Social Security: The Trust Fund
Dawn Nuschler
Specialist in Income Security
Gary Sidor
Information Research Specialist
April 25, 2012
The House Ways and Means Committee is making available this version of this Congressional Research Service
(CRS) report, with the cover date shown, for inclusion in its 2012 Green Book website. CRS works exclusively
for the United States Congress, providing policy and legal analysis to Committees and Members of both the
House and Senate, regardless of party affiliation.
Congressional Research Service
RL33028
CRS Report for Congress
Pr
epared for Members and Committees of Congress
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Summary
The Social Security program pays benefits to retired or disabled workers and their family
members, and to family members of deceased workers. Program income and outgo are accounted
for in two separate trust funds authorized under Title II of the Social Security Act: the Federal
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund and the Federal Disability Insurance (DI)
trust fund. This report refers to the two trust funds as an aggregate Social Security trust fund and
discusses the operations of the OASI and DI trust funds on a combined basis.
Social Security is financed by payroll taxes paid by covered workers and their employers, federal
income taxes paid by some beneficiaries on a portion of their benefits, and interest income from
the Social Security trust fund investments. Social Security tax revenues are invested in federal
government securities (special issues) held by the trust fund, and these federal government
securities earn interest. The revenues exchanged for the federal government securities are
deposited into the general fund of the U.S. Treasury and are indistinguishable from revenues in
the general fund that come from other sources. Because the assets held by the trust fund are
federal government securities, the trust fund balance represents the amount of money owed to the
Social Security trust fund by the general fund of the U.S. Treasury. Funds needed to pay Social
Security benefits and administrative expenses come from the redemption or sale of federal
government securities held by the trust fund.
The Social Security trust fund represents funds dedicated to pay current and future Social
Security benefits. However, it is useful to view the trust fund in two ways: (1) as an internal
federal accounting concept, and (2) as the accumulated holdings of the Social Security program.
For internal accounting purposes, certain accounts within the U.S. Treasury are designated by law
as trust funds to track revenues (and expenditures) dedicated for specific purposes. There are a
number of trust funds in the U.S. Treasury, including those for Social Security, Medicare,
unemployment compensation, and federal employee retirement.
By law, Social Security tax revenues must be invested in U.S. government obligations (debt
instruments of the U.S. government). The accumulated holdings of U.S. government obligations
are often viewed as being similar to assets held by any other trust on behalf of the beneficiaries.
However, the holdings of the Social Security trust fund differ from those of private trusts because
(1) the types of investments the trust fund may hold are limited, and (2) the U.S. government is
both the buyer and seller of the investments.
This report covers the basics of how the Social Security program is financed and how the Social
Security trust fund works. It will be updated annually to reflect current projections of the financial
status of the Social Security trust fund.
Congressional Research Service
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Contents
Introduction...................................................................................................................................... 1
How the Social Security Program Is Financed ................................................................................ 1
Temporary Payroll Tax Reduction for Workers......................................................................... 2
The Social Security Trust Fund as a Designated Account ............................................................... 3
Social Security Trust Fund Revenues........................................................................................ 3
Social Security Trust Fund Costs............................................................................................... 3
Social Security Trust Fund Operations...................................................................................... 4
Investment of the Social Security Trust Fund ........................................................................... 9
The Social Security Trust Fund and the Federal Budget ......................................................... 10
On-Budget Versus Off-Budget ................................................................................................ 10
The Social Security Trust Fund as Accumulated Holdings ........................................................... 11
The Social Security Trust Fund and the Level of Federal Debt............................................... 16
The Social Security Trust Fund and Benefit Payments ........................................................... 16
Figures
Figure 1. Ratio of Current (Annual) Revenues to Costs for the Social Security Trust Fund,
1957-2032..................................................................................................................................... 9
Tables
Table 1. Annual Revenues, Costs, and Cash Flow Surpluses or Deficits for the Social
Security Trust Fund, 1957-1983 ................................................................................................... 5
Table 2. Annual Revenues, Costs, and Cash Flow Surpluses or Deficits for the Social
Security Trust Fund, 1984-2011 ................................................................................................... 6
Table 3. Projected Annual Revenues, Costs, and Cash Flow Deficits for the Social
Security Trust Fund, 2012-2032 ................................................................................................... 7
Table 4. Accumulated Holdings of the Social Security Trust Fund, 1957-2011............................ 13
Table 5. Projected Accumulated Holdings of the Social Security Trust Fund, 2012-2032............ 15
Error! Bookmark not defined.
Acknowledgments ......................................................................................................................... 17
Congressional Research Service
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Introduction
The Social Security program pays benefits to retired or disabled workers and their family
members, and to the family members of deceased workers. As of March 2012, there were 55.9
million Social Security beneficiaries. Approximately 64% of those beneficiaries were retired
workers and 15% were disabled workers. The remaining beneficiaries were survivors, or the
spouses and children of retired or disabled workers.1
Social Security is financed by payroll taxes paid by covered workers and their employers, federal
income taxes paid by some beneficiaries on a portion of their benefits, and interest income from
the Social Security trust fund investments. Social Security tax revenues are invested in federal
government securities (special issues) held by the trust fund, and these federal government
securities earn interest. The revenues exchanged for the federal government securities are
deposited into the general fund of the U.S. Treasury and are indistinguishable from revenues in
the general fund that come from other sources. Because the assets held by the trust fund are
federal government securities, the trust fund balance represents the amount of money owed to the
Social Security trust fund by the general fund of the Treasury. Funds needed to pay Social
Security benefits and administrative expenses come from the redemption or sale of federal
government securities held by the trust fund.2
The Secretary of the Treasury (as the Managing Trustee of the Social Security trust fund) is
required by law to invest Social Security revenues in securities backed by the U.S. government.3
The purchase of government securities allows any surplus Social Security revenues to be used for
other (non-Social Security) government spending needs at the time.4
The Social Security trust fund is both a designated account within the Treasury and the
accumulated holdings of special U.S. government obligations. Both represent the funds
designated to pay current and future Social Security benefits.
How the Social Security Program Is Financed
The Social Security program is financed primarily by revenues from Federal Insurance
Contributions Act (FICA) taxes and Self Employment Contributions Act (SECA) taxes. FICA
taxes are paid by both employers and employees, but it is employers who remit the taxes to the
Treasury. Employers remit FICA taxes on a regular basis throughout the year (for example,
weekly, monthly, quarterly or annually), depending on the employer’s level of total employment
taxes (including FICA and federal personal income tax withholding). The FICA tax rate of 7.65%
each for employers and employees has two components: 6.2% for Social Security and 1.45% for
Medicare Hospital Insurance. The SECA tax rate is 15.3% for self-employed individuals, with
12.4% for Social Security and 2.9% for Medicare Hospital Insurance. The respective Social
Security contribution rates are levied on covered wages/net self-employment income up to
1 Social Security Administration (SSA), Monthly Statistical Snapshot, March 2012, Table 2. The latest edition of the
Monthly Statistical Snapshot is available at http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/quickfacts/stat_snapshot/index.html.
2 Social Security Administration, Trust Fund FAQs, http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html.
3 Social Security Act, Title II, §201(d).
4 This is often referred to as “borrowing from the Social Security trust fund.”
Congressional Research Service
1
Social Security: The Trust Fund
$110,100 in 2012.5 Self-employed individuals may deduct one-half of the SECA taxes for federal
income tax purposes.6 SECA taxes are normally paid once a year as part of filing an annual
individual income tax return.
In addition to Social Security payroll taxes, the Social Security program has two other sources of
income. Certain Social Security beneficiaries must include a portion of Social Security benefits in
taxable income for the federal income tax, and the Social Security program receives part of those
taxes.7 In addition, the Social Security program receives interest from the Treasury on its
investments in special federal government obligations.
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) processes the tax returns and tax payments for federal
employment taxes and federal individual income taxes. All of the tax payments are deposited in
the Treasury along with all other receipts from the public for the federal government.
Temporary Payroll Tax Reduction for Workers
As noted above, under current law, the Social Security payroll tax rate is 6.2% for employers and
employees (each) and 12.4% for the self-employed. On December 17, 2010, President Obama
signed into law H.R. 4853, the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization, and Job
Creation Act of 2010 (P.L. 111-312). Title VI of the law provided a temporary reduction of 2
percentage points in the payroll tax rate for employees and the self-employed in 2011. As a result,
the Social Security payroll tax rate was 4.2% for employees and 10.4% for the self-employed in
2011. P.L. 111-312 made no changes to the payroll tax rate for employers (6.2%) or to the amount
of wages/net self-employment income subject to the payroll tax ($106,800 in 2011).
To protect the Social Security trust fund from a loss of revenues resulting from the temporary
reduction in the payroll tax rate for employees and the self-employed, P.L. 111-312 appropriated
to the Social Security trust fund amounts equal to the reduction in revenues to the Treasury. The
law specified that these appropriated amounts “shall be transferred from the general fund at such
times and in such manner as to replicate to the extent possible the transfers that would have
occurred to such Trust Fund had such amendments not been enacted.”8
On December 23, 2011, President Obama signed into law H.R. 3765, the Temporary Payroll Tax
Cut Continuation Act of 2011 (P.L. 112-78), which extended the payroll tax reduction for workers
for two months (i.e., through the end of February 2012).
5 The limit on wages and net self-employment income subject to the Social Security payroll tax (the taxable wage base)
is adjusted annually based on average wage growth, if a Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) is payable.
Because no COLA was payable in 2010 and 2011, the taxable wage base remained at its 2009 level ($106,800) in 2010
and 2011. The Medicare Hospital Insurance component of the FICA and SECA tax is levied on total wages. For more
information on the COLA, see CRS Report 94-803, Social Security: Cost-of-Living Adjustments, by Gary Sidor.
6 Self-employed individuals are required to pay Social Security payroll taxes if they have annual net earnings of $400
or more. Only 92.35% of net self-employment income (up to the annual limit) is taxable.
7 The taxes associated with including Social Security benefits in federal taxable income go to the Social Security trust
fund and the Medicare Hospital Insurance trust fund. See CRS Report RL32552, Social Security: Calculation and
History of Taxing Benefits, by Christine Scott.
8 The text of P.L. 111-312 is available at http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-111publ312/pdf/PLAW-
111publ312.pdf. Title VI, Temporary Employee Payroll Tax Cut, is on pages 124 STAT. 3309-10.
Congressional Research Service
2
Social Security: The Trust Fund
On February 22, 2012, President Obama signed into law H.R. 3630, the Middle Class Tax Relief
and Job Creation Act of 2012 (P.L. 112-96), which further extended the payroll tax reduction for
workers through the end of calendar year 2012. Under P.L. 112-96, the Social Security payroll tax
rate for workers in effect through December 2012 is 4.2% (rather than 6.2%).9
The Social Security Trust Fund as a
Designated Account
Within the U.S. Treasury, there are numerous accounts established for internal accounting
purposes. Although all of the monies within the Treasury are federal monies, the designation of an
account as a trust fund allows the government to track revenues (and expenditures) dedicated for
specific purposes. In addition, the government can affect the level of revenues and expenditures
associated with a trust fund through changes in the law. Social Security program income and
outgo are accounted for in two separate trust funds authorized under Title II of the Social Security
Act: (1) the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund and (2) the Federal
Disability Insurance (DI) trust fund.10 This report refers to the two separate trust funds as an
aggregate Social Security trust fund and discusses the operations of the OASI and DI trust funds
on a combined basis.
Social Security Trust Fund Revenues
The Social Security trust fund receives a credit equal to the Social Security payroll taxes
deposited in the Treasury by the IRS.11 The payroll taxes are allocated between the OASI and DI
trust funds based on a proportion specified by law.12 Currently, of the 6.2% payroll tax rate, 5.3%
is allocated to the OASI trust fund and 0.9% is allocated to the DI trust fund.13
Social Security Trust Fund Costs
The Treasury makes Social Security benefit payments to entitled individuals on a monthly basis.
The Treasury is directed by the Social Security Administration (SSA) as to whom to pay and the
amount of the payment. When benefit payments are made by the Treasury, the Social Security
trust fund is debited for the payments. Periodically, the Social Security trust fund is also debited
for the administrative costs of the Social Security program. These administrative costs are
incurred by several government agencies, including SSA, the Treasury. and the IRS.
9 For more information, see CRS Report R41648, Social Security: Temporary Payroll Tax Reduction, by Dawn
Nuschler.
10 Social Security Act, Title II, §201.
11 In addition, a portion of the federal income taxes paid on Social Security benefits and the interest income on Social
Security trust fund investments are credited to the Social Security trust fund.
12 Social Security Act, Title II, §201(b).
13 The share allocated to the DI trust fund was last changed (to 0.9%) in 2000, under a schedule established in 1994
under P.L. 103-387. The proportional split between the OASI and DI trust funds has been altered five times since 1985.
Congressional Research Service
3
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Social Security Trust Fund Operations
The annual revenues to the Social Security trust fund are used to pay current Social Security
benefits and administrative expenses. If, in any year, revenues are greater than costs, the surplus
Social Security revenues in the Treasury are available for spending by the government on other
(non-Social Security) spending needs at the time. If, in any year, costs are greater than revenues,
the cash flow deficit is offset by selling some of the accumulated holdings of the trust fund
(government securities) to help pay benefits and administrative expenses.
There are two measures of Social Security trust fund operations: the annual cash flow operations
and the accumulated holdings (or trust fund balance).14 The annual cash flow operations of the
Social Security trust fund are a measure of current revenues and current costs. The cash flow
operations are positive when current revenues exceed costs (a cash flow surplus) and negative
when current costs exceed revenues (a cash flow deficit). In years with cash flow deficits, the
Social Security program (unlike other federal programs that operate without a trust fund) may use
the accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust fund from prior years to help pay benefits
and administrative expenses.15
Although Social Security is often referred to as a pay-as-you-go system (meaning that current
revenues are used to pay current costs), changes made to the Social Security program in 1983
began a sustained period of annual cash flow surpluses through 2009.16 In 2010 and 2011, Social
Security had a cash flow deficit (program costs exceeded tax revenues), and the 2012 Annual
Report projects that cash flow deficits will continue throughout the 75-year projection period
(2012-2086), under the intermediate assumptions.17
The 2012 Annual Report projects that the Social Security trust fund will remain solvent until
2033. Social Security benefits scheduled under current law can be paid in full until that time. This
is three years earlier than projected in the 2011 Annual Report. In addition, the average 75-year
actuarial deficit for the trust fund is projected to be equal to 2.67% of taxable payroll. This is an
increase of 0.44 percentage point from the projection in the 2011 Annual Report. With respect to
the change in the projections, the trustees state,
14 The accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust fund in U.S. government obligations are also referred to as the
Social Security trust fund balance.
15 Certain government projects may be given “budget authority until expended,” which allows the authority to spend
funds on the project to be carried over each year until all of the authority to spend funds has been exhausted.
16 The Social Security Amendments of 1983 (P.L. 98-21) made a number of program changes, including the coverage
of federal workers, an increase in the full retirement age and the taxation of Social Security benefits. For more
information on the 1983 amendments, see CRS Report RL30920, Major Decisions in the House and Senate on Social
Security: 1935-2011, by Gary Sidor.
17 The Social Security Board of Trustees is composed of three officers of the President’s cabinet (the Secretary of the
Treasury, the Secretary of Labor and the Secretary of Health and Human Services), the Commissioner of Social
Security and two public representatives who are appointed by the President and subject to confirmation by the Senate.
The Board of Trustees issues an annual report to Congress on the financial status of the Social Security trust fund. The
trustees make three sets of projections based on low-cost, intermediate and high-cost assumptions reflecting the
uncertainty surrounding projections for a 75-year period. The trust fund projections cited in this CRS report are based
on the intermediate (or “best guess”) assumptions of The 2012 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds, Washington, DC, April 23, 2012,
available at http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/tr2012.pdf. (Hereafter cited as 2012 Annual Report.)
Congressional Research Service
4
Social Security: The Trust Fund
The most significant factor is lower average real earnings levels over the next 75 years than
were projected last year, principally due to: 1) a surge in energy prices in 2011 that lowered
real earnings in 2011 and is expected to be sustained, and 2) slower assumed growth in
average hours worked per week after the economy has recovered. An additional significant
factor is the one-year advance of the valuation period from 2011-85 to 2012-86.18
As noted above, on a combined basis, the Social Security trust fund is projected to remain solvent
until 2033. Separately, the OASI trust fund is projected to remain solvent until 2035 and the DI
trust fund is projected to remain solvent until 2016. With respect to the DI trust fund, the trustees
state, “the DI Trust Fund becomes exhausted in 2016, so legislative action is needed as soon as
possible. In the absence of a long-term solution, lawmakers could reallocate the payroll tax rate
between OASI and DI, as they did in 1994.”19
As shown in Table 1, during the 1957 to 1983 period, the cash flow operations of the Social
Security trust fund (annual revenues less annual costs) were negative in 19 of the 27 years.
Table 1. Annual Revenues, Costs, and Cash Flow Surpluses or Deficits
for the Social Security Trust Fund, 1957-1983
($ in billions)
Annual Cash Flow
Annual Revenues
Annual
Surpluses or Deficits
Year
(non-interest income)a
Costs
(annual revenues less annual costs)
1957
$7.5
$7.6
($0.1)
1958
8.5
8.9
(0.4)
1959
8.9
10.8
(1.9)
1960
11.8
11.8
0.0
1961
12.3
13.4
(1.1)
1962
13.1
15.2
(2.1)
1963
15.6
16.2
(0.6)
1964
16.9
17.0
(0.1)
1965
17.2
19.2
(2.0)
1966
22.7
20.9
1.8
1967
25.5
22.5
3.0
1968
27.5
26.0
1.5
1969
32.0
27.9
4.1
1970
35.2
33.1
2.1
1971
38.9
38.5
0.4
1972
43.4
43.3
0.1
18 Status of the Social Security and Medicare Programs: A Summary of the 2012 Annual Reports, Social Security and
Medicare Boards of Trustees, April 23, 2012, p. 3 of “A Message to the Public,” available at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/oact/trsum/index.html.
19 2012 Annual Report, p. 4. In 1994, the reallocation of the payroll tax rate between OASI and DI was part of the
Social Security Domestic Employment Reform Act of 1994 (H.R. 4278, 103rd Congress), which became P.L. 103-387.
Congressional Research Service
5
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Annual Cash Flow
Annual Revenues
Annual
Surpluses or Deficits
Year
(non-interest income)a
Costs
(annual revenues less annual costs)
1973
52.4
53.1
(0.7)
1974
59.4
60.6
(1.2)
1975
64.7
69.2
(4.5)
1976
72.3
78.2
(5.9)
1977
79.5
87.3
(7.8)
1978
89.6
96.0
(6.4)
1979 103.7
107.3
(3.6)
1980
117.4
123.6
(6.2)
1981
140.2
144.4
(4.2)
1982
146.5
160.1
(13.6)
1983
163.0
171.2
(8.2)
Source: Table prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS) from data provided in the 2012 Annual
Report, Table VI.A3.
a. Annual revenues (or non-interest income) are equal to total income minus net interest. Stated another way,
annual revenues (or non-interest income) include net payrol tax contributions, reimbursements from the
general fund of the Treasury to the Social Security trust fund, and federal income tax revenues from the
taxation of benefits.
Table 2 shows the actual cash flow operations of the Social Security trust fund (annual revenues,
costs, and cash flow surpluses or deficits) for the 1984 to 2011 period.
Table 3 shows the projected cash flow operations of the Social Security trust fund (projected
annual revenues, costs, and cash flow deficits) for the 2012 to 2032 period, as projected by the
Social Security trustees in the 2012 Annual Report (under the intermediate assumptions).
Table 2. Annual Revenues, Costs, and Cash Flow Surpluses or Deficits
for the Social Security Trust Fund, 1984-2011
($ in billions)
Annual Cash Flow
Annual Revenues
Annual
Surpluses or Deficits
Year
(non-interest income)a
Costs
(annual revenues less annual costs)
1984
$183.2
$180.4
$2.8
1985
200.8
190.6
10.2
1986
212.9
201.5
11.4
1987
225.7
209.1
16.6
1988
255.3
222.5
32.8
1989
276.7
236.2
40.5
1990
298.2
253.1
45.1
1991
307.8
274.2
33.6
1992
317.2
291.9
25.3
Congressional Research Service
6
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Annual Cash Flow
Annual Revenues
Annual
Surpluses or Deficits
Year
(non-interest income)a
Costs
(annual revenues less annual costs)
1993
327.7
308.8
18.9
1994
350.0
323.0
27.0
1995
364.5
339.8
24.7
1996
385.8
353.6
32.2
1997
413.9
369.1
44.8
1998
439.9
382.3
57.6
1999
471.1
392.9
78.2
2000
503.9
415.1
88.8
2001
529.1
438.9
90.2
2002
546.7
461.7
85.0
2003
547.0
479.1
67.9
2004
568.7
501.6
67.1
2005 607.5
529.9
77.6
2006 642.5
555.4
87.1
2007 674.7
594.5
80.2
2008 689.0
625.1
63.9
2009 689.2
685.8
3.4
2010 663.6
712.5
(48.9)
2011 690.7
736.1
(45.4)
Source: Table prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS) from data provided in the 2012 Annual
Report, Table VI.A3.
a. Annual revenues (or non-interest income) are equal to total income minus net interest. Stated another way,
annual revenues (or non-interest income) include net payrol tax contributions, reimbursements from the
general fund of the Treasury to the Social Security trust fund, and federal income tax revenues from the
taxation of benefits.
Table 3. Projected Annual Revenues, Costs, and Cash Flow Deficits
for the Social Security Trust Fund, 2012-2032
($ in billions)
Annual Revenues
Annual
Annual Cash Flow Deficits
Yeara
(non-interest income)b
Costs
(annual revenues less annual costs)
2012 $735.5 $788.7
($53.2)
2013 765.4 832.3
(66.9)
2014 814.3 880.5
(66.2)
2015 865.4 933.2
(67.8)
2016 920.5 988.4
(67.9)
2017 979.9 1,048.2
(68.3)
2018 1,040.6 1,114.5
(73.9)
Congressional Research Service
7
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Annual Revenues
Annual
Annual Cash Flow Deficits
Yeara
(non-interest income)b
Costs
(annual revenues less annual costs)
2019 1,095.7 1,186.5
(90.8)
2020 1,151.5 1,266.0
(114.5)
2021 1,206.9 1,349.5
(142.6)
2022 1,260.2 1,437.2
(177.0)
2023 1,316.0 1,530.6
(214.6)
2024 1,374.8 1,628.9
(254.1)
2025 1,436.4 1,730.9
(294.5)
2026 1,500.4 1,836.6
(336.2)
2027 1,567.0 1,946.6
(379.6)
2028 1,637.4 2,059.7
(422.3)
2029 1,710.4 2,174.8
(464.4)
2030 1,786.1 2,292.4
(506.3)
2031 1,865.6 2,412.6
(547.0)
2032 1,949.9 2,535.6
(585.7)
Source: Table prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS) from data provided in the 2012 Annual
Report, Table VI.F8 (intermediate assumptions).
a. Projections for years after 2032 are not shown because the Social Security trust fund is projected to be
exhausted in 2033 under the intermediate assumptions.
b. Annual revenues (or non-interest income) are equal to total income minus interest income.
One way to measure the annual cash flow operations over time is to take the ratio of current
revenues to current costs for each year. A ratio greater than 100% indicates positive cash flow (a
cash flow surplus). Conversely, a ratio less than 100% indicates negative cash flow (a cash flow
deficit). Figure 1 shows the ratio of current revenues to current costs for the Social Security trust
fund over the historical period from 1957 to 2011 and over the future period from 2012 to 2032,
as projected by the Social Security trustees in the 2012 Annual Report (under the intermediate
assumptions).20
As shown in the figure, in 2009, revenues of $689.2 billion divided by costs of $685.8 billion
results in a ratio just over 100% (100.5%), indicating a cash flow surplus for the Social Security
trust fund. By comparison, in 2011, revenues of $690.7 billion divided by costs of $736.1 billion
results in a ratio of 93.8%, indicating a cash flow deficit for the Social Security trust fund. In the
2012 Annual Report, the Social Security trustees project that the ratio of current revenues to
current costs will remain below 100% for the remainder of the projection period, with the gap
between revenues and costs increasing over time (under the intermediate assumptions).
20 2012 Annual Report, Tables VI.A3 and VI.F8.
Congressional Research Service
8
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Figure 1. Ratio of Current (Annual) Revenues to Costs
for the Social Security Trust Fund, 1957-2032
Ratio
125%
120%
115%
110%
105%
100%
95%
90%
85%
80%
Historical
Projected
75%
1957
1962
1967
1972
1977
1982
1987
1992
1997
2002
2007
2012
2017
2022
2027
2032
Source: Figure prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS) from data provided in the 2012 Annual
Report, Tables VI.A3 and VI.F8 (intermediate assumptions).
Notes: Annual revenues do not include interest on accumulated holdings of U.S. government obligations. A ratio
above 100% indicates a cash flow surplus for the year. A ratio below 100% indicates a cash flow deficit.
When the Social Security trust fund operates with a cash flow deficit, benefits can continue to be
paid by the Treasury at levels scheduled under current law as long as the accumulated balance in
the Social Security trust fund is positive. This is because the Social Security program has budget
authority to pay benefits as long as the balance in the Social Security trust fund (the designated
account) is positive. However, when current revenues are not sufficient to pay benefits, the U.S.
government must raise the funds necessary to honor the redemption of U.S. government
obligations held by the Social Security trust fund as they are needed to pay benefits. If there are
no surplus governmental receipts, the U.S. government may raise the necessary funds by
increasing taxes or other income, reducing other spending, borrowing from the public (i.e.,
replacing bonds held by the trust fund with bonds held by the public), or some combination of
these measures.
Investment of the Social Security Trust Fund
The Secretary of the Treasury is required by law to invest Social Security revenues in securities
backed by the U.S. government.21 In addition, the Social Security trust fund receives interest on
21 Social Security Act, Title II, §201(d).
Congressional Research Service
9
Social Security: The Trust Fund
its holdings of special U.S. government obligations. Each government security issued by the
Treasury for purchase by the Social Security trust fund must be a paper instrument in the form of
a bond, note, or certificate of indebtedness.22 Specifically, section 201(d) of the Social Security
Act states,
Each obligation issued for purchase by the Trust Funds under this subsection shall be
evidenced by a paper instrument in the form of a bond, note, or certificate of indebtedness
issued by the Secretary of the Treasury setting forth the principal amount, date of maturity,
and interest rate of the obligation, and stating on its face that the obligation shall be
incontestable in the hands of the Trust Fund to which it is issued, that the obligation is
supported by the full faith and credit of the United States, and that the United States is
pledged to the payment of the obligation with respect to both principal and interest. The
Managing Trustee may purchase other interest-bearing obligations of the United States or
obligations guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the United States, on original issue
or at the market price, only where he determines that the purchase of such other obligations
is in the public interest.
Any interest or proceeds from the sale of government securities held by the Social Security trust
fund must be paid in the form of paper checks from the general fund of the Treasury to the Social
Security trust fund.23 The interest rates paid on the government securities issued to the Social
Security trust fund are tied to market rates.24
For internal federal accounting purposes, when special U.S. government obligations are
purchased by the Social Security trust fund, the Treasury is shifting surplus Social Security
revenues from one government account (the Social Security trust fund) to another government
account (the Treasury’s “general fund” account). The special U.S. government obligations are
physical documents held by the Social Security Administration, not the U.S. Treasury. The
government securities held by the Social Security trust fund are redeemed on a regular basis.
These special U.S. government obligations, however, are not resources for the government
because they represent both an asset and a liability for the government.
The Social Security Trust Fund and the Federal Budget
The Social Security program is indirectly part of the annual congressional budget process. This
creates some confusion on the part of the public.
On-Budget Versus Off-Budget
For federal budget purposes, on-budget status generally refers to programs that are included in the
annual congressional budget process, whereas off-budget status generally refers to programs that
are not included in the annual congressional budget process.
22 Social Security Act, Title II, §201(d).
23 Social Security Act, Title II, §201(f). The funds are then used to purchase additional government securities credited
to the Social Security trust fund.
24 For more information, see CRS Report RS20607, Social Security: Trust Fund Investment Practices, by Dawn
Nuschler.
Congressional Research Service
10
Social Security: The Trust Fund
The Social Security program is a government program that, like the Postal Service, has had its
receipts and (most) outlays designated by law as off-budget.25 The off-budget designation,
however, has no practical effect on program funding, spending or operations. The annual
congressional budget resolution, in its legislative language, separates the off-budget totals
(receipts and outlays) from the on-budget totals (receipts and outlays). The report language
accompanying the congressional budget resolution usually shows the unified budget totals (which
combine the on- and off-budget amounts) as well as the separate on- and off-budget totals. The
President’s budget tends to use the unified budget measures in discussing the budget totals. The
President’s budget documents also include the totals for the on- and off-budget components, as
required by law. The Congressional Budget Office uses the unified budget numbers in its analyses
of the budget; it generally does not include on- and off-budget data in its regular annual reports.
The unified budget framework is important because it includes all federal receipts and outlays
providing a more comprehensive picture of the size of the federal government, as well as the
impact of the federal budget on the economy. In the unified budget, the Social Security program
is a large source of federal receipts (approximately 25% in FY2011) and federal outlays
(approximately 20% in FY2011).26 For purposes of the unified budget, the annual Social Security
cash flow surplus or deficit is counted in determining the overall federal budget surplus or deficit.
The Social Security Trust Fund as
Accumulated Holdings
The Social Security trust fund can be (and often is) viewed as a trust fund, similar to any private
trust fund, that is to be used for paying current and future benefits (and administrative expenses).
By law, Social Security revenues credited to the trust fund (within the U.S. Treasury) are invested
in non-marketable U.S. government obligations. These obligations are physical (paper)
documents issued to the trust fund and held by the Social Security Administration. When the
obligations are redeemed, the Treasury must issue a check (a physical document) to the Social
Security trust fund for the interest earned on the obligations.27
However, unlike a private trust that may hold a variety of assets and obligations of different
borrowers, the Social Security trust fund can hold only non-marketable U.S. government
obligations. The sale of these obligations by the U.S. government to the Social Security trust fund
is federal government borrowing (from itself) and counts against the federal debt limit. The
requirement that the Social Security trust fund purchase U.S. government obligations serves
several purposes, such as
• offering a mechanism for the Social Security program to recoup the surplus
revenues loaned to the rest of the government;
25 Although the Social Security program is off-budget, the annual congressional budget process does provide the budget
authority for Social Security administrative spending. SSA’s administrative funding, which is paid for out of the Social
Security trust fund, is subject to an annual appropriated limit. In contrast, the Social Security program has budget
authority to pay benefits as long as the balance in the Social Security trust fund (the designated account) is positive.
26 Percentages calculated by the Congressional Research Service (CRS) from data provided in: Office of Management
and Budget, Historical Tables, Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 2013, Tables 2.1, 2.4, 6.1 and 13.1.
27 The funds are then used to purchase additional government securities credited to the Social Security trust fund.
Congressional Research Service
11
Social Security: The Trust Fund
• paying interest so that the loan of the surplus revenues does not lose value over
time;
• ensuring that the Social Security trust fund (and not other government accounts)
receives credit for the interest earnings;
• ensuring a level of return (interest) to the Social Security trust fund; and
• providing a means outside of the securities market for the U.S. government to
borrow funds.
The accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust fund represent the sum of annual surplus
Social Security revenues (for all past years) which were invested in U.S. government obligations,
plus the interest earned on those obligations. As a result of surplus Social Security revenues from
1984 to 2009 and the interest income credited to the Social Security trust fund, the accumulated
holdings of the Social Security trust fund totaled $2.7 trillion at the end of calendar year 2011. It
is the accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust fund (or the trust fund balance) that many
people refer to when discussing the Social Security trust fund. Table 4 shows the accumulated
holdings of the Social Security trust fund for the historical period from 1957 to 2011. Table 5
shows the accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust fund for the future period from 2012
to 2032, as projected by the Social Security trustees in the 2012 Annual Report (under the
intermediate assumptions). The Social Security trustees project that the level of accumulated
holdings will begin to decline in 2021, and that the Social Security trust fund will be exhausted in
2033.28
The Social Security trustees project that, on average over the next 75 years (2012 to 2086),
program costs will exceed income by an amount equal to 2.67% of taxable payroll (on average,
costs are projected to exceed income by approximately 19%).29 The gap between income and
costs, however, is projected to increase over the 75-year period. For example, in 2035, the cost of
the program is projected to exceed income by an amount equal to 4.13% of taxable payroll (costs
are projected to exceed income by approximately 31%). By 2085, the cost of the program is
projected to exceed income by an amount equal to 4.47% of taxable payroll (costs are projected
to exceed income by approximately 34%).
The Social Security trustees project that the Social Security trust fund would remain solvent
throughout the 75-year projection period if, for example,
• the combined employer and employee payroll tax rate were increased during the
period in a manner equivalent to an immediate increase of 2.61 percentage points
(from 12.40% to 15.01%);30
28 Under the intermediate assumptions of the 2012 Annual Report, the Social Security trustees project that program
costs will exceed total income (tax revenues plus interest income) beginning in 2021. At that point, the trust fund
balance will begin to be drawn down to help pay benefits and administrative expenses. The trustees project that the
assets (government securities) held by the trust fund will be exhausted in 2033. Following the exhaustion of trust fund
reserves, the program would continue to operate with incoming receipts.
29 Program costs and income are evaluated as a percentage of taxable payroll because Social Security payroll taxes are
the primary source of funding for the program. The 75-year “open group unfunded obligation” for the Social Security
program is $8.6 trillion (in present value terms).
30 The Social Security trustees explain that the projected increase in the payroll tax rate needed for the trust fund to
remain solvent throughout the 75-year projection period (2.61 percentage points) differs from the projected 75-year
actuarial deficit (2.67% of taxable payroll) for two reasons. The trustees state on page 4 of the 2012 Annual Report:
(continued...)
Congressional Research Service
12
Social Security: The Trust Fund
• benefits scheduled under current law were reduced during the period in a manner
equivalent to an immediate benefit reduction of 16.2%;
• alternative sources of revenue were drawn upon; or
• some combination of these approaches were adopted.
These hypothetical revenue and benefit changes illustrate the magnitude of changes needed for
the Social Security trust fund to remain solvent throughout the 75-year projection period. The
Social Security trustees point out that “Lawmakers would have to make significantly larger
changes for future beneficiaries if they decide to avoid changes for current beneficiaries and those
close to retirement age.”31
Table 4. Accumulated Holdings of the
Social Security Trust Fund, 1957-2011
($ in billions)
Accumulated
Year
Holdingsa
1957 $23.0
1958 23.2
1959 22.0
1960 22.6
1961 22.2
1962 20.7
1963 20.7
1964 21.2
1965 19.8
1966 22.3
1967 26.3
1968 28.7
1969 34.2
1970 38.1
1971 40.4
1972 42.8
1973 44.4
1974 45.9
(...continued)
“First, the necessary tax rate is the rate required to maintain solvency throughout the period that does not result in any
trust fund reserve at the end of the period, whereas the actuarial deficit incorporates an ending trust fund balance equal
to 1 year’s cost. Second, the necessary tax rate reflects a behavioral response to tax rate changes, whereas the actuarial
deficit does not. In particular, the calculation of the necessary tax rate assumes that an increase in payroll taxes results
in a small shift of wages and salaries to forms of employee compensation that are not subject to the payroll tax.”
31 2012 Annual Report, p. 4.
Congressional Research Service
13
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Accumulated
Year
Holdingsa
1975 44.3
1976 41.1
1977 35.9
1978 31.7
1979 30.3
1980 26.5
1981 24.5
1982 24.8
1983 24.9
1984 31.1
1985 42.2
1986 46.9
1987 68.8
1988 109.8
1989 163.0
1990 225.3
1991 280.7
1992 331.5
1993 378.3
1994 436.4
1995 496.1
1996 567.0
1997 655.5
1998 762.5
1999 896.1
2000 1,049.4
2001 1,212.5
2002 1,378.0
2003 1,530.8
2004 1,686.8
Congressional Research Service
14
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Accumulated
Year
Holdingsa
2005 1,858.7
2006 2,048.1
2007 2,238.5
2008 2,418.7
2009 2,540.3
2010 2,609.0
2011 2,677.9
Source: Table prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS) from data provided in the 2012 Annual
Report, Table VI.A3.
a. The accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust fund are also referred to as the trust fund balance.
Table 5. Projected Accumulated Holdings of the
Social Security Trust Fund, 2012-2032
($ in billions)
Accumulated
Yeara
Holdingsb
2012 $2,735.2
2013 2,776.3
2014 2,818.8
2015 2,861.9
2016 2,908.1
2017 2,957.8
2018 3,006.8
2019 3,043.7
2020 3,061.0
2021 3,053.0
2022 3,017.1
2023 2,948.6
2024 2,843.8
2025 2,699.4
2026 2,511.6
2027 2,268.3
2028 1,967.1
2029 1,605.4
2030 1,179.7
2031 687.7
2032 127.5
Congressional Research Service
15
Social Security: The Trust Fund
Source: Table prepared by the Congressional Research Service (CRS) from data provided in the 2012 Annual
Report, Table VI.F8 (intermediate assumptions).
a. Projections for years after 2032 are not shown because the Social Security trust fund is projected to be
exhausted in 2033 under the intermediate assumptions.
b. The accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust fund are also referred to as the trust fund balance.
The Social Security Trust Fund and the Level of Federal Debt
As part of the annual congressional budget process, the level of federal debt (the federal debt
limit) is set for the budget by Congress. The federal debt limit includes debt held by the public as
well as the internal debt of the U.S. government (i.e., debt held by government accounts).
Borrowing from the public and the investment of the Social Security trust fund in special U.S.
government obligations both fall under the restrictions of the federal debt limit. This means that
the Social Security trust fund balance has implications for the federal debt limit.
For a discussion of how reaching the debt limit potentially could affect Social Security trust fund
investment practices and benefit payments, see CRS Report R41633, Reaching the Debt Limit:
Background and Potential Effects on Government Operations, coordinated by Mindy R. Levit.
The Social Security Trust Fund and Benefit Payments
The accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust fund, which represent budget authority for
the program, can be viewed as a measure of funds dedicated to pay current and future benefits.
However, when current tax revenues are below levels needed to pay benefits,32 these funds (the
accumulated holdings) are available to pay benefits only as the government raises the resources
necessary to pay for the securities as they are redeemed by the Social Security trust fund. The
securities are a promise, by the U.S. government, to raise the necessary funds.33 When the system
is operating with a cash flow surplus, the surplus Social Security revenues (which are invested in
government securities held by the trust fund) are used to fund other government activities at the
time. The surplus Social Security revenues, therefore, are not available to finance benefits directly
when the system is operating with a cash flow deficit.
Stated another way, when the Social Security trust fund runs a cash flow deficit, the trust fund
cashes in more federal government securities than the amount of current Social Security tax
revenues. Because general revenues are used to redeem the federal government securities held by
the trust fund, this results in increased spending for Social Security from the general fund. With
respect to the Social Security program’s reliance on general revenues, it is important to note that
the program is relying on revenues collected for Social Security purposes in previous years that
were used by the federal government at the time for other (non-Social Security) spending needs.
The program draws on those previously collected Social Security tax revenues (plus interest)
when current Social Security tax revenues fall below current program expenditures.
32 In the 2012 Annual Report, the Social Security trustees project that revenues will remain below program costs each
year throughout the 75-year projection period (2012-2086), under the intermediate assumptions.
33 If there are no surplus governmental receipts, the U.S. government may raise the necessary funds by increasing taxes
or other income, reducing other spending, borrowing from the public (i.e., replacing bonds held by the trust fund with
bonds held by the public), or some combination of these measures.
Congressional Research Service
16
Social Security: The Trust Fund
The Social Security trustees project that the accumulated holdings of the Social Security trust
fund will be exhausted in 2033. At that time, incoming receipts to the trust fund are projected to
equal about 75% of program costs. By the end of the 75-year projection period (2086), incoming
receipts are projected to equal about 73% of program costs (based on the intermediate
assumptions of the 2012 Annual Report).34 The Social Security Act does not state what would
happen to the payment of benefits scheduled under current law in the event of Social Security
trust fund exhaustion. Two possible scenarios are the payment of full monthly benefits on a
delayed schedule or the payment of partial (reduced) monthly benefits on time.35
Acknowledgments
This report was originally written by Christine Scott.
34 2012 Annual Report, p. 21.
35 For related information, see CRS Report RL32822, Social Security Reform: Legal Analysis of Social Security Benefit
Entitlement Issues, by Kathleen S. Swendiman and Thomas J. Nicola.
Congressional Research Service
17