Order Code RS22274
Updated September 21, 2005
CRS Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web
Egypt: 2005 Presidential and
Parliamentary Elections
Jeremy M. Sharp
Middle East Policy Analyst
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Summary
On September 7, 2005, Egypt conducted its first multi-candidate presidential
election, resulting in the reelection of President Hosni Mubarak with 88% of the vote.
Although some have credited Egypt for holding a competitive election, many have
criticized the outcome and alleged fraud. President Bush had called for international
monitoring of the election, which was subsequently rejected by Egypt. The
Administration has reiterated its call for international monitoring of parliamentary
elections this fall. This report provides an overview of the presidential election and its
implications for U.S. policy toward Egypt and U.S. efforts to promote democracy in the
region. It will be updated as events warrant. For more information on Egypt, see CRS
Report RL33003, Egypt: Background and U.S. Relations, by Jeremy M. Sharp.
Background
In recent years, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and his ruling National
Democratic Party (NDP) have faced growing criticism, both domestically and
internationally, regarding limited progress on political liberalization. One frequently cited
obstacle of reform had been the indirect presidential election process, in which a
candidate was nominated and confirmed by the NDP-controlled People’s Assembly
(lower house of parliament) and then approved in a nationwide “yes or no” referendum,
which was thought to be manipulated by authorities. With the past four referendums
without a competitor routinely resulting in Mubarak receiving anywhere from 93% to
98% “yes” votes, the process was widely viewed at home and abroad as illegitimate and
was perceived as an anachronism in the eyes of younger Egyptians. The recent publicity
surrounding elections in Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, and the West Bank & Gaza Strip
only heightened this perception, as Egypt, the largest Arab country, appeared out of step
with the trend in the Arab world. In addition, Egypt’s ruling elite has been gradually
undergoing a generational shift, in which a new faction of young, media-savvy, and
Western-educated leaders within the NDP (led by the President’s son, Gamal Mubarak)
has attempted to reinvigorate political culture in order to modernize the NDP’s image
without having to relinquish the party’s grip on power.
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress

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Amending the Constitution
As a result of this changing political atmosphere, on February 26, 2005, President
Mubarak proposed to amend the Constitution to allow for Egypt’s first ever multi-
candidate presidential election. The proposal was approved by the People’s Assembly and
then confirmed in a nationwide referendum on May 25, 2005. However, under the
amended Article 76 of the Constitution, lawmakers made it difficult for independent
candidates to run for President. According to the amendment and the subsequent election
law (Law #174) which laid out the legal framework for new elections, any independent
candidate seeking to run would need the support of 250 elected politicians drawn from
the People’s Assembly, the Shura Council or upper house, and the provincial councils.
Since the NDP and its supporters control most of the seats in all three bodies, most
analysts considered it nearly impossible for an independent opposition candidate to run
in a presidential election. Critics charged that this requirement was designed specifically
to prevent members of the Muslim Brotherhood, Egypt’s largest opposition movement,
from running. Under current law, the Brotherhood is not recognized as a legal party,
forcing its members to run as independents in past parliamentary elections. Other
provisions in the amendment and the new election law include the following:
! Candidates from legal opposition parties must come from their party’s
leadership to be eligible to run in 2005; however, in future elections, a
party would need to have been licensed for at least five years and to hold
at least 5 percent of the seats in the lower and upper houses of parliament
to get on the ballot. This last requirement would make it difficult for
many small opposition parties to field candidates. It also heightens the
importance of the upcoming parliamentary elections in November 2005
and in 2010 since President Mubarak, at age 77, may choose not to seek
another term.
! Oversight of the presidential election process is given to a Presidential
Electoral Commission (PEC) composed of current and former judges and
other “public figures.”1 Five of the Commission’s ten members are
chosen by Parliament.2 The PEC has the sole authority to approve
candidate nominations, supervise election procedures, and tally the final
results. Most importantly, since some of its members are judges, the PEC
has final “judicial competence” to rule on any contestation or challenge
submitted in relation to the presidential elections, and its decision will be
final and subject to no appeal. Critics charge that this final provision
places the PEC above the rule of the courts.
1 The fall parliamentary elections, tentatively scheduled for some time in November, also will be
overseen by a Parliamentary Election Commission, which will function similarly to the
Presidential Election Commission.
2 Experts have raised questions regarding the independence of the presidential and parliamentary
commissions. According to Amy Hawthorne, former editor of the Arab Reform Bulletin, “Egypt’s
commissions lack what is most essential: strong figures who can push back against executive-
branch interference.” See “Arab Electoral Commissions: Making the Vote Freer and Fairer?,”
Arab Reform Bulletin, Sept. 2005, Vol. 3, Issue 7.

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Some opposition groups boycotted the referendum to approve the constitutional
amendment, and there were some clashes between demonstrators and police during the
voting. Members of the opposition also disputed the reported turnout figures for the
referendum. One group of Egyptian judges released a report in July 2005 challenging the
government’s turnout figure of 52%, claiming that the real turnout was closer to just 5%.3
On August 11, 2005, the PEC issued the final list of approved candidates for the
election in a secret ballot. Thirty candidates had registered to run in the election. The
Committee approved a total of ten applications, including, most notably, the leader of the
Wafd Party, Nomaan Gomaa, and the recently imprisoned (and later released) leader of
the “Tomorrow Party,” Ayman Nour.
The Campaign
The presidential campaign ran from August 17 to September 4, 2005. Although some
criticized the short campaign season, many observers believe that the campaign had a
positive impact on political discourse in Egypt. For example, the opposition Wafd Party,
the oldest political party in Egypt, used a provocative campaign slogan loosely translated
as “we have been suffocated” in order to tap into popular dissatisfaction with the status
quo in Egyptian politics.4 The slogan, which was not well received by government
officials, was eventually permitted by authorities despite its veiled criticism of the
Mubarak regime; reportedly, the party had threatened to boycott the election if the slogan
were banned.
On August 21, 2005, the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood called on its supporters to
vote in the election, but qualified this statement by saying that “all the brothers should
know that we could not support an oppressor or cooperate with a corrupt person or with
a tyrant,” a reference to Mubarak.5 Some observers speculated that the Brotherhood
resisted boycotting the election in the hopes of securing additional seats in parliamentary
elections later this year.6 Although it is impossible to discern which candidate
Brotherhood members supported, some suggest that Ayman Nour received some of their
votes. Nour’s candidacy surprised some experts by showing a growing organizational
capacity in parts of the Egyptian countryside, which many other opposition candidates
lacked.7 Nour is a wealthy attorney, who may have drawn on his own personal resources
to fund his campaign.
Overall, the campaigns of Nomaan Gomaa, Ayman Nour, and President Mubarak
focused almost exclusively on domestic issues, such as job creation, social welfare
programs, and education. Foreign policy issues received less attention, which is unusual
3 See Issandr El Amrani “Egypt: Campaign Season,” Middle East International, no. 755, July 22,
2005.
4 “Opposition Party’s Angry Slogan Gets Cairo’s Official O.K.,” New York Times, Aug. 23, 2005.
5 Mariz Tadros, “Egypt’s Election All About Image, Almost,” Middle East Report Online, Sept.
6, 2006.
6 “Egypt Abuzz with Presidential Campaign,” Christian Science Monitor, Aug. 23, 2005.
7 Author’s conversation with U.S. democracy promotion specialists based in Cairo, Aug. 2005.

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in Egyptian politics and in the region as a whole, where the Israeli-Palestinian conflict,
and more recently Iraq, absorbs the overwhelming bulk of media coverage. During his
election campaign, Mubarak pledged to introduce a number of reforms, including the
elimination of the 1981 emergency laws which have been used to quell political dissent.
Many outside observers also were surprised by the lack of censorship on such previously
taboo subjects as Mubarak’s personal finances, the role of Christianity in Egypt, and
government corruption. According to Joe Stork, Deputy Middle East Director at Human
Rights Watch, “the significance of this election isn’t the possibility of unseating Mubarak,
but the fact that many Egyptians have boldly challenged his quarter-century of rule ...
Their willingness to speak out has generated a serious public debate instead of just
another presidential plebiscite.”8
Election Monitoring
In May 2005, President Bush stated that Egypt’s fall presidential election “should
proceed with international monitors, and with rules that allow for a real campaign.”9
However, Egypt prohibited international monitoring, calling such action an infringement
on its national sovereignty.
Domestic monitoring of the election became a major point of contention between the
government and the judiciary and civil society organizations. Thousands of Egyptian
judges viewed the presidential election as an opportunity to assert their independence vis-
à-vis the government.10 Working through their union (Judges Club), the judges threatened
to boycott the September elections unless the government pledged to respect the
independence of the judiciary, allow judges complete oversight authority inside the
polling stations, and extend the voting period over the course of several days to allow
complete coverage of Egypt’s thousands of polling stations. Although the PEC responded
by agreeing to reduce the number of polling stations, it did not respond to the judges’
ultimatum, citing the availability of thousands of civil servants who would be available
on election day to take the judges place.11 Ultimately, the Judges Club voted to supervise
the elections and pledged to document any voting irregularities after the election.
According to Judges Club chairman Zakareya Abdel-Aziz, “We know that the presidential
elections will not be conducted as perfectly as we would like them to be, but that should
not prevent us from going there and exposing any violations.”12
Several coalitions of Egyptian civil society organizations also demanded access to
polling stations on election day and successfully secured court rulings granting them such
8 “Egypt: Election Offers Public Debate, Not Free Choice” Human Rights Watch, Sept. 2, 2005.
9 “President Discusses Freedom and Democracy in Latvia,” Office of the White House Press
Secretary, May 7, 2005. [http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2005/05/20050507-8.html].
10 Article 88 of Egypt’s constitution requires that the judiciary supervise elections, but it does not
specify the extent or nature of that supervision. Some legal experts note that the definition of
judiciary is flexible and can be interpreted to mean members of the Justice Ministry’s
bureaucracy as well as judges.
11 Some Judges (approximately 1300-1800 individuals) were excluded from monitoring the
elections due to their adamant stance against the government.
12 “No Guarantees,” Al Ahram Weekly, Issue no. 759, Sept. 8-14, 2005.

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access. Nevertheless, the PEC, citing its constitutional authority to oversee the elections
process, ignored the court order for several days. They finally granted some NGOs access
to polling stations a few hours before the polls opened. Two U.S.-based democracy
promotion organizations, the National Democratic Institute (NDI) and the International
Republican Institute (IRI), conducted pre-election assessments and training programs for
Egyptian election observers with funds provided by the United States Agency for
International Development (USAID) and the State Department’s Middle East Partnership
Initiative (MEPI).13
Election Day Developments
Election day on September 7th was largely peaceful, if marred by low turnout, general
confusion over election procedures, and alleged manipulation by government authorities.14
Several losing candidates, Egyptian NGOs, and some foreign media have reported a
number of alleged violations committed by pro-government forces, including ballot
stuffing, bribery, voter intimidation, improper use of public transportation to transport
pro-government voters to the polls, general lack of privacy in voting booths, lack of
independent oversight, inaccurate voters’ lists, campaign materials inside polling stations,
and harassment of domestic election monitors at the polls.15 Without any independent
review of the election process, such accusations are difficult to verify. Although some
allegations may reflect insufficient voter education and the novelty surrounding Egypt’s
first presidential competitive election, most observers believe that the election was
weighted in favor of President Mubarak. Others counter that the election was an
improvement over past national referenda and parliamentary votes due to less heavy-
handed security measures at the polls.
On September 9, the PEC announced that President Mubarak had been reelected with
88.6% of the vote, followed by Ayman Nour with 7%, and Nomaan Gomaa with 3%.
Nour’s second place finish was a surprise to some and has enhanced his status as one of
the leading opposition figures in Egypt. More importantly, turnout was noticeably low
with estimates ranging from the official figure of 23% to independent estimates of 15%.
Some analysts believe that the low turnout represents a prevailing apathy toward politics,
with many voters reluctant to participate in a process they perceive as corrupt. Egypt’s
voter rolls have not been updated for many years, which has resulted in voter confusion,
decreased voter participation, and fraudulent voting procedures. Others, particularly
government officials, counter that the figure represents Egyptians’ faith in President
Mubarak and disinterest in democracy. The U.S. State Department spokesman praised the
vote, saying “these elections really mark a historic departure for Egypt, in the fact that you
13 See CRS Report RS21457, The Middle East Partnership Initiative: An Overview, by Jeremy
M. Sharp.
14 There were some opposition demonstrations on election day, and to the surprise of many
protesters, the security services did not attempt to intervene. According to George Ishak, a leader
of Kifaya (Enough) movement, “There are 1,800 foreign correspondents watching the elections;
do you think the regime would show its hideous face to the world? They behaved the way they
did because of the huge media presence.” See, “Egypt’s Metamorphosis: One Step Down the
Open Road,” New York Times, Sept. 9, 2005.
15 Press Statement, The Independent Committee for Election Monitoring (ICEM), September 7,
2005. [http://www.eicds.org/].

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have multicandidate presidential elections. I think it’s safe to say that Egyptians have not
seen a presidential election like the one they have just seen in their lifetimes.”16

Implications for U.S. Policy
The election poses both an opportunity and a challenge to U.S.-Egyptian relations
and the wider U.S. effort to promote democracy in the region. On the one hand, some
policymakers believe that the more open atmosphere engendered during the campaign was
a success for U.S. efforts to promote political reform and pluralism in the Arab world. At
the same time, President Mubarak’s overwhelming victory raises questions about the
fairness of the election, putting the United States in the difficult position of having to both
praise Mubarak for undertaking reforms and, at the same time, to call for more
transparency in future elections. Furthermore, experts note that political reform is just one
of a number of issues in U.S.-Egyptian relations — including security cooperation,
intelligence-sharing, and promoting peace in the region — and policymakers must
constantly balance these priorities.
The upcoming parliamentary elections in Egypt may provide another opportunity for
the United States to pursue its reform agenda. Many analysts believe that elections for the
lower house of Parliament are, in many ways, more important than the recent presidential
elections due to the potential to expand opposition participation in the political system at
a time when there is much speculation surrounding the succession to 77-year old
President Mubarak. According to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, “As Egypt looks
towards parliamentary elections in November, we encourage Egyptians to build on
progress made with this election and to address valid criticisms of the electoral process.
In particular, more needs to be done to increase the voice of the people and their
confidence in the democratic process.”17
Recent Congressional Action
In recent years, Congress has sought to redirect U.S. economic aid to Egypt in order
to increase funding for democracy programming. H.R. 3057, the House FY2006 foreign
operations bill (passed June 28, 2005), earmarks $50 million in economic aid for good
governance programs in Egypt and specifies that not less than 50% of these funds be
provided through Egyptian civil society organizations. The Senate version of H.R. 3057
(passed July 20, 2005) provides $35 million for governance programming.
H.R. 2601, the FY2006/FY2007 House Foreign Relations Authorization bill (passed
by the House July 20, 2005), would reduce U.S. military assistance to Egypt by $240
million over the next three fiscal years while using the same amount of funds to promote
economic changes, fight poverty, and improve education in Egypt. H.R. 2601 would
transfer any interest earned from amounts in an interest-bearing account for Egypt’s FMF
to the Middle East Partnership Initiative (MEPI) for reform-oriented programming in
Egypt.
16 “Ballot Counting Begins in Egypt”, Associated Press, Sept. 8, 2005.
17 “Bush Congratulates Egyptian President, People on Election,” U.S. Department of State, Sept.
10, 2005.