{ "id": "IN11034", "type": "CRS Insight", "typeId": "INSIGHTS", "number": "IN11034", "active": true, "source": "EveryCRSReport.com", "versions": [ { "source": "EveryCRSReport.com", "id": 593953, "date": "2019-02-06", "retrieved": "2019-04-17T14:22:48.891503", "title": "El Salvador\u2019s 2019 Elections", "summary": "On February 3, 2019, Nayib Bukele, a 37-year-old former mayor of San Salvador and candidate of the Grand Alliance of National Unity (GANA) party, won El Salvador\u2019s presidential election. Bukele garnered 53% of the vote, well ahead of Carlos Calleja, a business executive running for a conservative National Republican Alliance (ARENA)-led coalition, with 31.8%, and Hugo M\u00e1rtinez, a former foreign minister of the leftist Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN), with 14.4%. Bukele\u2019s first-round victory occurred amid relatively low voter turnout (44.7%) during a peaceful electoral process observed by the Organization of American States and others. Bukele is set to succeed Salvador S\u00e1nchez Cer\u00e9n (FMLN) as president on June 1, 2019, and serve a single, five-year term. Bukele\u2019s election ends 10 years of FMLN government.\nWho Is Nayib Bukele?\nNayib Bukele served as mayor of Nuevo Cuscatl\u00e1n (2012-2015) and San Salvador (2015-2018) for the FMLN. Prior to entering politics, Bukele worked in family businesses started by his late father, a prominent Salvadoran of Palestinian descent who backed the FMLN financially beginning in the early 1990s. Throughout his political career, Bukele has used social media to connect directly with voters, a new phenomenon in Salvadoran politics. As mayor, he revitalized the historic center of San Salvador and engaged at-risk youth in violence-prevention programs. In 2017, the FMLN expelled him for criticizing the party\u2019s leadership. Bukele tried to create his own political party, but El Salvador\u2019s electoral court did not approve the new party\u2019s registration in time to appear on the ballot for the 2019 presidential election. Bukele then joined the GANA party and became its presidential candidate. \nBukele led the race from start to finish, despite releasing few specific policy proposals until late in the campaign and opting not to attend debates. His personal popularity appeared to overcome GANA\u2019s reputation for corruption (its founder, former president Tony Saca, is in prison). In fact, Bukele ran on an anti-corruption campaign and called for the establishment of an international anti-corruption commission in El Salvador similar to the U.N.-sponsored International Commission Against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG). It is unclear how close Bukele\u2019s ties to GANA will be once he takes office and how he will compose his Cabinet.\nWhy Is Bukele\u2019s Victory Significant?\nConsidered a youthful outsider, Bukele is the first person in 30 years to be elected president of El Salvador without the backing of the FMLN or ARENA. Polarization between the FMLN, a party formed by former guerillas after the signing of peace accords, and ARENA, a party aligned with the military, has been the primary dynamic in Salvadoran politics since the civil conflict (1980-1992). Tension between current FMLN President S\u00e1nchez Cer\u00e9n, once an FMLN high commander, and the ARENA-dominated legislature has hindered efforts to address the country\u2019s significant fiscal and security challenges. (See CRS Report R43616, El Salvador: Background and U.S. Relations.)\nThe scale of Bukele\u2019s victory demonstrated voters\u2019 dissatisfaction with the apparent corruption in both major parties. The attorney general\u2019s office has brought corruption cases against the past three Salvadoran presidents. Francisco Flores (ARENA, 1999-2004) passed away while awaiting trial for allegedly embezzling donations from Taiwan destined for earthquake relief. In 2018, former President Saca (ARENA, 2004-2009) pled guilty to charges of embezzling some $300 million; he is serving a 10-year prison sentence. Former President Mauricio Funes (FMLN, 2009-2014) received political asylum in Nicaragua after prosecutors found evidence he embezzled some $350 million in public funds.\nPotential Implications for El Salvador and Its Relations with the United States\nFor more than a decade, El Salvador has had the lowest levels of growth and investment and the highest homicide rate in Central America. Bukele\u2019s supporters hope his business experience and relative political independence can help change the country\u2019s trajectory, but his lack of support in the National Assembly (GANA has 10 of 84 seats) could present governing challenges. Critics have questioned how Bukele intends to pay for the many infrastructure projects, including a new airport and railway line, included in his recently announced \u201cPlan Cuscatl\u00e1n.\u201d As mayor of San Salvador, Bukele demonstrated a willingness to negotiate certain issues with gang leaders. Bukele has vowed not to adopt militarized anti-gang approaches but has not clearly defined his proposals for addressing the country\u2019s gang problem. \nPresident-elect Bukele has said he will seek to maintain close relations with the United States and to give Salvadorans hope so they will be able to envision a future in their country rather than migrating to the United States. His willingness to tackle corruption could bolster bilateral cooperation on one of the central objectives of the U.S. Strategy for Engagement in Central America. Bukele also could shift El Salvador\u2019s foreign policy into closer alignment with the United States. He has criticized repression in Venezuela and Nicaragua, a significant departure from the current government\u2019s position. Likewise, he has said he will revisit, but may not reverse, the S\u00e1nchez Cer\u00e9n government\u2019s August 2018 decision to abandon relations with Taiwan in favor of China, a move the Trump Administration sharply criticized. Migration is likely to remain an irritant in bilateral relations, given the difficulty of reducing migrant flows in the short-term and Bukele\u2019s intention to advocate for Salvadoran migrants in the United States, such as the roughly 200,000 nationals whose Temporary Protected Status (TPS) (relief from removal) is scheduled to expire in September 2019.\nLooking ahead, the 116th Congress may consider the type and level of foreign assistance to provide to El Salvador and the other Northern Triangle countries (Guatemala and Honduras); how to work with the Bukele government to address security, economic, and immigration issues; and how to continue the last attorney general\u2019s recent successes in combating corruption.", "type": "CRS Insight", "typeId": "INSIGHTS", "active": true, "formats": [ { "format": "HTML", "encoding": "utf-8", "url": "https://www.crs.gov/Reports/IN11034", "sha1": "30ac55b53d5e41c468661aec67bdb4debae8743d", "filename": "files/20190206_IN11034_30ac55b53d5e41c468661aec67bdb4debae8743d.html", "images": {} }, { "format": "PDF", "encoding": null, "url": "https://www.crs.gov/Reports/pdf/IN11034", "sha1": "9b727eb225cf2f05b5f1f341c4a62ddfc0e30463", "filename": "files/20190206_IN11034_9b727eb225cf2f05b5f1f341c4a62ddfc0e30463.pdf", "images": {} } ], "topics": [ { "source": "IBCList", "id": 4847, "name": "Latin America, Caribbean, & Canada" } ] } ], "topics": [ "CRS Insights" ] }