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An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act

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An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Bruce R. Lindsay Analyst in American National GovermentGovernment William L. Painter Analyst in Emergency Management and Homeland Security Policy Francis X. McCarthy Analyst in Emergency Management Policy February 10, 2012November 8, 2013 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov R42352 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Summary On August 2, 2011, the President signed into law the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA, P.L. 11225), which included a number of budget-controlling mechanisms. As part of the legislation, caps were placed on discretionary spending for the next ten years, beginning with FY2012. If these caps are exceeded, an automatic rescission—known as sequestration—takes place across most discretionary budget accounts to reduce the effective level of spending to the level of the cap. Additionally, special accommodations were made in the BCA to address the unpredictable nature of the need for disaster assistance while attempting to impose discipline on the amount spent by the federal government on disasters. The first section of this report addresses the traditional funding for major disaster declarations, both through annual requested amounts and through supplemental appropriations to meet greater, unanticipated costs. This section also explains the workings of the President’s Disaster Relief Fund, a “no-year” fund that finances spending under the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (P.L. 93-288). Next, this report provides a basic overview of how disaster assistance is appropriated, what factors affect how much the federal government spends on disasters, how disaster relief is impacted by the BCA, and what the policy implications are for disaster assistance going forward under the constraints of the BCA. Included in this review are discussions of disaster spending, how it is calculated under the BCA, and potential costs that may be excluded under that calculation. The report also touches on the increasing number of disaster declarations and both the possible causes and likely cost implications of a greater number of declarations The BCA created an allowable adjustment specifically to cover disaster relief (defined as the costs of major disasters under the Stafford Act), separate from emergency appropriations. The limit established by the BCA on adjustments to the caps for disaster relief is based on the average funding provided for disaster relief over the last ten years, excluding the highest and lowest annual amounts, calculated by the Office of Management and Budget. If Congress spends less than that average on disaster relief in a given fiscal year, the caps can be further adjusted upward by the unspent amount in the following year. The existence of this “allowable adjustment” for disaster relief has changed the way that the Disaster Relief Fund is structured, and resulted in a Disaster Relief Fund with substantial funding at the start of FY2013, a departure from historical precedent. On October 29, 2013, Hurricane Sandy came ashore, causing loss of life and billions of dollars in damage. The Administration proposed a relief package that exceeded the allowable adjustment for disaster relief under the BCA. The Administration requested, and Congress for the most part agreed, to designate the Hurricane Sandy supplemental as emergency spending outside of the limited disaster relief adjustment made available under the BCA. The history of the legislative response to this disaster demonstrated that while the BCA included an accommodation to provide dedicated additional funding for many disasters, catastrophic events such as Sandy remain a challenge to those developing long-term budgeting strategies. This challenge could be compounded by the fact that by design, the methodology used by OMB to calculate the allowable adjustment could not capture the full range of disaster relief spending, and that the structure of the formula for calculating the average provides smaller allowable adjustments in future years. The sizeable initial disaster relief expenditures for Hurricane Katrina and the other 2005 storms will begin to lose relevance in calculating the allowable adjustment for disaster assistance for FY2016, and will no longer impact calculations for the allowable adjustment in FY2017. Once FY2005 and FY2006 rotate out, there will be a corresponding drop in the allowable disaster assistance adjustment. In the face of these challenges, Congress could choose to continue to use emergency funding to meet unbudgeted disaster relief needs, or change the allowable adjustment mechanism, the formula for calculating the allowable adjustment. Another potential option would be to take other steps to mitigate the impact of federal disaster relief spending on the budget, including altering the underlying laws, if Congress believes further legislative controls for federal disaster relief expenditures are a priority. This report will be updated as needed. Congressional Research Service An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Contents Introduction...................................................................................................................................... 1 An Overview of Disaster Spending: Federal Disaster Assistance and the Stafford Act ............ 1 The Disaster Relief Fund Prior to the Budget Control Act .................................................................................................... 2 The Disaster Relief Fund ........................................................................................................... 2 Budgeting for the DRF ........................................................................................................ 2 Supplemental Appropriations .............................................................................................. 2 Budget Control Act (BCA)4 Funding History ................................................................................................................. 6 OMB Report . 5 Disaster Spending under the Budget Control Act (BCA) ................................................................ 7 OMB Reporting and Calculations.................................................................................................... 9 The BCA and Disaster Relief in Practice: Hurricane Sandy................................. 7........................... 9 Analysis and Potential Policy Implications ................................................................................... 10 Timeframes for Congressional Action ................. 8 Expenditures Omitted from the 10-Year Average ............................................................... 8 Other Types of Excluded Stafford Assistance ................................. 10 Potential Implications of the Rising Number of Stafford Act Declarations ............................ 11 Funding Relief Efforts in Severe Disaster Years Going Forward ............................................ 11 Funding for Severe Disaster Years 12 Offsetting the Cost of Disaster Relief ......................................................................................... 12 Contention over Disaster Assistance Offsets 13 Calculating the Disaster Relief Allowable Adjustment ........................................................... 14 Expenditures Omitted from the 10-Year Average ............................................................. 14 Pre-BCA Disaster Assistance Spending ........................................................................... 13 Increasing Declarations . 15 Disaster Relief Spending Under the BCA ......................................................................... 16 Other Types of Excluded Stafford Assistance ....................................... 14............................ 17 Concluding Observations ......................................................................................................... 15...... 18 Figures Figure 1. Disasters Costing FEMA $500 Million Dollars or More ............................................................. 3 4 Figure 2. Disaster Relief Fund, Administration Request and Appropriation .Requests and Appropriations .................................. 5 6 Tables Table 1. Selected Examples Supplemental Funding for Large-Scale Disasters............................................................ 14 11 Contacts Author Contact Information........................................................................................................... 1519 Acknowledgments ......................................................................................................................... 1619 Congressional Research Service An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Introduction Concern over the size of the federal budget deficit and the national debt has brought congressional attention, as an ancillary issue, to both the amount of funding the federal government provides to states and localities for disaster assistance and the processes the federal government uses to provide that assistance. The amount of funding provided by Congress for declared emergencies and major disasters has grown considerably in the past decade, driven principally by the hurricane season of 2005.1 Although funds have been reallocated at times from one account to another to provide for disaster-related assistance, disaster relief funding has historically not been fully offset. Disaster relief funding has usually not been tightly constrained, either, with supplemental spending bills often funding these activities outside the allocations of discretionary budget authority and outlays associated with budget resolutions. Two potential methods for reducing the impact of disaster assistance spending on the federal budget are (1) the use of offsets and (2) placing controls on the level of allowable spendingFederal funding provided by Congress for declared emergencies and major disasters has grown considerably in the past decade, driven principally by the hurricane season of 2005.1 As concern over the size of federal budget deficits and the national debt has grown, so has congressional attention to both the amount of funding the federal government provides to states and localities for disaster assistance, and the processes the federal government uses to provide that assistance. Although funds have been reallocated at times from one account to another to provide for disaster-related assistance, disaster relief funding has historically not been fully offset. In addition, assistance for large-scale disasters has usually been funded outside traditional budget constraints. Among its provisions, the Budget Control Act (P.L. 112-25, hereafter the BCA) provides a mechanism designed, arguably, to limitthat has changed the way Congress approaches spending on major disasters declared under the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (P.L. 93-288, hereafter the Stafford Act), thereby limiting the impact of such spending on the budget deficit.2 This report reviews current disaster funding practices and examines potential issues presented to disaster funding under the BCA mechanism. The report also discusses how OMB calculates the “allowable adjustment” to discretionary spending caps for disaster relief pursuant to the BCA, and the potential policy implications that may result from that process. An Overview of Disaster Spending: Federal Disaster Assistance and the Stafford Act The Stafford Act authorizes the President to declare a major disaster in response to a governor’s request for federal assistance.3 The declaration enables federal agencies to provide assistance to state and local governments overwhelmed by the incident. While the majority of federal assistance for major disasters to states and localities is provided through the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), other federal agencies and offices also provide assistance once a major disaster has been declared. These include the U.S. Army Corps of Engineering, the Department of Transportation, and the Department of Education among others. The assistance provided by these agencies is often requested, and then reimbursed by FEMA (this is referred to as a Mission Assignment). However, in some circumstances the agencies have the authority to fund their assistance efforts through their respective budgets—even when an incident is declared under the Stafford Act. As will be shown later in this report, the assistance provided by these agencies has a bearing on how the spending caps are determined under the BCA. 1 Data and information on disasters can be found at, hereafter the Stafford Act),2 allowing for a less crisis-driven debate and providing somewhat greater transparency. The first section of this report addresses the pre-BCA funding mechanism for major disaster declarations, both through annual requested amounts and through supplemental appropriations to meet greater, unanticipated costs. This section also explains the workings of the President’s Disaster Relief Fund, a “no-year” fund that finances spending under the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (P.L. 93-288). Next, this report provides a basic overview of how that funding mechanism has evolved under the BCA, and how Hurricane Sandy was addressed under that mechanism. Finally, the report explores a number of other issues pertinent to disaster relief funding in the BCA-regulated environment, including: • Time frames for congressional action after a large-scale disaster strikes; • The implications of the rising number of Stafford Act declarations; • Funding disaster relief efforts in severe disaster years; • Offsetting the cost of disaster relief; • Calculating the allowable adjustment for disaster relief; • The degree to which different types of disaster relief are included in OMB’s methodology for calculating the 10-year average on disaster relief spending; and • The possible implications of excluding Stafford Act assistance for emergencies and fires from the allowable adjustment calculation. 1 Data and information on disasters can be found at NOAA: National Climate Data Center, National Climate Data Center Billion Dollar U.S. Weather/Disasters Page, NCDC Billion Dollar U.S. Weather/Climate Disasters page, June 17, 2011, http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/reports/billionz.html. 2 42 U.S.C. 5121 et seq. For further analysis on Stafford Act disaster assistance see CRS Report RL33053, Federal Stafford Act Disaster Assistance: Presidential Declarations, Eligible Activities, and Funding, by Francis X. McCarthy. 3 For further analysis on emergency and disaster declarations see CRS Report RL34146, FEMA’s Disaster Declaration Process: A Primer, by Francis X. McCarthy. Congressional Research Service 1 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Congressional Research Service 1 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act An Overview of Disaster Spending: Federal Disaster Assistance and the Stafford Act Prior to the Budget Control Act The Stafford Act authorizes the President to declare a major disaster in response to a governor’s request for federal assistance.3 The declaration enables federal agencies to provide assistance to state and local governments overwhelmed by the incident. While the majority of federal assistance for major disasters to states and localities is provided through the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), other federal agencies and offices also may provide assistance once a major disaster has been declared under the Stafford Act. These agencies include the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the Department of Transportation, and the Department of Education among others. The assistance provided by these agencies may be funded through their own budgets, but in many cases is requested and paid for by FEMA. In some circumstances federal agencies have the authority to provide assistance regardless of whether a disaster is declared under the Stafford Act. This report focuses primarily on the Disaster Relief Fund, as it has been the most commonly used tool to fund disaster relief efforts. If recent history is a guide, this may not always be the case. The Disaster Relief Fund As mentioned previously, the majority of disaster assistance is provided by FEMA. Once the declaration has been issued by the President, FEMA provides various forms of disaster relief through itsthe Disaster Relief Fund (DRF). The DRF is a no-year account4 that is used to fund response activities and pay for ongoing recovery programs. The DRF is also used to reimburse Mission Assignments to other federal agencies, and pay for declared emergencies, fire other federal agencies for work FEMA has requested, and pay for costs associated with declared emergencies, fire management assistance grants, and major disasters that might occur.5 Current budgetary practice.5 Budgeting for the DRF The budgetary practice used to fund the DRF generally consists of funding the DRF through regular annual appropriations acts and begins with the Administration’s formulation of the budget request for the account. Among Prior to the BCA, the data points used to determine the budget request are: (1) budget requests were: (1) funding levels currently available in the DRF; (2) the five-year rolling average of “normal” disaster costs;6 (3) pending recovery costs; and (4) the estimated monthly recoveries of unobligated funds.7“recoveries” of 3 For further analysis on emergency and disaster declarations see CRS Report RL34146, FEMA’s Disaster Declaration Process: A Primer, by Francis X. McCarthy. 4 While most appropriations expire after a set period of time, no-year appropriations are available until expended. This is helpful in disaster recovery since infrastructure repair and mitigation projects can stretch out over several years. 5 Fire Management Assistance Grants (FMAGs) and emergencies under the Stafford Act are discussed later in the report. 6 Normal disasters are declared incidents that cost less than $500 million dollars. Disasters costing over $500 million are considered outliers and are removed from the calculation. Congressional Research Service 2 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act unobligated funds.7 The current budgetary practice is the same; however, a ten-year rolling average of normal disaster costs is being used rather than a five-year rolling average.8 Based on these data points, since FY1998 the Administration’s request for the DRF has been $1.3 billion or more each year. The average budget request for the DRF between FY2000 and FY2011 is was roughly $2 billion. Yet, the average the current spend-out rate8rate9 for the DRF has been over that same period was $350 million dollars per month, which amounts to $4.2 billion a year.9 All things being equal, at this rate the DRF may run out of funding in any fiscal year for which it is budgeted for less than $4 billion (see Figure 2). Supplemental Appropriations Congress provides additional budget authority to the DRF when the balance is deemed insufficient to provide for assistance and recovery projects.10 This is primarily done through supplemental appropriations acts.11 Disasters costing more than $500 million are considered outliers when FEMA budgets for the new fiscal year; however, this figure has been used for over a decade without being adjusted for inflation. In addition, based on data provided by FEMA, since 1992 there have been 20 declared disasters that have cost $500 million dollars or more (see Figure 1). These declarations are presumably considered outliers for the purposes of budgeting for disasters. However, some might argue these incidents occur too frequently to be considered as outliers and ought to be included in calculating necessary budget levels for current and prospective disaster costs. 4 While most appropriations expire after a set period of time, no-year appropriations are available until expended. This is helpful in disaster recovery since infrastructure repair and mitigation projects can stretch out over several years. 5 Fire Management Assistance Grants (FMAGs) and emergencies under the Stafford Act are discussed later in the report. 6 Normal disasters are declared incidents that cost less than $500 million dollars. Disasters costing over $500 million are considered outliers and are removed from the calculation. 7 For example, when a recovery project is completed for less than the estimated cost. 8 The spend-out rate refers to the amount of money paid out of the account for a given period of time. 9 Based on a CRS discussion with FEMA staff from the Office of the Chief Financial Officer. 10 Congress also appropriates disaster funds to other accounts administered by other federal agencies pursuant to federal statutes that authorize specific types of disaster relief. 11 For further analysis on emergency supplemental appropriations see CRS Report R40708, Disaster Relief Funding and Emergency Supplemental Appropriations, by Bruce R. Lindsay and Justin Murray. Congressional Research Service 2 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Figure 1. Disasters Costing $500 Million Dollars or More 1992-2011 Source: Based on data provided to the authors by FEMA’s Legislative Affairs Division. Note: Spending on recovery continues for many of these events; these amounts represent a snapshot of disaster costs as of December, 2011. Moreover, additional budget authority has been needed when a series of events occurs over a or $4.2 billion a year.10 Without resources beyond the request and regular appropriation, the DRF would have faced a shortfall in its budget in an average operating year. There are two factors that contributed to these chronic shortfalls in the DRF: the decision not to budget for high-cost disasters in the annual appropriations process, and the unpredictability of the distribution of disaster events over time. According to data provided by FEMA, since 1992 there have been 20 declared disasters that have cost $500 million dollars or more (see Figure 1). However, disasters costing more than $500 million are considered atypical events—outliers—when FEMA requests its annual appropriations for each new fiscal year. This guideline has been used for over a decade without being adjusted for inflation.11 It could be argued these incidents occur too frequently to be considered as outliers and ought to be included in calculating necessary budget levels for current and prospective disaster costs. 7 These may occur, for example, when funds remain unspent after a project is completed for less than the estimated cost or when a project for which funds have been obligated changes its scope and certain budgeted costs become ineligible. 8 This methodology was described during discussions with FEMA Congressional Affairs. 9 The spend-out rate refers to the amount of money paid out of the account for a given period of time. 10 Based on a CRS discussion with FEMA staff from the Office of the Chief Financial Officer. 11 Using OMB’s GDP deflator, a $500 million disaster in FY2013 equates to a $423 million disaster in FY2005. Congressional Research Service 3 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Figure 1. Disasters Costing FEMA $500 Million Dollars or More 1996-2013 Source: Based on data provided to the authors by FEMA’s Legislative Affairs Division. Note: KRW denotes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma. Figures based on FEMA expenditures for disaster assistance. Figure 1 does not provide data on funding data provided by other agencies. Spending on recovery continues for many of these events; these amounts represent a snapshot of disaster costs as of February 2013. Moreover, additional budget authority has been needed when a series of major disasters occur over a limited period of time. For example, in FY2008, additional budget authority for disaster assistance was needed for wildfires, floods, and hurricanes. In that year, while two hurricanes— Gustav and Ike—each exceeded the $500 million threshold, other disaster events, along with ongoing disaster recovery needs from previous events, compounded the demand for federal funding. Consequently, there has been an increased reliance on the DRF to support communities and individuals in need. This can be seen in the funding history for the DRF from FY1991 to FY2011, shown in Figure 2. The prevailing trend in recent years is for the DRF to need more funding than is provided in its base budget and in the regular appropriation acts—a need generally met through supplemental appropriations legislation. The use of supplemental appropriations is of concern because traditionally they have not been subject to budgetary constraints as they frequently have been designated as emergency appropriations—allowing them to be provided in excess of spending limits otherwise established by budget legislation intended to control the size of the deficit. Some critics of past policies have asserted that Administrations have failed to request adequate funding Congressional Research Service 3 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act for the DRF in order to mask potential disaster costs and project smaller deficits in their budget documents.12 In Figure 2, FY1998 to FY2001 seem to be outliers, in that adequate funding was requested to meet disaster needs, but when those years are more closely examined, the Administration’s request for regular appropriations is actually less than $500 million in each of these years, supplemented by an emergency appropriation requested as part of the base budget—essentially, the budget process began with a built-in supplemental for disaster relief that would score outside the discretionary spending caps. This practice continued until the FY2003 request. As a result of the concern over the size of the deficit and rising level of national debt, Congress has implemented measures to limit federal spending. The BCA includes measures that limit discretionary spending while providing a mechanism that recognizes the unexpected nature of disasters and the periodic need for disaster relief funding beyond what the budget envisions. 12 Supplemental Appropriations Congress generally provides additional budget authority to the DRF when its balance is deemed insufficient to provide for assistance and recovery projects.12 This is done through supplemental appropriations legislation.13 The use of supplemental appropriations vehicles is of concern to some because traditionally they have been designated as emergency appropriations—allowing amounts to be provided in excess of discretionary spending limits. In addition, they often move 12 Congress also appropriates disaster funds to other accounts administered by other federal agencies pursuant to federal statutes that authorize specific types of disaster relief. 13 For further analysis on emergency supplemental appropriations see CRS Report R40708, Disaster Relief Funding and Supplemental Appropriations for Disaster Relief, by Bruce R. Lindsay and Justin Murray. Congressional Research Service 4 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act through Congress on an expedited basis, not undergoing traditional markup processes, and sometimes under terms that limit floor debate and the amendment process. Some critics of past policies have asserted that it is a common tactic for Administrations to request lower funding levels than needed for the DRF in order to mask potential disaster costs and project smaller deficits in their initial budget documents, allowing supplemental appropriations to fill the gap later.14 Funding History The combined effect of unbudgeted high-cost disasters and clusters of disasters, as well as possible intentional underfunding of the DRF is reflected in Figure 2, a funding history of the DRF from FY1991 through FY2012.15 The darker bars show the Administration’s initial budget request level for the DRF, while the tan bars show enacted annual and supplemental appropriations for those fiscal years. Funding data in Figure 2 from FY1998 to FY2002 appears to undermine the assertion that the DRF appropriations were kept lower than needed, in that adequate funding was requested to meet disaster needs. However, when those years are more closely examined, the Administration’s request for regular appropriations was actually less than $500 million in each of these years, supplemented by an emergency appropriation requested as part of the initial annual budget. Essentially, the budget process began with a built-in extra-budgetary funding for disaster relief that would be tallied outside the discretionary spending allocations that govern the annual appropriations process. This practice continued until the FY2003 request. 14 For example, see Office of Management and Budget, A New Era of Responsibility: Renewing America’s Promise, Washington, DC, February 26, 2009, p. 36, http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy10/pdf/fy10-newera.pdf. 15 Supplemental funding for disaster assistance has traditionally been designated as emergency funding. This may have created an incentive to fund the DRF at a lower amount to evade budget caps. Congressional Research Service 5 Congressional Research Service 4 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Figure 2. Disaster Relief Fund, Administration Request and Appropriation (Over FY1991-FY2011Requests and Appropriations (From FY1991 to FY2012, budget authority in billions) Source: CRS data using Administration budget documents and appropriations statutes. Note: Figures have been rounded. Amounts reflect requests and appropriations in a given fiscal year, without regard to emergency designations under budget control legislation or linkage to particular disasters. Administration requests from FY1991 to FY1997 represent the previous average spending amount of $320 Congressional Research Service 5 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act amount of $320 million during the disaster-quiescent 1980s, with the exception of 1994 when the request level reflected the estimated spending for the Midwest flooding of 1993. Based on the Congressional Research Service 6 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act increased disaster activity of the1990s and outlier events such as the Mississippi flooding, Hurricane Andrew, and the Northridge earthquake, requested amounts were recalibrated for FY1998 to better address the growth in disaster spending on an annual basis. Rates of spending on disaster recovery by FEMA differ over time depending on available funding and emergency needs. Budget Control Act (BCA) Disaster Spending under the Budget Control Act (BCA) As a result of the concern over the size of the deficit and rising level of national debt, Congress has implemented measures to limit federal spending. These include the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA), which includes a mechanism that recognizes the unexpected nature of disasters and the periodic need for disaster relief funding beyond what the budget might envision, as well as measures to limit spending. On August 2, 2011, the President signed into law the Budget Control Act of 2011 (P.L. 112-25), which established a range of budget-controlling mechanisms and allowed the national debt ceiling to be raised while also implementing a range of budgetcontrolling mechanisms.13 As part of the legislation, caps were placed on discretionary spending for the next ten years, beginning with FY2012 to be raised.16 Among other provisions of the legislation, caps were placed on discretionary spending from FY2012 through FY2021. If these caps are exceeded, an automatic cancellation of budget resources—known as sequestration—takeswould take place across most discretionary budget budget accounts to reduce spending down to the cap.17 The BCA allows for adjustments to the cap in a handful of situations, essentially raising it to allow for certain categories of spending. One of those adjustments is for emergencies, which is familiar to many observers of the budget process, but a new category of spending was defined in law for “disaster relief,” allowing it to be treated separately from other emergencies. In the past, “emergency appropriations” were often synonymous with “disaster relief.” As noted earlier, although a base level of funding was provided in regular appropriations bills for the DRF and other programs that support disaster response and recovery efforts, these accounts were often bolstered by supplemental appropriations bills as needed. Often the disaster funding was designated as an emergency appropriation, which meant that it would not count against statutory or congressional discretionary spending limits and thus did not have to be offset. Under the BCA, the discretionary spending limit can be adjusted upward to make room for an uncapped amount of emergency spending and adds the following definitions to existing budget law: (20) The term “emergency” means a situation that— (A) requires new budget authority and outlays (or new budget authority and the outlays flowing there from) for the prevention or mitigation of, or response to, loss of life or property, or a threat to national security; and (B) is unanticipated. (21) The term “unanticipated” means that the underlying situation is— (A) sudden, which means quickly coming into being or not building up over time; (B) urgent, which means a pressing and compelling need requiring immediate action; (C) unforeseen, which means not predicted or anticipated as an emerging need; and (D) temporary, which means not of a permanent duration.14 Prior to enactment of the BCA, supplemental appropriations for disaster relief were often designated as emergency spending. The enactment of the BCA distinguishes disaster relief spending, though often unanticipated, as separate from emergency spending and, as a result, limits disaster relief. “Disaster relief,” under the BCA, is defined as activities carried out pursuant 13 For further analysis of the Budget Control Act see CRS Report R41965, The Budget Control Act of 2011, by Bill Heniff Jr., Elizabeth Rybicki, and Shannon M. Mahan. 1418 16 For further analysis of the Budget Control Act see CRS Report R41965, The Budget Control Act of 2011, by Bill Heniff Jr., Elizabeth Rybicki, and Shannon M. Mahan. 17 Given the failure of the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction to propose budget reductions by January 2012 and in the absence of a “grand bargain” for deficit reduction, OMB ordered budget sequestration on March 1, 2013. For more information on the sequestration, see CRS Report R42972, Sequestration as a Budget Enforcement Process: Frequently Asked Questions, by Megan S. Lynch. 18 Budget Control Act of 2011, P.L. 112-25, §102. Congressional Research Service 67 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act to a determination under Section 102(2) of the Stafford Act, which authorizes the President to make a major disaster declaration.15 The BCA, however, created a separate limited cap adjustment specifically for disaster relief, and says that funding designated as disaster relief is not eligible for the unlimited cap adjustment for emergency spending.16 The limit established by the BCA on adjustments to the capPrior to enactment of the BCA, supplemental appropriations for disaster relief were often designated as emergency spending, and for a limited period even some of the annual appropriations requests included an emergency designation. However, the enactment of the BCA distinguishes disaster relief spending, though often unanticipated, as separate from emergency spending. A separate allowable adjustment is created for disaster relief spending that some have interpreted as a limit on certain types of disaster relief funding. “Disaster relief” is specifically defined under the BCA as follows: (iii) For the purposes of this subparagraph, the term ‘disaster relief’ means activities carried out pursuant to a determination under section 102(2) of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (42 U.S.C. 5122(2)). [Determination of a major disaster19] (iv) Appropriations considered disaster relief under this subparagraph in a fiscal year shall not be eligible for adjustments under subparagraph (A) [the unlimited adjustment for emergency spending] for the fiscal year.20 The limit established by the BCA on adjustments to the caps for disaster relief is based on the average funding provided for disaster relief over the last ten years, excluding the highest and lowest annual amounts, calculated by the Office of Management and Budget.1721 If Congress spends less than that average on disaster relief in a given fiscal year, the capcaps can be further adjusted upward by the unspent amount in the following year. It is important to note that this adjustment limitation is not a restriction on disaster assistance per se—rather it is a restriction on how much the capcaps can be adjusted upward in a given fiscal year to accommodate the assistance. Also, spending within the cap the cap or within the adjustment does not require offsets. As mentioned earlier, Congress has in the past funded the DRF and other elements of the budget that provide disaster assistance with discretionary budget authority that falls within the cap. OMB Report The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) manages the sequestration process and the limits on adjustments available to raise the spending cap. The BCA requires OMB to annually calculate the adjusted 10-year rolling average of disaster relief spending that sets the allowable cap adjustment for disaster relief. OMB’s methodology for calculating the allowable adjustment is tied to the language of the BCA’s definition of “disaster relief” which includes only amounts that were appropriated or authorized through legislation that specifically referenced Section 102(2) of the Stafford Act. In its report, OMB illustrated this by comparing two similar education programs targeting students in hurricane-affected areas.18 One program had appropriations language specifically referencing the major disaster declaration—which was counted, and one program that had language only mentioning the hurricanes rather than the disaster declaration—which was not counted. In making its calculation, OMB included funding provided through both annual and supplemental appropriations bills for 29 individual accounts managed by 11 agencies and departments. OMB has not made any other estimates of “disaster relief” spending other than those called for by the BCA. In accordance with the BCA, OMB has calculated the allowable adjustment for FY2012 as $11.3 billion.19 OMB will make a similar calculation each year, taking into account the latest 15 Under a major disaster declaration, state and local governments and certain nonprofit organizations are eligible (if so designated) for assistance for the repair or restoration of public infrastructure such as roads and buildings. A major disaster declaration may also include temporary housing, unemployment assistance, crisis counseling for families and individuals, and community disaster loans for local governments. The governor of the impacted state requests the types of assistance considered necessary to address the needs of the state. 16 Budget Control Act of 2011, P.L. 112-25, §101. 17 Ibid. 18 Office of Management and Budget, OMB Report on Disaster Relief Funding to the Committees on Appropriations and the Budget of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, Washington, DC, September 1, 2011, pp. 2-3. 19 Office of Management and Budget, OMB Report on Disaster Relief Funding to the Committees on Appropriations and the Budget of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, Washington, DC, September 1, 2011, p. 1. Congressional Research Service 7 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act information available on disaster funding for the 10 previous fiscal years, and excluding the highest and lowest years. As the average rolls forward, the available adjustment will change. It is worth noting, however, that the cap is calculated in nominal dollars and does not adjust for inflation. This will become more significant over time if inflation rises, and if the allowable adjustment begins to decrease as projected in 2016. Analysis and Potential Policy Implications A number of policy questions are emerging as a result of the implementation of the BCA. These include what the implications are of possible failures to capture appropriate disaster relief expenditures in OMB calculations; debate over Stafford Act assistance that is excluded from the disaster relief calculations; whether severe disaster years will strain the adjustment mechanism; debate over the use of offsets; and the implications of the rising number of emergency declarations under the Stafford Act. As mentioned earlier, not all disaster relief flows through FEMA’s DRF. In FY2012, the allowable adjustment was used to pay for disaster relief programs under the Army Corps of Engineers, Department of Agriculture, Department of Housing and Urban Development, and Department of Transportation, as well as the DRF. Because of the way “disaster relief” is defined in the BCA, not all of the DRF’s activities are eligible for funding under the allowable adjustments. FEMA operating expenses, funding for Fire Management Assistance Grants and emergencies under the Stafford Act are not eligible for funding under the adjustment, and are therefore funded through ordinary discretionary appropriations to the DRF that fall within the discretionary budget caps. Hurricane Sandy provided the first case where demand for disaster relief exceeded the allowable adjustment. For discussion of how this was resolved, see the BCA and Disaster Relief in Practice: Hurricane Sandy later in this report. 19 Under a major disaster declaration, state and local governments and certain nonprofit organizations are eligible (if so designated) for assistance for the repair or restoration of public infrastructure such as roads and buildings. A major disaster declaration may also include temporary housing, other needs assistance, unemployment assistance, and crisis counseling for families and individuals.. The governor of the impacted state requests the types of assistance considered necessary to address the needs of the state. 20 Budget Control Act of 2011, P.L. 112-25, §101. 125 Stat. 245. 21 Ibid. Congressional Research Service 8 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act OMB Reporting and Calculations The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) manages the sequestration process and the limits on adjustments available to raise the spending cap. The BCA requires OMB to annually calculate the adjusted 10-year rolling average of disaster relief spending that sets the allowable cap adjustment for disaster relief. These calculations are included in the final sequestration report and sequestration update report issued under Section 254 of the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 as amended (BBEDCA).22 OMB has not made any other estimates of “disaster relief” spending other than those called for by the BCA. OMB’s methodology for calculating the initial allowable adjustment was tied to the language of the BCA’s definition of “disaster relief,” which included only amounts that were appropriated or authorized through legislation that specifically referenced Section 102(2) of the Stafford Act. In its initial sequestration report under the BCA structure, OMB illustrated this by comparing two similar education programs targeting students in hurricane-affected areas.23 One program had appropriations language specifically referencing the major disaster declaration (which was counted as disaster relief), and one program that had language only mentioning the hurricanes rather than the disaster declaration (which was not counted as disaster relief). In making its calculation, OMB included funding provided through both annual and supplemental appropriations bills for 29 individual accounts managed by 11 agencies and departments. OMB makes a similar calculation each year, taking into account the latest information available on disaster funding for the 10 previous fiscal years, and excluding the highest and lowest years. The available adjustment changes as the average rolls forward. It is worth noting, however, that the cap is calculated in nominal dollars and does not adjust for inflation. This will become more significant over time if inflation rises, and if the allowable adjustment begins to decrease as projected in 2016. The BCA and Disaster Relief in Practice: Hurricane Sandy As a result of the process outlined above, OMB calculated the initial allowable adjustment for disaster relief for FY2012 as $11.3 billion.24 $10.5 billion of that adjustment was used, leaving $799 million in carryover. When this carryover was added to the recalculated rolling average of $11 billion for FY2013, the allowable adjustment for disaster relief under the BCA for FY2013 rose to $11.8 billion.25 22 2 USC 904 Office of Management and Budget, OMB Report on Disaster Relief Funding to the Committees on Appropriations and the Budget of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, Washington, DC, September 1, 2011, pp. 2-3. 24 Office of Management and Budget, OMB Report on Disaster Relief Funding to the Committees on Appropriations and the Budget of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, Washington, DC, September 1, 2011, p. 1. 25 Office of Management and Budget, Sequestration Update Report to the President and Congress for Fiscal Year 2013, Washington, DC, August 20, 2012, p. 16. The amounts have been rounded in this report. 23 Congressional Research Service 9 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act In FY2012, $6.4 billion of the allowable adjustment went to the DRF, and that in turn was calculated into the rate of spending provided for in P.L. 112-175, the continuing resolution for FY2013. No other disaster relief designations were carried forward in P.L. 112-175. It was this adjustment that provided a significant balance for the DRF at the beginning of FY2013, which in turn may have reduced the urgency of the debate on Hurricane Sandy supplemental funding.26 P.L. 113-2, the Disaster Relief Appropriations Act, 2013 (that provided supplemental funding for Hurricane Sandy), used the remaining $5.4 billion of the allowable adjustment to provide additional resources for the DRF.27 As a result, FY2013 was the first year the entire allowable adjustment for disaster relief was used for a single account. Analysis and Potential Policy Implications A number of policy questions are before Congress as the country recovers from its first largescale disasters with the BCA in effect. These include: • Time frames for congressional action after a large-scale disaster strikes; • The implications of the rising number of Stafford Act declarations; • Funding disaster relief efforts in severe disaster years; • Offsetting the cost of disaster relief; • Calculating the allowable adjustment for disaster relief; • The inclusiveness of all types of disaster assistance in OMB’s methodology for calculating the 10-year average on disaster relief spending; and • The possible implications of excluding Stafford Act assistance for emergencies and fires from the allowable adjustment calculation. Timeframes for Congressional Action As demonstrated in Table 1, while it may have taken some time to provide relatively smaller incidents such as the Nisqually Earthquake with supplemental funding, in the past, Congress has generally responded to the needs of disaster victims by appropriating additional funds for disaster relief in a matter of days as with the September 11th terrorist attacks and Hurricane Katrina. It should be noted however, the actions represented in Table 1 were emergency spending actions that were not subject to offsets. 26 One sign of the DRF’s healthy balance was the relative size of the DRF within the Supplemental (P.L. 113-2). While DRF funding has traditionally been the driver of most disaster supplementals, the $11.5 billion for the DRF barely exceeded the $11 billion for DOT and was far less than the $16 billion provided to HUD’s Community Development Block Grant Program. 27 The majority of the supplemental funding in P.L. 113-2 was designated as emergency funding. $5.4 billion for the DRF was designated as disaster relief, and $3.5 billion for Army Corps of Engineers construction activities counted against the discretionary budget caps. $41.6 billion to address both the immediate losses and damages caused by Hurricane Sandy were designated as emergency funding. For more information on supplemental funding for Hurricane Sandy see CRS Report R42869, FY2013 Supplemental Funding for Disaster Relief, coordinated by William L. Painter and Jared T. Brown, and CRS Report R40708, Disaster Relief Funding and Supplemental Appropriations for Disaster Relief, by Bruce R. Lindsay and Justin Murray. Congressional Research Service 10 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Table 1. Selected Examples Supplemental Funding for Large-Scale Disasters Days from Incident to Enactment Date of Declaration Date of Request Date of Enactment Hurricane Sandy October 30, 2012 December 7, 2012 January 29, 2013 Hurricane Katrina August 29, 2005 September 1, 2005 September 2, 2005 3 Hurricane Isabel September 18, 2003 September 30, 2003 12 9/11 Terrorist Attacks September 11, 2001 September 18, 2001 7 Nisqually Earthquake March 1, 2001 Hurricane Floyd September 16, 1999 Northridge Earthquake January 17, 1994 Midwest Floods* June 11, 1993 Hurricane Andrew August 23, 1992 Hurricane Hugo September 20, 1989 Event September 12, 2001 July 24, 2001 September 21, 1999 91 114 October 20, 1999 34 February 12, 1994 26 July 14, 1993 August 12, 1993 62 September 8, 1992 September 23, 1992 31 September, 29, 1989 9 Source: CRS Report R40708, Disaster Relief Funding and Supplemental Appropriations for Disaster Relief, by Bruce R. Lindsay and Justin Murray. Note: The rightmost column reflects the number of days it took to enact the first supplemental appropriation after the incident was declared a major disaster. Some incidents (such as Hurricane Katrina) received more than one administration request for increased funding, as well as more than one supplemental appropriation for disaster relief. A supplemental request date for Hurricanes Isabel and Hugo, as well as the Nisqually and Northridge Earthquakes, could not be identified. The timeline for Hurricane Sandy, the first catastrophic disaster under the BCA structure, was markedly different than in years past. In general, prior to the BCA the Administration would make a supplemental request as the balance in the DRF was close to being drawn down. In some instances, as the funds became depleted, FEMA implemented its Immediate Needs Funding (INF) guidance which is used when the DRF balance is low to meet the urgent needs of disaster survivors and prioritize funding in order to extend the remaining balance of the DRF. In the case of Hurricane Sandy, the DRF had a relatively high balance when the disaster occurred compared to previous years. The high balance is attributed to the combination of the CR and the BCA mechanism, which appropriated a larger amount of funding to the DRF than has been historically provided to the account. This may have decreased the urgency to enact legislation to replenish the DRF. It may have also allowed Congress a longer time period to determine how the funds for Hurricane Sandy should be targeted through the supplemental appropriations bill as they observed the initial response and needs associated with it. This is in contrast to Hurricane Katrina, where a large supplemental appropriation was initially provided to FEMA and was rescinded and redistributed to other programs as needs became clearer. Potential Implications of the Rising Number of Stafford Act Declarations Since FEMA’s first full year of operations (1979) there has been a steady increase in the number of emergency and major disaster declarations. It is unclear what is causing the increase. On the one hand, it could be the result of more incidents. On the other hand, it could be the result of an increase in incidents for which a request for assistance is made (in other words, there is no Congressional Research Service 11 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act increase in the number of incidents; rather, there is an increase in requests for federal assistance). The result could also be caused by a combination of the two, as well as by some other undetermined cause. However, while the number of declarations is often a focus for criticism, it is the costs within the declared events (determinations on eligible disaster spending) that can drive the higher disaster spending amounts. The BCA does not provide a means for limiting or reducing federal expenditures on disaster assistance. If declarations continue to increase unabated, the federal budget may have to absorb more and more of the costs associated with disaster assistance. Some might argue that in addition to the existing BCA structure, other policies designed to reduce federal expenditures for assistance should also be pursued. These policy options include strengthening declaration criteria, reducing the federal cost-share for incidents, and creating incentives that would encourage states to pursue more robust preparedness and mitigation measures.28 Funding Relief Efforts in Severe Disaster Years Going Forward Congress provided additional budget authority for disaster assistance in 10 appropriation laws following the hurricanes of 2005. While OMB removed the $37 billion spent on disaster relief in 2005 as an outlier when calculating the allowable adjustment for disaster relief to the cap, response and recovery to these storms went well beyond that first year. Appropriations for recovery from these storms between FY2006 and FY2010 were still substantial—$32 billion was spent in FY2006, in great part because of those ongoing recovery efforts. The sizeable initial disaster relief expenditures for Hurricane Katrina and the other 2005 storms will begin to lose relevance in calculating the allowable adjustment for disaster assistance for FY2016, and will no longer impact calculations for the allowable adjustment in FY2017.29 Once FY2005 and FY2006 rotate out, there will be a corresponding drop in the allowable disaster assistance adjustments. The reduction in the allowable adjustment will be more significant if disaster spending is below the 10-year average in the intervening years. In a scenario where disaster spending stays at the 10-year average level, the allowable adjustment will fall by $2.2 billion from FY2015 to FY2016, and then by another $2.9 billion from FY2016 to FY2017—a reduction of 41% in just two years. Moreover, as the Administration and Congress work to spend under the adjustment, the cap could continue to decrease, increasing the likelihood that the cap will be inadequate to accommodate catastrophic disaster needs. Prior to Hurricane Sandy, there were at least four possible outcomes to meeting disaster assistance demands beyond the allowable adjustment for disaster relief: 1. Designation of disaster assistance as emergency funding, 2. Congress raising additional revenue to finance additional disaster relief spending, 3. Renegotiation of the underlying budget control laws, or 28 For further analysis on emergency and major disaster declarations see CRS Report RL34146, FEMA’s Disaster Declaration Process: A Primer, by Francis X. McCarthy. For further analysis on FEMA cost-shares see CRS Report R41101, FEMA Disaster Cost-Shares: Evolution and Analysis, by Francis X. McCarthy. 29 For details on the amount of assistance provided to the Gulf Coast after the 2005 and 2008 hurricane season, see CRS Report R43139, Federal Disaster Assistance after Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Gustav, and Ike, coordinated by Bruce R. Lindsay and Jared C. Nagel. Congressional Research Service 12 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act 4. Discretionary spending cuts, either specific program cuts or through across-theboard means, to offset the cost of additional assistance. In the wake of Hurricane Sandy, the Administration submitted a request to Congress for more than $60 billion in relief, well in excess of the available allowable adjustment. At the time Congress was confronted with a significant fiscal challenge, with a sequestration under the BCA already looming, as well as expiration of multiple tax cuts—a combination colloquially known as “the fiscal cliff.” The Administration (and ultimately Congress) chose to pursue the first option, designation of the additional assistance as emergency funding without offsets, citing legislative authority and historical precedent. There was no public legislative initiative to raise additional revenue to pay for disaster assistance. Renegotiation of the underlying budget laws was limited to measures delaying sequestration, rather than altering the allowable adjustment for disaster assistance. Offsetting the Cost of Disaster Relief Amendments were offered in both the House and the Senate to offset the cost of the Disaster Relief Appropriations Act—including the funding for the DRF. H.Amdt. 4 (which would have offset $17 billion in the immediate disaster assistance with an across-the-board cut in discretionary spending) was not agreed to by a vote of 162-258.30 S.Amdt. 4 (which would have offset the entire $51 billion in disaster assistance) was not agreed to by a vote of 35-62.31 In the fall of 2011, there was also extensive public debate over the possible requirement of offsets for disaster assistance.32 Those opposed to the use of offsets argue that their use could politicize disaster assistance by allowing policymakers to target certain programs for the needed spending reduction. Assistance to disaster victims could be delayed while Congress debates the issue. Opponents have also argued that emergency funding for other endeavors, such as war funding, has not faced the same requirement. Those in favor of offsetting disaster assistance argue that offsets do not deny disaster victims aid; they merely provide a way of doing so without increasing the deficit. Proponents also argue that the concern over delayed disaster assistance is without merit. Efforts were made to reduce the size of the FY2013 disaster supplemental, as well as to remove emergency funding designations for mitigation programs, to ensure that such funding would count against the discretionary spending limits set by the BCA. Supporters argued that additional funds could be provided later in the process.33 However, opponents of that approach argued that the supplemental funds were important for morale and the confidence of states and local communities that they would receive help in initiating their recovery. Across-the-board cuts may seem more appealing to some Members rather than finding specific offsets for disaster assistance. Although the net accounting effect is the same over the medium term, across-the-board cuts do not require a specific congressional action that may provoke allies 30 Roll No.14, January 15, 2013. Record Vote Number 3, January 28, 2013. 32 For more information on the use of offsets for disaster assistance see CRS Report R42458, Offsets, Supplemental Appropriations, and the Disaster Relief Fund: FY1990-FY2013, by William L. Painter. 33 Anne L. Kim and Kerry Young, “Senate Democrats Apply Pressure as GOP Pushes for Storm Aid Amendments,” CQ News, December 20, 2012. 31 Congressional Research Service 13 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act of (and stakeholders in) a given program. The potential risks incurred by an across-the-board rescission regardless of the possible effect on national priorities should not be discounted, however, especially when one considers that a full offset for the Disaster Relief Appropriations Act would have been over $50 billion—almost 140% of the size of the sequestration applied under the BCA to the non-defense budget in March 2013. Calculating the Disaster Relief Allowable Adjustment Expenditures Omitted from the 10-Year Average As previously mentioned, under the BCA, future spending caps on disaster relief and OMB’s methodology for calculating the allowable adjustment are based on Section 102(2) of the Stafford Act. As a result of OMB’s interpretation of the definition, when OMB reviewed appropriations for inclusion in the “disaster relief” calculation, if the Stafford Act was not explicitly cited those amounts were omitted—even when the funding was clearly for response to incidents declared as major disasters (see OMB quotations below). In some cases the legislative text included “pursuant to the Stafford Act.” In other cases this specific language was omitted. It is not likely that precision in the language contemplated that the wording would one day be the basis of a cap on disaster spending. ItsOMB’s review resulted in this construction: when the legislative text stated the funding was pursuant pursuant to the Stafford Act, OMB included that amount in the 10-year average. On the other hand, when the legislative text made no reference to the Stafford Act—whether it referred to the declared declared incident or not—OMB did not include that amount in the 10-year average. OMB illustrated such omissions in the Report’s methodological description. According to OMB: ... in determining the amount that was “provided for disaster relief” in fiscal year 2005, OMB included in the calculation the funding that the Congress appropriated ... to the Department of Education “Hurricane Education Recovery” account for “assisting in meeting the educational needs of individuals affected by hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico” because the appropriations language specified that it was “for students attending institutions … located in an area in which a major disaster has been declared in accordance with section 401 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act.”20 The OMB Report further states: 20 Office of Management and Budget, OMB Report on Disaster Relief Funding to the Committees on Appropriations and the Budget of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, September 1, 2011, p. 2, http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/assets/legislative_reports/disaster_relief_report_sept2011.pdf. Congressional Research Service 8 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act 34 The OMB Report further states: OMB did not include in its calculations those amounts ... Congress appropriated in response to a presidentially-declared major disaster when such amounts were not specifically designated in statute to carry out activities pursuant to the Stafford Act and the Act itself was not specifically referenced. For example, OMB did not include in its calculations for fiscal year 2009 the appropriations ... Congress provided in December 2009 to the Department of Education “Innovation and Improvement” account “for competitive awards to local educational agencies located in counties in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas that were designated by ... [FEMA] as counties eligible for individual assistance due to damage caused by Hurricanes Katrina, Ike, or Gustav” because the amounts were not specified as being for 34 Office of Management and Budget, OMB Report on Disaster Relief Funding to the Committees on Appropriations and the Budget of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, September 1, 2011, p. 2, http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/assets/legislative_reports/disaster_relief_report_sept2011.pdf. Congressional Research Service 14 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act activities undertaken pursuant to a major disaster declaration under the Stafford Act and the [Stafford] Act was not specifically referenced.2135 OMB took this position despite the fact that it has not always been the practice to include a specific reference to the Stafford Act in supplemental appropriations for assistance in response to major disasters. An example of past practice is presented below. Pre-BCA Disaster Assistance Spending In the Disaster Relief and Recovery Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2008,2236 Title I, Chapter 1 outlines relief funds provided through the Department of Agriculture, including the following provisions (emphasis added): NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE EMERGENCY WATERSHED PROGRAM For an additional amount for the “Emergency Watershed Protection Program”, $100,000,000, to remain available until expended, for disaster recovery operations. FARM SERVICE AGENCY EMERGENCY CONSERVATION PROGRAM For an additional amount for “Emergency Conservation Program”, $115,000,000, to remain available until expended. RURAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS RURAL DEVELOPMENT DISASTER ASSISTANCE FUND For grants, and for the cost of direct and guaranteed loans, for authorized activities of agencies of the Rural Development Mission Area, $150,000,000, to remain available until expended, which shall be allocated as follows: $59,000,000 for single and multifamily housing activities; $40,000,000 for community facilities activities; $26,000,000 for utilities activities; and $25,000,000 for business activities: Provided, That such funds shall be for areas affected by hurricanes, floods, and other natural disasters occurring during 2008 for which the President declared a major disaster under title IV of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act of 1974: Provided further, That the cost of such direct and guaranteed loans, including the cost of modifying 21 22 Ibid., p. 2. Division B of P.L. 110-329, 122 Stat. 3585 et seq. Congressional Research Service 9 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act loans, shall be as defined in section 502 of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974: Provided further, That the Secretary of Agriculture may reallocate funds made available in this paragraph among the 4 specified activities, if the Secretary notifies the Committees on Appropriations of the House of Representatives and the Senate not less than 15 days prior to such reallocation. In addition, for an additional amount for grants, and for the cost of direct and guaranteed loans, for authorized activities of the Rural Housing Service, $38,000,000, to remain available until expended, for single and multi-family housing activities: Provided, That such 35 36 Ibid., p. 2. Division B of P.L. 110-329, 122 Stat. 3585 et seq. Congressional Research Service 15 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act funds shall be for areas affected by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita: Provided further, That the cost of such direct and guaranteed loans, including the cost of modifying loans, shall be as defined in section 502 of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974. Of all the appropriations listed, only the provisions in bold would be counted by OMB for purposes of calculating the cap on the adjustment for disaster relief as defined under the Budget Control Act. Only the Rural Development Disaster Assistance Fund appropriation specifically noting the declaration of a major disaster under the Stafford Act meets the standard described in OMB’s report. The other provisions, mentioning the storms that were the root cause of the declaration, or the intent that the funds be for “disaster recovery” would likely not be adequate to meet the OMB methodology for accounting for disaster relief spending. Disaster Relief Spending Under the BCA In the “minibus” legislation, P.L. 112-55, provisions providing disaster relief under some of these same accounts were written as follows (emphasis added): Section 735. There is hereby appropriated for the ‘Emergency Conservation Program’, for necessary expenses resulting from a major disaster declared pursuant to the Robert T. Stafford Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (42 U.S.C. 5121 et seq.), $122,700,000, to remain available until expended: Provided, That the preceding amount is designated by the Congress as being for disaster relief pursuant to section 251(b)(2)(D) of the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985: Provided further, That there is hereby appropriated for the ‘Emergency Forest Restoration Program’, for necessary expenses expenses resulting from a major disaster declared pursuant to the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (42 U.S.C. 5121 et seq.), $28,400,000, to remain available until expended: Provided further, That the preceding amount is designated by the Congress as being for disaster relief pursuant to section 251(b)(2)(D) of the Balanced Budget and and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985: Provided further, That there is hereby appropriated appropriated for the ‘Emergency Watershed Protection Program’, for necessary expenses resulting from a major disaster declared pursuant to the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (42 U.S.C. 5121 et seq.), $215,900,000, to remain available until expended: Provided further, That the preceding amount is designated by the Congress as being for disaster relief pursuant to section 251(b)(2)(D) of the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985. All of this funding would be considered by OMB as disaster relief due to the citations of major disasters under the Stafford Act, as well as the specific proviso in bold declaring Congressionalcongressional intent that it be categorized as such. It could be argued that a more precise 10-year average of disaster assistance would include all spending for major disasters regardless of whether the legislative text referred to the Stafford Act. As we saw above, not all immediate assistance for Hurricane Katrina—which was declared a major disaster on August 29, 2005—was captured in making calculations for the disaster relief allowable adjustment. Furthermore, large incidents like Katrina often receive assistance from the federal government years after the incident—the appropriations impact the budget for disaster assistance as large infrastructure and mitigation projects are completed and reimbursed, yet because this funding was appropriated without direct reference to a Stafford Act declaration, it is not factored into the calculation for disaster relief. Congressional Research Service 16 Congressional Research Service 10 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act There are at least two changes that could be made that would help ensure a more accurate calculation of the 10-year average spent on disaster relief for use as a cap adjustment under the BCA. First, Congress could change their practices andopt to provide the Stafford Act designation in all future appropriations legislation legislation. That appears to be the new practice. However, it is importantuseful to note that at the time of appropriation, it is not always clear if funding is going to a major disaster, thus meriting a designation. Second, appropriation to some accounts, it is not clear if funding will pay for costs associated to a major disaster. For example, Department A has a mission-critical facility destroyed by a tornado, and uses current-year funding to restore operations. The appropriation does not signal that disaster cost, and therefore it may not be captured in future calculations. Second, Congress could amend the BCA to require that OMB recalculate “disaster relief” amounts based on a broader methodology. Both of these changes would likely result in a higher, and arguably more accurate yearly total of disaster relief, and a larger allowable adjustment for disaster relief under the BCA than under current practices. For example, Hurricane Katrina was declared a major disaster on August 29, 2005. Since then, Congress has provided disaster assistance through several supplemental appropriations and numerous federal programs. Large incidents like Katrina often receive assistance from the federal government years after the incident—the appropriations impact the budget for disaster assistance as large infrastructure and mitigation projects are completed and reimbursed, yet because this funding was appropriated without direct reference to a Stafford Act declaration, it is not factored into the calculation for disaster relief on a broader methodology. In the example above, an appropriation to pay for the cost of restoring operations might not be eligible to be called disaster relief if the tornado was not designated as a major disaster. Both of these changes would likely result in a higher, and arguably more accurate yearly total of disaster relief, and a larger allowable adjustment for disaster relief under the BCA than under current practices, if the underlying calculation of the allowable adjustment was not changed. Other Types of Excluded Stafford Assistance The BCA excludes other types of assistance provided under the Stafford Act. These are emergency declarations provided under Section 102(1) and Fire Management Assistance Grants provided under Section 420(a). Emergency declarations authorize activities that can help states and communities carry out essential services during emergency situations.2337 Emergencies can also be declared prior to an incident, at the request of the governor, to save lives and prevent loss.2438 For example, emergency declarations have been declared prior to a hurricane making landfall to help state and local governments take necessary measures (evacuation assistance, placement of response resources, etc.).2539 Unlike major disasters, the President does have the authority to declare an emergency without a governor’s request when the incident involves a subject area where the “Federal government exercises exclusive or primary responsibility and authority.”2640 Compared to major disaster declarations, emergency declarations are generally considered a minor expense (congressional notification is required when spending for an emergency exceeds $5 million); however, numerous declarations can be declared in a year and, like major disasters, they are funded through the DRF. In 2005, 68 emergency declarations were declared, 50 of which were for each individual state to help relocate Hurricane Katrina victims who were displaced by the storm. In addition, since Hurricane Katrina, the federal government has increased its efforts to pre-position resources before a hurricane makes landfall. If this trend continues, the cost associated with emergency declarations may increase due to the more comprehensive preparations. In the OMB report, the spending levels on disaster relief from the DRF in OMB’s accounting is less than the total amount expended from the DRF in the years reported. This difference may 2337 For example, food, sheltering and medical care. For example, evacuations and setting up shelters. 2539 Recent examples of pre-event declarations include emergency declarations prior to Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Gustav making landfall (emergency declarations 3212, 3260, and 3290 respectively). 2640 44 CFR 206.35(d). This category would likely include acts of terrorism. 2438 Congressional Research Service 1117 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act In the OMB report, the spending levels on disaster relief from the DRF in OMB’s accounting are less than the total amount expended from the DRF in the years reported. This difference may include the omission of expenditures for emergency declarations and declarations for the Fire Management Assistance Grant Program.2741 Declarations for the Fire Management Assistance Grant Program include equipment, personnel, and supplies to states and localities for the mitigation, management, and control of fires that threaten to become a major disaster.2842 As with emergency declarations, declarations for the Fire Management Assistance Grant Program are relatively modest in cost when compared to major disaster declarations. A review of declarations under the Fire Management Assistance Grant Program shows the most expensive year was 1998, in which 53 declarations were made, accounting for obligations of roughly $105 million.2943 Because emergency and fire declarations derive funding from the DRF, it could be argued that excluding them from the ten-year average calculation for disaster relief generates an artificially low result. It could be further argued that including emergency and fire declarations would more accurately forecast federal disaster expenses.44 Although it is likely that including all federal assistance for emergency and disaster relief would increase the ten-year average, the size of the increase would depend on the new methodology used to calculate the amount of assistance provided. Concluding Observations Enactment of the BCA resulted in several key changes in the way disaster assistance is funded. The structure of the appropriation for the DRF has changed to reflect the availability of resources that do not count against the allocation for annual appropriations, allowing for prefunding of disaster needs. This in turn led to a more deliberate development of a supplemental appropriation in the face of a major disaster with abnormally high cost and broad scope. The bulk of the debate over the impact of disaster relief on the federal budget tends to occur in moments of crisis, such as in the past when the DRF was on the brink of depletion, or when a major incident like Hurricane Katrina or Sandy seems ready to overwhelm the budgetary structures in place. It is difficult to assemble a clear picture of the issue on such a short time frame in the wake of a disaster. In FY2013, the federal response to Hurricane Sandy led to a certain legislative response in the shape of supplemental appropriations and reforms to the Stafford Act. To some, the legislative intent of the BCA was to eliminate or reduce the use of the emergency designations to pay for disaster assistance by creating the disaster relief designation. They argue that in the case of assistance for Hurricane Sandy, Congress circumvented the use of offsets by designating the incident as an emergency.45 Opponents of the use of emergency designations for disaster 41 OMB did not respond to CRS inquiries about the details of its methodology. 42 U.S.C. 5187. 43 DHS/FEMA, Calendar Year Summary of Obligations, 1988-2010. 44 Recent years have seen increasing wildfire activity. FY2011 was the highest number of FMAG declarations with 114. Over the past two years there have been 77 such actions. Source: http://www.fema.gov./disasters/grid/year. 45 Patrick Louis Knudsen, Courting Disaster: Two Gaping Loopholes in the Debt Deal That Will Drive Up Spending, (continued...) 42 Congressional Research Service 18 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act assistance may conclude that while the BCA may have helped budget the DRF at more sustainable levels, disaster assistance for larger incidents should be offset to lessen their budgetary impact. Proponents, on the other hand, might argue that emergency designations are still needed for larger, arguably catastrophic incidents. Two years after the passage of the BCA, Congress may choose to consider whether its mechanisms have produced the intended result more broadly, or in the specific area of disaster relief. Exploring the actual costs of governmental assistance in the wake of floods, fires, explosions, and storms, and understanding how the local, state, and federal governments fund those relief efforts is a valuable first step. A more accurate accounting for the size of that burden and how it is shared across the levels of government would appear to be essential. The funding and budget control functions do not operate in a vacuum, however. Controlling disaster costs cannot be done without addressing the laws that establish the role of the federal government in disaster response and recovery, and the expectations of state and local governments and the American people. Author Contact Information Bruce R. Lindsay Analyst in American National Government blindsay@crs.loc.gov, 7-3752 Francis X. McCarthy Analyst in Emergency Management Policy fmccarthy@crs.loc.gov, 7-9533 William L. Painter Analyst in Emergency Management and Homeland Security Policy wpainter@crs.loc.gov, 7-3335 Acknowledgments The authors are grateful for the assistance of Justin Murray, Information Research Specialist, in preparing this report. (...continued) The Heritage Foundation, November 7, 2012, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2013/01/hurricane-sandy-reliefbill-and-bloated-deficit-spending. Congressional Research Service 19 Although it is likely that including all federal assistance for emergency and disaster relief would increase the ten-year average, the size of the increase would depend on the new methodology used to calculate the amount of assistance provided. Funding for Severe Disaster Years Congress provided additional budget authority for disaster assistance in 10 appropriation laws following the hurricanes of 2005. While OMB removed the $37 billion spent on disaster relief in 2005 as an outlier when calculating the allowable adjustment for disaster relief to the cap, response and recovery to these storms went well beyond that first year. Appropriations for recovery from these storms between FY2006 and FY2010 was still substantial—$32 billion was spent in FY2006, in great part because of those ongoing recovery efforts. The sizeable initial disaster relief expenditures for Hurricane Katrina and the other 2005 storms will begin to lose relevance in calculating the allowable adjustment for disaster assistance for FY2016, and will no longer impact calculations for the allowable adjustment in FY2017. Once FY2005 and FY2006 rotate out, there will be a corresponding drop in the allowable disaster assistance adjustments. The reduction in the allowable adjustment will be more significant if disaster spending is below the 10-year average in the intervening years. In a scenario where disaster spending stays at the 10-year average level, the allowable adjustment will fall by $2.2 billion from FY2015 to FY2016, and then by another $2.9 billion from FY2016 to FY2017—a reduction of 41% in just two years. Moreover, as the Administration and Congress work to spend under the adjustment, the cap could continue to decrease, increasing the likelihood of a bad storm year significantly straining the budget mechanisms in place at that time. Some policymakers might welcome such a series of developments, arguing the purpose of the BCA is to rein in deficit spending by either keeping spending under the caps, or by triggering a sequestration. Others might contend that the limitations on disaster spending are too severe, given the unpredictable demand for disaster relief in the context of a very tight budget where offsets 27 OMB did not respond to CRS inquiries about the details of its methodology. 42 U.S.C. 5187. 29 DHS/FEMA, Calendar Year Summary of Obligations, 1988-2010. 28 Congressional Research Service 12 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act may be difficult to come by without significant impacts on government operations. Congress would have to spend well above the eligible adjustment in at least two years before FY2016 to maintain a consistent funding baseline for disaster assistance—decisions that could constrain the rest of the discretionary budget. It is possible that the Administration and Congress could rely on the available adjustment to fund all accounts where disaster relief is appropriated, rather than relying on discretionary spending under the cap to do so. This may be a particularly attractive option for appropriators as the discretionary budget becomes more constrained. If this pattern of funding becomes the norm, and a severe disaster year demands increased disaster relief, as Congress seeks more funds, there are at least four possible outcomes: (1) discretionary spending cuts, either by Congress or through sequestration, to “pay for” the additional assistance, (2) designation of disaster assistance as emergency funding, despite the definitions in the BCA, (3) creation of designated revenue raisers by the Congress to finance extra disaster relief spending, or (4) renegotiation of the underlying budget control laws. Another potential issue is the impact of a mega-disaster might have on the federal budget. For example, the FY2005 supplemental for the 2005 hurricane season was $45.1 billion. If an event with similar or even greater damage costs, such as a New Madrid earthquake, occurred under the current budget constraints set forth in the BCA, Congress could find itself in need of roughly hundreds of billions in offsets to pay for disaster relief or possibly facing a sequestration of similar size if it adheres to the BCA’s definitions.30 One might question whether the federal budget could absorb a sequestration of this magnitude without inflicting a severe impact on a national economy already shocked by the direct impact of the disaster. An alternative to that possibility is that, if such conditions arise, Congress may choose to reach an agreement outside of the timelines and constraints currently set forth in the BCA. Contention over Disaster Assistance Offsets In the fall of 2011, there was extensive public debate over the possible requirement of offsets for disaster assistance. Those opposed to the use of offsets argue that their use could politicize disaster assistance by allowing policymakers to target certain programs for the needed spending reduction. Assistance to disaster victims could be delayed while Congress debates the issue. Opponents have also argued that emergency funding for other endeavors, such as war funding, have not faced the same requirement. Those in favor of offsetting disaster assistance argue that offsets do not deny disaster victims aid; they merely provide a way of doing so without increasing the deficit. Proponents also argue that the concern over delayed disaster assistance is without merit. As demonstrated in Table 1, while it may take some time to provide relatively smaller incidents such as the Nisqually Earthquake with supplemental funding, Congress has responded to the needs of disaster victims by appropriating additional funds for disaster relief in a matter of days as with the September 11th terrorist attacks and Hurricane Katrina. It should be noted however, the actions represented in Table 1 were emergency spending actions that were not subject to offsets. Whether congressional action would be as rapid under the BCA framework is uncertain. 30 W. Barksdale Maynard, “When the Big Muddy Ran Backward,” The Washington Post, January 31, 2012, p. E1. Congressional Research Service 13 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Table 1. Supplemental Funding for Large-Scale Disasters Event Date of Declaration Date of Enactment Days Hurricane Katrina August 29, 2005 September 2, 2005 3 Hurricane Isabel September 18, 2003 September 30, 2003 12 9/11 Terrorist Attacks September 11, 2001 September 18, 2001 7 Nisqually Earthquake March 1, 2001 July 24, 2001 Hurricane Floyd September 16, 1999 October 20, 1999 34 Northridge Earthquake January 17, 1994 February 12, 1994 26 Midwest Floods June 11, 1993 August 12, 1993 62 Hurricane Andrew August 23, 1992 September 23, 1992 31 Hurricane Hugo September 20, 1989 September, 29, 1989 9 114 Source: CRS Report R40708, Disaster Relief Funding and Emergency Supplemental Appropriations, by Bruce R. Lindsay and Justin Murray. Note: Table 1 reflects the number of days it took to enact the first supplemental appropriation after the incident was declared a major disaster. Some incidents (such as Hurricane Katrina) received more than one supplemental appropriation for disaster relief. Sequestration may seem more appealing to some Members rather than finding offsets for disaster assistance if the allowable adjustment is inadequate and Congress chooses to not use emergency appropriations to support the DRF. Although the net accounting effect is the same over the medium term, sequestration involves automatic, largely across-the-board spending reductions after the fact, rather than a specific Congressional decision, affirmed by votes of the House and Senate and signed by the President to reduce funding for a specific program or programs with allies and stakeholders who may be provoked to action. The potential risks incurred by an automatic across-the-board cancellation of budget authority across the government regardless of the possible effect on national priorities should not be discounted, however. Increasing Declarations Since FEMA’s first full year of operations (1979) there has been a steady increase in the number of emergency and major disaster declarations. It is unclear what is causing the increase. On the one hand, it could be the result of more incidents. On the other hand, it could be the result of an increase in incidents for which a request for assistance is made (in other words, there is no increase in the number of incidents, rather, there is an increase in requests for federal assistance). The result could also be caused by a combination of the two, as well as by some other undetermined cause. However, while the number of declarations is often a focus for criticism, it is the costs within the declared events (determinations on eligible disaster spending) that can drive the higher disaster spending amounts. The BCA provides a mechanism designed to reduce the impact of disaster relief spending on the national debt, but does not provide a means for limiting or reducing federal expenditures on disaster assistance. If declarations continue to increase unabated, the federal budget may have to absorb more and more of the costs associated with disaster assistance. Some might argue that in addition to spending adjustments for disaster assistance, other policies designed to reduce federal expenditures for assistance should also be pursued. These policy options include strengthening Congressional Research Service 14 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act declaration criteria, reducing the federal cost-share for incidents, and creating incentives that would encourage states to pursue more robust preparedness and mitigation measures.31 Concluding Observations The debate over the use of mechanisms to reduce the impact of disaster assistance on the deficit, such as the use of offsets, was temporarily moved to the back burner when FEMA deobligated funds designated for projects that came in under budget, providing, in conjunction with delays in funding for pending recovery projects to slow the use of resources, enough resources to fund the DRF to last until the beginning of the 2012 fiscal year. The debate over disaster assistance may take place again in the near future due to a number of factors. While the current continuing resolution (P.L. 112-36) provided $2.65 billion in FY2012 for disaster relief, as previously mentioned, the average spend-out rate for the DRF is $350 million per month—or $4.2 billion a year. If the average spending remains the same there may be another shortfall in the DRF some time before the end of FY2012. Moreover, in addition to recovery costs associated with Hurricane Katrina, significant costs were incurred in FY2011 that will also draw funding from the DRF in FY2012. These include Hurricane Irene (estimated at roughly $1.5 billion), the 2011 fires, the Mid-Atlantic Earthquake of 2011, and Tropical Storm Lee. As mentioned previously, the BCA is designed to allow for a limited amount of additional spending on disaster relief beyond the discretionary spending limits it sets out. If the costs of disaster assistance continue to grow, other parts of the federal budget will need to absorb those costs if they exceed the adjustments. Policymakers may need to consider additional cost-saving measures to prevent this from occurring. While the BCA may help curb or contain the impact of traditional disaster spending, the implications of a truly catastrophic incident such as Hurricane Katrina are unclear. If such conditions arise, Congress may choose to reach an agreement outside of the timelines and constraints currently set forth in the BCA. Author Contact Information Bruce R. Lindsay Analyst in American National Goverment blindsay@crs.loc.gov, 7-3752 Francis X. McCarthy Analyst in Emergency Management Policy fmccarthy@crs.loc.gov, 7-9533 William L. Painter Analyst in Emergency Management and Homeland Security Policy wpainter@crs.loc.gov, 7-3335 31 For further analysis on emergency and major disaster declarations see CRS Report RL34146, FEMA’s Disaster Declaration Process: A Primer, by Francis X. McCarthy. For further analysis on FEMA cost-shares see CRS Report R41101, FEMA Disaster Cost-Shares: Evolution and Analysis, by Francis X. McCarthy. Congressional Research Service 15 An Examination of Federal Disaster Relief Under the Budget Control Act Acknowledgments The authors are grateful for the assistance of Justin Murray, Information Research Specialist, in preparing this report. Congressional Research Service 16