Order Code RL33212
CRS Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web
Russian Oil and Gas Challenges
Updated February 22, 2006
Bernard A. Gelb
Specialist in Industry Economics
Resources, Science, and Industry Division
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress

Russian Oil and Gas Challenges
Summary
Russia is a major player in world energy markets. It has more proven natural
gas reserves than any other country, is among the top ten in proven oil reserves, is the
largest exporter of natural gas, the second largest oil exporter, and the third largest
energy consumer. Energy exports have been a major driver of Russia’s economic
growth over the last five years, as Russian oil production has risen strongly and world
oil prices have been very high. This type of growth has made the Russian economy
dependent on oil and natural gas exports and vulnerable to fluctuations in oil prices.
The Russian government has moved to take control of the country’s energy
supplies. It broke up the previously large energy company Yukos and acquired its
main oil production subsidiary. In Central Europe, Russian firms with close links to
the Russian government have used leverage to buy energy companies to gain control
over energy supply. In East Asia, Russia is contemplating a pipeline destination that
would allow it to decide to whom its oil gets sold. Also, Russia briefly cut off gas
supply to Ukraine because the latter did not agree to greatly increase what it pays for
the gas. Russia restored supply after other European countries, which were affected,
complained. Much of Russia’s gas exports to Europe pass through Ukraine. The
dispute was resolved temporarily through a compromise.
Russia’s ability to maintain and expand its capacity to produce and to export
energy faces difficulties. Russia’s oil and gas fields are aging. Modern western
energy technology has not been fully implemented. There is insufficient export
capacity in the crude oil pipeline system controlled by Russia’s state-owned pipeline
monopoly, Transneft. And, there is insufficient investment capital for improving and
expanding Russian oil and gas production and pipeline systems. Moreover, Russia’s
cutting off gas supply to Ukraine and subsequent actions and events damaged its
reputation as a reliable energy supplier.
A number of proposals would build new or expand existing Russian oil and
natural gas export pipelines. Some are contentious, and although the Russian
government is faced with a perceived need to expand its oil and gas export capacity,
it also has limited resources. This report discusses several different major proposals.
Given that the United States, as well as Russia, is a major energy producer and
user, Russian energy trends and policies affect U.S. energy markets and economic
welfare in general. An increase in Russia’s energy production and its ability to
export that energy westward and eastward may tend to ease the supply situation in
energy markets in the Atlantic and Pacific Basins. On the other hand, the Russian
government’s moves to take control of the country’s energy supplies noted earlier
may have the effect of making less oil available. Possibly as important as Russian
oil and gas industry developments is the associated potential for U.S. suppliers of oil
and gas field equipment and services to increase their sales and investment in Russia.
However, while they consider the climate to be improving, potential investors
complain that the investment climate in Russia is inhospitable with respect to factors
such as poor intellectual property rights protection, burdensome tax laws, and
inefficient government bureaucracy. This report will be updated as events warrant.

Contents
Oil and Gas Reserves and Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Petroleum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Natural Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Energy Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Major Proposed New or Expanded Pipelines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Implications for the United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
List of Figures
Figure 1. Russia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Figure 2. Druzhba and Adria Oil Pipelines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Figure 3. Selected Northwestern Oil Pipelines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Figure 4. Proposed Far East Oil Pipelines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Figure 5. Natural Gas Pipelines to Europe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
List of Tables
Table 1. Oil and Natural Gas Reserves and Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2

Russian Oil and Gas Challenges
The Russian Federation is a major player in world energy markets. It has more
proven natural gas reserves than any other country and is among the top ten countries
in proven oil reserves.1 It is the world’s largest exporter of natural gas, the second
largest oil producer and exporter, and the third largest energy consumer. Given that
the United States also is a major energy producer and user, Russian energy trends and
policies affect U.S. energy markets and U.S. welfare in general.
Oil and Gas Reserves and Production
Most of Russia’s 60-72 billion barrels of proven oil reserves (Table 1) are
located in Western Siberia, between the Ural Mountains and the Central Siberian
Plateau. This ample endowment of this region made the Soviet Union a major world
oil producer in the 1980s, reaching production of 12.5 million barrels per day (bbl/d)
in 1988.2 Roughly 25% of Russia’s oil reserves and 6% of its gas reserves are on
Sakhalin Island in the far eastern region of the country, just north of Japan.
Russian oil production, which had begun to decline before the Soviet Union
dissolved in 1991, fell more steeply afterward — to less than six million bbl/d in
1997 and 1998.3 State-mandated production surges had accelerated depletion of the
large Western Siberian fields and the Soviet central planning system collapsed.
Russian oil output started to recover in 1999. Many analysts attribute this to
privatization of the industry, which clarified incentives and shifted activity to less
expensive production. Increases in world oil prices, application of technology that
was standard practice in the West, and rejuvenation of old oil fields helped boost
output. After-effects of the 1998 financial crisis and subsequent devaluation of the
ruble may well have contributed. After reaching about nine million bbl/d in 2004
depending upon the estimating source, Russian oil production continued to rise in
2005, but only slightly.
Several consortia have begun producing and exporting oil (mainly to East Asia
at present) from Sakhalin island (Figure 4). They also plan to export gas to the
United States via pipelines to the Siberian mainland and then from liquefied natural
gas (LNG) terminals.
1 Oil and Gas Journal, December 19, 2005. Estimates of proven oil and/or gas reserves by
country can differ widely, depending partly on what types of resources are included. Thus,
Russia’s ranking of reserve holdings may differ among organizations that compile such data.
2 BP. BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 1992. Data for Russia only are not
available for 1988.
3 BP. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 1997, June 1997.


CRS-2
Figure 1. Russia
Source: Energy Information Administration. Russia Country Analysis Brief, February 2005
[http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Region_ni.html], viewed December 3, 2005.
With about 1,700 trillion cubic feet (tcf), Russia has the world’s largest natural
gas reserves. In 2004, it was the world’s largest natural gas producer and the world’s
largest exporter. However, its natural gas industry has not done as well as its oil
industry in recent years, as production has increased only a little and exports only
have re-attained their level of the late 1990s.
Table 1. Oil and Natural Gas Reserves and Production
Productiona
Proven Reserves
(mil. bbl/day of oil/
(billions of bbl of oil/trillions of cu. ft. of
trillions of cu. ft. of
gas)
gas
BP
O & G Journal
BP
Country or Region
(End of 2004)
(1/1/06)
(2004)
Russian Federation
72/1,694
60/1,680
9.3/20.8
United States
29/187
21/192
7.2/19.2
Reference North Seab
n.a./n.a.
14/177
5.2c/n.a.
Areas
Saudi Arabia
263/238
264/241
10.6/2.3
WORLD
1,189/6,337
1,292/6,112
80.3/95.0
Sources: BP. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2005. June 2005; Energy Information
Administration, [http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/11b.xls] viewed December 5, 2005; Penwell
Publishing Company. Oil & Gas Journal. December 19, 2005.
n.a. - Not available.
a. Includes natural gas liquids.
b. Includes Denmark, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, and United Kingdom.
c. Energy Information Administration estimate.

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Growth of Russia’s natural gas sector has been impaired by ageing fields, near
monopolistic domination over the industry by Gazprom (with substantial government
holdings), state regulation, and insufficient export pipelines. Gazprom, Russia’s
51%-owned state-run natural gas monopoly, holds more than one-fourth of the
world’s natural gas reserves, produces nearly 90% of Russia’s natural gas, and
operates the country’s natural gas pipeline network. The company’s tax payments
account for around 25% of Russian federal tax revenues. Gazprom is heavily
regulated, however. By law, it must supply the natural gas used to heat and power
Russia’s domestic market at government-regulated below-market prices.
Potential growth of both oil and natural gas production in Russia is limited by
the lack of full introduction of the most modern western oil and gas exploration,
development, and production technology.
Exports
Energy exports have been a major driver of Russia’s economic growth over the
last five years, as Russian oil production has risen strongly and world oil and gas
prices have been relatively high. This type of growth has made the Russian economy
very dependent on oil and natural gas exports, and vulnerable to fluctuations in world
oil prices. On average, a $1 per barrel change in oil prices results in a $1.4 billion
change in Russian government revenues in the same direction.4
Petroleum
Almost three fourths of Russian crude oil production is exported; the rest is
refined in the country, with some refined products being exported. About two-thirds
of Russia’s 6.7 million bbl/d of crude oil exports in 2004 went to Belarus, Ukraine,
Germany, Poland, and other destinations in Central and Eastern Europe. The
remaining one-third went to maritime ports and was sold in world markets. Recent
high oil prices have enabled as much as 40% of Russia’s oil exports to be shipped via
more costly railroad and river barge routes. Most of Russia’s exports of refined
petroleum products to Europe are fuel oil and diesel fuel used for heating.
Russia’s capacity to export oil faces difficulties, however. One stems from the
fact that crude oil exports via pipeline are under the exclusive jurisdiction of Russia’s
state-owned pipeline monopoly, Transneft. Bottlenecks in the Transneft system
prevent its export capacity from meeting oil producers’ export ambitions. Only about
four million bbl/d can be transported in major trunk pipelines; the rest is shipped by
more costly rail and river routes. Most of what is transported via alternative transport
modes is refined petroleum. The rail and river routes could become less
economically viable if oil prices fall sufficiently. The Russian government and
Transneft are striving to improve the export infrastructure.
4 Energy Information Administration. Russia Country Analysis Brief, February 2005
[http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Region_ni.html], viewed December 3, 2005.

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Unless significant investment flows into improving the Russian oil pipeline
system, non-pipeline transported exports probably will grow. For example, without
a dedicated pipeline, rail routes presently are the only way to transport Russian crude
oil to East Asia. Russia is exporting about 200,000 bbl/d via rail to the northeast
China cities of Harbin and Daqing and to central China via Mongolia. Since Yukos
was the leading Russian exporter of oil to China, there was concern that the breakup
of Yukos by the Russian government (see below under “Energy Policy”) might affect
rail exports to China. However, Lukoil has taken over the role of rail supplier.
Oil transportation in the Black Sea region may be in flux. A large portion of
Russia’s oil presently is shipped by tankers from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean
and to Asia, mostly from the port of Novorossiysk. However, shipments through the
shallow and congested Bosporus Straits are limited by Turkey for environmental and
safety reasons, limiting the effective capacity of lines to Novorossiysk.5 Deliveries
from the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline (expected to start in the summer of
2006) will be mostly oil produced by Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, posing competition
to Russian oil. If Azerbaijan ships all of its oil via BTC, exports from Novorossiysk
will decrease. If BTC is less advantageous than hoped, shipments via Novorossiysk,
other Russian Black Sea ports, and Supsa (in Georgia) may not decline.
Eastward, Russia faces competition for China’s oil market from Kazakhstan,
which, with China, completed in late 2005 the construction of a pipeline from Atasu
in central Kazakhstan to Alaskankou on China’s western border. Eventual capacity
will be 190,000 bbl/d.6
Natural Gas
Historically, most of Russia’s natural gas exports went to Eastern Europe and
to customers in countries that were part of the Soviet Union. But, in the mid-1980s,
Russia began trying to diversify its export options. Gazprom has shifted some of its
exports to meet the rising demand of Turkey, Japan, and other Asian countries. For
Gazprom to attain its long-term goal of increasing its European sales, it will have to
boost production as well as secure more reliable export routes to the region.
Issues have arisen with the growth of Russia’s sales to Europe. European Union
trade representatives have criticized Gazprom’s dominant market position and
two-tiered pricing system. Russia agreed to grant independent natural gas producers
access to Gazprom’s pipelines. Also, in response to calls for fair pricing, the Russian
government doubled prices to Russian industrial consumers. But the new price level
still is less than half of the prices charged at the German and Ukrainian borders.
5 See, for example, Yigal Schleifer, “Russian oil ships stuck in Bosporus strait traffic jam,”
Christian Science Monitor, January 25, 2005. Also, Ceyhan, a Turkish Mediterranean port,
can handle very large carriers, whereas the Supsa and Novorossiysk ports are restricted to
smaller tankers that can transit the Bosporus straits. Ceyhan can remain open all year,
whereas Novorossiysk is closed up to two months per year.
6 Martin Clark. “Beijing Triumphs with Inauguration of Kazakhstani Crude Pipe,” FSU Oil
& Gas Monitor
, December 21, 2005.

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Also, as a major supplier of natural gas to European countries, Russia has some
ability to set prices. For example, it could withhold supply and thereby affect
customer country policies. In 2003, Russian gas accounted for 100% of Slovakia’s
gas consumption, 97% of Bulgaria’s consumption, 79% of the Czech Republic’s
consumption, and 68% of Hungary’s consumption.7 Some observers consider
Gazprom, Russia’s largest earner of hard currency, to be one of Moscow’s main
foreign policy tools.
However, Russia’s natural gas exports to Europe declined markedly in January
2006 as a result of severely cold weather in Russia that greatly increased Russian gas
consumption, and also reduced oil exports somewhat. The cold conditions were
forecasted to last through the month.8
As with oil, Russia faces potential competition for Asian gas markets from
Kazakhstan, which, with China, is working on a feasibility study for building a
pipeline from the former to the latter to ship Kazakh gas to China.9 Given the
proximity of natural gas producers Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan to Kazakhstan, it
is possible that their gas also would go to China via that route.
Energy Policy10
The Russian government has moved to take control of the country’s energy
supplies. It is arguable that this was partly the motivation behind the government’s
prosecution of Mikhail Khodorkovski, CEO of Yukos, who acquired state-owned
assets during privatization and adopted open and “transparent” business practices
while transforming Yukos into a major global energy company. Yukos is being
broken up, with its principal assets being sold off to meet alleged tax debts.
Yuganskneftegaz, Yukos’ main oil production subsidiary, was sold at a state-run
auction to the Baikal Finans Group (previously unheard of), the sole bidder, for $9.4
billion, about half its market value according to western industry specialists. That
group soon after sold the unit to Rosneft, the state oil company.11 Another
7 Energy Information Administration (EIA). Russia Country Analysis Brief, February 2005,
Table 1, several sources cited: EIA, BP, CIS and East European Energy Databook, 2004.
8 “Cold spell cuts Russian gas to Europe,” Financial Times, FT.com, January 18, 2006;
“Cold weather cutting Russian gas exports,” Oil & Gas Journal online, January 23, 2006.
9 “Kazakhstan, China Consider Gas Pipeline Construction,” FSU Oil & Gas Monitor,
December 7, 2005.
10 Nearly all the material in this section is from: CRS Issue Brief IB92089, Russia, by Stuart
D. Goldman; CRS Report RL32087, Russian Oil and Gas Companies and Central and
Eastern Europe
, by Steven Woehrel; and CRS Report RL32466, Rising Energy Competition
and Energy Security in Northeast Asia: Issues for U.S. Policy
, by Emma Chanlett-Avery.
11 It subsequently was revealed that Baikal Finans was a group of Kremlin insiders headed
by Igor Sechin, Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration and close associate of
President Putin. Sechin has been Chairman of Rosneft’s board of directors since July 2004.
The de-facto nationalization of Yuganskneftegaz was declared “the fraud of the year” by
(continued...)

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government takeover followed when Gazprom bought 75% of Sibneft — Russia’s
fifth largest oil company.12 In a possible policy change, President Putin announced
on January 31, 2006, that Russia will not seek control of more oil companies.13
In Central Europe, Russian firms with close links to the Russian government
have used leverage to buy energy companies to gain control over energy supply. For
example, Yukos obtained majority control of a Lithuanian refinery (the only one in
the Baltic states) by slowing oil supply to it, and buying it at a reduced price. The
Transneft pipeline monopoly diverted the flow of oil shipments to Primorsk, a
Russian port, stopping flow to the Latvian port of Ventspils. Some see Transneft’s
action as a move to obtain control of the firm that operates the Ventspils terminal.14
Also, Transneft refused to finalize an agreement to transport Kazakhstani oil to
Lithuania, undermining Kazakhstan’s KazMunaiGaz’s attempt to buy the cited. The
Lithuanian government had intended to buy the stake in the refinery owned by Yukos
and sell it to another investor.15 Final binding offers were made January 27, 2006.
Another example of Russian steps to increase control over energy supplies is the
routing of new and planned export pipelines. For example, Russia has agreed with
Germany, with the support of the United Kingdom (UK), to supply Germany and,
eventually, the UK directly by building a natural gas pipeline under the Baltic Sea,
thus bypassing Ukraine and Poland. In late January 2006, Gazprom was negotiating
with Uzbekistan to obtain control of three of that country’s gas fields.16 Russia also
is hoping to participate in the venture that is constructing a gas pipeline between
Turkey and Greece.17
Some have said that Gazprom may have overreached in its aggressiveness. A
large share of Russia’s natural gas exports to Western Europe pass through Ukraine,
which withdraws a certain amount of gas for its own use at a fraction of the world
market price as payment for its transmission of the gas. Gazprom wants to raise
Ukraine’s price to the market level. Negotiations on the issue failed, and Gazprom
reduced gas pressure and flow through the Ukrainian network on January 1, 2006.
11 (...continued)
Andrei Illarionov, President Putin’s chief economic advisor. [http://www.mosnews.com/
money/2004//12/28//illarionov.shtml].
12 “New takeover to make Russia’s giant Gazprom one of the world’s largest oil and gas
companies,” Pravda, October 1, 2005 [http://english.pravda.ru/print/Russia/economics/
8997-gazprom-0] viewed February 6, 2006.
13 “Putin: Private Oil Companies to Remain Private,” FSU Oil & Gas Monitor. February 1,
2006,
14 Ariel Cohen, “Don’t Punish Latvia,” Washington Times, May 5, 2003.
15 “Transneft Stops Kazakhstani Oil Flowing to Lithuania,” FSU Oil & Gas Monitor,
November 23, 2005, p. 8.
16 Vladimir Kovalev. “Gazprom Secures Uzbekistan Gas through Politics and Pipelines,”
FSU Oil & Gas Monitor, January 23, 2006.
17 Kerin Hope. “Russia to discuss Gazprom role in Aegean pipeline,” FT.com, February 5,
2006. [http://search.ft.com/search/quickSearch_Run.html], viewed February 6, 2006.

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Ukraine compensated by using some gas intended for West Europe; Gazprom
accused it of “stealing.” Gazprom restored supply shortly after, when those countries
complained and pointed out that Russia was risking its reputation as a reliable energy
supplier.18 In a complicated agreement, the dispute was resolved temporarily on
January 4, 2006. Gazprom will sell gas at its asking price to a trading company (half-
owned by Gazprom and half-owned by an Austrian bank believed to act on behalf of
Ukrainian interests). The trading company will mix Russian gas with less expensive
gas from Central Asia and sell the mixture to Ukraine at the higher price that Ukraine
had indicated it was willing to pay, but substantially lower than Gazprom’s price.
Gazprom will pay cash instead of gas in kind to Ukraine’s pipeline business for
increased transit fees.19 One report stated that Gazprom wanted to gain at least some
ownership of Ukraine’s pipeline system.20 Later in January 2006, through no fault of
Russia, the apparent reliability of Russian natural gas supplies suffered further when
severely cold weather in Russia boosted Russian demand for gas and cut exports
below contracted volumes. As of late February 2006, the full details (including
duration) of the Russia-Ukraine agreement had not been agreed upon and signed.21
Russia also cut off gas to Moldova in early January in connection with a price
dispute. The countries reached an interim agreement after Moldova had been without
Russian gas for two weeks.22 Gas supplies to large parts of Armenia and Georgia
were disrupted in late January 2006 when explosions hit two Russian pipelines.23
The cutoffs to Ukraine and Moldova in price-dispute contexts have led several
former Soviet Union as well as West European countries to investigate non-Russian
sources of natural gas.
Russia initially opposed western investment in Caspian Sea energy projects,
insisted that oil from the region be transported through Russian territory to Black Sea
18 “Russia Turns up the Gas,”Guardian Weekly, December 23, 2005-January 5, 2006, p. 41;
Peter Finn. “Russia Reverses Itself on Gas Cuts,” The Washington Post, January 3, 2006,
p. A12; Andrew E. Kramer. “Russia Restores Most of Gas Cut to Ukraine Line,” The New
York Times
, January 3, 2006.
[http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/03/international/europe/03ukraine.html?pagewanted=
print], viewed January 3, 2006.
19 Graeme Smith. “Russia, Ukraine settle gas dispute,” GlobeandMail.com, January 5, 2006
[http://www.theglobeandmail.com/international], type “Russia” in search box, viewed
January 5, 2006; Peter Finn. “Russia and Ukraine Reach Deal on Gas, Ending Dispute,” The
Washington Post
, January 5, 2006, p. A12; Mark Smedley and Mitchell Ritchie. “Russia,
Ukraine Settle Gas Pricing Dispute, Oil Daily, January 5, 2006, p. 1.
20 Oil Daily, January 5, 2006.
21 For fuller discussion, analysis, and updating of the Russia-Ukraine gas dispute, see CRS
Report RS22378, Russia’s Cutoff of Natural Gas to Ukraine: Context and Implications, by
Jim Nichol, Steven Woehrel, and Bernard Gelb.
22 Neil Buckley and Sarah Laitner. “Moldova reaches gas deal with Gazprom,” FT.com, Jan.
17, 2006. [http://search.ft.com/search/quickSearch_Run.html] viewed February 6, 2006.
23 Arkay Ostrovsky and Tom Warner. “Georgia blames Russia as blasts hit power supply,”
FT.com, January 23, 2006. [http://search.ft.com/search/quickSearch_Run.html] viewed
February 6, 2006.


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ports, and argued for equal sharing of Caspian Sea oil and gas. This attitude partly
reflected the extensive energy ties between Russia and Central Asian countries
stemming from the numerous transportation routes from that area through Russia.
But Rusia has become more agreeable, and even cooperative with, western projects;
and it has signed an agreement with Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan on Caspian seabed
borders essentially based upon shore mileage.
In East Asia, China, Japan, and South Korea, are trying to gain access to the
largely undeveloped energy resources of eastern Siberia, as those countries strive to
meet their increasing energy needs while reducing dependence on the Middle East.
China and Japan appear to be engaged in a bidding war over Russian projects and are
contesting access to Russian rival oil pipeline routes.
Major Proposed New or Expanded Pipelines24
Because Russia’s export facilities have limitations of location and size, there are
a number of proposals to build new or to expand existing Russian oil and natural gas
export pipelines and related facilities. Some proposals are contentious and, while the
Russian government perceives a need to expand its oil and gas export capacity, it has
limited resources. Several selected proposals are discussed below.
With a 1.2-1.4 million bbl/d capacity, the 2,500-mile Druzhba line is the largest
of Russia’s oil pipelines to Europe. It begins in southern Russia, near Kazakhstan,
where it collects oil from the Urals and the Caspian Sea. In Belarus, it forks at
Mozyr, from which one branch runs through Belarus, Poland, and Germany; and the
other through Belarus, Ukraine, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, and Hungary (Figure
2
). Work has begun to increase capacity between Belarus and Poland. An extension
to Wilhelmshaven (Germany) would reduce Baltic Sea tanker traffic and allow
Russia to export oil to the United States via Germany.
Figure 2. Druzhba and Adria Oil Pipelines
24 Much of the discussion of Russian oil and gas pipelines is taken from the Russia Country
Analysis Brief
of February 2005, prepared by the Energy Information Administration.


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Source: Energy Information Administration. Russia Country Analysis Brief.
The Baltic Pipeline System (BPS) carries crude oil from Russia’s West Siberian
and Tyumen-Pechora oil provinces westward to the newly completed port of
Primorsk on the Russian Gulf of Finland (Figure 3). Throughput capacity at
Primorsk has been raised to around one million bbl/d, and, pending government
approval, will be expanded to 1.2 million bbl/d. The BPS gives Russia a direct outlet
to northern European markets, reducing dependence on routes through the Baltic
countries. The re-routing of Russian crude through the BPS has incurred considerable
cost to those countries. Russian authorities have stated that precedence will be given
to sea ports in which Russia has a stake over foreign ones. But the waterways through
which tankers leaving from Primorsk and most other Russian export ports must
transit limit tanker size, and therefore the price competitiveness of their cargoes.
Figure 3. Selected Northwestern Oil Pipelines
Source: Energy Information Administration. Russia Country Analysis Brief.
Proposed lines would carry oil from Russia’s West Siberian and Tyumen-
Pechora basins west and north to a deepwater terminal at Murmansk or Indiga on the
Barents Sea (Figure 3). This would enable 1.6-2.4 million bbl/d of Russian oil to
reach the United States via tankers in only nine days, much quicker than from the
Middle East or Africa. Liquefied natural gas facilities at Murmansk and Arkhangelsk
also have been suggested, possibly allowing for gas exports to American markets.
The Indiga route would be closer to the Tyumen-Pechora oil fields and shorter; also
Transneft’s CEO has said that the Murmansk project is not economically feasible.
However, in contrast with Murmansk, the port of Indiga ices over during the winter,
a disadvantage that may be reduced or eliminated if Arctic ice melting continues.
The Adria oil pipeline runs between Croatia’s Adriatic Sea port of Omisalj and
Hungary (Figure 2). Originally designed to load Middle Eastern oil at Omisalj and
pipe it northward to Yugoslavia and then to Hungary, the pipeline’s operators and
transit states have been considering reversing the flow — a relatively simple step —
giving Russia a new export outlet on the Adriatic Sea. Connecting the pipeline to


CRS-10
Russia’s Southern Druzhba system requires the agreement of Russia, Belarus,
Ukraine, Slovakia, Hungary, and Croatia. These countries signed a preliminary
agreement on the project in December 2002; however, negotiations over the details
(including tariffs and environmental issues) have been slow. Some analysts expect
that the Adria pipeline could transport about 100,000 bbl/d of Russian crude oil in
the first year of reversal, with an ultimate capacity of about 300,000 bbl/d.
The prospective large Chinese market for oil has led to serious consideration of
building a pipeline from the Russian city of Taishet (northwest of Angarsk) to
Nakhodka (near the Sea of Japan) or to Daqing, China (Figure 4). Both routes pass
close to Lake Baikal — a site with environment-related obstacles. The Nakhodka
route, which is longer, would provide a new Pacific port from which Russian oil
could be shipped by tanker to Japan and other Asian markets and possibly to North
America. Japan has offered $5 billion to finance construction and $2 billion for oil
field development.25 The Daqing option is favored by China, although China could
obtain exports via the Nakhodka route. China has pledged to invest US$12 billion in
Russia’s infrastructure and energy sector by 2020.26 From Russia’s point of view, the
Nakhoda route would offer access to multiple markets, whereas a terminus at Daqing
would give China control. However, Russia’s environmental safety supervisory body
rejected the shorter route because it would pass too close to Lake Baikal, a United
Nations world heritage site.27
Figure 4. Proposed Far East Oil Pipelines
25 Mark Katz. “Don’t dismiss China’s Daqing oil pipeline,” Asia Times Online, October 1,
2004.
26 Sergei Blagov, “China’s Russian pipe dream,” Asia Times OnLine, September 28, 2004.
27 Eric Watkins. “Russia nixes East Siberia pipeline route,” Oil & Gas Journal Daily
Update,
February 6, 2006.
[http://ogj.pennet.com/articles/article_display.cfm?article_id=247386], viewed Feb. 7, 2006.


CRS-11
Source: Energy Information Administration Russia Country Analysis Brief.
The 750-mile Blue Stream natural gas pipeline, 246 miles of which is
underneath the Black Sea, connects the Russian system to Turkey. In February 2003,
natural gas began flowing through the pipeline, which has a design capacity of 565
billion cubic feet annually. In March 2003, Turkey halted deliveries, invoking a
contract clause allowing either party to stop deliveries for six months. Turkish leaders
reportedly were unhappy with the price structure.28 Other factors may have come into
play, including Turkey’s commitment to receive more supplies than its near term
domestic consumption and agreements to transship gas to other countries. An
agreement was reached in November 2003 and the flow resumed in December 2003.
The Yamal-Europe I pipeline (Figure 5, unidentified northern route in Russia),
which carries 1 tcf of gas from Russia to Poland and Germany via Belarus, would be
expanded under one proposal by another tcf per year. However, Poland and Gazprom
disagree on the route of the branch that goes through Poland. Poland wants a route
entirely through its own country and then to Germany (Yamal-Europe on the map),
while Gazprom is seeking a route via southeastern Poland and Slovakia (Yamal II).
Figure 5. Natural Gas Pipelines to Europe
28 Mevlut Katik. “Blue Stream’s Pipeline’s Future in Doubt Amid Russian Turkish Pricing
Dispute,” Business & Economics, June 2, 2003. Eurasianet.org [http://www.eurasianet.org
/departments/business/articles/eav060203a_pr.shtml], viewed December 18, 2005.

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Source: Energy Information Administration, Russia Country Analysis Brief.
A North Trans-Gas pipeline, or North European Gas Pipeline (NEGP),
extending over 2,000 miles from Russia through the Gulf of Finland to Denmark
and, ultimately, to the United Kingdom, via the Baltic and North Seas was proposed
in June 2003 by Russia and the United Kingdom.29 Gazprom and Germany’s BASF
and E.ON agreed on September 8, 2005, to set up a joint venture to build the
pipeline. Originating in the St. Petersburg region, about 700 miles of the pipeline is
to pass under the Baltic Sea. The first leg of the pipeline, which is under construction,
is scheduled to come on stream in 2010.30 Russia sees a gain by no longer having to
negotiate transit fees with intermediary countries or pay them in natural gas. The
pipeline agreement is criticized by some Europeans who object to the fact that it was
reached without consultation with them, and see the pipeline as an unfair bypass with
political motivation and environmental risk. Perhaps to supplement or substitute for
the NEGP, Gazprom is planning to build an LNG plant in the St. Petersburg area.
Rusia Petroleum — a consortium of TNK-BP, South Korea’s state-owned Korea
Gas Corporation, and the Chinese National Petroleum Company — has announced
plans to construct a pipeline connecting Russia’s Kovykta natural gas field (2 trillion
cubic meters of gas reserves) to China’s northeastern provinces and across the
Yellow Sea to South Korea.31 The plan calls for a pipeline that ultimately would have
a capacity of 40 billion cubic meters per year, delivering roughly half of its natural
gas to China and the rest to South Korea and the domestic market en route.32
Implications for the United States33
Given that the United States as well as Russia is a major energy producer and
user, Russian energy trends and policies affect U.S. energy markets and U.S.
economic welfare in general in a broad sense.
Other things being equal, should Russia considerably increase its energy
production and its ability to export that energy both westward and eastward, it may
29 Mark A. Smith. The Russian, German, and Polish Triangle, Russian Series 05/61,
Conflict Studies Research Centre, October 2005, p. 2.
30 Ria Novosti. “Factbox: North European Gas Pipeline,” December 9, 2005.
[http://en.rian.ru/russia/20051209/42408722.html] viewed December 28, 2005. BASF is
mainly a chemical manufacturer, but has a subsidiary that explores for and produces oil and
natural gas. E.ON is an electric power generator and distributor and a distributor of natural
gas.
31 TNK-BP. “Kovykta Project,” [http://www.tnk-bp.com/operations/exploration-production/
projects/kovykta]. Viewed December 28, 2005.
32 Selig S. Harrison. “Gas and Geopolitics in Northeast Asia,” World Policy Journal, Winter
2002/2003, pp. 22-36.
33 For more discussion and analysis of U.S.-Russian economic relations, see CRS Report
RS21123, Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) Status for Russia and U.S.-Russian
Economic Ties
, by William H. Cooper.

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tend to ease the supply situation in energy markets in both the Atlantic and Pacific
Basins. In the Atlantic arena, more Russian oil could be available to the United
States. In the Pacific area, there would tend to be more supply available to countries
trying to assure themselves energy supplies, such as China and Japan. This may ease
the global competition for Persian Gulf oil.
On the other hand, the Russian government’s moves to take control of the
country’s energy supplies noted earlier may have the effect of making less oil
available on the world market.
Possibly as important as Russian oil and gas industry developments is the
associated potential for U.S. suppliers of oil and gas field equipment and services to
increase their sales in Russia. Although U.S.-Russian economic relations have
expanded since the collapse of the Soviet Union, as successive Russian leaders have
been dismantling the central economic planning system, including the liberalization
of foreign trade and investment, the flow of trade and investment remains very low.
U.S. suppliers of oil and gas field equipment have established a modest beachhead
in Russia, however. U.S. exports of oil field machinery and equipment accounted for
9% of U.S. all goods exports to Russia in the first 10 months of 2005, one of the
largest export categories. As noted earlier, potential growth of both oil and natural
gas production in Russia is limited by the lack of full introduction of the most
modern western oil and gas exploration, development, and production technology.
Similar to U.S. trade with Russia, U.S. investments there, especially direct
investments, have increased since the dissolution of the Soviet Union, but the levels
are far below their expected potential. Even so, as of the end of 2003, the United
States was Russia’s second largest source of foreign direct investment, largely
concentrated in energy, communications, engineering, and transportation.34
In this context, however, Russian economic policies and regulations have been
a source of concerns. The United States and the U.S. business community have
asserted that structural problems and inefficient government regulations and policies
have been a major cause of the low levels of trade and investment with the United
States. While they consider the climate to be improving, potential investors complain
that the climate for investment in Russia remains inhospitable. They point to lack of
effective intellectual property rights protection, burdensome tax laws, jurisdictional
conflicts among Russian federal, regional and local governments, inefficient and
corrupt government bureaucracy, and the lack of a market-friendly commercial code
as impediments to trade and foreign investments. And, more specifically, the forced
breakup of Yukos has clouded prospects for private investment.
In addition, Russian energy trends and policies have possible implications for
U.S. energy security. In its oversight role, Congress may have an interest in Russia’s
large role as a supplier to world energy markets in general, in Russia’s role as a
possible major exporter of energy to the United States, and in the changed patterns
of world energy flows that could result from the completion of new Russian oil and
34 CRS Report RS21123, Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) Status for Russia and
U.S.-Russian Economic Ties
, by William H. Cooper.

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natural gas export pipelines and related facilities or the expansion of existing export
pipelines and related facilities