the development of the Advanced National Seismic System, a nationwide network of seismic stations
operated by the USGS
The 2018 NEHRP reauthorization did not change the program’s overall structure but did establish new priorities. For example, the legislation emphasized advancing earthquake early warning systems and promoting community resilience to earthquakes. An earthquake early warning system is to detect the start of an earthquake and immediately send an alert that intense and potentially damaging ground shaking will reach a nearby location within seconds to minutes of the alert’s receipt. Various actions can enhance community resilience, such as building earthquake-resistant structures based on a location’s seismic hazard and designing structures for functional recovery, meaning the structures can be reoccupied and can function after an earthquake.
Since the 2018 reauthorization, NEHRP has made progress on warning, resilience, and research, among other activities. An earthquake early warning system called ShakeAlert operates in California, Oregon, and Washington, providing actionable alerts to protect people and property from earthquake damage. NIST and FEMA have supplied information and tools to build and retrofit structures for greater earthquake resistance and for functional recovery. NSF and the USGS have continued to support research and have initiated new research opportunities that are coordinated across NSF directorates or across agencies.
Issues for Congress regarding NEHRP include the program’s effectiveness (i.e., how much and how well NEHRP reduces risks), the effectiveness of federal and nonfederal partnerships (i.e., how well the four agencies work together and with other partners), and the effectiveness of program management (i.e., how well the agencies plan, manage, and implement program objectives). Two reports underway in December 2021 may inform congressional deliberations related to NEHRP and consideration of extending the program’s authorization of appropriations beyond FY2023. The first report is by the Government Accountability Office (GAO); P.L. 115-307 required GAO to review and report to Congress on NEHRP’s costs and benefits to assess the program’s effectiveness. The second report, also required by the 2018 act, is a strategic plan for NEHRP crafted by the program’s Interagency Coordinating Committee.
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link to page 6 link to page 8 link to page 8 link to page 9 link to page 10 link to page 10 link to page 11 link to page 11 link to page 13 link to page 13 link to page 14 link to page 15 link to page 15 link to page 8 link to page 5 link to page 5 link to page 12 link to page 16 The National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP): Issues in Brief
Contents
Major Changes to NEHRP Since 1977 ............................................................................................ 3 NEHRP Reauthorization Act of 2018 (P.L. 115-307) ...................................................................... 5
Changes to Findings, Purposes and Definitions (Section 2) ..................................................... 5 Changes to Program Activities and Agency Responsibilities (Section 3) ................................. 6 Review of NEHRP (Section 4) .................................................................................................. 7 Seismic Standards (Section 5) ................................................................................................... 7 Management of Advanced National Seismic System (Section 6) ............................................. 8 Authorization of Appropriations (Section 7) ............................................................................. 8
NEHRP Progress Since Reauthorization in 2018 .......................................................................... 10
Earthquake Early Warning: ShakeAlert .................................................................................. 10 Reoccupancy Recommendations and Building Codes ............................................................. 11 Basic Research ........................................................................................................................ 12
Issues for Congress ........................................................................................................................ 12
Figures Figure 1. NEHRP Agency Responsibilities and End Users of NEHRP Products............................ 5
Tables Table 1. National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) Agencies: Roles and
Activities ...................................................................................................................................... 2
Table 2. Enacted Funding for NEHRP, FY2005-FY2021, and FY2022 Budget Request ............... 9
Contacts Author Information ........................................................................................................................ 13
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link to page 5 The National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP): Issues in Brief
he United States is vulnerable to earthquake hazards and their associated risks,1 although hazards and risks vary greatly across the nation and its territories. Earthquake hazards are
TFederal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), and the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). These agencies assess U.S. earthquake hazards, deliver notifications of seismic events, develop measures to reduce earthquake hazards, and conduct research to help reduce overall U.S. vulnerability to earthquakes. Congressional oversight of the NEHRP program encompasses how well the four agencies coordinate their activities to address the earthquake hazard. Better coordination was a concern that led to changes to the program in legislation enacted in 2004 (the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program Reauthorization Act of 2004; P.L. 108-360; 42 U.S.C. 7704).
P.L. 108-360 authorized appropriations for NEHRP through FY2009. Although authorization for appropriations expired in 2009, Congress continued to appropriate funds for NEHRP activities during the nine intervening years. In FY2018, Congress appropriated $169.5 million for program activities, $30.6 million more than FY2017 spending of $138.9 million. The budget request for FY2019 would reduce total funding for NEHRP activities, primarily at the USGS and NSF, by $35.1 million and $13.7 million, respectively, compared to their FY2018 enacted amounts.
On November 27, 2018, Congress passed the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program Reauthorization Act of 2018, and President Trump signed the bill into law on December 11 (P.L. 115-307). The new act largely leaves the current four-agency NEHRP program intact, while providing some new areas of emphasis. For example, the act emphasizes activities to promote greater resilience to earthquakes. Resilience would include, for example, designing and building structures that not only protect human lives during an earthquake but also continue to be functional structures after an earthquake. Those structures then could be reoccupied instead of being total losses.
The 2018 NEHRP reauthorization act removes statutory language referring to seeking a capability to predict earthquakes. Earthquake prediction thus far has proven to be virtually impossible, and in its 1990 reauthorization (P.L. 101-614), Congress shifted the NEHRP program emphasis from prediction to hazard reduction. P.L. 115-307 continues that emphasis, along with a new focus on activities that would enhance the effectiveness of an earthquake early warning system, among other changes to the program. An earthquake early warning system would automatically send an alert to areas in danger of potential shaking after the earthquake is initially triggered. The alert would notify electric utilities, railway systems, and even hospital operating rooms to cease activities before the earthquake-triggered shaking begins.
The 2018 NEHRP reauthorization act authorizes appropriations for NEHRP activities from FY2019 to FY2023, for a total amount of about $760 million over the five-year span, or approximately $152 million annually. That annual amount is slightly higher than enacted appropriations for the program in FY2017, but slightly lower than the amount enacted in FY2018.
One persistent question has been how to assess more precisely the relationship between NEHRP activities and reduced earthquake risk and actual losses from earthquakes. P.L. 115-307 appears to address that question by requiring the Comptroller General of the United States to review the program's activities and produce a report for Congress that addresses earthquake risks and hazards. The review and report would look at how states, tribes, and local governments are using NEHRP-generated information and implementing measures to reduce their earthquake risk.
Portions of all 50 states and the District of Columbia are vulnerable to earthquake hazards,1 although risks vary greatly across the country and within individual states.2 Seismic hazards are greatest in the western United States, particularly in California, Washington, Oregon, greatest in the western United States, particularly in California, Washington, Oregon,
Alaska, and Hawaii. Alaska is the most earthquake-prone state, experiencing a magnitude 7; it has experienced a magnitude (M) 7.0 earthquake almost every year and a magnitude 8M8.0 earthquake every 13 years, on average, since 1900.2 Despite being the most earthquake-prone state, because of Alaska’s small1900.3 Because of its low population and low infrastructure density, most of the state of Alaska has a relatively low risk for large economic losses from an earthquake. In contrast, a larger portion of California has moregreater earthquake risk than any other stateAlaska, because of itsCalifornia’s frequent seismic activity, large population, and extensive infrastructure.3 The most damaging earthquake and the third-costliest natural hazard event in the United States was the 1994 M6.7 Northridge earthquake in the Los Angeles metropolitan region, which caused 60 fatalities, more than 7,000 injuries, 20,000 displaced people, more than 40,000 damaged buildings, and an estimated economic loss of $20 billion.4 Since 1977, theinfrastructure. However, on November 30, 2018, a magnitude 7.0 earthquake struck just north of Anchorage, AK, causing extensive damage.4
The federal government has supported efforts to assess and monitor earthquake hazards and riskto reduce related risks in the United States underthrough the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) since 1977. Four federal agencies responsible for long-term . The four major NEHRP activities are (1) develop effective measures for earthquake hazards reduction; (2) promote the adoption of earthquake hazards reduction measures; (3) improve understanding of earthquakes and their effects; and (4) continue the development of the Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS), a nationwide network of seismic stations. Today, four federal agencies responsible for earthquake risk reduction coordinate their activities under NEHRP
On November 27, 2018, Congress passed the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program Reauthorization Act of 2018, and President Trump signed the bill into law on December 11 as P.L. 115-307. The new act combined two nearly identical bills, S. 1768 and H.R. 6650, introduced by Senator Feinstein and Representative Rohrabacher, respectively. Prior to passage of P.L. 115-307, Congress last made changes to NEHRP under the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program Reauthorization Act of 2004 (P.L. 108-360; 42 U.S.C. 7704).
The 2018 NEHRP reauthorization act largely leaves the overall program structure in place, but modifies some of the intents and purposes of the original legislation, such as removing references to the goal of earthquake prediction, and substituting instead the goal of issuing early warnings and earthquake alerts. The new law also authorizes appropriations for NEHRP activities for each of the four NEHRP agencies through FY2023. Authorization for appropriations under P.L. 108-360 expired in 2009; however, Congress continued to appropriate funds for NEHRP activities during the intervening nine years until enactment of P.L. 115-307.
In 1977, Congress passed the Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act (P.L. 95-124), establishing NEHRP as a long-term earthquake hazard reduction program for the United States. The program, led by USGS and NSF, initially focused on research toward understanding and ultimately predicting earthquakes. However, earthquake prediction has proved insoluble over time,5 and NEHRP shifted its focus in 1990 to minimizing losses from earthquakes.
Agency leadership of NEHRP has also changed since the program's inception. FEMA was created in 1979 under President Carter and designated as the lead agency for NEHRP. In 1980, Congress passed amendments to the Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act (P.L. 96-472), which defined FEMA as the lead agency for NEHRP. The amendments also authorized additional funding for earthquake hazard preparedness and mitigation for FEMA and the National Bureau of Standards (now NIST).
Congress changed NEHRP's original focus on research to predict earthquakes in the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program Reauthorization Act of 1990 (P.L. 101-614). The law decreased the program's emphasis on earthquake prediction, clarified the role of FEMA, clarified and expanded the program objectives, and required federal agencies to adopt seismic safety standards for all existing federal buildings that were designed and constructed without adequate seismic design and construction standards.
In 2004, Congress enacted P.L. 108-360 and adjusted NEHRP again by shifting primary responsibility for planning and coordinating the program from FEMA to NIST. P.L. 108-360 also established an interagency coordinating committee and an advisory committee, both focused on earthquake hazard reduction.
Following enactment of P.L. 108-360, program activities focused on several broad areas:
From FY2004 through FY2014, program activities also included the NSF-supported George E. Brown Jr. Network for Earthquake Engineering Simulation (NEES) that consisted of 15 experimental facilities and an information-technology infrastructure with a goal of mitigating earthquake damage by the use of improved materials, designs, construction techniques, and monitoring tools. Prior to enactment of P.L. 115-307, NSF supported the successor to NEES, the Natural Hazards Engineering Research Infrastructure (NEHRI).8
The House Science Committee report in the 108th Congress on H.R. 2608 (P.L. 108-360) noted that NEHRP has produced a wealth of useful information since 1977, but it also stated that the program's potential has been limited by the inability of the NEHRP agencies to coordinate their efforts.9 The committee asserted that restructuring the program with NIST as the lead agency, directing funding toward appropriate priorities, and implementing NEHRP as a true interagency program would lead to improvement.
The 2004 law made the director of NIST chair of the Interagency Coordinating Committee for NEHRP. Other members of the committee include the directors of FEMA, USGS, NSF, the Office of Science and Technology Policy, and the Office of Management and Budget. The Interagency Coordinating Committee is charged with overseeing the planning, management, and coordination of the program. Primary responsibilities for the NEHRP agencies break down as follows (see also Figure 1):
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Notes: FEMA = Federal Emergency Management Agency; NIST = National Institute of Standards and Technology; NSF = National Science Foundation; USGS = U.S. Geological Survey. |
Table 1 shows the enacted budgets for NEHRP agencies from FY2005 through FY2018 (and the budget request for FY2019). Enacted appropriations for FY2005-FY2009 totaled $617.9 million, or 68% of the total amount of $902.4 million authorized in P.L. 108-360 over the five-year span (see Table 1). The new NEHRP reauthorization act authorizes a total of $760.3 million for NEHRP activities summed over the five-year span FY2019-FY2023, approximately $142 million less than total amount authorized by P.L. 108-360 (not adjusted for inflation).11
Table 1. Enacted Funding for NEHRP Since Enactment of P.L. 108-360 Through FY2018 (Including the FY2019 Budget Request)
(in millions of current dollars)
USGS |
NSF |
FEMA |
NIST |
Total |
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FY2006 |
Enacted |
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FY2007 |
Enacted |
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FY2008 |
Enacted |
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FY2009 |
Enacted |
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FY2010 |
Enacted |
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FY2011 |
Enacted |
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FY2012 |
Enacted |
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FY2013 |
Enacted |
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FY2014 |
Enacted |
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FY2015 |
Enacted |
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FY2016 |
Enacted |
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FY2017 |
Enacted |
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FY2018 |
Enacted |
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FY2019 |
Request |
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Sources: NEHRP program office, 2005-2018 NEHRP Agency Budgets; 2019 Requested Funding for NEHRP Agencies (reported as of June 20, 2018), https://www.nehrp.gov/about/reports.htm.
Notes: According to the NEHRP program office, FEMA and NIST budgets are those agencies' allocations for NEHRP activities from the total agency appropriations through FY2018. The NSF budget is its expenditure for NEHRP activities from total agency appropriations through FY2018. NIST and NSF amounts for FY2019 are those agencies' planned allocations for NEHRP activities from total agency appropriations. The USGS-enacted funding reflects the amount appropriated for USGS NEHRP activities through FY2018, and the USGS amount for FY2019 is what was requested for USGS NEHRP activities. N/A means that the requested amount for FEMA was not available for FY2019 as of November 2018.
a. Total requested amount for FY2019 does not include the amount for FEMA, which is not available as of November 2018.
The 2018 NEHRP reauthorization act largely leaves the current four-agency NEHRP program intact, while providing some new areas of emphasis and specific authorization of appropriations levels for the member agencies. It is the product of two nearly identical bills: S. 1768, introduced by Senator Feinstein on September 6, 2017, with seven original cosponsors; and H.R. 6650, introduced by Representative Rohrabacher on August 3, 2018, with three original cosponsors.
Upon introduction, S. 1768 was referred to the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, which held a markup on December 13, 2017. An amendment in the nature of a substitute, introduced by Senator Gardner, was accepted by the committee, the bill was reported favorably out of committee, and the Senate passed the bill by unanimous consent on September 27, 2018. Upon introduction, H.R. 6650 was referred to the House Science, Space, and Technology Committee; the House Natural Resources Committee; and the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee. The Senate-passed bill in its final form was nearly identical to H.R. 6650, and the House passed S. 1768 by unanimous consent on November 27, 2018. The bill became law on December 11, 2018, as P.L. 115-307).
The sections below discusses changes to the NEHRP program authorized by P.L. 115-307.
As noted above, NEHRP activities shifted long ago from a goal of earthquake prediction to earthquake hazard reduction. The 2018 NEHRP reauthorization act codifies that shift by removing references to earthquake prediction throughout the bill. For example, Section 2 modifies the congressional findings section (42 U.S.C. 7701) by omitting the linkage between seismological research and earthquake prediction, substituting the finding that "“a well-funded seismological research program could provide the scientific understanding needed to fully implement an effective earthquake early warning system.”13
earthquake hazards reduction; (2) effectiveness of NEHRP; (3) the need to revise NEHRP; and (4) NEHRP’s management, coordination, implementation, and activities. ACEHR is distinct from the congressionally established 1990 NEHRP Advisory Committee, which ended its service in 1993.
13 For a discussion of prediction and warning and the changes in the meaning of a warning system, see footnote 7.
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Section 2 of the 2018 act introduced the concept of resilience to earthquake hazards.14 For example, Section 2 cited a National Research Council study withimplement an effective earthquake early warning system."12 An earthquake early warning system would automatically send an alert to areas in danger of potential shaking after the earthquake is initially triggered. The alert would potentially allow components of the lifeline infrastructure,13 such as electric utilities, railway systems, and even hospital operating rooms, to cease activities that could be impaired by violent shaking before the first earthquake-triggered surface waves reach them.
Section 2 of P.L. 115-307 also introduces the concept of resilience to earthquake hazards. For example, Section 2 cites a National Research Council study that includes goals and objectives for achieving national earthquake resilience.1415 Section 2 also amendsamended the congressional statement-of-purpose section (42 U.S.C. 7702) to includeadd the purpose of increasing thecommunities’ resilience of communities to future earthquakes in addition to the to the existing purpose of reducing the risks to life and property. The new act defines "community resilience" in the definitions section of the 2018 act defined community resilience as “of the law (42 U.S.C. 7703) to mean "the ability of a community to prepare and plan for, absorb, recover from, and more successfully adapt to seismic events."
” (42 U.S.C. 7703). Section 2 of P.L. 115-307 also takes note of the aspect of resilience that includesP.L. 115-307 called for resilience to include building design and construction of buildings, so that those structures are built to potentially continue functioning, or to be reoccupied, in spite of despite earthquake damage. Section 2 introduced the language of “re-occupancy, recovery, reconstruction.”
In addition, P.L. 115-307 addeddamage. The act notes that the built environment historically has been constructed and maintained to prevent severe injuries or loss of life, but not necessarily to continue functioning or to be reoccupied without a complete reconstruction. Section 2 introduces the language of "re-occupancy, recovery, reconstruction" following an earthquake to capture this trend within the seismic resilience community.
The new act also adds the states of Oregon and Tennessee, together with the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, to the 39 states previously identified as subject to15 states the law named as facing significant earthquake risk. The 2018 law identified 39 states facing major or moderate seismic risk (42 U.S.C. 7701).
Within the four broad NEHRP program activities, Section 3 of P.L. 115-307 adds a new component to help promote earthquake hazards reduction. The act adds to the activities listed under 42 U.S.C. 7704(a)(2)(B) the requirement of "publishing a systematic set of maps of active faults and folds, liquefaction susceptibility, susceptibility for earthquake induced landslides, and other seismically induced hazards." If carried out, such a repository of maps could be considered an important tool for reducing earthquake risk by the spectrum of potential users at the federal, state, local, and tribal government level, as well as the developers of national building codes, developers, building owners, and others involved in planning and construction of the structural environment. It is not clear whether this new requirement would involve the compilation and organization of existing maps or the creation of new maps; either could represent a significant undertaking by the NEHRP agencies.
The new act inserts language to "continue the development of the Advanced National Seismic System [ANSS], including earthquake early warning capabilities," as part of 42 U.S.C. 7704(a)(2)(D). In addition, it deletes references to the George E. Brown Jr. Network for Earthquake Engineering Simulation.15
Section 3 also adds new duties for the Interagency Coordinating Committee. Under P.L. 115-307, the committee is required to develop a strategic plan for NEHRP, a management plan to implement the strategic plan, and a coordinated interagency budget on a biennial basis. The committee also is required to develop memoranda of understanding with any relevant federal agencies on data sharing and resource commitments in the event of an earthquake disaster. The act identifies the National Aeronautics and Space Administration and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration as two agencies to coordinate with on data sharing and resource allocation "to ensure judicious use of Government resources and the free-flowing exchange of information related to earthquakes."
Further, the committee shall coordinate with the Secretaries of Agriculture and the Interior on the use of federal lands for monitoring, research, and data collection. The committee also is required to coordinate with the Secretaries of Transportation and Housing and Urban Development on the effects of earthquakes on transportation and building stocks (part of the lifeline infrastructure described above).
The new act requires that the NEHRP Interagency Coordinating Committee coordinate with its counterpart committee on Windstorm Impact Reduction, as well as other natural hazards coordination committees as determined appropriate, to share data and best practices.
Under P.L. 115-307, NIST would remain the lead agency for the program, with its duties and responsibilities largely unchanged. FEMA also retains most of its duties and responsibilities, with a few modifications. For example, the previous NEHRP authorization allowed FEMA discretion in entering cooperative agreements or contracts with states, local jurisdictions, or other federal agencies to establish demonstration projects on earthquake hazard modification, linking research and mitigation efforts with emergency management programs, or preparing educational materials for national distribution. Section 3 of P.L. 115-307 requires FEMA to enter cooperative agreements or contracts for these purposes (substituting the word "shall" in the enacted language for the word "may" in preexisting law). Also, states that enter into these agreements would be required to provide a 25% cost share, unless FEMA lowers or waives the cost-share requirement. The act allows FEMA to reduce or waive the requirement for "a small impoverished community," as defined in Section 203 of the Disaster Relief Act of 1974 (42 U.S.C. 5133(a)).16
Statutory language requiring USGS to develop procedures for making earthquake predictions is removed under Section 3 and replaced with language for developing procedures for issuing alerts and early warnings. Further, P.L. 115-307 requires the USGS to issue an alert and an earthquake warning, when necessary and feasible, to FEMA, NIST, and state and local officials, in the event of an earthquake.
The new act strikes language in current law that requires NSF to support earthquake-related research using the George E. Brown Jr. Network for Earthquake Engineering Simulation (NEES), and instead refers generically to using "experimental and computational facilities." Also, Section 3 adds a new subsection to existingto current law requiring NSF to identify and track NEHRP grant funding.
Review of NEHRP (Section 4) Section 4 of P.L. 115-307 required the Government Accountability Office (GAO) to complete a review of federal earthquake hazards risk reduction efforts and report its findings within three years of enactment.22 GAO interviewed the agencies and is preparing its findings for Congress.23
Seismic Standards (Section 5) Section 5 of grant funding that is part of the NEHRP program, and to provide a report at least every two years specifying the amount of NSF funding awarded to conduct research that enhances the understanding of earthquake science.
Section 4 of P.L. 115-307 requires the Comptroller General of the United States to complete a review of federal earthquake hazard risk reduction efforts. The review and report from the Comptroller General on its findings must be completed within three years of enactment.17
The review requires discussion of the following elements:
The report also would include recommendations from the Comptroller General to improve NEHRP and the resiliency of the United States to earthquake risks.
Section 5 of P.L. 115-307 replaces language in current law (42 U.S.C. 7705b) that called for the adoption of seismic safety standards for buildings constructed or leased by the federal government. The new language requires, instead, an assessment and recommendations for improving the built environment and critical infrastructure specifically "to P.L. 115-307 replaced language in current law (42 U.S.C. 7705b) that called for the adoption of seismic safety standards for buildings constructed or leased by the federal government. The 2018 NEHRP reauthorization act required, instead, an assessment and recommendations for improving the built environment and critical infrastructure, specifically “to
Systems Division, “National Windstorm Impact Reduction Program Office,” at https://www.nist.gov/el/materials-and-structural-systems-division-73100/national-windstorm-impact-reduction-program-nwirp.
19 In Section 8 (Technical Corrections) of P.L. 115-307, the act deleted references in the U.S. Code to the Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS) predecessor—the Advanced National Seismic Research and Monitoring System. For more on ANSS, see the “Management of Advanced National Seismic System (Section 6)” section of this product. Also note that earthquake early warning means providing an alert after the start of an earthquake is detected, which is the modern definition and usage of the term (as opposed to the meaning of warning in the 1977 act, see footnote 7).
20 Earthquakes cause intense ground shaking, ground displacement and liquefaction. Liquefaction occurs when loose, weak or water-saturated soils or rocky materials lose their strength because of earthquake-induced ground shaking. When liquefaction happens around structural elements, such as buildings or bridges, these structures can be damaged or collapse. For more information about liquefaction, see USGS, “What Is Liquefaction?,” at https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/what-liquefaction. Earthquakes can trigger other natural hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires, floods, or volcanic eruption.
21 See footnote 11. 22 P.L. 115-307 required GAO to submit the report to the Senate Committees on Commerce, Science, and Transportation; Energy and Natural Resources; and Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, and to the House Committees on Science, Space, and Technology; Natural Resources; and Homeland Security.
23 NEHRP, ACEHR Report, 2021, pp. 5-6.
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reflect performance goals stated in terms of post-earthquake reoccupancy and functional recovery time.” time."
This language highlights one of the changes in overall NEHRP program direction to enhance the aspect of earthquake resilience, meaning building structures that would allow for continued use and reoccupancy following an earthquake. The assessment and recommendations would come from a committee of experts, appointed by the Director of NIST and Administrator of FEMAhighlighted one of the changes in NEHRP emphasis to enhance resilience.
The NIST Director and the FEMA Administrator appointed a committee of experts, representing federal agencies, nongovernmental organizations, the private sector, disaster management associations, engineering associations, and construction and homebuilding industry associations. Under P.L. 115-307, the committee is required to submit a report to Congress with recommended options no later than June 30, 2020.19
The ANSS is a nationwide network of seismographic stations operated by USGS. It consists of a "backbone", to prepare such a report for Congress.24 NIST and FEMA jointly published the committee’s report in January 2021.25 The report recommended seven actions for communities to enhance resiliency:
1. Develop a framework for post-earthquake reoccupancy and functional recovery
objectives
2. Design new buildings to meet recovery-based objectives
3. Retrofit existing buildings to meet recovery-based objectives
4. Design, upgrade, and maintain lifeline infrastructure systems to meet recovery-
based objectives
5. Develop and implement pre-disaster recovery planning focused on recovery-
based objectives
6. Provide education and outreach to enhance awareness and understanding of
earthquake risk and recovery-based objectives
7. Facilitate access to financial resources needed to achieve recovery-based
objectives.
Management of Advanced National Seismic System (Section 6) ANSS is a nationwide network of seismic stations operated by the USGS. It consists of a “backbone” network of about 100 seismic stations throughout the United States, the National Earthquake Information Center, the National Strong Motion Project, and 15 regional seismic networks operated by the USGS and partner institutions.20 The new act requires26 The 2018 NEHRP reauthorization act required a new five-year management plan for ANSS. The USGS submitted a five-year management plan for ANSS to Congress in November 2021.27 The plan prioritized core ANSS activities including monitoring, 24/7 reporting, rapid assessment, and earthquake early warning.
Authorization of Appropriations (Section 7) Section 7 of P.L. 115-307 authorized appropriations for NEHRP activities over a five-year period, FY2019-FY2023. The act apportioned the same authorized amount per agency each year. The total authorization broken down by agency was as follows:
24 P.L. 115-307 required the committee to submit a report to Congress with recommended options no later than June 30, 2020. The committee submitted the report to the Senate Committees on Commerce, Science, and Transportation; Energy and Natural Resources; and Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, and to the House Committees on Science, Space, and Technology; Natural Resources; and Homeland Security.
25 NIST and FEMA, Recommended Options for Improving the Built Environment for Post-Earthquake Reoccupancy and Functional Recovery Time, NIST-FEMA Special Publication FEMA P-2090/NIST SP-1254, January 2021, at https://doi.org/10.6028/NIST.SP.1254.
26 For more information, see the USGS, Earthquake Hazards Program, “ANSS—Advanced National Seismic System,” at https://www.usgs.gov/natural-hazards/earthquake-hazards/anss-advanced-national-seismic-system.
27 The USGS, Earthquake Hazards Program, Advanced National Seismic System 5-Year Management Plan, November 2021.
Congressional Research Service
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link to page 12 The National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP): Issues in Brief
USGS: $83.4 million per year, $417 million total28 NSF: $54 million per year, $270 million total FEMA: $8.76 million per year, $43.8 million total NIST: $5.9 million per year, $29.5 million total
The total five-year NEHRP authorization of appropriations was a new five-year management plan for ANSS, which includes the following elements:
The five-year management plan is due within one year of enactment.
Section 7 of P.L. 115-307 authorizes appropriations for NEHRP activities over a five-year period, FY2019-FY2023. The new act apportions the same authorized amount per agency each year. The total authorization is broken down by agency as follows:
The total five-year NEHRP authorization of appropriations is $760.305 million for FY2019-FY2023, or about $152 million annually. The findings section (Section 2) of P.L. 115-307 recognizes noted that the National Research Council in 2011 recommended funding of approximately $300 million annually for 20 years (in 2009 dollars).22 That value;29 that amount is about twice the average annual amount authorized for appropriations in P.L. 115-307.
At present, earthquakes cannot be accurately predicted. For example, although historically Alaska has experienced a magnitude 7 earthquake nearly every year, it has proved impossible to predict exactly when and where an earthquake will occur. The November 30, 2018, Anchorage earthquake was no exception, although as the most earthquake-prone state, Alaska has a relatively high probability of experiencing earthquakes every year compared to many other western states.
In its 1990 reauthorization, NEHRP shifted its program emphasis from prediction to hazards reduction. Since then, the program's focus has been on understanding the earthquake hazard and its risk to populations and infrastructure in the United States, developing effective measures to reduce earthquake hazards, and promoting the adoption of earthquake hazard reduction measures in vulnerable areas.
Legislation to modify NEHRP in the 108th Congress (P.L. 108-360) reflected congressional concerns about how well the four NEHRP agencies coordinated their efforts to maximize the program's potential. The National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program Reauthorization Act of 2018 (P.L. 115-307) leaves the program largely intact, while emphasizing activities to promote greater resilience to earthquakes and activities that would enhance the effectiveness of an earthquake early warning system, among other changes. The new act authorizes annual appropriations levels for NEHRP at slightly higher levels than the amount of enacted appropriations for the program in FY2017, but slightly lower than the amount enacted in FY2018. P.L. 115-307 also removes statutory language regarding earthquake prediction.
Since NEHRP shifted its emphasis toward reducing losses during an earthquake, one persistent question has been how to establish a more precise relationship between NEHRP activities and reduced earthquake risk and actual losses from earthquakes. Section 4 of P.L. 115-307 appears to address that question by requiring the Comptroller General of the United States to review the activities of the program and produce a report for Congress that addresses the earthquake risks and hazards in the nation. The review and report are to examine how federal activities are addressing those risks and hazards, including how states, tribes, and local governments are using NEHRP-generated information and implementing measures to reduce their earthquake risk.
Author Contact Information
1. |
Hazard is not the same as risk. Earthquake hazard is related to the probability of a certain level of a shaking event caused by an earthquake within a certain time frame. Risk could be described as the combination of the hazard and the affected population (which includes the infrastructure supporting that population). Large population centers would therefore be at a higher risk than small population centers for the same degree of earthquake hazard, in general. The original NEHRP legislation, arguably, mistakenly conflated the terms hazard and risk. More recently, the term resilience has been introduced in discussions regarding reducing earthquake risk (i.e., indicating improving resilience to earthquake hazards). |
2. |
The U.S. territories are not included in this assessment. |
3. |
State of Alaska, Alaska Seismic Hazards Safety Commission, "Earthquake Risk in Alaska," at http://seismic.alaska.gov/earthquake_risk.html. |
4. |
U.S. Geological Survey, 2018 Anchorage Earthquake, https://www.usgs.gov/news/2018-anchorage-earthquake. |
5. |
See, for example, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), "Can You Predict Earthquakes?" at https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes?qt-news_science_products=0#qt-news_science_products. |
6. |
Lifelines are essential utility and transportation systems. Within the earthquake community, the term lifelines has generally given way to the term lifeline infrastructure. See the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute white paper, "Improve Reliability of Lifeline Infrastructure Systems," April 5, 2016, at https://www.eeri.org/wp-content/uploads/eeri-policy-lifelines.pdf. |
7. |
The Advanced National Seismic System is a nationwide network of seismographic stations operated by USGS. The Global Seismic Network is a global network of stations coordinated by the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology, a nonprofit organization. |
8. |
The Natural Hazards Engineering Research Infrastructure (NEHRI) is a distributed, multiuser, national facility that provides research infrastructure for the natural hazards research community, including earthquake and wind engineering experimental facilities, cyber infrastructure, computational modeling and simulation tools, and research data. Personal communication from Karen Pearce, senior legislative affairs specialist, NEHRI, October 6, 2017. |
9. |
U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Science, National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program Reauthorization Act of 2003, 108th Cong., 1st sess., H.Rept. 108-246 (August 14, 2003), p. 13. |
10. |
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11. |
In constant (2018) dollars, the difference between total authorized amounts over the five-year periods in P.L. 108-360 and P.L. 115-307 would be at least $330 million (using the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Inflation Calculator, https://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm). |
12. |
An early-warning system would send a warning after an earthquake occurred but before the damaging seismic waves reach a community that would be affected by the seismic waves. In contrast, an earthquake prediction would provide a date, time, and location of a future earthquake. |
13. |
P.L. 115-307 replaces the term lifelines with the term lifeline infrastructure wherever it appears in the U.S. Code. |
14. |
National Research Council, National Earthquake Resilience, Research, Implementation, and Outreach, 2011, http://www.nehrp.gov/pdf/nrc2011.pdf. |
15. |
In Section 8 (Technical Corrections) of P.L. 115-307, the act also deletes references in the U.S. code to the ANSS predecessor—the Advanced National Seismic Research and Monitoring System. |
16. |
Commonly referred to as the Stafford Act. |
17. |
P.L. 115-307 requires the Comptroller General to submit the report to the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, and the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs of the Senate; and the Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, the Committee on Natural Resources, and the Committee on Homeland Security of the House of Representatives. |
18. |
As defined in Section 4 of the Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act of 1977 (42 U.S.C. 7703). |
19. |
For the Senate, the report would go to the Committees on Commerce, Science, and Transportation; Energy and Natural Resources; and Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. For the House, the report would go to the Committees on Science, Space, and Technology; Natural Resources; and Homeland Security. |
20. |
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21. |
P.L. 115-307 requires that $30 million of the annual authorized amount for the USGS be made available for completion of the ANSS. |
22. |
National Research Council, National Earthquake Resilience, Research, Implementation, and Outreach, 2011, p. 4, http://www.nehrp.gov/pdf/nrc2011.pdf. |