

Order Code RL33105
The United Kingdom:
Issues for the United States
Updated July 16, 2007
Kristin Archick
Specialist in European Affairs
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
The United Kingdom: Issues for the United States
Summary
Many U.S. officials and Members of Congress view the United Kingdom as
Washington’s staunchest and most reliable ally. This perception stems from a
combination of factors: a shared sense of history and culture; the extensive bilateral
cooperation on a wide range of foreign policy, defense, and intelligence issues that
has developed over the course of many decades; and more recently, from the UK’s
strong support in countering terrorism and confronting Iraq. The United States and
Britain also share a mutually beneficial trade and economic relationship, and are each
other’s biggest foreign direct investors.
Nevertheless, some policymakers and analysts on both sides of the Atlantic
question how “special” the “special relationship” is between Washington and
London. Former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair — who stepped down on June 27,
2007 — sought to build a good rapport with the Bush Administration to both
maximize British influence on the global stage, and to strengthen the UK as the
indispensable “bridge” between the United States and Europe. But many British
critics charged that Blair received little in return for his strong support of
controversial U.S. policies. Some suggest that new British Prime Minister Gordon
Brown may be less likely to allow the United States to influence UK foreign policy
to the same degree as did Blair, given the ongoing UK public unease with the war in
Iraq and the Bush-Blair alliance. Others contend that Brown is a strong supporter of
the Anglo-Saxon political alliance and economic model, and thus, is unlikely to
initiate any substantive changes in UK policy toward the United States.
Meanwhile, despite Britain’s traditional ambivalence toward the European
Union (EU), the UK, in its desire to play a key role in a bigger and more integrated
EU, may inevitably be drawn closer to Europe in the longer term, especially if current
tensions in the broader U.S.-European relationship persist. Analysts note that some
UK foreign policy impulses are closer to those of its EU partners than to the United
States. For example, like other EU member states, Britain places great emphasis on
multilateral institutions as a means for managing international crises and legitimizing
the use of force. Others argue that the conduct of British foreign policy has never
been nor will it ever be as simplistic as a black-and-white choice between the United
States and Europe. Preserving the UK’s position as a strong U.S. ally and leading
EU partner provides UK foreign policy with maximum flexibility to promote its
diverse interests in Europe and beyond. Consequently, the UK will continue to seek
close ties with both the United States and the EU for the foreseeable future.
This report assesses the current state of U.S.-UK relations. It examines the
pressures confronting London as it attempts to balance its interests between the
United States and the EU, and the prospects for the future of the U.S.-UK
partnership, especially in the unfolding Brown era. It also describes UK views on
political, security, and economic issues of particular importance to the United States,
and their implications for U.S. policy. This report will be updated as needed. For
information on broader transatlantic relations, see CRS Report RL32577, The United
States and Europe: Possible Options for U.S. Policy, by Kristin Archick.
Contents
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
The Blair Era (1997-2007) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
The New Prime Minister: Gordon Brown . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Brown, Foreign Policy, and Implications for the United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
The UK Between the United States and the EU . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
UK Foreign Policy Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Blair’s Transatlantic Bridge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Relations Post-September 11 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Future Prospects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Current Issues in U.S.-UK Relations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Countering Terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Afghanistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Iraq . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Iran . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Israeli-Palestinian Conflict . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
NATO and the EU . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Defense Relations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Missile Defense . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Defense Industry Cooperation and Export Controls . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Economic Relations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Climate Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Northern Ireland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Conclusions and Implications for the United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
The United Kingdom:
Issues for the United States
Introduction
Many U.S. officials and Members of Congress view the United Kingdom as
Washington’s staunchest and most reliable ally. This perception stems from a
combination of factors: a shared sense of history and culture; the extensive bilateral
cooperation on a wide range of foreign policy, defense, and intelligence issues that
has developed over the course of many decades; and more recently, from the UK’s
strong support in countering terrorism and confronting Iraq. Following the
September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair stated
that he considered the attacks on the United States as attacks on Britain. Following
the deadly terrorist bombings in London on July 7, 2005 that killed 52 innocent
victims, the United States reciprocated, expressing solidarity with the British people
and government, and offering any intelligence, law enforcement, or other assistance
necessary. The U.S. Senate and House of Representatives in the 109th Congress each
passed unanimous resolutions condemning the 2005 London attacks (see S.Res. 193
and H.Res. 356). U.S. and UK authorities have also been working together on the
investigation into the June 2007 failed car bomb attacks on London and Glasgow that
came a few days after Gordon Brown assumed the UK prime ministership from Blair.
The modern U.S.-UK relationship was largely forged during the Second World
War, and cemented during the Cold War by the need to deter the Soviet threat. It is
often described as the “special relationship” by policymakers and scholars, in
particular because of the unusually close U.S.-UK intelligence arrangement and the
unique U.S.-UK cooperation in nuclear and defense matters. The United States and
the UK have collaborated in collecting and sharing intelligence since World War II,
and London continues to share intelligence with Washington and other English-
speaking countries (Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) that it does not share with
its European allies or EU partners. UK-U.S. cooperation on nuclear technology also
dates back to the 1940s, and the United States has supplied Britain with the missile
delivery systems for its nuclear warheads since 1963. During the Cold War, the UK
served as a vital base for U.S. forces and cruise missiles and continues to host U.S.
military personnel, albeit at reduced levels. And U.S. defense planners view the UK
as one of only two European allies (the other being France) able to project significant
military force over long distances and in high-intensity conflict situations.1
1 For more information on the history of U.S.-UK intelligence and defense relations, see
John Baylis, Anglo-American Defense Relations 1939-1984 (New York: St. Martin’s Press),
1984; Martin Rudner, “Britain Betwixt and Between,” Intelligence and National Security,
(continued...)
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Such long-standing cooperation has engendered a degree of mutual trust
between the United States and the UK that also extends to the diplomatic and
political fields. The United States and Britain are two of five permanent members
of the U.N. Security Council, and are founding members of NATO. U.S. and UK
officials, from the cabinet level to the working level, consult frequently and
extensively on the full spectrum of global issues. Many U.S. and UK diplomats
report often turning to each other first and almost reflexively when seeking to build
support for their respective positions in multilateral institutions or during times of
crisis, as in the immediate aftermath of the September 11 attacks on the United
States. Some say that the common language and cultural similarities as well as the
habits of cooperation that have developed over the years contributes to the ease with
which U.S. and UK policymakers interact with each other.
The mutually beneficial U.S.-UK trade and economic relationship is another
important aspect of the U.S.-UK partnership. The UK has the fourth largest economy
in the world, and the fourth largest U.S. export market. Even more significantly, the
UK and the United States are each other’s biggest foreign investors.
U.S. military and economic supremacy, however, has caused many to
characterize the UK as the “junior” partner in the U.S.-UK relationship, and to note
that the relationship is more “special” to Britain than it is to the United States. In the
aftermath of World War II, as the British Empire crumbled and the UK’s relative
poverty and military weakness became evident, the United Kingdom made a strategic
decision to stick close to the United States as a way to preserve as much of its fading
power as possible, leverage its influence internationally, and better protect its
interests in Europe and the world. This has been a guiding principle of British
foreign policy, especially since the 1956 Suez Canal Crisis, during which the UK was
forced to abandon its joint military operation with France and Israel in the Middle
East in the face of U.S. disapproval and economic pressure that led to a run on the
pound. Nevertheless, there have been numerous ups and downs in the U.S.-UK
relationship over the years.2
Former Prime Minister Blair, who stepped down as UK leader on June 27, 2007
after 10 years in office, sought to build a good rapport with both the Clinton and
Bush Administrations in order to further the “special relationship,” maximize British
influence on the global stage, and strengthen the UK as the indispensable “bridge”
between the United States and Europe. As a result, some claimed that London had
more political capital in and influence on Washington than any other foreign
government, especially during the Bush Administration. British critics, however,
charged that Blair got little in return for his unwavering support of controversial U.S.
policies in the fight against terrorism and in Iraq. Some have called for a
reevaluation of the U.S.-UK partnership. Others note that Blair paid a high political
1 (...continued)
Winter 2004.
2 C.J. Bartlett, The Special Relationship: A Political History of Anglo-American Relations
since 1945 (New York: Longman, Inc.), 1992; Gideon Rachman, “Is the Anglo-American
Relationship Still Special?,” Washington Quarterly, Spring 2001; Timothy Garton Ash, Free
World (London: Penguin Books), 2004.
CRS-3
price both with the British public and his own Labour Party for his close alliance with
Bush, and some suggest that future British prime ministers may chart a more
independent course from the United States.
Upon assuming office in 1997, Prime Minister Blair and his Labour Party also
pursued a larger role for the UK in the European Union (EU). The UK stood aside
in the early 1950s when the six founding continental countries began the European
project. British leaders feared that UK participation in European integration would
infringe too much on UK sovereignty and detract from rather than add to British
influence in the world. They also worried that the U.S.-UK special relationship
would be endangered, despite Washington’s assertions to the contrary. The UK
finally joined the European Community (EC), the EU’s predecessor, in 1973,
although many Britons have remained skeptical of the EU and ambivalent in their
support for further European integration. The UK has been a consistent supporter of
EU enlargement and Turkish membership in the EU, and Blair was a key driver of
EU efforts to forge an EU defense arm and common foreign policy. The UK,
however, does not participate in the EU’s single currency, the euro, nor in the EU’s
open borders system. Some analysts suggest that the UK may inevitably be drawn
even closer to Europe in the longer term, especially if current tensions in the broader
U.S.-European relationship drive the two sides of the Atlantic apart.
Gordon Brown, who served as UK Chancellor of the Exchequer (equivalent to
the U.S. treasury secretary) throughout Blair’s tenure, took over as Labour Party
leader on June 24, 2007 in an uncontested election and became Prime Minister upon
Blair’s resignation on June 27, 2007. Brown and Blair have been both close political
partners and rivals for over two decades, and Brown has long aspired to succeed
Blair. Although many regard Brown as something of an unknown quantity as far as
foreign policy is concerned, most experts do not believe that he will make any major
substantive changes in relations with the United States. At the same time, Brown
will likely be cautious of developing too close of a personal relationship with Bush
given the British public’s unease with the Bush-Blair alliance and the war in Iraq.
This report assesses the current state of U.S.-UK relations. It examines how
“special” the special relationship is between Washington and London, the pressures
confronting London as it attempts to balance its interests between the United States
and the EU, and the prospects for the future of the U.S.-UK partnership, especially
in light of Gordon Brown’s assumption of the British prime ministership. It also
describes UK views on political, security, and economic issues of particular
importance to the United States, and their implications for U.S. policy.
The Blair Era (1997-2007)
Tony Blair became UK Prime Minister in May 1997, following his Labour
Party’s landslide victory that ended 18 years of Conservative (Tory) Party rule. Blair
became Labour Party leader in 1994, and is recognized as one of the key architects
of “New Labour,” prompting the party to abandon its statist, trade union past and to
embrace free markets and competition. In 2001, Blair decisively secured a second
CRS-4
term, and in 2005, the Labour Party won an historic consecutive third term in office,
albeit with a reduced parliamentary majority.
Throughout his tenure, Blair pursued a policy mix of fiscal conservatism,
cautious social reform, and international engagement. He was fortunate to preside
over a period of UK economic expansion that began in 1993; between 1997 and
2001, real GDP grew by an annual average of 3.1%. Unemployment is low at just
under 5%, and growth continues in the 2-3% range, although it has slowed since the
2001 global economic downturn. Key domestic goals for Blair included improving
the delivery of public services, promoting government reforms, and tackling crime,
immigration, and asylum issues. Many analysts view Blair as achieving some
progress in these areas, but perhaps falling short of the high expectations set in 1997
for sweeping reforms. Blair is widely credited, however, with being a driving force
behind a political settlement in Northern Ireland, a problem that many say he devoted
more time and attention to than any other British prime minister. He was
instrumental in forging the 1998 Good Friday Agreement, and pushing the parties in
succeeding years toward fully implementing the peace plan and sharing power, a
process that culminated in May 2007 with the return of self-rule to Northern Ireland.
Internationally, Blair did not shy away from the use of military force, especially
to further humanitarian aims, such as stopping ethnic cleansing in Kosovo in 1999.
The September 2001 attacks on the United States put countering terrorism on the top
of Blair’s agenda, and he is viewed as one of the few European leaders who largely
shared President Bush’s vision of the fight against terrorism as one between “good
and evil.” British forces participated in the U.S.-led military action in Afghanistan
from its start in October 2001, and Blair shared Bush’s belief that Iraq under Saddam
Hussein posed an immediate threat to international security.3
Public opposition to the UK role in the war in Iraq and domestic questions about
Blair’s trustworthiness contributed significantly to Labour’s diminished
parliamentary majority (from 161 to 66 seats) in the 2005 elections. Although
Labour won roughly 35% of the national vote, this represented a decrease of over 5
percentage points from Labour’s share of the vote in 2001, and the lowest share for
any majority British government in modern history. Since 2003, Blair had come
under repeated fire, including from some prominent members of his own party, for
allegedly exaggerating intelligence about Iraq’s nuclear and biological weapons
capabilities and misleading the UK into war. Labour’s opponents used ongoing
British casualties in Iraq and government documents leaked during the campaign —
that some suggested proved that Blair was committed to the use of force in Iraq as
early as the summer of 2002 — to keep the Iraq war and Blair’s character as
dominant issues in the election. In his own constituency, Blair was unsuccessfully
challenged for his seat by the father of a British soldier killed in Iraq.
Some critics contend that Labour was returned to power in 2005 despite, not
because of, Tony Blair. Both the Conservatives and the other main, albeit smaller,
3 “The Tony Blair Story,” BBC News, May 10, 2007; “How Will History Judge Blair?,”
BBC News, May 10, 2007; Quentin Peel, “Led Astray,” Financial Times, May 11, 2007;
“The Great Performer Leaves the Stage,” The Economist, May 12, 2007.
CRS-5
opposition party, the Liberal Democrats, made net gains at Labour’s expense in the
2005 elections. However, they were largely unable to convince voters that they
represented real alternatives on domestic issues, especially given continued UK
economic growth.4
Table 1. May 2005 UK General Election Results
Party
# of Seats
Net # of Seats
% of Vote
(646 total)
+/ —
Labour
356
- 47
35.3%
Conservatives
198
+33
32.3%
Liberal Democrats
62
+11
22.1%
All Others
30
+3
10.3%
Source: “Full National Scoreboard,” BBC News, June 24, 2005.
British involvement in the war in Iraq remains deeply unpopular, especially
amid Iraq’s deteriorating security situation and the ongoing political and ethnic strife.
Many commentators view Iraq as Blair’s greatest failure. Over the last few years,
some say that Iraq has also overshadowed much of Blair’s domestic agenda and other
international priorities, such as resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Some credit
Blair, however, in succeeding in putting global climate change and African
development high on the international agenda.
Some analysts also contend that Blair’s ambitions to position the UK as a leader
in Europe were weakened by Blair’s close alliance with the Bush Administration.
They note that the U.S.-led war in Iraq in 2003 bitterly divided the EU, and pitted
Blair against the former leaders of France and Germany, who strongly opposed the
use of force in Iraq. Moreover, they suggest that Blair’s limited political capital in
the aftermath of the war in Iraq further circumscribed his government’s ability to
bring the UK into the EU’s single currency, or to significantly reduce British
skepticism of the EU integration project. Although Blair initially championed a
proposed EU constitutional treaty implementing major internal reforms, much of the
British public feared that some changes could pave the way for an EU superstate. At
Blair’s final EU summit in June 2007, EU leaders agreed to what some view as a less
ambitious EU reform treaty, in part because Blair secured a number of changes to
guard British national prerogatives in the areas of foreign policy and home affairs.5
4 Christopher Adams, “Blair Defends Decision for War with Iraq,” Financial Times, May
2, 2005; Glenn Frankel, “Blair Wins Third Term,” Washington Post, May 6, 2005;”Who
Deserted Labor?,” BBC News, May 7, 2005.
5 “Blair in Europe: A False Messiah?,” BBC News, June 18, 2007; Tobias Buck, “EU Treaty
Breaks Years of Deadlock,” Financial Times, June 24, 2007.
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The New Prime Minister: Gordon Brown
Gordon Brown, 56, served as Chancellor of the Exchequer (equivalent to the
U.S. treasury secretary) throughout Blair’s tenure. As noted above, Brown and Blair
have been both close political partners and rivals for over two decades. They first
met in 1983, when they entered the House of Commons and shared an office as new
Members of Parliament. Brown and Blair discovered a mutual frustration with
Labour’s direction and the left-wing in-fighting; they were both convinced that
Labour had to change if it was ever going to win power again. The two quickly
became inseparable, and were both promoted into Labour leadership positions.
By 1994, however, Brown and Blair found themselves pitted against each other
as rivals for party leader. Brown and Blair had been joined in their mission to
modernize the party by Labour media chief Peter Mandelson, who reportedly became
convinced that Blair was the more charismatic of the two and better positioned to win
over crucial middle-England swing votes. A much commented on, but never
explicitly confirmed, deal was struck between Brown and Blair at the Granita
restaurant in north London. Brown supposedly agreed to stand aside to give Blair a
clear run at the leadership post, in return for a promise that Brown would become
chancellor in a future Blair government, be given unprecedented influence as
chancellor over domestic policy, and that Blair would hand over power to Brown at
a future date (rumored to be after Blair served two terms in office). Analysts say that
as the years went on, Brown came to believe that Blair had reneged on a key part of
the “Granita deal” and intended to remain as prime minister far longer than originally
planned. The tensions between the two, and their respective supporters, grew over
time, even as Brown remained publicly loyal to Blair.
In 2004, Blair came under increasing pressure over Iraq — including from many
prominent members of his own party — and faced questions about his health after
suffering heart problems. Blair attempted to kill the rampant speculation that he
might quit by announcing that he intended to fight the upcoming 2005 general
election, serve a full third term, but then stand down, allowing his successor to fight
a fourth term. Political commentators note, however, that this announcement only
served to increase speculation about Blair’s departure date, and led opponents —
both within and outside of Labour — to brand him as a “lame duck.”
Although Brown staunchly backed Blair in the 2005 election, observers suggest
that Brown supporters began to call more insistently for Blair to announce a
resignation date, especially given the election results and Labour’s diminished
parliamentary majority. Tensions came to a head in the summer of 2006, following
an interview in which Blair seemed to indicate that he would not step down for
several more years and in the midst of his failure to swiftly condemn Israel’s
bombing of Lebanon. Blair’s decision on Lebanon, which was in line with Bush
Administration policy, was viewed by many in Labour as yet another example of
Blair’s subservience to Washington, and some say was the final straw for many
normally loyal Labourites. Several junior ministers in Blair’s government resigned,
and Blair apparently faced a threatened coup from within the Labour Party.
CRS-7
As a result, in September 2006, Blair publicly announced that he would resign
within a year. In early May 2007, Blair set June 27 as the date he would step down.
Some say this date was chosen to allow Blair to attend one last EU summit and one
final G8 summit in June 2007 as prime minister. Brown took over as Labour Party
leader on June 24, in an uncontested election, and became Prime Minister on June
27 following Blair’s resignation.
Brown hails from Scotland and is the son of a Presbyterian minister.
Recognized early on as academically gifted, he entered university at the age of 16,
and spent time as a university lecturer and television journalist before becoming an
MP. He is married with two young sons; the couple’s first child, a daughter, was
born prematurely and died shortly after birth. Some political commentators note that
Brown’s marriage and children have helped transform his public persona from a
bookish, dour, workaholic bachelor into a more approachable, outgoing, family man
with wider electoral appeal.6
Despite some press speculation that Brown might call an early election to gain
a public mandate, most British analysts view this prospect as unlikely. Opinion polls
show that the public largely views Brown as a good chancellor with a reputation for
sound economic management, but that most citizens are uncertain about how he will
perform as prime minister. As such, UK commentators suggest that Brown wants
some time to demonstrate his leadership abilities before calling a new election, most
likely in 2009. The next UK general election must be held by spring 2010 at the
latest. The Brown camp is also mindful of opinion polls over the last year that have
consistently given the rival Conservative Party a lead. The Conservatives made
significant gains in UK local elections in May 2007, and have benefitted from
declining public support for Blair and from their new, younger leader, David
Cameron, who has sought to modernize the party and make it more inclusive.
Polls at the end of June-early July 2007, however, show Labour narrowly ahead
of the Conservatives for the first time in eight months. Some suggest that Labour’s
lead may only be a temporary bounce, following Brown’s assumption of power, and
the high marks he received for his response to the June 29-30, 2007 failed car bomb
attacks in London and Glasgow. But Brown has also stressed the need to regain
public trust, regarded by many Labourites as one of the biggest casualties of the Blair
government and its perceived “spin” obsession. Observers say that Brown is anxious
to give Labour a “fresh start” and to portray himself as a humble servant; Brown is
reportedly considering a range of measures to increase public accountability, perhaps
by establishing a ministerial code of conduct and giving Parliament more oversight
authority. Brown has also sought to emphasize domestic issues, in part some suggest
to contrast with his predecessor’s focus on foreign policy, and is expected to put
priority on improving housing, health care, and education.7
6 Christopher Adams, “Blair Tackles Dissent on Mideast Policy,” Financial Times, August
3, 2006; “Blair’s Middle East Stance Weakens His Authority,” Reuters, August 3, 2006;
“The Gordon Brown Story,” BBC News, June 27, 2007; “Why Tony Blair Is Stepping
Down,” BBC News, June 27, 2007.
7 James Blitz, “How Brown Is Preparing To Shake Up the Way the Country Is Run,”
(continued...)
CRS-8
Brown, Foreign Policy, and Implications for the
United States
Although many regard Prime Minister Brown as something of an unknown
quantity as far as foreign policy is concerned, most experts do not believe that he will
make any major substantive changes in relations with the United States. He is largely
expected to seek to retain the UK’s position as a key and influential U.S. ally. They
note that Brown has long been a strong supporter of the Anglo-Saxon political
alliance and economic model. At the same time, some analysts suggest that Brown
may be less likely to allow the United States to influence UK foreign policy to the
same degree as has Blair, in part because Brown is viewed as more in tune with the
Labour Party faithful. One pundit put it this way: “Other things being equal, Brown
would want to be a good ally of the Americans. But he would care more about what
the Party thinks.”8 Many argue that at a minimum, Brown will likely be cautious of
developing too close of a personal relationship with Bush given the British public’s
unease with the Bush-Blair alliance and the war in Iraq.
The Brown government is expected to continue to support UK military efforts
in Afghanistan, and to proceed with Blair’s plan to reduce British forces in Iraq to
about 5,500, but not completely withdraw them. Some analysts speculate, however,
that Brown may take a new look at how long British troops might stay in Iraq in the
longer term, and this could pose a crucial test for the U.S.-UK relationship.
Regarding other foreign policy priorities, many believe that Brown will put renewed
focus on promoting development and education in Africa (a cause he championed
while Chancellor), and continue Blair’s pursuit of an international agreement on
climate change.
As for UK relations with the European Union, Brown is viewed as desiring an
outward-looking, economically vibrant EU and will likely put more emphasis on this
goal than on deeper integration. Brown is often perceived as more euroskeptic than
Blair, a reputation he earned in part because of his opposition to Britain joining the
single European currency, the euro. However, Brown is reported to find the outlines
of the new EU reform treaty agreed to by Blair at the EU’s June 2007 summit largely
acceptable, arguing that the terms take into account UK national sovereignty
concerns while enabling an enlarged EU to function more effectively. Like Blair,
Brown favors a strong U.S.-EU partnership. Some note that the new leaders of
France and Germany largely share Brown’s EU inclinations, and many hope that this
new leadership trio will put the EU on a less federalist, more free market and
reformist path, and help to improve the broader U.S.-European relationship.9
7 (...continued)
Financial Times, January 3, 2007; “Brown Promises Change of Style,” Financial Times,
June 24, 2007; “Britain’s Brown Ahead in Polls After Week in Power,” Agence France
Presse, July 7, 2007.
8 As cited in Glenn Frankel and Dan Balz, “Facing Roadblocks, Blair Quietly Begins Third
Term,” Washington Post, May 7, 2005.
9 Phillip Stephens, “The Ties That Bind Bush and Brown,” Financial Times, April 23, 2007;
(continued...)
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The UK Between the United States and the EU
UK Foreign Policy Trends
As noted above, strong relations with the United States have been a cornerstone
of UK foreign policy, to varying degrees, since the 1940s. Most UK policymakers
have looked upon being a loyal ally to the United States as a way to magnify the
UK’s influence internationally and protect its global interests. In 1944, the UK
Foreign Office described its American policy as being to “steer this great unwieldy
barge, the United States, into the right harbor.”10 UK officials long viewed
themselves as America’s foreign policy guide and mentor, often attempting to quietly
exert restraint. Some experts suggest that the United States has been more inclined
to listen to the UK than to other European allies because of the UK’s more significant
military capabilities and willingness to use them against common threats.
The UK has also viewed maintaining good relations with the EU as an essential
part of British foreign policy, despite ongoing British ambivalence toward the EU.
The British government’s decision in the 1960s to apply for membership in the
European project was largely driven by concerns that the UK economy was suffering
from being outside the club, as well as fears that France’s political dominance of the
experiment was growing too strong. Ever since the UK acceded to the EC/EU in
1973, successive British governments have sought to balance British interests
between Washington and Brussels.
At the same time, some UK foreign policy impulses are closer to those of its EU
partners than to those of the United States. This has become more evident as the EU
has evolved into a political as well as economic actor and in the years since the 2001
terrorist attacks on the United States. Like its other EU partners, Britain places great
emphasis on multilateral institutions as a means for managing international crises and
legitimizing the use of force. Meanwhile, the United States views this approach as
only one option. Furthermore, the UK’s colonial history in the Middle East and its
relatively large Muslim community (between 1.5 to 2 million Muslims out of a
population of roughly 60 million) influences some of its policy choices in ways that
are distinct from those of the United States. For example, London views resolving
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as a top priority — maintaining that it is the key to
reshaping the Middle East and decreasing the terrorist threat both at home and abroad
— while Washington stresses that peace and stability in the Middle East will not be
possible until the threats posed by terrorism and weapons of mass destruction are
confronted and removed.
9 (...continued)
Molly Moore, “New Leadership Trio Could Put Europe Back on Political Map,”
Washington Post, May 20, 2007; “Will Brown Change UK Foreign Policy?,” BBC News,
June 28, 2007.
10 As quoted in Robin Harris, “The State of the Special Relationship,” Policy Review,
June/July 2002.
CRS-10
Blair’s Transatlantic Bridge
Upon entering office in 1997, Blair promoted the UK as the “transatlantic
bridge” between the United States and the EU. Blair’s “bridge” concept was
essentially an extension of long-standing British foreign policy tendencies, and was
meant as a way to engineer a stronger role for the UK in the EU while preserving
Britain’s position as Washington’s most trusted and influential ally. Blair and his
advisors argued that close U.S.-UK relations gave the UK more influence in the EU,
while the United Kingdom would have more influence in Washington if it played a
central role in Europe. They suggested that Britain might cease to matter to
Washington if London was perceived as being a fringe player in an EU that was
pursuing enlargement and further integration. Former UK Foreign Secretary Robin
Cook asserted shortly after Labour’s election in 1997 that “Britain will be a more
valuable, and a more valued, ally of America if we do actually emerge as a leading
partner within Europe. Because a Britain which does not have influence in Europe
will be of less interest to Washington.”11
Other experts suggest, however, that the Blair government was also eager to
promote the UK as a leader in Europe to give Britain more options in its foreign
policy and decrease British dependency on the United States. Many UK
policymakers were alarmed by U.S. hesitancy in the early 1990s to intervene in the
Balkan conflicts, prompting serious questioning of U.S. reliability and NATO’s role
in the post-Cold War era. At the same time, Blair and many of his advisors believed
that Europe had failed to pull its weight diplomatically or militarily in the Balkans.
They recognized that the violence in the Balkans laid bare Europe’s inability to
manage or intervene in such crises on the European continent, let alone further afield.
As a result, they concluded that the European allies needed to be better prepared to
undertake peacekeeping or crisis management missions on their own in the event that
the United States chose not to participate.
In 1998, Blair reversed Britain’s long-standing opposition to the development
of an EU defense arm and threw greater support behind EU efforts to forge a
common foreign policy. The 1999 NATO air campaign in Kosovo further exposed
Europe’s military weakness and gave added momentum to these initiatives. The
British moves were widely interpreted as an attempt to demonstrate Britain’s
leadership in Europe at a time when the UK’s influence had lessened due to its
absence from the launch of the EU’s single currency. Blair maintained that any EU
defense role should not undermine NATO, and argued that improving European
military capabilities would enable the allies to better share the security burden.
However, U.S. critics were suspicious that Britain’s policy reversal on an EU defense
arm indicated that the UK was inclined to support French ambitions to develop the
EU as a counterweight to the United States.12
11 As quoted in “Britain Tough on Human Rights,” Associated Press, May 12, 1997; also see
Rachman, Op. Cit.; and CRS Report 97-622, Britain’s May 1997 Election: Implications for
Foreign Policy of Labour’s Landslide Victory, June 11, 1997, by Karen Donfried.
12 For more background, see CRS Report RS20356, European Security and Defense Policy:
The British Dimension, October 7, 1999, by Karen Donfried.
CRS-11
Relations Post-September 11
Following the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States, some
analysts contend that Prime Minister Blair hewed more closely to Washington than
to his other EU partners. Many argue that this was because Blair, unlike other
European leaders, immediately grasped how September 11 changed everything, both
for the United States, but also with regard to the international threat posed by
terrorists, especially if they were able to acquire weapons of mass destruction. UK
diplomats stress that Blair was deeply concerned about such threats, including the
one posed by Saddam Hussein in Iraq, long before September 11, 2001.
Regardless, after September 11, the Blair government made a strategic choice
to stand by the United States, and stuck with this choice as the Bush Administration
began to pursue regime change in Iraq. According to an account of a March 2002
Cabinet meeting by Robin Cook, who was then Leader of the House of Commons,
Blair stated that Britain’s national interest laid in “steering close” to the United States
because otherwise, the UK would lose its influence to shape U.S. policy. He argued
that by seeking to be the closest U.S. ally, Britain stood a better chance of preventing
Washington from overreacting, pursuing its objectives in Iraq in a multilateral way,
and broadening the U.S. agenda to include what the UK and other EU partners
viewed as the root causes of Islamist terrorism, such as the ongoing Israeli-
Palestinian conflict.13
The degree to which the UK has successfully influenced U.S. policy choices in
the war on terrorism, Iraq, and other issues has been a topic of much debate on both
sides of the Atlantic. UK officials contend that Blair played a crucial role in
convincing the Bush Administration to work through the United Nations to disarm
Iraq, even though this initiative ultimately failed. They argue that the priority Blair
placed on resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict helped encourage U.S. efforts in
the immediate aftermath of the Iraq war in the late spring of 2003 to become more
engaged in the search for peace. British officials also point to the 2001 war in
Afghanistan, the 2002 Indian-Pakistani nuclear crisis, and the rehabilitation of Libya
as issues where the UK has worked closely with the United States and affected U.S.
policy choices. For example, the UK was instrumental in pressing for a meaningful
international peacekeeping presence in Afghanistan, which resulted in the creation
of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF).14
In addition, British diplomats cite the close relationship and trust that has been
built between Prime Minister Blair and President Bush as a key reason why the UK
gained U.S. acquiescence to the December 2003 NATO-EU deal to enhance EU
defense planning capabilities. Many U.S. officials had worried that allowing the EU
to develop its own operational planning cell would duplicate and compete with
NATO structures, and be a first step in driving the alliance apart. However, Blair
reportedly called Bush at least twice to discuss the issue and reassure him that the
new EU planning cell would not weaken NATO, thereby securing U.S. support.
13 Ash, Op. Cit., p. 49; and Glenn Frankel, “From Memos, Insights Into Ally’s Doubts on
Iraq War,” Washington Post, June 28, 2005.
14 Discussions with UK officials and experts, Spring-Summer 2005.
CRS-12
President Bush asserted publicly that he believed that Blair would “be true to his
word” that the EU plan would not undermine the alliance.15 Most recently, some
point to the signing of a U.S.-UK treaty on defense cooperation as another tangible
benefit of the close U.S.-UK relationship cultivated by Blair. Signed in late June
2007 on one of Blair’s final days in office, the treaty, among other measures, seeks
to ease the export of sensitive U.S. defense technology to the UK, something long
pressed for by British officials.
Critics contend, however, that Blair got little in return for his staunch support
of controversial U.S. policies. Over the last few years, many British commentators
have described Blair as the American president’s “poodle.” Blair opponents point
out that he did not succeed in keeping the United States on a multilateral path with
regard to the use of force in Iraq, and although Blair supported giving the United
Nations a significant role in reconstructing Iraq, the Bush Administration initially
opted for more limited U.N. involvement. Although President Bush made some
efforts toward being more engaged in the search for peace in the Middle East in the
immediate aftermath of the Iraq war, British critics claim that Bush has not made
resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict a priority. UK critics have also suggested
that U.S. responses to Blair’s initiatives on African development and climate change
have often fallen short, and further demonstrate that Blair’s close relationship with
Bush has yielded few benefits for Britain.16
Some British officials complain privately that many U.S. policymakers expect
the UK to function automatically as the U.S. “water carrier” in the EU, that is, to
fight for U.S. policy positions on political and security issues such as EU defense
structures or EU relations with China. Although UK views on such issues often align
with those of the United States, British diplomats assert that U.S. reliance on the UK
to support U.S. interests in the EU or be the “peacemaker” often puts them in an
uncomfortable position, causing some EU members to view the UK as little more
than America’s Trojan horse. They argue that Washington must be more
sophisticated in managing its relationship with the EU, and should engage robustly
with other EU capitals, not just London, to argue for its point of view, especially
when potentially divisive issues are concerned.17
Future Prospects
UK officials argue that the conduct of British foreign policy has never been as
simplistic as a black-and-white choice between the United States and Europe. They
point out that UK foreign policy decisions have always been and will continue to be
determined primarily by British national interests, and these would not be served by
forcing a false and artificial choice between the United States and Europe. UK views
15 Judy Dempsey, “EU’s Big Three in Deal Over Defense,” Financial Times, December 11,
2003; Discussions with U.S. and European officials.
16 Glenn Frankel, “Party Critics Urge Blair to Stand Up to Bush,” Washington Post, October
1, 2004; Richard Stevenson, “In Bush Talks, Blair To Push Africa Aid,” New York TImes,
June 7, 2005; “Enough Payback for Iraq?,” BBC News, June 8, 2005.
17 Discussions with UK officials and experts, Spring-Summer 2005.
CRS-13
on certain international challenges may align more closely with one side of the
Atlantic or the other; preserving the UK’s position as a strong U.S. ally and leading
EU partner provides UK foreign policy with maximum flexibility to promote its
diverse interests in Europe and beyond. Consequently, the UK will continue to seek
close ties with both the United States and EU for the foreseeable future, regardless
of which party or personalities holds power in either London or Washington. Many
experts also note that British instincts toward protecting UK national sovereignty
from EU encroachment remain strong, and UK officials are not about to cede their
freedom of action in foreign policy and defense matters to the EU anytime soon.
Nevertheless, some analysts suggest that the balance in the triangular U.S.-UK-
EU relationship could change in the years ahead, with the UK ultimately drawn
closer to Europe. They point out that geographically, the UK is much closer to
continental Europe than to the United States, and over 50% of UK trade is with its
other EU partners. As a member of the EU, the UK has already given up some
sovereignty to the Union in certain areas, and is therefore bound to the EU in a much
more fundamental way than it is to Washington. Many believe it is only a matter of
time before the UK joins the euro, which would reduce the degree of UK
exceptionalism within the EU. In addition, commentators suggest that younger
Britons feel more European, and future generations of British policymakers, farther
removed from World War II and the Cold War, may not share the same conviction
as previous generations about the importance of the “special relationship.”
Several analysts argue that the effect of the Iraq war on the 2005 British election
may also make future British governments more hesitant about being as bold of a
U.S. ally as Blair was to the Bush Administration. Blair’s successors may be more
inclined to ensure that UK policies are in line with those of other major EU partners.
BBC correspondent John Simpson commented that, “For the first time since 1941,
it may no longer be the automatic choice to stick close to Washington... None of Mr.
Blair’s successors for the next half-century will entirely forget what happened to
Tony Blair [in the 2005 election] when he chose to support an American president
in preference to most of the rest of Europe.”18 Some suggest that the internal EU
crisis over Iraq also convinced Blair of the need to forge a more common EU foreign
policy, in part to help bolster the UK’s clout in Washington. In March 2003, during
Blair’s statement opening the debate on Iraq in the House of Commons, he asserted
that Europe, “with one voice,” should have firmly committed itself to backing the
United States in addressing the threats posed by Saddam Hussein, but demanded in
return that “the U.S. should choose the U.N. path and...recognize the fundamental
overriding importance of restarting the Middle East peace process.”19
At a minimum, some experts suggest that U.S. policymakers should not take
future British support for U.S. foreign policy choices for granted. They say the
United States will need to devote greater attention to managing the “special
relationship” and be willing to take British concerns on board. Several UK analysts
18 “Costly Victory for Chastened Blair,” BBC News, May 9, 2005. Also see William
Kristol, “An Electoral Trifecta,” Weekly Standard, May 16, 2005.
19 Prime Minister Tony Blair, Speech to the UK House of Commons, March 18, 2003.
CRS-14
point out that Brown and successor governments may make more explicit demands
of the United States in the future as the price for its support of U.S. policies.
Other UK-watchers maintain that the United States will retain an edge in the
triangular U.S.-UK-EU relationship, arguing that there is no place in British politics
for a UK foreign policy that does not put strong relations with the United States at
its center given the UK public’s euroskepticism and U.S.-UK cultural and historic
ties. Many also point out that the UK’s more liberal, free-style market economy is
more in line with the U.S. economic and social model than with the highly
protectionist, statist social systems that exist in much of continental Europe.
Furthermore, they suggest that the balance of power within the EU has shifted in
favor of the UK vision for the EU, which is outward-looking and Atlanticist. They
assert that following EU enlargement, France and Germany are no longer able to
drive the EU forward alone; this will make it easier for the UK to ensure that the EU
evolves in a U.S.-friendly way, minimize U.S.-EU tensions, and decrease pressure
on the UK to have to choose between Washington and Brussels. They claim that
even the dispute over Iraq has been overblown, and was mostly a disagreement
between the United States and EU members France and Germany.20
Current Issues in U.S.-UK Relations
As noted above, U.S.-UK cooperation is extensive and mutually beneficial on
a wide range of foreign policy, defense, and economic issues. At times, however,
UK national interests come into conflict with Washington and/or its EU partners.
This section examines some of the most prominent issues in U.S.-UK relations.
Although not exhaustive, the issues chosen seek to demonstrate instances of close
U.S.-UK cooperation as well as differences, and serve to evaluate the extent to which
some UK policy choices are influenced by competing U.S. and EU preferences.
Countering Terrorism
UK officials assert that London is Washington’s leading ally in the fight against
terrorism. UK forces participate in the U.S.-led military operations in Afghanistan
and Iraq (see below), and British law enforcement and intelligence agencies serve as
key investigative partners for U.S. authorities in the fight against terrorism. Since
September 2001, the UK has sought to strengthen its counterterrorism legislation,
stem terrorist financing, and enhance its border controls.
In the wake of the deadly July 2005 terrorist attacks on London’s mass transport
system — carried out by four British Muslims — the former Blair government began
placing greater emphasis on promoting Muslim integration and combating
extremism. Approximately 1.6 million Muslims live in the UK, out of a total UK
population of almost 60 million. At the same time, the Blair government also
introduced legislation to make it easier to deport or exclude foreign individuals who
advocate violence and incite hatred. Other new security measures included extended
detention times for terrorist suspects and increased police surveillance powers over
20 Discussions with U.S. and UK officials and experts, Spring-Summer 2005.
CRS-15
mosques and other religious institutions. Analysts suggest that the June 29-30, 2007
failed car bomb attacks on London and Glasgow may lead to another review of UK
security and immigration measures. The failed attacks came two days after Gordon
Brown assumed the prime ministership. The Brown government is largely expected
to continue Blair’s efforts to both strengthen UK security measures against terrorism
and promote Muslim integration.21
Despite the ongoing close U.S.-UK cooperation against terrorism, some tensions
exist. Some U.S. critics assert that UK measures to clamp down on Islamist
extremists and Muslim clerics who espouse terrorism are long overdue. They charge
that traditionally liberal asylum and immigration laws in the UK, as well as the
country’s strong free speech and privacy protections, have attracted numerous radical
Muslim clerics claiming persecution at home. As a result, some say the UK has
become a breeding ground for Islamist terrorists, such as airplane “shoe bomber”
Richard Reid and the “20th” September 11 hijacker Zacarias Moussaoui, both of
whom were apparently indoctrinated at radical mosques in London. Until recently,
UK authorities have emphasized extended surveillance of extremists as a way to
gather intelligence, but some U.S. officials have expressed frustration with what they
view as dangerous delays in arresting terrorist suspects or instigators in the UK.22
The UK has been trying to balance its counterterrorism policies against well-
established civil liberty protections and democratic ideals. At times, this has also
created tensions with the United States. For example, British courts have rejected
some U.S. extradition requests for terrorist suspects on the grounds of insufficient or
inadmissable evidence. Like its EU partners, London has also expressed serious
concerns about the U.S. decision to hold terrorist suspects at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba
because it fears that such policies weaken Washington’s hand in the battle for
Muslim “hearts and minds.” However, U.S. and British officials discount worries
that frictions over such issues could impede future law enforcement cooperation,
arguing that both sides remain vulnerable to terrorist attacks and cooperation serves
mutual interests. The UK also supports EU efforts to improve police, judicial, and
intelligence cooperation both among its 27 members and with the United States.23
Afghanistan
UK forces participate in both the U.S.-led combat mission Operation Enduring
Freedom (OEF) against Al Qaeda and Taliban remnants and in the NATO-led
International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) that aims to stabilize the country and
assist in reconstruction efforts. Approximately 6,000 British service personnel are
deployed in Afghanistan; most are combat units in ISAF and operate in the south of
21 Stephen Fidler, “UK Forced To Confront Wider Threat,” Financial Times, July 2, 2007.
22 Steve Coll and Susan Glasser, “In London, Islamic Radicals Found a Haven,” Washington
Post, July 10, 2005; “Different Approach To Tackling Terrorism Exposed,” Financial
Times, July 12, 2005.
23 For more on UK efforts against terrorism, CRS Report RL31612, European
Counterterrorist Efforts since September 11: Political Will and Diverse Responses, and CRS
Report RL33166, Muslims in Europe: Integration in Selected Countries, both coordinated
by Paul Gallis.
CRS-16
the country. British combat aircraft support both OEF and ISAF. The UK, with
Denmark and Estonia, leads a Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRT) in Helmand
province that concentrates on promoting good local governance and economic
development. Although UK officials were initially hesitant about ISAF engaging in
combat operations as well as reconstruction activities, the British government has
adopted a more aggressive stance since summer 2006 following a resurgence of
Taliban activity.
At the same time, some differences with the United States over ISAF’s role
persist. The United States, for example, opposed an October 2006 peace deal the
British reached with local elders in the southern town of Musa Qala that allowed
British forces to withdraw. The UK argued that the deal empowered local leaders
with greater authority and brought an end to the Taliban offensive in the town; U.S.
officials criticized the deal as a NATO retreat in hostile Taliban territory and note
that the town was overrun again by Taliban fighters in early February 2007. Since
then, the UK government has announced it will deploy 1,400 more troops to
Afghanistan this summer in order to combat the Taliban more effectively. Some
military experts argue that this increase is long overdue. UK officials complain,
however, that it is necessary only because of the reluctance of fellow NATO
members to send their forces to southern Afghanistan. The UK also leads ISAF’s
counternarcotics efforts, and has a vested interest in poppy interdiction and
eradication given that most heroin found in the UK comes from Afghanistan.24
Iraq
Like President Bush, Prime Minister Blair believed that Saddam Hussein and
his quest to acquire weapons of mass destruction posed an immediate threat to
international security. Although London would have preferred a second U.N.
resolution explicitly authorizing the use of force against Iraq, it ultimately agreed
with Washington to forego such a resolution given the opposition of veto-wielding
members France, Russia, and China. As noted earlier, Blair backed the U.S.-led war
in Iraq over significant public opposition and paid a political cost, especially within
his own Labour party, which was severely divided over the use of force.
About 45,000 British forces served with U.S. troops during the major combat
phase of the war. In June 2004, Washington and London worked together to gain
unanimous U.N. Security Council approval of a new resolution endorsing the transfer
of Iraqi sovereignty and giving the United Nations a key role in supporting Iraq’s
ongoing political transition. Echoing the view of other EU partners, the UK had been
a consistent advocate for a significant U.N. role in rebuilding Iraq to help bolster the
credibility of the international troop presence and the reconstruction process. The
Bush Administration had initially favored a more narrow, advisory U.N. role in Iraq.
24 “Taliban Fighters Take Afghan Town Left By Britons After Peace Deal,” Washington
Post, February 3, 2007; “UK To Boost Afghan Force by 1,400,” BBC News, February 26,
2007. Also see CRS Report RL33627, NATO in Afghanistan: A Test of the Transatlantic
Alliance, by Paul Gallis.
CRS-17
UK officials assert that current UK and U.S. goals in Iraq are the same: to root
out the Iraqi insurgency, to support Iraqi efforts to establish democratic institutions,
and to build up Iraqi security capabilities. British forces have command of the
southeastern sector of Iraq and UK officials have long maintained that they will stay
in Iraq as long as they were deemed necessary by the Iraqi government. The UK has
supported a role for NATO in training Iraqi security forces. Since the March 2003
invasion of Iraq, 159 British soldiers have died.
Despite the Bush Administration’s decision in early 2007 to augment U.S.
forces in Iraq, namely around Baghdad, with a troop “surge,” the former Blair
government announced plans in February 2007 to reduce its forces in southern Iraq
to 5,500. UK officials insist that this drawdown reflects the fact that British troops
have been progressively turning over provinces under their control to Iraqi security
forces, and that security conditions in the south are improving and better than those
in Baghdad. As noted above, Prime Minister Brown is not expected to withdraw
British forces from Iraq completely in the near term, but some speculate that he may
take a new look at how long British troops will stay in Iraq in future.25
Iran
The United States and the UK share similar goals with respect to Iran, including
encouraging reforms, ending Iranian sponsorship of terrorism, and curbing Tehran’s
nuclear ambitions. However, Washington has generally favored isolation and
containment, while London has preferred conditional engagement. The UK, with
France and Germany (the “EU3”), has been working to persuade Iran to permanently
end activities that could lead to nuclear weapons production in exchange for political
and trade rewards. In late 2004, Iran agreed to temporarily suspend its uranium
enrichment-related work, and Iran and the EU3 opened talks on a long-term
agreement on nuclear, economic, and security cooperation. UK officials stressed that
such engagement was the only practical option, argued that the EU3’s negotiations
were slowing Iranian nuclear progress to some degree, and urged U.S. involvement.
London welcomed the Bush Administration’s March 2005 decision to offer limited
economic incentives if Iran agreed to cooperate with the EU3 on nuclear matters. In
return, the Europeans pledged, if negotiations failed, to refer Iran to the U.N. Security
Council, where Iran could face trade sanctions.
The EU3’s negotiations with Iran have been stalled since August 2005,
following Iran’s resumption of uranium conversion, an early stage in the nuclear fuel
cycle. In December 2006, and again in March 2007, the EU 3 and the United States
gained U.N. Security Council approval for limited sanctions on Iran related to its
nuclear work. U.S. officials have been urging European countries — including the
UK — to go even further and cut off bank lending and other financial interactions
with Iran. British officials have so far responded tepidly to such calls, arguing that
their legal system is more restrictive and does not permit quick action.
25 “Beginning of the End for Brits in Iraq?,” BBC News, February 21, 2007; “Will Brown
Change UK Foreign Policy?,” Op. cit.
CRS-18
UK-Iranian tensions have risen following Iran’s seizure in March 2007 of 15
British naval personnel off the Iraq/Iran coast. Like the United States, the UK is also
concerned about Iran’s growing influence in Iraq, and has urged Tehran to play a
constructive role in bringing stability to that country and the region. Former Prime
Minister Blair asserted that the option of military action should not be “taken off the
table,” but that diplomacy remained the preferred course to Iran’s nuclear efforts.
Some Europeans, including many British, worry that Washington may ultimately
conclude that diplomacy has failed to address the Iranian threat. However, many
analysts doubt that the UK would have much appetite for military intervention in Iran
given the ongoing war in Iraq and amid UK force overstretch issues.26
Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
The UK views a just and lasting settlement to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as
vital to promoting lasting stability in the region and diminishing the threats posed to
both the United States and Europe by terrorism and Islamist militancy. Like its EU
partners, the UK supports the two-state solution outlined in the largely stalled “road
map” for peace developed by the diplomatic “Quartet” of the United States, the
European Union, Russia, and the United Nations. Progress on the “road map” has
most recently been complicated by the January 2006 Hamas victory in Palestinian
legislative elections, Hamas’ takeover of Gaza by force in June 2007, and the
resulting collapse of the Hamas-Fatah coalition government.
UK officials have repeatedly urged the United States to become more engaged
in the Middle East peace process. They argue that only sustained U.S. engagement
at the highest levels will force the parties to the conflict, especially Israel, back to the
negotiating table. Critics contend that Blair had little tangible success in this regard.
At times, the Blair government sought to inject its own momentum into the peace
process. In March 2005, for example, London hosted an international conference that
focused on promoting Palestinian efforts to democratize and reform. Press reports
indicate that London initially proposed a wider peace conference, but Washington
preferred a narrower approach. Some analysts suggest that Blair’s support for the
U.S.-led war in Iraq and his government’s reluctance to call for an early halt to
fighting between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon in the summer of 2006 weakened
London’s influence and credibility as an honest broker in the region. Press reports
indicate that Prime Minister Brown will likely emphasize economic development as
key to resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.27
26 “U.S. Expected To Slap Sanctions on Iranian Bank,” Reuters, January 8, 2007; “Blair
Warns Iran Against Unsettling Middle East,” Press Association, February 6, 2007.
27 Upon leaving the prime ministership, Blair was named as the international envoy for
“Quartet.” Some press reports suggest that the Brown camp was not happy with Blair’s
appointment, viewing it as detracting attention from Brown’s plans to promote peace
through economic means. See James Blitz, “Blair Set for Mideast Envoy Role,” Financial
Times, June 24, 2007.
CRS-19
NATO and the EU
The UK strongly supports NATO and continued U.S. engagement in European
security. At the same time, the UK has been a driving force behind EU efforts to
create an EU defense arm, or common European Security and Defense Policy
(ESDP), to enable the Union to conduct military operations “where NATO as a
whole is not engaged” and to help boost European military capabilities. London
insists that ESDP be tied to NATO, despite pressure from Paris for a more
autonomous defense arm. British officials stress that ESDP provides a more
compelling rationale for European governments to spend scarce resources on
improved defense capabilities that, in turn, will also benefit the alliance.
Some U.S. experts worry, however, that as the UK sought to burnish its
European credentials in the aftermath of the Iraq war, it became more willing to cede
ground to the French view on ESDP; they fear this could lead to a duplication of
NATO structures and erode NATO in the longer term. They were critical of Britain’s
acceptance of French-German-led efforts in 2003 to establish an EU operational
planning cell independent of NATO. UK officials counter that the new EU cell
considerably scales back earlier proposals for a European military headquarters, and
that language in the NATO-EU agreement paving the way for the new EU cell
reaffirms NATO as Europe’s preeminent security organization.28
UK policymakers, like the Bush Administration, have been cool to suggestions
from some EU members that the EU, rather than NATO, should be the primary
forum for discussions of international security and political issues, such as managing
Iran or the rise of China. British hesitancy in this regard may reflect UK concerns
that a formal U.S.-EU strategic dialogue could erode NATO or the U.S. role as
Europe’s ultimate security guarantor. British officials also suggest that while greater
U.S.-EU political dialogue on issues such as the greater Middle East may be
beneficial, it is unlikely that the EU would be willing or able to lead any significant
military mission in the region on its own in the near future, and therefore, it is vital
that NATO be retained and perhaps bolstered as a forum for political dialogue
between the two sides of the Atlantic.29
Defense Relations
As noted previously, close U.S.-UK defense ties date back many decades.
During the Cold War, the UK served as a vital base for U.S. forces and cruise
missiles. The United Kingdom currently hosts roughly 11,000 U.S. military
personnel plus almost 1,000 civilians, as well as their dependents. Britain provides
about $134 million in host nation support, mostly in indirect contributions such as
waived taxes and rents.30 The United States has supplied Britain with the missile
28 For more information, see CRS Report RL32342, NATO and the European Union, by
Kristin Archick and Paul Gallis.
29 Discussion with UK officials, Summer 2005.
30 See from the U.S. Department of Defense: Allied Contributions to the Common Defense
(continued...)
CRS-20
delivery systems for its nuclear warheads since 1963. In early 2007, former Prime
Minister Blair announced plans to renew the UK’s current nuclear weapons system
by joining a U.S. program to extend the life of its U.S.-made Trident missiles into the
2040s and by building a new generation of submarines in the UK. The decision on
Trident’s future in the UK was controversial, especially within the Labour Party, and
Blair had to rely on opposition votes in Parliament to secure approval. Gordon
Brown, however, endorsed Blair’s decision to modernize the Trident nuclear
weapons system, and will be expected to take early planning for it forward.31
Missile Defense. The United Kingdom has participated, albeit cautiously,
since the 1980s in the U.S. Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) program; about $300
million in U.S. funding has been devoted to joint U.S.-UK missile defense activities
since 1986, according to the U.S. Department of Defense Missile Defense Agency.
In February 2003, the Blair government agreed to a U.S. request to upgrade the early
warning radar complex at Fylingdales, a Royal Air Force base in northern England,
for a possible role in the U.S. BMD system.32 UK officials believe that the potential
aspirations of North Korea or Iran to acquire nuclear weapons strengthen the case for
BMD, but the issue remains controversial for many British parliamentarians and
public activists. British critics doubt the technical viability of BMD, worry it could
spark a new arms race with Russia and China, and claim that helping Washington
will make the UK a more likely target of a ballistic missile attack. In June 2003,
Washington and London signed an agreement to facilitate bilateral BMD information
exchanges and help pave the way for further UK industrial participation in BMD.33
In early 2007, the Bush Administration began bilateral negotiations to base 10
missile interceptors in Poland and associated radar in the Czech Republic. The
system is meant primarily to defend the United States, U.S. forces in Europe, and
some European allies from a possible future ballistic missile attack by Iran.
Although some European allies argued that the Administration should have sought
to develop such a system under NATO auspices, rather than bilaterally with Prague
and Warsaw, and expressed concerns about the vociferous Russian objections to the
planned U.S. system, the Blair government offered support for the proposed missile
defense project. Press reports indicate that the Blair government quietly lobbied
Washington to base at least some U.S. interceptor missiles on British soil. Although
the Bush Administration appears to remain focused on Poland and the Czech
Republic as European basing sites, U.S. officials maintain they continue to value UK
30 (...continued)
2003, [http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/allied_contrib2003/allied2003.pdf]; and Base
Structure Report FY2005 [http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/20050527_2005BSR.pdf].
31 “Is This End of Trident Debate?,” BBC News, March 14, 2007.
32 Fylingdales is one of three long-range radar posts, along with similar installations in
Greenland and Alaska, that comprise the U.S. Ballistic Missile Early Warning System. Data
from Fylingdales feeds into the North American Air Defense Command headquarters in the
United States and its UK counterpart.
33 “UK to Help Son of Star Wars,” BBC News, February 5, 2003; “U.S., Britain Pen Formal
Agreement,” Defense Daily International, June 20, 2003.
CRS-21
participation in missile defense and are open to discussions about further potential
UK contributions to BMD.34
Defense Industry Cooperation and Export Controls. The United
Kingdom and the United States are also key customers and suppliers of defense
equipment for each other. U.S. government-to-government sales agreements of
defense articles, services, and technology to the UK for FY2006 are valued at $166
million.35 However, the UK also acquires U.S. defense articles and services directly
from U.S. defense firms; experts believe that these U.S. commercial defense sales to
the UK are substantially higher than government-to-government sales. The British
government estimates that total U.S. defense equipment sales to the UK average $2
billion per year, while UK sales of defense items to the United States average around
$1 billion annually.36
Furthermore, the United States and Britain are engaged in major joint defense
procurement projects, such as the Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) program, and British
defense companies supply components for several U.S. weapons systems, such as the
Patriot Advanced Capability (PAC-3) missile and the Predator unmanned aerial
vehicle. British defense firms also have a significant presence in the United States.
Most notable is British defense contractor BAE Systems. Since the late 1990s, BAE
has acquired several sensitive U.S. defense firms; with BAE’s acquisition of U.S.
defense company United Defense Industries in 2005, the U.S. Defense Department
replaced the UK Ministry of Defense as BAE’s largest customer. BAE’s U.S. branch
employs roughly 45,000 in the United States, including 35,000 Americans.37
However, some British defense officials and industry leaders complain that
while the UK defense market is relatively open, foreign access to the U.S. defense
marketplace remains restricted and heavily protected. They point out that the U.S.
military uses very little equipment bought from or developed outside of the United
States, and this largely accounts for the U.S.-UK defense trade imbalance. Many UK
policymakers are also frustrated that U.S. security restrictions hamper technology
transfers, which they say impedes UK efforts to cost-effectively enhance British
defense capabilities and improve interoperability with U.S. forces.
Some military analysts believe that U.S. technology-sharing restrictions may
make the United States a less attractive defense supplier or industrial partner for the
UK in the longer term. They note that the UK is already under some pressure from
its EU partners to “buy European,” in order to help create European jobs, to ensure
34 “Blair Seeks British Role in U.S. Missile Defense,” Financial Times, February 24, 2007;
“U.S. Missile Deals Bypass, and Annoy, European Union,” New York Times, April 18, 2007.
35 See “Estimating Foreign Military Sales,” in the Congressional Budget Justification for
Foreign Operations, FY2008, available at [http://www.state.gov].
36 Office of the British Defense Staff (Washington), “US/UK Defense Trade,” March 2002.
37 United Defense Industries is a key supplier of combat vehicles (such as the Bradley
armored infantry vehicle), munitions, and weapons delivery systems to the U.S. Defense
Department. “BAE Systems’ Acquisition of UDI Clears Final Hurdle,” Jane’s Defence
Industry, June 24, 2005.
CRS-22
a European defense base strong enough to support the military requirements of the
EU’s evolving defense arm, and to guarantee that European governments and defense
industries are not left completely dependent on foreign technology. In March 2006,
Britain’s top defense procurement official warned that the UK would walk away from
its $2 billion investment in the JSF program if it did not receive access to JSF design
data and weapons technology; the UK argued that such access was essential for
Britain to be able to maintain or modify its own JSFs. In December 2006, the United
States and the UK signed a memorandum of understanding effectively guaranteeing
that Britain would receive the sensitive JSF technology it demanded if it eventually
purchased the JSF.38
For many years, the UK has also been pushing for an exemption from the
requirements of Section 38(j) of the U.S. Arms Export Control Act to make it easier
for British companies to buy U.S. defense items; this has generally been referred to
as seeking a waiver from the U.S. International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR).
However, London has been unable to overcome Congressional concerns, especially
in the House of Representatives, that UK export controls are not strong enough to
ensure that U.S. technologies sold to or shared with Britain would not be re-exported
to third countries, such as China. Although Congress granted the UK “preferred”
ITAR status in October 2004 — intended to expedite the export licensing process for
British defense firms — some in the British defense industry maintain that the
process remains too time-consuming. UK officials also bristle at the U.S. refusal to
grant a full ITAR waiver given the UK’s role as a key U.S. ally.
In an effort to address long-standing British concerns about U.S. technology-
sharing restrictions and export controls, the United States and the UK signed a new
treaty on defense cooperation on June 21, 2007. The treaty seeks to ease the
exchange of defense goods, services, and information — in part by ending the need
for a separate U.S. export license for certain designated defense equipment purchased
by the UK government and select British companies. The treaty is reciprocal and is
intended to cover defense equipment for which the U.S. and UK governments are the
end-users. The treaty also calls for the creation of “approved communities” of
companies and individuals in each country with security clearances to deal with
technological transfers.
The new defense cooperation treaty must be approved by the UK Parliament and
the U.S. Senate. Analysts note that the treaty represents a change in approach by the
Bush Administration, and that the Administration has effectively abandoned its
pursuit of an ITAR waiver for the UK. U.S. supporters point out that the new treaty
will also make the export of UK defense items, such as roadside bomb detection
equipment for U.S. troops in Iraq, faster. However, some suggest that the treaty
could still face hurdles in the Senate and may not be ratified for some time.39
38 “Specious Relationship,” Aviation Week and Space Technology, July 17, 2006; “U.S., UK
Resolve Technology Transfer Dispute, Sign JSF Agreement,” Inside the Pentagon,
December 14, 2006.
39 Stephen Fidler, “Bush Signs Accord Easing Defence Exports to UK,” Financial Times,
June 22, 2007; U.S. State Department, “U.S.-UK Defense Treaty Signed,” June 27, 2007;
(continued...)
CRS-23
Economic Relations
The bilateral U.S.-UK trade and economic relationship is extensive and
increasingly interdependent. The UK is the fourth largest economy in the world, with
a gross domestic product of roughly $1.7 trillion. The UK is the United States’
largest European export market and fourth largest export market worldwide after
Canada, Mexico, and Japan. In 2003, U.S. exports to the UK totaled about $34
billion, while U.S. imports from the UK were roughly $43 billion. The United States
has had a trade deficit with the UK since 1998. Major U.S. exports to the UK
include aircraft and parts, information technology and telecommunication equipment,
pharmaceuticals, and agricultural products.
Even more significantly, the UK and the United States are each other’s biggest
foreign investors. U.S. investment in the UK reached roughly $255 billion in 2002,
while UK investment in the United States totaled $283 billion. This investment
sustains an estimated 1 million U.S. jobs. According to studies conducted by the
SAIS Center for Transatlantic Relations, the UK has accounted for almost 20% of
total global investment flows into the United States over the last five years, and the
UK ranks as the single most important foreign market in terms of global earnings for
U.S. companies — accounting for 11% of total affiliate income in the first half of this
decade. The contribution of U.S. affiliates to the British economy is also notable.
For example, in 2002, U.S. affiliates accounted for 6.7% of the UK’s aggregate
output. U.S. exporters and investors are attracted to the UK because of the common
language, similar legal framework and business practices, relatively low rates of
taxation and inflation, and access to the EU market.40
UK trade policy is formulated within the EU context, and U.S.-UK trade
disputes are taken up within the EU framework.41 Although most of the U.S.-EU
economic relationship is harmonious, trade tensions persist. Current U.S.-EU trade
disputes focus on aircraft subsidies, anti-dumping duties, hormone-treated beef, and
genetically-modified (GM) food products. Like elsewhere in the EU, UK public
opposition to GM food and agricultural products is high, in part because of a series
of major European food crises over the last several years, including an outbreak of
“mad cow disease” in the UK.
39 (...continued)
William Matthews, “UK-U.S. Trade Treaty Facing Uncertain Future,” DefenseNews.com,
July 7, 2007.
40 Joseph Quinlan, Drifting Apart or Growing Together? The Primacy of the Transatlantic
Economy (SAIS Center for Transatlantic Relations, Johns Hopkins University), 2003;
Daniel Hamilton and Joseph Quinlan (eds.), Deep Integration: How Transatlantic Markets
Are Leading Globalization (SAIS Center for Transatlantic Relations, Johns Hopkins
University), 2005; U.S. State Department, Background Note on the United Kingdom,
February 2007.
41 A British official, Peter Mandelson, has been EU Trade Commissioner since November
2004. He is the U.S. Trade Representative’s key interlocutor on U.S.-EU trade disputes.
As a member of the European Commission, however, Mandelson serves the Union as a
whole and does not represent the British government.
CRS-24
Despite such frictions, the UK has been a consistent supporter of U.S.-EU
efforts to lower trade barriers and strengthen the multilateral trading system. Like the
United States, the UK supported Germany’s initiative during its recently concluded
EU presidency to enhance the transatlantic marketplace and further liberalize U.S.-
EU trade by reducing non-tariff and regulatory barriers. At the April 30, 2007 U.S.-
EU summit in Washington, DC, the two sides agreed to establish a Transatlantic
Economic Council to tackle such trade obstacles. UK officials say they also continue
to support efforts to conclude the ongoing Doha round of multilateral trade
negotiations at the World Trade Organization (WTO). The Doha round is largely
stalled, however, over a number of issues, including U.S.-EU differences over how
and when to liberalize agricultural trade. The UK also supports efforts to reform the
EU’s Common Agricultural Policy, a perennial source of U.S.-EU trade disputes.42
Climate Change
In 2005, the UK held the year-long rotating presidency of the G8 group of
leading industrialized nations and made climate change one of its top priorities. Like
its EU partners, the Blair government was dismayed with the Bush Administration’s
rejection of the U.N. Kyoto Protocol on climate change that set limits on heat-
trapping gas emissions in an attempt to reduce global warming. The Bush
Administration maintained that such mandatory caps would be too costly and that the
Kyoto Protocol lacked sufficient developing country participation; instead, it has
sought to promote research and technological advances to increase energy efficiency
and decrease emissions. At the 2005 G8 summit, UK officials claimed that they
succeeded in narrowing the gap between the United States and Europe on climate
change. They pointed out that Washington agreed to language in the G8
communique acknowledging, for the first time, the role of human activity in global
warming and the need for urgent action. Critics maintained that the final G8
statement on climate change was significantly weaker than earlier British versions,
which had called for ambitious greenhouse gas reductions and committed G8
countries to spend a certain amount on new environment-friendly projects.
Some British critics also argued that the lack of a more positive U.S. response
to Blair’s climate change proposals in 2005 further demonstrated that Blair’s close
relationship with Bush had yielded few benefits. Others contend that Blair has
played a crucial role in shaping the Bush Administration’s evolving stance on climate
change, and point to the most recent G8 summit in June 2007 as an example. At the
June 2007 G8 summit — Blair’s last as UK leader — the United States joined
Germany (the current G8 presidency country), the UK, and other European states in
agreeing to “seriously consider” halving emissions by 2050. Moreover, despite its
previous reluctance, the Bush Administration committed to working toward a new
climate change treaty within the U.N. framework by 2009. European critics claimed
that the 2007 G8 agreement fell short of Germany’s goal of a firm commitment to a
50% cut in emissions by 2050. They also suggested that the Administration could
42 For more information, see CRS Report RL30732, Trade Conflict and U.S.-European
Union Economic Relationship, by Raymond Ahearn; and CRS Report RS22645, U.S.-
European Union Relations and the 2007 Summit, by Raymond Ahearn, Kristin Archick, and
Paul Belkin.
CRS-25
still try to circumvent the U.N. process, noting President Bush’s announcement in
May 2007 that it would seek to forge a separate agreement by the end of 2008 on a
reduction strategy with the world’s top 15 greenhouse gas emitters. Blair tried to
deflect such concerns, stating that he was “very pleased at how far we have come”
since 2005 and that “we have an agreement that there will be a climate change deal,
it will involve everyone, including the U.S. .... and it will involve substantial cuts.”43
Northern Ireland
The United States strongly supports UK efforts to implement an enduring
political settlement to the conflict in Northern Ireland, which has claimed over 3,200
lives since 1969 and reflected a struggle between different national, cultural, and
religious identities. Northern Ireland’s Protestant majority (53%) defines itself as
British and largely supports continued incorporation in the UK (unionists). The
Catholic minority (44%) considers itself Irish, and many Catholics desire a united
Ireland (nationalists). For years, the British and Irish governments, with U.S.
support, sought to facilitate a political settlement. The resulting Good Friday
Agreement was reached in April 1998. It calls for devolved government — the
transfer of power from London to Belfast — and sets up government structures in
Northern Ireland in which unionists and nationalists share power. It recognizes that
a change in Northern Ireland’s status as part of the United Kingdom can only come
about with the consent of the majority of its people. Despite a much improved
security situation in the years since, full implementation of the Agreement has been
difficult. In October 2002, the devolved government was suspended for the fourth
time amid a breakdown of trust and confidence on both sides. Decommissioning
(disarmament), especially by the Irish Republican Army (IRA), and police reforms
were two key sticking points.
As noted earlier, Blair was a key driver of the 1998 Good Friday Agreement,
which the Bush Administration and many Members of Congress continue to view as
the best framework for a lasting peace in Northern Ireland. Over the years, the Bush
Administration and many Members repeatedly sought to support the efforts of
London and Dublin to fully implement the Agreement and to broker a deal to
reinstate Northern Ireland’s devolved government and power-sharing institutions.
U.S. and British officials frequently asserted that the IRA and other paramilitaries
must “go out of business” in order to move the peace process forward, and that Sinn
Fein, the IRA’s associated political party, must join the Policing Board, a democratic
oversight body. At the same time, U.S. and British policymakers pressed unionists
to recognize Sinn Fein’s evolution and important steps taken by the IRA, such as its
July 2005 decision to end its armed struggle and “dump” its weapons. Efforts to
fully implement the Good Friday Agreement culminated on May 8, 2007, when
Northern Ireland’s devolved political institutions were restored for the first time since
2002 following a power-sharing deal between Sinn Fein and the traditionally anti-
Agreement Democratic Unionist Party (DUP). London, Dublin, and Washington
view this deal as entrenching the political settlement embodied in the 1998
43 “Enough Payback for Iraq?,” BBC News, June 8, 2005; “G8 Leaders Agree To Climate
Deal,” BBC News, June 7, 2007. Also see CRS Report RL33636, The European Union’s
Energy Security Challenges, by Paul Belkin.
CRS-26
Agreement and believe it has ushered in a new era in Northern Ireland politics,
producing a permanent and politically stable devolved government.44
Conclusions and Implications
for the United States
Despite occasional tensions between the United States and the United Kingdom
on specific issues, the so-called “special relationship” offers the United States certain
tangible benefits and often serves to buttress U.S. international policies. UK support
has been important to the global fight against terrorism, U.S. military action in
Afghanistan, and the U.S.-led war to oust Saddam Hussein and efforts to stabilize
and rebuild Iraq. UK military capabilities and resources have helped share the U.S.
combat and peacekeeping burden in these conflicts, as well as in the Balkans. Britain
has been a consistent proponent of developing a greater EU political and security role
in a way that complements NATO and promotes a stronger EU as a better and more
effective partner for the United States. The two allies also share a mutually
beneficial and increasingly interdependent economic relationship, and UK policies
within the EU and with the United States have helped to maintain and promote a
more open and efficient world trading system.
Whether the UK position within the U.S.-EU relationship and traditional UK
foreign policy tendencies are changing are questions that have vexed policy analysts
for many years. But beyond the issue of whether changes are afoot lay perhaps two
more profound questions: Does it really matter for the United States if the UK draws
closer to Europe in the longer term? And in light of the EU’s ongoing evolution,
how might a UK either more inside or outside of the EU affect U.S. interests?
Part of the answer to these questions depends on whether the EU evolves into
a more tightly integrated body, especially in the foreign policy and defense fields.
Some U.S. analysts say that if the EU becomes a more coherent foreign policy actor,
this could make the UK a less reliable ally for the United States. If the UK
increasingly turns toward its EU partners in formulating foreign policy decisions, this
could make it harder for Washington to gain London’s support for its initiatives in
NATO or the United Nations. The UK may also be more resistant to being the U.S.
“water carrier” in Europe. Some fear that the UK may become less willing to deploy
its military force in support of U.S. objectives, or be tempted to support French
aspirations to develop the EU as a rival to the United States.
Others argue that a more integrated, cohesive EU in which the UK plays a
leading role could make the EU a better partner for the United States in tackling
global challenges. Conversely, if a “core Europe” were to develop in which a
vanguard of EU member states drove further integration — but which did not include
economically liberal and pro-Atlanticist Britain — Washington could lose one of its
key advocates within the EU and U.S.-EU tensions could increase. Many assess that
44 For more information, see CRS Report RS21333, Northern Ireland: The Peace Process,
by Kristin Archick.
CRS-27
further EU integration in the foreign policy and defense fields, however, is
impossible without continued British participation, given UK global interests and
military capabilities. Thus, EU initiatives in these areas are unlikely to go forward
in any significant way without British commitment and leadership. While the Blair
government has been instrumental in recent EU efforts to develop a common foreign
policy and defense arm, a future, more euroskeptic Conservative-led government
might seek to slow these EU projects.
Others are skeptical about the EU’s ability to play a bigger role on the world
stage. Those of this view maintain that the EU is far from speaking with one voice
on contentious foreign policy issues. If the EU does not move toward further
political integration and remains a looser association of member states whose foreign
policies continue to be determined primarily at the national level, little may change
in the current state of the U.S.-UK-EU relationship, even if the UK moved closer to
the EU by joining the euro. This may be the most realistic scenario, in light of the
UK’s own ambivalence toward deeper EU political integration; many experts
contend that no British government would ever relinquish UK sovereignty in the
foreign policy or defense fields to the EU.
The future shape and identity of the EU, however, does not rest solely in British
hands. It will also depend upon the views and ambitions of other EU members,
particularly France and Germany, and the political parties in power. As noted earlier,
many point out that the new leaders of France and Germany are viewed as more
economically-liberal, reform-minded, and Atlanticist than their predecessors.
Consequently, Brown or future UK leaders may find themselves sharing more
common ground with their French and German counterparts, thereby enabling the
UK to promote its vision of a politically strong, economically vibrant EU working
in partnership with the United States. An EU shaped more fully to the UK liking,
and to that of the United States, may ease U.S.-EU tensions and the pressure on the
UK to serve as bridge or peacemaker between the two. However, improved relations
among London, Paris, and Berlin might also in the longer term lead the UK to turn
more frequently to its other EU partners first — rather than Washington — on
foreign policy concerns. As a result, Washington might not hold quite the same
influence over London as it has in the past.
At the same time, regardless of whether the EU evolves into a more coherent
actor on the world stage or whether the UK draws closer to Europe in the years
ahead, the U.S.-UK relationship will likely remain an important factor in the conduct
of British foreign policy. In general, the “special relationship” helps to boost
Britain’s international standing and often gives the UK greater clout in the EU and
other multilateral organizations. British officials will persist in efforts to shape
decision-making in Washington. However, the extent of U.S. influence on British
foreign policymaking in the future may depend in part on British perceptions of the
value that Washington places on the UK as an ally. Although British support for
U.S. policies should not be automatically assumed, many UK policymakers and
experts believe that it is not in British interests to choose between the United States
and Europe, and thus, the UK will continue to try to avoid such a choice for the
foreseeable future.