U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations:
Issues for the 112th Congress
Michael F. Martin
Specialist in Asian Affairs
April 5, 2011June 11, 2012
Congressional Research Service
7-5700
www.crs.gov
R41550
CRS Report for Congress
Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress
U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Summary
Since the resumption of trade relations in the 1990s, Vietnam has rapidly risen to become a
significant trading partner for the United States. Along with the growth of bilateral trade, a
number of issues of common concernsconcern, and sometimes disagreement, have emerged between the
two nations. Congress may play a direct role in the U.S. policy on some of these issues.
Bilateral trade has grown from about $220 million in 1994 to $18.621.86 billion in 2010. Vietnam is
the second-largest 2011, transforming
Vietnam into the 30th largest trading partner for the United States. Vietnam is the second-largest
source of U.S. clothing imports, and a major source for footwear, furniture, and
electrical electrical
machinery. Much of this rapid growth in bilateral trade can be attributed to U.S.
extension of
normal trade relations (NTR) status to Vietnam. Another major contributing factor is
over 20
years of rapid economic growth in Vietnam, ushered in by a 1986 shift to a more marketoriented market-oriented
economic system.
Bilateral trade may increase if both nations become members of the Trans-Pacific Strategic
Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP). The United States and Vietnam are among the nine
countries negotiating the terms of expansion of the trade association. The Obama Administration
envisions an expanded TPP as a “21st Century free trade agreement” that will become the
cornerstone for a trans-Pacific regional trade association. Vietnam is also a party to negotiations
Vietnam’s incentive to join
the TPP is largely contingent on greater market access in the United States, particularly for
agricultural goods, aquacultural goods, clothing, and footwear. Vietnam is also a party to
negotiations to form a larger pan-Asian regional trade association based on the Association of
Southeast Asian
Nations (ASEAN) that could exclude the United States and prove to be an
alternative to the TPP.
The growth in bilateral trade has not been without its accompanying issues and problems.
Vietnam has applied for acceptance into the U.S. Generalized System of Preferences (GSP)
program and is participating in negotiations of a Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) with the
United States. Vietnam also would like to be officially recognized as a market economy.
There have also been problems with U.S. imports of specific products from Vietnam, particularly
catfish-like fish known as basa or tra. In 2002, Congress passed legislation that prohibited the
labeling of basa and tra as “catfish.” In 2008, the 110th Congress passed legislation that
transferred the regulation of catfish from the Food and Drug Administration to the U.S.
Department of Agriculture (USDA) and authorized the Secretary of Agriculture to determine if
basa and tra are to be considered catfish. The Vietnamese government strongly protested these actions
as largelythe law
as a protectionist measuresmeasure. On February 24, 2011, the USDA released proposed new catfish
regulations, which did not resolve the status of Vietnam’s basa and tra exports.
An examination of recent trends in bilateral trade reveals that other product categories—such as
footwear, furniture, and electrical machinery—could generate future tension between the United
States and Vietnam. Observers of Vietnam’s economic development have also been critical of
Vietnam’s protection of workers’ rights, its enforcement of intellectual property rights laws and
regulations, and the country’s exchange rate policies.
The 112th Congress may play an important role in one or more of these issues, as have past
Congresses. The 112th Congress would have to consider implementing legislation if a TPP
agreement is concluded. If the 112th Congress should take up GSP renewal, it may also consider
Vietnam’s pending application. The 112th Congress may also weigh in on its designation as a
market or non-market economy. Finally, if current growth trends continue, Congress may be
asked to act on the rising amount of footwear, furniture, and/or electrical machinery being
imported from Vietnam. This report Congressional action on key legislation, such as the Agriculture Reform,
Food, and Jobs Act of 2012 (S. 3240), could have an impact on the TPP negotiations. This report
will be updated as circumstances require.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Contents
Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 1
Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP).................................................... 3
Vietnam’s Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) Application.................................................. 5
Compliance with Eligibility Criteria .........................................................................................5 6
Is Vietnam a “Communist” Country?.................................................................................. 6
Workers’ Rights ...................................................................................................................6 7
IPR Protection ..................................................................................................................6... 7
Congressional Implications ....................................................................................................... 87
Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) Negotiations .............................................................................. 8
Status of the Negotiations.......................................................................................................... 8
The Role of Congress ................................................................................................................ 9
Non-Market Economy Designation .............................................................................................9.. 10
State-Owned Enterprises ......................................................................................................... 109
Price and Wage Controls ......................................................................................................... 11
Vietnam’s View........................................................................................................................ 12 11
Catfish ............................................................................................................................................ 12
2008 Farm Bill......................................................................................................................... 13
The Antidumping Sunset Review ............................................................................................ 15
The Agriculture Reform, Food, and Jobs Act of 2012............................................................. 15 14
Implications for the 112th Congress ........................................................................................ 14. 15
Other Economic Issues .................................................................................................................. 15
U.S. Clothing Imports from Vietnam ...................................................................................... 1516
Workers’ Rights ....................................................................................................................... 17 16
IPR Protection ....................................................................................................................... 17.. 18
Vietnam’s Exchange Rate Policy ............................................................................................. 1819
Key Trends in Bilateral Trade........................................................................................................ 19 18
Merchandise Trade ................................................................................................................ 18.. 19
Furniture and Bedding....................................................................................................... 20
Footwear............................................................................................................................ 20
Electrical Machinery ......................................................................................................... 21 20
Product Interplay............................................................................................................... 21 20
Trade in Services .................................................................................................................. 20... 21
Foreign Direct Investment ....................................................................................................... 21
Figures
Figure 1. U.S. Clothing Imports from Vietnam ............................................................................. 16 15
Tables
Table 1. Growth in Bilateral Merchandise Trade between United States and Vietnam ................... 2
Table 2. Top 10 U.S. Exports to Vietnam and Imports from Vietnam ........................................... 19
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Contacts
Author Contact Information .......................................................................................................... 21. 22
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Introduction
For over 20 years, economic and trade relations between the United States and the Socialist
Republic of Vietnam (Vietnam) remained virtually frozen, in part a legacy of the extended
military conflict of the 1960s and 1970s. On May 2, 1975, after North Vietnam defeated U.S. ally
South Vietnam, President Gerald R. Ford extended President Richard M. Nixon’s 1964 trade
embargo on North Vietnam to cover the reunified nation.1 Under the Ford embargo, bilateral trade
and financial transactions were prohibited.
Economic and trade relations between the two nations began to thaw during the Clinton
Administration, building on joint efforts during the Reagan and George H. W. Bush
Administrations to resolve a sensitive issue in the United States—recovering the remains of U.S.
military personnel declared “missing in action” (MIA) during the Vietnam War.2 The shift in U.S.
policy also was spurred by Vietnam’s withdrawal from Cambodia. President Bill Clinton ordered
an end to the U.S. trade embargo on Vietnam on February 3, 1994.3 In 1997, President Clinton
appointed the first U.S. ambassador to Vietnam since the end of the Vietnam War.
Bilateral relations also improved, due in part, due to Vietnam’s 1986 decision to shift from a Sovietstyle central planned economy to a form of market socialism. The new economic policy, known
as Doi Moi (“change and newness”), ushered in a period of over 20 years of rapid growth in
Vietnam. Since 1995, Vietnam’s real GDP growth has averaged over 7% per year, second only to
China. Much of that growth has been generated by foreign investmentsinvestment in Vietnam’s
manufacturing sector, particularly its clothing industry.
The United States and Vietnam signed a bilateral trade agreement (BTA) on July 13, 2000, which
went into force on December 10, 2001.4 As part of the BTA, the United States extended to
Vietnam conditional most favored nation (MFN) trade status, now known as normal trade
relations (NTR). Economic and trade relations further improved when the United States granted
Vietnam permanent normal trade relations (PNTR) status on December 29, 2006, as part of
Vietnam’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO).5 Over the last three years, the
United States government U.S.
Congress has appropriated approximately $10 million each year to support
Vietnam’s economic
reforms. 6 In addition, the two nations have set up a ministerial-level Trade
and Investment
Agreement (TIFA) Council to discuss issues related to the implementation of the Bilateral
1
Office of Foreign Assets Control, Department of Treasury, “Foreign Assets Control Regulations,” 40 Federal
Register 19202-3, May 2, 1975. For more information on the history of U.S. trade sanctions on North Vietnam and the
Socialist Republic of Vietnam, see CRS Report 94-633, Vietnam: Procedural and Jurisdictional Questions Regarding
Possible Normalization of U.S. Diplomatic and Economic Relations, by Vladimir N. Pregelj et al (out of print;
available from the author upon request).
2
For more information about the thaw in U.S.-Vietnam relations, see CRS Report R40208, U.S.-Vietnam Relations in
20112012: Current Issues and Implications for U.S. Policy, by Mark E. Manyin.
3
The action came after many months of high-level U.S. interaction with Vietnam in resolving MIA cases and a January
27, 1994 vote in the Senate urging that the embargo be lifted, language that was attached to broad authorizing
legislation (H.R. 2333). The language was controversial in the House, but H.R. 2333 passed Congress; it was signed
into law (P.L. 103-236) on April 30, 1994.
4
For more information about the BTA, see CRS Report RL30416, The Vietnam-U.S. Bilateral Trade Agreement, by
Mark E. Manyin.
5
CRS Report RL33490, Vietnam PNTR Status and WTO Accession: Issues and Implications for the United States, by
Mark E. Manyin, William H. Cooper, and Bernard A. Gelb.
6
USAID correspondence with CRS in December 2010.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
and Investment Agreement (TIFA) Council to discuss issues related to the implementation of the
BIT Treaty (BIT) and WTO agreements, as well as trade and investment policies in
general.
In contrast to some other nations (for example, China), official U.S. and Vietnamese trade data
are comparatively close and reflect a similar pattern in the growth of bilateral trade (see Table 1).
For the first few years following the end of the U.S. embargo, trade between the two nations grew
slowly, principally because of Vietnam’s lack of NTR. However, following the granting of
conditional NTR in December 2001, trade flows between the United States and Vietnam grew
quickly. Merchandise trade nearly doubled between 2001 and 2002, regardless of which nation’s
figures one uses. Bilateral trade jumped again in 2007, following the United States granting
PNTR status to Vietnam. Total trade declined slightly in 2009 as U.S. imports from Vietnam slid
4.7% because of the economic recession, but rebounded in 2010 and 2011.
Table 1. Growth in Bilateral Merchandise Trade between United States and Vietnam
(in millions of U.S. dollars)
U.S. Trade Data
Year
Exports to
Vietnam
Vietnamese Data
Imports from
Vietnam
Exports to
United States
NA
Imports from
United States
1994
173
50
NA
NA
1995
253
199
170
130
1996
616
319
204
246
1997
278
388
287
252
1998
274
553
469
325
1999
291
609
504
323
2000
368
822
733
363
2001
461
1,053
1,065
411
2002
580
2,395
2,453
458
2003
1,324
4,555
3,939
1,143
2004
1,163
5,276
5,025
1,134
2005
1,192
6,630
5,924
863
2006
1,100
8,566
7,845
987
2007
1,903
10,633
10,105
1,701
2008
2,790
12,901
11,869
2,635
2009
3,108
12,290
11,356
3,009
2010
3,710
14,868
12,800
NA14,238
3,767
2011
4,341
17,485
16,928
4,529
Source: U.S. data from International Trade Commission (ITC); Vietnamese data from General Statistics Office
of Vietnam.
Notes: U.S. data valued at F.A.S. and customs value; Vietnam data valued at F.O.B. and C.I.F; NA = not available.
The growth in bilateral trade has not been without its accompanying issues and problems. Both
nations are negotiating membership in the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Agreement (TPP), a multilateral trade group. For its part, Vietnam has indicated a desire to foster
closer trade relations by applying for acceptance into the U.S. Generalized System of Preferences
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closer trade relations by applying for acceptance into the U.S. Generalized System of Preferences
(GSP) program(GSP) program, and participating in negotiations of a bilateral investment treaty (BIT). The
United States has also expressed an interest in closer economic relations, but has told Vietnam
that it needs to make certain changes in its legal, regulatory, and operating environment of its
economy to conclude either the TPP or the BIT agreement, as well as to qualify for the GSP
program.
The growth in bilateral growth in trade has also created sources of trade friction. A rapid increase in
Vietnam’s clothing
exports to the United States led to the implementation of a controversial
monitoring program
from 2007 to 2009. The growth in Vietnam’s export of basa and tra has also
generated tensions
between the two nations. Other economic issues have had an indirect effect on
bilateral relations,
such as claims of poor working conditions in factories in Vietnam, Vietnam’s
designation as a
“non-market economy,” allegations of inadequate intellectual property rights
(IPR) protection in
Vietnam, and Vietnam’s exchange rate policy.
This report will examine each of these trade issues, discussing their main elements and exploring
their potential implications for the 112th Congress. This will be followed by an analysis of key
trends in bilateral trade to discern any potential sources of trade friction in the future.
Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Agreement (TPP)
The Bush Administration notified Congress of its intention to enter into negotiations with the
members of the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP) on September 22,
2008.7 The TPP—previously known as the P4—is a multilateral free trade agreement between
Brunei, Chile, New Zealand, and Singapore that came into force in 2006.8 The U.S.
announcement of interest in joining the TPP was quickly followed by similar expressions of
interest by Australia, Malaysia, Peru, and Vietnam.9
In the President’s 2010 Annual Report on the U.S. trade agreements program, the Obama
Administration stated that U.S. participation in the TPP “is the strongest vehicle for achieving
economic integration across the Asia-Pacific region and advancing U.S. economic interests with
the fastest-growing economies in the world.”10 Vietnam’s Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign
Minister Pham Gai Khiem listed negotiations to join the TPP—along with the U.S. BIT talks and
Partnership and Cooperative Agreement with the European Union—as among Vietnam’s top trade
priorities in 2009.11 During an April 2010 speech in Washington, DC, Prime Minister Nguyễn Tấn
Dũng made particular note of both countries’ participation in the TPP negotiations.12
The first meeting of the nine negotiating parties was held in Melbourne, Australia, on March 1519, 2010. Since then, subsequent rounds were held in June, October, and December 2010, and
February and March of 2011.
7
For more information on U.S. interest in the TPP Agreement, see CRS Report R40502, The Trans-Pacific Partnership
Agreement, by Ian F. Fergusson and Bruce Vaughn.
8
Because of differences in the timing of the agreement’s approval, the TPP Agreement came into force on different
dates in 2006 for the four current members—May 1 for New Zealand and Singapore, June 12 for Brunei Darussalam
and November 8 for Chile.
9
Since then, other nations – including Indonesia, Japan, the Philippines, South Korea, and Thailand – have expressed
an interest in the TPP, but are not parties to the ongoing negotiations.
10
Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, 2010 Trade Policy Agenda and 2009 Annual Report of the President of the
United States on the Trade Agreements Program, Washington, DC, March 2010.
11
“Vietnam to Pursue Foreign Policy of Peace in 2009,” Vietnam News Agency, January 23, 2009.
12
Prime Minister Dũng’s speech at a breakfast held by the U.S.-ASEAN Business Council on April 14, 2010.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
priorities in 2009.11 During an April 2010 speech in Washington, DC, Prime Minister Nguyễn Tấn
Dũng made particular note of both countries’ participation in the TPP negotiations.12
The first meeting of the nine negotiating parties was held in Melbourne, Australia, on March 1519, 2010. Since then, 11 subsequent rounds have been held, with the latest talks occurring in May
2012 in Dallas, TX.
Vietnam’s participation in the TPP negotiations could complicate the U.S. negotiation position.
Whereas the other parties involved in the negotiations are generally viewed as having
comparatively open trade policies, Vietnam remains a mixed economy with considerable
government intervention. Given that the apparent U.S. goal is to create a more open and
comprehensive free trade area in the Asia-Pacific, Vietnam’s participation in the talks could
constrain U.S. efforts to expand the scope and depth of the TPP. Backers of Vietnam’s
participation in the negotiations maintain that it further opens a sizeable market to U.S. exports
and investments, and could accelerate economic reforms in Vietnam.
In addition, Vietnam’s priorities for the TPP may pose problems for the United States. According
According to U.S. trade
statistics, Vietnam is the second largest U.S. trading partner (after Singapore) among the nations
currently involved in the TPP negotiations.
According to an interview with key Vietnamese analysts, Vietnam is pressing for the following
provisions in
the TPP agreement:13
•
Designation as a market economy prior to 2018;14
•
Liberalization of trade in services (including certification and licensing);
•
Relaxation of U.S. “yarn forward” rules;
•
Prohibition on discrimination against state-owned enterprises; and
•
Special consideration for developing economies.
Vietnam is also interested in greater market access for its agricultural and aquacultural exports,
particularly in the United States. The United States, in turn, would like Vietnam to undertake the
necessary economic and regulatory reforms necessary to fulfill its obligations under the TPP
agreement, which the Obama Administration hopes will be a model trade agreement for the 21st
Century. The United States is particularly concerned about Vietnam’s ability to achieve the
necessary TPP standards for such topics as sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) measures, workers’
rights, IPR enforcement, and state-owned enterprises (SOEs).
According to a Vietnamese official close to the TPP negotiations, the United States is pressing the
other nations for concessions in many of the proposed 20 chapters in the trade agreement, but has
not offered much in exchange. Access to the U.S. market is one of the most important potential
benefits of the TPP for Vietnam, particularly for Vietnam’s leading exports, such as clothing,
footwear, agricultural goods, and aquacultural goods (see “Key Trends in Bilateral Trade”).
Vietnam opposes the inclusion of “yarn-forward” conditions for clothing in the TPP agreement; it
prefers the adoption of “cut and sew” rules. Vietnam is also concerned that provisions may be
11
“Vietnam to Pursue Foreign Policy of Peace in 2009,” Vietnam News Agency, January 23, 2009.
Prime Minister Dũng’s speech at a breakfast held by the U.S.-ASEAN Business Council on April 14, 2010.
13
“TPP - Vietnam’s New Game in the Global Integration,” Vietnam Net, December 6, 7, and 8, 2010.
14
Vietnam will be granted market economy status as of 2018 under the provisions of its WTO accession agreement.
12
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added to the Agriculture Reform, Food, and Jobs Act of 2012 (S. 3240) that would create nontariff trade barriers to the import of basa and tra from Vietnam (see “Catfish”).
Another complicating factor is Vietnam’s support for ASEAN’s discussions with other nations to
form a pan-Asian trade association that could exclude the United States.15 Over the last several
years, ASEAN has organized meetings with various configurations of Asian nations—such as the
ASEAN + 3 (China, Japan, and South Korea), and ASEAN + 6 (Australia, China, India, Japan,
New Zealand, and South Korea)—to discuss the formation of a free trade area that would include
only Asian nations. However, in an April 2010 meeting with CRS, Vietnamese trade officials
indicated that Vietnam would like to see the United States take a more active role in a possible
ASEAN + 8 (Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand, Russia, South Korea, and the United
States) forming the basis for a larger regional trade association. Some observers have speculated
that the U.S. decision to formally join the East Asia Summit in 2011,16 which will includeincludes all the
ASEAN +8 nations, may indicate a willingness to consider modes for Asian economic integration
other than the TPP.
If a TPP agreement is concluded, the 112th Congress would have to consider implementing
legislation to revise current U.S. law to make it consistent with the terms of the agreement.
Unlike the ratification of international treaties, the implementing legislation must be approved by
both the House of Representative and the Senate.17
13
“TPP - Vietnam’s New Game in the Global Integration,” Vietnam Net, December 6, 7, and 8, 2010.
Vietnam will be granted market economy status as of 2018 under the provisions of its WTO accession agreement.
15
Vietnam’s Generalized System of Preferences (GSP)
Application18
In May 2008, Vietnam formally requested to be added to the U.S. Generalized System of
Preferences (GSP) program as a “beneficiary developing country” (BDC). On June 20, 2008, the
office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) announced that it was initiating a formal review
of Vietnam’s eligibility for GSP benefits and would accept public comments on the application
until August 4, 2008. Since then, there has been no formal announcement from USTR regarding
the status of Vietnam’s GSP application.
The U.S. GSP program authorizes the President to grant duty-free treatment for any eligible
product from any beneficiary country.19 Initially created by Title V of the Trade Act of 1974 (P.L.
15
For more about the complicated dynamics of regionalism in Asia, see CRS Report RL33653, East Asian Regional
Architecture: New Economic and Security Arrangements and U.S. Policy, by Dick K. Nanto
16
According to ASEAN’s official webpage, the East Asia Summit is “a forum for dialogue on broad strategic, political
and economic issues of common interest and concern with the aim of promoting peace, stability and economic
prosperity in East Asia.” The current EAS members are the 10 ASEAN members, plus Australia, People’s Republic of
China, Republic of India, Japan, Republic of Korea, and New Zealand. Russia and the United States are set to become
members in 2011.
17
The proposed TPP agreement would be presented to Congress as a Congressional-Executive Agreement, not as a
treaty. For more information on Congressional-Executive Agreements, see CRS Report 97-896, Why Certain Trade
(continued...)
14
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Vietnam’s Generalized System of Preferences (GSP)
Application18
In May 2008, Vietnam formally requested to be added to the U.S. Generalized System of
Preferences (GSP) program as a “beneficiary developing country” (BDC). On June 20, 2008, the
office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) announced that it was initiating a formal review
of Vietnam’s eligibility for GSP benefits and would accept public comments on the application
until August 4, 2008. Since then, there has been no formal announcement from USTR regarding
the status of Vietnam’s GSP application.
The U.S. GSP program authorizes the President to grant duty-free treatment for any eligible
product from any beneficiary country. 19 Initially created by Title V of the Trade Act of 1974 (P.L.
Agreements Are Approved as Congressional-Executive Agreements Rather Than as Treaties, by Jeanne J. Grimmett.
18
For a more detailed examination of Vietnam’s GSP application, see CRS Report RL34702, Potential Trade Effects of
Adding Vietnam to the Generalized System of Preferences Program, by Vivian C. Jones and Michael F. Martin.
19
For background information on the U.S. GSP program, see CRS Report RL33663, Generalized System of
Preferences: Background and Renewal Debate, by Vivian C. Jones.
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93-618) for a 10-year period, the GSP program has been repeatedly renewed by Congress, most
recently in a one-year extension on December 22, 2009, as part of P.L. 111-124via P.L. 112-40, which extended the program until July 31, 2013. The statute also
provides the President with specific political and economic criteria to use when designating
eligible countries and products.
Inclusion in the U.S. GSP program is a highmajor trade priority for the Vietnamese government.
Vietnam has already been accepted into several other GSP programs, including those of Canada,
the European Union (EU), and Japan. The status of Vietnam’s GSP application was reportedly
raised during the meeting of the U.S.-Vietnam Trade and Investment Framework Agreement
(TIFA) Council in Washington, DC, from April 15-22, 2009.20 On December 2, 2009, Vietnam’s
Foreign Minister Pham Gia Khiem reportedly asked former U.S. Trade Representative Susan
Schwab to urge the Obama Administration to add Vietnam to the U.S. GSP program.21 According
Vietnam has repeatedly asked about the status of its GSP
application, including during Deputy Prime Minister Vu Van Ninh’s official meetings with
Secretary of Commerce John Bryson and U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk in February 2012.
According to sources in Vietnam’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA), the Vietnamese
government sees its
acceptance into the GSP program as another step in the normalization of
bilateral relations.
Compliance with Eligibility Criteria
For theThe United States, Vietnam’s GSP application poses has indicated to Vietnam that there are several problems with respect to its
compliance with the program’s eligibility criteria. In particulartheory, there is a question whether
Vietnam Vietnam
is a “Communist” country. Under the provisions of the Trade Act of 1974, a
“Communist”
country is ineligible for the GSP program unless it meets certain additional
conditions. Another
area of possible non-compliance with the GSP program’s eligibility criteria is
whether Vietnam
has “taken steps to provide its workers with internationally recognized worker
rights.” There are
also indications that Vietnam’s IPR protection mayis not be adequate to satisfy
GSP eligibility. Current
U.S. law allows the President to waive compliance with the worker rights
and IPR protection criteria, but not the “Communist” country criterion.
(...continued)
Agreements Are Approved as Congressional-Executive Agreements Rather Than as Treaties, by Jeanne J. Grimmett.
18
For a more detailed examination of Vietnam’s GSP application, see CRS Report RL34702, Potential Trade Effects of
Adding Vietnam to the Generalized System of Preferences Program, by Vivian C. Jones and Michael F. Martin.
19
For background information on the U.S. GSP program, see CRS Report RL33663, Generalized System of
Preferences: Background and Renewal Debate, by Vivian C. Jones.
20
“Vietnam, U.S. Boosting Agricultural, Trade, Labor Cooperation,” Vietnam Business Forum, April 28, 2009.
21
“Former US Trade Representative Visits Vietnam,” Voice of Vietnam News, December 3, 2009.
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criteria, but not the “Communist” country criterion.
Is Vietnam a “Communist” Country?
In its present form, the GSP program excludes “Communist” countries unless the President
determines three conditions have been met. First, the United States must have conferred NTR
status to the country. Second, the country must be a member of both the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) and the World Trade Organization (WTO). Third, the country must be “not
dominated or controlled by international communism.”
U.S. law does not provide any general definition of a “Communist” country. Some observers
point to Vietnam’s official name—the Socialist Republic of Vietnam—and the government’s
control by the Communist Party of Vietnam (Đảng Cộng sản Việt Nam) as prima facie evidence
that Vietnam is a “Communist” country. Other observers counter that after over two decades of
doi moi,2220 Vietnam no longer is a “Communist” country in terms of its economic system. In
addition, even if Vietnam was a “Communist” country, according to these observers, it is “not
dominated or controlled by international communism” because no such entity exists following the
collapse of the Soviet Union.
20
Doi Moi, which literally means “change and newness” and is often translated as “renovation,” is the Vietnamese
Communist Party’s term for reform and renovation in the economy. This term was coined in 1986 for Vietnam’s
transition from the centrally planned command economy to a “market economy with socialist direction.”
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Workers’ Rights
Among the GSP eligibility criteria, Vietnam’s recognition of internationally accepted workers’
rights has proven to be the most problematic. Prior to the 1986 advent of doi moi, there were
many allegations about substandard working conditions in Vietnam, including “sweatshop”
working conditions, the use of child labor, and severe restrictions on the right of association and
collective bargaining.2321 Since then, the Vietnamese government is generally perceived to have
made concerted efforts to comply with many internationally recognized labor standards.
In its application for GSP designation, the Vietnamese government focused on its partnership with
the International Labor Organization (ILO) and its ratification of several of the ILO’s conventions
as demonstrating its commitment to comply with international labor rights standards. Despite
these With the
assistance of the ILO, Vietnam’s National Assembly is working on a new labor law. Despite these
efforts by the Vietnamese government, critics still maintain that working conditions remain
below below
international standards. In particular, Vietnam has been criticized for its failure to allow
independent labor unions and respect the right of association (see section on “Workers’ Rights”
below).
IPR Protection
Vietnam remained on the U.S. Special 301 Watch List in 2010, with the official report noting a
rise in online piracy. 24 The 2010 National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers
(NTE)25 states that
22
Doi Moi, which literally means “change and newness” and is often translated as “renovation,” is the Vietnamese
Communist Party’s term for reform and renovation in the economy. This term was coined in 1986 for Vietnam’s
transition from the centrally planned command economy to a “market economy with socialist direction.”
23
For more information about pre-Doi Moi working conditions in Vietnam, see CRS Report RL30896, Vietnam’s
Labor Rights Regime: An Assessment, coordinated by Mark E. Manyin.
24
For the complete text of the 2010 Special 301 Report, see http://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/reports-andpublications/2010-3.
25
Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, The 20102012, with the official report noting that
online piracy is a “growing concern.”22 The 2012 National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers,
Washington, DC, March 2010.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Trade Barriers (NTE)23 states that
While recognizing the strides Vietnam has made in IPR intellectual property rights (IPR)
protection and enforcement over the
past several years, the United States noted that
enforcement efforts have not kept pace with
rising levels of IPIPR infringement and piracy in
the country. Furthermore, administrative
enforcement actions and penalties—, the most
commonly used means of enforcing IPR in
Vietnam— Vietnam, have not served as a sufficient
deterrent.
The NTE report also notes that in 2009 Vietnam revised its IPR Law, as well as IPR-related
provisions in the Criminal Code, to provide criminal penalties for IPR infringement conducted on
a commercial scale. In addition, the NTE indicated that “Vietnamese agencies took some initial
steps to enforce IP protections on the Internet.”noted that the Vietnamese government issued a new
decree in September 2010 on administrative penalties for industrial property violations.
Statements by past U.S. officials indicated that Vietnam’s IPR protection was playing a role in the
decision on its GSP application. In an interview on March 9, 2009, Jay L. Eizenstat, ex-director
for customs affairs for USTR in the Bush Administration, pointed out that “intellectual property
rights violations are easily seen in Vietnam and this is the reason for the unlikelihood of gaining
GSP although Vietnam satisfies basic criteria.”26 It is unclear to what extent this attitude is held in
the Obama Administration.
Congressional Implications
On December 31, 2010, the GSP program expired. The 111th Congress did not pass legislation
expending the GSP program beyond the extension it passed on December 22, 2009, as part of P.L.
111-124. Until such time that Congress reestablishes the GSP program, it is highly unlikely that
there will be a decision on Vietnam’s pending application.
Under previous U.S. law, Congress had no direct role in the determination of whether Vietnam
was to be accepted into the U.S. GSP program; the authority to make that decision was delegated
to the President of the United States. The President was required to notify Congress of his
intention.
If the GSP program is reestablished, there are several ways by which Congress could indicate its
preferences on this issue. In addition to hearings and communications to the Administration from
Members of Congress, Congress could authorize or instruct the President to designate—or not to
designate—Vietnam as a beneficiary developing country (BDC), either as part of the legislation
to extend the GSP program or in separate legislation. Alternatively, Congress could pass
legislation—separately or as part of the renewal of the GSP program—stipulating additional
eligibility criteria for the President to consider when deciding to confer BDC status to Vietnam.
Both versions of the Vietnam Human Rights Act introduced during the 111th Congress (H.R. 1969
and S. 1159) would have prohibited the inclusion of Vietnam in the GSP program unless the
President determines and certifies that Vietnam has met certain specified workers’ rights criteria.
Each chamber of Congress could also pass a resolution calling on the President to approve or
deny Vietnam’s application for inclusion in the U.S. GSP program.
26
“Exporters Must be Good at Product Valuation, Seminar,” Vietnam Business Forum, March 9, 2009.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
21
For more information about pre-Doi Moi working conditions in Vietnam, see CRS Report RL30896, Vietnam’s
Labor Rights Regime: An Assessment, coordinated by Mark E. Manyin.
22
For the complete text of the 2010 Special 301 Report, see http://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/reports-andpublications/2012-2.
23
Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, The 2012 National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers,
Washington, DC, March 2010.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
GSP although Vietnam satisfies basic criteria.”24 It is unclear to what extent this attitude is held in
the Obama Administration.
Besides the specified eligibility criteria in the GSP law, the TPP negotiations are also a factor in
U.S. consideration of Vietnam’s GSP application. Since the GSP program effectively eliminates
tariffs for over 3,400 types of goods, USTR is concerned that accepting Vietnam into the GSP
program will undermine U.S. effectiveness in the TPP negotiations.
Congressional Implications
Under U.S. law, Congress has no direct role in the determination of whether Vietnam is to be
accepted into the U.S. GSP program; the authority to make that decision has been delegated to the
President of the United States. The President is required to notify Congress of his intention.
There are, however, several ways by which Congress could indicate its preferences on this issue.
In addition to hearings and communications to the Administration from Members of Congress,
Congress could authorize or instruct the President to designate—or not to designate—Vietnam as
a beneficiary developing country (BDC), either as part of the legislation to extend the GSP
program or in separate legislation. Alternatively, Congress could pass legislation stipulating
additional eligibility criteria for the President to consider when deciding to confer BDC status to
Vietnam. Both versions of the Vietnam Human Rights Act introduced during the 111th Congress
(H.R. 1969 and S. 1159) would have prohibited the inclusion of Vietnam in the GSP program
unless the President determines and certifies that Vietnam has met certain specified workers’
rights criteria. In the 112th Congress, H.R. 5157 would deny Vietnam being accepted into the GSP
program unless the President certifies to Congress that Vietnam has met certain human rights
conditions. Each chamber of Congress could also pass a resolution calling on the President to
approve or deny Vietnam’s application for inclusion in the U.S. GSP program.
Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) Negotiations
During their June 2008 meeting, President Bush and Prime Minister Dũng announced the launch
of talks to establish a bilateral investment treaty (BIT).2725 BITs are designed to improve the
climate for foreign investors by establishing dispute settlement procedures and protecting foreign
investors from performance requirements, restrictions on transferring funds, and arbitrary
expropriation. The United States has signed 47 BITs, with 40 currently in force. Vietnam has
signed over is currently a party to 41 BITs in force; Vietnam has signed over
50 BITs.
Status of the Negotiations
The first round of BIT negotiations was held in Washington, DC, from December 15-18, 2008.
The Vietnamese delegation included representatives from the Ministry of Planning and
Investment, the Ministry of Industry and Trade, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Justice,
24
“Exporters Must be Good at Product Valuation, Seminar,” Vietnam Business Forum, March 9, 2009.
For more information about BITs and the U.S. BIT program, see CRS Report RL33978, The U.S. Bilateral
Investment Treaty Program: An Overview, by Martin A. Weiss.
25
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
and the State Bank of Vietnam. The U.S. delegation included representatives of the U.S. Trade
Representative’s Office, the Department of State, the Department of Commerce, and the Treasury
Department. Since then, two more rounds of talks have been held—one on June 1-2, 2009, in
Hanoi, and another on November 17-19, 2009, in Washington, DC. A proposed fourth round of
talks that was to be held in early 2010 has not happened. As the host for the next bilateral BIT
talks, Vietnam is supposed to suggest when and where to hold the meetings. According to USTR,
Vietnam has not suggested a date for the talks. The ongoing TPP talks have seemingly reduced
the interest in both countries in concluding the BIT agreementdid not happen. According to the State Department,
bilateral BIT talks have not been held since the two nations joined the TPP negotiations.
The Vietnamese government appears interested in concluding a BIT with the United States, both
because it could foster greater inward FDI from the United States and because it could serve as a
stepping-stone to a possible free trade agreement (FTA) with the United States. The U.S.
government’s interest in BIT negotiations appears primarily focused on providing better
protection and access for U.S. investors in Vietnam, while avoiding compromising domestic
economic priorities and needlessly relinquishing national sovereignty. Representatives of the
business communities in both the United States and Vietnam have expressed interest in the
successful conclusion of the BIT negotiations.
The United States has generally based its past BIT negotiations on a model BIT. In 2004, the
Bush Administration revised the model BIT, partially in response to provisions in the Trade Act of
2002 (P.L. 107-210). In the Trade Act of 2002, Congress mandated several negotiating objectives
to narrow the scope of investment protection. The act stated that the principal U.S. negotiating
objective on foreign investment is to reduce or eliminate barriers to investment, “while ensuring
that foreign investors in the United States are not accorded greater substantive rights with respect
to investment protections than United States investors in the United States, and to secure for
investors important rights comparable to those that would be available under United States legal
principles and practice.” The Obama Administration is reportedly reviewing the current model
BIT, and may be deferring progress with Vietnam until the review is completed. 28
27
For more information about BITs and the U.S. BIT program, see CRS Report RL33978, The U.S. Bilateral
Investment Treaty Program: An Overview, by Martin A. Weiss.
28
“Hormats: BIT to Balance Business Needs with Labor, Environmental Goals,” World Trade Online, March 10, 2010.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
recently released a new model BIT, which
presumably would be used in any future talks with Vietnam.26
In addition, the existing 2001 Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) between the United States and
Vietnam included provisions in Chapter 4 governing investment and the future negotiation of a
bilateral investment treaty.2927 Article 2 commits both nations to providing national and MFN
(NTR) treatment to investments. Article 4 provides for a dispute settlement system for bilateral
investments. Article 5 requires both nations to ensure that the laws, regulations, and
administrative procedures governing investments are promptly published and publicly available.
Article 11 pertains to compliance with the provisions of WTO Agreement on Trade-related
Investment Measures (TRIMs). Article 13 states that both nations “will endeavor to negotiate a
bilateral investment treaty in good faith within a reasonable period of time.”
The Role of Congress
If the United States and Vietnam successfully complete the negotiations of a BIT during the 112th
Congress, the treaty will be subject to Senate ratification. Action on the part of Congress as a
whole may be required if the terms of the BIT require changes in U.S. law.
26
A copy of the new model BIT is available online at http://www.ustr.gov/sites/default/files/
BIT%20text%20for%20ACIEP%20Meeting.pdf.
27
For the complete text of the 2001 BTA, go to http://www.usvtc.org/trade/bta/text/.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Non-Market Economy Designation
Under U.S. trade law (19 U.S.C. 1677), the term
“nonmarket economy country” means “any
foreign foreign
country that the administering authority determines
does not operate on market principles
of cost or
pricing structures, so that sales of merchandise in
such country do not reflect the fair
value of the
merchandise.” In making such a determination, the
administrating authority of the
executive branch is
to consider such criteria as the extent of state
ownership of the means of
production, and
government control of prices and wages.
For over 20 years, Vietnam has been transitioning
from a centrally planned economy to a market
economy. Under its doi moi policy, Vietnam has
allowed the development and growth of private
enterprise and competitive market allocation of
most goods and services. Although most prices
have been deregulated, the Vietnamese government
still retains some formal and informal
mechanisms mechanisms
to direct or manage the economy.
State-Owned Enterprises
For the United States, one of the main concerns
about Vietnam’s economy is the continued
importance of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in
the nation’s industrial sector. Between 1995 and
2010, the portion of Vietnam’s real industrial
output produced by SOEs declined from 50.3% to
22.1%.3028 However, SOEs continue to dominate key
sectors of Vietnam’s economy, such as mining
and and
energy. In addition, according to a study by the
Vietnam Report Company, 46% of the 500
largest largest
enterprises in Vietnam are SOEs. The five largest
enterprises—Vietnam Oil and Gas
Group, Vietnam
National Petroleum Corporation, Vietnam
Electricity, Vietnam Post and
Telecommunications Telecommunications
Group, and Vietnam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group—are all
SOEs.
29
30
For the complete text of the 2001 BTA, go to http://www.usvtc.org/trade/bta/text/.
Based on data from Vietnam’s General Statistics Office.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Many of Vietnam’s SOEs have been converted into
quasi-private corporations through a process known
as “equitization,” in which some shares are sold to
the public on Vietnam’s stock exchange, and most
of the shares remain owned by the Vietnamese
government. Twenty years ago, there were about
12,000 SOEs in Vietnam. By the end of 2009, the
number of SOEs had been reduced to 1,471 by
either restructuring or equitization. 31 To some
analysts, however, the retention of a controlling
interest in the shares of the companies provides the
Vietnamese government with the means to continue
to manage the operations of the equitized SOEs.
In August 2010, Prime Minister Dũng announced a
plan for the reorganization of the remaining
SOEs.32 Prime Minister Dũng has called on every
government agency responsible for the
administration of a SOE to submit a report on its
economic performance by the end of 2010. Plans
for the equitization of the SOEs were confirmed
during the 11th National Party Congress in January
2011. Vietnam will reportedly equitize nine SOEs
in 2011, including the Construction Machinery
Corporation (Coma), Licogi, and Lilama.33 The
stated goal is to restructure and reorganize all the
SOEs to increase their efficiency by the end of
2015. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) is
providing Vietnam with a $630 million loan to help
it reform its SOEs and improve corporate
governance. 34
The urgency to reform Vietnam’s SOEs is being
driven, in part, by the recent financial problems of
Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Group (Vinashin).
Vinashin is reportedly nearly bankrupt, after a
series of poor investments in non-shipbuilding
ventures. 35 The company had run up $4.4 billion in
debts by June 2010, and was having trouble
servicing its debt to both Vietnamese and nonVietnamese banks. It is unclear if the Vietnamese
government will rescue Vinashin. On December 8,
Industries Group—are all SOEs.
Vietnam’s Economy at a Glance
Starting inIn 1986, Vietnam started the
transformation of its
Soviet-style centrally planned
economy into a
market-oriented economy. Its
agricultural sector,
which was decollectivized in the
1990s, remains
the main source of employment in
the country, but
provides about 20% of GDP. The
industrial sector,
which contributes about 40% of
GDP, has also
undergone a gradual shift from
state-owned to
privately owned production.
Vietnam’s industrial
output currently is produced
by foreign-owned
enterprises (about 45% of
industrial output),
privately owned domestic
companies (about 35%
of industrial output), and
state-owned enterprises
(about 20% of industrial
output). Vietnam’s
services sector (about 40% of
GDP) has also
transitioned from primarily
government-run to
primarily private providers.
Most goods and
services are now distributed using
market market
mechanisms, but there remains significant
government intervention via subsidies for key
industries and selected consumer goods. Vietnam’s
financial system is still dominated by state-owned
banks, but some private banks have emerged.
Vietnam’s real GDP grew by 6.785.89% in 2010, fueled
by industrial and service sector growth. Vietnam’s
consumer price index (CPI) rose by 11.7518.58%. The
unemployment rate remained low, but Vietnam
continues to suffer from significant
underemployment. Vietnam’s total exports were
$71.696.3 billion; imports were $84.0 billion. Licensed
Foreign direct investment into Vietnam in 2011
was $17.2105.8 billion.
Although the shift in economic policy has led to
rapid growth, it has also brought many of the
traditional problems of market-oriented
economies. Vietnam has periodically struggled with
inflation, fiscal deficits, trade imbalances, and other
cyclical economic phenomena common to market
economies. Vietnam has also seen a rising income
and wealth disparity, that at times has fueled
discontent among Vietnam’s poor and lowerincome population. Vietnam’s economic priorities
for 20112012 are to stabilize economic growth at 6.5%
and contain inflation.
Source: General Statistics Office of Vietnam.
31
“Time to Restructure State Enterprises,” Viet Nam News, November 26, 2010.
Kim Tan, “Government Shakes Up State-owned Companies,” Dantri International News, August 23, 2010.
33
“'Big Guys’ Restart Equitization Plan in 2011,” Vietnam Net, February 23, 2011.
34
For details, see ADB’s webpage—http://www.adb.org/projects/project.asp?id=39538&p=vieproj.
35
Leigh Murray, “Vinashin May Hurt Vietnam Banks,” Wall Street Journal, December 13, 2010.
32
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
2010, Planning and Investment Minister Võ Hồng Phúc stated that Vinashin was responsible for
its own debt, but that the government would help lead the company back to profitability.36
Following Minister Phúc’s statement, the state-owned Development Bank of Vietnam offered
Vinashin interest-free loans to help the company with its cash flow problems. 37and
contain inflation.
Source: General Statistics Office of Vietnam.
Many of Vietnam’s SOEs have been converted into quasi-private corporations through a process
known as “equitization,” in which some shares are sold to the public on Vietnam’s stock
28
Based on data from Vietnam’s General Statistics Office.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
exchange, and most of the shares remain owned by the Vietnamese government. Twenty years
ago, there were about 12,000 SOEs in Vietnam. By the end of 2011, the number of SOEs had
been reduced to 1,309 by either restructuring or equitization.29 To some analysts, however, the
retention of a controlling interest in the shares of the companies provides the Vietnamese
government with the means to continue to manage the operations of the equitized SOEs.
In August 2010, Prime Minister Dũng announced a plan for the reorganization of the remaining
SOEs.30 Prime Minister Dũng has called on every government agency responsible for the
administration of a SOE to submit a report on its economic performance by the end of 2010.
Plans for the equitization of the SOEs were confirmed during the 11th National Party Congress in
January 2011. The stated goal is to restructure and reorganize all the SOEs to increase their
efficiency and reduce the number of wholly owned SOEs to 692 by the end of 2015.31 The Asian
Development Bank (ADB) is providing Vietnam with a $630 million loan to help it reform its
SOEs and improve corporate governance.32
The urgency to reform Vietnam’s SOEs is being driven, in part, by the financial problems of
Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Group (Vinashin). Vinashin nearly went bankrupt in 2010, after a
series of poor investments in non-shipbuilding ventures.33 The company had run up $4.4 billion in
debts by June 2010, and was having trouble servicing its debt to both Vietnamese and nonVietnamese banks. On December 8, 2010, Planning and Investment Minister Võ Hồng Phúc
stated that Vinashin was responsible for its own debt, but that the government would help lead the
company back to profitability.34 Following Minister Phúc’s statement, the state-owned
Development Bank of Vietnam offered Vinashin interest-free loans to help the company with its
cash flow problems.35 In March 2012, nine former Vinashin executives were sentenced to up to
20 years in jail and were ordered to pay substantial fines for “intentionally violating state rules on
economic management with serious consequences.”36
Price and Wage Controls
The doi moi process has led to the gradual deregulation of most prices and wages in Vietnam.
However, the Vietnamese government maintains controls over key prices, including certain major
industrial products (such as cement, coal, electricity, oil and steel) and basic consumer products
(such as meat, rice, and vegetables). In December 2010, Prime Minister Dũng tightened controls
on various products to reduce inflationary pressure.3837 Vietnam’s year-on-year consumer price
index (CPI) in November 2010 was 11%.
The Vietnamese government also maintains control over some wages. Government workers are
paid according to a fixed pay scale, and all workers are subject to a national minimum wage law.
29
“150 SOEs Must Be Equitized Every Year,” Viet Nam Net, May 14, 2012.
Kim Tan, “Government Shakes Up State-owned Companies,” Dantri International News, August 23, 2010.
31
“150 SOEs Must Be Equitized Every Year,” Viet Nam Net, May 14, 2012.
32
For details, see ADB’s webpage—http://www.adb.org/projects/project.asp?id=39538&p=vieproj.
33
Leigh Murray, “Vinashin May Hurt Vietnam Banks,” Wall Street Journal, December 13, 2010.
34
“Vietnam Minister Says Vinashin Should Make Its Own Debt Payment,” Bloomberg, December 8, 2010.
35
“Vietnam Offers Loans to Ailing Shipbuilder Vinashin,” BBC, December 28, 2010.
36
“Vietnam Jails Former Vinashin Executives After Downfall,” Reuters, March 30, 2012.
37
“Vietnam to Set Price Controls on Commodities,” Vietnam Business News, December 2, 2010.
30
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Workers for private enterprises, foreign-owned ventures and SOEs receive wages based largely
on market conditions. Vietnam’s recent inflation has given rise to upward pressure on wages. The
Prime Minister’s anti-inflation policy is supposed to also curb wage increases.
The Vietnamese government asserts that most of the prices and wages in Vietnam are marketdetermined, especially the prices of goods exported to the United States. In addition, Vietnamese
exports face strong competitive pressure from other Asian nations, such as Bangladesh, China,
Malaysia, and Thailand. As such, the Vietnamese government maintains that it should be
considered a market economy, particularly in anti-dumping and counterveiling duty cases.
Vietnam’s View
The Vietnamese government maintains that its economy is as much a market economy as many
other nations around the world, and has actively sought formal recognition as a market economy
from its major trading partners. A number of trading partners—including ASEAN, Australia,
India, Japan, and New Zealand—have designated Vietnam a market economy for purposes of
international trade. Under the terms of its WTO accession agreement with the United States,
Vietnam is to remain a non-market economy for up to 12 years after its accession or until it meets
U.S. criteria for a “market economy” designation.3938
Designation as a market economy has both symbolic and practical value for Vietnam. The
Vietnamese government views market economy designation as part of the normalization of trade
relations with the United States. In addition, Vietnam’s designation as an NME generally makes it
more likely that antidumping and countervailing duty cases will result in adverse rulings against
Vietnamese companies. In theory, the 112th Congress could consider legislation weighing in on
36
“Vietnam Minister Says Vinashin Should Make Its Own Debt Payment,” Bloomberg, December 8, 2010.
“Vietnam Offers Loans to Ailing Shipbuilder Vinashin,” BBC, December 28, 2010.
38
“Vietnam to Set Price Controls on Commodities,” Vietnam Business News, December 2, 2010.
39
Other countries considered non-market economies by the United States include Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, China,
Georgia, Kyrgyz Republic, Moldova, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan.
37
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
the designation of Vietnam as a market or non-market economy by amending or superseding
existing U.S. law.
Catfish
Catfish have been a constantregular source of trade friction between the United States and Vietnam for
the the
past decade. Vietnam is a major exporter of frozen fish fillets using certain varieties of fish—
known as basa and tra in Vietnamese—that are commonly referred to as catfish in the global fish
market. 4039 Since 1999, Vietnamese exports of basa and tra frozen fish fillets have secured a
growing share of the U.S. market, despite the objections of the U.S. catfish industry and the
actions of the U.S. government. In 2009, Vietnam reportedly exported 47,000 tons of basa and
tra, worth $134 million to the United States.412011, the United States imported over $304 million of basa
and tra from Vietnam.40
Over the last 10 years, the United States has taken several actions that were designed to have an
impact on the import of Vietnamese basa and tra. In 2002, Congress passed legislation that
38
Other countries considered non-market economies by the United States include Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, China,
Georgia, Kyrgyz Republic, Moldova, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan.
39
Basa (pangasius bocourti) and tra (pangasius hypophthalmus) are fresh-water fish from the Mekong River basin of
Vietnam. U.S. catfish (ictalurus punctatus)—also known as channel catfish—are also fresh-water fish, typically raised
for commercial purposes in aquaculture ponds. All three species are siluriformes, with the characteristic barbels
(whiskers) from which the name catfish was derived.
40
Based on U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC) online trade database (http://dataweb.usitc.gov/).
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
prohibited the labeling of basa and tra as “catfish.”41prohibited the labeling of basa and tra as “catfish.”42 In August 2003, the U.S. government
imposed antidumping duties on “certain frozen fish fillets from Vietnam,” including basa and
tra.4342 Despite these measures, Vietnam’s exports of basa and tra continued to rise.
In the eyes of the Vietnamese government, the U.S. response to the growth of Vietnam’s basa and
tra exports constitutes a case of trade protectionism designed to shelter U.S. catfish producers
from legitimate competition. Vietnam also points to U.S. anti-dumping measures on Vietnamese
shrimp and plastic bags as an indications of U.S. protectionism (see “Non-Market Economy
Designation”). 4443 Supporters of U.S. trade policies against Vietnam’s exports of basa and tra say
the measures are designed to defend U.S. consumers and businesses from the unsafe products and
unfair business practices of Vietnam. In November 2010, the Vietnam Association of Seafood
Exporters and Producers (VASEP) cautioned Vietnam’s seafood processors about carcinogenic
residuals from herbicides in shrimp, after Japan tightened its inspections of Vietnamese exports.4544
The ongoing tensions around catfish trade were heightened by two fairly recent events. The first
was the passage of the 2008 Farm Bill (P.L. 110-246) by the 110th Congress on May 22, 2008.
40
Basa (pangasius bocourti) and tra (pangasius hypophthalmus) are fresh-water fish from the Mekong River basin of
Vietnam. U.S. catfish (ictalurus punctatus)—also known as channel catfish—are also fresh-water fish, typically raised
for commercial purposes in aquaculture ponds. All three species are siluriformes, with the characteristic barbels
(whiskers) from which the name catfish was derived.
41
Ibid.
42
(P.L. 110-246) by the 110th Congress on May 22, 2008, and the ITC’s determination on June 15,
2009, to keep in place the antidumping duties on certain frozen fish fillet imports from Vietnam
“for the foreseeable future.” The issue has resurfaced in the deliberations of the Agriculture
Reform, Food, and Jobs Act of 2012 (S. 3240).
2008 Farm Bill
The legal status of Vietnam’s basa and tra exports to the United States was brought into question
by the provisions of section 11016 of the 2008 Farm Bill (P.L. 110-246), enacted on June 18,
2008. The section, entitled “Inspection and Grading,” established a voluntary fee-based grading
program for “catfish (as defined by the Secretary).” The law also stipulated specific aspects of the
examination and inspection of catfish, including the conditions under which the fish were raised
and transported. By these provisions, the 2008 Farm Bill effectively transferred the regulation of
imported catfish from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to the USDA, which is generally
viewed as maintaining stricter inspection standards than the FDA.
The possibility that the Secretary of Agriculture may redefine catfish to include basa and tra,
thereby making them subject to the stricter USDA inspection standards, brought forth objections
from Vietnam’s Ambassador to the United States, its Minister of Agriculture and Rural
Development, and Vietnam’s catfish industry (including their trade association, the Vietnam
Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers, or VASEP). Ambassador Le Cong Phung sent a
41
Language was introduced into the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 (P.L. 107-171) that restricted the
legal definition of catfish to the family Ictaluridae, effectively banning the use of the term “catfish” for basa and tra.
4342
International Trade Administration, “Notice of Antidumping Duty Order: Certain Frozen Fish Fillets from the
Socialist Republic of Vietnam,” 68 FR 47909, August 12, 2003.
4443
Starting in 2005, the United States began imposing anti-dumping duties on “certain frozen and canned warmwater
shrimp” from Vietnam after the International Trade Administration (ITA) determined that they were being sold at “less
than fair market value.” Because Vietnam is a non-market economy, the ITA used cost estimates from Bangladesh to
determine “fair market value.” In November 2010, the United States extended the anti-dumping duties for another five
years. Vietnam is appealing this determination to the World Trade Organization, citing the U.S. use of “zeroing,” a
controversial method for calculating anti-dumping duties. In March 2010, the ITA issued a final determination on
antidumping and countervailing duties on polyethylene retail carrier bags from Vietnam. For this decision, the ITA
used India as the surrogate nation to determine fair market value.
4544
“Toxic Residues Could Shrivel Shrimp Exports: Experts,” Vietnam Economy News, November 12, 2010.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
The second event was the ITC’s determination on June 15, 2009, to keep in place the antidumping
duties on certain frozen fish fillet imports from Vietnam “for the foreseeable future.”
2008 Farm Bill
The legal status of Vietnam’s basa and tra exports to the United States was brought into question
by the provisions of section 11016 of the 2008 Farm Bill (P.L. 110-246), enacted on June 18,
2008. The section, entitled “Inspection and Grading,” established a voluntary fee-based grading
program for “catfish (as defined by the Secretary).” The law also stipulated specific aspects of the
examination and inspection of catfish, including the conditions under which the fish were raised
and transported. By these provisions, the 2008 Farm Bill effectively transferred the regulation of
imported catfish from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to the USDA, which is generally
viewed as maintaining stricter inspection standards than the FDA.
The possibility that the Secretary of Agriculture may redefine catfish to include basa and tra,
thereby making them subject to the stricter USDA inspection standards, brought forth objections
from Vietnam’s Ambassador to the United States, its Minister of Agriculture and Rural
Development, and Vietnam’s catfish industry (including their trade association, the Vietnam
Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers, or VASEP). Ambassador Le Cong Phung sent a
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
letter to nearly 140 Members of Congress, suggesting that a reclassification of basa and tra as
catfish would call into question the U.S. commitment to the WTO and endanger the jobs of more
than 1 million Vietnamese farmers and workers. In addition, an opinion article in the Wall Street
Journal referred to the possible reclassification of basa and tra as catfish as “protectionism at its
worst.”4645 Supporters of the provisions of the 2008 Farm Bill state that it provides greater
protection to U.S. consumers.
Draft regulations for catfish food safety inspection were delivered to the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) by the USDA on November 13, 2009. On February 24, 2011, the USDA
published in the Federal Register its proposed rule for mandatory inspection of catfish and catfish
products.4746 The USDA is “proposing to apply the requirements for the inspection of imported
meat products (21 U.S.C. 620) to the inspection of imported catfish products….” The proposed
rule, however, leaves some of the key issues related to Vietnamese imports unresolved, including
the definition of catfish. The USDA is requestingrequested public comments on the proposed rule.
Comments may be sent to the USDA on or before June 24, 2011.48, to be
delivered on or before June 24, 2011.47 Since the period for public comment ended, no further
action has been taken on the proposed rule.
If adopted, the proposed rule would require all imported catfish and catfish products come from a
facility that complies with USDA sanitation standards. To qualify for import into the United
States, foreign countries would have to demonstrate that their laws, regulatory administration,
evaluation system, and standards are equivalent to U.S. standards administered by the USDA
Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS). As drafted, the FSIS would review the inspection
systems of other nations to determine their equivalency with U.S. standards; these reviews may
include periodic onsite visits to overseas catfish facilities.
46
“A Fish by Any Other Name,” Wall Street Journal, May 20, 2009.
U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Mandatory Inspection of Catfish and Catfish Products,” 76 Federal Register
10434- 10469, February 24, 2011.
48
Comments may be submitted online at http://www.regulations.gov, or by mail to: Docket Clerk, U.S. Department of
Agriculture (USDA), FSIS, Room 2-2127 George Washington Carver Center, 5601 Sunnyside Avenue, Beltsville, MD
20705. All submissions must include the agency’s name and the docket number FSIS-2008-0031.
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The proposed catfish rule would be implemented in four phases. During Phase One, foreign
countries exporting catfish to the United Sates would have to document that they have the legal
authority to regulationregulate catfish. In addition, FSIS would conduct onsite audits of foreign countries.
By Phase Three, foreign (and domestic) establishments will have to be in compliance with USDA
sanitation requirements. By Phase Four, foreign countries will have to have implemented a catfish
inspection program that is the equivalent of the U.S. inspection program. The proposed rule does
not set a timeline for the four phases.
As a possible preparation for heightened U.S. inspection requirements, Vietnam’s Ministry of
Agriculture and Rural Development (MOARD) has tightened export hygiene standards for basa
and and
tra. Effective April 12, 2010, all basa and tra exported from Vietnam will need certificates for
hygiene and food safety issued by the National Agro-Forestry-Fisheries Quality Assurance
Department. 4948 In addition, MOARD and the Ministry of Industry and Trade have contracted U.S.based Mazzetta Company to train Vietnamese fish breeders how to comply with U.S. standards.5049
Prime Minister Dũng reportedly has approved a 10-year, $2 billion “master plan” for the
45
“A Fish by Any Other Name,” Wall Street Journal, May 20, 2009.
U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Mandatory Inspection of Catfish and Catfish Products,” 76 Federal Register
10434- 10469, February 24, 2011.
47
Comments may be submitted online at http://www.regulations.gov, or by mail to: Docket Clerk, U.S. Department of
Agriculture (USDA), FSIS, Room 2-2127 George Washington Carver Center, 5601 Sunnyside Avenue, Beltsville, MD
20705. All submissions must include the agency’s name and the docket number FSIS-2008-0031.
48
“Catfish Quality Tests Tightened for Export Hygiene Standards,” Vietnam News, April 15, 2010.
49
“US Firm to Help Train Vietnamese Fish Farmers,” Thanh Nien News, March 27, 2010.
46
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development of Vietnam’s fish farming industry that will promote infrastructure and
technological development, disease control, and environmental improvement.5150
The Antidumping Sunset Review
While the USDA prepared the new catfish regulationsrule, the ITC issued on June 15, 2009, a final
determination in its five-year (sunset) review of the existing antidumping duties on “certain
frozen fish fillets from Vietnam.”5251 In a unanimous decision, the six ITC commissioners voted to
continue the antidumping duties “for the foreseeable future.” The Vietnamese government and the
Vietnam Fishery Association expressed their opposition to the ITC’s decision. Vietnam’s deputy
minister of trade and industry, Nguyen Thanh Bien, was quoted as saying, “in this economic
context, this decision shows the heavy protectionism of the U.S. judicial and executive
agencies.”5352
The Agriculture Reform, Food, and Jobs Act of 2012
The lack of a final rule to implement the catfish inspection provisions of the 2008 Farm Bill is a
source of frustration for some Members of Congress. They support amending the Agricultural
Reform, Food, and Jobs Act of 2012 (S. 3240) to support the implementation of the USDA catfish
inspection program. Other Members of Congress, however, consider the transfer of catfish
inspection from FDA to USDA a needless expense, and wish to amend S. 3240 to return the
responsibility to inspect catfish back to FDA. They also are concerned that the implementation of
the USDA catfish inspection program will be harmful to the ongoing TPP negotiations.
Implications for the 112th Congress
Two of the last four Congresses have passed legislation containing provisions that critics assert
are designed to restrict or prevent the import of basa and tra from Vietnam and protect the U.S.
catfish industry from foreign competition. Given that the 110th Congress chose to take action with
respect to the definition and regulation of catfish, the 112th Congress may be disinclined to alter
or reverse a process already underway. However, legislation has been introduced – S. 496 – to
return the inspection of catfish back to the FDA.
49
“Catfish Quality Tests Tightened for Export Hygiene Standards,” Vietnam News, April 15, 2010.
“US Firm to Help Train Vietnamese Fish Farmers,” Thanh Nien News, March 27, 2010.
51
Earlier in the 112th Congress, legislation was
introduced – H.R. 4296 and S. 496 – to return the inspection of catfish back to the FDA. The
issue has also been raised during consideration of the Agricultural Reform, Food, and Jobs Act of
2012 (S. 3240). According to some observers, congressional action on the treatment of catfish
imports could have broader implications for bilateral trade relations with Vietnam, as well as the
success of the TPP negotiations.
Other Economic Issues
The preceding issues are topics where there has been or continues to be direct bilateral
interaction. In addition, there are several economic issues that indirectly influence relations
between the United States and Vietnam. Of these, the most prominent issues for the 112th
50
“Vietnam to Inject US$2 Billion into 10-Year Fisheries Plan,” CPA VIetnam, March 11, 2011.
50
52
Under the provisions of the Uruguay Round Agreements Act (P.L. 103-465), antidumping duties must be revoked
after five years unless the DOC and the ITC determine that revoking the duties would lead to the continuance or
recurrence of dumping and cause material injury within a foreseeable time period.
5352
“Vietnam Criticizes US Duties on Catfish as Protectionist,” Earth Times, June 17, 2009.
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Other Economic Issues
The preceding issues are topics where there has been or continues to be direct bilateral
interaction. In addition, there are several economic issues that indirectly influence relations
between the United States and Vietnam. Of these, the most prominent issues for the 112th
Congress likely include clothing imports from Vietnam, workers’ rights, IPR protection, and
Vietnam’s exchange rate policy.
U.S. Clothing Imports from Vietnam
Vietnam’s clothing exporters to the United States were among the greatest beneficiaries of the
U.S. decision to grant Vietnam conditional NTR status in December 2001 (see Figure 1).54 Up
until 53
Vietnam has become a major source of U.S. clothing imports, second only to China. Up until
2002, U.S. imports of clothing from Vietnam were small both in value (below $50 million)
and as
a share of total imports from Vietnam (below 10%). Following the U.S. extension of
conditional conditional
NTR to Vietnam, U.S. clothing imports from Vietnam shot up in value and share. As a
share of
total imports, clothing peaked in 2003 at 51.4%. The value of U.S. clothing imports from
Vietnam has Vietnam
continued to rise every year until 2009, with the largest year-on-year increases
occurring in 2003
and 2007—the first full years after the U.S. granted Vietnam conditional and
permanent NTR
status, respectively. Vietnam has become a major source of U.S. clothing
imports, second only to China. In 2010, nearly 40% of U.S. clothing imports came from VietnamFollowing a slight decline in 2009, the value of clothing imports from
Vietnam once again began to rise. However, since its peak in 2003, the share of clothing in total
U.S. imports from Vietnam has declined.
Figure 1. U.S. Clothing Imports from Vietnam
Value ($ billions) and Share of Total U.S. Imports from Vietnam
7.0
60%60.0%
7.0
6.0
50.0%
5.0
40
40.0%
4.0
30.0%
3.0
20.0%
2.0
10.0%
1.0
0.0%
0.0
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Value
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011%
3.0
20%
2.0
1.0
10%
0.0
0%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Value
Share
Source: U.S. International Trade Commission.
Notes: Imports valued using General Customs method.
5453
For purposes of this section of the report, clothing imports and exports will be defined as commodities traded under
chapters 61 and 62 of the U.S. Harmonized Tariff System (HTS), unless otherwise noted.
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Notes: Imports valued using General Customs method.
The two spikes in clothing imports gave rise to efforts to restrict clothing trade with Vietnam, first
in the form of a separate bilateral textile agreement and later in the form of a unilateral
monitoring program that expired in January 2009.5554 In both cases, Vietnam initially protested U.S.
efforts to restrict clothing trade, but in the end complied with the U.S. policies. Several Members
of Congress, and in particular Members with significant clothing and textile manufacturing in
their districts or states, voiced concern that a “surge” in Vietnamese clothing exports to the
United States could cause damage to U.S. clothing and textile companies and workers. However,
major U.S.
retailers and importers maintained that these two programs would restrict trade from
Vietnam, causing harm to U.S. companies and consumers
causing harm to U.S. companies and consumers.
There continues to be congressional and commercial interest in the growth of clothing imports
from Vietnam. For the TPP negotiations, supporters of the U.S. textile industry are advocating
using a “yarn-forward” rule 55 in the clothing and textile chapter of the proposed agreement.
Backers of major U.S. retailers and apparel distributors, as well as the Vietnamese government,
would prefer a more liberal approach, such as a “cut and sew” rule,56 in the agreement.
Workers’ Rights
The U.S. government and a number of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) such as Human
Rights Watch have been critical of Vietnam’s restrictions on workers’ rights. There is a general
recognition that Vietnam has made significant improvements in its labor laws, but that local
government enforcement and business compliance remain an ongoing problemproblems. The State
Department’s 20092011 human rights report on Vietnam singled out problems with suppression of
independent labor unions, failure to enforce laws governing the right to organize, child labor in
rural areas, and inadequate safety conditions (especially in small- and medium-sized enterprises)forced or
compulsory labor, child labor, and unacceptable working conditions.
Workers in Vietnam have the legal right to collective bargaining. At present, all labor unions in
Vietnam must be a member of the Vietnam General Confederation of Labor (VGCL). The VGCL
is supposed to organize a union within six months of the establishment of any new business,
regardless of its ownership—state, foreign, or private. According to the State Department’s 2009
Country Report on Human Rights Practices, “in actuality only 85% of state-owned enterprises,
60% of foreign-invested enterprises, and 30% of private enterprises were unionized.”56 Human
Human Rights Watch has also raised
concern about the ability of Vietnamese workers to call an official
strike, especially at state-ownedstateowned enterprises (SOEs).57
Efforts to organize independent unions in Vietnam reportedly have been thwarted by government
suppression, including the arrest and imprisonment of union leaders. Other observers, however,
counter that since the launch of doi moi, worker rights have made progress despite the restrictions
on their independent right to organize. These observers point out that hundreds of unaffiliated
(and therefore unofficial) “labor associations” have sprouted without significant repression, that
the VGCL has evolved into a more aggressive advocate for workers, and in many recent cases,
Vietnamese workers have gone on strike reportedly because they felt that they were not wellrepresented by the official union.
The Vietnamese government appears to tacitly accept that it has problems with the enforcement
of its labor laws. Vietnam’s official news agencies—Thanhnien News, Vietnam Net, and Voice of
Vietnam News—ran a series of reports in 2008 and 2009 describing problems with Vietnam’s
protection of workers’ rights, the flaws of the VGCL, and efforts to improve working conditions
55
For more information on the bilateral textile agreement and the monitoring program, see CRS Report RL34262, U.S.
Clothing Imports from Vietnam: Trade Policies and Performance, by Michael F. Martin.
56
Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor, 2009 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices, 2009 Human
Rights Reports: Vietnam, U.S. Department of State, Washington, DC, March 11, 201054
For more information on the bilateral textile agreement and the monitoring program, see CRS Report RL34262, U.S.
Clothing Imports from Vietnam: Trade Policies and Performance, by Michael F. Martin.
55
A yarn-forward rule would require that the production of the yarn and all subsequent manufacturing activity for the
item of apparel occur in a TPP-member country.
56
A cut and sew rule would require that the cutting of the fabric and the sewing of the fabric into an item of apparel
occur in a TPP-member country. The fabric and/or the yarn could come from other non-TPP nations.
57
Human Rights Watch, Not Yet a Workers’ Paradise, New York, NY, May 2009.
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Vietnamese workers have gone on strike reportedly because they felt that they were not wellrepresented by the official union.
The Vietnamese government appears to tacitly accept that it has problems with the enforcement
of its labor laws. Vietnam’s official news agencies—Thanhnien News, Vietnam Net, and Voice of
Vietnam News—ran a series of reports in 2008 and 2009 describing problems with Vietnam’s
protection of workers’ rights, the flaws of the VGCL, and efforts to improve working conditions
in Vietnam.in Vietnam. 58 The humanitarian aid agency of the Australian Council of Trade Unions, which has
worked closely with the VGCL on workers’ education, wrote in a letter to Human Rights Watch,
“Our experience in workers’ education in Vietnam also leads us to believe that the government,
far from trying to lower workers’ conditions or repress workers, is sensitive to the needs of
women and men workers.”59
The Vietnamese government is working with various international organizations to improve its
labor laws, regulations and enforcement. Vietnam’s Ministry of Labour, Invalids, and Social
Affairs (MOLISA) and the VGCL are currently working with the International Labor
Organization (ILO) to finalize a new Labour Code and Trade Union Law, to be submitted to
Vietnam’s National Assembly for consideration in October 2011.60 The ILO and MOLISA are
.60 In May 2012,
Vietnam’s National Assembly discussed some possible changes in the draft legislation, but no
final vote was taken. The ILO and MOLISA are also working with Spain’s Agency for
International Development Cooperation on a program to
eliminate child labor in Vietnam. In
addition, the United Nations is providing $2 million for a
program to help the VGCL improve its
grassroots relations.61
IPR Protection
The U.S. government remains critical of Vietnam’s record on intellectual property rights (IPR)
protection. Vietnam was included in the “Watch List” in the U.S. Trade Representative’s 20102012
Special 301 Report, an annual review of the global state of IPR protection and enforcement. 62
Vietnam remained on the Watch List because of its continuing problems with IPR piracy and
trademark infringement. The report does state that “the United States is encouraged by recent
steps that the government has taken to improve IPR protection and enforcement, including recent
amendments to the IP Law, an increase in administrative fines for copyright infringement, and a
continuation of efforts to address Internet piracy ... However, overall enforcement efforts remain
insufficient to address rampant piracy and counterfeiting.” The Vietnam improved its regulatory framework
in 2011 by passing decrees to strengthen copyright protection and border enforcement..” The
report also noted that the U.S.
government had funded IPR enforcement training in Vietnam in
2009.
The perceived continuing problems with Vietnam’s IPR protection may play a role in any
consideration of its GSP application, as well as the bilateral BIT negotiations. The Foreign
Relations Authorization Act, Fiscal Years 2010 and 2011 (H.R. 2410) and the Foreign Relations
Authorization and Reform Act, Fiscal Years 2010 and 2011 (H.R. 2475) would have established
10 additional “intellectual property attachés to serve in United States embassies or other
diplomatic missions.” Assignment priority would be given to countries identified in the USTR’s
Special 301 Report, which could imply the assignment of one of the attachés to Vietnam. H.R.
the
TPP and BIT negotiations, as well as any consideration of Vietnam’s GSP application.
58
Among these articles are: “Impotent Labour Unions Don't Help Workers,” Thanhnien News, June 22, 2008;
“Government Units to Tackle Labour Disputes,” Vietnam Net, February 21, 2009; “Vietnam Works for Harmonious
Labour Relations,” Voice of Vietnam News, March 18, 2009; Minh Nam, “Flouting of Labor Laws Rife in HCMC:
Report,” Thanhnien News, December 2, 2008; and Minh Nam, “HCMC Officials call to Strengthen Unions, Tighten
Labor Laws,” Thanhnien News, February 12, 2009.
59
Peter Jennings, Re: Human Rights Watch Report ‘Not Yet a Workers’ Paradise’ of May 4, 2009, Australian People
for Health, Education and Development Abroad, Inc., Sydney, June 17, 2009.
60
The new labor law was to have been submitted in October 2010 (see “Labour Law Reform to Boost Integration,”
Vietnam News, April 2, 2010), but MOLISA and the VGCL requested a postponement from the National Assembly to
permit more consultation with stakeholders. MOLISA is overseeing the drafting of the proposed law, but has assigned
VGCL the responsibility of preparing the law’s trade union provisions.
61
“UN Aid Helps Improve Trade Union Capacity,” Voice of Vietnam News, April 1, 2010.
62
For a copy of the 20092012 report, see http://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/reports-and-publications/2010-32012-2.
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2410 was passed by the House on June 10, 2009, and referred to the Senate on June 22, 2009. The
Senate took no further action on the bill.
Vietnam’s Exchange Rate Policy
One aspect of Vietnam’s economic system that has not been changed by doi moi is its exchange
rate policy. Vietnam continues to maintain a government-managed exchange rate relative to the
U.S. dollar. The State Bank of Vietnam (SBVN) sets a range in which the value of the Vietnamese
dong can fluctuate relative to the U.S. dollar. SinceIn March 2009, the SBVN has widened the band
to to
±5% from the official exchange rate, and has devalued the dong five times. The last devaluation
occurred on February 11, 2011, lowering the official interbank exchange rate to 20,693 dong =
$1. Since then, the several times. In addition, the
SBVN has taken steps to reduce downward pressure on the dong, including
tightening the
regulation of foreign exchange transactions and raising interest rates.
Key Trends in Bilateral Trade
The preceding sections of the report have focused on current and past issues in U.S.-Vietnam
trade relations. The final section of the report attempts to identify potential sources of future trade
friction by examining trends in bilateral trade figures. The focus will be on three aspects of recent
trade relations—merchandise trade, trade in services, and foreign direct investment (FDI).
Merchandise Trade
Only a few years have passed since trade relations between the United States and Vietnam have
opened. As previously mentioned, the rapid growth in Vietnam’s export of two types of
products—clothing and catfish—quickly made them sources of trade tension between the two
nations. However, other commodities that contribute more to U.S.-Vietnam trade flows could also
become touch points for trouble in bilateral trade relations.
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Table 2. Top 10 U.S. Exports to Vietnam and Imports from Vietnam
(According to U.S. trade statistics for 20102011; U.S. $ millions)
Top 10 Exports to Vietnam
Product
Top 10 Imports from Vietnam
Value
Product
Value
Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and
mechanical appliances; parts thereof
466.235
Articles of apparel and clothing
accessories, knitted or crocheted
3,359.480
Vehicles other than railway or tramway
rolling stock, and parts and accessories
thereof
306.611
Articles of apparel and clothing
accessories, not knitted or crocheted
2,438.063
Residues and waste from the food
industries; prepared animal feed
266.303
Furniture; bedding, mattresses,
mattress supports, cushions and similar
stuffed furnishings; lamps and lighting
fittings, not elsewhere specified or
included; illuminated sign illuminated
nameplates and the like; prefabricated
buildings
1,826.354
Iron and steel
255.332
Footwear, gaiters and the like; parts of
such articles
1,622.933
Cotton, including yarns and woven fabrics
thereof
254.261540.610
Articles of apparel and clothing
accessories, knitted or crocheted
3,782.039
Electrical machinery and equipment and
parts thereof; sound recorders and
reproducers, television recorders and
reproducers, parts and accessories
372.192
Articles of apparel and clothing
accessories, not knitted or crocheted
2,773.679
Cotton, including yarns and woven fabrics
thereof
370.519
Footwear, gaiters and the like; parts of
such articles
2,045.757
Meat and edible meat offal
298.327
Furniture; bedding, mattresses,
mattress supports, cushions and similar
stuffed furnishings; lamps and lighting
fittings, not elsewhere specified or
included; illuminated sign illuminated
nameplates and the like; prefabricated
buildings
1,844.465
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Top 10 Exports to Vietnam
Product
Top 10 Imports from Vietnam
Value
Product
Value
Vehicles other than railway or tramway
rolling stock, and parts and accessories
thereof
270.956
Electrical machinery and equipment
and parts thereof; sound recorders and
reproducers, television image and
sound recorders and reproducers, and
parts and accessories of such articles
807.772
Meat and edible meat offal
247.676996.955
Plastics and articles thereof
197.384
Fish and crustaceans, molluscs and
other aquatic invertebrates
647.823
Electrical machinery and equipment and
parts thereof; sound recorders and
reproducers, television recorders and
reproducers, parts and accessories
189.378793.674
Residues and waste from the food
industries; prepared animal feed
194.112
Coffee, tea, maté and spices
629.421
Iron and steel
189.722
Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery
and mechanical appliances; parts
thereof
534.195
Wood and articles of wood; wood
charcoal
156.289
Coffee, tea, maté and spices
435.524
Plastics and articles thereof
153.806
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products
of their distillation; bituminous
substances; mineral waxes
407.495
Dairy produce; birds’ eggs; natural honey;
edible products of animal origin, NESOI
140.703589.219
Dairy produce; birds’ eggs; natural honey;
edible products of animal origin, NESOI
170.835
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products
of their distillation; bituminous
substances; mineral waxes
433.062
Raw hides and skins (other than furskins)
and leather
155.846
Edible fruit and nuts; peel of citrus fruit
or melons
344.707406.061
Source: U.S. International Trade Commission.
Notes: Products categorized by HTS chapters; NESOI = Not elsewhere specified or included.
According to U.S. trade statistics, the top U.S. imports from Vietnam in 20102011, besides clothing
and fish, were (in order) footwear; furniture and bedding; footwear; electrical machinery; machinery;
spices, coffee, and tea
tea; machinery; mineral fuel and oil; and edible fruits and nuts (see Table 2). The top U.S.
exports exports
to Vietnam included (in order) machinery; non-railway vehicles; food waste and animal
feed; iron and steel; cotton; meat; electrical machinery; wood and wooden articles; plastic and
plastic articles; and dairy produce, electrical machinery; cotton; meat; non-railway
vehicles; plastic and plastic articles; food waste and animal feed; iron and steel; dairy produce,
eggs, honey, and edible products of animal origin; and leather and raw hides and skins. The
juxtaposition of these two lists reveals product categories that may warrant watching, as well as a
connection between some of the top trade commodities.
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Furniture and Bedding
Over the last 10 years, Vietnam has risen from being the 62nd largest source for furniture and
bedding imports for the United States to being the fourth-largest source—surpassing past leaders
such as Italy, Malaysia, and Taiwan. Furniture and bedding provided over 1210% of total U.S.
imports from Vietnam in 20102011.
Footwear
While most of the focus has been on clothing imports from Vietnam, footwear imports from
Vietnam were nearly 11% of total imports in 2010constituted nearly
12% of total U.S. imports from Vietnam in 2011. Vietnam was the second-largest source of
footwear imports for the United States in 20102011, nearly twice the size of Italy and three times the
size of Indonesia.
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Electrical Machinery
Vietnam’s electrical machinery exports to the United States grew more than 1,000-fold over the
last 10 years500-fold since
2001, reaching nearly $808 million in 2010 and over 51 billion in 2011 and nearly 6% of total U.S. imports from
Vietnam.
According to interviews with foreign investors in Vietnam, there is great potential for
growth in
this sector because of Vietnam’s inexpensive, skilled workers.
Product Interplay
There is also a discernable interplay between Vietnam’s top exports to the United States and the
top U.S. exports to Vietnam. Vietnam imports substantial amounts of cotton from the United
States, which is then used to manufacture clothing to be exported to the United States. Similarly,
Vietnam imports wood from the United States that may end up in the furniture that is imported by
the United States from Vietnam. There is also a significant amount of cross-trade in electrical
machinery—a top-10 export item for both countries—as parts and components are shipped back
and forth across the Pacific Ocean. The implication is that efforts to curtail the growth of certain
top exports of Vietnam to the United States could result in a decline in U.S. exports to Vietnam
and possible job losses in the United States.
Trade in Services
The United States perceives a trade advantage in several of the services sectors, especially
financial services. In the latest U.S. National Trade Estimate (NTE), the Office of the U.S. Trade
Representative indicated that as part of the implementation of the BTA, Vietnam has committed
to greater liberalization of a broad array of its services sectors, including financial services,
telecommunications, express delivery, distribution services, and certain professions. Vietnam has
already committed to allowing 100% foreign ownership of securities firms and express delivery
service providers by 2012. It is likely that the United States will press Vietnam for more access
during the BTA talks, as well as during the BIT negotiations.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Foreign Direct Investment
In 20092010, Vietnam licensed 1,208237 foreign direct investment (FDI) projects worth $23.10719.886 billion.63
The leading source of FDI in 2009 was the United States, with 702010 was Singapore, with 11 projects worth $9.945 billion.
The second- and third-largest sources of FDI in 2008 were the Cayman Islands and South Korea,
respectively. 4.5865 billion. The
United States was the fifth largest source of FDI in 2010 with 64 projects worth $1.936 billion.
The accumulated value of FDI in Vietnam for the period 1998-20092010 is $194.430
572 billion. South Korea Taiwan
was the leading investor during this period, followed by Taiwan and
MalaysiaSouth Korea and Singapore. The United
States was the 5th7th largest investor, with 589568 projects worth $15.40313.104 billion.
Growing U.S. interest in investment opportunities in Vietnam could have an impact on the BIT
negotiations and, by implication, have an effect on the 112th Congress if the negotiations are
completed in 20112012. In addition, as more U.S. companies invest in Vietnam, there is the possibility
of more business-to-business disagreements between U.S. and Vietnamese companies, and more
constituent pressure on Congress to address perceived shortcomings in Vietnam’s treatment of
foreign-owned enterprises.
63
Data from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam; latest available figures.
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U.S.-Vietnam Economic and Trade Relations: Issues for the 112th Congress
Author Contact Information
Michael F. Martin
Specialist in Asian Affairs
mfmartin@crs.loc.gov, 7-2199
63
Data from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam; latest available figures.
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