Order Code RL33498
CRS Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web
Pakistan-U.S. Relations
Updated July 27, 2006
K. Alan Kronstadt
Analyst in Asian Affairs
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress
Pakistan-U.S. Relations
Summary
A stable, democratic, economically thriving Pakistan is considered vital to U.S.
interests. U.S. concerns regarding Pakistan include regional terrorism; Pakistan-
Afghanistan relations; weapons proliferation; the ongoing Kashmir problem and
Pakistan-India tensions; human rights protection; and economic development. A
U.S.-Pakistan relationship marked by periods of both cooperation and discord was
transformed by the September 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States and the
ensuing enlistment of Pakistan as a key ally in U.S.-led counterterrorism efforts. Top
U.S. officials regularly praise Islamabad for its ongoing cooperation, although doubts
exist about Islamabad’s commitment to some core U.S. interests. Pakistan is
identified as a base for terrorist groups and their supporters operating in Kashmir,
India, and Afghanistan. Since late 2003, Pakistan’s army has been conducting
unprecedented counterterrorism operations in the country’s western tribal areas.
Separatist violence in India’s Muslim-majority Jammu and Kashmir state has
continued unabated since 1989, with some notable relative decline in recent years.
India has blamed Pakistan for the infiltration of Islamic militants into Indian
Kashmir, a charge Islamabad denies. The United States reportedly has received
pledges from Islamabad that all “cross-border terrorism” would cease and that any
terrorist facilities in Pakistani-controlled areas would be closed. Similar pledges
have been made to India. The United States strongly encourages maintenance of a
cease-fire along the Kashmiri Line of Control and continued substantive dialogue
between Islamabad and New Delhi. Pakistan and India have fought three wars since
1947. A potential Pakistan-India nuclear arms race has been the focus of U.S.
nonproliferation efforts in South Asia. Attention to this issue intensified following
nuclear tests by both countries in May 1998. The tests triggered restrictions on U.S.
aid to both countries (remaining nuclear-related sanctions on Pakistan were waived
in October 2001). Recently, the United States has been troubled by evidence of
“onward” proliferation of Pakistani nuclear technology to third parties, including
North Korea, Iran, and Libya. Such evidence became stark in February 2004.
Pakistan’s macroeconomic indicators have turned positive since 2001, but
widespread poverty persists. President Bush seeks to expand U.S.-Pakistan trade and
investment relations. Democracy has fared poorly in Pakistan; the country has
endured direct military rule for more than half of its existence. In 1999, the elected
government was ousted in a coup led by Army Chief General Pervez Musharraf, who
later assumed the title of president. Supreme Court-ordered elections in 2002 seated
a new civilian government (Musharraf ally Shaukat Aziz serves as prime minister),
but it remains weak, and Musharraf has retained his position as army chief. The
United States urges restoration of democracy and expects Pakistan’s planned 2007
general elections to be free and fair. Congress has granted presidential authority to
waive coup-related aid sanctions through FY2006. Pakistan is among the world’s
leading recipients of U.S. aid, obtaining more than $3.5 billion in direct U.S.
assistance for FY2002-FY2006, including $1.5 billion in security-related aid.
Pakistan also has received billions of dollars in reimbursement for its support of
U.S.-led counterterrorism operations. This report replaces CRS Issue Brief IB94041,
Pakistan-U.S. Relations.
Contents
Most Recent Developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Setting and Regional Relations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Historical Setting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Current U.S.-India Engagement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Political Setting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Regional Relations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Pakistan-India Rivalry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Afghanistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
The China Factor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Pakistan-U.S. Relations and Key Country Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
International Terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Domestic Terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Pakistan-U.S. Security Cooperation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Nuclear Weapons and Missile Proliferation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
U.S. Nonproliferation Efforts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Pakistan-India Tensions and the Kashmir Issue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Baluchistan Unrest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Narcotics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Islamization and Anti-American Sentiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Democratization and Human Rights . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Democracy and Governance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Human Rights Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Economic Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Trade and Investment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
U.S. Aid and Congressional Action . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
U.S. Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Proliferation-Related Legislation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Coup-Related Legislation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Other Legislation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
9/11 Commission Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
List of Figures
Figure 1. Map of Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
List of Tables
Table 1. U.S. Assistance to Pakistan, FY2001-FY2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Pakistan-U.S. Relations
Most Recent Developments
! On June 28, the Pentagon formally notified Congress of a possible
Foreign Military Sale to Pakistan worth up to $5.1 billion. The deal
involves up to 36 F-16 combat aircraft, along with related
refurbishments, munitions, and equipment. Congressional concerns
about the sale and displeasure at the Bush Administration’s
apparently improper notification procedures spurred a July 20
hearing of the House International Relations Committee. Many
Members warned that U.S. military technology could be passed from
Pakistan to China. Secretary of State Rice later told Congress that
Pakistan will be required to provide written security assurances as
part of the F-16 deal and that no equipment will be transferred until
anti-diversion protections are in place. H.J.Res. 93, disapproving
the proposed sale, was introduced in the House. (See also CRS
Report RS22148, Combat Aircraft Sales to South Asia: Potential
Implications.)
! The Islamabad government strongly condemned the July 11 serial
bombings in Bombay, India, which killed nearly 200 people, calling
them “a despicable act of terrorism.” However, wary Indian officials
renewed their complaints about the continued existence of a
“terrorist infrastructure” on Pakistan-controlled territory, and some
indications arose that the culprits might have been members of the
Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba terrorist group, along with the
indigenous Students Islamic Movement of India. On July 16, New
Delhi announced a delay of planned peace talks with Islamabad,
saying “the environment is not conducive.” President Musharraf
later called the postponement decision “a victory for the terrorists.”
Many analysts are now doubting the future viability of an already
sluggish Pakistan-India peace process.
! Heavy fighting in Afghanistan saw U.S. military commanders renew
complaints that Taliban forces there are being directed by
commanders across the border in Pakistan. Pro-Taliban tribals and
their Al Qaeda-linked allies appear to have consolidated control of
significant areas near the Afghan border. On June 25, Islamic
militants in North Waziristan called a unilateral 30-day cease-fire to
allow for a “jirga,” or tribal council, seeking resolution with
government forces (the next day, a suicide car bomber killed six
Pakistani soldiers and injured at least ten others at an army
checkpoint in North Waziristan). Subsequent jirgas have been held
CRS-2
with government authorities present and Islamabad has released
hundreds of detained militants in a show of goodwill. On July 22,
militants extended the cease-fire for another 30 days to allow for
continued dialogue. In a three-day July sweep, police in Baluchistan
arrested more than 200 Afghans suspected of being Taliban
militants.
! A July 24 report claimed that Pakistan is in the midst of constructing
a major heavy water nuclear reactor. Upon completion, the 1,000-
megawatt reactor might boost Pakistan’s weapons-grade plutonium
production capabilities to more than 200 kilograms per year, or
enough for up to 50 nuclear weapons. The Bush Administration
responded by claiming it has been aware of Pakistani plans and
discourages the use of the facility for military purposes. Some in
Congress, who were not briefed about the new Pakistani reactor, are
concerned by the possibilities of a regional competition in fissile
material production, perhaps including China.
! On July 21, about 200 Baloch militants, including 6 commanders,
surrendered to Baluchistan government authorities, who granted
amnesty in return for the rebels’ expressions of regret and vows to
obey the law.
! Following a July 14 suicide bombing in Karachi that killed a
prominent Shiite cleric, President Musharraf renewed his pledge to
crack down on religious extremists. Hundreds of Sunni clerics and
activists were subsequently arrested for inciting violence against
Shiites through sermons and printed materials, and authorities shut
down 156 radio stations for operating illegally and for “fanning
sectarian hatred and anti-state feelings” in western tribal areas.
! On July 10, in S.Rept. 109-277, the Senate Appropriations
Committee called for redirecting some of the Administration’s
requested FY2007 U.S. economic aid to Pakistan toward
development and democracy promotion programs. The committee
recognized Pakistan as “a key and essential ally in the war on
terrorism” while expressing grave concern with “violations of
human rights in that country.”
See also CRS Report RS21584, Pakistan: Chronology of Recent Events.
Setting and Regional Relations
Historical Setting
The long and checkered Pakistan-U.S. relationship has its roots in the Cold War
and South Asia regional politics of the 1950s. U.S. concerns about Soviet
expansionism and Pakistan’s desire for security assistance against a perceived threat
CRS-3
from India prompted the two
countries to negotiate a mutual
PAKISTAN IN BRIEF
Population: 166 million; growth rate: 2.1%
defense assistance agreement in
(2006 est.)
1954. By 1955, Pakistan had
Area: 803,940 sq. km. (slightly less than twice
further aligned itself with the West
the size of California)
by joining two regional defense
Capital: Islamabad
pacts, the South East Asia Treaty
Ethnic Groups: Punjabi, Sindhi, Pashtun,
Baloch, Muhajir (immigrants from India at
Organization and the Central Treaty
the time of partition and their descendants)
Organization (or “Baghdad Pact”).
Languages: Punjabi 58%, Sindhi 12%, Pashtu
As a result of these alliances,
8%, Urdu 8%; English widely used
Islamabad received nearly $2 billion
Religions: Muslim 96% (Sunni 81%, Shia
in U.S. assistance from 1953 to
15%), Christian, Hindu, and other 4%
Life Expectancy at Birth: female 64.4 years;
1961, one-quarter of this in military
male 62.4 years (2006 est.)
aid, thus making Pakistan one of
Literacy: female 35%; male 62% (2004 est.)
America’s most important security
Gross Domestic Product (at PPP): $377
assistance partners of the period.
billion; per capita: $2,410; growth rate
Differing expectations of the
7.8% (2005 est.)
Inflation: 8.9% (2005 est.)
security relationship have long
Military Expenditures: $4.26 billion (3.9% of
bedeviled bilateral ties, however.
GDP; 2005 est.)
During and immediately after the
U.S. Trade: exports to U.S. $3.25 billion;
Indo-Pakistani wars of 1965 and
imports from U.S. $1.25 billion (2005)
Sources: CIA World Factbook; U.S.
1971, the United States suspended
Departments of Commerce and State;
military assistance to both sides,
Government of Pakistan; Economist
resulting in a cooling of the
Intelligence Unit; Global Insight
Pakistan-U.S. relationship and a
perception among many in Pakistan
that the United States was not a
reliable ally. In the mid-1970s, new strains arose over Pakistan’s efforts to respond
to India’s 1974 underground nuclear test by seeking its own nuclear weapons
capability. U.S. aid was suspended by President Carter in 1979 in response to
Pakistan’s covert construction of a uranium enrichment facility. However, following
the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan later that year, Pakistan again was viewed as a
frontline ally in the effort to block Soviet expansionism. In 1981, the Reagan
Administration offered Islamabad a five-year, $3.2 billion aid package. Pakistan
became a key transit country for arms supplies to the Afghan resistance, as well as
home for some three million Afghan refugees, most of whom have yet to return.
Despite this renewal of U.S. aid and close security ties, many in Congress
remained troubled by Pakistan’s nuclear weapons program. In 1985, Section 620E(e)
(the Pressler amendment) was added to the Foreign Assistance Act, requiring the
President to certify to Congress that Pakistan does not possess a nuclear explosive
device during the fiscal year for which aid is to be provided. With the Soviet
withdrawal from Afghanistan, Pakistan’s nuclear activities again came under
intensive U.S. scrutiny and, in 1990, President Bush again suspended aid to Pakistan.
Under the provisions of the Pressler amendment, most bilateral economic and all
military aid ended, and deliveries of major military equipment ceased. In 1992,
Congress partially relaxed the scope of the aid cutoff to allow for food assistance and
continuing support for nongovernmental organizations. Among the notable results
of the aid cutoff was the nondelivery of F-16 fighter aircraft purchased by Pakistan
CRS-4
in 1989. Nine years later, the United States agreed to compensate Pakistan with $325
million in cash payment and $140 million in goods, including surplus wheat.
During the 1990s, with U.S. attention shifted away from the region, Islamabad
further consolidated its nuclear weapons capability, fanned the flames of a growing
separatist insurgency in neighboring India-controlled Kashmir, and nurtured the
Taliban movement in Afghanistan, where the radical Islamist group took control of
Kabul in 1996. After more than a decade of alienation, U.S. relations with Pakistan
were once again transformed in dramatic fashion, this time by the September 2001
terrorist attacks on the United States and the ensuing enlistment of Pakistan as a
pivotal ally in U.S.-led counterterrorism efforts. A Congressional Pakistan Caucus
was formed in July 2004 and has been joined by 71 House Members.
Current U.S.-India Engagement
U.S. engagement with Pakistan continues to be deep and multifaceted.
President Bush traveled to Pakistan in March 2006 for the first such presidential visit
in six years, and numerous high-level governmental meetings have ensued. On
March 4, President Bush and President Musharraf issued a Joint Statement on the
U.S.-Pakistan “strategic partnership” that calls for a “strategic dialogue” and
“significant expansion” of bilateral economic ties, including mutual trade and
investment, as well as initiatives in the areas of energy, peace and security, social
sector development, science and technology, democracy, and nonproliferation.1
Pakistan-specific language has appeared in several congressional bills and reports,
including the emergency supplemental appropriations bill that became P.L. 109-234
on June 15, 2006.
In April 2006, Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns and Foreign Secretary
Riaz Khan formally launched the strategic dialogue, with counterterrorism
cooperation and increased trade as leading topics. In early May, Under Secretary of
Defense Eric Edelman hosted a Pakistani delegation in Washington for a meeting of
the U.S.-Pakistan Defense Consultative Group, the first since February 2005. The
Commander of the U.S. Central Command, General John Abizaid, and State
Department Counterterrorism Coordinator Henry Crumpton paid separate May visits
to Islamabad for meetings with top Pakistani officials (later, while in Kabul,
Crumpton said Pakistan has not done enough to combat terrorists near the Pakistan-
Afghanistan border, a claim a Pakistan Army spokesman called “totally absurd”).
Later in May, Under Secretary of State for Economic, Business, and Agricultural
Affairs Josette Shiner completed a visit to Islamabad, where she sought to advance
the U.S.-Pakistan Economic dialogue.
In early June 2006, the 17th meeting of the U.S.-Pakistan-Afghanistan Tripartite
Commission in Rawalpindi included discussions on intelligence sharing and border
security. Later in the month, a meeting of the U.S.-Pakistan Energy Dialogue was
held in Washington. On June 27, Secretary of State Rice visited Islamabad, where
she reiterated U.S. commitment to Pakistan, urged Pakistan and Afghanistan to
cooperate more closely in efforts to battle Islamic militants, and discussed with
1 See [http://usembassy.state.gov/pakistan/h06030404.html].
CRS-5
President Musharraf the importance of Pakistan holding free and fair elections in
2007. Foreign Minister Kasuri then met with Secretary Rice in Washington in July
for further discussions on bilateral relations. Later in July, a four-day meeting of the
U.S.-Pakistan Joint Committee on Science and Technology was held in Washington.
Political Setting
The history of democracy in Pakistan is a troubled one, marked by tripartite
power struggles among presidents, prime ministers, and army chiefs. Military
regimes have ruled Pakistan for more than half of its 58 years of existence,
interspersed with periods of generally weak civilian governance. From 1988 to 1999,
Islamabad had democratically elected governments, and the army appeared to have
moved from its traditional role of “kingmaker” to one of power broker. Benazir
Bhutto (leader of the Pakistan People’s Party) and Nawaz Sharif (leader of the
Pakistan Muslim League) each served twice as prime minister during this period.
The Bhutto government was dismissed on charges of corruption and nepotism in
1996 and Nawaz Sharif won a landslide victory in ensuing elections, which were
judged generally free and fair by international observers. Sharif moved quickly to
bolster his powers by curtailing those of the president and judiciary, and he emerged
as one of Pakistan’s strongest-ever elected leaders. Critics accused him of
intimidating the opposition and the press.
In October 1999, in immediate response to Sharif’s attempt to remove him,
Army Chief General Pervez Musharraf overthrew the government, dismissed the
National Assembly, and appointed himself “chief executive.” In the wake of the
military overthrow of the elected government, Islamabad faced considerable
international opprobrium and was subjected to automatic coup-related U.S. sanctions
under section 508 of the annual foreign assistance appropriations act (Pakistan was
already under nuclear-related U.S. sanctions). In April 2002, after a controversial
referendum, Musharraf assumed the title of president. National elections were held
in October of that year, as ordered by the Supreme Court. A new civilian government
was seated — Musharraf ally Shaukat Aziz became prime minister in August 2005
— but it remains weak. In apparent contravention of democratic norms, Musharraf
continues to hold the dual offices of president and army chief. While many figures
across the spectrum of Pakistani society welcomed Musharraf — or at least were
willing to give him the benefit of the doubt — as a potential reformer who would
curtail both corruption and the influence of religious extremists, his domestic
popularity has suffered following indications that expanding his own power and that
of the military would be his central goal.
Pakistan’s next national elections are slated for late 2007. President Bush has
said that electoral process will be “an important test of Pakistan’s commitment to
democratic reform” and, during a March 2006 visit to Islamabad, said Musharraf
understands the elections “need to be open and honest.” Secretary of State Rice
repeated the admonition during her June 2006 visit to Islamabad. In that same
month, the House Appropriations Committee (H.Rept. 109-486) expressed concern
about the Pakistani government’s “lack of progress on improving democratic
governance and rule of law.” (See “Democracy and Governance” section below. See
also CRS Report RL32615, Pakistan’s Domestic Political Developments.)
CRS-6
Regional Relations
Pakistan-India Rivalry. Three full-scale wars — in 1947-1948, 1965, and
1971 — and a constant state of military preparedness on both sides of their mutual
border have marked six decades of bitter rivalry between Pakistan and India. The
acrimonious partition of British India into two successor states in 1947 and the
unresolved issue of Kashmiri sovereignty have been major sources of tension. Both
countries have built large defense establishments at significant cost to economic and
social development. The Kashmir problem is rooted in claims by both countries to
the former princely state, divided since 1948 by a military Line of Control (LOC) into
the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir and Pakistan-held Azad [Free] Kashmir.
India blames Pakistan for supporting a violent separatist rebellion in the
Muslim-dominated Kashmir Valley that has taken perhaps 66,000 lives since 1989.
Pakistan admits only to lending moral and political support to the rebels, and it
criticizes India for alleged human rights abuses in Kashmir.
India held Pakistan responsible for late 2001 terrorist attacks in Kashmir and on
the Indian Parliament complex in New Delhi. The Indian response, a massive
military mobilization, was mirrored by Pakistan and within months some one million
heavily-armed soldiers were deployed at the international frontier. During an
extremely tense 2002 another full-scale war seemed a very real possibility and may
have been averted only through international diplomatic efforts, including multiple
visits to the region by top U.S. officials. An April 2003 peace initiative brought
major improvement in the bilateral relationship, allowing for an October cease-fire
agreement initiated by Pakistan. The process led to a January 2004 summit meeting
in Islamabad and a joint agreement to re-engage a “Composite Dialogue” to bring
about “peaceful settlement of all bilateral issues, including Jammu and Kashmir, to
the satisfaction of both sides.” During 2004, numerous mid-level meetings,
normalized diplomatic relations, and increased people-to-people contacts brought
modest, but still meaningful progress toward normalized relations. Regular dialogue
continued in 2005 and a third round of Composite Dialogue talks was held in 2006.
Numerous confidence-building measures have been put in place, most notably travel
and commerce across the Kashmiri LOC for the first time in decades, and bilateral
trade has increased. Yet militarized territorial disputes over Kashmir, the Siachen
Glacier, and the Sir Creek remain unresolved, and Pakistani officials regularly
express unhappiness that more substantive progress, especially on the “core issue”
of Kashmir, is not occurring. Following July 11, 2006, terrorist bombings in
Bombay, India, New Delhi postponed planned foreign secretary-level talks, bringing
into question the continued viability of the already slow-moving process.
Afghanistan. Pakistani leaders have long sought “strategic depth” with regard
to India though friendly relations with neighboring Afghanistan. Such policy
contributed to President General Zia ul-Haq’s support for Afghan mujahideen
“freedom fighters” who were battling Soviet invaders during the 1980s and to
Islamabad’s later support for the Afghan Taliban regime from 1996 to 2001. British
colonialists had purposely divided the ethnic Pashtun tribes inhabiting the
mountainous northwestern reaches of their South Asian empire with the 1893
“Durand Line.” This porous, 1,600-mile border is not accepted by Afghan leaders,
who have at times fanned Pashtun nationalism to the dismay of Pakistanis. After
Islamabad’s major September 2001 policy shift, President Musharraf consistently has
CRS-7
vowed full Pakistani support for the government of Afghan President Karzai,
although the two leaders have exchanged public accusations and recriminations about
the ongoing movement of Islamic militants in the border region. Moreover, Pakistan
is wary of signs that India is pursuing a policy of “strategic encirclement,” taking
note of New Delhi’s past support for Afghan Tajik and Uzbek militias and the post-
2001 opening of numerous Indian consulates in Afghanistan. Both Pakistan and
Afghanistan play central roles as U.S. allies in global efforts to combat Islamic
militancy. Acrimony between Islamabad and Kabul is thus deleterious to U.S.
interests.
The China Factor. Pakistan and China have enjoyed a generally close and
mutually beneficial relationship over several decades. Pakistan served as a link
between Beijing and Washington in 1971, as well as a bridge to the Muslim world
for China during the 1980s. China’s continuing role as a major arms supplier for
Pakistan began in the 1960s and included helping to build a number of arms factories
in Pakistan, as well as supplying complete weapons systems. After the 1990
imposition of U.S. sanctions on Pakistan, the Islamabad-Beijing arms relationship
was further strengthened (see CRS Report RL31555, China and Proliferation of
Weapons of Mass Destruction and Missiles). Indian officials have called the
Islamabad-Beijing nuclear and missile “proliferation nexus” a cause of serious
concern in New Delhi, and U.S. officials continue to have concerns about this
potentially destabilizing dynamic.
In April 2005, the Chinese prime minister visited Islamabad, where Pakistan and
China signed 22 accords meant to boost bilateral cooperation. President Musharraf’s
five-day visit to Beijing in February 2006 saw bilateral discussions on
counterterrorism, trade, and technical assistance. Islamabad may seek future civil
nuclear assistance from Beijing, especially in light of Washington’s categorical
refusal of Pakistan’s request for a civil nuclear cooperation similar to that being
initiated between the United States and India. The Chinese government has assisted
Pakistan in constructing a major new port at Gwadar, near the border with Iran;
Islamabad and Beijing aspire to make this port a major commercial outlet for Central
Asian states. Some analysts are concerned that the port may be used for military
purposes and could bolster China’s naval presence in the Indian Ocean region.
Pakistan continues to view China as an “all-weather friend” and perhaps its most
important strategic ally.
Pakistan-U.S. Relations and Key Country Issues
U.S. policy interests in Pakistan encompass a wide range of issues, including
counterterrorism, nuclear weapons and missile proliferation, South Asian and Afghan
stability, democratization and human rights, trade and economic reform, and efforts
to counter narcotics trafficking. Relations have been affected by several key
developments, including proliferation- and democracy-related sanctions; a continuing
Pakistan-India nuclear standoff and conflict over Kashmir; and the September 2001
terrorist attacks against the United States. In the wake of those attacks, President
Musharraf — under strong U.S. diplomatic pressure — offered President Bush
Pakistan’s “unstinted cooperation in the fight against terrorism.” Pakistan became
CRS-8
a vital ally in the U.S.-led anti-terrorism coalition. U.S. sanctions relating to
Pakistan’s 1998 nuclear tests and 1999 military coup quickly were waived and, in
October 2001, large tranches of U.S. aid began flowing into Pakistan. Direct
assistance programs include training and equipment for Pakistani security forces,
along with aid for health, education, food, democracy promotion, human rights
improvement, counternarcotics, border security and law enforcement, as well as trade
preference benefits. The United States also supports grant, loan, and debt
rescheduling programs for Pakistan by the various major international financial
institutions. In June 2004, President Bush designated Pakistan as a major non-NATO
ally of the United States under Section 517 of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961.
Revelations that Pakistan has been a source of nuclear proliferation to North Korea,
Iran, and Libya may complicate future Pakistan-U.S. relations.
Security
International Terrorism. After the September 2001 terrorist attacks on the
United States, Pakistan pledged and has provided major support for the U.S.-led anti-
terrorism coalition. According to the U.S. Departments of State and Defense,
Pakistan has afforded the United States unprecedented levels of cooperation by
allowing the U.S. military to use bases within the country, helping to identify and
detain extremists, and tightening the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan. Top
U.S. officials regularly praise Pakistani anti-terrorism efforts. In a landmark January
2002 speech, President Musharraf vowed to end Pakistan’s use as a base for terrorism
of any kind, and he banned numerous militant groups, including Lashkar-e-Taiba and
Jaish-e-Muhammad, both blamed for terrorist violence in Kashmir and India and
designated as terrorist organizations under U.S. law. In the wake of the speech,
thousands of Muslim extremists were detained, though most of these were later
released. In the spring of 2002, U.S. military and law enforcement personnel began
engaging in direct, low-profile efforts to assist Pakistani security forces in tracking
and apprehending fugitive Al Qaeda and Taliban fighters on Pakistani territory.
Pakistani authorities have remanded to U.S. custody approximately 500 such
fugitives to date.
Important Al Qaeda-related arrests in Pakistan have included Abu Zubaydah
(March 2002), Ramzi bin al-Shibh (September 2002), Khalid Sheik Mohammed
(March 2003), several key captures in the summer of 2004, and Abu Faraj al-Libbi
(May 2005). Other allegedly senior Al Qaeda figures were killed in gunbattles and
missile attacks, including several apparent U.S.-directed attacks on Pakistani territory
from aerial drones. Yet Al Qaeda and Taliban fugitives remain active in Pakistan and
appear to have regrouped in the mountainous tribal regions along the Afghan border.
Al Qaeda founder Osama bin Laden and his lieutenant, Egyptian Islamic radical
Ayman al-Zawahiri, are widely believed to be in Pakistan. Meanwhile, numerous
banned indigenous groups continue to operate under new names: Lashkar-e-Taiba
became Jamaat al-Dawat; Jaish-e-Mohammed was re-dubbed Khudam-ul Islam (the
former was banned under U.S. law in April 2006). President Musharraf repeatedly
has vowed to end the activities of religious extremists in Pakistan and to permanently
prevent banned groups from resurfacing there. His policies likely spurred two lethal
but failed attempts to assassinate him in December 2003. Nonetheless, some analysts
call Musharraf’s efforts cosmetic, ineffective, and the result of international pressure
rather than a genuine recognition of the threat posed. In a February 2006 review of
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global threats, U.S. Director of Intelligence Negroponte told a Senate panel that
Pakistan “remains a major source of extremism that poses a threat to Musharraf, to
the United States, and to neighboring India and Afghanistan,” a sentiment later
echoed by the State Department’s Country Reports on Terrorism 2005. (See also
CRS Report RL32259, Terrorism in South Asia.)
Infiltration into Afghanistan. U.S. military commanders overseeing
Operation Enduring Freedom have since 2003 complained that renegade Al Qaeda
and Taliban fighters remain able to attack coalition troops in Afghanistan, then
escape across the Pakistani frontier. They have expressed dismay at the slow pace
of progress in capturing wanted fugitives in Pakistan and urge Islamabad to do more
to secure its rugged western border area. U.S. government officials have voiced
similar worries, even expressing concern that elements of Pakistan’s intelligence
agency might be assisting members of the Taliban. In June 2006, State Department
Counterterrorism Coordinator Crumpton told a Senate panel that elements of
Pakistan’s “local, tribal governments” are believed to be in collusion with the Taliban
and Al Qaeda, but that the United States has no “compelling evidence” that
Pakistan’s major intelligence agency is assisting militants.
Tensions between the Kabul and Islamabad governments — which stretch back
many decades — have at times reached alarming levels in recent years, with some top
Afghan officials accusing Pakistan of manipulating Islamic militancy in the region
to destabilize Afghanistan. During the autumn of 2003, in an unprecedented show
of force, President Musharraf moved 25,000 Pakistani troops into the traditionally
autonomous tribal areas near the Afghan frontier. The first half of 2004 saw an
escalation of Pakistani Army operations, many in coordination with U.S. and Afghan
forces just across the international frontier (U.S. forces have no official authorization
to cross the border into Pakistan). Combat between Pakistani troops and militants
in the two Waziristan agencies has killed more than 1,000 Islamic militants (many
of them foreigners), Pakistani soldiers, and civilians. The battles, which continue
sporadically to date and again became fierce in the spring of 2006, exacerbate volatile
anti-Musharraf and anti-American sentiments held by many Pakistani Pashtuns.
Kabul’s October 2004 elections were held without major disturbances,
apparently in part due to Musharraf’s commitment to reducing infiltrations. Yet
concerns sharpened in the spring of 2005, with U.S. military officials in Afghanistan
again indicating that insurgents opposed to the Kabul government were making hit-
and-run attacks before returning to Pakistan. By mid-2005, Afghan leaders were
accusing Islamabad of actively supporting insurgents and providing their leadership
with safe haven. Islamabad adamantly denied the charges and sought to reassure
Kabul by dispatching additional troops to border areas, bringing the total to 80,000.
Still, with 90 fatalities, 2005 was the deadliest year ever for U.S. troops in
Afghanistan and, by year’s end, there were indications that Islamabad’s efforts to
control the tribal areas were meeting with little success.
President Musharraf’s “carrot and stick” approach of offering amnesty to those
militant tribals who “surrender,” and using force against those who resist, clearly has
not rid the region of indigenous Islamic militants or Al Qaeda operatives, even as
Islamabad’s ability to collect actionable intelligence there may be increasing. Late
2005 and early 2006 missile attacks on suspected Al Qaeda targets — apparently
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launched by U.S. aerial drones flying over Pakistani territory — hinted at more
aggressive U.S. tactics that could entail use of U.S. military assets in areas where the
Pakistanis are either unable or unwilling to strike. Yet the attacks, in particular a
January 13, 2006, strike on Damadola in the Bajaur tribal agency that apparently
killed numerous women and children along with several Al Qaeda suspects, spurred
widespread Pakistani resentment at the perception that the country’s sovereignty is
under threat. No further such attacks are known to have taken place since.
Infiltration into Kashmir. Islamabad has been under continuous U.S. and
international pressure to terminate the infiltration of insurgents across the Kashmiri
Line of Control (LOC). Such pressure reportedly elicited a January 2002 promise
from President Musharraf to then-U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Armitage that all
such movements would cease. During a June 2002 visit to Islamabad, Deputy
Secretary Armitage reportedly received another pledge from the Pakistani president,
this time an assurance that any existing terrorist camps in Pakistani Kashmir would
be closed. Musharraf has pledged to India that he will not permit any territory under
Pakistan’s control to be used to support terrorism, and he insists that his government
is doing everything possible to stop infiltration and shut down militant base camps
in Pakistani-controlled territory. Critics contend, however, that Islamabad continues
to actively support separatist insurgents as a means both to maintain strategically the
domestic backing of Islamists who view the Kashmir issue as fundamental to the
Pakistani national idea, and to disrupt tactically the state government in Indian
Kashmir in seeking to erode New Delhi’s legitimacy there. Positive indications
growing from the latest Pakistan-India peace initiative include a cease-fire at the
LOC that has held since November 2003 and statements from Indian officials
indicating that rates of militant infiltration were down significantly. However, in
2005 and early 2006, Indian leaders renewed their complaints that Islamabad has
taken insufficient action to eradicate the remaining “infrastructure of terrorism” on
Pakistani-controlled territory. With suspicions that the July 2006 Bombay bombings
might have been linked to Pakistan-based terrorist groups, Indian leaders reiterated
their demands that Pakistan uphold its promises to curtail the operations of Islamic
militants and violent Kashmiri separatists originating on Pakistani-controlled
territory.
Domestic Terrorism. Pakistan is known to be a base for numerous
indigenous terrorist organizations, and the country continues to suffer from terrorism
at home, especially that targeting the country’s Shia minority. Until a March 2006
car bombing at the U.S. consulate in Karachi that left one American diplomat dead,
recent attacks on Western targets had been rare, but 2002 saw several acts of lethal
anti-Western terrorism, including the kidnaping and murder of reporter Daniel Pearl,
a grenade attack on a Protestant church that killed a U.S. Embassy employee, and two
car bomb attacks, including one on the same U.S. consulate, which killed a total of
29 people. These attacks, widely viewed as expressions of militants’ anger with the
Musharraf regime for its cooperation with the United States, were linked to Al
Qaeda, as well as to indigenous militant groups. From 2003 to the present,
Pakistan’s worst domestic terrorism has been directed against the country’s Shia
minority and included suicide bomb attacks that killed a total of some 60 people in
May 2005 and February 2006 (moreover, some 57 Sunnis were killed in an April
2006 suicide bombing in Karachi). Indications are that the indigenous Lashkar-e-
Jhangvi (LJ) Sunni terrorist group is responsible for the most deadly anti-Shia
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violence. Two attempts to kill Musharraf in December 2003 and failed efforts to
assassinate other top Pakistani officials in mid-2004 were linked to the LJ and other
Al Qaeda-allied groups, and illuminated the grave and continuing danger presented
by religious extremists. Following a July 2006 suicide bombing in Karachi that
killed a prominent Shiite cleric, Musharraf renewed his pledge to crack down on
religious extremists; hundreds of Sunni clerics and activists were subsequently
arrested for inciting violence against Shiites through sermons and printed materials.
Pakistan-U.S. Security Cooperation. In June 2004, President Bush
designated Pakistan as a major non-NATO ally of the United States. The close U.S.-
Pakistan security ties of the cold war era — which came to a near halt after the 1990
aid cutoff — have been in the process of restoration as a result of Pakistan’s role in
U.S.-led anti-terrorism campaign. In 2002, the United States began allowing
commercial sales that enabled Pakistan to refurbish at least part of its fleet of
American-made F-16 fighter aircraft. In March 2005, the United States announced
that it would resume sales of F-16 fighters to Pakistan after a 16-year hiatus. Major
government-to-government arms sales and grants in recent years have included 6 C-
130 military transport aircraft; 6 Aerostat and 6 AN/TPS-77 surveillance radars; air
traffic control systems; military radio systems; and 60 Harpoon anti-ship missiles (in
May 2006, Congress was notified of the possible sale of another 130 Harpoons).
Sales underway include 6 Phalanx guns (with upgrades on another 6) and 2,014
TOW anti-armor missiles. In 2004, 8 excess P-3C Orion maritime patrol aircraft
were granted to Pakistan and plans for their major refurbishment and service could
be worth nearly $1 billion in coming years. Other pending sales include 300
Sidewinder air-to-air missiles and 115 self-propelled howitzers. Major Excess
Defense Article grants have included 40 AH-1F Cobra attack helicopters in 2004 and
2 F-16A fighters in 2005. The Pentagon reports Foreign Military Sales agreements
with Pakistan worth $344 million in FY2003-FY2004, growing to $492 million in
FY2005 alone.
In late June 2006, the Pentagon notified Congress of a possible Foreign Military
Sale to Pakistan worth up to $5.1 billion. The deal involves up to 36 F-16 combat
aircraft, along with related refurbishments, munitions, and equipment, and would
represent the largest-ever weapons sale to Pakistan. Congressional concerns about
the sale and displeasure at the Bush Administration’s apparently improper
notification procedures spurred a July 20 hearing of the House International Relations
Committee. During that hearing, many Members worried that F-16s were better
suited to fighting India than to combating terrorists; some warned that U.S. military
technology could be passed from Pakistan to China. The State Department’s lead
official on political-military relations sought to assure the committee that the sale
would serve U.S. interests by strengthening the defense capabilities of a key ally
without disturbing the regional balance of power and that all possible measures
would be taken to prevent the onward transfer of U.S. technologies. H.J.Res. 93,
disapproving the proposed sale, was introduced in the House. (See also CRS Report
RS22148, Combat Aircraft Sales to South Asia: Potential Implications.)
The United States has undertaken to train and equip new Pakistan Army Air
Assault units that can move quickly to find and target terrorist elements. There has
also been a direct U.S. role in training the security detail of the Pakistani president,
help to fund a 650-officer Diplomatic Security Unit, and assistance with numerous
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programs designed to improve the quality of Pakistan’s internal police forces through
the provision of equipment and training. A revived high-level U.S.-Pakistan Defense
Consultative Group (DCG) — moribund since 1997 — sits for high-level discussions
on military cooperation, security assistance, and anti-terrorism; its most recent
session came in May 2006. In addition, a U.S.-Pakistan-Afghanistan Tripartite
Commission meets regularly to discuss cooperation on issues related to Afghan
stability. The 17th session was held in Rawalpindi in June 2006. (See also CRS
Report RL32259, Terrorism in South Asia.)
Nuclear Weapons and Missile Proliferation. Many policy analysts
consider an apparent arms race between India and Pakistan to be among the most
likely potential causes of the future use of nuclear weapons by states. In May 1998,
India conducted unannounced nuclear tests, breaking a 24-year, self-imposed
moratorium on such testing. Despite U.S. and world efforts to dissuade it, Pakistan
quickly followed. The tests created a global storm of criticism and represented a
serious setback to two decades of U.S. nuclear nonproliferation efforts in South Asia.
Pakistan currently is believed to have enough fissile material, mainly enriched
uranium, for 55-90 nuclear weapons; India, with a program focused on plutonium,
may be capable of building a similar number. Both countries have aircraft capable
of delivering nuclear bombs (U.S.-supplied F-16s are combat aircraft in Pakistan’s
air force that reportedly have been refitted to carry nuclear bombs). Pakistan’s
military has inducted short- and medium-range ballistic missiles (allegedly acquired
from China and North Korea), while India possesses short- and intermediate-range
missiles. All are assumed to be capable of delivering nuclear warheads over
significant distances. In 2000, Pakistan placed its nuclear forces under the control
of a National Command Authority led by the president.
Press reports in late 2002 suggested that Pakistan assisted Pyongyang’s covert
nuclear weapons program by providing North Korea with uranium enrichment
materials and technologies beginning in the mid-1990s and as recently as July 2002.
Islamabad rejected such reports as “baseless,” and Secretary of State Powell was
assured that no such transfers were occurring. If such assistance is confirmed by
President Bush, all non-humanitarian U.S. aid to Pakistan may be suspended,
although the President has the authority to waive any sanctions that he determines
would jeopardize U.S. national security. In early 2003, the Administration
determined that the relevant facts “do not warrant imposition of sanctions under
applicable U.S. laws.” Press reports during 2003 suggested that both Iran and Libya
benefitted from Pakistani nuclear assistance. Islamabad denied any nuclear
cooperation with Tehran or Tripoli, although it conceded in December 2003 that
certain senior scientists were under investigation for possible independent
proliferation activities.
The investigation led to the February 2004 “public humiliation” of metallurgist
Abdul Qadeer Khan, known as the founder of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons program
and a national hero, when he confessed to involvement in an illicit nuclear smuggling
network. Khan and at least seven associates are said to have sold crucial nuclear
weapons technology and uranium-enrichment materials to North Korea, Iran, and
Libya. President Musharraf, citing Khan’s contributions to his nation, issued a
pardon that was later called conditional. The United States has been assured that the
Islamabad government had no knowledge of such activities and indicated that the
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decision to pardon is an internal Pakistani matter. While Musharraf has promised
President Bush that he will share all information learned about Khan’s proliferation
network, Pakistan refuses to allow any direct access to Khan by U.S. or international
investigators. In May 2006, the Islamabad government declared the investigation “is
closed,” but some in Congress remain skeptical, and a House panel subsequently held
a hearing to further discuss the issue. (See CRS Report RL32115, Missile
Proliferation and the Strategic Balance in South Asia; CRS Report RL32745,
Pakistan’s Nuclear Proliferation Activities and the Recommendations of the 9/11
Commission; and CRS Report RS21237, India and Pakistan Nuclear Weapons.)
Revelations in July 2006 that Pakistan is in the midst of constructing a major
heavy water nuclear reactor at the Khushab complex brought a flurry of concern from
analysts who foresee a regional competition in fissile material production, perhaps
including China. Upon completion, which could be several years away, a reactor
with 1,000-megawatt capacity might boost Pakistan’s weapons-grade plutonium
production capabilities to more than 200 kilograms per year, or enough for up to 50
nuclear weapons. While Islamabad has not commented directly on the reported
construction, government officials there insist that Pakistan will continue to update
and consolidate its nuclear program for the purpose of minimum credible deterrence.
The Bush Administration responded to the public revelations by claiming it has been
aware of Pakistani plans and discourages the use of the facility for military purposes.
Some in Congress, who were not briefed about the new Pakistani reactor, have
sought to link the development to U.S. plans for major new arms sales to Pakistan,
along with pending legislation to enable U.S. civil nuclear cooperation with India.2
U.S. Nonproliferation Efforts. In May 1998, following the South Asian
nuclear tests, President Clinton imposed full restrictions on all non-humanitarian aid
to both Pakistan and India as mandated under Section 102 of the Arms Export
Control Act. However, Congress and the President acted almost immediately to lift
certain aid restrictions and, after October 2001, all remaining nuclear-related
sanctions on Pakistan (and India) were removed. The United States continues to urge
Pakistan and India to join the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) as non-nuclear
weapon states and it provides no official recognition of their nuclear weapons
capabilities. During the latter years of the Clinton administration, the United States
set forth nonproliferation “benchmarks” for Pakistan and India, including halting
further nuclear testing and signing and ratifying the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty
(CTBT); halting fissile material production and pursuing Fissile Material Control
Treaty negotiations; refraining from deploying nuclear weapons and testing ballistic
missiles; and restricting any and all exportation of nuclear materials or technologies.
The results of U.S. efforts were mixed, at best, and neither Pakistan nor India are
signatories to the CTBT or NPT. The Bush Administration set aside the benchmark
framework. Concerns about onward proliferation, fears that Pakistan could become
destabilized by the U.S.-led counterterrorism efforts in Afghanistan, and confusion
over the issue of political succession in Islamabad have heightened U.S. attention to
weapons proliferation in the region. Section 1601 of P.L. 107-228 outlined U.S.
nonproliferation objectives for South Asia. Some Members of Congress identify
2 “U.S. Critical of Pakistan’s New Nuclear Reactor,” Associated Press, July 24, 2006; Joby
Warrick, “U.S. Says It Knew of Pakistani Reactor Plan,” Washington Post, July 25, 2006.
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“contradictions” in U.S. nonproliferation policy toward South Asia, particularly as
related to the Senate’s rejection of the CTBT.
Pakistan-India Tensions and the Kashmir Issue. Relations between
Pakistan and India remain deadlocked on the issue of Kashmiri sovereignty, and a
separatist rebellion has been underway in the region since 1989. Tensions were
extremely high in the wake of the Kargil conflict of 1999, when an incursion by
Pakistani soldiers led to a bloody six-week-long battle. Throughout 2000 and 2001,
cross-border firing and shelling caused scores of both military and civilian deaths.
A 2001 Pakistan-India summit meeting failed to produce a joint statement, reportedly
due to pressure from hardliners on both sides. Major stumbling blocks were India’s
refusal to acknowledge the “centrality of Kashmir” to future talks and Pakistan’s
objection to references to “cross-border terrorism.” Secretary of State Powell visited
South Asia in an effort to ease escalating tensions over Kashmir, but an October 2001
bombing at the Jammu and Kashmir state assembly building was followed by a
December assault on the Indian Parliament in New Delhi (both incidents were
blamed on Pakistan-based terrorist groups). The Indian government mobilized some
700,000 troops along the Pakistan-India frontier and threatened war unless Islamabad
ended all “cross-border infiltration” of Islamic militants. Under significant
international diplomatic pressure and the threat of India’s use of force, President
Musharraf in January 2002 vowed to end the presence of terrorist entities on
Pakistani soil, and he outlawed five militant groups, including those most often
named in attacks in India: Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed.
Despite the Pakistani pledge, infiltrations into Indian-held Kashmir continued,
and a May 2002 terrorist attack on an Indian army base at Kaluchak killed 34, most
of them women and children. This event again brought Pakistan and India to the
brink of full-scale war, and caused Islamabad to recall army troops from patrol
operations along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border. Intensive international diplomatic
missions to South Asia reduced tensions during the summer of 2002 and appear to
have prevented the outbreak of war. Numerous top U.S. officials were involved in
this effort and continued to strenuously urge the two countries to renew bilateral
dialogue. A “hand of friendship” offer to Pakistan by the Indian prime minister in
April 2003 led to the restoration of full diplomatic relations, but surging separatist
violence that summer contributed to an exchange of sharp rhetoric between Pakistani
and Indian leaders at the United Nations, casting doubt on the peace effort. However,
a new confidence-building initiative got Pakistan and India back on a positive track,
and a November 2003 cease-fire was initiated after a proposal by then-Pakistani
Prime Minister Jamali. President Musharraf also has suggested that Pakistan might
be willing to “set aside” its long-standing demand for a plebiscite in Kashmir, a
proposal welcomed by the United States, but called a “disastrous shift” in policy by
Pakistani opposition parties.
Although militant infiltration did not end, New Delhi acknowledged that it was
significantly decreased and, combined with other confidence-building measures,
relations were sufficiently improved that the Indian prime minister attended a January
2004 summit meeting of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation in
Islamabad. There Pakistan and India issued a joint “Islamabad Declaration” calling
for a renewed “composite dialogue” to bring about “peaceful settlement of all
bilateral issues, including Jammu and Kashmir, to the satisfaction of both sides.” A
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major confidence-building development came in April 2005, when a new bus service
was launched linking Muzaffarabad in Pakistani Kashmir and Srinagar in Indian
Kashmir, and a summit meeting produced an agreement to address the Kashmir issue
“in a forward looking manner for a final settlement.” Still, many Kashmiris reject
any settlement process that excludes them. Pakistan-based and Kashmiri militant
groups express determination to continue fighting in Kashmir despite the Pakistan-
India dialogue. Deadly attacks by separatist militants are ongoing and demonstrate
that the issue remains dangerous and unresolved.
Baluchistan Unrest. Pakistan’s vast southwestern Baluchistan province
accounts for 42% of the country’s land area, but only about 5% of its population.
The U.S. military made use of bases in the region to support its operations in
neighboring Afghanistan. Over the decades of Pakistani independence, many of the
ethnic Baloch and some of the Pashtun tribesmen who inhabit this relatively poor and
underdeveloped province have engaged in violent conflict with federal government
forces, variously seeking more equitable returns on the region’s rich natural
resources, greater autonomy under the country’s federal system, or even outright
independence and formation of a Baloch state that might include ethnic brethren and
some territories in both Afghanistan and Iran. Non-Baloch (mostly Punjabis) have
been seen to benefit disproportionately from mineral and energy extraction projects,
and indigenous Baloch have been given only a small role in the construction of a
major new port in Gwadar. Many Baloch complain of being a marginalized group
in their own homeland. Long-standing resentments led to armed conflicts in 1948,
1958, and 1973. The latter insurrection, which lasted four years, involved tens of
thousands of armed guerillas and brought much destruction to the province; it was
put down only after a major effort by the Pakistan Army, which made use of combat
helicopters provided by Iran. Some 8,000 rebels and Pakistani soldiers were killed.
Mid-2004 saw an increase in hit-and-run attacks on army outposts and in the
sabotage of oil and gas pipelines. The alleged rape of a Baloch doctor by Pakistani
soldiers in January 2005 spurred provincial anger and a major spike in such incidents
over the course of the year. In December, rockets were fired at a Baluchistan army
camp during a visit to the site by President Musharraf. A Baloch separatist group
claimed responsibility and the Pakistani military began major offensive operations
to destroy the militants’ camps. In the midst of increasingly heavy fighting in
January 2006, Musharraf openly accused India of arming and financing militants
fighting in Baluchistan. New Delhi categorically rejected the allegations. U.N. and
other international aid groups soon suspended their operations in Baluchistan due to
security concerns. Shortly after, Baloch militants shot and killed three Chinese
engineers and their Pakistani driver, causing disruption in Islamabad-Beijing
relations. Musharraf calls Baloch rebels “miscreants” and “terrorists”; the Islamabad
government officially banned the separatist Baluchistan Liberation Army as a
terrorist organization in April 2006 and at times suggests that Baloch militants are
religious extremists. Yet most rebel attacks are taken against military and
infrastructure targets, and Islam appears to play little or no role as a motive. Fighting
waned in the middle of 2006, with hundreds of rebels surrendering in return for
amnesty and the main rebel tribal leader, Nawab Akbar Bugti, in hiding and perhaps
cut off from his own forces.
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Narcotics. Pakistan is a major transit country for opiates that are grown and
processed in Afghanistan then distributed worldwide by Pakistan-based traffickers.
The State Department indicates that U.S.-Pakistan’s cooperation on drug control
“remains strong,” and the Islamabad government has made impressive strides in
eradicating indigenous opium poppy cultivation. However, opium production spiked
in post-Taliban Afghanistan, which is now said to supply up to 90% of the world’s
heroin. Elements of Pakistan’s major intelligence agency are suspected of past
involvement in drug trafficking; in March 2003, a former U.S. Ambassador to
Pakistan told a House panel that their role in the heroin trade from 1997-2003 was
“substantial.” Some reports indicate that profits from drug sales are financing the
activities of Islamic extremists in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Kashmir.
U.S. counternarcotics programs aim to reduce the flow of opiates though
Pakistan, eliminate Pakistan as a source of such opiates, and reduce the demand for
illegal drugs within Pakistan. Islamabad’s own counternarcotics efforts are hampered
by lack of full government commitment, scarcity of funds, poor infrastructure, and
likely corruption. Since 2002, the State Department’s Bureau of International
Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs has supported Pakistan’s Border Security
Project by training border forces, providing vehicles and surveillance and
communications equipment, transferring helicopters and fixed-wing aircraft to the
Interior Ministry’s Air Wing, and road-building in western tribal areas. Congress
funded such programs with more than $54 million for FY2006.
Islamization and Anti-American Sentiment
An unexpected outcome of Pakistan’s 2002 elections saw the Muttahida Majlis-
e-Amal (MMA or United Action Front), a coalition of six Islamic parties, win 68
seats in the National Assembly — about 20% of the total. It also controls the
provincial assembly in the North West Frontier Province (NWFP) and leads a
coalition in the Baluchistan assembly. These Pashtun-majority western provinces
border Afghanistan, where U.S.-led counterterrorism operations are ongoing. In June
2003, the NWFP assembly passed a Shariat (Islamic law) bill in the provincial
assembly. Two years later, the same assembly passed a Hasba (accountability) bill
that many fear could create a parallel Islamic legal body. Such developments alarm
Pakistan’s moderates and President Musharraf has decried any attempts to
“Talibanize” regions of Pakistan (Pakistan’s Supreme Court found the Hasba bill
unconstitutional). Islamists are notable for expressions of anti-American sentiment,
at times calling for “jihad” against the existential threat to Pakistani sovereignty they
believe alliance with Washington entails. Most analysts contend that two December
2003 attempts to assassinate President Musharraf were carried out by Islamic
militants angered by Pakistan’s post-September 2001 policy shift. Some observers
identify a causal link between the poor state of Pakistan’s primary education system
and the persistence of xenophobia and religious extremism in that country (see CRS
Report RS22009, Education Reform in Pakistan).
Anti-American sentiment is not limited to Islamist groups, however. In January
2004 testimony before a Senate panel, a senior U.S. expert opined: “Pakistan is
probably the most anti-American country in the world right now, ranging from the
radical Islamists on one side to the liberals and Westernized elites on the other side.”
A July 2005 Pew Center opinion poll found 51% of Pakistanis expressing confidence
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in Al Qaeda founder Osama bin Laden to “do the right thing in world affairs” and,
in an October 2005 Time magazine interview, President Musharraf conceded that
“the man on the street [in Pakistan] does not have a good opinion of the United
States.” A Pew poll taken months before the catastrophic October 2005 earthquake
found only 23% of Pakistanis expressing a favorable view of the United States, the
lowest percentage for any country surveyed. That percentage doubled to 46% in an
ACNielson poll taken after major U.S. disaster relief efforts in earthquake-affected
areas, with the great majority of Pakistanis indicating that their perceptions had been
influenced by witnessing such efforts. However, a January 2006 missile attack on
Pakistani homes near the Afghan border killed numerous civilians and was blamed
on U.S. forces, renewing animosity toward the United States among some segments
of the Pakistani populace.
Also in early 2006, Pakistani cities saw major public demonstrations against the
publication in European newspapers of cartoons deemed offensive to Muslims.
These protests, which were violent at times, included strong anti-U.S. and anti-
Musharraf components, suggesting that Islamist organizers used the issue to forward
their own political ends. A June 2006 Pew Center poll found only 27% of Pakistanis
holding a favorable opinion of the United States, suggesting that gains following the
2005 earthquake may have receded.
Democratization and Human Rights
Democracy and Governance. There had been hopes that the October 2002
national elections would reverse Pakistan’s historic trend toward unstable governance
and military interference in democratic institutions. Such hopes have been eroded
by ensuing developments, including President Musharraf’s imposition of major
constitutional changes and his retention of the position of army chief. International
and Pakistani human rights groups continue to issue reports critical of Islamabad’s
military-dominated government. In 2006, and for the seventh straight year, the often-
cited Freedom House rated Pakistan as “not free” in the areas of political rights and
civil liberties. While praising Pakistan’s electoral exercises as moves in the right
direction, the United States expresses concern that seemingly nondemocratic
developments may make the realization of true democracy in Pakistan more elusive,
and U.S. officials continue to press Pakistani leaders on this issue.
General Musharraf’s assumption of the presidency ostensibly was legitimized
by a controversial April 2002 referendum marked by evidence of fraud. In August
2002, Musharraf announced sweeping constitutional changes to bolster the
president’s powers, including provisions for presidential dissolution of the National
Assembly. The United States expressed concerns that the changes could make it
more difficult to build democratic institutions in Pakistan. The 2002 elections
nominally fulfilled Musharraf’s promise to restore the National Assembly that was
dissolved in the wake of his extra-constitutional seizure of power. The pro-military
Pakistan Muslim League-Quaid-e-Azam (PML-Q) won a plurality of seats, while a
coalition of Islamist parties made a surprisingly strong showing. The civilian
government was hamstrung for more than a year by fractious debate over the
legitimacy of constitutional changes and by Musharraf’s continued status as army
chief and president. A surprise December 2003 agreement between Musharraf and
the Islamist opposition ended the deadlock by bringing the constitutional changes
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before Parliament and by eliciting a promise from Musharraf to resign his military
commission before 2005. Non-Islamist opposition parties unified under the Alliance
for the Restoration of Democracy (ARD) accused the MMA of betrayal and insisted
that the new arrangement merely institutionalized military rule in Pakistan.
Other apparent reversals for Pakistani democratization came in 2004, including
the sentencing of ARD leader Javed Hashmi to 23 years in prison for sedition,
mutiny, and forgery, and the “forced” resignation of Prime Minister Jamali for what
numerous analysts called his insufficient deference to President Musharraf.
Musharraf “shuffled” prime ministers to seat his close ally, Finance Minister Shaukat
Aziz. Aziz is seen to be an able financial manager and technocrat favored by the
military, but he has no political base in Pakistan. Moreover, in the final month of
2004 Musharraf chose to continue his role as army chief beyond the stated deadline.
The United States indicates that it expects Pakistan’s scheduled 2007 general
elections to be free and fair throughout the entire process. In July 2005, the Senate
Appropriations Committee expressed concern with “the slow pace of the democratic
development of Pakistan” (S.Rept. 109-96). Pakistan’s nominally non-party August-
October 2005 municipal elections saw major gains for candidates favored by the
PML-Q and notable reversals for Islamists, but were also marked by widespread
accusations of rigging. In June 2006, the House Appropriations Committee (H.Rept.
109-486) expressed concern about “the lack of progress on improving democratic
governance and rule of law.” (See also CRS Report RL32615, Pakistan’s Domestic
Political Developments.)
Human Rights Problems. The U.S. State Department’s Country Report on
Human Rights Practices 2005 determined that the Pakistan government’s record on
human rights again “was poor and serious problems remained.” Along with concerns
about anti-democratic practices, the report lists extrajudicial killings, torture, and
rape; “rampant” police corruption; lack of judicial independence; political violence;
terrorism; and “extremely poor” prison conditions among the serious problems.
Improvement was noted, however, with government efforts to crack down on human
trafficking. The Human Rights Commission of Pakistan and international human
rights groups have issued reports critical of Pakistan’s lack of political freedoms,
lawlessness in many areas (especially the western tribal agencies), and of the
country’s perceived abuses of the rights of minorities. Discrimination against women
is widespread and traditional constraints — cultural, legal, and spousal — keep
women in a subordinate position in society. In 2005, Pakistani gang rape victim
Mukhtaran Mai — and Islamabad’s (mis)handling of her case — became emblematic
of gender discrimination problems in Pakistan. In H.Rept. 109-486 (June 2006), the
House Appropriations Committee expressed concern about “what appears to be the
Government of Pakistan’s increasing lack of respect for human rights ....” In S.Rept.
109-277 (July 2006), the Senate Appropriations Committee expressed being “gravely
concerned with violations of human rights” in Pakistan.
The most recent State Department report on trafficking in persons again said,
“Pakistan does not fully comply with the minimum standards for the elimination of
trafficking; however, it is making significant efforts to do so.” The State
Department’s International Religious Freedom Report 2005 found that in practice
the Islamabad government imposes limits on the freedom of religion in Pakistan.
The report noted “some steps to improve the treatment of religious minorities,” but
CRS-19
indicated that “serious problems remained.” Yet the State Department has rejected
repeated U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom recommendations that
Pakistan be designated a “country of particular concern.” The 2006 annual report
from that Commission claims that, “Sectarian and religiously motivated violence
persists in Pakistan, and the government’s response to this problem, though
improved, continues to be insufficient and not fully effective.”
Press freedom and the safety of journalists recently has become a top-tier
concern in Pakistan, spurred especially by the June 16 discovery of the handcuffed
body of Pakistani journalist Hayatullah Khan in a rural area of North Waziristan.
Khan, who had been missing for more than six months, was abducted by unknown
gunmen after he reported on an apparent U.S.-launched missile attack in Pakistan’s
tribal region. Khan’s family is among those who suspect the involvement of
Pakistani security forces; an official inquiry into the death has been launched. Other
journalists have been detained and possibly tortured, including a pair reportedly held
incommunicado without charges for three months after they shot footage of the
Jacobabad airbase that was used by U.S. forces. Pakistani journalists have taken to
the streets to protest perceived abuses and they complain that the government seeks
to intimidate those who would report the facts of Pakistani counterterrorism
operations.
Economic Issues
Overview. Pakistan is a poor country, but the national economy has gathered
significant positive momentum in recent years, helped in large part by the
government’s pro-growth policies and by post-2001 infusions of foreign aid.
According to the World Bank, nominal GDP per capita in 2005 was only $644, but
poverty rates have dropped from 34% to 24% over the past five years. Severe human
losses and property damage from an October 2005 earthquake in northern Pakistan
have had limited economic impact, given a large influx of foreign aid and the
stimulus provided by reconstruction efforts. The long-term economic outlook for
Pakistan is much improved since 2001, even as it remains clouded in a country still
dependent on foreign lending and the importation of basic commodities. Substantial
fiscal deficits and continued dependency on external aid counterbalance a major
overhaul of the tax collection system and what have been major gains in the Karachi
Stock Exchange, which nearly doubled in value as the world’s best performer in 2002
and was up 56% in 2005. Along with absolute development gains in recent years,
Pakistan’s relative standing is also improving: The U.N. Development Program
ranked Pakistan 135th out of 177 countries on its 2005 human development index, up
from 142nd in 2004 and 144th in 2003.
Output from both the industrial and service sectors has grown substantially since
2002, but the agricultural sector has lagged (in part due to droughts), slowing overall
growth. Agricultural labor accounts for nearly half of the country’s work force.
Pakistan’s real GDP for the fiscal year ending June 2006 grew by 6.6%, driven by a
booming manufacturing sector and greater than expected agricultural expansion.
However, overall growth was down from 8.4% the previous year and fell well short
of Islamabad’s target of 7%. Expanding textile production and the government’s pro-
growth measures have most analysts foreseeing solid growth ahead, with predictions
near 6% for the next two years.
CRS-20
Pakistan stabilized its external debt at about $33 billion by mid-2003, but this
rose to nearly $38 billion in 2005. Still, such debt is less than one-third of GDP
today, down from more than one-half in 2000. The country’s total liquid reserves
reached a record $13 billion by mid-2005, an all-time high and a four-fold increase
since 1999. Foreign remittances have exceeded $4 billion annually since 2003, up
from slightly more than $1 billion in 2001. High oil prices have driven inflationary
pressures, resulting in a year-on-year wholesale rate of 8.2% in May 2006. While
inflation is expected to ease in the latter half of 2006, many analysts call it the single
most important obstacle to future growth. Defense spending and interest on public
debt together consume two-thirds of total revenues, thus squeezing out development
expenditure. Pakistan’s resources and comparatively well-developed entrepreneurial
skills may hold promise for more rapid economic growth and development in coming
years. This is particularly true for Pakistan’s textile industry, which accounts for
60% of Pakistan’s exports. Analysts point to the pressing need to further broaden the
country’s tax base in order to provide increased revenue for investment in improved
infrastructure, health, and education, all prerequisites for economic development.
Attempts at economic reform historically have floundered due to political
instability. The Musharraf government has had notable successes in effecting
macroeconomic reform, although efforts to reduce poverty have made little headway.
Rewards for participation in the post-September 2001 anti-terror coalition eased
somewhat Pakistan’s severe national debt situation, with many countries, including
the United States, boosting bilateral assistance efforts and large amounts of external
aid flowing into the country. An April 2005 Asian Development Bank report noted
improvement in the Pakistani economy, but identified rising inflation, a large trade
deficit, and a balance of payments deficit as majors areas of concern. In October
2005, the World Bank’s country director for Pakistan said there are plenty of risks
for pessimists to worry about with regard to Pakistani growth and poverty reduction,
but claimed “today the optimists have the upper-hand.” According to the Asian
Development Bank’s Outlook 2006,
Over the medium term, the outlook is favorable for growth in the range of 6-8%,
though this requires the [Pakistani] Government to maintain its robust
performance in economic management, greater investment to ease infrastructure
bottlenecks, and continued security and political stability.
Trade and Investment. The United States is by far Pakistan’s leading export
market, accounting for about one-fifth of the total. Pakistan’s primary exports are
cotton, textiles and apparel, rice, and leather products. During 2005, total U.S.
imports from Pakistan were worth $3.25 billion (up 13% over 2004). About two-
thirds of this value came from the purchase of cotton apparel and textiles. U.S.
exports to Pakistan during 2005 were worth $1.25 billion (down 31% from 2004), led
by fertilizers and cotton fiber (the decline is a result of completed delivery of civilian
aircraft). According to the 2006 report of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR),
Pakistan has made substantial progress in reducing import tariff schedules, though
a number of trade barriers remain. Progress also has come in the area of intellectual
property rights protection: estimated trade losses due to copyright piracy in Pakistan
were notably lower in 2005. Book piracy accounted for about half of the 2005 losses,
however, and remains a serious concern. Pakistan also has been a world leader in the
pirating of music CDs and has appeared on the USTR’s “Special 301” Watch List for
CRS-21
16 consecutive years (in 2004, continuing violations caused the USTR to move
Pakistan to the Priority Watch List).
According to Pakistan’s Ministry of Finance, total foreign direct investment in
Pakistan exceeded $3 billion for the year ending June 2006 — an unprecedented
amount that more than doubled over the previous year — but investors remain wary
of the country’s uncertain security circumstances. Islamabad is eager to finalize a
pending Bilateral Investment Treaty and reach a Free Trade Agreement with the
United States, believing that its vital textile sector will be bolstered by duty-free
access to the U.S. market. The Heritage Foundation’s 2006 Index of Economic
Freedom — which may overemphasize the value of absolute growth and downplay
broader quality-of-life measurements — noted significant improvements, but again
rated Pakistan’s economy as being “mostly unfree,” identifying restrictive trade
policies, a heavy fiscal burden, weak property ownership protections, and a high level
of “black market” activity. Corruption is a serious problem: in 2005, Berlin-based
Transparency International placed Pakistan 144th out of 158 countries in its annual
ranking of world corruption levels.
U.S. Aid and Congressional Action
U.S. Assistance. A total of more than $15 billion in U.S. economic and
military assistance went to Pakistan from 1947 through 2005. In June 2003,
President Bush hosted President Musharraf at Camp David, Maryland, where he
vowed to work with Congress on establishing a five-year, $3 billion aid package for
Pakistan. Annual installments of $600 million each, split evenly between military
and economic aid, began in FY2005. The Foreign Operations FY2005
Appropriations bill (P.L. 108-447) established a new base program of $300 million
for military assistance for Pakistan. When additional funds for development
assistance, law enforcement, and other programs are included, the aid allocation for
FY2005 was about $688 million (see Table 1). Significant increases in economic
support, along with earthquake relief funding, may bring the FY2006 total to around
$874 million. The Bush Administration’s FY2007 request calls for another $739
million in aid to Pakistan although, in H.Rept. 109-486, the House Appropriations
Committee recommended reducing that amount by $150 million (ostensibly for
domestic budgetary reasons unrelated to Pakistan-U.S. relations). In S.Rept. 109-
277, the Senate Appropriations Committee called for redirecting some of the
requested FY2007 U.S. economic aid to Pakistan toward development and
democracy promotion programs.
Congress also has appropriated billions of dollars to reimburse Pakistan for its
support of U.S.-led counterterrorism operations. As of June 2006, a total of $5.74
billion had been appropriated for supplemental FY2002-FY2006 Defense
Department spending for coalition support payments to Pakistan and other
cooperating nations (with the FY2006 emergency supplemental appropriations bill,
P.L. 109-234, a conference committee authorized that up to $740 million be made
available for further payments). Pentagon documents indicate that Islamabad
receives the great majority of these funds: about $3.6 billion for operations from
January 2002 through August 2005, an amount roughly equal to one-quarter of
Pakistan’s total military expenditures during that period. The FY2007 defense
CRS-22
appropriations bill passed by the House (H.R. 5631) would allow that another $300
million in Pentagon funds be used for future reimbursements.
Proliferation-Related Legislation. Through a series of legislative
measures, Congress incrementally lifted sanctions on Pakistan resulting from its
nuclear weapons proliferation activities.3 After the September 2001 terrorist attacks
on the United States, policymakers searched for new means of providing assistance
to Pakistan. President Bush’s issuance of a final determination that month removed
remaining sanctions on Pakistan (and India) resulting from the 1998 nuclear tests,
finding that restrictions were not in U.S. national security interests. Some Members
of the 108th Congress urged reinstatement of proliferation-related sanctions in
response to evidence of Pakistani assistance to third-party nuclear weapons programs.
However, the Nuclear Black-Market Elimination Act (H.R. 4965) did not see floor
action. Pending legislation in the 109th Congress includes H.R. 1553, which would
prohibit the provision of military equipment to Pakistan unless the President can
certify that Pakistan has verifiably halted all proliferation activities and is fully
sharing with the United States all information relevant to the A.Q. Khan proliferation
network.
Coup-Related Legislation. Pakistan’s October 1999 military coup triggered
U.S. aid restrictions under Section 508 of the annual Foreign Assistance
appropriations act. Post-September 2001 circumstances saw Congress take action
on such restrictions. P.L. 107-57 (October 2001) waived coup-related sanctions on
Pakistan through FY2002 and granted presidential authority to waive them through
FY2003. A November 2003 emergency supplemental appropriations act (P.L. 108-
106) extended the President’s waiver authority through FY2004. The foreign
operations FY2006 appropriations bill (P.L. 109-102) extended it through FY2006.
The House-passed foreign operations appropriations bill for FY2007 (H.R. 5522)
would provide another one-year extension. President Bush has exercised this waiver
authority annually.
Other Legislation. In the 108th Congress, conference managers making
foreign operations appropriations directed the Secretary of State to report to Congress
on Pakistan’s education reform strategy and the U.S. strategy to provide relevant
assistance (H.Rept. 108-792; see CRS Report RS22009, Education Reform in
Pakistan). Also in the 108th Congress, the House-passed Foreign Relations
Authorization Act, FY2004-2005 would have required the President to report to
Congress on Pakistani actions related to terrorism and WMD proliferation. The
Senate did not take action on this bill. The House-passed version of the Intelligence
Authorization Act, FY2005 contained similar reporting requirements; this section
3 The Agricultural Export Relief Act of 1998 (P.L. 105-194) allowed U.S. wheat sales to
Pakistan after July 1998. The India-Pakistan Relief Act of 1998 (in P.L. 105-277)
authorized a one-year sanctions waiver exercised by President Clinton in November 1998.
The Department of Defense Appropriations Act, 2000 (P.L. 106-79) gave the President
permanent authority to waive nuclear-test-related sanctions applied against Pakistan and
India after October 1999, when President Clinton waived economic sanctions on India
(Pakistan remained under sanctions as a result of the October 1999 coup). (See CRS Report
RS20995, India and Pakistan: Current U.S. Economic Sanctions.)
CRS-23
was removed in the Senate. In the 109th Congress, the pending Targeting Terrorists
More Effectively Act of 2005 (S. 12) includes Pakistan-specific language.
9/11 Commission Recommendations. The 9/11 Commission Report (July
2004) identified the government of President Musharraf as the best hope for stability
in Pakistan and Afghanistan, and it recommended that the United States make a long-
term commitment to provide comprehensive support for Islamabad so long as
Pakistan itself is committed to combating extremism and to a policy of “enlightened
moderation.” In the Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 (P.L.
108-458), Congress broadly endorsed this recommendation by calling for U.S. aid to
Pakistan to be sustained at a minimum of FY2005 levels and requiring the President
to report to Congress a description of long-term U.S. strategy to engage with and
support Pakistan. A November 2005 follow-on report by Commissioners gave a “C”
grade to U.S. efforts to support Pakistan’s anti-extremism policies and warned that
the country “remains a sanctuary and training ground for terrorists.” In March 2006,
H.R. 5017, to insure the implementation of the recommendations of the 9/11
Commission, was introduced in the House. A Senate version (S. 2456) was
introduced three months later. The bills contain Pakistan-related provisions.
CRS-24
Table 1. U.S. Assistance to Pakistan, FY2001-FY2007
(in millions of dollars)
Program
FY2001
FY2002
FY2003
FY2004
FY2005 FY2006
FY2007
or
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Estimate Request
Account
CSH
—
5.0
15.6
25.6
21.0
32.2
21.7
DA
—
10.0
34.5
49.4
29.0
40.6
29.0
ERMA
—
25.0
—
—
—
—
—
ESF
—
624.5
188.0c
200.0c
297.6
377.6
350.0
FMF
—
75.0
224.5
74.6
298.8
297.0
300.0
IDFA
—
—
—
—
—
70.0e
—
IMET
—
0.9
1.0
1.4
1.9
2.0
2.1
INCLE
3.5
90.5b
31.0
31.5
32.1
56.3
25.5
NADR
—
10.1
—
4.9
8.0
7.8
10.3
PKO
—
220.0
—
—
—
—
—
Subtotal
$3.5
$1,061.0
$494.6
$387.4
$688.4d
$873.5f
$738.6
Food Aida
87.5
90.8
18.7
24.0
18.0
26.7
—
Total
$91.0
$1,151.8
$513.3
$411.4
$706.4d
$900.2f
$738.6
Sources: U.S. Departments of State and Agriculture; U.S. Agency for International Development.
Abbreviations:
CSH:
Child Survival and Health
IMET:
International Military Education and
DA:
Development Assistance
Training
ERMA:
Emergency Refugee and Migration
INCLE:
International Narcotics Control and
Assistance
Law Enforcement (includes border
ESF:
Economic Support Fund
security)
FMF:
Foreign Military Financing
NADR:
Nonproliferation, Anti-Terrorism,
IDFA:
International Disaster and Famine
Demining, and Relatedg
Assistance
PKO:
Peacekeeping Operations
Notes:
a. P.L.480 Title I (loans), P.L.480 Title II (grants), and Section 416(b) of the Agricultural Act of
1949, as amended (surplus agricultural commodity donations). Food aid totals do not include
freight costs.
b. Included $73 million for border security projects that continued in FY2003.
c. Congress authorized Pakistan to use the FY2003 ESF allocation to cancel $988 million and the
FY2004 allocation to cancel $495 million in concessional debt to the U.S. government.
d. Included Emergency Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2005 (P.L. 109-13) funding of $150
million in FMF and $4 million in counterdrug funding for Pakistan.
e. The Emergency Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2006 (P.L. 109-234) did not earmark IDFA
funds for Pakistani earthquake relief but allocated sufficient funds to meet the Administration
request.
f. The FY2006 estimate includes Emergency Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2006 (P.L. 109-234)
funding of $40.5 million in ESF and $18.7 million in counterdrug funding for Pakistan.
g. The great majority of NADR funds allocated for Pakistan are for anti-terrorism assistance.