Confirmation of U.S. Circuit and District Court 
September 18, 2020 
Nominations During Presidential Election 
Barry  J. McMillion 
Years: Frequently Asked Questions 
Analyst in American 
National Government 
This report provides data and analysis related to frequently asked questions about the 
  
confirmation of U.S. circuit and district court nominations during presidential election ye ars. 
Senators with different political views have at different times have spoken of their expectations 
 
of a potential drop-off in the confirmation of lower federal court nominees occurring earlier in 
presidential election years than in other years (and, consequently, the expectation that fewer such nominees would be 
confirmed in presidential election years). There is, however, no written Senate or Judiciary Committee rule concerning the 
processing of judicial nominations during presidential election years, and the volume and timing of the processing of such 
nominations has varied over time. 
Senate interest in the confirmation of judicial nominees during presidential election years reflects, in part, the possibility that 
an election may produce partisan turnover in the presidential office even as a President’s judicial nominees, if confirmed, are 
appointed to serve on the federal bench “during good Behaviour” (potentially life terms, barring impeachment and removal 
by Congress). Consequently, if there is partisan turnover in the presidential office, an incoming President may have fewer 
opportunities to appoint individuals to these positions if more nominations are confirmed during a presidential election year. 
One theme discussed throughout this report is the influence of unified and divided party control in the confirmation of lower 
federal court nominees in presidential election years, as well as in other years. Unified party control occurs when the party 
affiliation of a President is the same as the majority party in the Senate. Conversely, divided party control occurs when the 
partisan affiliation of a President is different than the majority party in the Senate. In general, whether unified or divided 
party control exists during a given year likely influences the number and percentage of circuit and district court nominees 
confirmed during that same year. Unified and divided party control does not, however, explain all of the statistics presented 
in this report. For example, the greatest number of U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed during a presidential election year 
since 1980 was in 1992 (a year in which there was divided party control). 
The report includes data from presidential election years and other years during the period 1977 to 2016 (i.e., from the Carter 
presidency through the Obama presidency). When relevant, data are also presented for the 2017 to 2020 period. Analysis of 
past data is not presented as being predictive of future activity by the Senate on judicial nominations during presidential 
election years or other years. 
The report’s findings include the following: 
  The Senate has, on average, confirmed fewer U.S. circuit and district court nominees during presidential 
election years than during other years. The difference in the average number of circuit and district court 
nominees confirmed during presidential election years compared to other years is greater for the period 
1993 to 2016 than it is for the period 1977 to 1992. 
  The Senate has, on average, confirmed a smaller percentage of U.S. circuit and district court nominees 
during presidential election years than during other years. The difference in the average percentage of 
circuit and district court nominees confirmed during presidential election years compared to other years is 
greater for the period 1993 to 2016 than it is for the period 1977 to 1992. 
  The Senate has, on average, confirmed a greater number and percentage of U.S. district court nominees 
than pending U.S. circuit court nominees during presidential election years. 
  U.S. circuit and district court nominees who are first nominated during either the fourth or eighth year of a 
presidency—that is, during a presidential election year—were less likely to be confirmed than nominees 
who were first nominated during the other years of a presidency (with one exception: circuit and district 
court nominees who were first nominated during the seventh year of a presidency were less likely to be 
confirmed than such nominees who were first nominated during the fourth year of a presidency). 
  During past presidential election years, the Senate has confirmed more U.S. circuit and district court 
nominations during the first half of the calendar year (i.e., January through June) than during the second 
Congressional Research Service 
 
Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
half of the calendar year (i.e., July through December). In contrast, during non-presidential election years, 
the Senate confirmed more U.S. circuit and district court nominations during the second half of the 
calendar year (i.e., July through December). 
Congressional Research Service 
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Contents 
Introduction ................................................................................................................... 1 
Scope of Report......................................................................................................... 2 
Has the Senate confirmed fewer U.S. circuit and district court nominees during past 
presidential election years than during other years?............................................................ 3 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees ....................................................................................... 3 
U.S. District Court Nominees ...................................................................................... 4 
Variation by Year ....................................................................................................... 4 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees.................................................................................. 4 
U.S. District Court Nominees ................................................................................. 5 
The Influence of Unified Versus Divided Party Control ................................................... 6 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees.................................................................................. 6 
U.S. District Court Nominees ................................................................................. 7 
The 2017 to 2020 Period............................................................................................. 7 
Has the Senate confirmed a smal er percentage of U.S. circuit and district court nominees 
during past presidential election years than during other years? ........................................... 8 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees ....................................................................................... 9 
U.S. District Court Nominees ...................................................................................... 9 
Variation by Year ....................................................................................................... 9 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees................................................................................ 10 
U.S. District Court Nominees ............................................................................... 11 
The Influence of Unified Versus Divided Party Control ................................................. 12 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees................................................................................ 12 
U.S. District Court Nominees ............................................................................... 13 
The 2017 to 2020 Period........................................................................................... 13 
Have U.S. circuit and district court nominees who were first nominated during past 
presidential election years been less likely  to be confirmed than nominees who were 
first nominated during other years? ............................................................................... 14 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees ..................................................................................... 14 
U.S. District Court Nominees .................................................................................... 15 
Variation by Presidency ............................................................................................ 15 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees................................................................................ 15 
U.S. District Court Nominees ............................................................................... 16 
The Influence of Unified Versus Divided Party Control ................................................. 17 
The 2017 to 2020 Period........................................................................................... 18 
During which months were the greatest number of U.S. circuit and district court 
nominees confirmed during past presidential election years? ............................................. 18 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees ..................................................................................... 18 
Presidential Election Years................................................................................... 18 
Other Years ....................................................................................................... 20 
U.S. District Court Nominees .................................................................................... 20 
Presidential Election Years................................................................................... 20 
Other Years ....................................................................................................... 21 
 
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Figures 
Figure 1. Average Number of U.S. Circuit and District Court Nominees Confirmed 
During Non-Presidential Election Years and Presidential Election Years ............................... 3 
Figure 2. Number of U.S. Circuit Court Nominees Confirmed by Calendar Year ....................... 5 
Figure 3. Number of U.S. District Court Nominees Confirmed by Calendar Year ...................... 6 
Figure 4. Average Percentage of Pending U.S. Circuit and District Court Nominees 
Confirmed by the Senate During Non-Presidential and Presidential Election Years ................. 9 
Figure 5. Percentage of U.S. Circuit Court Nominees Confirmed by Calendar Year ................. 10 
Figure 6. Percentage of U.S. District Court Nominees Confirmed by Calendar Year ................ 12 
Figure 7. Percentage of U.S. Circuit and District Court Nominees Confirmed by Year of 
Presidency When Nominee Was First Nominated ............................................................ 15 
Figure 8. U.S. Circuit Court Nominations Confirmed by Month During Presidential 
Election Years ............................................................................................................ 19 
Figure 9. U.S. District Court Nominations Confirmed by Month During Presidential 
Election Years ............................................................................................................ 21 
 
Tables 
Table 1. Percentage of U.S. Circuit Court Nominees Confirmed by Year When First 
Nominated During a Presidency ................................................................................... 16 
Table 2. Percentage of U.S. District Court Nominees Confirmed by Year When First 
Nominated During a Presidency ................................................................................... 16 
 
Contacts 
Author Information ....................................................................................................... 22 
 
 
Congressional Research Service 
Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
Introduction 
In recent decades, the processing of U.S. circuit and district court nominations during presidential 
election years has been an ongoing subject of interest in the Senate.1 Of particular interest has 
been to what extent, if any, it has been customary for the Senate to slow down the pace at which it 
confirms judicial nominations during presidential election years (and, consequently, whether 
fewer nominations are confirmed by the Senate during such years). 
The informal understanding shared by some Senators of a customary slowdown in the 
confirmation of lower federal court nominations during at least some presidential election years is 
sometimes referred to as the “Thurmond Rule.”2 Note, though, that this term has not been adopted 
by al  Senators to describe the past practice of slowing down the confirmation process of lower 
federal court nominations during at least some presidential election years (particularly for U.S. 
circuit court nominations).3 Other Senators, meanwhile, have taken the position that the Senate 
has not, in fact, treated lower federal court nominations any differently during presidential 
election years compared to other years.4 
Ultimately,  there has not been, during the 1977 to 2016 period, apparent consensus or bipartisan 
agreement reached by Senators as to how many judicial nominations should be confirmed in a 
presidential election year or how late in the year they should be confirmed.5 
                                              
1 For a discussion,  generally, of the confirmation process for U.S. circuit and district court nominees, see  CRS  Report 
R43762, The Appointm ent Process for U.S. Circuit and District  Court Nom inations: An Overview,  by Barry J. 
McMillion. 
2 T here is no written Senate or Judiciary  Committee rule concerning the processing of judicial  nominations in a 
presidential election year. T he t erm “ Thurmond Rule,” named after the late Senator and former Judiciary Committee 
Chairman Strom T hurmond of South Carolina, refers to the practice, or expectation, that there is a drop -off in the 
processing of lower  federal court nominations by the Senate in presidential election years. Consequently, if this custom 
is observed,  some might expect the Senate to slow down  the processing of judicial  nominations at an earlier point in a 
year, and confirm fewer nominations, in presidential election years than in other years. For an example of a Senator 
citing the T hurmond Rule during  a past presidential election year, see Sen.  Harry Reid,  “Highway T echnical 
Corrections Act of 2007—Motion to Proceed,” remarks in the Senate, Congressional Record, daily edition, vol. 154 
(Apr. 15, 2008), p. S3012 (“you know, there is a T hurmond doctrine that says: After June, we  will  have to take a real 
close look at judges  [judicial  nominees] in a Presidential election year”). Other Senators have used  the term “T hurmond 
Rule”  to describe  a potential slowdown in the confirmation of judicial nominees during  presidential election years but 
have also emphasized, during  at least some presidential election years, that the Senate continue to confirm nominees 
with bipartisan support —particularly district court nominees. See, for example, Sen. Patrick Leahy, remarks in the 
Senate, Congressional Record, daily edition, vol. 158 (Sep. 21, 2012), p. S6609 (“ never have I seen the T hurmond Rule 
used  to block votes on consensus district court nominees.”). 
3 See,  for example, Sen. Orrin G.  Hatch, “T he Confirmation Process,” remarks in the Senate, Congressional Record, 
daily edition, vol. 154 (Apr. 1, 2008), p. S2264 (“T he T hurmond Rule neither is a rule  nor can it be attributed to the late 
Senator Strom T hurmond”) and Sen. Orrin G.  Hatch, “ T ranscript of Proceedings, United States Senate, Committee on 
the Judiciary, Executive Session,  July  20, 2000,” Miller Associates Reporting Service, pp. 6 -7, (in “presidential 
election years, the confirmation of appellate court nominees historically has slowed.”). See  also Sen. Charles  Grassley, 
“Recess Appointments at Judiciary Executive Meeting,” prepared statement for immediate release, January 26, 2012, at 
https://www.grassley.senate.gov/news/news-releases/recess-appointments-judiciary-executive-business-meeting  (T he 
“circumstance that changes this year, as everyone is aware,  is that this is a Presidential election year. T he historical 
practice [on nominations] has been for work to slow  down  a great deal during  such  years.”).  
4 See,  for example, Sen. Arlen Specter, “Judicial Nominations,” remarks in the Senate, Congressional Record, daily 
edition, vol. 153 (Jan. 4 2007), p. S27 (Some “ have suggested  that this so -called rule  holds that the Senate should 
dramatically curtail confirmations after the spring of a presidential election year. Review  of the historical record 
suggests  that this rule is more myth than reality.”). 
5 For a discussion  of the 1977 to 2008 period, see CRS  Report RL34615, Nomination and Confirmation of Lower 
Federal Court Judges in Presidential Election Years, by  Denis Steven Rutkus  (available upon request by  congressional 
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
Institutional and political  factors that may influence the confirmation of judicial nominations by 
the Senate during a presidential election year (or any other year) include how many judicial 
vacancies exist (thereby affecting how many judicial nominations a President may potential y 
submit to the Senate), how many judicial nominations that were submitted during prior years of a 
presidency are pending in the Senate, how many new nominations are submitted or resubmitted 
during the same year in question, whether the party affiliation of the President is the same as the 
majority party in the Senate (i.e., the presence or absence of divided party control), the point in a 
congressional session when nominations arrive in the Senate, whether nominees have the support 
of both of their home state Senators, whether the “blue slip” policy of the Senate Judiciary 
Committee requires the support of both home state Senators before a nominee can receive a 
hearing or committee vote, and the overal  number of days the Senate is in session and the nature 
of its overal  workload during the year.6 
Scope of Report 
This report provides data and analysis related to several prominent issues or frequently asked 
questions about the confirmation of U.S. circuit and district court nominations during past 
presidential election years.7 Specifical y, for the period from 1977 to 2016,8 the report addresses 
the following issues: 
1.  Whether the Senate confirmed fewer U.S. circuit and district court nominees 
during presidential election years than during other years; 
2.  Whether the Senate confirmed a smal er percentage of U.S. circuit and district 
court nominees during presidential election years than during other years; 
3.  Whether U.S. circuit and district court nominees who were first nominated 
during presidential election years were less likely to be confirmed than nominees 
who were first nominated during other years of a presidency; and  
4.  In which months, during presidential election years, the Senate confirmed the 
fewest and greatest number of U.S. circuit and district court nominees (and how 
this compares to the number of such nominees confirmed by month during non-
presidential election years).9 
                                              
staff from the author of the current report). 
6 For a discussion  of the Senate Judiciary  Committee “blue slip” policy and judicial  nominations, see CRS  Report 
R44975, The Blue Slip Process for U.S. Circuit  and District  Court Nom inations: Frequently Asked Questions, by Barry 
J. McMillion.  
7 An examination of the historical origin and use  of the term “T hurmond Rule” is  beyond the scope of this report. 
Consequently, this report does not analyze either the debate surrounding the origin of the term or under what 
circumstances it has been cited, or applied, during  the judicial  confirmation process in past presidential election years.  
8 In general, the first year of the Carter presidency (1977) has been used  as the initial year in the analyses included  in 
past similar CRS  products. Data for years prior to 1977 are available from the author upon request by congressional 
staff. 
9 T he data sources for the statistics presented in this report include the internal CRS  judicial  nominations database and 
Congress.gov.  
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
Has the Senate confirmed fewer U.S. circuit and 
district court nominees during past presidential 
election years than during other years? 
Overal , during the period 1977 to 2016, the Senate confirmed, on average, fewer U.S. circuit and 
district court nominees during presidential election years than during other years. 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
As shown by Figure 1, the average number of U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed during non-
presidential election years from 1977 to 2016 was 10.10 In presidential election years during the 
same period, the Senate confirmed, on average, 4 fewer circuit court nominees (for an average of 
6 circuit court nominees confirmed during presidential election years from 1980 to 2016). 
For the more recent period, 1993 to 2016,11 the average number of U.S. circuit court nominees 
confirmed during non-presidential election years was 9. In presidential election years during the 
same period, the Senate confirmed, on average, 5 fewer circuit court nominees (for an average of 
4 circuit court nominees confirmed during presidential election years from 1996 to 2016). 
Figure 1. Average Number of U.S. Circuit and District Court Nominees Confirmed 
During Non-Presidential Election Years and Presidential Election Years 
(1977-2016) 
 
Source: Internal CRS judicial nominations database. 
                                              
10 Any average or mean presented in the text of the report has been rounded  to the nearest whole number.   
11 For the purposes of this report, the more “recent period” is defined  as the years 1993 through 2016. As discussed  in 
the report, this is the period for which there were some notable changes in the processing of judicial  nominations during 
presidential election years (as well  as  during  other years). See, for example, the data presented in Figure  8. Changes in 
the processing of judicial  nominations during th is period are also discussed  in CRS  Report R45622, Judicial 
Nom ination Statistics and Analysis: U.S. District  and Circuit  Courts, 1977 -2018, by Barry J. McMillion (see, for 
example, the section in the report titled “ Multiple Nominations of the Same Person Prior to Final Action by the 
Senate.”). 
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U.S. District Court Nominees 
Figure 1 shows that, for the period 1977 to 2016, the average number of U.S. district court 
nominees confirmed during non-presidential election years was 38. In presidential election years 
during the same period, the Senate confirmed, on average, 5 fewer district court nominees (for an 
average of 33 district court nominees confirmed during presidential election years from 1980 to 
2016). 
For the more recent period, 1993 to 2016, the average number of U.S. district court nominees 
confirmed during non-presidential election years was 38 (the same as it was for the entire 1977-
2016 period). For presidential election years during the same period, however, the Senate 
confirmed, on average, 12 fewer district court nominees (for an average of 26 district court 
nominees confirmed during presidential election years from 1996 to 2016). 
Variation by Year 
Although the Senate confirmed, on average from 1977 to 2016, fewer U.S. circuit and district 
court nominees during presidential election years than during other years, there was notable 
variation across presidential election years (as wel  as other years). Figures 2 and 3 show, 
respectively, the number of U.S. circuit and district court nominees confirmed during each 
calendar year from 1977 to 2016.  
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
Presidential  Election  Years 
As shown by Figure 2, the number of U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed during presidential 
election years ranged from a low of 1 in 2016 (during the eighth year of the Obama presidency) to 
a high of 11 in 1992 (during the fourth year of the George H.W. Bush presidency).  
The second-fewest number of circuit court nominees confirmed during a presidential election 
year was in 1996 (2 nominees during the fourth year of the Clinton presidency), whereas the 
second-greatest number of circuit court nominees confirmed during presidential election years 
occurred in both 1980 and 1984 (10 nominees during each of the fourth years of the Carter and 
Reagan presidencies, respectively). 
For presidential election years during the period 1977 to 2016, the specific numbers of U.S. 
circuit court nominees confirmed during each year (in chronological order) were as follows: 1980 
(10), 1984 (10), 1988 (7), 1992 (11), 1996 (2), 2000 (8), 2004 (5), 2008 (4), 2012 (5), and 2016 
(1). 
Other Years 
As shown Figure 2, the number of U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed during years that did 
not feature a presidential election ranged from a low of 1 in 2015 (during the seventh year of the 
Obama presidency) to a high of 34 in 1979 (during the third year of the Carter presidency).  
The second-fewest number of circuit court nominees confirmed during a non-presidential election 
year was in 1978 (2 nominees during the second year of the Carter presidency), whereas the 
second-greatest number of circuit court nominees confirmed during a non-presidential election 
year was in 1985 (22 nominees during the fifth year of the Reagan presidency). 
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
For non-presidential election years during the period 1977 to 2016, the specific numbers of U.S. 
circuit court nominees confirmed during each year (in chronological order) were as follows: 1977 
(10), 1978 (2), 1979 (34), 1981 (8), 1982 (11), 1983 (4), 1985 (22), 1986 (11), 1987 (10), 1989 
(5), 1990 (17), 1991 (9), 1993 (3), 1994 (16), 1995 (9), 1997 (7), 1998 (13), 1999 (7), 2001 (6), 
2002 (11), 2003 (13), 2005 (7), 2006 (9), 2007 (6), 2009 (3), 2010 (13), 2011 (9), 2013 (11), 2014 
(12), and 2015 (1). 
Figure 2. Number of U.S. Circuit Court Nominees Confirmed by Calendar Year 
(1977-2016) 
 
Source: Internal CRS judicial nominations database. 
U.S. District Court Nominees 
Presidential  Election  Years 
As shown by Figure 3, the number of U.S. district court nominees confirmed during presidential 
election years ranged from a low of 8 in 2016 (during the eighth year of the Obama presidency) to 
a high of 53 in both 1980 and 1992 (during the fourth years of the Carter and George H.W. Bush 
presidencies, respectively).  
The second-fewest number of district court nominees confirmed during a presidential election 
year was in 1996 (18 nominees during the fourth year of the Clinton presidency), whereas the 
second-greatest number of district court nominees confirmed during a presidential election year 
was in 2012 (44 nominees during the fourth year of the Obama presidency). 
For presidential election years during the period 1977 to 2016, the specific numbers of U.S. 
district court nominees confirmed during each year (in chronological order) were as follows: 
1980 (53), 1984 (33), 1988 (33), 1992 (53), 1996 (18), 2000 (31), 2004 (30), 2008 (24), 2012 
(44), and 2016 (8). 
Other Years 
Figure 3 also shows that the number of U.S. district court nominees confirmed during non-
presidential election years ranged from a low of 9 in 2009 (during the first year of the Obama 
presidency) to a high of 101 in 1979 (during the third year of the Carter presidency).  
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
The second-fewest number of district court nominees confirmed during non-presidential election 
years occurred in 1989 and 2015 (10 nominees during both the first year of the George H.W. 
Bush presidency and the seventh year of the Obama presidency, respectively), whereas the 
second-greatest number of district court nominees confirmed during a non-presidential election 
year was in 1994 (83 nominees during the second year of the Clinton presidency). 
For non-presidential election years during the period 1977 to 2016, the specific numbers of U.S. 
district court nominees confirmed during each year (in chronological order) were as follows: 
1977 (21), 1978 (27), 1979 (101), 1981 (32), 1982 (36), 1983 (28), 1985 (62), 1986 (33), 1987 
(33), 1989 (10), 1990 (38), 1991 (47), 1993 (24), 1994 (83), 1995 (44), 1997 (29), 1998 (50), 
1999 (26), 2001 (22), 2002 (61), 2003 (55), 2005 (14), 2006 (21), 2007 (34), 2009 (9), 2010 (35), 
2011 (53), 2013 (32), 2014 (77), and 2015 (10). 
Figure 3. Number of U.S. District Court Nominees Confirmed by Calendar Year 
(1977-2016) 
 
Source: Internal CRS judicial nominations database. 
The Influence of Unified Versus Divided Party Control 
The existence of unified or divided party control likely played a role in the number of U.S. circuit 
and district court nominees confirmed by the Senate during at least one or more years from 1977 
to 2016.12 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
During presidential election years in which there was unified party control, the Senate confirmed, 
on average, eight U.S. circuit court nominees. In contrast, during presidential election years in 
which there was divided party control, the Senate confirmed, on average, six circuit court 
nominees. 
                                              
12 For the purposes of this report, unified party control is used  to describe  years when  the party affiliation of the 
President was  the same as  the majority party in  the Senate. Conversely, divided party control is used  to describe  years 
when the party affiliation of the President was different than the majority party in the Senate.  
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
Similarly, during non-presidential election years in which there was unified party control, the 
Senate confirmed, on average, 11 U.S. circuit court nominees.13 In contrast, during non-
presidential election years in which there was divided party control, the Senate confirmed, on 
average, 9 circuit court nominees. 
Unified and divided party control does not explain al  of the variation in the number of U.S. 
circuit court nominees confirmed each year during the period from 1977 to 2016. For example, 
the greatest number of circuit court nominees confirmed during a presidential election year 
occurred in 1992 (a year of divided party control). Additional y, as another example, the Senate 
confirmed the same number of circuit court nominees in 1998 (a year of divided party control) as 
it did in 2003 and 2010 (both years of unified party control). 
U.S. District Court Nominees 
During presidential election years in which there was unified party control, the Senate confirmed, 
on average, 40 U.S. district court nominees. In contrast, during presidential election years in 
which there was divided party control, the Senate confirmed, on average, 28 district court 
nominees. 
Similarly, during non-presidential election years in which there was unified party control, the 
Senate confirmed, on average, 41 U.S. district court nominees. In contrast, during non-
presidential election years in which there was divided party control, the Senate confirmed, on 
average, 35 district court nominees. 
As with circuit court nominees, unified or divided party control does not explain al  of the 
variation in the number of district court nominees confirmed each year from 1977 to 2016. For 
example, 53 nominees were confirmed in each of 1980 (a year of unified party control) and 1992 
(a year of divided party control)—both years had the greatest number of district court nominees 
confirmed during presidential election years since 1977. As another example, the Senate 
confirmed fewer district court nominees in 2009 (a year of unified party control) than it did in 
2015 (a year of divided party control). 
The 2017 to 2020 Period 
Because there are current nominations that were submitted by President Trump pending before 
the Senate, the years of the Trump presidency are not included in the figures above.14 Some data, 
however, are available for the past several years. 
The average number of U.S. circuit court judges confirmed annual y from 2017 through 2019 
(three non-presidential election years) was 17. The fewest number of nominees confirmed during 
this three-year period was 12 (in 2017 during the first year of the Trump presidency) and the 
greatest number was 20 (in 2019 during the third year of the Trump presidency). As of September 
                                              
13 T he year 2001 is omitted from this part of the analysis (in this section and other sections analyzing the influence of 
unified  and divided  party control) given that majority control of the Senate changed on June 6, 2001, when Senator 
James Jeffords changed  his party affiliation from Republican to Independent and announced he would  caucus  with 
Senate Democrats. Consequently, as this change in majority control of the Senate occurred during  the George W. Bush 
presidency, there was  also a change from unified  to divided  party control. 
14 Data for the period 2017 to 2020 will be  incorporated into  the figures and accompanying text of this report when it is 
updated in the future. 
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
18, 2020, three circuit court nominees have been confirmed during the current presidential 
election year.15 
The average number of U.S. district court judges confirmed annual y from 2017 through 2019 
was 44. The fewest number of nominees confirmed during this three-year period was 6 (in 2017 
during the first year of the Trump presidency) and the greatest number was 80 (in 2019 during the 
third year of the Trump presidency).16 As of September 18, 2020, 24 district court nominees have 
been confirmed during the current presidential election year.17 
Has the Senate confirmed a smaller percentage of 
U.S. circuit and district court nominees during past 
presidential election years than during other years? 
The percentage of nominees confirmed by the Senate, in contrast to the number of nominees 
confirmed, takes into account the number of nominations submitted to the Senate by a 
President.18 
Overal , during the period 1977 to 2016, the Senate confirmed, on average, a smal er percentage 
of U.S. circuit and district court nominees during presidential election years than during other 
years.19 
                                              
15 T his reflects the fact that, at present, there are no U.S. circuit court vacancies. Although vacancies are not discussed 
in-depth in this report, the number of circuit and district court vacancies that exist during any given year can influence 
the number of individuals  nominated by a President and, consequently, the number of nominees confirmed by the 
Senate. For an analysis  of district court vacancies that exist at the en d of a President’s fourth year in office, see CRS 
Insight IN11449, U.S. District Court Vacancies at the End of a President’s Fourth Calendar Year in Office , by Barry J. 
McMillion. 
16 In 2018, there were 47 U.S.  district court judges  confirmed. 
17 As of this same date, there are 33 pending U.S. district court nominations (either in the Senate Judiciary Committee 
or on the Executive Calendar).  
18 T he percentage of nominees confirmed during each year from 1977  to 2016 is calculated by dividing  the number of 
nominees who were  confirmed during  a particular year by the number of nominees who had a nomination pending 
before the Senate during  that same calendar year (regardless  of whether that pending nomination was carried over from 
a previous year or newly submitted during  the calendar year in question). For example, John M. Rogers  was  nominated 
to the Sixth Circuit by President G.W. Bush  on December 19, 2001. He was  subsequently  confirmed on November 14, 
2002. For the calculations used  to present the confirmation percentages in this section of the report, he would count as 
an unconfirmed nominee for 2001 and a confirmed nominee for 2002.  
For the purposes of this report, if a nominee’s nomination was pending in the Senate in early January (during  the final 
days of a Congress)  before being  returned and  the nomination was not resubmitted by a President, the nominee’s 
nomination is not included as a pending nomination during that particular calendar year.  
Note also that the percentages reported in this section do not address  the percentage of nominees who were nominated 
during  a given year who were  ultimately confirmed by the Senate (for those data, see section titled “ Have U.S. circuit 
and district court nominees who were  first  nominated during presidential election years been less likely to be confirmed 
than nominees who were  first  nominated during other years?”). 
19 If a U.S.  circuit or district court nominee is not confirmed, it does not mean that his or her nomination was rejected in 
an up-or-down roll call vote by the Senate. Most nominations that are not confirmed by the Senate are either returned to 
a President under Senate Rule  XXXI or withdrawn  by a President prior to the nomination being returned. For additional 
information about judicial nominations that are returned by the Senate or withdrawn  by a President, see CRS  Report 
R43762, The Appointm ent Process for U.S. Circuit and District  Court Nom inations: An Overview,  by Barry J. 
McMillion. 
Congressional Research Service 
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
As shown by Figure 4, 62.0% of the U.S. circuit court nominees whose nominations were 
pending before the Senate during non-presidential election years from 1977 to 2016 were 
confirmed. During the same period, 39.2% of circuit court nominees whose nominations were 
pending before the Senate in presidential election years were confirmed. 
For the more recent period, 1993 to 2016, 48.1% of the U.S. circuit court nominees whose 
nominations were pending before the Senate during non-presidential election years were 
confirmed. In contrast, 25.5% of U.S. circuit court nominees whose nominations were pending 
before the Senate in presidential election years during the same period were confirmed. 
Figure 4. Average Percentage of Pending U.S. Circuit and District Court Nominees 
Confirmed by the Senate During Non-Presidential and Presidential Election Years 
(1977-2016) 
 
Source: Internal CRS judicial nominations database. 
U.S. District Court Nominees 
As shown by Figure 4, 69.4% of the U.S. circuit district nominees whose nominations were 
pending before the Senate during non-presidential election years from 1977 to 2016 were 
confirmed. During the same period, 59.3% of U.S. district court nominees whose nominations 
were pending before the Senate in presidential election years were confirmed. 
For the more recent period, 1993 to 2016, 59.6% of the U.S. district court nominees whose 
nominations were pending before the Senate during non-presidential election years were 
confirmed. During the same period, 52.2% of U.S. district court nominees whose nominations 
were pending before the Senate in presidential election years were confirmed. 
Variation by Year 
As with the number of U.S. circuit and district court nominees confirmed during the period 1977 
to 2016, the percentage of circuit and district court nominees also varied by year during the same 
period. Figures 5 and 6 show, respectively, the percentage of U.S. circuit and district court 
nominees confirmed during each calendar year from 1977 to 2016. 
Congressional Research Service 
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
Presidential  Election  Years 
As shown by Figure 5, the percentage of U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed during 
presidential election years ranged from a low of 12.5% in 2016 (during the eighth year of the 
Obama presidency) to a high of 71.4% in both 1980 and 1984 (during the fourth years of the 
Carter and Reagan presidencies, respectively).  
The second-lowest percentage of circuit court nominees confirmed during a presidential election 
year was in 1996 (18.2% during the fourth year of the Clinton presidency), whereas the second-
greatest percentage of circuit court nominees confirmed was in 1992 (52.4% during the fourth 
year of the George H.W. Bush presidency). 
For presidential election years during the period 1977 to 2016, the specific percentages of U.S. 
circuit court nominees confirmed each year (in chronological order) were as follows: 1980 
(71.4%), 1984 (71.4%), 1988 (43.7%), 1992 (52.4%), 1996 (18.2%), 2000 (30.8%), 2004 
(26.3%), 2008 (23.5%), 2012 (41.7%), and 2016 (12.5%). 
Figure 5. Percentage of U.S. Circuit Court Nominees Confirmed by Calendar Year 
(1977-2016) 
 
Source: Internal CRS judicial nominations database. 
Other Years 
As shown by the figure, the percentage of U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed during non-
presidential election years ranged from a low of 20.7% in 2001 (during the first year of the 
George W. Bush presidency) to a high of 100% in 1977, 1978, and 1986 (during the first and 
second years of the Carter presidency and the sixth year of the Reagan presidency, respectively). 
The second-lowest percentage of circuit court nominees confirmed during a non-presidential 
election year was in 2009 (25.0% during the first year of the Obama presidency), whereas the 
Congressional Research Service 
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second-greatest percentage of circuit court nominees confirmed during a non-presidential election 
year was in 1985 (95.7% during the third year of the Reagan presidency). 
For non-presidential election years during the period 1977 to 2016, the specific percentages of 
U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed each year (in chronological order) were as follows: 1977 
(100%), 1978 (100%), 1979 (89.5%), 1981 (88.9%), 1982 (91.7%), 1983 (66.7%), 1985 (95.7%), 
1986 (100%), 1987 (52.6%), 1989 (62.5%), 1990 (94.4%), 1991 (52.9%), 1993 (60.0%), 1994 
(84.2%), 1995 (56.2%), 1997 (33.3%), 1998 (59.1%), 1999 (28.0%), 2001 (20.7%), 2002 
(42.3%), 2003 (40.6%), 2005 (50.0%), 2006 (42.9%), 2007 (35.3%), 2009 (25.0%), 2010 
(59.1%), 2011 (42.9%), 2013 (50.0%), 2014 (85.7%), and 2015 (50.0%). 
U.S. District Court Nominees 
Presidential  Election  Years 
As shown by Figure 6, the percentage of U.S. district court nominees confirmed during 
presidential election years ranged from a low of 15.7% in 2016 (during the eighth year of the 
Obama presidency) to a high of 79.1% in 1980 (during the fourth year of the Carter presidency).  
The second-lowest percentage of district court nominees confirmed during a presidential election 
year was in 1996 (46.2% during the fourth year of the Clinton presidency), whereas the second-
greatest percentage of district court nominees confirmed during a presidential election year was in 
2004 (76.9% during the fourth year of the George W. Bush presidency). 
For presidential election years during the period 1977 to 2016, the specific percentages of U.S. 
district court nominees confirmed during each year (in chronological order) were as follows: 
1980 (79.1%), 1984 (71.7%), 1988 (73.3%), 1992 (55.8%), 1996 (46.2%), 2000 (55.4%), 2004 
(76.9%), 2008 (54.5%), 2012 (64.7%), and 2016 (15.7%). 
Other Years 
Figure 6 also shows that the percentage of U.S. district court nominees confirmed during non-
presidential election years ranged from a low of 27.8% in 2015 (during the seventh year of the 
Obama presidency) to a high of 97.3% in 1982 (during the second year of the Reagan 
presidency).  
The second-lowest percentage of district court nominees confirmed during non-presidential 
election years occurred in 2013 (40.5% during the fifth year of the Obama presidency), whereas 
the second-greatest percentage of district court nominees confirmed during a non-presidential 
election year was in 1990 (95.0% during the second year of the George H.W. Bush presidency). 
For non-presidential election years during the period 1977 to 2016, the specific percentages of 
U.S. district court nominees confirmed each year (in chronological order) were as follows: 1977 
(87.5%), 1978 (93.1%), 1979 (86.3%), 1981 (94.1%), 1982 (97.3%), 1983 (93.3%), 1985 
(88.6%), 1986 (89.2%), 1987 (63.5%), 1989 (66.7%), 1990 (95.0%), 1991 (55.3%), 1993 
(57.1%), 1994 (88.3%), 1995 (64.7%), 1997 (50.0%), 1998 (76.9%), 1999 (57.8%), 2001 
(61.1%), 2002 (80.3%), 2003 (67.1%), 2005 (56.0%), 2006 (41.2%), 2007 (64.2%), 2009 
(42.9%), 2010 (50.7%), 2011 (60.0%), 2013 (40.5%), 2014 (86.5%), and 2015 (27.8%). 
Congressional Research Service 
11 

Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
Figure 6. Percentage of U.S. District Court Nominees Confirmed by Calendar Year 
(1977-2016) 
 
Source: Internal CRS judicial nominations database. 
The Influence of Unified Versus Divided Party Control 
As with the number of U.S. circuit and district court nominees confirmed by year during the 
period 1977 to 2016, the existence of unified or divided party control may have played a role in 
the percentage of U.S. circuit and district court nominees confirmed by the Senate during the 
same period. 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
During presidential election years in which there was unified party control, the Senate confirmed, 
on average, 52.7% of pending U.S. circuit court nominees. In contrast, during presidential 
election years in which there was divided party control, the Senate confirmed, on average, 30.2% 
of such nominees. 
Similarly, during non-presidential election years in which there was unified party control, the 
Senate confirmed, on average, 70.7% of pending circuit court nominees. In contrast, during non-
presidential election years in which there was divided party control, the Senate confirmed, on 
average, 51.5% of such nominees. 
Unified and divided party control does not, however, explain al  of the variation in the percentage 
of U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed each year from 1977 to 2016. For example, 52.4% of 
pending circuit court nominees were confirmed in 1992 (a year with divided party control), 
whereas 26.3% and 41.7% of such nominees were confirmed in 2004 and 2012 (both years with 
unified party control), respectively. Similarly, 59.1% of pending circuit court nominees were 
confirmed in 1998 (a year with divided party control), whereas 42.9% of such nominees were 
confirmed in 2011 (a year with unified party control). 
Congressional Research Service 
12 
Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
U.S. District Court Nominees 
During presidential election years in which there was unified party control, the Senate confirmed, 
on average, 73.1% of pending district court nominees. In contrast, during presidential election 
years in which there was divided party control, the Senate confirmed, on average, 50.1% of such 
nominees. 
Similarly, during non-presidential election years in which there was unified party control, the 
Senate confirmed, on average, 73.3% of pending U.S. district court nominees. In contrast, during 
non-presidential election years in which there was divided party control, the Senate confirmed, on 
average, 63.8% of such nominees. 
Of the four political contexts (i.e., unified party control during a presidential year, divided party 
control during a presidential year, unified party control during a non-presidential election year, 
and divided party control during a non-presidential election year), the Senate confirmed, on 
average, more than 50.0% of the pending district court nominees across the set of years 
comprising each particular context.20 
For circuit court nominees, the Senate confirmed, on average, fewer than 50.0% of the pending 
circuit court nominees across the set of presidential election years in which there was divided 
party control. However, for the other three political contexts (i.e., unified party control during a 
presidential election year, unified party control during a non-presidential election year, and 
divided party control during a non-presidential election year), the Senate confirmed, on average, 
more than 50.0% of the pending circuit court nominees across the set of years comprising each 
particular context. 
As with circuit court nominees, unified or divided party control does not explain al  of the 
variation in the percentage of district court nominees confirmed each year from 1977 to 2016. For 
example, 64.2% of pending district court nominees were confirmed in 2007 (a year with divided 
party control), whereas 42.9% of such nominees were confirmed in 2009 (a year with unified 
party control). 
The 2017 to 2020 Period 
Because there are current nominations that were submitted by President Trump pending before 
the Senate, the years of the Trump presidency are not included in the figures above.21 Some data, 
however, are available for the past several years.  
The average percentage of U.S. circuit court judges confirmed across the three years from 2017 
through 2019 (three non-presidential election years) was 70.7%. The smal est percentage of 
nominees confirmed during this three-year period was 58.1% (in 2018 during the second year of 
the Trump presidency) and the greatest percentage was 90.9% (in 2019 during the third year of 
the Trump presidency).22 As of September 18, 2020, 100% of circuit court nominees have been 
confirmed during the current presidential election year. 
                                              
20 For example, during  this period the set of years for non-presidential election years in which there was  divided  party 
control included 1987, 1989, 1990, 1991, 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2002, 2007, and 2015. Adding the yearly 
percentages of pending nominees confirmed and dividing  that total by the number of years in this category yields the 
average yearly confirmation percentage.  
21 Data for the period 2017 to 2020 will be  incorporated into the figures and accompanying text of this report when it is 
updated in the future. 
22 In 2017 (the first year of the T rump presidency), 63.2% of pending U.S. circuit court nominees were  confi rmed. 
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The average percentage of U.S. district court judges confirmed across the three years from 2017 
through 2019 was 43.2%. The smal est percentage of nominees confirmed during this three-year 
period was 12.2% (in 2017 during the first year of the Trump presidency) and the greatest 
percentage was 70.8% (in 2019 during the third year of the Trump presidency).23 As of September 
18, 2020, 42.1% of pending district court nominees have been confirmed during the current 
presidential election year. 
Have U.S. circuit and district court nominees who 
were first nominated during past presidential 
election years been less likely to be confirmed than 
nominees who were first nominated during other 
years? 
U.S. circuit and district court nominees who are first nominated during either the fourth or eighth 
year of a presidency—that is, during a presidential election year—were less likely to be 
confirmed than nominees who were first nominated during the other years of a presidency (with 
one exception: circuit and district court nominees who were first nominated during the seventh 
year of a presidency were less likely to be confirmed than such nominees who were first 
nominated during the fourth year of a presidency). 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
Figure 7 shows, for the period 1977 to 2016, the percentage of U.S. circuit court nominees 
confirmed by when they were first nominated during a presidency. So, for example, of the 
combined number of U.S. circuit court nominees who were first nominated during the first 
calendar years of the Carter, Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Clinton, George W. Bush, and Obama 
presidencies, 91.8% were ultimately confirmed.24 Similarly, of the combined number of 
individuals  who were first nominated as U.S. circuit court nominees during the fifth calendar 
years of the Reagan, Clinton, George W. Bush, and Obama presidencies, 92.2% were confirmed. 
Both the fourth and eighth years of a presidency correspond to presidential election years during 
this period, whereas the remaining years are non-presidential election years.  
As shown by Figure 7, circuit court nominees who were first nominated during the eighth year of 
a presidency were the least likely to be confirmed by the Senate (i.e., 17.2% of nominees who 
were first nominated during a President’s eighth year in office were confirmed), whereas circuit 
court nominees who were first nominated during the fifth year of a presidency were the most 
likely  to be confirmed (92.2% of nominees). 
The next two groups of U.S. circuit court nominees who were least likely to be confirmed, based 
on the year of a presidency when they were first nominated, were nominees who were first 
                                              
23 In 2018 (the second year of the T rump presidency), 46.5% of pending U.S.  district court nominees were  confirmed.  
24 Note that this figure does not mean that 91.8% were confirmed during the first calendar years of these six respective 
presidencies—but  that 91.8% of nominees who were  first nominated during the presidencies’ first calendar years were 
ultimately confirmed (either during the first year or another year of the same presidency).  
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Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
nominated during the seventh year of a presidency (59.2% of nominees confirmed) and during the 
fourth year of a presidency (80.9% confirmed).  
Figure 7. Percentage of U.S. Circuit and District Court Nominees Confirmed by Year 
of Presidency When Nominee Was First Nominated 
(1977-2016) 
 
Source: Internal CRS judicial nominations database. 
U.S. District Court Nominees 
Figure 7 shows a similar pattern for U.S. district court nominees. Specifical y, nominees who 
were first nominated during the eighth year of a presidency were, for the period 1977 to 2016, the 
least likely to be confirmed (50.4% of nominees confirmed). The next two groups of U.S. district 
court nominees who were least likely to be confirmed, based on the year of a presidency when 
they were first nominated, were nominees who were first nominated during the seventh year of a 
presidency (72.9% confirmed) and during the fourth year of a presidency (77.5% confirmed). 
Variation by Presidency 
There is variation across presidencies as to the percentage of U.S. circuit and district court 
nominees confirmed by the year they were first nominated during a presidency. For example, of 
the 17 circuit court nominees who were first nominated during the second year of the Clinton 
presidency, 100% were ultimately confirmed by the Senate. In contrast, of the 13 circuit court 
nominees who were first nominated during the second year of the Obama presidency, 62% were 
ultimately confirmed.  
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
Table 1 reports the percentage of U.S. circuit court nominees confirmed by presidency based on 
when they were first nominated during a presidency. 
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Table 1. Percentage of U.S. Circuit Court Nominees Confirmed by Year When First 
Nominated During a Presidency 
(1977-2016) 
Year First Nominated  During Presidency 
President 
First 
Second 
Third 
Fourth 
Fifth 
Sixth 
Seventh 
Eighth 
Carter 
100% 
100% 
97.4% 
70.0% 
n/a 
n/a 
n/a 
n/a 
Reagan 
100% 
90.9% 
100% 
92.3% 
100% 
100% 
78.9% 
28.6% 
G.H.W.  Bush 
100% 
93.3% 
68.7% 
64.3% 
n/a 
n/a 
n/a 
n/a 
Clinton 
100% 
100% 
76.9% 
100% 
78.6% 
77.8% 
52.6% 
11.1% 
G.W.  Bush 
79.3% 
100% 
83.3% 
100% 
50.0% 
78.6% 
36.4% 
33.3% 
Obama 
100% 
61.5% 
92.3% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
n/aa 
0% 
Source: Congressional  Research Service. 
Note: 
a.  There were no U.S. circuit court nominees  who were  nominated for the first time  during the seventh year 
of the Obama presidency.   
As shown by Table 1, with the exception of the George W. Bush presidency, 100% of the circuit 
court nominees who were first nominated during each President’s first year in office were 
ultimately confirmed by the Senate. As also shown by the table, with the exception of the eighth 
year of the Obama presidency, each President had at least one circuit court nominee confirmed 
who was first nominated during each particular year of his presidency.25 
U.S. District Court Nominees 
Table 2 reports the percentage of U.S. district court nominees confirmed by presidency based on 
when they were first nominated during a presidency. 
Table 2. Percentage of U.S. District Court Nominees Confirmed by Year When First 
Nominated During a Presidency 
(1977-2016) 
Year First Nominated  During Presidency 
President 
First 
Second 
Third 
Fourth 
Fifth 
Sixth 
Seventh 
Eighth 
Carter 
100% 
92.3% 
98.3% 
76.5% 
n/a 
n/a 
n/a 
n/a 
Reagan 
100% 
100% 
96.6% 
100% 
96.5% 
96.7% 
90.0% 
73.1% 
G.H.W.  Bush 
100% 
97.1% 
90.4% 
40.7% 
n/a 
n/a 
n/a 
n/a 
Clinton 
97.6% 
93.4% 
87.1% 
94.1% 
90.5% 
88.9% 
78.4% 
63.2% 
G.W.  Bush 
100% 
98.4% 
98.6% 
100% 
100% 
87.5% 
73.1% 
57.7% 
Obama 
95.2% 
98.2% 
92.7% 
94.5% 
94.5% 
100% 
33.3% 
0% 
Source: Congressional  Research Service. 
 
                                              
25 Excluding  the seventh year of the Obama presidency, during  which  there were no U.S.  circuit court nominees who 
were  nominated for the first time. 
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Table 2 shows that it is not uncommon for 90% or more of a President’s district court nominees 
who were first nominated during any given year of his presidency to have been ultimately 
confirmed by the Senate. In general, the exceptions to this are the sixth through eighth years of 
the three most recent presidencies included in the analysis.  
Comparison  of Percentages and Numerical  Counts 
Note that the relatively  higher or lower percentages reported in Tables 1 and 2 do not always 
reflect, respectively, a relatively large or smal  number of circuit and district court nominees who 
were ultimately confirmed by the Senate. For example, 100% of the U.S. circuit court nominees 
who were first nominated during the first year of the Obama presidency were confirmed, whereas 
79.3% of circuit court nominees who were first nominated during the first year of the George W. 
Bush presidency were confirmed. These percentages, however, respectively correspond to 12 and 
23 circuit court nominees having been confirmed by the Senate (i.e., President Bush had a smal er 
percentage of circuit court nominees confirmed but also a greater number of nominees 
confirmed). 
The Influence of Unified Versus Divided Party Control 
The presence of unified or divided party control may be a factor in some of the variation across 
presidencies in the percentage of U.S. circuit and district court nominees confirmed by the year 
when they were first nominated during a presidency.26 For example, of circuit court nominees 
who were first nominated during the third years of the Carter, Reagan, and Obama presidencies 
(each a year with unified party control), over 90% were ultimately confirmed. In contrast, of 
circuit court nominees who were first nominated during the third years of the George H.W. Bush 
and Clinton presidencies (each a year with divided party control), fewer than 80% were 
confirmed.27 
Presidential  Election  Years Corresponding  to the Fourth and Eighth Years of a 
Presidency 
As shown by both Tables 1 and 2, there is notable variation in the percentage of confirmed U.S. 
circuit and district court nominees who were first nominated during a presidential election year 
that corresponded with a President’s fourth year in office compared to his eighth year in office.  
This difference reflects, in part, the existence of unified or divided party control during these 
particular years. Specifical y, three of the four two-term presidencies listed in the tables featured 
unified party control during a President’s fourth year in office, whereas each of the four two-term 
presidencies featured divided party control during a President’s eighth year in office. 
                                              
26 Note, however, that, with the exception of the one-term Carter and G.H.W. Bush  presidencies, each of the two-term 
presidencies included  in the analysis (Reagan, Clinton, G.W. Bush,  Obama) experienced both unified and divided  party 
control. 
27 As with other statistics presented in this report, the presence of unified or divided  party control likely does not 
explain all of the variation observed across presidencies since 197 7. For example, each of the presidencies listed in 
Table s 1 and 2 had divided  party control during the eighth year. Of circuit court nominees who were first nominated 
during  the eighth year of a presidency, the percentage who were  ultimately confirmed ranged from a low of 0% to a 
high of 33.3%. Of district court nominees who were  first nominated during  the eighth year of a presidency, the 
percentage who were ultimately confirmed ranged from a low of 0% to a high of 73.1%.  
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The 2017 to 2020 Period 
Because there are nominees who were nominated for the first time prior to President Trump’s 
fourth year in office currently pending before the Senate (as of September 18, 2020), data for 
these years wil  be added to a future updated version of this report. 
During which months were the greatest number of 
U.S. circuit and district court nominees confirmed 
during past presidential election years? 
An examination of the number of U.S. circuit and district court nominations approved by month 
during the 1980 to 2016 period provides information related to the ebb and flow of confirmation 
activity on such nominations by the Senate during presidential election years in comparison to 
other years. Variation from year to year, though, may have also been influenced by other factors 
such as how long the Senate was in session, whether there was a pending U.S. Supreme Court 
nomination, and the length of time the Senate devoted to other matters (e.g., legislation or 
executive branch nominations). 
U.S. Circuit Court Nominees 
During the 1977 to 2016 period, the three months during which the greatest aggregate number of 
U.S. circuit court nominations were confirmed were October (49 nominations), June (42), and 
September (41). These three months account for 132, or 36.5%, of the 362 circuit court 
nominations confirmed during this period. Overal , for the 1977 to 2016 period, 160 (or 44.2%) 
of 362 circuit court nominations confirmed during this period were confirmed during the first half 
of the calendar year (from January through June) and 202, or 55.8%, were confirmed during the 
second half of the year (from July through December). 
There were, however, notable differences in the confirmation of circuit court nominations by 
month during presidential election years compared to non-presidential election years (as wel  as 
for more recent presidential election years compared to less recent election years). 
Presidential Election Years  
As shown by Figure 8¸ for presidential election years from 1980 to 2016, the three months during 
which the greatest aggregate number of U.S. circuit court nominations were confirmed were 
during the first half of the calendar year—June (13 nominations), May (11), and February (9). 
These three months account for 33, or 52.4%, of the 63 circuit court nominations confirmed 
during presidential election years from 1980 to 2016. 
Figure 8 also distinguishes between two periods—presidential elections from 1980 to 1992 and 
presidential elections from 1996 to 2016 (these two periods are separated by the dashed line). 
During the first four presidential election years in the series (1980 to 1992), there were 16 U.S. 
circuit court nominations confirmed during the second half of the year, that is, from July to 
Congressional Research Service 
18 
Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
December (this period, as shown by the figure, included years of both unified and divided party 
control).28 
In contrast, for presidential election years from 1996 to 2016, there was one U.S. circuit court 
nomination confirmed during the second half of the year (this period included years of both 
unified and divided party control). Al  other circuit court nominees confirmed during this period 
were confirmed during the first half of the year (January-June).29 
Altogether, of the 38 U.S. circuit court nominations confirmed during presidential election years 
from 1980 to 1992, 22 (57.9%) were confirmed during the first half of the year (January-June) 
and 16 (42.1%) were confirmed during the second half (July-December). 
In contrast, for presidential election years from 1996 to 2016, 24 (96.0%) of 25 nominations were 
confirmed during the first half of the year (January-June), whereas 1 (4.0%) was confirmed 
during the second half (July-December).  
To the extent that the Senate observed, for one reason or another, a custom or practice of not 
confirming circuit court nominations after a certain date during a presidential election year (even 
when such nominations were pending on the Executive Calendar), it may be the case that such a 
custom was more prevalent during the 1996 to 2016 period rather than the entire period from 
1980 to 2016.30 
Figure 8. U.S. Circuit Court Nominations Confirmed by Month During Presidential 
Election Years 
(1980-2016) 
Pres. Election 
Senate 
Year
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Govt. Type
President
Maj.
1980
2
2
4
1
1
Unified
D
D
1984
1
1
2
1
5
Unified
R
R
1988
2
1
2
2
Divided
R
D
1992
1
1
2
1
3
2
1
Divided
R
D
1996
2
Divided
D
R
2000
2
3
2
1
Divided
D
R
2004
2
3
Unified
R
R
2008
1
1
2
Divided
R
D
2012
1
1
2
1
Unified
D
D
2016
1
Divided
D
R
Total
3
9
5
5
11
13
1
4
3
8
0
1
 
Source: Congressional  Research Service. 
                                              
28 Additionally, the confirmation of a circuit court nominee that occurred latest in any calendar year from 1980 to 2016 
(i.e., in December 1980) occurred during  the 1980 -1992 period. 
29 Additionally, the two presidential election years when there were no circuit court nominees confirmed afte r January 
of a calendar year (i.e., 1996 and 2016) occurred during  the 1996 -2016 period. 
30 As noted previously by CRS,  “sometimes in recent decades, Senators, without referring to a T hurmond rule for 
support, have maintained that it is traditional Senate p ractice to slow down,  or stop altogether, the processing of judicial 
nominations in presidential election years.” See CRS  Report RL34615 (August 13, 2008), Nomination and 
Confirm ation of Lower  Federal Court Judges in Presidential Election Years, by D. Steven Rutkus  (copy available to 
congressional clients from the author of this report upon request). 
Congressional Research Service 
19 
 link to page 26  link to page 26  link to page 24  link to page 24 Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
Other Years 
In contrast, for non-presidential election years during the same period, the three months during 
which the greatest aggregate number of U.S. circuit court nominations were confirmed were 
during the second half of the calendar year—October (41 nominations), July (38), and September 
(38).31 These three months account for 117, or 39.1%, of the 299 circuit court nominations 
confirmed during non-presidential election years from 1981 to 2015. 
U.S. District Court Nominees 
During the 1977 to 2016 period, the three months during which the greatest aggregate number of 
U.S. district court nominations were confirmed were the same as for circuit court nominations—
October (202 nominations), June (168), and September (162). These three months account for 
532, or 36.1%, of the 1,474 district court nominations confirmed during this period. Overal , for 
the 1977 to 2016 period, 648 (or 44.0%) of 1,474 circuit court nominations confirmed during this 
period were confirmed during the first half of the calendar year (from January through June) and 
826, or 56.0%, were confirmed during the second half of the year (from July through Dec ember). 
As was the case with circuit court nominations, there were notable differences in the confirmation 
of district court nominations by month during presidential election years compared to non-
presidential election years (as wel  as for more recent presidential election years compared to less 
recent election years). 
Presidential Election Years 
As shown by Figure 9, for presidential election years from 1980 to 2016, the three months during 
which the greatest aggregate number of U.S. district court nominees were confirmed occurred 
during the first half of the calendar year—June (60 nominations), May (49), and February (38).32 
These three months account for 147, or 45.0%, of the 327 district court nominations confirmed 
during presidential election years from 1980 to 2016. 
Figure 9 distinguishes between the same two periods as Figure 8, that is, the presidential election 
years from 1980 to 1992 and from 1996 to 2016 (these two periods are separated by the dashed 
line). 
Of the 172 U.S. district court nominations confirmed during presidential election years from 1980 
to 1992, 60 (34.9%) were confirmed during the second half of the calendar year (July-
December).33 For presidential election years from 1996 to 2016, a slightly higher percentage of 
district court nominations were confirmed during the second half: Of 155 nominations confirmed 
during presidential election years during this period, 67 (43.2%) were confirmed from July to 
December.34 
 
                                              
31 T he data for non-presidential election years are not included in Figure 8 but are available  to congressional clients 
from the author upon request. 
32 T hese were also the same three months during which, for presidential election years from 1980 to 2016, the Senate 
confirmed the greatest aggregate number of U.S.  circuit court nominees.  
33 Conversely, of the 172 district court nominations confirmed during presidential election years from 1980 to 1992, 
112, or 65%, were  confirmed during  the first half of the year (January -June). 
34 Conversely, of the 155 district court nominations confirmed during presidential election years from 1996 to 2016, 88, 
or 57%, were  confirmed during  the first half of the year (January -June). 
Congressional Research Service 
20 
 link to page 26 Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
 
Figure 9. U.S. District Court Nominations Confirmed by Month During Presidential 
Election Years 
(1980-2016) 
Pres. Election 
Senate 
Year
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Govt. Type
President
Maj.
1980
8
1
18
14
1
11
Unified
D
D
1984
1
6
5
1
8
4
8
Unified
R
R
1988
7
2
6
4
3
2
9
Divided
R
D
1992
14
4
5
6
2
13
4
5
Divided
R
D
1996
1
16
1
Divided
D
R
2000
2
14
7
4
4
Divided
D
R
2004
1
1
2
1
18
1
3
3
Unified
R
R
2008
4
6
4
10
Divided
R
D
2012
1
3
9
3
4
4
3
1
3
13
Unified
D
D
2016
2
2
1
1
1
1
Divided
D
R
Total
5
38
23
25
49
60
32
18
35
26
3
13
 
Source: Congressional  Research Service. 
This breakdown for district court nominations is the opposite of what occurred with U.S. circuit 
court nominations during these same two periods (as discussed above)—that is, a greater 
percentage of circuit court nominations approved during presidential election years were 
confirmed from July to December for presidential election years from 1980 to 1992 (42.1%) than 
for the same period from 1996 to 2000 (4.0%). One possible explanation for this difference is that 
the Senate, in general y not confirming circuit court nominations from July to December during 
presidential election years from 1996 to 2016, had more time available to consider or confirm 
district court nominations during the second half of the year (relative to the 1980 to 1992 period, 
when the Senate continued to confirm circuit court nominations from July to December). 
For both periods (1980 to 1992 and 1996 to 2016), though, a majority of district court 
nominations confirmed during presidential election years were approved during the first half of 
the year (January-June)—65.1% for presidential election years from 1980 to 1992 and 56.8% for 
presidential election years from 1996 to 2016. This was also the case for circuit court 
nominations, with more than half of such nominations approved during the first half of the year 
for both periods—57.9% for presidential election years from 1980 to 1992 and 96.0% for 
presidential election years from 1996 to 2016. 
Other Years 
In contrast, for non-presidential election years during the same period, the three months during 
which the greatest aggregate number of U.S. district court nominees were confirmed were during 
the second half of the calendar year—October (176 nominations), November (132), and 
September (127).35 These three months account for 435, or 37.9%, of the 1,147 district court 
nominations confirmed during non-presidential election years from 1980 to 2016. 
                                              
35 T wo of these three months (September and October) were  also the same months during which, for presidential 
election years from 1980 to 2016, the Senate confirmed the greatest aggregate number of U.S.  district court 
nominations.  T he data for non-president ial election years are not included in Figure  9 but are available  to 
congressional staff from the author upon request. 
Congressional Research Service 
21 
Judicial Nominations During Presidential Election Years 
 
 
Author Information 
 
Barry J. McMillion 
   
Analyst in American National Government 
    
 
Acknowledgments 
Amber Wilhelm, Graphics Specialist in the Publishing and Editorial Resources Section of CRS, prepared 
the figures included in this report. William Egar, former Analyst in American National Government, 
assisted with the data presented in this report.  
 
Disclaimer 
This document was prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). CRS serves as nonpartisan 
shared staff to congressional committees and Members of Congress. It operates solely at the behest of and 
under the direction of Congress. Information in a CRS Report should n ot be relied upon for purposes other 
than public understanding of information that has been provided by CRS to Members of Congress in 
connection with CRS’s institutional role. CRS Reports, as a work of the United States Government, are not 
subject to copyright protection in the United States. Any CRS Report may be reproduced and distributed in 
its entirety without permission from CRS. However, as a CRS Report may include copyrighted images or 
material from a third party, you may need to obtain the permission of the copyright holder if you wish to 
copy or otherwise use copyrighted material. 
 
Congressional Research Service  
R46533 · VERSION 1 · NEW 
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