Political Transition in Tunisia 
Alexis Arieff 
Analyst in African Affairs 
September 20, 2011 
Congressional Research Service 
7-5700 
www.crs.gov 
RS21666 
CRS Report for Congress
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  epared for Members and Committees of Congress        
Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
Summary 
On January 14, 2011, longtime President Zine el Abidine Ben Ali fled the country following 
weeks of mounting anti-government protests. Tunisia’s mass popular uprising, dubbed the 
“Jasmine Revolution,” sparked anti-government and pro-reform movements in other countries 
across the region, and some policy makers view Tunisia as a potential “test case” for democratic 
transitions in the Middle East.  
Ben Ali’s departure was greeted by widespread euphoria within Tunisia. However, disputes over 
reform priorities, political instability, economic crisis, labor unrest, tensions between the 
privileged coastal region and relatively impoverished interior, and lingering insecurity are 
continuing challenges, while the humanitarian impact of refugee flows from Libya presents 
additional difficulties. National elections are scheduled for October 23 to select a transitional 
“National Constituent Assembly.” The Assembly will, in turn, be charged with promulgating a 
new constitution ahead of expected presidential and parliamentary elections, which have not yet 
been scheduled. Over 100 parties, most of them newly created, along with independents are 
competing for seats in the Assembly. However, the Constituent Assembly’s timeline of existence, 
its mandate, and its decision-making process remain largely undetermined.  
Until January, Ben Ali and his Constitutional Democratic Rally (RCD) party exerted near-total 
control over parliament, state and local governments, and most political activity. Tunisia 
cultivated strong ties with France and the European Union, its largest trading partner, and with the 
United States. Despite many political and economic characteristics shared across the region, 
Tunisia exhibits a number of unique attributes: it has a relatively small territory, a sizable and 
highly educated middle class, and a long history of encouraging women’s socioeconomic 
freedoms. These factors have led some analysts to state that Tunisia is the best placed country in 
the region to successfully undergo a democratic transition—and that conversely, if it can’t, that 
this could have dire implications for other countries such as Egypt and Libya.  
Tunisia’s transition raises a wide range of questions for the future of the country and the region. 
These pertain to the struggle between reformists and entrenched forces carried over from the 
former regime; the potential shape of the new political order; the future role of Islamist 
movements in the government and society; the role of the security forces in steering political 
events; and the difficult diplomatic balance—for the United States and other actors—of 
encouraging greater democratic openness while not undermining other foreign policy priorities.  
Congress authorizes and appropriates foreign assistance funding and oversees U.S. foreign policy 
toward Tunisia and the wider region. U.S.-Tunisian relations were, prior to 2011, highly focused 
on military assistance and counterterrorism. The Obama Administration has proposed over $33 
million in newly allocated funding for the promotion of democracy, good governance, and 
economic reforms, in addition to economic support through the Overseas Private Investment 
Corporation. International financial institutions, which receive significant U.S. financial support, 
and the G8 have also pledged aid for Tunisia. Some Members of Congress argue that additional 
aid should allocated for democracy promotion and economic recovery in Tunisia, while others 
contend that budgetary cuts take precedence over new aid programs, or that economic 
stabilization may be best addressed by the private sector or by other donors. Related draft bills 
include S. 618/ H.R. 2237 and S. 1388. 
 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
Contents 
Tunisia’s “Jasmine Revolution”....................................................................................................... 1 
Background................................................................................................................................ 2 
Key Issues in the Transition............................................................................................................. 3 
Elections .................................................................................................................................... 5 
The Role of Islam in Politics ..................................................................................................... 7 
The Security Forces................................................................................................................... 9 
The Military ........................................................................................................................ 9 
Security Concerns.................................................................................................................... 10 
Terrorism in Tunisia: Background..................................................................................... 11 
Prosecuting Ben Ali and Associates ........................................................................................ 13 
Recovery of State Assets ................................................................................................... 13 
Key Actors ..................................................................................................................................... 14 
Selected Profiles ...................................................................................................................... 15 
The Economy................................................................................................................................. 17 
U.S.-Tunisian Relations ................................................................................................................. 19 
U.S. Assistance ........................................................................................................................ 21 
Security Assistance............................................................................................................ 22 
Multilateral Assistance ...................................................................................................... 24 
Congress and Aid to Tunisia.............................................................................................. 25 
Foreign Relations........................................................................................................................... 26 
Israel and the Palestinians ....................................................................................................... 26 
Europe ..................................................................................................................................... 26 
Regional Relations................................................................................................................... 27 
Outlook .......................................................................................................................................... 28 
 
Figures 
Figure 1. Map of Tunisia.................................................................................................................. 1 
 
Tables 
Table 1. Foreign Assistance to Tunisia, Selected Accounts ........................................................... 24 
 
Contacts 
Author Contact Information........................................................................................................... 29 
Acknowledgments ......................................................................................................................... 29 
 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
Tunisia’s “Jasmine Revolution” 
President Zine el Abidine Ben Ali, in power 
Figure 1. Map of Tunisia 
since 1987, fled Tunisia for Saudi Arabia on 
January 14, 2011, following weeks of 
mounting anti-government protests (see text-
box, below). Tunisia’s popular uprising, 
dubbed the “Jasmine Revolution,” inspired 
reform and opposition movements in Egypt, 
Libya, Yemen, Syria, Jordan, and other 
countries. The pro-democracy movement has 
been internationally heralded, but a wave of 
unrest across the Middle East has also 
sparked international concern over stability in 
a region associated with previously secure, 
autocratic, pro-Western regimes. 
The early months of the post-Ben Ali 
government were marked by continuing 
unrest and popular contestation, partly in 
response to the interim government’s initial 
decision to retain several longtime officials of 
the former ruling party. In addition, a security 
vacuum—amid reports of sabotage by 
unidentified militias, and as police fled their 
posts and citizens formed self-defense 
groups—raised fears of violence and chaos.  
On February 27, a more stable, if weak, 
interim government took shape under newly 
appointed Prime Minister Béji Caïd Essebsi, 
an elder statesman from the administration of 
founding President Habib Bourguiba. Essebsi 
replaced Mohamed Ghannouchi, who had 
 
served as Ben Ali’s prime minister since 
Source: Map Resources, adapted by CRS 
1999. Essebsi stated that his priorities would 
be to address security, reverse the economic crisis, and “to restore the prestige of the state.”1 The 
former speaker of parliament, Fouad Mebazaa, was named interim president on January 15, in 
line with constitutional prerogatives, and he remains in that role.2 Attention is currently focused 
on national elections scheduled to take place in October. 
                                                                  
1 Tarek Amara, “Tunisian Interim PM to Appoint New Government,” Reuters, March 4, 2011. 
2 Article 57 of Tunisia’s constitution states that “should the office of President of the Republic become vacant because 
of death, resignation, or absolute disability,” the President of the Chamber of Deputies “shall immediately be vested 
with the functions of interim president of the republic for a period ranging from 45 to 60 days.” The Article further 
stipulates that elections should be held during that time period to elect a new president for a five-year term, and that the 
interim president may not stand as a candidate. 
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The December-January Protests 
Anti-government protests began in Tunisia’s interior in mid-December 2010. Public demonstrations had previously 
been very rare in Tunisia, where state repression and the close surveillance of dissidents have traditionally been 
effective at curbing the expression of anti-government views. The demonstrations initial y seemed to stem from 
discontent related to high unemployment, but quickly spiraled into an unprecedented popular challenge to Ben Ali’s 
authoritarian regime. From the start, protesters appeared to lack a central leader and were not necessarily aligned 
with a pre-existing political or ideological movement.  
Protests were first reported on December 17 in the interior town of Sidi Bouzid, after a 26-year-old street vendor 
set himself on fire to protest police interference and a lack of economic opportunities. By late December, the 
protests had spread to the nearby cities of Kasserine and Thala, as wel  as other urban centers. On January 12, riots 
erupted in the capital, Tunis. The military deployed to the streets and a national curfew was imposed. The following 
day, rioters ransacked a private home belonging to one of Ben Ali’s wealthy relatives in the beach community of 
Hammamet, underscoring the deep antipathy many Tunisians felt toward members of the ruling elite. Authorities 
imposed a state of emergency on January 14, prohibiting gatherings of over three people and authorizing the use of 
force against “any suspect person who does not obey orders to stop.”3 Police repeatedly opened fire on crowds and 
arrested protesters, journalists, opposition party members, lawyers, and rights advocates, some of whom were 
reportedly abused in detention. Over 200 people were killed in the uprising.4  
Prior to his exile, Ben Ali offered a widening series of concessions on political and civil rights in an effort to stem the 
unrest. On January 13, the president gave an address on national television in which he pledged to step down when 
his term was up in 2014, to allow fresh parliamentary elections before then, and to end state censorship. However, 
these promises did not placate demonstrators, who continued to press for Ben Ali’s immediate resignation and the 
dissolution of the ruling party. 
Background 
Prior to the December-January demonstrations, Tunisia was widely viewed as exhibiting a stable, 
albeit authoritarian regime that placed a higher priority on economic growth than on political 
liberalization. It had only two leaders since gaining independence from France in 1956: the late 
Habib Bourguiba, a secular nationalist who helped lead Tunisia’s independence movement, and 
Ben Ali, a former Interior Minister and Prime Minister who assumed the presidency in 1987. Ben 
Ali cultivated the internal security services and the Constitutional Democratic Rally (RCD) party 
as his power base, and placed severe restrictions on human rights, political participation, and 
freedom of expression. The president and his family were also seen as highly corrupt. 
While Tunisia shares many characteristics with neighboring countries, it also has a number of 
unique attributes: a small territory, a relatively homogenous population (despite tribal and ethnic 
divisions in some areas), a liberalized economy, a large and educated middle class, and a history 
of encouraging women’s socioeconomic freedoms.5 Arabic-speaking Sunni Muslims make up the 
overwhelming majority of Tunisia’s population, but its urban culture and elite reflect a strong 
European influence. The population is young compared with developed countries, but its youth 
bulge is declining.6 As many as a million Tunisians reside abroad, mainly in Europe.  
                                                                  
3 Tunisia 7 Television, “Tunisian Authorities Declare State of Emergency,” January 14, 2011, via Open Source Center. 
4 As of February 1, the United Nations estimated that at least 219 people were killed, including 72 killed in prison fires. 
Interim government investigators stated in July that they had documented 238 protesters killed and 1,380 wounded, 
mostly by the security forces. Marie Colvin, “High Noon as Lawyer Closes in on Officials Behind Tunisia Killings,” 
The Sunday Times, July 31, 2011. 
5 Tunisia’s spending on education (7.2% of gross domestic product) is high by regional standards. CIA, The World 
Factbook, updated January 3, 2011. 
6 EIU, Tunisia: Country Profile, 2008. 
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The legal and socioeconomic status of women 
Tunisia at a Glance 
in Tunisia is one of its particularities. Tunisia 
is the only Arab Muslim country that bans 
Population: 10.63 million (July 2011 est.) 
polygamy. Women serve in the military and in 
Income Level: Lower middle income  
many professions, and constitute more than 
Urbanization rate: 67% of the population (2010) 
50% of university students; the first woman 
governor was appointed in May 2004. Many 
Life Expectancy: 75 years (2011 est.) 
Tunisians credit the country’s relatively liberal 
Religion: Muslim: 98%, Christian: 1%, 
personal status code, promulgated under 
Jewish and other, 1% 
founding President Bourguiba, for these 
Literacy: 78% (2008) 
advances. 
Key Exports: clothing, semi-finished goods and textiles, 
agricultural products 
Despite its apparent relative prosperity, 
Key Imports: textiles, machinery and equipment, 
Tunisia has long exhibited a vast divide 
hydrocarbons 
between rural and urban areas, and 
particularly between the developed, tourist-
Major Trading Partners: France, Italy, Germany, 
Libya, China, Spain 
friendly coast and the far poorer interior. At 
least half of the population lives in Tunis and 
Female Labor Participation Rate (% of female 
population): 26%  
coastal towns, and there is population drift 
toward these areas.7 Anti-government 
Sources: CIA, The World Factbook, September 2011; 
demonstrations, in particular those rooted in 
World Bank, World Development Indicators 
labor and economic grievances, have often 
originated in the dispossessed interior (which includes hardscrabble mining areas)—as did the 
unrest that unseated Ben Ali.  
Key Issues in the Transition 
Nine months into Tunisia’s transition from authoritarian rule, the country faces steep challenges. 
Interim government officials have embarked on a wide range of reforms, including the release of 
political prisoners, the authorization of dozens of new political parties, and the lifting of many 
online and media restrictions. The former ruling party, the RCD, has been dissolved and its funds 
liquidated, and a number of former party officials and Ben Ali associates and relatives have been 
arrested. Efforts to dismantle the former regime’s security apparatus are ongoing. Authorities 
have announced their intention to adhere to international human rights treaties, including the 
Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court. Government activities are currently focused on 
preparing for national elections on October 23, which are expected to lead to a transitional 
government that will draft a new constitution. 
Yet the interim government has struggled to maintain public trust, despite its apparent efforts to 
act in good faith. Many perceive the interim authorities as acting too slowly on reforms, and there 
is a lack of clarity over who, within the government, is empowered to make key decisions.8 These 
and other factors have contributed to some Tunisians’ fears that former regime stalwarts could 
                                                                  
7 EIU, Tunisia: Country Profile, 2008. 
8 See, e.g., National Democratic Institute for International Affairs (NDI), Imagining the Road Ahead: Citizen Attitudes 
About Tunisia and the Constituent Assembly Election Period, July 2011; and Marina Ottaway, “Transitional Failure in 
Egypt and Tunisia,” National Interest, August 10, 2011. 
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reemerge and consolidate power.9 Moreover, as one analyst noted, “the lack of revolutionary 
leadership and the late entry of the political parties into the revolution mean that there is no group 
able to negotiate political reforms in the revolution’s name. Groups claiming to represent the 
people have been proliferating, yet they offer significantly different visions.”10  
Despite some progress toward elections and other reforms, reports indicate widespread 
dissatisfaction and confusion over the transition process.11 Moreover, tensions are burgeoning 
between representatives of the coastal elite and the disadvantaged interior, between Islamists and 
secularists, between the activist youth who led the uprising and the technocrats who run the 
interim government, and among political factions. As one longtime observer recently wrote, 
“economic stagnation, pent up social demands, and a combination of political and cultural 
tensions are generating deep suspicion and anxiety across the country.”12 
At times, resurgent public demonstrations and sporadic riots have appeared to threaten the interim 
government’s ability to assert its authority, and some observers fear that vast and divided 
expectations could undermine Tunisia’s ability to make steady progress on institutional reforms.13 
Since Ben Ali’s departure, the government’s response to protests has been relatively tempered, 
and the focus of security forces has turned toward containing disorder; however, in some 
instances, police have reportedly assaulted protesters and journalists. Public unrest has also 
sparked security concerns. In July, Prime Minister Essebsi accused rioters in Sidi Bouzid—where 
the protests that overthrew Ben Ali first originated—of trying to destabilize the country and derail 
elections, and in September, Essebsi stated that the government “will no longer tolerate practices 
that risk to paralyze the daily situation of Tunisians, such as road-blocks, attacks on police posts 
and regional sovereign establishments, and attacks on the national security forces and military.”14 
Tunisians have wrestled over how to resolve differences of opinion over reform priorities, the 
relative legitimacy of various political actors, and the details of implementation. For example, the 
main Islamist party, Hizb al Nahda (alt: Ennahda/An-Nahda, “Renaissance”), withdrew from the 
interim government’s High Authority for the Realization of the Goals of the Revolution, Political 
Reforms, and the Democratic Transition (henceforth, the political reforms commission) in June, 
citing a lack of “popular legitimacy.”15 Al Nahda’s withdrawal, which was followed by the 
                                                                  
9 OSC doc. GMP20110817950023, “Tunisian Politicians Unite Against Ben Ali’s Loyalists Making Comeback,” Al 
Jazeera, August 16, 2011; OSC doc. GMP20110914950028, “Ousted Tunisian Regime’s Loyalists Said Trying to 
Regain Media Control,” Al Jazeera, September 13, 2011. 
10 Asma Nouira, “Obstacles on the Path of Tunisia’s Democratic Transformation,” Carnegie Endowment for 
International Peace, Arab Reform Bulletin, March 30, 2011. 
11 E.g., Le Monde, “Tunisie: L’Euphorie Est Partie,” June 15, 2011. 
12 Christopher Alexander, “Suspicion and Strategy in Free Tunisia,” ForeignPolicy.com, June 20, 2011. 
13 E.g., Marina Ottaway, “Tunisia: The Revolution is Over, Can Reform Continue?” Carnegie Endowment for 
International Peace, July 13, 2011. In May, for example, mass demonstrations erupted amid doubts over the interim 
government’s capacity and will to complete the next steps toward democracy, leading to violent clashes with the 
security forces and prompting the temporary reinstatement of a curfew. The unrest was spurred by remarks by former 
interim Interior Minister Farhat Rajhi—seen as a popular reformer, but relieved of his position in March—in which he 
accused elites of preparing a military coup should Islamists win the election. Interim authorities rejected Rajhi’s 
statement, which he subsequently retracted. Rajhi’s remarks, which he did not appear to have intended to be broadcast 
publicly, indirectly referenced the experience of Algeria, where parliamentary elections were canceled by the military 
in 1992 after Islamists appeared poised to gain a majority of seats, leading to a decade of civil war.  
14 John Thorne, “Agitators ‘Derailing Elections’ in Tunisia, PM Claims,” The National, July 19, 2011; Le Temps, 
“Discours Martial de Béji Caïd Essebsi,” September 7, 2011 (CRS translation). 
15 According to news reports, the party’s objections pertained to disagreements over attempts to limit campaign 
(continued...) 
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withdrawal of at least one other prominent political party and similar criticism by other members, 
underscored the difficulties inherent in attempting to channel reformist sentiment while 
accommodating disparate groups, and threatened to further undermine the interim government’s 
ability to make decisions in the name of a broad political coalition.  
The interim authorities have generally privileged election preparations over addressing profound 
socioeconomic grievances (beyond appealing for additional external financial support), which 
were among the motivating factors behind the January uprising. While some Tunisians appear to 
accept this trade-off, labor strikes and localized demonstrations over wages, quality of life issues, 
and access to land and jobs are frequent. Interim President Mebazaa has appealed for “patience” 
from those demanding better living conditions, while Prime Minister Essebsi in April denounced 
“daily protests and sit-ins that undermine the government’s efforts to encourage foreign 
investment.”16 Further unrest could result if the National Constituent Assembly is seen to defer 
consideration of socioeconomic issues until a post-transitional government is in place.  
The following sections discuss key issues in Tunisia’s transition. 
Elections 
The organization of national elections is a key element of the transition process. The elections are 
expected to select a transitional, 218-seat “National Constituent Assembly,” which will, in turn, 
be charged with drafting a new constitution and preparing for presidential and parliamentary 
elections.17 However, the duration, mandate, authorities, and mode of operation of the Assembly, 
once it is elected, remain undefined.  
The potential stakes in the election are high: to determine which political actors may speak in the 
name of popular legitimacy, and to decide who will shape the new political order through the 
process of constitution-drafting. Yet reports indicate that the complexity of the transition process, 
and a lack of public understanding of the Constituent Assembly’s role, have led to political 
apathy—an unanticipated reaction for a country in which pride in the “revolution” still holds 
considerable sway.18 Only 52% of estimated eligible voters registered to vote—although others 
will be able to vote using their national identity cards—and roughly one in three Tunisians 
                                                                  
(...continued) 
financing and over potential overtures to Israel. 
16 Reuters, “Tunisia Struggles to Tame Revolutionary Spirit,” February 15, 2011; Agence France Press (AFP), 
“Tunisie: Le Premier Ministre Dénonce des Excès dans les Manifestations et l’Emigration,” April 26, 2011. 
17 The concept of electing a transitional government—instead of holding immediate presidential and/or legislative 
elections—was announced on March 3 by Interim President Fouad Mebazaa, and was initially greeted as a victory by 
Tunisia’s protest movement. In making this decision, interim authorities appeared to be sincerely attempting to respond 
to the public’s demands for a transformation of the political system based on broad consultations. The parliament, 
which was dominated by supporters of the former regime, voted on February 9 to allow Interim President Mebazaa to 
rule by decree and has since suspended its activities. 
18 U.S. Diplomatic Cable [UNCLASSIFIED], “Voter Registration Deadline Extended, Growing Frustration With Voter 
Apathy,” August 1, 2011; Kaouther Larbi, “Tunisie: défiance ou myopie, la moitié des électeurs boudent l'inscription,” 
AFP, August 14, 2011; Richard Valdmanis, “Confusion Reigns Ahead of Tunisia Vote,” Reuters, September 7, 2011. 
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reported, two months ahead of election day, that they were undecided about whom to vote for.19 
Nearly a third have indicated they would vote for “none” of the parties.20 
The independent electoral commission, known by the French acronym ISIE, is ostensibly the lead 
electoral management body. However, the ability to make key decisions on dates, logistics, and 
procurement is divided among the ISIE, several government ministries, and other entities, such as 
a “liaison committee” that answers to the Prime Minister.21 The ISIE is also reportedly internally 
divided. Some election experts have criticized the ISIE and interim government for a lack of 
transparency and of clarity on procedures. Furthermore, they note that the potential role of 
Interior Ministry officials in election management could be controversial.22  
In June, the election date was pushed back from July to October 23 due to logistical hurdles—
including delays in passing a new electoral law; establishing an electoral commission; and 
commencing voter registration, poll worker training, and the procurement of election materials. 
The delay followed a series of contradictory announcements by Prime Minister Essebsi and ISIE 
head Kemal Jendoubi. Several prominent political parties initially strongly opposed a delay—
including Al Nahda and the largest legal opposition party during the former regime, Nejib el 
Chebbi’s Progressive Democratic Party (PDP)—but they subsequently largely accepted it. 
A new electoral law promulgated in May, which serves as the framework for the October election, 
sets out a one-round voting system based on proportional representation, and includes a “parity” 
reservation for women on the lists.23 Tunisians in the diaspora will be able to vote. Regional 
governors, judges, and local officials cannot run as candidates unless they first resign their posts. 
The law also bars from candidacy certain senior officials of the former ruling party.24 Over 100 
political parties and a number of independent groupings are fielding candidates in the elections, 
resulting in nearly 10,000 candidates and over 1,600 party lists—a higher than expected number 
that could create logistical difficulties regarding ballots and counting.25 The Carter Center, which 
is observing the election process, stated that “Tunisia’s voter registration process was conducted 
smoothly, but important operational challenges remain ... particularly the allocation of voters to 
polling stations and a campaign to disseminate voter information to the public.”26 The formal 
campaign period begins on October 1. Efforts by the ISIE to ban public opinion surveys and 
political advertizing, starting on September 12, have been controversial.27 
                                                                  
19 Sigma Conseil, Baromètre Politique, Tunis, September 2011. 
20 State Department Office of Opinion Research, “Tunisians Up for Elections, But Down on Parties,” August 31, 2011. 
21 International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES), Elections in Tunisia: The 2011 Constituent Assembly, 
Frequently Asked Questions, July 2011. 
22 CRS interviews with election experts, September 6-13, 2011.  
23 Previously, Tunisia had a 25% female reservation requirement for party lists in parliamentary elections. According to 
news reports, the women’s representation provision was supported by Al Nahda. 
24 Art. 15 of Decree Law N. 35 on Election of the National Constituent Assembly, May 10, 2011; provided by the 
International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES). Senior officials are defined as those who occupied a “position 
of responsibility” in the government over the past ten years or who signed a petition supporting the former president’s 
2014 re-election bid.  
25 Richard Cochrane, “Election 2011: Candidate Registration Completed as Tunisia Prepares for Election,” IHS Global 
Insight, September 13, 2011; CRS interview with election management expert, September 13, 2011. 
26 “The Carter Center Welcomes Completion of Tunisia’s Voter Registration; Highlights Additional Steps Needed to 
Ensure Successful Polling,” September 1, 2011. 
27 TunisieNews.com, “Les Partis Politiques Défient la Décision de l’ISIE et Poursuivent Leurs Compagnes 
Publicitaires,” September 12, 2011.  
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The Role of Islam in Politics 
The relationships between Islam, Islamic practice, and the Tunisian state are likely to be a core 
area of disagreement and contestation for members of the National Constituent Assembly as it 
tries to draft a new constitution. The rapid liberalization of the political sphere since January has 
led to the legalization of Al Nahda, Tunisia’s largest Islamist organization, which operated 
clandestinely and outside the country over the past two decades. Other Islamist groups have also 
proliferated (including some splinter factions of Al Nahda), and religiously conservative Salafist 
groups have expanded their activities and visibility.28 Recent public opinion surveys place the 
level of support for Al Nahda around 20%, which (if accurate) would make it by far the most 
popular political party but still presumably reliant on coalition-building.29 (The second most 
popular party appears to be Najib el Chebbi’s PDP.) A significant additional percentage of 
Tunisians, while they may not plan to vote for Al Nahda, reportedly broadly desire Islam to play a 
more prominent role in public life.30 However, very few indicate that they prefer an Islamic 
system of government.31 
Most analysts argue that Tunisia’s secular traditions, educated middle class, and history of 
promoting women’s socioeconomic equality are bulwarks against extremism. Islamists and 
secularists have nonetheless grown increasingly polarized in recent months, potentially 
portending gridlock within the Constituent Assembly. Secular elites are particularly concerned 
with protecting Tunisia’s personal status code, which protects some socioeconomic rights for 
women. Recent demonstrations by radical Islamist groups, including an assault by Salafists on 
individuals attending the screening of a secularist film in Tunis in late June, have sparked 
additional concerns.32 Al Nahda leaders, including founder and president Rachid Ghannouchi, 
have generally portrayed themselves as moderates who seek to participate in a democratic 
political system, support the separation of mosque and state, and would not scale back women’s 
rights.33 The movement’s detractors, however, suspect it of a “double discourse,” i.e., portraying a 
moderate face to the public and to international audiences in order to enter government and 
gradually introduce more conservative, restrictive laws and institutions.34 On the other hand, 
                                                                  
28 See, e.g., CTC Sentinel, “The Rise of Salafists in Tunisia After the Fall of Ben Ali,” August 1, 2011. 
29 See, e.g., Institut de Sondage et de Traitement de l’Information Statistique (ISTIS), “Sondage d’Opinion sur la 
Situation Politique et l’Impact de la Révolution sur les Média Presse,” April 2011; OSC doc. GMP20110706966178, 
“Al Jazeera.net: Tunisians Undecided Ahead of October Vote,” July 6, 2011; AFP, “Tunisie/Elections : 67% des 
Tunisiens Indécis, Ennahda (Islamistes) en Tête,” July 6, 2011; Sigma Conseil, Baromètre Politique, September 2011.  
30 ISTIS, April 2011, op. cit. 
31 State Department Office of Opinion Research, August 2011, op. cit. 
32 Human Rights Watch, “Tunisia: Police Inaction Allowed Assault on Film Screening; Action Needed to Curb Attacks 
on Artists Deemed ‘Un-Islamic,’” June 30, 2011; see also OSC doc. GMP20110701405002, “‘Supporters of Shari’ah’ 
Condemn ‘Attacks’ on ‘Sanctities of Muslims in Tunisia,’” Ansar al-Mujahidin Network, June 30, 2011. 
33 For example, a Nahda spokesman told a journalist in April that “there is no developed country that does not have 
women’s rights, these things go together.” Le Monde, “En Tunisie, Les Multiples Visages d’Un Islamisme Qui 
Réapparaît au Grand Jour,” April 10, 2011. See also Marc Lynch, “Tunisia’s New al-Nahda,” ForeignPolicy.com, June 
29, 2011; and Al Nahda, “Address by the General-Secretary of ‘Ennahda’ Party : Positions and Dimensions,” Sousse 
Business Forum, June 11, 2011. For a sympathetic background on Ghannouchi’s political and philosophical evolution, 
see Azzam S. Tamimi, Rachid Ghannouchi: A Democrat within Islamism, New York: Oxford University Press, 2001. 
34 See, e.g., remarks by Nabila Hamza at a Center for the Study of Islam and Democracy, “What Kind of Democracy 
for the New Tunisia: Islamic or Secular,” May 9, 2011, in Washington, DC. Some Tunisians point to Ghannouchi’s 
remarks in Egypt in August 2011, in which he stated that the “ultimate objective” of Muslims was the installation of a 
caliphate, as proof of this phenomenon (see Le Temps, “Rached Ghannouchi en Egypte: ‘Le califat est notre objectif 
ultime,’” August 3, 2011). An Al Nahda spokesman told CRS, via email, that the party had “distanced itself from this 
(continued...) 
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many Al Nahda supporters purport to feel threatened by “leftist” actors, whom they accuse of 
dominating the interim government and of seeking to delay elections in order to restrict Islamists’ 
participation in politics.35 Ghannouchi has compared Al Nahda to Turkey’s ruling Justice and 
Development Party (AKP). However, he espoused more radical rhetoric during confrontations 
with the government in the 1980s and early 1990s, and some Al Nahda supporters are also 
thought to be more conservative in their views.  
Al Nahda did not play a significant role in the December-January uprising, but the organization 
raised its national profile in early 2011 by helping to form the Committee to Defend the 
Revolution, a loose affiliation of political parties, activists, unionists, and leftist groups that 
successfully called for the interim government to dismiss senior officials from the former regime. 
At the same time, Al Nahda is contending with internal divisions and competing with emergent, 
more radical Islamist groups for public support.36 The party’s leadership has split and been 
reshuffled over various issues. Ghannouchi is not a candidate in the October elections; he has said 
that he will step down before the end of the year, following which party members may elect a 
new leader. When asked by a journalist whether national elections might reveal “a country closer 
to Islamism than people think,” Prime Minister Essebsi replied, “We will not authorize those who 
want to exploit freedom in order to crush it” but gave few further details.37  
Background on Al Nahda 
Al Nahda, now presided by Islamic scholar and activist Rachid Ghannouchi, was first formal y organized by 
Ghannouchi and Abdel Fattah Moro in 1981 (soon after multiparty politics were legalized under President Bourguiba) 
as the Islamic Tendency Movement (MTI). (Moro has since left the party.) Although the MTI was relatively moderate 
compared to other Islamist groups, it was viewed as the most popular and therefore the most significant threat to the 
government.38 The MTI organized demonstrations on university campuses, spurring arrests and clashes with the 
security forces, and with leftist groups. The growing unrest, combined with that orchestrated by trade unions, 
undermined support for Bourguiba’s presidency and laid the groundwork for Ben Ali’s rise in 1987.39 
Initial y upon coming to power, Ben Ali promised greater pluralism and a dialogue with opposition groups. Hoping to 
gain legal recognition, the MTI changed its name to Hizb al Nahda to comply with the 1988 political party law, which 
barred names based on religion. It was nonetheless denied legal status. Al Nahda candidates were al owed to run as 
independents in the 1989 parliamentary elections, but when they garnered a high level of support—15% of the 
national vote—Ben Ali initiated a crackdown on the group. Ghannouchi left the country during this time.  
Violent confrontations between the government and Al Nahda activists escalated, culminating in an attack on a ruling 
party office in 1991 that was blamed on Al Nahda. Al Nahda leaders condemned the attack and denied that those 
responsible belonged to their movement, an explanation that remains disputed. Ben Ali accused Al Nahda of plotting 
to overthrow the government and launched a campaign to eradicate the group and all signs of conservative Islam. The 
government subsequently claimed it had unearthed an Islamist plot to assassinate Ben Ali, and in 1992 Tunisian 
military courts convicted 265 Al Nahda members on charges of planning a coup. Al Nahda denied the accusations, and 
some rights advocates criticized the case as biased and lacking due process.40 Ghannouchi was sentenced in absentia. 
Similar tensions between Islamists and government forces drove neighboring Algeria into civil war in the early 1990s. 
                                                                  
(...continued) 
statement,” which he portrayed as Ghannouchi’s opinion as a legal scholar, not a political leader. 
35 Al Nahda spokesman email to CRS, June 28, 2011; and Marina Ottaway, “The Revolution is Over,” op. cit. 
36 See Rajaa Basly, “The Future of al-Nahda in Tunisia,” Carnegie Endowment, April 20, 2011. 
37 Paris Marianne, “Tunisia’s Essebsi: Libyan Crisis a ‘Domestic Matter’ for Tunisians,” March 23, 2011; via OSC. 
38 Henry Munson Jr., “Islamic Revivalism in Morocco and Tunisia,” The Muslim World, 76:3-4 (1986). 
39 Munson 1986, op. cit. 
40 Christopher Alexander, Tunisia: Stability and Reform in the Modern Maghreb, Routledge: New York, 2010. 
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The Security Forces 
A central challenge facing Tunisia’s interim government is how to assert control over the size and 
mandate of the domestic security services, which formed a vast and secretive network under Ben 
Ali, without sowing the seeds of future instability. It may also take time before members of the 
public are willing to trust the police to ensure their security. The security services under Ben Ali 
were accused of abuses including extrajudicial arrests, denial of due process, torture, and the 
mistreatment of detainees. While the exact number of domestic security agents is unknown, it is 
thought by some analysts to far exceed the number of military personnel and could be as high as 
200,000.41 Several dozen senior security and Interior Ministry officials were fired in February, 
and in March, the Interior Ministry announced it was dissolving entities “akin to ‘political 
police.’”42 However, the number of affected personnel, and whether they will be permitted to 
retain their employment with the government, has not been made public. For now, it does not 
appear that a significant number of security officers have been dismissed, and it is unclear to what 
extent the domestic security services have been restructured. According to some human rights 
advocates, domestic intelligence services have not been dissolved, and may continue to conduct 
surveillance activities—although whether they are following orders or merely habit is unclear. 43  
The interim government has brought charges against Ben Ali (in absentia) for ordering the killing 
of protesters in January, and against the former head of presidential security, Ali Seriati, who is in 
custody. However, opinions are divided as to whether to pursue lower- and mid-ranking officials 
and security officers for abuses committed under the former regime. The U.N. special rapporteur 
on torture called on Tunisia in May to “promote accountability for past abuses,” including by 
prosecuting perpetrators of torture and other abusive acts; the rapporteur also suggested that 
torture may have continued, in a small number of cases, since Ben Ali’s departure.44 Fears among 
police officers that they could be made to shoulder the blame for the regime’s decision to open 
fire on demonstrators in January escalated into police demonstrations against the interim 
government in early September.45 
The Military 
There is a notable distinction between the internal security forces, which were closely associated 
with Ben Ali’s repressive security apparatus, and the military, which receives fewer state 
resources and is viewed as relatively apolitical.46 The military comprises roughly 35,000 
personnel; military service is compulsory for one year, but many Tunisians reportedly evade it. 
                                                                  
41 Eric Goldstein/Human Rights Watch, “Dismantling the Machinery of Oppression,” The Wall Street Journal, 
February 16, 2011. 
42 TAP, “Interior Ministry Decides to Remove State Security Division,” March 7, 2011. 
43 See Fédération Internationale des Ligues des Droits de l’Homme (FIDH), La Tunisie post Ben Ali face aux démons 
du passé: Transition démocratique et persistance des violations graves des droits de l’homme,” July 2011. 
44 AFP, “UN Torture Rapporteur Visits Tunisia,” and Reuters, “People Still Tortured in Tunisia—U.N. Rapporteur,” 
May 21, 2011. 
45 AFP, “Tunisia Bans Police from Union Activities,” September 6, 2011. Divisions between police commanders and 
the rank-and-file were exposed in the immediate aftermath of Ben Ali’s exit, as thousands of police officers held their 
own anti-government demonstration to distance themselves from the RCD and call for better working conditions.  
46 In the late 1970s and mid-1980s, the military led the repression of anti-government protests. However, this role was 
largely relegated to the civilian security services under Ben Ali. Unlike in neighboring Algeria, the military leadership 
did not play a major role in the independence movement or in early state formation. 
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Government spending on the military constitutes only 1.4% of GDP—a low proportion compared 
to other countries in the region, such as Algeria (3.3%), Egypt (3.4%), Libya (3.9%), and 
Morocco (5%).47 The armed forces are positioned largely against external threats, and also 
participate (to a limited extent) in multilateral peacekeeping missions.  
The government’s initial, heavy-handed response to the December-January protests was led by 
the police, who opened fire on demonstrators and reportedly conducted other abuses.48 The 
deployment of the military to the streets on January 12 was a turning point, and many analysts 
contend that military leaders subsequently played a key role in ending Ben Ali’s presidency. 
Notably, General Rachid Ammar, then army chief of staff (since promoted to the equivalent of 
joint chief of staff) is widely reported to have refused orders to open fire on demonstrators.49 On 
January 23, Ammar publicly addressed protesters and promised to safeguard Tunisia’s 
“revolution.” While Ammar’s comments were welcomed by many Tunisians, they sparked 
concern among some observers over whether the armed forces could interfere in domestic 
politics, particularly if the security situation should worsen.50 Following Ben Ali’s exit, members 
of the military led efforts to stabilize the security situation, including by pursuing elements of the 
domestic security apparatus and unidentified armed elements seen as loyal to the old regime.51 In 
August, a mid-ranking officer publicly stated that on January 14, as Ben Ali was fleeing the 
country, he had personally decided to arrest 28 members of the Ben Ali/Trabelsi family at the 
airport and declined to follow orders from the head of presidential security to release them.52 
Security Concerns 
The rapid fall of the Ben Ali regime raised fears that the country could experience a security 
vacuum. Although the security situation has largely stabilized since the chaotic first few weeks 
after Ben Ali’s departure, incidents of looting, theft, and destruction of property continue to occur. 
Incidents of religiously motivated violence have been reported, including the murder of a Polish 
priest on February 18 and harassment directed at Tunisia’s tiny Jewish population. There have 
also reportedly been several large prison escapes, for unclear reasons.53 Authorities are further 
contending with the influx of refugees from Libya, which has created a humanitarian crisis along 
the border, while inter-tribal violence has been reported in the southwest. Suspicions remain that 
elements of the security services are seeking to provoke disorder, including by reportedly 
infiltrating demonstrations; interim government officials blamed an armed attack on the Interior 
                                                                  
47 CIA, The World Factbook; figures dated 2006. 
48 Human Rights Watch, “Tunisia: Hold Police Accountable for Shootings,” January 29, 2011. 
49 E.g., Abdelaziz Barrouhi, “Tunisie: L’Homme Qui A Dit Non,” Jeune Afrique, January 30-February 5, 2011. 
50 Issandr El Amrani, “Tunisia Diary: Ammar’s Move?” TheArabist.net, January 24, 2011. In mid-2010, an analysis of 
Tunisia’s political stability concluded that “a coup is a real possibility” should instability affect the transfer of power 
after Ben Ali. Veritiss, Tunisia: Outlook 2011-2015 [UNCLASSIFIED], prepared For the Defense Intelligence Agency 
Defense Intelligence Open Source Program Office, August 2, 2010. 
51 In the immediate aftermath of Ben Ali’s departure, international media reports referenced violence by civilian-
clothed “militias” seen as allied to the former president, whose identity and relationship to formal security structures 
remains unclear. Angelique Chrisafis, “Confusion, Fear and Horror in Tunisia as Old Regime’s Militia Carries on the 
Fight,” The Guardian (UK), January 17, 2011. 
52 La Presse, “L’Arrestation des Membres de la Famille du Président Déchu et son Epouse S’Est Effectuée 
Spontanément,” August 8, 2011. 
53 Le Monde, “Incertitudes en Tunisie sur la Tenue des Elections, le 24 Juillet,” May 10, 2011. 
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Ministry, on February 1, on a conspiracy by members of the former regime’s security forces.54 
The interim government has indefinitely extended the “state of emergency” imposed by Ben Ali 
in January (though its provisions barring the public assembly of more than three persons have not 
been enforced), and the military is assisting in security operations in the interior.  
Some analysts fear that Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), a regional affiliate of Al 
Qaeda, could take advantage of the uprising and related insecurity, particularly when combined 
with upheaval in neighboring Libya. AQIM released a statement in January hailing the departure 
of Ben Ali and warning against supposed U.S. and French efforts to subvert the revolution.55 Al 
Qaeda’s second-in-command, Ayman Al Zawahri, has released at least two statements seeking to 
portray uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt as motivated by Islamist sentiment and warning that the 
United States would seek to manipulate the outcomes.56 
In mid-May, Tunisian authorities announced they had arrested two suspected AQIM members in 
the southeastern town of Nekrif, near the Libyan border. The two suspects were described as an 
Algerian and a Libyan national, and were said to be in possession of an “explosive belt,” an 
automatic weapon, a homemade bomb, and GPS equipment.57 According to Tunisian officials, 
this was the first arrest of AQIM militants within Tunisia. Several days later, four Tunisian 
soldiers were killed in a shoot-out in the northern town of Rouhia with a group described as 
affiliated with Al Qaeda. Two militants were also reported killed. In July, Tunisian authorities 
claimed to have halted AQIM militants from entering Tunisia from Algeria, and in August 
security forces engaged in skirmishes with “terrorists” at the Algerian border.58 Armed groups 
have also reportedly been stopped at the Libyan border.59  
Terrorism in Tunisia: Background 
While Tunisia has not been subject to many significant attacks, terrorism is a potential domestic 
threat and Tunisians have participated in plots abroad. The two most significant recent incidents 
of terrorism on Tunisian soil were the 2002 bombing of a synagogue on the Tunisian island of 
Djerba (noted for its tiny Jewish population) and a series of gun battles between alleged militants 
and security forces in Tunis in December 2006-January 2007. Al Qaeda deputy leader Ayman al 
Zawahiri appeared to claim responsibility for the Djerba bombing in a taped message broadcast in 
October 2002. In all, 14 German tourists, five Tunisians, and two French citizens were killed in 
                                                                  
54 Tara Bahrampour, “In Tunisia, First Steps Toward Democracy,” The Washington Post, March 21, 2011; Jeune 
Afrique, “Tunisie: l’Ex-RCD Soupçonné d’Avoir Commandité des Attaques de Postes de Police,” July 18, 2011. 
55 OSC doc. GMP20110128836001, “AQLIM Warns Tunisians Against Western ‘Plots’ To ‘Abort’ Tunisian 
Revolution,” Al-Mujahidin Electronic Network, January 28, 2011. For background on AQIM, see CRS Report R41070, 
Al Qaeda and Affiliates: Historical Perspective, Global Presence, and Implications for U.S. Policy, coordinated by 
John Rollins. 
56 Maamoun Youssef, “Al-Qaida’s No. 2 Incites Tunisians, Egyptians,” AP, February 28, 2011; OSC doc. 
GMP20110913836004, “Al-Fajr Releases Al-Zawahiri Audio, Bin Ladin Video on 10th Anniversary of 9/11,” Ana Al 
Muslim Network, September 13, 2011. 
57 Radio Tunisienne, “Tunisian Interior Ministry Provides More Information on ‘Terrorists’ Arrest,” May 16, 2011, via 
U.S. government Open Source Center (OSC). 
58 BBC Monitoring, “Militants From Al-Qa'idah Try to Sneak into Tunisia, Official,” July 2, 2011; OSC doc. 
GMP20110822280003, “Tunisian Sources Report Several Dead in Army Clashes with Terrorists Near Border,” Le 
Temps d'Algerie, August 20, 2011. 
59 Le Temps, “Menace Terroriste sur la Tunisie,” September 10, 2011. 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
the attack.60 France, Spain, Italy, and Germany arrested expatriate Tunisians for alleged 
involvement in the attack. In January 2009, French authorities put two alleged culprits on trial. 
The roots of the 2006-2007 violence, in which 14 militants were reported killed, are more opaque.  
In 2002, the U.S. State Department placed the Tunisian Combatant Group (TCG), which operated 
outside Tunisia, on a list of specially designated global terrorists and froze its assets.61 The TCG 
sought to establish an Islamic state in Tunisia and was considered to be a radical offshoot of Al 
Nahda. The TCG was suspected of plotting, but not carrying out, attacks on U.S., Algerian, and 
Tunisian embassies in Rome in December 2001. One founder, Tarek Maaroufi, was arrested in 
Belgium the same month. The group appears to have since been inactive. 
AQIM, an Algerian-led group formerly known as the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat 
(GSPC), actively recruits Tunisians and reportedly had ties with the TCG.62 In January 2007, 
following the aforementioned gun battles, Tunisian security forces claimed that they had 
discovered terrorists linked to the GSPC who had infiltrated from Algeria and possessed 
homemade explosives, satellite maps of foreign embassies, and documents identifying foreign 
envoys. Some 30 Tunisians were subsequently convicted of plotting to target U.S. and British 
interests in Tunisia. AQIM later claimed responsibility for kidnapping two Austrian tourists in 
Tunisia in February 2008.  
Tunisian expatriates suspected of ties to Al Qaeda have been arrested in Afghanistan, Pakistan, 
Iraq, Western Europe, Mauritania, and the United States. Some are reportedly detained at the U.S. 
Naval Base in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, and their possible return to Tunisia has proven to be 
controversial.63 In April 2009, General David Petraeus, then-Commander of U.S. Central 
Command, told a House Appropriations Committee subcommittee that the perpetrators of suicide 
bombings in Iraq that month may have been part of a network based in Tunisia.64 
Under Ben Ali, as many as 2,000 Tunisians were detained, charged, and/or convicted on 
terrorism-related charges, including a sweeping anti-terrorism law passed in 2003.65 Critics 
claimed that the law “makes the exercise of fundamental freedoms ... an expression of 
terrorism.”66 These criticisms were echoed in the December 2010 report of the U.N. Special 
Rapporteur on the Promotion and Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms While 
Countering Terrorism, who concluded that “the current definition of terrorism is vague and broad, 
hence deviating from the principle of legality and allowing for wide usage of counter-terrorism 
measures in practice.”67 Rights advocates also accused anti-terror trials of relying on excessive 
pretrial detention, denial of due process, and weak evidence. The current interim government has 
                                                                  
60 Financial Times, “Al-Qaeda Deputy Leader Signals Involvement in Attacks,” October 10, 2002. 
61 U.S. State Department, Country Reports on Terrorism, 2006, released April 30, 2007. 
62 Craig S. Smith, “Tunisia is Feared as New Islamist Base ... ,” International Herald Tribune, February 20, 2007. 
Note, GSPC renamed itself Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb in January 2007.  
63 According to recent news reports, 12 out of the total number of those detained at Guantanamo at one time are 
Tunisian, but only five currently remain in U.S. custody. Five were repatriated to third countries, partly due to concerns 
over their possible torture if returned to Tunisia, while two others were returned to Tunisia and imprisoned. Bouazza 
Ben Bouazza, “Tunisia to Send Mission to US for Release of its Remaining Gitmo Detainees,” September 14, 2011.  
64 House Appropriations Subcommittee on Military Construction, Veterans Affairs, and Related Agencies Holds 
Hearing on the US Central Command, April 24, 2009, transcript via CQ. 
65 U.S. State Department, Country Reports on Terrorism, 2009, released August 5, 2010. 
66 Jeremy Landor, “Washington’s Partner,” Middle East International, March 5, 2004, pp. 23-24. 
67 U.N. Human Rights Council, Report of the Special Rapporteur, December 28, 2010, op. cit. 
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promised to release all political prisoners, and there is ongoing debate about whether all 
individuals convicted under the anti-terrorism law fall into this category. 
Prosecuting Ben Ali and Associates 
Tunisian authorities have brought dozens of criminal charges against Ben Ali and his wife, Leila 
Trabelsi, both of whom remain outside the country. The decision to carry out multiple and rapid 
trials of the former first couple in absentia, after Tunisian authorities unsuccessfully sought the 
former president’s extradition from Saudi Arabia, has been controversial.68 The former president, 
through his lawyers, denied the charges and criticized his first conviction (on charges of 
embezzlement and misuse of state funds), in June, as a “parody of justice.”69 He was 
subsequently convicted again, in July, on charges of illegal possession of drugs and weapons. He 
reportedly faces nearly 200 additional charges in the civilian courts. A separate trial before a 
military court, on charges related to killing and abusing protesters, is also anticipated. Dozens of 
family members, along with former senior government and security officials, have also either 
been tried or face charges. However, the ability of at least one suspect to flee the country in July 
after an investigation had been opened and the courts’ decision in August to free a former Justice 
Minister from custody (he was subsequently rearrested) led to widespread public criticism of the 
interim authorities.70 The judicial system was inherited from the Ben Ali regime, and although it 
has been ostensibly freed from executive branch interference, some observers view it as inept.71 
Recovery of State Assets 
Further investigations into the financial and real estate holdings of the Ben Ali and Trabelsi 
families are ongoing. Family members reportedly owned or controlled many of the country’s 
biggest companies, with shares sometimes allegedly obtained through political pressure, and are 
thought to have stashed away significant resources overseas.72 Tunisian authorities have seized 
domestic assets belonging to the former president and his associates, and have identified at least 
12 countries overseas where these individuals stored money, which could total billions of dollars. 
Western governments have cooperated with Tunisian efforts to freeze these assets.73 However, the 
process for recovering frozen assets on behalf of the state is complex and challenging.74 Interim 
                                                                  
68 See AFP, “Ben Ali Critics Oppose His Trial in Absentia in Tunisia,” June 14, 2011; “Tunisians Dissatisfied with 
Quick Ben Ali Verdict,” June 21, 2011; and Le Monde, “En Tunisie, la Difficile Justice Contre le Clan de l’Ancien 
Président Ben Ali,” July 9, 2011. The interim government had also issued an international arrest warrant through 
Interpol for Ben Ali, Leila Trabelsi, and several close relatives who have fled the country. Amnesty International called 
the trial “unfair” and stated, “The current Tunisian government must follow due process and fair trial standards, 
otherwise it risks replicating the unfair justice system that was a hallmark of Tunisia under Ben Ali.” “Accountability 
in Tunisia and Egypt,” August 3, 2011. 
69 Philippe Sauvagnargues, “Ben Ali Slams Fast-Track Corruption Conviction as ‘Insane,’” AFP, June 21, 2011. 
70 Tarek Amara, “Tunisia Pledges Tougher Line on Ex-Leader’s Allies,” Reuters, August 18, 2011. 
71 Hamadi Redissi, “The Revolution Is Not Over Yet [op-ed],” The New York Times, July 15, 2011. 
72 Colin Freeman, “Tunisian President Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali and His Family’s ‘Mafia Rule,’” The Telegraph (UK), 
January 16, 2011. 
73 The Wall Street Journal reported in February that U.S. investigators had opened a preliminary probe into assets 
controlled by Ben Ali and family members. Joseph Palazzolo, “FBI Probe to Target Tunisia’s Ex-Leader,” The Wall 
Street Journal, February 9, 2011. 
74 Deborah Ball and Cassell Bryan-Low, “Arab Spring Regimes Face Long Slog to Recoup Assets,” The Wall Street 
Journal, August 25, 2011. 
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authorities have also moved to expropriate shares of companies controlled by certain Ben Ali 
family members and associates accused of financial manipulation, but have allowed such 
companies to continue operating (in most cases) under appointed managers.75  
Key Actors 
As political uncertainty continues to characterize the situation in Tunisia, it remains difficult to 
distinguish which groups and individuals have the ability and popular credibility to decisively 
influence events. Contenders for influence include Tunisia’s trade union federation; the security 
forces; Islamist movements; the three older, secularist opposition political parties that were legal, 
albeit highly restricted, under the former regime; and a vast array of newer political parties that 
have proliferated since January, some reportedly headed by former RCD officials. The ideological 
cohesion and mass appeal of these new parties are untested. While trade unionists and the Islamist 
movement have, at different times, constituted the main vehicles for the mass expression of anti-
government dissent, the potential for either to present a cohesive political vision is unclear. Both 
groups, along with leftist movements, which also draw significant support from some segments of 
the population, have long been subject to government repression, harassment, and co-option.  
Influential political groups include the main trade union, known as the UGTT; the main Islamist 
party, Al Nahda; the Progressive Democratic Party (PDP), a secular left-leaning party founded by 
Ahmed Nejib el Chebbi; the Democratic Forum of Labor and Liberties (FDTL), a centrist party 
led by Mustafa Ben Jaafar that is now heading a coalition known as Ettakatol; Ettajdid, a leftist 
party led by Ahmed Brahim; the Tunisian Communist Workers’ Party (PCOT), founded by 
Hamma Hammami, which operated clandestinely under Ben Ali; the Congress for the People, 
headed by human rights activist Moncef Marzouki; and potentially the Patriotic Free Union 
(UPL), an emergent party headed by businessman Slim Riahi.76 
Tunisia’s Trade  Unions
Since Tunisia’s independence, the labor movement has served as a rare legal conduit for expressing dissent, and many 
analysts view the main union federation, the Tunisian General Union of Labor (UGTT), as an important political force. 
The UGTT, which claims over half a million members, played a key role in sustaining the December-January protests, 
which its leadership framed as rooted in economic grievances.77 At the same time, the UGTT is highly fragmented, 
with a relatively conservative, pro-government leadership frequently diverging from its more activist middle-tier and 
grass-roots membership. In early February, some UGTT members protested against UGTT head Abdessalem Jrad, 
whom they accused of being estranged from the union’s base. New unions and splinter movements have also been 
formed, and labor unrest has continued, reportedly sparking a backlash among some segments of the middle class. 
The UGTT was formed in the mid-1940s and was a force in Tunisia’s independence movement. During the Cold War, 
                                                                  
75 Le Monde, “Orange Tunisie Passe Sous la Tutelle de l’Etat Tunisien,” March 30, 2011; David Gauthier-Villars, 
“How ‘The Family’ Controlled Tunisia,” The Wall Street Journal, June 20, 2011. 
76 The UPL, previously little-known, garnered widespread attention when it was listed in a September public opinion 
survey as the party that garnered the seventh highest number of supporters. Sigma Conseil, Baromètre Politique, Tunis, 
September 2011.  
77 UGTT, Déclaration de la Commission Administrative Nationale, January 4, 2011; on membership, see the UGTT’s 
website, at [www.ugtt.org.tn].  
78 Global Security, “Union Génerale des Travailleurs Tunisiens (UGTT),” at http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/
world/tunisia/ugtt.htm. 
79 See Niger Disney, “The Working-Class Revolt in Tunisia,” Middle East Research and Information Project (MERIP) 
Reports, 67 (May 1978). 
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it positioned itself as pro-Western (non-Communist) and formed links with the American labor movement.78 Tunisia’s 
first president, Habib Bourguiba, strove to keep the unions under the government’s wing; during the 1960s, former 
UGTT leader Ahmed Ben Salah led a decade-long period of socialist-oriented economic policy as minister for finance 
and planning. By the late 1970s, however, amid growing economic unease, the union’s leadership turned to overt 
confrontation with the government, particularly over grievances related to low wages and food price inflation.79 The 
UGTT led a series of mass strikes and demonstrations—notably in 1978 and in the mid-1980s—which were met with 
heavy state repression. During Ben Ali’s presidency, the government again attempted to co-opt the UGTT, including 
by influencing its leadership selection process. The UGTT resurged as a key instigator of anti-government unrest in 
recent years, organizing protests in the mining region of Gafsa in 2008 and 2010 that were arguably a precursor to 
the December-January uprising. 
Selected Profiles 
•  Béji Caïd Essebsi, Prime Minister. Essebsi, 84, was named interim prime 
minister on February 27 after then-Prime Minister Mohamed Ghannouchi 
resigned. Ghannouchi had served in the position since appointed by Ben Ali in 
1999; he was pushed to resign by growing numbers of demonstrators who 
objected to his continuation in office. Essebsi is a lawyer and was a close aide to 
Tunisia’s founding president, Habib Bourguiba. In the 1960s and early 1970s, he 
served in a variety of positions including interior minister and defense minister. 
In 1978, he joined the Movement of Democratic Socialists (MDS), an opposition 
party, before being reappointed to the cabinet as foreign minister in 1981. Essebsi 
was served in parliament from 1989 to 1991. 
•  Habib Essid, Minister of the Interior. Interim President Mebazaa appointed 
Essid in March, replacing Farhat Rajhi, who was dismissed for unclear reasons. 
Essid’s appointment was controversial, as Rejhi had been seen as a popular 
reformist within the interim government, while Essid was viewed by some as 
close to Ben Ali. Essid, 52, is an agricultural economist who has spent his entire 
career in government administration, mostly in agricultural and development 
policy but also as chief of staff at the Interior Ministry from 1997 to 2000.  
•  Yadh Ben Achour, Head of the High Authority for the Realization of the 
Goals of the Revolution, Political Reforms, and the Democratic Transition. 
Ben Achour is a Tunisian lawyer and well known legal scholar who was formerly 
head of the law faculty at the University of Tunis. In January, he was appointed 
to head a political reforms commission charged with changing Tunisia’s laws 
ahead of national elections. In late March, Ben Achour roughly doubled the 
commission’s membership, to about 130, in response to criticism that it was 
insufficiently representative. Its authority continues to be challenged by some, 
including Al Nahda, which briefly participated in the commission but has since 
claimed that it pursued wide-ranging reforms without a sufficiently popular 
mandate and that it represents an overly leftist, secularist, viewpoint. 
•  Ahmed Nejib el Chebbi, Founder of the Progressive Democratic Party 
(PDP). Chebbi formally stepped down from the leadership of the PDP, one of 
three “dissident” opposition parties that were legally recognized during Ben Ali’s 
presidency, in 2006, but continues to represent the party. He has portrayed 
himself as the most prominent secular alternative to Islamist parties. Although 
Chebbi and the PDP boycotted the 2009 presidential and parliamentary elections, 
he is widely viewed as the most popular of the previously tolerated opposition 
figures, and potentially more credible than members of the opposition who left 
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Tunisia for exile abroad. A former student activist for leftist and pan-Arabist 
causes, and a lawyer by training, Chebbi was imprisoned for several years in the 
1960s. Chebbi directs a Tunis-based newspaper, El Mawkif, and provided legal 
defense for several journalists targeted by the Ben Ali government.  
•  General Rachid Ammar, Armed Forces Chief of Staff. Ammar is widely 
reported to have refused to open fire on protesters during the December-January 
uprising, and to have subsequently influenced Ben Ali’s decision to step down. 
He consequently enjoys a high level of popularity. He has been chief of staff of 
the 27,000-person army since 2002, when his predecessor was killed in a 
helicopter crash. In April 2011, Ammar was promoted to chief of staff of the 
military. On January 24, Ammar publicly addressed protesters, promising to 
uphold Tunisia’s “revolution” and guarantee stability until elections are held. His 
comments, which were welcomed by demonstrators, sparked concern among 
some analysts over whether the armed forces, which were seen as relatively 
apolitical under Ben Ali, could become an arbiter of domestic politics.  
•  Rachid Ghannouchi, President and Co-Founder of Hizb al Nahda 
(Renaissance). An Islamic scholar, teacher, and activist, Ghannouchi, 70, has led 
Tunisia’s main Islamist movement for three decades. Ghannouchi’s early focus 
was on religious and moral issues, but he grew more politically involved by the 
late 1970s. He spent two decades in exile, largely in London, after his party, Al 
Nahda, was banned in 1991, but returned to Tunisia in January following the 
interim government’s announcement of a general amnesty. Ghannouchi has 
portrayed himself as a moderate who would participate within a democratic 
political system and not attempt to overturn women’s rights. He espoused more 
radical rhetoric during confrontations with the government in the 1980s and early 
1990s, however, and Tunisian secularists and some international observers view 
him with suspicion. He has stated he will not run for president and that he will 
soon step down from the leadership of the party. 
•  Hamadi Jebali, Secretary-General of Al Nahda. Born 1949 in Sousse, Jebali is 
a longtime activist in Al Nahda, having become a member of the group’s political 
bureau in 1981 and served as its president from 1981 until 1984. He also served 
as director of Al Nahda’s newspaper, Al Fajr. Previously, Jebali lived for 10 years 
in France, where he completed an engineering degree and was one of the 
founders of the French Muslim Association. In 1990, he was sentenced to over 16 
years in prison due to his association with Al Nahda, and spent 10 years in 
solitary confinement while in jail. After being freed in 2006, he rejoined Al 
Nahda and subsequently became the party’s secretary-general. 
•  Moncef Marzouki, Advocate and Leader of the Congress for the Republic 
(CPR). Born in 1945, Marzouki is a medical doctor, author, and longtime human 
rights activist who was in exile in France for a decade before returning to Tunisia 
in January and announcing his intention to run for president. In 2001, Marzouki 
founded the CPR party on a platform of establishing the rule of law and 
promoting human rights. It was banned the following year. 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
The Economy 
Damage from the December-January unrest, political uncertainty, turmoil in neighboring Libya 
(which caused the return of tens of thousands of migrant Tunisian workers and the related loss of 
remittance revenues), and economic stagnation in Europe have caused Tunisia’s estimated 
economic growth to plummet. Tunisia experienced a 3% economic contraction in the first quarter 
of 2011, and its central bank predicts an economic recession in 2011, compared to 3.7% growth in 
2010.80 Credit rating agencies have severely lowered Tunisia’s ratings due to political uncertainty. 
The protests themselves reportedly caused hundreds of millions of dollars in damages, and 
officials estimate that the political transition has cost at least $2 billion in lost revenues; tourism 
receipts were reportedly down by 40% and foreign direct investment by 60% in the first six 
months of 2011.81 Ongoing labor unrest, particularly in regions of the interior, including 
phosphate mining areas, represents an additional potential economic obstacle, as do rising food 
and fuel prices. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) nonetheless suggested in April that 
improved economic growth was possible if reforms provide “greater access to opportunity and 
more competition.”82  
Officials have sought to restart tourism, garner donor support for economic stabilization, and 
reassure investors by pledging greater economic transparency, with mixed effects. The interim 
government is also reportedly considering plans for greater economic decentralization. In April, 
Finance Minister Jalloul Ayed announced an “economic and social recovery plan” that aims to 
create 40,000 new jobs (through a combination of public sector hiring and pro-business 
measures), new infrastructure in the interior, access to microcredit for poor families, and a 
monthly stipend for unemployed young people. The finance minister has also appealed for $4 
billion in immediate foreign loans, while Prime Minister Essebi stated in May that Tunisia would 
need at least $5 billion in aid per year over the next five years to finance infrastructure and job 
creation.83 Officials have suggested they will not seek to restructure Tunisia’s outside debt. Some 
commentators view donor perceptions of a weak interim government whose decision-making 
authorities are fragmented as an impediment to greater outside financial support.84 Authorities 
announced in June that they expect a strong domestic wheat crop in 2011, and that they plan to 
open up some land, particularly in the interior, to foreign investment. 
During Ben Ali’s presidency, many analysts contended that there was an implicit social contract 
between the government and its citizens, which promoted economic stability and middle-class 
standards of living at the expense of political freedom. Until the December-January protests, this 
strategy appeared to have contained latent dissatisfaction from disrupting the political status quo. 
Tunisia is considered a middle-income country, and one of the best-performing non-oil exporting 
Arab countries. Home and car ownership are widespread. Despite the impact of the global 
                                                                  
80 Bouazza ben Bouazza, “Tunisie: L’Economie a dépassé le cap dangereux, selon le gouverneur de la Banque 
centrale,” AP, July 9, 2011. 
81 AFP, “Tunisie: Après le Retour au Calme, Place au Grand Chantier Economique,” March 9, 2011; Le Temps, “Appel 
des 17 Pour Soutenir la Transition Démocratique en Tunisie,” May 19, 2011; Mark Tran, “Tunisia Offers Wake-Up 
Call for Development,” The Guardian, June 9, 2011. 
82 IMF, Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia, April 2011. 
83 AP, “Tunisie: Adoption d’un Plan de Relance Economique,” April 1, 2011; Reuters, “Tunisia Will Need $4 Bln in 
Loans in 2011—FinMin,” April 1, 2011; Reuters, “Tunisia Economy Needs Foreign Help to Recover—Minister,” May 
20, 2011; David Gauthier-Villars, “Tunisia to Seek Backing for Aid,” The Wall Street Journal, May 21, 2011. 
84 OSC doc. GMP20110705966151, “Tunisia’s Economic Fallout,” July 5, 2011. 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
economic crisis in 2009—which produced a decrease in exports, a contraction in the industrial 
sector, and a lower expansion in services, largely due to a decrease in market demand in 
Europe—the economy quickly rebounded with the government’s fiscal stimulus programs.  
Textile exports and tourism have driven much of Tunisia’s economic growth in recent years. The 
tourism sector is a major employer and provided some 11% of the country’s hard currency 
receipts, and an estimated 400,000 jobs, prior to recent unrest. Tunisia has also attempted to 
attract foreign investment in its nascent oil and gas sector. Phosphate ore reserves are significant 
and are the basis of a chemicals industry, but their value is reduced by their low grade. In 2009, 
the World Bank cited Tunisia as a “top regional reformer,” citing progress in the areas of starting 
a business, getting credit, protecting investors, paying taxes, and border defense.85 In September 
2010, the IMF predicted that Tunisia’s growth could continue to increase gradually, “provided 
that policies and reforms planned by the authorities aimed at enhancing Tunisia’s 
competitiveness, developing new markets, and supporting new sources of growth in sectors with 
high added value bear fruit.”86 In 2009, public debt stood at roughly $22 billion, or about 47% of 
gross domestic product (GDP), according to the World Bank.  
At the same time, Tunisia’s strong economic record has long masked significant disparities. 
Wealth has long been concentrated in the capital and along the tourist-friendly eastern coast, 
while the interior has suffered from poverty and government neglect. Unemployment and 
underemployment are major problems, notably for recent college graduates: the official 
unemployment rate is high (over 13%) and the actual rate is believed to be even higher, 
particularly among young people. According to the African Development Bank (AfDB), the 
unemployment rate among university graduates was over 20% in 2010 and “increased by a factor 
of ten over the last two decades” due to “the youth bulge, high throughput in universities, 
mismatch in the demand and supply of skilled workers, and the relatively low quality of training 
received by many graduates.” Moreover, unemployment is over 22%, on average, in interior 
regions such as Kasserine and Gafsa, which were epicenters of the December-January unrest.87 
Blatant official corruption under Ben Ali reinforced perceptions among many Tunisians that the 
economic deck was stacked against them, even if they enjoyed high living standards relative to 
others in the region.  
In light of these issues, analysts have debated the role that economic factors played in the 
Tunisian uprising. While most agree that a desire for greater democracy and individual freedoms 
was a driving force in the popular protests that drove Ben Ali from office, socioeconomic 
grievances doubtless spurred demands for change. In the aftermath of the uprising, numerous 
segments of the society have expressed economic demands, notably union organizers and 
residents in the interior. Indeed, demands for improvements in jobs and wages have soared even 
as political unrest has contributed to severe economic contractions. Some observers fear that a 
failure to address such grievances could lead an impatient public to lose faith in the transition 
process, while others contend that many Tunisians are willing to endure prolonged economic 
hardship in order to prioritize deep political reforms.  
                                                                  
85 See World Bank, “Tunisia: A Top Regional Reformer According to Doing Business 2009,” September 2008. 
86 Joël Toujas-Bernate and Rina Bhattacharya, International Monetary Fund, “Tunisia Weathers Crisis Well, But 
Unemployment Persists,” September 10, 2010. 
87 African Development Bank, The Revolution in Tunisia: Economic Challenges and Prospects, March 2011. 
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U.S.-Tunisian Relations 
Obama Administration officials have emphasized Tunisia’s role as an “important test case” of 
democratic transitions in the Middle East and North Africa, a process for which the 
Administration has expressed strong support.88 In a televised speech in May laying out a new 
framework for U.S. policy toward the region, President Obama cited Tunisia as the place where 
the “story of self-determination began” and called on the United States “to show that America 
values the dignity of the street vendor in Tunisia more than the raw power of the dictator.” The 
President argued that “the stakes are high” in Tunisia and Egypt, but that “both nations can set a 
strong example through free and fair elections, a vibrant civil society, accountable and effective 
democratic institutions, and responsible regional leadership.”89 In congressional testimony in 
May, Assistant Secretary of State Michael H. Posner stated, “The United States is committed to 
helping secure a democratic transition that delivers results and sustainable economic development 
for all the people of Tunisia.”90 U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice stated in an 
interview that “it matters enormously to American national security and our national interests” 
that democratic transitions in Tunisia and Egypt “succeed.”91  
A number of senior U.S. officials have visited Tunisia since mid-January, including Under 
Secretary of State for Political Affairs William Joseph Burns and Secretary of State Hillary 
Clinton.92 In May, President Obama met with Prime Minister Essebsi on the sidelines of the 
Group of Eight (G8) summit, where they discussed “the importance of moving forward with 
democratic reforms.”93  
The United States and Tunisia have enjoyed continuous relations since 1797. Tunisia was the site 
of significant battles during World War II, and was liberated by Allied forces in 1943 in Operation 
Torch. A U.S. cemetery and memorial near the ancient city of Carthage (outside Tunis) holds 
nearly 3,000 U.S. military dead. During the Cold War, Tunisia pursued a strongly pro-Western 
foreign policy despite a brief experiment with leftist economic policies in the 1960s. U.S.-
Tunisian ties were nonetheless strained in the mid-1980s by the 1985 Israeli bombing of the 
Palestinian Liberation Organization headquarters in Tunis, which some viewed as having been 
carried out with U.S. approval.94 
U.S.-Tunisian relations during Ben Ali’s presidency largely emphasized security cooperation. The 
United States considered Ben Ali to be an ally, a moderate Arab ruler, and a partner in 
                                                                  
88 House Foreign Affairs Committee Hearing, “Developments in Egypt and Lebanon,” February 10, 2011, Statement of 
James B. Steinberg, Deputy Secretary, Department of State. 
89 The White House, “Remarks by the President on the Middle East and Africa,” May 19, 2011. 
90 Michael H. Posner, Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor, statement before the 
House Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia for a hearing on “Political Transitions in the Middle East,” 
May 5, 2011. 
91 “U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Rice Interviewed on CNN,” May 19, 2011, transcript via CQ. 
92 Clinton expressed strong support for the Tunisian revolution and pressed for economic and political reforms. Her 
visit was protested by several hundred demonstrators in Tunis who said they opposed American “interference.” John 
Thorne, “Hillary Clinton Visits Tunisia to Press for Reform,” The National, March 18, 2011. 
93 “Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategic Communications Ben Rhodes and National Security Council Senior 
Director for European Affairs Liz Sherwood-Randall Hold Media Availability,” May 27, 2011, via CQ.  
94 Chicago Tribune Wires, “Bush Visits Tunisia to Patch Relations,” March 9, 1986; Jonathan C. Randal, “Raid Left 
Scars on U.S.-Tunisia Ties,” The Washington Post, March 5, 1987. 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
international counterterrorism efforts. Tunisia cooperates in NATO’s Operation Active Endeavor, 
which provides counterterrorism surveillance in the Mediterranean; participates in NATO’s 
Mediterranean Dialogue; and allows NATO ships to make port calls at Tunis. Allegations have 
been made that Tunisia cooperated in at least one case of U.S. “rendition” of a terrorist suspect, in 
2004.95 However, Tunisia did not support the 1991 Gulf War or the 2003 Iraq war and, when the 
latter war began, Ben Ali expressed regret and fear that the conflict might destabilize the Middle 
East.96 Tunisian officials’ criticism was not voiced directly at the United States, and their stance 
did not significantly harm bilateral relations.  
Despite generally positive bilateral ties with the Ben Ali regime, U.S. officials occasionally 
voiced public criticism of Tunisia’s record on political rights and freedom of expression. The 
State Department was critical of the 2004 and 2009 elections and said the United States would 
continue to press for “political reform.”97 In a January 2010 speech on global Internet freedom, 
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton singled out Tunisia as one of five countries contributing to a 
“spike in threats to the free flow of information.”98 In July, the State Department expressed 
“deep” concern over “the decline in political freedoms, notably severe restrictions on freedom of 
expression in Tunisia,” particularly with regard to the sentencing of an independent journalist to 
four years in prison.99 In parallel with these criticisms, the United States continued to provide 
military and economic assistance to the Tunisian government (see “U.S. Assistance,” below).  
Numerous international and regional news reports and analyses have referenced internal 
communications among U.S. diplomats that were reportedly highly critical of political repression 
and corruption among Ben Ali’s inner circle and family. Some analysts have speculated that 
reports of such communications may have played a role in sparking the protests that eventually 
unseated Ben Ali.100 
U.S.-Tunisian trade is relatively low in volume because Tunisia is a small country and conducts 
most of its trade with Europe. In 2010, U.S. exports to Tunisia totaled $571 million and imports 
totaled $405 million; in 2009, exports totaled $502 million and imports $326 million. While 
Tunisian imports of U.S. goods did not fluctuate significantly during the global economic 
recession, U.S. imports from Tunisia have yet to rebound to 2008 levels, when they totaled $644 
million.101 Tunisia is eligible for special trade preferences, i.e., duty-free entry for listed products, 
under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) Program. The United States and Tunisia have 
a trade investment framework agreement (TIFA) and a bilateral investment treaty. TIFAs can be 
the first step toward a free-trade agreement (FTA).  
                                                                  
95 U.N. Human Rights Council, Report of the Special Rapporteur on the Promotion and Protection of Human Rights 
and Fundamental Freedoms While Countering Terrorism, Martin Scheinin, December 28, 2010, U.N. document 
A/HRC/16/51/Add.2. 
96 Tunis Infotunisie, “Ben Ali Expresses ‘Deep Regret’ at Start of War Against Iraq,” March 20, 2003, Foreign 
Broadcast Information Service (FBIS) Document AFP20030320000266. 
97 U.S. State Department Daily News Briefing, October 26, 2009; U.S. State Department, “Tunisia,” Country Reports 
on Human Rights Practices, 2004, released February 28, 2005. 
98 U.S. State Department, “Secretary of State Clinton Delivers Remarks on Internet Freedom,” January 21, 2010. 
99 U.S. State Department Daily Press Briefing, July 9, 2010. For further background on Boukadous’ sentencing, see 
Committee to Protect Journalists, “Tunisia Must Release Ailing Journalist on Hunger Strike,” October 21, 2010. 
100 Christopher Alexander, “Tunisia’s Protest Wave: Where It Comes From and What It Means,” ForeignPolicy.com, 
January 3, 2011. 
101 U.S. International Trade Commission data, accessed at http://dataweb.usitc.gov/scripts/query.asp. 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
U.S. Reactions to the January 2011 Uprising 
U.S. criticism of the government’s response to the December-January demonstrations, although initially muted, grew 
increasingly critical of Ben Ali as the protests escalated. On January 11, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said in an 
interview with the Saudi-funded Arabic-language satellite television channel Al Arabiya that “we are worried, in general, 
about the unrest and the instability, and what seems to be the underlying concerns of the people who are 
protesting.”102 At the same time, Clinton stressed that “we are not taking sides,” and indicated that she had not been 
in direct communication with senior authorities since the protests began. In a speech in Doha, Qatar, on January 13, 
Secretary Clinton challenged Middle Eastern leaders to address the fundamental needs of their citizens and provide 
channels for popular participation, or else risk instability and extremism. Events in Tunisia provided a vivid backdrop 
to her remarks. 
After Ben Ali’s departure on January 14, President Barack Obama stated, “I condemn and deplore the use of violence 
against citizens peaceful y voicing their opinion in Tunisia, and I applaud the courage and dignity of the Tunisian 
people.” He also called on the Tunisian government to hold “free and fair elections in the near future that reflect the 
true will and aspirations of the Tunisian people.”103 Secretary Clinton echoed the president’s call for elections and 
encouraged the Tunisian government to “build a stronger foundation for Tunisia’s future with economic, social, and 
political reforms,” adding that “the United States stands ready to help.”104 In his January 25 State of the Union 
address, President Obama stated, “[W]e saw that same desire to be free in Tunisia, where the will of the people 
proved more powerful than the writ of a dictator…. The United States of America stands with the people of Tunisia 
and supports the democratic aspirations of all people.” 
Several Members of Congress have expressed concerns that the United States appeared to lack sufficient intelligence 
on Middle East protest movements and their potential to upset governments in the region, concerns which executive 
branch officials have disputed.105 
U.S. Assistance 
U.S. bilateral aid is modest by regional standards and was, until recently, highly focused on 
military assistance and counterterrorism cooperation (Table 1, below).106 The Obama 
Administration, which submitted its proposed FY2012 foreign assistance budget in early 2011, 
did not initially request any democracy and governance funding for Tunisia in FY2011 or 
FY2012, but the Administration subsequently identified a range of potential funding sources for 
providing support for Tunisia’s transition. The State Department’s Middle East Partnership 
Initiative (MEPI) is currently leading related assistance efforts, with the U.S. Agency for 
International Development (USAID) and others also administering new programs. MEPI has a 
regional office in Tunis, responsible for programming to enhance political, economic, and 
educational reforms in the region, but prior to 2011 implemented limited programs within 
Tunisia. The Administration also supports draft legislation that would authorize the President to 
establish a Tunisian-American Enterprise Fund (see “Congress and Aid to Tunisia,” below).107 In 
early September, the Administration named William B. Taylor to coordinate U.S. development 
and other civilian aid to transitional countries in the Middle East and North Africa. 
                                                                  
102 AFP, “US Concerned About Reports of ‘Excessive Force’ in Tunisia,” January 11, 2011; and U.S. State 
Department, “Secretary of State Interviewed on Al Arabiya,” January 11, 2011, via Congressional Quarterly (CQ). 
103 The White House, “Statement by the President on Events in Tunisia,” January 14, 2011. 
104 U.S. State Department, “Recent Events in Tunisia,” January 14, 2011. 
105 Testimony of Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, House Select Intelligence Committee Hearing on 
Worldwide Threats, February 10, 2011, via CQ. 
106 U.S. State Department, Congressional Budget Justification for Foreign Operations, FY2011 and FY2012. 
107 Testimony of William J. Burns before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee Hearing on “U.S. Policy and 
Uprisings in the Middle East,” March 17, 2011. 
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Administration assistance initiatives include the following: 
•  Approximately $23.3 million in “transition support” assistance administered by 
MEPI. This aid is aimed at helping Tunisia establish independent media, civil 
society, political parties, and a new electoral framework, and implement 
economic reforms.108  
•  USAID-administered funding in support of Tunisia’s political transition totals 
approximately $10 million.109 This includes $5 million in FY2010 Complex 
Crises Fund (CCF) funding, which is intended to support planned community 
development projects and political reforms in the interior and southeast.110 It also 
includes $2 million for USAID’s Office of Transition Initiatives and $3 million in 
support of the electoral process.111 
•  The U.S. Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) plans to offer 
financial support in the form of direct loans, guarantees, and political risk 
insurance, and is already supporting two Tunisian private equity firms that are 
focused on small and medium-size businesses. OPIC will also support visits by 
American business investors.112 
•  The Administration has also provided humanitarian aid in response to the 
massive influx of refugees from neighboring Libya. 
Security Assistance 
In late May, General Carter Ham, commander of U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM), visited 
Tunisia on his first trip to North Africa since taking command in March. A U.S.-Tunisian Joint 
Military Commission meets annually and joint exercises are held regularly. The Defense Security 
Cooperation Agency (DSCA) reports that Tunisia relies on U.S. Foreign Military Financing 
(FMF) assistance to “maintain its aging 80s and early 90s era inventory of U.S.-origin equipment, 
which comprises nearly 70% of Tunisia’s total inventory.”113 According to private sector analysis, 
the United States is Tunisia’s primary supplier of military equipment, largely purchased through 
                                                                  
108 State Department Congressional Notification Transmittal Sheets, March 11, 2011 and July 25, 2011. The MEPI 
funding, which is drawn from the Economic Support Fund (ESF) account, has partly come from funding appropriated 
in FY2010 for other purposes and reallocated for programs in Tunisia, subject to congressional notification ($18.3 
million). MEPI also plans to support partnerships between Tunisian civil society groups and U.S. technology 
companies to enhance information and communications capacity. 
109 Statement by Assistant Secretary of State Michael H. Posner, May 5, 2011, op. cit. This figure appears to refer to 
FY2010 and FY2011 Democracy, Conflict, and Humanitarian Assistance (DCHA) funding that has been allocated 
toward Tunisia democracy and governance programming in 2011 (see Tunisia aid table, below). DCHA is generally not 
appropriated bilaterally.  
110 CN#56, “United States Agency for International Development Advice of Program Change,” June 3, 2011. The 
notification referred to “an unanticipated opportunity to advance the Arab world’s first, and historic, democratic 
transition.” 
111 Figures communicated to CRS by the State Department’s Office of the Director of U.S. Foreign Assistance, 
September 2011. 
112 U.S. State Department, “Secretary of State Clinton Delivers Remarks with Tunisia Foreign Minister Mouldi Kefi,” 
March 17, 2011, via CQ. In congressional testimony, Assistant Secretary of State Michael H. Posner said OPIC would 
provide “up to $2 billion in financial support for private-sector investments in the Middle East and North Africa.” 
Statement before the House Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia, “Political Transitions in the Middle 
East,” May 5, 2011. 
113 Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA), “Tunisia Summary,” updated January 13, 2011. 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
Foreign Military Sales (FMS) agreements.114 FMF and Defense Department-administered 
“Section 1206”115 security assistance funds have also provided Tunisia with equipment for border 
and coastal security, which the United States views as a key area of counterterrorism prevention. 
Since 2003, this equipment has included helicopters, machine guns, body armor and helmets, 
parachutes, and night vision devices for sniper rifles. Other equipment has been provided through 
the State Department’s Peacekeeping Operations (PKO) account, with plans to procure seven 
Scan Eagle Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) with $4.1 million in FY2008 PKO funds forfeited 
by Mauritania (which had been temporarily rendered ineligible for security assistance due to a 
military coup).116 Tunisia has also been one of the top 20 recipients of International Military 
Education and Training (IMET) since FY1994.117  
In August 2011, the Department of Defense notified Congress of its plans to provide three new 
Section 1206 packages for Tunisia, which are intended to “build the capacity of Tunisia’s national 
military forces to conduct CT [counterterrorism] operations by providing equipment and 
training.” The assistance, totaling $20.9 million, is intended to provide maritime equipment and 
related operational training, land vehicles, and helicopter surveillance equipment.118 
In July 2011 the State Department notified Congress of its intention to provide Tunisia with $1.43 
million in FY2010 International Counter-Narcotics and Law Enforcement (INCLE) funds that 
were originally notified for Jordan. The Department plans to use the funds “to strengthen the 
criminal justice sector’s ability to combat corruption, implement judicial reforms and promote 
prison reforms.”119 Prior to 2011, Tunisia had not benefitted from significant INCLE funding. 
Tunisia is one of 10 countries participating in the U.S. Trans-Sahara Counter-Terrorism 
Partnership (TSCTP), an interagency regional program aimed at helping North and West African 
countries better control their territory and strengthen their counterterrorism capabilities. The 
Defense Department allocated over $13 million between FY2007 and FY2009 for TSCTP-related 
military cooperation with Tunisia, including bilateral and multinational exercises, regional 
conferences, and Joint-Combined Exchange Training programs, which are conducted by U.S. 
special operations forces.120 Defense Department funds have also been allocated for programs 
designed to counter violent extremist messages. 
 
                                                                  
114 Forecast International, International Military Markets—Middle East & Africa, “Tunisia: Section 3—Market 
Overview,” May 2009. 
115 P.L. 109-163, the National Defense Authorization Act, FY2006, Section 1206 authorizes the Secretary of Defense to 
train and equip foreign military and foreign maritime security forces. For more information, see CRS Report RS22855, 
Security Assistance Reform: “Section 1206” Background and Issues for Congress, by Nina M. Serafino. 
116 This assistance is described as supporting the Trans-Sahara Counterterrorism Partnership (TSCTP). 
117 DSCA, op. cit. 
118 Deputy Secretary of Defense, Congressional Notification, August 25, 2011. 
119 State Department Congressional Notification Transmittal Sheet, July 25, 2011. 
120 Funding figures provided to CRS by the State Department, 2010. 
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Table 1. Foreign Assistance to Tunisia, Selected Accounts 
(appropriations, thousands of current dol ars) 
  
FY2009  
FY2010  
FY2011 Est. 
FY2012 Request 
FMF 12,000 
18,000 
17,124  4,900 
ESF (Bilateral) 
800 
2,000 
5,000 
0 
ESF (MEPI) 
- 
18,324 
5,000 Not 
available 
ESF (USAID non-
- 
830 
0 
Not available 
bilateral) 
IMET 1,700 
1,945 
1,950 1,675 
INCLE 0 
1,427 
1,500 0 
NADR 100 
1,200 175 
0 
DCHA - 
8,000 
2,000 Not 
available 
IDA - 
- 
100 
Not 
available 
Section 1206 
8,800 
0 
20,900 
Not available 
Total, above 
23,400 51,726 53,749 
6,575 
allocations 
Notes: FMF=Foreign Military Financing; ESF=Economic Support Funds; IMET=International Military Education 
and Training; INCLE=International Narcotics Control and Law Enforcement; NADR=Non-Proliferation, Anti-
Terrorism, Demining, and Related Programs; DCHA= Democracy, Conflict, and Humanitarian Assistance; 
IDA=International Disaster Assistance; Section 1206=Defense Department funds authorized for use in training 
and equipping foreign military forces for certain purposes.  
Items in italics refer to funding appropriated in FY2010 for other countries and purposes, then real ocated for 
Tunisia in 2011. This chart does not reflect funding al ocated under TSCTP. 
Source: State Department Congressional Budget Justifications for Foreign Operations, FY2009-FY2012; 
communications from the State Department’s Office of the Director of U.S. Foreign Assistance; Defense 
Department Congressional Notification; CRS Report RS22855, Security Assistance Reform: “Section 1206” 
Background and Issues for Congress, by Nina M. Serafino. 
Multilateral Assistance 
Several multilateral institutions that receive significant U.S. financial support have pledged 
economic aid for Tunisia during its transition process. The World Bank and African Development 
Bank (AfDB) have each pledged $500 million in budget support to Tunisia, which is aimed at 
providing emergency financial reserves while addressing regional disparities, reducing youth 
unemployment, and improving civil liberties and economic governance.121 AfDB President 
Donald Kaberuka indicated in early June that there is an additional $500 million in Tunisia aid “in 
the pipeline,” which he hoped would be disbursed by year’s end, while the World Bank said in 
May that it envisaged an additional $1 billion.122 The European Bank for Reconstruction and 
Development (EBRD), which also receives U.S. financial support, is considering extending aid to 
North African countries, potentially including Tunisia. In May, G8 countries pledged $20 billion 
                                                                  
121 African Development Bank, “AfDB Supports Accountability in Tunisia,” May 20, 2011. 
122 African Development Bank, “AfDB and Tunisia Formally Sign USD 500M Budget Support Accord at Annual 
Meetings,” June 10, 2011; World Bank, “World Bank Group Announces Up to $6 Billion for Egypt and Tunisia,” May 
30, 2011. 
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Political Transition in Tunisia 
 
in aid for Tunisia and Egypt over three years, to be disbursed via multilateral banks such as the 
European Investment Bank.123 French President Nicolas Sarkozy indicated that an additional $10 
billion would be provided for the two countries by Gulf states, and another $10 billion by the 
IMF.124 In September, the G8 pledged an additional $38 billion in new aid to transitional countries 
in the region, although reports indicated that little of the previously promised funding had 
materialized.125 Prime Minister Essebsi attended part of the G8 summit, where he appealed for 
“economic support for our march towards democracy.”126 
Congress and Aid to Tunisia 
Congress authorizes, appropriates, and oversees foreign assistance funding and regularly 
authorizes arms sale proposals. There is also a congressional Tunisia Caucus. Some Members of 
Congress have advocated new assistance to support Tunisia’s transition to democracy and 
economic stabilization. For example, S. 618 (Kerry) and H.R. 2237 (Schiff) would authorize the 
President to establish a Tunisian-American Enterprise Fund to promote private sector investment 
and improve corporate governance, among other aims. S. 1388 (Kerry) would express support for 
certain types of multilateral aid to North African countries undergoing political transitions that 
meet certain criteria, among other provisions. Other Members contend that budgetary cuts take 
precedence over new assistance programs, or that economic stability in Tunisia and elsewhere is 
best addressed via private sector engagement and/or support from other donors. Some have 
additionally pointed to uncertainties over the current and prospective nature of Tunisia’s 
government. The discussion regarding potential new assistance has proceeded amid larger federal 
budget debates and disagreements over funding priorities.  
The Senate report accompanying S. 1253, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 
2012, states that “expanded military assistance and cooperation with the Tunisian Armed Forces 
is an important component of a comprehensive U.S. policy to support the people and Government 
of Tunisia in its transition to democracy” and “urges the Secretary of Defense, in consultation 
with the Secretary of State, to enhance and expand U.S. security assistance to Tunisia in order to 
strengthen the capacity of the Tunisian Armed Forces, in particular with regard to securing 
Tunisia’s land and maritime borders.”127 
Congress was supportive of U.S. military assistance to Tunisia during the latter years of Ben Ali’s 
presidency. In an explanatory statement accompanying P.L. 111-8, the Omnibus Appropriations 
Act, 2009 (enacted on March 11, 2009), appropriators directed the State Department to allocate 
$12 million in FMF assistance for Tunisia, far more than the State Department’s budget request 
for $2.6 million. At the same time, appropriators wrote in the explanatory statement that 
“restrictions on political freedom, the use of torture, imprisonment of dissidents, and persecution 
of journalists and human rights defenders are of concern and progress on these issues is necessary 
for the partnership between the United States and Tunisia to further strengthen.”128 In the 
                                                                  
123 Declaration of the G8 on the Arab Springs, Deauville, May 26-27, 2011 (released on May 27, 2011). 
124 Liz Alderman, “Group of 8 Pledges $20 Billion Aid to Egypt and Tunisia,” The New York Times, May 27, 2011. 
125 Liz Alderman, “G-8 Nations Pledge New Aid to Arab Spring Economies,” The New York Times, September 11, 
2011. 
126 Sebastian Moffett and William Horobin, “Tunisia’s Leaders Call for Aid to Maintain Momentum of ‘Arab Spring,’” 
May 27, 2011. 
127 S.Rept. 112-26 (Title XII, Subtitle C, “United States-Tunisia Military-to-Military Cooperation,” June 22, 2011. 
128 Congressional Record, February 23, 2009, p. H2417. 
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conference report accompanying P.L. 111-117, the FY2010 Consolidated Appropriations Act 
(enacted on December 16, 2009), appropriators directed the State Department to allocate $18 
million in FMF for Tunisia, $3 million more than the requested amount. The conference report 
also allocated $2 million in Economic Support Fund (ESF)—the amount requested—for 
“programs and activities in southern Tunisia and to promote respect for human rights.”129 
Foreign Relations 
Israel and the Palestinians 
Tunisians broadly sympathize with the Palestinians; Tunisia hosted the Palestine Liberation 
Organization (PLO) headquarters in exile from 1982 to 1993. Tunisia’s foreign ministry 
announced in September that it would support the Palestinians’ bid for a U.N. recognition of 
statehood.130 Tunisia had an interests office in Israel until the outbreak of the second Palestinian 
intifadah, or uprising against the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and Gaza Strip, in 2000. 
Israelis of Tunisian descent are allowed to travel to Tunisia on Israeli passports, and the Israeli 
and Tunisian foreign ministers sometimes meet. In September 2005, President Ben Ali sent a 
personal letter to then Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, praising his “courageous” withdrawal 
from the Gaza Strip. Israel’s then-foreign minister, who was born in Tunisia, and then-
communications minister attended the World Summit on the Information Society in Tunisia in 
2005. (Then-Prime Minister Sharon was invited along with leaders of all U.N. member states; his 
invitation provoked demonstrations in Tunisia.)  
Europe 
Tunisia and the European Union (EU) have cemented a close relationship by means of an 
Association Agreement, aid, and loans. At the same time, EU leaders periodically expressed 
concerns over Tunisia’s record on human rights and political freedom under Ben Ali.131 More than 
60% of Tunisia’s trade is conducted with Europe.132 The Association Agreement, which was 
signed in 1995 and went into effect on January 1, 2008, eliminates customs tariffs and other trade 
barriers on manufactured goods, and provides for the establishment of an EU-Tunisia free trade 
area in goods, but not in agriculture or services. Negotiations on the provision of “advanced 
status” for Tunisia vis-à-vis the EU, which would provide greater trade benefits, are expected to 
be taken up again after elections.133 Tunisia receives aid from the EU’s Euro-Mediterranean 
Partnership (MEDA) program and soft loans from the European Investment Bank, the financing 
arm of the EU. The Europeans hope that their aid will help Tunisia to progress economically, and 
thereby eliminate some causes of illegal immigration and Islamic fundamentalism.  
                                                                  
129 Congressional Record, December 8, 2009, p. H14350. 
130 UMCI News, “Tunisia Strongly Supports The Palestinian-UN Bid,” September 12, 2011. 
131 See, e.g., AFP, “EU Calls for Release of Tunisian Protesters,” January 10, 2011. 
132 World Trade Organization, Tunisia Profile, October 2010. 
133 Haykel Tlili, “Chômage: L’Union Européenne Prépare une Task Force pour la Tunisie,” Le Temps, August 23, 
2011. See European Commission, EuropeAid Development and Cooperation, Tunisia, at http://ec.europa.eu/europeaid/
where/neighbourhood/country-cooperation/tunisia/tunisia_en.htm. 
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EU officials have focused high-level attention on Tunisia since Ben Ali’s departure. The EU has 
imposed targeted sanctions against 48 individuals associated with the former regime (many of 
them members of the extended Ben Ali and Trabelsi families)134 and has promised new economic, 
trade, and governance assistance while seeking to ensure that Tunisia’s previous commitments, 
such as the prevention of illegal emigration, will be maintained in the post-Ben Ali era.135 
Relations with Italy were strained in February when thousands of Tunisian migrants began 
arriving by boat to Italy’s southern Lampedusa island; Tunisia rejected direct Italian intervention 
but indicated it would cooperate with Europe on stemming illicit population flows. In early April, 
Tunisia and Italy agreed to increase police cooperation and ease compulsory repatriations. Italy 
also pledged over 200 million euros in aid and credit lines to help block departures and create 
jobs to dissuade potential migrants; Italy has also provided Tunisia with maritime patrol 
equipment.136 The EU, meanwhile, in April approved agreements relaxing tariffs on imports from 
certain North African countries, including Tunisia. 
Relations between the interim government and France were strained over French support for Ben 
Ali, which was extended even as his security forces cracked down on pro-democracy protesters. 
French authorities have sought to reassure the interim government by refusing to offer Ben Ali 
exile, replacing the French ambassador to Tunisia, announcing an asset freeze targeting members 
of the Ben Ali family, dispatching senior officials on state visits, and pledging €425 million (over 
$600 million) in bilateral aid, in addition to French support for multilateral assistance.137  
Regional Relations 
Tunisia has generally sought cordial relations with its immediate neighbors, although Ben Ali’s 
entente with neighboring Libya’s Muammar al Qadhafi was strained. Although it declined to 
participate militarily in U.S. and NATO military operations in Libya, Tunisia’s interim 
government has been supportive of the transition there. Tunisia reportedly froze assets belonging 
to Qadhafi’s family, and the interim government recognized Libya’s Transitional National 
Council (TNC) on August 21.138 Tunisian authorities appear to hope that an end to turmoil in 
Libya will stabilize border areas (which were shelled by Qadhafi’s forces during the conflict, and 
which are the site of massive refugee flows) and, eventually, produce an economic rebound that 
would allow Libya to reabsorb some of Tunisia’s low-skilled labor surplus.139 
Algeria and Morocco have been supportive of Tunisia’s post-Ben Ali government: Algeria has 
offered financial assistance, while Morocco and Tunisia signed a bilateral military cooperation 
agreement in May 2011. Tunisia is a member of the Arab Maghreb Union, established in 1989 by 
                                                                  
134 See Council Regulation (EU) No. 101/2011 of 4 February 2011 Concerning Restrictive Measures Directed Against 
Certain Persons, Entities and Bodies in View of the Situation in Tunisia.” 
135 While some migrants are Tunisian, many are Sub-Saharan Africans who traverse Tunisia in search of passage to 
Europe. Concerns over immigration have heightened with the flow of Libyans across the border and to southern Italy. 
136 Reuters, “Italy, Tunisia Sign Deal to Ease Migrant Crisis,” April 5, 2011. 
137 On French bilateral aid, see G8 Summit, “The Deauville Partnership: Helping the Arab Countries in Their 
Transition to Free and Democratic Societies,” Deauville, May 27, 2011. 
138 The previous week, Tunisia reportedly hosted Libyan rebel-government talks.U.S. State Department Daily Press 
Briefing, August 15, 2011. The main political parties in Tunisia supported the government’s decision to recognize the 
CNT. AFP, “Tunisie: Des Parties Politiques Saluent la ‘Nouvelle Libye,’” August 22, 2011. 
139 Marie-Christine Corbier, “En Tunisie, le Patronat Voit la Libye Nouvelle comme une ‘Bouffée d’Oxygène,’” Les 
Echos, August 30, 2011. 
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Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, Libya, and Mauritania, though the organization is inactive due to 
tensions between Morocco and Algeria. Tunisia has free-trade agreements with Morocco, Egypt, 
Jordan, Turkey, and Libya.140 In September, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan 
visited Tunisia as the first stop on a tour of countries affected by democratic uprisings. Tunis is 
also the temporary headquarters location of the African Development Bank (AfDB), which 
receives significant financial support from the United States. It was moved to Tunisia in 2005 due 
to civil unrest in Côte d’Ivoire, its permanent location. 
Outlook 
Tunisians face a wide range of questions regarding their country’s future and that of the region. 
Recent events, including widening political contestation and unrest across the Middle East and 
North Africa also raise potential issues for Congress pertaining to the oversight of U.S.-Tunisian 
bilateral relations, foreign assistance, and broader U.S. policy priorities in the Middle East.  
Questions include 
•  To what extent is Tunisia a “test-case” for democratic transitions in the Middle 
East? To what extent is Tunisia a priority for U.S. policy in the region? 
•  What is the potential for free, fair, and well-managed elections? What is to be the 
mandate, mode of operation, and duration of the National Constituent Assembly, 
which is expected to be elected on October 24? 
•  Is Tunisia likely to experience political stability in the medium term, or do 
continued protests and insecurity remain significant threats? Do Ben Ali and/or 
elements of the former regime continue to influence events in Tunisia? What is 
the role of the military in steering political developments? 
•  What will the future Tunisian government and political order look like? Is a 
consensus among Islamist and secularist political factions possible? Will there be 
a free and independent press and civil society in Tunisia? 
•  Which individuals and groups currently enjoy significant popular credibility in 
Tunisia, and what are their likely courses of action? What steps are various 
groups doing to position themselves in the public eye ahead of elections? What 
coalitions among political and interest groups are likely? 
•  What is the potential medium-term impact of recent events on foreign investment 
and economic growth in Tunisia and the region? Are the interim government’s 
economic policies appropriate and effective? What steps are being taken to 
address regional economic disparities within Tunisia? 
•  What has been the impact of U.S. public statements and actions related to 
Tunisia, and what are the prospects for future U.S. influence on the evolution of 
events? How, if at all, should the U.S. government reshape its assistance 
programs for Tunisia in response to recent and continuing events? What course of 
U.S. action is most likely to fulfill foreign policy and national security goals? 
                                                                  
140 EIU, Tunisia: Country Profile, 2008. 
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Author Contact Information 
 
Alexis Arieff 
   
Analyst in African Affairs 
aarieff@crs.loc.gov, 7-2459 
 
 
Acknowledgments 
This report includes analysis by Carol Migdalovitz, now-retired CRS Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs 
 
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