China Naval Modernization: Implications for
U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and
Issues for Congress
Ronald O'Rourke
Specialist in Naval Affairs
July 28September 21, 2015
Congressional Research Service
7-5700
www.crs.gov
RL33153
China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
Summary
China is building a modern and regionally powerful navy with a limited but growing capability
for conducting operations beyond China’s near-seas region. Observers of Chinese and U.S.
military forces view China’s improving naval capabilities as posing a potential challenge in the
Western Pacific to the U.S. Navy’s ability to achieve and maintain control of blue-water ocean
areas in wartime—the first such challenge the U.S. Navy has faced since the end of the Cold War.
More broadly, these observers view China’s naval capabilities as a key element of an emerging
broader Chinese military challenge to the longstanding status of the United States as the leading
military power in the Western Pacific. The question of how the United States should respond to
China’s military modernization effort, including its naval modernization effort, is a key issue in
U.S. defense planning.
China’s naval modernization effort encompasses a broad array of platform and weapon
acquisition programs, including anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBMs), anti-ship cruise missiles
(ASCMs), submarines, surface ships, aircraft, and supporting C4ISR (command and control,
communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance) systems. China’s
naval modernization effort also includes improvements in maintenance and logistics, doctrine,
personnel quality, education and training, and exercises.
Observers believe China’s naval modernization effort is oriented toward developing capabilities
for doing the following: addressing the situation with Taiwan militarily, if need be; asserting or
defending China’s territorial claims in the South China Sea and East China Sea; enforcing China’s
view that it has the right to regulate foreign military activities in its 200-mile maritime exclusive
economic zone (EEZ); defending China’s commercial sea lines of communication (SLOCs);
displacing U.S. influence in the Western Pacific; and asserting China’s status as a leading regional
power and major world power. Consistent with these goals, observers believe China wants its
military to be capable of acting as an anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) force—a force that can
deter U.S. intervention in a conflict in China’s near-seas region over Taiwan or some other issue,
or failing that, delay the arrival or reduce the effectiveness of intervening U.S. forces. Additional
missions for China’s navy include conducting maritime security (including anti-piracy)
operations, evacuating Chinese nationals from foreign countries when necessary, and conducting
humanitarian assistance/disaster response (HA/DR) operations.
Potential oversight issues for Congress include the following:
• whether the U.S. Navy in coming years will be large enough and capable enough
to adequately counter improved Chinese maritime A2/AD forces while also
adequately performing other missions around the world;
•
whether the Joint Concept for Access and Maneuver in the Global Commons
(JAM-GC), previously known as Air-Sea Battle (ASB), represents a good
approach for countering China’s A2/AD systems;
•
whether the Navy’s plans for developing and procuring long-range carrier-based
aircraft and long-range ship- and aircraft-launched weapons are appropriate;
•
whether the Navy can effectively counter Chinese ASBMs and submarines; and
•
whether the Navy, in response to China’s maritime A2/AD capabilities, should
shift over time to a more distributed fleet architecture.
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Contents
Introduction. ..................................................................................................................................... 1
Issue for Congress ..................................................................................................................... 1
Scope, Sources, and Terminology ............................................................................................. 1
Background ...................................................................................................................................... 2
Strategic and Budgetary Context ............................................................................................... 2
Shift in International Security Environment ....................................................................... 2
U.S. Grand Strategy ............................................................................................................ 2
U.S. Strategic Rebalancing to Asia-Pacific Region. ............................................................ 3
Declining U.S. Technological and Qualitative Edge ........................................................... 3
Challenge to U.S. Sea Control and U.S. Position in Western Pacific. ................................. 4
Implications of Military Balance in Absence of a Conflict ................................................. 4
China’s “Salami-Slicing” Tactics in East and South China Seas ........................................ 4
Regional U.S. Allies and Partners ....................................................................................... 5
Limits on Defense Spending in Budget Control Act of 2011 as Amended ......................... 5
Overview of China’s Naval Modernization Effort .................................................................... 5
Date of Inception ................................................................................................................. 5
A Broad-Based Modernization Effort ................................................................................. 6
Quality vs. Quantity ............................................................................................................ 6
Limitations and Weaknesses. ............................................................................................... 6
Roles and Missions for China’s Navy ................................................................................. 7
January 2014 ONI Testimony ........................................................................................................... 9
Selected Elements of China’s Naval Modernization Effort ....................................................... 9
Anti-Ship Ballistic Missiles (ASBMs) and Anti-Ship Cruise Missiles (ASCMs) ............... 9
Submarines ........................................................................................................................ 12
Mines .............. 9
Submarines and Mines ................................................................................................................... 18 12
Aircraft Carriers and Carrier-Based Aircraft ..................................................................... 18
Navy Surface Combatants and Coast Guard Cutters. ........................................................ 24
Amphibious Ships ..........................and Potential Floating Sea Bases................................................................................... 34
Land-Based Aircraft and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) .......................................... 3841
Nuclear and Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Weapons ....................................................... 4043
Maritime Surveillance and Targeting Systems .................................................................. 4043
Naval Cyber Warfare Capabilities ..................................................................................... 41 44
Chinese Naval Operations Away from Home Waters .............................................................. 4144
Numbers of Chinese Ships and Aircraft; Comparisons to U.S. Navy ..................................... 4346
Numbers Provided by ONI ................................................................................................ 43 46
Numbers Presented in Annual DOD Reports to Congress ................................................ 4649
Comparing U.S. and Chinese Naval Capabilities. ............................................................. 4851
DOD Response to China Naval Modernization. ...................................................................... 49
Renewed DOD Emphasis on Asia-Pacific Region ............................................................ 4952
U.S. Strategic Rebalancing to Asia-Pacific Region .......................................................... 52
Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy .......................................................................... 53
Defense Innovation Initiative ............................................................................................ 54
Joint Concept for Access and Maneuver in Global Commons (JAM-GC)
(Previously Air-Sea Battle) ............................................................................................ 5054
Navy Response to China Naval Modernization. ...................................................................... 5055
Force Posture and Basing Actions ..................................................................................... 50 55
Acquisition Programs ........................................................................................................ 5256
Training and Forward-Deployed Operations ..................................................................... 55
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Issues for Congress ........................................................................................................................ 56
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Future Size and Capability of U.S. Navy ................................................................................ 5660
Joint Concept for Access and Maneuver in Global Commons (JAM-GC) (Previously
Air-Sea Battle) ...................................................................................................................... 56 60
Long-Range Carrier-Based Aircraft and Long-Range Weapons ............................................. 5761
UCLASS Aircraft .............................................................................................................. 5761
Long-Range Anti-Ship and Land Attack Missiles ............................................................. 57 61
Long-Range Air-to-Air Missile ......................................................................................... 5963
Navy’s Ability to Counter China’s ASBMs ............................................................................. 5963
Breaking the ASBM’s Kill Chain ...................................................................................... 59 63
Endo-Atmospheric Target for Simulating DF-21D ASBM ............................................... 6266
Navy’s Ability to Counter China’s Submarines ....................................................................... 63 67
Navy’s Fleet Architecture ........................................................................................................ 6468
Legislative Activity for FY2016 .................................................................................................... 6569
FY2016 National Defense Authorization Act (H.R. 1735/S. 1376) ........................................ 6569
House ................................................................................................................................. 65 69
Senate ................................................................................................................................ 6669
Figures
Figure 1. Jin (Type 094) Class Ballistic Missile Submarine .......................................................... 12
Figure 2. Yuan (Type 039A) Class Attack Submarine ................................................................... 13
Figure 3. Acoustic Quietness of Chinese and Russian Nuclear-Powered Submarines .................. 14
Figure 4. Acoustic Quietness of Chinese and Russian Non-Nuclear-Powered Submarines .......... 15
Figure 5. Aircraft Carrier Liaoning ................................................................................................ 19
Figure 6. J-15 Carrier-Capable Fighter .......................................................................................... 22
Figure 7. Luyang II (Type 052C) Class Destroyer. ........................................................................ 27
Figure 8. Jiangkai II (Type 054A) Class Frigate. ........................................................................... 29
Figure 9. Type 056 Corvette .......................................................................................................... 31
Figure 10. Houbei (Type 022) Class Fast Attack Craft .................................................................. 32
Figure 11. China Coast Guard Ship ............................................................................................... 33
Figure 12. Yuzhao (Type 071) Class Amphibious Ship ................................................................. 35
Figure 13. Type 081 LHD (Unconfirmed Conceptual Rendering of a Possible Design) ............... 36 36
Figure 14. Very Large Floating Structure (VLFS)......................................................................... 38
Figure 15. Very Large Floating Structure (VLFS)......................................................................... 39
Figure 16. Backdrop Showing Rendering of VLFS ..................................................................... 39
Figure 17. U.S. Mobile Offshore Base (MOB) Concept ............................................................... 40
Tables
Table 1. PLA Navy Submarine Commissionings .......................................................................... 16
Table 2. PLA Navy Destroyer Commissionings ............................................................................ 28
Table 3. PLA Navy Frigate Commissionings ................................................................................ 30
Table 4. Numbers of PLA Navy Ships Provided by ONI in 2013 ................................................. 44
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Table 5. Numbers of PLA Navy Ships and Aircraft Provided by ONI in 2009 ............................. 4548
Table 6. Numbers of PLA Navy Ships Presented in Annual DOD Reports to Congress ............... 47
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Appendixes
Appendix A. January 2014 ONI Testimony on China’s Navy ................................................................................... 70
Appendix B. Background Information on 73
Appendix B. 2015 DOD Report on Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy .............................. 83
Appendix C. Joint Concept for Access and Maneuver in
Global Commons (JAM-GC)
(Previously Air-Sea Battle) ........................................................................................................ 88 81
Appendix C. Article by CNO GreenertD. 2012 Article on Navy’s Rebalancing Toward Asia-Pacific ..................................... 112 107
Contacts
Author Contact Information ......................................................................................................... 112117
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Introduction
Issue for Congress
China is building a modern and regionally powerful navy with a limited but growing capability
for conducting operations beyond China’s near-seas region. The question of how the United
This report provides background information and issues for Congress on China’s naval
modernization effort and its implications for U.S. Navy capabilities. The question of how the
United States should respond to China’s military modernization effort, including its naval modernization
modernization effort, is a key issue in U.S. defense planning and budgeting. Many U.S. military
programs for countering
improving Chinese military forces (particularly its naval forces) fall
within the U.S. Navy’s
budget.
The issue for Congress is how the U.S. Navy should respond to China’s military modernization
effort, particularly its naval modernization effort. Decisions that Congress reaches on this issue
could affect U.S. Navy capabilities and funding requirements and the U.S. defense industrial
base.
Scope, Sources, and Terminology
This report focuses on China’s naval modernization effort and its implications for future required
U.S. Navy capabilities. Other CRS reports address separate issues relating to China
capabilities. For an overview of China’s military as a whole, see CRS Report R44196, The
Chinese Military: Overview and Issues for Congress, by Ian E. Rinehart and David Gitter.
This report is based on unclassified open-source information, such as the annual DOD report to
Congress on military and security developments involving China,1 2015 and 2009 reports on
China’s navy from the Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI),2 published reference sources such as
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships, and press reports.
For convenience, this report uses the term China’s naval modernization effort to refer to the
modernization not only of China’s navy, but also of Chinese military forces outside China’s navy
that can be used to counter U.S. naval forces operating in the Western Pacific, such as land-based
anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBMs), land-based surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), land-based Air
Force aircraft armed with anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCMs), and land-based long-range radars
for detecting and tracking ships at sea.
China’s military is formally called the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). Its navy is called the
PLA Navy, or PLAN (also abbreviated as PLA[N]), and its air force is called the PLA Air Force,
or PLAAF. The PLA Navy includes an air component that is called the PLA Naval Air Force, or
PLANAF. China refers to its ballistic missile force as the Second Artillery Corps (SAC).
This report uses the term China’s near-seas region to refer to the Yellow Sea, East China Sea, and
South China Sea—the waters enclosed by the so-called first island chain. The so-called second
1
1
Department of Defense, Annual Report to Congress [on] Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s
Republic of China 2015. Washington, undated but released in May 2015, 89 pp. Hereinafter 2015 DOD CMSD. The
2010-2014 editions of the report are cited similarly. The 2009 and earlier editions of the report were known as the
China military power report; the 2009 edition is cited as 2009 DOD CMP, and earlier editions are cited similarly.
2
Office of Naval Intelligence, The PLA Navy, New Capabilities and Missions for the 21st21 st Century, undated but released
in April 2015, 47 pp., and The People’s Liberation Army Navy, A Modern Navy with Chinese Characteristics, August
2009. 46 pp. Hereinafter 2015 ONI Report and 2009 ONI Report, respectively.
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island chain encloses both these waters and the Philippine Sea that is situated between the
Philippines and Guam.3
Background
Strategic and Budgetary Context
This section presents some brief comments on elements of the strategic and budgetary context in
which China’s naval modernization effort and its implications for U.S. Navy capabilities may be
considered. There is also a broader context of U.S.-China relations and U.S. foreign policy
toward the Asia-Pacific that is covered in other CRS reports.4
Shift in International Security Environment
World events since late 2013 have led some observers to conclude that the international security
environment has undergone a shift from the familiar post-Cold War era of the last 20-25 years,
also sometimes known as the unipolar moment (with the United States as the unipolar power), to
a new and different strategic situation that features, among other things, renewed great power
competition and challenges to elements of the U.S.-led international order that has operated since
World War II.5 China’s improving naval capabilities can be viewed as one reflection of that shift.
U.S. Grand Strategy
Discussion of the above-mentioned shift in the international security environment has led to a
renewed emphasis in discussions of U.S. security and foreign policy on grand strategy and
geopolitics. From a U.S. perspective, grand strategy can be understood as strategy considered at a
global or interregional level, as opposed to strategies for specific countries, regions, or issues.
Geopolitics refers to the influence on international relations and strategy of basic world
geographic features such as the size and location of continents, oceans, and individual countries.
From a U.S. perspective on grand strategy and geopolitics, it can be noted that most of the
world’s people, resources, and economic activity are located not in the Western Hemisphere, but
in the other hemisphere, particularly Eurasia. In response to this basic feature of world geography,
U.S. policymakers for the past several decades have chosen to pursue, as a key element of U.S.
national strategy, a goal of preventing the emergence of a regional hegemon in one part of Eurasia
or another, on the grounds that such a hegemon could represent a concentration of power strong
enough to threaten core U.S. interests by, for example, denying the United States access to some
of the other hemisphere’s resources and economic activity. Although U.S. policymakers have not
often stated this key national strategic goal explicitly in public, U.S. military (and diplomatic)
operations in recent decades—both wartime operations and day-to-day operations—can be
viewed as having been carried out in no small part in support of this key goal. Some observers
view China’s military (including naval) modernization effort as part of broader Chinese effort to
become a regional hegemon in its part of Eurasia.
3
For a map showing the first and second island chains, see 2015 DOD CMSD, p. 87.
See, for example, CRS Report R41108, U.S.-China Relations: An Overview of Policy Issues, by Susan V. Lawrence,
and CRS Report R42448, Pivot to the Pacific? The Obama Administration’s “Rebalancing” Toward Asia, coordinated
by Mark E. Manyin.
5
For additional discussion, see CRS Report R43838, A Shift in the International Security Environment: Potential
Implications for Defense—Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
4
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operations in recent decades—both wartime operations and day-to-day operations—can be
viewed as having been carried out in no small part in support of this key goal. Some observers
view China’s military (including naval) modernization effort as part of broader Chinese effort to
become a regional hegemon in its part of Eurasia.
U.S. Strategic Rebalancing to Asia-Pacific Region
A 2012 Department of Defense (DOD) strategic guidance document6 and DOD’s report on the
2014 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR)7 state that U.S. military strategy will place an
increased emphasis on the Asia-Pacific region. Although Administration officials state that this
U.S. strategic rebalancing toward the Asia-Pacific region, as it is called, is not directed at any
single country, many observers believe it is in no small part intended as a response to China’s
military (including naval) modernization effort and its assertive behavior regarding its maritime
territorial claims.
Declining U.S. Technological and Qualitative Edge
DOD officials have expressed concern that the technological and qualitative edge that U.S.
military forces have had relative to the military forces of other countries is being narrowed by
improving military capabilities in other countries. China’s improving naval capabilities contribute
to that concern. To arrest and reverse the decline in the U.S. technological and qualitative edge,
DOD in November 2014 announced a new Defense Innovation Initiative.8 In a related effort,
DOD has also announced that it is seeking a new general U.S. approach—a so-called “third offset
strategy”—for maintaining U.S. superiority over opposing military forces that are both
numerically large and armed with precision-guided weapons.9
6
6
Department of Defense, Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense, January 2012, 8 pp.
For additional discussion, see CRS Report R42146, Assessing the January 2012 Defense Strategic Guidance (DSG): In
Brief, by Catherine Dale and Pat Towell.
7
Department of Defense, Quadrennial Defense Review 2014, 64 pp. For additional discussion, see CRS Report
R43403, The 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) and Defense Strategy: Issues for Congress, by Catherine Dale.
8
See, for example, Cheryl Pellerin, “Hagel Announces New Defense Innovation, Reform Efforts,” DOD News,
November 15, 2014; Jake Richmond, “Work Explains Strategy Behind Innovation Initiative,” DOD News, November
24, 2014; and memorandum dated November 15, 2015, from Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel to the Deputy
Secretary of Defense and other DOD recipients on The Defense Innovation Initiative, accessed online on July 21, 2015,
at http://www.defense.gov/pubs/OSD013411-14.pdf.
9
See, for example, Jake Richmond, “Work Explains Strategy Behind Innovation Initiative,” DOD News, November 24,
2014; Claudette Roulo, “Offset Strategy Puts Advantage in Hands of U.S., Allies,” DOD News, January 28, 2015;
Cheryl Pellerin, “Work Details the Future of War at Army Defense College,” DOD News, April 8, 2015.
See also Deputy Secretary of Defense Speech, National Defense University Convocation, As Prepared for Delivery by
Deputy Secretary of Defense Bob Work, National Defense University, August 05, 2014, accessed July 21, 2015, at
http://www.defense.gov/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1873; Deputy Secretary of Defense Speech, The Third U.S.
Offset Strategy and its Implications for Partners and Allies, As Delivered by Deputy Secretary of Defense Bob Work,
Willard Hotel, January 28, 2015, accessed July 21, 2015, at http://www.defense.gov/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=
1909; Deputy Secretary of Defense Speech, Army War College Strategy Conference, As Delivered by Deputy
Secretary of Defense Bob Work, U.S. Army War College, April 08, 2015, accessed July 21, 2015, at
http://www.defense.gov/Speeches/Speech.aspx?SpeechID=1930.
The effort is referred to as the search for a third offset strategy because it would succeed a 1950s-1960s U.S. strategy of
relying on nuclear weapons to offset the Soviet Union’s numerical superiority in conventional military forces (the first
offset strategy) and a subsequent U.S. offset strategy, first developed and fielded in the 1970s and 1980s, that centered
on information technology and precision-guided weapons (the second offset strategy). (For more on the second offset
(continued...)strategy, see DOD News Release No: 567-96, October 03, 1996, “Remarks as Given by Secretary of Defense William
J. Perry To the National Academy of Engineering, Wednesday, October 2, 1996,” accessed July 21, 2015, at
http://www.defense.gov/releases/release.aspx?releaseid=1057.
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Challenge to U.S. Sea Control and U.S. Position in Western Pacific
Observers of Chinese and U.S. military forces view China’s improving naval capabilities as
posing a potential challenge in the Western Pacific to the U.S. Navy’s ability to achieve and
maintain control of blue-water ocean areas in wartime—the first such challenge the U.S. Navy
has faced since the end of the Cold War.10 More broadly, these observers view China’s naval
capabilities as a key element of an emerging broader Chinese military challenge to the
longstanding status of the United States as the leading military power in the Western Pacific.
Implications of Military Balance in Absence of a Conflict
Some observers consider a U.S.-Chinese military conflict in the Pacific over Taiwan or some
other issue to be very unlikely because of significant U.S.-Chinese economic linkages and the
tremendous damage that such a conflict could cause on both sides. In the absence of such a
conflict, the U.S.-Chinese military balance in the Pacific could nevertheless influence day-to-day
choices made by other Pacific countries on whether to align their policies more closely with
China or the United States. In this sense, decisions that Congress and the executive branch make
regarding U.S. Navy programs for countering improved Chinese maritime military forces could
influence the political evolution of the Pacific and consequently the ability of the United States to
pursue various policy goals.
China’s “Salami-Slicing” Tactics in East and South China Seas
China’s actions for asserting and defending its maritime territorial and exclusive economic zone
(EEZ)11 claims in the East China (ECS) and South China Sea (SCS), particularly since late 2013,
have heightened concerns among observers that ongoing disputes over these waters and some of
the islands within them could lead to a crisis or conflict between China and a neighboring
country, and that the United States could be drawn into such a crisis or conflict as a result of
obligations the United States has under bilateral security treaties with Japan and the Philippines.
More broadly, China’s actions for asserting and defending its maritime territorial and EEZ claims,
including recent land reclamation and construction activities at several sites in the SCS, have led
to increasing concerns among some observers that China may be seeking to dominate or gain
control of its near-seas region. Some observers characterize China’s approach for asserting and
defending its territorial claims in the ECS and SCS as a “salami-slicing” strategy that employs a
series of incremental actions, none of which by itself is a casus belli, to gradually change the
status quo in China’s favor.12
(...continued)
strategy, see DOD News Release No: 567-96, October 03, 1996, “Remarks as Given by Secretary of Defense William
J. Perry To the National Academy of Engineering, Wednesday, October 2, 1996,” accessed July 21, 2015, at
http://www.defense.gov/releases/release.aspx?releaseid=1057.
10
10
The term “blue-water ocean areas” is used here to mean waters that are away from shore, as opposed to near-shore
(i.e., littoral) waters. Iran is viewed as posing a challenge to the U.S. Navy’s ability to quickly achieve and maintain sea
control in littoral waters in and near the Strait of Hormuz. For additional discussion, see CRS Report R42335, Iran’s
Threat to the Strait of Hormuz, coordinated by Kenneth Katzman.
11
A country’s EEZ includes waters extending up to 200 nautical miles from its land territory. Coastal states have the
right under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) to regulate foreign economic activities in
their own EEZs. EEZs were established as a feature of international law by UNCLOS.
12
For further discussion, see CRS Report R42784, Maritime Territorial and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes
(continued...)Involving China: Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke, CRS Report R42930, Maritime Territorial Disputes in
East Asia: Issues for Congress, by Ben Dolven, Mark E. Manyin, and Shirley A. Kan, and CRS Report R44072,
Chinese Land Reclamation in the South China Sea: Implications and Policy Options, by Ben Dolven et al.
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Regional U.S. Allies and Partners
The United States has certain security-related policies pertaining to Taiwan under the Taiwan
Relations Act (H.R. 2479/P.L. 96-8 of April 10, 1979). The United States has bilateral security
treaties with Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, and an additional security treaty with Australia
and New Zealand.13 In addition to U.S. treaty allies, certain other countries in the Western Pacific
can be viewed as current or emerging U.S. security partners.
Limits on Defense Spending in Budget Control Act of 2011 as Amended
Limits on the “base” portion of the U.S. defense budget established by Budget Control Act of
2011, or BCA (S. 365/P.L. 112-25 of August 2, 2011), as amended, combined with some of the
considerations above, have led to discussions among observers about how to balance competing
demands for finite U.S. defense funds, and about whether programs for responding to China’s
military modernization effort can be adequately funded while also adequately funding other
defense-spending priorities, such as initiatives for responding to Russia’s actions in Ukraine and
elsewhere in Europe and U.S. operations for countering the Islamic State organization in the
Middle East. U.S. Navy officials have stated that if defense spending remains constrained to
levels set forth in the BCA as amended, the Navy in coming years will not be able to fully execute
all the missions assigned to it under the 2012 DOD strategic guidance document.14
Overview of China’s Naval Modernization Effort15
Date of Inception
China’s military (including naval) modernization effort has been underway for about 20 years.
Observers date the beginning of the effort, to various points in the 1990s.16 Design work on the
first of China’s newer ship classes appears to have begun in the later 1980s.17 Some observers
believe that China’s military (including naval) modernization effort may have been reinforced or
(...continued)
Involving China: Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke, CRS Report R42930, Maritime Territorial Disputes in
East Asia: Issues for Congress, by Ben Dolven, Mark E. Manyin, and Shirley A. Kan, and CRS Report R44072,
Chinese Land Reclamation in the South China Sea: Implications and Policy Options, by Ben Dolven et al.
13
accelerated by China’s observation of U.S. military operations against Iraq in Operation Desert
Storm in 1991,18 and by a 1996 incident in which the United States deployed two aircraft carrier
13
For a summary, see “U.S. Collective Defense Arrangements,” accessed July 24, 2015, at http://www.state.gov/s/l/
treaty/collectivedefense/.
14
See, for example, Statement of Admiral Jonathan Greenert, U.S. navy, Chief of Naval Operations, Before the Senate
Armed Services Committee on the Impact of Sequestration on National Defense, January 28, 2015, particularly page 4
and Table 1, entitled “Mission Impacts to a Sequestered Navy.”
15
Unless otherwise indicated, shipbuilding program information in this section is taken from IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships
2012-20132015-2016, and previous editions. Other sources of information on these shipbuilding programs may disagree regarding
projected ship commissioning dates or other details, but sources present similar overall pictures regarding PLA Navy
shipbuilding.
16
China ordered its first four Russian-made Kilo-class submarines in 1993, and its four Russian-made Sovremennyclass destroyers in 1996. China laid the keel on its first Song (Type 039) class submarine in 1991, its first Luhu (Type
052) class destroyer in 1990, its Luhai (Type 051B) class destroyer in 1996, and its first Jiangwei I (Type 053 H2G)
class frigate in 1990.
17
First-in-class ships whose keels were laid down in 1990 or 1991 (see previous footnote) likely reflect design work
done in the latter 1980s.
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accelerated by China’s observation of U.S. military operations against Iraq in Operation Desert
Storm in 1991,18 and by a 1996 incident in which the United States deployed two aircraft carrier
18
See, for example, Robert Farley, “What Scares China’s Military: The 1991 Gulf War,” The National Interest
(http://nationalinterest.org), November 24, 2014.
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strike groups to waters near Taiwan in response to Chinese missile tests and naval exercises near
Taiwan.19
A Broad-Based Modernization Effort
Although press reports on China’s naval modernization effort sometimes focus on a single
element, such as China’s aircraft carrier program or its anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBMs),
China’s naval modernization effort is a broad-based effort with many elements. China’s naval
modernization effort includes a wide array of platform and weapon acquisition programs,
including programs for ASBMs, anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCMs), land-attack cruise missiles
(LACMs), surface-to-air missiles, mines, manned aircraft, unmanned aircraft, submarines, aircraft
carriers, destroyers, frigates, corvettes, patrol craft, amphibious ships, mine countermeasures
(MCM) ships, underway replenishment ships, hospital ships, and supporting C4ISR20 systems.
Some of these acquisition programs are discussed in further detail below. China’s naval
modernization effort also includes improvements in maintenance and logistics, doctrine,
personnel quality, education and training, and exercises.
Quality vs. Quantity
In general, China’s naval modernization effort to date appears focused less on increasing total
platform (i.e., ship and aircraft) numbers than on increasing the modernity and capability of
Chinese platforms. Changes in platform capability and the percentage of the force accounted for
by modern platforms have generally been more dramatic than changes in total platform numbers.
In some cases (such as submarines and coastal patrol craft), total numbers of platforms have
actually decreased over the past 20 years or so, but aggregate capability has nevertheless
increased because a larger number of older and obsolescent platforms have been replaced by a
smaller number of much more modern and capable new platforms. ONI states that “China’s force
modernization has concentrated on improving the quality of its force, rather than its size.
Quantities of major combatants have stayed relatively constant, but their combat capability has
greatly increased as older combatants are replaced by larger, multi-mission ships.”21
Limitations and Weaknesses
Although China’s naval modernization effort has substantially improved China’s naval
capabilities in recent years, observers believe China’s navy currently has limitations or
weaknesses in certain areas, including joint operations with other parts of China’s military,22
18
See, for example, Robert Farley, “What Scares China’s Military: The 1991 Gulf War,” The National Interest
(http://nationalinterest.org), November 24, 2014.
19
antisubmarine warfare (ASW),23 a dependence on foreign suppliers for some ship components,24
19
DOD, for example, stated in 2011 that “The U.S. response in the 1995-96 Taiwan Strait crisis underscored to Beijing
the potential challenge of U.S. military intervention and highlighted the importance of developing a modern navy,
capable of conducting A2AD [anti-access/area-denial] operations, or ‘counter-intervention operations’ in the PLA’s
lexicon.” (2011 DOD CMSD, p. 57.)
20
C4ISR stands for command and control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance.
21
2015 ONI Report, p. 5. See also p. 13.
22
See, for example, 2015 ONI Report, p. 31. See also Minnie Chan, “PLA Navy in Future Will Have World-Class
Ships, But Not The Expertise to Operate Them, Military Observers Say,” South China Morning Post, July 27, 2015.
23
DOD states that “China is making gradual progress in the undersea domain as well, but continues to lack either a
robust coastal or deep water anti-submarine warfare capability.” (2015 DOD CMSD, p. 35.)
24
DOD states that “China continues to invest in foreign suppliers for some propulsion units, but is becoming
increasingly self-reliant.” (2015 DOD CMSD, p. 51.) For a discussion of China’s weakenesses and limitations in
general, see Andrew S. Erickson, “Clear Strengths, Fuzzy Weaknesses In CHina’s Massive Military Buildup,” China
(continued...)
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antisubmarine warfare (ASW),23 a dependence on foreign suppliers for some ship components,24
and long-range targeting.25 China is working to overcome such limitations and weaknesses.26 ONI
states that “Although the PLA(N) faces some capability gaps in key areas, it is emerging as a well
equipped and competent force.”27
The sufficiency of a country’s naval capabilities is best assessed against that navy’s intended
missions. Although China’s navy has limitations and weaknesses, it may nevertheless be
sufficient for performing missions of interest to Chinese leaders. As China’s navy reduces its
weaknesses and limitations, it may become sufficient to perform a wider array of potential
missions.
Roles and Missions for China’s Navy
Observers believe China’s naval modernization effort is oriented toward developing capabilities
for doing the following:
•
addressing the situation with Taiwan militarily, if need be;
•
asserting or defending China’s territorial claims in the South China Sea (SCS)
and East China Sea (ECS);28
•
enforcing China’s view—a minority view among world nations—that it has the
legal right to regulate foreign military activities in its 200-mile maritime
exclusive economic zone (EEZ);29
(...continued)
Ships, But Not The Expertise to Operate Them, Military Observers Say,” South China Morning Post, July 27, 2015.
23
DOD states that “China is making gradual progress in the undersea domain as well, but continues to lack either a
robust coastal or deep water anti-submarine warfare capability.” (2015 DOD CMSD, p. 35.)
24
DOD states that “China continues to invest in foreign suppliers for some propulsion units, but is becoming
increasingly self-reliant.” (2015 DOD CMSD, p. 51.) For a discussion of China’s weakenesses and limitations in
general, see Andrew S. Erickson, “Clear Strengths, Fuzzy Weaknesses In CHina’s Massive Military Buildup,” China
defending China’s commercial sea lines of communication (SLOCs), such as
those linking China to the Persian Gulf;
displacing U.S. influence in the Western Pacific; and
asserting China’s status as a leading regional power and major world power.30
(...continued)
Real Time (Wall Street Journal), May 9, 2015.
25
DOD states that
It is also unclear whether China has the capability to collect accurate targeting information and pass
it to launch platforms in time for successful strikes in sea areas beyond the first island chain.
(2015 DOD CMSD, p. 35.)
See also Dennis J. Blasko, “Ten Reasons Why China Will Have Trouble Fighting A Modern War,” War on the Rocks,
February 18, 2015.
26
See, for example, Christopher P. Cavas, “China’s Navy Makes Strides, Work Remains To Be Done,” Defense News,
May 24, 2015. Regarding China’s efforts to overcome its limitations in ASW in particular, see, for example, “China:
Closing the Gap in Anti-Submarine Warfare,” Stratfor, July 20, 2015; Franz-Stefan Gady, “Meet China’s New
Submarine Hunter Plane,” The Diplomat, June 30Greg
Torode, “China’s Island Airstrips To Heighten South China Sea Underwater Rivalry,” Reuters, September 17, 2015;
Lyle J. Goldstein, “A Frightening Thought: China Erodes America’s Submarine Advantage,” The National Interest,
August 17, 2015; “China: Closing the Gap in Anti-Submarine Warfare,” Stratfor, July 20, 2015; Ankit Panda, “China’s
Navy Just Got Better at Detecting and Taking out Submarines,” The Diplomat, July 9, 2015; Franz-Stefan Gady, “Meet
China’s New Submarine Hunter Plane,” The Diplomat, June 30, 2015; Gareth Jennings, “China Fields New Maritime
Patrol and Anti-Submarine Y-8/Y-9 Variant [Aircraft],” IHS Jane’s 360, June 28, 2015.
27
2015 ONI Report, p. 13.
28
For more on China’s territorial claims in the SCS and ECS, see CRS Report R42784, Maritime Territorial and
Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes Involving China: Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke, and CRS Report
R42930, Maritime Territorial Disputes in East Asia: Issues for Congress, by Ben Dolven, Mark E. Manyin, and Shirley
A. Kan. See also CRS Report R44072, Chinese Land Reclamation in the South China Sea: Implications and Policy
Options, by Ben Dolven et al.
29
For more on China’s view regarding its rights within its EEZ, see CRS Report R42784, Maritime Territorial and
Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes Involving China: Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
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•
defending China’s commercial sea lines of communication (SLOCs), such as
those linking China to the Persian Gulf;
•
displacing U.S. influence in the Western Pacific; and
•
asserting China’s status as a leading regional power and major world power.30
30
For a discussion of roles and missions of China’s navy, see 2015 ONI Report, pp. 8-11.
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Most observers believe that, consistent with these goals, China wants its military to be capable of
acting as an anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) force—a force that can deter U.S. intervention in a
conflict in China’s near-seas region over Taiwan or some other issue, or failing that, delay the
arrival or reduce the effectiveness of intervening U.S. forces.31 (A2/AD is a term used by U.S.
and other Western writers. During the Cold War, U.S. writers used the term sea-denial force to
refer to a maritime A2/AD force.) ASBMs, ASCMs, attack submarines, and supporting C4ISR
systems are viewed as key elements of China’s emerging maritime A2/AD force, though other
force elements are also of significance in that regard.
China’s maritime A2/AD force can be viewed as broadly analogous to the sea-denial force that
the Soviet Union developed during the Cold War with the aim of denying U.S. use of the sea and
countering U.S. naval forces participating in a NATO-Warsaw Pact conflict. One difference
between the Soviet sea-denial force and China’s emerging maritime A2/AD force is that China’s
force includes ASBMs capable of hitting moving ships at sea.
Additional missions for China’s navy include conducting maritime security (including antipiracy) operations, evacuating Chinese nationals in foreign countries when necessary, and
conducting humanitarian assistance/disaster response (HA/DR) operations.
DOD states that
Preparing for potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait remains the focus and primary driver of
of China’s military investment; however, the PRC is increasing its emphasis on
preparations for
contingencies other than Taiwan, such as contingencies in the East China
Sea and South
China Sea. Additionally, as China’s global footprint and international
interests grow, its
military modernization program has become progressively more
focused on investments for
a range of missions beyond China’s periphery, including
power projection, sea lane security,
counter-piracy, peacekeeping, and humanitarian
assistance/disaster relief (HA/DR)....
Whereas “near seas” defense remains the PLA Navy’s primary focus, China’s gradual shift
shift to the “far seas” has necessitated that its Navy support operational tasks outside the first
first island chain with multi-mission, long-range, sustainable naval platforms with robust selfdefense
self-defense capabilities.32
China’s 2015 Military Strategy, released in May 2015, is viewed as placing an increased emphasis
on maritime operations, among other things.33 The document states that
30
For a discussion of roles and missions of China’s navy, see 2015 ONI Report, pp. 8-11.
See, for example, 2015 DOD CMSD, pp. 33-37.
32
With the growth of China’s national interests, its national security is more vulnerable to
international and regional turmoil, terrorism, piracy, serious natural disasters and
epidemics, and the security of overseas interests concerning energy and resources,
strategic sea lines of communication (SLOCs), as well as institutions, personnel and
assets abroad, has become an imminent issue....
To implement the military strategic guideline of active defense in the new situation,
China’s armed forces will adjust the basic point for PMS [preparation for military
struggle]. In line with the evolving form of war and national security situation, the basic
31
See, for example, 2015 DOD CMSD, pp. 33-37.
2015 DOD CMSD, p. i, 8. See also page 43, and 2015 ONI Report, pp. 8-11.
33
See, for example, Andrew Jacobs, “China, Updating Military Strategy, Puts Focus on Projecting Naval Power,” New
York Times, May 26, 2015; “Kaiser Xi’s Navy,” Wall Street Journal, May 29, 2015; Greg Austin, “China’s Military
Dream,” The Diplomat, June 2, 2015. For a somewhat contrary perspective, see Gordon Lubold, “U.S., Experts See No
Major Change in China Defense Strategy; Beijing’s Shift in Military Focus to Maritime Warfare Is No Surprise,
According to Senior U.S. Defense Official,” Wall Street Journal, May 27, 2015.
3132
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With the growth of China’s national interests, its national security is more vulnerable to
international and regional turmoil, terrorism, piracy, serious natural disasters and epidemics,
and the security of overseas interests concerning energy and resources, strategic sea lines of
communication (SLOCs), as well as institutions, personnel and assets abroad, has become an
imminent issue....
To implement the military strategic guideline of active defense in the new situation, China’s
armed forces will adjust the basic point for PMS [preparation for military struggle]. In line
with the evolving form of war and national security situation, the basic point for PMS will be
point for PMS will be placed on winning informationized local wars, highlighting
maritime military struggle and
maritime PMS....
In line with the strategic requirement of offshore waters defense and open seas protection,
the PLA Navy (PLAN) will gradually shift its focus from “offshore waters defense” to the
the combination of “offshore waters defense” with “open seas protection,” and build a
combined, multi-functional and efficient marine combat force structure. The PLAN will
enhance its capabilities for strategic deterrence and counterattack, maritime maneuvers, joint
joint operations at sea, comprehensive defense and comprehensive support....
The seas and oceans bear on the enduring peace, lasting stability and sustainable
development of China. The traditional mentality that land outweighs sea must be
abandoned,
and great importance has to be attached to managing the seas and oceans and protecting
protecting maritime rights and interests. It is necessary for China to develop a modern
maritime military
force structure commensurate with its national security and
development interests, safeguard
its national sovereignty and maritime rights and
interests, protect the security of strategic
SLOCs and overseas interests, and participate in
international maritime cooperation, so as to
provide strategic support for building itself
into a maritime power.34
January 2014 ONI Testimony
In his prepared statement for a January 30, 2014, hearing on China’s military modernization and
its implications for the United States before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review
Commission, Jesse L. Karotkin, ONI’s Senior Intelligence Officer for China, summarized China’s
naval modernization effort. For the text of Karotkin’s statement, see Appendix A.
Selected Elements of China’s Naval Modernization Effort
Anti-Ship Ballistic Missiles (ASBMs) and Anti-Ship Cruise Missiles (ASCMs)
Anti-Ship Ballistic Missiles (ASBMs)
China is fielding an ASBM, referred to as the DF-21D, that is a theater-range ballistic missile
equipped with a maneuverable reentry vehicle (MaRV) designed to hit moving ships at sea. DOD
states that
34
China continues to field an ASBM based on a variant of the CSS-5 (DF-21) MRBM that
it began deploying in 2010. This missile provides the PLA the capability to attack aircraft
carriers in the western Pacific. The CSS-5 Mod 5 has a range exceeding 1,500 km [about
810 nm] and is armed with a maneuverable warhead.35
Another observer states that “the DF-21D’s warhead apparently uses a combination of radar and
optical sensors to find the target and make final guidance updates.... Finally, it uses a high
34
China’s Military Strategy, The State Council Information Office of the People’s Republic of China, May 2015,
Beijing, released May 26, 2015, accessed July 27, 2015, at http://eng.mod.gov.cn/DefenseNews/2015-05/26/
content_4586748.htm. “Informationized” is the English translation of a Chinese term that refers to modern warfare
with precision-guided weapons and networks of platforms (i.e., ships, aircraft, etc.) that share targeting and other
information.
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China continues to field an ASBM based on a variant of the CSS-5 (DF-21) MRBM that it
began deploying in 2010. This missile provides the PLA the capability to attack aircraft
carriers in the western Pacific. The CSS-5 Mod 5 has a range exceeding 1,500 km [about 810
nm] and is armed with a maneuverable warhead.35
Another observer states that “the DF-21D’s warhead apparently uses a combination of radar and
optical sensors to find the target and make final guidance updates.... Finally, it uses a high
35
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 39. A similar statement appears on page 8. On page 35, the report states that DF-21D missiles
are “specifically designed to hold adversary aircraft carriers at risk once they approach within 900 nm [1,667 km] of the
Chinese coastline.” See also 2009 ONI Report, pp. 26-27.
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
explosive, or a radio frequency or cluster warhead that at a minimum can achieve a mission kill
[against the target ship].”36
Observers have expressed strong concern about the DF-21D, because such missiles, in
combination with broad-area maritime surveillance and targeting systems, would permit China to
attack aircraft carriers, other U.S. Navy ships, or ships of allied or partner navies operating in the
Western Pacific. The U.S. Navy has not previously faced a threat from highly accurate ballistic
missiles capable of hitting moving ships at sea. For this reason, some observers have referred to
the DF-21 as a “game-changing” weapon. Due to their ability to change course, the MaRVs on an
ASBM would be more difficult to intercept than non-maneuvering ballistic missile reentry
vehicles.37
According to press reports, the DF-21D has been tested over land but has not been tested in an
end-to-end flight test against a target at sea. A January 23, 2013, press report about a test of the
weapon in the Gobi desert in western China stated:
The People’s Liberation Army has successfully sunk a US aircraft carrier, according to a
satellite photo provided by Google Earth, reports our sister paper Want Daily—though the
the strike was a war game, the carrier a mock-up platform and the “sinking” occurred on dry
dry land in a remote part of western China. 38
DOD has been reporting on the DF-21D in its annual reports to Congress since 2008.39 On
September 3, 2015, at a Chinese military parade in Beijing that displayed numerous types of
Chinese weapons, an announcer stated that a second type of Chinese ballistic missile, the DF-26,
may have an anti-ship capability.40 The DF-26 has a reported range of 1,800 miles to 2,500
miles,41 or more than twice the reported range of the DF-21D.
36
38
35
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 39. A similar statement appears on page 8. On page 35, the report states that DF-21D missiles
are “specifically designed to hold adversary aircraft carriers at risk once they approach within 900 nm [1,667 km] of the
Chinese coastline.” See also 2009 ONI Report, pp. 26-27.
36
Richard Fisher, Jr., “PLA and U.S. Arms Racing in the Western Pacific,” available online at
http://www.strategycenter.net/research/pubID.247/pub_detail.asp. A mission kill means that the ship is damaged
enough that it cannot perform its intended mission.
37
For further discussion of China’s ASBM-development effort and its potential implications for U.S. naval forces, see
Craig Hooper and Christopher Albon, “Get Off the Fainting Couch,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, April 2010: 4247; Andrew S. Erickson, “Ballistic Trajectory—China Develops New Anti-Ship Missile,” Jane’s Intelligence Review,
January 4, 2010; Michael S. Chase, Andrew S. Erickson and Christopher Yeaw, “Chinese Theater and Strategic Missile
Force Modernization and its Implications for the United States,” The Journal of Strategic Studies, February 2009: 67114; Andrew S. Erickson and David D. Yang, “On the Verge of a Game-Changer,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings,
May 2009: 26-32; Andrew Erickson, “Facing A New Missile Threat From China, How The U.S. Should Respond To
China’s Development Of Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile Systems,” CBSNews.com, May 28, 2009; Andrew S. Erickson,
“Chinese ASBM Development: Knowns and Unknowns,” China Brief, June 24, 2009: 4-8; Andrew S. Erickson and
David D. Yang, “Using the Land to Control the Sea? Chinese Analysts Consider the Antiship Ballistic Missile,” Naval
War College Review, Autumn 2009: 53-86; Eric Hagt and Matthew Durnin, “China’s Antiship Ballistic Missile,
Developments and Missing Links,” Naval War College Review, Autumn 2009: 87-115; Mark Stokes, “China’s
Evolving Conventional Strategic Strike Capability, The Anti-ship Ballistic Missile Challenge to U.S. Maritime
Operations in the Western Pacific and Beyond, Project 2049 Institute, September 14, 2009. 123 pp.
38
“PLA ‘Sinks’ US Carrier in DF-21D Missile Test in Gobi,” Want China Times (http://www.wantchinatimes.com),
January 23, 2013, accessed March 21, 2013, at http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=
20130123000112&cid=1101.
39
2008 DOD CMP, pp. 2 and 23.
40
See, for example, Richard D Fisher Jr., “DF-26 IRBM May Have ASM Variant, China Reveals at 3 September
Parade,” IHS Jane’s 360, September 2, 2015; Wendell Minnick, “China’s Parade Puts US Navy on Notice,” Defense
News, September 3, 2015; Andrew S. Erickson, “Showtime: China Reveals Two ‘Carrier-Killer’ Missiles,” The
National Interest, September 3, 2015.
41
Thomas Gibbons-Neff, “China Showcases Advanced Ballistic Missiles at Military Parade,” Washington Post,
September 3, 2015. Another press report states that the missile’s range is 3,000 km to 4,000 km, which equates to about
1,860 miles to about 2,480 miles, or to about 1,620 nautical miles to 2,160 nautical miles. (Richard D Fisher Jr., “DF(continued...)
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China reportedly is developing a hypersonic glide vehicle that, if incorporated into Chinese
ASBMs, could make Chinese ASBMs more difficult to intercept.3942
Anti-Ship Cruise Missiles (ASCMs)
Among the most capable of the new ASCMs that have been acquired by China’s navy are the
Russian-made SS-N-22 Sunburn (carried by China’s four Russian-made Sovremenny-class
destroyers) and the Russian-made SS-N-27 Sizzler (carried by 8 of China’s 12 Russian-made
Kilo-class submarines). China’s large inventory of ASCMs also includes several indigenous
designs, including some highly capable models. DOD states that
The PLA Navy is deploying a wide range of advanced ASCMs. The most capable include
the domestically produced ship-launched YJ-62 ASCM and the Russian SS-N22/SUNBURN supersonic ASCM, which is fitted on China’s SOVREMENNY-class DDGs
DDGs acquired from Russia. China’s submarine force is also increasing its ASCM
capability, with
the long-range YJ-18 ASCM replacing the older YJ-82 on the SONG,
YUAN, and SHANG
classes. The YJ-18 is similar to the Russian SS-N-27B/SIZZLER
ASCM, which is capable
of supersonic terminal sprint and is fielded on eight of China’s
twelve Russian-built KILO
SS. In addition, PLA Navy Aviation employs the 200 km
range YJ-83K ASCM on its JH-7
and H-6G aircraft. China has also developed the YJ-12
ASCM for the Navy. The new
missile provides an increased threat to naval assets, due to
its long-range and supersonic
speeds. It is capable of being launched from H-6 bombers.40
39
Bradley Perrett, Bill Sweetman, and Michael Fabey, “U.S. Navy Sees Chinese HGV As Part of Wider Threat,”
Aviation Week & Space Technology (www.aviationweek.com), January 27, 2014. See also Staff Reporter, “PLA’s
Hypersonic Vehicle ‘Can Travel 10 Times The Speed Of Sound,’” WantChinaTimes.com, March 16, 2014.
40
bombers.43
(...continued)
26 IRBM May Have ASM Variant, China Reveals at 3 September Parade,” IHS Jane’s 360, September 2, 2015.)
42
See, for example, Bill Gertz, “China Conducts Fifth Test of Hypersonic Glide Vehicle,” Washington Free Beacon,
August 21, 2015; Philip Ewing, “Arms Race Goes Hypersonic,” Politico, August 11, 2015; Li Bao and Christopher
Jones-Cruise, “China Testing ‘Hypersonic’ Weapons,” VOA News, August 3, 2015.
43
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 46. On page 10, the report states:
The PLA Navy continues to emphasize anti-surface warfare (ASUW) as its primary focus,
including modernizing its advanced ASCMs and associated over-the-horizon targeting (OTH-T)
systems. Older Chinese surface combatants carry variants of the YJ-8A ASCM (65nm), while
newer surface combatants such as the LUYANG II DDG [destroyer] are fitted with the YJ-62
(120nm). The LUYANG III DDG and Type 055 CG [cruiser] will be fitted with a variant of
China’s newest ASCM, the YJ-18 (290nm), which is a significant step forward in China’s surface
ASUW capability. Eight of China’s twelve KILO SS [attack submarines] are equipped with the SSN-27 ASCM (120nm), a system China acquired from Russia. China’s newest indigenous
submarine-launched ASCM, the YJ-18 and its variants, represents a dramatic improvement over the
SS-N-27, and will be fielded on SONG, YUAN, and SHANG [class] submarines. China’s
previously produced sub-launched ASCM, the YJ-82, is a version of the C-801, which has a much
shorter range.
See also Lyle J. Goldstein, “YJ-18 Supersonic Anti-Ship Cruise Missile: America’s Nightmare,” National Interest,
June 1, 2015; “CCTV Military Commentator Responds to US Report on YJ-18,” Want China Times, April 18, 2015;
Dennis M. Gormley, Andrew S. Erickson, and Jingdong Yuan, A Low-Visibility Force Multiplier, Assessing China’s
Cruise Missile Ambitions, Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs, Institute for National Strategic Studies,
Washington, 2014, 165 pp.; Dennis Gormley, Andrew S. Erickson, and Jingdong Yuan, “China’s Cruise Missiles:
Flying Fast Under the Public’s Radar,” The National Interest (http://nationalinterest.org), May 12, 2014; Dennis M.
Gormley, Andrew S. Erickson,
and Jingdong Yuan, “A Potent Vector, Assessing Chinese Cruise Missile
Developments,” Joint Force Quarterly, 4th
Quarter 2014: 98-105; “Bradley Perrett, “China Strongly Pushing Cruise
Missile Capability,” Aerospace Daily &
Defense Report, May 22, 2014: 4; Wendell Minnick, “Report: Chinese Cruise
Missiles Could Poses Biggest Threat to
US Carriers,” DefenseNews.com, June 2, 2014; Richard D. Fisher Jr., “China
Unveils Third ‘Russian’ Supersonic Anti-ShipAntiShip Cruise Missile,” Aerospace Daily & Defense Report, November 10,
2014: 4; “China’s Anti-Ship Missiles YJ-12
and YJ-100 Revealed,” China Military Online English Edition, February 4,
2014.
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Submarines and Mines
China’s submarine modernization effort has attracted substantial attention and concern. DOD
states, “The PLA Navy places a high priority on the modernization of its submarine force.... ”4144
ONI states that
China has long regarded its submarine force as a critical element of regional deterrence,
particularly when conducting “counter-intervention” against modern adversary. The
large,
but poorly equipped [submarine] force of the 1980s has given way to a more modern
modern submarine force, optimized primarily for regional anti-surface warfare missions
near major
sea lines of communication.42 45
Types Acquired in Recent Years
China since the mid-1990s has acquired 12 Russian-made Kilo-class non-nuclear-powered attack
submarines (SSs) and put into service at least four new classes of indigenously built submarines,
including the following:
•
a new nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine (SSBN) design called the Jin
class or Type 094 (Figure 1);
•
a new nuclear-powered attack submarine (SSN) design called the Shang class or
Type 093;
•
a new SS design called the Yuan class or Type 039A (Figure 2);43 and
•
46 and
another (and also fairly new) SS design called the Song class or Type 039/039G.
Figure 1. Jin (Type 094) Class Ballistic Missile Submarine
Source: Photograph provided to CRS by Navy Office of Legislative Affairs, December 2010.
The Kilos and the four new classes of indigenously built submarines are regarded as much more
modern and capable than China’s aging older-generation submarines. At least some of the new
41indigenously built designs are believed to have benefitted from Russian submarine technology
and design know-how.47
44
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 8.
[Hearing on] Trends in China’s Naval Modernization [before] U.S. China Economic and Security Review
Commission[,] Testimony [of] Jesse L. Karotkin, [Senior Intelligence Officer for China, Office of Naval Intelligence,
January 30, 2014], accessed February 12, 2014, p. 7.
4346
Some sources refer to the Yuan class as the Type 041.
42
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indigenously built designs are believed to have benefitted from Russian submarine technology
and design know-how.44
47
The August 2009 ONI report, for example, states that the Yuan class may incorporate quieting technology from the
(continued...)
45
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
Figure 2.Yuan (Type 039A) Class Attack Submarine
Source: Photograph provided to CRS by Navy Office of Legislative Affairs, December 2010.
DOD and other observers believe the Type 093 SSN design will be succeeded by a newer SSN
design called the Type 095. The August 2009 ONI report includes a graph (see Figure 3) that
shows the Type 095 SSN, along with the date 2015, suggesting that ONI projected in 2009 that
the first Type 095 would enter service that year. DOD states, “Over the next decade, China may
construct a new Type 095 nuclear powered, guided-missile attack submarine (SSBN), which not
only would improve the PLA Navy’s anti-surface warfare capability, but might also provide it
with a more clandestine, land-attack option.”4548 ONI states that
The SHANG-class SSN’s initial production run stopped after only two hulls that were
launched in 2002 and 2003. After nearly 10 years, China is continuing production with four
four additional hulls of an improved variant, the first of which was launched in 2012.46 49
These six
total submarines will replace the aging HAN class SSN on nearly a one-for-one
basis in the
next several years. Following the completion of the improved SHANG SSN,
the PLA(N)
will progress to the Type 095 SSN, which may provide a generational
improvement in many
areas such as quieting and weapon capacity.47
44
The August 2009 ONI report, for example, states that the Yuan class may incorporate quieting technology from the 50
China in 2012 commissioned into a service a new type of non-nuclear-powered submarine, called
the Type 032 or Qing class according to IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2015-2016, that is about one-
(...continued)
Kilo class. (2009 ONI Report, p. 23.)
4548
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9.
4649
For additional discussion of these improved Type 093boats, see Franz-Stefan Gady, “China’s ‘New’ Carrier Killer
Subs,” The Diplomat, April 6, 2015; Kris Osborn, “China Unveils Three New Nuclear-Powered Attack Submarines,”
DefenseTech, April 3, 2015; Zhao Lei, “Navy To Get 3 New Nuclear Subs,” China Daily, April 3, 2015.
4750
2015 ONI Report, p, 19. See also Lyle Goldstein, “Emerging From The Shadows,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings,
(continued...)April 2015: 30-34.
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China in 2011 commissioned into a service a new type of non-nuclear-powered submarine, called
the Type 032 or Qing class according to Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015, that is about one-third
third larger than the Yuan-class design. Observers believe the boat may be a one-of-kind test
platform;
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-20152015-2016 refers to it as an auxiliary submarine (SSA).48 51
DOD states that
China is pursuing “a new joint-design and production program [with Russia] for
diesel-electric
submarines based on the Russian PETERSBURG/LADA-class.”4952 A June 29,
2015, press report
showed a 2014 satellite photograph of an apparent Chinese mini- or midget-submarine submarine
midgetsubmarine submarine that “has not been seen nor heard of since.”5053
Figure 3 and Figure 4, which are taken from the August 2009 ONI report, show the acoustic
quietness of Chinese nuclear- and non-nuclear-powered submarines, respectively, relative to that
of Russian nuclear- and non-nuclear-powered submarines.
Figure 3. Acoustic Quietness of Chinese and Russian Nuclear-Powered Submarines
Source: 2009 ONI Report, p. 22.
In Figure 3 and Figure 4, the downward slope of the arrow indicates the increasingly lower noise
levels (i.e., increasing acoustic quietness) of the submarine designs shown. In general, quieter
submarines are more difficult for opposing forces to detect and counter. The green-yellow-red
(...continued)
April 2015: 30-34.
48
Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015, p. 134.
49
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 52.
50
Jamie Seidel, “Mini Submarine Captured on Satellite Photo of Chinese Dockyard,” News.com.au, June 29, 2015.
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color spectrum on the arrow in each figure might be interpreted as a rough indication of the
relative difficulty that a navy with capable antisubmarine warfare forces (such as the U.S. Navy)
might have in detecting and countering these submarines: Green might indicate submarines that
would be relatively easy for such a navy to detect and counter, yellow might indicate submarines
51
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2015-2016, p. 134.
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 52.
53
Jamie Seidel, “Mini Submarine Captured on Satellite Photo of Chinese Dockyard,” News.com.au, June 29, 2015.
52
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that would be less easy for such a navy to detect and counter, and red might indicate submarines
that would be more difficult for such a navy to detect and counter.
Figure 4. Acoustic Quietness of Chinese and Russian
Non-Nuclear-Powered Submarines
(Non-nuclear-powered submarines are commonly referred to as diesel or diesel-electric submarines)
Source: 2009 ONI Report, p. 22.
China’s submarines are armed with one or more of the following: ASCMs, wire-guided and
wake-homing torpedoes, and mines. Eight of the 12 Kilos purchased from Russia (presumably the
ones purchased more recently) are armed with the highly capable Russian-made SS-N-27 Sizzler
ASCM. In addition to other weapons, Shang-class SSNs may carry LACMs. Although ASCMs
are often highlighted as sources of concern, wake-homing torpedoes are also a concern because
they can be very difficult for surface ships to counter.
Although China’s aging Ming-class (Type 035) submarines are based on old technology and are
much less capable than China’s newer-design submarines, China may decide that these older
boats have continued value as minelayers or as bait or decoy submarines that can be used to draw
out enemy submarines (such as U.S. SSNs) that can then be attacked by other Chinese naval
forces.
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Submarine Acquisition Rate and Potential Submarine Force Size
Table 1 shows actual and projected commissionings of Chinese submarines by class since 1995,
when China took delivery of its first two Kilo-class boats. The table includes the final nine boats
in the Ming class, which is an older and less capable submarine design. As shown in Table 1,
China by the end of 2012 was2015 is expected to have a total of 4041 relatively modern attack
submarines—meaning Shang, Kilo, Yuan, Song, and Qing submarines—
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meaning Shang-, Kilo-, Yuan-, and Song-class boats—in commission. As shown
in the table,
much of the growth in this figure occurred in 2004-2006, when 18 attack submarines
(including 8 Kilo
Kilo-class boats and 8 Song-class boats) were added, and in 2011-2012, when 98 Yuan-class attack
submarines were
added.
Table 1. PLA Navy Submarine Commissionings
Actual (1995-20132014) and Projected (2014-2016)
2015-2017)
Jin
(Type
094)
SSBN
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Shang
(Type
093/
093A)
SSN
Kilo SS
(Russianmade)
2d
1d
1d
1
1
Ming
(Type
035)
SSa
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
n/ag
n/a
n/a
1h
n/a
n/a
Reference
source
not found.
Qing
(Type
032)
SS
1
1
1
1
1
4
3
Song
(Type
039)
SS
Yuan
(Type
039A)
SSError!
2
2
3
3
2
1
2
1
3
5f
n/a
n/aSong
(Type
039)
SS
Yuan
(Type
039A)
SSb
Qing
(Type
032)
SS
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
1
1
1g
2
3
3
2
1
2
1
3
5
1
1
2
1
1h
n/a
2f
n/a
n/a
1e
Annual
total
for all
types
shown
3
1
23
3
21
1
3
1
2
4
7
79
5
2
0
2
2
4
6
n/a
n/a3
7
0
0
4
n/a
n/a
Cumulative
total for all
types
shown
3
4
6
97
10
11
12
15
16
18
22
2931
36
38
38
40
42
46
52
n/a
n/a45
52
52
52
56
n/a
n/a
Cumulative
total for
modern
attack
boatsc
2
2
2
33
4
5
5
7
7
9
13
2022
27
28
28
30
31
35
40
n/a
n/a34
39
39
39
41
n/a
n/a
Source: IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015, and 2015-2016, and (for Ming class) previous editions.
Note: n/a = data not available.
a.
Figures for Ming-class boats are when the boats were launched (i.e., put into the water for final
construction). Actual commissioning dates for these boats may have been later.
b.
b. Some sources refer to the Yuan class as the Type 041.
c.
c. This total excludes the Jin-class SSBNs and the Ming-class SSs.
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d.
Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015(because they are not attack boats), the Ming-class SSs (because they
are generally considered to not be of a modern design), and the Qing-class boat (because IHS Jane’s
considers it to be an auxiliary submarine).
d. IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2015-2016 lists the commissioning date of one of the two Kilos as December 15, 1994.
e.
November 15,
1994.
e. Observers believe this boat may be a one-of-kind test platform; IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-20152015-2016 refers to it
it as an auxiliary submarine (SSA).
f.
f.
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-20152015-2016 states that a class of up to 20 boats is expected (page 133). DOD states that
a total
of 20 are planned for production. (2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9) ONI states that as many as 20 may be
produced.
(2015 ONI Report, p. 19)
g.
Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015 states that the fourth boat in the class began sea trials in 2014 (page 128).
h.
Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015 states that, following the first two ships in the class, “up to four further boats
(Type 093A), the first of which was launched in 2012, are under construction. These are reported to be a
modified design (commercial imagery suggests that Type 093A may be slightly longer than Type 093).” (Page
129.) DOD states that four Type 093 boats “will eventually join the two in service.” (2015 DOD CMSD, p.
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g.
h.
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2015-2016 states that a total of five boats is expected.
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2015-2016 states that a total of six boats are expected, with the final four boats
built to a modified (Type 093A) design.
The figures in Table 1 show that between 1995 and 20122015, China placed or was expected to place
into service a total of 5256 submarines of all kinds, or an average of about 2.97 submarines per year.
This average commissioning rate, if sustained indefinitely, would eventually result in a steadystate submarine force of about 5854 to 8781 boats of all kinds, assuming an average submarine life of
20 to 30 years.
Excluding the 12 Kilos purchased from Russia, the total number of domestically produced
submarines placed into service between 1995 and 2012 is 402015 is 44, or an average of about 2.21 per year.
This average rate of domestic production, if sustained indefinitely, would eventually result in a
steady-state force of domestically produced submarines of about 4442 to 6763 boats of all kinds, again
assuming an average submarine life of 20 to 30 years.
DOD states that “by 2020, [China’s submarine] force will likely grow to between 69 and 78
submarines.”5154 ONI states that “by 2020, the [PLA(N)] submarine force will likely grow to more
than 70 submarines.”5255 In an accompanying table, ONI provides a more precise projection of 74
submarines in 2020, including 11 nuclear-powered boats and 63 non-nuclear-powered boats.5356 A
May 16, 2013, press report quotes Admiral Samuel Locklear, then-Commander of U.S. Pacific
Command, as stating that China plans to acquire a total of 80 submarines.5457
JL-2 SLBM on Jin-Class SSBN
Each Jin-class SSBN is expected to be armed with 12 JL-2 nuclear-armed submarine-launched
ballistic missiles (SLBMs). DOD states that
China continues to produce the JIN SSBN (Type 094) with associated CSS-NX-14 (JL-2)
submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) that has an estimated range of 7,400 km
[3,996
nautical miles]. This capability represents China’s first credible, sea-based nuclear
deterrent.
China will likely conduct its first SSBN nuclear deterrence patrol sometime in
2015. Four
JIN-class SSBNs are currently operational, and up to five may enter service before China
51
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9.
2015 ONI Report, p. 19.
53
2015 ONI Report, p. 18.
54
Richard Halloran, “China, US Engaging in Underwater Arms Race,” Taipei Times, May 16, 2013: 8, accessed May
17, 2013, at http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2013/05/16/2003562368.
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before China begins developing and fielding its next-generation SSBN, the Type 096,
over the coming
decade.5558
A range of 7,400 km could permit Jin-class SSBNs to attack
•
targets in Alaska (except the Alaskan panhandle) from protected bastions close to
China;
•
targets in Hawaii (as well as targets in Alaska, except the Alaskan panhandle)
from locations south of Japan;
•
targets in the western half of the 48 contiguous states (as well as Hawaii and
Alaska) from mid-ocean locations west of Hawaii; and
•
targets in all 50 states from mid-ocean locations east of Hawaii.
54
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9.
2015 ONI Report, p. 19.
56
2015 ONI Report, p. 18.
57
Richard Halloran, “China, US Engaging in Underwater Arms Race,” Taipei Times, May 16, 2013: 8, accessed May
17, 2013, at http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2013/05/16/2003562368.
58
2015 DOD CMSD, pp. 9. See also p. 32, and 2015 ONI Report, pp. 19-20.
55
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Mines
China has modernized its substantial inventory of naval mines.59Mines
China has modernized its substantial inventory of [naval] mines.56 ONI states that
China has a robust mining capability and currently maintains a varied inventory estimated at
at more than [naval] 50,00050,000 [naval] mines. China has developed a robust infrastructure for naval minerelated
mine-related research, development, testing, evaluation, and production. During the past
few years,
China has gone from an obsolete mine inventory, consisting primarily of pre-WWIIpreWWII vintage
moored contact and basic bottom influence mines, to a vast mine
inventory consisting of a
large variety of mine types such as moored, bottom, drifting,
rocket-propelled, and intelligent
mines. The mines can be laid by submarines (primarily
for covert mining of enemy ports),
surface ships, aircraft, and by fishing and merchant
vessels. China will continue to develop
more advanced mines in the future such as
extended-range propelled-warhead mines,
antihelicopter mines, and bottom influence
mines more able to counter minesweeping
efforts.57 60
Aircraft Carriers and Carrier-Based Aircraft58Aircraft61
China has begun operating its first aircraft carrier—the Liaoning, a refurbished ex-Ukrainian
aircraft carrier—and reportedly has begun construction of its first indigenously built aircraft
carrier.
55
2015 DOD CMSD, pp. 9. See also p. 32, and 2015 ONI Report, pp. 19-20.
Liaoning (Ex-Ukrainian Aircraft Carrier Varyag)
On September 25, 2012, China commissioned into service its first aircraft carrier—the Liaoning
(Figure 5), a refurbished ex-Ukrainian aircraft carrier, previously named Varyag, that China
purchased from Ukraine as an unfinished ship in 1998.62
The Liaoning is conventionally powered, has an estimated full load displacement of almost
60,000 tons,63 and might accommodate an eventual air wing of 30 or more aircraft, including
fixed-wing airplanes and helicopters. A September 7, 2014, press report, citing an August 28,
2014, edition of the Chinese-language Shanghai Morning Post, stated that the Liaoning’s air wing
may consist of 24 J-15 fighters, 6 anti-submarine warfare helicopters, 4 airborne early warning
helicopters, and 2 rescue helicopters, for a total of 36 aircraft.64 The Liaoning lacks aircraft
catapults and instead launches fixed-wing airplanes off the ship’s bow using an inclined “ski
ramp.”
59
See, for example, Scott C. Truver, “Taking Mines Seriously, Mine Warfare in China’s Near Seas,” Naval War
College Review,” Spring 2012: 30-66.
5760
2015 ONI Report, pp. 23-24.
5861
China, according to one set of observers, initiated studies on possible aircraft carrier options in the 1990s, and
approved a formal aircraft carrier program in 2004. (Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “The Calm Before the
Storm,” FP [Foreign Policy] National Security (www.foreignpolicy.com), September 26, 2012.) Another observer dates
Chinese activities in support of an eventual aircraft carrier program back to the 1980s. (Torbjorg Hemmingsen, “PLAN
For Action: New Dawn for Chinese Naval Aviation,” Jane’s Navy International, June 2012: 12-17.)
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Liaoning (Ex-Ukrainian Aircraft Carrier Varyag)
On September 25, 2012, China commissioned into service its first aircraft carrier—the Liaoning
(Figure 5), a refurbished ex-Ukrainian aircraft carrier, previously named Varyag, that China
purchased from Ukraine as an unfinished ship in 1998.59
Figure 5. Aircraft Carrier Liaoning
Source: “Highlights of Liaoning Carrier’s One-Year Service,” China Daily, September 26, 2013, accessed
September 30, 2013, at http://www.china.org.cn/china/2013-09/26/content_30142217.htm. This picture shows
the ship during a sea trial in October 2012.
The Liaoning is conventionally powered, has an estimated full load displacement of almost
60,000 tons,60 and might accommodate an eventual air wing of 30 or more aircraft, including
fixed-wing airplanes and helicopters. A September 7, 2014, press report, citing an August 28,
2014, edition of the Chinese-language Shanghai Morning Post, stated that the Liaoning’s air wing
may consist of 24 J-15 fighters, 6 anti-submarine warfare helicopters, 4 airborne early warning
helicopters, and 2 rescue helicopters, for a total of 36 aircraft.61 The Liaoning lacks aircraft
59
62
The Soviet Union began work on the Varyag in a shipyard in Ukraine, which at the time was part of the Soviet
Union. Following the dissolution of the Soviet Union, construction work on the ship stopped and the unfinished ship
became the property of Ukraine. For a discussion, see James Holmes, “The Long Strange Trip of China’s First Aircraft
Carrier,” Foreign Policy, February 3, 2015; Chen Chu-chun and Staff Reporter, “Man Who Bought Varyag From
Ukraine Plied Officials With Liquor,” Want China Times, January 22, 2015.
60
63
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2012-20132015-2016 lists a full load displacement of 59,439 tons for the ship.
6164
Wendell Minnick, “Chinese Carrier’s Purported Air Wing Deemed Plausible But Limited,” Defense News
(www.defensenews.com), September 7, 2014.
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catapults and instead launches fixed-wing airplanes off the ship’s bow using an inclined “ski
ramp.”
Figure 5. Aircraft Carrier Liaoning
Source: “Highlights of Liaoning Carrier’s One-Year Service,” China Daily, September 26, 2013, accessed
September 30, 2013, at http://www.china.org.cn/china/2013-09/26/content_30142217.htm. This picture shows
the ship during a sea trial in October 2012.
By comparison, a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier is nuclear powered (giving it greater cruising
endurance than a conventionally powered ship), has a full load displacement of about 100,000
tons, can accommodate an air wing of 60 or more aircraft, including fixed-wing aircraft and some
helicopters, and launches its fixed-wing aircraft over both the ship’s bow and its angled deck
using catapults, which can give those aircraft a range/payload capability greater than that of
aircraft launched with a ski ramp. The Liaoning, like a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier, lands fixedwing aircraft using arresting wires on its angled deck. Some observers have referred to the
Liaoning as China’s “starter” carrier.6265 DOD states that
Even when fully operational, the Liaoning will not enable long-range power projection
similar to U.S. NIMITZ-class carriers. The LIAONING’s smaller size limits the number of
of aircraft it can embark, while the ski-jump configuration limits restricts fuel and ordnance
ordnance load. The LIAONING is therefore best suited to fleet air defense missions,
extending air
cover over a fleet operating far from land-based coverage.6366
ONI states that
LIAONING is quite different from the U.S. Navy’s NIMITZ-class carriers. First, since
LIAONING is smaller, it will carry far fewer aircraft in comparison to a U.S.-style carrier air
air wing. Additionally, the LIAONING’s ski-jump configuration significantly restricts aircraft
aircraft fuel and ordnance loads. Consequently, the aircraft it launches have more a limited flight
65
See, for example, 2015 ONI Report, p. 23, and “China Plans New Generation of Carriers as Sea Disputes Grow,”
Bloomberg News, April 24, 2013.
66
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 11.
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limited flight radius and combat power. Finally, China does not yet possess specialized
supporting aircraft
such as the E-2C Hawkeye.
Unlike a U.S. carrier, LIAONING is not well equipped to conduct long-range power
projection. It is better suited to fleet air defense missions, where it could extend a protective
protective envelope over a fleet operating in blue water. Although it possesses a full suite
of weapons
and combat systems, LIAONING will likely offer its greatest value as a long-termlongterm training
investment.6467
A July 8, 2015, press report states:
China’s first aircraft carrier battle group is expected to be formed next year to make up for
for the shortcoming of the limited combat radius of the country’s existing fleets,
according to
China’s official news agency Xinhua....
Beijing is considering different approaches for forming its aircraft carrier battle groups,
including the one used by the United States Navy, the report said.65 68
The PLA Navy is currently learning to operate aircraft from the ship. DOD states, “The [ship’s]
air wing is not expected to embark the carrier until 2015 or later.”66 ONI states that “full
62
See, for example, 2015 ONI Report, p. 23, and “China Plans New Generation of Carriers as Sea Disputes Grow,”
Bloomberg News, April 24, 2013.
63
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 11.
64
2015 ONI Report, p. 23.
65
“Liaoning Carrier’s First Battle Group To Be Formed Next Year,” Want China Times, July 8, 2015.
66
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 11.
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integration of a carrier air regiment remains several years in the future, but remarkable progress
has been made already,”67 and that “it will take several years before Chinese carrier-based air
regiments are operational.”6869 ONI states that “full
integration of a carrier air regiment remains several years in the future, but remarkable progress
has been made already,”70 and that “it will take several years before Chinese carrier-based air
regiments are operational.”71 A September 2, 2015, press report states that “China’s aircraft
carrier Liaoning can carry at least 20 fixed-wing carrier-based J-15 fighter jets and the ratio
between the pilots and planes is about 1.5:1. So China needs to train more pilots for the future
aircraft carrier, said a military expert recently.”72
Indigenous Aircraft Carriers
DOD states that “China also continues to pursue an indigenous aircraft carrier program and could
build multiple aircraft carriers over the next 15 years.”6973 ONI states that “Chinese officials
acknowledge plans to build additional carriers but they have not publicly indicated whether the
next carrier will incorporate catapults or which aircraft they plan to embark.”7074 On July 25, 2014,
Admiral Jonathan Greenert, the U.S. Navy’s Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), stated that China
“will build another carrier [in addition to the Liaoning], probably relatively soon,” that Chinese
officials said it will “look just like” the Liaoning, with a ski ramp, that it will be similar in size to
the Liaoning, with a displacement of 65,000 tons or 70,000 tons, and that China is “moving on a
pace that is extraordinary.”71 A July 18, 2015, press report states:
China’s first domestically produced aircraft carrier will be built by Dalian Shipyard, Chinese
media reported, adding that there are several reasons for it to become the building base for
75
A September 3, 2015, press report states:
67
2015 ONI Report, p. 23.
“Liaoning Carrier’s First Battle Group To Be Formed Next Year,” Want China Times, July 8, 2015.
69
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 11.
70
2015 ONI Report, p. 13.
71
2015 ONI Report, p. 23.
72
“Over 20 J-15 Fighters Can Land on the Liaoning Aircraft Carrier,” People’s Daily Online, September 7, 2015.
73
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 11.
74
2015 ONI Report, p. 13.
75
Claudette Roulo, “Greenert: China Moving Quickly to Modernize Navy,” DoD News, Defense Media
Acitivty/American Forces Press Service (www.defense.gov/news), July 26, 2014; Bill Gertz, “Chinese Missile Forces
Pose Threat to U.S. in Future Conflcit,” Washington Free Beacon (http://freebeacon.com), July 28, 2014.
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China is building two aircraft carriers that will be the same size as its sole carrier, a
60,000-tonne refurbished Soviet-era ship, according to a new Taiwanese Defence
Ministry report on the capabilities of the People's Liberation Army (PLA)....
One of the new vessels is being built in Shanghai and the other in the northeastern city of
Dalian, said the Taiwanese report, which was obtained by Reuters.
It gave no estimate for when construction would be finished....
A Taiwanese Defence Ministry spokesman said details on the carrier program came from
the ministry's intelligence unit. He declined to give further details on the report, which
was sent to parliament this week.76
A July 30, 2015, press report states:
China’s first domestically-built aircraft carrier could be nuclear-powered, Chinese web
media reported Thursday [July 30], quoting an internal document of the shipbuilder
responsible for building the carrier.77
A July 18, 2015, press report states:
China’s first domestically produced aircraft carrier will be built by Dalian Shipyard,
Chinese media reported, adding that there are several reasons for it to become the
building base for aircraft carriers ... .
Jiangnan Shipyard will likely build China’s second domestically-built aircraft carrier....
China will require six years to build an aircraft carrier of its own and the next four aircraft
aircraft carriers will boost the country blue-water naval capacity.
Although China’s blue-water navy capacity is still limited, reports said the water
displacement of the second domestically-built carrier will be 59,000 tons, equal to the
Liaoning, which is already in service and can carry 22 fixed-wing fighters.7278
A March 9, 2015, press report states:
Several senior Chinese officials have confirmed that China is building its second aircraft
carrier and will likely adopt an improved launch system for aircraft on the ship, a Chineselanguage
Chinese-language daily in Hong Kong reported Monday.
The Hong Kong Commercial Daily... cited Liu Xiaojiang ... , a former political
commissar of
the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy, as saying that the government’s
industrial and
manufacturing agencies are now in charge of the ship’s construction.
Liu said that compared with the first carrier, the Liaoning ... , which was commissioned in
in September 2012, several improvements are being made to the second ship but concrete
details are only known within those agencies responsible for the project....
67
2015 ONI Report, p. 13.
2015 ONI Report, p. 23.
69
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 11.
70
2015 ONI Report, p. 13.
71
Claudette Roulo, “Greenert: China Moving Quickly to Modernize Navy,” DoD News, Defense Media
Acitivty/American Forces Press Service (www.defense.gov/news), July 26, 2014; Bill Gertz, “Chinese Missile Forces
Pose Threat to U.S. in Future Conflcit,” Washington Free Beacon (http://freebeacon.com), July 28, 2014.
72The reports also cited Ma Weiming ... , an expert in electrical and electronics
engineering, as saying that the new carrier’s system to launch aircraft was proceeding
smoothly.
76
J.R. Wu, “China Building Two Aircraft Carriers: Taiwan Defense Ministry Report,” Reuters, September 3, 2015. See
also Bradley Perrett, “China Building Third Carrier, Taiwanese Report Says,” Aerospace Daily & Defense Report,
September 16, 2015: 4.
77
See also Christopher Harress, “Chinese Military Building Nuclear-Powered Aircraft Carrier To Curb US Influence In
Asia,” International Business Times, July 31, 2015.
78
“Dalian Shipyard to Build China’s First Domestic Aircraft Carrier,” Want China Times, July 18, 2015.
68
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
The reports also cited Ma Weiming ... , an expert in electrical and electronics engineering, as
saying that the new carrier’s system to launch aircraft was proceeding smoothly.
He stressed that the system was no longer inferior to and might even be more advanced than
than that used by the United States, whose catapult takeoff service technology is currently
the best
in the world.
China’s CCTV reported last week that the catapult being tested in China to help planes take
take off quickly is more efficient than the “ski-jump” ramp used to launch aircraft on
China’s first
carrier.7379
Carrier-Based Aircraft
China has developed a carrier-capable fighter, called the J-15 or Flying Shark, that can operate
from the Liaoning (Figure 6). DOD states that the J-15 is “modeled after the Russian Su-33
[Flanker],” and that “although the J-15 has a land-based combat radius of 1,200 km, the aircraft
will be limited in range and armament when operating from the carrier, because the ski-jump
design does not provide as much airspeed and, therefore, lift at takeoff as a catapult design.”7480
Figure 6. J-15 Carrier-Capable Fighter
Source: Zachary Keck, “China’s Carrier-Based J-15 Likely Enters Mass Production,” The Diplomat
(http://thediplomat.com), September 14, 2013.
A November 10, 2014, trade press report states that “China has put the Shenyang J-15 Flying
Shark carrier-borne multirole fighter into serial production, with at least eight production
73examples known to be flying already. This is in addition to the six J-15 prototypes, some of which
conducted carrier trials on board China’s refurbished former Soviet Kuznetsov-class carrier,
Liaoning.”81
79
“China Reportedly Building 2nd Aircraft Carrier,” Focus Taiwan News Channel, March 9, 2015. See also “PLA
Official Confirms 2nd Aircraft Carrier Under Construction,” Want China Times, March 9, 2013; Zachary Keck,
“Confirmed: China Is Building 2nd Aircraft Carrier,” The National Interest, March 9, 2015; Charles Clover, “China
Media Confirm Second Aircraft Carrier,” Financial Times, March 10, 2015; Shannon Tiezzi, “Chinese Admirals Spill
the Beans on New Aircraft Carrier,” The Diplomat, March 12, 2015; “Corporate Meeting Reveals New PLA navy
Aircraft Carrier in the Works,” Focus Taiwan News Channel, February 1, 2015; Simon Denyer, “Fresh Reports
Circulate on China’s Second Aircraft Carrier,” Reuters, February 2, 2015; “China Builds Second Aircraft Carrier, But
Deletes News Reports Announcing It,” Washington Post, February 2, 2015.
7480
2014 DOD CMSD, p. 68. See also 2015 ONI Report, p. 23.
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
examples known to be flying already. This is in addition to the six J-15 prototypes, some of which
conducted carrier trials on board China’s refurbished former Soviet Kuznetsov-class carrier,
Liaoning.”75
81
Mike Yeo, “Chinese Carrier Fighter Now In Serial Production,” USNI News (http://news.usni.org), November 10,
(continued...)
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A May 13, 2015, press report states that China has begun development of a short takeoff, vertical
landing (STOVL) aircraft that could operate from a ship.82
Potential Roles, Missions, and Strategic Significance
Although aircraft carriers might have some value for China in Taiwan-related conflict scenarios,
they are not considered critical for Chinese operations in such scenarios, because Taiwan is within
range of land-based Chinese aircraft. Consequently, most observers believe that China is
acquiring carriers primarily for their value in other kinds of operations, and to symbolize China’s
status as a leading regional power and major world power.
Chinese aircraft carriers could be used for power-projection operations, particularly in scenarios
that do not involve opposing U.S. forces, and to impress or intimidate foreign observers.7683
Chinese aircraft carriers could also be used for humanitarian assistance and disaster relief
(HA/DR) operations, maritime security operations (such as anti-piracy operations), and noncombatant evacuation operations (NEOs). Politically, aircraft carriers could be particularly
valuable to China for projecting an image of China as a major world power, because aircraft
carriers are viewed by many as symbols of major world power status. In a combat situation
involving opposing U.S. naval and air forces, Chinese aircraft carriers would be highly vulnerable
to attack by U.S. ships and aircraft, but conducting such attacks could divert U.S. ships and
aircraft from performing other missions in a conflict situation with China.7784
DOD states that “although it possesses a full suite of weapons and combat systems, LIAONING
will likely continue to play a significant role in training China’s carrier pilots, deck crews, and
developing tactics that will be used with later, more capable carriers.”7885 DOD also states that
Although LIAONING is serving in what officials describe as an “experimental” capacity,
they also indicate that China will build additional carriers possessing more capability than
the ski-jump-configured LIAONING. Such carriers would be capable of improved endurance
endurance and of carrying and launching more varied types of aircraft, including
electronic warfare,
early warning, and anti-submarine, thus increasing the potential
striking power of a PLA
Navy “carrier battle group” in safeguarding China’s interests in
areas outside its immediate
periphery. The carriers would most likely perform such
missions as patrolling economically
important sea lanes, and conducting naval
diplomacy, regional deterrence, and HA/DR.79
75
Mike Yeo, “Chinese Carrier Fighter Now In Serial Production,” USNI News (http://news.usni.org), November 10, 86
(...continued)
2014. See also “J-15 Carrier-Based Fighter Modified for Catapult Launch,” Want China Times
(www.wantchinatimes.com), November 3, 2014. See also David Axe, “Is China Sending a Stealth Fighter to Sea? J-31
Mock-Up Appears on Carrier Deck,” Real Clear Defense (www.realcleardefense.com), October 1, 2014.
7682
“Nation Starts Research on Naval Jet,” Chinamil.com, May 13, 2015.
83
For a discussion, see, for example, Bryan McGrath and Seth Cropsey, “The Real Reason China Wants Aircraft
Carriers, China’s Carrier Plans Target U.S. Alliances, Not Its Navy,” Real Clear Defense (www.realcleardefense.com),
April 10, 2014.
7784
For further discussion, see Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins, “The ‘Flying Shark’ Prepares to Roam the Seas: pros
and cons [for China] of China’s aircraft carrier program,” China SignPost, May 18, 2011, 5 pp.; Aaron Shraberg,
“Near-Term Missions for China’s Maiden Aircraft Carrier,” China Brief, June 17, 2011: 4-6; and Andrew S. Erickson,
Abraham M. Denmark, and Gabriel Collins, “Beijing’s ‘Starter Carrier’ and Future Steps,” Naval War College Review,
Winter 2012: 15-55.
7885
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 11. See also 2015 ONI Report, p. 23.
7986
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 40. See also Bryan McGrath, “Why China Wants Aircraft Carriers,” National Interest, June 9,
2015. For an additional discussion of Chinese efforts to acquire aircraft carriers and develop naval aviation, see
Andrew Erickson, “A Work in Progress: China’s Development of Carrier Strike,” Jane’s Navy International
(continued...)
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Navy Surface Combatants and Coast Guard Cutters
Overview
China since the early 1990s has purchased four Sovremenny-class destroyers from Russia and put
into service 10 new classes of indigenously built destroyers and frigates (some of which are
variations of one another) that demonstrate a significant modernization of PLA Navy surface
combatant technology. DOD states that China’s new destroyers and frigates “provide a significant
upgrade to the PLA Navy’s area air defense capability, which will be critical as it expands
operations into distant seas beyond the range of shore-based air defense.”8087 ONI states that
In recent years, shipboard air defense is arguably the most notable area of improvement on
on PLA(N) surface ships. China has retired several legacy destroyers and frigates that had at
at most a point air defense capability, with a range of just several miles. Newer ships entering
entering the force are equipped with medium-to-long range area air defense missiles.8188
China reportedly is also building a new class of corvettes (i.e., light frigates) and has put into
service a new kind of missile-armed fast attack craft that uses a stealthy catamaran hull design.
China also appears to be planning to build a new cruiser. ONI states, “The JIANGKAI-class
(Type 054A) frigate series, LUYANG-class (Type 052B/C/D) destroyer series, and the upcoming
new cruiser (Type 055) class are considered to be modern and capable designs that are
comparable in many respects to the most modern Western warships.”8289
China is also building substantial numbers of new cutters for the China Coast Guard (CCG), a
paramilitary service that China often uses for asserting and defending its maritime territorial
claims in the East and South China Seas. In terms of numbers of ships being built and put into
service, production of corvettes for China’s navy and cutters for the CCG are currently two of
China’s most active areas of non-commercial shipbuilding.
Russia reportedly has assisted China’s development of new surface warfare capabilities.90
Press Reports of Potential New Type 055 Cruiser (or Destroyer)
Photographs showing a land-based mockup of what appears to be the topside (i.e., the main deck
and superstructure) of a large surface combatant have led some observers to conclude that China
is planning to build a new cruiser (or destroyer), called the Type 055, that might displace roughly
10,000 tons.8391 China is the only country known to be planning to build a ship referred to (by some
(...continued)
Andrew Erickson, “A Work in Progress: China’s Development of Carrier Strike,” Jane’s Navy International
(https://janes.ihs.com), June 19, 2014.
8087
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9.
8188
2015 ONI Report, p. 15.
8289
2015 ONI Report, p. 13.
8390
Paul Schwartz, Russia’s Contribution to China’s Surface Warfare Capabilities, Feeding the Dragon, Washington,
Center for Strategic and International Studies, August 2015, 42 pp. For a press report based on this document, see
Franz-Stefan Gady, “How Russia Is Helping China Develop Its Naval Power,” The Diplomat, September 4, 2015.
91
David Axe, “Looks Like China’s Building a Giant New Warship, Possible Missile Cruiser Could Outweigh Rival
Surface Combatants,” War Is Boring (https://medium.com/war-is-boring), undated; David Axe, “New Chinese
Cruiser—Not as Big as We Thought, But Still Pretty Big,” War Is Boring (https://medium.com/war-is-boring),
undated; Bill Gertz, “China Reveals New Carrier Jet Prior to Hagel Visit,” The Washington Free Beacon, April 9,
2014; Jeffrey Lin and P.W. Singer, “Learning More About China’s New Massive Warship Plan (055 Cruiser), Popular
Science (www.popsci.com), May 1, 2014; Bill Gertz, “Inside the Ring: China’s Missile Cruiser A Major Step To Naval
Warfare Buildup,” Washington Times (www.washingtontimes.com), May 7, 2014.
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
sources at least) as a cruiser.8492 (The U.S. Navy’s current 30-year shipbuilding plan includes
destroyers but no cruisers.) DOD states that China will “likely begin construction of a larger Type
055 ‘destroyer’ in 2015, a vessel better characterized as a guided-missile cruiser (CG) than a
DDG.”8593 ONI states that “a new cruiser to be built in China in the latter half of the decade will
carry a variety of antisurface weapons, some of which will be newly developed.”8694
An April 6, 2015, press report states:
China could be developing two types of the Type 055 guided-missile destroyer—an antisubmarine and an air-defense model—according to the Kanwa Defense Review, a Chineselanguage
Chinese-language military magazine based in Canada.
The April edition of the magazine made the suggestion after analyzing the latest leaked
satellite images of a ground model of the Type 055, which experts believe may have been
designed as the successor to the PLA Navy‘s highly successful Type 52D destroyer.87 95
A December 30, 2014, press report states:
A picture has just emerged on the Chinese internet showing that construction of the first
Type 055 destroyer may have started. The Type 055 guided missile destroyer is the next
generation destroyer designed for the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN or Chinese
Navy).
According to Chinese sources, the picture was taken last week at the Changxing Jiangnan
shipyard (member of CSSC - China State Shipbuilding Corporation) near Shanghai. It shows
shows a sign with the mention “Commencement Ceremony for the Construction of 055 destroyer
destroyer number 1”. Such ceremonies are common practice in Chinese naval shipyards
and should the
picture be authentic, this would indicate that construction of the first Type
055 destroyer has
indeed just started with the first cut of steel ceremony.
According to Chinese media, the Chinese government awarded the contract for construction
construction of the first ship of the class to Changxing Jiangnan shipyard in August.
According to the
same sources, the second Type 055 destroyer will be built at the Dalian
naval shipyard
(Dalian Shipbuilding Industry Company member of CSIC - China
Shipbuilding Industry
Corporation).
Construction of a Type 055 Shore Integration Facility (SIF) started in early 2014 at the Ship
Ship Design and Research Center (701 Institute) of CSIC at the Wuhan University of
Science and
Technology. A model of the PLAN’s Aircraft Carrier was built at the same
location in 2009.
Based on pictures of the Type 055 SIF taken in September 2014,
construction was almost
over. This could indicate that land based testing has already
started and it would then make
84 sense timing wise to start construction of the first unit (it
will likely take over one year to launch the first hull in the water)....
[The set of weapons that observers believe the ship will be equipped with] is close to the
one found on board Type 052D destroyers (Kunming/Luyang III class) but with an
overall better integration and what appears to be a sleeker design....
92
The U.S. Navy’s most recent cruiser was procured in FY1988 and entered service in 1994, and the Navy’s 30-year
shipbuilding plan includes no ships identified as cruisers. The three Zumwalt (DDG-1000) class destroyers currently
being built for the U.S. Navy, however, will each displace more than 15,000 tons. The U.S. Navy’s other cruisers and
destroyers have displacements of 9,000 to 9,500 tons.
8593
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9.
8694
2015 ONI Report, p. 16. See also “PLA’s Type 055 destroyer to be bigger than US Arleigh Burke-class,” Want
China Times, July 1, 2015; Manny Salvacion, “China Building Type 055 Destroyer More Powerful Than U.S. Arleigh
Burke-Class,” Yibada, July 3, 2015.
8795
“PLA Could Be Developing Two Versions of Type 055 Destroyer,” Want China Times, April 6, 2015.
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
sense timing wise to start construction of the first unit (it will likely take over one year to
launch the first hull in the water)....
[The set of weapons that observers believe the ship will be equipped with] is close to the one
found on board Type 052D destroyers (Kunming/Luyang III class) but with an overall better
integration and what appears to be a sleeker design....
Using recent Google Earth satellite imagery, the Type 055 SIF in Wuhan measures close to
to 130 meters in length, with most of its bow and its helicopter deck missing. The rest is pure
pure estimation but Type 055 may end up measuring about 190 meters in length with a
close to
12,000 tons displacement.8896
Sovremenny-Class Destroyers
China in 1996 ordered two Sovremenny-class destroyers from Russia; the ships entered service in
1999 and 2001. China in 2002 ordered two additional Sovremenny-class destroyers from Russia;
the ships entered service in 2005 and 2006. Sovremenny-class destroyers are equipped with the
Russian-made SS-N-22 Sunburn ASCM, a highly capable ASCM.
Six New Indigenously Built Destroyer Classes
China since the early 1990s has put into service six new classes of indigenously built destroyers,
including three variations of one class. The classes are called the Luhu (Type 052052A), Luhai (Type
051B), Louzhou (Type 051C), Luyang I (Type 052B), Luyang II (Type 052C), and Luyang III
(Type 052D) designs. Compared to China’s remaining older Luda (Type 051) class destroyers,
which entered service between 1971 and 1991, these six new indigenously built destroyer classes
are substantially more modern in terms of their hull designs, propulsion systems, sensors,
weapons, and electronics.
The Luyang II-class ships (Figure 7) and the Luyang III-class ships appear to feature phasedarray radars that are outwardly somewhat similar to the SPY-1 radar used in the U.S.-made Aegis
combat system. Like the older Luda-class destroyers, these six new destroyer classes are armed
with ASCMs.
88
“Focus - PLAN Type 055 Destroyer,” NavyRecognition.com, December 30, 2014. See also “PLA Begins
Construction of Type 055 Destroyers: Photo,” Want China Times, December 31, 2014; Sam LaGrone, “Chinese
Carrier-On-Land Facility Adds Destroyer,” USNI News, January 26, 2015.
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Figure 7. Luyang II (Type 052C) Class Destroyer
Source: Photograph provided to CRS by Navy Office of Legislative Affairs, December 2010.
As shown in Table 2, China between 1994 and 2007 commissioned only one or two ships in its
first four new indigenously built destroyers classes, suggesting that these classes were intended as
stepping stones in a plan to modernize the PLA Navy’s destroyer technology incrementally before
committing to larger-scale series production of Luyang II- and Luyang III-class destroyers. As
shown in Table 2, after commissioning no new destroyers in 2008-2012—a hiatus that may have
been caused in part by the relocation of a shipyard89shipyard97—commissionings of new Luyang II- and
Luyang III-class destroyers have resumed. DOD states that “during 2014, the final two LUYANG
II-class DDG (Type 052C) entered service, bringing the total number of ships of this class to six.
Additionally, the first LUYANG III-class DDG (Type 052D) entered service in 2014.”9098 A July
21, 2015, press report states:
People‘s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) watchers report that the second of the Type 052D
052D ‘Luyang III’ class destroyers, Yangsha (pennant number 173), was commissioned in midJuly
in mid-July and joined China’s South Sea Fleet....
Earlier in July, the seventh Type 052D emerged from the building shed at the Jiangnan
Changxingdao shipyard in Shanghai and after launch joined the sixth of class currently
8996
“Focus - PLAN Type 055 Destroyer,” NavyRecognition.com, December 30, 2014. See also “PLA Begins
Construction of Type 055 Destroyers: Photo,” Want China Times, December 31, 2014; Sam LaGrone, “Chinese
Carrier-On-Land Facility Adds Destroyer,” USNI News, January 26, 2015.
97
Regarding the 2008-2012 gap in commissionings, one observer states, “The relocation of JiangNan shipyard and
indigenization of [the] DA80/DN80 gas turbine (QC-280) delayed the production of follow-on units [of Luyang II-class
destroyers] for several years.” (Blog entry entitled “2012 in Review,” December 28, 2012, accessed March 21, 2013 at
http://www.informationdissemination.net/2012/12/2012-in-review.html.)
9098
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9. See also 2015 ONI Report, p. 15.
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
fitting out. Photographs showing visible progress on the eighth and ninth hulls have also
appeared.9199
Figure 7. Luyang II (Type 052C) Class Destroyer
Source: Photograph provided to CRS by Navy Office of Legislative Affairs, December 2010.
A July 27, 2015, press report states that “all in all, the PLAN plans to build a fleet of 12 Type
052D [Luyang III-class] destroyers—nicknamed “Chinese Aegis” [ships]—before shifting
production to the newer Type 055D multi-role cruiser.92
Table 2. PLA Navy Destroyer Commissionings
Actual (1994-2013) and Projected (2014-2017)
Sovremenny
(Russianmade)
1994
Luhu
(Type
052)
Luhai
(Type
051B)
Luyang
I (Type
052B)
Lyugang II
(Type
052C)
Louzhou
(Type
051C)
Luyang
III
(Type
052D)
1
1995
1996
1
1997
1998
1999
1
1
2000
Annual
total
Cumulative
total
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0
2
2
4
0
4
1
5
2002
0
5
2003
0
5
2001
1
2004
2
1
3
8
1
2
10
1
2
12
1
1
13
2008
0
13
2009
0
13
2010
0
13
2011
0
13
2005
1
2006
1
2007
2012
2013
2
2014
2
0
13
2
15
3
5
20
2015
2
2
22
2016
2
2
24
2017
1a
1
25
Source: Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015, and previous editions.
a.
Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015 states that a total of 12 Luyang III-class ships is expected (page 140).
91
Andrew Tate, “China Commissions Second Type 052D DDG, Pushes Ahead With Frigate, Corvette Launches,” IHS
Jane’s 360, July 21, 2015. See also Sam LaGrone, “China Commissions Second Advanced Destroyer,” USNI News,
July 23, 2015, and “Seven Type 052D Destroyers Being Built in Shanghai Port,” Want China Times, May 2, 2015.
92
Franz-Stefan Gady, “China Commissions Second ‘Carrier Killer Destroyer,’” The Diplomat, July 27, 2015.
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99
Andrew Tate, “China Commissions Second Type 052D DDG, Pushes Ahead With Frigate, Corvette Launches,” IHS
Jane’s 360, July 21, 2015. See also Sam LaGrone, “China Commissions Second Advanced Destroyer,” USNI News,
July 23, 2015, and “Seven Type 052D Destroyers Being Built in Shanghai Port,” Want China Times, May 2, 2015.
100
Franz-Stefan Gady, “China Commissions Second ‘Carrier Killer Destroyer,’” The Diplomat, July 27, 2015.
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Table 2. PLA Navy Destroyer Commissionings
Actual (1994-2014) and Projected (2015-2017)
Sovremenny
(Russianmade)
Luhu
(Type
052A)
Luhai
(Type
051B)
Luyang
I (Type
052B)
Lyugang
II (Type
052C)
Louzhou
(Type
051C)
Luyang
III
(Type
052D)
Annual
total
Cumulative
total
1
1
0
1
1
2
1997
0
2
1998
0
2
2
4
1
5
2001
0
5
2002
0
5
2003
0
5
1994
1
1995
1996
1
1999
1
2000
1
2004
1
2
1
3
8
1
2
10
1
2
12
1
1
13
2008
0
13
2009
0
13
2010
0
13
2011
0
13
0
13
2
15
2005
1
2006
1
2007
2012
2013
2
2014
1
1
2
17
2015
1
2
3
20
2016
2
2
22
2017
5
5
27
2018
2a
2
29
Source: IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2015-2016, and previous editions.
a. IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2015-2016 states that a total of 12 Luyang III-class ships is expected.
Four New Indigenously Built Frigate Classes
China since the early 1990s has put into service four new classes of indigenously built frigates,
two of which are variations of two others. The classes are called the Jiangwei I (Type 053 H2G),
Jiangwei II (Type 053H3), Jiangkai I (Type 054), and Jiangkai II (Type 054A) designs. Figure 8
shows a Jiangkai II-class ship.
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Figure 8. Jiangkai II (Type 054A) Class Frigate
Source: Photograph provided to CRS by Navy Office of Legislative Affairs, December 2010.
Compared with China’s remaining older Jianghu (Type 053) class frigates, which entered service
between the mid-1970s and 1989, the four new frigate classes feature improved hull designs and
systems, including improved AAW capabilities. DOD states that “China has continued to produce
the JIANGKAI II FFG (Type 054A), with 17 ships currently in the fleet and 5 in various stages of
construction.”93101 A July 27, 2015 press report states that
Type 054A ‘Jiangkai II’ class frigates Yangzhou (578) and Handan (579) appear to have
been handed over to the PLAN and are believed to have been commissioned, or they will be
be shortly. They are the 19th and 20th ships of the class. Two more are in build at the Hudong
Hudong shipyard in Shanghai and a further two at the Huangpu yard in Guangzhou.94 102
Table 3 shows commissionings of new frigates since 1991.
93101
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9.
Andrew Tate, “China Commissions Second Type 052D DDG, Pushes Ahead With Frigate, Corvette Launches,” IHS
Jane’s 360, July 21, 2015.
94 See also Morgan Clemens, Gabe Collins, and Kristen Gunness, “The Type 054/054A Frigate
Series: China’s Most Produced and Deployed Large Modern Surface Combatant,” China Signpost, August 2, 2015.
102
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Table 3. PLA Navy Frigate Commissionings
Actual (1991-20132014) and Projected (2014-20152015-2016)
Jiangwei I (Type
053 H2G)
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Jiangwei II
(Type 053H3)
Jiangkai I
(Type 054)
Jiangkai II
(Type 054A)
1
1
1
1
1
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
3
2
4
3
0
3
3a3
1a
Annual
total
Cumulative
total
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
4
0
3
2
4
3
2
10
3
3
1
2
3
4
4
4
4
5
9
10
10
12
12
13
15
16
16
20
20
23
25
29
32
34
3532
35
38
Source: IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-20152015-2016, and previous editions.
a.
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-20152015-2016 states that a total of at least 2024 Jiangkai II-class ships is expected (page 144).
Type 056 Corvette
China is building a new type of corvette (i.e., a light frigate, or FFL) called the Jiangdao class or
Type 056/056A (Figure 9). These ships are being built at a high annual rate; IHS Jane’s Fighting
Ships 2015-2016 states that the first 8 ships were commissioned into service in 2013, followed by
10 more in 2014 and 5 more projected for 2015. (Figure 9). DOD states that
More than 20 JIANGDAO-class corvettes (FFL) (Type 056) are in service and an additional
additional 11 were launched in 2014. China may build more than 60 of this class,
ultimately replacing
older PLA Navy patrol vessels, including the 60 HOUBEI-class
wave-piercing catamaran
missile patrol boats (PTG) (Type 022) [see next section] built
for operations in China’s “near
seas.”95
ONI states that
95
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9.
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seas.”103
103
are in service and an
than 60 of this class,
the 60 HOUBEI-class
[see next section] built
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 9.
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Figure 9. Type 056 Corvette
Shown under construction
Source: Blog entry entitled “PLAN’s New Type 056 Class,” August 12, 2012, accessed October 12, 2012, at
http://www.informationdissemination.net/2012/08/plans-new-type-056-class.html.
ONI states that
In 2012, China began producing the new JIANGDAO-class (Type 056) corvette (FFL),
which offers precisely the flexibility that the HOUBEI lacks. The JIANGDAO is
equipped to
patrol China’s claimed EEZ and assert Beijing’s interests in the South China
and East China
Seas. The 1500-ton JIANGDAO is equipped with 76mm, 30mm, and
12.7mm guns, four YJ83YJ-83 family ASCMs, torpedo tubes, and a helicopter landing area.
The JIANGDAO is ideallysuitedideally-suited for general medium-endurance patrols, counterpiracy
missions, and other littoral
duties in regional waters, but is not sufficiently armed or
equipped for major combat
operations in blue-water areas. At least 20 JIANGDAOs are
already operational and 30 to 60
total units may be built, replacing both older small patrol
craft as well as some of the
PLA(N)’s aging JIANGHU I-class (Type 053H) frigates (FF).96
Figure 9. Type 056 Corvette
Shown under construction
Source: Blog entry entitled “PLAN’s New Type 056 Class,” August 12, 2012, accessed October 12, 2012, at
http://www.informationdissemination.net/2012/08/plans-new-type-056-class.html.
(FF).104
A March 21, 2015, press report states that
As China launched its 25th Type 056 corvette on Ma. 19, the Sina Military Network based in
in Beijing said the PLA Navy will be able to control the sdisputeddisputed South China Sea with
between 10 and 20 such vessels. China is estimated to be building at least 40 Type 056
corvettes....”97105
A July 27, 2015, press report states that
On 17 July the latest Type 056 ‘Jiangdao’ class corvette was launched at the Huangpu
shipyard. This is the 27th of the class and the eighth to be equipped with variable depth and
and towed array sonars. Reports suggest that two days later, the 22nd22 nd of class, Suqian (504), also
96
97
104
105
2015 ONI Report, p. 17.
“056 Corvette Suitable for PLA Navy Defense in South China Sea,” Want China Times, March 21, 2015.
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(504), also an ASW variant, was commissioned. Earlier in the month the sixth Type 056
to be built at
the Lushun Liaonan shipyard was launched.98106
Houbei (Type 022) Fast Attack Craft
As a replacement for at least some of its older fast attack craft, or FACs (including some armed
with ASCMs), China in 2004 introduced a new type of ASCM-armed fast attack craft, called the
Houbei (Type 022) class (Figure 10), that uses a stealthy, wave-piercing, catamaran hull.99107 Each
boat can carry eight C-802 ASCMs.
Figure 10. Houbei (Type 022) Class Fast Attack Craft
With an older Luda-class destroyer behind
Source: Photograph provided to CRS by Navy Office of Legislative Affairs, December 2010.
The Houbei class was built in at least six shipyards; construction of the design appeared to stop in
2009 after a production run of about 60 units. ONI states:
During the past two decades, China phased out hundreds of Cold War-era OSA and
HOUKU-class missile patrol boats and gun-armed SHANGHAI and HAINAN-class patrol
patrol craft (among others) as the PLA(N) transitioned from coastal defense missions towards
towards offshore and far seas operations. However, China retains a modern coastal-defense and areadenialcoastaldefense and area-denial capability with 60 HOUBEI (Type 022) class missile patrol craft
(PTG) built in the
mid-2000s to supplement 25 1990s-vintage HOUJIAN and HOUXIN-classHOUXINclass missile patrol
combatants. The HOUBEI design integrates a high-speed wave-piercingwavepiercing catamaran hull,
waterjet propulsion, signature-reduction features, and the YJ-83
family ASCM. Although
98 poorly equipped for offshore patrol duties, the HOUBEI is
valuable for reacting to specific threats in China’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ) and
slightly beyond.108
106
Andrew Tate, “China Commissions Second Type 052D DDG, Pushes Ahead With Frigate, Corvette Launches,” IHS
Jane’s 360, July 21, 2015.
99107
For an article discussing how the Type 022 design appears to have been derived from the designs of Australian highspeed ferries, see David Lague, “Insight: From a Ferry, a Chinese Fast-Attack Boat,” Reuters, June 1, 2012.
108
2015 ONI Report, p. 17.
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poorly equipped for offshore patrol duties, the HOUBEI is valuable for reacting to specific
threats in China’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ) and slightly beyond.100
As noted in the previous section, these ships eventually may be replaced by Type 056 corvettes.
Coast Guard Cutters
China in 2013 consolidated four of its five maritime law enforcement (MLE) agencies into a new
China Coast Guard (CCG). China usually uses CCG ships, rather than PLAN ships, to assert and
defend its maritime territorial claims and fishing interests in the South China Sea and East China
Sea, although PLAN ships are available as backup forces. While China’s CCG ships are often
unarmed or lightly armed, they can nevertheless be effective in confrontations with unarmed
fishing vessels or other ships. Figure 11 shows a picture of a CCG ship.
Figure 11. China Coast Guard Ship
Source: Picture accompanying Jeff. W. Benson, “Clash for Naval Power in the Asia Pacific,” USNI News
(http://news.usni.org), November 25, 2013, accessed May 23, 2014.
China is rapidly modernizing its inventory of CCG ships, and some of China’s newest CCG ships
are relatively large.101109 DOD states that
In the next decade, a new force of civilian law enforcement ships will afford China the
capability to patrol more robustly its claims in the East China Sea and the South China Sea.
100
2015 ONI Report, p. 17.
See, for example, Ryan Martinson, “Power to the Provinces: The Devolution of China’s Maritime Rights
Protection,” China Brief (http://www.jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief), September 10, 2014.
101
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Sea. China is continuing with the second half of a modernization and construction
program for the
CCG. The first half of this program, from 2004-2008, resulted in the
addition of almost 20
ocean-going patrol ships. The second half of this program, from
2011-2015, includes at least
30 new ships for the CCG. Several less capable patrol ships
will be decommissioned during
this period. In addition, the CCG will likely build more
than 100 new patrol craft and smaller
units, both to increase capability and to replace old
units. Overall, The CCG’s total force
level is expected to increase by 25 percent. Some of these ships will have the capability to
embark helicopters, a capability that only a few CCG ships currently have. The enlargement
and modernization of China’s CCG forces will improve China’s ability to enforce its
maritime and sovereignty claims.102
109
See, for example, Ryan Martinson, “Power to the Provinces: The Devolution of China’s Maritime Rights
Protection,” China Brief (http://www.jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief), September 10, 2014.
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these ships will have the capability to embark helicopters, a capability that only a few
CCG ships currently have. The enlargement and modernization of China’s CCG forces
will improve China’s ability to enforce its maritime and sovereignty claims.110
ONI states that
During the last decade, China’s MLE force has undergone a major modernization, which
increased both the sizes of its ships and their overall capability. These civilian maritime
forces have added approximately 100 new large patrol ships (WPS), patrol
combatants/craft
(WPG/WPC), and auxiliary/support ships, not including small harbor
and riverine patrol
boats.
The current phase of the construction program, which began in 2012, will add over 30 large
large patrol ships and over 20 patrol combatants to the force by 2015. This will increase
by 25
percent the overall CCG force level in a fleet that is also improving rapidly in
quality. Most
MLE ships are either unarmed or armed only with light deck weapons
(12.7mm, 14.5mm,
and 30mm guns) and generally use commercial radars and
communications equipment.
Several of the largest ships are equipped with helicopter
landing and hangar facilities as
well.103111
Amphibious Ships and Potential Floating Sea Bases
DOD states that “China’s amphibious ship force has remained relatively constant in recent years
following what was a robust modernization program in the early 2000s.”104112
Yuzhao (Type 071) Amphibious Ship
China has put into service a new class of amphibious ships called the Yuzhao or Type 071 class
(Figure 12). IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-20152015-2016 states that the first three ships in the class were
commissioned into service in 2007, 2011, and 2012.”105, and that two more projected to be
commissioned in 2016 and 2017.113 The Type 071 design has an estimated
displacement of more
than 18,500 tons,106114 compared with about 15,900 tons to 16,700 tons for the
U.S. Navy’s
Whidbey Island/Harpers Ferry (LSD-41/49) class amphibious ships, which were
commissioned commissioned
into service between 1985 and 1998, and about 25,900 tons for the U.S. Navy’s
102 new San Antonio
(LPD-17) class amphibious ships, the first of which was commissioned into service in 2006.
DOD states that
China has built four large YUZHAO (Type 071) class amphibious transport docks (LPD),
which provide a considerably greater and more flexible capability than the older landing
ships, signaling China’s development of an expeditionary warfare and OTH amphibious
assault capability, as well as inherent humanitarian assistance/disaster relief (HA/DR)
and counterpiracy capabilities. The YUZHAO can carry up to four of the new air cushion
110
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 44.
2015 ONI Report, p. 46. See also Jane Perlez, “China Is Rapidly Adding Coast Guard Ships, U.S. Navy Says,” New
York Times, April 10, 2015; Ryan D. Martinson, “China’s Second Navy,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, April 2015:
24-29.
104; Ryan D. Martinson, “East Asian Security inthe Age of the Chinese Mega-Cutter,” Center for International
Maritime Security (CIMSEC), July 3, 2015.
112
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 10. A similar statement appears in 2015 ONI Report, p. 18.
105
113
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-20152015-2016, p. 153.
106114
Unless otherwise indicated, displacement figures cited in this report are full load displacements. IHS Jane’s Fighting
Ships 2014-20152015-2016, p. 153, does not provide a full load displacement for the Type 071 class design. Instead, it provides a
standard displacement of 18,500 tons. Full load displacement is larger than standard displacement, so the full load
displacement of the Type 071 design is more than 18,500 tons.
103111
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new San Antonio (LPD-17) class amphibious ships, the first of which was commissioned into
service in 2006. DOD states that
China has built four large YUZHAO (Type 071) class amphibious transport docks (LPD),
which provide a considerably greater and more flexible capability than the older landing
ships, signaling China’s development of an expeditionary warfare and OTH amphibious
assault capability, as well as inherent humanitarian assistance/disaster relief (HA/DR) and
counterpiracy capabilities. The YUZHAO can carry up to four of the new air cushion landing
landing craft YUYI LCUA (similar to LCAC), as well as four or more helicopters,
armored vehicles,
and troops on long-distance deployments. Additional YUZHAO
construction is expected in
the near-term....107115
Figure 12.Yuzhao (Type 071) Class Amphibious Ship
With two Houbei (Type 022) fast attack craft behind
Source: Photograph provided to CRS by Navy Office of Legislative Affairs, December 2010.
Reported Potential Type 081 Amphibious Ship
DOD states that construction of an “amphibious assault ship that is not only larger [than the Type
071 design], but incorporates a full flight deck for helicopters,” is “expected in the near term.”108
116
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-20152015-2016 states that “There are reports that construction of a Type 081
081 LHD [amphibious assault ship] is under consideration. The ship is believed to be of the order of
of 20,000 tonnes and may be based on the Type 0781 hull.”109 By comparison, U.S. Navy
107071 hull.”117 A July 30, 2015, press report states
that a design for the ship displaces 40,000 tons;118 an August 3, 2015, press report states puts the
figure at 36,000 tons.119 By comparison, U.S. Navy LHD/LHA-type amphibious assault ships
displace 41,000 to 45,000 tons. Figure 13 shows an unconfirmed conceptual rendering of a
possible design for the Type 081 LHD.
115
2015 ONI Report, p. 18. A similar statement appears in 2015 DOD CMSD, p. 10.
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 10. A similar statement appears in 2015 ONI Report, p. 18.
109
117
IHS Jane’s Fighting Ships 2014-2015, p. 153.
108
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LHD/LHA-type amphibious assault ships displace 41,000 to 45,000 tons. Figure 13 shows an
unconfirmed conceptual rendering of a possible design for the Type 081 LHD.
2015-2016, p. 153.
118
“China To Build 40,000-Ton Amphibious Assault Ship: Kanwa,” Want China Times, July 30, 2015.
119
Jamie Seidel, “Pictures Circulate of New Chinese Helicopter Assault Ship,” www.news.com.au, August 3, 2015.
116
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Figure 13. Type 081 LHD (Unconfirmed Conceptual Rendering of a Possible Design)
Source: Global Times Forum, accessed July 31, 2012, at http://forum.globaltimes.cn/forum/showthread.php?p=
72083.
A January 25, 2015, press report states:
Hong Kong’s Ming Pao... newspaper reported on Friday [January 23] that the People’s
Liberation Army (PLA) is building large amphibious assault ships to bolster gaps in its naval
naval strategic doctrine....
According to the report, in 2004 the push towards the adoption of amphibious assault ships
ships garnered consensus across China’s military....
The PLA quickly became aware of the many inadequacies of its Type 071 Kunlun Shanclass... amphibious transport dock during conflicts in Africa. Despite its ability to carry two
two Russian-designed Zubr-class air cushion landing crafts (LCAC), currently the largest
military hovercraft of its kind, the Type 071 vessel is plagued by a lack of firepower and
inability to fill command and air support roles in combat.
The same inadequacies in military humanitarian missions were repeated during the
subsequent armed conflicts in Libya, which hastened the adoption of amphibious crafts by
by the PLA, the report said.
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In addition, the report said that the PLA might be motivated to match the capabilities of the
the U.S. Navy’s America amphibious class landing crafts.
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In response, China’s dockyards are scrambling to build its own home-grown amphibious
assault craft, with a displacement of 50,000 long tons, said the report, and the Shanghai
Jiangnan-Changxing Shipbuilding Company Limited... has been commissioned to build at
at least four amphibious assault ships.110120
Potential Roles for Type 071 and Type 081 Ships
Although larger amphibious ships such as the Type 071 and the potential Type 081 would be of
value for conducting amphibious landings in Taiwan-related conflict scenarios, some observers
believe that China is building such ships more for their value in conducting other operations, such
as operations for asserting and defending China’s territorial claims in the East China Sea and
South China Sea, humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HA/DR) operations, maritime
security operations (such as anti-piracy operations), and non-combatant evacuation operations
(NEOs). Politically, larger amphibious ships can also be used for naval diplomacy (i.e., port calls
and engagement activities) and for impressing or intimidating foreign observers. DOD states that
The PLA is capable of accomplishing various amphibious operations short of a full-scale
invasion of Taiwan. With few overt military preparations beyond routine training, China
could launch an invasion of small Taiwan-held islands in the South China Sea such as Pratas
Pratas or Itu Aba. A PLA invasion of a medium-sized, better defended offshore island
such as
Matsu or Jinmen is within China’s capabilities. Such an invasion would
demonstrate military
capability and political resolve while achieving tangible territorial
gain and simultaneously
showing some measure of restraint. However, this kind of
operation includes significant, if
not prohibitive, political risk because it could galvanize
pro-independence sentiment on
Taiwan and generate international opposition.
Large-scale amphibious invasion is one of the most complicated and difficult military
operations. Success depends upon air and sea superiority, rapid buildup and sustainment of
of supplies on shore, and uninterrupted support. An attempt to invade Taiwan would strain
strain China’s armed forces and invite international intervention. These stresses,
combined with
China’s combat force attrition and the complexity of urban warfare and counterinsurgency
counterinsurgency (assuming a successful landing and breakout), make amphibious
invasion of Taiwan a
significant political and military risk. Taiwan’s investments to
harden infrastructure and
strengthen defensive capabilities could also decrease China’s
ability to achieve its objectives.
Moreover, China does not appear to be building the
conventional amphibious lift required to
support such a campaign.111 121
Zubr-Class Air Cushioned Landing Craft
In June 2013, it was reported that China in May 2013 had taken delivery of four large, Ukrainianmade Zubr-class air-cushioned landing craft (LCACs). The craft reportedly have a range of 300
nautical miles, a maximum speed of 63 knots, and a payload capacity of 150 tons. China in July
2014 used at least one of the craft in an amphibious assault exercise in the South China Sea.112
110122
120
“PLA To Build Amphibious Assault Ships: Report,” Focus Taiwan News Channel, January 25, 2015.
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 59.
112122
Franz-Stefan Gady, “Beijing Practices Invasion of South China Sea islands,” The Diplomat, July 24, 2014. See also
(continued...)
111Jeffrey Lin and P.W. Singer, “China Practices Pacific D-Days With Tanks And Hovercraft,” Popular Science, July 27,
2015.
121
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Ship Similar to U.S. Navy’s Mobile Landing Platform (MLP) Ship
In July 2015, it was reported that China’s navy had commissioned into service a ship similar to
the U.S. military’s Mobile Landing Platform (MLP) ship. China’s ship, like the U.S. MLP, is a
semi-submersible ship that can support ship-to-shore movement of equipment by serving as a
“pier at sea” for ships that lack a well deck for accommodating landing craft. China’s MLP-like
ship, with an estimated displacement of about 20,000 tons, is smaller than the U.S. MLP.113123
Potential Use of Civilian Ships
Some observers have commented over the years on the possibility that China could use civilian
ships to assist in an amphibious operation. In June 2015, it was reported that China had approved
a plan to ensure that civilian ships can support maritime military operations in the event of a
crisis.114124
Potential Floating Sea Bases
China reportedly is building or preparing to build one or more large floating sea bases. The bases
(see Figure 14, Figure 15, and Figure 16) are referred to in press reports as very large floating
structures (VLFSs). They are broadly similar in appearance to a concept known as the Mobile
Offshore Base (MOB) (Figure 17) that U.S. defense planners considered at one point years ago.
VLFSs could be used for supporting operations by aircraft and surface ships and craft.
Figure 14. Very Large Floating Structure (VLFS)
Notional Artist’s Rendering
Source: Jeremy Bender, “China Wants To Build Giant Floating Islands in the South China Sea,” Business Insider,
August 10, 2015.
123
Mike Yeo, “China Commissions First MLP-Like Logistics Ship, Headed For South Sea Fleet,” USNI News, July 14,
2015; “China Gains Semi-Submersible Ship for South China Sea Fleet,” Reuters, July 10, 2015; Megha Rajagopalan,
“This Submersible Cargo Ship Strengthens Beijing’s Hand in the South China Sea,” Business Insider, July 10, 2015.
124
Franz-Stefan Gady, “China Prepares Its 172,000 Civilian Ships for War,” The Diplomat, June 23, 2015.
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Figure 15. Very Large Floating Structure (VLFS)
Notional Artist’s Rendering
Source: Liang Jun, “China Displays Its First Large Floating Structure,” People’s Daily Online, July 30, 2015.
Figure 16. Backdrop Showing Rendering of VLFS
Photograph from April 2015 press conference.
Source: Jeffrey Lin and P.W. Singer, “Chinese Shipyard Looks to Build Giant Floating Islands,” Popular Science,
April 20, 2015. In that article, the caption to the photo states: “The April 2015 press conference of the Jidong
Development Group included interesting guests, like this PLA officer. Considering that the first floating island will
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be based as a deep sea support project in the South China Sea, the PLA could have dual use interests in JDG's
technology.”
Figure 17. U.S. Mobile Offshore Base (MOB) Concept
Notional Artist’s Rendering
Source: “China Unveiled its First VLFS Project Similar to the US Military Mobile Offshore Base Concept,” Navy
Recognition, August 9, 2015.
An August 10, 2015, press report states:
China's military wants the ability to create large modular artificial islands that can be
repositioned around the world as necessary. And it's not as outlandish a goal as it might
seem.
According to Navy Recognition, China's Jidong Development Group unveiled its first
design for a Chinese-built Very Large Floating Structure (VLSFs) at its National Defense
Science and Technology Achievement exhibition in Beijing at the end of July. The
structures are comprised of numerous smaller floating modules that can be assembled
together at sea in order to create a larger floating platform.
VLSFs have a number of uses. The artificial islands can be used as fake islands for
touristic purposes, or can also be constructed to function as piers, military bases, or even
floating airports, Navy Recognition notes. 125
An August 19, 2015, press report states:
125
Jeremy Bender, “China Wants To Build Giant Floating Islands in the South China Sea,” Business Insider, August
10, 2015. The Navy Recognition article referred to is: “China Unveiled its First VLFS Project Similar to the US
Military Mobile Offshore Base Concept,” Navy Recognition, August 9, 2015. See also Jeffrey Lin and P.W. Singer,
“Chinese Shipyard Looks to Build Giant Floating Islands,” Popular Science, April 20, 2015.
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Two Chinese companies are to build 3.2-kilometer [2-mile] long platforms that could
host airstrips, docks, helipads, barracks, or even “comprehensive security bases”, the
Financial Times quoted Feng Jun, chairman of Hainan Offshore Industry as saying on
August 18.
[The] Financial Times says Jidong Development Group have confirmed its contribution
to most of the 3.7 billion yuan in research funding of the project. Hainan Offshore
Industry will also play a part in the project.
Although the “Floating Fortresses” so far “are only in the design and research phase”,
western media are already paying close attention on the project, which also drew
criticism from military observers.
“Planting one of these in the middle of the South China Sea would be a terribly
provocative act,” said Richard Bitzinger, a U.S. authority on maritime security.
However, experts incline to the view that these platforms are more likely to serve large
oil drilling rigs. The two companies also emphasize on the peaceful application of the
giant platforms, mentioning duty-free shopping malls and exotic tourist destinations.
The first VLFS (very large floating structure) of the project is currently under
construction at dry dock in Caofeidian near Beijing.126
Land-Based Aircraft and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs)
Land-Based Aircraft
ONI states that
During the past two decades, the PLANAF has made great strides in moving beyond its
humble origins. Antiquated fixed-wing aircraft such as the Nanchang Q-5 Fantan and the
Harbin H-5 Beagle have given way to an array of relatively high-quality aircraft. This force
force is equipped for a wide range of missions including offshore air defense, maritime
strike,
maritime patrol, antisubmarine warfare, and, in the not too distant future, carrier-based
carrierbased operations. Just a decade ago, this air modernization relied very heavily on Russian
imports.
Following in the footsteps of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF),
the PLA(N)
has recently begun benefitting from domestic combat aircraft production.
Historically, the PLA(N) relied on older Chengdu J-7 variants and Shenyang J-8B/D Finback
Finback fighters for offshore air defense. These aircraft offered limited range, avionics, and
and armament. The J-8 is perhaps best known in the West as the aircraft that collided
with a U.S.
Navy EP-3 reconnaissance aircraft in 2001. The PLA(N)’s first major air
capability upgrade
came with the Su-30MK2 FLANKER. While the PLAAF had
received numerous
FLANKER variants from Russia between 1992 and 2002, the PLA(N)
did not acquire its
initial aircraft until very late in that process.
In 2002, China purchased 24 Su-30MK2, making it the first 4th-generation fighter aircraft
fielded with the PLA(N). These aircraft feature both an extended range and maritime radar
radar systems. This allows the Su-30MK2 to strike enemy ships at long distances, while
maintaining a robust air-to-air capability. Several years later, the PLA(N) began replacing its
(...continued)
Jeffrey Lin and P.W. Singer, “China Practices Pacific D-Days With Tanks And Hovercraft,” Popular Science, July 27,
2015.
113
Mike Yeo, “China Commissions First MLP-Like Logistics Ship, Headed For South Sea Fleet,” USNI News, July 14,
2015; “China Gains Semi-Submersible Ship for South China Sea Fleet,” Reuters, July 10, 2015; Megha Rajagopalan,
“This Submersible Cargo Ship Strengthens Beijing’s Hand in the South China Sea,” Business Insider, July 10, 2015.
114
Franz-Stefan Gady, “China Prepares Its 172,000 Civilian Ships for War,” The Diplomat, June 23, 2015.
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older J-8B/D with the newer J-8F variant. The J-8F featured improved armament such as the
PL-12 radar-guided air-to-air missile, upgraded avionics, and an improved engine with
higher thrust. Today, the PLA(N) is taking deliveries of modern domestically produced 4thgeneration fighter aircraft such as the J-10A Firebird and the J-11B FLANKER. Equipped
with modern radars, glass cockpits, and armed with PL-8 and PL-12 air-to-air missiles,
PLA(N) J-10A and J-11B are among the most modern aircraft in
its older J-8B/D with the newer J-8F variant. The J-8F featured improved armament such
as the PL-12 radar-guided air-to-air missile, upgraded avionics, and an improved engine
with higher thrust. Today, the PLA(N) is taking deliveries of modern domestically
produced 4th- generation fighter aircraft such as the J-10A Firebird and the J-11B
126
Luxioa Zou, “Two Chinese Companies to Build ‘Floating Fortresses,’” People’s Daily Online, August 19, 2015. See
also Liang Jun, “China Displays Its First Large Floating Structure,” People’s Daily Online, July 30, 2015.
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FLANKER. Equipped with modern radars, glass cockpits, and armed with PL-8 and PL12 air-to-air missiles, PLA(N) J-10A and J-11B are among the most modern aircraft in
China’s inventory.
For maritime strike, the PLA(N) has relied on the H-6 BADGER bomber for decades. The
The H-6 is a licensed copy of the ex-Soviet Tu-16 BADGER medium jet bomber, maritime
maritime versions of which can employ advanced ASCMs against surface targets.
Despite the age of
the design, the Chinese H-6 continues to receive electronics and
payload upgrades, which
keep the aircraft viable. We think as many as 30 of these
aircraft remain in service....
With at least five regiments fielded across the three fleets, the JH-7 FLOUNDER augments
augments the H-6 for maritime strike. The JH-7 is a domestically produced tandem-seat
fighter/bomber, developed as a replacement for obsolete Q-5 Fantan light attack aircraft and
and H-5 Beagle bombers....
In addition to combat aircraft, the PLA(N) is expanding its inventory of fixed-wing maritime
maritime patrol aircraft (MPA), airborne early warning (AEW), and surveillance aircraft.
China has
achieved significant new capabilities by modifying several existing airframes.
The Y-8, a
Chinese license-produced version of the ex-Soviet An-12 Cub, forms the
basic airframe for
several PLA(N) special mission variants. All of these aircraft play a
key role in providing a
clear picture of surface and air contacts in the maritime
environment. As the PLA(N) pushes
farther from the coast, long-range aircraft capable of
extended on-station times to act as the
eyes and ears of the fleet become increasingly
important.
Internet photos from 2012 indicated the development of a Y-9 naval variant that is equipped
equipped with a MAD (magnetic anomaly detector) boom, typical of ASW aircraft. This
Y-9 ASW
variant features a large surface search radar mounted under the nose as well as
multiple blade
antennae on the fuselage for probable electronic surveillance.115 127
UAVs
Chia reportedly is developing and fielding a range of UAV designs. DOD states that
the acquisition and development of longer-range UAVs will increase China’s ability to
conduct long-range reconnaissance and strike operations. China is advancing its
development and employment of UAVs. Some estimates indicate China plans to produce
upwards of 41,800 land- and sea-based unmanned systems, worth about $10.5 billion,
between 2014 and 2023. During 2013, China began incorporating its UAVs into military
exercises and conducted ISR over the East China Sea with the BZK-005 UAV. In 2013,
China unveiled details of four UAVs under development—the Xianglong, Yilong, Sky
Saber, and Lijian—the last three of which are designed to carry precision-strike capable
weapons. The Lijian, which first flew on November 21, 2013, is China’s first stealthy flying
flying wing UAV.116
ONI states that
115
116
2015 ONI Report, pp. 21-22.
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 37.
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128
ONI states that
The PLA(N) will probably emerge as one of China’s most prolific UAV users, employing
UAVs to supplement manned ISR aircraft as well as to aid targeting for land-, ship-, and
other air-launched weapons systems.... In addition to land-based systems, the PLA(N) is also
also pursuing ship-based UAVs as a supplement to manned helicopters.117129
127
2015 ONI Report, pp. 21-22.
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 37.
129
2015 ONI Report, pp. 22-23.
128
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Nuclear and Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Weapons
A July 22, 2011, press report states that “China’s military is developing electromagnetic pulse
weapons that Beijing plans to use against U.S. aircraft carriers in any future conflict over Taiwan,
according to an intelligence report made public on Thursday [July 21].... The report, produced in
2005 and once labeled ‘secret,’ stated that Chinese military writings have discussed building lowyield EMP warheads, but ‘it is not known whether [the Chinese] have actually done so.’”118130
Maritime Surveillance and Targeting Systems
China reportedly is developing and deploying maritime surveillance and targeting systems that
can detect U.S. ships and submarines and provide targeting information for Chinese ASBMs,
ASCMs, and other Chinese military units. These systems reportedly include land-based over-thehorizon backscatter (OTH-B) radars, land-based over-the-horizon surface wave (OTH-SW)
radars, electro-optical satellites, radar satellites, and seabed sonar networks.119131 DOD states that
The PLA Navy recognizes that long-range ASCMs require a robust, over-the-horizon
targeting capability to realize their full potential, and China has, therefore, invested heavily
heavily in reconnaissance, surveillance, command, control, and communications systems
at the
strategic, campaign, and tactical levels to provide high-fidelity targeting
information to
surface and subsurface launch platforms....
The PLA Navy also is improving its over-the-horizon (OTH) targeting capability with sky
sky wave and surface wave OTH radars, which can be used in conjunction with reconnaissance
reconnaissance satellites to locate targets at great distances from China (thereby
supporting long-range
precision strikes, including employment of anti-ship ballistic
missiles).120132
ONI states that
China is developing a wide array of sensors to sort through this complex environment and
contribute to its maritime picture. The most direct method is reporting from the ships and
aircraft that China operates at sea. These provide the most detailed and reliable
information,
117
2015 ONI Report, pp. 22-23.
but can only cover a fraction of the needed space. A number of groundbased coastal radars provide overlapping coverage of the area immediately off the coast,
but their range is similarly limited.
To gain a broader view of the activity in its near and far seas, China has turned to more
sophisticated sensors. The skywave OTH radar provides awareness of a much larger area
than conventional radars by bouncing signals off the ionosphere. At the same time, China
operates a growing array of reconnaissance satellites, which allow it to observe maritime
activity anywhere on the earth. Two civilian systems also contribute to China’s maritime
130
Bill Gertz, “Beijing Develops Pulse Weapons,” Washington Times, July 22, 2011: 1. Except for “[July 21],”
materials in brackets as in original.
119131
See 2011 DOD CMSD, pp. 3 and 38; Ben Blanchard, “China Ramps Up Military Use of Space With New Satellites
– Report,” Reuters, July 11, 2011; Andrew Erickson, “Satellites Support Growing PLA Maritime Monitoring and
Targeting Capabilities,” China Brief, February 10, 2011: 13-18; Torbjorg Hemmingsen, “Enter the Dragon: Inside
China’s New Model Navy,” Jane’s Navy International, May 2011: 14-16, 18, 20, 22, particularly the section on target
tracking on pages 15-16; Simon Rabinovitch, “China’s Satellites Cast Shadow Over US Pacific Operations,” Financial
Times, July 12, 2011; Andrew S. Erickson, “Eyes in the Sky,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, April 2010: 36-41.
120132
2015 DOD CMSD, pp. 10 and 46. See also Shane Bilsborough, “China’s Emerging C4ISR Revolution,” The
Diplomat (http://thediplomat.com), August 13, 2013; Andrew Tate, “China Launches Latest of Military,
‘Experimental’ Satellites,” Jane’s Defence Weekly (http://www.janes.com), September 28, 2014; William Lowther,
“Chinese Spy Satellites ‘Might Threaten Navy,’” Taipei Times (www.taipeitimes.com), October 2, 2014.
118
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but can only cover a fraction of the needed space. A number of ground-based coastal radars
provide overlapping coverage of the area immediately off the coast, but their range is
similarly limited.
To gain a broader view of the activity in its near and far seas, China has turned to more
sophisticated sensors. The skywave OTH radar provides awareness of a much larger area
than conventional radars by bouncing signals off the ionosphere. At the same time, China
operates a growing array of reconnaissance satellites, which allow it to observe maritime
activity anywhere on the earth. Two civilian systems also contribute to China’s maritime
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
awareness. The first is a coastal monitoring network for the Automatic Identification System
System (AIS)—an automated system required on most commercial vessels by the International
International Maritime Organization. China’s Beidou system, installed on several
thousand of its fishing
boats, provides GPS-like navigation to the boats as well as
automatic position reporting back
to a ground station in China, allowing the location of
the fishing fleet to be constantly
monitored by fishing enforcement authorities.
Naval Cyber Warfare Capabilities
ONI states that
Strategic Chinese military writings do not specifically deal with how China would employ
employ cyber operations in a maritime environment, although they do make clear the
importance of
cyber operations. The PLA highlights network warfare as one of the “basic
modes of sea
battle” alongside air, surface, and underwater long-range precision strikes.”
As the PLA’s
larger military investment in emerging domains such as cyber matures, the
application of
cyber operations in the maritime realm will consequently bolster the
PLA(N)’s capability.121133
Chinese Naval Operations Away from Home Waters
Chinese navy ships in recent years have begun to conduct operations away from China’s home
waters. Although many of these operations have been for making diplomatic port calls, some of
them have been for other purposes, including in particular anti-piracy operations in waters off
Somalia. DOD states that
The PLA Navy remains at the forefront of the military’s efforts to extend its operational
reach beyond East Asia and into what China calls the “far seas.” Missions in these areas
include protecting important sea lanes from terrorism, maritime piracy, and foreign
interdiction; providing HA/DR; conducting naval diplomacy and regional deterrence; and
training to prevent a third party, such as the United States, from interfering with operations
operations off China’s coast in a Taiwan contingency or conflict in the East or South
China Sea. The
PLA Navy’s ability to perform these missions is modest but growing as it
gains more
experience operating in distant waters and acquires larger and more advanced
platforms. The
PLA Navy’s goal over the coming decades is to become a stronger
regional force that is able
to project power across the greater Asia-Pacific region for high-intensityhighintensity operations over a
period of several months. However, logistics and intelligence
support remain key obstacles,
particularly in the Indian Ocean.
In the last several years, the PLA Navy’s “far seas” experience has been derived primarily
primarily from its ongoing counter-piracy mission in the GOA and long-distance task group
121
2014 ONI Report, p. 24.
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group deployments beyond the first island chain in the Western Pacific. China continues
to sustain
a three-ship presence in the GOA to protect Chinese merchant shipping from maritime
maritime piracy. This operation is China’s first enduring naval operation beyond the Asia
region.122134
The 2015 ONI report states that
Although the PLA(N)’s primary focus remains in the East Asia region, where China faces
multiple disputes over the sovereignty of various maritime features and associated maritime
maritime rights, in recent years, the PLA(N) has increased its focus on developing blue-
133
134
2014 ONI Report, p. 24.
2015 DOD CMSD, pp. 40-41.
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water naval water naval
capabilities. Over the long term, Beijing aspires to sustain naval missions far
from China’s
shores.
When we wrote the 2009 publication [i.e., the 2009 ONI report], China had just
embarked on
its first counterpiracy missions in the Gulf of Aden, but most PLA(N)
operations remained
close to home. Nearly six years later, these missions have continued
without pause, and
China’s greater fleet has begun to stretch its legs. The PLA(N) has
begun regular combat
training in the Philippine Sea, participated in multinational
exercises including Rim of the
Pacific (RIMPAC) 2014, operated in the Mediterranean,
increased intelligence collection
deployments in the western Pacific, and for the first time
deployed a submarine to the Indian
Ocean....
With a greater percentage of the force consisting of these modern combatants capable of blue
blue water operations, the PLA(N) will have an increasing capability to undertake
missions far
from China.123 135
Some observers believe that China may want to eventually build a series of naval and other
military bases in the Indian Ocean—a so-called “string of pearls”—so as to support Chinese naval
operations along the sea line of communication linking China to Persian Gulf oil sources.124136 Other
observers argue that although China has built or is building commercial port facilities in the
Indian Ocean, China to date has not established any naval bases in the Indian Ocean and instead
appears to be pursuing what U.S. officials refer to as a “places not bases” strategy (meaning a
collection of places for Chinese navy ships to occasionally visit for purposes of refueling and
restocking supplies, but not bases).125137 A July 2015, report states that China may build something
functionally close to a base, if not a base itself, at Djibouti in the Horn of Africa.126138 DOD states
that
122
2015 DOD CMSD, pp. 40-41.
2015 ONI Report, p. 5. See also pp. 8, 13, 27, 28-29.
124
Limited logistical support remains a key obstacle preventing the PLA Navy from
operating more extensively beyond East Asia, particularly in the Indian Ocean. China
desires to expand its access to logistics in the Indian Ocean and will likely establish
several access points in this area in the next 10 years. These arrangements likely will take
the form of agreements for refueling, replenishment, crew rest, and low-level
135
2015 ONI Report, p. 5. See also pp. 8, 13, 27, 28-29.
Bill Gertz, “China Builds Up Strategic Sea Lanes,” Washington Times, January 18, 2005, p.1. See also Daniel J.
Kostecka, “The Chinese Navy’s Emerging Support Network in the Indian Ocean,” China Brief, July 22, 1010: 3-5;
Edward Cody, “China Builds A Smaller, Stronger Military,” Washington Post, April 12, 2005, p. 1; Indrani Bagchi,
“China Eyeing Base in Bay of Bengal?” Times of India, August 9, 2008, posted online at
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/China_eyeing_base_in_Bay_of_Bengal/articleshow/3343799.cms; Eric Ellis,
“Pearls for the Orient,” Sydney Morning Herald, July 9, 2010.
125137
Christopher D. Yung, “Burying China’s ‘String of Pearls,’” The Diplomat, January 22, 2015; Daniel J. Kostecka, “A
Bogus Asian Pearl,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, April 2011: 48-52; Daniel J. Kostecka, “Places and Bases: The
Chinese Navy’s Emerging Support Network in the Indian Ocean,” Naval War College Review, Winter 2011: 59-78;
Daniel J. Kostecka, “Hambantota, Chittagong, and the Maldives – Unlikely Pearls for the Chinese Navy,” China Brief,
November 19, 2010: 8-11; Daniel J. Kostecka, “The Chinese Navy’s Emerging Support Network in the Indian Ocean,”
China Brief, July 22, 2010: 5.
126
138
Xunxhao Zhang, “Becoming A Maritime Power?—The First Chinese Base in the Indian Ocean,” Center for
International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), August 8, 2015; Prashanth Parameswaran, “Beware China’s ‘Basing’
Strategy: Forner US Navy Chief,” The Diplomat, July 29, 2015; Gabe Colins and Andrew Erickson, “Djibouti Likely to
Become China’s First Indian Ocean Outpost,” China Sign
Post, July 11, 2015; “China Military Declines to Confirm Djibouti Base,” Reuters, June 25, 2015. See also Andrew S.
(continued...)
123
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Limited logistical support remains a key obstacle preventing the PLA Navy from operating
more extensively beyond East Asia, particularly in the Indian Ocean. China desires to
expand its access to logistics in the Indian Ocean and will likely establish several access
points in this area in the next 10 years. These arrangements likely will take the form of
agreements for refueling, replenishment, crew rest, and low-level maintenance. The services
provided likely will fall short of permitting the full spectrum of support from repair to rearmament.127
Djibouti Base,” Reuters, June 25, 2015. See also Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel Collins, Dragon Tracks: Emerging
Chinese Access Points in the Indian Ocean Region,” Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI), Center for
Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), June 18, 2015; Rob Edens, “China’s Naval Plans for Djibouti: A Road, a
Belt, or a String of Pearls?” The Diplomat, May 14, 2015; Colin Clark, “China Seeks Djibouti Access; Who’s A
Hegemon Now?” Breaking Defense, May 12, 2015.
136
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maintenance. The services provided likely will fall short of permitting the full spectrum
of support from repair to re-armament.139
Numbers of Chinese Ships and Aircraft; Comparisons to U.S. Navy
Numbers Provided by ONI
Numbers Provided by ONI in 2015
The 2015 ONI report states that
•
“the PLA(N) currently possesses more than 300 surface combatants, submarines,
amphibious ships, and missile-armed patrol craft”;128140 that
•
“the PLA(N) [surface force] consists of approximately 26 destroyers (21 of
which are considered modern), 52 frigates (35 modern), 20 new corvettes, 85
modern missile-armed patrol craft, 56 amphibious ships, 42 mine warfare ships
(30 modern), more than 50 major auxiliary ships, and more than 400 minor
auxiliary ships and service/support craft”;129141 and that
•
“currently, the [PLA(N)] submarine force consists of five nuclear attack
submarines, four nuclear ballistic missile submarines, and 57 diesel attack
submarines.”130142
Numbers Provided by ONI in 2013
Table 4 shows figures provided by ONI in 2013 on numbers of Chinese navy ships in 2000, 2005,
and 2010, and projected figures for 2015 and 2020, along with the approximate percentage of
ships within these figures considered by ONI to be of modern design.
(...continued)
Erickson and Gabriel Collins, Dragon Tracks: Emerging Chinese Access Points in the Indian Ocean Region,” Asia
Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI), Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), June 18, 2015; Rob
Edens, “China’s Naval Plans for Djibouti: A Road, a Belt, or a String of Pearls?” The Diplomat, May 14, 2015; Colin
Clark, “China Seeks Djibouti Access; Who’s A Hegemon Now?” Breaking Defense, May 12, 2015.
127
139
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 41. See also Brendan Thomas-Noone, “The Master Plan: Could This Be China’s Overseas
Basing Strategy?” The National Interest (http://nationalinterest.org), November 6, 2014. See also Peter A. Dutton and
Ryan D. Martinson, editors, Beyond the Wall, Chinese Far Seas Operations, Newport, RI (Center for Naval Warfare
Studies, Naval War College, China Maritime Study No. 13), May 2015, 120 pp.; Christopher H. Sharman, China
Moves Out: Stepping Stones Toward a New Maritime Strategy, Washington, National Defense University Press (Center
for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University), 45 pp.
128140
2015 ONI Report, p. 13.
129141
2015 ONI Report. p. 15.
130142
2015 ONI Report, p. 18.
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Table 4. Numbers of PLA Navy Ships Provided by ONI in 2013
Ship type
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Diesel attack submarines (SSs)
60
51
54
57 to 62
59 to 64
Nuclear-powered attack submarines (SSNs)
5
6
6
6 to 8
6 to 9
Ballistic missile submarines
1
2
3
3 to 5
4 to 5
Aircraft carriers
0
0
0
1
1 to 2
Destroyers
21
21
25
28 to 32
30 to 34
Frigates
37
43
49
52 to 56
54 to 58
Corvettes
0
0
0
20 to 25
24 to 30
Amphibious ships
60
43
55
53 to 55
50 to 55
Missile-armed coastal patrol craft
100
51
85
85
85
Diesel attack submarines
7
40
50
70
75
Nuclear-powered attack submarines
0
33
33
70
100
Destroyers
20
40
50
70
85
Frigates
25
35
45
70
85
Numbers
Approximate percent of modern design
Source: Craig Murray, Andrew Berglund, and Kimberly Hsu, China’s Naval Modernization and Implications for the
United States, U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC), August 26, 2013, Figures 1
through 4 on pp. 6-7. The source notes to Figures 1 through 4 state that the numbers and percentages “were
provided by the U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence. U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence, PLA Navy Orders of Battle 20002020, written response to request for information provided to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review
Commission, Suitland, MD, June 24, 2013.” Citing this same ONI document, the USCC publication states in
footnotes on pages 6 and 7 that “Modern submarines are those able to employ submarine-launched
intercontinental ballistic missiles or antiship cruise missiles,” and that “Modern surface ships are those able to
conduct multiple missions or that have been extensively upgraded since 1992.”
Numbers Provided by ONI in 2009
Table 5 shows figures provided by ONI in 2009 on numbers of Chinese navy ships and aircraft
from 1990 to 2009, and projected figures for 2015 and 2020. The figures in the table lump older
and less capable ships together with newer and more capable ships discussed above.
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Table 5. Numbers of PLA Navy Ships and Aircraft Provided by ONI in 2009
(Figures include both older and less capable units and newer and more capable units)
1990
1995
2000
2005
2009
Projection for
2015
Projection for
2020
Ships
Ballistic missile submarines
1
1
1
2
3
4 or 5?
4 or 5?
Attack submarines (SSNs and SSs)
80
82
65
58
59
~70
~72
SSNs
5
5
5
6
6
n/a
n/a
SSs
75
77
60
52
53
n/a
n/a
Aircraft carriers
0
0
0
0
0
1?
2?
Destroyers
14
18
21
25
26
~26
~26
Frigates
35
35
37
42
48
~45
~42
Subtotal above ships
130
136
124
127
136
~146 or ~147?
~146 or ~147?
Missile-armed attack craft
200
165
100
75
80+
n/a
n/a
Amphibious ships
65
70
60
56
58
n/a
n/a
Large ships (LPDs/LHDs)
0
0
0
0
1
~6?
~6?
Smaller ships
65
70
60
56
57
n/a
n/a
Mine warfare ships
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
40
n/a
n/a
Major auxiliary ships
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
50
n/a
n/a
Minor auxiliary ships and support craft
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
250+
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
~145
~255
~258
0
0
0
0
0
~60
~90
Aircraft
Land-based maritime strike aircraft
Carrier-based fighters
Helicopters
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
~34
~153
~157
Subtotal above aircraft
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
~179
~468
~505
Aircraft
Land-based maritime strike aircraft
Carrier-based fighters
Source: Prepared by CRS. Source for 2009, 2015, and 2020: 2009 ONI report, page 18 (text and table), page 21
(text), and (for figures not available on pages 18 or 21), page 45 (CRS estimates based on visual inspection of
ONI graph entitled “Estimated PLA[N] Force Levels”). Source for 1990, 1995, 2000, and 2005: Navy data
provided to CRS by Navy Office of Legislative Affairs, July 9, 2010.
Notes: n/a is not available. The use of question marks for the projected figures for ballistic missile submarines,
aircraft, carriers, and major amphibious ships (LPDs and LHDs) for 2015 and 2020 reflects the difficulty of
resolving these numbers visually from the graph on page 45 of the ONI report. The graph shows more major
amphibious ships than ballistic missile submarines, and more ballistic missile submarines than aircraft carriers.
Figures in this table for aircraft carriers include the Liaoning. The ONI report states on page 19 that China “will
likely have an operational, domestically produced carrier sometime after 2015.” Such a ship, plus the Liaoning,
would give China a force of 2 operational carriers sometime after 2015.
The graph on page 45 shows a combined total of amphibious ships and landing craft of about 244 in 2009, about
261 projected for 2015, and about 253 projected for 2015.
Since the graph on page 45 of the ONI report is entitled “Estimated PLA[N] Force Levels,” aircraft numbers
shown in the table presumably do not include Chinese air force (PLAAF) aircraft that may be capable of attacking
ships or conducting other maritime operations.
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Numbers Presented in Annual DOD Reports to Congress
DOD states that “the PLA Navy now possesses the largest number of vessels in Asia, with more
than 300 surface ships, submarines, amphibious ships, and patrol craft,”131143 and that “The PLA
Navy has the largest force of principal combatants, submarines, and amphibious warfare ships in
Asia.”132144 Table 6 shows numbers of Chinese navy ships as presented in annual DOD reports to
Congress on military and security developments involving China (previously known as the annual
report on China military power). As with Table 5, the figures in Table 6 lump older and less
capable ships together with newer and more capable ships discussed above. DOD stated in 2011
that the percentage of modern units within China’s submarine force has increased from less than
10% in 2000 and 2004 to about 47% in 2008 and 50% in 2009, and that the percentage of modern
units within China’s force of surface combatants has increased from less than 10% in 2000 and
2004 to about 25% in 2008 and 2009.133
131145
143
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 8.
2015 DOD CMSD, p. 79.
133145
2011 DOD CMSD, p. 43 (figure).
132144
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Table 6. Numbers of PLA Navy Ships Presented in Annual DOD Reports to Congress
(Figures include both older and less capable units and newer and more capable units)
Year of DOD reporta
Nuclear-powered attack submarines
Diesel attack submarines
Aircraft carriers
2000
2002
5
5
~60
~ 50
0
2003
~60
0
0
~ 60
> 60
0
0
Missile-armed coastal patrol craft
n/a
Amphibious ships: LSTs and LPDs
almost
50
Destroyers
~20
Frigates
~40
Corvettes
Amphibious ships: LSMs
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
n/a
6
5
5
5
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
n/a
51
50
53
54
54
54
49
48
49
51
53
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1b
n/a
21
25
25
29
27
25
26
26
23
24
21
n/a
43
45
47
45
48
49
53
53
52
49
52
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8b
15
~ 50
~ 50
n/a
51
45
41
45
70
85
86
86
85
85
86
~ 40
> 40
n/a
20
25
25
26
27
27
27
28
29
29
29
n/a
23
25
25
28
28
28
28
23
26
28
28
Source: Table prepared by CRS based on data in 2000-2015 editions of annual DOD report to Congress on military and security developments involving China (known
for 2009 and prior editions as the report on China military power).
Notes: n/a means data not available in report. LST means tank landing ship; LPD means transport dock ship; LSM means medium landing ship.
a.
The DOD report generally covers events of the prior calendar year. Thus, the 2014 edition of the report covers events during 2013.
b.
b. 2014 was the first year that this category was included in the table in DOD’s annual report.
China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
Comparing U.S. and Chinese Naval Capabilities
U.S. and Chinese naval capabilities are sometimes compared by showing comparative numbers of
U.S. and Chinese ships. Although numbers of ships (or aggregate fleet tonnages) can be relatively
easy to compile from published reference sources, they are highly problematic as a means of
assessing relative U.S. and Chinese naval capabilities, for the following reasons:
•
A fleet’s total number of ships (or its aggregate tonnage) is only a partial
metric of its capability. In light of the many other significant contributors to
naval capability,134146 navies with similar numbers of ships or similar aggregate
tonnages can have significantly different capabilities, and navy-to-navy
comparisons of numbers of ships or aggregate tonnages can provide a highly
inaccurate sense of their relative capabilities. In recent years, the warfighting
capabilities of navies have derived increasingly from the sophistication of their
internal electronics and software. This factor can vary greatly from one navy to
the next, and often cannot be easily assessed by outside observation. As the
importance of internal electronics and software has grown, the idea of comparing
the warfighting capabilities of navies principally on the basis of easily observed
factors such as ship numbers and tonnages has become increasingly less valid,
and today is highly problematic.
•
Total numbers of ships of a given type (such as submarines, destroyers, or
frigates) can obscure potentially significant differences in the capabilities of
those ships, both between navies and within one country’s navy.135147 The
potential for obscuring differences in the capabilities of ships of a given type is
particularly significant in assessing relative U.S. and Chinese capabilities, in part
because China’s navy includes significant numbers of older, obsolescent ships.
Figures on total numbers of Chinese submarines, destroyers, frigates, and coastal
patrol craft lump older, obsolescent ships together with more modern and more
capable designs.136148 This CRS report shows numbers of more modern and more
capable submarines, destroyers, and frigates in Table 1, Table 2, and Table 3,
respectively.
•
A focus on total ship numbers reinforces the notion that increases in total
numbers necessarily translate into increases in aggregate capability, and
that decreases in total numbers necessarily translate into decreases in
aggregate capability. For a Navy like China’s, which is modernizing in some
ship categories by replacing larger numbers of older, obsolescent ships with
smaller numbers of more modern and more capable ships, this is not necessarily
the case. As shown in Table 5, for example, China’s submarine force today has
134
fewer boats than it did in the 1990, but has greater aggregate capability than it did
in 1990, because larger numbers of older, obsolescent boats have been replaced
146
These include types (as opposed to numbers or aggregate tonnage) of ships; types and numbers of aircraft; the
sophistication of sensors, weapons, C4ISR systems, and networking capabilities; supporting maintenance and logistics
capabilities; doctrine and tactics; the quality, education, and training of personnel; and the realism and complexity of
exercises.
135147
Differences in capabilities of ships of a given type can arise from a number of other factors, including sensors,
weapons, C4ISR systems, networking capabilities, stealth features, damage-control features, cruising range, maximum
speed, and reliability and maintainability (which can affect the amount of time the ship is available for operation).
136148
For an article discussing this issue, see Joseph Carrigan, “Aging Tigers, Mighty Dragons: China’s bifurcated
Surface Fleet,” China Brief, September 24, 2010: 2-6.
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fewer boats than it did in the 1990, but has greater aggregate capability than it did
in 1990, because larger numbers of older, obsolescent boats have been replaced
by smaller numbers of more modern and more capable boats. A similar point
might be made about China’s force of missile-armed attack craft. For assessing
navies like China’s, it can be more useful to track the growth in numbers of more
modern and more capable units. This CRS report shows numbers of more modern
and more capable submarines, destroyers, and frigates in Table 1, Table 2, and
Table 3, respectively.
•
Comparisons of total numbers of ships (or aggregate tonnages) do not take
into account the differing global responsibilities and homeporting locations
of each fleet. The U.S. Navy has substantial worldwide responsibilities, and a
substantial fraction of the U.S. fleet is homeported in the Atlantic. As a
consequence, only a certain portion of the U.S. Navy might be available for a
crisis or conflict scenario in China’s near-seas region, or could reach that area
within a certain amount of time. In contrast, China’s navy has limited
responsibilities outside China’s near-seas region, and its ships are all homeported
along China’s coast at locations that face directly onto China’s near-seas region.
•
Comparisons of numbers of ships (or aggregate tonnages) do not take into
account maritime-relevant military capabilities that countries might have
outside their navies, such as land-based anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBMs),
land-based anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCMs), and land-based Air Force aircraft
armed with ASCMs or other weapons. Given the significant maritime-relevant
non-navy forces present in both the U.S. and Chinese militaries, this is a
particularly important consideration in comparing U.S. and Chinese military
capabilities for influencing events in the Western Pacific. Although a U.S.-China
incident at sea might involve only navy units on both sides, a broader U.S.-China
military conflict would more likely be a force-on-force engagement involving
multiple branches of each country’s military.
•
The missions to be performed by one country’s navy can differ greatly from
the missions to be performed by another country’s navy. Consequently, navies
are better measured against their respective missions than against one another.
Although Navy A might have less capability than Navy B, Navy A might
nevertheless be better able to perform Navy A’s intended missions than Navy B is
to perform Navy B’s intended missions. This is another significant consideration
in assessing U.S. and Chinese naval capabilities, because the missions of the two
navies are quite different.
DOD Response to China Naval Modernization
Renewed DOD Emphasis on Asia-Pacific Region
AU.S. Strategic Rebalancing to Asia-Pacific Region
As mentioned earlier, a 2012 DOD strategic guidance document137 and DOD’s 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review138
document149 and DOD’s report on the 2014
Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR)150 state that U.S. military strategy will place an increased
emphasis on the Asia-Pacific region.
137
Although Administration officials state that this U.S.
149
Department of Defense, Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense, January 2012, 8 pp.
For additional discussion, see CRS Report R42146, Assessing the January 2012 Defense Strategic Guidance (DSG): In
Brief, by Catherine Dale and Pat Towell.
150
Department of Defense, Quadrennial Defense Review 2014, 64 pp. For additional discussion, see CRS Report
R43403, The 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) and Defense Strategy: Issues for Congress, by Catherine Dale.
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Although Administration officials state that this U.S. strategic rebalancing toward the AsiaPacificAsia-Pacific region, as it is called, is not directed at any single
country, many observers believe it is in
no small part intended as a response to China’s military
(including naval) modernization effort and its assertive
behavior regarding its maritime territorial claims.
Administration officials have stated that notwithstanding constraints on U.S. defense spending
under the Budget Control Act of 2011 (S. 365/P.L. 112-25 of August 2, 2011) as amended, DOD
will seek to protect initiatives for strengthening U.S. military presence and capabilities in the
Asia-Pacific region. Some observers, viewing both the BCA’s constraints on defense spending
and events in Europe (i.e., Russia’s actions in Ukraine) and in the Middle East (U.S. efforts to
counter the Islamic State organization) that have drawn U.S. policymaking attention back to those
two regions, have questioned whether DOD will be able to fully implement its initiatives for the
Asia-Pacific region.
Joint Concept for Access and Maneuver in Global Commons (JAM-GC)
(Previously Air-Sea Battle)
DOD has been developing a concept, originally called Air-Sea Battle (ASB) and now called Joint
Concept for Access and Maneuver in the Global Commons (JAM-GC),139 behavior regarding its maritime territorial
claims.
Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy
As one reflection of the U.S. strategic rebalancing to the Asia-Pacific region, a DOD report on
Asia-Pacific maritime security strategy submitted to Congress in August 2015 states, in
discussing “DoD lines of effort,” that
First, we are strengthening our military capacity to ensure the United States can
successfully deter conflict and coercion and respond decisively when needed. The
Department is investing in new cutting-edge capabilities, deploying our finest maritime
capabilities forward, and distributing these capabilities more widely across the region.
The effort also involves enhancing our force posture and persistent presence in the
region, which will allow us to maintain a higher pace of training, transits, and operations.
The United States will continue to fly, sail, and operate in accordance with international
law, as U.S. forces do all around the world.
Second, we are working together with our allies and partners from Northeast Asia to the
Indian Ocean to build their maritime capacity. We are building greater interoperability,
updating our combined exercises, developing more integrated operations, and
cooperatively developing partner maritime domain awareness and maritime security
capabilities, which will ensure a strong collective capacity to employ our maritime
capabilities most effectively.
Third, we are leveraging military diplomacy to build greater transparency, reduce the
risk of miscalculation or conflict, and promote shared maritime rules of the road. This
includes our bilateral efforts with China as well as multilateral initiatives to develop
stronger regional crisis management mechanisms. Beyond our engagements with regional
counterparts, we also continue to encourage countries to develop confidence-building
measures with each other and to pursue diplomatic efforts to resolve disputed claims.
Finally, we are working to strengthen regional security institutions and encourage the
development of an open and effective regional security architecture. Many of the most
prevalent maritime challenges we face require a coordinated multilateral response. As
such, the Department is enhancing our engagement in ASEAN-based institutions such as
the ASEAN Defense Ministers Meeting Plus (ADMM-Plus), ASEAN Regional Forum
(ARF), and the Expanded ASEAN Maritime Forum (EAMF), as well as through wider
forums like the Western Pacific Naval Symposium (WPNS) and Indian Ocean Naval
Symposium (IONS), which provide platforms for candid and transparent discussion of
maritime concerns.151
For more on the first of the lines of effort listed above—enhancing U.S. military capacity in
Maritime Asia—see Appendix B.
Administration officials have stated that notwithstanding constraints on U.S. defense spending
under the Budget Control Act of 2011 (S. 365/P.L. 112-25 of August 2, 2011) as amended, DOD
will seek to protect initiatives for strengthening U.S. military presence and capabilities in the
Asia-Pacific region. Some observers, viewing both the BCA’s constraints on defense spending
151
Department of Defense, Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy, undated but released August 2015, pp. 19-20.
Italics as in original. The report was submitted in response to Section 1259 of the Carl Levin and Howard P. "Buck"
McKeon National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2015 (H.R. 3979/P.L. 113-291 of December 19, 2014).
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and events in Europe (i.e., Russia’s actions in Ukraine) and in the Middle East (U.S. efforts to
counter the Islamic State organization) that have drawn U.S. policymaking attention back to those
two regions, have questioned whether DOD will be able to fully implement its initiatives for the
Asia-Pacific region.
Defense Innovation Initiative
As also mentioned earlier, DOD officials have expressed concern that the technological and
qualitative edge that U.S. military forces have had relative to the military forces of other countries
is being narrowed by improving military capabilities in other countries. China’s improving naval
capabilities contribute to that concern. To arrest and reverse the decline in the U.S. technological
and qualitative edge, DOD in November 2014 announced a new Defense Innovation Initiative.152
In a related effort, DOD has also announced that it is seeking a new general U.S. approach—a socalled “third offset strategy”—for maintaining U.S. superiority over opposing military forces that
are both numerically large and armed with precision-guided weapons.153
Joint Concept for Access and Maneuver in Global Commons (JAM-GC)
(Previously Air-Sea Battle)
DOD has been developing a concept, originally called Air-Sea Battle (ASB) and now called Joint
Concept for Access and Maneuver in the Global Commons (JAM-GC),154 for increasing the joint
operating effectiveness U.S. naval and Air Force units, particularly in operations for countering
adversary anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) forces. DOD announced the concept in the 2010
Quadrennial Defense Review. Although DOD officials state that the concept is not directed at any
particular adversary, many observers believe it is focused to a large degree, if not principally, on
countering Chinese and Iranian anti-access forces. On June 3, 2013, DOD released an
unclassified summary of the concept; the document builds on earlier statements from DOD
officials on the topic. DOD’s unclassified summary of the document is reprinted in Appendix B.
Navy Response to China Naval Modernization
The U.S. Navy has taken a number of steps in recent years that appear intended, at least in part, at
improving the U.S. Navy’s ability to counter Chinese maritime A2/AD capabilities, including but
not limited to those discussed below. A November 14, 2012, article by Admiral Jonathan
Greenert, the Chief of Naval Operations, provides an overview of Navy activities associated with
the U.S. strategic rebalancing toward the Asia-Pacific; the text of the article is presented in
Appendix C.
Force Posture and Basing Actions
Navy force posture and basing actions include the following, among others:
(...continued)
138
Department of Defense, Quadrennial Defense Review 2014, 64 pp. For additional discussion, see CRS Report
R43403, The 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) and Defense Strategy: Issues for Congress, by Catherine Dale.
139152
See, for example, Cheryl Pellerin, “Hagel Announces New Defense Innovation, Reform Efforts,” DOD News,
November 15, 2014; Jake Richmond, “Work Explains Strategy Behind Innovation Initiative,” DOD News, November
24, 2014; and memorandum dated November 15, 2015, from Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel to the Deputy
Secretary of Defense and other DOD recipients on The Defense Innovation Initiative, accessed online on July 21, 2015,
at http://www.defense.gov/pubs/OSD013411-14.pdf.
153
See, for example, Jake Richmond, “Work Explains Strategy Behind Innovation Initiative,” DOD News, November
24, 2014; Claudette Roulo, “Offset Strategy Puts Advantage in Hands of U.S., Allies,” DOD News, January 28, 2015;
Cheryl Pellerin, “Work Details the Future of War at Army Defense College,” DOD News, April 8, 2015.
See also Deputy Secretary of Defense Speech, National Defense University Convocation, As Prepared for Delivery by
Deputy Secretary of Defense Bob Work, National Defense University, August 05, 2014, accessed July 21, 2015, at
http://www.defense.gov/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1873; Deputy Secretary of Defense Speech, The Third U.S.
Offset Strategy and its Implications for Partners and Allies, As Delivered by Deputy Secretary of Defense Bob Work,
Willard Hotel, January 28, 2015, accessed July 21, 2015, at http://www.defense.gov/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=
1909; Deputy Secretary of Defense Speech, Army War College Strategy Conference, As Delivered by Deputy
Secretary of Defense Bob Work, U.S. Army War College, April 08, 2015, accessed July 21, 2015, at
http://www.defense.gov/Speeches/Speech.aspx?SpeechID=1930.
The effort is referred to as the search for a third offset strategy because it would succeed a 1950s-1960s U.S. strategy of
relying on nuclear weapons to offset the Soviet Union’s numerical superiority in conventional military forces (the first
offset strategy) and a subsequent U.S. offset strategy, first developed and fielded in the 1970s and 1980s, that centered
on information technology and precision-guided weapons (the second offset strategy). (For more on the second offset
strategy, see DOD News Release No: 567-96, October 03, 1996, “Remarks as Given by Secretary of Defense William
J. Perry To the National Academy of Engineering, Wednesday, October 2, 1996,” accessed July 21, 2015, at
http://www.defense.gov/releases/release.aspx?releaseid=1057.
154
In February 2015, it was reported that the name of the concept was being changed from Air-Sea Battle to Joint
Concept for Access and Maneuver in the Global Commons (JAM-GC). See Terry S. Morris et al., “Securing
Operational Access: Evolving the Air-Sea Battle Concept,” The National Interest, February 11, 2015. See also Paul
McLeary, “New US Concept Melds Air, Sea and Land,” Defense News, January 24, 2015.
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•countering Chinese and Iranian anti-access forces. On June 3, 2013, DOD released an
unclassified summary of the concept; the document builds on earlier statements from DOD
officials on the topic. DOD’s unclassified summary of the document is reprinted in Appendix C.
Navy Response to China Naval Modernization
The U.S. Navy has taken a number of steps in recent years that appear intended, at least in part, at
improving the U.S. Navy’s ability to counter Chinese maritime A2/AD capabilities, including but
not limited to those discussed below. A November 14, 2012, article by Admiral Jonathan
Greenert, the Chief of Naval Operations, provides an overview of Navy activities associated with
the U.S. strategic rebalancing toward the Asia-Pacific; the text of the article is presented in
Appendix D.
Force Posture and Basing Actions
Navy force posture and basing actions include the following, among others:
The final report on the 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) directed the
Navy “to adjust its force posture and basing to provide at least six operationally
available and sustainable carriers and 60% of its submarines in the Pacific to
support engagement, presence and deterrence.”140
•
155
More generally, the Navy intends to increase the share of its ships that are
homeported in the Pacific from the current figure of about 55% to 60% by 2020.
•
The Navy states that, budgets permitting, the Navy will seek to increase the
number of Navy ships that will be stationed in or forward-deployed to the Pacific
on a day-to-day basis from 51 in 2014 to 58 in 2015 and 67 by 2020.141
•
156
In terms of qualitative improvements, the Navy has stated that it will assign its
newest and most capable ships and aircraft, and its most capable personnel, to the
Pacific.
•
The Navy will increase the number of attack submarines homeported at Guam to
four, from a previous total of three.142
•
157
The Navy has announced an intention to station up to four Littoral Combat Ships
(LCSs) at Singapore by 2017,143158 and an additional seven LCSs in Japan by
2022.144
•
159
In April 2014, the United States and the Philippines signed an agreement that will
provide U.S. forces with increased access to Philippine bases.145
In addition to the above actions, U.S. Marines have begun six-month rotational training
deployments through Darwin, Australia, with the number of Marines in each deployment
scheduled to increase to 2,500 in 2016.146
140160
155
U.S. Department of Defense, Quadrennial Defense Review Report. Washington, 2006. (February 6, 2006) p. 47.
Victor Battle, “US Navy ‘Shaping Events’ in South China Sea,” VOA News (www.voanews.com), May 20, 2014.
See also Mike McCarthy, “CNO Sees More Integration With Asian Allies,” Defense Daily, May 20, 2014: 1-2.
142157
“Fourth Attack Sub to be Homeported in Guam,” Navy News Service, February 10, 2014.
143158
Jim Wolf, “U.S. Plans 10-Month Warship Deployment To Singapore,” Reuters.com, May 10, 2012; Jonathan
Greenert, “Sea Change, The Navy Pivots to Asia,” Foreign Policy (www.foreignpolicy.com), November 14, 2012.
144159
Zachary Keck, “U.S. Chief of Naval Operations: 11 Littoral Combat Ships to Asia by 2012,” The Diplomat
(http://thediplomat.com), May 17, 2013.
145160
See, for example, Mark Landler, “U.S. and Philippines Agree to a 10-Year Pact on the Use of Military Bases,” New
York Times, (www.nytimes.com), April 27, 2014; Associated Press, “Obama Says US-Philippines Military Pact Will
Improve Asia’s Security,” Fox News (www.foxnews.com), April 28, 2014; Luis Ramirez, “US-Philippines Defense
Deal to Improve Asia Security,” VOA News (www.voanews.com), April 28, 2014; Armando J. Heredia, “New Defense
Agreement Between The Philippines and U.S.: The Basics, USNI News (http://news.usni.org), April 29, 2014; Ankit
Panda, “US-Philippines Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement Bolsters ‘Pivot to Asia’,” The Diplomat
(http://thediplomat.com), April 29, 2014; “Philippines To Give U.S. Forces Access To Up To Five Military Bbases,”
Reuters (www.reuters.com), May 2, 2014; Carl Thayer, “Analyzing the US-Philippines Enhanced Defense Cooperation
Agreement,” The Diplomat (http://thediplomat.com), May 2, 2014.
146
Seth Robson, “US Increasing Number of Marines On Rotation To Australia,” Stars and Stripes (Stripes.com), June
15, 2013.
141
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities(continued...)
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In addition to the above actions, U.S. Marines have begun six-month rotational training
deployments through Darwin, Australia, with the number of Marines in each deployment
scheduled to increase to 2,500 in 2016.161
Acquisition Programs
As mentioned earlier (see “Limitations and Weaknesses” in “Background”), China’s navy
exhibits limitations or weaknesses in several areas, including antisubmarine warfare (ASW).
Countering China’s naval modernization might thus involve, among other things, actions to
exploit such limitations and weaknesses, such as developing and procuring Virginia (SSN-774)
class attack submarines, torpedoes, and unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs).
Many of the Navy’s programs for acquiring highly capable ships, aircraft, and weapon systems
can be viewed as intended, at least in part, at improving the U.S. Navy’s ability to counter
Chinese maritime A2/AD capabilities. Examples of highly capable ships now being acquired
include Ford (CVN-78) class aircraft carriers,147162 Virginia (SSN-774) class attack submarines,148163
and Arleigh Burke (DDG-51) class Aegis destroyers, including the new Flight III version of the
DDG-51, which is to be equipped with a new radar for improved air and missile defense
operations.149164 The procurement rate of Virginia-class submarines was increased to two per year in
FY2011, and the Navy wants to start procuring the Flight III version of the DDG-51 in FY2016.
Examples of highly capable aircraft now being acquired by the Navy include F-35C carrier-based
Joint Strike Fighters (JSFs),150165 F/A-18E/F Super Hornet strike fighters and EA-18G Growler
electronic attack aircraft,151166 E-2D Hawkeye early warning and command and control aircraft, and
the P-8A Multi-mission Maritime Aircraft (MMA).152167
The Navy is also developing a number of new weapon technologies that might be of value in
countering Chinese maritime A2/AD capabilities, such as an electromagnetic rail gun (EMRG),
solid state lasers (SSLs),153 and a hypervelocity projectile (HPV) for the 5-inch guns on Navy
cruisers and destroyers.
An October 10, 2011, press report states that Admiral Jonathan Greenert, the Chief of Naval
Operations (CNO), in a memorandum dated September 23, 2011, “has launched a new review to
identify warfighting investments that could counter Chinese military methods for disrupting key
battlefield information systems.” According to the report, the memorandum “requests options for
warfighting in ‘the complex electromagnetic environment’ and for countering ‘anti-access/areadenial’ threats—terms closely associated with China’s military.” The report quotes the
memorandum as stating that “Today’s weapons rely on EM [electromagnetic] sensors, EM
147
(...continued)
Agreement Between The Philippines and U.S.: The Basics, USNI News (http://news.usni.org), April 29, 2014; Ankit
Panda, “US-Philippines Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement Bolsters ‘Pivot to Asia’,” The Diplomat
(http://thediplomat.com), April 29, 2014; “Philippines To Give U.S. Forces Access To Up To Five Military Bbases,”
Reuters (www.reuters.com), May 2, 2014; Carl Thayer, “Analyzing the US-Philippines Enhanced Defense Cooperation
Agreement,” The Diplomat (http://thediplomat.com), May 2, 2014.
161
Seth Robson, “US Increasing Number of Marines On Rotation To Australia,” Stars and Stripes (Stripes.com), June
15, 2013.
162
For more on the CVN-78 program, see CRS Report RS20643, Navy Ford (CVN-78) Class Aircraft Carrier
Program: Background and Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
148163
For more on the Virginia-class program, see CRS Report RL32418, Navy Virginia (SSN-774) Class Attack
Submarine Procurement: Background and Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
149164
For more on the DDG-51 program, including the planned Flight III version, see CRS Report RL32109, Navy DDG51 and DDG-1000 Destroyer Programs: Background and Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
150165
For more on the F-35 program, see CRS Report RL30563, F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) Program, by Jeremiah
Gertler.
151166
For more on the F/A-18E/F and EA-18G programs, see CRS Report RL30624, Navy F/A-18E/F and EA-18G
Aircraft Program, by Jeremiah Gertler.
152167
For an article discussing the use of P-8 for countering Chinese submarines, see Jeremy Page, “As China Deploys
Nuclear Submarines, U.S. P-8 Poseidon Jets Snoop on Them,” Wall Street Journal (http://online.wsj.com), October 24,
2014.
153
For more on the Navy’s laser-development efforts, see CRS Report R41526, Navy Shipboard Lasers for Surface,
Air, and Missile Defense: Background and Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
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solid state lasers (SSLs),168 and a hypervelocity projectile (HPV) for the 5-inch guns on Navy
cruisers and destroyers.
An October 10, 2011, press report states that Admiral Jonathan Greenert, the Chief of Naval
Operations (CNO), in a memorandum dated September 23, 2011, “has launched a new review to
identify warfighting investments that could counter Chinese military methods for disrupting key
battlefield information systems.” According to the report, the memorandum “requests options for
warfighting in ‘the complex electromagnetic environment’ and for countering ‘anti-access/areadenial’ threats—terms closely associated with China’s military.” The report quotes the
memorandum as stating that “Today’s weapons rely on EM [electromagnetic] sensors, EM
communications and EM seekers to complete their ‘kill chains,’ while defenders are increasingly
turning to EM methods for protection,” and that “some kill chains never leave the EM
environment at all, damaging an adversary’s military capability by affecting control systems
alone—no bomb or missile required.” The report states that the memorandum “directs the group
to ‘generate innovative concepts for [the] Navy to employ the EM environment as a primary line
of operation in a 2025-2030 warfighting campaign.”154169
In a December 2011 journal article, Greenert stated that
regional powers in 2025 could use ballistic and cruise missiles, submarines, and guided
rockets and artillery to prevent military forces or legitimate users from entering an area
(“anti-access,” or A2) or operating effectively within an area (“area-denial,” or AD). Those
Those capabilities can be characterized as defensive, reducing opposition to them, and
they can be
deployed from the country’s mainland territory, making attacks against them highly
highly escalatory. Their intended purpose, however, is clear—intimidation of neighboring
countries,
including U.S. allies and partners. Aggressors can threaten to hold key
maritime crossroads
at risk, render territorial claims moot, and assert that intervention by
the United States or
others in these disputes can be delayed or prevented. The stated or
unstated implication is
that their neighbors should capitulate to the aggressor’s demands.
To help defend our allies and protect our interests, U.S. forces in 2025 will need to be
able to
operate and project power despite adversary A2/AD capabilities. Over the next
decade naval
and air forces will implement the new AirSea Battle Concept and put in
place the tactics,
procedures, and systems of this innovative approach to the A2/AD
challenge....
Over the next decade, maintaining the Navy’s war-fighting edge and addressing fiscal
constraints will require significant changes in how we develop the force. We will need to
shift from a focus on platforms to instead focus on what the platform carries. We have
experience in this model. Aircraft carriers, amphibious ships and the littoral combat ships are
are inherently reconfigurable, with sensor and weapon systems that can evolve over time
for the
expected mission. As we apply that same modular approach to each of our
capabilities, the
weapons, sensors, unmanned systems, and electronic-warfare systems
that a platform
deploys will increasingly become more important than the platform itself.
That paradigm shift will be prompted by three main factors. First, the large number,
range of
frequencies, and growing sophistication of sensors will increase the risk to ships and
and aircraft—even “stealthy” ones—when operating close to an adversary’s territory. Continuing
Continuing to pursue ever-smaller signatures for manned platforms, however, will soon become
become unaffordable. Second, the unpredictable and rapid improvement of adversary A2/AD
168
For more on the Navy’s laser-development efforts, see CRS Report R41526, Navy Shipboard Lasers for Surface,
Air, and Missile Defense: Background and Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
169
Christopher J. Castelli, “Memo: Navy Seeks To Counter China’s Battle-Disruption Capabilities,” Inside the Navy,
October 10, 2011.
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A2/AD capabilities will require faster evolution of our own systems to maintain an
advantage or
asymmetrically gain the upper hand. This speed of evolution is more
affordable and
technically possible in weapons, sensors, and unmanned systems than in
manned platforms.
The third factor favoring a focus on payloads is the changing nature of war. Precision-guided
Precisionguided munitions have reduced the number and size of weapons needed to achieve the
same effect.
At the same time, concerns for collateral damage have significantly lowered
the number of
targets that can be safely attacked in a given engagement. The net effect is
fewer weapons
are needed in today’s conflicts.
154
Christopher J. Castelli, “Memo: Navy Seeks To Counter China’s Battle-Disruption Capabilities,” Inside the Navy,
October 10, 2011.
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are needed in today’s conflicts.
Together, those trends make guided, precision stand-off weapons such as Tomahawk landattack
land-attack missiles, joint air-surface stand-off missiles, and their successors more viable and
and cost-effective alternatives to increasingly stealthy aircraft that close the target and drop
drop bombs or shoot direct-attack missiles. To take full advantage of the paradigm shift from
from platform to payload, the Fleet of 2025 will incorporate faster, longer-range, and more
more sophisticated weapons from ships, aircraft, and submarines. In turn, today’s
platforms will
evolve to be more capable of carrying a larger range of weapons and other
payloads.
Those other payloads will include a growing number of unmanned systems. Budget
limitations over the next 10 to 15 years may constrain the number of ships and aircraft the
Navy can buy....
The future Fleet will deploy a larger and improved force of rotary wing unmanned aerial
vehicles (UAVs) including today’s Fire Scout and soon, the armed Fire-X. Those vehicles
vehicles were invaluable in recent operations in Libya and in counterterrorism operations
around the
Central Command area of responsibility. Deploying from the deck of a littoral
combat ship, a
detachment of Fire Scouts can provide continuous surveillance more than
100 miles away.
Those systems will expand the reach of the ship’s sensors with optical
and infrared
capabilities, as well as support special operations forces in the littorals. Even more
more significant, the Fleet of 2025 will include UAVs deploying from aircraft carrier
decks. What
started a decade ago as the unmanned combat air system will be operating
by 2025 as an
integral element of some carrier air wings, providing surveillance and
some strike capability
at vastly increased ranges compared with today’s strike fighters.
Once that aircraft is fielded,
it will likely take on additional missions such as logistics,
electronic warfare, or tanking.
Submarines will deploy and operate in conjunction with a family of unmanned vehicles and
and sensors by 2025 to sustain the undersea dominance that is a clear U.S. asymmetric
advantage. Large-displacement unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) will deploy from
ships, shore, or Virginia-class submarine payload tubes to conduct surveillance missions.
With their range and endurance, large UUVs could travel deep into an adversary’s
A2/AD
envelope to deploy strike missiles, electronic warfare decoys, or mines. Smaller
UUVs will
be used by submarines to extend the reach of their organic sensors, and will
operate in
conjunction with unattended sensors that can be deployed from surface
combatants,
submarines, and P-8A patrol aircraft. The resulting undersea network will
create a more
complete and persistent “common operational picture” of the underwater
environment when
and where we need it. This will be essential to finding and engaging
adversary submarines,
potentially the most dangerous A2/AD capability.
The undersea picture is extremely important in terms of countering enemy mining. The most
most basic of A2/AD weapons, mines can render an area of ocean unusable for commercial
commercial shipping for weeks or months while we laboriously locate and neutralize
them. Even the
threat of mines is enough to severely restrict ship movements,
significantly affecting trade
and global economic stability if it happens in key choke
points such as the Malacca or
Hormuz straits. The mine countermeasure capabilities we
are developing for littoral combat
ships and MH-60 aircraft rely heavily on unmanned
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sensors to rapidly build the underwater
picture, and unmanned neutralization systems to
disable mines. By 2025 those systems will
be fully fielded, and their portable nature
could allow them to be another swappable payload
on a range of combatants....
Electronic warfare (EW) and cyber operations are increasingly essential to defeating the
sensors and command and control (C2) that underpin an opponent’s A2/AD capabilities. If
If the adversary is blinded or unable to communicate, he cannot aim long-range ballistic and
and cruise missiles or cue submarines and aircraft. Today, Navy forces focus on deconflicting
deconflicting operations in the electromagnetic spectrum or cyber domains. By 2025, the
Fleet will fully
operationalize those domains, more seamlessly managing sensors, attacks, defense, and
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defense, and communications, and treating EW and cyber environments as “maneuver
spaces” on par with
surface, undersea, or air.
For example, an electronic jammer or decoy can defeat individual enemy radar, and thus an
an enemy C2 system using the radar’s data. A cyber operation might be able to achieve a similar
similar effect, allowing U.S. forces to avoid detection. This is akin to using smoke and “rubberduck
“rubber-duck” decoys in World War II to obscure and confuse the operational picture for Japanese
Japanese forces, allowing U.S. ships to maneuver to an advantageous position. The future
Fleet will
employ EW and cyber with that same sense of operational integration.155 170
An August 20, 2012, press report stated that the Air-Sea Battle concept prompted Navy officials
to make significant shifts in the service’s FY2014-FY2018 budget plan, including new
investments in ASW, electronic attack and electronic warfare, cyber warfare, the F-35 Joint Strike
Fighter (JSF), the P-8A maritime patrol aircraft, and the Broad Area Maritime Surveillance
(BAMS) UAV (a maritime version of the Global Hawk UAV). The report quoted Greenert as
saying that the total value of the budget shifts was certainly in the hundreds of millions of dollars,
and perhaps in the “low billions” of dollars.156171
Training and Forward-Deployed Operations
The Navy in recent years has increased antisubmarine warfare (ASW) training for Pacific Fleet
forces and conducted various forward-deployed operations in the Western Pacific, including
exercises and engagement operations with Pacific allied and partner navies, as well as operations
that appear to have been aimed at monitoring Chinese military operations.157172 In a December 2011
journal article, Admiral Jonathan Greenert, the Chief of Naval Operations, stated: “At the high
end [of operations], we will expand our combined efforts with allies in Japan, South Korea, and
Australia to train and exercise in missions such as antisubmarine warfare and integrated air and
missile defense.158 A July 2, 2013, blog post states that
The U.S. Navy’s multi-national exercises in the Pacific theater are growing in size and taking
on new dimensions due to the U.S. military’s overall strategic re-balance or “pivot” to the
region, service officials explained.
Although many of the multi-national exercises currently underway have been growing in
recent years, the U.S. military’s strategic focus on the area is having a profound impact upon
training activities there, Navy officials acknowledge.159
155
173 A July 2, 2013, blog post states that
170
Jonathan Greenert, “Navy, 2025: Forward Warfighters,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, December 2011: 20.
Greenert’s statement about stationing several LCSs at Singapore followed statements by other Administration officials
dating back to June 2011 about operating a small number of LCSs out of Singapore. See, for example, Wong Maye-E
(Associated Press), “Gates Pledges Wider U.S. Military Presence in Asia,” USA Today, June 4, 2011; and Dan de Luce
(Agence France-Presse), “Gates: New Weapons For ‘Robust’ U.S. Role in Asia,” DefenseNews.com, June 3, 2011.
156171
Christopher J. Castelli, “CNO: Air-Sea Battle Driving Acceleration Of Key Programs In POM-14,” Inside the Navy,
August 20, 2012. POM-14 is the Program Objective Memorandum (an internal DOD budget-planning document) for
the FY2014 DOD budget.
157172
Incidents at sea in recent years between U.S. and Chinese ships and aircraft in China’s Exclusive Economic Zone
(EEZ) appear to involve, on the U.S. side, ships and aircraft, such as TAGOS ocean surveillance ships and EP-3
electronic surveillance aircraft, whose primary apparent mission is to monitor foreign military operations.
158173
Jonathan Greenert, “Navy, 2025: Forward Warfighters,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, December 2011: 20.
159
Kris Osborn, “Navy Pivots Training to Match Pacific Transition,” DOD Buzz (www.dodbuzz.com), July 2, 2013.
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The U.S. Navy’s multi-national exercises in the Pacific theater are growing in size and
taking on new dimensions due to the U.S. military’s overall strategic re-balance or
“pivot” to the region, service officials explained.
Although many of the multi-national exercises currently underway have been growing in
recent years, the U.S. military’s strategic focus on the area is having a profound impact
upon training activities there, Navy officials acknowledge. 174
Issues for Congress
Future Size and Capability of U.S. Navy
One potential oversight issue for Congress, particularly in the context of the constraints on U.S.
defense spending established by the Budget Control Act of 2011 as amended, is whether the U.S.
Navy in coming years will be large enough and capable enough to adequately counter improved
Chinese maritime A2/AD forces while also adequately performing other missions around the
world of interest to U.S. policymakers. Some observers are concerned that a combination of
growing Chinese naval capabilities and budget-driven reductions in the size and capability of the
U.S. Navy could encourage Chinese military overconfidence and demoralize U.S. allies and
partners in the Pacific, and thereby destabilize or make it harder for the United States to defend its
interests in the region.160175
Navy officials state that, to carry out Navy missions around the world in coming years, the Navy
will need to achieve and maintain a fleet of 308 ships of various types and numbers. Many
observers are concerned that constraints on Navy budgets in coming years will result in a fleet
with considerably fewer than 308 ships.161176 The issue of whether the U.S. Navy in coming years
will be large enough and capable enough to adequately counter improved Chinese maritime antiaccess forces is part of a larger debate about whether the military pillar of the U.S. strategic
rebalancing to the Asia-Pacific region is being adequately resourced.
Joint Concept for Access and Maneuver in Global Commons (JAMGC) (Previously Air-Sea Battle)
Another potential oversight issue for Congress is whether the Joint Concept for Access and
Maneuver in the Global Commons (JAM-GC), previously known as Air-Sea Battle (ASB),
represents a good approach for countering China’s A2/AD systems. During the time it was known
as ASB, the merits of ASB as a response to China’s A2/AD systems became a matter of some
controversy. While there seemed to be little disagreement over the goal within the ASB effort to
improve the joint operating effectiveness U.S. naval and Air Force units, there was controversy
about the effectiveness of the ASB concept as a means of deterring potential Chinese aggression
and reassuring U.S. allies and partners in the region, and about whether attacking land targets on
the Chinese mainland—something that some observers believe to be an element of the ASB—
would pose an unwanted degree of risk of escalating a smaller crisis or conflict into a larger one.
As an alternative to ASB, some observers advocated an alternative military strategy, which they
160
174
Kris Osborn, “Navy Pivots Training to Match Pacific Transition,” DOD Buzz (www.dodbuzz.com), July 2, 2013.
See, for example, Seth Cropsey, “China’s Growing Challenge To U.S. Naval Power,” Wall Street Journal, June 21,
2013: 13.
161176
For further discussion, see CRS Report RL32665, Navy Force Structure and Shipbuilding Plans: Background and
Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
175
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As an alternative to ASB, some observers advocated an alternative military strategy, which they
call Offshore Control, that would not involve attacking land targets in China.162177 Other observers
defended ASB and/or criticized Offshore Control.163178
Long-Range Carrier-Based Aircraft and Long-Range Weapons
Another potential oversight issue for Congress whether the Navy’s plans for developing and
procuring long-range carrier-based aircraft and long-range ship- and aircraft-launched weapons
are appropriate. Aircraft and weapons with longer ranges could help Navy ships and aircraft
achieve results while remaining outside the ranges of Chinese A2/AD systems that can pose a
threat to their survivability.164179
UCLASS Aircraft
Some observers have stressed a need for the Navy to proceed with its plans for developing and
deploying a long-range, carrier-based, unmanned UAV called the Unmanned Carrier Launched
Airborne Surveillance and Strike (UCLASS) aircraft. Some of these observers view the
acquisition of a long-range carrier-based UAV as key to maintaining the survivability and mission
effectiveness of aircraft carriers against Chinese A2/AD systems in coming years.165180
The operational requirements for the UCLASS aircraft have been a matter of some debate, with a
key issue being whether the UCLASS should be optimized for penetrating heavily defended air
space and conducting strike operations at long ranges, or for long-endurance intelligence,
surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) operations (with a limited secondary capacity for
conducting strike operations).166181 The issue was the topic of a July 16, 2014, hearing before the
Seapower and Projection Forces subcommittee of the House Armed Services Committee.
Long-Range Anti-Ship and Land Attack Missiles
Some observers have stressed a need for the Navy to proceed with the development and
acquisition of a longer-ranged, next-generation replacement for the Navy’s current Harpoon
ASCM, and a next-generation replacement for the Navy’s Tomahawk land attack cruise missile.
These observers view the acquisition of such weapons as key to maintaining the survivability and
162mission effectiveness of Navy surface combatants when operating within range of Chinese
177
See, for example, “T.X. Hammes and R.D. Hooker Jr., “America’s Ultimate Strategy in a Clash with China,” The
National Interest (http://nationalinterest.org), June 10, 2014. See also John Speed Meyers, “The Real Problem With
Strikes on Mainland China,” War on the Rocks, August 4, 2015; Erik Slavin, “Analysts: Air-Sea Battle Concept
Carries Carries
Risks in Possible Conflict with China,” Stars and Stripes (www.stripes.com), September 28, 2014.
163178
See, for example, Bill Dries, “How to Have a Big Disastrous War with China,” The National Interest
(http://nationalinterest.org), June 27, 2014. See also Wendell Minnick, “China Threat: Air-Sea Battle vs. Offshore
Control?” Defense News (www.defensenews.com), June 23, 2014; Chris Mclachlan, “The Political Perils of Offshore
Balancing,” The Diplomat (http://thediplomat.com), October 21, 2014. For an article discussing interservice tensions
over the Air-Sea Battle concept, see Mark Perry, “The Pentagon’s Fight Over Fighting China,” Politico, July/August
2015.
164179
For an article that provides an overview discussion of the issue, see Robert Haddick, “The Real U.S.-China War
Asia Should Worry About: The ‘Range War,’” The National Interest (http://nationalinterest.org), July 25, 2014.
165180
See, for example, Mark Gunzinger and Bryan Clark, “Commentary: The Next Carrier Air Wing,”
DefenseNews.com, February 24, 2014.
166181
See, for example, Dave Majumdar, “Requirements Debate Continues to Delay UCLASS RFP,” USNI News
(http://news.usni.org), March 24, 2014; Mike McCarthy, “NAVIAR Chief Says Navy Seeking Optimal Balance On
UCLASS,” Defense Daily, March 7, 2014.
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mission effectiveness of Navy surface combatants when operating within range of Chinese
A2/AD systems, including Chinese surface combatants armed with capable ASCMs. The Navy
has initiated efforts to develop such new weapons, and is also experimenting with a new, longrange antiship variant of the Tomahawk.167182 A proposal in the Navy’s FY2016 budget to end
procurement of new Tomahawks following a final procurement of 100 missiles in FY2016 has
become an oversight issue for Congress.168183 At a February 25, 2015, hearing on Department of the
Navy acquisition programs before the Seapower and Projection Forces subcommittee of the
House Armed Services Committee, Department of the Navy officials stated:
The Tomahawk Weapons System is the Navy’s premier precision strike standoff weapon for
for deep strike against various fixed and re-locatable targets and can be launched from both
both Surface Ships and Submarines. The current variant is the Tactical Tomahawk
(TACTOM
BLK IV), which preserves Tomahawk’s long-range precision-strike
capability while
significantly increasing responsiveness and flexibility. TACTOM’s
improvements include
in-flight retargeting, the ability to loiter over the battlefield, in-flightinflight missile health and status
monitoring, and battle damage indication imagery
(providing a digital look-down “snapshot”
of the battlefield via a satellite data link).
Other Tomahawk improvements include rapid
mission planning and execution via Global
Positioning System (GPS) onboard the launch
platform and improved anti-jam GPS.
The FY 2016 President’s Budget requests $184.8 million in WPN [the Weapons
Procurement, Navy appropriation account] for procurement of an additional 100 BLK IV
TACTOM vertical launch system weapons and associated support, $71.2 million in OPN for
for the Tomahawk support equipment, and $25.2 million in RDT&E to minimize factory
shutdown time until the start of BLK IV recertification and modernization in FY 2019. The
The BLK IV recertification and upgrade program includes advanced communications,
electronics, and software navigation upgrades that will ensure Tomahawk BLK IV remains
remains operationally viable until the end of its service life in the 2040s. The Navy is determining
determining whether there are warfighter capability gaps in light of advances and
proliferation of
adversary anti-access/area denial technology that may be addressed via additional
additional Tomahawk upgrades.
For ASuW [anti-surface warfare], President’s Budget FY 2016 continues to accelerate the
acquisition of the Long Range Anti-Ship Missile (LRASM) air-launched variant, which will
will achieve early operational capability on F/A-18E/F aircraft in FY 2019 as an
Increment I
capability. As part of the long-term strike weapon strategy, the Department is
investing in a
Next Generation Strike Capability (NGSC) that includes a survivable, long
range, multimissionmulti-mission, multi-platform conventional strike capability by the mid-2020s.
NGSC will
combine the current maritime Offensive Anti-Surface Warfare (OaSuW)
Increment II and
Next Generation Land Attack Weapons (NGLAW) projects into a single
multi-mission
development effort as the acquisition follow-on program to the current
OASuW Increment I
(LRASM) and Land Strike (Tomahawk Modernization)
investments. NGSC will focus on
167 assessing, maturing and incorporating emergent
182
See, for example, Tony Osborne, “New Seeker Could Put Tomahawk In Long-Range Anti-Ship Missile Race,”
Aviation Week & Space Technology, November 12, 2014; Sam LaGrone, “Video: Tomahawk Strike Missile Punches
Hole Through Moving Maritime Target,” USNI News, February 9, 2015; Christopher P. Cavas, “Raytheon Working on
Tomahwak With Active Seeker,” Defense News, February 13, 2015.
168183
See, for example, Mike McCarthy, “Navy Will Take Another Look At Tomahawks In 2017, Defense Daily, March
23, 2015: 4; Lara Seligman and Lee Hudson, “Raytheon: Navy’s FY-16 Tomahawk Request Won’t Sustain Production
Line,” Inside the Navy, February 9, 2015. See also James Feldkamp, “Tomahawk: Vital to the Future of U.S.
Seapower,” Real Clear Defense, March 2, 2015; Kirk S. Lippold, “Obama Can’t Skimp on Tomahawks,” Politico,
March 25, 2015.
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assessing, maturing and incorporating emergent technologies to determine the best path
forward for the follow-on improved
land/maritime strike capabilities.169184
An August 22, 2015, press report states that the Navy has begun integrating the above-mentioned
LRASM with its F/A-18E/F Super Hornet strike fighter aircraft.185
Long-Range Air-to-Air Missile
Another potential issue for Congress is whether the Navy should develop and procure a longrange air-to-air missile for its carrier-based strike fighters. Such a weapon might improve the
survivability of Navy carrier-based strike fighters in operations against Chinese aircraft armed
with capable air-to-air missiles, and help permit Navy aircraft carriers to achieve results while
remaining outside the ranges of Chinese A2/AD systems that can pose a threat to their
survivability.
During the Cold War, Navy F-14 carrier-based fighters were equipped with a long-range air-to-air
missile called the Phoenix. The F-14/Phoenix combination was viewed as key to the Navy’s
ability to effectively counter Soviet land-based strike aircraft equipped with long-range ASCMs
that appeared designed to attack U.S. Navy aircraft carriers. A successor to the Phoenix called the
Advanced Air-to-Air Missile (AAAM) was being developed in the late 1980s, but the AAAM
program was cancelled as a result of the end of the Cold War. The Navy today does not have a
long-range air-to-air missile, and DOD has announced no program to develop such a weapon.
Navy’s Ability to Counter China’s ASBMs
Another potential oversight issue for Congress concerns the Navy’s ability to counter China’s
ASBMs. Although China’s projected ASBM, as a new type of weapon, might be considered a
“game changer,” that does not mean it cannot be countered. There are several potential
approaches for countering an ASBM that can be imagined, and these approaches could be used in
combination. The ASBM is not the first “game changer” that the Navy has confronted; the Navy
in the past has developed counters for other new types of weapons, such as ASCMs, and is likely
exploring various approaches for countering ASBMs.
Breaking the ASBM’s Kill Chain
Countering China’s projected ASBMs could involve employing a combination of active (i.e.,
“hard-kill”) measures, such as shooting down ASBMs with interceptor missiles, and passive (i.e.,
“soft-kill”) measures, such as those for masking the exact location of Navy ships or confusing
ASBM reentry vehicles. Employing a combination of active and passive measures would attack
various points in the ASBM “kill chain”—the sequence of events that needs to be completed to
carry out a successful ASBM attack. This sequence includes detection, identification, and
localization of the target ship, transmission of that data to the ASBM launcher, firing the ASBM,
and having the ASBM reentry vehicle find the target ship.
169
184
Statement of the Honorable Sean J. Stackley, Assistant Secretary of the Navy (Research, Development and
Acquisition) and Vice Admiral Joseph P. Mulloy, Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Integration of Capabilities and
Resources, and Lieutenant General Kenneth J. Glueck, Jr., Deputy Commandant, Combat Development and Integration
& Commanding General, Marine Corps Combat Development Command, Before the Subcommittee on Seapower and
Projection Forces of the House Armed Services Committee on Department of the Navy Seapower and Projection
Forces Capabilities, February 25, 2015, p. 26. See also Zachary Keck, “This Is How America Plans to Sink China’s
Warships,” The National Interest, August 8, 2015.
185
James Drew, “US Navy Begins Certifying New Anti-Ship Missile on Super Hornet,” Flightglobal.com, August 22,
2015.
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localization of the target ship, transmission of that data to the ASBM launcher, firing the ASBM,
and having the ASBM reentry vehicle find the target ship.
Attacking various points in an opponent’s kill chain is an established method for countering an
opponent’s military capability. A September 30, 2011, press report, for example, quotes
Lieutenant General Herbert Carlisle, the Air Force’s deputy chief of staff for operations, plans,
and requirements, as stating in regard to Air Force planning that “We’ve taken [China’s] kill
chains apart to the ‘nth’ degree.”170186 In an interview published on January 14, 2013, Admiral
Jonathan Greenert, the Chief of Naval Operations, stated:
In order for one to conduct any kind of attack, whether it is a ballistic missile or cruise
missile, you have got to find somebody. Then, you have got to make sure it is somebody you
you want to shoot. Then, you’ve got to track it, you’ve got to hold that track. Then, you deliver
deliver the missile. We often talk about what I would call hard kill—knocking it down, a
bullet on a
bullet—or soft kill; there is jamming, spoofing, confusing; and we look at that whole
whole spectrum of operations.
And frankly, it is cheaper in the left-hand side of that spectrum.171187
To attack the ASBM kill chain, Navy surface ships, for example, could operate in ways (such as
controlling electromagnetic emissions or using deception emitters) that make it more difficult for
China to detect, identify, and track those ships.172188 The Navy could acquire weapons and systems
for disabling or jamming China’s long-range maritime surveillance and targeting systems, for
attacking ASBM launchers, for destroying ASBMs in various stages of flight, and for decoying
and confusing ASBMs as they approach their intended targets. Options for destroying ASBMs in
flight include developing and procuring improved versions of the SM-3 BMD interceptor missile
(including the planned Block IIA version of the SM-3), accelerating the acquisition of the SeaBased Terminal (SBT) interceptor (the planned successor to the SM-2 Block IV terminal-phase
BMD interceptor),173189 and accelerating development and deployment of the electromagnetic rail
gun (EMRG), and solid state lasers (SSLs). Options for decoying and confusing ASBMs as they
approach their intended targets include equipping ships with systems, such as electronic warfare
systems or systems for generating radar-opaque smoke clouds or radar-opaque carbon-fiber
clouds, that could confuse an ASBM’s terminal-guidance radar.174
170
190
186
David A. Fulghum, “USAF: Slash And Burn Defense Cuts Will Cost Missions, Capabilities,” Aerospace Daily &
Defense Report, September 30, 2011: 6.
171187
“Interview: Adm. Jon Greenert,” Defense News, January 14, 2013: 30. The reference to “the left-hand side of that
spectrum” might be a reference to soft kill measures.
172188
For a journal article discussing actions by the Navy during the period 1956-1972 to conceal the exact locations of
Navy ships, see Robert G. Angevine, “Hiding in Plain Sight, The U.S. Navy and Dispersed Operations Under EMCON,
1956-1972,” Naval War College Review, Spring 2011: 79-95. See also Jonathan F. Sullivan, Defending the Fleet From
China’s Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile: Naval Deception’s Roles in Sea-Based Missile Defense, A Thesis submitted to the
Faculty of the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences of Georgetown University in partial fulfillment of the
requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in Security Studies, April 15, 2011, accessed August 10, 2011 at
http://gradworks.umi.com/1491548.pdf; Jon Solomon, “Deception and the Backfire Bomber: Reexamining the Late
Cold War Struggle Between Soviet Maritime Reconnaissance and U.S. Navy Countertargeting,” Information
Dissemination (www.informationdissemination.net), October 27, 2014; John Solomon, “Deception and the Backfire
Bomber, Part II,” Information Dissemination (www.informationdissemination.net), October 28, 2014; John Solomon,
“Deception and the Backfire Bomber, Part III,” Information Dissemination (www.informationdissemination.net),
October 29, 2014; John Solomon, “Deception and the Backfire Bomber, Part IV,” Information Dissemination
(www.informationdissemination.net), October 30, 2014.
173189
For more on the SM-3, including the Block IIA version, and the SBT, see CRS Report RL33745, Navy Aegis
Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) Program: Background and Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
174190
Regarding the option of systems for generating radar-opaque smoke clouds, Thomas J. Culora, “The Strategic
Implications of Obscurants,” Naval War College Review, Summer 2010: 73-84; Scott Tait, “Make Smoke!” U.S. Naval
(continued...)
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An August 9, 2014, press report states that Admiral Harry B. Harris, Jr., Commander, U.S. Pacific
Fleet, in response to a question about the threat posed to U.S. Navy aircraft carriers by China’s
ASBMs, stated, “We are very well aware of the capabilities that China has and is trying to
develop and I’m very confident we would be able to carry out any mission that we have to.” The
press report states that Harris said he could not state the nature of the technology used to counter
the ASBM, but that “We work in it every day. I’m confident of our ability to defeat any Chinese
missile threat and to be able to do whatever we need to do.”175191
A May 29, 2014, press report states:
When the next-generation aircraft carrier CVN 78 Gerald R. Ford takes to the seas later this
this decade, it will face one of the most dangerous threats to the U.S. maritime military
behemoth—the Chinese DF-21 anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM).
But U.S. Navy officials remain confident that the technological improvements to the Ford as
as well as the other ships shielding the carrier from attack should be able to protect the
vessel....
... zeroing in on a carrier with such a missile is more difficult than it seems, says Rear
Adm.
Michael Manazir, director of air warfare.
Eyeing the Ford from the ship’s flight deck, he notes: “People think this is a big target. But
But they have to get to the carrier and then discern that it is a carrier.”
In addition, the U.S. Navy has a layered network of defensive systems.
“It’s a series of systems,” Manazir explains during a recent exclusive tour of the Ford at the
the Newport News Shipbuilding yard in the Tidewater part of Virginia. “We want to
attack it on
the left side of the kill chain.”176 192
A May 21, 2014, press report states:
When asked whether a new Chinese anti-ship weapon—the DF-21D missile—might render
render carriers obsolete in the Pacific, [Admiral Jonathan] Greenert [the Chief of Naval
Operations]
said the U.S. is developing countermeasures to protect the prized vessels
from the weapon
that is sometimes referred to as a “carrier killer.”
“It’s a good weapon that they’ve developed. But there’s nothing that doesn’t have
vulnerabilities, and we continue to pursue ideas in that regard. … We’re working quite
feverishly on that, and I’m pretty comfortable with where we can operate our carriers,”
Greenert said.
The Navy chief said the U.S. has “lots of intelligence” on the Chinese weapon, but
wouldn’t
elaborate, nor would he discuss what specific steps the military is taking to
counter it.
(...continued)In the future, Greenert said that new electromagnetic weapons, unmanned aircraft and
other standoff weapons will help mitigate the threat of anti-ship missiles.193
(...continued)
Implications of Obscurants,” Naval War College Review, Summer 2010: 73-84; Scott Tait, “Make Smoke!” U.S. Naval
Institute Proceedings, June 2011: 58-63. Regarding radar-opaque carbon-fiber clouds, see “7th Fleet Tests Innovative
Missile Defense System,” Navy News Services, June 26, 2014; Kevin McCaney, “Navy’s Carbon-Fiber Clouds Could
Make Incoming Missiles Miss Their Targets,” Defense Systems (http://defensesystems.com), June 27, 2014.
175191
Greg Sheridan, “China’s Military Provocation in The Pacific An Accident Waiting to Happen,” The Australian,
August 9, 2014.
176192
Michael Fabey, “Ford Carriers Sport New Radars To Deflect Threats,” Aviation Week & Space Technology
(http://aviationweek.com), May 29, 2014.
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In the future, Greenert said that new electromagnetic weapons, unmanned aircraft and other
standoff weapons will help mitigate the threat of anti-ship missiles.177
An April 24, 2014, press report states that
The U.S. Navy has no silver-bullet concept to defeat the Chinese DF-21 anti-ship ballistic
missile (ASBM), but will rather rely on a network of defensive systems to do the job.
“It’s a series of systems,” Rear Adm. Michael Manazir, director of air warfare, tells the
Aviation Week Intelligence Network (AWIN). “We want to attack it on the left side of the
the kill chain.”
During an exclusive tour and interview this month of the next-generation aircraft carrier
CVN-78 Gerald R. Ford while under construction at the Newport News Shipbuilding
yard in
Virginia, Manazir says, “People think this is a big target. But they have to get to
the carrier
and then discern that it is a carrier.”
The Navy’s various networks of defensive shields aboard the carrier, and other vessels
elsewhere, will make that very difficult, he says.”178 194
Endo-Atmospheric Target for Simulating DF-21D ASBM
A December 2011 report from DOD’s Director, Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E)—the
DOT&E office’s annual report for FY2011—states the following in its section on test and
evaluation resources:
Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile Target
A threat representative Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) target for operational open-air
openair testing has become an immediate test resource need. China is fielding the DF-21D
ASBM,
which threatens U.S. and allied surface warships in the Western Pacific. While
the Missile
Defense Agency has exo-atmospheric targets in development, no program
currently exists
for an endo-atmospheric target. The endo-atmospheric ASBM target is
the Navy’s
responsibility, but it is not currently budgeted. The Missile Defense Agency
estimates the
non-recurring expense to develop the exo-atmospheric target was $30
million with each
target costing an additional $30 million; the endo-atmospheric target
will be more expensive
to produce according to missile defense analysts. Numerous Navy
acquisition programs will
require an ASBM surrogate in the coming years, although a
limited number of targets (3-5)
may be sufficient to validate analytical models.179 195
A February 28, 2012, press report stated:
177
“Numerous programs will require” a test missile to stand in for the Chinese DF-21D,
“including self-defense systems used on our carriers and larger amphibious ships to
counter anti-ship ballistic missiles,” [Michael Gilmore, the Pentagon’s director of
operational test and evaluation] said in an e-mailed statement....
“No Navy target program exists that adequately represents an anti-ship ballistic missile’s
trajectory,” Gilmore said in the e-mail. The Navy “has not budgeted for any study,
development, acquisition or production” of a DF-21D target, he said.
(...continued)
193
Jon Harper, “Navy’s Top Admiral: Reducing Carrier Fleet Would Burn Out Sailors, Ships,” Stars and Stripes
(www.stripes.com), May 21, 2014.
178194
Michael Fabey, “U.S. Navy Looks To ‘Series of Systems’ To Counter Chinese Anti-Ship Missile,” Aerospace Daily
& Defense Report, April 24, 2014: 5. See also Spencer Ackerman, “How To Kill China’s ‘Carrier-Killer’ Missile: Jam,
Spoof And Shoot,” Danger Room (Wired.com), March 16, 2012; Otto Kreisher, “China’s Carrier Killer: Threat and
Theatrics,” Air Force Magazine, December 2013: 44-47; and “Who’s Afraid of the DF-21D,” Information
Dissemination (www.informationdissemination.net), October 10, 2013.
179195
Department of Defense, Director, Operational Test and Evaluation, FY 2011 Annual Report, December 2011, p.
294.
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“Numerous programs will require” a test missile to stand in for the Chinese DF-21D,
“including self-defense systems used on our carriers and larger amphibious ships to counter
anti-ship ballistic missiles,” [Michael Gilmore, the Pentagon’s director of operational test
and evaluation] said in an e-mailed statement....
“No Navy target program exists that adequately represents an anti-ship ballistic missile’s
trajectory,” Gilmore said in the e-mail. The Navy “has not budgeted for any study,
development, acquisition or production” of a DF-21D target, he said.
Lieutenant Alana Garas, a Navy spokeswoman, said in an e-mail that the service
“acknowledges this is a valid concern and is assessing options to address it. We are
unable to
provide additional details.”...
Gilmore, the testing chief, said his office first warned the Navy and Pentagon officials in
2008 about the lack of an adequate target. The warnings continued through this year, when
when the testing office for the first time singled out the DF-21D in its annual public
report....
The Navy “can test some, but not necessarily all, potential means of negating anti-ship
ballistic missiles,” without a test target, Gilmore said.180196
The December 2012 report from DOT&E (i.e., DOT&E’s annual report for FY2012) did not
further discuss this issue; a January 21, 2013, press report stated that this is because the details of
the issue are classified.181197
Navy’s Ability to Counter China’s Submarines
Another potential oversight issue for Congress concerns the Navy’s ability to counter China’s
submarines. Some observers raised questions about the Navy’s ability to counter Chinese
submarines following an incident on October 26, 2006, when a Chinese Song-class submarine
reportedly surfaced five miles away from the Japan-homeported U.S. Navy aircraft carrier Kitty
Hawk (CV-63), which reportedly was operating at the time with its strike group in international
waters in the East China Sea, near Okinawa.182198
Improving the Navy’s ability to counter China’s submarines could involve further increasing
ASW training exercises, procuring platforms (i.e., ships and aircraft) with ASW capabilities,
and/or developing technologies for achieving a new approach to ASW that is distributed and
sensor-intensive (as opposed to platform-intensive).183199 Countering wake-homing torpedoes more
180
196
Tony Capaccio, “Navy Lacks Targets To Test U.S. Defenses Against China Missile,” Bloomberg Government
(bgov.com), February 28, 2012. See also Christopher J. Castelli, “DOD IG Questions Realism Of Targets Used To
Simulate Enemy Missiles,” Inside Missile Defense, March 21, 2012.
181197
Christopher J. Castelli, “DOD Testing Chief Drops Public Discussion Of ASBM Target Shortfall,” Inside the Navy,
January 21, 2013.
182198
Bill Gertz, “China Sub Secretly Stalked U.S. Fleet,” Washington Times, November 13, 2006: 13; Philip Creed,
“Navy Confirms Chinese Sub Spotted Near Carrier,” NavyTimes.com, November 13, 2006; Bill Gertz, “Defenses On
[sic] Subs To Be Reviewed,” Washington Times, November 14, 2006; En-Lai Yeoh, “Fallon Confirms Chinese Stalked
Carrier,” NavyTimes.com, November 14, 2006; Bill Gertz, “Admiral Says Sub Risked A Shootout,” Washington Times,
November 15, 2006; Jeff Schogol, “Admiral Disputes Report That Kitty Hawk, Chinese Sub Could Have Clashed,”
Mideast Starts and Stripes, November 17, 2006.
183199
Navy officials in 2004-2005 spoke of their plans for achieving distributed, sensor-intensive ASW architecture. (See
Otto Kreisher, “As Underwater Threat Re-Emerges, Navy Renews Emphasis On ASW,” Seapower, October 2004, p.
15, and Jason Ma, “ASW Concept Of Operations Sees ‘Sensor-Rich’ Way Of Fighting Subs,” Inside the Navy,
(continued...)
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effectively could require completing development work on the Navy’s new anti-torpedo torpedo
(ATT) and putting the weapon into procurement.184
Navy’s Fleet Architecture
Another potential oversight issue for Congress concerns the Navy’s fleet architecture. Some
observers, viewing China’s maritime A2/AD forces, have raised the question of whether the U.S.
Navy should respond by shifting over time to a more highly distributed fleet architecture
featuring a reduced reliance on carriers and other large ships and an increased reliance on smaller
ships.185 Supporters of this option argue that such an architecture could generate comparable
aggregate fleet capability at lower cost and be more effective at confounding Chinese maritime
anti-access capabilities. Skeptics, including supporters of the currently planned fleet architecture,
question both of these arguments.186
(...continued)
February 7, 2005.) Such an approach might involve the use of networked sensor fields, unmanned vehicles, and
standoff weapons. (See Jason Ma, “Autonomous ASW Sensor Field Seen As High-Risk Technical Hurdle,” Inside the
Navy, June 6, 2005. See also Jason Ma, “Navy’s Surface Warfare Chief Cites Progress In ASW Development,” Inside
the Navy, January 17, 2005. More recent press reports discuss research on ASW concepts involving bottom-based
sensors, sensor networks, and unmanned vehicles; see Richard Scott, “GLINT In the Eye: NURC Explores Novel
Autonomous Concepts For Future ASW,” Jane’s International Defence Review, January 2010: 34-35; Richard Scott,
“DARPA Goes Deep With ASW Sensor Network,” Jane’s International Defence Review, March 2010: 13; Richard
Scott, “Ghost In The Machine: DARPA Sets Course Towards Future Unmanned ASW Trail Ship,” Jane’s Navy
International, April 2010: 10-11; Norman Friedman, “The Robots Arrive,” Naval Forces, No. IV, 2010: 40-42, 44, 46;
Bill Sweetman, “Darpa Funds Unmanned Boat For Submarine Stalking,” Aerospace Daily & Defense Report, January
6, 2011: 5; Richard Scott, “Networked Concepts Look to Square the ASW Circle,” Jane’s International Defence
Review, January 2011: 42-47; Richard Scott, “DARPA’s Unmanned ASW Sloop Concept Casts Lines,” Jane’s Navy
(continued...)
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effectively could require completing development work on the Navy’s new anti-torpedo torpedo
(ATT) and putting the weapon into procurement.200
Navy’s Fleet Architecture
Another potential oversight issue for Congress concerns the Navy’s fleet architecture. Some
observers, viewing China’s maritime A2/AD forces, have raised the question of whether the U.S.
Navy should respond by shifting over time to a more highly distributed fleet architecture
featuring a reduced reliance on carriers and other large ships and an increased reliance on smaller
ships.201 Supporters of this option argue that such an architecture could generate comparable
aggregate fleet capability at lower cost and be more effective at confounding Chinese maritime
anti-access capabilities. Skeptics, including supporters of the currently planned fleet architecture,
question both of these arguments.202
(...continued)
International, January/February 2011: 5.) See also Jeremy Page, “Underwater Drones Join Microphones to Listen for
Chinese Nuclear Submarines,” Wall Street Journal (http://online.wsj.com), October 24, 2014; Richard Scott, “Nodes,
Networks And
Autonomy: Charting A Course For Future ASW,” Jane’s International Defence Review, December
2014: 47-51.
184 2014: 47-51;
“Japan, U.S. Running Undersea Listening Post to Detect Chinese Subs,” Japan Times, September 10, 2015.
200
For articles discussing torpedo defense systems, including ATTs, see Richard Scott, “Ships Shore Up,” Jane’s
Defence Weekly, September 1, 2010: 22-23, 25, 27; Mike McCarthy, “NAVSEA Seeks Industry Thoughts On Torpedo
Defense Systems,” Defense Daily, November 29, 2011: 4-5.
185201
See, for example, David C. Gompert, Sea Power and American Interests in the Western Pacific, RAND, Santa
Monica (CA), 2013, 193 pp. (RR-151-OSD)
186202
The question of whether the U.S. Navy concentrates too much of its combat capability in a relatively small number
of high-value units, and whether it should shift over time to a more highly distributed fleet architecture, has been
debated at various times over the years, in various contexts. Much of the discussion concerns whether the Navy should
start procuring smaller aircraft carriers as complements or replacements for its current large aircraft carriers.
Supporters of shifting to a more highly distributed fleet architecture argue that the Navy’s current architecture,
including its force of 11 large aircraft carriers, in effect puts too many of the Navy’s combat-capability eggs into a
relatively small number of baskets on which an adversary can concentrate its surveillance and targeting systems and its
anti-ship weapons. They argue that although a large Navy aircraft carrier can absorb hits from multiple conventional
weapons without sinking, a smaller number of enemy weapons might cause damage sufficient to stop the carrier’s
aviation operations, thus eliminating the ship’s primary combat capability and providing the attacker with what is
known as a “mission kill.” A more highly distributed fleet architecture, they argue, would make it more difficult for
China to target the Navy and reduce the possibility of the Navy experiencing a significant reduction in combat
capability due to the loss in battle of a relatively small number of high-value units.
Opponents of shifting to a more highly distributed fleet architecture argue that large carriers and other large ships are
not only more capable, but proportionately more capable, than smaller ships, that larger ships are capable of fielding
highly capable systems for defending themselves, and that they are much better able than smaller ships to withstand the
effects of enemy weapons, due to their larger size, extensive armoring and interior compartmentalization, and extensive
damage-control systems. A more highly distributed fleet architecture, they argue, would be less capable or more
expensive than today’s fleet architecture. Opponents of shifting to a more highly distributed fleet architecture argue
could also argue that the Navy has already taken an important (but not excessive) step toward fielding a more
distributed fleet architecture through its plan to acquire 55 Littoral Combat Ships (LCSs), which are small, fast surface
combatants with modular, “plug-and-flight” mission payloads. (For more on the LCS program, see CRS Report
RL33741, Navy Littoral Combat Ship (LCS)/Frigate Program: Background and Issues for Congress, by Ronald
O'Rourke
The issue of Navy fleet architecture, including the question of whether the Navy should shift over time to a more highly
distributed fleet architecture, was examined in a report by DOD’s Office of Force Transformation (OFT) that was
submitted to Congress in 2005. OFT’s report, along with two other reports on Navy fleet architecture that were
submitted to Congress in 2005, are discussed at length in CRS Report RL33955, Navy Force Structure: Alternative
Force Structure Studies of 2005—Background for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke. The functions carried out by OFT
have since been redistributed to other DOD offices. See also Wayne P. Hughes, Jr., The New Navy Fighting Machine:
(continued...)
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Legislative Activity for FY2016
FY2016 National Defense Authorization Act (H.R. 1735/S. 1376)
House
The House Armed Services Committee, in its report (H.Rept. 114-102 of May 5, 2015) on H.R.
1735, states:
Tomahawk Block IV
The budget request contained $184.8 million in Weapons Procurement, Navy for
procurement of 100 Tomahawk missiles, which is a decrease of 96 missiles below the
minimum sustaining rate. The budget request also would terminate Tomahawk Block IV
procurement beginning in fiscal year 2017.
The committee is concerned by the Secretary of the Navy’s recommendation to terminate
procurement of the Nation’s only long-range, surface-launched land-attack cruise missile
production capability prior to finalizing concept development of the Next Generation Land
Land Attack Weapon, which is not planned to be operationally fielded until 2024 at the
earliest.
Furthermore, the committee is concerned that the capability to recertify current inventory
inventory Block IV Tomahawk missiles could be put at risk if the Secretary of the Navy
decides to
shutter the Tomahawk Block IV production line in fiscal year 2017. In
addition, the
Secretary has not clearly articulated how the inventory of long-range cruise
missiles will be
replenished if the current stock of Tomahawk missiles is utilized to fulfill
test, training, and
warfighting requirements between 2016–24. The committee is also
concerned that the Navy
is well below all categories of inventory requirements and is
discouraged that the Navy is
only using one category of inventory requirements in stating
that there is no risk by
terminating Tomahawk Block IV production in fiscal year 2017.
Finally, the committee notes that although the fiscal year 2016 budget request is 96 missiles
missiles below the minimum sustaining rate, the Secretary has committed to procure 47 Tomahawk
Block IV missiles in fiscal year 2016 using $45.5 million provided in the Overseas
(...continued)
expensive than today’s fleet architecture. Opponents of shifting to a more highly distributed fleet architecture argue
could also argue that the Navy has already taken an important (but not excessive) step toward fielding a more
distributed fleet architecture through its plan to acquire 55 Littoral Combat Ships (LCSs), which are small, fast surface
combatants with modular, “plug-and-flight” mission payloads. (For more on the LCS program, see CRS Report
RL33741, Navy Littoral Combat Ship (LCS)/Frigate Program: Background and Issues for Congress, by Ronald
O'Rourke
The issue of Navy fleet architecture, including the question of whether the Navy should shift over time to a more highly
distributed fleet architecture, was examined in a report by DOD’s Office of Force Transformation (OFT) that was
submitted to Congress in 2005. OFT’s report, along with two other reports on Navy fleet architecture that were
submitted to Congress in 2005, are discussed at length in CRS Report RL33955, Navy Force Structure: Alternative
Force Structure Studies of 2005—Background for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke. The functions carried out by OFT
have since been redistributed to other DOD offices. See also Wayne P. Hughes, Jr., The New Navy Fighting Machine:
Tomahawk Block IV missiles in fiscal year 2016 using $45.5 million provided in the
Overseas Contingency Operations account of the Department of Defense Appropriations
Act, 2015 (division C of Public Law 113–235). As a result, the committee understands
that an additional 49 missiles are required in fiscal year 2016 to meet minimum
sustaining rate.
Therefore, the committee recommends $214.8 million, an increase of $30.0 million, in
Weapons Procurement, Navy for procurement of 149 Tomahawk missiles and to reduce
risk to the Tomahawk missile industrial base. The committee supports continuing the
minimum sustaining rate of Tomahawk Block IV to fully satisfy inventory requirements
and bridge transition to Tomahawk Block IV recertification and modernization. (Page 26)
Senate
Section 1262 of S. 1376 as reported by the Senate Armed Services Committee (S.Rept. 114-49 of
May 19, 2015) states:
(...continued)
A Study of the Connections Between Contemporary Policy, Strategy, Sea Power, Naval Operations, and the
Composition of the United States Fleet, Monterey (CA), Naval Postgraduate School, August 2009, 68 pp.; Timothy C.
Hanifen, “At the Point of Inflection,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, December 2011: 24-31; and the blog entry
available online at http://www.informationdissemination.net/2011/06/navy-is-losing-narratives-battle.html.
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Contingency Operations account of the Department of Defense Appropriations Act, 2015
(division C of Public Law 113–235). As a result, the committee understands that an
additional 49 missiles are required in fiscal year 2016 to meet minimum sustaining rate.
Therefore, the committee recommends $214.8 million, an increase of $30.0 million, in
Weapons Procurement, Navy for procurement of 149 Tomahawk missiles and to reduce risk
to the Tomahawk missile industrial base. The committee supports continuing the minimum
sustaining rate of Tomahawk Block IV to fully satisfy inventory requirements and bridge
transition to Tomahawk Block IV recertification and modernization. (Page 26)
Senate
Section 1262 of S. 1376 as reported by the Senate Armed Services Committee (S.Rept. 114-49 of
May 19, 2015) states:
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China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities
SEC. 1262. Sense of Congress reaffirming the importance of implementing the rebalance to
to the Asia-Pacific region.
(a) Findings.—Congress makes the following findings:
(1) The United States has a longstanding national interest in maintaining security in the AsiaPacific
Asia-Pacific region.
(2) The Asia-Pacific region is home to the world’s three largest economies, four most
populous countries, and five largest militaries. The Asia-Pacific’s rapid economic growth
and mounting security tensions require a renewed focus from the United States on the region
region to maintain security, expand prosperity, and support common values.
(3) In 2011, President Barack Obama announced that the United States would rebalance to
to the Asia-Pacific. Since then, there have been a number of actions taken to strengthen the
the United States posture and relationships in the region, including the negotiation of the
Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement with the Philippines, the distributed laydown of
of the United States Marines Corps in the Pacific, the rotational stationing of the Littoral
Combat Ship in Singapore, and a new comprehensive partnership with Vietnam on defense
defense and security.
(4) Leaders in regional states remain concerned about a variety of regional military
challenges. These include China’s military modernization and its increasingly assertive
actions in the East and South China Sea and North Korea’s continued belligerence and its
pursuit of nuclear and ballistic missile technology. United States allies and partners are
looking to the United States to demonstrate its willingness and ability to maintain regional
regional peace and security by fully implementing the rebalance to the Asia-Pacific.
(5) In April 2015, the Commander of the United States Pacific Command Admiral Samuel
Samuel Locklear warned, “Our relative superiority I think has declined and continues to
decline…we
rely very heavily on power projection, which means we have to be able to
get the forces
forward…”. Admiral Locklear also noted, “Any significant force structure
moves out of my
AOR in the middle of a rebalance would have to be understood and
have to be explained
because it would counterintuitive to a rebalance to move significant
forces in another
direction.”
(b) Sense of Congress.—It is the sense of Congress that—
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(1) in order to maintain the credibility of the United States rebalance, it is vital that the
United States continue to shift forces to the Asia-Pacific region to strengthen the ability of
of the United States Armed Forces to project power to shape the choices of regional
states and
to deter, and if necessary defend, against hostile military actions;
(2) United States allies and partners in the Asia-Pacific region, as well as potential
adversaries, would take note of any withdrawal of forces from the Asia-Pacific theater;
(3) any withdrawal of United States forces from Outside the Continental United States
(“OCONUS”) Asia-Pacific region or from United States Pacific Command would therefore
therefore seriously undermine the rebalance; and
(4) in order to properly implement United States rebalance policy, United States forces under
under the operational control of the United States Pacific Command should be increased consistent
consistent with commitments already made by the Department of Defense and aligned
with the
requirement to maintain a balance of military power that favors the United States
and United
States allies in the Asia-Pacific region.
Regarding Section 1262, S.Rept. 114-49 states:
Sense of Congress reaffirming the importance of implementing the rebalance to the
Asia-Pacific region (Sec. 1262)
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The committee recommends a provision that would express the sense of the Senate that the
the United States continue to implement the rebalance of U.S. forces to the Asia-Pacific
region.
The committee believes that the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the Pacific
theater of
operations would undermine the rebalance and that forces should be increased consistent
consistent with commitments already make by the Department of Defense and aligned
with the
requirement to maintain a balance of military power that favors the United States
and its
allies in the region. (Page 234)
S.Rept. 114-49 also states:
Tomahawk
The budget request included $184.8 million in Weapons Procurement, Navy to procure 100
100 Tomahawk missiles. The future years defense program envisions shutting down the
Tomahawk production line after the fiscal year 2016 procurement.
The committee is concerned about the Navy’s decision to truncate production. The
Tomahawk is a combat-proven missile, having been used well over 2,000 times in the last
two decades, most recently against targets in Syria during Operation Inherent Resolve in
September 2014 and remains the country’s first-strike weapon of choice. The Navy has
stated that the current Tomahawk inventory is sufficient for munitions requirements and will
will meet the Navy’s needs until its replacement is operational in the mid-2020s. The Next
Next Generation Land Attack Weapon, however, is only in initial planning stages and is
not due to
enter service until 2024. The committee believes the assumption of this much
risk in a
capability as important as long-range strike is not prudent in the current and projected
projected security environment.
Additionally, the Navy plans to begin recertification of its existing Block IV missiles
beginning in 2019. By its own analysis, the Navy recognizes that the existence of a
production gap between the end of new missile builds and the start of recertification will put
put tremendous strain on the Tomahawk supplier base and involve millions of dollars to
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requalify suppliers for recertification. The committee is concerned by the Navy’s plan as it
it moves toward recertification.
The committee believes that it would be imprudent to ramp down and close production of the
the Tomahawk missile at this time. Therefore, the committee recommends an increase of
$30.0
million to keep Tomahawk production at the minimum sustaining rate of 196
missiles per
year. (Pages 22-23)
S.Rept. 114-49 also states:
Standoff precision guided weapons
As the air and missile defense capabilities of potential adversaries rapidly advance, the
ability of the U.S. Armed Forces to employ short-range precision guided weapons such as
Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAMs) will be increasingly challenged. The capability to
employ precision guided weapons at standoff ranges in large numbers will be necessary to
to ensure operational success in any high-end engagement. Advanced weapons such as
the Joint
Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile—Extended Range (JASSM–ER), the Longe
Range AntiShipAnti-Ship Missile (LRASM), the Tomahawk missile and others will be key
elements in attack
execution, but are cost prohibitive to use in the numbers that future
strike scenarios may
require.
The committee is concerned the Navy is not adequately planning for a future
environment in
which large scale use of standoff precision guided munitions is a
prerequisite for victory.
The committee directs the Secretary of the Navy to provide, prior
to submission of the fiscal
year 2017 budget request, a report on the Navy’s plan for
standoff precision guided
munitions in the 2025–2030 timeframe to include ship-,
submarine- and air-launched
weapons. The report should include what actions are being
taken to ensure that cost-effective
solutions are part of the planning. The Navy should
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provide this information in an
unclassified report with an accompanying classified annex.
(Pages 40-41)
S.Rept. 114-49 also states:
Unmanned Carrier-Launched Airborne Surveillance and Strike System
The budget request included $134.7 million in PE 64501N for the Unmanned CarrierLaunched Airborne Surveillance and Strike (UCLASS) system. The committee notes the
directed pause in the program during the Department of Defense’s Intelligence,
Surveillance,
and Reconnaissance (ISR) Strategic Portfolio Review, which will inform
the Department’s
fiscal year 2017 budget submission. Therefore, the committee
recommends a decrease of
$134.7 million due to excess fiscal year 2015 funds that may
be used to wholly offset fiscal
year 2016 budget requirements.
The committee looks forward to reviewing the results of the Department of Defense ISR
Strategic Portfolio Review and also the report directed in section 217 of the Carl Levin and
and Howard P. ‘‘Buck’’ McKeon National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year
2015.
(page 59)
S.Rept. 114-49 also states:
Unmanned Carrier-Launched Surveillance and Strike (UCLASS) Program
The committee believes that survivable, air-refuelable, unmanned combat aircraft are critical
critical for countering emerging anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) challenges to U.S. power
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power projection. In this context, the committee views sea-based unmanned combat
aircraft as
particularly important for giving aircraft carrier air wings an enduring role in
the joint family
of airborne, long-range, surveillance-strike systems—and thus,
maintaining the operational
effectiveness and strategic utility of the U.S. carrier fleet.
Based on the progress to date in the
ongoing Unmanned Combat Air System
Demonstration program, the committee is confident
that, while additional risk-reduction
and experimentation appears necessary, low- to
medium-risk acquisition of advanced
carrier-based, unmanned combat aircraft could be
feasible in the 2020–2025 timeframe.
The committee remains concerned, however, that the Navy’s current requirements for the
UCLASS program place disproportionate emphasis on unrefueled endurance to support
organic ISR support to the carrier strike group.
The committee sees great promise in the integration of unmanned combat aircraft into future
future carrier air wings. The committee notes with concern that absent a restructuring of the
the planned carrier air wing that incorporates unmanned combat aircraft in operationally
significant numbers, the relevance of the aircraft carrier—the centerpiece of American global
global power projection capability—may increasingly be called into question by friends and
and prospective adversaries alike. (Pages 216-217)
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Appendix A. January 2014 ONI Testimony on China’s Navy
This appendix presents the prepared statement of Jesse L. Karotkin, ONI’s Senior Intelligence
Officer for China, for a January 30, 2014, hearing before the U.S.-China Economic and Security
Review Commission on China’s military modernization and its implications for the United States.
The text of the statement is as follows:
TRENDS IN CHINA’S NAVAL MODERNIZATION
US CHINA ECONOMIC AND SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION
TESTIMONY
JESSE L. KAROTKIN
Introduction
At the dawn of the 21st Century, the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLA(N)) remained
largely a littoral force. Though China’s maritime interests were rapidly changing, the vast
majority of its naval platforms offered very limited capability and endurance, particularly in
in blue water. Over the past 15 years the PLA(N) has carried out an ambitious modernization
modernization effort, resulting in a more technologically advanced and flexible force.
This transformation is
evident not only the PLA(N)’s Gulf of Aden counter-piracy
presence, which is now in its
sixth year, but also in the navy’s more advanced regional
operations and exercises. In
contrast to its narrow focus a just decade ago, the PLA(N) is
evolving to meet a wide range
of missions including conflict with Taiwan, enforcement
of maritime claims, protection of
economic interests, as well as counter-piracy and
humanitarian missions.
The PLA(N) currently possesses approximately 77 principal surface combatants, more than
than 60 submarines, 55 medium and large amphibious ships, and roughly 85 missile-equipped
missileequipped small combatants. Although overall order-of-battle has remained relatively
constant in recent
years, the PLA(N) is rapidly retiring legacy combatants in favor of
larger, multi-mission
ships, equipped with advanced anti-ship, anti-air, and anti-submarineantisubmarine weapons and sensors.
During 2013 alone, over fifty naval ships were laid
down, launched, or commissioned, with a
similar number expected in 2014. Major
qualitative improvements are occurring within naval
aviation and the submarine force,
which are increasingly capable of striking targets hundreds
of miles from the Chinese
mainland.
The introduction of long-range anti-ship cruise missiles across the force, coupled with nonPLA
non-PLA(N) weapons such as the DF-21D anti-ship ballistic missile, and the requisite C4ISR
C4ISR architecture to support targeting, will allow China to significantly expand its “counterintervention
“counter-intervention” capability further into the Philippine Sea and South China Sea
over the next
decade. Many of these capabilities are designed specifically to deter or
prevent U.S. military
intervention in the region.
Even if order-of-battle numbers remain relatively constant through 2020, the PLA(N) will
possess far more combat capability due to the rapid rate of acquisition coupled with
improving operational proficiency. Beijing characterizes its military modernization effort as
as a “three-step development strategy” that entails laying a “solid foundation” by 2010, making
making “major progress” by 2020, and being able to win “informationized wars by the
mid-21st
century.” Although the PLA(N) faces capability gaps in some key areas,
including deepwaterdeep-water anti-submarine warfare and joint operations, they have achieved
their “strong
foundation” and are emerging as a well equipped, competent, and more
professional force.
A Multi-Mission Force
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A Multi-Mission Force
As China began devoting greater resources to naval modernization in the late 1990s, virtually
virtually all of its ships, submarines were essentially single-mission platforms, poorly
equipped to
operate beyond the support of land-based defenses. The PLA(N) has
subsequently acquired
larger, multi-mission platforms, capable of long-distance
deployments and offshore
operations. China’s latest Defense White Paper, released in
2013, noted that the PLA(N)
“endeavors to accelerate the modernization of its forces for
comprehensive offshore
operations… [and] develop blue water capabilities.” The
LUYANG III-class DDG (052D),
which will likely enter service this year, embodies the
trend towards a more flexible force
with advanced air defenses and long-range strike
capability.
China has made the most demonstrable progress in anti-surface warfare (ASuW), deploying
deploying advanced, long-range ASCMs throughout the force. With the support from
improved C4ISR,
this investment significantly expands the area that surface ships,
submarines, and aircraft and
are able to hold at risk. The PLA(N) has also made notable
gains in anti-air warfare (AAW),
enabling the recent expansion of blue-water operations.
Just over a decade ago, just 20
percent of PLA(N) combatants were equipped with a
rudimentary point air defense
capability. As a result, the surface force was effectively
tethered to the shore. Initially relying
on Russian surface to air missiles (SAMs) to
address this gap, newer PLA(N) combatants are
equipped with indigenous medium-to-longtolong range area air defense missiles, modern combat
management systems, and air-surveillanceairsurveillance sensors.
Although progress in anti-submarine warfare (ASW) is less pronounced, there are indications
indications that the PLA(N) is committed to addressing this gap. More surface platforms
are being
equipped with modern sonar systems, to include towed arrays and hangars to support
support shipboard helicopters. Additionally, China appears to be developing aY-8 naval
variant that
is equipped with a magnetic anomaly detector (MAD) boom, typical of ASW
aircraft. Over
the next decade, China is likely to make gains in ASW, both from
improved sensors and
operator proficiency.
China’s submarine force remains concentrated almost exclusively on ASuW, with exception
exception of the JIN SSBN, which will likely commence deterrent patrols in 2014. The
type-095
guided missile attack submarine, which China will likely construct over the next
decade,
may be equipped with a land-attack capability. The deployment of LACMs on future
future submarines and surface combatants could enhance China’s ability to strike key
U.S. bases
throughout the region, including Guam.
Naval aviation is also expanding its mission set and capability in maritime strike, maritime
maritime patrols, anti-submarine warfare, airborne early warning, and logistics. Although
it will be
several years before the Liaoning aircraft carrier and its air wing can be
considered fully
operational, this development signals a new chapter in Chinese naval
aviation. By 2020,
carrier-based aircraft will be able to support fleet operations in a
limited air-defense role.
Although some older air platforms remain in the inventory, the
PLA(N) is clearly shifting to
a naval aviation force that is equipped to execute a wide
variety of missions both near and far
from home.
PLA(N) Surface Force
China analysts face a perpetual challenge over how to accurately convey the size and
capability of China’s surface force. As U.S. Navy CAPT Dale Rielage noted in [the U.S.
Naval Institute] Proceedings last year, key differences in the type of PLA(N) ships (in
comparison to the U.S. Navy) make it extremely difficult to apply a common basis for
comparing the order of battle. A comprehensive tally of ships that includes hundreds of small
small patrol craft, mine warfare craft, and coastal auxiliaries provides a deceptively inflated picture
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inflated picture of China’s actual combat capability. Conversely, a metric based on ship
displacement returns
the opposite effect, given the fact that many of China’s modern
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ships, such as the 1,500 ton
JIANGDAO FFL, are small by U.S. standards, and equipped
primarily for regional missions.
To accurately capture potential impact of China’s naval modernization, it is necessary to
provide a more detailed examination of the ships and capabilities in relation to the missions
missions they are likely intended to fulfill. For the sake of clarity, the term “modern” is
used in this
paper to describe a surface combatant that possesses a multi-mission
capability, incorporates
more than a point air defense capability, and has the ability to
embark a helicopter. As of
early 2014, the PLA(N) possesses 27 destroyers (17 of which
are modern), 48 frigates (31 of
which are modern), 10 new corvettes, 85 modern missile-armedmissilearmed patrol craft, 56 amphibious
ships, 42 mine warfare ships, over 50 major auxiliary
ships, and over 400 minor auxiliary
ships and service/support craft.
During the 1990s, China began addressing immediate capability gaps by importing modern
modern surface combatants, weapon systems, and sensors from Russia. Never intended as a longterm
a long-term solution, the PLA(N) simultaneously sought to design and produce its own weapons
weapons and platforms from a mix of imported and domestic technology. Less than a
decade ago
China’s surface force could be characterized as an eclectic mix of vintage,
modern,
converted, imported, and domestic platforms utilizing a variety weapons and
sensors and
with widely ranging capabilities and varying reliability. By the second
decade of the 2000s,
surface ship acquisition had shifted entirely to Chinese designed
units, equipped primarily
with Chinese weapons and sensors, though some engineering
components and subsystems
remain imported or license-produced in-country.
Until recently, China tended to build small numbers of a large variety of ships, often
changing classes rapidly as advancements were made. In the period between 1995 and 2005
2005 alone, China constructed or purchased major surface combatants and submarines in
at least
different 15 classes. Using a combination of imported technology, reverse
engineering, and
indigenous development, the PRC has rapidly narrowed the technology
and capability gap
between itself and the world’s modern navies. Additionally, China is
implementing much
longer production runs of advanced surface combatants and
conventional submarines,
suggesting a greater satisfaction in their recent ship designs.
The PLA(N) surface force has made particularly strong gains in anti-surface warfare
(ASuW), with sustained development of advanced anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCMs) and
over-the-horizon targeting systems. Most PLA(N) combatants carry variants of the YJ-8A
YJ8A ASCM (~65-120nm), while the LUYANG II-class (052D) destroyer is fitted with the
YJ-62
(~120nm), and the newest class, LUYANG III-class destroyer is fitted with a new verticallylaunched
vertically-launched ASCM. As these extended range weapons require sophisticated over-the-horizontargetingoverthe-horizon-targeting (OTH-T) capability to realize their full potential, China has
invested heavily in
maritime reconnaissance systems at the national and tactical levels, as
well as
communication systems and datalinks to enable the flow of accurate and timely targeting
targeting data.
In addition to extended range ASCMs, the LUYANG III DDG, which is expected to enter
the force in 2014, may also be equipped with advanced SAMs, anti-submarine missiles, and
and possibly an eventual land-attack cruise missile (LACM) from its multipurpose vertical
vertical launch system. These modern, high-end combatants will likely provide increased weapons
weapons stores and overall flexibility as surface action groups venture more frequently
into blue water
in the coming years.
Further enabling this trend, China’s surface force has achieved sustained progress in
shipboard air defense. The PLA(N) is retiring legacy destroyers and frigates that possess at
at most a point air defense capability, while constructing newer ships with medium-to-long
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tolong range area air defense missiles. The PLA(N) has produced a total of six LUYANG II DDG
DDG with the HHQ-9 surface-to-air missile (~55nm), and the LUYANG III DDG will
carry an
extended-range variant of the HHQ-9. At least fifteen JIANGKAI II FFGs
(054A), with the
vertically-launched HHQ-16 (~20-40nm) are now operational, with
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more under construction.
Sometimes referred to as the “workhorse” of the PLA(N) these
modern frigates have proven
instrumental in sustaining China’s counter-piracy presence
in the Gulf of Aden.
The new generation of destroyers and frigates utilize modern combat management systems
systems and air-surveillance sensors, such as the Chinese SEA EAGLE and DRAGON EYE phasedarray
EYE phased-array radars. While older platforms with little or no air defense capability
remain in the
inventory, the addition of these newer units allows the PLA(N)’s surface
force to operate
with increased confidence outside of shore-based air defense systems, as
one or two ships
can now provide air defense for the entire task group. Currently,
approximately 65 percent of
China’s destroyers and frigates are modern. By 2020 that
figure will rise to an estimated 85
percent.
The PLA(N) has also phased out hundreds of Cold War-era missile patrol boats and patrol
patrol craft as they shifted from a coastal defense orientation to a more active, offshore orientation
orientation over the past two decades. During this period China acquired a modern
coastal-defense and
area-denial capability with 60 HOUBEI class guided missile patrol
boats. The HOUBEI
design integrates a high-speed wave-piercing catamaran hull,
waterjet propulsion,
considerable signature-reduction features, and the YJ-8A ASCM.
While not equipped for
coastal patrol duties, the HOUBEI is an essential component of
the PLA(N)’s ability to react
at short notice to threats within China’s exclusive economic
zone (EEZ) and slightly beyond.
In 2012 China began producing the new JIANGDAO class corvette (FFL), which, in contrast
contrast to the HOUBEI, is optimized to serve as the primary naval patrol platform in
China’s EEZ
and potentially defend China’s territorial claims in the South China Sea
(SCS) and East
China Sea (ECS). The 1500-ton JIANGDAO is equipped for littoral
warfare with 76mm,
30mm, and 12.7mm guns, four YJ-8 ASCMs, torpedo tubes, and a
helicopter landing area.
The JIANGDAO is ideally-suited for general medium-endurance
patrols, counter-piracy, and
other littoral duties in regional waters, but is not sufficiently
armed or equipped for major
combat operations in blue-water. At least ten JIANGDAOs
are already operational and thirty
or more units may be built, replacing both older small
patrol craft as well as some of the
PLA(N)’s aging JIANGHU I frigates. The rapid
construction of JIANGDAO FFLs accounts
for a significant share of ship construction in
2012 and 2013.
In recent years, China’s amphibious acquisition has shifted decisively towards larger, highend
high-end, ships. Since 2007 China has commissioned three YUZHAO class amphibious transport
transport docks (LPD), which provide a considerably greater capacity and flexibility
compared to
previous landing ships. At 20,000 tons, the YUZHAO is the largest
domestically produced
Chinese warship and has deployed as far as the Gulf of Aden. The
YUZHAO can carry up to
four of the new air cushion landing craft YUYI LCUA (similar
to LCAC), as well as four or
more helicopters, armored vehicles, and troops on long-distancelongdistance deployments. Additional
YUZHAOs are expected to be built, as well as a
follow-on amphibious assault ship (LHA)
design that is larger and with a full-deck flight
deck for additional helicopters.
The major investment in a large-deck LPD signaled the PLA(N)’s emerging interest in
expeditionary warfare and over-the horizon amphibious assault capability, as well as a
flexible platform for humanitarian assistance/disaster relief (HA/DR) and counter-piracy
capabilities. In contrast, the PLA(N) appears to have suspended all construction of lower-end
lowerend tank landing ships (LST/LSM) since 2006, following a spate of acquisition in the early
2000s.
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early 2000s.
The expanded set of missions further into the western Pacific and Indian Ocean, including
including counter-piracy deployments, HA/DR missions, survey voyages and goodwill
port visits have
increased demands on PLA(N)’s limited fleet of ocean-going
replenishment and service
vessels. In 2013 the PLA(N) added two new FUCHI
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replenishment oilers (AORs) bringing
the total AOR force level to seven ships. These
ships constantly rotate in support of Gulf of
Aden (GOA) counter-piracy deployments.
In addition, the PLA(N) recently added three state-of-the-art DALAO submarine rescue
ships (ASR) and three DASAN fast-response rescue ships (ARS). Other recent additions
include the ANWEI hospital ship (AH), the DANYAO AF (island resupply), YUAN WANG
WANG 5&6 (satellite and rocket launch telemetry), three KANHAI AG (SWATH-hull survey
survey ships), two YUAN WANG 21 missile tenders (AEM), and the large DAGUAN
AG, which
provides berthing and logistical support to the KUZNETSOV aircraft carrier
Liaoning.
Traditionally, anti-submarine warfare (ASW) has lagged behind ASuW and AAW as a
priority for the PLA(N). Some moderate progress still continues, with more surface ships
possessing modern sonars, to include towed arrays, as well as hangars to support shipboard
shipboard helicopters. Given these developments, the PLA(N) surface force may be more
capable of
identifying adversary submarines in limited areas by 2020.
Over the past decade, China’s surface force has made steady proficiency gains and become
become much more operationally focused. Beginning in 2009, the Gulf of Aden
deployments have
provided naval commanders and crews with their first real experience
with extended
deployments and overseas logistics. We have also witnessed an increase in
the complexity of
training and exercises and an expansion of operating areas both within
and beyond the First
Island Chain. To increase realism, the force engages in opposing
force training and employs
advanced training aids. In 2012 the surface force conducted
an unprecedented seven
deployments to the Philippine Sea. This was followed by nine
Philippine Sea deployments in
2013. Extended surface deployments and more advanced
training build core warfare
proficiency in ASuW, ASW and AAW. Furthermore, these
deployments reflect efforts to
“normalize” distant seas training in line with General Staff
Department (GSD) guidelines.
China’s Aircraft Carrier Program
With spectacular ceremony in September 2012, China commissioned its first carrier, the
Liaoning. China is currently engaged in the long and complicated path of learning to operate
operate fixed wing aircraft from the carrier’s deck. The first launches and recoveries of
the J-15
aircraft occurred in November 2012, with additional testing and training
occurring in 2013.
Despite recent progress, it will take several years before Chinese
carrier-based air regiments
are operational. The PLA’s newspaper, Jiefangjun Bao
recently noted, “Aircraft Carrier
development is core to the PLA(N), and could serve as a
deterrent to countries who provoke
trouble at sea, against the backdrop of the U.S. pivot
to Asia and growing territorial disputes
in the South China Sea and East China Sea.”
The Liaoning is much less capable of power projection than the U.S. Navy’s NIMITZ-class
NIMITZclass carriers. Not only does Liaoning’s smaller size limit the total number of aircraft it
can carry,
but also the ski-jump configuration significantly limits aircraft fuel and
ordnance load for
take offs. Furthermore, China does not yet possess specialized
supporting aircraft such as the
E-2C Hawkeye, which provides tactical airborne early
warning (AEW). The Liaoning is
suited for fleet air defense missions, rather than US-styleUSstyle, long range power projection.
Although it has a full suite of weapons and combat
systems, Liaoning’s primary role for the
coming years will be to develop the skills
required for carrier aviation and to train its first
groups of pilots and deck crews.
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China’s initial carrier air regiment will consist of the Shenyang J-15 Flying Shark, which is
is externally similar to the Russian Su-33 Flanker D. However, the aircraft is thought to
possess many of the domestic avionics and armament capabilities of the Chinese J-11B
Flanker. Likely armament for the J-15 includes PL-8 and PL-12 air-to-air missiles and
modern ASCMs. Six J-15 prototypes are currently involved in testing and at least one twoseat
two-seat J-15S operational trainer has been observed.
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China is fully aware of the inherent limitations of the mid-sized, ski-jump carrier. While
Beijing has provided no public information on the size and configuration of its next
carrier,
there is intense speculation that China may adopt a catapult launching system.
Recent media
reports suggest that China recently commenced construction of its first indigenously
indigenously produced carrier.
Finally, as China expands carrier operations beyond the immediate region, it will almost
certainly be constrained by a lack of distant bases and support infrastructure. Although
commercial ports can provide some peacetime support, Beijing may eventually find it
expedient to abandon its longstanding, self-imposed prohibition on foreign basing.
PLA(N) Submarine Force
China has long regarded its submarine force as a critical element of regional deterrence,
particularly when conducting “counter-intervention” against modern adversary. The
large,
but poorly equipped force of the 1980s has given way to a more modern submarine
force,
optimized primarily for regional anti-surface warfare missions near major sea lines of
of communication. Currently, the submarine force consists of five nuclear attack
submarines,
four nuclear ballistic missile submarines, and 53 diesel attack submarines.
In reference to the submarine force, the term “modern” applies to second generation
submarines, capable of employing anti-ship cruise missiles or submarine-launched
intercontinental ballistic missiles. By 2015 approximately 70 percent of China’s entire
submarine force will be modern. By 2020, 75 percent of the conventional force will be
modern and 100 percent of the SSN force will be modern.
Currently, most of the force is conventionally powered, without towed arrays, but equipped
equipped with increasingly long range ASCMs. Submarine launched ASCMs with ranges
well in
excess of 100nm not only enhance survivability of the shooter, but also enable a small
small number of units to hold a large maritime area at risk. A decade ago, only a few of
China’s
submarines were equipped to launch a modern anti-ship cruise missile. Given the
rapid pace
of acquisition, well over half of China’s nuclear and conventional attack
submarines are now
ASCM equipped, and by 2020, the vast majority of China’s
submarine force will be armed
with advanced, long-range ASCMs.
China’s small nuclear attack submarine force is capable of operating further from the
Chinese mainland, conducting intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR), as
well as
ASuW missions. Currently, China’s submarines are not optimized for either anti-submarine
antisubmarine warfare or land attack missions.
Like the surface force, China’s submarine force is trending towards a more streamlined mix
mix of units, suggesting the PLA(N) is relatively satisfied with recent designs. For its dieselelectric
diesel-electric force alone, between 2000 and 2005, China constructed MING SS, SONG
SS, the
first YUAN SSP, and purchased 8 KILO SS from Russia. While all of these
classes remain
in the force, only the YUAN SSP is currently in production. Reducing the
number of
different classes in service helps streamline maintenance, training and interoperability.
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interoperability.
The YUAN SSP is China’s most modern conventionally powered submarine. Eight are
currently in service, with as many as 12 more anticipated. Its combat capability is similar to
to the SONG SS, as both are capable of launching Chinese-built anti-ship cruise missiles, but
but the YUAN SSP also possesses an air independent power (AIP) system and may have
incorporated quieting technology from the Russian-designed KILO SS. The AIP system
provides a submarine a source of power other than battery or diesel engines while still
submerged, increasing its underwater endurance, thereby reducing its vulnerability to
detection.
The remainder of the conventional submarine force is a mix of SONG SS, MING SS, and
Russian-built KILO SS. Of these, only the MING SS and four of the older KILO SS lack an
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an ability to launch ASCMs. Eight of China’s 12 KILO SS are equipped with the SS-N-27
N27 ASCM, which provides a long-range anti-surface capability out to approximately
120nm.
Although China’s indigenous YJ-82 ASCM has a much shorter range, trends in
surface and
air-launched cruise missiles suggest that a future indigenous submarine-launchedsubmarinelaunched ASCM will
almost certainly match or exceed the range of the SS-N-27.
China is now modernizing its relatively small nuclear-powered attack submarine force,
following a protracted hiatus. The SHANG SSN’s initial production run stopped after just
two launches in 2002 and 2003. After nearly 10 years, China resumed production with four
four additional hulls of an improved variant, the first of which was launched in 2012.
These six
submarines will replace the aging HAN SSN on nearly a 1-for-1 basis over the
next several
years. Following the completion of the improved SHANG SSN, the PLA(N)
will likely
progress to the Type 095 SSN, which may provide a generational
improvement in many
areas such as quieting and weapon capacity, to include a possible
land-attack capability.
Perhaps the most anticipated development in China’s submarine force is the expected
operational deployment of the JIN SSBN in 2014, which would mark China’s first credible
credible at-sea second-strike nuclear capability. With a range in excess of 4000nm, the
JL-2
submarine launched ballistic missile (SLBM), will enable the JIN to strike Hawaii,
Alaska,
and possibly western portions of CONUS from East Asian waters. The three JIN SSBNs
SSBNs currently in service would be insufficient to maintain a constant at-sea presence
for extended
periods of time, but if the PLA Navy builds five units as some sources
suggest, a continuous
peacetime presence may become a viable option for the PLA(N).
Historically, the vast majority of Chinese submarine operations have been limited in
duration. In recent years however, leadership emphasis on more realistic training and
operational proficiency across the PLA appears to have catalyzed an increase in submarine
submarine patrol activity. Prior to 2008, the PLA(N) typically conducted a very small
number of
extended submarine patrols, typically fewer than 5 or 6 in a given year. Since
that time, it has
become common to see more than 12 patrols in a given year. This trend
suggests the PLA(N)
seeks to build operational proficiency, endurance, and training in
ways that more accurately
simulate combat missions.
PLA(N) Air Forces
The capabilities and role of the PLANAF have steadily evolved over the past decade. As
navy combatants range further from shore and more effectively provide their own air
defense, the PLANAF is able to concentrate on an expanded array of missions, including
maritime strike, maritime patrols, anti-submarine warfare, airborne early warning, and
logistics. Both helicopters and fixed wing aircraft will play an important role in enabling
fleet operations over the next decade. Additionally, in the next few years the PLANAF will
will possess its first-ever sea-based component, with the Liaoning CV [aircraft carrier].
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Every major PLA(N) surface combatant currently under construction is capable of
embarking a helicopter, increasing platform capabilities in areas such as over the horizon
targeting, anti-submarine warfare, and search and rescue (SAR). The PLA(N) operates three
three main helicopter variants: the Z-9, the Z-8, and the Helix. In order to keep pace with
the rest
of the PLA(N), the helicopter fleet will almost certainly expand in the near future.
The PLA(N)’s primary helicopter, the Z-9C, was originally obtained under licensed
production from Aerospatiale (now Eurocopter) in the early 1980s. The Z-9C is capable of
of operating from any helicopter-capable PLA(N) combatant. It can be fitted with the
KLC-1
search radar, dipping sonar, and is usually seen with a single lightweight torpedo.
A new
roof-mounted electro-optical (EO) turret, unguided rockets, and 12.7 mm machine
gun pods
have been observed on several Z-9Cs during counter piracy deployments. There
are now
approximately twenty operational Z-9Cs in the PLA(N) inventory and the helicopters are still
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helicopters are still under production. An upgraded naval version of the Z-9, designated
the Z-9D, has been
observed with ASCMs.
Like the Z-9, the Z-8 is a Chinese-produced helicopter based on a French design. In the late
late 1970s, the PLA(N) purchased and reverse engineered the SA 321 Super Frelon. This
medium lift helicopter is capable of performing a wide variety of missions but is most often
often utilized for SAR, troop transport, and logistical support roles. It is usually observed
with a
rescue hoist and a nose radome and typically operates unarmed. The Z-8’s size
provides a
greater cargo capacity compared to other PLA(N) helicopters, but is limited in
its ability to
deploy from most PLA(N) combatants. An AEW variant of the Z-8 has been observed
observed operating with the Liaoning.
In 1999, the PLA(N) took delivery of an initial batch of eight Russian-built Ka-28 Helix
helicopters. The PLA(N) typically uses the Ka-28 for ASW. They are fitted with a search
radar, dipping sonar and can employ sonobuoys, torpedoes, depth charges, or mines. In 2010
2010 China also ordered nine Ka-31 Helix AEW helicopters.
Fixed-wing Aircraft
Over the last two decades, the PLANAF has significantly upgraded its fighters and expanded
expanded the type of aircraft it operates. As a consequence, it can successfully perform a
wide range of
missions including offshore air defense, maritime strike, maritime
patrol/antisubmarine
warfare, and in the not too distant future, carrier-based operations. A
decade ago, this
modernization was largely reliant on exports from Russia, however, the
PLANAF has
recently benefited from the same domestic combat aircraft production that
has propelled
earlier PLAAF modernization.
Historically, the PLA(N) relied on older Chengdu J-7 variants and Shenyang J-8B/D Finback
Finback fighters for the offshore air defense mission. These aircraft were limited in
range, avionics,
and armament. The J-8 is perhaps best known in the West as the aircraft
that collided with a
U.S. Navy EP-3 reconnaissance aircraft in 2001. In 2002, the PLA(N)
purchased 24 Su30MK2Su-30MK2, making it the first 4th generation fighter fielded with the navy.
These aircraft feature
an extended range and maritime radar systems, enabling the Su-30MK2Su30MK2 to strike enemy
ships at long distances, while still maintaining a robust air-to-air
capability.
Several years later, the PLA(N) began replacing older J-8B/Ds with the newer J-8F
variant.
The J-8F featured improved armament such as the PL-12 radar-guided air-to-air
missile,
upgraded avionics, and an improved engine with higher thrust. Today, the
PLA(N) is taking
deliveries of modern domestically produced 4th generation fighter
aircraft such as the J-10A
Vigorous Dragon and the J-11B Flanker. Equipped with
modern radars, glass cockpits, and
armed with PL-8 and PL-12 air-to-air missiles,
PLA(N) J-10A and J-11B aircraft are among
the most modern aircraft in China’s inventory.
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inventory.
For maritime strike, the PLA(N) has relied on the H-6 Badger for decades. The H-6 is a
licensed copy of the ex-Soviet Tu-16 Badger, which can employ advanced ASCMs against
against surface targets. As many as 30 Badgers likely remain in service with the PLA(N). Despite
Despite the older platform design, Chinese H-6 Badgers benefit from upgraded
electronics and
payloads. Noted improvements include the ability to carry a maximum of
four ASCMs,
compared with two on earlier H-6D variants. Some H-6s have been
modified as tankers,
increasing the PLA(N)’s flexibility and range. The JH-7 Flounder,
with at least five
regiments fielded across the three fleets also provides a maritime strike
capability. The JH-7
is a domestically produced tandem-seat fighter/bomber, developed
as a replacement for
obsolete Q-5 Fantan light attack aircraft and H-5 Beagle bombers.
The JH-7 can carry up to
four ASCMs and two PL-5 or PL-8 short-range air-to-air
missiles, providing it with
considerable payload for maritime strike missions.
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In addition to combat aircraft, the PLANAF is expanding its inventory of fixed-wing
Maritime Patrol Aircraft (MPA), Airborne Early Warning (AEW), and surveillance
aircraft.
The Y-8, a Chinese license-produced version of the ex-Soviet An-12 Cub, forms
the basic
airframe for several PLA(N) special mission variants. As the navy pushes
farther from the
coast, long-range aircraft play a key role in providing a clear picture of
surface and air
contacts in the maritime environment.
Internet photos from 2012 suggest that the PLA(N) is also developing a Y-8 naval
variant,
equipped with a MAD (magnetic anomaly detector) boom, typical of ASW
aircraft. This
ASW aircraft features a large surface search radar mounted under the nose
and multiple
blade antennae on the fuselage for probable electronic surveillance. It also
appears to
incorporate a small EO/IR turret and an internal weapons bay forward of the
main landing
gear. The aircraft appeared in a primer yellow paint scheme, suggesting that
it remains under
development.
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
In recent years China has developed several multi-mission UAVs for the maritime
environment. There are some indications the PLA(N) has begun to integrate UAVs into their
their operations to enhance situational awareness. For well over a decade, China has actively
actively pursued UAV technology and they are emerging among the worldwide leaders in UAV
UAV development. China’s latest achievement was the unveiling of their first prototype unmanned
unmanned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV), the Lijan, which features a blended-wing
design as well as
low observable technologies.
The PLA(N) will probably employ significant numbers of land and ship based UAVs to
supplement manned ISR aircraft and aid targeting for various long-range weapons
systems.
UAVs will probably become one of the PLA(N)’s most valuable ISR assets in
on-going and
future maritime disputes and protection of maritime claims. UAVs are
ideally suited for this
mission set due to their long loiter time, slow cruising speed, and
ability to provide near realtimereal-time information through the use of a variety of onboard
sensors. The PLA(N) has been
identified operating the Austrian Camcopter S-100 rotary-wingrotarywing UAV from several
combatants. Following initial evaluation and deployment of the
Camcopter S-100, the
PLA(N) will likely adopt a domestically produced UAV into ship-basedshipbased operations.
Naval Mines
China has a robust mining capability and currently maintains a varied inventory estimated at
at over 50,000 mines. China also has developed a robust infrastructure for naval mine related
related research, development, testing, evaluation, and production. During the past few
years China
has gone from an obsolete mine inventory, consisting primarily of pre-WWII
vintage moored
contact and basic bottom influence mines, to a robust mine inventory consisting of a large
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consisting of a large variety of mine types including moored, bottom, drifting, rocket
propelled and intelligent
mines. China will continue to develop more advanced mines in
the future, possibly including
extended-range propelled-warhead mines, anti-helicopter
mines, and bottom influence mines
equipped to counter minesweeping efforts.
Maritime C4ISR (Command, Control, Computers, Communication, Intelligence
Surveillance and Reconnaissance)
China’s steady expansion of naval missions beyond the littoral, including counterintervention missions are enabled by a dramatic improvement in maritime C4ISR over the
the past decade. The ranges of China’s modern anti-ship cruise missiles extend well
beyond the
range of a ship’s own sensors. Emerging land-based weapons, such as the DF-21DDF21D anti-ship
ballistic missile, with a range of more than 810nm are even more
dependent on remote
targeting. Modern navies depend heavily on their ability to build
and disseminate a picture of
all activities occurring in the air and sea.
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For China, this provides a formidable challenge. In order to characterize activities in the
“near seas,” China must build a maritime and air picture covering nearly 875,000 square
nautical miles (sqnm). The Philippine Sea, which could become a key interdiction area in a
a regional conflict, expands the battlespace by another 1.5 million sqnm. In this vast
space,
many navies and coast guards converge along with tens of thousands of fishing
boats, cargo
ships, oil tankers, and other commercial vessels.
In order to sort through this complex environment and enable more sophisticated
operations,
China has invested in a wide array of sensors. Direct reporting from Chinese
ships and
aircraft provides the most detailed and reliable information, but can only cover
a fraction of
the regional environment. A number of ground-based coastal radars provide overlapping
overlapping coverage of coastal areas, but their range is limited.
To gain a broader view of activity in its near and far seas, China requires more sophisticated
sophisticated sensors. The skywave over-the-horizon radar provides awareness of a much
larger area than
conventional radars by bouncing signals off the ionosphere. China also
operates a growing
array of reconnaissance satellites, which allow observation of
maritime activity virtually
anywhere on the earth.
Conclusion
The PLA(N) is strengthening its ability to execute a range of regional missions in a
“complex electromagnetic environment” as it simultaneously lays a foundation for
sustained,
blue water operations. Over the next decade, China will complete its transition
from a coastal
navy to a navy capable of multiple missions around the world. Current
acquisition patterns,
training, and operations provide a window into how the PLA(N)
might pursue these
objectives.
Given the pace of PLA(N) modernization, the gap in military capability between the
mainland and Taiwan will continue to widen in China’s favor over the coming years. The
PRC views reunification with Taiwan as an immutable, long-term goal and hopes to prevent
prevent any other actor from intervening in a Taiwan scenario. While Taiwan remains a
top-tier
priority, the PLA(N) is simultaneously focusing resources on a growing array of potential
potential challenges.
China’s interests in the East and South China Seas include protecting its vast maritime
claims and preserving access to regional resources. Beijing prefers to use diplomacy and
economic influence to protect maritime sovereignty, and generally relies on patrols by the
recently-consolidated China Coast Guard. However, ensuring maritime sovereignty will
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remain a fundamental mission for the PLA(N). PLA(N) assets regularly patrol in most of
China’s claimed territory to conduct surveillance and provide a security guarantee to
China’s
Coast Guard.
In the event of a crisis, the PLA(N) has a variety of options to defend its claimed territorial
territorial sovereignty and maritime interests. The PLA(N) could lead an amphibious
campaign to seize
key disputed island features, or conduct blockade or SLOC interdiction
campaigns to secure
strategic operating areas. China’s realization of an operational
aircraft carrier in the coming
years may also enable Beijing to exert greater pressure on
its SCS rivals. Recent acquisitions
speak to a future in which the PLA(N) will be
expected to perform a wide variety of tasks
including assuring the nation’s economic
lifelines, asserting China’s regional territorial
interests, conducting humanitarian
assistance and disaster relief, and demonstrating a
Chinese presence beyond region
waters.187
187203
203
[Hearing on] Trends in China’s Naval Modernization [before] U.S. China Economic and Security Review
Commission[,] Testimony [of] Jesse L. Karotkin, [Senior Intelligence Officer for China, Office of Naval Intelligence,
January 30, 2014], accessed February 12, 2014, 12 pp., at http://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/
(continued...)
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Appendix B. 2015 DOD Report on Asia-Pacific
Maritime Security Strategy
This appendix presents additional material from the report on Asia-Pacific maritime security
strategy that DOD submitted to Congress in August 2015. Regarding DOD’s efforts to enhance
U.S. military capacity in maritime Asia, the report states:
Investments and Capabilities
For decades, the United States has stood with its allies and partners to help maintain
peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region. During this period, the U.S. military has
enjoyed and depended upon the ability to project power and maintain freedom of action
in the maritime domain. Increasingly, we see countries developing new technologies that
appear designed to counter these advantages. The Department is therefore working to
maintain the necessary capabilities to deter conflict and reassure allies and partners, while
protecting our ability to respond decisively if required. This includes investing in new
capabilities and concepts that will allow U.S. forces to operate freely even in contested
environments.
The Department is enhancing U.S. capabilities to project power from the sea, in the air,
and under the water. As part of this effort, we are deploying some of our most advanced
surface ships to the region, including replacing the aircraft carrier USS George
Washington in 2015 with the newer USS Ronald Reagan; sending our newest air
operations-oriented amphibious assault ship, the USS America, to the region by 2020;
deploying two additional Aegis-capable destroyers to Japan; and home-porting all three
of our newest class of stealth destroyers, the DDG-1000, with the Pacific fleet. We are
complementing these surface capabilities with some of our most capable air assets,
including F-22s, continuous deployments of B-2 and B-52 strategic bombers, additional
tilt rotor aircraft for the Marine Corps and Special Forces, and, in 2017, the first forwardstationing of F-35s to Iwakuni, Japan. The Department will also procure 395 F-35 aircraft
over the next several years, many of which will be deployed to the Asia-Pacific region.
For the subsurface environment, the Department is basing an additional attack submarine
in Guam and funding two additional Virginia class submarines and the Virginia Payload
Module, a compartment added to our new attack submarines that will increase
dramatically their capacity to carry weapons and other payloads. These capabilities will
help protect and add versatility to our advantages at sea, in the air, and under the water.
In support of these assets, the Department is investing in a comprehensive weapons
modernization program, including plans for new or updated land-, sea-, and air-launched
missiles relevant to the maritime domain. DoD is procuring advanced precision munitions
that will allow our forces to strike adversaries from greater stand-off distances, like the
new extended-range Joint Air to Surface Standoff Missile (JASSM-ER), and a new longrange antiship cruise missile that will improve the ability of U.S. aircraft to engage
surface combatants in defended airspace. And we are finding new ways to use existing
weapons systems, including by enhancing the capabilities resident in our current
inventory of Tomahawk cruise missiles.
In addition to enhancing our power projection capabilities, the Department is investing in
flexible capabilities that will allow us to respond more rapidly and effectively to a wider
range of potential maritime challenges. The rotational deployment of Littoral Combat
Ships (LCS) in Singapore provides the U.S. Navy with a flexible, nimble asset that can
(...continued)
Karotkin_Testimony1.30.14.pdf.
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Appendix B. Background Information on Joint
Concept for Access and Maneuver in Global
Commons (JAM-GC) (Previously Air-Sea Battle)
This appendix provides additional background information Joint Concept for Access and
Maneuver in the Global Commons (JAM-GC), previously known as Air-Sea Battle (ASB).
October 10, 2013, Hearing
On October 10, 2013, the Seapower and Projection Forces subcommittee of the House Armed
Services Committee held a hearing with several DOD officials as the witnesses that focused to a
large degree on the Air-Sea Battle concept.188 One of the witnesses—Rear Admiral Upper Half
James G. Foggo III, Assistant Deputy Chief of Naval Operations (Operations, Plans and Strategy)
(N3/N5B)—provided the following overview of ASB in his opening remarks:
So let me begin by answering the question, what is the AirSea Battle concept? The AirSea
Battle concept was approved by the Secretary of Defense in 2011. It is designed to assure
access to parts of the global commons, those areas of the AirSea, Cyberspace, and Space that
no one necessarily owns but which we all depend on such as sea lines of communication.
Our adversaries’ Anti-Access/Area Denial strategies employ a range of military capabilities
that impede the free use of these ungoverned spaces. These military capabilities include new
generations of cruise, ballistic, air to air, surface to air missiles with improved range,
accuracy and lethality that are being produced and proliferated.
Quiet, modern submarines and stealthy fighter aircraft are being procured by many nations
while naval mines are being equipped with mobility, discrimination and autonomy. Both
space and cyberspace are becoming increasingly important and contested.
Accordingly, AirSea Battle in its concept is intended to defeat such threats to access and
provide options to national leaders and military commanders to enable follow-on operations
which could include military activities as well as humanitarian assistance and disaster
response. In short, it is a new approach to warfare.
The AirSea Battle concept is also about force development in the face of rising technological
challenges. We seek to build at the service level a pre-integrated joint force which empowers
U.S. combatant commanders, along with allies and partners to engage in ways that are
cooperative and networked across multiple domains—the land, maritime, air, space and
cyber domains.
And our goal includes continually refining and institutionalizing these practices. When
implemented, the AirSea Battle concept will create and codify synergies within and among
our services that will enhance our collective war fighting capability and effectiveness.
188
The title of the hearing as posted on the House Armed Services Committee website was: “USAF, USN and USMC
Development and Integration of Air/Sea Battle Strategy, Governance and Policy into the Services’ Annual Program,
Planning, Budgeting and Execution (PPBE) Process.”
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So that's, in a nutshell, what the AirSea Battle concept is. But now, what is it not? Sir, you
pointed out the AirSea Battle concept is not a strategy—to answer your question on the
difference between AirLand Battle and the AirSea Battle concept. National or military
strategies employs ways and means to a particular and/or end-state, such as deterring
conflict, containing conflict or winning conflict.
A concept in contrast is a description of a method or a scheme for employing military
capabilities to attain specific objectives at the operational level of war. The overarching
objective of the AirSea Battle concept is to gain and maintain freedom of action in the global
commons.
The AirSea Battle does not focus on a particular adversary or a region. It is universally
applicable across all geographic locations, and by addressing access challenges wherever,
however, and whenever we confront them.
I said earlier that the AirSea Battle represents a new approach to warfare. Here’s what I
meant by that. Historically, when deterrence fails, it’s our custom to amass large numbers of
resources, leverage our allies for a coalition support and base access or over flight and build
up an iron mountain of logistics, weapons and troops to apply overwhelming force at a
operate effectively in the region’s challenging littoral waters. The Department is currently
conducting the second proof-of-concept deployment of the LCS to the region, a
deployment that will not only include port calls and engagements with seven different
Southeast Asian States, but also participation in one of our largest and most complex
war-fighting exercises in the Republic of Korea (ROK), Foal Eagle. Additionally, we will
deploy the Mobile Landing Platform (MLP) to the region, which will more effectively
enable a range of missions, from counter-piracy efforts to special forces operations and
disaster relief missions.
Finally, the Department of Defense is investing in critical enabling capabilities, including
persistent, deep-look ISR platforms that will provide us with greater situational
awareness and early warning of potential crises in the maritime domain. The U.S. Navy is
procuring 24 E-2D Hawkeye carrier-based airborne early warning and control aircraft,
and as stated in the President’s most recent budget submission, investing $9.9 billion over
the next four years to procure the final 47 P-8A Poseidon maritime surveillance aircraft,
many of which will be deployed to the Asia-Pacific region. The Department is also
making substantial investments to develop the MQ-4C Triton unmanned aerial system,
which will provide broad area situational awareness to our operational commanders. The
first deployment of MQ-4Cs will arrive in the U.S. Pacific Command (USPACOM) Area
of Responsibility (AOR) in FY 2017.
These enhanced capabilities are already making a difference in improving the
Department’s ability to respond to humanitarian crises in maritime Asia. In March 2011,
when an earthquake and tsunami devastated parts of Japan and damaged the Fukushima
Daiichi nuclear power station, the U.S. military was able to deploy state-of-the-art
maritime capabilities, including the aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan and Global Hawk
unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to assess the damage. Similarly, when Malaysian
Airlines flight MH370 disappeared in March 2014, the U.S. Navy dispatched a newly
arrived P-8A Poseidon aircraft along with a P-3C Orion aircraft to search for the missing
plane. The P-8A’s transit speed to the search area was so much higher and its expected
fuel burn so much lower, a second P-8A was added to the search in place of the P-3C,
allowing for more time spent actively searching. And in December 2014, when AirAsia
flight 8501 crashed into the Java Sea, the U.S. Navy was able to quickly dispatch the
LCS USS Fort Worth quickly to help search for the wreckage.
Over the longer-term, the Department of Defense is also developing a suite of innovative
ideas and capabilities – known as the third offset – to advance U.S. military dominance in
the 21st century and ensure the United States can deter adversaries and prevail in conflict,
including in maritime Asia. To offset advances in anti-access and area-denial (A2/AD)
weapons that we see proliferating in maritime Asia and beyond, the Department will
identify, develop, and field breakthroughs in cutting-edge technologies and systems –
especially in the fields of robotics, autonomous systems, miniaturization, big data, and
additive manufacturing, and will draw these together in innovative operational and
organizational constructs to ensure freedom of access for United States’ forces in a
contested A2/AD environment.
Force Posture
One of the most important efforts the Department of Defense has underway is to enhance
our forward presence by bringing our finest capabilities, assets, and people to the AsiaPacific region. The U.S. military presence has underwritten security and stability in the
Asia-Pacific region for more than 60 years. Our forward presence not only serves to deter
regional conflict and coercion, it also allows us to respond rapidly to maritime crises.
Working in concert with regional allies and partners enables us to respond more
effectively to these crises.
The United States maintains 368,000 military personnel in the Asia-Pacific region, of
which approximately 97,000 are west of the International Date Line. Over the next five
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years, the U.S. Navy will increase the number of ships assigned to Pacific Fleet outside of
U.S. territory by approximately 30 percent, greatly improving our ability to maintain a
more regular and persistent maritime presence in the Pacific. And by 2020, 60 percent of
naval and overseas air assets will be home-ported in the Pacific region. The Department
will also enhance Marine Corps presence by developing a more distributed and
sustainable laydown model.
Enhancing our forward presence also involves using existing assets in new ways, across
the entire region, with an emphasis on operational flexibility and maximizing the value of
U.S. assets despite the tyranny of distance. This is why the Department is working to
develop a more distributed, resilient, and sustainable posture. As part of this effort, the
United States will maintain its presence in Northeast Asia, while enhancing defense
posture across the Western Pacific, Southeast Asia, and the Indian Ocean.
The cornerstone of our forward presence will continue to be our presence in Japan, where
the United States maintains approximately 50,000 military personnel, including the U.S.
Navy Seventh Fleet and the only forward-stationed Carrier Strike Group in the world, as
well as U.S. Marine Corps III Marine Expeditionary Force and significant Air Force
assets. DoD is working more closely than ever with our Japanese allies, forward progress
that will accelerate in future years under the new revised defense guidelines. In an effort
to ensure that this presence is sustainable, we have worked with Japan to develop a new
laydown for the U.S. Marine Corps in the Pacific. As a result, the Department of Defense
will be able to shift its concentrated presence on Okinawa toward a more distributed
model that includes Australia, Hawaii, Guam, and mainland Japan. As part of this
program, the Department will develop new training ranges in the Commonwealth of the
Northern Mariana Islands to enhance the readiness of our forward forces to respond to
regional crises. The footprint associated with this laydown will support the arrival of
next-generation capabilities and joint training and readiness in the USPACOM AOR.
Through the bilateral Force Posture Agreement (FPA) with Australia and the Enhanced
Defense Cooperation Agreement (EDCA) with the Philippines, the Department will be
able to increase our routine and persistent rotational presence in Southeast Asia for
expanded training with regional partners. In Australia, the FPA will enable full
implementation of the rotational presence for training and access for the U.S. Air Force
and a Marine Air Ground Task Force (MAGTF) of up to 2,500 Marines. Additionally, the
Department is on track to achieve its stated goal of simultaneous rotation of 4 Littoral
Combat Ships (LCS) through Singapore by 2017, which will provide the first persistent
U.S. naval presence in Southeast Asia in more than 20 years.
DoD is also modernizing our maritime presence in Guam, as part of our efforts to
develop Guam into a strategic hub for our joint military presence in the region. This
includes forward-stationing a fourth attack submarine to Guam this year and deploying
the Joint High Speed Vessel by 2018, while making investments in the resilience of the
infrastructure supporting these capabilities. Guam is the regional hub for Air Force’s
Global Hawk fleet and the Navy will operate the MQ-4C Triton unmanned aerial
reconnaissance vehicle from Andersen Air Base by 2017. The Air Force continues a
program to modernize hangars and other support structures to augment those and other
U.S. military capabilities.
Operations, Exercises, and Training
These efforts to enhance our force posture and presence allow the Department to
maintain a higher tempo of routine and persistent maritime presence activities. U.S.
Pacific Command maintains a robust shaping presence in and around the South China
Sea, with activities ranging from training and exercises with allies and partners to port
calls to Freedom of Navigation Operations and other routine operations. They are central
to our efforts to dissuade conflict or coercion, preserve the freedom of the seas and our
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access to the region, encourage peaceful resolution of maritime disputes and adherence to
the rule of law, and to strengthen our relationships with partners and allies.
As part of the Department’s routine presence activities, the U.S. Navy, U.S. Air Force,
and U.S. Coast Guard conduct Freedom of Navigation operations. These operational
activities serve to protect the rights, freedoms, and lawful uses of the sea and airspace
guaranteed to all nations in international law by challenging the full range of excessive
maritime claims asserted by some coastal States in the region. The importance of these
operations cannot be overstated. Numerous countries across the Asia-Pacific region assert
excessive maritime claims that, if left unchallenged, could restrict the freedom of the
seas. These excessive claims include, for example, improperly-drawn straight baselines,
improper restrictions on the right of warships to conduct innocent passage through the
territorial seas of other States, and the freedom to conduct military activities within the
EEZs of other States. Added together, EEZs in the USPACOM region constitute 38
percent of the world’s oceans. If these excessive maritime claims were left unchallenged,
they could restrict the ability of the United States and other countries to conduct routine
military operations or exercises in more than one-third of the world’s oceans.
Over the past two years, the Department has undertaken an effort to reinvigorate our
Freedom of Navigation program, in concert with the Department of State, to ensure that
we regularly and consistently challenge excessive maritime claims. For example, in 2013,
the Department challenged 19 excessive maritime claims around the world. In 2014, the
Department challenged 35 excessive claims – an 84 percent increase. Among those 35
excessive maritime claims challenged in 2014, 19 are located in U.S. Pacific Command’s
geographic area of responsibility, and this robust Freedom of Navigation program will
continue through 2015 and beyond.
The Department is also pursuing a robust slate of training exercises and engagements
with our allies and partners that will allow us to explore new areas of practical bilateral
and multilateral maritime security cooperation, build the necessary interoperability to
execute multilateral operations, and promote regional trust and transparency. We are
increasing the size, frequency, and sophistication of our regional exercise program, with a
particular focus on developing new exercises with Southeast Asian partners and
expanding our multilateral exercise program. We have also begun incorporating a
maritime focus into many of these engagements in order to tailor our training to address
regional partners’ evolving requirements.
In Northeast Asia, the Department conducts several regular maritime exercises with
Japan and South Korea focusing on enhancing our combined capabilities to counter
provocations and manage the changing Northeast Asian security environment. Though its
original purpose was to counter special operations forces, the annual bilateral Key
Resolve/Foal Eagle exercise with the ROK now includes amphibious operations and antisubmarine warfare in recognition of the importance of the maritime domain in defending
South Korea. Similarly, the U.S.-Japan Shin Kame anti-submarine warfare exercise is
designed to improve how U.S. and Japanese forces counter diesel submarines, a concern
in the region.
In Southeast Asia, the Department is honing an already robust bilateral exercise program
with our treaty ally, the Republic of the Philippines, to assist it with establishing a
minimum credible defense more effectively. We are conducting more than 400 planned
events with the Philippines in 2015, including our premier joint exercise, Balikatan,
which this year was the largest and most sophisticated ever. During this year’s Balikatan,
more than 15,000 U.S., Philippine, and Australian military personnel exercised
operations involving a territorial defense scenario in the Sulu Sea, with personnel from
Japan observing.
We are also expanding our maritime engagements with partners like Indonesia, Malaysia,
and Vietnam. In Indonesia, the April 2015 iteration of the Sea Surveillance Exercises
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(SEASURVEX) included a flight portion over the South China Sea for the first time, and
this past spring, our navies concluded their first tabletop Simulated Submarine Casualty
Exercise (SMASHEX). We also established a new joint exercise with Malaysia, which is
scheduled to occur for the first time in 2015, and in 2014, the Marine Corps participated
in an amphibious exercise with the Malaysian Armed Forces, during which our forces
trained side-by-side in eastern Sabah. In Vietnam, we are rapidly growing our maritime
training, having recently concluded our sixth-annual Naval Engagement Activity (NEA)
in March 2015, a historic five-day engagement that included a full day of at-sea
operations. In just six years, our naval cooperation with Vietnam has grown from a
simple port visit to multi-day engagements that allow our sailors to develop a better
understanding of each other’s operations and procedures.
The Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) exercise, hosted since 1971, is the largest international
military exercise in the world. The 2014 iteration was the largest on record, with
participation from 22 nations, including 49 surface ships, 6 submarines, more than 200
aircraft, and 25,000 personnel in and around the Hawaiian Islands and Southern
California. The exercise’s objectives are to enhance the interoperability of the combined
RIMPAC forces as well as to integrate new participants in the employment of
multinational command and control at the tactical and operational levels.
In 2014, China participated for the first time in RIMPAC, though at a limited level, and
the Department has invited China to portions of the 2016 exercise, at a level similar to its
2014 participation. As the largest naval exercise in the world, RIMPAC provides an
opportunity for the United States, China, and countries throughout the Asia-Pacific
region to exercise key operational practices and procedures that are essential to ensuring
that tactical misunderstandings do not escalate into crises.204
204
Department of Defense, Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy, undated but released August 2015, pp. 20-25.
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Appendix C. Joint Concept for Access and
Maneuver in Global Commons (JAM-GC)
(Previously Air-Sea Battle)
This appendix provides additional background information Joint Concept for Access and
Maneuver in the Global Commons (JAM-GC), previously known as Air-Sea Battle (ASB).
October 10, 2013, Hearing
On October 10, 2013, the Seapower and Projection Forces subcommittee of the House Armed
Services Committee held a hearing with several DOD officials as the witnesses that focused to a
large degree on the Air-Sea Battle concept.205 One of the witnesses—Rear Admiral Upper Half
James G. Foggo III, Assistant Deputy Chief of Naval Operations (Operations, Plans and Strategy)
(N3/N5B)—provided the following overview of ASB in his opening remarks:
So let me begin by answering the question, what is the AirSea Battle concept? The
AirSea Battle concept was approved by the Secretary of Defense in 2011. It is designed
to assure access to parts of the global commons, those areas of the AirSea, Cyberspace,
and Space that no one necessarily owns but which we all depend on such as sea lines of
communication.
Our adversaries’ Anti-Access/Area Denial strategies employ a range of military
capabilities that impede the free use of these ungoverned spaces. These military
capabilities include new generations of cruise, ballistic, air to air, surface to air missiles
with improved range, accuracy and lethality that are being produced and proliferated.
Quiet, modern submarines and stealthy fighter aircraft are being procured by many
nations while naval mines are being equipped with mobility, discrimination and
autonomy. Both space and cyberspace are becoming increasingly important and
contested.
Accordingly, AirSea Battle in its concept is intended to defeat such threats to access and
provide options to national leaders and military commanders to enable follow-on
operations which could include military activities as well as humanitarian assistance and
disaster response. In short, it is a new approach to warfare.
The AirSea Battle concept is also about force development in the face of rising
technological challenges. We seek to build at the service level a pre-integrated joint force
which empowers U.S. combatant commanders, along with allies and partners to engage
in ways that are cooperative and networked across multiple domains—the land, maritime,
air, space and cyber domains.
And our goal includes continually refining and institutionalizing these practices. When
implemented, the AirSea Battle concept will create and codify synergies within and
among our services that will enhance our collective war fighting capability and
effectiveness.
So that's, in a nutshell, what the AirSea Battle concept is. But now, what is it not? Sir,
you pointed out the AirSea Battle concept is not a strategy—to answer your question on
205
The title of the hearing as posted on the House Armed Services Committee website was: “USAF, USN and USMC
Development and Integration of Air/Sea Battle Strategy, Governance and Policy into the Services’ Annual Program,
Planning, Budgeting and Execution (PPBE) Process.”
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the difference between AirLand Battle and the AirSea Battle concept. National or
military strategies employs ways and means to a particular and/or end-state, such as
deterring conflict, containing conflict or winning conflict.
A concept in contrast is a description of a method or a scheme for employing military
capabilities to attain specific objectives at the operational level of war. The overarching
objective of the AirSea Battle concept is to gain and maintain freedom of action in the
global commons.
The AirSea Battle does not focus on a particular adversary or a region. It is universally
applicable across all geographic locations, and by addressing access challenges wherever,
however, and whenever we confront them.
I said earlier that the AirSea Battle represents a new approach to warfare. Here’s what I
meant by that. Historically, when deterrence fails, it’s our custom to amass large numbers
of resources, leverage our allies for a coalition support and base access or over flight and
build up an iron mountain of logistics, weapons and troops to apply overwhelming force
at a particular space and time of our choosing.
This approach of build up, rehearse and roll back has proven successful from Operation
Overlord in the beaches of Normandy in 1944 to Operation Iraqi Freedom in the Middle
East. But the 21st Century operating environment is changing. Future generations of
American service men and women will not fight their parents’ wars.
And so I'll borrow a quote from Abraham Lincoln, written in a letter to this House on 1
December, 1862 when he said, “We must think anew, act anew. We must disenthrall
ourselves from the past, and then we shall save our country.”
New military approaches are emerging specifically intended to counter our historical
methods of projecting power. Adversaries employing such an approach would seek to
prevent or deny our ability to aggregate forces by denying us a safe haven from which to
build up, rehearse, and roll back.
Anti-Access is defined as an action intended to slow deployment of friendly forces into a
theater or cause us to operate from longer distances than preferred. Area Denial impedes
friendly operations or maneuver in a theater where access cannot be prevented.
The AirSea Battle concept mitigates the threat of Anti-Access and Area Denial by creating
creating pockets and corridors under our control. The reason conflict in Libya, Operation Odyssey
Odyssey Dawn in 2011, is a good example of this paradigm shift.
Though AirSea Battle was still in development, the fundamental idea of leveraging
access in
one domain to provide advantage to our forces in another was understood and employed
employed against Libya’s modest Anti-Access/Area Denial capability.
On day one of combat operations, cruise missiles launched from submarines and surface
ships in the maritime domain targeted and destroyed Libya’s lethal air defense missile
systems; thereby enabling coalition forces to conduct unfettered follow-on strikes and
destroy the Libyan Air Force and control the air domain.
Establishing a no-fly zone, key to interdicting hostile regime actions against innocent
civilians—and that was our mission, to protect civilians—was effectively accomplished
within 48 hours of receiving the execution order from the President. I was the J3 or the
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operations officer for Admiral Sam Locklear, Commander of Joint Task Force, Odyssey
Dawn. And I transitioned from U.S.-led coalition operations to Operation Unified Protector
Protector as a taskforce commander for NATO.
During the entire campaign which lasted seven months, NATO reported in its UN After
Action Report that there were just under 18,000 sorties flown, employing 7,900 precision
guided munitions. That’s a lot. More than 200 Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles were
used,
over half of which came from submarines.
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The majority of the Libyan Regime Order of Battle, which included 800 main battle
tanks,
2,500 artillery pieces, 2,000 armored personnel carriers, 360 fixed wing fighters
and 85
transports were either disabled or destroyed during the campaign.
Not one American boot set foot on the ground; no Americans were killed in combat
operations. We lost one F-15 due to mechanical failure but we recovered both pilots
safely.
Muammar Gaddafi, as you know, was killed by Libyan rebels in October. 2011.
The AirSea Battle Concept, in its classified form, was completed in November 2011, one
month later. I provided Admiral Locklear with a copy of the AirSea Battle concept and we
we reviewed it on a trip to United Kingdom. Upon reading it, I thought back to the Libya
campaign plan and I wondered how I might leverage the concepts of AirSea Battle to fight
fight differently, to fight smarter.
Operation Odyssey Dawn accelerated from a non-combatant evacuation operation and
humanitarian assistance to kinetic operations in a very short period. There was very little
time for build-up and rehearse our forces. To coin a phrase from my boss, this was like a
pickup game of basketball. And we relied on the flexibility, innovation and resiliency of the
the commanders of the forces assigned to the joint taskforce.
The Libyan regime’s Anti Access Area Denial capability was limited as I said. And we were
were able to overwhelm and defeat it with the tools that we had. But we must prepare for
a more
stressing environment in the future. AirSea Battle does so, by providing
commanders with a
range of options, both kinetic and non-kinetic to mitigate or
neutralize challenges to access in
one or many domains simultaneously.
This is accomplished through development of networked integrated forces capable of attack
attack in-depth to disrupt, destroy and defeat the adversary. And it provides maximum operational
operational advantage to friendly joint and coalition forces. I'm a believer and so are the
rest of the flag
and general officers here at the table with me.189 206
DOD Unclassified Summary Released June 2013
On June 3, 2013, DOD released an unclassified summary of the Air-Sea Battle concept.190207 The
following pages reprint the document.
189206
Source: transcript of hearing.
Air-Sea Battle Office, Air-Sea Battle[:] Service Collaboration to Address Anti-Access & Area Denial Challenges,
May 2013, 12 pp., accessed July 5, 2013, at http://www.defense.gov/pubs/ASB-ConceptImplementation-SummaryMay-2013.pdf, and at http://navylive.dodlive.mil/files/2013/06/ASB-26-June-2013.pdf. The latter of these two URLs
provided a version with a smaller file size. For a DOD announcement of the document’s release, see Jason Kelly,
“Overview of the Air-Sea Battle Concept,” Navy Live, June 3, 2013, accessed July 5, 2013, at
http://navylive.dodlive.mil/2013/06/03/overview-of-the-air-sea-battle-concept/.
(continued...)
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(...continued)
DOD officials had discussed the ASB concept in earlier statements; for example:
Admiral Jonathan Greenert, the Chief of Naval Operations, and General Mark Welsh, the Chief of Staff of the Air
Force, discussed the ASB concept in a May 16, 2013, blog post; see Jonathan Greenert and Mark Welsh, “Breaking the
Kill Chain[:] How to Keep America in the Game When Our Enemies Are Trying to Shut Us Out,” Foreign Policy, May
16, 2013, accessed July 5, 2013, at http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/05/16/
breaking_the_kill_chain_air_sea_battle.
•207
General Norton Schwartz, then-Chief of Staff of the Air Force, and Admiral Jonathan Greenert, the Chief of
Naval Operations, discussed the ASB concept in a February 20, 2012, journal article; see Norton A. Schwartz
and Jonathan W. Greenert, “Air-Sea Battle, Promoting Stability In An Era of Uncertainty,” The American
Interest, February 20, 2012, accessed July 5, 2013, at http://www.the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?
piece=1212.
•
The Air-Sea Battle Office released a statement on the ASB concept on November 9, 2011; see “The Air-Sea
Battle Concept Summary,” accessed July 5, 2013, at http://www.navy.mil/search/display.asp?story_id=
63730.(continued...)
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(...continued)
63730.
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Press Reports
An August 20, 2012, press report stated that the ASB concept has prompted Navy officials to
make significant shifts in the service’s FY2014-FY2018 budget plan, including new investments
in ASW, electronic attack and electronic warfare, cyber warfare, the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter
(JSF), the P-8A maritime patrol aircraft, and the Broad Area Maritime Surveillance (BAMS) UAV
(a maritime version of the Global Hawk UAV). The report quoted Chief of Naval Operations
Jonathan Greenert as saying that the total value of the budget shifts was certainly in the hundreds
of millions of dollars, and perhaps in the “low billions” of dollars.191208
An August 2, 2012, press report on the ASB concept states:
When President Obama called on the U.S. military to shift its focus to Asia earlier this
year,
Andrew Marshall, a 91-year-old futurist, had a vision of what to do.
Marshall’s small office in the Pentagon has spent the past two decades planning for a war
against an angry, aggressive and heavily armed China.
No one had any idea how the war would start. But the American response, laid out in a
concept that one of Marshall’s longtime proteges dubbed “Air-Sea Battle,” was clear.
Stealthy American bombers and submarines would knock out China’s long-range
surveillance radar and precision missile systems located deep inside the country. The initial
initial “blinding campaign” would be followed by a larger air and naval assault.
The concept, the details of which are classified, has angered the Chinese military and has
been pilloried by some Army and Marine Corps officers as excessively expensive. Some
Asia analysts worry that conventional strikes aimed at China could spark a nuclear war.
Air-Sea Battle drew little attention when U.S. troops were fighting and dying in large
numbers in Iraq and Afghanistan. Now the military’s decade of battling insurgencies is
ending, defense budgets are being cut, and top military officials, ordered to pivot toward
Asia, are looking to Marshall’s office for ideas.
In recent months, the Air Force and Navy have come up with more than 200 initiatives they
they say they need to realize Air-Sea Battle. The list emerged, in part, from war games conducted
conducted by Marshall’s office and includes new weaponry and proposals to deepen cooperation
cooperation between the Navy and the Air Force....
Even as it has embraced Air-Sea Battle, the Pentagon has struggled to explain it without
inflaming already tense relations with China. The result has been an information vacuum that
that has sown confusion and controversy.
Senior Chinese military officials warn that the Pentagon’s new effort could spark an arms
race....
191
Christopher J. Castelli, “CNO: Air-Sea Battle Driving Acceleration Of Key Programs In POM-14,” Inside the Navy,
August 20, 2012. POM-14 is the Program Objective Memorandum (an internal DOD budget-planning document) for
the FY2014 DOD budget.
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Privately, senior Pentagon officials concede that Air-Sea Battle’s goal is to help U.S. forces
forces weather an initial Chinese assault and counterattack to destroy sophisticated radar and
and missile systems built to keep U.S. ships away from China’s coastline.
Their concern is fueled by the steady growth in China’s defense spending, which has
increased to as much as $180 billion a year, or about one-third of the Pentagon’s budget, and
and China’s increasingly aggressive behavior in the South China Sea.
208
Christopher J. Castelli, “CNO: Air-Sea Battle Driving Acceleration Of Key Programs In POM-14,” Inside the Navy,
August 20, 2012. POM-14 is the Program Objective Memorandum (an internal DOD budget-planning document) for
the FY2014 DOD budget.
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“We want to put enough uncertainty in the minds of Chinese military planners that they
would not want to take us on,” said a senior Navy official overseeing the service’s
modernization efforts. “Air-Sea Battle is all about convincing the Chinese that we will win
win this competition.”
Inside the Pentagon, the Army and Marine Corps have mounted offensives against the
concept, which could lead to less spending on ground combat.
An internal assessment, prepared for the Marine Corps commandant and obtained by The
Washington Post, warns that “an Air-Sea Battle-focused Navy and Air Force would be
preposterously expensive to build in peace time” and would result in “incalculable human
and economic destruction” if ever used in a major war with China.
The concept, however, aligns with Obama’s broader effort to shift the U.S. military’s focus
focus toward Asia and provides a framework for preserving some of the Pentagon’s most
sophisticated weapons programs, many of which have strong backing in Congress.192 209
An April 2012 press report that provides a historical account of the ASB concept states: “In truth,
the Air Sea Battle Concept is the culmination of a strategy fight that began nearly two decades
ago inside the Pentagon and U.S. government at large over how to deal with a single actor: the
People’s Republic of China.”193210 A November 10, 2011, press report states:
Military officials from the three services told reporters during a [November 9, 2011,
DOD]
background briefing that the concept is not directed at a single country. But they
did not
answer when asked what country other than China has developed advanced anti-accessantiaccess arms.
A senior Obama administration official was more blunt, saying the new concept is a
significant milestone signaling a new Cold War-style approach to China.
“Air Sea Battle is to China what the [U.S. Navy’s mid-1980s] maritime strategy was to the
the Soviet Union,” the official said.
During the Cold War, U.S. naval forces around the world used a strategy of global presence
presence and shows of force to deter Moscow’s advances.
“It is a very forward-deployed, assertive strategy that says we will not sit back and be
punished,” the senior official said. “We will initiate.”
192
The concept, according to defense officials, grew out of concerns that China’s new
precision-strike weapons threaten freedom of navigation in strategic waterways and other
global commons.
Defense officials familiar with the concept said among the ideas under consideration are:
Building a new long-range bomber.
Conducting joint submarine and stealth aircraft operations.
New jointly operated, long-range unmanned strike aircraft with up to 1,000-mile
ranges.
Using Air Force forces to protect naval bases and deployed naval forces.
Conducting joint Navy, Marine Corps and Air Force strikes inside China.
209
Greg Jaffe, “Real Tensions Over A Theoretical War,” Washington Post, August 2, 2012: 1.
Bill Gertz, “China’s High-Tech Military Threat and What We’re Doing About It,” Commentary, April 2012: 15-21.
The quoted passage is from page 16. See also Yoichi Kato, “Japan’s Response to New U.S. Defense Strategy:
“Welcome, But ... ” Asahi Shimbun, March 9, 2012, accessed online at http://ajw.asahi.com/article/behind_news/
politics/AJ201203090025.
193210
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The concept, according to defense officials, grew out of concerns that China’s new precisionstrike weapons threaten freedom of navigation in strategic waterways and other global
commons.
Defense officials familiar with the concept said among the ideas under consideration are:
•
Building a new long-range bomber.
•
Conducting joint submarine and stealth aircraft operations.
•
New jointly operated, long-range unmanned strike aircraft with up to 1,000-mile ranges.
•
Using Air Force forces to protect naval bases and deployed naval forces.
•
Conducting joint Navy, Marine Corps and Air Force strikes inside China.
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Using Air Force aircraft to deploy sea mines.
•
Joint Air Force and Navy attacks against Chinese anti-satellite missiles inside China.
•
Increasing the mobility of satellites to make attacks more difficult.
•
Launching joint Navy and Air Force cyber-attacks on Chinese anti-access forces.194211
An October 12, 2011, press report states that
The Pentagon is engaged in a behind-the-scenes political fight over efforts to soften, or
entirely block, a new military-approved program to bolster U.S. forces in Asia.
The program is called the Air Sea Battle concept and was developed in response to more
than 100 war games since the 1990s that showed U.S. forces, mainly air and naval power, are
are not aligned to win a future war with China.
A senior defense official said Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta is reviewing the new
strategy.
“We want to do this right,” the official said. “The concept is on track and is being refined to
to ensure that we are able to implement it wherever we need to—including in the Asia-Pacific
AsiaPacific region, where American force projection is essential to our alliances and
interests.”
The official noted that the program is “the product of unprecedented collaboration by the
services.”
Pro-defense Members of Congress aware of the political fight are ready to investigate. One
One aide said Congress knows very little about the concept and is awaiting details.
Officially, the Pentagon has said the new strategy is not directed at China.
But officials familiar with the classified details said it is designed to directly address the
growing threat to the United States and allies in Asia posed by what the Pentagon calls
194
Bill Gertz, “Battle Concept Signals Cold War Posture On China,” Washington Times, November 10, 2011: 13.
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China’s “anti-access” and “area denial” weapons—high-technology arms that China has
been building in secret for the past several decades....
The U.S. response in the Air Sea Battle concept is said to be a comprehensive program to
protect the “global commons” used by the United States and allies in Asia from Chinese
military encroachment in places such as the South China Sea, western Pacific and areas of
of Northeast Asia.
The highly classified program, if approved in its current form, will call for new weapons and
and bases, along with non-military means. Plans for new weapons include a long-range
bomber.
Other systems and elements of the program are not known....
However, defense officials said China’s government was alerted to some aspects of the
concept earlier this year when the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments think tank
tank presented its own concept for a new warfighting strategy against China.
Andrew Krepinevich, the center’s director who recently left the Pentagon’s Defense Policy
Policy Board, could not be reached for comment.
As a result of the disclosure, China launched a major propaganda and influence campaign to
to derail it. The concept was raised in several meetings between Chinese and U.S.
officials,
with the Chinese asserting that the concept is a sign the Pentagon does not favor military
military relations and views China as an enemy.
211
Bill Gertz, “Battle Concept Signals Cold War Posture On China,” Washington Times, November 10, 2011: 13.
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Officials in the Obama administration who fear upsetting China also are thought to have
intervened, and their opposition led Mr. Panetta to hold up final approval.
The final directive in its current form would order the Air Force and the Navy to develop and
and implement specific programs as part of the concept. It also would include proposals for
for defense contractors to support the concept.195212
An October 2011 magazine article stated:
AirSea Battle emerged from a memorandum between the air and sea services in 2009. The
The Air Force and Navy realized sophisticated threats involving high technology,
networked air
defenses, modern ballistic missile, and sea and air capabilities, and anti-spaceantispace weapons
required the services to marry up many of their respective strengths. The
plan, which has
received a great amount of attention since the 2010 Quadrennial Defense
Review, mandated
the creation of an operations concept to protect US and allied access
to certain areas in the
world while also protecting forward-based assets and bases....
Both services are said to be fully on board with the plan, and to weed out duplication,
officers from each branch have been cleared to see “all the black programs,” or classified
projects, of the other service as the ASB plan has matured....
The plan had been vetted by both services by June [2011], and is awaiting blessing from the
the Office of the Secretary of Defense.... Service officials have been predicting a formal release
release of more information on the doctrine for months as well.
195
Bill Gertz, “Inside the Ring,” Washington Times, October 12, 2011 (item entitled “Air Sea Battle Fight”).
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As early as Feb. 17 [2011], Lt. Gen. Herbert J. Carlisle, the Air Force’s deputy chief of staff
staff for operations, plans, and requirements, had said a public document explaining the outlines
outlines of ASB in detail would occur “possibly within two weeks.” The now-retired
Chief of Naval
Operations Adm. Gary Roughead told reporters in Washington in March
he expected to
release details on ASB in “a few weeks,” as the service Chiefs of the
Marines Corps, USAF,
and Navy were “basically done” with their work on the concept.
The majority of the plan
will remain classified, he added, “as it should be.”196 213
A sidebar to this magazine article stated:
The AirSea Battle rollout was repeatedly delayed over the course of 2011. According to
Office of the Secretary of Defense and Air Force officials, new Secretary of Defense
Leon E.
Panetta is reviewing the ASB plan—a sort of executive summary of the overall operations
operations concept (which, as of early September, remains classified).
However, then-Vice Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Jonathan W. Greenert, now the
CNO,
told the House Armed Services Committee in late July he expected a release of unclassified
unclassified portions of the plan soon.
The AirSea Battle concept was signed by the USAF, Navy, and Marine Corps service
Chiefs,
and the Air Force and Navy Secretaries on June 2 and “forwarded to the
[Secretary of
Defense] for approval,” the Air Force said in a brief official statement Aug.
2.
Previous Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, who departed July 1, had the document in his
his possession and had told senior Air Force officials he would sign it before his
departure. In
late July, however, Air Force and DOD officials privately indicated the
concept was held up
in OSD’s policy shop, and Gates did not sign the document before
leaving the Pentagon.
212
213
Bill Gertz, “Inside the Ring,” Washington Times, October 12, 2011 (item entitled “Air Sea Battle Fight”).
Marc V. Schanz, “AirSea Battle’s Turbulent Year,” Air Force Magazine, October 2011: 32-33.
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Air Force and defense officials have indicated both publicly and privately that there are
strong international political considerations at play. Spin “concern” has likely contributed to
to the delay in officially rolling out the AirSea Battle concept. In late July, USAF officials
officials privately indicated that there is a great deal of concern within OSD about how
China will
perceive and react to the concept.197214
A September 29, 2011, press report on a reported new DOD Defense Planning Guidance (DPG)
document quoted “a senior defense official” as stating: “It seems clear that there will be increased
emphasis on [the] AirSea Battle approach going forward.”198215
A July 26, 2011, press report, stated:
U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta is reviewing an Air Force-Navy battle concept that was
was ordered by the Pentagon last year in response to China’s military buildup and Iran’s
advanced weapons, Vice Chief of Naval Operations Admiral Jonathan Greenert said
today.
The Navy and Air Force have submitted to Panetta the equivalent of an executive summary
summary of the battle concept with the intent to release unclassified portions within weeks, depending
196
Marc V. Schanz, “AirSea Battle’s Turbulent Year,” Air Force Magazine, October 2011: 32-33.
“An ASB Summer,” Air Force Magazine, October 2011: 33.
198
Christopher J. Castelli, “DOD Aims To Boost Investment In Capabilities For Major-Power War,” Inside the
Pentagon, September 29, 2011.
197
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weeks, depending on Panetta’s reaction, Greener told a House Armed Services readiness
panel and a
Bloomberg News reporter after the hearing.
The plan aims to combine the strengths of the Navy and Air Force to enable long-range
strikes. It may employ a new generation of bombers, a new cruise missile and drones
launched from aircraft carriers. The Navy also is increasing funding to develop new
unmanned submarines.199216
A June 10, 2011, press report stated that “while defense officials publicly insist that the military’s
new AirSea Battle concept, a study meant to reshape the way the U.S. military fights future wars,
is not focused on China, one Navy team is quietly contradicting their claims. The group, called
the China Integration Team, is hard at work applying the lessons of the study to a potential
conflict with China, say sources familiar with the effort.” The report also stated that “though
sources familiar with the study have said that the first draft of the concept has been completed,
those same sources highlighted that the project is ongoing—something that official spokesmen
have stressed as well.”200217 A January 10, 2011, press report stated that “the AirSea Battle concept
study, meant to outline the future of Navy and Air Force operations in anti-access environments,
is near completion and is being briefed to Navy Secretary Ray Mabus and Air Force Secretary
Michael Donley this month, according to sources familiar with the study.”201
199218
214
“An ASB Summer,” Air Force Magazine, October 2011: 33.
Christopher J. Castelli, “DOD Aims To Boost Investment In Capabilities For Major-Power War,” Inside the
Pentagon, September 29, 2011.
216
Tony Capaccio, “Panetta Reviewing Air-Sea Battle Plan Summary, Greenert Says,” Bloomberg News, July 26,
2011.
200217
Andrew Burt and Christopher J. Castelli, “Despite Improved Ties, China Weighs Heavily In Pentagon’s War
Planning,” Inside the Navy, June 13, 2011.
201218
Andrew Burt, “Final AirSea Study Being Briefed To Mabus And Donley This Month,” Inside the Navy, January 10,
2011. See also David Fulghum, “Money Walks? Service Leaders Fight to Explain, Justify AirSea Battle Strategy,”
Aviation Week & Space Technology, June 4/11, 2012: 71; Philip DuPree and Jordan Thomas, “Air-Sea Battle: Clearing
the Fog,” Armed Forces Journal, June 2012; John Callaway, “The Operational Art of Air-Sea Battle,” Center for
International Maritime Security (http://cimsec.org), July 18, 2014.
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Appendix C. Article by CNO Greenert on Navy’s
Rebalancing D. 2012 Article on Navy’s Rebalancing
Toward Asia-Pacific
This appendix presents the text of a November 14, 2012, article by Admiral Jonathan Greenert
that provides an overview of,
then Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), on Navy activities associated with the U.S. strategic
rebalancing toward
the Asia-Pacific. The article states:
Our nation’s security priorities, and our military, are in transition. In the Middle East, we
ended the war in Iraq and are reducing ground troops in Afghanistan with the shift of
security responsibilities to Kabul. At home we are reassessing our military’s size and
composition as we seek to align our spending with our resources. And around the world we
we face a range of new security challenges, from continued upheaval in the Arab world to the
the imperative of sustaining our leadership in the Asia-Pacific. These challenges place a
premium on the flexibility and small ground footprint of naval forces, which are being
deployed longer and more often to advance our nation’s interests.
The Department of Defense’s January 2012 strategic guidance, Sustaining U.S. Global
Leadership - Priorities for 21st Century Defense, addressed this new environment and our
security priorities in it. Overall, the strategy focuses on important regions and current
readiness and agility, while accepting reduced capacity and level of effort in less critical
missions. In particular, the strategy directed that our military rebalance toward the AsiaPacific while continuing to support our partners in the Middle East. Naval forces will be at
at the heart of both efforts.
After two decades of ground conflict in the Middle East, our security concerns and ability to
to project power in the region both center on the sea. U.S. ground forces continue to draw down
down in Afghanistan and around the region, so our commanders increasingly rely on
naval aircraft
to support and protect troops. Meanwhile, Iranian leaders speak
provocatively about
impacting maritime traffic throughout the Arabian Gulf. In response,
we turned to maritime
forces, doubling our minesweeping forces in the Gulf and
deploying an additional carrier
strike group to the region.
The focus of our rebalance, the Asia-Pacific, is fundamentally a maritime region. Our friends
friends there depend on the sea for their food and energy, while more than 90 percent of
trade by
volume makes its way through the region over the water. Maritime security for Pacific
Pacific nations is a matter of economic survival. Militarily, the vast maritime distances in
the region
make access via the sea essential to deterring and defeating aggression. Our
fleet deployed in
the Asia-Pacific will exploit the mobility of being at sea to project
power against aggressors
and avoid attacks, while their reinforcements and supplies will
arrive via the ocean from the
United States or regional bases.
The importance of the Asia-Pacific, and the Navy’s attention to it, is not new. Five of our
seven treaty allies are in the region, as well as six of the world’s top 20 economies. We have
have maintained an active and robust presence in the Asia-Pacific for more than 70 years
and built
deep and enduring relationships with allies and partners there. While we remain
present and
engaged in the Middle East to address today’s challenges, the Navy will build
on its
longstanding Asia-Pacific focus by rebalancing in four main ways: deploying more
forces to
the Asia-Pacific; basing more ships and aircraft in the region; fielding new capabilities
capabilities focused on Asia-Pacific challenges; and developing partnerships and
intellectual capital
across the region.
Deploying more forces to the Asia-Pacific
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The most visible element of our rebalance toward the Asia-Pacific region will be an increase
increase in day-to-day military presence. Although it is not the only way we are
rebalancing, forces
operating in the region show our commitment to the Asia-Pacific and provide a full-time
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provide a full-time capability to support our allies and partners. About half of the
deployed fleet is in the
Pacific—50 ships on any given day. These ships and their
embarked Marines and aircraft
train with our allies and partners, reinforce freedom of
navigation, and deter conflict. They
are also the “first responders” to large-scale crises
such as the Great East Asian Earthquake
and Tsunami in 2011.
The long distance between the continental United States and Asia makes it inefficient to
rotate ships and aircraft overseas for six to nine months at a time. To avoid this transit time
time and build greater ties with our partners and allies, more than 90 percent of our forces
in the
Asia-Pacific are there permanently or semi-permanently. For example, about half
of our 50
deployed ships are permanently home-ported in Japan and Guam along with
their crews and
families. Our logistics and support ships use rotating civilian or military
crews to obtain
more presence for the same number of ships.
Although we plan to reduce our future budgets, the Navy will continue to increase its
presence in the Asia-Pacific region. The benchmark year of the Defense Strategic Guidance
Guidance is 2020, and by then the Navy Fleet will grow to approximately 295 ships.
This, combined
with the impacts of our plans for operations and basing, will increase the
day-to-day naval
presence in the Asia-Pacific by about 20 percent, to 60 ships by 2020.
In addition to growing
the fleet, three factors will allow us to increase the number of
ships in the Asia-Pacific by
2020:
First, we will permanently base four destroyers in Rota, Spain over the next several years to
to help defend our European allies from ballistic missiles. Today we do this mission with 10
10 destroyers that travel in rotation to the Mediterranean from the United States. The six
destroyers freed up in the process will then be able to rotationally deploy to the Asia-PacificAsiaPacific.
Second, new Joint High Speed Vessels (JHSV) and Littoral Combat Ships (LCS) under
construction today will enter the fleet and take on security cooperation and humanitarian
assistance missions in South America and Africa, allowing the destroyers and amphibious
ships we use today for those missions to deploy to the Asia-Pacific. These amphibious ships
ships will begin deploying instead to the Asia-Pacific in the next few years to support Marine
Marine operations, including those from Darwin, Australia. Additionally, the new JHSV
and LCS
are also better suited to the needs of our partners in Africa and South America.
Third, we will field more ships that spend the majority of their time forward by using
rotating civilian or military crews. These include the JHSV, LCS, and our new Mobile
Landing Platforms and Afloat Forward Staging Bases (AFSB).
In addition to more ship presence in the Asia-Pacific, we will increase our deployments of
of aircraft there and expand cooperative air surveillance operations with regional
partners.
Today we fly cooperative missions from Australia, the Philippines, and
Thailand, where we
build our shared awareness of activities on the sea by either bringing
partner personnel on
board or sharing the surveillance information with them. We may
expand these operations in
the future to new partners concerned about threats from
piracy, trafficking, and fisheries
violations. To expand our surveillance capacity, the
Navy version of the MQ-4 Global Hawk
unmanned air vehicle will operate from Guam
when it enters the fleet in the middle of this
decade.
Basing more ships and aircraft in the region
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To support our increased presence in the Asia-Pacific, we will grow the fraction of ships and
and aircraft based on the U.S. West Coast and in the Pacific from today’s 55 percent to 60
60 percent by 2020. This distribution will allow us to continue to meet the needs of
Europe,
South America, and West Africa while more efficiently providing additional
presence and
capacity in the Asia-Pacific.
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Each ship that operates from an overseas port provides full-time presence and
engagement in
the region and delivers more options for Combatant Commanders and
political leaders. It
also frees up ships that would otherwise be needed to support a
rotational deployment.
Today, we have about two dozen ships home-ported in Guam and
Japan. In 2013, with the
USS Freedom, we will begin operating Littoral Combat Ships
from Singapore, eventually
growing to four ships by 2017. The LCS will conduct
maritime security operations with
partner navies throughout Southeast Asia and instead
of rotationally deploying to the region,
the ships will stay overseas and their crews will
rotate in from the United States, increasing
the presence delivered by each ship.
Fielding new capabilities focused on Asia-Pacific challenges
We will also bolster the capabilities we send to the Asia-Pacific. Using the approach
described in the Air-Sea Battle concept and in concert with the U.S. Air Force, we will
sustain our ability to project power in the face of access challenges such as cruise and
ballistic missiles, submarines, and sophisticated anti-air weapons. Air-Sea Battle’s operations
operations to disrupt, destroy, and defeat anti-access threats will be essential to maintain
the credibility
of our security commitments and ability to deter aggression around the
world. Our improved
capabilities will span the undersea, surface, and air environments.
Undersea
The Navy’s dominance in the undersea domain provides the United States a significant
advantage over potential adversaries. Our undersea capabilities enable strike and anti-surface
antisurface warfare in otherwise denied areas and exploit the relative lack of capability of our potential
potential adversaries at anti-submarine warfare. We will sustain our undersea advantage
in part
through continued improvements in our own anti-submarine warfare capability,
such as
replacing the 1960s-era P-3 Orion maritime patrol aircraft with the longer range
and greatly
improved sensors of the P-8A Poseidon.
We will also field improved platforms and systems that exploit the undersea domain for
power projection and surveillance. In the coming years, newer, multi-mission Virginia-class
Virginiaclass submarines with dramatically improved sensors and combat systems will continue
to replace
aging Los Angeles-class submarines. With their conversion from Cold War-era ballistic
ballistic missile submarines, our four Ohio-class guided missile submarines (SSGN) are
now our
most significant power projection platforms. During Operation Unified
Protector, USS
Florida launched over 100 Tomahawk missiles at Libyan air defenses to
help establish a “noflyno-fly” zone. When she and her counterparts retire in the mid 2020s, the
Virginia-class
submarine “payload module” will replace their striking capacity with the
ability to carry up
to 40 precision-strike cruise missiles, unmanned vehicles, or a mix of
other payloads.
Improved sensors and new unmanned systems allow us to augment the reach and persistence
persistence of manned submarines, and are essential to our continued domination of the undersea
undersea environment. These unmanned vehicles will enhance the persistence of
undersea sensing,
and expand its reach into confined and shallow waters that are
currently inaccessible to other
systems. This will enable detection of threats, for example,
to undersea infrastructure.
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Surface
But undersea forces have limited effectiveness at visible, day-to-day missions such as
security cooperation, humanitarian assistance, missile defense, and freedom of
navigation.
Surface ships will continue to conduct these operations and show our
presence in the AsiaPacificAsia-Pacific. Our surface fleet and embarked personnel will continue to
be the most versatile
element of the naval force, building partner capacity and improving
security in peacetime
and transitioning to sea control and power projection in conflict.
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Their credibility and their
ability to execute these missions depends on their ability to
defeat improving threats,
especially anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCM) and anti-ship
ballistic missiles (ASBM).
We will defeat ASCMs at long range using an integrated fire control system that combines
combines the proven Aegis weapon system and upgraded airborne early warning aircraft
with new
long-range anti-air missiles on cruisers and destroyers. To defeat ASCMs at
short range, the
Navy is upgrading point-defense missiles and electronic warfare systems
to destroy
incoming missiles or cause them to miss by deceiving and jamming their
seekers.
Navy forces will defeat ASBMs by countering each link in the operational chain of events
events required for an adversary to find, target, launch, and complete an attack on a ship
with a
ballistic missile. The Navy is fielding new systems that jam, decoy, or confuse the
wide-area
surveillance systems needed to find and target ships at long range. To shoot
down an ASBM
once launched, the fleet will employ the Aegis ballistic missile defense
system and SM-3
missile. And, to prevent an ASBM from completing an attack, the
Navy is fielding new
missiles and electronic warfare systems over the next several years
that will destroy, jam, or
decoy the ASBM warhead as it approaches the ship.
To improve the ability of surface forces to project power, we will field new long-range
surface-to-surface missiles aboard cruisers and destroyers in the next decade and improve
our ability to send troops ashore as new San Antonio-class amphibious ships replace their
smaller and less-capable 30-year-old predecessors over the next two years.
Air
The Navy and Air Force will improve their integrated ability to defeat air threats and project
project power in the face of improving surveillance and air defense systems. This
evolution involves
the blending of new and existing technology and the complementary
use of electronic
warfare, stealth, and improved, longer-range munitions. The carrier air
wing in Japan
recently finished upgrading to F/A-18 E/F Super Hornet strike fighters
with improved
jamming and sensor systems and the new E/A-18G Growler electronic
attack aircraft. This
air wing will also be the first to incorporate the F-35C Lightning II,
which will enable new
operational concepts that combine the F-35C’s stealth and sensor
capability with the payload
capacity of the F/A-18 E/F to project power against the most
capable air defense systems.
Developing partnerships and intellectual capital
Perhaps most importantly, rebalancing the Navy’s emphasis toward the Asia-Pacific region
region includes efforts to expand and mature our partnerships and establish greater
intellectual focus
on Asia-Pacific security challenges.
First, we are increasing the depth and breadth of our alliances and partnerships in the AsiaPacific
Asia-Pacific. Our relationships in the region are the reason for our engagement there and
are the
foundation of our rebalanced national security efforts. Our connection with Asia-Pacific
AsiaPacific allies starts at the top. Our naval headquarters and command facilities are
integrated with
those of Japan and South Korea and we are increasing the integration of
our operating forces
by regularly conducting combined missions in areas including anti-submarine warfare and
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antisubmarine warfare and ballistic missile defense. We are also establishing over the next
year a headquarters in
Singapore for our ships that will operate there.
We build our relationships with operational experience. The Navy conducts more than 170
170 exercises and 600 training events there every year with more than 20 allies and
partners—
and the number of events and partners continues to grow. Our 2012 Rim of the Pacific
Pacific Exercise, or “RIMPAC,” was the world’s largest international maritime exercise, involving
involving more than 40 ships and submarines, 200 aircraft, and more than 25,000 sailors
from two
dozen Asia-Pacific countries. This year RIMPAC included several new partners, such as
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partners, such as Russia and India. It also incorporated naval officers from Canada,
Australia, and Chile as
leaders of exercise task forces. Like our other exercises, RIMPAC
practices a range of
operations, building partner capacity in missions such as maritime
security and humanitarian
assistance while enhancing interoperability with allies in
sophisticated missions such as antisubmarineanti-submarine and surface warfare and missile defense.
Second, we are refocusing attention on the Asia-Pacific in developing and deploying our
intellectual talent. The Naval War College is the nation’s premier academic center on the
region and continues to grow its programs on Asian security, while the Naval Postgraduate
Postgraduate School expanded its programs devoted to developing political and technical expertise
expertise relevant to the Asia-Pacific. We continue to carefully screen and send our most talented
talented people to operate and command ships and squadrons in the Asia-Pacific.
Third, as described above, the Navy is sharpening its focus on military capabilities
needed in
the Asia-Pacific. Most important is the ability to assure access, given the
distances involved
in the region and our treaty alliances there. Having a credible ability to
maintain operational
access is critical to our security commitments in the region and the
diplomatic and economic
relationships those commitments underpin. We are developing
the doctrine, training and
know-how to defeat access threats such as submarines and
cruise and ballistic missiles
through our Air-Sea Battle concept. With Air-Sea Battle, we
are pulling together the
intellectual effort in needed areas, including intelligence and
surveillance, cyber operations,
anti-submarine warfare, ballistic missile defense, air
defense, and electronic warfare. The
Air-Sea Battle Office leads this effort with more
than a dozen personnel representing each
military service.
Our credibility in these missions rests on the proficiency our forces deployed every day in
the Asia-Pacific. We increased our live-fire training in air defense and in surface and antisubmarine
anti-submarine warfare by more than 50 percent, and expanded the number and
sophistication of
training events we conduct in theater with our partners and allies. For
example, in RIMPAC
2012, U.S. allies and partners shot 26 torpedoes and more than 50
missiles from aircraft and
ships against a range of targets and decommissioned ships.
A Global Fleet
Even as we rebalance to the Asia-Pacific, the Navy will remain engaged around the
world.
We will maintain our presence to deter and respond to aggression in support of our partners
partners in the Middle East. In Europe we will build our alliance relationships. Our
basing of ballistic
missile defense destroyers to Spain is part of this effort, as an element
of the overall
European Phased Adaptive Approach. The home-porting of U.S. ships in
Europe will yield
greater opportunities for integration with European forces as well.
In South America and Africa we will shift, as the Defense Strategic Guidance directs, to
“innovative, low-cost approaches,” including JHSV, AFSB, and LCS. In contrast to our
approach today, which is to send the destroyers and amphibious ships we have when
available, these new ships will be better suited to operations in these regions and will be
available full-time thanks to their rotational crews.
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The Asia-Pacific will become increasingly important to our national prosperity and
security.
It is home to the world’s largest and most dynamic economies, growing reserves
of natural
resources, and emerging security concerns. Naval forces, with their mobility
and relevance in
peacetime and conflict, are uniquely poised to address these challenges
and opportunities and
sustain our leadership in the region. With our focus on partnerships
and innovative
approaches, including new ships, forward homeporting, and rotational
crewing, the Navy can
rebalance toward the Asia-Pacific while being judicious with the
nation’s resources. We will
grow our fleet in the Asia-Pacific, rebalance our basing,
improve our capabilities, and focus
intellectually on the region. This will sustain our
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credibility to deter aggression, preserve
freedom of maritime access, and protect the
economic livelihood of America and our
friends.202 219
Author Contact Information
Ronald O'Rourke
Specialist in Naval Affairs
rorourke@crs.loc.gov, 7-7610
202219
Jonathan Greenert, “Sea Change, The Navy Pivots to Asia,” Foreign Policy (www.foreignpolicy.com), November
14, 2012.
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