< Back to Current Version

Democratic Republic of Congo: Background and U.S. Relations

Changes from February 27, 2017 to July 5, 2018

This page shows textual changes in the document between the two versions indicated in the dates above. Textual matter removed in the later version is indicated with red strikethrough and textual matter added in the later version is indicated with blue.


Democratic Republic of Congo: Background and U.S. Relations

February 27, 2017July 5, 2018 (R43166)
Jump to Main Text of Report

Summary

War and humanitarian suffering in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) have long preoccupied U.S. policymakers, including many Members of Congress. Since the 1990s, cyclical conflicts in eastern DRC have caused regional instability and impeded investment, becoming the focus of international attention toward the country. Since 2015, attention has turned toward DRC's political trajectory as President Joseph Kabila's efforts to remain in office past the end of his second elected term in 2016 (his last, under the constitution) have sparked unrest. Unable for now to amend constitutional term limits as other regional leaders have done, Congolese officials have delayed elections on various grounds, asserting that Kabila must remain in power in the meantime. In December 2016, under significant domestic and international pressure (including from the United States), the ruling party and opposition agreed to form a unity government and hold elections in 2017. However, the details and feasibility of implementation are in question. DRC has never experienced an electoral transfer of power between presidential administrations.

In the east, political elites have displayed limited capacity or will to improve security and state administration, while neighboring states have periodically provided support to DRC-based rebel groups. In 2013, DRC and neighboring states agreed to a regional peace framework, and later that year, the Congolese military—backed by a United Nations (U.N.) "Intervention Brigade"—defeated a relatively formidable Rwandan-backed rebel group known as the M23. Despite a subsequent peace process between the government and the M23, however, rebel combatants were never fully demobilized, and some appeared to be reorganizing as of early 2017. New armed groups have also emerged in the central Kasaï region, a political opposition stronghold.

The United States has provided significant development aid, security assistance, and emergency humanitarian assistance to DRC, and is the largest financial contributor to the U.N. peacekeeping operation in DRC, MONUSCO. As a permanent, veto-capable member of the U.N. Security Council, the United States has shaped the scope of MONUSCO's mandate and of a U.N. sanctions regime. In 2016, for the first time, the United States issued unilateral targeted sanctions against several DRC government and military officials. The United States furthermore wields influence over the decisions of international financial institutions, from which the DRC government has requested budget support amid a recent economic downturn. Starting in 2013, the Obama Administration maintained a U.S. Special Envoy for the Great Lakes region, reporting to the Secretary of State, a position held by two former Members of Congress. Whether, and at what level, the envoy position might continue under the Trump Administration remains to be seen.

Congress has helped shape U.S. policy toward DRC through legislation and oversight activities, often focusing on human rights and democracy issues. In the 114th Congress, the House and Senate, respectively, passed H.Res. 780 and S.Res. 485, which called for punitive measures to deter President Kabila from clinging to power. Congress has also restricted certain types of aid to countries that, like DRC, have child soldiers in their military (P.L. 110-457, as amended), although the Obama Administration largely waived such restrictions for DRC. Between 2012 and 2014, the Obama Administration suspended some military aid to Rwanda, citing its support for the M23 rebel group, consistent with both the child soldiers law and provisions in foreign aid appropriations measures at the time. Members of the 114th Congress separately focused significant attention on the DRC government's decision in 2013 to suspend its issuance of exit permits for internationally adopted children. Members continue to debate the impact of §1502 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (P.L. 111-203), regarding "conflict minerals" sourced in DRC and neighboring states. (See CRS Report R42618, Conflict Minerals in Central Africa: U.S. and International Responses, and CRS Report R43639, Conflict Minerals and Resource Extraction: Dodd-Frank, SEC Regulations, and Legal Challenges.)


Democratic Republic of Congo: Background and U.S. Relations

Introduction

Cyclical conflicts in DRC have contributed to instability in Africa's Great Lakes region1 since the 1990s, spawning a long-running humanitarian crisis and fueling human rights abuses. Since 2015, the country's domestic political trajectory has sparked new concerns. President Joseph Kabila is constitutionally barred from reelection, but he has remained in office following the notional end of his second elected term in 2016 because elections have not been held as scheduled. Large street protests over electoral delays have been violently suppressed by security forces. In December 2016, Congolese Catholic bishops negotiated a political agreement between the ruling party and opposition groups that attempts to defuse the standoff. The agreement foresees a unity government and elections in 2017. However, the details of implementation are in question, and government officials have since repeatedly suggested that further election delays are likely due to financial, logistical, and security challenges.

In the east, armed groups have exploited a lack of effective governance, enabled by local zero-sum contests over land, smuggling routes, and other resources. Neighboring countries have periodically backed Congolese rebel proxies, and the security vacuum has drawn in foreign-origin militias. DRC's military has been implicated in serious human rights abuses in conflict zones, including extrajudicial killings and mass rapes. Since 2014, new insurgencies have arisen in previously relatively stable parts of the country, including in southeastern Tanganyika province (formerly northern Katanga) and the central Kasai region. Although violence appears to be primarily driven by local concerns, both areas are political opposition strongholds.

In early 2013, a U.N.-backed regional "Framework Agreement" sought to define the respective responsibilities of regional governments and donors in ending the cycle of conflict in eastern DRC. Neighboring states agreed not to sponsor DRC-based armed groups, while DRC committed to governance reforms. Later that year, the DRC military, backed by a newly created U.N. "Intervention Brigade," defeated a formidable Rwandan-backed rebel group known as the M23. The DRC government, however, has not implemented its commitments under the 2013 accord or a separate peace process with the M23, and as of early 2017 some ex-M23 combatants appeared to be remobilizing. Tensions and conflicts in neighboring Burundi, Central African Republic, and South Sudan present further challenges.

DRC is rich in minerals, water resources, and agricultural potential. The country also receives substantial international aid, with nearly $2.8 billion in total net official development assistance disbursed by all donors in 2015.2 Yet most Congolese live in poverty and some 7.5 million require humanitarian assistance.3 Due to decades of conflict, some 2.1 million Congolese are internally displaced and nearly 460,000 are refugees in nearby countries; DRC also hosts about 500,000 refugees from nearby states.4 DRC was ranked 176 out of 188 on the 2015 U.N. Human Development Index, and has among the world's lowest per-capita gross domestic product (GDP).

DRC's economy experienced strong growth during the decade that followed the formal end of a five-year civil and regional war in 2003. However, low global prices for DRC's mineral commodity exports have produced severe fiscal strains since 2016. Relations with the international financial institutions have been poor since 2012, when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) ceased its concessional lending program due to a lack of transparency in state mining contracts. Overall, DRC political actors often appear more focused on controlling resources and augmenting their personal power than on establishing stability, creating effective state institutions, and fostering socioeconomic development. The State Department's annual human rights report highlights "widespread impunity and corruption throughout the government," security force abuses, and a judiciary that is "corrupt and subject to influence."5

Figure 1. DRC at a Glance

Population: 81.3 million

Languages: French (official), Lingala (lingua franca in the west), Swahili (lingua franca in the east), local languages

Religions: Roman Catholic 50%, Protestant 20%, Kimbanguist (Christian sect) 10%, Muslim 10%, other 10%

Infant Mortality Rate: 69.8 deaths/1,000 live births (12th highest in world)

Life expectancy: 57.3 years

Median age: 18.4 years

Adult literacy: 63.8% (2015 est.)

HIV adult prevalence rate: 0.85% (2015 est.)

GDP growth/per capita: 3.9%/$473

Major exports: diamonds, copper, gold, cobalt, wood products, crude oil, coffee

Major imports: foodstuffs, mining and other machinery, transport equipment, fuels

Key trading partners: China, Zambia, South Africa, Belgium, South Korea, Zimbabwe, India (2015)

Source: Graphic created by CRS. Map generated by [author name scrubbed] using data from Esri. Figures from CIA World Factbook, World Bank, and IMF. Figures refer to 2016 estimates unless otherwise indicated.

The U.N. Organization Stabilization Mission in DRC (MONUSCO) is the world's largest U.N. peacekeeping operation, with about 18,750 uniformed personnel.6 Its mandate focuses on protecting civilians in conflict zones and supporting the DRC government's stabilization efforts in the east, tasks at which it has arguably had limited success. MONUSCO is also mandated to support the disarmament and reintegration of ex-combatants, promote political space and human rights, provide support to national elections (under certain conditions), and support the government's efforts to advance security sector reform, among other activities.7 Starting in 2013, the U.N. Security Council authorized an Intervention Brigade within MONUSCO to "neutralize" armed groups, potentially unilaterally.8 Policymakers continue to debate whether the brigade could be a useful model for other situations, such as South Sudan and Mali. Policymakers have also debated the extent to which MONUSCO should assist the troubled electoral process and how it should respond to election-related political unrest in urban areas.

Recent Congressional Actions

Congress has played a key role in shaping U.S. policy toward DRC, including through the authorization, appropriation, and oversight of U.S. aid (see Appendix). Members have often focused on human rights issues, such as high rates of sexual violence in DRC's conflict zones, the use of child soldiers by the DRC military and armed groups, and the international trade in "conflict minerals" sourced in DRC and neighboring states.9 Members of the 114th Congress held regular hearings on political and security developments in DRC and U.S. policy responses.10 President Kabila's efforts to stay in power drew particular attention in 2016, when the Senate and House each passed resolutions (S.Res. 485 and H.Res. 780) calling on the executive branch to consider punitive actions, including new targeted sanctions designations (see "U.S. Policy" below).

Members of Congress have continued to debate the wisdom and impact of Section 1502 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (P.L. 111-203), which required the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to issue a rule regulating the disclosure by U.S. firms of their use of "conflict minerals" originating in DRC or neighboring states.11 Some Members view the resulting SEC rule—issued in 2012 but partially stayed in 2014 after a court challenge—as an important contribution to international efforts to stabilize eastern DRC. Others assert that it has imposed burdensome reporting and compliance costs on U.S. firms and/or is harming the Congolese people by deterring firms from sourcing their inputs from DRC or investing in the region. In the 114th Congress, H.R. 5983, which would have repealed Section 1502 along with several other provisions of P.L. 111-203, was reported in the House. The Financial Services and General Government Appropriations Act, 2017 (H.R. 5485), which would have prohibited any funds appropriated by that act from being used to enforce the SEC rule (§1219), passed the House. New efforts to stay or weaken the SEC rule's requirements may be aided by a reported Trump Administration plan to suspend the rule, as well as by the acting SEC chairman's January 2017 directive for SEC staff to "consider whether the 2014 guidance is still appropriate and whether any additional relief is appropriate in the interim."12

Members of Congress widely condemned the DRC government's decision in 2013 to suspend the issuance of most exit permits for internationally adopted children, including those adopted by American families.13 Some Members engaged directly with top U.S. and Congolese officials on this issue. In the 114th Congress, the FY2017 Department of State Authorization Act (S. 2937) included a "Sense of the Senate" provision (§405) urging the DRC government to complete its review of all "unresolved international adoption cases" and calling upon the State Department to "continue to treat the release of internationally adopted children" from DRC as a "priority."14 In 2015, Congress passed the Adoptive Family Relief Act (P.L. 114-70), which allowed immigrant visa renewal fees to be waived for adopted children whose initial visas, issued on or after March 27, 2013, lapsed due to "extraordinary circumstances, including the denial of an exit permit."15

Congress has, at times, sought to deter Rwandan proxy interventions in DRC, for example by adopting provisions in annual foreign aid appropriations legislation between FY2010 and FY2015 that restricted Foreign Military Financing (FMF) aid to Rwanda if it were found to be supporting Congolese rebels. From FY2012 to FY2014, the Obama Administration suspended FMF for Rwanda, consistent with such provisions, after finding that Rwanda had provided support for the M23 rebellion (which Rwanda denied). Some additional military aid to Rwanda was suspended under legislation related to child soldiers. These actions, along with diplomatic efforts and other donors' decisions to suspend or redirect aid for Rwanda, appeared to contribute to a change of behavior by Rwanda and, ultimately, to the M23's military defeat.16 No such provision was included in the FY2016 foreign aid appropriations measure (enacted as Division K of P.L. 114-113), nor in House and Senate FY2017 aid appropriations bills (H.R. 5912 and S. 3117).

In recent years, U.S. engagement with DRC has been influenced by legislative restrictions on bilateral aid for countries that, like DRC, use child soldiers (Title IV of P.L. 110-457, the Child Soldiers Prevention Act of 2008 or CSPA, as amended); have a poor record on human trafficking (P.L. 106-386, the Trafficking Victims Protection Act or TVPA, as amended); or fail to display fiscal transparency (most recently P.L. 112-74, the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2012, as amended and extended into FY2013 via continuing resolutions). With regard to child soldiers, the State Department has annually designated DRC under CSPA, but President Obama partially waived aid restrictions for FY2017.17 With regard to human trafficking, in 2016, for the first time since 2009, the State Department ranked DRC "Tier 2-Watch List" instead of "Tier 3" (lowest), and thus DRC is no longer subject to aid restrictions.18 And since FY2014, the fiscal transparency provision in appropriations measures has not restricted aid (see §7031[b] of P.L. 114-113).

Background

With its resources, vast territory, and strategic location, DRC has long served as an arena of regional and international competition. "Congo Free State" was claimed in 1885 as the personal possession of Belgium's King Leopold II. His administration of the territory became notorious for its plunder of Congo's natural resources, mismanagement, and serious abuses against the local population, and the Belgian government transitioned the territory into a formal colony in 1908.19 Belgium granted Congo independence in 1960, shortly after parliamentary elections in which nationalist leader Patrice Lumumba became prime minister. The country's early years following independence were plagued by instability, including a secession movement in Katanga and an army mutiny that culminated in Lumumba's murder in 1961.20 One of the first U.N. peacekeeping operations deployed in response to the Katanga crisis in 1960 and stayed until 1964.

In 1965, Colonel Joseph Mobutu, who had been involved in the mutiny against Lumumba, seized power in a coup, gradually instituting a more centralized and authoritarian form of government. Mobutu's pursuit of a more "authentic" indigenous Congolese national identity led him to rename himself Mobutu Sese Seko and the country Zaire. Mobutu's 32-year rule was backed by U.S. and other Western support in the context of Cold War rivalry over the loyalty of African leaders.21 He also relied on fraudulent elections, brute force, and patronage networks fueled by extensive corruption, leading many analysts to brand his regime a "kleptocracy."22 At the same time, petty corruption came to constitute a crucial economic safety net for many Congolese.

Domestic and international pressures mounted on Mobutu as the Cold War drew to a close and as the aging president's health faltered. Mobutu agreed in principle to a multi-party democratic system in 1990, but he repeatedly delayed elections. State institutions and the military withered, while civil conflicts in neighboring states spilled over into DRC, diverting state resources and destabilizing local communities. In the aftermath of the 1994 Rwandan genocide, Rwandan Hutu extremists who had orchestrated the killings fled across the border and used refugee camps to remobilize against the new Tutsi-dominated Rwandan government, with reported backing from Mobutu. Rwanda launched cross-border military operations against these groups, reportedly also targeting civilians on a large scale.23 Rwanda and Uganda then backed a 1996 rebellion against Mobutu by Laurent Désiré Kabila, an exiled militant. The ensuing conflict came to be known as the "first" Congo war. With Mobutu's security forces and personal health in tatters, Kabila seized power in 1997 and renamed the country DRC. Mobutu died in exile in Morocco the same year.

Tensions among the erstwhile allies soon erupted. In 1998, amid growing popular hostility toward Rwandan soldiers as well as Congolese of Rwandan descent, Kabila announced that Rwandan troops would be expelled. This provoked a mutiny within the armed forces. Rwanda and Uganda then deployed troops into DRC and cultivated rebel groups as proxies, this time in an effort to unseat Kabila. They also fought each other. Angola, Zimbabwe, Sudan, and others intervened on Kabila's side. The conflict, dubbed "Africa's World War," led to a major humanitarian crisis, estimated by some experts to have caused (directly and indirectly) some 3.3 million deaths.24

In 2001, President Since the 2003 conclusion of "Africa's World War"—a conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) that drew in neighboring countries and reportedly caused millions of deaths—the United States and other donors have focused substantial resources on stabilizing the country. Smaller-scale insurgencies have nonetheless persisted in DRC's densely-inhabited, mineral-rich eastern provinces, causing regional instability and a long-running humanitarian crisis. In recent years, political uncertainty at the national level has sparked new unrest. Elections due in 2016 have been repeatedly delayed, leaving President Joseph Kabila—who is widely unpopular—in office well past the end of his second five-year term. State security forces have brutally cracked down on anti-Kabila street protests. Armed conflicts have worsened in the east, while new crises have emerged in previously stable areas such as the central Kasai region and southeastern Tanganyika province. An Ebola outbreak in early 2018 added to the country's humanitarian challenges, although it appears likely to be contained.

The Trump Administration has maintained a high-level concern with human rights abuses and elections in DRC. It has simultaneously altered the U.S. approach in some ways by eliminating a senior Special Envoy position created under the Obama Administration and securing a reduction in the U.N. peacekeeping operation in DRC (MONUSCO). The United States remains the largest humanitarian donor in DRC and the largest financial contributor to MONUSCO. U.S. bilateral aid to DRC totaled $362 million in FY2017, higher than previous years.

U.S. diplomatic engagement is currently focused on encouraging an electoral transfer of power—i.e., credible elections in which Kabila is not a candidate. The U.S. Permanent Representative to the U.N., Ambassador Nikki Haley, has taken a lead role, successfully calling for the release of an electoral calendar during a visit to Kinshasa in October 2017. The Administration has expanded a policy, initiated in 2016, of sanctioning prominent DRC security officials in an effort to deter human rights abuses and obstruction of the election process. It has also sanctioned allegedly corrupt businessmen close to Kabila and barred unnamed "senior DRC officials" from entering the United States. The Administration has not publicly outlined what steps it may take if elections are delayed past the current scheduled date of December 23, 2018; if Kabila runs for reelection; or if results are not credible. U.S. officials have separately assailed the DRC government over its failure to enable a credible investigation into the murder of two U.N. sanctions investigators—one of them a U.S. citizen—who were probing human rights abuses in Kasai in 2017.

Congress has shaped U.S. policy toward DRC through legislation and oversight, often focusing on human rights and democracy issues. H.R. 6207, introduced in the House in June 2018, would codify existing U.S. DRC sanctions regimes imposed via executive orders, and could compel additional designations. In the Senate, S.Res. 386 would urge the President to "use appropriate means… to deter further electoral calendar slippage and abuses against the people of Congo." In the 114th Congress, the House and Senate respectively passed H.Res. 780 and S.Res. 485, which contained similar provisions. Congress has also sought to deter Rwandan and Ugandan proxy involvement in DRC's conflicts via foreign aid appropriations legislation, most recently by restricting International Military Education and Training (IMET) funds for any government in Africa's Great Lakes region unless the Secretary of State reports that it is not "facilitating or otherwise participating in destabilizing activities in a neighboring country" (P.L. 115-141). Laws restricting U.S. aid to countries that, like DRC, use child soldiers or have poor records on combating human trafficking have also shaped U.S.-DRC relations and policy.

See also CRS Report R44402, Rwanda: In Brief; CRS Report R42618, Conflict Minerals in Central Africa: U.S. and International Responses.

Introduction

Growing unrest in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has prompted fears of a return to widespread conflict in the heart of central Africa. Elections due in 2016 have been repeatedly delayed, leaving President Joseph Kabila in office well past the end of his second five-year term. DRC has never experienced an electoral transfer of power between presidential administrations. Elections are currently scheduled for December 23, 2018; Kabila is constitutionally barred from reelection but has not publicly renounced a third-term candidacy in clear terms. State security forces have violently suppressed anti-Kabila street protests. Uncertainty over Kabila's succession has coincided with a surge in armed conflicts throughout the country. The violence appears to be driven in part by local tensions as well as apparent manipulation by political elites.

Prior to the current political impasse, international attention toward DRC was overwhelmingly focused on addressing long-running conflicts in the east, which have caused regional instability, severe human rights abuses, and an enduring humanitarian crisis. Neighboring countries have periodically backed Congolese rebel proxies, and the security vacuum has drawn in foreign-origin militias. State security forces have been implicated in serious abuses in conflict zones, including extrajudicial killings and mass rapes. Crises in neighboring Burundi, Central African Republic, and South Sudan present further challenges.

DRC is rich in minerals, freshwater, forest resources, and agricultural potential. The country also receives substantial aid, with nearly $2.1 billion in total net official development assistance in 2016.1 Most Congolese nevertheless live in poverty, and rising violence has had a severe impact on already poor humanitarian conditions. There were 4.5 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) in DRC as of early 2018, twice as many as in 2015 and one of the highest figures in the world.2 About 13.1 million people (nearly 16% of the total population) are in "dire need of assistance," according to U.N. agencies.3 Another 683,000 Congolese are refugees in neighboring countries.4 DRC was ranked 176 out of 188 on the 2016 U.N. Human Development Index and its per-capita gross domestic product (GDP) is among the world's lowest.

Industrial mining—particularly of copper and cobalt—is the mainstay of DRC's formal economy, although much of the population is engaged in informal economic activity (including small-scale artisanal mining). Economic growth was strong during the country's first decade of recovery from a 1998-2003 civil and regional war. Further growth has been constrained by poor infrastructure, corruption, and bureaucratic practices that range from incompetent to predatory. A 2015-2017 crash in global copper prices produced a fiscal crisis and double-digit inflation, although a price rebound in 2018 and a concurrent cobalt boom have improved state finances and bolstered investor interest. Relations with the international financial institutions have been poor since 2012, when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) ceased its concessional lending program due to a lack of transparency in state mining contracts. The State Department's annual human rights report describes "corruption and a lack of transparency at all levels of government."5

Figure 1. DRC at a Glance

Population: 83.3 million

Languages: French (official), Lingala (lingua franca in the west), Swahili (lingua franca in the east), local languages

Religions: Roman Catholic 50%, Protestant 20%, Kimbanguist (Christian sect) 10%, Muslim 10%, other 10%

Infant Mortality Rate: 68.2 deaths/1,000 live births (11th highest in world)

Life expectancy: 57.7 years

Median age: 18.6 years

Population under 14 years old: 42%

Adult literacy: 77% (male 89%, female 67%) (2016)

HIV adult prevalence rate: 0.7% (2016)

GDP growth / per capita: 3.8% / $478

Major exports: diamonds, copper, gold, cobalt, wood products, crude oil, coffee

Major imports: foodstuffs, mining and other machinery, transport equipment, fuels

Top trade partners: China, Zambia, South Africa, South Korea, Belgium, Saudi Arabia, Tanzania, France (2016)

Source: Map created by CRS using data from Esri (2016). Figures from CIA World Factbook (May 2018) and International Monetary Fund (IMF, April 2018); 2018 estimates unless otherwise noted.

Historical Background

With its resources, vast territory, and strategic location, DRC has long served as an arena of regional and international competition. Belgium's King Leopold II claimed "Congo Free State" as his personal possession. His administration of the territory became notorious for its plunder of Congo's natural resources, mismanagement, and egregious abuses against the local population, and the Belgian government transitioned the territory into a formal colony in 1908.6 Belgium granted Congo independence in 1960, shortly after parliamentary elections in which nationalist leader Patrice Lumumba became prime minister. The country's early years following independence were plagued by instability, including a secession movement in southeastern Katanga and an army mutiny that culminated in Lumumba's murder in 1961.7 One of the first U.N. peacekeeping operations deployed from 1960 to 1964 in response to the Katanga crisis.

In 1965, Colonel Joseph Mobutu (aka Mobutu Sese Seko), who was involved in the mutiny against Lumumba, seized power in a coup and gradually instituted a more centralized and authoritarian form of government. Mobutu's pursuit of an "authentic" indigenous Congolese national identity led him to rename the country Zaire. Mobutu's 32-year reign was backed by the United States and other Western powers in the context of Cold War rivalry in Africa.8 He also relied on fraudulent elections, brute force, and patronage networks fueled by extensive corruption, leading many analysts to brand his regime a "kleptocracy."9 At the same time, petty corruption came to constitute a crucial economic safety net for many Congolese.

Domestic and international pressures mounted on Mobutu as the Cold War drew to a close and as the aging president's health faltered. Mobutu agreed in principle to a multi-party democratic system in 1990, but he repeatedly delayed elections. State institutions and the military fractured, while civil conflicts in neighboring states spilled over into DRC, diverting state resources and destabilizing local communities. In the aftermath of the 1994 Rwandan genocide, Hutu extremists who had orchestrated the killings in Rwanda fled across the border to Zaire, where they used refugee camps to remobilize against the new Tutsi-dominated Rwandan government, reportedly with Mobutu's backing. Rwanda launched cross-border military operations against these groups, reportedly also targeting civilians on a large scale.10 Rwanda and Uganda then backed a 1996 rebellion against Mobutu by Laurent Désiré Kabila, an exiled militant. The ensuing conflict came to be known as the "first" Congo war. With Mobutu's security forces and personal health in tatters, Laurent Kabila seized power in 1997 and renamed the country DRC. Mobutu died in exile in Morocco the same year.

Tensions among the erstwhile allies soon erupted. In 1998, amid growing popular hostility toward Rwandan soldiers and Congolese of Rwandan descent who had comprised the core of his rebel army, Kabila attempted to expel these forces, provoking a mutiny. Rwanda and Uganda then deployed troops into DRC and cultivated rebel groups as proxies, this time against Kabila. The rebels also fought each other. Angola, Zimbabwe, Sudan, and others intervened on the government's side. The conflict, dubbed "Africa's World War," led to a major humanitarian crisis and is estimated by some experts to have (directly and indirectly) caused 3.3 million deaths.11

In 2001, Laurent Kabila was assassinated by one of his bodyguards. His son Joseph Kabila assumed the presidency and pushed forward with a U.N.-backed peace process. A 2002 peace accord called for foreign troops to withdraw and for Congolese rebels to be integrated into the military and government. A transitional government took office in 2003 and citizens voted overwhelmingly to adopt a new constitution in a referendum in 2005. Landmark national elections were held in 2006, the first relatively open multiparty vote in the country since independence. International observers concluded that thesethose elections were credible, despite procedural shortcomings and significant election-related violence. President Kabila won reelection, following a tense and violent run-off against former rebel leader Jean-Pierre Bemba.

Kabila was reelected in 2011 in a vote that international and domestic observers characterized as extremely flawed.25 Then-veteran12 Veteran opposition leader Etienne Tshisekediand former Prime Minister Etienne Tshisekedi, since deceased, rejected the results and proclaimed himself president, but his efforts to mobilize mass protests foundered. Kabila's People's Party for Reconstruction and Democracy (PPRD) lost seats in the legislature compared to 2006, but nonetheless assembled a majority coalition (the "Presidential Majority" or MP).

DRC's relations with Uganda, Rwanda, and Angola remain complex and volatile, although the latter is sometimes viewed as a Kabila ally. Relations with Rwanda have been periodically inflamed by xenophobia in Congo and by reports of Rwandan support for Congolese rebel groups, which have fueled xenophobia in DRC. In 2008-2009, Kabila and Rwandan President Paul Kagame agreed to reestablish diplomatic ties and subsequently launched joint military operations in DRC border regions. A 2012-2013 Rwandan-backed rebellion known as the M23 (discussed below) returned bilateral tensions to the fore, although tensions appear to have eased since then. In early 2018, the eastern province of Ituri experienced a resurgence of militia conflict that spurred a flood of refugees into Uganda and echoed similar dynamics from the early 2000s. Politics The debate over President Kabila's political future and succession has dominated national politics since 2015. DRC has never experienced an electoral transfer of presidential power. Kabila appears to be unpopular, and the ruling coalition (which includes dozens of member parties) is fractious, unlike in neighboring countries where leaders and ruling parties exercise greater political control.13. In 2008, Kabila and Rwandan President Paul Kagame reached a fragile rapprochement, leading to the reestablishment of bilateral diplomatic ties in 2009 and subsequent joint military operations in DRC border regions. The M23 conflict in 2012-2013 returned bilateral tensions to the fore, although tensions appear to have eased since then.

Politics

National politics have been subsumed by a debate over President Joseph Kabila's political future and succession. The president is limited to two consecutive elected five-year terms under DRC'sthe constitution (Art. 70), which, for Kabila, lasted until December 19, 2016. Ruling party officials in 2014 floated the idea of a constitutional amendment—despite a prohibition onThe constitution also forbids amendments to "the number andor length of the terms of office" of the president (Art. 220)—but these proposals stalled amid public opposition and apparent disagreements within the party. Most analysts assess that Kabila's supporters then turned to a different strategy to ensure that the president could remain in office, consisting of delaying elections on various technical grounds. Critics termed this strategypresidential terms. As the 2016 election date approached, the government—unable to amend or fully bypass term limits as other regional leaders have done—instead delayed the vote on various grounds. In May 2016, the Constitutional Court ruled that Kabila could remain in office until his successor is inaugurated. Critics have termed this tactic glissement ("slippage") and assailed it as unconstitutional in spirit if not in letter. In May 2016, the Constitutional Court ruled that Kabila could remain in office until an elected successor is inaugurated.26 In December 2016, the ruling coalition and opposition agreed to a deal setting a deadline for elections by the end of 2017 (see below), but it faces stark implementation obstacles.

In January 2015, street protests in Kinshasa spurred the defeat of a ruling party-backed effort to require a national census prior to elections, which had widely been seen as a delay tactic. The protests were a turning point in Congolese politics, upending previous assumptions that street unrest was unlikely to produce significant political changes because opposition groups in DRC were too divided, society too fragmented, and social trust too low.27 The protests also signaled the emergent influence of non-partisan youth activists. The security forces subsequently sought to constrain anti-government mobilization, violently suppressing protests, arresting activists, shuttering critical media outlets, and expelling international researchers.28 In 2016, as the notional deadline for elections approached, opposition party leaders and youth activists called for more protests in an effort to force Kabila to step down. Some protesters turned violent, while security forces reportedly assaulted, set on fire, shot, and killed protesters with machetes.29

These dynamics placed new pressures on the government and elevated international concerns about DRC's stability. In October 2016, an African Union (AU) mediator produced a political agreement between the government and a relatively accommodating segment of the opposition, which notionally set April 2018 as the deadline for elections. A new cabinet was appointed along with a new prime minister, Samy Badibanga, who heads a splinter faction of the opposition Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS) party. However, a larger opposition coalition known as the Rassemblement rejected the accord, and regional and Western diplomats critiqued it as insufficiently inclusive. The Rassemblement was spearheaded by two leading opposition groups: Etienne Tshisekedi's UDPS and the G7, made up of ruling party dissenters who have rallied around the popular former governor of Katanga, Moïse Katumbi.30

The October agreement's failure to defuse the political crisis led to a new mediation effort by the Congolese Conference of Catholic Bishops (CENCO). On December 31, after weeks of talks, CENCO announced a new agreement among Kabila's Presidential Majority (MP) coalition, the Rassemblement, and various other stakeholders. Under the deal, President Kabila is to stay president pending elections; a new and more empowered prime minister is to be nominated by the Rassemblement; presidential, legislative, and provincial elections are to be held together and by the end of 2017; Kabila may not run for a third term; and there may be no constitutional changes before the elections.31 The agreement also commits the government to various "confidence-building" steps regarding political prisoners and media restrictions. However, implementation has stalled amid new disagreements among the parties, raising the possibility that the accord could be stillborn. In early 2017, Etienne Tshisekedi—who had been set to preside over an implementation oversight body—died after a long illness, potentially reshaping the political landscape in DRC and further plunging the status of the accord into uncertainty.

Developments Affecting the Electoral Calendar, 2015-2016

Census Law. In January 2015, the government backed a draft law that would have required a national census prior to elections, which most observers asserted would delay voting by several years. Amid large street protests, the Senate ultimately amended the bill to remove the census requirement.

Election Sequencing. The Independent National Electoral Commission (CENI) issued a complex electoral calendar in February 2015 in which presidential and legislative elections were to follow a series of local- and provincial-level elections. From the outset, opposition leaders and many analysts denounced the timetable as impossible, asserting that the CENI should instead prioritize presidential and legislative elections by late November 2016.32 CENI officials ultimately stated that they could not organize national elections without a political consensus on sequencing.

Redistricting. In February 2015, parliament passed a law mandating découpage, that is, the administrative subdivision of DRC's 11 provinces into 26, a previously unimplemented constitutionally required reform. In addition to creating a new logistical hurdle for elections, découpage was politically advantageous for Kabila. Rival Moïse Katumbi was forced to step down from the governorship of Katanga province (which was subdivided into four), and in indirect elections to select new interim governors, Kabila allies won a majority of the new posts.33

Election Financing. In December 2015, CENI members warned that the government had failed to fully disburse funds appropriated by parliament for elections.34 The government later stated that it was making disbursements, but top officials indicated that the government would not be able to cover the full cost of the elections cycle, which the CENI has estimated at $1.8 billion.35

Voter Registration. In May 2016, the CENI announced that voter registration would recommence from scratch, following a dispute over whether the 2011 voter rolls could be repurposed for 2016.36 A new national voter registration drive began in July and is expected to include diaspora Congolese for the first time.37 In August, CENI president Corneille Nangaa stated that registration alone would take at least a year, and likely over 17 months.38

Conflict in the East

Civilians have been the primary victims of brutal violence in DRC's mineral-rich, agriculturally fertile, and densely inhabited eastern provinces. Conflict has been especially acute in the Kivus and adjacent Ituri, together an epicenter of regional unrest since the 1990s. The spillover of conflicts in Rwanda and Burundi at that time aggravated long-standing tensions in the region between and among communities self-identified as "indigenous" and those that trace their origins (however distant) to Rwanda. Violence has been driven by deep-rooted tensions over access to land and citizenship rights, localized disputes, and organized criminal activity, as well as regional geopolitics. Rwanda and Uganda have periodically reportedly backed various rebel groups, although foreign proxy warfare has been less evident since the defeat in 2013 of the Rwandan-backed M23 insurgency. In addition to militia factions, the national military (FARDC) and other state security forces have also been implicated in atrocities, including during counter-insurgency operations and as part of illicit involvement in mining.39

Security Sector Reform (SSR) in DRC

The roughly 135,000-person40 Armed Forces of DRC (FARDC, after its French acronym) was forged at the end of the 1998-2003 war from disparate armed groups and elements of the deteriorated Mobutu-era army. FARDC troops reportedly are not provided with consistent training, are poorly and inconsistently paid, and are not given adequate food or supplies. These shortages may encourage looting and other abuses. The cyclical integration of rebel and militia groups into the FARDC has reportedly contributed to internal disarray. The police, judiciary, intelligence service, and other security institutions also display limited capacity and a record of corruption and abuse.

The 2013 Framework Agreement commits the DRC government "to continue, and deepen security sector reform," reflecting long-running arguments by analysts and donors that SSR is essential to improving regional security, respect for human rights, and fiscal stability. Since 2005, donors have supported a number of programs identified as supporting SSR, focusing on the military, police, and justice sector. These include MONUSCO-led police and military training; a European Union advisory mission known as EUSEC; and bilateral train-and-equip programs administered by countries including United States, France, Belgium, South Africa, Angola, and China. To date, the success of such efforts has been undermined by a lack of strategic planning and coordination; conflicting policy goals (e.g., structural reform versus rebel integration); limited judicial capacity; and an apparent lack of political will.

Particular international attention has been paid to the issue of sexual and gender-based violence in DRC. Its scale and brutality are extreme in conflict-affected areas, with reports of gang rape, mutilation, and other abuses by elements of the FARDC and armed groups. Such violence may be opportunistic and/or designed to systematically intimidate local populations. Its prevalence has been attributed to factors such as the eroded status of women, weak state authority, a deeply flawed justice system, and a breakdown in community protection mechanisms. While women and girls are the primary targets, men and boys have also been victims. As with other human rights problems, sexual violence has also been linked to structural problems within the security sector. Donor efforts to improve accountability for perpetrators of serious abuses have had limited systemic impact: despite legal reforms, diplomatic pressure, and aid programs, most cases are reportedly never formally investigated or prosecuted.

U.N. peacekeepers have been criticized for failing to protect civilians in DRC, a symptom of tension between MONUSCO's wide-ranging mandate, on the one hand, and stark logistical challenges paired with shortfalls of capacity and political will among troop contributors. U.N. personnel serving in DRC have also been implicated in sexual abuse and exploitation. Separately, members of a FARDC battalion that deployed as peacekeepers to neighboring Central African Republic in 2014-2015 were implicated in sexual violence, and were ultimately made to withdraw from the U.N. peacekeeping mission there in early 2016.

Key Foreign-Origin Armed Groups

Multiple armed groups are active in eastern DRC, including "Mai Mai" militias (disparate groups that operate as a combination of self-defense networks and criminal rackets) as well as foreign-origin groups that have long sought safe-haven and illicit revenues in the area. These include the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR), founded by perpetrators of the 1994 Rwandan genocide, and the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF), an obscure group of Ugandan origin that has been implicated in large-scale massacres. In 2016, armed elements of South Sudan's anti-government rebel movement, the SPLM-iO, also entered DRC. Smaller foreign-origin groups include elements of the Burundian former rebel group the National Liberation Forces (FNL) and the Ugandan-origin Lord's Resistance Army (LRA).

The FDLR. The FDLR is among the largest armed groups in eastern DRC, with some 1,000-2,500 combatants as of 2015.41 Formed in 2000, it has been implicated in severe violence against civilians as well as illicit economic activity. The FDLR and several key figures are designated for U.N. and U.S. sanctions, and alleged supreme commander Sylvestre Mudacumura is subject to an International Criminal Court (ICC) arrest warrant. Rwanda views the FDLR as a national security threat, noting that its founders helped perpetrate the genocide and have vowed to overthrow the Rwandan government. The FDLR's activities nonetheless appear primarily oriented toward self-preservation within DRC: the group has not launched major attacks on Rwanda since the early 2000s and it is deeply enmeshed in the political economy of the Kivus region.

The FDLR's complex embedded relationship with civilian communities makes it a challenging target for counterinsurgency operations. FARDC operations since 2009 appear to have weakened the group, but they have also reportedly produced large-scale abuses by both sides. Local-level collusion among elements of the FARDC and the FDLR is also periodically reported. MONUSCO and Rwanda have pursued efforts to entice FDLR members to desert and undergo voluntary repatriation, while supporting continued military pressure. In 2014, some regional leaders endorsed a notional voluntary disarmament plan, despite Rwandan and Western opposition; the plan appeared to produce little concrete impact. International calls for joint FARDC-MONUSCO operations against the FDLR in the aftermath of the M23's defeat were largely stymied by a lack of political will on the part of key U.N. troop contributors (namely South Africa and Tanzania), along with DRC's decision in 2015 to appoint military commanders that could not pass U.N. human rights vetting.

The FARDC has since conducted unilateral operations, with periodic MONUSCO support. It has also reportedly backed local militias at odds with the FDLR. As of late 2015, U.N. sanctions monitors reported that the FDLR's "top-level leadership, troop strength and overall military capacity remained largely intact."42 However, in 2016, counter-FDLR efforts appeared to bear significant fruit, and sanctions monitors reported at year's end that the group had been riven by internal divisions and defections. At the same time, they reported that the FDLR had increased its "collaboration" with Congolese groups that "act as force multipliers."43 Some observers warn that the FARDC's cultivation of militias to fight the FDLR could thus sow the seeds of new conflict.44

The ADF. The ADF, estimated at 1,200-1,500 armed combatants as of 2013,45 was founded in 1995 with the reported aim of establishing an Islamic state in Uganda. It is designated for U.N. and U.S. sanctions. The group appears to be broadly influenced by Islamist ideology, although its motivations are unclear and its structure opaque. Since 2014, increasingly brutal attacks on civilians—including a series of large massacres that have killed hundreds of civilians in the North Kivu territory of Beni—have made it a growing target of international attention. The Ugandan and DRC governments assert that the ADF is linked to the Somali Al Qaeda affiliate Al Shabaab, but many .14

In December 2016, the Congolese National Conference of Catholic Bishops (CENCO) brokered an agreement between the ruling Presidential Majority (MP) coalition and opposition groups. Under this "St. Sylvestre" accord, Kabila could remain president pending elections, in exchange for commitments to hold a vote in 2017, refrain from any changes to the constitution in the meantime, appoint opposition members to key government posts, and lift restrictions on opposition figures and media.15 However, elections were further delayed and political restrictions have remained in place. In November 2017, the Independent National Electoral Commission (CENI) scheduled presidential, legislative, and provincial elections for December 23, 2018. The announcement appeared to reflect rising pressures on Kabila, including from Angola, an influential regional player.16 The announcement also came shortly after U.S. Permanent Representative to the U.N. Nikki Haley visited Kinshasa and called for a vote by the end of 2018.

A domestic protest movement calling for elections and a peaceful political transition has emerged since 2015, when youth demonstrators successfully fended off a legislative proposal to hold elections only after completion of a national census. Organizers have included nonpartisan activists, opposition parties, and—most recently—Catholic Lay organizations. The security forces have responded by violently suppressing many demonstrations, opening fire on marches, arresting activists, shuttering critical media outlets, and expelling international researchers.17 In December 2017 and January 2018, security forces besieged Catholic churches where marchers had gathered.18 The size of protests and strikes has decreased over time, possibly due to fear and protest fatigue among ordinary citizens.

The prospects for a credible process appear dim. The CENI has described the December 23 date as contingent on various legal, financial, and logistical "constraints."19 Observers have raised concerns about apparent political interference and mismanagement, citing enduring state restrictions on opposition activism, a CENI proposal to introduce electronic voting machines procured from a dubious contractor, problems with the voter registry, and the CENI's questionable financial management.20 Western donors have largely suspended direct support to the CENI due to transparency concerns, leading the government to reject such assistance as a form of "foreign interference."21 Some protesters and opposition leaders have called for a "transition without Kabila"22—i.e., for Kabila to step down in favor of a nonpartisan transitional government that would organize elections—but this appears unlikely to materialize.

Divisions within the opposition present a challenge. The death in February 2017 of veteran opposition leader Etienne Tshisekedi—who had been set to preside over an oversight body for the St. Sylvestre accord—reshaped the political landscape and presaged deep splits within the opposition. The Rassemblement ("Rally") opposition alliance that signed the St. Sylvestre agreement has splintered, although various opposition leaders continue to float the idea of backing a single candidate for the presidency. Former Katanga province governor and ruling party defector Moïse Katumbi, seen by some observers as a likely opposition front-runner, has declared his candidacy but remains in exile, citing what he characterizes as politically motivated criminal charges and personal safety concerns. Other presumed contenders include Felix Tshisekedi, Etienne's son and leader of the Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS) party; Vital Kamerhe, a former head of the National Assembly who heads the Union for the Congolese Nation (UNC) party; and Adolphe Muzito, a former Prime Minister who heads the Unified Lumumbist Party (PALU).23 A June 2018 International Criminal Court (ICC) appeals decision to overturn the criminal conviction of Jean-Pierre Bemba, a former rebel leader and Kabila's top challenger in 2006, has injected another layer of competition.

Some observers predict further delays, while others point to calls by some Kabila supporters for the president to run for a third term—which would violate both the St. Sylvestre agreement and, arguably, the constitution.24 Some anticipate that Kabila may designate someone as his successor, possibly assisted by electoral fraud and an uneven playing field. Such a transition could potentially be accepted by regional leaders and donors but rejected by many Congolese.25 Other conceivable scenarios include a military or palace coup, and/or an insurgent effort to seize control, either of which would presumably be more likely to occur if externally backed.26

Security and Humanitarian Trends

Uncertainty over Kabila's political future has coincided with a surge in conflicts throughout the country.27 Enduring hotspots in the east have flared, while new ones have emerged in previously stable areas, notably the central Kasai region (a stronghold of the opposition UDPS party) and southeastern Tanganyika province. Violence also erupted in northeastern Ituri province in early 2018, sometimes described as interethnic but reportedly fueled by competition over political influence and resource extraction.28 In some areas, government officials have allegedly sought to bolster Kabila's political support by intervening in delicate local power dynamics, while elsewhere, armed groups appear to be jockeying for position in anticipation of a power vacuum.29 The conflicts in Kasai and Tanganyika alone have caused the displacement of nearly 2 million people since 2016.30 Political unrest in urban areas, a string of prison breaks, and attacks in Kinshasa by members of an opaque religious sect have contributed to worsening insecurity.31

The conflict in Kasai, which was triggered when state security forces killed a traditional leader in 2016, has spawned a serious humanitarian crisis featuring widespread atrocities, the recruitment and abuse of children, and severe food insecurity.32 U.N. officials have documented at least 87 mass graves in the region. The DRC government has blamed the violence on a shadowy anti-government militia known as Kamuina Nsapu, while U.N. human rights investigators assert that the Congolese military and state-backed militias are responsible for the majority of killings.33 In March 2017, two U.N. sanctions investigators were murdered in Kasai while examining human rights abuses, and four Congolese who were with them disappeared. Researchers have reported evidence of state security force involvement.34

Conflict and displacement have driven widespread food insecurity in DRC, which has ample surface water and arable land. Pest infestations and weather patterns also periodically limit harvests. The number of Congolese experiencing acute food insecurity jumped by 30% between 2016 and 2017, to nearly 7.7 million people as of December 2017.35 Areas projected to experience acute food insecurity in 2018 overlap with emergent conflicts in Kasai, Tanganyika, and Ituri.36 Populations in long-running conflict zones in North and South Kivu continue to suffer abuses and displacement, but may have better access to international humanitarian aid.

The government's relations with humanitarian donors have worsened as the United States and European Union have criticized electoral delays and imposed sanctions on DRC officials. In April 2018, the government refused to participate in a U.N.-convened donor conference in Geneva, accusing those appealing for funds of mounting "a demonization campaign" and asserting that "there is no humanitarian crisis here."37 The government subsequently called for donors to send aid funds directly to a state agency.38 Aid organizations have reported increasing bureaucratic impediments to operating in DRC, and a draft bill that would regulate nongovernmental organizations would reportedly impose new constraints.39

Conflict in Eastern DRC

Civilians have been the primary victims of 25 years of brutal violence in DRC's mineral-rich, agriculturally fertile, and densely inhabited eastern provinces. State security forces—notably including the national military, known as the FARDC—have been implicated in atrocities, including during counter-insurgency operations and as part of illicit involvement in mining. Conflict has been driven by tensions over access to land and citizenship rights, localized disputes, organized criminal activity, and regional geopolitics. Notably, the spillover of conflicts from Rwanda and Burundi in the early 1990s aggravated long-standing tensions between and among communities self-identified as "indigenous" and those that trace their origins to Rwanda. Anti-Rwandan sentiment, at times expressed as ethnic hatred, has endured as a recurrent theme in national politics and in grassroots dynamics in the east.

Since the end of the 1998-2003 civil and regional war, cyclical smaller-scale rebellions in the east have reportedly drawn backing from Rwanda and escalated into regional crises. Rwanda's proxy involvement in conflicts in eastern DRC may have been motived by various factors, including its own national security concerns, solidarity with cross-border ethnic communities, and economic motivations.40 The most recent example was a 2012-2013 rebellion known as the M23, which originated as a mutiny among members of a Rwandan-backed insurgent group who had been integrated into the national military.41

Under a U.N.-brokered regional "Framework Agreement" signed in early 2013, neighboring states agreed to respect DRC's sovereignty and not to sponsor DRC-based armed groups, while the DRC government committed to reforms. Later that year, the DRC military, backed by a newly created U.N. "Intervention Brigade," defeated the M23. To date, the DRC government has not fully implemented its commitments under the 2013 accord or a separate peace process with the M23. In 2017, Human Rights Watch reported that senior DRC security officers had recruited ex-M23 members to suppress protests and protect President Kabila.42

Multiple armed groups remain active in eastern DRC, including "Mai Mai" militias—disparate groups that operate variously as self-defense networks and criminal rackets—as well as groups of foreign origin seeking safe haven and illicit revenues. These include the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR), founded by perpetrators of the 1994 Rwandan genocide, and the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF), a Ugandan-origin group implicated in large massacres. Elements of the South Sudanese rebel movement known as the SPLM-iO have also entered DRC. Smaller foreign-origin groups include elements of the Burundian former rebel group the National Liberation Forces (FNL) and the Ugandan-origin Lord's Resistance Army (LRA).

Key Foreign-Origin Armed Groups in Eastern DRC: the FDLR and ADF

The FDLR. The FDLR is among the largest armed groups in eastern DRC, with some 1,000-2,500 combatants as of 2015, although subsequent factional splits appear to have weakened the group.43 Formed in 2000 by extremists implicated in the 1994 Rwandan genocide, the FDLR has been implicated in severe abuses and illicit economic activity. The FDLR and several of its leaders are subject to U.N. and U.S. sanctions, and alleged commander Sylvestre Mudacumura is the target of an ICC arrest warrant. Rwanda views the FDLR as a national security threat, noting that its founders have vowed to overthrow the Rwandan government. The FDLR has not launched a major attack on Rwanda since the early 2000s, however, and its activities appear primarily oriented toward self-preservation in DRC.

The FDLR's complex embedded relationship with civilian communities makes it a challenging target for military operations. FARDC-led operations since 2009, some of which have been jointly carried out with Rwandan forces or local militias, have weakened the group, but they have also reportedly produced large-scale abuses on all sides. Local-level collusion between elements of the FARDC and the FDLR is also periodically reported. MONUSCO and Rwanda have sought to entice FDLR members to defect and undergo voluntary repatriation to Rwanda, while also encouraging continued military pressure. International calls for joint FARDC-MONUSCO operations against the FDLR in the aftermath of the M23's 2013 defeat were largely stymied by a lack of political will on the part of key U.N. troop contributors (namely South Africa and Tanzania), along with DRC's decision to appoint military commanders that could not benefit from MONUSCO logistical support because they did not pass U.N. human rights vetting.

In 2016, the FARDC's tactic of supporting local militias to counter the FDLR appeared to bear fruit, leading sanctions monitors to report that the group had been riven by internal divisions and defections. At the same time, the FDLR increased its "collaboration" with other Congolese groups that "act as force multipliers."44 Some observers have warned that the FARDC's cultivation of militias to fight the FDLR could sow the seeds of new conflict.

The ADF. The ADF, estimated at 1,200-1,500 combatants as of 2013,45 was founded in 1995 as an Islamist-inspired Ugandan opposition group. It is subject to U.N. and U.S. sanctions. The ADF's motivations are unclear and its structure opaque. Uganda and DRC assert that the ADF is linked to the Somali Al Qaeda affiliate Al Shabaab, but analysts are more circumspect.46 analysts are more circumspect.46

FARDC and MONUSCO operations since 2014 appear to have splintered the ADF, and founder Jamil Mukulu was arrested in 2015 in Tanzania and subsequently extradited to Uganda. The group nonetheless apparently continues to operate and recruit from the sub-region.47 Reports of security force complicity in ADF activities have sparked growing anti-government ire in affected areas. The independent Congo Research Group, notably, reported in 2016 on "extensive evidence indicating that members of the FARDC have actively participated in massacres."48 U.N. human rights investigators earlier reported that "involvement of FARDC military units [in extrajudicial killings] could be explained by long-standing ties between some of them and the ADF in the territory of Beni, especially in relation to the illegal exploitation of natural resources."49

The M23 Crisis (2012-2013)

In 2012, a rebel group known as the M23 emerged as a mutiny of soldiers who had been integrated into the FARDC under a 2009 peace accord with a reportedly Rwandan-backed rebel group known as the National Congress for the Defense of the People (CNDP).50 According to a wide range of reports, the M23 received substantial support from Rwanda, with U.N. sanctions monitors referring to additional, more "subtle" support from Uganda.51

The M23's seizure of the city of Goma in November 2012 prompted a flurry of international diplomatic action. The result was the "Framework Agreement" that DRC and all of its neighbors signed in February 2013, which aimed to define the respective responsibilities of the DRC government, neighboring states, and donors in ending cyclical conflict in the east. Regional leaders committed to respect DRC's sovereignty and not to provide support to DRC-based armed groups, while DRC leaders committed to institutional reforms, the extension of state authority in the east, political decentralization, and national reconciliation. The signatories also agreed to pursue regional economic integration.

In the second half of 2013, the FARDC, backed by MONUSCO's Intervention Brigade, conducted a string of successful operations against the M23, reversing a pattern of military setbacks. Observers pointed to several possible explanatory factors, including improvements in the FARDC's command structure; support from the Intervention Brigade, made up of troops from other African countries (notably South Africa and Tanzania) that were at odds with Rwanda at the time; and an apparent cessation of Rwandan support to the M23. These developments also followed a split in the M23 and the surrender in Rwanda of one faction leader, Bosco Ntaganda, who was transferred to the ICC to stand trial for alleged crimes in Ituri. Ultimately, the M23 agreed to end its rebellion in exchange for various guarantees in December 2013. However, few ex-fighters were demobilized, and hundreds remained in camps in Uganda and Rwanda as of early 2016.52 In early 2017, some elements appeared to be reorganizing, with uncertain effects.

Rwanda's Involvement in DRC Conflicts

According to numerous reports, Rwanda has periodically provided support for Congolese armed groups since the mid-1990s.53 Such actions may be motivated by various factors. First, Rwandan officials view the situation in eastern DRC as a national security concern. Rwandan officials regularly contend that the DRC has failed to rein in—and indeed has, at times, collaborated with—anti-Rwandan armed groups operating on Congolese soil, such as the FDLR. Second, Rwandan officials often point to Congolese state and grassroots efforts to deny land, citizenship, and other rights to ethnic communities of Rwandan origin in the DRC, and to periodic local violence targeting these communities—suggesting that they require protection. A third potential motivation is economic: some observers contend that Rwandans have profited from natural resource smuggling in eastern DRC.54

While officials from DRC and Rwanda regularly blame each other for security problems in the sub-region, the two countries renewed diplomatic ties in 2009 and have occasionally engaged in joint military operations. Anti-Rwandan sentiment, at times expressed as ethnic hatred or xenophobia, is a recurrent theme in DRC politics and in socio-political dynamics in the east. President Kabila's domestic and diaspora critics sometimes assert that their vast, mineral-rich country has been weakened and manipulated by its smaller, stronger neighbor and its purported ethnic proxies in the Kivus. Such rhetoric underscores the perils for DRC politicians of engaging in talks with Rwandan leaders or of making political concessions to various ethnic communities in the east.

MONUSCO: Current Issues

Tensions between MONUSCO and the DRC government have grown since 2014 amid international criticism of DRC's democratic trajectory, human rights abuses, and failure to implement peace agreements with armed groups and neighboring states. In 2015, MONUSCO ceased its logistical support to DRC military operations against the FDLR after the government appointed commanding generals who had been implicated in serious human rights abuses.55 MONUSCO has since provided some ad-hoc support for FARDC operations against the ADF and Ituri-based militias, and in early 2016, MONUSCO and the government reached an agreement to resume some U.N. support for operations against the FDLR. The mission has struggled to respond to political violence (including in Kinshasa) and to emergent insurgencies in the central Kasai region, Tanganyika province, and elsewhere.

The DRC government has repeatedly requested a MONUSCO drawdown, though some Security Council members are reportedly concerned about force reductions in the lead-up to elections.56 In 2015, the Security Council endorsed a withdrawal of 2,000 troops—recommended by the U.N. Secretary-General—while maintaining the mission's authorized troop ceiling (and thus, the flexibility to increase troop numbers if needed).57 In renewing MONUSCO's mandate in 2016, the Security Council stated its intention to eventually make this reduction permanent through a revised troop ceiling, but only "once significant progress has been achieved"—and declined to endorse further reductions than those recommended by the U.N. Secretary-General.

Urban political unrest since 2015 has presented new challenges for MONUSCO, which as of 2014 had deployed the bulk of its uniformed personnel to conflict-affected areas in the east. MONUSCO's mandate instructs the mission to protect civilians "including […] in the context of elections"—a provision introduced in 2016 that goes beyond its previous mandate to "monitor, report, and follow-up on" election-related abuses.58 The new language may have "contributed to expectations among Congolese civil society that the mission will protect them from political repression by the government."59 However, the mission's mandate instructs it to work with the DRC government, and its ability to operate is de facto contingent on government acceptance.

Wildlife Poaching in Eastern DRC

U.S. intelligence agencies have characterized DRC as one of several African countries where "poaching presents significant security challenges."60 According to a 2011 assessment by the U.N. Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), "despite the smaller size of the DRC's elephant population compared to its neighbors to the south and east, it appears to contribute disproportionately to the illicit ivory supply."61 Ivory poaching is prevalent, notably, in two national parks located in conflict-affected areas of the east and northeast: Virunga (Africa's oldest national park) and Garamba. A range of actors reportedly participate, including elements of the state security forces, Congolese militias, Sudanese poaching syndicates, and the Ugandan-origin Lord's Resistance Army (LRA). According to the World Wildlife Fund, 140 Virunga rangers have been killed "in the line of duty" since 1996.62

According to U.N. sanctions monitors, elephant poaching and ivory trafficking present a "catastrophic threat" to elephant survival in DRC, but "the widespread disappearance of elephant populations has made it an ever-diminishing and increasingly marginal source of armed group financing."63 U.N. sanctions monitors have highlighted poaching activity in Garamba national park, which reportedly lost at least 114 elephants to poaching in 2015. Poachers continued to use helicopters to hunt elephants in Garamba in 2015, though the U.N. Group of Experts reported that no such incidents were documented after the park promulgated a policy late in the year under which its guards will open fire on helicopters flying below 3,000 feet without prior clearance. The LRA reportedly profits from DRC elephant poaching by smuggling ivory from Garamba to Sudan for eventual export, according to research by the non-governmental Enough Project.64

The Economy

DRC has some of the largest natural resource endowments in the world. The vast majority of the population nonetheless depends on subsistence agriculture for survival, and outside of major cities and industrial mining zones, economic activity is often carried out within a broad informal sector. The reestablishment of relations with international financial institutions after the 1998-2003 war improved DRC's macroeconomic stability, but in 2012, the IMF ended its concessional loan program due to concerns about a lack of transparency in mining contracts.

Since 2015, DRC has experienced a fiscal crisis due to falling global prices for copper and other minerals whose exports are the mainstay of the country's formal economy.65 The economy grew by 9.2% in 2014, but growth fell to 6.9% in 2015 and dropped further to 3.9% in 2016.66 The country ran budget deficits in 2015 and 2016, as some major investors pulled back or divested of their assets. Notably, in 2016, the U.S.-based multinational Freeport McMoRan decided to unload its controlling stake in DRC's largest industrial mine, the Tenke Fungurume copper concession in Katanga, to a Chinese company, in an effort to alleviate its mounting global debt. The African Development Bank (AfDB) declined in July 2016 to provide budget support, indicating that political uncertainty related to DRC's elections process was "preventing donors from responding positively to the country's call for appropriate assistance."67

DRC was ranked 184 out of 190 countries in the World Bank's 2017 Doing Business Report, despite some efforts by the government to improve conditions. The State Department has reported on a number of obstacles to foreign investment, including underdeveloped infrastructure, inadequate contract enforcement, limited access to credit, continued insecurity in the east, inadequate property rights protection, high levels of bureaucratic red tape and corruption, a shortage of skilled labor, and a lack of reliable electricity.68 In addition, domestic law requires that Congolese hold a majority stake in all agriculture investments, which is seen as a significant impediment to foreign investment.69

DRC's sovereign debt declined from 136% of GDP in 2009 to around 21% by 2014, after the country qualified in 2010 for multilateral debt relief worth $12.3 billion under the World Bank- and IMF-led Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative.70 Stated conditions for the debt cancellation included improved economic management, governance, poverty reduction, and social service delivery. Some analysts questioned whether the World Bank and IMF moved ahead too quickly, thereby losing policy leverage in the absence of significant advances in governance and the business environment.71

The Mining Sector: Policy Concerns

Countries in the region, multilateral institutions, some private-sector firms, and donors (including the United States) have advanced various methods and models for reducing the international trade in "conflict minerals"—that is, designated ores that are alleged to fuel conflict in central Africa. Conflict mineral exports from DRC are associated with the informal, artisanal mining sector in the east. In 2016, U.N. sanctions monitors reported that due diligence measures focusing on tin, tantalum, and tungsten had successfully deprived armed groups of some opportunities to benefit from illicit mineral extraction, but that "supply chains face numerous challenges, such as the involvement of FARDC elements, corruption of government officials and smuggling and leakage of minerals from non-validated mining sites into the legitimate supply chain."72 The U.N. Group of Experts also reported that the absence of similar traceability schemes for gold—due in large part to gold's high value relative to its size, which renders small-scale smuggling highly profitable—had hindered efforts to fully eradicate conflict minerals.73

The vast majority of state revenues from the mining sector come not from artisanal mining in the Kivus, but from large-scale industrial cobalt and copper mining operations in the relatively stable southeast (formerly Katanga province), in which the parastatal Gécamines partners with multinational firms. International concerns related to the formal mining sector have focused on corruption, mismanagement, shortfalls in property rights, regulatory uncertainty, and poor labor conditions. In 2014 (latest available), DRC accounted for 47% of the world's cobalt reserves and produced 51% of the world's supply, along with 27% of natural industrial diamonds and 20% of tantalum.74 China is the largest consumer of Congolese copper and cobalt, and is also DRC's largest overall trading partner, consuming 43.1% of DRC's exports and contributing 17.7% of its imports in 2015.75 China has emerged as a major investor in the country since 2007, when it pledged over $6 billion in loans to DRC for infrastructure, which were expected to be repaid through joint-venture mining operations.76

A lack of transparency with regard to mining deals has been a perennial area of focus. Notably, an independent investigation into five mining concessions sold between 2010 and 2012 reported that DRC lost at least $1.36 billion from underpricing those assets in complex deals featuring offshore companies and two multinational mining corporations, Glencore and the Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation (ENRC).77 Intermediary companies involved in the deals were linked to companies owned by Dan Gertler, an Israeli businessman with reputedly close ties to President Kabila.78 Gertler has come under new scrutiny in the context of ongoing U.S. investigations into violations of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act by a global asset management group, Och-Ziff, which agreed in September 2016 to pay $413 million in civil and criminal penalties.79 Och-Ziff had reportedly invested heavily in Gertler's operations in DRC.

After the IMF ceased its lending to DRC in 2012, it again accused the country in June 2015 of failing to disclose the sale of a mining concession partially owned by Gécamines, in alleged violation of Congolese law and the terms of an agreement between DRC and the World Bank.80 The pace of such incidents appeared to escalate in 2016 as the DRC government faced a growing fiscal crisis. In early 2016, Global Witness, an international transparency NGO, accused Gécamines of failing to release details regarding a planned joint venture with the China Nonferrous Metal Mining Company (CNMC).81 In April, Gécamines allegedly sold a stake in an ENRC project without disclosing the transaction, according to news reports.82 Global Witness subsequently criticized Gécamines for declining to make public the terms of a deal to sign over royalty rights in "its most lucrative mining project," Glencore's KCC copper project, to an offshore company owned by Gertler.83 In early 2017, after Gécamines agreed to lift its objections to the Tenke Fungurume copper concession sale, news reports indicated that the parastatal had received $33 million from U.S. seller Freeport McMoran in a settlement deal for which the full terms were not made public.84

Transparency concerns have also been raised concerning DRC's nascent oil sector. In 2014, independent researchers accused a British oil company, SOCO, of bribing DRC military commanders to intimidate opponents of exploration efforts in DRC's Virunga National Park, a UNESCO World Heritage site.85 SOCO later announced that it had ceased operations there.

U.S. Policy

The Obama Administration characterized DRC as "a strategic priority for the United States due to its size, location, and role in the Great Lakes region."86 The State Department stated that U.S. policy toward DRC was "focused on helping the country become a nation that is stable and democratic, at peace with its neighbors, extends state authority across its territory, and provides for the basic needs of its citizens."87 Such policies have been pursued through diplomatic engagement, aid programs, targeted sanctions, and actions in the U.N. Security Council. The United States has also supported Ugandan-led regional military operations against the LRA.88

Starting in 2013, the Obama Administration maintained a U.S. Special Envoy for the Great Lakes region, elevating U.S. policy deliberations and diplomatic efforts to address challenges such as the M23 crisis and the political standoff over President Kabila's succession. The post was first filled by former Senator Russ Feingold, and subsequently by former Member of Congress Tom Perriello. Envoy Perriello focused particularly on efforts to produce a roadmap toward a peaceful electoral transfer of power in 2016, as part of a broader Administration policy to encourage respect for presidential term limits in Africa. Perriello acknowledged that the term limits policy—which also shaped U.S. responses to developments in neighboring Burundi, Rwanda, and the Republic of Congo (Brazzaville)—had not always produced desired results, but asserted that it was aimed at promoting economic and political stability, in addition to democratic norms.89

In August 2016, then-Envoy Perriello called on Kabila to commit publicly to stepping down at the end of his term. He called for a "negotiated solution" on the timing of elections, warning that other scenarios "could involve violence."90 Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs Linda Thomas-Greenfield had similarly characterized attempts by Kabila to remain in office as having "potentially disastrous results for the people of the DRC and the region."91 While the AU-backed political dialogue in 2016 was controversial in DRC, the State Department called for Congolese political leaders to "seize the opportunity" and offered support to AU mediator Edem Kodjo.92 Perriello subsequently voiced strong support for the CENCO-led dialogue as the best way to avert an escalating crisis in late 2016.93 Obama Administration officials also repeatedly criticized the DRC government's repression of opposition leaders and civil society activists.94

Successive U.S. Administrations have used executive orders to bring targeted sanctions against individuals and groups seen as orchestrating conflict or committing gross human rights abuses in DRC. U.S. sanctions designations have implemented a multilateral DRC sanctions regime authorized by the U.N. Security Council, which is focused on enforcing a U.N. arms embargo against non-state actors. U.S. designations have also gone beyond the U.N. list. In 2014, President Obama issued Executive Order 13671, amending and expanding Executive Order 13413 (2006) to add as grounds for targeted sanctions any "actions or policies that undermine democratic processes or institutions" in DRC, in addition to other changes.

In 2016, the Obama Administration unilaterally designated DRC state officials for sanctions for the first time, in an apparent effort to force political concessions as well as to deter security force abuses. The Administration ultimately designated five senior sitting or former officials in connection with abusing civilians, threatening stability, or undermining democratic processes. The latest designations, issued in December 2016, targeted then-Interior Minister Evariste Boshab ("a key player in leading DRC President Kabila's strategy to remain in power") and Kalev Mutondo (on the grounds that he had orchestrated efforts to tilt the electoral playing field and suppress opposition groups).95 The European Union also designated DRC officials for the first time in 2016. However, there does not appear to be consensus among other U.N. Security Council member states to similarly broaden the scope of the multilateral sanctions regime.96

U.S. officials began to openly express concern with presidential succession in DRC several years before the scheduled 2016 elections. During a visit to DRC in 2014, then-Secretary of State John Kerry stated that "military force alone will not deliver stability to the DRC," and called for DRC to hold "free, fair, timely, and transparent elections."97 In April 2015, the State Department criticized the government's detention of youth activists at a pro-democracy event sponsored, in part, by the U.S. government (a USAID official was also detained, but was soon released).98 During a visit to Kinshasa in June 2015, then-U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Human Rights, Democracy, and Labor Tom Malinowski warned against any "pretext for delay" in the elections schedule, and against any effort to amend constitutional term limits.99 The DRC government spokesman condemned Malinowski's comments as "unacceptable" and "intolerable" interference in its internal affairs.100 DRC officials also reacted hostilely toward statements by Perriello.

In 2013, then-U.S. Envoy Feingold helped facilitate a peace process between the DRC government and the M23, and he pushed for full implementation of the 2013 regional framework accord. In 2012-2013, the Administration also publicly and pointedly criticized Rwanda for supporting the M23.101 In mid-2012, the Administration suspended Foreign Military Financing (FMF) assistance for Rwanda, consistent with a provision in annual appropriations measures that prohibited FMF assistance for Rwanda if it supported armed groups in DRC (§7043 of P.L. 112-74). In October 2013, the Administration additionally suspended other types of military aid to Rwanda under the Child Soldiers Prevention Act (Title IV of P.L. 110-457, as amended), citing the M23's use of child soldiers.102 The Administration lifted these restrictions on Rwanda starting in FY2015, citing the end of the M23. (Rwanda was subsequently re-designated under CSPA due to its reported involvement in Burundian child soldier recruitment.)

Table 1. U.S. Contributions to MONUSCO by U.S. Fiscal Year

Appropriations, $ Millions

 

FY2011

FY2012

FY2013

FY2014

FY2015

FY2016 (est.)

FY2017 (req.)

CIPA

600.2

399.5

326.8

410.8

304.8

440.6

440.0

Source: Congressional Budget Justification, Department of State Operations, FY2013-FY2017.

Note: CIPA = Contributions to International Peacekeeping Activities.

Foreign Assistance

U.S. aid programs in DRC have sought to improve health conditions; promote democracy and good governance; advance stabilization and conflict resolution; enhance agricultural development, basic service delivery, and natural resource management; and encourage military professionalism. DRC also receives aid under U.S. regional initiatives related to tropical forest conservation, anti-poaching efforts, and counter-LRA efforts, among others.

U.S. bilateral aid allocations totaled an estimated $295 million in FY2016, in addition to $62.5 million in emergency food aid, $100 million in other additional emergency humanitarian aid, and $440 million in U.S. assessed contributions to MONUSCO. The Obama Administration's FY2017 bilateral aid budget request totaled $313 million, in addition to $440 million for assessed contributions to MONUSCO. (Emergency humanitarian aid is generally not requested on a country-specific basis.) Overall aid allocations for DRC increased between FY2012 and FY2014, possibly as a result of U.S. attention to the M23 conflict and the appointment of a special envoy.

Since 2007, successive Administrations have sought to promote security sector reform (SSR) in DRC, providing assistance for training, military planning, logistics, and military justice. An effort to develop and advise a "model" FARDC light infantry battalion, known as the 391st, was curtailed in 2013 when members of the battalion were implicated in mass rapes. The Obama Administration's FY2017 aid budget request nonetheless reflected continued interest in providing advisory support to DRC military leaders. Most U.S. security assistance to DRC has been funded through the State Department's Peacekeeping Operations (PKO) account, a key vehicle for military train-and-equip programs in Africa. For FY2017, the Obama Administration waived most child soldiers-related security assistance restrictions (under CSPA, P.L. 110-457, and §8088 of P.L. 114-113), allowing such programming to continue (see "Recent Congressional Actions" above).

Table 2. U.S. Foreign Assistance to DRC

State Department- and USAID-administered funds; Appropriations; $ Millions. Figures are rounded.

Account

FY2011

FY2012

FY2013

FY2014

FY2015

FY2016 (est.)

FY2017 (req.)

Base Budget

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DA

-

-

7.9

-

-

-

-

GHP

125.6

111.7

149.4

178.6

167.1

177.6

193.5

ESF

45.9

47.9

29.2

48.6

-

-

-

FMFa

0.3

-

-

-

-

-

-

IMET

0.5

0.5

0.3

0.5

0.5

0.4

0.4

INCLE

6.0

6.0

6.0

3.3

2.0

-

-

NADR

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.5

0.5

0.5

-

PKO

21.5

19.0

12.0

10.0

10.0

0.2

-

FFPb

67.3

68.3

82.0

89.8

72.8

92.5

30.0

OCO

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ESF

-

-

35.1

-

67.4

70.6

75.2

INCLE

-

-

-

-

-

2.0

2.0

NADR

-

-

-

-

-

-

2.0

PKO

-

-

-

-

-

13.8

10.0

Subtotal

268.2

254.4

322.9

331.2

320.3

357.6

313.1

Add'l Emergency Assistance

60.3

57.6

48.6

108.1

114.7

100.4

TBD

TOTAL

343.0

325.8

333.0

431.3

435.0

458.0

TBD

Source: State Department Congressional Budget Justification for Foreign Operations (CBJ), FY2012-FY2017; FY2016 653(a) estimates as of August 2016; USAID fact-sheets on humanitarian aid to DRC.

Notes: DA-Development Assistance; GHP-Global Health Programs; ESF-Economic Support Fund; FMF-Foreign Military Financing; IMET-International Military Education & Training; INCLE-International Narcotics Control & Law Enforcement; NADR-Nonproliferation, Antiterrorism, Demining & Related Programs; PKO-Peacekeeping Operations; FFP-Food For Peace; OCO-Overseas Contingency Operations; TBD-to be determined. Some regionally and centrally budgeted funding not included.

a. Between FY2012 and FY2015, the Obama Administration applied legal restrictions on FMF assistance for DRC under P.L. 110-457 and P.L. 106-386, as amended, while waiving such restrictions on other types of security assistance for DRC. For FY2016, the Administration fully waived restrictions under P.L. 110-457, while those under P.L. 106-386 did not apply due to DRC's improved trafficking in persons ranking.

b. FFP figures include both bilateral development assistance funding (reported in the State Department CBJ) and emergency humanitarian food aid (reported in USAID humanitarian fact-sheets).

Outlook and Issues for Congress

For many years, congressional policymakers addressing DRC focused overwhelmingly on human rights and humanitarian concerns in conflict-affected areas in the east. Since 2015, much attention has turned to DRC's political trajectory, with some Members examining whether Kabila's efforts to stay in office could produce a violent crisis and weighing the benefits and drawbacks of U.S. punitive measures such as sanctions designations. U.S. policy deliberations have been influenced by violently contested third-term presidential bids in neighboring Burundi (2015) and Republic of Congo (2016) as well as a less contested constitutional amendment in Rwanda allowing the president to seek a third term in 2017. Debate continues among policymakers in Congress and the executive branch over the relative effectiveness of various tools for exerting U.S. influence over Kabila's decisionmaking, such as diplomacy, sanctions, foreign assistance, and U.S. actions in multilateral forums.

Achieving greater stability in DRC—a U.S. policy goal in Africa for over two decades—may depend on how political actors navigate implementation disputes regarding the December 2016 political agreement. It may also hinge on whether the Congolese military can or will successfully counter endemic and emerging armed movements; whether neighboring states seek new armed proxies for leverage or economic gain; and how Congolese policymakers respond to the economic downturn. While international observers agree that deep governance reforms are needed, reform efforts can be destabilizing insofar as they threaten the entrenched interests of powerful individuals. Events in the turbulent region are also likely to have an impact on DRC's stability, and may divert international humanitarian and peacebuilding resources.

The defeat of the M23 rebel movement in 2013 was a significant accomplishment and may point to the effectiveness of U.S. diplomatic criticism of Rwanda—but it did not, in itself, address the root causes of conflict in the region. The 2013 U.N.-backed Framework Agreement between DRC and its neighbors represents a potential foundation for more functional regional relationships and greater internal stability. However, it has not been fully implemented.

Many Members of Congress have expressed an interest, through legislation and oversight activities, in advancing peace and stability, improving governance and natural resource management, and addressing health and humanitarian needs in DRC. However, Congolese political actors have often displayed limited ability and will to pursue such ends. U.S. influence may be further constrained by limited available U.S. resources, and by the challenges of coordinating with and influencing other key players, including European donors, China, and regional actors such as Rwanda, Uganda, Angola, Tanzania, and South Africa. U.S. bilateral aid does not easily present opportunities for leverage, as most programs seek to address humanitarian, development, and/or human rights problems. The Obama Administration repeatedly waived legislative restrictions on aid to DRC related to human rights and transparency concerns, using authorities provided by Congress. Congressional appropriators have also removed some of these restrictions from recent aid appropriations bills. Potential new approaches by the Trump Administration and the 115th Congress are to be seen.

Appendix. Selected Enacted Legislation
  • P.L. 114-231 (Representative Edward Royce), Eliminate, Neutralize, and Disrupt Wildlife Trafficking Act of 2016 (October 7, 2016). Requires the State Department annually to provide to Congress a list of foreign countries that are major sources, transit points, or consumers of wildlife trafficking products; urges the United States to continue providing certain military assistance to African security forces for countering wildlife trafficking and poaching; and other provisions to address the illegal trade in endangered and threatened wildlife.
  • P.L. 113-235 (Representative Donna Christensen), Consolidated and Further Continuing Appropriations Act, 2015 (December 16, 2015). Restricted Foreign Military Financing (FMF) for Rwanda, with various exceptions, unless the Secretary of State certified that Rwanda is "implementing a policy to cease political, military and/or financial support to armed groups" in DRC that have violated human rights or are involved in illegal exports; among other provisions.
  • P.L. 113-76 (Representative Lamar Smith), Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2014 (January 17, 2014). Restricted FMF for Rwanda, with various exceptions, unless the Secretary of State certified that Rwanda "is taking steps to cease ... support to armed groups" in DRC that have violated human rights or are involved in illegal exports of various goods.
  • P.L. 113-66 (Representative Theodore E. Deutch), National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2014 (December 26, 2013). Authorized certain types of Defense Department support for foreign forces participating in operations against the LRA (as had P.L. 112-81, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012).
  • P.L. 112-239 (Representative Howard "Buck" McKeon), National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2013 (January 2, 2013). Mandated the Secretary of the Treasury and Secretary of State to impose travel and financial sanctions against individuals found by the President to have provided support to the M23 rebel group, subject to a waiver provision.
  • P.L. 112-74 (Representative John Abney Culberson), Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2012 (December 23, 2011). Restricted FMF for Rwanda and Uganda, with some exceptions, if the Secretary of State found that they were providing support to armed groups in DRC that violated human rights or were involved in illegal mineral exports.
  • P.L. 112-10 (Representative Harold Rogers), Department of Defense and Full-Year Continuing Appropriations Act, 2011 (April 15, 2011). Expanded the scope of security assistance restrictions for countries found to be using child soldiers under P.L. 110-457. (Continued in subsequent defense appropriations measures, most recently P.L. 114-113.)
  • P.L. 111-212 (Representative David Obey), Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2010 (July 29, 2010). Provided $15 million in Economic Support Fund (ESF) to assist emergency security and humanitarian assistance for civilians, particularly women and girls, in eastern DRC.
  • P.L. 111-203 (Representative Barney Frank), Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (July 21, 2010). Required the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to issue regulations requiring U.S.-listed companies whose products rely on certain designated "conflict minerals" to disclose whether such minerals originated in DRC or adjoining countries and to describe related due diligence measures, along with a number of other provisions.
  • P.L. 111-172 (Senator Russell Feingold), Lord's Resistance Army Disarmament and Northern Uganda Recovery Act (May 24, 2010). Directed the President to submit to Congress a strategy to guide U.S. support for efforts to eliminate the threat posed by the LRA, among other provisions.
  • P.L. 111-117 (Representative John Olver), Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2010 (December 16, 2009). Restricted FMF grants for Rwanda if it was found to be supporting abusive armed groups in DRC.
  • P.L. 111-84 (Representative Ike Skelton), National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2010 (October 28, 2009). Required the executive branch to produce a map of mineral-rich areas under the control of armed groups in DRC.
  • P.L. 111-32 (Representative David R. Obey), Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2009 (June 24, 2009). Provided $15 million in Peacekeeping Operations (PKO) funding for DRC that was used to train a Light Infantry Battalion, as part of ongoing U.S. support for security sector reform.
  • P.L. 110-457 (Representative Howard L. Berman), William Wilberforce Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act of 2008 (December 23, 2008). Prohibited certain security assistance for countries identified by the Secretary of State as supporting the recruitment and use of child soldiers, and (pursuant to P.L. 106-386) to countries ranked as Tier 3 (worst) in the State Department's annual Trafficking in Persons Report, subject to waiver provisions.
  • P.L. 109-456 (Senator Barack Obama), Democratic Republic of the Congo Relief, Security, and Democracy Promotion Act of 2006 (December 22, 2006). Stated U.S. policy toward DRC. Set a minimum funding level for bilateral foreign assistance to DRC in FY2006-FY2007 and stated the sense of Congress that the Secretary of State should withhold certain aid under the act if the DRC government was found to be making insufficient progress toward policy objectives. Authorized the Secretary of State to withhold certain types of foreign assistance for countries acting to destabilize DRC.

Author Contact Information

[author name scrubbed], Specialist in African Affairs ([email address scrubbed], [phone number scrubbed])
[author name scrubbed], Research Assistant ([email address scrubbed], [phone number scrubbed])

Footnotes

Reuters, "Congo says it rejects foreign aid to fund elections," March 26, 2018. State Department officials referred in congressional testimony to a "credible body of evidence" indicating Rwandan support for the M23; see Testimony of then-Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs Johnnie Carson before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health and Human Rights, hearing on "The Devastating Crisis in Eastern Congo," December 11, 2012.) See also U.N. doc. S/2012/348/Add.1, June 27, 2012. Midterm Report of the Group of Experts on the DRC, December 28, 2016, U.N. doc. S/2016/1102.

49. 53. 58. Deutsche-Welle, "Why DR Congo Wants UN Peacekeepers Reduced," March 25, 2016.

73. Senator Durbin, "Conflict Minerals Law," Congressional Record, p. S2961, May 16, 2017.

State Department, FY2019 Congressional Budget Justification.

1.

The region centers on DRC, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, and Tanzania.

2.

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) international development statistics, consulted February 7, 2017. Total includes multilateral institution donors and non-traditional donor countries.

3.

USAID, Democratic Republic of the Congo – Complex Emergency, Fact Sheet #1 (FY2017), January 6, 2017.

4.

Figures drawn from U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees, "DRC Regional Refugee Response" (consulted February 27, 2017); and U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA), "DRC: Three Year Strategy to Tackle a Relentless, Protracted Crisis," February 10, 2017.

5.

State Department, 2015 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices, released April 13, 2016.

6.

As of December 31, 2016; see http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/resources/statistics/factsheet.shtml#MONUSC. MONUSCO's authorized uniformed personnel strength is 22,016 under U.N. Security Council Resolution 2277 (2016).

7.

U.N. Security Council Resolution 2277 (2016).

8.

U.N. Security Council Resolution 2098 (2013) and subsequent resolutions reauthorizing MONUSCO.

9.

"Conflict minerals" are designated ores—of tantalum and niobium, tin, tungsten, and gold—that have reportedly fueled conflict and human rights abuses in DRC. For background on U.S. regulation of conflict minerals, see CRS Report R42618, Conflict Minerals in Central Africa: U.S. and International Responses, by [author name scrubbed].

10.

Such hearings included: Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Subcommittee on Africa and Global Health Policy, "U.S. Sanctions Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa," June 8, 2016; Senate Foreign Relations Committee, "U.S. Policy in Central Africa: The Imperative of Good Governance," February 10, 2016; and House Foreign Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights, and International Organizations, "Africa's Great Lakes Region: A Security, Political, and Humanitarian Challenge," October 22, 2015.

11.

For example, Hearing by the House Financial Services Committee, Subcommittee on Monetary Policy and Trade, "Dodd-Frank Five Years Later: What Have We Learned from Conflict Minerals Reporting?" November 17, 2015. See also CRS Report R43639, Conflict Minerals and Resource Extraction: Dodd-Frank, SEC Regulations, and Legal Challenges, by [author name scrubbed] and [author name scrubbed].

12.

Acting Chairman Michael S. Piwowar, "Statement on the Commission's Conflict Minerals Rule," January 31, 2017.

13.

See State Department Bureau of Consular Affairs, Intercountry Adoption Alert, "The Department of State Strongly Recommends Against Adopting from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)," April 25, 2016.

14.

The DRC government announced the completion of its review of certain pending cases in November 2015, approving exit permits for about 72 adopted children. About 150 more children adopted by U.S. families were approved for exit permits in early 2016. However, hundreds more were reportedly still awaiting permits. Conor Gaffey, "Congo Lets 150 Adopted Children Join Families in U.S. After Two-Year Limbo," Newsweek, February 23, 2016.

15.

A related provision was included in the Senate-engrossed version of the Department of State Authorities Act, FY2017 (§121 of S. 1635) but was not included in the final enrolled bill (enacted as P.L. 114-323).

16.

Jason Stearns, "As the M23 Nears Defeat, More Questions than Answers," Congo Siasa, October 30, 2013.

17.

Presidential Determination 2016-14, September 28, 2016. For FY2016, President Obama fully waived such restrictions for DRC; see Presidential Determination No. 2015-13, September 29, 2015.

18.

On the TVPA, CSPA, and related aid restrictions, see CRS Report R42497, Trafficking in Persons: International Dimensions and Foreign Policy Issues for Congress, by [author name scrubbed].

19.

See Adam Hochschild, King Leopold's Ghost, Mariner Books: 2006.

20.

Some observers have posited that the United States, prompted by fears of Soviet influence, was covertly involved in Lumumba's assassination. A 1975 congressional investigation into U.S. foreign assassination plots concluded that the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) had pursued plans to assassinate Lumumba but that they were thwarted by logistical factors. The investigation further concluded that available evidence did not point to a direct CIA role in Lumumba's death, despite advance CIA knowledge that Lumumba would likely be killed. See Alleged Assassination Plots Involving Foreign Leaders: An Interim Report of the Select Committee to Study Government Operations with Respect to Intelligence Activities, U.S. Senate, November 20, 1975, a.k.a. the Church Committee report; pp. 30, 48. See also State Department, Foreign Relations of the United States, 1964-1968, vol. xxiii, "Congo, 1960-1968."

21.

For example, Mobutu's government reportedly served as a conduit for U.S. assistance to rebels in neighboring Angola. See, e.g., John Stockwell, In Search Of Enemies, New York: Norton, 1979; and Howard W. French, "Anatomy of an Autocracy: Mobutu's 32-Year Reign," New York Times, May 17, 1997.

22.

See, e.g., Steve Askin and Carole Collins, "External Collusion with Kleptocracy: Can Zaïre Recapture Its Stolen Wealth?" Review of African Political Economy, 57 (1993). For further analysis of the Mobutu era, see Library of Congress, Federal Research Division, Zaire: A Country Study, 1994, at http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/zrtoc.html.

23.

See U.N. Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (UNOHCHR), Report of the Mapping Exercise documenting the most serious violations of human rights and international humanitarian law committed within the territory of the Democratic Republic of the Congo between March 1993 and June 2003, August 2010.

24.

International Rescue Committee (IRC), Mortality in the Democratic Republic of Congo: An Ongoing Crisis, 2007. For a detailed history of the conflict, see Jason Stearns, Dancing in the Glory of Monsters: The Collapse of the Congo and the Great War of Africa, PublicAffairs: 2011.

25.

The Carter Center, Final Report: Presidential and Legislative Elections in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, November 28, 2011, October 30, 2012; European Union Election Observation Mission, Rapport Final: Elections présidentielle et législatives, 28 novembre 2011; Direct.cd, "'Résultats conformes ni à la vérité ni à la justice,' affirme Monsengwo," December 12, 2011. Regional observers, on the other hand, largely praised the election; see "Joint Statement by the AU, SADC, ECCAS, ICGLR, and Comesa, on the General Elections in the Democratic Republic of Congo," November 30, 2011. See also International Crisis Group (ICG), Congo: The Electoral Dilemma, May 5, 2011.

26.

The court's ruling was based on the second paragraph of Article 70, which states, "at the end of his term, the President of the Republic remains in office until the inauguration of the new elected President" (CRS translation).

27.

Jason Stearns, "The Congo: A Revolution Deferred," African Futures, March 8, 2012; and Stearns, "Protests in Kinshasa: Why this time it's different," Congo-Siasa, January 22, 2015.

28.

See, e.g., Human Rights Watch (HRW), "DR Congo: Crackdown on Dissent Tops Rights Concerns," July 22, 2015; MONUSCO and UNOHCHR, Report of the United Nations Joint Human Rights Office on Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms During the Pre-Electoral Period in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Between 1 January and 30 September 2015, December 2015; HRW, "DR Congo: Free Youth Activists," March 15, 2016; UNOHCHR, "DRC: UN reports reveal clear use of excessive force, rife impunity for rights violations," October 21, 2016.

29.

UNOHCHR, "Accountability for killings of protesters vital, Zeid says, as DRC crisis continues," Dec. 23, 2016.

30.

Katumbi has been in exile since mid-2016 and faces criminal charges in DRC that he says are politically motivated. In a nationwide public opinion survey by the independent Congo Research Group in 2016, a plurality of respondents said they would vote for Katumbi (33%), followed by Tshisekedi (18%), President Kabila (7.8%), and former National Assembly speaker Vital Kamerhe (7.5%). Impasse in the Congo: What Do the People Think? October 2016.

31

Since 2014, the ADF has reportedly carried out a series of large massacres of hundreds of civilians in the North Kivu territory of Beni. The group also reportedly carried out a December 2017 attack on U.N. peacekeepers in Beni that killed 15 and injured 43, in what the U.N. Secretary-General termed the "worst attack on United Nations peacekeepers in the Organization's recent history."48 Both tactics are a significant shift from the group's activities during its first two decades of existence, and whether the ADF remains a coherent organization is debated.

The U.S.-based Congo Research Group has reported "extensive evidence indicating that members of the FARDC have actively participated in massacres."49 According to U.N. investigators, "involvement of FARDC military units [in extrajudicial killings] could be explained by long-standing ties between some of them and the ADF in the territory of Beni, especially in relation to the illegal exploitation of natural resources."50

Sexual Violence Particular international attention has been paid to the issue of sexual and gender-based violence in eastern DRC due to reports of gang rape, child rape, mutilation, and other abuses by armed groups and FARDC personnel. Attacks may be opportunistic and/or designed to systematically intimidate local populations. The prevalence of sexual violence in Congolese conflict zones has been attributed to factors such as the eroded status of women, weak state authority, a deeply flawed justice system, and a breakdown in community protection mechanisms. While women and girls are the primary targets, men and boys have also been victims. As with other human rights problems, sexual violence has also been linked to structural problems within the security sector. Donor efforts to improve accountability for perpetrators of serious abuses have produced legal reforms and some high-profile prosecutions, but appear to have had limited systemic impact. Wildlife Poaching

Ivory poaching has been notable in two DRC national parks affected by armed conflict and insecurity: Virunga (Africa's oldest national park) in North Kivu, and Garamba in Haut-Uele. A range of actors reportedly participate, including state security force elements from DRC and neighboring states, Congolese militias, Sudanese poaching syndicates, and foreign-origin armed groups such as the FDLR in Virunga and the LRA in Garamba.51 Poachers are apparently increasingly well-armed and sophisticated, as are park rangers.52 According to U.N. sanctions monitors, poaching and ivory trafficking present a "catastrophic threat" to elephant survival in DRC, but "the widespread disappearance of elephant populations has made it an ever-diminishing and increasingly marginal source of armed group financing."53

U.N. Peacekeeping: Key Issues

MONUSCO is the world's largest U.N. peacekeeping operation, with about 16,680 uniformed personnel.54 Its mandate has long focused on protecting civilians in conflict zones and supporting the DRC government's stabilization efforts in the east. U.N. Security Council Resolution 2409 (2018) identifies two "strategic priorities" for the mission: 1) protection of civilians and 2) "support to the implementation of the 31 December 2016 agreement and the electoral process." Other tasks include the protection of U.N. personnel and facilities, support for demobilization of ex-combatants, and support for security sector reform. U.N. peacekeepers have been criticized for failing to protect Congolese civilians in various instances, which may be attributed to a combination of a wide-ranging mandate, stark logistical challenges, and limited capacity and political will among troop contributing countries. U.N. personnel in DRC have also been implicated in sexual abuse and exploitation.

A 2017 MONUSCO strategic review by the U.N. Secretary-General found that the spike in violence in Kasai and urban locations since 2016 had "placed a major strain on limited resources."55 Previously, MONUSCO had positioned the bulk of its forces in the east. Policymakers in U.N. Security Council member-states and in troop-contributing countries continue to debate how MONUSCO should respond to state security force threats to civilians, as well as what conditions, if any, should be placed on its logistical assistance for the election process. The mission's mandate instructs it to support the DRC government in various ways, and its ability to operate is de facto contingent on government acceptance.

The Trump Administration advocated significant cuts to MONUSCO's troop ceiling ahead of its March 2017 mandate renewal, arguing that the mission was propping up a "corrupt" government in Kinshasa.56 Ultimately, the U.N. Security Council reduced the authorized troop ceiling by 3,700 military personnel.57 Some observers expressed concern that the troop reduction coincided with the emergence of new conflicts and threats to civilians.58 It also appeared to grant a concession to the Kabila administration, which has repeatedly called for a MONUSCO drawdown ahead of planned elections.59 The U.N. Secretary-General stated in 2017 that MONUSCO had pursued reforms to "yield efficiencies," but called for U.N. member states to "exercise caution in making further cuts to the Mission's budget that may compromise its ability to deliver on its core priorities."60 The 2018 mandate renewal did not endorse an additional troop decrease.

Since 2013, the Security Council has authorized a Force Intervention Brigade (FIB) within MONUSCO to target armed groups, including through unilateral operations.61 Observers have debated whether the FIB concept could be a useful model for other situations, such as South Sudan and Mali. The Council renewed the Intervention Brigade in 2018, although it has not been involved in a major operation since 2016.62 A U.N. investigation into a deadly attack on a Tanzanian FIB contingent in 2017 found "gaps in the training and posture" of FIB troops.63

The Economy

DRC has some of the largest natural resource endowments in the world, but most Congolese depend on subsistence farming and/or informal activities for survival. Per-capita income and human development indicators are among the world's lowest. Industrial mining in the southeast is the mainstay of the formal economy, although small-scale artisanal miners also account for a substantial amount of the country's production. DRC is among the world's top copper producers, and in 2017 it produced 58% of the world's supply of cobalt (a key ingredient in jet engines and batteries for electric cars, among other industrial uses), along with 31% of natural industrial diamonds and 28% of tantalum.64

Western investor interest has been dampened by DRC's poor business environment, including its underdeveloped infrastructure, inadequate contract enforcement, limited access to credit, continued insecurity in the east, endemic corruption, a shortage of skilled labor, and a lack of reliable electricity.65 The country ranks 182 out of 190 in the World Bank's 2018 Doing Business Report, despite some efforts by the government to improve conditions. China is the largest consumer of Congolese copper and cobalt, and is DRC's largest overall trading partner, consuming 35% of DRC's exports and contributing 20% of its imports in 2016.66 China first emerged as a key player in the economy in 2007, when it pledged $6 billion in loans to DRC for infrastructure, to be repaid through joint-venture mining operations.67

A crash in global mineral prices produced a fiscal crisis in 2015-2017, but booming demand for copper and cobalt has produced a rebound in 2018.68 GDP growth improved to 3.4% in 2017, compared to 2.4% in 2016, although it remains well below the 2014 rate of 9.5%.69 During the price slump, major investors pulled back or divested of their assets. Notably, the U.S.-based multinational Freeport McMoRan sold its controlling stake in DRC's largest industrial mine, the Tenke Fungurume copper concession, to a Chinese firm, in an effort to alleviate its global debt.

The government has approved oil production contracts around the perimeter of Virunga National Park, a UNESCO World Heritage site, and signaled in mid-2018 that it may open the park to oil exploration, raising concern from conservationists.70 In 2014, independent researchers accused a British oil company, SOCO, of bribing DRC military commanders to intimidate opponents of oil exploration in Virunga.71 SOCO later announced that it had ceased operations there.

The Mining Sector: Policy Concerns

"Conflict mineral" exports are associated with DRC's informal artisanal mining sector, particularly in the east.72 In 2016, U.N. sanctions monitors reported that industry-led due-diligence measures focusing on tin, tantalum, and tungsten had deprived armed groups of some opportunities to benefit from illicit mineral extraction, but that "supply chains face numerous challenges, such as the involvement of FARDC elements, corruption of government officials and smuggling and leakage of minerals from non-validated mining sites into the legitimate supply chain."73 Gold smuggling also reportedly continues to provide financing for armed groups.74 Mineral smuggling also continues to deprive the state of revenues from taxation and royalties.

DRC's industrial mining operations have drawn a different set of concerns. The organization Global Witness has described DRC's mining parastatal Gécamines as central to corrupt networks that it labels a "regime cash machine."75 In 2012, the IMF ended its concessional loan program due to concerns about a lack of transparency in state mining contracts. Dan Gertler, an Israeli businessman closely tied to President Kabila, has drawn particular international attention due to deals in which he has flipped state-held mining concessions for large profits. In recent years, firms linked to Gertler have been targeted in corruption probes in the United States, Canada, and the UK. In 2017, the Trump Administration imposed sanctions on Gertler and various firms linked to him, asserting that he "used his close friendship with...Kabila to act as a middleman for mining asset sales in the DRC."76 The Department of the Treasury cited an independent investigation that found DRC had lost over $1.36 billion in potential revenues from underpricing mining assets sold to firms linked to Gertler.77 It sanctioned additional Gertler-linked firms in June 2018.78 Gertler has said he is being unfairly targeted, and that his business success reflects his relative appetite for political risk and a single-minded focus on DRC.79

In early 2018, the DRC government promulgated a new mining code that steeply elevates taxes and royalty payments that foreign mining firms will owe the state. President Kabila signed the law in the face of intense opposition from international firms, who particularly objected to the government's decision to ignore "stability clauses" that would otherwise have protected existing contracts for 10 years. The new mining code appears to be popular among Congolese, while adding to Western investor perceptions of risk, on top of growing concerns about exposure to corruption prosecutions and sanctions.80

U.S. Policy and Aid

During the Obama Administration, the focus of U.S. policy shifted from defusing a resurgent Rwandan-backed rebellion in the east, to addressing the political impasse over the elections process and President Kabila's succession. The Trump Administration has altered the U.S. posture toward DRC in some ways, for example eliminating a State Department Special Envoy position and securing a MONUSCO troop decrease. At the same time, it has maintained a high-level focus on DRC human rights abuses and elections. The Administration has maintained a policy, initiated in 2016, of sanctioning state security force officials for human rights abuses and/or obstruction of democracy, invoking Executive Orders issued by previous Administrations.81 In 2017, the Trump Administration further expanded the scope of U.S. sanctions in DRC by issuing a new Executive Order pertaining to global human rights abuses and corruption and using it to designate a prominent businessman and close Kabila associate, Dan Gertler, along with firms linked to him.82

The U.S. Permanent Representative to the U.N., Ambassador Nikki Haley, has played a prominent role in DRC policy, calling repeatedly for fair elections and greater respect for human rights. In October 2017, she traveled to DRC, where she met with President Kabila and called for him to hold elections by the end of 2018. Previous U.S. and U.N. Security Council Statements had called for elections in 2017 or "as soon as possible," alluding to the St. Sylvestre accord. Soon after Haley's visit, the CENI scheduled national elections for December 23, 2018.

U.S. diplomats have since urged DRC authorities to adhere to this timetable and to confirm publicly that Kabila will not be a candidate, warning that the failure to do so could cause "widespread violence and instability."83 In February 2018, Ambassador Haley expressed concern about the electoral process and the government's failure to "release political prisoners, end politically motivated prosecutions, and guarantee the rights of peaceful assembly and freedom of expression."84 U.S. officials have simultaneously rejected opposition calls for a "transition without Kabila"—i.e., efforts to induce Kabila to step down prior to elections in favor of a nonpartisan transitional regime—as "unconstitutional" and contrary to the St. Sylvestre accord.85

U.S. officials have also called for a credible investigation into the murders of two U.N. sanctions investigators, U.S. citizen Michael Sharp and Swedish citizen Zaida Catalán, in Kasai in 2017.86 Independent researchers have reported evidence of possible state security force involvement in the killings.87 U.N. sanctions monitors reported in June 2018 that cooperation between DRC authorities and U.N. experts tasked with assisting DRC's investigation into the case "has been deficient and that the Congolese security services have interfered with the investigations."88

U.S. bilateral aid programs in DRC seek to promote stability, economic growth, health, good governance, education, security force professionalization, and military justice. The Trump Administration's FY2019 aid budget request proposes $214 million in bilateral funding for DRC, which would be a decrease compared to FY2017 allocations (latest available), but would nonetheless place DRC within the top 10 U.S. bilateral aid recipients in Africa under the proposal. The United States provides additional funds for emergency humanitarian aid and MONUSCO's budget, under the U.N. system of assessed contributions for peacekeeping.89

Table 1. U.S. Funding for Aid and U.N. Peacekeeping Contributions in DRC

State Department- and USAID-administered funds, appropriations, $ millions

Account

FY2012

FY2013

FY2014

FY2015

FY2016

FY2017

FY2018 (req.)

FY2019 (req.)

DA

-

7.9

-

-

-

-

N/A

N/A

GHP

111.7

149.4

178.6

167.1

174.1

192.0

122.4

146.9

ESF

47.9

64.2

48.6

67.4

63.8

75.2

71.0 (ESDF)

60.0 (ESDF)

IMET

0.5

0.3

0.5

0.5

0.6

-

0.4

0.4

INCLE

6.0

6.0

3.3

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

NADR

1.0

1.0

0.5

0.5

0.5

2.0

2.0

2.0

PKO

19.0

12.0

10.0

10.0

14.0

10.0

3.0

2.7

FFP for dev't (P.L. 480)

68.3

82.0

89.8

72.8

46.9

81.0

N/A

N/A

Subtotal, bilateral aid

254.4

322.9

331.2

320.3

301.9

362.2

200.8

214.0

Emergency Humanitarian Aid

113.2

164.9

180.6

176.9

162.9

190.7

TBD

TBD

CIPA for MONUSCO

399.5

326.8

410.8

304.8

480.0

440.6

345.5 (est.)

210.2

Source: State Department Congressional Budget Justifications for Foreign Operations (CBJ), FY2014-FY2019; USAID "Complex Emergency" fact-sheets on DRC. Some regionally and centrally allocated funding not included.

Notes: May not include funding from multi-country regional programs. Figures may not sum due to rounding. DA=Development Assistance; GHP=Global Health Programs (State and USAID); ESF=Economic Support Fund; ESDF=Economic Support and Development Fund (proposed by the Trump Administration); IMET=International Military Education & Training; INCLE=International Narcotics Control & Law Enforcement; NADR=Nonproliferation, Antiterrorism, Demining & Related Programs; PKO=Peacekeeping Operations (military aid); FFP=Food For Peace; "Emergency Humanitarian Aid"=resources administered by USAID's Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance and Food for Peace office, and by the State Department's Bureau of Population, Migration, and Refugees; CIPA=Contributions for International Peacekeeping Activities. TBD=to be determined; N/A=not applicable (budget request proposes to discontinue accounts/funding). Recent Congressional Actions Since 2016, congressional attention has focused on President Kabila's efforts to cling to power. H.R. 6207, introduced in the House on June 25, 2018, would codify U.S. sanctions regimes for DRC and could compel additional designations. S.Res. 386, reported out of committee on May 24, 2018, would call on President Trump to use "appropriate means" to assist elections in DRC and "deter further electoral calendar slippage and abuses against the people of Congo," among other provisions. The Resolution would also call on the DRC government to enable a credible independent investigation into the U.N. sanctions investigator murders in Kasai. In the 114th Congress, the Senate and House each passed resolutions (S.Res. 485 and H.Res. 780) expressing concern over election delays and calling for punitive measures against those responsible for abusing human rights or undermining democracy in DRC. Previously, Congress often focused on human rights challenges in DRC, such as sexual violence, child soldiers, and the international trade in "conflict minerals" (see Appendix).

For nearly a decade, Congress has sought to deter regional proxy involvement in conflicts in eastern DRC by placing conditions on U.S. military aid to neighboring countries.90 Most recently, the Department of State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs Appropriations Act, 2018, restricts International Military Education and Training (IMET) funds for any government in Africa's Great Lakes region until the Secretary of State reports to Congress that that government is not "facilitating or otherwise participating in destabilizing activities in a neighboring country" (§7042([a] of Division K of P.L. 115-141).

Reports by U.N. sanctions investigators indicating that North Korea has engaged in transactions with the DRC government have also drawn scrutiny in the 115th Congress.91 Reported North Korean arms sales to DRC would violate U.N. sanctions regimes for both countries.92 Several Members praised H.R. 1644, Korean Interdiction and Modernization of Sanctions Act (engrossed in the House on May 4, 2017), as a measure that would aid North Korea sanctions enforcement by targeting the leaders of allegedly noncompliant countries such as DRC.93

Members continue to debate the impact of §1502 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (P.L. 111-203), which required the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to issue a rule regulating the disclosure by U.S. firms of their use of designated "conflict minerals" originating in DRC or neighboring states.94 The SEC issued the rule in 2012 but a court challenge partially stayed its implementation in 2014. In January 2017, the then-acting SEC chairman directed staff to "consider whether the 2014 guidance is still appropriate and whether any additional relief is appropriate in the interim."95 Many Members have backed legislation in the House that would repeal §1502 or prohibit its implementation, asserting that the provision has imposed burdensome compliance costs on U.S. firms and/or is harming the Congolese people by deterring trade and investment. Examples in the 115th Congress include H.R. 4248, H.R. 10 (§862), and H.R. 3354 (§1108 of Division D). Other Members have defended §1502 as an important contribution to international efforts to stabilize DRC.96

Congress has enacted legislative restrictions on certain types of aid for countries that, like DRC, use child soldiers (Title IV of P.L. 110-457, the Child Soldiers Prevention Act of 2008 or CSPA, as amended) or have a poor record on human trafficking (P.L. 106-386, the Trafficking Victims Protection Act or TVPA, as amended).97 Relevant legislation in the 115th Congress includes H.R. 1191 (Child Soldier Prevention Act of 2017). The State Department has annually designated DRC under CSPA, but successive Administrations have waived some or all restrictions on military aid to DRC under the Act—citing justifications ranging from the military's progress in discharging child soldiers, to its role in addressing atrocities by armed groups.98 Pursuant to the TVPA, the State Department ranked DRC as "Tier 3" (worst) on human trafficking in 2017, an automatic downgrade after the country spent two consecutive years on the "Tier 2-Watch List." President Trump partially waived DRC aid restrictions under the TVPA for FY2018, applying them solely to Foreign Military Financing (FMF) (for which no funding has been requested or provided in recent years), Foreign Military Sales (FMS), IMET, and Excess Defense Articles (EDA).99

Outlook and Issues for Congress

Achieving greater stability in DRC—a U.S. regional policy goal for over two decades—may depend on how actors in DRC and neighboring states navigate the period leading up to elections slated for December 2018. Some analysts fear that Kabila's tactics and the resulting political uncertainty could prompt levels of chaos and conflict not seen in decades.100 While no more sanguine, others assert that instability in DRC is driven less by the national political impasse than by local-level factors: "poverty, unemployment, corruption, criminality, and poor access to land, justice, and education."101 Events in the turbulent surrounding region may also impact DRC's stability and are likely to divert humanitarian and peace-building resources.

The Trump Administration has taken a number of steps to punish and deter electoral malfeasance and human rights abuses. Officials have not publicly outlined what steps may be envisaged if elections are delayed past the current deadline of December 23, if Kabila tries to run for reelection, or if results are not credible. U.S. influence in DRC may be constrained by limited resources, by a perceived need to maintain bilateral diplomatic ties, and by the challenge of coordinating with and influencing other key players—such as European donors, China, and regional actors such as Angola, Rwanda, Uganda, Tanzania, and South Africa. U.S. bilateral aid does not easily present opportunities for leverage, as most programs seek to address humanitarian, development, and/or human rights problems. U.S. bilateral military aid—totaling $10 million in FY2017, relatively high for a country in central Africa—may be an exception, although such aid is aimed at supporting military professionalization and human rights.102 Successive Administrations have invoked such considerations as reasons to waive certain human rights-related legislative restrictions on security assistance to DRC, as discussed above.

Some Members of Congress continue to examine whether Kabila's efforts to stay in office are likely to produce a further escalation in violence, and to weigh the potential benefits and drawbacks of punitive measures such as additional sanctions designations. Policymakers in Congress and the executive branch continue to debate the relative effectiveness of various tools for exerting U.S. influence over Kabila's decision-making, such as diplomacy, sanctions, foreign assistance, and U.S. actions in multilateral forums.

Appendix. Selected Enacted Legislation
  • P.L. 115-141, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2018 (March 23, 2018). Restricts International Military Education and Training (IMET) funds for any government in central Africa' s Great Lakes region until the Secretary of State reports that such government is not involved in "destabilizing activities" in a neighboring state.
  • P.L. 114-231, Eliminate, Neutralize, and Disrupt Wildlife Trafficking Act of 2016 (October 7, 2016). Requires the State Department annually to provide to Congress a list of foreign countries that are major sources, transit points, or consumers of wildlife trafficking products; urges the United States to continue providing certain military assistance to African security forces for countering wildlife trafficking and poaching; and other provisions to address the illegal trade in endangered and threatened wildlife.
  • P.L. 113-235, Consolidated and Further Continuing Appropriations Act, 2015 (December 16, 2015). Restricted Foreign Military Financing (FMF) for Rwanda, with various exceptions, unless the Secretary of State certified that Rwanda is "implementing a policy to cease political, military and/or financial support to armed groups" in DRC that have violated human rights or are involved in illegal exports; among other provisions.
  • P.L. 113-76, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2014 (January 17, 2014). Restricted FMF for Rwanda, with various exceptions, unless the Secretary of State certified that Rwanda "is taking steps to cease ... support to armed groups" in DRC that have violated human rights or are involved in illegal exports of various goods.
  • P.L. 113-66, National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2014 (December 26, 2013). Authorized certain types of Defense Department support for foreign forces participating in operations against the LRA (as had P.L. 112-81, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012).
  • P.L. 112-239, National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2013 (January 2, 2013). Mandated the Secretary of the Treasury and Secretary of State to impose travel and financial sanctions against individuals found by the President to have provided support to the M23 rebel group, subject to a waiver.
  • P.L. 112-74, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2012 (December 23, 2011). Restricted FMF for Rwanda and Uganda, with some exceptions, if the Secretary of State found that they were providing support to armed groups in DRC that violated human rights or were involved in illegal mineral exports.
  • P.L. 111-212, Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2010 (July 29, 2010). Provided $15 million in Economic Support Fund (ESF) to assist emergency security and humanitarian assistance for civilians, particularly women and girls, in eastern DRC.
  • P.L. 111-203, Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (July 21, 2010). Required the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to issue regulations requiring U.S.-listed companies whose products rely on certain designated "conflict minerals" to disclose whether such minerals originated in DRC or adjoining countries and to describe related due diligence measures, along with a number of other provisions.
  • P.L. 111-172, Lord's Resistance Army Disarmament and Northern Uganda Recovery Act (May 24, 2010). Directed the President to submit to Congress a strategy to guide U.S. support for efforts to eliminate the threat posed by the LRA, among other provisions.
  • P.L. 111-117, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2010 (December 16, 2009). Restricted FMF grants for Rwanda if it was found to be supporting abusive armed groups in DRC.
  • P.L. 111-84, National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2010 (October 28, 2009). Required the executive branch to produce a map of mineral-rich areas under the control of armed groups in DRC.
  • P.L. 111-32, Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2009 (June 24, 2009). Provided $15 million in Peacekeeping Operations (PKO) funding for DRC that was used to train a Light Infantry Battalion, as part of ongoing U.S. support for security sector reform.
  • P.L. 110-457, William Wilberforce Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act of 2008 (December 23, 2008). Prohibited certain security assistance for countries identified by the Secretary of State as supporting the recruitment and use of child soldiers, and (pursuant to P.L. 106-386) to countries ranked as Tier 3 (worst) in the State Department's annual Trafficking in Persons Report, subject to waiver provisions.
  • P.L. 109-456, Democratic Republic of the Congo Relief, Security, and Democracy Promotion Act of 2006 (December 22, 2006). Stated U.S. policy toward DRC. Set a minimum funding level for bilateral foreign assistance to DRC in FY2006-FY2007 and stated the sense of Congress that the Secretary of State should withhold certain aid under the act if the DRC government was found to be making insufficient progress toward policy objectives. Authorized the Secretary of State to withhold certain types of foreign assistance for countries acting to destabilize DRC.
  • Author Contact Information

    [author name scrubbed], Specialist in African Affairs ([email address scrubbed], [phone number scrubbed])

    Acknowledgments

    CRS Research Associate Katia Cavigelli and former fellow Katherine Terrell contributed to this update.

    Footnotes

    1.

    Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) international development statistics, consulted February 15, 2018. Total includes multilateral institution donors and nontraditional donor countries.

    2.

    Report of the Secretary-General on the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, March 1, 2018, U.N. doc. S/2018/174.

    3.

    U.N. Organization for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA), DRC Humanitarian Response Plan, 2017-2019, Updated January 18, 2018.

    4.

    U.N. High Coordinator for Refugees (UNHCR), Humanitarian Bulletin, February 2018.

    5.

    State Department, Country Reports on Human Rights Practices for 2017, released April 20, 2018.

    6.

    See Adam Hochschild, King Leopold's Ghost, Mariner Books: 2006.

    7.

    Some observers have posited that the United States, prompted by fears of Soviet influence, was covertly involved in Lumumba's assassination. A 1975 congressional investigation into U.S. foreign assassination plots concluded that the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) had pursued plans to assassinate Lumumba but that they were thwarted by logistical factors. The investigation further concluded that available evidence did not point to a direct CIA role in Lumumba's death, despite advance CIA knowledge that Lumumba would likely be killed. See Alleged Assassination Plots Involving Foreign Leaders: An Interim Report of the Select Committee to Study Government Operations with Respect to Intelligence Activities, U.S. Senate, November 20, 1975, a.k.a. the Church Committee report; pp. 30, 48. See also State Department, Foreign Relations of the United States, 1964-1968, vol. xxiii, "Congo, 1960-1968."

    8.

    Notably, Mobutu's government reportedly served as a conduit for U.S. assistance to rebels in neighboring Angola. See, e.g., John Stockwell, In Search Of Enemies, New York: Norton, 1979; and Howard W. French, "Anatomy of an Autocracy: Mobutu's 32-Year Reign," New York Times, May 17, 1997.

    9.

    See, e.g., Steve Askin and Carole Collins, "External Collusion with Kleptocracy: Can Zaïre Recapture Its Stolen Wealth?" Review of African Political Economy, 57 (1993). For further analysis of the Mobutu era, see Library of Congress, Federal Research Division, Zaire: A Country Study, 1994, at http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/zrtoc.html.

    10.

    See U.N. Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (UNOHCHR), Report of the Mapping Exercise documenting the most serious violations of human rights and international humanitarian law committed within the territory of the Democratic Republic of the Congo between March 1993 and June 2003, August 2010.

    11.

    International Rescue Committee (IRC), Mortality in the Democratic Republic of Congo: An Ongoing Crisis, 2007. For a detailed history of the conflict, see Jason Stearns, Dancing in the Glory of Monsters: The Collapse of the Congo and the Great War of Africa, PublicAffairs: 2011.

    12.

    The Carter Center, Final Report: Presidential and Legislative Elections in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, November 28, 2011, October 30, 2012; European Union Election Observation Mission, Rapport Final: Elections présidentielle et législatives, 28 novembre 2011; Direct.cd, "'Résultats conformes ni à la vérité ni à la justice,' affirme Monsengwo," December 12, 2011. Regional observers, on the other hand, largely praised the election; see "Joint Statement by the AU, SADC, ECCAS, ICGLR, and Comesa, on the General Elections in the Democratic Republic of Congo," November 30, 2011. See also International Crisis Group (ICG), Congo: The Electoral Dilemma, May 5, 2011.

    13.

    A 2017 nationwide opinion survey by the independent New York-based Congo Research Group (CRG) found that 10% of respondents said they would vote for Kabila, compared to 38% for top opposition candidate Moïse Katumbi, and that 72% held unfavorable views of Kabila. CRG, A Troubled Transition in the DR Congo, April 2017.

    14.

    The Economist, "Congo's Kabila chases an unconstitutional, unpopular re-election," June 16, 2018.

    15.

    Accord Politique Global et Inclusif du Centre Interdiocésain, aka the "St. Sylvestre" accord, December 31, 2016.

    16.

    World Politics Review, "As Kabila's Control Slips, Congo's Relations With Neighboring Angola Fray," September 6, 2017.

    17.

    See, e.g., UNOHCHR, "Accountability for killings of protesters vital, Zeid says, as DRC crisis continues," December 23, 2016, and "DRC: UN reports reveal clear use of excessive force, rife impunity for rights violations," October 21, 2016; Human Rights Watch (HRW), "DR Congo: Free Youth Activists," March 15, 2016; MONUSCO and UNOHCHR, Report of the United Nations Joint Human Rights Office on Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms During the Pre-Electoral Period in [DRC] Between 1 January and 30 September 2015, December 2015.

    18.

    HRW, "DR Congo: Security Forces Fire on Catholic Churchgoers," January 19, 2018; and "Congo's Kabila Ignores Political Crisis Amid New Repression," January 29, 2018.

    19.

    CENI, Decision No. 065/CENI/BUR/17 du 05 Nov 2017.

    20.

    The Sentry, Electronic Voting Technology DRC: Security vulnerabilities and déjà vu, June 20, 2018; International Crisis Group (ICG), Electoral Poker in DR Congo, April 2018; Congo Research Group, The Electronic Voting Controversy in the Congo, April 2018; Enough! Project, "Red Flags in DR Congo's Electoral Process," March 8, 2018; HRW et al., "DR Congo: US, EU Should Expand Targeted Sanctions," October 10, 2017; Actualité.CD, "La CENCO à l'UE: 'Il faut auditer la CENI, le soutien à cette institution doit être conditionné,'" September 26, 2017.

    21.

    Accord Politique Global et Inclusif du Centre Interdiocésain, December 31, 2016.

    3222.

    Jason Stearns, "Is the Congolese electoral calendar a pipe dream?" Congo Siasa, February 24, 2015.

    33.

    Reuters, "Congo's Kabila consolidates local control in governors' elections," March 26, 2016.

    34.

    Radio Okapi, "RDC : le gouvernement ne décaisse pas suffisamment de fonds pour les élections, selon la Ceni," December 10, 2015.

    35.

    This is higher than the initial $1.3 billion estimate for the 2013-2016 election cycle (including local and provincial elections). Jeune Afrique, "RD Congo: 1,8 milliard de dollars pour financer le processus electoral," December 7, 2016.

    36.

    Opposition leaders had criticized the idea of reusing the 2011 voter rolls, noting that this would exclude millions of Congolese who had turned 18 since then. An audit in 2015 by the International Organization of Francophonie (OIF) suggested that registration could be updated through a partial—rather than complete—revision. OIF, Mission d'audit du fichier electoral de la République Démocratique du Congo: 17 juillet-1 août 2015, November 2015.

    37.

    Radio Okapi, "RDC: la CENI veut enrôler entre 42 et 52 millions d'électeurs," May 20, 2016.

    38.

    Jeune Afrique, "RDC : sans révision du fichier électoral, pas de présidentielle dans les délais, selon la Ceni," February 19, 2016. A U.N. internal report in early 2016 had concluded that organizing presidential elections with a full revision of the voter rolls would take roughly 14 months, but posited that organizing legislative elections would take longer due to the potential need to redistrict based on new voter registration figures.

    39.

    See, e.g., State Department, Country Reports on Human Rights Practices, op. cit.; HRW, "Democratic Republic of Congo: Ending Impunity for Sexual Violence," June 10, 2014; MONUSCO and UNOHCHR, Accountability for Human Rights Violations and Abuses in the DRC: Achievements, Challenges, and Way Forward, October 2016.

    40.

    International Institute for Strategic Studies, "The Military Balance 2015," Vol. 115 (1), p. 442.

    41.

    See Jason Stearns and Christoph Vogel, The Landscape of Armed Groups in the Eastern Congo, Congo Research Group/Center on International Cooperation, December 2015.

    42.

    U.N. Security Council, Midterm Report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, October 16, 2015, U.N. doc. S/2015/797.

    43Le Phare, "A l'initiative de « Congolais debout », « Filimbi », « Lucha » et consorts : « Manifeste du citoyen congolais » pour une transition sans Kabila," August 21, 2017.
    23.

    See CRG and Berci, A Political Opinion Poll: An Update On A Contentious Political Process, March 2018.

    24.

    Reuters, "Congo ruling party shows all signs of seeking Kabila third term," May 29, 2018.

    25.

    See, e.g., CRG, "In a Troubled Congo, a Possible Changing of Gears," February 5, 2018.

    26.

    African Arguments, "No one knows what'll happen in DR Congo, but here are the possibilities," February 21, 2018.

    27.

    Ida Sawyer/HRW, "The crisis in Congo is spiraling out of control," Washington Post, June 30, 2017; Kris Berwouts, "It's no longer possible to predict what'll happen in the Congo," African Arguments, June 8, 2017; Jay Benson, "Don't look away now: DR Congo is at greatest risk than for years," African Arguments, May 15, 2017.

    28.

    IRIN, "Politics and oil: the unseen drivers of violence in Congo's Ituri Province," April 4, 2018.

    29.

    See, e.g., Reuters, "Congo warlord seeks to unite rebel factions in anti-Kabila alliance," October 1, 2017; International Crisis Group (ICG), Kamuina Nsapu Insurgency Adds to Dangers in DR Congo, March 21, 2017.

    30.

    UNHCR, "UNHCR warns of worsening displacement in Democratic Republic of the Congo," October 24, 2017.

    31.

    HRW, "Confusion Surrounds DR Congo Sect Protests Leaving at Least 27 Dead," August 10, 2017.

    32.

    IRIN, "Briefing: The Conflict in Kasai, DRC," July 31, 2017; UNICEF, "At least 400,000 severely malnourished children at risk of dying in DR Congo's volatile Kasai region," December 12, 2017.

    33.

    See monthly reports by the U.N. Joint Human Rights Office in the DRC, especially April-September 2017.

    34.

    Ida Sawyer and Jason Stearns, "Finding Justice in Congo [op-ed]," New York Times, June 14, 2017; Radio France Internationale, RDC: Violences au Kasai, "Bunkonde: L'exécution de deux experts de l'ONU," September 12, 2017; Reuters, "Who Killed U.N. Experts in Congo? Confidential Prosecutor's File Offers Clues," December 19, 2017.

    35.

    USAID, "Food Assistance Fact Sheet – Democratic Republic of Congo," December 27, 2017.

    36.

    Famine Early Warning Systems Network, February 2018; World Food Program, UNICEF, and U.N. Food & Agriculture Organization, "UN Agencies in Urgent Bid to Prevent Famine in Kasai," January 17, 2018.

    37.

    The New York Times, "Despite Millions of Displaced People, Congo Rejects U.N. Aid Effort," April 7, 2018.

    38.

    Reuters, "Congo Government Setting Up Fund to Manage All Aid Donations," April 17, 2018.

    39.

    U.N. Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, "Democratic Republic of Congo: UN experts urge review of draft NGO bill," June 4, 2018.

    40.

    Rwandan officials regularly contend that the DRC has failed to rein in—and indeed has, at times, collaborated with—anti-Rwandan and ethnic extremist armed groups operating on Congolese soil, such as the FDLR. Second, Rwandan officials point to Congolese state and grassroots efforts to deny land, citizenship, and other rights to ethnic communities of Rwandan origin, and to local violence targeting these communities. Prominent Rwandans also have reportedly profited from natural resource smuggling in eastern DRC. See, e.g., Stearns, Dancing in the Glory of Monsters, op. cit.; U.N. Report of the Panel of Experts on the Illegal Exploitation of Natural Resources and Other Forms of Wealth of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, April 2001, U.N. doc. S/2001/357; and Howard French, "Kagame's Hidden War in the Congo," New York Review of Books, September 24, 2009.

    41.

    Midterm Report of the Group of Experts on the DRC, December 28, 2016, U.N. doc. S/2016/1102.

    4442.

    Security Council Report, "June 2016 Monthly Forecast: Democratic Republic of the Congo," May 31, 2016HRW, "Special Mission": Recruitment of M23 rebels to suppress protests in the Democratic Republic of Congo, December 4, 2017.

    43.

    See Jason Stearns and Christoph Vogel, The Landscape of Armed Groups in the Eastern Congo, Congo Research Group/Center on International Cooperation, December 2015.

    44.
    45.

    Final report of the Group of Experts on the DRC, January 23, 2014, U.N. doc. S/2014/42.

    46.

    ICG, Eastern Congo: The ADF-NALU's Lost Rebellion, December 19, 2012; Institut Français des Relations Internationales, L'Islam radical en République démocratique du Congo: Entre mythe et manipulation, February 2017.

    47.

    Midterm Report of the Group of Experts on the DRC, December 28, 2016, op. cit.

    48.

    U.N. Public Information Service, "At Least 71 United Nations, Associated Personnel Killed in Malicious Attacks against Peacekeeping Operations during 2017," January 26, 2018.

    Congo Research Group, "Report: Who Are the Killers of Beni?" March 21, 2016.

    4950.

    MONUSCO and UNOHCHR, Report of the United Nations Joint Human Rights Office on International Humanitarian Law Violations Committed by the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) Combatants in the Territory of Beni, North Kivu Province, Between 1 October and 31 December 2014, May 2015.

    50.

    The CNDP, initially led by dissident military officer Laurent Nkunda, was founded in 2006. The 2009 peace deal, which followed a diplomatic rapprochement between DRC and Rwanda and Nkunda's arrest in Rwanda, led to the integration of CNDP combatants into the FARDC, where they reportedly maintained parallel chains of command.

    51.

    On LRA involvement, see U.S. Department of the Treasury, "Treasury Sanctions Lord's Resistance Army Commanders Salim and Ali Kony," August 23, 2016.

    5152.

    National Geographic, "Rangers Killed in Africa's Oldest Park Push Death Toll to 150," March 14, 2016; GQ, "The Bloody Toll of Congo's Elephant Wars," April 16, 2018.

    In a 2014 unclassified assessment, the U.S. intelligence community referred to the M23 as backed by Rwanda. Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, statement for the record, Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community, January 29, 2014. State Department officials also repeatedly publicly referred to a "credible body of evidence" indicating Rwandan support. See also U.N. doc. S/2012/348/Add.1, June 27, 2012.

    52.

    Report of the Secretary-General on the implementation of the Peace, Security and Cooperation Framework for the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Region, March 9. U.N. Security Council, Final Report of the Group of Experts, May 23, 2016, U.N. doc. S/2016/232466.

    5354.

    Figures as of September 2017. MONUSCO is currently authorized to have up to 16,215 military soldiers, 660 military observers and staff officers, 391 police personnel, and 1,050 formed police unit personnel.

    55.

    Special report of the Secretary-General on the strategic review of [MONUSCO], September 29, 2017, S/2017/826.

    56.

    USUN, "Ambassador Nikki Haley Addresses the Council on Foreign Relations," March 29, 2017.

    57.

    U.N. Security Council Resolution 2348 (2017); U.N. Security Council Resolution 2277 (2016).

    See, e.g., Thomas Turner, The Congo Wars: Conflict, Myth and Reality, Zed Books: 2007; Gérard Prunier, Africa's World War: Congo, The Rwandan Genocide, and the Making of a Continental Catastrophe, Oxford University Press: 2008; René Lemarchand, The Dynamics of Violence in Central Africa, University of Pennsylvania Press: 2009; Jason Stearns, Dancing in the Glory of Monsters, op. cit.

    54.

    See, e.g., Report of the Panel of Experts on the Illegal Exploitation of Natural Resources and Other Forms of Wealth of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, April 2001, U.N. doc. S/2001/357; Howard French, "Kagame's Hidden War in the Congo," New York Review of Books, September 24, 2009.

    55.

    See Report of the Secretary-General on the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, March 10, 2015, U.N. doc. S/2015/172.

    56.

    Security Council Report, "March 2016 Monthly Forecast: DRC and the Great Lakes Region," February 29, 2016. See also Christoph Vogel in Deutsche Welle, "Why DR Congo wants UN peacekeepers reduced.

    Reuters, "US Wants Quarter Cut to UN Congo Troop Cap, Others Warn Wrong Time," March 27, 2017.

    59.
    5760.

    U.N. Security Council Resolution 2211 (2015)

    58.

    Resolution 2277 and Resolution 2211, op. citSpecial report of the Secretary-General, U.N. doc. S/2017/826, op. cit. See also Center for Civilians in Conflict, Protection With Less Presence, January 2018.

    5961.

    Stimson Center and Better World Campaign, Challenges and the Path Forward for MONUSCO¸ June 2016U.N. Security Council Resolution 2098 (2013) and subsequent resolutions reauthorizing MONUSCO.

    6062.

    Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Wildlife Poaching Threatens Economic, Security Priorities in Africa, 2013 [unclassified summary]Institute for Security Studies, "Is the Force Intervention Brigade still justifying its existence?" June 22, 2017.

    6163.

    UNODC, Organized Crime and Instability in Central Africa, 2011U.N. Secretary-General, "Note to Correspondents on the findings of the Special Investigation on recent attacks against MONUSCO peacekeepers," March 2, 2018.

    6264.

    World Wildlife Fund, "Mountain Gorilla," http://www.worldwildlife.org/species/mountain-gorilla.

    U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries: 2018, January 31, 2018.
    6365.

    U.N. Security Council, Final Report of the Group of Experts, May 23, 2016, U.N. doc. S/2016/466State Department, "2017 Investment Climate Statement," June 27, 2017.

    6466.

    Ledio Cakaj, Tusk Wars: Inside the LRA and the Bloody Business of Ivory, Enough Project, October 2015.

    CIA World Factbook, June 2018.
    65.

    Bloomberg, "Congo's Government Halts VAT Repayments to Support Currency," April 22, 2016; "Congo Slashes Budget by 22% Due to Commodities Slump," May 6, 2016; and "Congo Premier Halts Loans to Struggling Bank as Franc Weakens," July 19, 2016.

    66.

    International Monetary Fund figures from the World Economic Outlook database, October 2016.

    67.

    Quoted in Bloomberg, "African Development Bank Won't Give Budget Support to Congo," July 25, 2016.

    68.

    State Department, "Investment Climate Statement-2016," May 2016.

    69.

    Michael Kavanagh, "Congo Seeks to Lure Investors for $5.7 Billion Farming Plan," Bloomberg, July 12, 2013.

    70.

    IMF, Democratic Republic of the Congo Staff Report for the 2012 Article IV Consultation, September 4, 2012; and "IMF and World Bank Announce US$12.3 Billion in Debt Relief for the Democratic Republic of the Congo," July 1, 2010. This was the largest amount of debt relief provided to any eligible HIPC country, according to the IMF.

    71.

    See, e.g., Oxford Analytica, "Relief for Congo," July 7, 2010.

    7267.

    IMF Trade Data and Stefaan Marysse and Sara Geenen, "Win-Win or Unequal Exchange? The case of Sino-Congolese cooperation agreements," Journal of Modern African Studies, 47, 3 (2009): 371-396.

    68.

    In 2016, the African Development Bank (AfDB) declined DRC's request for budget support, stating that uncertainty regarding elections was "preventing donors from responding positively to the country's call for appropriate assistance."

    69.

    IMF, World Economic Outlook database, April 2018.

    70.

    Bloomberg, "Gorilla Refuge, Rainforest May Be Opened in Congo Oil Search,"

    71.

    Soco has denied the allegations. See Jon Rosen, "The Battle for Africa's Oldest National Park," National Geographic, June 6, 2014; BBC, "'Soco paid Congo major' accused of Virunga oil intimidation," June 10, 2015.

    72.

    "Conflict minerals" are designated ores—of tantalum and niobium, tin, tungsten, and gold—that have reportedly fueled conflict and human rights abuses in DRC.

    U.N. Security Council, Final Report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, May 23, 2016, U.N. doc. S/2016/466.

    7374.

    In 2014,U.N. DRC sanctions monitors reported that 98% of the gold produced in DRC "is smuggled out of the country" and that as a result, DRC and Uganda—the main transit country for Congolese gold—"are losing millions of dollars annually in tax revenue and tolerating a system that is financing armed groups." U.N. Security Council, Final Report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, January 23, 2014, U.N. doc. S/2014/42. Sanctions monitors reported in January 2015 that "virtually no progress" had been made in addressing gold smuggling over the previous year. U.N. Security Council, Final Report of the Group of Experts, January 12, 2015, U.N. doc. S/2015/19.

    74.

    U.S. Geological Survey, Minerals Yearbook: Volume I. – Metals and Minerals, consulted February 21, 2017.

    75.

    International Monetary Fund, Direction of Trade Statistics, cited in Economist Intelligence Unit, Country Report: Congo (Democratic Republic), 2nd Quarter 2016.

    76.

    IMF Trade Data and Stefaan Marysse and Sara Geenen, "Win-Win or Unequal Exchange? The case of Sino-Congolese cooperation agreements," Journal of Modern African Studies, 47, 3 (2009): 371-396.

    77.

    Franz Wild, Michael J. Kavanagh, and Jonathan Ferziger, "Gertler Earns Millions as Mine Deals Fail to Enrich Congo," Bloomberg Markets Magazine, December 5, 2012.

    78.

    Wild et al., op. cit. Gertler's name also appears in the "Panama Papers," a trove of documents leaked in 2016 that exposed offshore financial dealings. In 2001, U.N. sanctions monitors reported on an alleged diamond-concessions-for-arms deal involving Gerlter, though it was reportedly subsequently canceled by President Kabila. See U.N. Security Council, Addendum to the Report of the Panel of Experts on the Illegal Exploitation of Natural Resources and Other Forms of Wealth of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, November 13, 2001, U.N. doc. S/2001/1072.

    79.

    U.S. Department of Justice, "Och-Ziff Capital Management Admits to Role in Africa Bribery Conspiracies and Agrees to Pay $213 Million Criminal Fine," September 29, 2016; U.S. SEC, "Och-Ziff Hedge Fund Settles FCPA Charges," September 29, 2016; Bloomberg, "Diamond Magnate at the Heart of Och-Ziff's Africa Ambitions," September 30, 2016.

    80.

    Aaron Ross, "Congo broke transparency rules with mine sale to Glencore unit: IMF," Reuters, June 26, 2015.

    81.

    In response, Gécamines has stated that existing agreements only "frame the negotiations," and that "as soon as definitive contracts are signed with our partners they will be published." Bloomberg, "Congo Copper Miner Plans Chinese Joint Venture at Main Asset," June 15, 2016.

    82.

    Thomas Wilson, "Congo Awards Payments From Glencore Mine to Kabila's Friend," Bloomberg, October 16, 2016.

    83.

    Global Witness, "Congo Signs Over Potential $880m of Royalties in Glencore Project to Offshore Company Belonging to Friend of Congolese President," November 15, 2016. Similar past royalties agreements with Gécamines reportedly allowed Gertler to retain the rights to millions of dollars in annual royalties even after subsequently selling his holdings in two projects to Glencore in early 2017. Bloomberg, "Gertler Keeps Royalties From Glencore's Congo Mines After Sale," February 16, 2017.

    84.

    Bloomberg, "Congo Received at Least $33 Million to Approve China Mine Deal," January 26, 2017.

    85.

    Soco has denied the allegations. See Jon Rosen, "The Battle for Africa's Oldest National Park," National Geographic, June 6, 2014; BBC, "'Soco paid Congo major' accused of Virunga oil intimidation," June 10, 2015.

    86.

    State Department, FY2017 Congressional Budget Justification, Foreign Operations.

    87.

    State Department, "U.S. Relations With Democratic Republic of the Congo," July 8, 2016.

    88.

    See CRS Report R42094, The Lord's Resistance Army: The U.S. Response, by [author name scrubbed], [author name scrubbed], and [author name scrubbed].

    89.

    Perriello remarks at the U.S. Institute for Peace, "Final Speech as U.S. Envoy," December 16, 2016.

    90.

    Remarks at the Brookings Institution, "Congo's Political Crisis," Washington DC, August 15, 2016.

    91.

    Thomas-Greenfield testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, hearing on "U.S. Policy in Central Africa: The Imperative of Good Governance," February 10, 2016.

    92.

    State Department, "Support for Facilitation of National Dialogue in the Democratic Republic of Congo," July 8, 2016.

    93.

    Perriello testimony before the Tom Lantos Human Rights Commission, hearing on "Democracy and Human Rights in the Democratic Republic of the Congo," November 29, 2016.

    94.

    See, e.g., Perriello's testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, February 10, 2016, op. cit.

    95.

    U.S. Department of Treasury, "Treasury Sanctions Two Congolese Government Officials," December 12, 2016in June 2018 that "gold sourced in high-risk and conflict areas was exported illegally to Uganda and Rwanda." Final report of the Group of Experts, June 8, 2018, U.N. doc. S/2018/531.

    75.

    Global Witness, Regime Cash Machine: How the Democratic Republic of Congo's booming mining exports are failing to benefit its people, July 2017.

    76.

    Department of the Treasury, "United States Sanctions Human Rights Abusers and Corrupt Actors Across the Globe," December 21, 2017.

    77.

    See Franz Wild, Michael J. Kavanagh, and Jonathan Ferziger, "Gertler Earns Millions as Mine Deals Fail to Enrich Congo," Bloomberg Markets Magazine, December 5, 2012.

    78.

    Department of the Treasury, "Treasury Sanctions Fourteen Entities Affiliated with Corrupt Businessman Dan Gertler Under Global Magnitsky," June 15, 2018.

    79.

    Bloomberg, "Congo Bribery Probe Puts Israeli Billionaire's Future on Hold," February 22, 2018.

    80.

    Bloomberg, "Congo's Miners Face Harsh New Reality as Mining Law Finalized," June 13, 2018.

    81.

    In 2014, President Obama issued Executive Order (E.O.) 13671 authorizing DRC-related sanctions designations, which amended E.O. 13413 (2006) to add as grounds for designation any "actions or policies that undermine democratic processes or institutions." In 2016, the Obama Administration designated five sitting or former prominent DRC security officials in an effort to deter political repression and pressure the government to hold elections. President Trump sanctioned a sixth senior DRC security official and a related business in June 2017 for "undermining democratic processes." In February 2018, the Trump Administration and the U.N. Security Council designated a DRC military officer accused of abusing civilians in North Kivu—the first U.N. designation of an active-duty DRC military officer.

    82.

    Department of the Treasury, "United States Sanctions Human Rights Abusers and Corrupt Actors Across the Globe," December 21, 2017. The E.O. implements the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act, i.e., §1261 of P.L. 114-328, and also invokes additional legislative and constitutional authorities granted to the President. See CRS In Focus IF10576, The Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act, by [author name scrubbed].

    83.

    Testimony by Acting Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, Ambassador Don Yamamoto, House Foreign Affairs Committee (HFAC), Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights and International Organizations, Hearing, "Resolving the Political Crisis in the Democratic Republic of the Congo," November 9, 2017.

    84.

    Ambassador Nikki Haley, "Remarks at a UN Security Council Open Arria-Formula Meeting on the Democratic Republic of the Congo," February 12, 2018.

    85.

    Yamamoto testimony, November 2017, op. cit.; U.S. Embassy Kinshasa, "Statement of January 20, 2018."

    86.

    U.S. Mission to the United Nations, "Ambassador Nikki Haley's Remarks at a UN Security Council Open Debate on Peace and Security in Africa," July 19, 2017; "Statement by Ambassador Haley on the Board of Inquiry Report on the Deaths of Michael Sharp and Zaida Catalan," August 17, 2017; and "Statement by Ambassador Haley on the Election of the Democratic Republic of the Congo to the UN Human Rights Council," October 16, 2017.

    87.

    Ida Sawyer and Jason Stearns, "Finding Justice in Congo [op-ed]," New York Times, June 14, 2017; Radio France Internationale, RDC: Violences au Kasai, "Bunkonde: L'exécution de deux experts de l'ONU," September 12, 2017; Reuters, "Who Killed U.N. Experts in Congo? Confidential Prosecutor's File Offers Clues," December 19, 2017.

    88.

    Final Report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, June 4, 2018, U.N. doc. S/2018/531.

    89.

    See CRS In Focus IF10597, United Nations Issues: U.S. Funding of U.N. Peacekeeping Operations, by [author name scrubbed].

    90.

    On the application of previous foreign aid appropriations provisions pertaining to past Rwandan support to Congolese rebel groups, see CRS Report R44402, Rwanda: In Brief.

    91.

    See U.N. Security Council, Midterm report of the Panel of Experts established pursuant to resolution 1874 (2009), September 5, 2017, U.N. doc. S/2017/742; and Report of the Panel of Experts established pursuant to resolution 1874 (2009), February 27, 2017, U.N. doc. S/2017/150.

    92.

    The DRC arms embargo allows military assistance to the government of DRC but requires advance notification to the U.N. sanctions committee. See U.N. Security Council Committee Established Pursuant to Resolution 1533 (2004), "Sanctions Measures," at https://www.un.org/sc/suborg/en/sanctions/1533#summary%20listing%20criteria.

    93.

    Remarks by Rep. Chabot and Rep. Yoho, Congressional Record, p. H3026, May 2, 2017.

    94.

    See, e.g., remarks by Rep. Huizenga and Rep. Moore on a proposed amendment to the Department of the Interior, Environment, and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 2018, Congressional Record, p. H7334, September 13, 2017; and Hearing by the House Financial Services Committee, Subcommittee on Monetary Policy and Trade, "Dodd-Frank Five Years Later: What Have We Learned from Conflict Minerals Reporting?" November 17, 2015. For background, see CRS Report R42618, Conflict Minerals in Central Africa: U.S. and International Responses, by [author name scrubbed].

    95.

    Acting Chairman Michael S. Piwowar, "Statement on the Commission's Conflict Minerals Rule," January 31, 2017.

    96.
    96.

    What's in Blue, "Democratic Republic of the Congo: Meeting and Adoption of a Presidential Statement," December 5, 2016.

    97.

    "Press Availability on the D.R.C. and the Great Lakes Region," as released by the State Department, May 4, 2014.

    98.

    State Department, "State Dept. on Detention of Youth Activists in DRC," April 16, 2015.

    99.

    U.S. Embassy Kinshasa, "Press Conference with Assistant Secretary Tom Malinowski," June 4, 2015.

    100.

    AP, "Congo Slams U.S. for Political 'Interference' in Elections," June 9, 2015.

    101.

    Then-Assistant Secretary of State Johnnie Carson testimony before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, and Human Rights, December 11, 2012, and the House Armed Services Committee, December 19, 2012; White House, "Readout of the President's Call with President Kagame," December 18, 2012; State Department press statement, August 25, 2013, and daily news briefing, August 26, 2013.

    102.

    State Department daily news briefing, October 3, 2014See CRS In Focus IF10901, Child Soldiers Prevention Act of 2008: Security Assistance Restrictions and Proposals in the 115th Congress, by Michael A. Weber; and CRS Report R42497, Trafficking in Persons: International Dimensions and Foreign Policy Issues for Congress, by [author name scrubbed].

    98.

    See Presidential Determination 2017-14, September 30, 2017. President Obama partially waived restrictions for DRC in FY2017 and fully waived them for FY2016; see Presidential Determinations No. 2016-14, September 28, 2016, and No. 2015-13, September 29, 2015.

    99.

    Presidential Determination No. 2017-15, September 30, 2017.

    100.

    The Economist, "Congo Is Sliding Back to Bloodshed," February 15, 2018; Report of the Secretary-General on the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, October 2, 2017, U.N. doc. S/2017/824.

    101.

    Séverine Autesserre, "What the Uproar Over Congo's Elections Misses," Foreign Affairs, March 1, 2017.

    102.