Navy Ford (CVN-78) Class Aircraft Carrier
Program: Background and Issues for Congress
Ronald O'Rourke
Specialist in Naval Affairs
February 23, 2011
Congressional Research Service
7-5700
www.crs.gov
RS20643
CRS Report for Congress
P
repared for Members and Committees of Congress
Navy Ford (CVN-78) Class Aircraft Carrier Program: Background and Issues for Congress
Summary
CVN-78, CVN-79, and CVN-80 are the first three ships in the Navy’s new Gerald R. Ford (CVN-
78) class of nuclear-powered aircraft carriers (CVNs).
CVN-78 was procured in FY2008 and is being funded with congressionally authorized four-year
incremental funding in FY2008-FY2011. The Navy’s proposed FY2012 budget estimates the
ship’s procurement cost at $11,531.0 million (i.e., about $11.5 billion) in then-year dollars. The
Navy’s proposed FY2011 budget requested $1,731.3 million in procurement funding as the final
increment to complete this estimated procurement cost.
CVN-79 is scheduled for procurement in FY2013, and has received advance procurement funding
since FY2007. The Navy’s proposed FY2012 budget estimates the ship’s procurement cost at
$10,253.0 million (i.e., about $10.3 billion) in then-year dollars and requests $554.8 million in
advance procurement funding for the ship.
CVN-80 is scheduled for procurement in FY2018, with advance procurement funding scheduled
to begin in FY2014. The Navy’s proposed FY2012 budget estimates the ship’s procurement cost
at $13,494.9 million (i.e., about $13.5 billion) in then-year dollars.
On April 6, 2009, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates announced a number of recommendations
he was making to the President for the FY2010 defense budget submission. One of these was to
shift procurement of carriers to five-year intervals. This recommendation, which was included in
the FY2010 defense budget submission, deferred the scheduled procurement of CVN-79 from
FY2012 to FY2013, and the scheduled procurement of CVN-80 from FY2016 to FY2018.
Secretary of Defense Robert Gates stated on April 6, 2009, that shifting carrier procurement to
five-year intervals would put carrier procurement on “a more fiscally sustainable path.”
Oversight issues for Congress for the CVN-78 program include the potential impact on the
program of a year-long continuing resolution (CR) for FY2011 at FY2010 funding levels; the
potential for cost growth on CVNs 78, 79, and 80; and technical and design issues for CVN-78
class carriers that were raised in a December 2010 report from the Department of Defense (DOD)
Director of Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E).
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Navy Ford (CVN-78) Class Aircraft Carrier Program: Background and Issues for Congress
Contents
Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 1
Background ................................................................................................................................ 1
The Navy’s Aircraft Carrier Force ......................................................................................... 1
Aircraft Carrier Construction Industrial Base......................................................................... 1
Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) Class Program .............................................................................. 1
CVN-78 .......................................................................................................................... 2
CVN-79 .......................................................................................................................... 2
CVN-80 .......................................................................................................................... 3
Procurement Funding ...................................................................................................... 3
Increase in Estimated Unit Procurement Costs................................................................. 4
Procurement Cost Cap..................................................................................................... 5
Issues for Congress ..................................................................................................................... 6
Near-Term Issue: Potential Impact of Year-Long Continuing Resolution for FY2011 ............. 6
Potential for Additional Cost Growth .................................................................................... 7
June 30, 2010, Selected Acquisition Report ..................................................................... 7
May 2010 CBO Report ................................................................................................... 7
March 2010 GAO Report ................................................................................................ 8
Technical and Design Issues—December 2010 DOT&E Report ............................................ 9
Legislative Activity for FY2012 ................................................................................................ 10
Tables
Table 1. Procurement Funding for CVNs 78, 79, and 80 .............................................................. 3
Table 2. Estimated Procurement Costs of CVNs 78, 79, and 80 ................................................... 5
Table B-1. Cost Impact of Shifting to Five-year Intervals .......................................................... 17
Appendixes
Appendix A. Legislative Activity for FY2011............................................................................ 11
Appendix B. Earlier Oversight Issue: Shift to Five-Year Intervals: A More Fiscally
Sustainable Path? ................................................................................................................... 13
Appendix C. Text of Navy Report on Effects of Shifting to Five-Year Intervals ......................... 18
Contacts
Author Contact Information ...................................................................................................... 21
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Navy Ford (CVN-78) Class Aircraft Carrier Program: Background and Issues for Congress
Introduction
CVN-78, CVN-79, and CVN-80 are the first three ships in the Navy’s new Gerald R. Ford (CVN-
78) class of nuclear-powered aircraft carriers (CVNs). This report provides background
information and potential oversight issues for Congress on the CVN-78 program.
Background
The Navy’s Aircraft Carrier Force
The Navy’s aircraft carrier force consists of 11 nuclear-powered ships—the one-of-a-kind
Enterprise (CVN-65), which entered service in 1961, and 10 Nimitz-class ships (CVNs 68
through 77) that entered service between 1975 and 2009. The most recently commissioned
carrier, the George H. W. Bush (CVN-77), the final Nimitz-class ship, was procured in FY2001
and commissioned into service on January 10, 2009.1 CVN-77 replaced the Kitty Hawk (CV-63),
which was the Navy’s last remaining conventionally powered carrier.2
Aircraft Carrier Construction Industrial Base
All U.S. aircraft carriers procured since FY1958 have been built by a Newport News, VA,
shipyard that currently forms part of Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding (NGSB). Northrop’s
Newport News yard is the only U.S. shipyard that can build large-deck, nuclear-powered aircraft
carriers. Northrop plans to spin off the Newport News yard and one of its other shipyards into a
new independent firm some time in 2011. The aircraft carrier construction industrial base also
includes hundreds of subcontractors and suppliers in dozens of states.
Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) Class Program
The Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) class carrier design is the successor to the Nimitz-class carrier
design.3 Compared to the Nimitz-class design, the Ford-class design will incorporate several
improvements, including an ability to generate substantially more aircraft sorties per day and
features permitting the ship to be operated by several hundred fewer sailors than a Nimitz-class
ship, significantly reducing life-cycle operating and support costs. Navy plans call for procuring
at least three Ford-class carriers—CVN-78, CVN-79, and CVN-80.
1 Congress approved $4,053.7 million in FY2001 procurement funding to complete CVN-77’s then-estimated total
procurement cost of $4,974.9 million. Section 122 of the FY1998 defense authorization act (H.R. 1119/P.L. 105-85 of
November 18, 1997) limited the ship’s procurement cost to $4.6 billion, plus adjustments for inflation and other
factors. The Navy testified in 2006 that with these permitted adjustments, the cost cap stood at $5.357 billion. The
Navy also testified that CVN-77’s estimated construction cost had increased to $6.057 billion, or $700 million above
the adjusted cost cap. Consequently, the Navy in 2006 requested that Congress increase the cost cap to $6.057 billion.
Congress approved this request: Section 123 of the FY2007 defense authorization act (H.R. 5122/P.L. 109-364 of
October 17, 2006), increased the cost cap for CVN-77 to $6.057 billion.
2 The Kitty Hawk was decommissioned on January 31, 2009.
3 The CVN-78 class was earlier known as the CVN-21 class, which meant nuclear-powered aircraft carrier for the 21st
century.
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CVN-78
CVN-78, which was named in 2007 for President Gerald R. Ford,4 was procured in FY2008 and
is being funded with congressionally authorized four-year incremental funding in FY2008-
FY2011.5 The Navy’s proposed FY2012 budget estimates the ship’s procurement cost at
$11,531.0 million (i.e., about $11.5 billion) in then-year dollars. The Navy’s proposed FY2011
budget requested $1,731.3 million in procurement funding as the final increment to complete this
estimated procurement cost.
CVN-78 is scheduled to enter service as the replacement for Enterprise (CVN-65). The Navy
projects that there will be a 33-month period between the scheduled decommissioning of
Enterprise in November 2012 and the scheduled commissioning of CVN-78 in September 2015.
During this 33-month period, the Navy’s carrier force is to temporarily decline from 11 ships to
10 ships. Since 10 USC 5062(b) requires the Navy to maintain a force of at least 11 operational
carriers, the Navy asked Congress for a temporary waiver of 10 USC 5062(b) to accommodate
the 33-month period between the scheduled decommissioning of Enterprise and the scheduled
commissioning of CVN-78. Section 1023 of the FY2010 defense authorization act (H.R.
2647/P.L. 111-84 of October 28, 2009) authorizes the waiver and requires the Secretary of
Defense to submit a report on the operational risk of temporarily reducing the size of the carrier
force.
CVN-79
CVN-79 is scheduled for procurement in FY2013, and has received advance procurement (AP)
funding since FY2007. The Navy’s proposed FY2012 budget estimates the ship’s procurement
cost at $10,253.0 million (i.e., about $10.3 billion) in then-year dollars and requests $554.8
million in AP funding for the ship.
On April 6, 2009, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates announced a number of recommendations
he was making to the President for the FY2010 defense budget submission. One of these was to
shift procurement of carriers to five-year intervals. This recommendation, which was included in
the FY2010 defense budget submission, deferred the scheduled procurement of CVN-79 from
FY2012 to FY2013. Gates stated in his April 9, 2009, address that shifting carrier procurement to
five-year intervals would put carrier procurement on “a more fiscally sustainable path.”6 For
further discussion, see Appendix B and Appendix C.
4 Section 1012 of the FY2007 defense authorization act (H.R. 5122/P.L. 109-364 of October 17, 2006) expressed the
sense of the Congress that CVN-78 should be named for President Gerald R. Ford. On January 16, 2007, the Navy
announced that CVN-78 would be so named. CVN-78 and other carriers built to the same design will consequently be
referred to as Ford (CVN-78) class carriers. For further discussion of Navy ship names, see CRS Report RS22478,
Navy Ship Names: Background for Congress, by Ronald O’Rourke.
5 Section 121 of the FY2007 defense authorization act (H.R. 5122/P.L. 109-364 of October 17, 2006) granted the Navy
the authority to use four-year incremental funding for CVN-78, CVN-79, and CVN-80.
6 Source: Statement of Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, at April 6, 2009, news conference on his recommendations
for the FY2010 defense budget.
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CVN-80
CVN-80 is scheduled for procurement in FY2018, with advance procurement funding scheduled
to begin in FY2014. The Navy’s proposed FY2012 budget estimates the ship’s procurement cost
at $13,494.9 million (i.e., about $13.5 billion) in then-year dollars. Secretary of Defense Gates’
April 2009 recommendation to shift carrier procurement to five-year intervals (see above
discussion of CVN-79) deferred the procurement of CVN-80 from FY2016 to FY2018.
Procurement Funding
Table 1 shows procurement funding for CVNs 78, 79, and 80. Each ship is being procured with
several years of advance procurement (AP) funding, followed by four-year incremental
procurement funding of the remainder of the ship’s cost.7 The funding profile for CVN-78, for
example, includes AP funding in FY2001-FY2007, followed by four years of incremental
procurement funding in FY2008-FY2011.
Table 1. Procurement Funding for CVNs 78, 79, and 80
(Millions of then-year dollars, rounded to nearest tenth)
FY CVN-78
CVN-79
CVN-80
Total
FY01 21.7
(AP) 0 0
21.7
FY02 135.3
(AP) 0 0
135.3
FY03 395.5
(AP) 0 0
395.5
FY04 1,162.9
(AP)
0 0
1,162.9
FY05 623.1
(AP) 0 0
623.1
FY06 618.9
(AP) 0 0
618.9
FY07
735.8 (AP)
52.8 (AP)
0
788.6
FY08 2,685.0
123.5
(AP)
0
2,808.6
FY09 2,684.6
1,210.6
(AP)
0
3,895.1
FY10 737.0
482.9
(AP)
0
1,219.9
FY11 (requested)
1,731.3
908.3 (AP)
0
2,639.6
FY12 (requested)
0
554.8 (AP)
0
554.8
FY13 (projected)
0
1,942.4
0
1,942.4
FY14 (projected)
0
1,920.3
228.1 (AP)
2,148.4
FY15 (projected)
0
2,030.9 1,514.9 (AP)
3,545.8
FY16 (projected)
0
1,026.5 1,476.5 (AP)
2,503.0
Source: FY2009-FY2012Navy budget submissions.
Notes: Figures may not add due to rounding. “AP” is advance procurement funding.
7 As noted earlier, Section 121 of the FY2007 defense authorization act (H.R. 5122/P.L. 109-364 of October 17, 2006)
granted the Navy the authority to use four-year incremental funding for CVN-78, CVN-79, and CVN-80.
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Increase in Estimated Unit Procurement Costs
As shown in Table 2, the estimated procurement costs of CVNs 78, 79, and 80 in the FY2011
budget submission are 10.3%, 11.5%, and 25.9% higher, respectively, in then-year dollars than
those in the FY2009 budget submission.8 Table 2 also shows that the estimated procurement costs
of CVNs 79 and 80 in the FY2012 budget are 1.5% and 0.1% lower, respectively, than those in
the FY2011 budget.
8 CBO in 2008 and the Government Accountability Office (GAO) in 2007 questioned the accuracy of the Navy’s cost
estimate for CVN-78. CBO reported in June 2008 that it estimated that CVN-78 would cost $11.2 billion in constant
FY2009 dollars, or about $900 million more than the Navy’s estimate of $10.3 billion in constant FY2009 dollars, and
that if “CVN-78 experienced cost growth similar to that of other lead ships that the Navy has purchased in the past 10
years, costs could be much higher still.” CBO also reported that, although the Navy publicly expressed confidence in its
cost estimate for CVN-78, the Navy had assigned a confidence level of less than 50% to its estimate, meaning that the
Navy believed there was more than a 50% chance that the estimate would be exceeded. (Congressional Budget Office,
Resource Implications of the Navy’s Fiscal Year 2009 Shipbuilding Plan, June 9, 2008, p. 20.) GAO reported in August
2007 that:
Costs for CVN 78 will likely exceed the budget for several reasons. First, the Navy’s cost estimate,
which underpins the budget, is optimistic. For example, the Navy assumes that CVN 78 will be
built with fewer labor hours than were needed for the previous two carriers. Second, the Navy’s
target cost for ship construction may not be achievable. The shipbuilder’s initial cost estimate for
construction was 22 percent higher than the Navy’s cost target, which was based on the budget.
Although the Navy and the shipbuilder are working on ways to reduce costs, the actual costs to
build the ship will likely increase above the Navy’s target. Third, the Navy’s ability to manage
issues that affect cost suffers from insufficient cost surveillance. Without effective cost
surveillance, the Navy will not be able to identify early signs of cost growth and take necessary
corrective action.
(Government Accountability Office, Defense Acquisitions[:] Navy Faces Challenges Constructing
the Aircraft Carrier Gerald R. Ford within Budget, GAO-07-866, August 2007, summary page. See
also Government Accountability Office, Defense Acquisitions[:] Realistic Business Cases Needed
to Execute Navy Shipbuilding Programs, Statement of Paul L. Francis, Director, Acquisition and
Sourcing Management Team, Testimony Before the Subcommittee on Seapower and Expeditionary
Forces, Committee on Armed Services, House of Representatives, July 24, 2007 (GAO-07-943T),
p. 15.)
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Table 2. Estimated Procurement Costs of CVNs 78, 79, and 80
(As shown in FY2009-FY2012 budgets, in millions of then-year dollars)
Budget CVN-78
CVN-79
CVN-80
Estimated
Scheduled
Estimated
Scheduled
Estimated
Scheduled
procurement
fiscal year of
procurement
fiscal year of
procurement
fiscal year of
cost
procurement
cost
procurement
cost
procurement
FY09
budget
10,457.9 FY08 9,191.6 FY12 10,716.8 FY16
FY10 budget
10,845.8
FY08
n/aa FY13b n/aa FY18b
FY11
budget
11,531.0 FY08 10,413.1 FY13 13,577.0 FY18
FY12
budget
11,531.0 FY08 10,253.0 FY13 13,494.9 FY18
%
change:
FY09 budget
+3.7 n/a n/a
to FY10 budget
FY10 budget to
+6.3 n/a n/a
FY11 budget
FY11 budget to
No change
- 1.5
- 0.1
FY12 budget
FY09 budget to
+10.3 +11.5 +25.9
FY12 budget
Source: FY2009, FY2010, and FY2011Navy budget submissions.
a. n/a means not available; the FY2010 budget submission did not show estimated procurement costs for
CVNs 79 and 80.
b. The FY2010 budget submission did not show scheduled years of procurement for CVNs 79 and 80; the
dates shown here for the FY2010 budget submission are inferred from the shift to five-year intervals for
procuring carriers that was announced by Secretary of Defense Gates in his April 6, 2009, news conference
regarding recommendations for the FY2010 defense budget.
The increases in the estimated procurement costs of CVNs 78, 79, and 80 since the FY2009
budget submission have at least four potential causes:
• one additional year of inflation being incorporated into the cost of CVN-79 as a
result of its scheduled procurement being deferred from FY2012 to FY2013, and
two years of additional inflation being incorporated into the cost of CVN-80 as a
result of its scheduled procurement being deferred from FY2016 to FY2018;
• increases in projected annual rates of inflation;
• higher estimates of real (i.e., inflation-adjusted) material costs, real labor rates, or
labor hours (given a certain position on the production learning curve) for
building CVN-78 class carriers; and
• increased costs due to loss of learning and reduced spreading of fixed overhead
costs resulting from shifting to five-year intervals for procuring carriers.
Procurement Cost Cap
Section 122 of the FY2007 defense authorization act (H.R. 5122/P.L. 109-364 of October 17,
2006) established a procurement cost cap for CVN-78 of $10.5 billion, plus adjustments for
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inflation and other factors, and a procurement cost cap for subsequent Ford-class carriers of $8.1
billion each, plus adjustments for inflation and other factors. The conference report (H.Rept. 109-
702 of September 29, 2006) on P.L. 109-364 discusses Section 122 on pages 551-552.
The Navy on February 19, 2010, notified the congressional defense committees that, after making
permitted adjustments in the cost cap for inflation and other factors, the estimated cost of CVN-
78 was $224 million below the cost cap for that ship.9 The Navy on April 19, 2010, informed
CRS and the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) that, after making permitted adjustments in the
cost cap for inflation and other factors, the estimated costs of CVN-79 and CVN-80 each were
several hundred million dollars below the cost cap for those ships.10
Issues for Congress
Oversight issues for Congress for the CVN-78 program include the potential impact on the
program of a year-long continuing resolution (CR) for FY2011 at FY2010 funding levels; the
potential for cost growth on CVNs 78, 79, and 80; and technical and design issues for CVN-78
class carriers that were raised in a December 2010 report from the Department of Defense (DOD)
Director of Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E).
Near-Term Issue: Potential Impact of Year-Long Continuing
Resolution for FY2011
A near-term oversight issue for Congress for the CVN-78 program is the potential impact on the
program of a year-long continuing resolution (CR) for FY2011 at FY2010 funding levels. As can
be seen in Table 1, the amounts of procurement and advance procurement funding requested for
the CVN-78 program for FY2011 ($1,731.3 million and $908.3 million, respectively) are
considerably higher than the amounts that were provided for FY2010 ($737.0 million and $482.9
million, respectively). Since procurement funding for Navy ships is generally appropriated (and
therefore managed by the Navy) at the line-item level (including separate lines item for AP
funding), the Navy has little flexibility in how it can apply FY2010 levels of shipbuilding
procurement and AP funding to meet FY2011 shipbuilding program needs.11 Funding the CVN-
78 program in FY2011 at FY2010 procurement and AP funding levels under a CR could cause a
rescheduling of construction and component manufacturing work on CVN-78 and CVN-79. This
could affect workloads and employments levels at the Newport News shipyard and supplier firms,
and the ultimate procurement costs of the two ships. A February 14, 2011, press article quoted a
Navy spokesman as stating: “The continuing resolution has the potential to impact CVN-78 and
CVN-79 construction, and the Navy is working to mitigate these impacts.”12
9 Source: Letter dated February 19, 2010, from Secretary of the Navy Ray Mabus to the chairmen of the House and
Senate Armed Services committees and the Defense subcommittees of the House and Senate Appropriations
Committees. Copy of letter provided by the Navy to CRS and the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) on April 19,
2010.
10 Source: April 19, 2010, Navy briefing on the CVN-78 program to CRS and CBO.
11 For additional discussion, see CRS Report RL32665, Navy Force Structure and Shipbuilding Plans: Background and
Issues for Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke.
12 Cid Standifer, “Carrier Build Cycle Change Could Be Impacted By Continuing Resolution,” Inside the Navy,
February 14, 2011.
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Potential for Additional Cost Growth
Another oversight issue for Congress for the CVN-78 program concerns potential for cost growth
on CVNs 78, 79, and 80. One possible source of additional cost growth in CVN-78 is new
technologies that are being developed for the ship, particularly the electromagnetic aircraft launch
system (EMALS)—an electromagnetic (as opposed to the traditional steam-powered) aircraft
catapult. Problems in developing EMALS or other technologies could delay the ship’s completion
and increase its development and/or procurement cost.
June 30, 2010, Selected Acquisition Report
DOD’s June 30, 2010, Selected Acquisition Report (SAR) for the CVN-78 program states:
Electromagnetic Aircraft Launch System component production remains on schedule to
support CVN 78 construction with subsystems deliveries meeting Required In-Yard Dates.
The first two, of three, phases of the High Cycle Testing are complete. The third phase is
scheduled for completion in September 2010. The first of two phases of the Highly
Accelerated Life Testing is complete. The second phase is planned for a September 2011
completion. System Functional Demonstration is scheduled to begin in September 2010,
with live aircraft launching planned for Late Fall 2010.13
May 2010 CBO Report
A May 2010 CBO report on the potential cost of the Navy’s FY2011 30-year shipbuilding plan
states:
The Navy’s projected cost of the lead ship of the CVN-78 class grew by 10 percent between
the President’s 2008 and 2011 budget requests. The Navy now expects the lead ship’s cost to
be about $11.7 billion (about what CBO estimated in its analysis of the Navy’s 2009 plan).
Yet further increases appear likely. The CVN-78 is only about 10 percent complete, and cost
growth in shipbuilding programs typically occurs when a ship is more than half finished—
particularly in the later stages of construction, when all of a ship’s systems must be installed
and integrated.
To estimate the cost of the lead ship of the CVN-78 class, CBO used the actual costs of the
previous carrier—the CVN-77—and then adjusted them for higher costs for government-
furnished equipment and for more than $3 billion in costs for nonrecurring engineering and
detail design (the plans, drawings, and other one-time items associated with the first ship of a
new class). As a result, CBO estimates that the lead CVN-78 will cost about $12.5 billion
once it is completed. Subsequent ships of the class will not require as much funding for one-
time items; however, on the basis of higher projected inflation in shipbuilding costs, CBO
estimates the average cost of the six carriers in the 2011 plan at $12.4 billion, whereas the
Navy estimates their average cost at $10.6 billion….
There are several reasons to believe that the final cost of the CVN-78 could be even higher
than CBO’s estimate. First, most lead ships built in the past 20 years have experienced cost
growth of more than 40 percent. (CBO’s estimate for the lead CVN-78 already accounts for
some of that historical cost growth.) Second, Navy officials have told CBO that there is a 60
percent probability that the final cost of the CVN-78 will exceed the service’s estimate,
13 Department of Defense, Selected Acquisition Report (SAR), CVN-78, As of June 30, 2010, p. 7.
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compared with a 40 percent probability that the final cost will be less than that estimate.
Third, a number of critical technologies that are supposed to be incorporated into the ship,
such as a new electromagnetic catapult system for launching aircraft, remain under
development. Difficulties in completing their development could arise and increase costs,
which would affect the costs for subsequent ships of the class.14
March 2010 GAO Report
The Government Accountability office (GAO) reported the following in March 2010 regarding
the status of the CVN-78 program, including the potential for cost growth:
Technology Maturity
The CVN 21 program has consistently demonstrated the maturity of its critical technologies
later than recommended by best practices. Only 4 of the program’s 19 critical technologies
were mature when the construction preparation contract was awarded in 2004. Of the
program’s 13 current critical technologies, 8 have not been demonstrated in a realistic
environment. Three of these technologies—EMALS, advanced arresting gear, and dual band
radar-present the greatest risk to the ship’s cost and schedule. While CVN 21 program
officials stated that the EMALS program is on schedule to deliver material to the shipyard
when it is needed for construction, concurrent EMALS testing and ship construction
continue to present cost and schedule risks to the program. The Navy completed a second
phase of testing for the EMALS generator—an area of prior concern—and the first phase of
testing for the EMALS launch motor in 2009. As a result of the tests, the program identified
design changes that are necessary to improve the performance of EMALS, but add cost and
schedule risk to the program. The Navy plans to test EMALS with actual aircraft in summer
2010. The advanced arresting gear includes seven major subsystems. Programs officials
expect that six of the subsystems will be mature after analyzing data from a recent reliability
test. The remaining subsystem—control system software—will remain immature until
integrated land-based testing with actual aircraft occurs in fiscal year 2012. This testing will
overlap with the first arresting gear deliveries to the shipyard. Testing of carrier specific dual
band radar functionality is scheduled to conclude in fiscal year 2012. Dual band radar
equipment will be delivered incrementally from fiscal years 2012 through 2014.
Design Maturity
The CVN 78 began construction in September 2008 without a complete product model. The
program began production with approximately 76 percent of the 3D product model complete.
In November 2009, the contractor completed the detail phase in the 3D product model.
However, program officials reported that while the 3D product model is complete, some
product model work will continue up to and after delivery of CVN 78. This additional work
includes making design adjustments for planned just-in-time technology insertions or for
unplanned delays in contractor or government furnished information.
Production Maturity
The Navy awarded the contract for CVN 78 construction in September 2008. Construction of
approximately 50 percent of the ship’s units are complete. According to program officials,
these units are low on the ship and only account for 9 percent of the ship’s production hours.
The Navy awarded a not-to-exceed fixed-price production contract to General Atomics for
14 Congressional Budget Office, An Analysis of the Navy’s Fiscal Year 2011 Shipbuilding Plan, May 2010, pp. 11-13.
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EMALS and the advanced arresting gear in 2009. At the time of award, the contract price
had not been finalized. The Navy expects to finalize the price of this contract in March 2010.
Other Program Issues
The Navy plans to use the dual band radar on both CVN 21 carriers and DDG 1000
destroyers. Given the recent decision to truncate the DDG 1000 program, CVN 21 program
officials stated that the dual band radar production line may be idle for up to 4 years before
production begins for CVN 79. The cost of the CVN 79 dual band radar could increase due
to the costs associated with restarting the production line. In addition, the fiscal year 2010
President’s Budget recommends moving the carrier to a 5-year build cycle. If adopted, the
fabrication start date for CVN 80 will be delayed by 2 years, which will increase the amount
of shipyard overhead costs paid under the CVN 79 contract.
Program Office Comments
The program office generally concurs with the assessment that concurrent technology
development, particularly regarding EMALS, the advanced arresting gear, and the dual-band
radar system, presents the highest programmatic risk. Officials stated that all critical
technologies are being aggressively managed through established processes to mitigate cost,
schedule, and development risk and remain on track to meet required shipbuilder in-yard
need dates.15
Technical and Design Issues—December 2010 DOT&E Report
A December 2010 report on various DOD acquisition programs from DOD’s Director,
Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E)—DOT&E’s annual report for FY2010—stated, in its
section on the CVN-78 program, that
The CVN 78 program continues to have challenges with F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF)
integration. The thermal footprint from the main engine exhaust, shipboard noise levels, and
information technology requirements need work. Design changes may be required for the jet
blast deflectors, and active cooling may be required in the flight deck just forward of the jet
blast deflector….
Numerous integrated warfare system items are of concern, including:
• The ship-self-defense combat systems on aircraft carriers have historically had
reliability and weapon system integration shortcomings. While the Navy has made
efforts, it has not yet developed a detailed plan to address these concerns on CVN 78.
• The Navy lags in developing a new anti-ship ballistic missile target and in obtaining a
capability to launch four simultaneous supersonic sea-skimming targets. Both are
required to assess effectiveness of ship self-defense….
EMALS experienced two notable hardware/software incidents that caused test delays at the
SFD [System Functional Design] test site at Lakehurst [NJ]. One incident involved an un-
commanded armature retraction due to a software anomaly in the asset protection module.
The second anomaly involved the loss of an encoder from the catapult armature during a
15 Government Accountability Office, Defense Acquisitions[:] Assessments of Selected Weapon Programs, GAO-10-
388SP, March 2010, p. 54.
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dead-load test. Both anomalies have been resolved. EMALS has started performance
verification with dead loads at the SFD site, and [the] AAG [Advanced Arresting Gear] is
nearing the start of Jet Car Track Site dead load testing. Required In Yard Date (RIYD) for
these systems continues to drive the development schedule; however, to date development
and testing remains on track.16
Legislative Activity for FY2012
As shown in Table 1, the Navy’s proposed FY2012 budget requests $554.8 million in advance
procurement funding for CVN-79.
16 Director, Operational Test and Evaluation, FY 2010 Annual Report, December 2010, p. 112.
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Appendix A. Legislative Activity for FY2011
FY2011 Funding Request
The Navy proposed FY2011 budget requested $1,731.3 million in procurement funding for CVN-
78 and $908.3 million in advance procurement funding for CVN-79.
FY2011 Continuing Appropriations and Surface Transportation
Extensions Act (H.R. 3082/P.L. 111-322)
H.R. 3082/P.L. 111-322 of December 22, 2010, also known as the FY2011 continuing resolution
(CR), generally funds government programs through March 4, 2011, at FY2010 funding levels.
FY2011 DOD Appropriations Bill (S. 3800)
Senate
The Senate Appropriations Committee, in its report (S.Rept. 111-295 of September 16, 2010) on
S. 3800, recommended approval of the Navy’s request for FY2011 procurement and advance
procurement funding for CVN-78 and CVN-79 (page 86).
FY2011 Defense Authorization Act (H.R. 6523/P.L. 111-383)
House (H.R. 5136)
The House Armed Services Committee, in its report (H.Rept. 111-491 of May 21, 2010) on the
FY2011 defense authorization bill (H.R. 5136), recommended approval of the Navy’s request for
FY2011 procurement and advance procurement funding for CVN-78 and CVN-79 (page 73).
Section 1021 of H.R. 5136 as reported by the committee would amend the law (10 USC 231) that
requires the Department of Defense to annually submit a 30-year Navy shipbuilding plan. The
amendment would, among other things, require that the Secretary of the Navy, in submitting each
30-year plan, “ensure that such plan—(1) is in accordance with section 5062(b) of this title [i.e.,
10 USC 5062(b), which requires the Navy to maintain a force of at least 11 operational carriers];
and (2) phases the construction of new aircraft carriers during the periods covered by such plan in
a manner that minimizes the total cost for procurement for such vessels.”
The committee’s report states:
Aircraft carriers
The committee is concerned that the decision by the Secretary of Defense in April 2009,
prior to the completion of the congressionally mandated analysis of the Quadrennial Defense
Review, to shift aircraft carrier construction to five-year centers for the stated purpose of “a
more fiscally sustainable path” was shortsighted. The committee has recently learned via
receipt of Department of Defense Selected Acquisition Reports that the cost to construct the
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next three Ford-class aircraft carriers is likely to increase by up to $4.0 billion because of the
change in construction centers. The committee notes that the current 30-year shipbuilding
plan would not maintain a force of 11 operational aircraft carriers past fiscal year 2040 and
therefore does not conform to the requirement in section 5062b of title 10, United States
Code, to maintain an operational fleet of 11 aircraft carriers.
The committee expects that subsequent plans will conform to current law, or the Secretary of
the Navy will request a change to statute commensurate with detailed analysis of the effect a
reduction to 10 operational aircraft carriers will have on the national military strategy. In title
I [sic: Title X – Section 1021] of this Act, the committee directs the Secretary of Defense to
phase the construction of aircraft carriers to minimize the total cost for procurement of the
vessels. (Page 75)
Senate (S. 3454)
The FY2011 defense authorization bill (S. 3454), as reported by the Senate Armed Services
Committee (S.Rept. 111-201 of June 4, 2010), recommended approval of the Navy’s request for
FY2011 procurement and advance procurement funding for CVN-78 and CVN-79 (see page 677
of the printed bill).
Final Version (H.R. 6523/P.L. 111-383)
Section 102(a)(3) of H.R. 6523/P.L. 111-383 of January 7, 2011, authorized FY2011 funding for
the Navy’s entire shipbuilding account at the requested amount. H.R. 6523 contains no provisions
relating specifically to procurement of aircraft carriers. The joint explanatory statement of the
House and Senate Armed Services Committees on H.R. 6523 does not discuss procurement of
aircraft carriers.
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Appendix B. Earlier Oversight Issue: Shift to Five-
Year Intervals: A More Fiscally Sustainable Path?
On April 6, 2009, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates announced a number of recommendations
he was making to the President for the FY2010 defense budget submission. One of these was to
shift procurement of carriers to five-year intervals. This recommendation, which was included in
the FY2010 defense budget submission, deferred the scheduled procurement of CVN-79 from
FY2012 to FY2013, and the scheduled procurement of CVN-80 from FY2016 to FY2018.
Gates stated in his April 9, 2009, address that shifting carrier procurement to five-year intervals
would put carrier procurement on “a more fiscally sustainable path.”17 This was interpreted as
meaning that shifting to five-year intervals (compared to a combination of four- and five-year
intervals in previous Navy 30-year shipbuilding plans) would reduce the average amount of
funding required each year for procuring carriers.
As a simplified notional example, if carriers are assumed to cost $10 billion each, then shifting
from a four-year interval to a five-year interval would reduce the average amount of carrier
procurement funding needed each year from $2.5 billion to $2.0 billion, a reduction of $500
million per year.
This simplified notional example, however, assumes that shifting from four- to five-year intervals
does not by itself cause an increase in the real (i.e., inflation-adjusted) procurement cost of the
carriers. Increasing the procurement interval could by itself cause an increase in the real
procurement cost of the carriers by reducing learning-curve benefits (i.e., causing a loss of
learning) from one carrier to the next, and by reducing the spreading of fixed overhead costs at
the Newport News shipyard and at supplier firms. A real increase in carrier procurement costs due
to such effects would offset at least some of the reduction in the average amount of carrier
procurement funding needed each year that would result from shifting to five-year intervals.
Shifting to five-year intervals for procuring carriers could also increase the costs of other Navy
ship programs. NGSB’s Newport News shipyard performs mid-life nuclear refueling complex
overhauls (RCOHs) on Nimitz-class carriers, and jointly builds Virginia-class nuclear-powered
attack submarines along with another shipyard (General Dynamics’ Electric Boat Division). In
addition, vendors that make nuclear-propulsion components for carriers make analogous
components for nuclear-powered submarines. A reduced spreading of fixed costs at NGSB’s
Newport News yard and at nuclear-propulsion component vendors due to the shift to five-year
intervals for carrier procurement might thus also increase costs for Nimitz-class RCOHs and
Virginia-class submarines. Increases in costs for these programs would further offset the
reduction in the average amount of carrier procurement funding needed each year that would
result from shifting to five-year intervals for carrier procurement.
Potential key oversight questions for Congress included the following:
17 Source: Statement of Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, at April 6, 2009, news conference on his recommendations
for the FY2010 defense budget.
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• How much of the increase since the FY2009 budget submission in the estimated
procurement costs of CVNs 78, 79, and 80 (see Table 2) is due to the shift to
five-year intervals for procuring carriers?
• How do potential increases in the costs of CVN-78 class aircraft carriers, Nimitz-
class RCOHs, and Virginia-class submarines caused by the shift to five-year
intervals for procuring carriers affect the calculation of the net change in average
annual funding requirements that results from shifting carrier procurement to
five-year intervals?
May 2009 Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding Statement
A May 2009 Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding statement on the cost impact of shifting to five-
year intervals for procuring carriers states:
One element of the announcement by the Secretary of Defense last week was to shift from
four (4) years to five (5) years between construction start for each new Ford Class carrier.
Past Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding experience with carrier new construction has shown
that the optimum time between carrier construction is less than 4 years. This allows the most
efficient flow of the work force from one ship to the next, and facilitates a learning curve for
carriers. Moving to five (5) year intervals between starts will require the shipyard to sub-
optimize manning level sequencing and result in added trade training, loss of learning, and
added startup costs.
Increasing the time between carrier construction can have a large impact on the supplier
base, driving cost increases of 5-10 percent, or higher in some cases, above normal
escalation. Material costs of suppliers who provide similar components to other Navy
programs currently under contract will also experience cost growth. Some equipment
suppliers can be expected to exit the market as a result of the additional year with the
expense of component requalification being realized.
Finally, the decrease in production labor volume on an annual basis, created by the increase
in the time interval between carrier construction starts will increase the cost to other
programs in the yard. This applies to work already under contract, namely Virginia class
submarines (VCS) Block 2 and Block 3, and CVN 78 predominately; and for future work not
yet under contract, namely Carrier RCOH’s, CVN79 and follow-on Ford class carrier
construction, and later Blocks of VCS. The impact to work already under contract is
expected to be in the range of $100M of cost growth. We also expect cost increases for
future contracts yet to be priced. Conservative projections of the shipbuilder cost impact to
CVN 79 and CVN80 for the one year delay will be on the order of a 9-15 percent cost
increase.18
18 Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding statement dated May 1, 2009, entitled “NGSB Statement Regarding Extending the
Time Interval between New Build Starts For the Ford Class of Aircraft Carriers,” provided to CRS by Northrop
Grumman.
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March 2010 GAO Report
A March 2010 GAO report stated that if carrier procurement were shifted to five-year intervals,
“the fabrication start date for CVN 80 will be delayed by 2 years, which will increase the amount
of shipyard overhead costs paid under the CVN 79 contract.”19
March 2010 Navy Report Required by Section 126
Section 126 of the FY2010 defense authorization act (H.R. 2647/P.L. 111-84 of October 28,
2009) required the Secretary of the Navy to submit a report to the congressional defense
committees on the effects of using a five-year interval for the construction of Ford-class aircraft
carriers. The conference report (H.Rept. 111-288 of October 7, 2009) on H.R. 2647/P.L. 111-84
stated the following regarding Section 126:
The conferees note that a 5-year interval for aircraft carrier construction, as proposed by the
Secretary of Defense, may be the appropriate course of action for the Department of the
Navy. However, the conferees are concerned that this decision may not have been made
following a rigorous cost-benefit analysis. Therefore, the conferees expect that the Secretary
of the Navy will take no further action to preclude the ability of the Secretary to award a
construction contract for CVN–79 in fiscal year 2012 or the aircraft carrier designated CVN–
80 in fiscal year 2016, consistent with the Annual Long-Range Plan for Construction of
Naval Vessels for Fiscal Year 2009, until he completes the required assessment and fully
informs the congressional defense committees of any such a decision. (Page 680)
The Navy submitted the report on March 4, 2010.20 The report states, among other things, that
• “It is reasonable to assume that some vendor base inefficiencies, in addition to
inflation may occur by increasing CVN build intervals to five years.”
• “While a five-year interval between carrier construction starts will result in
potential inefficiencies and gaps for specific carrier construction trade skills, the
Navy plans to closely manage the transition to 5-year centers to minimize the
impact of this change on training of individuals required to support ship
construction.”
• “The Navy estimated that a four-year build interval would maximize the
opportunity to achieve labor efficiencies due to learning. A five-year build
interval reduces this opportunity; however, the overall impact for loss of learning
associated with a shift to five-year centers is manageable through Advance
Procurement and Advance Construction.”
• “The Navy assessed the NIMITZ Class cost returns for shipbuilder labor and
material and GFE to determine the correlation between these cost elements and
the number of years between carrier awards. The Navy estimates that impact to
Basic Construction is around 1.0% for CVN 79 and CVN 80.”
19 Government Accountability Office, Defense Acquisitions[:] Assessments of Selected Weapon Programs, GAO-10-
388SP, March 2010, p. 54.
20 This is the date of the cover letters to the congressional recipients. The report itself has a cover date of February
2010.
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• “The change to five-year build intervals results in an overhead decrease in direct
labor workload for aircraft carrier construction, thereby causing the overhead
rates to increase proportionately. The Navy estimates the construction portion
increase is less than 1% each for CVN 78, CVN 79 and CVN 80.”
• “The impact of changing the interval between carrier awards to the VIRGINIA
Class submarine current Block II and Block III contracts is estimated to be $30-
50 million per hull.”21
The report does not provide an overall dollar calculation of how much of the increase since the
FY2009 budget submission in the estimated procurement costs of CVNs 78, 79, and 80 is due to
the shift to five-year intervals for procuring carriers. Virginia-class submarines are scheduled to
be procured at a rate of two ships per year starting FY2011. If the cost increase of $30 million to
$50 million for each Virginia-class boat cited in the Navy’s report holds for Virginia-class boats
procured in FY2011 and subsequent years, then the shift to five-year intervals for procuring
carriers would increase Virginia-class procurement costs by $60 million to $100 million per year.
For the text of the Navy’s report, see Appendix C.
June 30, 2010, Selected Acquisition Report (SAR)
The Department of Defense’s (DOD’s) June 30, 2010, Selected Acquisition Report (SAR) for the
CVN-78 program states that the estimated increase in Ford-class procurement costs resulting
from shifting to five-year intervals for procuring carriers is $1,798.0 million in then-year dollars,
consisting of $521.0 million for CVN-79 and $1,277.0 million for CVN-80.22 The June 30, 2010,
SAR states that these two figures are a “clarification” of figures presented in the December 31,
2009, SAR. The December 31, 2009, SAR estimated the increase at $4,131.2 million in then-year
dollars, consisting of $1,131.4 million for CVN-79 and $2,999.8 million CVN-80, but also stated
that these figures were “overstated, and will be corrected in the June 2010 SAR.”23 The difference
between the June 30, 2010, SAR, and the December 31, 2009, SAR regarding the estimated
increase in procurement costs resulting from shifting to five-year intervals for procuring carriers
(i.e., $4,131.2 million minus $1,798.0 million) is $2,333.2 million. The June 30, 2010, SAR re-
attributes a net total of $2,333.2 million in estimated cost increases to factors other than shifting
to five-year intervals for procuring carriers, and reports total estimated procurement costs for
CVN-79 and CVN-80 that are the same as those reported in the December 31, 2009, SAR.
Neither the June 30, 2010, SAR nor the December 31, 2009, SAR shows an estimated increase in
the procurement cost for CVN-78 resulting from shifting to five-year intervals for procuring
carriers. The figures in the June 30, 2010, SAR are consistent with the Navy-provided figures
presented in Table B-1.
Navy Data Provided to CRS and CBO on June 24, 2010
On April 19, 2010, following a Navy briefing to CRS and CBO on the CVN-78 program, CRS
asked the Navy to provide the procurement costs of CVNs 78, 79, and 80 in constant FY2011
21 Department of the Navy, Report to Congress on Effects of Five-year Build Intervals for Force Class Aircraft
Carriers, February 2010, 5 pp. Copy provided to CRS by Navy Office of legislative Affairs on April 8, 2010.
22 Department of Defense, Selected Acquisition Report (SAR), CVN-78, As of June 30, 2010, p. 26.
23 Department of Defense, Selected Acquisition Report (SAR), CVN-78, As of December 31, 2009, pp. 4 and 25.
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dollars as in the proposed FY2011 budget, and what these costs would have been in the proposed
FY2011 budget if there had been no shift to five-year intervals for carrier procurement (i.e., if
CVN-79 were procured in FY2012 and CVN-80 were procured in FY2016). The Navy provided
the figures (in both then-year and constant FY2011 dollars) to CRS and CBO on June 24, 2010.
Table B-1 shows the figures.
Table B-1. Cost Impact of Shifting to Five-year Intervals
(Millions of dollars, rounded to nearest tenth)
CVN-78
CVN-79
CVN-80
Then-year dollars
Cost in FY2011 budget
11,531.0
10,413.1
13,577.0
What the figure would have been in FY2011 budget if
11,531.0 9,892.1 12,300.0
there had been no shift to five-year intervals
Difference (dollars)
0
521.0
1,277.0
Difference (%)
0
5.3%
10.4%
Constant FY2011 dollars
Cost in FY2011 budget
11,875.9
9,742.3
11,628.5
What the figure would have been in FY2011 budget if
11,875.9 9,396.7 10,872.2
there had been no shift to five-year intervals
Difference (dollars)
0
345.6
756.3
Difference (%)
0
3.7%
7.0%
Source: Briefing slide entitled “CVN 78 Class CBO/CRS Data Request,” dated June 24, 2010, and provided as
an attachment to a Navy information paper dated May 19, 2010. The May 19, 2010, information paper and the
June 24, 2010, attachment were provided to CRS and CBO on June 24, 2010.
Notes: In the scenario assuming there had been no shift to five-year intervals for carrier procurement, CVN-79
would be procured in FY2012 and CVN-80 would be procured in FY2016. The Navy converted then-year dol ars
to constant FY2011 dol ars using a January 2010 SCN (i.e., shipbuilding budget) deflator. FY2011 budget figures
for CVN-80 reflect a CVN-78 program estimate pending official approval from the Naval Sea Systems Command
(NAVSEA).
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Appendix C. Text of Navy Report on Effects of
Shifting to Five-Year Intervals
The following is the text of the Navy’s report on the effects of shifting to five-year intervals for
procuring carriers.24
I . REPORT REQUIREMENTS
Section 126 of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2010, P.L. 111-84,
(hereinafter “Section 126”) requires that a report be submitted to Congress no later than
February 1, 2010 assessing the effects of using a five-year interval for the construction of
Gerald R. Ford Class aircraft carriers. The assessment shall include impacts with respect to
four specified areas resulting from this change in acquisition strategy. This report fulfills the
Navy’s reporting obligation pursuant to Section 126. The language of this section is as
follows:
“Not later than February 1, 2010, the Secretary of the Navy shall submit to the congressional
defense committees a report on the effects of using a five-year interval for the construction of
FORD Class aircraft carriers. The report shall include, at a minimum, an assessment of the
effects of such five-year interval on the following:
(1) With respect to the supplier base-
(A) the viability of the base, including suppliers exiting the market or other potential
reductions in competition; and
(B) cost increases to the Ford Class aircraft carrier program.
(2) Training of individuals in trades related to ship construction.
(3) Loss of expertise associated with ship construction.
(4) The costs of—
(A) any additional technical support or production planning associated with the start of
construction;
(B) material and labor;
(C) overhead; and
(D) other ship construction programs, including the costs of existing and future contracts.”
II. ASSESSMENT DISCUSSION
On April 6, 2009, Secretary of Defense announced within a Defense Budget
Recommendation Statement that the Navy’s CVN 21 aircraft carrier program (Ford Class)
24 Department of the Navy, Report to Congress on Effects of Five-year Build Intervals for Force Class Aircraft
Carriers, February 2010, 5 pp. The cover letters sent with the report are dated March 4, 2010. Copy of report provided
to CRS by Navy Office of legislative Affairs on April 8, 2010.
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would shift from a four-year to a five-year build cycle, thereby placing the program on a
more fiscally sustainable path. This will result in 10 aircraft carriers after 2040. The five-year
build cycle allows for a balance between carrier build-rate and inventory, and a more
effective use of overall Shipbuilding and Conversion, Navy funding between carrier
programs and other ship, submarine, support, and amphibious ship recapitalization plans.
1. IMPACT TO SUPPLIER BASE
It has been the Navy’s experience that longstanding aircraft carrier suppliers have generally
responded to ship construction schedule shifts and extended workload gaps without
widespread disruption or loss of continuity for critical products from most vendors. For
example, the interval between procurement of CVN 77 and CVN 78 was originally planned
to be five years, but grew to seven years. There was no significant impact on the
shipbuilder’s procurement of components to support ship construction.
In addition, for a 2009 Navy-funded RAND Corporation study, RAND sought comments
from 46 major suppliers regarding the impact of moving the CVN 79 award date to Fiscal
Year 2013. The suppliers chosen were those deemed critical to aircraft carrier construction
by the shipbuilder. The majority of the 18 major suppliers who responded indicated that less
than 20% of their total annual revenues were from aircraft carrier construction, and nearly all
responding vendors indicated they provide services to other Navy ship platforms including
submarines, surface combatants, and aircraft carrier Refueling and Complex Overhauls
(RCOH). It is reasonable to assume that some vendor base inefficiencies, in addition to
inflation may occur by increasing CVN build intervals to five years. Efforts by the Navy to
drive cross-platform commonality of parts and proactively manage obsolescence also
mitigate the risk of economic dependence. As a result, economic dependence on Ford Class
aircraft carrier order frequency for the majority of the vendor industrial base is projected to
be low. The Navy plans to continue to closely manage this industrial base to minimize
impacts and costs.
2-3. IMPACT TO TRAINING AND EXPERTISE
The construction start of the Ford Class coincides with an overall ramp-up in shipyard
production efforts in the Fiscal Year 2010-Fiscal Year 2013 timeframe due to an increase to
two per year VIRGINIA Class submarines, more consistent carrier build frequencies,
sustained NIMITZ Class RCOH program, and the start of CVN 65 inactivation. While a five-
year interval between carrier construction starts will result in potential inefficiencies and
gaps for specific carrier construction trade skills, the Navy plans to closely manage the
transition to 5- year centers to minimize the impact of this change on training of individuals
required to support ship construction.
The Navy estimated that a four-year build interval would maximize the opportunity to
achieve labor efficiencies due to learning. A five-year build interval reduces this opportunity;
however, the overall impact for loss of learning associated with a shift to five-year centers is
manageable through Advance Procurement and Advance Construction.
4. COST IMPACTS
There are three primary sources of cost impact associated with increasing the intervals
between carrier construction starts - inflation, inefficiencies, and overhead impacts. The
effects of these are addressed in paragraphs 4A, 4B, and 4C for CVN 79 and CVN 80. For
other work at the shipyard, the collective impacts of the three sources are provided in
paragraph 4D.
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A. Cost of any Additional Technical Support or Production Planning Associated with the
Start of Construction
Since CVN 79 advance planning and procurement commenced prior to the five-year build
interval decision, CVN 79 technical support and production planning will be adjusted for the
five-year interval. The Construction Preparation contract will be extended by one year to
meet the construction award shift from Fiscal Year 2012 to Fiscal Year 2013. With the
exception of costs associated with an additional year of planning amounting to about 1%,
there should be no other fiscal implications with this extension.
B. Cost of Material and Labor
A five-year build interval imposes one additional year of inflation on the CVN 79 and two
additional years on CVN 80. The Navy estimates a 3% impact on the Basic Construction
Cost and Government Furnished Equipment (GFE) for CVN 79 and an 8% impact to CVN
80. This inflation impact will be addressed in the budget request for these two ships.
The Navy assessed the NIMITZ Class cost returns for shipbuilder labor and material and
GFE to determine the correlation between these cost elements and the number of years
between carrier awards. The Navy estimates that impact to Basic Construction is around
1.0% for CVN 79 and CVN 80.
C. Cost of Overhead
Overhead rates (percentage of direct labor) at the shipbuilder and major suppliers are directly
correlated to the projected direct labor workload. The change to five-year build intervals
results in an overall decrease in direct labor workload for aircraft carrier construction,
thereby causing the overhead rates to increase proportionally. The Navy estimates the
construction portion increase is less than 1% each for CVN 78, CVN 79 and CVN 80. The
Navy will be working with the shipbuilder on managing overhead in the shipyard.
D. Costs of Other Ship Construction Programs, Including the Costs of Existing and Future
Contracts
The impact of changing the interval between carrier awards to the VIRGINIA Class
submarine current Block II and Block III contracts is estimated to be $30-50 million per hull.
The increase in costs is associated with workload reallocatjon in the shipbuilding industrial
base.
III. REPORT SUMMARY
This report, as required by Section 126 of P.L. 111-84, assesses the impacts resulting from
the shift of the acquisition schedule to five-year intervals for Ford Class aircraft carriers. A
review of available information indicates there will be a minimal impact on the supplier base
if closely managed. Since the shipyard has ample opportunity to plan for five-year intervals,
any impacts to worker training or trade skill inefficiencies, and workload planning is
assessed to be manageable.
The change from a four-year to a five-year build interval will result in a unit cost increase to
the Ford Class carriers that have funding requirements in the Future Years Defense Program.
The Navy is continuing to refine the estimated impacts and will adjust future budget
submissions. These increases are due primarily to inflation, inefficiencies, and overhead
adjustments that will be factored into the overall budget request for each ship. Despite the
inflation adjusted costs per ship, the change in build interval allows carrier annual funding
requirements to be spread over longer periods of time, maintains a steady state 11 carrier
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force structure until after 2040, and facilitates a reduced average annual aircraft carrier
funding requirement.
Author Contact Information
Ronald O'Rourke
Specialist in Naval Affairs
rorourke@crs.loc.gov, 7-7610
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