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Kyrgyz Republic

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Updated November 1, 2017 Kyrgyz Republic region (1924), then as the Kyrgyz Autonomous Republic (1926), and finally as the Kyrgyz Republic (1936). During the Soviet era, the Kyrgyz Republic produced agricultural goods and mineral and military products. Source: Graphic created by Hannah Fischer at CRS. Political Background Government: The Kyrgyz Republic (or “Kyrgyzstan”) gained its independence in 1991 after the fall of the Soviet Union. That same year, the United States established diplomatic relations with the country. Askar Akayev was elected the first president of Kyrgystan, and he remained in power until 2005. Revolutions in 2005 and 2010 led to the overthrow of two presidents, including Akayev, and the adoption of a newly drafted constitution in 2010. The 2010 constitution established a hybrid parliamentary system that balances power between the president, prime minister, and legislature. Changes to the constitution in December 2016 transferred power from the president to the legislature and prime minister. Kyrgyzstan is seen by many as hobbled by corruption, regional disputes, and poor economic output. Recent Elections: Kyrgyzstan held presidential elections on October 15, 2017. The race, which featured more than 50 candidates, resulted in a first round victory for the incumbent party candidate Sooronbai Jeenbekov. Jeenbekov, who recently served as prime minister, was favored to win the race. However, many expected stronger challenges to Jeenbekov’s candidacy, particularly from Respublika party leader Omurebek Babanov. Presidentelect Jeenbekov is to assume office on December 4, 2017. He is expected to closely follow his predecessor’s agenda, which featured strong political and economic ties to Russia. Although experts point to irregularities in the lead up to the election that may have unfairly aided Jeenbekov’s candidacy, the election process is being hailed by some as a milestone in Kyrgyzstani politics. Analysts view the result as a sign of political maturity, particularly given the country’s recent history and the region’s tradition of autocratic rule. History: Most of Kyrgyzstan was annexed by Russia in 1876. The Kyrgyz people staged a revolt against the Tsarist Empire in 1916 in which almost one-sixth of the native population was killed. After the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917, the territory of what is now Kyrgyzstan became part of the Soviet Union, first as the Kara-Kyrghyz Autonomous Human Rights: According to the Department of State, the most significant human rights problems in Kyrgyzstan include a lack of due process, harassment of local activists, journalists, and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), and police-driven violence and discrimination against sexual and ethnic minority groups. In 2010, jailed Uzbek activist Azimjon Askarov was sentenced to life in prison; in 2015, he was given a Human Rights Defender Award by the Department of State—a decision that created substantial friction in the U.S.-Kyrgyzstan relationship. The central government appears not to prosecute human rights violators consistently, contributing to the persistence of abuses by security forces and law enforcement. From 2013 to 2016, some Kyrgyz lawmakers pushed for the adoption of a Russian-style “foreign agents law” that would classify many NGOs as foreign agents. Both foreign and domestic critics noted that such a policy would inhibit the growth of Kyrgyzstan’s civil society. The national parliament voted on the law in May 2016 and rejected it 65-46, a move praised by international rights organizations such as Human Rights Watch. Kyrgyz Republic at a Glance Land area and geography: Mountainous, with land area 199,951 km2 (slightly smaller than South Dakota) Population: 6.08 million Ethnicity: 73% Kyrgyz, 15% Uzbek, 6% Russian, 6% other Religion: 75% Sunni Muslim, 20% Russian Orthodox, 5% other GDP (2016): $6.55 billion, per capita GNI is $3,410 at PPP Major resources: Gold, rare earth metals, hydropower Political structure: Hybrid parliamentary system with president (elected to 6 year term, next election in 2023), prime minister, and unicameral legislature (elected to 5-year terms, next legislative elections in 2020) Political Leaders: President Sooronbai Jeenbekov. Prime Minister Sapar Isakov Data from U.N., World Bank (2016) Drug Trafficking: According to reports, about a quarter of the world’s heroin passes through Central Asia—including Osh, a Kyrgyz city—on its way to Russia and Europe. Yet, corruption and limited institutional capacity have hampered Kyrgyz efforts to tackle the drug trade. The United States has provided counternarcotic assistance and equipment to the country’s law enforcement forces. The United States also helped to develop the Kyrgyz State Service for Drug Control, an independent drug enforcement body. Terrorism: Violent extremism is a major concern in Kyrgyzstan. The country has, in large part, not worked with https://crsreports.congress.gov Kyrgyz Republic the United States on counterterrorism issues, although in 2016 Kyrgyz law enforcement bodies participated in the State Department’s Antiterrorism Assistance program. Kyrgyzstan also has taken part in counterterrorism trainings organized by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe and NATO. An estimated 600 Kyrgyz citizens have left the country to join international terrorist groups, such as the Islamic State. But according to some observers, the real number may be higher. The Kyrgyz government recently enacted a law, allowing it to revoke a person’s citizenship if he or she is convicted of receiving terrorist training or fighting abroad. The main drivers of radicalization, according to the government, are lack of economic opportunities and the country’s minority ethnic groups, especially Uzbeks, feeling marginalized. Economic upturn: In July 2017, Kyrgyzstan’s year-to-year real GDP growth was 6.9%, according to the World Bank. The uptick resulted largely from the country’s gold production, which expanded by 43%. In 2018, the World Bank expects the country’s economy to grow by 4.2%. Kyrgyzstan’s economic potential is tied to its hydroelectricity and tourism sectors. However, the country’s economy faces several challenges, including corruption and weak governance. Figure 1. Personal Remittances from Russia to Kyrgyzstan Economy Trade: Kyrgyzstan is one of the poorest countries of Central Asia. Soviet-era infrastructure and state-owned enterprises distort the economy. It possesses minor oil and gas reserves but relies on imports to meet its energy needs. Gold is Kyrgyzstan’s main export commodity, making up more than 60% of all exports for 2015. Yet, the gold mining industry is a politically sensitive topic due to profit-sharing disputes between the national government and the Canadian-operated Kumtor Mine which led to the resignation of the country’s prime minister in April 2015. In 2016, the government banned the use of foreign currency in all domestic transactions—possibly to make the country less reliant on foreign currencies and to make goods and services more affortable. The new regulation is expected to mainly affect sectors where most dealings were in U.S. dollars or euros, such as the Kygryz property market. Multilateral Organizations: Kyrgyzstan is a member of the World Trade Organization (WTO), as well as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. In August 2014, Kyrgyzstan joined the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) with Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Armenia and formally became a full member in August 2015. Due in part to its perceived negative impacts on the reexport sector, the EAEU has proven politically controversial in Kyrgyzstan. A WTO member since the 1990s, Kyrgyzstan has fostered a reputation as a relatively liberal trade environment. For this reason, the country has become a regional exchange hub, with many traders earning a living importing and reexporting goods from China. Kyrgyzstan’s status as a trade hub may be threatened, however, due to the uniform standards adopted under the Russian-led EAEU. Kyrgyzstan is also seen as a site for potential projects under China’s “Belt and Road Initiative,” which promotes economic connectivity across three continents. Economic dependence on Russia: According to official government statistics, imports come mainly from Russia (55%), which sold approximately $683 million in petroleum to Kyrgyzstan in 2015. By contrast, U.S. total exports to Kyrgyzstan were about $10.2 million in 2015. Kyrgyzstan also relies heavily on personal remittance payments from Kyrgyz migrant workers in Russia. Although real wages have fallen due to Russia’s economic downturn, the EAEU partnership has protected many Kyrgyz migrants from losing their jobs and tighter immigration laws in Russia. Source: Central Bank of Russia. Kyrgyzstan Relations Foreign policy: Kyrgyzstan, like other Central Asian countries, has traditionally rejected foreign powers’efforts to cultivate strong bilateral relations. According to some analysts, nationalism plays a central role in shaping the country’s foreign policy, and Kyrgyzstan has historically preferred to balance Russian, Chinese, and Western influences, while maintaining a semblance of independence. Under the Atambayev administration, however, Kyrgyzstan’s foreign policy tipped in Russia’s direction. It joined the Russian-led EAEU, and Russia canceled $240 million in Kyrgyz sovereign debt in May 2017. Following the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, Kyrgyzstan agreed to the creation of the U.S. Transit Center (formerly Manas Air Base) at Manas International Airport in Bishkek to support U.S. operations in Afghanistan. In 2014, U.S. troops turned over the Center to the Kyrgyz. U.S. Foreign Assistance: U.S. foreign assistance focuses on strengthening Kyrgyzstan’s democratic process, encouraging economic growth, improving governance, and enhancing the security services. The FY2018 U.S. foreign operations assistance request for Kyrgyzstan is $19.47 million, down from $46.38 million in FY2016 (actual). Economic Support and Development Funds account for most (77%) of the FY2018 request ($15 million). Jennifer M. Roscoe, Research Assistant Wil Mackey, Research Assistant Edward Y. Gracia, Research Assistant https://crsreports.congress.gov IF10304 Kyrgyz RepublicAugust 3, 2020 Kyrgyz Republic Overview Figure 1. Map of the Kyrgyz Republic The Kyrgyz Republic (commonly known as Kyrgyzstan) is a mountainous, landlocked country that borders China and maintains close ties with Russia. Formerly a constituent republic of the Soviet Union, Kyrgyzstan became independent in 1991. As a parliamentary republic that holds contested elections, Kyrgyzstan has long been considered the most democratic country in Central Asia, with a vibrant civil society and a higher degree of press freedom than found elsewhere in the region. Corruption is pervasive, however, and political institutions remain weak. In recent years, international observers have voiced concerns about democratic backsliding in Kyrgyzstan. Some Members of Congress have also expressed concerns about government pressure on independent media outlets, including the congressionally-funded Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. Because Kyrgyzstan is an impoverished country that relies heavily on foreign remittances, the ongoing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is causing significant economic strain. Political Background Government: Kyrgyzstan has twice experienced revolutions that ousted authoritarian-leaning presidents, first in 2005 and again in 2010. A new constitution adopted in 2010 converted the country to a semi-parliamentary system and imposed a one-term limit on presidents, who are elected directly via universal suffrage and serve for six years. The prime minister, nominated by the parliamentary majority and appointed by the president, shares executive power. Kyrgyzstan’s unicameral parliament, the Jogorku Kenesh (“Supreme Council”), has 120 members; deputies are elected to five-year terms in a closed-list proportional electoral system. Political landscape: In recent years, the ruling Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan (SDPK) has moved to consolidate its position, using state resources to pressure political opponents and civil society. Although Kyrgyzstan enjoys a greater degree of political pluralism than its Central Asian neighbors, in the assessment of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, “political parties are characterized by the personalities leading them, rather than by their platforms, which overlap significantly.” Governing coalitions are frequently unstable, and the prime minister has been replaced 12 times since the 2010 revolution. Kyrgyzstan’s political landscape is shifting due in part to an ongoing feud between President Sooronbai Jeenbekov (in office since 2017) and his predecessor and former patron, Almazbek Atambayev (in office 2011-2017), which has led to a split in the SDPK. In June 2020 Atambayev was sentenced to 11 years and 2 months in prison on corruption-related charges. He also faces murder charges stemming from an August 2019 law enforcement raid on his compound that left one member of the security services dead. Source: Graphic created by CRS 2020 Parliamentary Elections: The next parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 4, 2020, but they may be deferred because of the COVID-19 pandemic. The two major parliamentary factions have fractured internally and there are no clear front-runners in the 2020 elections; it is possible that new groupings will enter the Jogorku Kenesh. Human Rights: According to the U.S. State Department, major human rights concerns in Kyrgyzstan include torture and arbitrary detention, inadequate judicial independence, severe restrictions on freedom of expression and freedom of the press, and corruption. In 2015, the State Department recognized imprisoned activist Azimjon Askarov with its Human Rights Defender Award, leading to significant friction in the U.S.-Kyrgyz bilateral relationship. Askarov died in prison on July 24, 2020, possibly of COVID-19. In June 2020, Kyrgyzstan’s parliament passed a law that would enable authorities to censor websites containing information they determined to be untruthful and require internet service providers to turn user data over to government agencies on request. After the bill sparked protests and drew criticism from international observers, the president returned it to the legislature for revision. Draft bills that would impose financial reporting requirements on nongovernmental organizations and restrict workers’ right to organize have also drawn international criticism. Terrorism: Although terrorist attacks within Kyrgyzstan are rare, about 800 Kyrgyz nationals travelled to Syria and Iraq to join the Islamic State or other terrorist groups; more than 200 are estimated to have died over the course of the Syrian conflict. Government plans to repatriate Kyrgyz citizens, primarily women and children, were disrupted by unrest in Iraq and Turkey’s October 2019 military incursion into northern Syria. Some 300 Kyrgyz nationals have returned to the country, and about 50 have been imprisoned. Foreign fighters from Central Asia remain an international https://crsreports.congress.gov Kyrgyz Republic concern due to their ongoing participation in armed groups active in Syria and Afghanistan. The Kyrgyz Republic at a Glance Land area: 199,951 sq. km. (slightly smaller than South Dakota) Population: 6.5 million (2020 est.) Ethnicities: 73.6% Kyrgyz, 14.8% Uzbek, 1.6% Ukrainian, 5.3% Russian, 6.3% other (2020) Languages: Kyrgyz (official), Russian (official) GDP/GDP per capita (2019): $8.5 billion/$1,323 Data from the World Bank and the National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic. Economy Trade: Kyrgyzstan’s 1998 accession to the WTO helped establish the country as a hub for the re-export of Chinese goods. Gold is Kyrgyzstan’s main export commodity and is primarily produced by the Canadian-owned Kumtor gold mine, which accounted for about one-tenth of GDP in 2019. The large informal economy is estimated at up to 24% of GDP. Kyrgyzstan has been a member of the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) since 2015, but accession has proven controversial domestically because EAEU membership introduced new regulatory hurdles while failing to confer some of the expected benefits. Chinese investments: China has supported several largescale infrastructure projects in Kyrgyzstan, financed primarily through concessional loans, as part of Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative. China’s Export-Import Bank owns almost 50% of Kyrgyzstan’s roughly $4 billion of foreign debt, according to official figures. The expanding Chinese economic presence in Kyrgyzstan has sparked controversy and protests, which have sometimes turned violent. Economic dependence on Russia: Kyrgyzstan is one of the most remittance-dependent economies in the world, with remittances, predominantly from Russia, accounting for roughly 30% of GDP in 2019. As of 2019, there were an estimated 640,000 to 800,000 Kyrgyz citizens in Russia, accounting for over 20% of Kyrgyzstan’s working-age population and rendering the Kyrgyz economy vulnerable to external shocks from downturns in the Russian economy. COVID-19: The ongoing pandemic has had a significant negative impact on Kyrgyzstan’s economy and is straining the country’s under-resourced healthcare system. The National Bank projects a 4% decline in GDP in 2020 (previous forecasts had predicted 3.4% growth in 2020; GDP growth has averaged 4% since 2014). The World Bank estimates that remittances to Kyrgyzstan will fall significantly in 2020 as a consequence of the pandemic. Additionally, large numbers of people either returning from abroad or unable to migrate for work will likely aggravate unemployment and place additional stress on the country’s social services. Kyrgyzstan has received emergency financial assistance from international financial institutions, and the Kyrgyz government has requested debt relief from China. The United States Agency for International Development has donated personal protective equipment and has allocated about $1 million to support Kyrgyzstan’s COVID response. Foreign Policy and U.S. Relations Foreign policy: Bishkek maintains close political ties with Moscow and is generally seen as the most Russia-friendly government in Central Asia. Kyrgyzstan hosts four Russian military installations, including Kant Air Base. In recent years, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan have made strides towards resolving decades-old border disputes, although clashes periodically break out. Tensions on the partially undemarcated Kyrgyz-Tajik border also periodically erupt into violence. Kyrgyzstan is a member of numerous multilateral organizations, including the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the Collective Security Treaty Organization. U.S. Relations: The United States was among the first countries to recognize Kyrgyz independence following the collapse of the Soviet Union. From 2001 to 2014, the United States operated a Transit Center at Manas, just outside the Kyrgyz capital of Bishkek, in support of U.S. military operations in Afghanistan. U.S. relations with Kyrgyzstan deteriorated under President Atambayev, at least in part due to Russian pressure. U.S.-Kyrgyzstan relations have improved somewhat under current President Jeenbekov. Although security cooperation has waned since 2014, the State Department is seeking to develop bilateral cooperation in combatting terrorism and extremism and promoting regional stability. Other U.S. priorities in Kyrgyzstan include supporting a more inclusive and accountable democracy and improving the country’s business environment. U.S. Foreign Assistance: In 2015 the Kyrgyz government terminated the bilateral cooperation agreement (BCA) that facilitated the provision of U.S. humanitarian and technical economic assistance to Kyrgyzstan. Aid programs have continued, however, with $37 million appropriated in FY2019. According to the State Department, the United States has provided $1.2 billion in assistance to Kyrgyzstan over the past 20 years. U.S. officials have been involved in ongoing efforts to conclude a new BCA. Travel Restrictions: In January 2020, the Trump Administration suspended the issuance of most immigrant visas to Kyrgyz citizens as part of its expansion of the travel restrictions introduced by Executive Order 13780 of March 6, 2017, citing Kyrgyzstan’s failure to comply with information-sharing criteria and deficiencies in the security of Kyrgyz passports. Kyrgyzstan’s introduction of biometric passports was delayed in 2019 as the result of a corruption investigation, and Kyrgyz passports are notoriously easy to forge or obtain through illegal means. Kyrgyzstan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs criticized the travel restrictions, stating that they caused “significant damage” to U.S.-Kyrgyz relations and noting that more than 80 countries have yet to introduce biometric passports. Both U.S. and Kyrgyz authorities have expressed willingness to cooperate on addressing the passport deficiencies. https://crsreports.congress.gov Kyrgyz Republic IF10304 Maria A. Blackwood, Analyst in Asian Policy Disclaimer This document was prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). CRS serves as nonpartisan shared staff to congressional committees and Members of Congress. It operates solely at the behest of and under the direction of Congress. Information in a CRS Report should not be relied upon for purposes other than public understanding of information that has been provided by CRS to Members of Congress in connection with CRS’s institutional role. CRS Reports, as a work of the United States Government, are not subject to copyright protection in the United States. Any CRS Report may be reproduced and distributed in its entirety without permission from CRS. However, as a CRS Report may include copyrighted images or material from a third party, you may need to obtain the permission of the copyright holder if you wish to copy or otherwise use copyrighted material. https://crsreports.congress.gov | IF10304 · VERSION 78 · UPDATED