Order Code RS20871
Updated July 31, 2003April 19, 2005
CRS Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web
The Iran-Libya Sanctions Act (ILSA)
Kenneth Katzman
Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Summary
The Iran-Libya Sanctions Act (ILSA, P.L. 104-172) was due to expire on August
5, 2001, 5 years after enactment. Debate on renewal of ILSA centered on the difficulties
incurred in implementing it, reactions to ILSA on the part of U.S. allies, and changes in
U.S. relations with Iran and Libya since enactment. On August 3, 2002, President Bush
signed into law H.R. 1954, P.L. 107-24, the ILSA Extension Act of 2001, renewing
ILSA for another 5 years. No firms have been sanctioned under ILSA. This report will
be updated to reflect legislative developments. See also CRS Issue Brief IB93033, Iran:
Current Developments and U.S. PolicyIn August 2001, the Iran-Libya Sanctions Act (ILSA, P.L. 104-172) was renewed
for another five years (P.L. 107-24). No firms have been sanctioned under ILSA, and
ILSA has terminated with respect to Libya. In the 109th Congress, H.R. 282 and S. 333
contain provisions that would modify ILSA. This report will be updated to reflect
legislative developments. See also CRS Report RL32048, Iran: U.S. Concerns and
Policy Responses, and CRS Issue Brief IB93109, Libya.
Background and Passage of ILSA
ILSA was conceived in the context of a tightening of U.S. sanctions on Iran during
the first term of the Clinton Administration. Most experts attributed the imposition of
additional sanctions to Iran’s Sanctions were added as a response to Iran’s
stepped up efforts to acquire nuclear expertise — it signed
a contract with Russia in January 1995 for construction of a nuclear power reactor at
Bushehr — and to a 1994-1995 spate of terrorist attacks in Israel by the Islamist
organizations Hamas and Palestine Islamic Jihad, both of which receive some financial
and material assistance from Iran, according to annual U.S. State Department reports on
international terrorism. In 1995, and its reputed support to terrorist
organizations, including Hizbollah, Hamas, and Palestine Islamic Jihad (PIJ). In 1995,
President Clinton issued two executive orders, including
Executive Order 12957 (March
15, 1995), which banned U.S. investment in Iran’s
energy sector, and Executive Order
12959 (May 6, 1995), which banned U.S. trade with
and investment in that country.
The Clinton Administration and many in Congress maintained that the new U.S.
sanctions mightwould deprive Iran of the ability to acquire weapons of mass destruction
(WMD)
and fund terrorist groups by hindering its ability to modernize its key source of revenue
— the petroleum sector. The effect on Iran would be significant, according to this view,
if U.S. allies joined the U.S. trade and investment ban. Oil revenuespetroleum
sector, which generates revenues that account for about
10% of Iran’s GDP. Iran’s
onshore oil fields, as well as its oil industry infrastructure,
were are old and needed substantial modernization and
investment, and its large natural gas
resources (believed second largest in the world, after Russia) were not developed at all.
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress
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Iranian officials were predicting that, without substantial new investment, Iran might
become a net importer of oil by 2010.
When
Russia) were not developed at all at the time ILSA was first considered.
After U.S. allies refused to adopt similar sanctionssanctions against Iran in the mid-1990s, the Clinton
Administration and
Congress believed that it might be necessary for the United States to try to deter foreign
countries from undermining the U.S. effort against Iran. Iran provided the United States
an apparent opportunity when it
try to deter foreign investment in Iran. The opportunity for such deterrence came in
November 1995, when Iran launched its first major effort to open its energy sector
to to
foreign investment. Iran had banned this investment after the NovemberFebruary 1979 Islamic
revolution on the grounds that foreign firms would gain undue control or influence over
Iran’s resources. To accommodate that philosophy, while recognizing that its economy
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress
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was in jeopardy without foreign help, Iran developed a “buy-back” investment program.
Under that plan,
under which foreign firms recoup their investments from the proceeds of oil and gas
discoveries; they do not receive equity positions. Throughout 1995, Iran advertised a
major bidders’ meeting in Tehran set for November 11-14, 1995, at which Iran would
provide details on ten major energy projects open to foreign investment.
In anticipation of Iran’s bidders’ meeting, some but do not receive equity positions.
As Iran was announcing plans to open its energy sector to foreign investment, some
in Congress, with input from the
Clinton Administration, developed legislation to sanction foreign firms that assist Iran’s
energy sector
sanction such foreign investment. On September 8, 1995, Senator D’Amato introduced the first version of
what later became ILSA,
the “Iran Foreign Oil Sanctions Act of 1995,” which would
impose sanctions on foreign
firms’ export to Iran of sophisticated energy hardware and
energy technology. The bill passed the Senate on December 18,
1995 (voice vote) but, in
contrast to the introduced version, imposed sanctions on foreign
investment in Iran’s
energy sector. The alteration of the billfocus on deterring investment appeared to take
into account Clinton
Administration concerns that U.S. monitoring of foreign exports to
Iran would be too
difficult to implement. On December 20, 1995, the Senate passed still
another version
with an amendment, sponsored by Senator Kennedy, that applied all
provisions to Libya
as well as Iran. Observers widely interpreted the amendment as a response to efforts by
the families of the victims ofan
effort to pressure Libya to yield for trial the two suspects in the December 21, 1988 downing of Pan Am 103 to pressure
Libya to yield for trial the two suspects in the bombing
bombing of Pan Am 103, both allegedly agents of Libyan
intelligence. The House passed
its version of the bill, H.R. 3107, on June 19, 1996, by
a vote of (415-0). The Senate passed a slightly
different version on July 16, 1996 by
unanimous consent. The House agreed to the Senate
amendment and the President signed
the bill into law (P.L. 104-172) on August 5, 1996.
Key ILSA Provisions
ILSA requires the President to impose at least two out of a menu of six sanctions on
foreign companies that make an “investment” of more than $20 million in one year in
Iran’s energy sector, or $40 million in one year in Libya’s energy sector. Prior to the
suspension of U.N. sanctions against Libya, which was triggered by Libya’s handover of
the two Pan Am 103 suspects in April 1999, foreign firms were also subject to the
sanctions if they export to Libya technology that can be used to develop its energy sector,
to develop weapons of mass destruction (WMD), to enhance its conventional military, or
to maintain its aviation capabilities (Section 5(b)(1)). These exports had been banned
under Pan Am 103-related Security Council Resolutions 748 (March 31, 1992) and 883
(November 11, 1993)..1 The six sanctions provided for inavailable under ILSA (Section 6) are the
following:
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Denial (1) denial of Export-Import Bank loans, credits, or credit guarantees for U.S.
exports to the sanctioned firm.
!
Denial; (2) denial of licenses for the U.S. export of military or
militarily-useful
technology to the sanctioned firm.
!
Denial; (3) denial of U.S. bank loans
exceeding $10 million in one year to the
sanctioned firm.
!
If; (4) if the sanctioned firm is a
financial institution, a prohibition on that
firm’s service as a primary dealer in U.S.
government bonds; and/or a
prohibition on that firm’s service as a repository for U.S. government
funds. (Each
government funds (each counts as one sanction.)
!
Prohibition); (5) prohibition on U.S. government
procurement from the sanctioned firm.
!
A; and (6) a restriction on imports from the
sanctioned firm, in accordance with the
International Emergency Economic Powers Act
(50 U.S.C. 1701 and
following).
Waiver/Expiration Provisions. There are two grounds on which the President
may waive ILSA sanctions. Under Section 4(c), the President may waiveThe President may waive ILSA sanctions if the
parent country of the violating firm agrees to impose economic sanctions on Iran (Section
4(c)). This . This
waiver provision doesdid not apply to Libya. Under Section 9(c) of the lawIn addition, the President
may waive
sanctions on the grounds that doing so is important to the U.S. national
interest interest (Section
9(c)). This waiver applies to applied to both Iran and Libya. ILSA terminates for Iran if Iran ceases
its efforts to acquire WMD and is removed from the U.S. list of state sponsors of
terrorism. For Libya, ILSA terminates if the President determines that Libya has fulfilled
the requirements of all U.N. resolutions relating to the attack on Pan Am 103. (On
January 31, 2001, one of the Libyan suspects, Abd al-Baset al-Magrahi, was convicted of
the bombing. Libya has not yet fulfilled the requirement to accept responsibility and
compensate the families of the victims, although press reports since early 2003 have said
Libya is close to taking these steps.)1 Even if none of these conditions were met, ILSA
was to sunset on August 5, 2001 (5 years after enactment).
ILSA Renewal
In the runup to ILSA’s expiration, Congress debated renewal of the law in the
context of a somewhat improved climate in U.S. relations with both Iran and Libya. In
its last two years, the Clinton Administration eased sanctions on Iran in response to the
ascendancy of a more moderate government, led by President Mohammad Khatemi, and
on Libya in response to the yielding for trial of the Libyan suspects in Pan Am 103.
Some believe the changed climate reduced the need for ILSA , which critics argue has
hindered rather than promoted multilateral coordination on Iran and Libya policy.
Proponents of renewal maintained that not only had ILSA accomplished some of its key
objectives but that both Iran and Libya would view ILSA’s expiration as a concession,
reducing their incentive to adopt policies the United States favors.
1
For further information on Libya, see CRS Issue Brief IB93109, Libya, by Clyde R. Mark.
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A House bill, H.R. 1954, was reported to the full House by the International
Relations Committee on June 20, 2001, by a vote of 41 to 3. A proposed amendment to
renew the law for only 2 years, which was supported by the Bush Administration on the
grounds that a review after 2 years allows greater flexibility than a 5-year renewal, was
defeated by a vote of 34 to 9. The bill modified ILSA by incorporating an amendment
that would lower the investment trigger for Libya to $20 million in one year, the same as
for Iran, and changed the definition of investment to treat any additions to pre-existing
investment as a new contract. This appeared intended to encompass much of the foreign
investment taking place in Libya’s energy sector, where foreign companies had been
operating long before ILSA was enacted. The final version of H.R. 1954, passed by the
House on July 26, 2001, by a vote of 409-6, and by the Senate the following day by
unanimous consent, required an Administration report on ILSA’s effectiveness within 24 30 months (as early as August 2003). President Bush signed H.R. 1954 on August 3,
2002 (P.L. 107-24).
Implementation and Effectiveness of ILSA
ILSA, particularly when first enacted, provoked vocal opposition from U.S. allies,
especially those in the European Union (EU). Traditionally skeptical of economic
sanctions as a policy tool, the EU states took exception to ILSA as an extraterritorial
application of U.S. law. Some EU states criticized ILSA as a “double standard” in U.S.
foreign policy, in which the United States worked against the Arab League boycott of
Israel while at the same time promoted a worldwide boycott of Iran. The EU countries
threatened formal counter-action in the World Trade Organization (WTO).
The Clinton Administration asserted that the rationale for ILSA remained sound, but
it also sought to balance implementation with the need to defuse a potential trade dispute
with the EU. In April 1997, the United States and the EU formally agreed to try to avoid
a trade confrontation over ILSA and the “Helms-Burton” Cuba sanctions law (P.L. 104114). The agreement contributed to a decision by the Clinton Administration to waive
ILSA sanctions on the first project determined to be in violation: a $2 billion2 contract
(signed in September 1997) for Total SA of France and its minority partners, Gazprom
of Russia and Petronas of Malaysia to develop phases 2 and 3 of the 25-phase South Pars
gas field. The Administration announced the waiver on May 18, 1998, citing national
interest grounds (Section 9(c) of ILSA), after the EU pledged to increase cooperation with
the United States on non-proliferation and counter-terrorism. The announcement
indicated that EU firms would likely receive waivers for future projects that were similar.
The Bush Administration has indicated it is adopting the same policy on ILSA as the
Clinton Administration, preferring, as did the Clinton Administration, to try to work
cooperatively with the EU to curb Iran’s nuclear program and limit its support for
international terrorism. According to the Bush Administration, ILSA has not stopped
energy sector investment, although some say the law slowed Iran’s energy development,
2
Dollar figures for energy investment contracts with Iran represent public estimates of the
amounts investing firms are expected to spend during the life of the project, which might in some
cases be several decades.
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and Iran’s sustainable oil production has not increased significantly since the early 1990s,
despite the new investment.3
Since the South Pars case, several projects — all involving Iran, not Libya — have
been formally placed under review for ILSA sanctions, but no additional sanctions
determinations were announced by the Clinton Administration, or subsequently by the
Bush Administration.4 Recent energy sector investment in Iran includes the following,
and work has begun on all but the most recent of the agreements:
!
A February 1999 award to France’s Elf Aquitaine (now merged with
Totalfina) and Italy’s ENI to develop the Doroud oil field. The
estimated value of the investment is $1 billion.
!
A project, run by Elf Aquitaine and Canada’s Bow Valley, to develop the
Balal oil field. The project had foundered for lack of financing until Elf’s
decision to join it in April 1999. The estimated value is $300 million.
!
A November 1999 contract for Royal Dutch/Shell (U.K. and the
Netherlands) to develop the Soroush and Nowruz oil fields. The
estimated value is $800 million.
!
A July 2000 award to ENI to develop phases 4 and 5 of South Pars. The
estimated value is $3.8 billion.
!
An exploration contract for Norway’s Norsk Hydro to develop the
Anaran oil field, signed in April 2000. The estimated value is unknown.
!
In January 2001 a U.K. firm, Enterprise Oil, took a 20% stake in phases
6, 7, and 8 of South Pars.
!
In March 2001, Iran announced it had signed a $226 million contract for
a consortium led by Sweden’s GVA Consultants to explore for oil in
Iran’s portion of the Caspian Sea.
!
On June 30, 2001, ENI signed a deal, estimated to be worth $550 million
to $1 billion, to develop Iran’s Darkhovin oil field.
3
Testimony of Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Anna Borg before the House International
Relations Committee, Subcommittee on the Middle East and Central Asia. June 17, 2003.
4
The Clinton Administration began informal reviews of several projects in Libya, but U.S.
officials say that foreign investment in Libya is more difficult to assess because Libya has
consistently hosted foreign energy firms; projects there mostly represent continuations of
investments made prior to ILSA’s enactment. One such project is a $5.5 billion gas pipeline from
Libya to Sicily sponsored by Italy’s ENI/Agip Gas. Other Libya projects appeared to fall under
the trigger investment threshold. One project that has attracted congressional attention is a
reported effort by a German firm, Wintershall, to acquire exploration rights in Libyan fields
owned by U.S. firms.
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!
In December 2001, Japan and Iran reached agreement that a Japanese
consortium would have first rights to negotiate to develop the large
Azadegan field, an investment worth about $2.8 billion. The two sides
did not reach agreement by the target date of June 30, 2003, leaving
Japan’s status in the deal unclear. The government of Japan reportedly
sought to link the deal to Iran’s cooperation with the international
community on intrusive inspections of its nuclear facilities.
!
In May 2002, Canada’s Sheer Energy took a 49% stake in an $88 million
project to develop the Masjid-e-Soleyman onshore oil field.
!
In September 2002, South Korea’s LG Engineering Group, in partnership
with two Iranian firms, was given a $1.6 billion stake in phases 9 and 10
of South Pars.
!
In October 2002, the Norwegian firm Statoil signed an agreement to
invest $300 million in phases 6, 7, and 8 of South Pars.
Energy Routes Transiting Iran. ILSA’s provisions and its definition of
“investment” do not specifically mention the development of energy transit routes
through Iran as sanctionable activity. The Clinton Administration position was that, under
certain conditions, the construction of such routes might constitute sanctionable
investment and would be reviewed under ILSA. According to many observers, the
Clinton Administration adopted that position in order to promote a new Central
Asian/Caspian energy route from Azerbaijan (Baku) to Turkey (Ceyhan) that would
bypass Iran and Russia. This would have the effect of denying Iran the benefit of transit
fees and political and economic leverage over Western energy supplies. The Bush
Administration has not announced any alteration of this stance. Construction of this
pipeline has begun and the first section was been laid in Azerbaijan in July 2003.
At the same time, the United States has responded to the needs of a key regional ally,
Turkey, for energy supplies. A few weeks after ILSA was enacted, Turkey and Iran
reached final agreement on a plan to construct a natural gas pipeline from Iran to Turkey,
with each country constructing the pipeline on its side of their common border. Turkey
later announced that, at least initially, it would import gas from Turkmenistan through this
new pipeline. In July 1997, the State Department said that the project did not qualify for
ILSA sanctions because Turkey would be importing gas from Turkmenistan, not Iran, and
the project would therefore not benefit Iran’s energy sector directly. Others believe that,
whether or not Iranian energy would be purchased under this project, construction of
energy routes alone would not meet the definition of investment in Section 14 of ILSA.5
Iranian gas exports to Turkey began in 2001, in apparent contravention of Turkey’s
pledges to the United States that it would not buy Iranian gas directly.
5
ILSA defines “investment” as the entry into a contract that includes responsibility for the
development of petroleum resources in Iran or Libya; the purchase of a share of ownership in that
development; and participation in royalties, earnings, or profits from the development. ILSA
states that the term investment does not include contracts or the financing of contracts to sell
goods, services, or technology to Iran’s energy sector
1
For Libya, the threshold was $40 million, and sanctionable activity included exportation to
Libya of technology that could be used to develop its energy sector, to develop weapons of mass
destruction (WMD), to enhance its conventional military, or to maintain its aviation capabilities
(Section 5(b)(1)). These exports had been banned under Pan Am 103-related Security Council
Resolutions 748 (March 31, 1992) and 883 (November 11, 1993).
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terrorism. For Libya, ILSA terminates if the President determines that Libya has fulfilled
the requirements of all U.N. resolutions relating to the attack on Pan Am 103. (President
Bush made that certification on April 23, 2004, terminating ILSA with respect to Libya.)
Renewal and Modifications in 2001
ILSA was to sunset on August 5, 2001 (5 years after enactment). In the runup to
ILSA’s expiration, Congress debated renewal of the law in the context of a somewhat
improved climate in U.S. relations with both Iran and Libya. During 1999 and 2000, the
Clinton Administration had eased sanctions somewhat in response to the somewhat more
moderate foreign policy stances of Iran’s President Mohammad Khatemi. In 1999, Libya
had yielded for trial of the Libyan suspects in Pan Am 103. However, proponents of
renewal maintained that not only had ILSA accomplished some of its key objectives but
that both Iran and Libya would view ILSA’s expiration as a concession, reducing their
incentive to adopt policies the United States favors. Legislation to renew ILSA (H.R.
1954) was passed in the 107th Congress and signed on August 3, 2001 (P.L. 107-24). The
law lowered the sanctionable investment threshold in Libya to $20 million in one year —
the same as for Iran — and changed the definition of investment to treat any additions to
pre-existing investment as a new investment. It required an Administration report on
ILSA’s effectiveness within 24 - 30 months of enactment; that report was submitted to
Congress in January 2004 and did not recommend ILSA be repealed.
Implementation and Effectiveness of ILSA
Traditionally skeptical of economic sanctions as a policy tool, the European Union
states took particular exception to ILSA as an extraterritorial application of U.S. law.
Some EU states criticized ILSA as a “double standard” in U.S. foreign policy, in which
the United States worked against the Arab League boycott of Israel while at the same time
promoted a worldwide boycott of Iran. The EU countries threatened formal counteraction in the World Trade Organization (WTO). In April 1997, the United States and the
EU formally agreed to try to avoid a trade confrontation over ILSA and the “HelmsBurton” Cuba sanctions law (P.L. 104-114). The agreement contributed to a decision by
the Clinton Administration to waive ILSA sanctions on the first project determined to be
in violation — a $2 billion2 contract, signed in September 1997, for Total SA of France
and its minority partners, Gazprom of Russia and Petronas of Malaysia to develop phases
2 and 3 of the 25-phase South Pars gas field. The Administration announced the waiver
on May 18, 1998, citing national interest grounds (Section 9(c) of ILSA), after the EU
pledged to increase cooperation with the United States on non-proliferation and counterterrorism. The announcement indicated that EU firms would likely receive waivers for
future projects that were similar.
The Bush Administration has largely adopted the same policy on ILSA as did the
Clinton Administration, attempting to work cooperatively with the EU to curb Iran’s
nuclear program and limit its support for terrorism. According to the Bush
Administration’s mandated January 2004 assessment, ILSA has not stopped energy sector
2
Dollar figures for energy investment contracts with Iran represent public estimates of the
amounts investing firms are expected to spend during the life of the project, which might in some
cases be several decades.
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investment in Iran. However, some believe ILSA did slow Iran’s energy development,
at least until foreign companies began to perceive that ILSA sanctions would not likely
be imposed for investing in Iran. Iran’s sustainable oil production has not increased
significantly since the early 1990s, despite the new investment,3 although foreign
investment has slowed or halted deterioration in oil production. On the other hand, Iran’s
gas sector, non-existent prior to the late 1990s, is becoming an increasingly important
factor in Iran’s energy future as a result of foreign investment.
Since the South Pars case, many projects — all involving Iran, not Libya — have
been formally placed under review for ILSA sanctions by the State Department. Recent
State Department reports on ILSA, required every six months, state that U.S. diplomats
raise with both companies and countries the United States’ ILSA and policy concerns
about potential petroleum-sector investments in Iran. However, no sanctions
determinations have been announced since the South Pars case.4 Recent energy sector
investment in Iran includes the following:5
!
A February 1999 contract to France’s Totalfina Elf and Italy’s ENI to
develop the Doroud oil field. Estimated value: $1 billion.
!
An April 1999 contract for Totalfina Elf, Canada’s Bow Valley, and ENI
to develop the Balal oil field. Estimated value: $300 million.
!
A November 1999 contract for Royal Dutch/Shell (U.K. and the
Netherlands) to develop the Soroush and Nowruz oil fields. Estimated
value: $800 million.
!
A July 2000 award to ENI to develop phases 4 and 5 of South Pars.
Estimated value: $1.9 billion.
!
An April 2000 exploration contract for Norway’s Norsk Hydro to
develop the Anaran oil field. Estimated value: unknown.
!
A March 2001 award contract for Sweden’s GVA Consultants to lead
exploration for oil in Iran’s portion of the Caspian Sea. Estimated value:
$226 million
!
A June 2001 contract for ENI to develop Iran’s Darkhovin oil field.
Estimated value: $1 billion. Work has not begun.
3
Testimony of Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Anna Borg before the House International
Relations Committee, Subcommittee on the Middle East and Central Asia. June 17, 2003.
4
The Clinton Administration reviewed several projects involving Libya, but U.S. officials said
that foreign investment in Libya was more difficult to assess because Libya has consistently
hosted foreign energy firms; projects there mostly represent continuations of investments made
prior to ILSA’s enactment.
5
Work has begun on all of these agreements, unless specified.
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!
In May 2002, Canada’s Sheer Energy took a 49% stake in a project to
develop the Masjid-e-Soleyman oil field. Estimated value: $80 million.
!
A September 2002 award to South Korea’s LG Engineering Group, in
partnership with two Iranian firms, to develop phases 9 and 10 of South
Pars. Estimated value: $1.6 billion.
!
An October 2002 contract for Norway’s Statoil to develop phases 6, 7,
and 8 of South Pars. Estimated value: $2.6 billion.
!
In February 2004, after several years of negotiations, Iran reached
agreement with a Japanese consortium led by Inpex Corp. to develop the
large Azadegan field. Estimated value: $2 billion.
!
That same month, Iran signed an agreement with Total and Petronas to
produce eight million tons of liquified natural gas (LNG) per year.
Estimated value: $2 billion. Expected to start LNG exports by 2009.
!
During 2004-January 2005, Iran reached several related agreements with
energy companies in China and India under which (1) Iran would supply
both China (Zhuhai Zhenrong) and India (ONGC and Petronet) with
LNG over 25-30 year periods; (2) India’s ONGC and China’s Sinopec
would receive stakes in the development of Iran’s Yadavaran oil field,
which might be able to produce 300,000 barrels per day; and (3) the
state-owned Indian Oil Company would develop part of South Pars gas
field and build an LNG plant. If implemented for the full duration of the
agreements, these deals could total over $100 billion. (Agreements to
import Iranian LNG would not appear to constitute an “investment” in
Iran’s energy sector, as defined by ILSA.) A major part of these deals is
discussion of constructing a gas pipeline, as discussed below.
Energy Routes Transiting Iran. ILSA’s provisions and its definition of
“investment” do not specifically mention the development of energy transit routes
through Iran as sanctionable activity. However, the Clinton Administration position was
that the construction of such routes might constitute activity sanctionable under ILSA,
because these routes would “directly and significantly contribut[e] to the enhancement of
Iran’s ability to develop petroleum resources.”6 The Clinton Administration adopted that
position to promote a Caspian energy route from Azerbaijan (Baku) to Turkey (Ceyhan)
that would bypass Iran and Russia, and thereby deny Iran and Russia leverage over
Western energy supplies. The Bush Administration has not announced any alteration of
this stance. (The Baku-Ceyhan has been developed and is expected to be operational by
mid 2005.)
At the same time, the United States has responded to the needs of a key regional ally,
Turkey, for energy supplies. A few weeks after ILSA was enacted, Turkey and Iran
reached final agreement on a plan to construct a natural gas pipeline from Iran to Turkey,
with each country constructing the pipeline on its side of their common border. Turkey
6
This definition of sanctionable activity is contained in Section 5(a) of ILSA.
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later announced that, at least initially, it would import gas from Turkmenistan through this
new pipeline. In July 1997, the State Department said that the project did not qualify for
ILSA sanctions because Turkey would be importing gas from Turkmenistan, not Iran, and
the project would therefore not benefit Iran’s energy sector directly. However, direct
Iranian gas exports to Turkey reportedly began in 2001, in apparent contravention of
Turkey’s pledges to the United States that it would not buy Iranian gas directly, but the
Bush Administration has not indicated it would impose ILSA sanctions on the project.
Another test of Administration policy could be looming. As noted above, the 20042005 deals between Iran and Indian firms might include construction of a gas pipeline
from Iran to India, through Pakistan, with a possible extension to China. Political
differences, particularly between India and Pakistan, could slow or derail the pipeline
proposal, but some commentators believe it both addresses regional energy needs and
promotes political cooperation between India and Pakistan.7 During her visit to Asia in
March 2005, Secretary of State Rice “expressed U.S. concern” about the pipeline deal,
although neither she nor any other U.S. official has said it would be reviewed for ILSA
sanctions. Indian officials have rebutted the U.S. opposition and have also continued to
cooperate with Iran on regional rail and road links.
Proposed ILSA Modifications: H.R. 282 and S. 333
There are some legislative proposals in the 109th Congress to close some perceived
ILSA loopholes. The proposed legislation, H.R. 282 (Ros-Lehtinen) and a companion,
S. 333 (Santorum) are similar to bills introduced in the 108th Congress (H.R. 3347 and
H.R. 5193, introduced by Rep. Ros-Lehtinen). H.R. 282 was marked up by the Middle
East/Central Asia Subcommittee of the House International Relations Committee on April
13, 2005. Both it and S. 333 have major provisions to express support for a policy of
promoting democracy in Iran; the most significant ILSA-modification provisions of the
bills are as follows:
7
!
requiring an administration report to Congress on countries cooperating
(or not) with U.S. efforts to forge a multilateral Iran sanctions regime;
!
making exports to Iran of WMD-related technology or destabilizing
advanced conventional weaponry sanctionable activity under ILSA;
!
requiring the President to certify that Iran is no longer a threat to U.S.
national security or allies in order to terminate ILSA, and both bills
would repeal the sunset provision of ILSA;
!
the marked-up version of H.R. 282 calls on U.S. government and private
sector fund managers to divest their funds of entities that invest in Iran’s
energy sector and would cut assistance to countries whose companies
conducted sanctionable investment in Iran.
Perkovich, George and Revati Prasad. A Pipeline to Peace. Op-Ed, in New York Times, April
18, 2005.