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Sudan

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May 20, 2015 Sudan: an OverviewUpdated January 17, 2019 Sudan When unified (1956-2011), Sudan was Africa’s largest nationcountry by area, and the site of its longest -running civil war. In 2011, after decades of fighting broadly described as a a conflict between the predominately Muslim “Arab” Muslim north and “African” Christian and animist south, Sudan split in two. Mistrust between Sudan and South Sudan lingers, and unresolved disputes still threaten to pull the two countries back to war. The north-southsouth, Sudan split in two. The split did not resolve other simmering Sudanese conflicts, notably in Darfur, Blue Nile, and Southern Kordofanin Darfur, Southern Kordofan, and Blue Nile. Overlapping struggles between security forces and armed groups, among ethnic groups, and between nomadic and farming communities have caused nomadic and farming communities, and among ethnic groups have caused extensive displacement and human suffering. Across the country, social tensions, economic pressures, and political dissent pose ongoing challenges for Sudan’s Islamist government, which came to power through a coup in 1989. Figure 1. Sudan Key Facts The secession of South Sudan and suffering. Across Sudan, economic pressures, social tensions, and dissent present challenges for the Islamist government of President Omar al Bashir, who came to power in a 1989 coup. Nationwide anti-government protests in early 2019 suggest growing pressure for regime change. South Sudan’s secession was a major financial blow to Sudan, which lost 75% of its oil production, two-thirds of its export earnings, and more than half its fiscal revenues. The cost of waging war on multiple fronts compounds Sudan’s economic troubles and, along with allegations of political repression, fuels domestic criticism of the government and periodic protests. Military operations against restive regions continue to draw international condemnation and have prevented Sudan from improving relations with many countries, including the United States. U.S. sanctions limit Sudan’s access to U.S. dollars and impede its access to international financial markets and institutions. Sudan has taken several conspicuous steps to repair relations with key Arab Gulf countries, which are important sources of investment. Those relations had cooled in recent years amid concern over Sudan’s ties to Iran and its perceived support for the Muslim Brotherhood. National Congress Party (NCP) formed a unity government. Southern Sudanese voted overwhelmingly in January 2011 to secede and achieved independence in July of that year. Background Northern-led regimes espousing Islamist ideals have dominated Sudan since independence, often pressing policies to force distant provinces to conform to the center, Khartoum, rather than accommodating local customs and institutions. Instead of forging a common national identity, these policies exacerbated Sudan’s racial, cultural, and religious differences. Government attempts to Arabize and Islamize the countryside were resisted by southerners and other marginalized groups, sparking two related southern insurgencies (1955-1972 and 1983-2005). Groups in other regions rose up periodically, citing local grievances, and some, in the central states of Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile, joined the southern rebellion, the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A). The north-south warover half its fiscal revenues. A large security sector budget, mismanagement, and corruption all compound Sudan’s economic troubles, which spur periodic protests and domestic criticism of the government. The International Monetary Fund assesses that U.S. economic sanctions, imposed in 1997, also undermined economic stability and growth. Major U.S. enforcement actions for sanctions violations in 2014-2015 significantly reduced Sudan’s access to U.S. dollars and further impeded its access to international financial markets and institutions. Sudan has long sought relief from U.S. sanctions, and the outgoing Obama Administration announced a move to ease them in January 2017, after determining that Sudan had taken positive steps over a six-month period in five key areas: enhancing counterterrorism cooperation; addressing the threat of a regional armed group, the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA); ceasing negative interference in South Sudan; ceasing hostilities in conflict zones; and improving humanitarian access. President Trump permanently revoked the economic sanctions in October 2017. Some U.S. restrictions remain, including on debt relief and based on a state sponsor of terrorism designation—the latter is now the focus of “Phase II” of a bilateral engagement framework. Background Despite Sudan’s diversity, northern-led regimes espousing Islamist ideals have dominated government since independence, often pressing distant provinces to conform to the center, Khartoum, rather than accommodating local customs and institutions. Instead of forging a national identity, these policies exacerbated Sudan’s racial, cultural, and religious differences. Attempts to Arabize and Islamize the countryside were resisted by southerners and other marginalized groups and sparked insurgencies in the south. Groups in other regions rose up periodically, citing local grievances. Some in the central states of Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile joined the southern rebellion, the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A). Figure 1. Sudan Key Facts Source: Fact information from CIA World Factbook and IMF, 2018. The north-south wars took a heavy toll on both sides. In 2005, the government and the SPLM signed the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA), which enshrined the south’s right to self-determination after a six -year “interim period,” during which the SPLM and the ruling National Congress Party (NCP) formed a unity government. Southern Sudanese voted overwhelmingly in January 2011 to secede and achieved independence in July of that year. The CPA failed to resolve several contentious issues, and talks continuehave continued on border disputes and related security issues, debts, and once-shared resources, such as oil. Sudan and South Sudan signed partial deals on security and economic cooperation in 2012, but the deployment of a joint monitoring mission to ensure the demilitarization of the border has been repeatedly delayed. The proximity of rebel activity in Sudan’s “new south” complicates border demilitarization, as does the unresolved status of contested areas such as the disputed Abyei region. Abyei was accorded special semi-autonomous status in the CPA, and it has repeatedly been a flashpoint for violence. A The proximity of Sudanese rebel activity to the border complicated its demilitarization after separation, as did the unresolved status of contested areas, notably Abyei, which was granted special semi-autonomous status in the CPA. An official referendum for Abyei residents on whether to retain their special status in Sudan or join South Sudan was slated for 2011 but has been delayed by voter eligibility disputesindefinitely delayed. The deployment of the U.N. Interim Force for Abyei (UNISFA) defused a violent stand-off between Sudan and South Sudan in 2011, but local tensions persist and still have the potential to spur a larger conflict. Relations between Sudan and South Sudan improved in 2018. A long-delayed joint border monitoring mission is now semi-operational, though there has been little progress on border demarcation. Sudan surprised many by mediating a new peace deal between warring parties in South Sudan mid-year. If the deal holds it would allow a resumption of oil production in fields shut by South Sudan’s civil war, generating needed revenue for both Khartoum and Jubapotential to draw the two Sudans back into conflict. Their armed forces have engaged in minor clashes sporadically since separation, and South Sudan periodically accuses Sudan of air strikes on its territory. Those strikes reportedly target Sudanese rebels that Khartoum accuses South Sudan of harboring. Ongoing Conflicts The CPA did not resolve Sudan’s long-standinglongstanding centerperiphery tensions. Khartoum has continued to respond to responded to the political demands of restive regions more often with force than with substantive reformreform, and has financed local Arab militias to help help counter insurgencies. These militias are widely criticized for The militias have been linked to indiscriminate and disproportionate attacks against civilians. The government also continues aerial bombings in Darfur, in violation of on civilians. Sudan has conducted aerial attacks in Darfur in violation of U.N. Security Council resolution 1591 (2005), and has been accused of targeting hospitals in both Darfur and Southern Kordofan. www.crs.gov | 7-5700 Sudan: an Overview resolution 1591 (2005). https://crsreports.congress.gov Sudan Darfur. More than a decade after the George W. Bush Administration declared genocide in Darfur in 2004, widespread violence still plagues the region. Fighting in among communities, armed groups, and the military has escalated since early 2013, causing displacement on a scale not seen since the first years of the conflict. The 2011 Doha Document for Peace in Darfur has not stemmed the violence. Insecurity and government restrictions limit access by peacekeepers and humanitarian groups to affected communities. Attacks by armed groups against civilians, peacekeepers, and relief workers are a major problem— more than 60 peacekeepers have been killed in Darfur. The credibility of the African Union-U.N. Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID) has been questioned amid allegations that it has self-censored its reporting on crimes against civilians and peacekeepers, and the mission is under pressure from Khartoum to develop an exit strategy. In 2005, the U.N. Security Council granted the International Criminal Court (ICC) jurisdiction over serious crimes committed in Darfur. It was the first case the Council referred to the Court. Ten years later, the ICC has yet to commence a trial, and five ICCviolence still plagues the region. Fighting reportedly displaced as many as 265,000 Darfuris in the first half of 2016, primarily in the Jebel Marra area, a long-time rebel stronghold. After a major offensive, the government declared Darfur free of rebellion in April 2016, and on June 30, 2016 it declared a unilateral ceasefire in Darfur and in Blue Nile and Southern Kordofan. U.N. monitors suggest the military conducted aerial bombardments in Jebel Marra into late 2016, however. Sporadic skirmishes, insecurity, and government restrictions continue to limit access by aid workers and peacekeepers to some areas. Direct clashes between the military and the Darfur rebels quieted after the 2016 offensive, but there has been little progress in the peace process. U.N. monitors report that significant clashes between government forces and one rebel faction resumed in 2018; other rebels have withdrawn to Libya to regroup. Intercommunal clashes in Darfur continue, as do attacks by armed groups on civilians, peacekeepers, and aid workers. In this context, there has been debate within the U.N. Security Council over pressure from Khartoum to end the African Union-U.N. Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID). The Council agreed in 2017 to reconfigure the mission and in 2018 authorized a significant troop reduction (to just over 4,000 troops by mid-2019), with UNAMID’s possible exit in June 2020. The ICC. In 2005, the U.N. Security Council granted the International Criminal Court (ICC) jurisdiction over serious crimes committed in Darfur. Over a decade later, the ICC has yet to commence a trial, and five arrest warrants remain outstanding, including two for the arrest of President Bashir on charges of war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide. Sudan’s government remains uncooperative with the Court, and in December 2014, the ICC Prosecutor announced that she was suspending the investigations, expressing frustration with inaction by the Security Council on the outstanding arrest warrantsThe ICC Prosecutor has repeatedly expressed frustration with Security Council inaction on the arrest warrants. Sudan remains uncooperative with the Court. Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile. The conflict in these states, often referred to as “the Two Areas,” is driven by unresolved grievances that date back to the north-south war, when some local groups joined the SPLM’s rebellion against the government. The rebellion. The CPA provided for a process in which the two states might achieve greater autonomy within Sudan, but the processit stalled and the conflict reignited in 2011. South Sudan’s ruling party has denied supporting the insurgency, although denies supporting the rebels, known as the SPLM-North (SPLM-N) remain linked to the SPLM by, despite their historic relationship. The SPLM-N (now split into two factions) and the major Darfur rebel groups form a loose alliance, the Sudan Revolutionary Front (SRF). Khartoum has restricted aid agencies’ access to rebel-held areas since the onset of the conflict, and bombings by the military and militia attacks exacerbate the already dire humanitarian situation in these areas. Political Challenges In 2014, President Bashir announced that the government would commence a National Dialogue on conflict and political issues in the country, in preparation for the development of a new constitution. The government is under domestic pressure for reform—alongside the unrest in the periphery, inflation and related economic troubles have fueled periodic protests in urban centers, and protestors have been killed by police on several occasions. New rifts within the NCP have emerged as “reformists” have criticized government policies. Press censorship and the detention of political opponents raise questions about the regime’s commitment to an inclusive dialogue. Major opposition parties boycotted elections held in April 2015; President Bashir was reelected with 94% of the vote. The Humanitarian Situation More than 6.6 million Sudanese are estimated to need humanitarian aid in 2015, 4.4 million of them in Darfur. More than 2.5 million Darfuri have been displaced internally, and Chad continues to host almost 370,000 Darfuri refugees. Another 2 million in Southern Kordofan, Blue Nile, and Abyei are internally displaced or severely affected by conflict. Ethiopia and South Sudan host over 275,000 refugees from the two states. Relief agencies are also struggling to assist more than 146,000 South Sudanese refugees who have fled to Sudan since December 2013. U.S. Policy and Foreign Assistance U.S. relations with Sudan have long been turbulent. The United States maintains various sanctions against Sudan through Executive Orders and congressionally imposed legal restrictions, which currently prohibit assistance to the government or to modify loans held by Sudan. Khartoum is also subject to economic sanctions based on debt arrears (since 1988), support for international terrorism (since 1993), and pervasive human rights violations. Trade sanctions were imposed in 1997. Congress has repeatedly tightened sanctions, including in response to abuses in Darfur. Khartoum seeks to improve the bilateral relationship, in part to boost its international standing and its efforts to reengage with multilateral financial institutions. Sudan seeks relief from almost $45 billion in external sovereign debt, much of it in arrears. Sudan owes over $2 billion to the United States. In the years prior to separation, Sudan ranked among the top destinations for U.S. foreign aid globally, with more than $1 billion allocated annually for humanitarian and development aid and for peacekeeping support. Since South Sudan’s independence, development aid for Sudan has been limited. The State Department has requested $9.1 million for FY2016 in non-emergency aid, to support civil society and peace and conflict mitigation efforts. Humanitarian aid has totaled $413 million to date in combined FY2014 and FY2015 funding. The FY2016 request includes $366 million for UNAMID and $92.5 million for UNISFA. Sudan remains designated as a State Sponsor of Terrorism, although the State Department describes Sudan as “a generally cooperative counterterrorism partner” in its Country Reports on Terrorism. Hamas maintains a presence there, per the report, and elements of Al Qaeda-inspired terrorist groups remain in the country. Sudan’s purported role in Iranian arms smuggling to Gaza has also been of concern. The State Department has named three Sudanese involved in the 2008 murder of two USAID employees as Specially Designated Global Terrorists. Sudan is designated as a Country of Particular Concern under the International Religious Freedom Act. A Christian woman was sentenced to death for apostasy in 2014, drawing international condemnation; her conviction was later overturned and she settled in the United States with her family. For more information, see CRS Report R43957, Sudan, by Lauren Ploch Blanchard. Lauren Ploch Blanchard, lploch@crs.loc.gov, 7-7640 www.crs.gov | 7-5700 IF10182have a loose alliance, the Sudan Revolutionary Front (SRF). Khartoum has restricted aid agencies’ access to rebel-held areas since the onset of the conflict. Political Challenges The government faces mounting domestic pressure as 2019 begins: protests that began over the price of bread have spread across the country, with demonstrators demanding an end to the regime. Elections are scheduled for 2020, and the NCP’s plan to remove term limits from the constitution to allow Bashir to run again now appears likely to spark further unrest. Several prominent opposition leaders who had joined a “National Consensus Government” (formed in 2017) have quit. The major opposition parties boycotted the last elections, in 2015, when Bashir won 94% of the vote. The Humanitarian Situation Over seven million Sudanese were in need of humanitarian aid in 2018. Almost 1.8 million Darfuris remain displaced internally, and Chad hosts over 330,000 Darfuri refugees. As many as 780,000 people may be displaced in Blue Nile, Southern Kordofan, and Abyei. South Sudan and Ethiopia host over 300,000 refugees from the Two Areas. Sudan hosts over 900,000 refugees, most from South Sudan. Foreign Relations Sudan has taken conspicuous steps since 2014 to repair relations with key Arab Gulf countries, which are important sources of investment. Those ties had cooled amid concern over Sudan’s ties to Iran and its perceived support for the Muslim Brotherhood. Sudan has deployed as many as 14,000 troops, reportedly including child soldiers, to support the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen, in return for Gulf aid. Sudan’s relations with European countries also have improved in recent years, in part based on cooperation to counter migrant flows through Sudan. U.S. Policy and Foreign Assistance U.S. relations with Sudan, turbulent for over two decades, have improved since 2016. After a nine-month review of Sudan’s compliance with the Obama Administration’s “five-track engagement strategy,” the Trump Administration announced its decision in October 2017 to make permanent the temporary sanctions relief provided by President Obama. President Trump has indicated support for continued efforts to improve bilateral relations, but has stressed that further normalization of ties will require additional progress by Sudan, including with respect for human rights and religious freedom, as well as compliance with U.N. Security Council resolutions on North Korea. U.S. sanctions on Sudan, some of which remain in place, have been imposed through both Executive Orders and congressionally enacted legal restrictions. They are based on Sudan’s debt arrears, support for international terrorism, and pervasive human rights violations. The State Department continues to rank Sudan poorly on human trafficking and has designated it as a Country of Particular Concern under the International Religious Freedom Act. Sudanese law permits the death penalty for apostasy and adultery and prison sentences or flogging for blasphemy. Sudan has been designated as a State Sponsor of Terrorism since 1993. Nonetheless, successive administrations have described Sudan as a “cooperative” counterterrorism partner and have praised its cooperation regarding the Islamic State in particular. The Trump Administration has indicated that it would consider lifting Sudan’s designation if more progress is made on counterterrorism cooperation, human rights and other key issues. The government’s response to recent protests may affect that decision. Development aid for Sudan has been extremely limited since South Sudan’s separation. The State Department requested $2.4 million for FY2019 in nonemergency aid, to support civil society and conflict mitigation. U.S. humanitarian aid totaled over $327 million in FY2018. Lauren Ploch Blanchard, https://crsreports.congress.gov IF10182 Sudan Disclaimer This document was prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). CRS serves as nonpartisan shared staff to congressional committees and Members of Congress. It operates solely at the behest of and under the direction of Congress. Information in a CRS Report should not be relied upon for purposes other than public understanding of information that has been provided by CRS to Members of Congress in connection with CRS’s institutional role. CRS Reports, as a work of the United States Government, are not subject to copyright protection in the United States. Any CRS Report may be reproduced and distributed in its entirety without permission from CRS. However, as a CRS Report may include copyrighted images or material from a third party, you may need to obtain the permission of the copyright holder if you wish to copy or otherwise use copyrighted material. https://crsreports.congress.gov | IF10182 · VERSION 12 · UPDATED