Order Code RL30776
CRS Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Policy:
Key Issues in the 107th Congress
December 19, 2000
Valerie Bailey Grasso and Susan B. Epstein, Coordinators
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Congressional Research Service ˜ The Library of Congress
Foreign Affairs, Defense and Trade Policy:
Key Issues in the 107th Congress
Summary
When the 107th Congress convenes in January, among its first orders of business
will be dealing  with the initiatives proposed by a new President of the United States.
The  2000  congressional  campaigns  suggested  that  the  agenda  of  the  107th
Congress will be largely domestic: Social Security, health care, education, taxes, and
the state of military readiness were prominent  in campaigns across America and on
post-election news programs.  Indeed,  many issues discussed in this report will be
affected by  the resolution of a contentious battle for the presidency.  In the Congress,
the 50-50 split in the Senate and the close party ratio in the House, along with new
House committee chairmen, also will affect the agenda. With less time to organize the
presidential  transition, and with upcoming Senate votes on executive branch
nominations, the 107th Congress will need to “hit the ground running.”
The  107th  Congress will help define the U.S. role in the world within the
framework of increasing globalization and its effects on U.S. foreign and security
policy.    A key issue on the congressional agenda will be a debate over how and when
to use economic aid and sanctions to achieve U.S. foreign policy goals and objectives.
Another key issue will continue to be the extent of U.S. involvement in conflicts and
crises worldwide, and under what conditions the U.S. is willing to commit military
forces  and resources to such conflicts.  Another key issue concerns the post-Cold
War proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and the related debate over the
development, testing, and possible deployment of national and theater missile defense
systems.
Numerous other foreign affairs, trade,  and defense issues will face the 107th
Congress.  In addition to those mentioned above, important themes may include the
U.S.  role  in  international peacekeeping; emerging economic globalization and its
effect on trade and finance issues facing the United States; and a debate over the state
of  military readiness, proposed force structure increases, how much to spend on
defense and how to set priorities among major defense programs, as well as defense
spending in general.  
The first session of the 107th Congress may act on the FY2002 budget resolution,
defense authorization and appropriation bills, and will consider legislation to authorize
spending for Department of State and other  foreign policy programs and personnel
by passing or waiving the biannual foreign relations re-authorization legislation.  The
107th Congress will review U.S. foreign aid priorities and participation in international
organizations,  participate  in  Quadrennial  Defense  Review  2001  and  the
Administration’s  plans  for  weapons  modernization  and  achieving efficiencies in
defense operations.
Contents
Overview–Globalization and International Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Francis T. Miko, Specialist in International Relations and 
Robert L. Goldich, Specialist in National Defense
U.S. Foreign and Security Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Economic Sanctions and U.S. Foreign Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Dianne E. Rennack, Specialist in Foreign Policy Legislation
Foreign Assistance Budget and Policy Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Larry Q, Nowels, Specialist in Foreign Affairs
Foreign Debt Reduction: the Heavily Indebted Poor Country
(HIPC) Initiative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Larry Q. Nowels, Specialist in Foreign Affairs
Foreign Policy Management and the Budget . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Susan B. Epstein, Specialist in Foreign Policy and Trade
International Family Planning: Abortion Policy and Funding Issues . . . . . . . 8
Larry Q. Nowels, Specialist in Foreign Affairs
International Financial Institutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Jonathan E. Sanford, Specialist in International Relations
Peacekeeping . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Nina Maria Serafino, Specialist in International Security
Security Threats: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Weapons . . . . . . . . . 12
Robert G. Shuey, Specialist in Foreign Policy and National Defense 
and Steven R. Bowman, Specialist in National Defense
United Nations Reform  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Marjorie Ann Browne, Specialist in International Relations
Global Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Global Climate Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Susan Fletcher, Senior Analyst in International Environmental Policy
International Disease Response . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Lois B. McHugh, Analyst in Foreign Affairs
International Narcotics Control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Raphael F. Perl, Specialist in International Relations
International Organized Crime . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Francis T. Miko, Specialist in International Relations
International Terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Raphael F. Perl, Specialist in International Relations and 
Steven R. Bowman, Specialist in National Defense
Regional Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Raymond W. Copson, Specialist in International Relations
HIV/AIDS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Trade and Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Other Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Asia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Shirley A. Kan, Specialist in National Security Policy and
Kerry B. Dumbaugh, Specialist in Asian Affairs 
India and Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Richard P. Cronin, Specialist in Asian Affairs
Indonesia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Larry A. Niksch, Specialist in Asian Affairs
Japan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..25
Richard P. Cronin, Specialist in Asian Affairs
Korean Peninsula  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Mark Manyin, Analyst in Asian Affairs
Vietnam . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27
The Balkans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  27
Steven Woehrel, Specialist in European Affairs
Latin America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Maureen Taft-Morales, Analyst in Latin American Affairs
The Middle East . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Peace Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Alfred B. Prados, Specialist in Middle East Affairs
Persian Gulf Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
Alfred B. Prados, Specialist in Middle East Affairs
Russia  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Stuart D. Goldman, Specialist in Russian Affairs,  Jim Nichol, Analyst 
in Foreign Affairs, and Curt Tarnoff, Specialist in Foreign Affairs
Trade and Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Patricia A. Wertman, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Export-related Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Export Administration Act Renewal  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Ian F. Fergusson, Analyst in International Trade and Finance
Export-Import Bank Reauthorization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
James K. Jackson, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Foreign Sales Corporation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
David L. Brumbaugh, Specialist in Public Finance
Import-related Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
Andean Trade Preference Act (ATPA) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
J. F. Hornbeck, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Cuba  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
Ian F. Fergusson, Analyst in International Trade and Finance
International Monetary Fund Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
J. F. Hornbeck, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Renewing the Generalized System of Preferences . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
Vladimir N. Pregelj, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) Renewal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
Mary Jane Bolle, Specialist in International Trade
Trade Remedy Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
William H. Cooper, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Negotiations and Agreements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
Bilateral and Regional Free Trade Agreements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
William H. Cooper, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Fast-Track Negotiating Authority . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
Lenore Sek, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
A Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
J. F. Hornbeck, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Vietnam Trade Agreement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
Vladimir N. Pregelj, Specialist in International Trade and Finance
Mark Manyin, Analyst in Asian Affairs
Defense Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Stephen Daggett, Specialist in National Defense
The Defense Budget . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Stephen Daggett, Specialist in National Defense
Efficiencies in Defense Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
The Changing U.S. Defense Industrial Base . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Daniel H. Else, Analyst in National Defense and
Gary Pagliano, Specialist in National Defense
Military Base Closures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
David E. Lockwood, Specialist in U.S. Foreign Policy 
and National Defense
Outsourcing, Privatization and Infrastructure Initiatives . . . . . . . . . . 44
Valerie Bailey Grasso, Analyst in National Defense
Military Readiness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
Edward F. Bruner, Specialist in National Defense
Personnel-Related Concerns in Recruitment and Retention . . . . . . . . 46
Robert L. Goldich, Specialist in National Defense
Missile Defense . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
NMD and the ABM Treaty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
Steven A. Hildreth, Specialist in National Defense and
Amy F. Woolf, Specialist in National Defense
Modernization Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
Stephen Daggett, Specialist in National Defense
Personnel, Pay, Benefits, Quality of Life . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
David F. Burrelli, Specialist in National Defense
Abortion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
David F. Burrelli, Specialist in National Defense
Health Care . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
David F. Burrelli, Specialist in National Defense
Homosexuals in the Military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
David F. Burrelli, Specialist in National Defense
Military Family Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
Mary Theresa Tyszkiewicz, Analyst in National Defense
Quality of Life Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
David F. Burrelli, Specialist in National Defense
Women in the Military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
David F. Burrelli, Specialist in National Defense
Quadrennial Defense Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
Stephen Daggett, Specialist in National Defense
Transformation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
Army Transformation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .54
Edward F. Bruner, Specialist in National Defense
Information Warfare . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
Steven A. Hildreth, Specialist in National Defense
Tactical Aviation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
Christopher Bolkcom, Analyst in National Defense
Use of Force and Contingency Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
Steven R. Bowman, Specialist in National Defense and
Richard F. Grimmett, Specialist in National Defense
Foreign Affairs, Defense and Trade Policy: Key
Issues in the 107th Congress
Overview–Globalization and International Security
The new President and the 107th Congress are likely to face early challenges in
foreign,  defense  and  trade  policy,  including  unfinished  business  from  the  last
Congress.  Congressional  action  will  be  shaped  by  competing visions of the
appropriate U.S. role in the world.  The decade since the collapse of the Soviet Union
has brought profound changes in the international environment.  The United States
has been left as the sole superpower in a less predictable world than the one defined
for a half century by the U.S.-Soviet balance of power.  Years of uninterrupted U.S.
economic  expansion  have strengthened the U.S. position  as the dominant world
power, with an unprecedented ability to exert its influence. U.S. leadership is sought
and welcomed, even as it arouses wariness of U.S. hegemony.  At the same time, the
world is not static and we are witnessing the rise of new power centers in Asia and
Europe.  Chinese power is on the rise, even as Russian power seems to be waning,
and Europe continues fitfully towards integration.
The  emerging  global  economy,  built  on  a revolution in science, technology,
communications, and the unprecedented movement of people, ideas, and goods across
national boundaries, has profoundly changed international relations and the ability of
governments  to  control  developments  even  within  national  borders.  International
developments have an impact on domestic policy as never before.   The benefits of
globalization are far reaching, spurring world productivity, economic growth, and
access to information.  Advances in communications, information technology, science,
and medicine are likely to continue and even accelerate in the coming years.  Along
with the benefits come significant new challenges that may require further legislative
action.  Globalization brings economic dislocations in some areas and activates
political,  environmental,  and  cultural  concerns.   Transnational threats such as
terrorism, cyber-terrorism and warfare,  international crime, the spread of weapons
of mass destruction, the spread of contagious diseases, environmental problems, and
the potential for financial instability are on the rise. Global developments lend
themselves  less  and  less  to  control  or  influence by individual governments, yet
mechanisms to act jointly and across borders are still weak, as countries are reluctant
to cede sovereignty to international entities.  The 107th Congress will address many
issues associated with globalization.
How Congress deals with specific problems of national security, foreign policy
management,  foreign  aid,  relations  with  international  organizations,  regional hot
spots, trade and economic policy is closely tied to the unresolved debate over the
appropriate U.S. role in the world at the beginning of the 21st Century.  Profound
differences on this question are mirrored in congressional debate.  Many believe that
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strong  U.S.  leadership  within multilateral institutions will be necessary to find
cooperative solutions to world problems. Others are suspicious of these organizations
and reluctant to compromise U.S. freedom of action. The debate extends to issues
such as the role of U.S. alliances and the question of when and where the United
States  should  intervene with military force.  Should U.S. forces be used only in
defense of vital national interests or as a broader policy instrument?  Should they
participate  in  peacemaking,  peacekeeping,  nation-building, or humanitarian
interventions?   
There is more consensus than many realize among politicians and analysts about
the broad outline of U.S. defense policy in the early 21st Century: continuing and
somewhat increasing the small upturn in defense spending which began in FY1999;
maintaining nuclear weapons capabilities needed for a decreased, but still required,
deterrence regime; containing potential adversaries with forward-deployed forces in
Europe, Northeast Asia, and the Persian Gulf; and adapting the theories and concepts
of the computer-driven “Revolution in Military Affairs” (RMA) to actual forces and
operations, so as to maintain and increase our already formidable military-
technological and organizational superiority  over our adversaries.  Expressing these
principles in specific programs and budgets is what generates controversy.  How, for
instance, are even modest increases in defense spending to be carved out of predicted
budget surpluses already marked for Social Security protection, tax reduction, debt
retirement,  and  other  domestic  legislation?  Are  the  forces  we  have,  even  if their
readiness  is  improved,  sufficient  to  fight  one,  let alone two, major theater wars
without  incurring  tremendous  casualties,  and  possibly  temporary  defeats,  in the
process?  Is, in fact, the requirement that the U.S. forces be sized and structured to
fight and win two nearly simultaneous major theater wars a valid one?  Many wish to
deploy ballistic missile defense (BMD) systems, but reconciling development of a
BMD capability with great reluctance to let this particular “genie” out of the arms
control “bottle” will be difficult.  Too little spent on new technologies from the RMA,
and we risk being saddled with obsolete hardware later in the century.  Too much, and
for all of the dazzling experimentation and future promise being shown, we might not
have enough force structure in the “here and now” to go to war and win. In short, the
defense issues facing the 107th Congress will be ones of deciding how to do what the
Congress, the new Administration,  and the American public want to do.  This will
become apparent as Congress acts on the FY2002 budget resolution, foreign relations
authorization,  defense  authorization,  and  appropriation  bills  for DOD, State
Department, and foreign operations throughout 2001.
U.S. Foreign and Security Policy
Economic Sanctions and U.S. Foreign Policy
The 107th Congress inherits from its predecessors a continuing debate about how
and  when  to  use  economic  sanctions  in  furtherance  of  foreign  policy  or  national
security goals.  The use of economic sanctions – coercive economic measures taken
against one or more countries or entities to force a change in policies, or at least to
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demonstrate a country’s opinion about the other’s policies1 –   has generally been
supported by both the Congress and the President as an option to combat proliferation
of weapons of mass destruction, terrorism, aggression, drug trafficking, or human
rights abuses.  In the 105th and 106th Congress, however, legislation was introduced
to reform the way economic sanctions are used in foreign policy.  Reform proposals,
advocated  by  U.S.  business  and  farm lobbyists, would require or encourage the
President or Congress to exhaust other foreign policy tools – diplomatic, political or
cultural – first; to make the use of sanctions more transparent, so that the anticipated
costs and benefits are understood beforehand; to engage Congress more fully in the
decisionmaking process heretofore left primarily to the Executive Branch; to target
the sanctions to minimize the impact on people in a targeted country who are not
viewed as part of the problem; and to require a regular review of sanctions regimes
with an eye toward easing or lifting the restrictions.
The 106th Congress considered more than 150 legislative proposals to impose
new sanctions, ease current regimes, or overhaul the entire process that the legislative
and executive branches employ when considering the use of sanctions in national
security or foreign policy.  The 106th  Congress enacted legislation to ease sanctions,
including (1) authorizing the President to lift or modify sanctions imposed against
India and Pakistan in the wake of their nuclear weapons tests, (2) granting normal
trade relations status to Albania and Kyrgyzstan, and (3) granting permanent normal
trade relations status to China.  Most notably, the 106th Congress passed the Trade
Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act of 2000 (P.L. 106-387) to limit the
President’s  authority  to impose sanctions that would restrict the export of food,
agricultural commodities, medicines, or medical devices to targeted countries.
The 106th Congress also enacted legislation to impose new sanctions or fine-tune
existing sanctions regimes, including (1) the Iran Nonproliferation Act; (2) the North
Korea Threat Reduction Act, also pertaining to Nonproliferation; (3) the Foreign
Narcotics Kingpin Designation Act, to freeze U.S.-based assets; (4) the Trafficking
Victims Protection Act, targeting those involved in trafficking of women and children
for sex or slavery; and (5) new restrictions on travel to Cuba.  (See sections on the
Persian Gulf and Cuba, below)
Expectations for sanctions consideration in the 107th Congress derive from a
combination of unfinished work and current world events.  In each of the following
instances, a larger question of engagement vs. isolation as a viable foreign policy
strategy likely will affect the debate.  Legislation to reform the way sanctions are
imposed, implemented, and lifted is expected to be introduced early in the 1st session.
Advocates for sanctions reform, in the Congress and in the business community, have
stated  their  continued  resolve  to  enact  legislation.  Nonproliferation watchdogs
promise to be active.  Nonproliferation issues are considered unfinished by many vis-
a-vis the People’s Republic of China, for example, included in the debate in the 106th
Congress  over  that country’s permanent normal trade relations status.  Recent
proliferation-related events in North Korea and Russia also might lend themselves to
legislation early in the 107th Congress.  U.S. foreign policy toward Iran and Libya will
1 As generally defined in Carter, Barry E., International Economic Sanctions: Improving the
Haphazard U.S. Legal Regime.  Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988.  p. 4.
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have renewed attention in 2001, at a minimum when reauthorization of the Iran and
Libya Sanctions Act is raised.  Some amount of discontent was stirred when, as a
compromise to enact the food and medicine exemption from sanctions policy, travel
to  Cuba  was further restricted. (See Cuba , below) Advocates supporting more
normal or open relations with Cuba may introduce legislation to lift the travel ban or,
at  least,  rededicate  the  new  restriction  imposed  in  2000.  Each year for the past
several Congresses, legislation has been introduced to normalize all aspects of U.S.-
Cuba  relations.  In mid-2000, the State Department announced that it would no
longer use the term “rogue state” to describe “countries of concern.”  Some perceive
this as a beginning of a process of revamping the U.S. approach to countries judged
to be supporters of international terrorism.  If such a reorganization is undertaken,
Congress could play a significant role in defining what constitutes a “terrorist state.”
At a minimum, the 107th Congress is likely to take up a reauthorization of the Export
Administration Act (EAA), in which basic components of the current policy toward
terrorist states are found.  
In 2000, the Supreme Court ruled against states and localities making foreign
policy  by  imposing  their  own  sanctions  regimes.  Late in the 106th  Congress,
legislation  was  introduced  to  reinforce  this  ruling.  The issue of state and local
sanctions  may  continue  in  the  107th  Congress.  The 105th Congress enacted the
International Religious Freedom Act to incorporate standards of religious freedom
and protection of religious minorities in U.S. foreign policy.  The Act established,
within the State Department, the Office of International Religious Freedom.  Some
anticipate that the Members of the 107th Congress will give great attention to the
Office’s  annual  report,  due  September  1,  and  recommendations  for imposing
sanctions against transgressor states.  Finally, events in the Middle East resulted in the
106th Congress, in its waning days, considering legislation to “oppose the unilateral
declaration of a Palestinian state, to withhold diplomatic recognition of any Palestinian
state that is unilaterally declared, and to encourage other countries and international
organizations  to  withhold  diplomatic  recognition of any Palestinian state that is
unilaterally  declared.”2  The issue may invite legislative action early in the 107th
Congress.
CRS Products
Economic Sanctions to Achieve U.S. Foreign Policy Goals: Discussion and Guide to
Current Law, by Dianne E. Rennack and Robert D. Shuey, CRS Report 97-949 F
Economic Sanctions: Legislation in the 106th Congress, by Dianne E. Rennack, CRS
Report RL30384
Nuclear, Biological, Chemical and Missile Proliferation Sanctions: Selected Current
Law, by Dianne E. Rennack, CRS Report 98-116 F
2 S. 3250, Peace through Negotiations Act of 2000, introduced on October 26, 2000.  See also
H.R. 5522, introduced on October 19, 2000.
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Foreign Assistance Budget and Policy Issues
U.S. foreign assistance programs support a broad range of American foreign
policy interests, including promoting the expansion of democracy and open market
economies, combating global health challenges, fighting poverty and other causes of
instability  in  developing  nations,  countering  terrorism,  drug trafficking, weapons
proliferation, and other transnational threats, supporting peace efforts in the Middle
East and elsewhere, contributing to humanitarian needs of victims of natural disasters
and conflict, and advancing U.S. economic opportunities in emerging economies.
Congress plays an important role in shaping American foreign aid policy and spending
priorities through annual enactment of the Foreign Operations Appropriations bill.
Moreover,  the legislation frequently becomes an important instrument for
congressional participation in broad aspects of U.S. foreign policy decision-making
on numerous issues.
Over the past decade, American policymakers and Congress have struggled in
their attempt to agree on a new core foreign aid rationale to replace the strategically-
oriented  justification of the Cold War.  In the recent past, the President and Congress
have shared common priorities for using foreign aid to respond to humanitarian and
emergency global requirements, counter global health problems, including HIV/AIDS,
and support Middle East peace initiatives.  On other issues, however, there is far less
agreement.  Among the most contentious matters in recent foreign aid debates are
international  family  planning  policy  and  whether  abortion  restrictions  should  be
incorporated, aid conditions for Russia, Yugoslavia and other recipients, strategies for
blocking  North  Korea’s  nuclear  weapons  development, and the organizational
structure of the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).
Overall  foreign  assistance  funding  levels  have  also  been  a  source  of  sharp
disagreement between the two branches.  In FY1996/97, Congress cut foreign aid
spending by over 10% to about $12.3 billion.  Resources have increased to nearly
$16.5  billion  in  FY2000,  after  President  Clinton vetoed the original foreign aid
appropriations  because  of  inadequate funding.  Much of the higher spending,
however, has been concentrated on unforseen international emergencies or one-time
special initiatives, such as Central American hurricane relief, Kosovo humanitarian
assistance, Colombia counternarcotics aid, or Middle East peace-related transfers.
Except for global health programs and poor country debt relief initiatives, few longer-
term,  continuing  foreign  aid  objectives have received increased funding in recent
years.  House and Senate preliminary approval earlier this year of roughly $13.3
billion in Foreign Operations bills for FY2001  – 12% less than the President’s $15.1
billion request – prompted further veto threats. Congress ultimately agreed to $14.9
billion, including several top Presidential priorities for HIV/AIDS and debt relief.
The 107th Congress will confront a number of foreign aid policy and funding
challenges,  including  the likely continuation of disputes over international family
planning and congressional earmarks and aid restrictions that the Executive branch
has  said  undermine  the  President’s ability to conduct foreign policy.  A new
Administration  is  likely  to  undertake a review of broad U.S. foreign aid policy
objectives and may seek congressional authorization for alternative approaches.  The
organizational structure of agencies managing foreign aid programs, especially the
relationship between USAID and the State Department, might also be revisited in the
CRS-6
new Congress.  How much of the budget to allocate for foreign assistance will come
under  close  scrutiny,  and  if  the  experience  of  the  past  three  years repeats itself,
Congress could confront emergency supplemental foreign aid spending requests early
in the new session.  President Clinton has asked the 106th Congress to provide an
additional $750 million  in military assistance for Israel, Egypt, and Jordan, but a
decision on whether to fund the proposal could slip into 2001.
CRS Products
Africa: U.S. Foreign Assistance Issues, by Raymond W. Copson, CRS Issue Brief
IB95052.
Appropriations for FY2001: Foreign Operations, Export Financing, and Related
Programs, by Larry Q. Nowels, CRS Report RL30511.
The Former Soviet Union and U.S. Foreign Assistance, Curt Tarnoff, CRS Issue Brief
IB95077.
Multilateral Development Banks: Issues for the 106th Congress, by Jonathan Sanford,
CRS Issue Brief IB96008.
Foreign Debt Reduction: the Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC)
Initiative
Mounting debt burdens in poor African, Asian, and Latin American nations have
undermined efforts to stimulate economic growth and to finance basic social programs
aimed  at poverty reduction.  Over the past decade, the United States and other
creditor governments have engaged in numerous debt rescheduling and cancellation
schemes for governments that demonstrate a commitment to  sound economic and
social policy reforms.  The most recent of these debt relief arrangements – the Heavily
Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) initiative – was launched in 1996, and included for the
first time the participation of the World Bank, the IMF, and other public international
financial institutions that hold more than one-third of debt owed by the 41 HIPC-
designated  nations.  Critics, including Jubilee 2000 and other religious and non-
governmental organizations, charged, however, that HIPC did not offer sufficient debt
relief, excluded several debt-strapped countries, and required a lengthy qualifying
period during which poverty continued to mount.  
In 1999, led by the United States and Great Britain, the G-7, and subsequently
the  World  Bank  and  IMF,  agreed  to  significantly  expand  HIPC  terms  to  roughly
double the costs of the initiative.  Under “Enhanced HIPC,” as much as $90 billion
of poor country debt could be cancelled, cutting annual debt service by roughly one-
half and re-directing the debt “savings” to investments in education, health, clean
water and other priority sectors.  About 20 countries are expected to qualify at least
at a preliminary stage by the end of 2000, while 32 of the 41 HIPC countries may
eventually receive benefits.
The United States pledged $920 million for the HIPC initiative over four years,
including a $600 million contribution to the HIPC Trust Fund which will facilitate
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debt  write-offs by regional multilateral financial institutions such as the African
Development Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank.  The $435 million
sought  by  the  Clinton  Administration  for  FY2001  became  one  of  the  top  foreign
assistance funding priorities this year.  Congress approved the entire HIPC request,
but required qualifying countries to agree not to borrow at non-concessional interest
rates for two years and directed the Treasury Secretary to explore options at the
World Bank to increase grant assistance to HIPC nations.
During the 107th Congress, lawmakers are expected to consider a $240 million
funding request which would complete the U.S. $600 million commitment to the
HIPC Trust Fund.  Congress may also monitor implementation of HIPC agreements
with  early  qualifying  countries, focusing especially on whether governments are
following  economic  reform  conditions and if debt savings are being invested in
poverty  reduction  programs  through  a  transparent,  participatory  decision-making
process with the full involvement of civil society.
CRS Products
Debt and Developing in Poor Countries: Rethinking Policy Responses,  J.F. Hornbeck,
CRS Report RL30449
Debt Reduction: Initiatives for the Most Heavily Indebted Poor Countries, by Larry Q.
Nowels, CRS Report RL30214
Foreign Policy Management and the Budget
The first session of the 107th Congress will be required to consider legislation
both for foreign policy authorization and funding appropriations in a bill that combines
spending for the Commerce, Justice and State Departments. Every two years
Congress  must  reauthorize  spending  for  the  Department of State, foreign policy
programs,  and  personnel  by  passing  or  waiving  the  biannual  foreign  relations
reauthorization legislation.  In addition, each year Congress must  appropriate State
Department and related agency funding.  Typically, these bills become vehicles for a
full range of foreign relations-related provisions.  For example, foreign policy agency
reorganization was mandated in 1998 by the foreign relations authorization act (P.L.
105-277).  The 106th Congress passed its foreign relations authorization legislation
(P.L.  106-113)  which  included  authority  for  the Department of State to spend
significantly more on embassy security through FY2004.
Throughout  the  1990s,  both  the  Administration  and  Congress  sought  to
reorganize the U.S. foreign policy agencies with goals of streamlining their work and
attaining budgetary savings.  A number of proposals to reorganize the Department of
State  culminated  in  the  Foreign  Affairs  Reform  and  Restructuring  Act  of  1998
(division G, P.L. 105-277).  The Act required abolishing the U.S. Information Agency
(USIA) and the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency (ACDA), merging their
functions into the Department of State, and maintaining a separate international
broadcasting entity–the Broadcasting Board of Governors (BBG).  The Act did not
merge the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) into the Department
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of State, but did require USAID to reorganize and come under the authority of the
Secretary of State.  The 107th  Congress could consider renewed proposals to: 1)
merge USAID into State to better coordinate U.S. foreign policy with foreign aid and
2) unify administration of all agencies’ Foreign Service operations.
Annual appropriations issues in the 106th Congress focused on embassy security
(due to the August 7, 1998 bombing of  two U.S. embassies in Africa) and possible
budget savings derived from the foreign policy agency reorganization.  The FY1999
State Department budget included a budget supplemental of $1.56 billion for overseas
embassy  security  needs.  Since Congress has provided full funding for embassy
security over the past two years, no budget savings resulting from reorganization is
evident.  On the contrary, the conference report for the State Department’s FY2001
appropriation (H.R. 4942, H.Rept. 106-1005) represents an increase of $750 million
over the FY1999 enacted level and $88 million more than the President requested for
the State Department and related agencies for FY2001.
In response to the 1998 embassy bombing, the State Department established a
review  panel,  the Overseas Presence Advisory Panel (OPAP), which reported its
concerns and recommendations on how to increase security at U.S. overseas facilities.
The 107th Congress may consider these recommendations, as well as some experts’
concerns that, as security at U.S. government targets is tightened, risks for American
tourists and businesses may grow.  In addition to security issues, the Foreign Service
continues  to  respond  to  criticisms  of  inadequate minority hiring and insufficient
foreign language and management skills prior to hiring.  Some of these issues also are
being addressed by the Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA) process.
CRS Products
Embassy Security: Background, Funding, and the FY2001 Budget, 
          by Susan B. Epstein, CRS Report RL30662 
State Department and Related Agencies: FY2001 Appropriations, 
          by Susan B. Epstein, CRS Report RL30591
International Family Planning:  Abortion Policy and Funding Issues
Since 1965, U.S. policy has supported international population planning based
on principles of voluntarism and informed choice that gives participants access to
information on all methods of birth control.  This policy, however, has generated
contentious debate for nearly three decades, resulting in frequent clarification and
modification  of  U.S.  international  family  planning  programs.  In the early 1970s,
Congress  added a provision to the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 prohibiting the use
of U.S. appropriated funds for abortion-related activities and coercive family planning
programs.  During the mid-1980s, in what has become known as the “Mexico City”
policy (because it was first announced at the 1984 Mexico City Population
Conference), the Reagan, and later the Bush, Administrations restricted U.S. funds
for foreign non-governmental organizations (NGOs) that were involved in performing
or promoting abortions in countries where they worked, even if such activities were
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undertaken with non-U.S. funds.  Several groups, including International Planned
Parenthood Federation-London (IPPF-London), became ineligible for U.S. financial
support.  In some years, Congress narrowly approved measures to overturn this
prohibition, but White House vetoes kept the policy in place.  President Clinton in
1993 reversed the position of his two predecessors, allowing the United States to
resume funding for all family planning organizations so long as no U.S. money was
used by those involved in abortion-related work.
Since 1995, international family planning policy and the abortion question has
been the most contentious issue in annual congressional foreign aid debates.  The
House has routinely voted to reinstate the Mexico City policy while the Senate has
favored a position leaving the decision in the hands of the Administration.  Moreover,
President  Clinton  has  threatened  to  veto  any  bill  that  includes  the  House-passed
Mexico City restrictions.  Unable to reach an agreement satisfactory to both sides,
Congress adopted a series of interim arrangements for FY1996-1999 that did not
resolve the broad international family planning controversy, but permitted the stalled
Foreign  Operations  appropriations  measure  to  move forward.  The annual
“compromise”  removed  House-added  Mexico  City  restrictions,  but  reduced
population assistance to $385 million, and in several years, “metered” the availability
of the funds at a rate of one-twelfth of the $385 million per month.
The FY2000 debate, however, reached a different conclusion on the international
family planning question.  Congressional leaders insisted that if the President wanted
Congress to approve legislation authorizing the payment of nearly $1 billion of U.S.
arrears  owed  to  the  United  Nations,  the  White  House  must also accept revised
Mexico  City  language  adding  abortion restrictions to U.S. population assistance
policy.  In order to remove the obstacles to U.N. arrears payments, President Clinton
reluctantly agreed to the abortion restrictions, marking the first time that Mexico City
conditions had been included in enacted legislation.
For  FY2001,  President  Clinton  sought a substantial increase in population
assistance – $541 million – and vowed to veto any legislation that continued Mexico
City abortion restrictions.  Unable to resolve opposing House and Senate positions
on the family planning issue, Congress agreed to leave the decision up to the new
President.  Under the terms of P.L. 106-429 (Foreign Operations Appropriations,
2001), none of the $425 million for population assistance may be obligated until
February 15, 2001.  Although most observers expect that President-elect  Bush will
place some type of abortion-related restriction on population funding, possibly similar
to  the  Mexico  City  conditions  applied  during  the 1980s and early 1990s, in late
October,  a  Bush  campaign  spokesman  declined to speculate on what a Bush
Administration might do.  He did say, however, that as a matter of principle,
“Governor Bush does not favor using federal funds for abortion or abortion-related
counseling at home or abroad.”3
Regardless of which policy is applied after February 15, 2001, the new Congress
will likely  remain divided on the question of international family planning policy and
3  Republicans Agree on Abortion Deal to Advance Budget, New York Times, October 25,
2000, p. A1.)
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abortion,  and  confront  difficult  debates  when the House and Senate consider the
FY2002 Foreign Operations spending bill.
CRS Products
U.S. International Population Assistance: Issues for Congress, by Larry Q. Nowels,
CRS Issue Brief IB96026
International Financial Institutions
The International Financial Institutions (IFIs) include the World Bank and the
four regional development banks and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).  In the
106th Congress, action on the IFIs occurred on two fronts.   The first comprised
funding for the IFIs and for the program aimed at forgiving debt owed by Heavily
Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs). (See section on debt reduction, above) The second
involved proposals for changing the policies and structures of the IFIs.  (See IMF
Reform, below)   In both 1999 and 2000, Congress cut U.S.funding for the World
Bank and other multilateral development bank (MDB) programs substantially from
the President’s request.  In 1999, the President vetoed the appropriations legislation
on grounds that he believed the cuts for MDB programs had been too great.  In 1999
and 2000, most of the cuts were restored in the final legislation which the President
signed into law.  The Administration also sought authority for a U.S. contribution to
the HIPC trust fund and language which would enable the IMF to use certain blocked
funds– profits from an earlier gold sale– for the HIPC program.  Congress withheld
this permission in 1999 but included it in the final 2000 appropriations legislation as
part of a broad agreement on IFI policy issues.  Leading Members of the majority had
sought to effect major changes that would make their loans more costly to borrowers
and access to IFI credit more conditioned on countries implementing major market-
oriented economic reforms.  Agreement to adopt these changes would have to be
approved before the HIPC contribution and gold sale funds would be approved.  In
the  end,  Congress  approved  the  latter  two  measures  without  specific  conditions.
However, the Secretary of the Treasury was required to report periodically on the
progress being made towards the implementation of certain reforms or policy goals.
Initiatives  may  come  forward  in  the  107th  Congress  that aim to seek major
changes in the IFIs along the lines discussed above.  Alternatively, proposals may be
made to include standards associated with environment and labor issues as necessary
factors in the IFI loan process.  Strong U.S. initiatives of either type may result in
conflict with other major IFI member countries who have quite different views about
IFI priorities.
CRS-11
CRS Products
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Debt Relief, and Gold: Check List of CRS Products,
by Sherry B. Shapiro, CRS Check List CL40033
IMF Reform and the International Financial Institutions Advisory Commission, by J. F.
Hornbeck, CRS Report 30636 
Multilateral Development Banks: Issues for the 106th Congress, by Jonathan E. Sanford,
CRS Issue Brief IB96008
Peacekeeping
 For nearly a decade, Congress has been sharply divided over a broad range of
issues related to U.S. world-wide peacekeeping and related security commitments,
several  of  which  will  most  likely  be  a  focus  of  the  107th  Congress’  debate  on
international  security.  The  crux  of  the  recent  controversy  in  Congress  is  the
desirability of  U.S. military forces’ participation in such operations, particularly the
9,800 troops serving in two NATO Balkan operations in Bosnia and Kosovo, relative
to the costs and strains of such participation.  The issue of positioning U.S. troops
under the operational control of U.N. commanders seems less pressing now, when
some 35 U.S. troops serve in U.N. operations, than during the 1990s, when, at peak,
over 3,000 U.S. did so.  (The Bosnia and Kosovo operations are under NATO and
not U.N. control.)  However, questions are still raised about the utility of several on-
going  U.N.  peacekeeping  operations (which total 15 operations, involving nearly
38,000 troops from 88 other countries, to which the U.S. contributed almost $500
million in FY2000), particularly those in Kosovo, East Timor, Sierra Leone, and the
Democratic Republic of the Congo. 
Debate in the 106th Congress over U.S. peacekeeping deployments centered on
the 4,200 U.S. troops serving in Kosovo under NATO, at an estimated FY2000 cost
of $1.7 billion.  Arguing that European nations were not carrying their fair share of
the burden, many Members of Congress made several attempts to limit the length of
and spending on the U.S. deployment there, but these efforts did not prevail.  Other
Members countered that European nations were providing over 80% of the assistance
to  Kosovo,  and  worried  that  attempts  to  withdraw  U.S  forces  would  undermine
NATO and U.S. leadership.  In providing $2.0 billion in supplemental funding for
FY2000 Kosovo costs in the FY2001 military construction appropriations bill (P.L.
106-246), Congress removed House provisions that would have allowed a cutoff in
funding  for  U.S.  deployments  in  Kosovo  after July 1, 2001. However, Congress
subsequently  limited  FY2001  spending  in  Kosovo  to  $1.65  billion,  with  a  waiver
allowed under certain conditions, and required a series of reports on European
assistance  and  on  efforts  to  resolve  the  Balkan  situations.  For a discussion of
congressional actions regarding U.N. Peacekeeping Operations, see the section of this
report on United Nations reform.    
Debate  over  the  appropriate  U.S.  role  and amount of U.S. assistance in
peacekeeping  efforts  in  general,  and  in  the  Balkans  in particular, is expected to
continue,  especially  given  President-elect George W. Bush’s stated reservations
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regarding open-ended “nation-building” missions involving U.S. ground forces.  The
high  costs  of  international peacekeeping and related U.S. security commitments,
which totaled over $4 billion in FY2000, and their effects on the readiness of U.S.
forces will be other sources of concern. The initiation of a new Quadrennial Defense
Review (QDR) process in early 2001 may provoke an extensive debate on force size
and structure related to peacekeeping activities, also encompassing whether, where,
and under what circumstances U.S. troops should be deployed on such missions.
Continuing congressional scrutiny of issues regarding U.N. operations can be
expected, as discussed below.
CRS Products
Peacekeeping: Issues of U.S. Military Involvement, by Nina M. Serafino, CRS Issue Brief
IB94040
United Nations Peacekeeping: Issues for Congress, by Marjorie Ann Browne, CRS Issue
Brief IB90103 
U.S.  Forces  and  Multinational  Commands:  PDD-25  and  Precedents,  by Edward F.
Bruner, CRS Report 94-887
Security Threats: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Weapons  
Congress, the Administration, and our allies are debating the best combination
of  policies  to  counter  threats  posed by nuclear, biological, and chemical (NBC)
weapons.  Those policies include maintaining strong and credible deterrence,
employing active and passive defenses, maintaining alliances and multilateral regimes,
preventing foreign acquisition of dangerous materials and technology, engaging with
potential adversaries, negotiating reductions and control of weapons, neutralizing
terrorist groups, imposing sanctions and providing incentives, and promoting regional
peace.  Since the Cold War a number of developments have challenged past policies:
the demise of the Soviet Union as the primary threat; the acquisition of NBC weapons
by more countries; the information technology revolution; the increased availability
of weapons material, technology, and engineers; globalization of business and finance;
and an evolution of missile defense technology.  Confronting the 106th Congress were
the 1998 nuclear tests by India and Pakistan, missile tests by North Korea, Iran, and
Pakistan, and continuing transfers of nuclear and missile technology by Russia, China,
and North Korea.  Congress acted on a number of issues related to NBC weapons,
as summarized immediately below.  Missile defense also was emphasized by the 106th
Congress, as discussed below under Defense Policy.
Russian nuclear and missile technology exports to Iran led Congress to pass the
Iran Nonproliferation Act (P.L. 106-178) authorizing  the President to impose aid and
trade  sanctions  against  proliferating companies or organizations.  Congress also
supported DOD’s Cooperative Threat Reduction and associated programs to help
secure NBC weapons, material, and technology in states of the former Soviet Union.
One exception to this support, however, has been Congress’s restriction of funds for
a CW destruction facility in Russia, citing a lack of confidence in Russia’s ability to
fund the facility once constructed. 
CRS-13
The People’s Republic of China has acquired technology from the United States
that harms U.S. national security, according to the congressional Cox Committee
which  released its declassified report in May 1999.  The DOD authorization for
FY2000 (P.L. 106-65) included several provisions on export controls that had been
recommended by the report.  In 2000, Congress also passed a trade bill to authorize
nondiscriminatory treatment (Permanent Normal Trade Relations) to China and to
establish a framework for trade relations between the U.S. and China (P.L. 106-286).
Although other proposals to restrict trade to China were introduced, none passed. 
On  North  Korea,  the  Speaker’s  Advisory Group issued a detailed report in
November 1999 describing the threat posed by North Korea to U.S. national security.
The  North  Korean  Threat Reduction Act of 1999 (in P.L. 106-113) prohibits a
nuclear cooperation agreement between North Korea and the United States unless the
President determines North Korea is in compliance with certain commitments and
does not have a nuclear weapons program.  
Congress also authorized the President to waive  economic sanctions on India
and Pakistan for  detonating nuclear explosive devices or for other activities related
to nuclear weapons (P.L. 106-79).  Though Congress could not agree on a thorough
revision of the Export Administration Act (EAA) of 1979 (S. 1712), it approved a bill
(H.R. 5239) that extends the EAA until August 2001. In October 1999, the Senate
voted against advice and consent to the ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban
Treaty.  The FY2001 defense authorization bill requires  the administration to conduct
a comprehensive nuclear posture review and report the results to Congress in
December  2001.  It also calls for a plan for the long term sustainment and
modernization of U.S. nuclear forces with a report to Congress by April 15, 2001, and
a report by July 1, 2001 on the requirement and capabilities to defeat hardened targets
and stockpiles of NBC weapons.
It  appears  likely  that early in 2001  Congress  will  review  the  development,
testing, and perhaps deployment of national and theater missile defense systems.  It
will probably again consider ways to prevent countries such as Iran, Iraq, and North
Korea from developing NBC weapons and delivery systems, and ways to prevent
entities in countries such as China, Russia, and North Korea from transferring NBC
weapon and missile technology to other countries.  Revisions of the Export
Administration  Act  and  possibly  new  sanctions and incentives to prevent further
proliferation of NBC weapons and missiles will likely be discussed.  Special attention
may be focused on U.S. exports of satellites, high-performance computers, encryption
systems, and conventional weapons.  Congress may respond to positive or negative
NBC weapons and missile developments in North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Pakistan, India,
or  elsewhere.  Programs to counter the threat of NBC weapons in the hands of
international terrorists are likely to be considered (see the Terrorism section, below),
as are the status and credibility of U.S. deterrence against hostile states and terrorist
groups.   The States which are parties to the Biological Weapons Convention will
meet  in  2001,  and  are  expected  to  adopt  a  new  protocol  intended  to  enhance
convention compliance and non-proliferation efforts.  The protocol has been under
negotiation for five years and is expected to  spark significant debate over the issues
of international inspections, export controls, and protection of proprietary commercial
information.  If the protocol is adopted, the President will decide when  it will be
submitted to the Senate for its advice and consent.
CRS-14
Because  recent  political,  economic,  and  technological developments have
generated  support  for  significantly  different  policy  approaches  for  countering the
NBC weapon threat, Congress or the Administration may initiate a broad review of
options, priorities, and their application to geographic regions.
CRS Products 
Weapons of Mass Destruction, Nonproliferation, and Arms Control:  A Checklist of CRS
Products, by Sherry B. Shapiro, CRS Checklist 40035. 
United Nations Reform 
United Nations reform, as variously defined, has drawn the attention of many in
Congress and the executive branch as well as in other U.N. member governments.
Congressional views and expectations on the need for United Nations reform have (1)
resulted in significant arrearage in U.S. contributions, especially to U.N. peacekeeping
accounts, and (2) led to Congress’ specifying conditions to be met before the release
of U.S. funds appropriated to reduce most of these arrearage.  Two areas of desired
change are: (1) a reduction of U.S. assessment levels for contributions to the U.N.
regular  budget  and  U.N.  peacekeeping  accounts,  and  (2)  the  continuation  of
zerobased  budgeting both by the United Nations and by certain U.N. specialized
agencies.  
On November 29, 1999, Congress passed, and the President signed, legislation
setting  forth  the  conditions  for  U.S.  payment  of  its  arrears, or outstanding
contributions, to the United Nations for regular budget and peacekeeping accounts.
The amount appropriated and subject to these conditions was $926 million, including
$819 million in cash payments and $107 million in credits from the United Nations.
As of November 7, 2000, the United States had paid the first increment of $100
million, after certifying that the relevant conditions had been met.
Congressional  funding  in  2000 of the President’s full request (FY2000
supplemental request of $107 million and FY2001 request of $738.6 million) for the
Contributions  to  International  Peacekeeping  Activities  (CIPA)  account  had  been
problematic.  Congressional committees had expressed concern over increasing costs
and  expanding  activities  of  U.N.-conducted  peacekeeping  operations  and had
disagreed over the use of U.N. peacekeeping operations in internal conflicts in Africa,
including those with cross border impacts.  In late October, Congress appropriated
$846 million for CIPA, the amount the President had requested.  
If U.N. members, during the 55th session of the U.N. General Assembly meeting
initially through mid-December 2000, reduce the U.N. scale of assessments level for
the United States from 25% to 22% for the U.N. regular budget and to 25% for U.N.
peacekeeping accounts; this would allow the release of “traunche 2 funding” of $475
million for U.S. arrears.   A major question is how will the new U.S. President and
Congress respond in the year 2001 if the U.S. assessment levels are not reduced?
Other areas for possible attention in 2001 include continuing congressional review of
the implementation of the reform conditions set forth in the 1999-enacted legislation;
CRS-15
continuing review of the executive branch process for support of new or expanded
U.N.  peacekeeping  operations,  now  being  conducted  by  the  General  Accounting
Office in its report on how Presidential Decision Directive 25 has been applied; and
review of U.N. peacekeeping reform proposals presented in the Report of the Panel
on United Nations Peace Operations (the Brahimi report) and the U.N. Secretary-
General’s plan to implement its recommendations.
CRS Products
United Nations Peacekeeping: Issues for Congress, by  Marjorie Ann Browne, CRS
Issue Brief IB90103
U.N. System Funding: Congressional Issues, by Vita Bite, CRS Issue Brief IB86116 
Global Issues
Global Climate Change
Concerns that the increase in “greenhouse gases” in the atmosphere has caused
warming of the Earth’s climate have led to a number of international responses, as
well as issues of interest to the U.S. Congress.  The 1992 United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), which the United States has ratified,
contained voluntary commitments by all parties to that treaty to take steps to reduce
their emissions of greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide produced by burning
of fossil fuels and wood (as well as five other gases from other sources).  Congress
has been primarily concerned with the issues connected with the 1997 Kyoto Protocol
to  the  UNFCCC,  which  contains  legally  binding  emission  reductions for 38
industrialized  nations,  including  the  United  States.  The Senate passed S.Res.98
before the Kyoto Protocol was completed, warning that the United States should not
sign a treaty that would harm the U.S. economy or did not include commitments for
developing countries.  Congress has held oversight hearings on many aspects of the
economic impacts and scientific findings related to climate change generally and the
Kyoto Protocol specifically.  Legislation has also been introduced related to needed
scientific  research,  policies  on  domestic credit for activities to reduce carbon
emissions or increase carbon sinks (discussed below), and to limit the activities of the
government that could be regarded as implementing the Kyoto Protocol before it has
been approved.  
The United States has signed the Kyoto Protocol, but it has not been submitted
to the Senate for its advice and consent because the Clinton Administration has been
seeking to obtain “meaningful participation” of developing countries, and it has been
pursuing the continuing negotiations to agree on rules governing various aspects of
how  the  Protocol  would  operate.  These rules have key relevance to economic
impacts of U.S. commitments, in particular, how much the United States could rely
on “flexibility” mechanisms that would reduce domestic measures needed to meet its
commitments,  through trading  emission “credits” with other countries and relying
on its extensive forest and agricultural lands to absorb carbon, acting as “sinks.”   In
CRS-16
November 2000, negotiations held  in The Hague, Netherlands, were expected to
resolve a number of political and operational issues on how the Kyoto Protocol would
work.  However, these negotiations collapsed when some of the key issues regarding
flexibility  mechanisms  and  use  of  carbon  sinks  eluded  political agreement among
ministers from developed countries.  A large congressional delegation attended these
negotiations, and it appears likely that Congress will continue to conduct oversight
hearings and consider legislation related to the issues of climate change generally, and
the Kyoto Protocol negotiations specifically.
CRS Products
Global Climate Change, CRS Electronic Briefing Book
[http://www.congress.gov/brbk/html/ebgcc1.html]
International Disease Response
The  106th  Congress and the Clinton Administration focused on the growing
threat of infectious disease, especially HIV/AIDS, primarily in Africa. (See Africa,
below.)  The United States responds to the health needs of developing countries
primarily  through the foreign aid program.  But because diseases cross national
borders, other agencies, such as the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
and the Department of Defense are also involved in medical programs as part of their
missions.    
Health expenditures are made through various foreign aid accounts, with the
bulk  of  aid  provided as part of the Child Survival and Disease account. USAID
estimates that health spending provided in all accounts of the foreign aid legislation
(not including population programs) will total $836.9 million in FY2000 and $795.3
million  in  2001.  This includes $260.2 million for HIV/AIDS, $63 million for
infectious disease, and $110 million for UNICEF.
Congress  has  been  very  supportive  of  international  health  assistance,
appropriating at the  request level or higher with wide bipartisan support.   Several
bills adopted in the 106th Congress address international health. P.L. 106-429,  the
Foreign Operations Appropriation, enacts by reference legislation providing $860
million for international health programs.  This includes $300 million for HIV/AIDS,
and $125 million for infectious disease.  In addition, PL 106-259, the Department of
Defense Appropriations Act includes $10 million to be used for HIV prevention
education activities in Africa.  
International health issues will continue to be of interest to the 107th Congress
as the world becomes increasingly interconnected.  Infectious disease, particularly
HIV/AIDS, has been incorporated into international discussions and activities of many
international agencies and will continue as a major issue worldwide for the foreseeable
future.  
Another health issue likely to arise is the proposed Framework Convention on
Tobacco Control.  Negotiations on the new treaty began in the fall of 1999.  It is
CRS-17
expected to be opened for signature by 2003, but will be debated in the World Health
Organization throughout the next two years.   
International Narcotics Control
International political and economic instability, especially political turmoil and
ethnic strife in third world and former communist states where police capabilities have
been drastically reduced, provide fertile ground for expansion of a wide range of
criminal activities.  One such criminal activity, illicit production and smuggling of
narcotics, remains an important area of concern for Congress.   
Increasingly, drug trafficking organizations, terrorist organizations, and other
international criminal groups cooperate with each other to facilitate illicit cross-border
and transnational activities. Intergovernmental cooperative efforts to combat such
criminal enterprises are often slow and cumbersome.  
Generic  issues  likely to be the focus of attention in the upcoming Congress
include  (1)  the President’s  March 1 certifications for major drug producing or
transiting  countries  (an  annual  certification  as  to  a  country's cooperation in
international  drug  control  efforts  is  required  of  the  President  under  the  Foreign
Assistance Act of 1961; a negative certification may result in loss or reduction of
foreign assistance); (2) the effectiveness of current drug interdiction policies; (3) the
rising importance of drug cartels in Mexico and their potential destabilizing effect on
that country; (4) the growing relationships between drug traffickers, terrorists, and
other organized criminal groups; and (5) North Korean drug production and
trafficking activity.  Moreover, U.S. relations with Burma, the world’s largest source
of illicit opium and heroin, are strained over lack of narcotics control cooperation and
human  rights  violations.  Prospects for immediate improvement in relations with
Burma do not appear promising.
 An issue of growing importance in the 107th Congress is expected to be the
effectiveness of implementation of Plan Colombia, the congressionally funded (fiscal
year 2000-2001) $1.3 billion  counter-narcotics effort for Colombia and neighboring
states (P.L. 106-246).  The massive aid package reflects U.S. concern that an
increasing supply of heroin and cocaine is undermining demand-reduction efforts in
the United States.  Curbing the inflow of these drugs is therefore a key priority for
both domestic and foreign policy.  As the largest supplier of cocaine and a major
supplier of heroin, Colombia is central to these efforts. (See Latin America, below)
The  U.S.  initiative  will  present major challenges and opportunities to policy
officials in both the United States and the northern Andean countries.  U.S. counter-
narcotics policy is unlikely to be completely successful (a victory in the war against
drugs seems unlikely) until the seemingly insatiable demand for drugs in the U.S.
market is curbed.  However, if the Colombian initiative is seen as failing completely,
it could undermine U.S. prestige and influence in the western hemisphere. Moreover,
perceived failure might weaken the U.S. public's willingness to support future foreign
policy and aid initiatives linked to counter-drug objectives. 
Assuming  that  the  drug  interdiction  efforts  have at least a modest effect in
reducing  the  level  of  coca  cultivation  and  production,  the  key  challenge  for
CRS-18
policymakers  will  be  how  to  adapt  to  the  social  and  economic  consequences of
success. A major challenge is how to ensure that the coca cultivation, trafficking
activities,  and  insurgent  operations  from  Colombia  are  not  simply  displaced into
neighboring states. 
CRS Products
Colombia: U.S. Assistance and Current Legislation, by Nina Serafino, CRS Report
RL30541
Drug Control: International Policy and Options, by Raphael F. Perl, CRS Issue Brief
IB88093
 Ecuador: International Narcotics Control Issues, by Raphael Perl, CRS Report
RS20494
The International Drug Trade and its Impact on the United States, by Raphael F. Perl,
CRS Report 96-671 F 
Narcotics Certification of Drug Producing and Trafficking Nations, by Raphael F.
Perl, CRS Report 98-159
North Korean Drug Trafficking: Allegations and Issues for Congress, by Raphael F.
Perl, CRS Report RS20051
International Organized Crime
In  recent  years,  Congress  has  demonstrated  its concern over international
organized  crime through legislative and oversight activities.  The 106th  Congress
passed  significant  legislation  targeting  the  three most lucrative activities of
international organized crime groups: drug trafficking, money laundering, and
international trafficking in humans (especially for the sex trade).  P.L. 106-246, the
Columbia Aid Package,  was signed into law on July 12, 2000 and provided $1.289
billion in emergency supplemental appropriations for narcotics control.  The Victims
of Trafficking and Violence Protection Act of 2000 (P.L. 106-383),  a comprehensive
bill related to trafficking in humans, was signed by the President on October 28, 2000.
Neither  the  105th  nor  the  106th  Congress enacted a comprehensive package of
legislation proposed by the Clinton Administration in 1998 as part of its announced
“International Crime Control Strategy.”
Whether or not a comprehensive international crime fighting package is taken
up again in the 107th Congress, transnational crime is likely to be on its agenda, given
the scope of the problem.  A growing share of organized crime in the United States
has  foreign  connections.  International  criminal  organizations  are  forming
opportunistic links across borders, including drug cartels (discussed below) and even
terrorist  groups  (discussed  below).  As a result, international organized crime is
viewed  increasingly as a national security threat in addition to a law enforcement
challenge. 
CRS-19
The State Department has the lead U.S. role in dealing with international crime
abroad.  However the FBI, traditionally a domestic crime fighting agency,  is
establishing an increasingly active presence internationally. The FBI  now has offices
in many countries and has established an FBI academy in Budapest, Hungary, to train
foreign  law  enforcement  officials.  Congress must deal with annual funding and
oversight of these rapidly growing activities.
CRS Products
Trafficking in women and children: the U.S. and international response, by Francis T.
Miko and Grace (Jea-Hyun) Park, CRS Report RL30545
International Terrorism
The October 12, 2000 terrorist attack on the U.S. Navy destroyer Cole in Aden,
Yemen, has given renewed focus to Administration and congressional concern about
the  threat  of  international terrorism.  In the aftermath  of the Cole bombing, the
Defense Department and the Navy initiated a number of inquiries.  The House and
Senate  Armed  Services  Committee  held  initial  hearings  on  the  incident  in  late
October.  The attack raises potential issues for the 107th  Congress concerning (1)
procedures  used  by  the  Cole  and  other  U.S.  forces overseas to protect against
terrorist attacks; (2) intelligence collection, analysis, and dissemination as it relates to
potential terrorist attacks; and (3) U.S. anti-terrorism policy and options for U.S.
response if and when perpetrators are discovered. 
The issue of possible terrorist use of nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons
in the United States has attracted great attention in Congress, the Executive Branch,
and among the general public.  In FY2000, Congress appropriated $1.45 billion for
defense against weapons of mass destruction, and the FY2001 budget request totaled
$1.55 billion, spread among fourteen federal agencies.  The primary focus has been
on assisting state and local emergency response personnel, improving civilian medical
surveillance and treatment capabilities, and intensifying pharmaceutical research, to
counter  the  effects  of  these  agents.  Given the rapid increase in funding and the
unusual range of local, state, and federal agencies involved, the issue of effective
interagency coordination remains a significant  legislative concern.  There is also a
growing number of critics who maintain that the likelihood of such a terrorist attack
is low, and that over-reaction to this threat has led to excessive and indiscriminate
funding.  Low-probability threat estimates notwithstanding, the potentially severe
consequences  of  a  nuclear,  chemical,  or  biological  attack  make it unlikely that
legislative attention will diminish.
On June 5, 2000, the National Commission on Terrorism (N.C.), a
congressionally mandated bipartisan body, issued a report providing a blueprint for
U.S. counter-terrorism policy with both policy and legislative recommendations.   It
generally argues for a more aggressive  U.S. strategy in combating terrorism.  Critics,
however, argue that N.C. conclusions and recommendations ignore competing U.S.
goals and interests; i.e , that a more “aggressive” strategy might lead to the curbing
of individual rights and liberties, damage important commercial interests, and widen
CRS-20
disagreements between the U.S. and its allies over using the “stick” as opposed to the
“carrot”  approach  in  dealing  with  states  that actively support or countenance
terrorism. 
The report’s recommendations were the subject of extensive hearings in the 106th
Congress and could stimulate strong congressional interest in counter terrorism policy
when the  107th Congress convenes in January 2001.  Likely areas of focus include
(1) the pros and cons of a more proactive counter terrorism policy;  (2) possible
enhancement  of  state  sanctions  policy;  and,  (3)  the  coordination  of  U.S.  federal
counter terrorism response.  The Administration and Congress are likely to take up
further measures to deter and punish terrorist acts and to reduce U.S. vulnerabilities,
particularly to potential attacks with chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons, that
could cause mass casualties.  A review of U.S. policy, organizational mechanisms, and
the adequacy of consultation with Congress is also possible. 
CRS Products
 National Commission on Terrorism Report: Background and Issues for Congress, by
Raphael Perl, CRS Report RS20598
 North Korea: Terrorism List Removal?, by Larry Niksch and Raphael Perl, CRS
Report RL30613
Terrorism: CRS Electronic Briefing Book
[http://www.congress.gov/brbk/html/ebterl.html]
Terrorism, the Future, and U.S. Policy, by Raphael F. Perl, CRS Issue Brief IB 95112
Terrorism: Near Eastern Groups and State Sponsors, by Kenneth B. Katzman, CRS
Report RL30643
Terrorism: U.S. Response to Bombings in Kenya and Tanzania-A New Policy?, by
Raphael F. Perl, CRS Report 98-733 F
 Terrorist Attack on the USS Cole: Issues for Congress, by Raphael Perl and Ronald
O’Rourke, CRS Report RS20721
Regional Issues
Africa
HIV/AIDS.  The HIV/AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa, which has already
killed  nearly  16  million  people,  will  likely  be  an  important concern in the 107th
Congress, as it was in the 106th.  Many involved in the struggle against the epidemic
are advocating a “scaling up” of the  international response to HIV/AIDS so that HIV
infection rates can be broadly reduced in Africa through prevention programs, as has
already been achieved in Uganda.  Many are urging increased support for preventing
mother to child transmission of the disease and for providing care, including care for
orphans.  There is also some backing for expanded HIV/AIDS treatment programs,
CRS-21
particularly  programs that prolong lives by treating opportunistic infections with
inexpensive medications.  It seems probable that some Members of Congress will
advocate measures to assure that the United States is a leader in “scaling up,”
although others may be skeptical of the chances of success against the disease or may
urge that other donors should share more of the burden.   In August 2000, the 106th
Congress enacted the Global AIDS and Tuberculosis Relief Act of 2000 (P.L. 106-
264), which authorized increased development assistance spending for HIV/AIDS
programs worldwide.  Contributions were also authorized to the International AIDS
Vaccine Initiative (IAVI) and to a proposed AIDS trust fund administered by the
World  Bank.  Appropriators provided funding for these initiatives, which some
Members and committees will likely monitor in the 107th Congress.
Trade and Development.  The 106th Congress enacted the Africa Growth and
Opportunity Act as part of the Trade and Opportunity Act of 2000 (P.L. 106-200),
in  order  to promote African economic development through increased trade.
Members who supported this legislation will likely monitor  its implementation in
order to assure that Africa benefits from its provisions; and some may advocate
expanding trade benefits for Africa through new legislation.  Others will be concerned
with ensuring that new or existing legislation does not harm U.S. business or workers.
As in past Congresses, some may advocate increases in development assistance and
other aid programs for Africa, in view of the region’s serious problems in health,
employment,  education,  and  other  sectors.  Others will argue that competing
budgetary priorities must constrain aid to Africa and other regions.
Other  Issues.  Other African topics that might be subjects of hearings and
legislation include the human rights situation in Sudan; peacekeeping and conflict in
several countries, such as Sierra Leone and the Democratic Republic of the Congo
(DRC);  and  ways  to  strengthen democratic forces  in Nigeria, Zimbabwe, Côte
d’Ivoire,  and elsewhere.  Allegations that President Charles Taylor of Liberia has
become  a  source  of  instability  in  the  West  African region could be a source of
concern.  As in the 106th Congress, some may support efforts to strengthen control
of the illicit diamond trade, which seems to play a key role in fueling conflicts in West
Africa, the DRC, and Angola.
CRS-22
CRS Products
Africa: U.S. Foreign Assistance Issues, by Raymond W. Copson, CRS Issue Brief IB95052
AIDS in Africa, by Raymond W. Copson, CRS Issue Brief IB10050
Congo (formerly Zaire), by Raymond W. Copson, CRS Issue Brief IB96037
The Horn of Africa: War and Humanitarian Crisis, by Theodros S. Dagne, CRS Issue  
         Brief 10056
Sudan: Humanitarian Crisis, Peace Talks, Terrorism, and U.S. Policy, by Theodros S. 
        Dagne, CRS Issue Brief IB98043
U.S.-Sub-Saharan Africa Trade and Investment: Programs and Policy Direction, by
Lenore Sek, CRS Report RS20063 
Zimbabwe: Current Issues, by Raymond W. Copson, CRS Issue Brief IB10059
Asia
Issues concerning U.S.-China relations dominated the Asian policy agenda of the
106th Congress and are likely to do so in the 107th Congress, as well.  Underlying this
and other issues related to Asia were a number of ideological and party differences
plus policy struggles with the Administration – many of which are likely to carry over
into the 107th Congress.  Broadly speaking, these differences emanate from four major
developments:  (1) the ongoing realignment of security relationships and economic
ties following the end of the Cold War, including the rise of China as an important
regional and economic power that is more open to international trade; (2) the residual
effects of the 1997-1999 Asian financial crisis, as well as Japan’s ongoing economic
and political weaknesses, (3) the unexpectedly rapid pace of change in the Korean
peninsula, which has generated congressional concern and also raised anxiety in the
Northeast Asian region about the future U.S. military role in South Korea and Japan,
as well as broader regional power relationships, and (4) a nuclear arms race between
India and Pakistan.
China.  Long-standing U.S. policy to engage the People’s Republic of China
(PRC) politically and economically may continue to be controversial in Congress.
The 106th Congress enacted legislation in 2000 granting the PRC permanent normal
trade relations (PNTR.), thus providing an end to the rancorous annual debate over
China’s trade status that had continued since 1990.  However, the bill also established
a new commission to report annually on the PRC’s human rights record, as well as
other measures designed to improve congressional oversight on U.S. policy toward
the PRC.  The 106th Congress also grew increasingly leery of PRC intentions toward
Taiwan.  In part, this was due to the island’s watershed presidential election in March
2000, which brought to power Chen Shui-bian, leader of the Democratic Progressive
Party, a party that advocates Taiwan’s independence from China.  In February 2000,
PRC  leaders  issued  a  new  policy  statement  on  Taiwan  which some saw as
demonstrating a greater willingness to use force to reunify Taiwan with China.  Some
CRS-23
in the 106th Congress came to favor formal efforts to strengthen U.S.-Taiwan relations
in ways sure to antagonize the PRC further, complicating U.S. relations with both
Beijing and Taipei.
Congress  may  continue  to  monitor  protests  in  the  PRC  by  Falun  Gong
practitioners and demonstrations by laid-off workers that are likely to continue in
2001.  Rising Internet usage has facilitated communication and information access for
a  growing  number  of  PRC  citizens.  None of these trends, however, is likely to
produce fundamental changes in the political system in the short run.  P.L.106-286,
which grants PNTR. to China, contains provisions that criticize the PRC government
for oppressing Falun Gong adherents and for denying workers and others basic human
rights; it also authorizes funding to expand Radio Free Asia’s Internet operations.
The  possible  accessions of the PRC and Taiwan to the World Trade
Organization  (WTO)  in  2001 are expected to be of major interest to the 107th
Congress.  P.L.106-286 grants PNTR status to China once it joins the WTO, as long
as the President certifies in a report to Congress that the terms of PRC’s accession are
at  least  as  favorable  as  the  November  1999  U.S.-China  trade  agreement.  It also
ensures that WTO trade agreements would apply to trade between the United States
and  the  PRC.  Many  Members  have  expressed  support for the PRC’s WTO
membership – but under terms that would require it to significantly liberalize its trade
and investment regimes.  Additionally, many Members have expressed support for
Taiwan’s WTO membership and concerns that Beijing might try to block Taipei’s
accession.  P.L.106-286 calls on U.S. trade negotiators to push for a motion in the
WTO General Council to make Taiwan’s WTO entry application the next order of
business following the consideration of the PRC’s application, and to strongly oppose
attempts by any WTO members to block Taiwan’s accession.
Finally, the 107th Congress likely will continue to oversee policies to address the
PRC’s  challenges  to  U.S.  security  interests.  Congressional oversight and
investigations, including that by the “Cox Committee,” have covered alleged transfers
of missile technology by U.S. firms in connection with satellite exports and whether
the Justice Department should take further action regarding investigations that began
in 1997.  Also, Congress has watched for progress in the counter-espionage probes
into  suspected  PRC  acquisitions  of  U.S.  nuclear  weapons  and  missile  secrets.
Congress has increasingly asserted its role in providing for Taiwan’s defense under
the Taiwan Relations Act, including calling for consultations on arms sales and a look
at operational planning, and considering the “Taiwan Security Enhancement Act.”
Congress is expected to continue assessing the PRC’s military strategy and
capabilities, especially the missile buildup.  Other issues likely to be considered include
the establishment of the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs (and the
report  on  its  operation due in February 2001); military exchanges subject to
restrictions in the FY2000 National Defense Authorization Act (and the report on
such exchanges); and PRC weapons proliferation (possibly with reconsideration of
legislation like  S. 2645,  introduced by Senator Thompson in 2000).
CRS-24
CRS Products 
China and Falun Gong: Implications and Options for U.S. Policy, by Thomas Lum,     
         CRS Report RS20333
China -U.S. Relations, by Kerry Dumbaugh, CRS Issue Brief IB98018
China - U.S. Trade Issues, by Wayne Morrison, CRS Issue Brief IB91121
India and Pakistan.  A major South Asia issue for the 107th Congress will be
reassessment of  sanctions imposed on India and Pakistan following their May 1998
nuclear  tests,  notably  whether  the  sanctions  should  be  maintained, eased, or
broadened.  Despite carrot-and-stick efforts by Congress and the Administration in
1998 and1999 – which eased some economic sanctions on the two countries – U.S.
nonproliferation efforts in South Asia appear to be at an impasse. Although both India
and Pakistan are under self-imposed nuclear testing moratoriums, neither has signed
the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (rejected by the U.S. Senate in 1999), and both
countries are continuing production of fissile material as well as actively expanding
their ballistic missile capability.  Moreover, India-Pakistan relations have continued
to deteriorate since the 1998 nuclear tests.   In mid-1999, the two countries teetered
on the brink of a fourth war.  A military coup in Pakistan in late 1999 appears to have
further soured relations.  Clinton Administration policy has centered on thawing the
vestiges of Cold War relations with India, while remaining engaged with former Cold
War partner Pakistan. U.S. relations with Pakistan appear increasingly fragile as a
result  of  political  instability,  economic  deterioration, and Islamic radical pressure
emanating from neighboring Afghanistan.  The 106th Congress has been generally
supportive of Administration initiatives to improve U.S.-India cooperation. President
Clinton visited New Delhi in March 2000, and in September 2000, Prime Minister
AAAL Bihari Vajpayee paid a reciprocal state visit to Washington.  Administration
officials and congressional leaders continue to press India and Pakistan to return to
the negotiating table and halt their nuclear arms race.  
CRS Products
India-Pakistan: Arms Race in South Asia, CRS InfoPak IP5251
India-US Relations, by Barbara Leitch LePoer, CRS Issue Brief IB93097
Indian-Pakistan Nuclear Tests and U.S. Response, Coordinated by Barbara Leitch
LePoer, CRS Report 98-570F
Pakistan-US Relations, by Barbara Leitch LePoer, CRS Issue Brief IB94041
Indonesia.  Indonesia  underwent some political changes during the 106th
Congress.  It lost East Timor when East Timorese voted for independence in a
referendum  vote of August 31, 1999, and United Nations-approved international
peacekeepers entered East Timor in October 1999 in response to post-referendum
atrocities committed by pro-Indonesia East Timorese militia.  Democratic elections
CRS-25
in 1999 appeared to produce a civilian Indonesian government after more than three
decades of authoritarian, military-backed rule.  The new government seemed
incapable  of  containing  the  escalation  of  violence  and  disorders  throughout  the
country  in  2000.  The 106th Congress appeared to indicate support for self-
determination for East Timor.  H.Res. 292, passed on September 28, 1999, supported
the results of the East Timorese referendum, called on the Indonesian government to
act against the violence of the East Timorese militia, and supported the international
peacekeeping force.  Foreign operations appropriations legislation for fiscal years
2000 (P.L. 106-113) and 2001(P.L. 106-429) prohibited Indonesian participation in
the U.S. International Military Education and Training (IMET) program and U.S.
Foreign Military Financing of U.S. arms sales to Indonesia. The law provides for
resumption  of  these  activities when the President certifies that the Indonesian
government  and  military  have  taken  judicial  action  against  East  Timorese militia
members  and  Indonesian  military  personnel  responsible  for  the  post-referendum
atrocities and allowed displaced East Timorese in Indonesian West Timor (over
100,000)  to  return  home.  At the end of the 106th Congress, the Indonesian
government and military seemingly had done little to satisfy these conditions, meaning
that the issue possibly could continue into the 107th Congress.
CRS Products
East Timor Crisis: U.S. Policy and Options, by Larry Niksch,  CRS Report RS20332
East Timor’s Coming Decision on Autonomy or Independence, by Larry Niksch, CRS
Report RS20256
Indonesian Separatist Movement in Aceh, by Larry Niksch, CRS Report RS20572
Japan.  Recent congressional concerns regarding Japan have centered on
allegations of the dumping of Japanese steel in U.S. markets, the slow progress of
deregulation in Japan, and Tokyo's inability to revitalize its moribund economy.  Other
issues of concern to Congress include court suits by former American civilian
prisoners  of  war  seeking  compensation  for  abuses  in Japanese prison camps and
forced labor for Japanese companies, Japan's decision to expand its whaling activities,
and issues in security cooperation, including the future of U.S. bases in Japan and
Japanese  participation  in the U.S. Theater Missile Defense (TMD) development
program.  Partly in response to a surge in Japanese steel imports, the 106th Congress
enacted a provision to the agriculture appropriations act for FY2001 that requires that
antidumping and countervailing tariff duties be distributed to the affected industries.
Given the apparent slowing of U.S. economic growth in recent months, the 107th
Congress can be expected to give renewed attention to the record U.S.-Japan trade
deficit.  Although U.S.-Japan relations remain close, especially at the working level,
ties have been troubled by the inability of a series of unstable coalition governments
to reform the Japanese economy to meet the challenges of economic globalization or
to adjust foreign and defense policy to the realities of a rising China and a possible
eventual reunification of the Korean Peninsula.  Japan remains strongly attached to
the U.S.-Japan alliance, but it is also uneasily aware that American perceptions of
Japan are in flux.  Meanwhile, younger Japanese leaders from various parties are
CRS-26
calling for a more independent foreign and defense  policy within the framework of
the alliance.  Opposition is rising in Japan to the cost and inconvenience of hosting
U.S. military bases, and to what the Japanese view as American efforts to dictate the
global trade agenda.
CRS Products
Japan-U.S.  Relations:  Issues  for  Congress,  by Richard P. Cronin, CRS Issue Brief
IB97004
U.S.-Japan Economic Ties: Status and Outlook, by William H. Cooper, CRS Issue Brief
IB97015
U.S. Prisoners of War and Civilian American Citizens Captured and Interned by Japan
in World War II: the Issue of Compensation by Japan, by Gary K. Reynolds, CRS
Report RL30606
Korean  Peninsula.  When dealing with U.S. policy toward the Korean
peninsula, the 107th Congress will primarily be concerned with overseeing U.S.-North
Korean relations, which improved markedly in 2000.  Following the dramatic inter-
Korean summit meeting in June 2000, the U.S. lifted its trade embargo on North
Korea and Secretary of State Madeleine Albright traveled to Pyongyang.  In ongoing
bilateral talks, North Korea is seeking removal from the U.S. list of state sponsors of
terrorism, which prevents U.S. backing of Pyongyang’s membership in international
aid organizations. Under the provisions of the Export Administration Act, Congress
could block a Presidential decision to remove North Korea from the terrorism list.
For its part, the United States is pressing Pyongyang to make permanent its temporary
moratorium on missile programs, to demonstrate a commitment to non-proliferation,
and to provide evidence that it is no longer supporting terrorist groups. If North
Korea-U.S. and inter-Korean relations continue to improve, the 107th Congress is also
likely to deal with questions regarding the size and function of the 37,000 U.S. troops
stationed in South Korea. 
The 107th Congress also will oversee financial assistance programs to North
Korea, which is the largest recipient of U.S. aid in East Asia.  Previous Congresses
tied North Korea-related appropriations to requirements that the President certify
progress  in  negotiations  with  Pyongyang.  Much of the aid has gone toward the
Korean Peninsula Development Organization (KEDO), the multinational organization
created to implement the obligations assumed by the United States under the October
1994  U.S.-North  Korea  Agreed  Framework.  Under  the  Agreed  Framework,  the
United States is coordinating the provision to North Korea of two light water nuclear
reactors and 500,000 tons of heavy oil annually, the oil shipments to cease when the
reactors  are  constructed.  In  return, North Korea is obligated to suspend the
operations  of  its  nuclear  facilities,  which the United States believed were for
production of nuclear weapons.  Presumably, the next U.S. administration will request
additional aid, if it decides to help South Korea develop North Korea’s economic
infrastructure, and/or to help finance satellite launches (in a third country) for
Pyongyang in return for a North Korean pledge to halt its missile program. 
CRS-27
  
CRS Products
North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Program, by Larry Niksch, CRS Issue Brief IB91141
North Korea: Terrorism List Removal, by Larry Niksch and Raphael Perl, CRS Report
       RL30613
U.S.-South Korean Relations, by Larry Niksch, CRS Issue Brief IB98045 
Vietnam.  (See Vietnam Trade Agreement, below)
The Balkans
The 106th Congress was faced with dramatic developments in the Balkans.  In
1999, NATO conducted a major air campaign against Serbia in response to Serbian
atrocities in Kosovo. After 78 days of  bombing, Federal Republic of Yugoslavia
(FRY) leader Slobodan Milosevic pulled his forces out of Kosovo and a NATO-led
peacekeeping force was deployed there.  Almost all ethnic Albanians returned to their
homes,  but  most  ethnic  Serbs  left  Kosovo,  and  the province’s long-term status
remains  in  doubt.  In 2000, elections in Croatia in January-February, the FRY in
September, and Kosovo in October led to the victory of moderates who want close
ties  with  the  West.  In Bosnia, where a NATO-led peacekeeping force has been
deployed since 1996, modest progress was made, but a self-sustaining peace is  a
distant prospect. 
In  1999,  the  106th  Congress  debated  whether  U.S.  and  NATO  air strikes in
Kosovo were in the U.S. national interest, and whether the President could undertake
them without congressional approval. In the end, Congress neither explicitly approved
nor blocked the air strikes, but after the fact, appropriated funds for the air campaign
and the U.S. peacekeeping deployment in Kosovo.  In 2000, Members unsuccessfully
attempted  to  condition  the  U.S.  military  deployment  in  Kosovo  on  congressional
approval and on the implementation of aid pledges made by European countries.   
The 106th Congress provided funding for reconstruction in Bosnia and Kosovo
(limiting aid to Kosovo to 15% of the total amount pledged by all countries), aid for
the pro-Western governments in Croatia and Montenegro. (Montenegro is part of the
FRY  with  Serbia,  but  its  leadership  was  in  opposition  to Milosevic.) The 106th
Congress prohibited aid to Serbia while Milosevic was in power, with the exception
of humanitarian and democratization aid.  However, after Milosevic’s fall in October
2000, the conference committee on the FY2001 foreign operations appropriation bill
(H.R. 4811), inserted language allowing up to $100 million in aid for Serbia.  The bill
adds  the  condition  that  no  funds  can  be  spent  after  March  31,  2001  unless  the
President certifies that the new government in Serbia cooperates with the war crimes
tribunal,  implements  its obligations under the Bosnia peace accord, and respects
minority rights and the rule of law.
CRS-28
In its first session, the 107th Congress will consider how much aid to provide for
the reconstruction of Serbia, Kosovo and other countries in the region, and how the
burden should be shared with European countries. It will also establish the conditions
under which that aid should be given, including how strongly to condition aid to
Serbia on cooperation with the war crimes tribunal.  Another important issue will be
continuing U.S. troop deployments in the Balkans.  Members skeptical of what they
view as an open-ended U.S. military deployment to the Balkans may attempt to set
conditions, deadlines or other restrictions on them.  In October 2000, a senior foreign
policy advisor to Republican Presidential candidate George W. Bush said that the
United States should pull its ground forces out of the Balkans at an unspecified date,
leaving  peacekeeping  responsibilities  to  U.S. allies in Europe.  Democratic
Presidential  candidate Al Gore has said U.S. forces should stay in the region to
promote stability there and maintain NATO’s cohesion.
CRS  Products 
Kosovo and U.S. Policy, by Steven Woehrel and Julie Kim, CRS Issue Brief IB98041
Kosovo: Reconstruction and Development Assistance, by Curt Tarnoff, CRS Report    
          RL30452  
 Kosovo: U.S. and Allied Military Operations, by Steven R. Bowman, CRS Issue Brief
IB10027
Serbia and Montenegro: Current Situation and U.S. Policy, by Steven Woehrel, CRS
Report RL30453
Latin America
The 107th Congress is likely to be concerned about three principal areas
regarding  Latin  America:  the  stability  of  the  fragile  democracies  in  the  region,
cooperation on counter-narcotics efforts, and trade issues.  Latin America has made
enormous strides in recent years in democratization, with all but Cuba led by elected
heads of state.  Recently, however, tensions in various countries have pointed out
how fragile many of these democracies are.  Their weak government institutions are
ill-equipped to deal with challenges to their further development, such as strong, often
autocratic presidents; violent guerrilla conflicts; militaries still uncomfortable with
civilian rule; illegal narcotics trafficking and its corrupting influence; and difficulty in
promoting  economic  development  in  the  face  of  widespread  poverty  and  highly
skewed income distributions.
With regard to democracy, Mexico is one country that made great strides in
terms of democratic elections.  The party that has ruled Mexico for 71 years lost the
presidential elections in July 2000. The head of the Alliance for Change, Vicente Fox,
took  office  as  President on December 1, 2000.  In addition to continued
encouragement of Mexico's efforts to expand political and human rights, Congress
will monitor trade relations between the two countries under the North American Free
Trade Agreement  (NAFTA), and continue to push for greater cooperation on counter
narcotics efforts. 
CRS-29
The  107th  Congress will continue to conduct oversight on assistance to the
region, and on the implementation of existing restrictions.   The new Congress may
debate new conditions or prohibitions on aid to countries such as Peru and Haiti,
where elections have been found to be unfair, and new presidents are to assume office
-- former President Jean-Bertrand Aristide was elected again in November 2000 in
Haiti,  and  new  presidential  elections  have  been  scheduled  for  April  2001  in  Peru
following the sudden resignation of President Alberto Fujimori.
Cooperation in counter narcotics efforts is a major issue for congress in relations
with many Latin American nations, especially Colombia.  Having passed the Colombia
Plan,  a  $1.3  billion  counter  narcotics  package  in  2000,  Congress  will  monitor  its
implementation  and  continue to debate whether and how to support Colombia's
government  in  its  struggle  against  increasingly powerful guerrilla movements.
Although its assistance to the Colombian military was highly controversial, the plan
as passed by Congress (as part of an emergency supplemental appropriations bill, P.L.
106-246)  more than tripled the amount requested for a broad range of human rights
programs,  and increased funding for judicial reform and other programs intended to
support the peace process and to strengthen democratic governance in Colombia, with
conferees "...recognizing that protecting human rights and rule of law are central to
the overall goals of Plan Colombia."  Reflecting a concern for regional stability and
a regional approach to counter narcotics efforts, Congress more than doubled the
requested assistance to other countries in the region for counter narcotics activities.
In  the  area  of  trade,  several issues are likely to be of concern to the new
Congress.  The Andean Trade Preference Act is due to expire December 4, 2001.
The  107th  Congress  will  consider  the  Andean  countries'  request  to  extend  the
program, which grants them preferential tariff benefits, and to add Venezuela as a
beneficiary  country.  A form of NAFTA parity for the Caribbean Basin Initiative
beneficiaries finally passed in the 106th Congress; it will be up to the new Congress
to monitor implementation of the U.S.-Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act (P.L.
106-200).  The 107th Congress may also monitor ongoing efforts to negotiate a free
trade agreement with Chile, and consider whether to grant the new Administration
fast-track negotiating authority to create a Free Trade Area of the Americas.  (See
Trade and Finance, see below) 
The  106th  Congress  passed legislation allowing the sale of agricultural and
medical products to Cuba as part of the FY2001 Agriculture appropriations bill (P.L.
106-387).  The bill also placed severe constraints on such sales, however, permanently
prohibiting private financing of agricultural exports to Cuba by U.S. banks or by state
and local governments.  Therefore, licensed sales may only occur if Cuba pays in
advance, or if financed by a third country bank.  The bill also codified existing
embargo regulations by prohibiting the import of merchandise from Cuba, and travel
for tourism to Cuba.  The highly contentious debate over how best to pressure Cuba
to enact democratic and economic reforms is likely to continue in the 107th Congress.
(See Sanctions, above and Cuba, below.)
CRS-30
CRS Products
 Colombia: U.S. Assistance and Current Legislation, by Nina Maria Serafino, CRS 
         RL30541
 Cuba: Issues for Congress, by Mark P. Sullivan and Maureen Taft-Morales, CRS Report
RL30628
Cuba Sanctions, CRS Electronic Briefing Book on Trade,
 [http://www.congress.gov/brbk/html/ebtra108.html]
Haiti: Issues for Congress, by Maureen E. Taft-Morales, CRS Issue Brief IB96019
Mexico-U.S. Relations: Issues for Congress, by K. Larry Storrs, CRS Issue Brief
IB10047
Peruvian  Elections  in  2000:  Congressional  Concerns  and  Policy Approaches, by
Maureen Taft-Morales, CRS Report RS20536
Trade and the Americas, by Raymond J. Ahearn, CRS Issue Brief IB95017
The Middle East
Peace Process.  The Administration continues its efforts to resolve the long-
standing  Arab-Israeli  conflict,  despite  recent  setbacks.  Agreements brokered by
President Clinton at Wye River, Maryland in October 1998 and Sharm al-Shaykh,
Egypt in September 1999 resulted in further Israeli-Palestinian agreements on security
measures and phased Israeli withdrawals from portions of the occupied West Bank.
At  another  conference  hosted  by  President  Clinton  at  Camp  David  in July 2000,
however, the two sides were unable to resolve permanent status issues dealing with
Palestinian statehood, Israeli-Palestinian borders, disposition of Palestinian refugees,
Jewish settlements in the West Bank and Gaza, water resources, and Jerusalem.  A
series of Palestinian-Israeli clashes that began in late September have further
jeopardized the peace talks and fueled anti-Israeli and anti-U.S. sentiment in the Arab
world.  Meanwhile, Syrian-Israeli talks, briefly resumed in December 1999, quickly
broke down over questions of Israeli withdrawal from the occupied Golan Heights.
In a nearby area, Israel withdrew unilaterally from southern Lebanon in May 2000,
but some unrest continues on the Israeli-Lebanese border.
Congress  has  continued  to  appropriate  annual  foreign  aid  for  Israel,  Egypt,
Jordan,  and other Middle East entities, while attaching conditions regarding
Palestinian compliance with Israeli-Palestinian agreements.  In addition, in February
1999,  the  President  requested  $1.2  billion  for Israel, $400 million for the West
Bank/Gaza, and $300 million for Jordan to help implement terms of the Wye River
agreement.  Of this amount, Congress appropriated $100 million for Jordan under
FY1999 supplemental legislation (P.L. 106-31) and the remaining amounts under
H.R.  3422,  the  Foreign  Operations  Appropriations  Act  for  FY2000, which was
passed by reference in P.L. 106-113.  Congress also added $25 million for Egypt to
the Wye River funding contained in H.R. 3422 (P.L. 106-113).
CRS-31
Should Arab-Israeli negotiations resume, a future Administration might request
additional  funding from Congress to help negotiating parties deal with issues of
security and economic stability.  For example, Israeli officials have said they might
need  multibillion  dollar  aid  grants  in  the  event  of  a  withdrawal  from  occupied
territories, to cover enhanced security measures and relocation of Jewish settlers in
the West Bank region and Gaza.  On the other hand, if the stalemate continues and
tensions increase, unilateral Palestinian steps such as a declaration of statehood would
be likely to prompt initiatives in Congress to ban or restrict aid to Palestinians.  In a
related area, Congress is likely to reconsider the U.S.-Jordan Free Trade Agreement,
signed on October 24, 2000.  (discussed below)
CRS Products
Israel:  U.S. Foreign Assistance, by Clyde R. Mark, CRS Issue Brief IB85066 
The Middle East Peace Talks, by Carol Migdalovitz, CRS Issue Brief IB 91137
  
Palestinians and Middle East Peace: Issues for the United States, by Clyde R. Mark,
CRS Issue Brief IB92052 
Syria: U.S. Relations and Bilateral Issues, by Alfred B. Prados, CRS Issue Brief IB92075
U.S.- Jordan Free Trade Agreement, by Joshua Ruebner, CRS Report RL30652
Persian Gulf Issues.  The Administration continues efforts to enforce economic
sanctions against Iraq, contain potential threats from Iran, and shore up the defensive
capabilities of friendly Gulf states.  Approximately 25,000 U.S. military personnel are
stationed  in  the  Gulf  region  to enforce no-fly zones over Iraq, conduct maritime
interception of banned goods to or from Iraq, engage in combined training activities
with  Gulf  states,  supervise  prepositioned U.S. military equipment, and deter
threatening moves by Iraq or Iran.  Support for sanctions against Iraq has begun to
erode among Arab and some European countries, and the bombing on October 12,
2000 of a U.S. Navy ship while refueling at the port of Aden in Yemen underscores
the threat posed by terrorist groups to U.S. military personnel and facilities in the
region.  Iran, despite a more moderate administration and parliament, continues to
oppose the Arab-Israeli peace process, support terrorist groups, and develop missile
capabilities that could threaten U.S. allies and interests.
In April 1999, the Administration agreed to license sales of food and medical
items on a case by case basis to Iran and other countries affected by a unilateral U.S.
trade ban.  Congress included a provision in the conference report on H.R. 4461 (
P.L. 106-387, the Agriculture Appropriations Act for FY2001), to authorize credit
for such sales, although Members generally oppose unilateral relaxation of sanctions
until Iran alters its behavior.  Regarding Iraq, Congress has included approximately
$1.1 billion in FY2001 defense appropriations (P.L. 106-259) to contain Iraq  and
carry out related missions.  The Foreign Operations Appropriations  for FY2001, P.L.
106-429, contains $25 million to support activities by the Iraqi National Congress, an
CRS-32
umbrella  organization  of  groups  opposed  to  the  Iraqi  regime,  including  the
distribution  of  humanitarian  aid  inside  Iraq.  Of these funds, $2 million is to be
devoted to support  indictment of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein as a war criminal.
Congress, which has already held hearings on the explosion involving the U.S.S.
Cole, may further scrutinize  issues relating to the deployment of U.S. forces in the
Persian Gulf and the nature of bilateral security arrangements with countries in the
region.  Depending on the future direction of Iranian regional policies, steps by a
future administration to loosen trade restrictions against Iran or remove it from the
terrorism list would prompt congressional scrutiny and possible legislation to reverse
such action.  With the continued erosion of international support for sanctions against
Iraq, possible moves in the U.N. Security Council to alter these sanctions could lead
to congressional debate and, possibly, to legislation calling on the Administration to
oppose such initiatives.
CRS Products 
Iran: Current Developments and U.S. Policy, by Kenneth B. Katzman,  CRS Issue Brief
IB93033
Iraqi Compliance with Cease-Fire Agreements, by Kenneth B. Katzman, CRS Issue Brief
IB92117  
The Persian Gulf: Issues for U.S. Policy, 2000, by Kenneth B. Katzman, CRS Report
RL30728
Russia
There  were  a  number  of developments in Russia and issues in U.S.-Russian
relations that engaged the 106th Congress and are likely to be considered by the 107th.
Vladimir  Putin,  who  was  catapulted  into  the  Kremlin following Boris Yeltsin’s
resignation, was elected President in March 2000 by a solid majority that embraced
his military campaign in Chechnya. The economic upturn that began in late 1999 is
continuing:  the  GDP  and  domestic  investment  are  growing after a decade-long
decline, inflation is contained,  the budget is balanced, and the ruble is stable.  Major
problems remain: 40% of the population lives below the official poverty line, foreign
investment is very low, crime, corruption, capital flight, and unemployment remain
high.  Russian foreign policy has become more assertive and anti-American, fueled in
part by frustration over the gap between Russia’s self-image as a world power and its
greatly diminished capabilities and by clashes with Washington over Kosovo, Iraq,
NATO enlargement, and Russian missile technology and nuclear reactor transfers to
Iran,  among  other  issues.  The military is in turmoil after years of severe force
reductions and budget cuts.  Weapons procurement, readiness, training, morale, and
discipline  are  down  sharply.  Putin’s government increased defense spending
substantially in 2000.  The Putin regime appears to be trying simultaneously to assert
more authoritarian political control, introduce some economic reforms, get generous
debt forgiveness, and strengthen the military – a problematic mix.
CRS-33
The Russian parliament approved the ratification of the START II Treaty in
April 2000.  Russia will not, however, allow START II to enter into force until the
United States approves agreements signed in 1997 that would extend the elimination
period in START II and clarify the 1972 ABM Treaty.  Moscow also says it may
withdraw from the START II Treaty if the United States withdraws from the ABM
Treaty.  This responds to U.S. interest in modifying the ABM Treaty to deploy a
limited National Missile Defense (NMD) system.  The Clinton Administration has not
submitted the 1997 agreements to the Senate for its advice and consent to ratification,
in  part  out  of  concern  that  the  Senate  could  reject them because many Members
strongly oppose the ABM Treaty.  In the future, the United States and Russia could
continue  to  negotiate arms control treaties, reduce their forces through informal
agreements, or forgo coordinated arms control and size their forces according to their
own  economic  and  security  interests.  If the United States continues to pursue a
limited NMD, Russia, too, may pursue alternatives to the formal arms control process
as well as countermeasures to NMD.  Action on these issues is likely to await the next
Administration and Congress.
In September 1999, Russia invaded its breakaway republic of Chechnya to halt
what it claimed was widening brigandage and terrorism.  Russia’s offensive has been
characterized by many human rights abuses, including indiscriminate bombing that has
led to thousands of civilian casualties and over 200,000 displaced persons.  The 106th
Congress publicized and condemned these abuses and urged the Administration to
strongly press diplomatic and other efforts to convince Russia to open peace talks and
to investigate alleged atrocities committed by its troops (H.Con.Res.206; S.Res.223;
S.Res.262; S.Amdt.3280 to H.R.4576).  Although Russia declared by mid-2000 that
it had re-occupied Chechnya and suppressed organized military resistance, human
rights abuses by Russian forces and attacks by Chechen guerrillas against them have
continued.  The on-going conflict and devastation of the region make most displaced
persons  reluctant  to  return,  threatening  them  with  added  suffering  this  winter.
Foreign  Operations  Appropriations  for  FY2001  (P.L.106-429)  withholds 60% of
planned funding for Russia until the President determines and certifies in writing that
Russia is cooperating with international efforts to investigate alleged war crimes in
Chechnya, is providing full access to Chechnya for humanitarian aid, and is pulling its
weaponry out of Chechnya in accordance with limits set by the Conventional Armed
Forces in Europe Treaty.  It also calls for the obligation of not less that $10 million
for humanitarian aid to displaced Chechens.
During  the  past  decade,  the United States has allocated almost $3 billion in
economic assistance to facilitate the transition of Russia to a democratic system and
free market economy.  Although most of the aid in recent years has been directed at
developing private sector business and the growth of civil society, the 106th Congress
sought to influence Russia’s actions and make its own policy views known to the
Administration by conditioning aid targeted to the government of Russia.  The sale
of nuclear reactor technology to Iran and possible discrimination against religious
minorities were just two of the concerns on which Congress conditioned aid to Russia
during the 106th Congress.  During the election campaign, Republican congressional
criticism of the Administration’s implementation of the aid program grew.  The 107th
Congress  is  likely  to  conduct  extensive  oversight  and  review  of  the  Russia  aid
program and continue to use aid to influence Russian behavior.  
CRS-34
CRS Products
Arms Control after START II: Next Steps on the U.S.-Russian Agenda, by Amy F. Woolf
         and Stuart D. Goldman, CRS Report RLL 30660
The Former Soviet Union and U.S. Foreign Assistance, by Curt Tarnoff,  CRS Issue
Brief IB95077 
Russia, by Stuart D. Goldman, CRS Issue Brief IB92089
U.S.-Russia Moscow Summit, June 3-5, 2000: outcome and implications, by James P.
Nichol, CRS Report RS20604
Trade and Finance
Globalization, as defined by the growing integration of the world economy, has
been accelerating and deepening ever since a more open global trading and financial
system was established following World War II.  This postwar system helped raise
economic growth and incomes worldwide.  However, changes in the level and
composition of trade and investment flows also create winners and losers as
technologies, industries, and employment opportunities rise and fall in their wake.
With the U.S. trade deficit at an unprecedented level, the United States is now more
open and, thus, more sensitive  to shifts in the world economy.  In this context, the
107th Congress faces a variety of trade issues – multilateral and bilateral – that are
complex and, often, politically sensitive. In addition, the financial crises of the 1990s
demonstrated that the United States is not immune to the effects of abrupt shifts in
international financial flows. Reform of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and
of the architecture of the international financial system are, therefore, also important
issues.
Export-related Issues
Export Administration Act Renewal.  The 107th  Congress  is  expected  to
continue efforts to rewrite The Export Administration Act of 1979 (EAA79).  Efforts
to  reauthorize  the  Act,  which  regulates  the  export  of  dual-use  goods  and
technologies, have been affected by the continuing tension between national security
and  commercial  concerns.  Since the last expiration of EAA79 in 1994, dual-use
export controls on sensitive goods and technology have been continued and modified
by the President, acting under the authority of the International Emergency Economic
Powers Act. During the 106th Congress, legislation was crafted by the Senate Banking
Committee to rewrite and update EAA79. The Committee held hearings on S.1712,
the Export Administration Act of 1999; it was reported out unanimously in September
1999, but holds were placed on the measure by Senators concerned with national
security  aspects of the legislation. Late in the 106th  Congress,  the  Export
Administration  Modification and Clarification Act (P.L. 106-508), a measure to
reauthorize and extend EAA79 for one year, was signed into law on November 13,
2000. The 107th Congress is expected to consider another attempt to rewrite and
CRS-35
modernize EAA79. Key issues in the debate will be the  impact of export controls on
national  security,  non-proliferation, foreign policy objectives and industrial
competitiveness;  the  controllability  of  technology;  the  prospects of multilateral
cooperation  from  our  allies;  and  the  most  efficient  administrative mechanism to
reconcile these different interests. 
CRS Products
Encryption Export Controls, by Jeanne Grimmett, CRS Report RL30273
The Export Administration Act: Prospects and Controversy, by Ian F. Fergusson, CRS
       Report RL30689
Export Administration Act of 1979 Reauthorization, by Craig Elwell, Jeanne Grimmett,
       and Robert Shuey, CRS Report RL30169
Export Controls: An Analysis of Economic Costs, by Craig Elwell, CRS Report RL30430
Export-Import Bank Reauthorization.   The Export-Import Bank is the chief
U.S.  government  agency  that  helps  finance American exports.  With a budget of
nearly  $1 billion, the Bank finances around 5% of U.S. exports a year.  Eximbank’s
main activity is to provide guarantees and insurance to commercial banks to make
trade  credits  available  to  U.S. exporters.  Such government-sponsored trade
financing, however, has long been controversial.  Eximbank supporters maintain that
the  Bank’s  programs  are  necessary  for  U.S. exporters to compete with foreign
subsidized export financing and also to pressure foreign governments to eliminate
concessionary  financing.  Eximbank opponents, however, argue that the Bank’s
programs serve only to aid rich multinational firms and that its activities draw from
financial  resources  within  the  economy  that  would  be available for other uses.
Congress will be faced with reauthorizing the Bank’s programs before September 30,
2001, which could spark debate over not only the Bank’s programs, but broader U.S.
trade issues as well, such as the U.S. trade deficit, export promotion, and “corporate
welfare.”
CRS Products
Export-Import Bank: Background and Legislative Issues, by James K. Jackson, CRS
Report 98-568 E
Foreign Sales Corporation.  The Foreign Sales Corporation (FSC) provisions
of the U.S. tax code permit U.S. firms to exempt between 15% and 30% of export
income from taxation.  In 1998, however, the European Union (EU) complained to
the World Trade Organization (WTO) that FSC is an export subsidy and so violates
the agreements on which the WTO is based.  A WTO panel subsequently supported
the EU.  Under WTO procedures, the FSC provisions were required to comply with
the  WTO  agreements  by  November  1,  2000, or the United States might face
compensatory damages or retaliatory measures.  In November, Congress approved
CRS-36
H.R. 4986, which replaces the FSC provision with an export tax benefit intended to
achieve WTO compliance.  However, the EU has stated that it does not believe the
new provisions to be WTO-compatible.  It has asked the WTO to rule on the matter
and to authorize retaliatory tariffs if the replacement is not WTO-compatible.
CRS Products
The Foreign Sales Corporation (FSC) Tax Benefit for Exporting and the WTO, by 
         David L. Brumbaugh, CRS Report RS20571
The Foreign Sales Corporation (FSC) Tax Benefit for Exporting: WTO Issues and an
Economic Analysis, by David L. Brumbaugh, CRS Report RL30684
Import-related Issues
Andean Trade Preference Act (ATPA).  The Andean Trade Preference Act
(ATPA) was signed into law in December 1991, allowing tariff reductions on selected
products from four Andean nations: Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru.  The
purpose of the Act is to improve access of these countries’ exports to U.S. markets,
thereby encouraging Andean workers to redirect their economic efforts away from
illicit  coca  cultivation and cocaine production toward legal products such as cut
flowers, fish, metals and related goods.  The ATPA will expire in December 2001 and
the congressional debate over whether to extend ATPA trade preferences will likely
focus on two overriding issues: 1) its effects on the U.S. economy; and 2) the extent
to which the act’s provisions can be linked to decreased drug related economic
activity and economic diversification and growth in the Andean countries.  (See Latin
America, above)
Cuba.  U.S. policy toward Cuba during the 107th Congress is likely again to
focus on the process of economic and political reform. Advocates of the continuation
of the economic embargo and political isolation of the regime maintain that constant
pressure on the Cuban government is necessary to achieve reforms. Others argue that
the embargo has failed, and that the economic sanctions have hurt the Cuban people
and diplomatically isolated the United States without affecting the government. The
106th Congress lifted license requirements for food and medicine to Cuba and other
nations  on  the  list  of  terrorist  entities  in  the  FY2001 Agriculture Appropriation
(P.L.106-387).  Purchases of U.S. food and medicine cannot be financed by U.S.
banking institutions under the bill, but third country financing of these purchases are
permitted.  Also in the agriculture bill, new restrictions were placed on travel to Cuba.
Legislation likely to be introduced in the 107th Congress may continue to reflect
interest in the economic embargo, including such issues as domestic financing for food
and medicine purchases and travel policies. Other legislation may be proposed to
tighten provisions of the embargo or to lift the embargo entirely. (See sections on
Sanctions, above) 
CRS-37
CRS Products
Cuba: Issues for Congress, by Mark P. Sullivan and Maureen Taft-Morales, CRS Report
RL30628
Cuba  Sanctions,CRS  Electronic  Briefing  Book  on  Trade,          
[http://www.congress.gov/brbk/html/ebtra108.html]
Cuba: U.S. Restrictions on Travel and Legislative Initiatives in the 106th Congress, by
Mark P. Sullivan, CRS Report RS20409
International Monetary Fund Reform
In the fall of 1998, the 105th Congress passed the Omnibus Consolidated and
Emergency Supplemental Appropriations Act for FY1999 (H.R. 4328, P.L. 105-277)
in which it increased the U.S. quota of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and
made a commitment to the New Arrangements to Borrow (NAB).  Given the financial
crises in Asia, Russia, and Brazil, increasing the IMF’s resources was a controversial
issue.  Many observers questioned its ability to support international financial stability
and doubted the wisdom of traditional IMF responses to financial crises, particularly
IMF  conditionality,  or  the economic policies it requires of borrowing countries.
Congress created the International Financial Institutions Advisory Commission (the
Meltzer  Commission)  to  evaluate  and recommend future U.S. policy toward the
global  financial  institutions,  particularly  the  IMF.  (See International Financial
Institutions, above)  The Commission released its final report on March 8, 2000,
calling  for  clarification  of  IMF’s  mission and operations, enhanced transparency,
greater  private sector participation in crisis resolution, deep structural reform of
developing country financial systems, and in particular, restricting lending to very
short-term liquidity needs.  How the IMF proceeds to reform internal policies and
lending practices likely will be monitored closely by the 107th Congress.
CRS Products
IMF and World Bank Activities in Russia and Asia: Some Conflicting Perspectives,
coordinated by Jonathan E. Sanford, CRS Report RL30467 
IMF Reform and the International Financial Institutions Advisory Commission, by J. F.
Hornbeck, CRS Report RL30635
The International Monetary Fund: An Overview of Its Mission and Operations, by J. F.
Hornbeck, CRS Report RL30575
Renewing the Generalized System of Preferences.  The generalized system
of preferences (GSP), authorizing duty-free importation of most products from less
developed  countries  (LDCs),  with  enhanced  preferences  for  least-developed
developing  countries  (LDDCs),  is  slated  to  expire  on  October 1, 2001, and will
require legislative extension and, if deemed appropriate, some modifications.  The
GSP covers 146 LDCs, 39 of them LDDCs, and resulted in 1999 in duty-free imports
CRS-38
amounting  to  $13,681.0  million,  accounting  for  10.3%  of total imports from the
countries involved and 1.3% of all U.S. imports.
The 107th Congress may also wish to deal with legislation, introduced but not
considered in the 106th Congress, designating Northern Ireland and northern border
counties of the Irish Republic as beneficiary countries of the GSP, and with a measure
providing preferential treatment to countries of Southeast Europe, under a program
closely patterned after the Andean preference.
CRS Products
Generalized System of Preferences, by William H. Cooper, CRS Report 97-389E
Generalized System of Preferences,  CRS Electronic Trade Briefing Book,
[http://www.congress.gov/brbk/html/ebtra29.html]
 Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) Renewal.  Three “Trade Adjustment
Assistance” programs offer either extended unemployment compensation and training
benefits to workers, or technical assistance to firms adversely affected by trade.  All
three  programs  were  reauthorized  through  FY2001  by  the  Consolidated
Appropriations Act, P.L. 106-113, and will need to be reauthorized by September 30,
2001.  The 107th Congress may consider whether to combine  two programs and
extend eligibility, so that workers are eligible for assistance after they lose their jobs
because their plant relocates to any country.  Currently only the NAFTA Transitional
Adjustment Assistance Program, (NAFTA-TAAP) offers benefits to workers whose
plants relocate – but only if the plants relocate to Mexico or Canada.   Under both
NAFTA-TAAP  and  the  original  Trade  Adjustment  Assistance (TAA) program,
workers are eligible for benefits if imports “contribute importantly” to their job loss.
The  Administration  estimates  that  combining the two programs and extending
eligibility (plus increasing the spending cap for training) would add $39 million, or an
extra 9% to the projected $415 million funding for the two programs for FY2001.
In 1999, TAA and NAFTA-TAA together paid unemployment compensation benefits
averaging  $6632  to  38,000  recipients,  and  training  benefits averaging $3133 to
30,000 recipients.   The Trade Adjustment Assistance Program for Firms assisted
about  118  businesses  in  developing  and  implementing  “recovery  strategies”  at  an
average cost of $61,000 per firm.  
CRS Products
Trade Adjustment Assistance for Firms, by J.F. Hornbeck, CRS Report RS20210 
Trade Adjustment Assistance for Workers, by James R. Storey, CRS Issue Brief
IB98023
Trade Remedy Reform.  The 106th Congress considered a number of bills that
would  have  amended U.S. trade remedy programs for U.S. industries injured or
threatened by injury from unfairly or fairly traded imports.  The programs authorize
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remedies in the  form of temporary high tariffs or other measures.   A number of bills
were responses to the U.S. steel industry’s concerns about surges in steel imports in
1998 and 1999 and what industry representatives considered to be the failure of U.S.
trade remedy programs to respond adequately to injurious import surges.  The 106th
Congress did pass legislation (P.L. 106-387, the Agriculture Appropriations Bill) to
require countervailing and antidumping duties to be distributed to firms injured by
these trade practices.  However, the steel industry has indicated that trade remedy
reform  needs  to  go  further,  and  it  will  probably continue to press Congress for
additional reforms of U.S. trade remedy statutes during the 107th Congress.  
CRS Products
Trade Remedy Law Reform in the 106th Congress, by William H.  Cooper, CRS Report
RL30461
Negotiations and Agreements
Bilateral  and  Regional  Free  Trade Agreements.  Free trade agreements
(FTAs) are arrangements between or among countries that eliminate tariffs and other
barriers  to  mutual  trade.  They require congressional approval before going into
effect.  The United States has forged several bilateral and regional FTAs, the largest
being the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with Canada and Mexico.
The United States also has an agreement with Israel that includes trade with the West
Bank and Gaza.  In June 2000, the United States and Jordan began negotiations to
form an FTA, a proposed arrangement that seems to have attracted broad support in
the Congress.  The agreement was completed and signed by President Clinton and
King Abdullah on October 24, 2000.  But legislation enacting the agreement must
await the next Congress and is expected to be introduced early in the 107th Congress.
On November 16, President Clinton and Singapore Prime Minister Goh Chok Tong
announced that the United States and Singapore would begin negotiations to establish
a FTA. Discussions, but not formal negotiations, have taken place between U.S. and
Chilean  officials  over  establishing  an  FTA,  and some members of Congress have
suggested  that  the  United  States  should  negotiate  FTAs  with  other countries,
including Australia, and New Zealand, and other countries of the Pacific region.
CRS Products
U.S.- Jordan Free Trade Agreement, by Joshua Ruebner, CRS Report RL30652
Fast-Track Negotiating Authority.  Fast-track negotiating authority provides
that, if the President consults with Congress during negotiation of trade agreements
and notifies Congress before entering into agreements, Congress will consider and
vote on legislation needed to implement the agreements expeditiously, with limited
debate, and no amendment.  This authority was granted several times in the past for
major trade negotiations, but it has expired.  No major action to renew the authority
was taken during the 106th Congress, but congressional leaders have said that  fast-
track  renewal  will  be  one  of  the leading trade issues in the 107th  Congress.  The
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debate over renewal is expected to include discussion of the role of Congress in trade
policy and whether or not to include labor and environment standards as objectives
in trade negotiations. 
CRS Products
Fast Track Negotiating Authority,  CRS Electronic Trade Briefing Book,
[http://www.congress.gov/ brbk/html/ebtra9.html].
A Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA).  At the second Summit of the
Americas,  which  took  place  April  18-19,  1998,  in  Santiago,  Chile, 34 Western
Hemisphere nations formally initiated negotiations to create a Free Trade Area of the
Americas (FTAA) by the year 2005.  The goal is to establish an agreement that would
reduce barriers to trade region wide, allowing all countries to trade and invest with
each other under the same rules. Nine FTAA working groups are in the process of
drafting  the  text.  A key U.S. challenge involves crafting an agreement that will
promote stability and development in Latin America and also respond to the diverse
political and economic interests of the United States.  The FTAA will be a central
focus of debate on hemispheric integration at the upcoming Summit of the Americas
scheduled for April 20-22, 2001 in Quebec City, Canada.  Because it is a multilateral
agreement and therefore  inherently more complicated to negotiate than bilateral
agreements, it may also be closely tied to any future congressional debate over the
need for fast-track trade negotiation legislation.
CRS Products
A Free Trade Area of the Americas: Toward Integrating Regional Trade Policies, by J.F.
Hornbeck, CRS Report 97-762 
Trade and the Americas, by Raymond J. Ahearn, CRS Issue Brief IB95017 
U.S.-Latin American Trade: Recent Trends, by J. F. Hornbeck, CRS Report 98-840
Vietnam Trade Agreement.  In U.S.-Vietnam relations, the primary concern
of  the 107th Congress will likely be the U.S.-Vietnam bilateral trade agreement
(BTA)  which  was  signed on July 13, 2000.  The agreement provides for the
restoration  of  reciprocal "normal trade relations," other bilateral trade-regulating
measures as required by law, and comprehensive additional commitments by Vietnam
in  the areas of market access, intellectual property rights, trade in services, and
investment. The agreement can enter into force only if - upon being submitted by the
President  -  it  is  approved  by a joint resolution of Congress. The language of the
resolution is prescribed by law and is to be enacted by a specific fast-track procedure,
applicable to the approval of trade agreements reinstating NTR on a conditional basis
to non-market economy countries.  The procedures involve prescribed, nonamendable
operative language, with deadlines for each legislative stage.  After legislative
approval (and approval by Vietnam's National Assembly), the agreement enters into
force by Presidential proclamation and exchange of notes of acceptance by the parties.
Arguments in the congressional debate over the BTA are likely to focus on Vietnam's
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economic and political democratization, human rights situation, and cooperation in
resolving the POW/MIA problem.
CRS Products
 Most-Favored-Nation (Normal-Trade-Relations) Policy of the United States, by Vladimir
N. Pregelj, CRS Issue Brief IB93107
Vietnam Trade Agreement: Approval and Implementing Procedure, by 
         Vladimir N. Pregelj, CRS Report RS20717 
The Vietnam-U.S. Bilateral Trade Agreement, by Mark Manyin, CRS Report RL30416
The Vietnam-U.S. Normalization Process, by Mark Manyin, CRS Issue Brief IB98033
Defense Policy
Congress debates defense policy every year initially in action on defense spending
in the annual congressional budget resolution and, later, when it considers defense
authorization and appropriations bills.  Because military readiness was a major issue
in  the  presidential  election  campaign,  the  debate  over  defense spending may be
particularly significant early in the 107th Congress.  While the military service chiefs
have called for substantial increases in defense spending over the next few years,
congressional action on the defense budget will inevitably be shaped by competing
demands, including tax cuts, Medicare drug benefits, education, and other priorities.
Missile defense may also be on the agenda very early in the 107th Congress because
President Clinton deferred a formal decision on initial deployment of a nationwide
defense in Alaska.  The U.S. role in peacekeeping operations in the Balkans was also
a campaign issue, and it raises a number of broader questions, including relations with
allies, and under what circumstances the United States should be willing to commit
its military forces to action in the future.  A key defense policy issue is how to balance
funding  for  short-term  readiness,  weapons  modernization,  and  long-term
transformation of military forces to cope with future challenges.  This issue may be
at the center of a congressionally mandated Pentagon reassessment of defense policy,
called the Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR), that is scheduled to be completed by
September 2001.
The Defense Budget
In FY1999, funding for national defense increased at a rate greater than inflation
for the first time since FY1985, and spending has continued to climb modestly in
FY2000 and FY2001.  The decline in defense spending that began after FY1985, and
that continued for the next thirteen years, was driven initially by pressures to reduce
Federal budget deficits.  After the Cold War ended, the Bush Administration proposed
cutting the size of the force from 2.2 million active duty troops to 1.6 million, and, in
a 1990 budget agreement, the Administration and Congress agreed on a cut of about
25% in military spending through FY1995.
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The  Clinton  Administration  proposed  further  cuts  in  the  size  of  the  force,
bringing active duty troop levels to about 1.4 million, and it initially proposed
additional budget cuts totaling about $120 billion over the five years from FY1994-
1999.  Subsequently, the Administration periodically added money back to the defense
budget in response to perceived shortfalls, and it allowed the Defense Department to
keep most of the money saved from lower-than-expected inflation.  In addition, after
1995, Congress regularly added money to defense budget requests.  As a result, after
adjusting for inflation, actual defense spending between FY1994 and FY1999 ended
up  being  very  little  different  from  what  the  outgoing  Bush  Administration  had
projected over the same period.  Much more money, however, went for operation and
maintenance accounts most directly related to short-term readiness, and much less for
weapons acquisition.
Even  though  funding  for  readiness-related  accounts  has  continued  to  climb,
concerns about military readiness have multiplied in recent years.  Over the past
couple  of  years,  moreover,  Congress  has  approved  substantial  pay  raises  and
expanded  personnel  benefits  in  an  effort to shore up military recruitment and
retention.  The cost of these measures will grow over time.  Meanwhile, after several
years  of  very  limited  funding  for  new  weapons,  senior  defense  officials,  military
service  chiefs,  and  a  number  of  outside  analysts  argue that money for weapons
procurement, in particular, will have to turn up substantially over the next few years
if the services are to replace rapidly aging weapons as they reach the end of their
planned service lives. 
Taken together, all of these factors are creating pressure to increase military
spending substantially.  Opinions diverge dramatically, however, on how much more
it is reasonable to invest.  For their part, in recent years the military services have
given Congress lists of unfunded priorities, the latest totaling more than $80 billion
over the five years from FY2001-2005.  These amounts do not include some very
expensive initiatives, however, including Army proposals to increase the number of
active duty personnel, Navy proposals to add more submarines and surface vessels,
and the full costs of a national missile defense.  In view of perceived shortfalls, some
military service chiefs have argued that defense spending should climb from about 3%
of GDP today to 4% or more, an increase of at least $100 billion a year.
Neither the Bush nor the Gore campaigns, however, called for defense increases
of anything approaching that magnitude.  Although projected future Federal budget
surpluses appear quite large, competing demands for tax cuts, Medicare prescription
drug  coverage,  increased  education  spending,  and  other  priorities  also  appear
substantial.  The need to make choices among proposed force structure increases and
major weapons programs, therefore, may well persist.  For Congress, the issue is both
how  much  to  spend  on  defense  and  how  to  set  priorities  among  major  defense
programs.
CRS Products
Appropriations for FY2001: Defense, by Stephen Daggett, CRS Report RL30505
CRS-43
Efficiencies in Defense Operations
The  Changing U.S. Defense Industrial Base.  The end of the Cold War
precipitated one of the greatest reductions in U.S. defense spending since the final
months of World War II.   DOD and the U.S. defense industry have struggled, coping
with smaller defense budgets and changing threats to U.S. national security. The Cold
War’s  end  also transformed the defense business environment, marking the rapid
worldwide globalization of economics and trade and changes in DOD policy toward
the  industry  itself. Technological change, especially visible in the information
processing  and  telecommunications  industries,  has  forced convergence between
civilian and military research and applications. Shrinking defense budgets worldwide
have forced manufacturers of defense products into heightened competition.
These factors compelled DOD to reassess its half-century relationship with the
U.S. defense industrial base.  As a result, DOD policy is changing in two major ways.
First, because the lead in some state-of-the-art product lines had passed from defense
to the commercial sector of the U.S. economy, DOD is reforming the way it buys
equipment. And second, DOD has sought to reform structural aspects of the defense
industrial base itself. Instead of continuing to support excess production capacity
across  the board, DOD has focused on preserving defense-unique manufacturing
capabilities, allowing other U.S. defense firms to respond more freely to conventional
market forces.
Congress has traditionally protected economically vulnerable parts of the defense
industry that are critical to U.S. national security, but global changes in the economic
and  defense  environments are posing new issues for the 107th  Congress.  First,
continued mergers and acquisitions in the U.S. defense industry raise questions about
maintaining competition. Some maintain that surviving firms have emerged healthier
and  more  competitive, but others worry about the potential loss of technological
innovation and price competition from fewer companies.   Second, defense acquisition
reform  has  encouraged  military  use  of commercial products in military systems.
Proponents of this approach cite the advantages of rapid access to new technologies
for DOD and the adoption of efficient business practices.  Others question the
appropriateness of some products for military applications, and the ability of DOD to
cope with the speed of obsolescence for commercial products. Third, globalization
has increased cross-border flows of information and the availability of technology that
could be used for military purposes. The result has been pressure for the United States
to ease defense-related technology transfer restrictions that could increase exports of
U.S. systems, and help the U.S. defense supplier base. Critics of this logic, however,
worry about the extra vigilance needed to prevent the unauthorized transfer of U.S.
defense  technology,  potentially  increasing  U.S.  vulnerabilities.  This concern was
shown when the Security Assistance Act of 2000 (P.L. 106-280) was passed requiring
that countries desiring relief from some export licensing requirements must first create
a  domestic  export  control  scheme  conforming  to  the  U.S.  model  (including  the
enactment of relevant local laws, regulations, and policies) and must execute a
bilateral agreement with the United States, enforceable under international law, to
compel adherence to its provisions.
CRS-44
CRS Products
The U.S. Defense Industrial Base: Trends and Current Issues, by Daniel Else, CRS      
      Report RL30720
Military Base Closures.  A key issue for Members in the early months of the
107th Congress will be whether or not to authorize new rounds of military base
closures.  The last round, initiated in 1995, will be completed by the end of FY2001.
For the past four years, DOD has pleaded for one or two more rounds, but to no
avail.  The Pentagon insists that new rounds are necessary in order to bring  its base
structure reduction (21%) into equilibrium with its force structure reduction (36%).
It argues that maintaining an excessively large base structure costs money that is
desperately needed to improve military readiness and develop new weapons programs.
Most  Members acknowledge the need for additional rounds, but have been
unwilling  to  authorize  establishment of a new base closure commission until
completion of the current congressional term.  Two factors have contributed to the
four-year moratorium: (1) continued resentment over President Bill Clinton’s 1995
intervention that prevented the closing of McClellan and Kelly Air Force Bases, and
(2) reluctance to impose hardship on communities that might be targeted for closure
by  a  new commission.  The coming change in Administrations, however, may
provide  an  opportunity  for  Congress  to  address  the  issue  in  a  less politically
contentious context, and thereby open the door to one or two new rounds. 
CRS Products
Military Base Closures: Time for Another Round?, by David E. Lockwood, CRS          
          Report RL30051
Military Base Closures: Where Do We Stand?, by David E. Lockwood, CRS Report     
          RL30440
Outsourcing, Privatization and Infrastructure Initiatives.  The Department
of Defense (DOD) is trying to reduce its infrastructure costs to achieve savings that
could help finance future weapons and military equipment modernization.  DOD has
identified competitive sourcing competitions between public and private sectors as a
key tool to help reduce costs.  Outsourcing and privatization initiatives through the
OMB Circular A-76, and a closely-related initiative, the Federal Activities Inventory
Reform Act (FAIR), have been viewed as one vehicle to improve the efficiency of
DOD business practices, while streamlining their operational capabilities to produce
budgetary  savings  to  fund  critical  needs  in  readiness  and  modernization.  Other
innovative  strategies,  like  strategic  sourcing,  have been pursued in an effort to
generate savings not achieved through the OMB Circular A-76 alone.
Both the 105th  and  106th  Congresses  passed  a  number  of  defense  reform
provisions  that  both  supported  and  sought  to  qualify  DOD’s  outsourcing and
privatization initiatives.  The 105th Congress passed the FAIR Act (P.L.105-270),
CRS-45
which requires that by June 30thof each year, federal agencies must submit annual lists
of jobs that are potential candidates for outsourcing.  Jobs must be classified as either:
1) inherently governmental, 2) commercial, or 3) commercial-exempt.  OMB released
the first round of job lists on October 1, 2000. They showed 258,000 employees at
26  agnecies,  including  DOD,  qualifying  for  consideration.  According to OMB,
approximately 75% of those jobs could be outsourced.  The 106th Congress enacted
the FY2001 Defense Appropriations Bill (P.L. 106-259) which prohibits the
conversion of DOD functions from government to contractor performance unless a
“Most Efficient Organization” analysis is completed and certified to House and Senate
Defense  Appropriations Subcommittees.  The bill authorizes public-private
competitions for depot maintenance and repair work, under certain conditions.  The
FY2001 Defense Authorization Bill (P.L. 106-398)  mandates that the Comptroller
General  conduct  two  studies on (1)  the use of “contract bundling” in military
construction  contracts  (report  due  February  1,  2001),  and (2) the policies and
procedures governing the transfer of federal commercial activities from the public
sector to the private sector (report due May 1, 2002); additionally, the Secretary of
Defense is required to conduct a study on the impact of purchasing military parts,
components and materials from foreign sources (due one year from bill enactment.)
The 107th Congress will likely face increased calls for a reshaping of the civilian
defense acquisition workforce due to estimates that some 50% of workers will be
retirement  eligible  in  2005,  and  may  renew  legislative  efforts  begun  in  the 106th
Congress to analyze whether public-private defense competitions produce real, long-
term savings.
CRS Products
Defense Acquisition Reform: Status and Current Issues, by Valerie Bailey Grasso,        
       CRS Issue Brief IB 96022
Defense Acquisition Workforce: Issues for Congress, by Valerie Bailey Grasso, CRS    
       Report 98-938
Defense Outsourcing and the OMB Circular A-76 Policy, by Valerie Bailey Grasso,     
       CRS Report RL30392
Defense Outsourcing and the OMB Circular A-76 Policy and Options for Congress -   
        Proceedings from a CRS Seminar, by Valerie Bailey Grasso, CRS Report             
          RL30574
Military Readiness
 Readiness was a significant military issue addressed by the 106th Congress, and
may well be a key issue for the 107th Congress.  During the 2000 presidential and
congressional  campaigns,  Democratic  candidates  argued  that  the  Clinton
Administration  had  made  readiness  a  priority  and  that  U.S.  armed forces were
demonstrably the most powerful in the world.  Republican candidates argued that the
Administration was wearing out the forces through over use and had allowed many
CRS-46
pockets of unreadiness to develop.  The issue is complicated by the need for policy-
makers  to  define  the  “ready  for what” questions and military leaders to create
accurate  and  useful  measurements  of the situation in the field, where  material,
quantifiable factors interact with human, subjective factors.  In the last few years,
Congress  has  legislated that DOD provide monthly readiness reports and the
Pentagon  has  developed more sophisticated ways to apply unit status reports to
assessments of overall joint force readiness to meet various contingencies.  In recent
testimony before Congress, the Joint Chiefs of Staff judged that the force was ready
to  execute  the  national  military  strategy  by  winning  a  first  Major  Regional
Contingency (MRC), but that the added required ability to win a second MRC would
involve higher risk.  Service Chiefs then explained why “first to fight” units were
ready, but that the rest of the force had serious readiness concerns.
The  roots  of  readiness  concerns  today  stem  from  various  defense  planning
decisions taken since the end of the Cold War.  Notably, the force structure (but not
the infrastructure) was rapidly downsized by more than 30%;  the defense budget was
steadily decreased in real terms until FY1999; and military procurement and
recapitalization were significantly reduced in favor of paying for current readiness and
unbudgeted operations in such places as the Persian Gulf, Africa, Haiti, and the
Balkans.  A smaller force and greater commitments led to increased operations tempo
for many units and their personnel and equipment.  Even greater stress was felt in high
demand, low density specialized units such as electronic combat aircraft and light
infantry.  Weapons and vehicles age, require ever more maintenance, and consume
funds  that  then  become  unavailable to purchase new weapons and vehicles – a
condition labeled by some as a “death spiral.”  Many training and support facilities
have  backlogs  of  deferred  maintenance  and  some  inventories are low; e.g., some
fighter pilots are denied realistic training because equipment such as LANTIRN night
navigation pods and selected munitions are not available at all training ranges.  These
conditions cumulatively have resulted in pockets of reduced readiness throughout all
Services.  
The  107th  Congress  may  consider  whether  additional measures to improve
readiness are needed and in what priorities.  Options include  reduction of operational
requirements; increases or decreases  in force structure; short term versus long term
readiness; increased funding – for operation and maintenance, procurement, other
procurement, or munitions; or more base closures.  All of the material readiness
problems noted above also affect human factors, such as proficiency and morale.  For
that reason, the 107th Congress may review or extend actions of the 106th in regards
to personnel recruitment and retention, discussed below.
CRS Products
Appropriations for FY2001: Defense, by Steven Daggett, CRS Report RL30505
Personnel-related Concerns in Recruitment and Retention.  The military
services  have  had  considerable  problems  since  the  late  1990s  in  recruiting  and
retaining  sufficient  numbers  of  qualified military personnel.  Although much less
severe than the last episode of such problems in the late 1970s, these problems have
CRS-47
required a great deal of high-level attention and increased resources before beginning
to turn around, at least in the short run, in late 1999 and 2000.  The broad reasons for
difficulties in both attracting new recruits and retaining capable career personnel are
similar; in addition, what a young person hears, accurately or not, about the benefits
available to older career members with families can have an indirect effect on the
enlistment  decisions  of  young,  prospective  recruits  as  well.  Despite  recruiting
statistics in 2000 which are much more encouraging than those of 1999, all of these
recruitment and retention issues will continue to be of great concern to the Congress
in 2001, being translated into legislation in the FY2002 defense authorization and
appropriation bills.
Perhaps the single most important immediate factor is the need for the services
to  compete with actual and perceived career opportunities in a civilian economy
currently in the midst of an expansion of unprecedented depth and length.  To deal
with this problem the Congress increased across-the-board pay levels and a variety of
special pays in bouses–often at a faster pace and with greater concern than that stated
by DOD ( P.L. 106-65, FY2000 National Defense Authorization Act).  In 1999, over
DOD objections, Congress also repealed legislation first enacted in 1986  that would
have considerably reduced the retired pay of those career members who would have
begun to retire in 2006, but who were starting to make decisions to stay in or get out
of the service in the late 1990s.  In addition to cash compensation, recruiting and
retention are also affected by the extent  to which military personnel think they can
afford modern housing of size and sophistication comparable to that in which their
civilian counterparts live; health care for self and family that meets the same criteria;
schools  and  educational  benefits; and a sense of community that, often, civilian
neighborhoods may not provide.
Another major reason for difficulty in recruiting and retention is armed forces
that  are  too small to provide sufficient units, personnel, and equipment to meet
requirements  for  both  overseas  deployments  (long-term  and  unexpected
contingencies)  and  maintenance  of  an  adequately  trained  and  equipped  strategic
reserve in the United States.  This has led to overwork, insufficient time for units to
train, and longer periods of family separation, all detrimental to career retention–and
first  enlistments,  if  prospective  military  recruits  get  a  negative  picture  from  older
family  members  and  friends.  Some also suggest that, although it is difficult to
measure, career retention may be affected by concern over “military social issues”
such as DOD policy on homosexual conduct by military personnel and the roles of
women in the military; military deployments for peacekeeping and/or humanitarian
relief purposes; and actions which supposedly make military training insufficiently
rigorous.
CRS-48
CRS Products
Military Health Care: The Issue of "Promised" Benefits, by David F. Burrelli, CRS      
            Report 98-1006 F
Military Medical Care Services: Questions and Answers, by Richard A. Best, CRS       
            Issue Brief 93103
Military Retirement: Major Legislative Issues, by Robert L. Goldich, CRS Issue Brief
IB85159
Missile Defense
NMD and the ABM Treaty.  For several years, the Clinton Administration
considered a plan to begin deploying a National Missile Defense (NMD) system of up
to 100 ground-based interceptors, probably in Alaska, by 2005.  In addition to the
interceptors, a number of other radars would have to have been upgraded and a new
missile defense radar constructed as part of the overall system.  The official cost
estimate for this system was about $36 billion.
The proposed system was controversial.  Some critics charged that the system
was not necessary and too expensive, given the low likelihood of ballistic missile
threats to the United States.   On the other hand, some believed the system could not
be deployed fast enough to counter imminent ballistic missile threats.  Hence, many
argued that other systems, such as a naval NMD could be deployed more easily, more
quickly,  and  at  less  cost.  Finally, other technical critics (both supporters and
opponents of NMD) charged that the NMD technology envisioned in the plan was
simply not ready for a deployment decision.
On September 1, 2000, President Clinton announced that he had decided not to
authorize deployment of a National Missile Defense (NMD) system.  He stated that
he could not conclude "that we have enough confidence in the technology, and the
operational effectiveness of the entire NMD system, to move forward to deployment."
Consequently,  the  planned  deployment  date  of  2005  will  slip, but research and
development will continue and the United States will continue to discuss this system
and possible changes to the ABM Treaty, with Russia.  The President further stated
that the final decision on deployment would be left to the next Administration. 
The Clinton Administration’s planned architecture for NMD is inconsistent with
the limits in the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty.  According to that Treaty,
the United States can deploy a single ABM site, with up to 100 interceptors, around
ICBM silo launchers or its national capital, neither of which are in Alaska.  As a
result, the Administration has been holding discussions with Russia since mid-1999
in an effort to modify the Treaty so that the United States could deploy a limited
NMD in Alaska.  Russia has refused to accept any modifications or amendments to
the Treaty, arguing that any changes would upset strategic stability and insisting that
the U.S. deployment of an NMD in Alaska would eventually undermine Russia’s
nuclear deterrent.  The Clinton Administration has indicated that it might consider
withdrawing from the Treaty, if Russia continues to refuse to modify it.  This prospect
CRS-49
has angered many U.S. allies, including many in NATO, because they fear it could
lead to an arms race that could eventually undermine stability and international nuclear
non-proliferation objectives.  Some Members of Congress have expressed similar
concerns about the possible demise of the ABM Treaty.  Other  Members, however,
believe that the ABM Treaty ceased to exist after the Soviet Union ceased to exist.
And others argue that, even if the Treaty remains legally in force, the United States
should withdraw from it so that it can deploy whatever defenses it needs to protect
itself from emerging ballistic missile threats.
The new Administration and the new Congress face questions as to how best to
proceed with NMD, largely through its oversight function and annual consideration
of  defense  authorization  and  appropriations  bills.  Should NMD be focused on
research and development or deployment? Should the system be ground-based or sea-
based?  Which technology path is best and sustainable from a budget perspective?
How does the United States balance perceived threats and technological availability?
How  does  the  United  States balance NMD and other foreign and defense policy
priorities such as relations with key allies, adversaries, and competitors?
CRS Products
National Missile Defense and Early Warning Radars: Background and Issues,  by
Larry Chasteen, CRS Report RL30654
National Missile Defense: Issues for Congress, by Steven A. Hildreth and Amy F.
Woolf, CRS Issue Brief IB10034
Modernization Issues4
Between FY1985, the peak of the defense buildup of the 1980s, and FY1998,
after which spending began to turn up modestly, overall funding for national defense
declined, after adjusting for inflation, by about 35%.  Over the same period, funding
for weapons procurement fell much more precipitously, dropping from $138 billion
(in FY2001 prices) to $47 billion, a decline of almost two-thirds.  In effect, defense
policymakers decided to protect funding for short-term readiness at the expense of
weapons acquisition.
In  1995,  then-Secretary of Defense William Perry described recent defense
budgets  as  a  “procurement holiday.”  To a degree, he argued, the holiday was
warranted, first, because the military services purchased large numbers of new
weapons  in  the  1980s  which  were  just  entering  the  force;  second,  because  older
weapons were retired first as the size of the force declined, so the average age of
equipment was falling even without new purchases; and, third, because threats to U.S.
technological  superiority  eased  dramatically with the end of the Cold War.  The
procurement holiday would have to end soon, Perry warned, because aging equipment
4 For further reading, see Congressional Budget Office, Budgeting for Defense: Maintaining
Today’s Forces, by Lane Pierrot, September 2000.
CRS-50
in each of the services needed to be replaced and investments were needed to exploit
rapidly advancing technology.  
By the end of 1995, the Joint Chiefs of Staff made a strong pitch for greater
procurement funding, urging an increase to $60 billion a year beginning in FY1998.
The  Clinton  Administration’s  FY2001 budget request included $60.3 billion for
procurement,  finally  reaching  the  Joint  Chiefs’  target;  Congress  approved $62.8
billion for procurement in the FY2001 Defense Appropriations Bill (P.L. 106-259).
As it has turned out, many defense proponents now see the $60 billion procurement
level  as  inadequate.  Early in 2000, a study by the Center for Strategic and
International Studies (CSIS), calculated that procurement budgets would have to
average $164 billion per year (in FY2000 prices) over the next decade to replace the
weapons in the current inventory with more advanced versions.  The assumptions
underlying the study were widely questioned, but several less extreme estimates still
show a shortfall of some magnitude.  Most recently, the Congressional Budget Office
estimated  that  it  would  cost  about  $90  billion  a  year  to  sustain a “steady state”
procurement rate – i.e., a rate at which enough major weapons would be bought every
year  to  maintain  roughly  the  current  number  of  weapons  in  the stock, on the
assumption that parts of the force will be allowed to grow older than has historically
been the goal.
For  its  part,  the  Defense  Department  has  acknowledged  that  procurement
budgets may have to grow further in the future, even as senior officials have disputed
projections  by  outside  analysts.  In congressional testimony in February 2000,
Secretary of Defense Cohen stipulated that procurement budgets will have to grow
substantially beyond $70 billion a year in the period after FY2008, when several
planned weapons programs are scheduled to begin production. 
Along with the debate over the amount of money for needed procurement, there
has been a vigorous debate about what kinds of weapons to buy in both the executive
and legislative branches.  Some advocates of defense “transformation” argue that
many currently planned systems are inappropriate for the post-Cold War environment.
Heavy armored weapons, like the Army’s Crusader self-propelled artillery system,
they say, are too bulky to transport rapidly enough to future conflicts.  Similarly,
some  argue  that  short-range  tactical  aircraft,  like  the  multi-service  Joint  Strike
Fighter, which might have been useful for conflicts in Europe or the Persian Gulf, are
ill-suited to possible future conflicts in the broader reaches of the Pacific.  In view of
budget constraints and requests for increased troop levels from some of the services,
debates over major weapons programs may intensify in Congress in coming months.
CRS Products
Tactical Aircraft Modernization: Issues for Congress, by Christopher Bolkcom. CRS   
          Issue Brief 92115
Navy Zumwalt (Dd-21) Class Destroyer Program: Background and Issues for              
          Congress, by Ronald O'Rourke, CRS Report RS20698
CRS-51
Personnel, Pay, Benefits, Quality of Life
Abortion.  Since the late-1980s, the Administration and Congress have
sparred over modifying the provisions and/or laws pertaining to the availability of
abortion services via the Department of Defense.  Under current law, funds available
to DOD may not be used to perform abortions except where the life of the mother
would be threatened if the fetus were carried to term.  Further, DOD facilities may not
be used to provide abortions except for the same "life of the mother clause" or in
cases of rape or incest.  Legislative attempts to modify, strike, or strengthen this
language have become a routine part of the  process of considering the National
Defense Authorization Act.  
Health  Care.  As  a result of legislative initiatives in the FY2001 National
Defense Authorization Act, military beneficiaries (especially retirees) will have greater
access  to  health  care  benefits  provided  by  the  Department  of  Defense.  These
initiatives include “TRICARE for life” (access to health care after age 65 at a level
exceeding  most  civilian  programs), expanded pharmacy benefits,  as well as the
implementation of a funding mechanism known as accrual accounting.  As a large and
growing constituency, it is expected that military retirees will continue to seek greater
benefits.  Such benefits include but are not limited to long-term care.
Homosexuals in the Military.  As implemented, following the enactment of the
law barring open homosexuality in the military, the policy of "Don't Ask, Don't Tell"
has remained contentious.  Homosexual rights advocates claim that the policy is little
more  than  a  restatement of its predecessor in which homosexuals continue to be
discharged for revealing their sexuality.  Other critics contend that the policy is not
consistent with the spirit of the enacted law and seeks to undermine the military's
efforts to maintain good order and discipline. Furthermore, local schools and college
campuses have threatened to deny or limit military recruiters' access as a result of this
policy.  Finally, a number of lawsuits exist challenging the policy.  Efforts to change
either the policy or the law should be anticipated in the 107th Congress.
Military Family Housing.  DOD and the Congress have considered military
family housing a key issue in their ongoing efforts to improve the service members’
quality  of  life.  The problem is that approximately two-thirds of DOD’s nearly
300,000 family housing units need extensive renovation or replacement. The DOD has
estimated that fixing this problem using only traditional military construction methods
would take 30 years and cost as much as $16 billion.
DOD has embarked on a three-part program to fix the DOD family housing
problem by 2010.  Important authorities for the program were approved by Congress
in  the  Military  Housing  Privatization  Initiative  (MHPI),  in  the  FY1996  Defense
Authorization Act (P.L. 104-106) and extended to December 2004 by the FY2001
Defense Authorization Act (P.L.106-398).  MHPI gave the Pentagon authority to
obtain  private  sector  financing  by  using  such business tools as: loan and rental
guarantees; conveyance or leasing of existing property and facilities; differential lease
payments;  limited partnerships and stock/bond ownership; and direct loans.  The two
other important components of the program are to increase housing allowances to
reduce demand for on-base housing and to enhance the traditional government-funded
military construction program that will continue to fix on-base housing. 
CRS-52
Progress of the MHPI has been slow and the 106th Congress was disappointed
with the pace of privatization implementation.  In evaluations of the MHPI in 1998
and 2000, the General Accounting Office (GAO) highlighted some concerns with the
privatization initiative.  The GAO recommended that the DOD create a privatization
evaluation plan to be used consistently by all the Services.  This plan should include
performance measures, such as evaluation of each authority, comparison of actual to
estimated costs of projects, assessment of developer performance, and collection of
data on the use of and satisfaction with housing by service members.  DOD agreed
with  GAO’s  recommendations  and  has  begun to create an evaluation plan for
FY2001.
The 107th Congress will likely continue to monitor the progress of the MHPI, the
effect of increasing housing allowances on the demand for on-base housing and the
improvement of the traditional military construction program for family housing.
Quality of Life Issues.   It is expected that legislative initiatives will be offered
to increase benefits provided to surviving dependents under the Survivor Benefit Plan,
increase basic pay to close the so-called "pay gap" between military personnel and
civilians,  and  to  reduce  or  eliminate  the  reduction of military retired pay when a
retiree  accepts  disability  benefits  from  the  Department of Veterans' Affairs.
Continued support for renovating and building new, privatized military housing can
also be expected.
Women in the Military.   Efforts to expand the role of women in the military
continued under the Clinton Administration.  Efforts to re-institute and expand the
training of men and women in basic training continued as well, except in the Marine
Corps.  Attempts to open certain military occupations and environments to women
have not always been successful.  For example, the FY2001 Defense Authorization
Act (P.L. 106-398) requires Congress to be notified before any changes are made
concerning the assignment of women to submarines.  Proponents view these as equal
rights  issues.  Conversely,  critics  note  the  numerous  cases  of  disruptive  behavior
brought about by co-mingling the sexes and the changes in training standards.  These
arguments support  limiting the roles of women and/or returning to training standards
in force before the re-institution of  "gender-integrated" training.
CRS-53
CRS Products
Abortion Services and Military Medical Facilities, by David F. Burrelli, CRS Report    
      95-387 F
Appropriations for FY2001: Military Construction, Mary T. Tyszkiewicz, CRS Report 
       RL30510
Homosexuals and U.S. Military Personnel Policy, by David F. Burrelli, CRS Report     
      93-52
Homosexuals and U.S. Military Policy: Current Issues, David F. Burrelli and 
     Charles Dale,  CRS Report RL30113
Military and Civilian Pay: Is There a Gap?, by David F. Burrelli, CRS Report 
     95-492 
Military Health Care: The Issue of "Promised" Benefits, by David F Burrelli, CRS       
       Report  98-1006
Military Medical Care Services: Questions and Answers, by Richard Best, CRS Issue   
      Brief  93103
Military Personnel and Food Stamps, by David F. Burrelli and Adrej Divis, CRS          
       Report  RL30529 
Military Retirement and Veterans' Compensation: Concurrent Receipt Issues, by          
       Robert L. Goldich and Carolyn L. Merck, CRS Report 95-496
The Military Survivor Benefit Plan: a Description of its Provisions, by David F.           
       Burrelli, CRS Report 94-779 
Quadrennial Defense Review5
Since the end of the Cold War, the Defense Department has undertaken three
major  reassessments  of  defense  policy  –  the  Bush  Administration’s  “Base  Force”
analysis of 1990-1991; the Clinton Administration’s “Bottom-Up Review” of 1993;
and the most recent Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) of 1997.  Now a fourth
review – the second Quadrennial Defense Review – has been mandated by Congress
and is due to be completed in September 2001.  Like the 1997 QDR, QDR 2001 is
likely to be partly a reaction to criticisms of earlier statements of strategy and partly
an  effort  to  reshape  long-term  defense  plans  in  view  of  changing perceptions of
international security  challenges.  The 1997 QDR put much greater emphasis than the
Bottom-Up Review on assessing the impact of smaller scale contingency operations
5 For further reading, see Report of the National Defense University Quadrennial Defense
Review  2001  Working Group, by  Michele  Flournoy,  November  2000,  and  General
Accounting Office, Quadrennial Defense Review: Opportunities to Improve the Next Review,
Report Number NSIAD-98-155, June 25, 1998.
CRS-54
on  the  force.  The new QDR may focus more on the prospects for a significant
“transformation” of U.S. military forces.  One key issue may be how to cope with a
widely  perceived mismatch between strategy and resources – many critics of the
Bottom-Up Review and of the 1997 QDR have complained that both were “budget-
driven” rather than “strategy-driven.”   Another key issue may be whether the very
inclusive, consensus-oriented process of the first QDR, which is being repeated in the
new one, can lead to sufficiently far-reaching changes in defense policy.  Although
congressional  reaction  to  previous  defense  policy  reviews  was  mixed,  Congress
mandated  the  2001  QDR  in  the  FY2000  defense  authorization bill, and many
Members of Congress will be following the results closely.  The outcome of the QDR
is likely to shape upcoming debate about defense policy in Congress and elsewhere.
Transformation
Army Transformation..  Army transformation as a congressional issue first
appeared in the second session of the 106th Congress and will likely also engage the
107th.  As background, U.S. Army heavy armored forces were victorious in the
Persian Gulf War of 1991 and impressive in almost all facets – one exception being
the length of time it took to deploy the force.  During 1999, heavy force elements
were deployed to Albania for possible combat alongside NATO in Serbia.  Again,
critics complained that the deployment took too long.  Assessing this criticism and the
most likely types of operations facing the Army in the post Cold War environment,
the Army Chief of Staff initiated a program of transformation to provide the Army a
new capability; namely, formations as deployable as light forces and as lethal and
tactically mobile as heavy forces.  Recognizing that  fielding new technologies would
take ten or more years, General Eric Shinseki, Army Chief of Staff, ordered the Army
immediately  to  begin  forming  Interim  Brigade  Combat  Teams based on existing
equipment.  By November 2000, contracts were ready to begin purchasing enough
20-ton Interim Armored Vehicles (IAV – deployable in C-130 aircraft) to outfit six
to eight of the new brigades, at an estimated cost that could  exceed $7 billion.
The 106th Congress endorsed Army Transformation plans by appropriating some
$1.6  billion  in  FY2000  emergency  supplemental  funding, roughly twice the
Administration’s request.  Congress did, however, caution against too much speed,
by mandating a study that would consider using vehicles already in the inventory for
the IAV requirement.  The 107th Congress will likely review this fast moving program,
not  only  on  the  IAV selection issue, but also as Army Transformation projects
compete  for  funds  with  other  Army  programs.  Army Transformation may also
compete indirectly with programs in other Services or become embroiled in larger
issues emerging from the Quadrennial Defense Review (discussed below).
CRS Products
Army Aviation: The RAH-66 Comanche Helicopter Issue, by Christoper Bolkcom,
CRS           Report RS 20522
CRS-55
Information Warfare (IW)6
In light of modern reliance on information and computer networks, IW raises
issues of growing national importance.  Some argue information warfare promises to
bring about a revolution in the way war is fought in the 21st century; others believe it
will  play  an  important,  but  less  decisive  role  in  future  conflicts.  Some analysts
estimate that more than 20 countries have directed various kinds of information
operations against the United States, prompting some to argue we are essentially at
“war” in cyberspace.7  In addition, a number of observers raise concerns over the
potential for cyberterrorism.  
Although  the  United  States  has  sought to consolidate responsibility for
information warfare, it is not clear how successful this effort will be. Congress may
choose  to  examine  critically  the  policies, organization, and legal framework that
guides  executive  branch  decisionmaking  on  IW  issues.  Additionally, two bills
affecting cyberterroism were introduced in the 106th Congress:  H.Con.Res. 282, a bill
that would have designated cyberterroism as an emerging national threat, and S. 2448,
the “Internet Integrity and Critical Infrastructure Protection Act of 2000."  Although
neither bill was enacted into law, similar legislation is likely to be considered in the
107th Congress.
CRS Products
Critical Infrastructures: Background and Early Implementation of PDD-63, by            
           Jack Moteff, CRS Report RL30153
Cyberwarfare, by Steven A. Hildreth, CRS Report RL30735
Tactical Aviation.  The 107th Congress is likely to face a broad range of military
aviation issues as part of its role in the defense budget process. Procurement of new
aircraft, the modernization and maintenance of current capabilities, and spending on
science  and  technology  will  be  issues.  However,  the  larger issue likely to face
Congress  is  the  friction caused by making tradeoffs between these areas as it
determines the investment priorities for military aviation in a fiscally constrained
environment.
A noteworthy characteristic of current air power investment priorities is that
DOD is spending a relatively large portion of its budget to procure just a few new
types of fighter aircraft – the F-22 Raptor, F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, and Joint Strike
Fighter.  Many  analysts  assert  that  while  DOD  focuses  on  these  procurement
programs, much of the air component is aging and wearing out quickly due to low
6 Information warfare can be used to describe the various aspects of defending and attacking
information and computer networks, as well as denying an adversary’s ability to do the same.
7  Cyberspace  is  the  total  interconnectedness  of  human  beings  through  computers  and
telecommunication  without  regard  to  physical  geography.  The  term  is  often used as a
metaphor for describing the non-physical terrain created by computers systems and networks.
CRS-56
numbers and high operational tempo: examples include the EA-6B electronic warfare
aircraft, the U-2 surveillance aircraft, the EP-3E electronic intelligence aircraft, and
the E-3 AWACS.  
In addition to questions about the need to replenish these overworked aircraft,
there has been discussion about aircraft readiness and reliability. Chief of Staff of the
Air Force, General Michael Ryan testified that, despite spending an additional $2.5
billion per year since 1998 to reverse near term readiness declines, Air Force near-
term readiness has not turned around.8    Decreases in readiness are caused by past
under funding of spares, high operations tempo, loss of experienced airmen, and an
aging  aircraft  fleet.  Readiness  concerns are not confined to the Air Force. Army
officials have also expressed concern about lack of funds to keep the helicopter fleet
reliable. Furthermore, a  recently completed study found that the Air Force’s strategic
airlift fleet is roughly 10 million ton miles per day short of the current requirement.
This shortfall may most heavily affect the Army.
There were expressions of concern in the 106th Congress over Air Force science
and  technology funding. A bill (H.R. 5490) was introduced late in the legislative
calendar to address this perceived shortfall. Again, the Air Force’s emphasis on near
term procurement at the expense of science and technology was at the root of the
concern. However, those in favor of spending on new fighter aircraft procurement
argue that unless the United States is able to achieve and maintain air superiority, it
will not be able to conduct any of the other air operations described above. They
contend that because the current fighter aircraft fleet is aging and will increasingly be
unable  to  guarantee  air  superiority,  relatively  high  levels of fighter aircraft
procurement are critical to overall warfighting capabilities.
CRS Products
Electronic Warfare: EA-6B Aircraft Modernization and Related Issues for Congress,
          by Christopher Bolkcom, CRS Report RL30639
Joint Strike Fighter Aircraft Program, by Christopher Bolkcom, CRS Report RL30563
Tactical Aircraft Modernization Issues, by Christopher Bolkcom, CRS Issue Brief
IB92115
Use of Force and Contingency Operations
The use of U.S. military forces abroad in the post-Cold War era has become a
topic of notable controversy in recent years. Congress has debated the purpose,
scope, funding, and duration of foreign military operations, from Somalia to Haiti to
the former Yugoslavia. The President’s decisions to introduce U.S. armed forces into
various operations abroad have been challenged, especially when it might lead to their
involvement in hostilities. Congressional debates have been especially intense over use
of American military forces in peacekeeping operations such as those in the former
8 Testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee, September 27, 2000.
CRS-57
Yugoslavia in support of NATO and UN operations. In the 106th Congress some
House Members brought suit in federal court seeking a judgement that the President
had acted unconstitutionally in using military forces against Serbia, in violation of the
War Powers Resolution.  The courts dismissed the suit on grounds of standing.  There
have been serious disagreements between the President and the Congress over what
constitutes a proper use of American military force abroad in the service of U.S.
foreign  policy  goals.  Equally  significant  has  been  the lack of consensus on what
constitutes a vital U.S. national security interest abroad.  Until a broader degree of
agreement on the appropriate use of U.S. military force abroad is achieved, there are
likely to be periodic clashes between the President and Congress over the wisdom of
given foreign military operations and the funding necessary to carry them out.
Aside  from the constitutional issues, Congress has raised a number of other
concerns arising from the dramatically increased number and duration of contingency
operations in the last decade.  Perhaps paramount has been the concern over the
impact on unit readiness for engagement in a larger conflict.  Peace-keeping
assignments  entail  special  training,  then  deployment,  followed by retraining for
combat missions upon return – often a 15-month cycle during which the unit is not
available or “ready” for combat operations.  Repeated and/or lengthy overseas
deployments  are  believed  to  be  contributing  to  personnel  retention  problems,
particularly  among  Air  Force  pilots.  Increased operational tempo has raised
equipment maintenance costs and shortened equipment life-spans, thereby increasing
the need for recapitalization of procurement programs.  Peacekeeping operations in
hostile areas (e.g. the Persian Gulf) have increased the exposure of U.S. personnel to
terrorist acts (e.g., the Khobar Towers and U.S.S. Cole bombings), and necessitated
greatly  increased  force  protection  efforts.  All of these concerns have raised
congressional  interest  in  ways to encourage U.S. allies to assume greater
responsibilities  in  contingency  operations,  particularly  those  of  long  duration  that
present little likelihood of major combat.
The version of the  FY2001 DOD Authorization Act (H.R. 4205) passed by the
House included a provision that could have required the withdrawal of U.S. troops
from  the  Balkans.  This provision was removed in the House-Senate conference.
However, extensive reporting requirements on allied burden-sharing in the Balkans
were  established  in  the  final  act  signed  by  the  President  (P.L.  106-398).  In
consideration of the FY2002 DOD budget request, it is likely the 107th Congress will
continue to scrutinize contingency operations and their impact on U.S. armed forces.
CRS-58
CRS Products
Bosnia: U.S. Military Operations, by Steven R. Bowman, CRS Issue Brief IB93056
Iraq - U.S. Confrontation, by Alfred B. Prados and Kenneth B. Katzman, CRS Issue Brief
IB94049
Kosovo: U.S. and Allied Military Operations, by Steven R. Bowman, CRS Issue Brief
IB10027
Peacekeeping: Issues of U.S. Military Involvement, by Nina Maria Serafino, CRS Issue
Brief IB94040
 
The War Powers Resolution  After Twenty-five Years, by Richard F. Grimmett,  CRS
Report RL30308 
War Powers Resolution: Presidential Compliance, by Richard F. Grimmett, CRS Issue
Brief IB81050