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Debt Limit Policy Questions: What Are Extraordinary Measures?

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Following a period of suspension, the statutory debt limit was reinstated on December 9, 2017, at a level that precisely accommodated the federal borrowing undertaken to that date. On December 11 and 12, 2017, Secretary Mnuchin announced that the Treasury would implement "extraordinary measures" that delay when the debt limit will bind. Additionally, the Bureau of the Fiscal Service suspended sales of certain Treasury securities to extend the Treasury's ability to meet statutory spending requirements without defaulting on its debt obligations. These measures were used until passage of the Bipartisan INSIGHTi “Extraordinary Measures” and the Debt Limit Updated February 27, 2019 Following a period of suspension, the statutory debt limit is scheduled to be reinstated on March 1, 2019, at a level that precisely accommodates the federal borrowing undertaken to date. When federal borrowing approaches the debt limit, the Treasury Secretary has the authority to implement “extraordinary measures” that delay when the debt limit will bind. Extraordinary measures were last implemented from March 2017 through September 2017 and from December 2017 through February 2018, until passage of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018 (BBA 2018; P.L. 115-123) on; February 9, 2018, which) suspended the statutory debt limit until March 1, 2019. This Insight briefly examines the debt limit and the use of extraordinary measures.

use of extraordinary measures and its subsequent effects on federal debt activity. What Is the Debt Limit?

As part of its "power of the purse," Congress uses the statutory debt limit (codified in 31 U.S.C. §3101) as a means of restricting federal debt. Debt subject to the limit is more than 99% of total federal debt, and includes debt held by the public (which is used to finance budget deficits) and debt issued to federal government accounts (which is used to meet federal obligations). The debt limit acts as a congressional check on recent revenue and expenditure trends, though decisions affecting debt levels may have been agreed to by Congress and the Administration well in advance of debt limit deliberations. Some past debt limit legislation has linked debt limit increases with other fiscal policy proposals.

What Are Extraordinary Measures?

Extraordinary measures represent a series of actions that postpone when Congress must act on debt limit legislation. The authority for using extraordinary measures rests with the Treasury Secretary (codified in 5 U.S.C. §8348 and 5 U.S.C. §8909). Invoking extraordinary measures has delayed required action on the debt limit by periods ranging from a few weeks to several months, depending on when such measures were enacted (see the "How Long Do Extraordinary Measures Last?" section). Accounts and members of the public that are affected by extraordinary measures must be compensated for the delay in payment that resulted from such actions when the debt limit is subsequently modified.

On December 12, 2017, the Treasury announced the Before or during a period when extraordinary measures that are currently available. The Fiscal Service suspended issuance of State and Local Government Securities on December 8. A Debt Issuance Suspension Period was invoked on December 11, suspending new investments and redeeming certain existing investments of the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund and the Postal Service Retiree Health Benefits Fund. On December 12, the Treasury suspended daily reinvestment of securities held in the G Fund. BBA 2018 (P.L. 115-123) suspended the debt limit until March 1, 2019, and eliminated the need for implementation of extraordinary measures. Table 1 provides a description of the extraordinary measures used when those measures were implemented in 2017 and 2018.

Table 1. are implemented, Treasury typically provides a description of the extraordinary measures available and estimates of their effect on federal borrowing capacity (or how much “headroom” they will add). The most recent description of such measures was provided by Treasury in December 2017. Table 1 provides a description of the extraordinary measures Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov IN10837 CRS INSIGHT Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress Congressional Research Service 2 used when those measures were implemented from March 2017 through September 2017 and from December 2017 through February 2018. Table 1. Use of Extraordinary Measures, 2017-2018 Headroom Added from March 2017-September 2017 Headroom Added from December 2017-February 2018 Suspension of reinvestment in Government Securities Investment Fund (G Fund) of the Federal Use of Extraordinary Measures, 2017-2018

Measure

Headroom Added in 2017-2018

Headroom Added in March 2017

Suspension of reinvestment in Government Securities Investment Fund (G Fund) of the Federal Retirement System

$208 billion

$225 billion

Retirement System $208 billion $225 billion Suspension of invested balance in Exchange Stabilization Fund $22 billion $23 billion Declaration of a Debt Issuance Exchange Stabilization Fund

$22 billion

$23 billion

Declaration of a Debt Issuance Suspension Period

Suspension Period $12.7 billion one-time and $7.3 billion per month per month

$87 billion one-time and $7.3 billion per month per month

Suspension of State and Local Government Securities

$0 (prevents further increases in debt by $3-$13 billion per month)

$0

$0 Measure Source: U.S. Department of Treasury, "Description of the Extraordinary Measures," December 12, 2017, available at https://www.treasury.gov/initiatives/Documents/Description-of-Extraordinary-Measures-2017_12_12_Final.pdf; "; “Description of Extraordinary Measures," March 16, 2017, available at https://www.treasury.gov/initiatives/Documents/ Description_of_Extraordinary_Measures_2017_03_16.pdf.

Notes: . Notes: In a January 2018 report, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that an additional $3.5 billion of headroom is available through the Federal Financing Bank. This table only includes available measures reported by the Treasury.

How Long Do Extraordinary Measures Last?

Short-term fluctuations in federal debt levels provide for substantial uncertainty in how long extraordinary measures can last. Federal balances fluctuate on a day-to-day basis in response to a number of factors, including the timing of payments for Social Security, military benefits, and other programs; interest payments on debt obligations; and the timing of certain receipts. Prior to enactment of BBA 2018, CBO CBO and the Treasury projected that extraordinary measures would be exhausted in March 2018.

Figure 1 shows federal daily balances to date in FY2018around the period when extraordinary measures were last implemented (December 2017 through February 2018). The reduced variation in daily balances starting in December 2017 reflects the implementation of extraordinary measures. The sharp increase in borrowing on February 9 to exactly match outlays and receipts. The decline in the daily balance on February 9, 2018, reflects the compensation of intragovernmental creditors whose payments were delayed by the implementation of extraordinary measures. Congressional Research Service 3 Figure 1. Changes in themeasures.

Figure 1. Daily Federal Balances, October 3, 2017-February 15, 2018

February 15, 2018 Source: U.S. Department of Treasury, Daily Treasury Statement (various).

Notes: Note: Positive numbers indicate daily surpluses, while negative numbers indicate daily deficits.

Monthly budget outcomes can also fluctuate with the timing of various activities. The federal government tends to record higher net budget surpluses in April (when many individual tax returns are filed) and September (as certain payments are due at the end of the fiscal year) while recording lower balances in other months. Figure 2 presents the average federal monthly account balances from the previous five fiscal years. Data points outside the circle indicate months that have recorded average surpluses from FY2013 through FY2017; points inside the circle represent months that have recorded average deficits in those years.

Figure 2.Average Federal Monthly Account Balance, FY2013-FY2017

Source: fiscal years. The gray regions represent the amount to which average monthly receipts are equal to average monthly outlays. The red regions represent outlays greater than receipts (indicating an average monthly deficit), and the blue regions represent receipts greater than outlays (indicating an average monthly surplus). Figure 3 then shows how monthly fluctuations in federal receipts affect year-to-date annual federal balances over the FY2014-FY2018 period. Figure 2. Average Federal Monthly Account Balance, FY2014-FY2018 Source: U.S. Department of Treasury, Monthly Treasury Statement (various), and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Research (FRED), Total Federal Outlays and Total Federal Receipts. CRS calculations.

Notes: Data points outside the circle represent average monthly surpluses; points inside the circle represent average monthly deficits. Monthly figures are in nominal dollars.

(various). CRS calculations. Congressional Research Service 4 Figure 3. Average Change in Year-to-Date Federal Budget by Month, FY2014-FY2018 (In constant January 2019 dollars) Source: U.S. Department of Treasury, Monthly Treasury Statement (various). CRS calculations. Author Information Grant A. Driessen Analyst in Public Finance Joseph S. Hughes Research Assistant Disclaimer This document was prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). CRS serves as nonpartisan shared staff to congressional committees and Members of Congress. It operates solely at the behest of and under the direction of Congress. Information in a CRS Report should not be relied upon for purposes other than public understanding of information that has been provided by CRS to Members of Congress in connection with CRS’s institutional role. CRS Reports, as a work of the United States Government, are not subject to copyright protection in the United States. Any CRS Report may be reproduced and distributed in its entirety without permission from CRS. However, as a CRS Report may include copyrighted images or material from a third party, you may need to obtain the permission of the copyright holder if you wish to copy or otherwise use copyrighted material. IN10837 · VERSION 8 · UPDATED