Uzbekistan: Background and Issues for
October 18, 2023
Congress
Maria A. Blackwood
Uzbekistan is a landlocked country in Central Asia. Because it has the largest population in the
Analyst in Asian Policy
region (approximately 36 million) and is the only country that borders all four other Central
Asian states (Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan), many analysts
see Uzbekistan as a potential regional leader. The country also shares a border with Afghanistan.
Uzbekistan became independent with the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 and was ruled
until 2016 by President Islam Karimov, a former high-level Soviet official. Karimov maintained relatively isolationist foreign
and economic policies that emphasized self-sufficiency, and international observers considered his rule authoritarian and
highly repressive. Following Karimov’s death in 2016, his successor, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, embarked on a wide-
ranging reform program emphasizing goals of modernizing and liberalizing the economy, easing political repression,
addressing human rights concerns, and attracting increased foreign investment.
Under Mirziyoyev, Uzbekistan has reengaged with the international community, leading to significantly improved relations
with the United States and transforming regional dynamics within Central Asia. The U.S. government has praised
Uzbekistan’s ongoing reform efforts, but continues to raise concerns about human rights and political freedoms. U.S.
policymakers have identified Uzbekistan as a key partner in addressing regional threats such as illegal narcotics, terrorism,
and violent extremism. The government of Uzbekistan previously positioned itself as an intermediary between the
government of Afghanistan and the Taliban. Since the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan in August 2021, Uzbekistan has
maintained a pragmatic stance toward the Taliban, a position some analysts see as intended to prioritize Uzbekistan’s
security. Russia’s renewed invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 arguably has placed Uzbekistan in a difficult position
economically and diplomatically. Uzbekistan has avoided endorsing Russian aggression and has expressed support for
Ukraine’s territorial integrity. Some analysts and U.S. officials contend that the shifting geopolitical situation resulting from
the war in Ukraine creates new opportunities for expanding U.S.-Uzbekistan relations. Some Members of Congress express
interest in expanding U.S. engagement with Uzbekistan on trade, democratic reforms, human rights, and security
cooperation.
Potential areas of opportunity for expanding U.S. relations with Uzbekistan and congressional action include the following:
• Trade. Trade between the United States and Uzbekistan remains limited and is governed by Section 402 of
the Trade Act of 1974 (P.L. 93-618), the so-called Jackson-Vanik amendment, which denies permanent
normal trade relations to certain former nonmarket economies. Exempting a given country from Jackson-
Vanik requires Congress to pass relevant legislation. The Biden Administration supports repealing Jackson-
Vanik applicability for Uzbekistan.
• Human rights. Some Members of Congress have noted Uzbekistan’s progress on human rights, while also
highlighting ongoing human rights concerns.
• Security cooperation. Some analysts and U.S. officials see new opportunities for expanding security
cooperation between the United States and Uzbekistan in light of the war in Ukraine.
• Energy. Although Uzbekistan is a natural gas producer, the country’s export potential is hampered by
domestic energy crises resulting from high demand coupled with infrastructural deficiencies.
• Regional connectivity. Promoting regional connectivity has long been a U.S. policy priority in Central
Asia, in part to strengthen regional countries’ economic and political sovereignty. Some analysts suggest
that regional connectivity in Central Asia has taken on added significance in light of the war in Ukraine as
Central Asian governments seek to diversify their economic and security relationships.
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Contents
Overview ......................................................................................................................................... 1
Domestic Political Background ....................................................................................................... 2
Human Rights .................................................................................................................................. 4
Economy .......................................................................................................................................... 6
Uzbekistan’s Foreign Policy ............................................................................................................ 6
Bilateral Relations with the United States ................................................................................. 6
Security Cooperation .......................................................................................................... 7
U.S.-Uzbekistan Trade ........................................................................................................ 8
U.S. Foreign Assistance to Uzbekistan ............................................................................... 8
Regional Relations .................................................................................................................... 9
Relations with Afghanistan ....................................................................................................... 9
Terrorism and Violent Extremism ............................................................................................ 11
Relations with Russia and Implications of the War in Ukraine ............................................... 12
Relations with China ............................................................................................................... 13
Issues for Congress ........................................................................................................................ 14
Trade ....................................................................................................................................... 14
Human Rights.......................................................................................................................... 15
Security Cooperation ............................................................................................................... 15
Energy ..................................................................................................................................... 16
Regional Connectivity ............................................................................................................. 17
Figures
Figure 1. Map of Uzbekistan ........................................................................................................... 1
Tables
Table 1. Uzbekistan: Selected Democracy and Human Rights Indexes .......................................... 5
Table 2. U.S. Foreign Assistance to Uzbekistan .............................................................................. 9
Contacts
Author Information ........................................................................................................................ 17
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Uzbekistan: Background and Issues for Congress
Overview
In the wake of a 2016 leadership transition, Uzbekistan’s government embarked on a wide-
ranging reform program. Uzbekistan has since reengaged with the international community
following years of relative isolationism, leading to significantly improved relations with the
United States. U.S. officials have praised Uzbekistan’s ongoing reform efforts, but continue to
raise concerns about human rights and political freedoms.1 Constitutional changes introduced
following an April 2023 referendum and a subsequent July 2023 snap election raise the prospect
of the country’s current leader remaining in office until 2037. The United States and Uzbekistan
cooperate on political and civil society issues, in developing economic relations, and in
addressing regional threats such as illegal narcotics, trafficking in persons, terrorism, and violent
extremism.2 Some analysts describe Uzbekistan as a potential regional leader in Central Asia.3
Uzbekistan has the largest population in the region and is the only country that borders all four
other Central Asian states (see Figure 1). The country also shares a border with Afghanistan.
Uzbekistan is slightly larger than California, and the majority of the country’s population of
approximately 36.2 million is Uzbek (83.8%), with Tajik (4.8%), Kazakh (2.5%), Russian (2.3%),
Karakalpak (2.2%), and Tatar (1.5%) minorities, among others.4 Most of Uzbekistan’s inhabitants
are Muslim (88% according to U.S. government estimates, and 96% according to the government
of Uzbekistan), almost exclusively Sunni; about 2.2% of the population is Russian Orthodox.5
Figure 1. Map of Uzbekistan
Source: Graphic created by CRS.
Notes: “Karakalpakstan,” an alternate form of “Qoraqalpog’iston,” is used in the text of this report.
1 See, for example, Navbahor Imamova, “U.S.-Uzbekistan: Strategic Partnership, Continuity, and Mirziyoyev’s
Challenges,” Amerika Ovozi, November 22, 2020; Nike Ching and Navbahor Imamova, “Blinken Welcomes Reforms
in Uzbekistan Visit,” VOA News, March 1, 2023.
2 U.S. Department of State, “U.S. Relations with Uzbekistan: Bilateral Relations Fact Sheet,” February 28, 2023.
3 See, for example, Nathan Hutson and Marsha McGraw Olive, “Uzbekistan Rising as Central Asian Integration
Catalyst,” Eurasianet, February 8, 2021; Wilder Alejandro Sanchez, “Will an Ascendant Uzbekistan Challenge
Kazakhstan’s Leadership in Central Asia?” Geopolitical Monitor, June 4, 2018; Timur Toktonaliev, “Could Uzbekistan
Lead Central Asia?” Institute for War and Peace Reporting, November 22, 2017.
4 Population estimate as of April 1, 2023, from the State Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan on Statistics,
available at https://stat.uz/en/. Ethnic breakdown estimated as of 2017, from the CIA World Factbook.
5 U.S. Department of State, 2022 Report on International Religious Freedom: Uzbekistan, May 15, 2023.
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Uzbekistan: Background and Issues for Congress
Domestic Political Background
From 1991 to 2016, Uzbekistan, formerly a constituent republic of the Soviet Union, was led by
President Islam Karimov, a former high-level Soviet official. International observers considered
his rule authoritarian and highly repressive.6 Karimov’s economic policies emphasized national
self-sufficiency, and his government pursued a largely isolationist foreign policy. After his death,
Karimov was succeeded by Shavkat Mirziyoyev, who had served as prime minister under
Karimov for 13 years and won a December 2016 presidential election that international observers
criticized as “devoid of genuine competition.”7 Mirziyoyev subsequently embarked on an
ambitious reform program, aiming to transform Uzbekistan by modernizing and liberalizing the
economy, addressing human rights concerns, and reengaging with the international community.
He won reelection to a second five-year term in October 2021. The Election Observation Mission
from the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) noted “significant
procedural irregularities” in that election and concluded “that recent reforms, which have
gradually introduced welcome improvements, have not yet resulted in a genuinely pluralistic
environment.”8
U.S. officials and other international observers have noted continuing positive reforms in
Uzbekistan since 2016.9 One longtime observer describes the overall changes in Uzbekistan as
“remarkable,” particularly with regard to increased openness, improved governance, and
decreased repression.10 U.S. officials have voiced support for these ongoing reforms.11 Reform
remains a top-down, centralized process, however, leading to skepticism among some analysts as
to the extent to which the government is willing to democratize.12 Analysts also note less progress
in areas such as the privatization of state assets, the decentralization of political power, and
combatting corruption.13 Following a meeting with Mirziyoyev in Tashkent in March, 2023,
Secretary of State Antony Blinken said, “We applauded the [reform] steps that had been taken. I
noted as well the importance of not only having a strong vision but of fully implementing it. And
of course, that remains an important work in progress.”14 U.S. government officials and other
6 See, for example, “Uzbekistan: Authoritarian President Karimov Reported Dead: Legacy Is Quarter Century of
Ruthless Repression,” Human Rights Watch, September 2, 2016; Casey Michel, “Uzbekistan’s Karimov Leaves
Behind a Legacy of Repression, Slavery, and Kleptocracy,” The Diplomat, September 2, 2016.
7 OSCE ODIHR, Uzbekistan, Early Presidential Election, 4 December 2016: Final Report, March 22, 2017, p. 1.
8 OSCE ODIHR, Republic of Uzbekistan, Presidential Election, October 24, 2021: ODIHR Election Observation
Mission Final Report, April 22, 2022, p. 1.
9 See, for example, U.S. Embassy in Uzbekistan, “Secretary Michael R. Pompeo and Uzbekistan Foreign Minister
Abdulaziz Kamilov,” February 3, 2020; Navbahor Imamova, “U.S.-Uzbekistan: Strategic Partnership, Continuity, and
Mirziyoyev’s Challenges,” Amerika Ovozi, November 22, 2020.
10 Navbahor Imamova, “Where Freedoms Are Expanding—Slowly,” The Atlantic, October 5, 2019.
11 Nike Ching and Navbahor Imamova, “Blinken Welcomes Reforms in Uzbekistan Visit,” VOA News, March 1, 2023;
U.S. Embassy in Uzbekistan, “Remarks by Ambassador Alice Wells,” February 27, 2019.
12 See, for example, Fred Harrison, “Uzbekistan Is Being Transformed, but Where Are the Democratic Reforms?” BNE
Intellinews, January 6, 2021; Dilmira Matyakubowa, “There Won’t Be Political Reform in Uzbekistan. Here’s Why,”
The Diplomat, December 22, 2020.
13 See, for example, Ivailo Izvorski, “High Expectations in Uzbekistan,” Brookings Institution, February 8, 2022;
Nastassia Astrasheuskaya, “Uzbekistan Reform Agenda Shows Signs of Slowing,” Financial Times, September 9,
2021; Fred Harrison, “Uzbekistan Is Being Transformed, but Where Are the Democratic Reforms?” BNE Intellinews,
January 6, 2021; Dilmira Matyakubowa, “There Won’t Be Political Reform in Uzbekistan. Here’s Why,” The
Diplomat, December 22, 2020.
14 Nike Ching and Navbahor Imamova, “Blinken Welcomes Reforms in Uzbekistan Visit,” VOA News, March 1, 2023.
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observers continue to express concerns about human rights and political freedoms.15 Freedom
House classifies Uzbekistan as “not free,” assessing that the country “remains an authoritarian
state with few signs of democratization.”16
Uzbekistan’s centralized government structure grants the executive branch extensive powers, with
the President exercising significant control over the legislature and the judiciary. The bicameral
legislature (Oliy Majlis) has historically provided neither an effective check on the executive nor
a venue for genuine political debate. Its role has expanded somewhat under Mirziyoyev, who,
upon assuming the presidency, urged more oversight over the executive and greater initiative
from parliament.17 The country held its first post-Karimov parliamentary elections in December
2019 under the slogan “New Uzbekistan—New Elections.” According to international observers,
the elections took place in an atmosphere of unprecedented openness and engagement with voters
but did not demonstrate genuine competitiveness.18 The composition of parliament remained
largely unchanged, and the five parties that hold seats are generally pro-government. Although no
party has an outright majority, Mirziyoyev’s Liberal Democratic Party won a plurality of seats (53
of 150). In 2020, legislative amendments expanded the oversight powers of the Oliy Majlis, and
the new parliament has engaged in some increased debate on policy issues.19 Freedom House
assesses, however, that the parliament has “remained quiescent and failed to raise serious
objections to any initiatives raised by the president.”20
Following his 2021 reelection, Mirziyoyev raised the possibility of constitutional changes, in a
move some analysts saw as intended to evade the two-term limit on the presidency.21 When a new
draft constitution was published for public comment in June 2022, officials presented the
proposed changes as intended to strengthen Uzbekistan’s institutions and expand social welfare
programs.22 Some of the proposed provisions would have changed the political status of
Karakalpakstan, a sparsely populated region in western Uzbekistan that accounts for about 40%
of Uzbekistan’s territory and about 5% of the population, by weakening its nominal autonomy.
This spurred large-scale protests that turned violent in July 2022, leaving at least 21 people killed
15 See, for example, Laurence Fletcher, “Uzbekistan Fails to Address Human Rights Violations,” Financial Times,
September 9, 2021; Navbahor Imamova, “Uzbekistan Reform Pace Questioned as Presidential Election Approaches,”
Voice of America, May 26, 2021; Steve Swerdlow, “Uzbekistan Needs a Navruz for Human Rights,” March 1, 2021;
U.S. Department of State, 2022 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices: Uzbekistan, March 20, 2023; Brawley
Benson, “Uzbekistan’s Reformist President Makes a U-Turn,” Foreign Policy, July 28, 2023.
16 Freedom House, Freedom in the World 2023: Uzbekistan.
17 “Address by the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev to Oliy Majlis,” December 28, 2018,
available at https://www.un.int/uzbekistan/news/address-president-republic-uzbekistan-shavkat-mirziyoyev-oliy-majlis-
0.
18 OSCE ODIHR, Uzbekistan, Parliamentary Elections, 22 December 2019: Final Report, May 13, 2020; OSCE
ODIHR, “Important Progress in Election Legislation Could Not Offset Lack of Real Contest in Uzbekistan’s
Parliamentary Elections, International Observers Say,” December 23, 2019.
19 Oleg Zamanov, “Olii Mazhlis poluchil pravo provodit’ rassledovaniia” [Oliy Majlis received the right to conduct
investigations], Norma, August 11, 2020; Catherine Putz, “Checking in on Uzbekistan’s Political Progress in 2020: An
Interview with Farkhod Tolipov,” The Diplomat, December 15, 2020.
20 Freedom House, Nations in Transit 2022: Uzbekistan.
21 “Where Is Uzbekistan’s Constitutional Reform Heading?” Eurasianet, May 24, 2022.
22 “Uzbekistan: Constitutional Reforms Open Way for Mirziyoyev to Retain Power,” Eurasianet, June 21, 2022.
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and a further 243 injured.23 In the wake of this unrest, President Mirziyoyev announced that the
articles of the extant constitution concerning Karakalpakstan would remain unchanged.24
A new constitution approved in an April 30, 2023, referendum extended the presidential term
from five years to seven, potentially allowing Mirziyoyev to stay in power until 2037.25 The new
constitution also introduced changes that address some popular grievances, including by
bolstering property rights, and criminal justice reforms such as banning the death penalty.26
Uzbek officials state that the constitutional changes will serve to strengthen human rights
protections, improve social services, and make the government more accountable to its citizens.27
Critics argue, however, that the new constitution does not bolster the rule of law and serves
primarily to strengthen Mirziyoyev.28 One scholar contends that, “the referendum was conducted
by the regime for the regime” as a form of “authoritarian modernization.”29 After the new
constitution went into force on May 1, Mirziyoyev secured 87% of the vote in a snap presidential
election held on July 9. OSCE observers determined that the election “took place in a constrained
political environment that was lacking genuine political alternatives” and noted “serious
irregularities.”30 In light of the constitutional referendum and snap election, one expert concluded,
“any hope of political reforms, especially allowing genuine opposition parties or independent
candidates to participate, seems dead, for now.”31
Human Rights
International organizations have lauded Uzbekistan’s progress on human rights since 2016, but
some observers continue to raise concerns. The International Labour Organization determined in
2021 that reforms had eradicated systemic forced and child labor in the harvesting of cotton,
previously a major human rights concern in Uzbekistan.32 In 2022, the Cotton Campaign ended
its call for a global boycott of cotton from Uzbekistan, citing Uzbekistan’s “historic achievement”
in ending systemic, state-sponsored forced labor in the cotton sector.33 Some analysts assess that
23 Catherine Putz, “Unrest in Central Asia: The Trouble in Karakalpakstan,” The Diplomat, July 6, 2022; Ildar
Daminov, “Karakalpak Protests Reflect the Shattered Promise of Mirziyoyev’s ‘New Uzbekistan,’” The Diplomat, July
5, 2022; “Uzbekistan: Authorities Close Consultation on Constitutional Reform,” Eurasianet, August 1, 2022.
24 “Uzbekistan President Backtracks on Constitution to Defuse Karakalpakstan Tension,” Eurasianet, July 2, 2022.
25 Constitutional experts in Uzbekistan determined that the change in term length effectively nullified Mirziyoyev’s
first two terms. Karimov similarly evaded the two-term limit by changing the length of presidential terms from seven
years to five. See Catherine Putz, “Karimov, Uzbekistan’s Perpetual President,” The Diplomat, April 11, 2015.
26 Bruce Pannier, “Uzbekistan’s New Constitution May Be Worth the Paper It’s Written On,” bne Intellinews, April 13,
2023.
27 Eldor Tulykakov, “Uzbekistan’s New Constitution, Civil Servants, and Social Protection,” SETA, May 4, 2023;
Nuriddin Ismoilov, “Uzbekistan’s Revised Constitution Can Support Democratic Transition,” Nikkei Asia, April 29,
2023.
28 Umida Niyazova, “Uzbekistan’s Improved Constitutional Rights Are Meaningless,” Nikkei Asia, May 8, 2023;
Navbahor Imamova, “Uzbek Ballot Promises Freedom, Justice, but Some Have Doubts,” VOA News, April 28, 2023.
29 Navbahor Imamova, “New Uzbekistan Constitution: Genuine Reform or Authoritarian Makeover?” VOA News, May
4, 2023.
30 OSCE ODIHR, Uzbekistan, Early Presidential Election, 9 July 2023: Statement of Preliminary Findings and
Conclusions, July 10, 2023, pp. 2-3.
31 Bruce Pannier, “Central Asia in Focus: No Change in Uzbekistan Until at Least 2037,” RFE/RL, July 11, 2023.
32 “Uzbek Cotton Is Free from Systemic Child Labour and Forced Labour,” International Labour Organization, March
1, 2022.
33 “Cotton Campaign Ends Its Call for a Global Boycott of Cotton from Uzbekistan,” Cotton Campaign, March 10,
2022. Previously, 331 brands and retailers had signed the Cotton Campaign’s Uzbek Cotton Pledge Against Forced
(continued...)
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Uzbekistan’s media and civil society operate more freely now than under Karimov, but still face
constraints.34 Some outside observers and journalists within Uzbekistan argue that the space for
free expression has constricted after an initial period of opening following Mirziyoyev’s
accension to the presidency.35 The Mirziyoyev government has eased barriers to registration for
nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), but both local and international organizations face
bureaucratic obstacles.36 No new political parties have been allowed to register, and all existing
parties support the government.37 The Uzbek state strictly controls and monitors religious
practices, and unregistered religious activity is criminalized.38 An amended law on religion signed
by President Mirziyoyev in July 2021 eased some restrictions, but drew criticism from religious
freedom advocates for maintaining registration requirements and other elements of government
control over religious life.39
In December 2020, the State Department removed Uzbekistan from its Special Watch List of
countries that engage in severe violations of religious freedom. The Department had previously
designated Uzbekistan as a Country of Particular Concern from 2006 to 2017, and placed it on the
Special Watch List in 2018 and 2019.40 In its 2023 Annual Report, the U.S. Commission on
International Religious Freedom noted that religious freedom conditions in Uzbekistan “trended
slightly positively” in 2022 but recommended that the State Department return Uzbekistan to the
Special Watch List in light of continuing violations of religious freedom.41
Table 1. Uzbekistan: Selected Democracy and Human Rights Indexes
Issue
Index
2016 Status/Rank
2022/2023 Status/Rank
Democracy
Freedom House, Freedom in
Not Free (Score: 3/100)
Not Free (Score: 12/100)
the World
Press Freedom
Reporters Without Borders,
166th of 180 Countries
137th of 180 Countries
World Press Freedom Index
Economic Freedom
Heritage Foundation, Index of
Repressed (166th of 178
Mostly Unfree (109th of
Economic Freedom
Countries)
176 Countries)
Labor, committing to not knowingly sourcing cotton from Uzbekistan until the elimination of forced labor was
independently verified by the International Labour Organization and the Cotton Campaign.
34 See, for example, Navbahor Imamova, “Uzbek Leader to Seek New Term Under Reform Constitution,” VOA News,
May 12, 2023; Freedom House, Freedom in the World 2022: Uzbekistan; Bruce Pannier, “The Making of Mirziyoyev’s
Uzbekistan,” The Diplomat, October 1, 2021; Navbahor Imamova, “Uzbeks Still Await Promised Human Rights
Reforms,” Voice of America, May 21, 2021; Navbahor Imamova, “Where Freedoms Are Expanding—Slowly,” The
Atlantic, October 5, 2019.
35 See, for example, Navbahor Imamova, “Uzbek Leader to Seek New Term Under Reform Constitution,” VOA News,
May 12, 2023; Uzbek Forum for Human Rights, Uzbekistan: President’s Broken Promises Puts Journalists and
Bloggers at Risk, June 20, 2023; Freedom House, Nations in Transit 2022: Uzbekistan.
36 U.S. Department of State, 2022 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices: Uzbekistan, March 20, 2023.
37 Bruce Pannier, “New Uzbek Opposition Party Runs into the Same Wall as Its Predecessors,” RFE/RL, March 24,
2021; Freedom House, Freedom in the World 2023: Uzbekistan, March 2023.
38 U.S. Department of State, 2022 Report on International Religious Freedom: Uzbekistan, May 15, 2022.
39 Felix Corley and Mushfig Bayram, “UZBEKISTAN: President to Sign Restrictive New Religion Law?” Forum 18,
July 5, 2021; “Uzbekistan Disappoints with Secretively Adopted Religion Law,” Eurasianet, July 7, 2021. See also:
European Commission for Democracy through Law (Venice Commission) and OSCE ODIHR, Uzbekistan: Joint
Opinion on the Draft Law “On Freedom of Conscience and Religious Organizations,” Venice Commission Opinion
No. 998/2020, OSCE/ODIHR Opinion No. FORB-UZB/387/2020, October 12, 2020.
40 U.S. Department of State, 2020 Report on International Religious Freedom: Uzbekistan, May 12, 2021.
41 U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, Annual Report of the U.S. Commission on International
Religious Freedom, April 2023, p. 68.
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Issue
Index
2016 Status/Rank
2022/2023 Status/Rank
Perceptions of
Transparency International,
156th of 168 Countries
126th of 180 Countries
Corruption
Corruption Perceptions Index
Rule of Law
World Justice Project, Rule of
93rd of 128 Countries and
78th of 140 Countries and
Law Index
Jurisdictions
Jurisdictions
Source: Freedom House, Freedom in the World 2016 and Freedom in the World 2023; Reporters Without
Borders, 2016 World Press Freedom Index and 2023 World Press Freedom Index; The Heritage Foundation, 2016
Index of Economic Freedom and 2023 Index of Economic Freedom; Transparency International, Corruption Perceptions
Index 2016 and Corruption Perceptions Index 2022; World Justice Project, Rule of Law Index 2016 and Rule of Law
Index 2022.
Economy
Uzbekistan is a lower-middle-income country with significant natural resources and relatively
well-developed infrastructure. Major exports include cotton, natural gas, uranium, and gold. The
country is the world’s seventh-largest producer of cotton, and the Uzbek government is moving to
transition from raw cotton exports to textile production. Uzbekistan has sizeable natural gas
reserves; the primary destination for its natural gas exports is China, although the majority of
production is consumed domestically. Uzbekistan has experienced domestic energy crises in
recent winters due to increased domestic demand combined with infrastructural deficiencies,
prompting the government to consider importing gas from Russia.42 Uzbekistan is the world’s
seventh-largest uranium supplier and has concluded long-term supply agreements with various
countries, including the United States, China, India, and Japan. According to Russian government
figures, there were more than 4.5 million Uzbek labor migrants in Russia in 2021; the actual
number may be higher.43 Remittances, which come primarily from Russia, were equivalent to
about 21% of GDP in 2022 according to World Bank estimates, up from 13% in 2021.44
The COVID-19 pandemic had a negative impact on Uzbekistan’s economy, which faced pressure
due to lower exports, lower natural gas prices and export volumes, decreased remittances, and
domestic economic disruption. The World Bank estimates that Uzbekistan’s GDP expansion
slowed to 2.0% in 2020 (down from 5.7% growth in 2019), and rebounded to 7.4% growth in
2021, slowing—partly due to the war in Ukraine—to 5.7% in 2022 and a projected 5.5% in
2023.45
Uzbekistan’s Foreign Policy
Bilateral Relations with the United States
After experiencing a sharp decline in 2005 (see “Security Cooperation” below), U.S. relations
with Uzbekistan have improved markedly since 2016, reflecting the country’s broader pursuit of
international ties. President Mirziyoyev traveled to Washington, DC, in 2018, the first official
42 Catherine Putz, “What’s the Status of Plans to Export Russian Gas to Uzbekistan,” The Diplomat, June 8, 2023.
43 Farangis Najibullah, “Central Asia Takes Economic Hit from Russian War in Ukraine Sooner Than Expected,”
RFE/RL, March 1, 2022.
44 Eung Ju Kim, “Remittances to Europe and Central Asia Post a Strong Growth,” World Bank, September 1, 2023.
45 World Bank, Global Economic Prospects, June 2022, p. 105; World Bank, Sluggish Growth, Rising Risks: Europe
and Central Asia Economic Update, Fall 2023, pp. 85-86; World Bank, “The World Bank in Uzbekistan: Overview,”
available at https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/uzbekistan/overview#economy.
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visit by an Uzbek president to the United States since 2002; he lauded the “new era of the
strategic partnership” between the two countries.46 During a March 2023 trip to Tashkent,
Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that U.S.-Uzbekistan relations have “grown much closer
in recent years,” adding, “across all of my engagements here, what I come away with is a mutual
and enthusiastic commitment to strengthening that partnership even further.”47 The Biden
Administration’s strategy for Uzbekistan states, “U.S. strategic priorities in the region and our
interest in a broader and deeper bilateral relationship with Uzbekistan are stronger than ever.”48
In the assessment of the Biden Administration, “Uzbekistan over the past five years has become a
catalyst for dialogue and economic integration, both among the five Central Asian states and
between Central Asia and South Asia,” whereas the country had previously represented “the main
obstacle to regional cooperation during its first 25 years of independence.”49 According to Trump
Administration officials in speaking 2019, Uzbekistan’s reengagement with its neighbors
invigorated the U.S.-led C5+1 framework, which was established in 2015 and which provides a
high-level forum for the United States and the five Central Asian countries to discuss regional
issues.50 The most recent C5+1 Ministerial took place in February, 2023, in Astana, Kazakhstan.51
In September 2023, President Biden met with his five Central Asian counterparts in New York on
the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, marking the first-ever C5+1 presidential
summit.52
Security Cooperation
From 2001 to 2005, relations between the United States and Uzbekistan were relatively robust,
and focused heavily on security cooperation related to U.S.-led military operations in
Afghanistan. In 2002, during a visit by then-President Karimov to Washington, DC, the two
countries signed a Declaration of Strategic Partnership and Cooperation. U.S.-Uzbekistan
relations experienced a severe downturn in 2005, after government forces killed over 100
unarmed civilians during unrest in the eastern city of Andijon. The government responded to
foreign criticism by expelling numerous international NGOs and media organizations, ending the
Peace Corps program, and demanding the withdrawal of U.S. forces stationed at the Karshi-
Khanabad Air Base in support of military operations in Afghanistan.53 Uzbekistan continued to
provide logistical support for NATO forces in Afghanistan by allowing the transit of non-lethal
shipments through its territory as part of the Northern Distribution Network, established in 2009.
From 2013 to 2017, the NATO Liaison Officer for Central Asia was based in Uzbekistan.54 Since
2012, Uzbekistan has partnered with Mississippi through the National Guard’s State Partnership
Program, developing military-to-military contacts and participating in training in areas such as
counterterrorism and disaster preparedness.
46 The White House, “Remarks by President Trump and President Mirziyoyev of Uzbekistan Before Bilateral
Meeting,” May 16, 2018.
47 U.S. Department of State, “Secretary Antony J. Blinken at a Press Availability,” March 1, 2023.
48 U.S. Department of State, Integrated Country Strategy: Uzbekistan, April 12, 2022.
49 U.S. Department of State, Integrated Country Strategy: Uzbekistan, April 12, 2022.
50 Navbahor Imamova, “Uzbekistan Faces Choice Between Closer Ties to US, Russia,” Voice of America, December 1,
2019.
51 U.S. Department of State, “Joint Statement on the C5+1 Ministerial in Astana,” March 9, 2023.
52 The White House, “Readout of President Biden’s Meeting with the C5+1 Leaders at UNGA,” September 19, 2023.
53 OSCE ODIHR, Preliminary Findings on the Events in Andijan, Uzbekistan, May 13, 2005.
54 North Atlantic Treaty Organization, “Office of the NATO Liaison Officer (NLO) in Central Asia (Archived),” May
23, 2017.
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In advance of the withdrawal of U.S. and allied forces from Afghanistan in 2021, the Biden
Administration reportedly considered whether the United States should seek to reestablish basing
arrangements with Uzbekistan or other Central Asian countries.55 Some analysts dismissed
prospects for such agreements as “doubtful” given likely opposition from China and Russia, and
the unpopularity of hosting foreign military facilities among the Uzbek public.56 Other analysts
argued that technical assistance, border security, information sharing, and training would be more
effective avenues for expanding U.S. security engagement with Central Asian countries.57 In a
June 2022 press interview, Uzbekistan’s Special Representative for Afghanistan stated, “In regard
to the question of fighting international terrorism, we are partners of the United States,” but
noted, “our military doctrine is that Uzbekistan cannot be part of any military-political blocs. […]
We cannot accept that any military bases or military infrastructure be located on our territory.”58
U.S.-Uzbekistan Trade
The value of bilateral trade between the United States and Uzbekistan more than doubled from
2017 to 2018, from approximately $150 million to $315 million, and reached $540 million in
2019.59 After falling to $277 million in 2020 because of trade disruptions caused by the COVID-
19 pandemic, trade between the United States and Uzbekistan grew to $424.6 million in 2021.60
Trade relations between the United States and Uzbekistan are governed by Section 402 of the
Trade Act of 1974 (P.L. 93-618), the so-called Jackson-Vanik amendment, which denies normal
trade relations (NTR) status to some current and former nonmarket economy countries unless
they adhere to certain freedom-of-emigration requirements (see “Issues for Congress” below).
U.S. Foreign Assistance to Uzbekistan
U.S. foreign assistance to Uzbekistan currently aims to support the country’s reform efforts while
addressing the ongoing consequences in Uzbekistan of sanctions imposed on Russia (see
“Relations with Russia and Implications of the War in Ukraine” below) and the expanding
influence of China by reducing Uzbekistan’s reliance on Russian and Chinese markets. Assistance
to Uzbekistan also includes support for nonproliferation activities and public health programs
aimed at combatting global infectious disease threats, as well as support for efforts to expand civil
society, strengthen journalistic professionalism, increase judicial independence and
professionalism, and develop governance capacity. Aid also is intended to bolster Uzbekistan’s
border security and counterterrorism capabilities. The State Department requested $49 million in
assistance to Uzbekistan in FY2024, roughly level with the FY2023 request ($48.9 million) and
the FY2022 allocation ($47.2 million).61
55 Vivian Salama and Gordon Lubold, “Afghan Pullout Leaves U.S. Looking for Other Places to Station Its Troops,”
Wall Street Journal, May 8, 2021; Bruce Pannier, “Will Central Asia Host U.S. Military Forces Once Again?,”
RFE/RL, April 23, 2021.
56 Temur Umarov, “Is There a Place for a U.S. Military Base in Central Asia?,” Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace, April 6, 2021.
57 Jeffrey Mankoff and Cyrus Newlin, “Don’t Base U.S. Forces in Central Asia,” War on the Rocks, June 23, 2021.
58 Karoun Demirjian, “U.S. Works to Scale Up Intelligence Networks in Central Asia,” Washington Post, June 21,
2022.
59 Office of the United States Trade Representative, “Uzbekistan,” October 2, 2020.
60 U.S. Department of Commerce, Uzbekistan—Country Commercial Guide, July 8, 2022.
61 U.S. Department of State, Congressional Budget Justification: Foreign Operations, Fiscal Year 2023, Appendix 2,
pp. 187, 339, 647, and Supplementary Tables.
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Table 2. U.S. Foreign Assistance to Uzbekistan
($ in thousands)
Account
FY2022 allocation
FY2023 allocation
FY2024 request
Assistance to Europe, Eurasia, and Central
31,400
31,400
32,000
Asia
Global Health Programs—USAID
10,000
12,000
11,500
International Military Education and
318
1,000
500
Training
International Narcotics Control and Law
5,000
5,000
5,000
Enforcement
Nonproliferation, Anti-terrorism,
500
500
—
Demining, and Related Programs
Total
47,218
49,900
49,000
Source: U.S. Department of State, FY2024 and FY2023 Congressional Budget Justifications and other State
Department budget documents.
Regional Relations
Upon assuming power, President Mirziyoyev embarked on a “good neighbor” policy, reengaging
with the region and declaring Central Asia to be Uzbekistan’s main foreign policy priority.62 This
is a significant shift, as Uzbekistan under Karimov represented “an obstacle to regional
integration” and “a knot at the heart of the region,” in the assessment of one longtime observer,
due to tense relations with neighboring countries.63 Mirziyoyev has emphasized “good-
neighborliness” as a guiding principle of his government’s approach to regional issues.64
According to the U.S. State Department, this change in Uzbekistan’s foreign policy after the
country’s 2016 leadership transition encouraged regional connectivity.65 Uzbekistan has moved to
normalize and improve previously strained relations with its Central Asian neighbors, resolving
border disputes with Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan and engaging in increased regional outreach.
Uzbekistan’s government eased visa restrictions and opened border crossings. In 2018, a meeting
between Central Asia’s heads of state took place for the first time in nine years. The summit, held
in Kazakhstan, was initiated by Mirziyoyev. Then-U.S. Ambassador to Uzbekistan Daniel
Rosenblum was later quoted in the press as crediting President Mirziyoyev with “dramatically
changing the tenor of relations in the region from mutual suspicion to mutual cooperation.”66
Relations with Afghanistan
Under President Mirziyoyev, the government of Uzbekistan sought to position itself as an
intermediary between the Taliban and the government of Afghanistan’s then-President Ashraf
62 “Central Asia—The Main Priority of Uzbekistan’s Foreign Policy,” O’zbekiston Miliy Axborot Agentligi, August 12,
2017.
63 Bruce Pannier, “Uzbekistan: The Suddenly Good Neighbor,” RFE/RL, October 4, 2016.
64 The Permanent Mission of the Republic of Uzbekistan to the United Nations, “Address by H.E. Mr. Shavkat
Mirziyoyev, the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan at the UNGA-72,” September 19, 2017.
65 U.S. Department of State, Integrated Country Strategy: Uzbekistan, August 3, 2018.
66 Navbahor Imamova, “Analysis: Will Uzbekistan’s Champion of Reform Stay the Course?” Voice of America, August
30, 2020.
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Ghani, in line with Uzbekistan’s stated aim of facilitating intra-Afghan peace talks.67 Since the
August 2021 collapse of Afghanistan’s government, Uzbekistan has pursued high-level
engagement with the Taliban, while maintaining that Uzbekistan will not extend recognition to
the Taliban government before the international community does.68 Some analysts describe
Uzbekistan’s stance toward the Taliban as pragmatic, with the priority of ensuring Uzbekistan’s
security.69 Uzbek officials describe the Taliban as “a reality that must be accepted.”70 Although
the Taliban have stated that they will not allow the territory of Afghanistan to be used to launch
attacks on Central Asian countries, Uzbekistan has faced multiple missile strikes from the
territory of Afghanistan since August 2021, at least some of which have been claimed by
extremists affiliated with the Islamic State (IS).71
Uzbekistan has become a hub for the delivery of international humanitarian aid to Afghanistan
thanks to its overland transportation links.72 Afghanistan imports the majority of its electricity,
and Uzbekistan is its main supplier. Due at least in part to international sanctions on the Taliban,
Uzbekistan has had difficulty collecting payment for electricity exports.73 In August 2022,
Uzbekistan’s Ministry of Energy announced that Afghanistan’s national power utility had paid its
approximately $70 million debt for 2021 and was paying current bills on time.74 Uzbekistan
reduced supplies of electricity to Afghanistan in December 2022 in light of its domestic energy
crisis. Uzbekistan and Taliban authorities concluded a new agreement on electricity exports to
Afghanistan in January 2023.75 Taliban plans to complete the Qosh Tepa canal, a project that
would divert as much as a third of the water from the Amu Darya River—which runs along
Afghanistan’s border with Uzbekistan and on which the latter depends for agricultural
irrigation—may threaten regional water security and strain relations in coming years.76
As the Afghan government fell in August 2021, a reported 46 aircraft from the Afghan Air Force
crossed into Uzbekistan, carrying some 500 people.77 The government of Uzbekistan, reportedly
67 James Durso, “Uzbekistan’s Role in Afghan Reconciliation,” The Diplomat, August 18, 2020; Umida Hashimova,
“What Is Uzbekistan’s Role in the Afghan Peace Process?” The Diplomat, March 11, 2019.
68 Navbahor Imamova, “Uzbekistan Seeks to Engage Taliban Without Alienating West,” VOA, May 4, 2022.
69 See, for example, Henry Foy, “Taliban Takeover Turns Uzbekistan into Powerbroker,” Financial Times, September
9, 2021; Muhammad Tahir, “Majlis Podcast: Uzbekistan Walks the Tightrope in Its Policies Toward Afghanistan,”
RFE/RL, September 5, 2021; Gavin Helf and Barmak Pazhwak, “Central Asia Prepares for Taliban Takeover,” United
States Institute of Peace, July 20, 2021.
70 Navbahor Imamova, “Uzbekistan Seeks to Engage Taliban Without Alienating West,” VOA, May 4, 2022.
71 “Uzbekistan Says Missiles Fired from Afghanistan Damaged Houses,” RFE/RL, July 5, 2022; Ayaz Gul, “Islamic
State Khorasan Claims Rocket Attack on Uzbekistan,” Voice of America, April 18, 2022; Bruce Pannier, Northern
Afghanistan and the New Threat to Central Asia, Foreign Policy Research Institute, May 2022.
72 “Uzbek Border City Becomes Hub for Afghan Aid,” Eurasianet, October 14, 2021; Iona Allan, “Uzbekistan Steps
Up to Support Neighbor Afghanistan At Critical Humanitarian Juncture,” United Nations Sustainable Development
Group, May 31, 2022; “UNHCR and Uzbekistan Provide Winter Assistance for Afghanistan,” UNHCR, February 8,
2023.
73 Joanna Lillis, “Afghanistan in Hock to Uzbekistan and Tajikistan for Electricity,” Eurasianet, May 19, 2022.
74 Joanna Lillis, “Afghanistan Pays Electricity Debts to Uzbekistan but Still Owes Tajikistan,” Eurasianet, August 2,
2022.
75 Catherine Putz, “Afghanistan, Uzbekistan Settle New Electricity Agreement amid Winter Shortages,” The Diplomat,
January 4, 2023.
76 Niginakhon Saida, “The Taliban’s New Canal Threatens Water Security in Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan,” The
Diplomat, July 5, 2023.
77 Catherine Putz, “Afghan Forces Flee, Fly to Central Asia,” The Diplomat, August 17, 2021; Siobhan Hughes and
Jessica Donati, “Uzbekistan Warns U.S. That Afghan Pilots and Their Families Can’t Stay,” Wall Street Journal,
August 30, 2021; Jessica Donati and Siobhan Hughes, “Afghan Pilots Who Sought Safety in Uzbekistan Begin U.S.
Transfer Under New Agreement,” Wall Street Journal, September 13, 2021.
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facing pressure from the Taliban to return the personnel and their aircraft to Afghanistan,
requested that the United States relocate them.78 In September 2021, those Afghan personnel were
transferred from Uzbekistan to a U.S. base in the United Arab Emirates.79 Uzbek officials have
since stated that they consider the aircraft to be U.S. property and have no intention of
transferring them to the Taliban.80 The United States is reportedly considering transferring the
aircraft to Uzbekistan in return for counterterrorism assistance.81
Terrorism and Violent Extremism
Terrorist attacks within Uzbekistan are rare, but Uzbek nationals have been involved in
international terrorist activity. Government crackdowns drove domestic Islamist extremist groups
out of the country in the 1990s, and some Uzbek militants allied themselves with the Taliban, Al
Qaeda, or IS in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Although other Uzbek nationals have been involved in
terrorist attacks abroad, analysts assess that the radicalization of these individuals occurred
primarily abroad, often linked to their experiences of discrimination and marginalization as labor
migrants in Russia.82 In 2017, a U.S. permanent resident from Uzbekistan who pledged allegiance
to IS killed eight people in a vehicular attack in New York. About 1,500 Uzbek nationals travelled
to Syria and Iraq to fight for IS; including women and children, the total estimated number of
Uzbek citizens associated with IS is 3,000.83 Uzbekistan was among the first countries to
undertake a large-scale repatriation and rehabilitation effort for its IS-affiliated nationals, bringing
back over 500 women and children between 2019 and 2021. The United States provided logistical
support for some of Uzbekistan’s repatriation operations, and the U.S.-funded United States
Institute of Peace is supporting rehabilitation programs for repatriated individuals throughout
Central Asia. Uzbek foreign fighters remain an international concern due to their ongoing
participation in armed groups active in Afghanistan, particularly the IS-affiliated Islamic State
Khorasan Province (ISKP).84 In the wake of the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, ISKP has
reportedly increased the production and dissemination of propaganda and recruitment materials
targeting Uzbekistan.85
78 Phil Stewart, “Afghan Pilots Start Leaving Uzbekistan for UAE, Despite Taliban Pressure—Source,” Reuters,
September 12, 2021; Siobhan Hughes and Jessica Donati, “Uzbekistan Warns U.S. That Afghan Pilots and Their
Families Can’t Stay,” Wall Street Journal, August 30, 2021.
79 Jessica Donati and Siobhan Hughes, “Afghan Pilots Who Sought Safety in Uzbekistan Begin U.S. Transfer Under
New Agreement,” Wall Street Journal, September 13, 2021.
80 Navbahor Imamova and Jeff Seldin, “Uzbeks Say Aircraft Flown from Afghanistan Are US Property,” VOA, April
29, 2022.
81 Lara Seligman, “U.S. Looks to Trade Former Afghan Aircraft for Counterterrorism Help in Central Asia,” Politico,
September 19, 2022.
82 Noah Tucker, Central Asian Involvement in the Conflict in Syria and Iraq: Drivers and Responses, USAID, May 4,
2015; Thomas F. Lynch III et al., The Return of Foreign Fighters to Central Asia: Implications for U.S.
Counterterrorism Policy, Institute for National Strategic Studies, October 2016.
83 Elena Zhirukhina, “Foreign Fighters from Central Asia: Between Renunciation and Repatriation,” Istituto Per Gli
Studi Di Politica Internazionale, October 3, 2019; Maksim Eniseev, “V Uzbekistane nachalas’ reabilitatsiia pribyvshikh
iz Sirii ‘zhertv obmana,’” Caravanserai, June 11, 2019.
84 U.N. Security Council, Sixteenth Report of the Secretary-General on the Threat Posed by ISIL (Da'esh) to
International Peace and Security and the Range of United Nations Efforts in Support of Member States in Countering
the Threat, S/2023/76, February 1, 2023; Lucas Webber and Bruce Pannier, “The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan’s
Enduring Influence on IS-Khurasan,” Global Network on Extremism and Technology, March 3, 2023.
85 Lucas Webber and Riccardo Valle, “Islamic State in Afghanistan Seeks to Recruit Uzbeks, Tajiks, Kyrgyz,”
Eurasianet, March 17, 2022; Lucas Webber and Bruce Pannier, “The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan’s Enduring
Influence on IS-Khurasan,” Global Network on Extremism & Technology, March 3, 2023.
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Relations with Russia and Implications of the War in Ukraine
Since Russia’s renewed invasion of Ukraine began on February 24, 2022, the government of
Uzbekistan has avoided endorsing Russian aggression and has expressed support for Ukraine’s
territorial integrity.86 On February 26, 2022, following a phone call between Russian President
Vladimir Putin and President Mirziyoyev, the latter’s spokesman emphasized Uzbekistan’s
“balanced, neutral position,” adding, “Our country traditionally has close, friendly relations with
both Russia and Ukraine. We are interested in ensuring peace, stability and sustainable
development in our vast region.”87 In a March 17, 2022, speech to Uzbekistan’s parliament, then-
Foreign Minister Abdulaziz Kamilov stated, “The Republic of Uzbekistan recognizes Ukraine’s
independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity. We do not recognize the Luhansk and
Donetsk republics,” adding that, “taking into account its national interests,” Uzbekistan would
continue mutual cooperation with both Russia and Ukraine.88 At the United Nations, Uzbekistan
did not cast a vote on the March 2, 2022, resolution condemning Russia’s invasion and abstained
on subsequent resolutions related to the war.89 Some analysts see the fact that Uzbekistan and its
Central Asian neighbors did not side with Russia as signaling disapproval of Russia’s actions,
even if these countries did not vote for the resolutions.90 Uzbekistan has sent multiple shipments
of humanitarian aid to Ukraine. In advance of a March 9, 2022, meeting with Kamilov, Secretary
of State Antony Blinken noted that the United States “very much welcome[s] the strong
humanitarian support that you’ve been providing to the Afghans on one hand and now Ukrainians
on the other.”91
Uzbekistan is less economically dependent on Russia than are some of its Central Asian
neighbors, but it still has significant ties to Russia, rendering it vulnerable to economic fallout
from the conflict in Ukraine and related sanctions. Russia was Uzbekistan’s top trading partner in
2021, and has historically served as the primary route for Uzbek exports to reach global markets
(a legacy of imperial Russian and Soviet-era railroad networks). As a result, international
sanctions on Russia “nearly paralyzed” Uzbek trade in the early days of the conflict.92 According
to Russian government figures, there were more than 4.5 million labor migrants from Uzbekistan
registered in Russia in 2021.93 The World Bank initially projected that remittances to Central Asia
would decline sharply in 2022 as a result of the war; it now estimates that remittances from
Russia reached record highs in that year, due in part to increased demand for labor and to the
86 See also CRS Report R47591, Central Asia: Implications of Russia’s War in Ukraine, coordinated by Maria A.
Blackwood.
87 “Spokesperson for the President Clarifies Uzbekistan’s Position on Russian-Ukrainian Conflict,” Kun.uz, February
26, 2022.
88 “In Break with Moscow, Uzbeks Won’t Recognize Separatist ‘Republics’ in Ukraine,” RFE/RL, March 17, 2022.
89 On A/RES/ES-11/1, “Aggression against Ukraine,” Uzbekistan did not vote. On A/RES/ES-11/2, “Humanitarian
consequences of the aggression against Ukraine,” A/RES/ES-11/4, “Territorial integrity of Ukraine: Defending the
principles of the Charter of the United Nations,” A/RES/ES-11/5, “Furtherance of remedy and reparation for aggression
against Ukraine,” and A/RES/ES-11/6, “Principles of the Charter of the United Nations underlying a comprehensive,
just and lasting peace in Ukraine,” Uzbekistan abstained.
90 Paul Stronski, “The Common Theme in Central Asia’s Response to Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine,” Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace, March 30, 2022; Johan Engvall, “Central Asia Moves Beyond Russia,” Current
History (October 2023), p. 263.
91 U.S. Department of State, “Secretary Antony J. Blinken and Uzbekistan Foreign Minister Abdulaziz Kamilov Before
Their Meeting,” March 9, 2022.
92 Sophia Nina Burna-Asefi, “Uzbekistan Looks South for New Trade Routes,” The Diplomat, April 1, 2022.
93 Farangis Najibullah, “Central Asia Takes Economic Hit from Russian War in Ukraine Sooner Than Expected,”
RFE/RL, March 1, 2022.
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Russian ruble’s appreciation against the U.S. dollar.94 At the same time, the cost of sending
remittances from Russia has increased significantly due to international sanctions.95 Labor
migrants from Uzbekistan are increasingly seeking alternative destinations, such as Kazakhstan
and the United Kingdom.96
In June 2022, the U.S. Department of Commerce included Uzbekistan on a list of countries that
serve as “common transshipment points through which restricted or controlled exports have been
known to pass before reaching destinations in Russia or Belarus.”97 The State Department
concurrently designated an Uzbekistan-based company for “actively support[ing]” efforts by a
Russian entity specializing in procuring foreign items for Russia’s defense industry to evade U.S.
sanctions.98 Alisher Usmanov, an Uzbekistan-born Russian billionaire, was designated by the U.S.
Department of the Treasury in March 2022 for his involvement in the technology sector of the
Russian economy.99 Usmanov reportedly maintains close ties with Uzbekistan’s government.100 In
April 2023, Treasury revoked the general license that had authorized transactions involving
entities in which Usmanov holds at least a 50% stake and that are not included on Treasury’s
Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List; Treasury also designated a number of
entities and individuals tied to Usmanov.101 The State Department concurrently designated a
number of companies tied to Usmanov, including an Uzbekistan-based cement producer.102 Also
in April 2023, the Department of Commerce added two Uzbekistan-based companies to the Entity
List, imposing export restrictions on transactions involving those companies.103
Relations with China
While Russia has traditionally been Uzbekistan’s main trade partner, China has expanded its
economic presence in recent years and took the top spot from 2015 to 2020. In 2021,
Uzbekistan’s bilateral trade with Russia and China equaled $7.5 billion and $7.4 billion,
94 Dilip Ratha et al., “Remittances Brave Global Headwinds,” World Bank Migration and Development Brief 37,
November 2022, pp. 7, 32; Dilip Ratha and Eung Ju Kim, “Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Implications for Remittance Flows
to Ukraine and Central Asia,” KNOMAD Policy Brief 17, March 4, 2022, p. 3.
95 World Bank, Global Economic Prospects, June 2023, p. 63.
96 Sher Khashimov, “By Sending Migrants to Ukraine, the Kremlin Is Damaging Ties with Central Asia,” Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace, March 31, 2023; Farangis Najibullah, “Happy to Be in Britain, Central Asian
Migrants Want More Work to Cover Expenses,” RFE/RL, August 20, 2022; Farangis Najibullah, “Central Asian
Migrant Workers Choosing Kazakhstan over Russia Despite Lower Pay,” RFE/RL, June 3, 2021.
97 U.S. Treasury, Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, “FinCEN and the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau
of Industry and Security Urge Increased Vigilance for Potential Russian and Belarusian Export Control Evasion
Attempts,” June 28, 2022.
98 U.S. Department of State, “Targeting Russia’s War Machine, Sanctions Evaders, Military Units Credibly Implicated
in Human Rights Abuses, and Russian Federation Officials Involved in Suppression of Dissent,” June 28, 2022.
99 U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Treasury Sanctions Russians Bankrolling Putin and Russia-Backed Influence
Actors,” March 3, 2022.
100 Catherine Putz, “New Ukraine Sanctions Target Business Interests of Russian-Uzbek Billionaire Usmanov,” The
Diplomat, April 14, 2023.
101 U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Treasury Targets Russian Financial Facilitators and Sanctions Evaders Around
the World,” April 12, 2023.
102 U.S. Department of State, “Further Curbing Russia’s Efforts to Evade Sanctions and Perpetuate Its War against
Ukraine,” April 12, 2023.
103 Department of Commerce, “Additions and Revisions of Entities to the Entity List,” 88 Federal Register 23332-
23340, April 17, 2023. On the Entity List, see CRS In Focus IF11154, Export Controls: Key Challenges, by
Christopher A. Casey.
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respectively.104 Some analysts have speculated that China’s economic engagement with
Uzbekistan will increase in the wake of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan and Russia’s
aggression in Ukraine, particularly as landlocked Uzbekistan seeks to expand its access to global
trade routes.105 China’s President Xi Jinping traveled to Uzbekistan in September 2022 as part of
his first foreign trip since January 2020. During the trip, Xi indicated China’s willingness to
strengthen cooperation within the “China+Central Asia” (“C+C5”) mechanism. In May 2023,
China held the first in-person C+C5 Summit in Xi’an, China, bringing together Xi and the five
Central Asian Presidents.106 Some observers see the summit as evidence that China is increasingly
challenging Russia’s influence in Central Asia in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.107
Issues for Congress
Trade
U.S. trade with Uzbekistan is governed by Section 402 of the Trade Act of 1974 (P.L. 93-618), the
so-called Jackson-Vanik amendment. This section denies normal trade relations (NTR) status to
some current and former nonmarket economy countries unless they adhere to certain freedom-of-
emigration requirements. These requirements were initially aimed at promoting free emigration
from the Soviet Union and were prompted by Soviet restrictions on Jewish emigration. Since
1992, Uzbekistan has received temporary NTR status under a provision of the amendment that
allows the President to extend NTR status to a country affected by the amendment by determining
that the country is not in violation of the amendment’s provisions, subject to annual review. A
complete lifting of the Jackson-Vanik requirements would require Congress to pass relevant
legislation.108 Legislation that would have exempted Uzbekistan was introduced in previous
Congresses but did not make it out of committee.109 The Biden Administration supports lifting
Jackson-Vanik for Uzbekistan.110 H.R. 1755, introduced in the 118th Congress, would authorize
104 Sophia Nina Burna-Asefi, “China and Uzbekistan: An Emerging Development Partnership?” The Diplomat, May
13, 2022.
105 Bradley Jardine, “Russia’s War in Ukraine Spells Disaster for Neighboring Central Asia,” Time, March 10, 2022;
Joanna Lillis, “Uzbekistan Confirms Plan to Sign Deal on New Railroad from China,” Eurasianet, August 3, 2022.
106 Foreign Ministry of the PRC,“外交部长秦刚就中国外交政策和对外关系回答中外记者提问” (“Foreign Minister
Qin Gang Answers Questions from Chinese and Foreign Journalists on China’s Foreign Policy and External
Relations”), March 7, 2023. Xi and his Central Asian counterparts attended a virtual summit in 2022 marking the 30th
anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and the five Central Asian countries.
107 “Xi Invites C. Asian Leaders to First Summit in China,” Agence France Presse, March 21, 2023.
108 Congress has passed legislation authorizing the President to determine that Jackson-Vanik should no longer apply to
Albania, Armenia, Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, Georgia, Hungary, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Mongolia, the PRC, Romania,
Russia, Ukraine, and Vietnam; those countries (and, in the case of Czechoslovakia, its successor states) all received
permanent NTR (PNTR) status. Jackson-Vanik applied de facto to Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania as constituent
republics of the Soviet Union. Because the United States did not recognize their forcible incorporation into the USSR
during World War II, Congress terminated the applicability of Jackson-Vanik to these three countries after the
restoration of their independence in 1991. Russia’s NTR status was suspended in response to the 2022 invasion of
Ukraine. See 19 U.S.C. §2434. The Jackson-Vanik Amendment continues to apply to Uzbekistan, and its Central Asian
neighbors Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan, as well as Azerbaijan, Belarus, Cuba, and North Korea. Like
Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan receive conditional NTR status, subject to annual
review. Belarus previously received temporary NTR status under the waiver provision, but it was suspended in
response to Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Cuba and North Korea do not receive NTR status.
109 These bills include 117th Congress: H.R. 1913, H.R. 9322; 114th Congress: H.R. 3400; 107th Congress: H.R. 3979.
110 “Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on Near East, South Asia, Central Asia, and Counterterrorism Holds
Hearing on Central Asia,” Congressional Quarterly, March 8, 2023.
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the President to determine that Jackson-Vanik should no longer apply to Uzbekistan and to extend
permanent normal trade relations to that country.
The Biden Administration seeks to address the economic impacts in Central Asia of the war in
Ukraine through the Economic Resilience in Central Asia Initiative (ERICEN), launched in
September 2022. Using $50 million in FY2022 and FY2023 funding, ERICEN aims to diversify
trade routes, increase shipping capacity, and enhance trans-Caspian infrastructure, in addition to
bolstering the private sector (including by facilitating the movement of Western multinational
companies to Central Asia) and providing training and education opportunities.111 In the
assessment of one analyst, despite its small scale, “ERICEN lays the groundwork for prosperous
trade relations and business partnerships” and “can emphasize U.S. comparative advantages in
terms of international standards that bring greater long-term benefits” as compared to Chinese
investment.112 Others have criticized ERICEN as too modest in size, with one scholar terming it
“not a very serious gesture” due to the fact that “$50 million is insignificant compared to what
other powers are bringing in.”113 Congress could consider whether to appropriate additional
funding for the initiative. Some Members of Congress have expressed interest in expanding U.S.
economic engagement with Uzbekistan, and assisting Uzbekistan in diversifying its trade
relationships away from Russia.114
Human Rights
Some Members of Congress have noted Uzbekistan’s progress on human rights since 2016. For
example, Senator Bob Menendez named Uzbekistan’s successful efforts to eradicate forced labor
in the cotton industry as an example illustrating that “respect for human rights is not only a moral
imperative but will create an environment more conducive to economic investment and
prosperity.”115 At the same time, some Members of Congress have drawn attention to ongoing
human rights concerns in Uzbekistan, including the criminalization of homosexuality, violence
against protestors in Karakalpakstan, limits on free speech and media freedoms, and the lack of
substantial progress toward political liberalization.116
Security Cooperation
In March 2023 testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on the Near East,
South Asia, Central Asia, and Counterterrorism, Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central
Asia Donald Lu stated that the war in Ukraine has created new opportunities for security
cooperation between the United States and Central Asia, noting Central Asian countries’ desires
111 U.S. Department of State, “Economic Resilience in Central Asia Initiative,” February 28, 2023.
112 Haley Nelson, “The U.S. Confronts China’s Long Game in Central Asia: How the U.S. Is Addressing the
Implications of China’s BRI,” Caspian Policy Center, March 6, 2023.
113 Navbahor Imamova, “Blinken’s Central Asia Visit Raises Questions on US Role, Assistance,” VOA News, March 2,
2023.
114 See, for example, “House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Middle East, North Africa and Central Asia Holds
Hearing on Fiscal Year 2024 Budget for South and Central Asian Affairs,” CQ Congressional Transcripts, July 13,
2023.
115 “Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on Near East, South Asia, Central Asia and Counterterrorism Holds
Hearing on Pending Nominations,” CQ Congressional Transcripts, March 15, 2023.
116 “Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on Near East, South Asia, Central Asia, and Counterterrorism Holds
Hearing on Central Asia,” CQ Congressional Transcripts, March 8, 2023; “House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on
Asia, the Pacific, Central Asia and Nonproliferation Holds Hearing on US Engagement in Central Asia,” CQ
Congressional Transcripts, September 14, 2022; Senate Foreign Relations Committee, “Chairman Menendez, Senate
Dems Call for Heightened Focus on Human Rights at Upcoming Dialogue with Uzbekistan,” December 6, 2021.
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to diversify the sourcing of their defense equipment away from Russia as well as the success of
the National Guard’s State Partnership Program in the region.117 Some scholars and U.S. officials
have identified training and professional military education as areas of opportunity for expanding
security cooperation between the United States and Central Asian countries.118
Proposed versions of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024, S. 2226 and
H.R. 2670, passed in the Senate and the House, respectively, would authorize support to the
government of Uzbekistan “for purposes of supporting and enhancing efforts of the armed forces
of Uzbekistan to increase security and sustain increased security along the border of Uzbekistan
and Afghanistan.”
Energy
Promoting energy security within Central Asia, including by supporting a transition to renewable
energy sources, is a stated goal of U.S. policy in the region.119 Congress could consider whether
existing programs are effective, and whether and how they should potentially be expanded.
Although it is a gas producer, Uzbekistan has experienced domestic energy crises in recent
winters due to increased domestic demand combined with infrastructural deficiencies. In May
2023, a Pennsylvania-based company signed a $1 billion investment agreement with Uzbekistan
to acquire and operate a natural gas processing facility in the country.120 In October 2023,
Uzbekistan began importing natural gas from Russia for the first time, a measure geared toward
alleviating winter energy shortages.121
The U.S. Department of Commerce describes renewable technologies and grid modernization
projects as areas of opportunity for U.S. companies in Uzbekistan.122 In the assessment of the
International Energy Agency, “Uzbekistan’s considerable [renewable energy source] potential
could spur significant development of a green, environmentally friendly economy.”123
Uzbekistan’s solar energy potential is estimated at almost four times the country’s primary energy
consumption.124 In 2021, the government of Uzbekistan declared its commitment to reaching a
117 Ibid.
118 Erica Marat, “China’s Expanding Military Education Diplomacy in Central Asia,” PONARS Eurasia, April 19,
2021; Karoun Demirjian, “U.S. Works to Scale Up Intelligence Networks in Central Asia,” The Washington Post, June
21, 2022.
119 See, for example, U.S. Department of State, Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, “United States Strategy for
Central Asia 2019-2025: Advancing Sovereignty and Economic Prosperity (Overview),” February 5, 2020, and U.S.
Agency for International Development, “USAID Power Central Asia,” at https://www.usaid.gov/central-asia-regional/
fact-sheets/usaid-power-central-asia.
120 “Air Products Signs $1 Billion Deal for Processing Facility in Uzbekistan,” Reuters, May 25, 2023; Air Products,
“Air Products to Acquire, Own and Operate Industrial Gas Complex at Uzbekneftegaz’s Advanced Gas-to-Liquids
Facility in Uzbekistan for US$1 Billion,” press release, May 25, 2023.
121 Vladimir Afanasiev, “Russia Begins Exporting Gas to Uzbekistan in Drive to Expand Regional Influence,”
Upstream, October 9, 2023; Bruce Pannier, “Central Asia in Focus: Russia Starts Shipping Gas to Uzbekistan,”
RFE/RL, October 11, 2023.
122 U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration, “Uzbekistan—Renewable Energy,” available at
https://www.trade.gov/energy-resource-guide-uzbekistan-renewable-energy.
123 International Energy Agency, Uzbekistan Energy Profile, April 2020.
124 Ibid.
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renewable energy target of 25% by 2030, and Uzbekistan has initiated solar energy projects with
Chinese, European, and Gulf investors.125
Regional Connectivity
Promoting regional connectivity has long been a U.S. policy priority in Central Asia, and the
United States has funded projects promoting regional cooperation in a range of areas. Since 2015,
U.S. bilateral relationships in the region have been complemented by the C5+1 diplomatic
platform, which provides a forum for the United States and the five Central Asian countries to
address common challenges they face in areas such as security, economic connectivity, and
environmental vulnerabilities. Uzbekistan’s Ambassador in Washington stated, “the U.S. has
played a significant role in promoting dialogue and cooperation among the Central Asian nations
through initiatives such as the C5+1,” adding, “we encourage the U.S. to bolster this
mechanism.”126
Some analysts suggest that regional connectivity in Central Asia has taken on added significance
in light of the war in Ukraine. In his March 2023 testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations
Subcommittee on the Near East, South Asia, Central Asia, and Counterterrorism, Assistant
Secretary of State for South and Central Asia Donald Lu stated that furthering regional
connectivity would grant Central Asian countries “options that enable them to stand firm in the
face of malign influence.”127 For instance, in this view, greater regional connectivity could bolster
Central Asia’s energy security and decrease its dependence on Russian natural gas, as well as
facilitate trade via routes that bypass Russia. Congress could consider how Central Asian regional
connectivity aligns with broader U.S. interests in light of the war, and how U.S. programs could
support connectivity within Central Asia in a new geopolitical context. Congress could consider,
for instance, whether or not to appropriate additional funding for the Biden Administration’s
ERICEN initiative in order to bolster connectivity within Central Asia.
Author Information
Maria A. Blackwood
Analyst in Asian Policy
125 Niva Yau, “Chinese Solar Investments in Central Asia: A Snapshot,” Eurasianet, October 15, 2020; Asian
Development Bank, “ADB, MASDAR to Unlock Uzbekistan’s Renewable Power Potential with 3 New Solar Power
Plants,” April 6, 2023.
126 Navbahor Imamova, “Central Asia Diplomats Call for Closer Ties with US,” Voice of America, June 25, 2023.
127 “Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee on Near East, South Asia, Central Asia, and Counterterrorism Holds
Hearing on Central Asia,” Congressional Quarterly, March 8, 2023.
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Congressional Research Service
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